Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada +7 | 52-24 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #234 Nevada Wolf Pack over Western Michigan Broncos (11a.m., Monday, December 27 ESPN) QUICK LANE BOWL This line has swung two touchdowns with Nevada being without their coach and quarterback. But this is still an early start again and is just an average team from a weaker conference. Nevada has a coaching staff that wants to make a name for themselves and I believe they can make this game competitive. Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-26-21 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #477 Denver Broncos over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) Both teams must win this game to keep their playoff changes alive, but I just trust the Broncos more in this game. Denver will likely have Drew Lock as quarterback, but I do not see much off a drop-off with him compared to Teddy Bridgewater. Las Vegas is just 3-4 at Allegiant Stadium this season and Denver is 6-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 road games. Denver has not had good success against Las Vegas in recent years, but they will turn the tide on Sunday. Las Vegas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
|||||||
12-26-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bengals | 21-41 | Loss | -105 | 116 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Baltimore Ravens over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) The AFC North continues to be bunched up and Baltimore cannot afford to get swept by Cincinnati in 2021. Baltimore has lost 3 consecutive games by a total of 4 points and I feel this game will go down to the wire as well. Cincinnati is banged up at linebacker and I like how the Ravens defense played against Aaron Rodgers last week. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between Baltimore and Cincinnati. The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
|||||||
12-26-21 | Bills v. Patriots -2 | 33-21 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 26 CBS) Just do not believe Buffalo is mentally tough enough to win this game. New England already won at Buffalo by hardly throwing a pass in that game and I feel they will sweep the season series against the Bills. Buffalo is both on both lines of scrimmage and I feel that will be the difference in this game. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. The Patriots take control of the division and win this game by double-digits. |
|||||||
12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #257 Tennessee Volunteers over Purdue Boilermakers (3p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Just believe Purdue underachieved this season and now will be without David Bell and George Karlaftis for this game. Throw in the face this game is played in Nashville giving the Volunteers a big home field advantage and I expect Tennessee to win this game by double-digits. Purdue was in this same bowl in 2018 and got run over by a so-so SEC team and that same situation presents itself on Thursday. Tennessee held their own in the SEC West and has a first year head coach that wants to finish off the season the right way. They have won 3 of their last 4 games (only loss to Georgia) and should be able to outscore Purdue in this game. Purdue struggles to score points and they need their defense to create situations for their offense. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. |
|||||||
12-21-21 | San Diego State v. UTSA UNDER 50 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 171 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #223 Under in San Diego State Aztecs vs UTSA Roadrunners (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 21 ESPN) San Diego State has a great defense and a terrible offense. That sets up a strong play with the under in this game. UTSA has gone under the posted total in 12 of their last 16 games (1 push) in their last 16 games following an ATS win in their previous game. SDSU has gone under the posted total in 21 of their last 28 games played as an underdog. |
|||||||
12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -100 | 148 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #332 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 20 ESPN) Just do not trust the Vikings in this situation on the road. Minnesota is 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games at Soldier Field. Chicago looked good against the Packers in the first half before falling apart in the second half. QB Cousins usually does not play well in primetime games and I see this one going down to the wire as well. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played on Monday. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday. |
|||||||
12-19-21 | Panthers v. Bills -10 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 117 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308 Buffalo Bills over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 19 FOX) The Bills have been struggling of late but Carolina should allow them to get back on track. When Buffalo wins games this season it tends to come via blowouts and today should be no different. Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Carolina has lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 10 overall. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come by at least 15 points, over today’s posted number. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 Indianapolis Colts over New England Patriots (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 18 NFLN) The Patriots have been on a roll and will enter this game having won 7 straight games. But I believe that the right team is favored, as Indianapolis needs this game more. RB Taylor has been on quite a roll of his own, scoring a touchdown in 10 straight games. The Colts have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. New England is not going to run the table the rest of the regular season and a loss here might do them some good in the long run. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between New England and Indianapolis. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #211 UAB Blazers over BYU Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 18 ABC) BYU is the better team and had the better season, but that does not mean much in these lesser bowl games. The Cougars are disappointed to be playing in this bowl game and I just do not believe their players and staff are motivated to be playing in Shreveport, LA. BYU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of December. UAB will have the crowd edge and should be able to take this game down to the wire. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | UTEP +12.5 v. Fresno State | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #209 UTEP Miners over Fresno State Bulldogs (2:15p.m., Saturday, December 18 ESPN) Fresno State likely believes they belong in a better bowl game, but the MWC has agreements with a lot of bad bowl games. Throw in the fact they lost coach and some staff to Washington, and we will grab the points in this game. UTEP did not finish up the regular season well, but some time off will do them good in this game. Fresno State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 120 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 12 CBS) Buffalo is coming off a bad loss to New England on Monday Night Football and now must travel to face one of the top teams in the league. The favorite is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between the Bills and Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 12-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 17 games played during the month of December. The Bills chances of winning the NFC East are low and this team will be lucky to make the playoffs as a wild card. |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 116 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Kansas City Chiefs over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 12 CBS) The Chiefs are rolling right now having won 5 straight games including the last three by double digits. That includes a 41-14 win against the Raiders in Sin City. The Raiders have scored 16 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games and all four of those games were losses. Las Vegas is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between Las Vegas and Kansas City. Sooner or later the Chiefs offense will get going and it will start on Sunday. |
|||||||
12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +7.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -109 | 116 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #120 Houston Texans over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, December 12 FOX) Just do not believe that the Seahawks should be favored by this many points, especially when the game is taking place on the road. Seattle is 3-8 in their last 11 games and are not very good on either side of the football. Houston has been playing better defense of late and if they can keep Seattle in the teens or low twenties, they should be able to cover this spread. Seattle is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Houston is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-09-21 | Steelers +3.5 v. Vikings | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #101 Pittsburg Steelers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 9 AMAZON) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Lions that greatly damaged their playoff chances for this season. They also have injuries for this short week game and I do not see them blowing out the Steelers on Thursday night football. Coach Tomlin has never had a losing record and I do not see that occurring in 2021 either. Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when the are favored. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. |
|||||||
12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 148 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Monday, December 6 ESPN) First place in the AFC East is on the line in this game as New England travels to Buffalo to take on the Bills. New England will enter having won 6 straight games and if they can keep it close they will likely win it straight up. All of Buffalo’s 7 wins this season have come via blowouts. That means if New England can keep it close early, Buffalo will likely find a way to lose it. The road team is 22-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 32 meetings between New England and Buffalo. |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Ravens -4 v. Steelers | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Baltimore Ravens over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) Just have no confidence in Pittsburgh at this moment, especially on the offensive side of the football. Baltimore struggled on offense last week against Cleveland, but I feel they are better on both sides of the football in this game. The Steelers defense is not what it appears to be, as they rank close to the bottom in a bunch of defensive categories. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Baltimore and Pittsburgh. The Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of December. |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions +7 | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 117 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Detroit Lions over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) Minnesota is coming off a loss last week to San Francisco and playing on the road for a second straight week will doom them in. This was a 2 point game when these teams met earlier this season and I think this game will go down to the wire as well. Detroit has extra rest and playing a familiar division foe should allow them to be competitive for 60 minutes. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
|||||||
12-05-21 | Eagles -6.5 v. Jets | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 117 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 Philadelphia Eagles over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 5 CBS) No play against the Jets is a bad play and they are facing a team that has won 2 of their last 3 games. Philadelphia cannot afford to lose to both New York teams in consecutive weeks. The Jets have never beaten the Eagles going 0-11 lifetime. The Jets have quarterback issues and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC teams. Philadelphia will take care of the football and win this game by double digits. The Eagles have covered the spread in 5 straight games against the Jets. |
|||||||
12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 96 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #318 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, December 4 CBS) Georgia has the best defense in the country but they have not played a quarterback like Bryce Young. Alabama will be able to move the football and put-up points against this defense and I am not sold on how Georgia will respond when that occurs. Stetson Bennett is a game manager, and I was not impressed with him last season. He has been efficient this season but has not faced any pressure. Alabama needs this game to make the college football playoff and Georgia will still make the playoff even if they lose this game. That is a big difference and will allow Alabama to win this game straight-up. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Georgia and Alabama. The Crimson Tide is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah -2.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 76 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Utah Utes over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Saturday, December 4 FOX) Rematches can be tricky but I just believe Utah has the better quarterback and the better all-around team. Utah beat Oregon 38-7 two weeks ago and the Utes will enter having won 5 straight games. The Utes are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 conference games. Oregon is 8-20 ATS in tier last 28 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Utah wins the PAC-12 and heads to Pasadena. |
|||||||
12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 46 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #301 Under in Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 2 FOX) Both teams come into this game struggling and expect it to be a low scoring game. That is how New Orleans will need to win game going forward, as they have issues at quarterback and will also be without their running back. Dallas has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games when they are a road favorite. New Orleans has gone under the posted total in 9 of their last 11 games (1 push) played on Thursday. |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Browns v. Ravens -3.5 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 103 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Baltimore Ravens over Cleveland Browns (8:20 p.m., Sunday, November 28 NBC) Cleveland is in disarray at the quarterback position, as Baker Mayfield continues to play poorly and is also injured. Baltimore survived last week without their starting quarterback and should play much better this week with Lamar Jackson back behind center. Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games prior to a bye and had to hang on for dear life last week against the winless Lions. Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the NFC North. Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Cleveland. |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Chargers -2.5 v. Broncos | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #265 Los Angeles Chargers over the Denver Broncos (4:05 p.m., Sunday, November 28 CBS) Denver returns after their bye week to host the Chargers, a team that is much better than them on offense. Denver is 11-23 ATS in their last 34 divisional games. Philadelphia won at Denver last time out, and Los Angeles won a Philadelphia a couple of weeks ago. Denver is just 2-5 in their last 7 games, and they will likely be making a coaching change come season’s end. |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Titans +6.5 v. Patriots | 13-36 | Loss | -101 | 96 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #251 Tennessee Titans over New England Patriots (1 p.m., Sunday, November 28 CBS) Everyone is on the Patriots bandwagon with the way they have been playing of late. Tennessee was embarrassed last week at home against Houston, but good teams usually bounce back when that happens, and today will be no different. New England has not been as strong of a team at home compared to on the road, and this is just too many points to be giving against an 8-3 team. Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Notre Dame -19 v. Stanford | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Stanford Cardinal (8 p.m., Saturday, November 27 FOX) Not sure why this is a primetime game since Stanford is one of the worst teams in college football this season. They are ravaged with injuries, and they are playing a team that is desperate to make a statement. Notre Dame still has a shot to make the CFP with some help and looked good last week destroying Georgia Tech by a score of 55-0. Stanford has gotten blown out the last three week by Utah, Oregon State, and Cal. Notre Dame is better than all those teams. |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +7 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #184 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Wisconsin Badgers (4 p.m., Saturday, November 27 FOX) Every year this game is played for Paul Bunyan’s Ax, but this year the game may also mean a trip to the Big Ten Championship Game. Nebraska showed last week that you can score points and move the football against this Wisconsin defense, and Minnesota should have similar success as well. Minnesota has the defense to stop the Wisconsin rushing attack. And if that happens, I do not believe QB Mertz can beat them through the air. It is very simple for Minnesota to take this game down to the wire, stop the run and avoid turnovers. The underdog is 9-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 14 matchups between Wisconsin and Minnesota. |
|||||||
11-27-21 | Indiana v. Purdue -15 | Top | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 74 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #174 Purdue Boilermakers over Indiana Hoosiers (3:30 p.m., Saturday, November 27 FS1) BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR It can be dangerous laying this many points in the Old Oaken Bucket Game, but Indiana is the worst team in the Big Ten. Injuries have taken their toll on this team, and they have scored over 15 points just one time since September. The Hoosiers are just 2-9 ATS and are one of a handful of teams without a conference win in 2021. Purdue has covered the spread in 4 straight games against Indiana and are 9-3 ATS dating back to 2008. For Purdue to win and cover they need to take care of the football on offense and pressure the Indiana quarterback. If they do that, they should win by 20+ points. Purdue is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Indiana in West Lafayette. |
|||||||
11-26-21 | Iowa -1 v. Nebraska | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #125 Iowa Hawkeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (1:30 p.m., Friday, November 26 BTN) Nebraska is 29-19 in this series all-time, but Iowa has won 6 straight games. All of Nebraska’s 8 losses this season were by single digits, but they are without their starting quarterback for this game. Iowa is one of the most overrated 9-2 teams in the country, but they will not beat themselves and I do not see a back-up quarterback lighting up the scoreboard against them. Iowa is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a road favorite. Nebraska is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #108 Under in Las Vegas Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys (4:30 p.m., Thursday, November 25 CBS) This line has been coming down all week, and we still like the under. The Raider’s offense has left the building, and I do not see things getting any better in this game against a strong Cowboys defense. Las Vegas has gone under the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games when they are a road underdog. Dallas has gone under the posted total in 4 straight games. |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions +3 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (12:30 p.m., Thursday, November 26 FOX) Detroit has been playing better of late, and this is their last chance for a national audience in 2021. The Bears have not been a good team on Thanksgiving, either, losing five straight games on Turkey Day. The Bears had a great opportunity to beat Baltimore last week, a team that was without their starting quarterback and they fell flat at the end. Chicago is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC North teams. Detroit is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Steelers +6 v. Chargers | Top | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 21 NBC) Just do not trust the Chargers as this big of a favorite over a traditional powerhouse team like Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Big Ben should be back for this game and thus we can look past their tie against the Lions last season. Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at the Chargers. Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 11 of the regular season. They are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of November. |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks +3 | 23-13 | Loss | -120 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 21 FOX) QB Wilson was rusty last week in Green Bay but should play much better this week at home against a familiar opponent. The underdog is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 12 meetings between Arizona and Seattle. The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played in November. Seattle is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games when they are an underdog. Seattle has a major edge in coaching and that will be the difference in this game as they win it straight-up. |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders +1 | 32-13 | Loss | -104 | 120 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Las Vegas Raiders over Cincinnati Bengals (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 21 CBS) Just not buying the Bengals, especially when they are expected to win. Both teams looked bad of late, but I can forgive a loss to the Chiefs compared to losing to the Jets. The Raiders will be playing their second straight home game and look for them to bounce back this week. The Bengals are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 years in their next game following a bye. Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. This will likely be a high scoring, but I still trust Derek Carr more than I do Joe Burrow and that will be the difference in this game. |
|||||||
11-21-21 | Packers -2.5 v. Vikings | 31-34 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, November 21 FOX) Most Vikings games go down to the wire, especially when the lose and that is something I expect to happen today. When QB Rodgers plays, the Packers dominate the NFC North having covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 divisional games. Minnesota is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 divisional home games. Rodgers will rusty last week and expect him to be much better today with a full week of practice under this belt. This play comes down to who would you rather back, Kirk Cousins or Aaron Rodgers? We will side with the visitor. |
|||||||
11-20-21 | UCLA -3 v. USC | 62-33 | Win | 100 | 96 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #381 UCLA Bruins over Southern Cal Trojans (4p.m., Saturday, November 20 FOX) This is a rivalry game so USC will be up for it, but they just do not have the talent to be competitive against UCLA on Saturday. USC has an interim coach, and this is the year UCLA can get them with an edge in talent. The Bruins beat the team that are supposed to beat in 2021, mainly when their opponent cannot stop the run. That should be the case again on Saturday. |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -8 | 28-35 | Loss | -117 | 95 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #364 Wisconsin Badgers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 20 ABC) Wisconsin has been dominating opponents in the Big 10 West and I see a similar occurrence today. The Badgers are 10-4 in this series having won 7 straight games. Nebraska made major changes on the offensive side of the football, and I do not think it will help as long as Taylor Martinez in the quarterback. Wisconsin defense is playing at a record setting level and this will be the best defense Nebraska as seen in 2021. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 5 straight Big 10 games. |
|||||||
11-20-21 | East Carolina -3.5 v. Navy | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #383 East Carolina Pirates over Navy Midshipmen (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 20 CBSSN) The Pirates have been a covering machine of late and will enter this game having won three straight games. Navy will enter having lost 4 of their last 5 games and they are just 2-7 overall on the season. East Carolina has covered the spread in 7 straight games. They are decent against stopping the run and are allowing just 320 total yards in conference play. The road team has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings between East Carolina and Navy. Expect East Carolina to jump out early and cruise to a double-digit victory. |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #322 Nevada Wolf Pack over Air Force Falcons (9p.m., Friday, November 19 FS1) Nevada should be able to bounce back and move the football on the ground and through the air on Friday. They had a devastating loss to San Diego State last Saturday but expect them to bounce back playing a team that will have trouble stopping the pass. Nevada defense will give up some yards on the ground but hopefully they will come up big in the redzone and hold the Falcons to field goal attempts. Air Force will be playing their second straight road game and that will catch up to them in this game. Nevada is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference home games. The Force is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Eagles v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -119 | 122 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #262 Denver Broncos over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 14 CBS) Both teams are limited on offense, but I just feel Denver is the better all-around team. Philadelphia could not stop Justin Herbert whatsoever last week (Chargers never punted) and I see Teddy Bridgewater putting up big number in this game as well. Denver is coming off one of the most impressive and shocking results of the season, beating Dallas in Arlington. That game was never competitive and look for them to follow that up with another strong performance in this game. Philadelphia was lucky to hang around against the Chargers last week and if the Broncos can stop the run they will win this game by double digits. The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS int their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
11-13-21 | Miami-FL -2.5 v. Florida State | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #201 Miami Hurricanes over Florida State Seminoles (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 13 ESPN) Remember when this game was must watch TV? That is certainly not the case now, but Miami has quietly been playing decent football of late. They have won 3 straight games and their last two losses before than just can by a combined 5 points. Miami has won 4 straight in this rivalry including winning last year by a score of 52-10. Florida State will enter off two double-digits losses (Clemson should not have been) and losing has taken its toll on this program. They cannot seem to find the right coach and they will be lucky to win one of their three remaining games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between Miami and FSU. The Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #467 Los Angeles Chargers over Philadelphia Eagles (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 7 CBS) Philadelphia got back on track last week but that was against Detroit, a winless team in 2021. Los Angeles is coming off a disappointing loss to New England last Sunday but look for them to bounce back. They have a major edge in talent on the offensive side of the football. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC teams. The Chargers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Los Angeles needs this game more and they get it by double digits behind a strong performance from QB Herbert and company. |
|||||||
11-07-21 | Patriots v. Panthers +4 | 24-6 | Loss | -114 | 95 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #458 Carolina Panthers over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, November 7 CBS) Not yet ready to crown the Patriots as being back. This is their second straight road game and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against NFC teams. Carolina has some questions about the status of Sam Donald, but either way I believe they take this game down to the wire. New England is 2-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Carolina is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games played during Week 9 of the regular season. |
|||||||
11-06-21 | San Jose State v. Nevada -10 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #418 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (10p.m., Saturday, November 6 FS2) Nevada is a much better team in 2021 than is San Jose State. The Spartans won the conference last year but are a completely different team in 2021 and starting quarterback Nick Starkel has been out since September 25. His backup is more of a running quarterback and look for Nevada to take that away in this game. The Wolf Pack offense is dynamic through the air and have beaten San Jose State 6 times in the last 8 meetings (5-3 ATS). SJSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Nevada is 20-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. |
|||||||
11-06-21 | Temple v. East Carolina -15 | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 East Carolina Pirates over Temple Owls (3p.m., Saturday, November 6 ESPN+) This play is all about fading Temple, as they have lost three straight games and been outscored 135-24. All five of Temple’s losses in 2021 have come over today’s posted number. ECU got back on track last week against USF winning by 15 points and I see them winning this game by over 20 points. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Temple and East Carolina. Temple is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. East Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
11-06-21 | Ohio State v. Nebraska +15 | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #374 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 6 FOX) Nebraska has a better offense than Penn State does, and the Lions exposed Ohio State’s defense last week. Ohio State was killing bad teams before their game last week and I am not ready to label Nebraska in that group just yet. Look for Nebraska to play hard in this game, yet find a way to lose it in brutal fashion by around 7-10 points. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games during the month of November. Nebraska is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games following a straight-up loss. |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Jaguars v. Seahawks -3 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 121 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #268 Seattle Seahawks over Jacksonville Jaguars (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 31 CBS) The Seahawks have not won a have game this season but look for that to change on Sunday against one of the worst rosters in the league. Losing on Monday night dropped the spread in this game and now we can attack it. Jacksonville is just 8-30 ATS in their last 38 games against NFC teams. Seattle is playing better on defense holding a much better New Orleans offense to just 13 points on Monday Night Football last time out. If they do that again they will win this game by close to double-digits. |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Eagles v. Lions +3.5 | 44-6 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 FOX) Philadelphia looked terrible last week against Las Vegas and trading away their best tight end did them no favors. Detroit is winless on the season but most games they have played hard except for the Cincinnati game. They have been close numerous times to winning a game and they will finally get over the hump on Sunday. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Philadelphia. |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Bengals -10 v. Jets | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Cincinnati Bengals over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 CBS) The Jets are terrible and now have quarterback issues. Cincinnati is coming off one of the most dominating wins of the season against Baltimore. Look for them to follow that up with a double-digit win on Sunday against one of the worst teams in the league. Cincinnati pounded Detroit by 23 points two weeks ago and should be entering having won 5 straight if not for a missed field goal in overtime against the Packers. Cincinnati has outscored New York 94-37 in their last 3 meetings. Look for that to continue against on Sunday. |
|||||||
10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -120 | 117 h 23 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #254 Atlanta Falcons over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 FOX) NFL Game of the Year The Panthers are in freefall now having lost 4 straight games. They are backing their turnaround on Christian McCaffrey coming back later in the season, but I do not see things getting any better until then. Atlanta has won 3 of their last 4 games and played well last week against Miami leading for most of that game before turnovers got the Dolphins a late lead. They will clean that up on Sunday and win this game by close to double digits. Carolina has had turnover issues and I do not expect that to be cleaned up in this game either. QB Donald is not a top tier player and Carolina did much of their damage at the start of the season against bad teams. Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Carolina. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Atlanta is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State -18.5 | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #190 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 30 ABC) Ohio State has been rolling of late winning 5 straight games and all of them have come by more points than tonight’s posted number. Penn State could not run the football against Illinois, and they are gassed after losing to the Illini in 9 overtimes. QB Clifford did return from an injury against Iowa but did not look good, throwing for just 165 yards on 56% completions. Penn State is going to have to score points to stay in this game and I just do not believe that is something they can do at this stage of the season. Ohio State still has a great chance to make the college football playoff if they win out and win convincingly. They have scored at least 52 points in their last four games and if they hit that number on Saturday, they will win this game with ease. Penn State is 4-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 26 games following a loss in their previous game. Ohio State is 13-5 ATS in tier last 18 games following an ATS win in their previous game. The James Franklin to USC rumors heat up and Penn State continues to lose games, this one coming by 20+ points. |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 Iowa Hawkeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 ESPN) You have an unranked team that is favored over a ranked team, but I do not buy the metrics on Wisconsin. The Badgers have a terrible quarterback and if Hawkeyes can stop the run, they will have trouble moving the football. Iowa is solid on defense as well and if they can take care of the football they should win this game straight-up. Wisconsin got 5 turnovers last week against Purdue and only had to throw 8 passes. Iowa turned it over 4 times two weeks ago against Purdue and lost of them. Do you see a trend about what Iowa needs to do to win this game? The road team is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings between Iowa and Wisconsin. |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4.5 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Michigan State Spartans over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 FOX) This is just too many points for a true road game against a team Michigan has not done well against in the past. Michigan State is 9-4 straight-up and 11-2 ATS against Michigan since 2008. Both defenses are tough against the run and whoever can make plays in the passing game will likely win this game. I feel Michigan State has the best player on the field in Heisman candidate Kenneth Walker III and a strong showing in this game will vault him up the standing. Michigan State is coming off a bye week to get healthy and I just do not see them getting run off the field against Michigan. Coach Harbaugh still has a terrible record against ranked teams and if this game is close in the fourth quarter, I expect Michigan State to win it straight-up. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of October. Take the points in this game, as I believe the wrong team is favored. |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Illinois | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Illinois Fighting Illini (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 BTN) Just do not know who Illinois will bounce back after a 9 overtime win last time out against Penn State. Rutgers is coming off a bye last week and Illinois still have major issues at quarterback. Illinois has proven they can lose to anyone, and I just feel Rutgers is further along in year two with Greg Schiano compared to year 1 of Bret Bielema. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Rutgers and Illinois. |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Eagles +3 v. Raiders | 22-33 | Loss | -107 | 98 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Philadelphia Eagles over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Just feel that the Raiders cannot handle prosperity. The Eagles have extra rest for this game, and I feel that they will be able to take it down to the wire. Las Vegas played well last week against a fraud team in Denver but in their last home game they were dominated by Chicago. The Bears and similar to the Eagles and I feel this game will go down to the wire. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Philadelphia and Las Vegas. The Raiders are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a victory in their previous game. |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Falcons -2.5 v. Dolphins | 30-28 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #459 Atlanta Falcons over Miami Dolphins (1 p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Miami is not very good this year on either side of the football and have gone 0-5 straight-up since their opening game win at New England. Miami is returning home from London (most teams get a bye after playing in London) and they have a coach clearly on the hot seat. The favorite is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Washington Football Team v. Packers UNDER 49 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 95 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #455 Over in Washington Football Team @ Green Bay Packers (1 p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Just do not feel Washington can be competitive in this game unless they keep the scoring down. I do not expect them to win a shootout against the Packers, and thus we will side with the under. Washington has gone under the posted total in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite. |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. Fresno State | 32-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #409 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (7 p.m., Saturday, October 23 FS2) Just feel Nevada as the better team getting points is too good to pass up. Nevada has won 4 of the last 6 games with Fresno State, and they have an explosive offense led by an NFL prospect at quarterback in Carson Strong. Nevada is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Nevada and Fresno State. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. |
|||||||
10-23-21 | New Mexico +20 v. Wyoming | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #369 New Mexico Lobos over Wyoming Cowboys (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 23 Stadium) This line is an overaction to how bad New Mexico looked on offense last week. They need to make a quarterback change, and I expect them to be better on Saturday against Wyoming. The Cowboys are not an offensive juggernaut, scoring just 25 points per game, and that does not bode well when trying to cover this big of a spread. The best coach on the sidelines is Rocky Long, and he will have the Lobos defense ready to stop the running attack of Wyoming. New Mexico is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings against Wyoming. That includes 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games in Laramie. |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Rice v. UAB -23 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -108 | 74 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #386 UAB Blazers over Rice Owls (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 23 ESPN+) UAB has dominated this series of late, winning 4 straight games. These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions with Rice being blown out last week by UTSA and barely beating Southern Miss the week before. All 4 of Rice’s losses have come by at least 21 points. The Blazers have won 4 of their last 5 games and pitched a shutout last time out against SMU. Rice is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in Birmingham. UAB is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 home games. |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +3 | 30-13 | Loss | -104 | 73 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #394 Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers (3 p.m., Saturday, October 23 BTN) Purdue is coming off an impressive win against Iowa, and look for a carry over into this game. Purdue has a chance to win the Big Ten West if they beat Wisconsin, a team that still has no identity on offense. Wisconsin was again terrible on offense against Army, and QB Mertz appears to be a bust as a successful Big Ten quarterback. If Purdue takes care of the football, they will win this game. Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games. Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Coach Chryst just does not seem to have any answers when his offense cannot overpower teams by running the football. |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #272 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 17 CBS) Just feel Dallas is due for a regression having covered the spread in every game that they have played in 2021. Dallas has not won a game in Foxboro since the 1980s and they have also lost 6 straight games to New England. Also do not believe the Patriots will lose 4 straight home games. This game will go down to the wire and we will cover the spread with whoever comes out on top. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. New England is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Packers -4.5 v. Bears | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 115 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games at Soldier Field and the disparity at quarterback will be too much for Chicago to overcome. QB Rodgers has gone 20-5 against Chicago and has a 55-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 divisional games. QB Fields still makes mistakes and that will be his undoing in this game. Green Bay is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in Chicago. The Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Vikings v. Panthers +1 | 34-28 | Loss | -102 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 Carolina Panthers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) Just feel Carolina will bounce back and not lose three straight games. The Panther should get some skill players back on offense a loss he could send them spiraling down. Minnesota struggled to put away Detroit last week at home and I just do not trust them to win consecutive games. The Vikings are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Bengals v. Lions +3.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Detroit Lions over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) Just do not believe the Bengals should be favored over anyone in a true road game. Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses last Sunday and sooner or later Detroit will finish off one of these games. The Lions are happy to be back at home and the Bengals have just been a road favorite twice in the last 4 years. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Bengals have some key people injured on offense and will not be a full strength. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games during Week 6 of the regular season. |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Army v. Wisconsin OVER 39 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #134 OVER in Army Black Knights @ Wisconsin Badgers (8p.m., Saturday, October 16 BTN) Wisconsin has a great defense but playing a triple option is just something they do not see very often in the Big 10. Army will be able to move the football and score some points in this game and that sets up a strong play with the over. Wisconsin should be able to overpower Army on offense and also make some plays in the passing game. Wisconsin has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games following a victory in their previous game. Just do not see this low of a total in college football and expect the combined score to be in the forties. |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Colorado State -10 v. New Mexico | Top | 36-7 | Win | 100 | 97 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #155 Colorado State Rams over New Mexico Lobos (7p.m., Saturday, October 16 Stadium) Just feel these two teams are going in opposite directions. The Rams are dominated the Lobos over the last decade going 10-0 straight-up and 8-2 against the spread. New Mexico really has trouble moving the football averaging just over 200 yards per game during this 4-game losing streak. They are averaging just 7 points per game over this losing streak. The favorite is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 games between Colorado State and New Mexico. The Lobos are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following an loss in their previous game. |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #181 Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 16 ABC) Iowa is coming off a big win last week over Penn State, a game they likely would not have won if Penn State did not lose their quarterback. Now they face a poor man’s version of themselves in Purdue, a team that also have a strong defense. Expect a low scoring game and I believe Purdue keeps the deficit in single digits. Purdue has beaten Iowa in 3 of the last 4 meetings including 2020. If they can take care of the football they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Purdue and Iowa. Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Rutgers -2 v. Northwestern | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 5 m | Show | |
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #151 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 12 BTN) These are two of the worst teams in the conference and I see Rutgers coming out on top in a true road game. Rutgers has played better on the road this season covering the spread in both games. The Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring top play winners on Saturday and Sunday. Sign-up now and let 50 years of handicapping experience work for you. |
|||||||
10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (12p.m., Saturday, October 16 ESPN2) Nebraska continues to be a tough luck team and I see no reason why that will change today in a true road game at TCF Bank Stadium. Minnesota does not look that impressive this year but they have a veteran quarterback and are coming off a bye week. Just expect this game to go down to the wire and the line movement towards Nebraska makes this a strong play on Minnesota. The home team is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between Nebraska and Minnesota. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of October. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 Big 10 games. |
|||||||
10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take South Alabama Jaguars over Georgia Southern Eagles (7:30p.m., Thursday, October 14 ESPN) This game features two teams desperate for a win and we will side with the home team tonight in Mobile. USA has never beaten Georgia Southern but that will end tonight. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Jaguars are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -2.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 10 NBC) This is a rematch of the AFC Championship Game from last season. The Chiefs already have two losses and play in a much better division and thus I feel this game means more to them. Buffalo has been beating up on bad teams during this three game winning streak and they have not seen a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes all season long. Kansas City has won 5 of the last 6 games against Buffalo. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Broncos v. Steelers -1 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Pittsburgh Steelers over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 CBS) Points may be hard to find for both teams in this game. Denver had an easy schedule and thus their 3-0 record is inflated, and I just do not trust them. QB Bridgewater is in concussion protocol, and I just do not trust his backup quarterback whatsoever. Coach Tomlin has a knack for winning games when he does not have a talented roster and always seem to finish at least .500 come January. Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 5 of the regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Patriots v. Texans +9 | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 113 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #468 Houston Texans over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 CBS) Everyone feel in love with Mac Jones on Sunday Night Football when he outplayed Tom Brady. But he still lacks a running game and a deep threat wide receiver, and I just do not see them routing the Texans in a true road game. Houston has beaten New England two straight games and I feel this game goes down to the wire. Not much good can be said about how Houston is playing of late, but they are professionals and expect a bounce back from last week’s game. The Texans are 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 home games against the Patriots. New England is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Saints -1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 113 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #457 New Orleans Saints over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 FOX) Just do not believe in Washington especially on the offensive side of the football. New Orleans plays better on the road going 16-7 ATS in their last 16 road games when they are the favorite. They still have more playmakers compared to Washington and that will be the difference today. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Jameis takes care of the football and the Saints take advantage of a couple of key injuries on offense for the Football team. |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Michigan v. Nebraska +3.5 | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 96 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 ABC) Michigan finally won a big game last week against Wisconsin and now I believe Nebraska and Coach Frost will do the same this Saturday in Lincoln. Back-to-Back road games are always a tough situation and that is what Michigan will face tonight. Nebraska has a better offense than does Wisconsin and they are coming off their best performance of the season. Michigan is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 games. Quietly, Nebraska has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games (1 push). |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa -1.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 93 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #396 Iowa Hawkeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (4p.m., Saturday, October 9 FOX) This is a great matchup from the Big 10 and does not feature Ohio State. Just not sure Penn State is all the way back and playing in Iowa City will be their toughest challenge of the season. The Nittany Lions have a brutal schedule this season and I expect them to have three or more losses come December. Iowa is playing outstanding defense and getting takeaways at an unbelievable clip. Penn state does not have a dynamic offense and I really feel they will have trouble scoring points in this game. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Penn State and Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Iowa moves into the top 3 in the country after a win today at home. |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +10 | 24-0 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #376 Illinois Fighting Illini over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 BTN) We went against Wisconsin each of the last two weeks and easily won and we will look to complete the trifecta on Saturday. This game will be full of emotions on both sidelines as former Wisconsin Coach Bret Bielema now the head man at Illinois. But this play just comes down to us not trusting the Wisconsin offense. If Illinois can take care of the football and not beat themselves, they will be able to keep this game in single digits. Wisconsin is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Illinois is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up victory. |
|||||||
10-09-21 | Oklahoma -3 v. Texas | Top | 55-48 | Win | 100 | 88 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #379 Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Longhorns (12p.m., Saturday, October 9 ABC) The Cotton Bowl is the site for this annual edition of the Red River Rivalry. Oklahoma has just been getting by of late and thus the spread in this game has dropped to around a field goal. Oklahoma has won 9 of the last 12 meetings and if they win today, they should be able to cover this small spread as well. I still believe Oklahoma’s best football is still ahead of them and it will start on Saturday. |
|||||||
10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 104 | 129 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #280 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 3 ESPN) Just do not feel the Raiders will be able to handle prosperity. They enter this game at 3-0, but needed to survive last week at home against the Dolphins, a team that was playing a backup quarterback. The Chargers are coming off an impressive victory at Kansas City last Sunday and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games (1 push). Las Vegas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during the month of October. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games. |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Bucs v. Patriots +7 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #278 New England Patriots over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 2 NBC) Everyone is expecting the Buccaneers to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season last week in Los Angeles. I just do not see a blowout in this game, as Tampa Bay is playing their second straight road game and New England is playing their second straight home game. New England has beaten Tampa Bay 4 straight times and I see this game going down to the wire as well. Emotions will be high for QB Brady and I believe the Patriots will want to win just as badly. New England is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games played during the month of October. |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 97 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 3 FOX) Just do not feel that the Bears should be favored over any team in the NFL at the moment. Chicago has three quarterbacks that may play on Sunday and to me that means none of them are any good. Detroit has an established quarterback in Jared Goff and should have beaten Baltimore last week if a delay of game was properly called. Detroit played hard last week, and I believe that they will get over the hump this week and record their first victory on the season. Chicago is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Panthers +5 v. Cowboys | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Carolina Panthers over Dallas Cowboys (1p.m., Sunday, October 3 FOX) The Panthers have a defense that should be able to slow down the Cowboys and I see this game going down to the wire. The Panthers have some injuries, but I just cannot overlook how they are playing early in 2021. They are 3-0 with a win against the Saints and have confidence on both sides of the football. Carolina has beaten Dallas in the last two meetings and the Cowboys are 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 home games when not facing an NFC East team. Carolina is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Dallas is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Arizona State v. UCLA -3 | 42-23 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #222 UCLA Bruins over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 2 FS1) UCLA still does not seem to get any love and I feel this spread should be closer to a touchdown than a field goal. This Arizona State team is overvalued and beating Colorado last week does not impress me whatsoever. The Buffaloes do not have a quarterback like Dorian Thompson-Robinson, and he should be able to pick apart this Sun Devils team like he did last week against Stanford. Arizona State lost their only road game to BYU by double-digits and this will be another loss by around double-digits. UCLA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Washington State v. California OVER 51.5 | 21-6 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #163 Over in Washington State Cougars @ California Bears (5:30p.m., Saturday, October 2 PAC 12 Network) Cal has a defensive minded coach but they have given up 30+ points in their last 3 games. Those games came against TCU, Sacramento State, and Washington, teams that are not dynamic offenses. I see both teams reaching 30+ points in this game and thus we will side with the over. Washington State has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Michigan +2 v. Wisconsin | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #199 Michigan Wolverines over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, October 2 FOX) This line moved but ways with Michigan being favored on Monday, but Tuesday saw it move back to Wisconsin being the favorite. Either way I just do not trust the Wisconsin offense and feel Michigan is the better all-around team. QB Mertz has his best game of his career last year at Michigan, but it has been mostly downhill ever since. He has major issues heading into this game and it will not surprise me if he has a short leash in this game. Michigan finally has a quarterback, and he will be to make some plays through the air because I do not see Michigan being able to run the football much in this game. Michigan is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Minnesota v. Purdue -2 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #120 Purdue Boilermakers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (12p.m., Saturday, October 2 BTN) Purdue has some injuries on the offensive side of the football, but this is a game Coach Brohm wants badly. Purdue lost to Minnesota last year when a go-ahead touchdown was called back on a terrible offensive pass interference call. Everyone who saw that play was upset with the call and payback will be coming this Saturday. Minnesota is coming off a terrible loss to Bowling Green last week, a terrible MAC team that was a 30+ point underdog. QB Tanner Morgan has not been himself so far in 2021 and this will be the best defense he has had to face so far in 2021. The home team is 11-5 ATS (1 push) in the last 17 games between Minnesota and Purdue. This will be a defensive battle, but Purdue wants it more and wins it by double-digits. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Packers v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -100 | 104 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #496 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 26 NBC) Green Bay pulling away late on Monday Night Football gave us the value we like for this game. The favorite has dominated this match in recent years covering the spread at an 80% clip. Just am not sold on this Green Bay defense, as new coordinator Joe Barry seems lost as the leader of the defense. Just do not believe the Packers will be able stop the rushing attack of the 49ers and thus I do not expect Jimmy G to have to win this game with his arm. Green Bay must travel on short rest should allow the 49ers to win this game by around double-digits. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Jets v. Broncos -10.5 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #490 Denver Broncos over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 26 CBS) The Broncos drew an easy schedule to open the 2021 season and that will certainly continue today against the Jets. This is Denver’s home opener, and the Broncos are always tough to beat at home during the month of September. New York is averaging just 10 points through two games this season and if Denver takes care of the football, they will win this game by close to 20 points. The Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Saints v. Patriots -2.5 | 28-13 | Loss | -118 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 26 FOX) Just do not trust Jameis Winston going against a Bill Belickick defense and expect the Patriots to win their second straight game and first game at home. New Orleans has dropped 5 of their last 6 games against the Patriots. This is the Saints third straight games away from the Superdome and playing on the road that much usually catches up with teams. The Saints will need to run the ball effectively to win this game, but Alvin Kamara is off to a slow start this season. The Patriots are 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 Over in Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, September 26 CBS) Both teams gave up a ton of points last week and thus we expect the combined score of this game to go over 50 points. The Lions have gone over the posted total in 13 of their last 16 home games. The Ravens have gone over the posted total in 5 straight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Kentucky -5 v. South Carolina | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 40 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #315 Kentucky Wildcats over South Carolina Gamecocks (7p.m., Saturday, September 25 ESPN2) Kentucky did not perform well last week against an inferior FCS team and could have lost that game. We now have a more favorable line and can attack this game with the veteran coach facing a first-year head coach in Shane Beamer. Kentucky is 6-1 straight-up and ATS in their last 7 games against South Carolina. Kentucky should be able to run the ball successfully in this game and I like their defense a lot better than I do South Carolinas. Kentucky is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS in tier last 7 SEC games. They backdoored their way to a cover last week against Georgia, still lost by 27 points, but that will not happen today. Kentucky is further along in year 9 of Mark Stoops compared to year 1 on Shane Beamer. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -5 | 20-23 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #400 Michigan State Spartans over Nebraska Cornhuskers (7p.m., Saturday, September 25 FS1) Nebraska put forth a good effort last week against Oklahoma but I just do not see them being able to get up for this game after yet another loss under Coach Scott Frost. Michigan State has made great strides in year two under Mel Tucker and they are one of the most surprising teams thus far in 2021. Nebraska has trouble stopping the run last week and Kenneth Walker should have a field day against them in this game. Nebraska has played well in this series since joining the Big 10, but I just believe these two teams are heading in opposite directions at this point in their respective coach’s career. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +5 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -109 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #364 Stanford Cardinal over UCLA Bruins (6p.m., Saturday, September 25 PAC 12 Network) UCLA just cannot handle prosperity and now must travel on the road for this first time in 2021 after a bad loss to Fresno State last Saturday. Stanford has been going along nicely since losing to Kansas State in their first game of the season. Once Tanner McKee has been inserted into the line-up this team has gelled and has been able to score points including 42 against USC two weeks ago. The Cardinal will be playing their first home game after 7 straight road games. Stanford has owned this series under David Shaw winning 12 of the last 13 meetings (11-2 ATS). Just do not think UCLA is back yet and laying points on the road in a conference game is never a spot to back them. UCLA found a way to lose last week, and I see this game going down to the wire as well. UCLA is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. Stanford is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdog. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Notre Dame +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 72 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, September 25 FOX) This is too many points to be giving for this neutral site matchup. Both teams have issues and I just do not see a blowout in this game. I expect it to go down to the wire and you can bet Irish QB Coan wants to play well against his former team. Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. South Ben is closer to Chicago than is Madison and that means Notre Dame will have a big crowd in the Windy City. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Titans +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 117 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #291 Tennessee Titans over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) Tennessee getting blown out was one of the most shocking results in week 1 of the 2021 Regular Season. The Titans have beaten the Seahawks in 2 of the last 3 meetings and they are 6-2 ATS over the last 8 years in their road opening game. Seattle is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Just think pride sets in for Tennessee and they take this game down to the wire. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers -5.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -100 | 114 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Pittsburgh Steelers over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) The Raiders are coming off an exciting win, but this franchise has never seemed to handle prosperity well. Pittsburgh has a major edge on the defensive line, and I do not seen Derek Carr going up and down the field in the fourth quarter like he did against Baltimore. Pittsburgh will make some key plays on offense to control this game for 60 minutes and win it by double digits. Las Vegas is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a Monday Night Football game in the previous week. The Raiders are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a win in their previous game. The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a win in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Rams v. Colts +4 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 Indianapolis Colts over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 FOX) The love Matt Stafford is getting this week has been over the top. He is who he is after playing in the NFL since 2009 and that game on Sunday Night Football was closer than what the final score would appear. Now the Rams was a desperate Colts team that does not want to start the season 0-2, with both losses coming at home. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. The Colts are 9-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home in their previous game. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Patriots -5 v. Jets | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 114 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #285 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) The Patriots have beaten the Jets 18 of the last 20 games, and I see this game being a double-digit victory as well. The Jets got a late touchdown to make that game look closer than what it was last week, but Carolina was never in danger of losing that game. Bill Belichick is 9-1 the last 10 times he has faced a rookie quarterback. The Patriots have expectations of making the playoffs in 2021 and this is a game they must win if they want to make the playoffs. The Patriots are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against AFC East teams. |
|||||||
09-18-21 | East Carolina v. Marshall -10 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Marshall Thundering Herd over East Carolina Pirates (6p.m., Saturday, September 18 Stadium) East Carolina blew the game last week against South Carolina and now must face a better Marshall team in their first true road game of the season. East Carolina has scored just 36 total points in two games this season. Marshall has been lighting up the scoreboard in their two games this season and has received impressive play from QB Grant Wells, who has thrown for over 300 yards in both games this season. The Pirates are 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 nonconference games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between these former rivals. East Carolina cannot score enough points to keep this deficit in single digits. |