Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-03-21 | Seahawks +2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
Seahawks/49ers 4:05: Seahawks overdue to get back on the winning track; after all, QB Russell Wilson and HC Pete Carroll have not lost 3 straight in their professional career. Seattle sports a 32-15-4 ATS mark off a SU loss and 9-3 ATS as a road dog; moreover, 13-5-1 ATS vs SF. Most teams have their share of injuries but SF hit extremely hard in the defensive backfield which could factor heavy here. Seattle, which has been very productive in the first half of each game, must find ways of finishing and Carroll should figure that out this week. SF a money burner as a favorite at 5-21-1 ATS. We'll grab the Seahawks! |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Rams | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Cardinals/Rams 4:05: Rams have owned Arizona in the McVay era but Kingsbury could be catching LA at the right time to cover. Rams, of course, coming off big win at home vs TB. It was a bruising battle while Arizona was on the road cruising by lightweight Jacksonville. Arizona is relatively healthy with a wealth of riches defensively and plenty of weaponry at QB Kyler Murray's disposal. Rams' defense has underachieved statistically in allowing total yards - more specifically pass yards - mid to bottom tier of NFL. Consequently, we'll look for the #2 offensive in the NFL (Arizona) to be able to trade points effectively today. Arizona does their best as a road dog at 9-3-2 ATS. We'll grab the points. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | South Florida v. SMU -21 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
USF/SMU 4:00: Sonny Dykes has a history of thrashing sub .500 conference foes as evidenced by his 8-0 SU/7-1 ATS mark in that role. Dykes' offense should run roughshod all over the Bulls' defense which allows a generous 505 YPG (128th nationally). Look for the Mustangs to ride their Bentley IV (405 rushing yards) while opening up play action for gunslinger QB Mordecai. SMU just came off working a Gary Patterson coached TCU defense. The Mustangs should light up the scoreboard vs a USF defense not nearly at the same level. And USF doesn't quite have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Lay the wood. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Ole Miss +15 v. Alabama | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Ole Miss/Alabama 3:30: Last season, Ole Miss gave Alabama trouble despite having the worst defense in the nation. This season, Ole Miss defense much improved yet still possess that dangerous offense. As a matter of fact, Ole Miss is producing 635 YPG (#1 nationally) and QB Matt Corral has emerged as a Heisman favorite and he has yet to throw an INT. Alabama showed their vulnerability against Florida and won't have an easy time here. Ole Miss off a blowout home win over a good mid major in Tulane. The Rebels are 8-0 ATS as a road dog off a SU/ATS home win. We'll take the points with Kiffin's boys. |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +15.5 | 52-13 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
10-02-21 | Cincinnati -120 v. Notre Dame | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
Cincinnati/ND 2:30: Bearcats had an additional week to rest and repair for this one. ND QB Coan hobbling with a bad wheel. His backups is little used Pyne. Cincinnati defense won't be easy to move the football on; after all, ND couldn't generate any run game vs Wisconsin last week. They had two pick sixes and a kickoff return. I doubt that will happen against a well disciplined Cincy offense that can run the football and led by versatile veteran signal caller Desmond Ritter. Value on money line with Cincinnati. |
|||||||
10-01-21 | Iowa -3 v. Maryland | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
Iowa/Maryland 8:00: Maryland has an explosive offense led by the Big Ten's leading passer: Taulia Tagovailoa; however, Iowa's defense is the real deal led by LB Jack Campbell. Iowa sports the #3 scoring defense in the nation. Surely this will be Taulia's first big test against one of the better stop units in the nation. Offensively, Iowa not flashy but they run a conservative ground control attack with Spencer Petras at the helm. They limit mistakes and play the field position game with solid special teams. We'll grab the not so flashy team with the Hawkeyes. |
|||||||
09-30-21 | Jaguars +8 v. Bengals | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Bengals 8:20: Jaguars need to clean up a few things to be competitive and it should come here. Bengals coming off a healthy win over Pittsburgh and could easily overlook Jacksonville with GB on deck. Jacksonville still has some dangerous weaponry in Shenault, Marvin Jones and Chark. And Robinson is doing a decent job as a RB (5.2 YPC). QB Lawrence should have a bit more time to find his targets; after all, Cincinnati not a great pass rush team. On the other hand, look for Jacksonville to generate pressure on Joe Burrow. Steelers couldn't sack him and he picked the secondary apart. Jaguars have enough secondary talent to hold off Chase and company to stay in this game. Jaguars the call. |
|||||||
09-30-21 | Virginia +6 v. Miami-FL | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Virginia/Mia Fla 7:30: In recent years the Hurricanes are overhyped and they consistently disappoint; as a matter of fact, since 2018, they've lost 12 games SU as favorites including this season on September 18th at home vs Michigan State as 7 point chalk. Tonight, they have their work cut out for them again; after all, they may be without their QB D'Eriq King (shoulder). Sure, backup Van Dyke looked great but against lightweight Central Connecticut. 'Canes 0-5 ATS off SU win of 20+ points and 1-6 ATS at home. Virginia's QB Brennan Armstrong has thrown for 400+ in 3 straight games, 67% completions w/ 13 TDs and 3 INTs. Cav's coming off a disappointing loss vs a good WF team. They do, however, have resilience under Mendenhall going 4-0 ATS after scoring less than 20 points. And their 6-1 ATS after allowing 200+ rush yards. We'll grab the points here. |
|||||||
09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | 21-41 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
Eagles/Cowboys 8:15: Both teams banged up a bit but Dallas' defense has areas of depth concern on defensive front and secondary. Eagles are running the rock well with Hurts and RB Sanders. And remember, Eagles no longer dependent on TE Zach Ertz (good to go) as only go-to receiver. Devonta Smith, Reagor and Watkins emerging trio. Sure, Eagles will miss DE Brandon Graham (Achilles) but do have defensive depth in their #6 defense (total yards). Cowboys' McCarthy 1-7 ATS as a favorite vs opponent off a non-division game. Cowboys 7-17 ATS in MNF. Eagles 13-6 ATS as a road dog on MNF and they're 6-2 ATS off an ATS loss. Back the Eagles tonight. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams +1.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Bucs/Rams 4:25: These teams met last season in late November with the Rams getting the best of Tampa Bay in Florida 27-24. So far, both defenses underachieving ranking as bottom feeders against the pass; however, Los Angeles secondary a bit more stable and disciplined; moreover, they have the most dominant interior pass rusher in the game - Aaron Donald who immobile QBs have nightmares over. Brady, of course, a different animal and has most of the answers. However, he has one less vertical threat at his disposal in AB (out). Moreover, Brady doesn't have that run game (31st in NFL at 67 YPG) to open up the pass game. This is the most formidable defense TB has faced this season. On the other side, QB Stafford a major upgrade over Goff (Detroit) and he's off to a great start. Stat of note: TB HC Arians 1-10 ATS as a .500 or greater team off a division game vs .500 or greater opponent. Rams the call. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Jets v. Broncos -10 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
Jets/Broncos 4:05: Fangio has finally assembled a team that suits him: great defense, solid run game, efficient passer (Bridgewater). On the other hand, Urban Meyer in a rebuild and his team not entirely on board. Broncos 18-3 SU/17-3-1 ATS in their last 21 home openers versus non-division foes. Broncos the call. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Bears +7.5 v. Browns | 6-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Bears/Browns 1:00: Bears' defense is creating turnovers, solid vs the run. Cleveland's offense is fueled by the run game and their offensive line is a bit banged up. Sure, Beckham Jr. makes his return but the loss of Landry (IR) hurts a bit more. And the Cleveland defense is underachieving this year, especially vs the pass. We'll look for Justin Fields to get it done in his first NFL start. Browns struggle vs the NFC North at 1-12 SU/2-11 ATS including 0-7 ATS slide. Chicago sports an 8-0 SU/6-1-1 ATS mark vs the AFC North including 3-0 ATS vs Cleveland. Take the points here. |
|||||||
09-26-21 | Chargers +7 v. Chiefs | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Chargers/Chiefs 1:00: Both teams coming off losses - Chargers 17-20 to the Cowboys and Chiefs 35-36 to the Ravens. Chargers should get their explosive offense back on track vs the yielding KC defense which has allowed a staggering 469 YPG (last in NFL). Chargers' defense got a good word that game changing DE Joey Bosa was upgraded to Questionable today. KC has had trouble with the Chargers. LA 3-1-1 ATS in this series including an outright in the last regular season game of last season. Chiefs 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7 or more after scoring 35 or more points. Chargers a sweet 15-4-2 ATS as road dogs in division games including 9-1 ATS vs opponents not coming off a double-digit win. We'll roll with the Chargers. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Rutgers +20.5 v. Michigan | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rutgers/Michigan 3:30: Rutgers no joke this season. Experienced team with hard nosed defense with a well balanced offense. Scarlet Knights' HC Schiano was also able to establish a Top 40 recruiting class. Michigan most likely has to take an early peak at big revenge game vs Wisconsin next week. Rutgers 5-0 ATS as a road dog is the call. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Clemson -10 v. NC State | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Clemson/NC State 3:30: Realize NC State has showed some good offensive production and respectable defense; however, Clemson has won eight straight in this series and they're overdue to get untracked offensively. Uiaglaelei has struggled but should break out today. NC State defense looks good on paper but now takes on significant upgrade. And consider that Clemson defense has not allowed an offensive TD this season. We'll lay the points. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State +2.5 | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
LSU/Mississippi State Noon: Not buying into LSU as of yet. Run game not that effective (120th nationally) considering they've gone against FCS lightweight McNeese State and Central Michigan. Mississippi State upset the Tigers on opening day last year. Leach is coming off a loss with his Bulldogs (31-29 to Memphis). Mississippi State has a solid run stop unit and offensively can air it out with QB Will Rogers. Miss State 25-8 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. And they've covered 4 of last 5 as a dog. Miss State the call. |
|||||||
09-25-21 | Missouri -1 v. Boston College | Top | 34-41 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
Missouri/Boston College Noon: Eagles can thank their schedule maker for 3-0 start. First three of their opponents went a combined 1-12 last season. Today, a significant upgrade. BC won't have starting QB Jurkovec (wrist surgery) and will go with Grosel - who actually looked good as a fill in. BC will rely on ground game which is cooking and, at the same time, attack the week spot of the Missouri defense. But Missouri has the offensive arsenal to more than enough trade points. Missouri the call. |
|||||||
09-24-21 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -3.5 | 37-17 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Wake Forest/Virginia 7:00: Not completely sold on WF after blowout wins over lightweights Old Dominion, Norfolk and 35-14 over a rebuilding FSU program. Virginia is coming off a 59-39 blowout loss to Mack Brown's UNC team. Don't expect Virginia to lay down defensively here. Mendenhall will have them more prepared. And offensively, QB Armstrong has already aired it out for 1300 yards! WF defense has consistently been yielding in the Clawson era. And hard to fade the Cavaliers tremendous 12-0 ATS mark with revenge after allowing 35+ points vs an opponent off a double digit SU win! |
|||||||
09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Panthers/Texans 8:20: We'll lay the wood with the Panthers here; after all, they control the #1 defense in many categories across the board in the NFL. That does not bode well for Houston backup David Mills, who actually has a future as an NFL baller but not enough time to prep after starter - Taylor went down. Panthers' defense has sacked QBs 10 times! On the other hand, Houston has many holes to fill defensively and should be tough to stop Darnold and versatile RB McCaffrey. Panthers 7-0 ATS on the road and like where they're going. |
|||||||
09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | 17-35 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
Lions/Packers 8:15: Lions a dangerous backdoor cover team as evidenced in Week 1 vs SF. Goff can clearly sling it. He's got a good supporting cast of skill personnel including TE Hockenson, RB Swift, WR Williamson. Green Bay defense did not look good vs New Orleans and that's trouble laying double digits. Offensively, Rogers and company will most likely get back in rhythm but not sold on them here blowing out Detroit. Detroit has covered 7 of the last 8 in this series, 8-3 ATS in September and 6-2 ATS on MNF. We'll grab the double digits. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
Vikings/Cardinals 4:05: Heavy support for Arizona here; however, Arizona has a brief history of underachieving under Kingsbury despite the immense talent. And the Cardinals are just 4-9 ATS as chalk. Minnesota came roaring back last week at Cincinnati only to lose in OT. RB Cook was upset with late fumble. Look for the Vikings to snap back here. They're 27-10-1 ATS after less than 90 yards rushing the previous week. And their 38-17 ATS off a SU loss. Zimmer is dangerous as a dog and we'll grab him and the Vikings. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles +3 | Top | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
49ers/Eagles 1:00: Eagles, flying under the radar, came out with guns a blazin' last week at Atlanta. Devonta Smith showed he was the real deal with 6 catches for 71 yards and a TD. Hurts looked good in the well balanced offensive attack under Sirianni. Sure, SF put some points up too but against a suspect Lions' defense. Moreover, Lions came roaring back for the back door cover vs a SF defense that doesn't have the same bite it did under former DC now Jets' HC Robert Saleh. What's more, the defense has injuries to key personnel including C Verrett. Philly 7-2 ATS last 9 in this series at home. SF, not a good favorite at 9-25-1 ATS. Eagles the call. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Patriots -6 v. Jets | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Patriots/Jets 1:00: Patriots in a ornery mood after dropping opener to Miami. The number of defensive breakdowns didn't sit well with Belichick; consequently, he'll have it figured out vs rookie QB Zach Wilson. Belichick 21-6 vs rookie QBs in his tenure in New England. On the other hand, Mac Jones proved he belonged in the league vs a very good Miami defense. Jets were swept in this series last year. And Patriots in September are 10-2 ATS off a SU loss vs a foe w/ revenge. With the Patriots 5-2 ATS in Week 2, we'll lay the points. |
|||||||
09-19-21 | Broncos -6 v. Jaguars | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
Broncos/Jaguars 1:00: Fangio has been building a formidable defense over his brief tenure and that was with key pieces missing. This year's unit is a lot more healthy and dangerous with Von Miller now healthy. And throw in Bradley Chubb (questionable), they're outright scary. And now that Bridgewater has settled in as the starter, the run game is cooking and less interceptions. Fangio works teams that are less than .500 off s SU loss as his 8-0 ATS mark indicates. Rebuilding Jaguars will have to wait for their rebuild. Broncos the call. |
|||||||
09-18-21 | Alabama -14.5 v. Florida | 31-29 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Alabama/Florida 3:30: At first glance, Florida seems like a solid play getting two TDs on the their home field in a revenge battle. And Mullen's ground game is #1 in the nation; however, that ground was eaten up against two of the worst run stop units in the nation - Fla Atlantic and USF. Keep in mind that Florida lost some key stars from last year's class in QB Trask, TE Pitts, WR Toney, Trevon Grimes - 3 of 4 high draft choices in NFL. Alabama, on the other hand, goes about business as usual - #1 recruiting class in nation with Heisman candidate - Bryce Young off to a strong start (71% completions/7 TD passes/0 INTs). And Alabama's run stop unit in the upper echelon of the nation. With Fla having a duel QB combination with no clearly established starter, look for Alabama defense to turn it up a notch or two; after all, the 'Tide gets up for these hyped games. Alabama the call. |
|||||||
09-18-21 | Nebraska +23 v. Oklahoma | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Oklahoma Noon: Nebraska stumbled Week 1 vs Illinois but did bounce back strong with two covers against inferior opponents. Oklahoma almost got shocked by strong mid-major -Tulane before blasting lightweight Western Carolina. Not a good spot for Oklahoma but a good one for Nebraska. Sooners just 1-7 ATS as double digit favorites after scoring more than 35 points and 1-5 ATS before they play West Virginia. Moreover, 0-5 ATS at home vs an opponent off back-to-back ATS wins. Sure, Rattler and company will put up points in the offensive machine Lincoln Riley created; however, Nebraska's veteran QB Martinez got into focus with 71% completions last two games after 50% Week 1. And remember, Scott Frost has stocked some quality athletes since arriving in Nebraska while establishing the #20 recruiting class this season. That's closing the gap significantly on Riley and Oklahoma. We'll look for Nebraska to hang around. |
|||||||
09-18-21 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma OVER 62.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Oklahoma Noon: Nebraska is proving they can run the football (236 YPG) in a balanced offense. Oklahoma defense is good but not that opportunistic (1 turnover forced); consequently, we'll look for Martinez and company to hold onto the ball and put points on the board, especially with top Oklahoma C Woodi Washington not at healthiest. On the other hand, the offensive juggernaut of Oklahoma will be hard to contain for 4 quarters. Fair value with the "over" |
|||||||
09-18-21 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -1.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
09-16-21 | Giants v. Washington Football Team -3.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
NY/Washington 8:20: The concern for the Giants is not only the offensive line shuffling and that they rushed for a measly 60 yards vs the Broncos, but their defense allowed the Broncos to gash them for 165 yards. Washington, in good hands with Tyler Heinke, should utilize Antonio Gibson, Mckissic and Jaret Patterson to control clock and open up the play action game to McLaurin and Dyami Brown. Giants' offense has some great skill players in Golladay, Shepard and Slayton but fierce Washington front should be trouble for QB David Jones, who struggles in crunch time. Giants swept this series last season but Rivera is 5-1 ATS w/ revenge and 5-1 ATS vs division. We'll roll with Washington. |
|||||||
09-16-21 | Giants v. Washington Football Team UNDER 40.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
NY/Washington 8:20: Giants couldn't unleash their run game last week (60 yards) and most likely won't this week with dynamic RB Barkley (questionable) on limited, if any, reps. Washington defense doesn't give up many points and held up well last week vs an explosive Chargers' offense after an opening drive TD. NY offensive line shuffling won't help vs arguably the best defensive front in the NFL. On the other hand, NY defense keeps them in games and doesn't allow explosive plays. And without Curtis Samuel, Washington's QB Heinicke has one less vertical threat in a conservative offense. Heavy "under" trends on both of these teams and we'll stay "under" despite the low set total. |
|||||||
09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders +4 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
09-12-21 | Dolphins v. Patriots -3 | 17-16 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Los Angeles/Washington 1:00: Both of these defenses should be solid this season. Washington, led by nightmare to QBs DE Chase Young, allowed just 4.8 YPP last season (#2 in NFL). And they've made upgrades through the draft including C William Jackson III. On the flip end, veteran journeyman QB Fitzpatrick won't likely have one of his top targets Curtis Samuel (groin). Chargers' offense is loaded with skill personnel but may need time to adjust to new OC Lombardi's system. And QB Herbert won't have versatile RB Ekeler (hamstring). Chargers' defense, however, should be much improved with healthy Bosa, new DC and solid additions through draft and free agency. Washington 1-10 O/U run and 1-6 O/U at home. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
09-12-21 | Jaguars v. Texans UNDER 46 | 21-37 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Texans 1:00: This series 1-5 O/U in its last 6 matchups and 0-4 O/U in Houston. I see upgrades defensively on both sides here while the offenses should struggle. Houston has former Chicago Bears HC Lovie Smith as their coordinator. He changed to an odd front and in pre-season it paid dividends with the Texans creating 10 turnovers in 3 games; that's 4 more than Houston achieved all last season! Jaguars didn't look in rhythm offensively in pre-season. Not devoid of talent but thin at RB with Etienne (season ending foot injury) out. Jacksonville's defense should also be better under well respected DC Gus Bradley. They face an offense that doesn't look explosive with Tyrod Taylor who is a pretty good QB; however, he doesn't have much explosive weaponry to go to. Value with the "Under". |
|||||||
09-12-21 | Jaguars -3 v. Texans | 21-37 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
09-11-21 | San Diego State +2 v. Arizona | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Washington v. Michigan -6.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
Washington/Michigan 8:00: Washington, projected #20 team a few weeks ago, sustained a horrible loss to D1 Subdivision Montana last week. Sure, they were missing their top three receivers; however, prognosticators had Washington's offensive line ranking in the Top 5 in the country. The o-line surely didn't show it by getting pushed around by the Grizzlies. They averaged a meager 3.8 YPC on the ground, while QB Morris was 27 or 46 for just 226 yards. Meanwhile, Michigan ripped Western Michigan a new one the Big House and welcome the Huskies tonight. Sure, the Wolverines lost their star Bell (knee) but QB McNamara does have other options. RB Corum is running well behind a revamped Michigan offensive line. That surely helps open up the pass game. With Washington's receiving corps (lost Polk last week too) week to week and having to travel near cross country to the Big House, tough environment and task for Washington. We'll lay the TD. |
|||||||
09-11-21 | NC State -1 v. Mississippi State | 10-24 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
NC State/Miss State 7:00: Leach managed to hold on for victory last week vs Louisiana Tech. They rallied in the 4th quarter to overcome 20 point deficit and holding on in final seconds on a missed Tech field goal. The competition gets tougher for Leach tonight. In to Starkville come NC State. The Wolfpack are fresh off a blowout over USF. Defensively, they're equipped with lots of veteran experience (10 returning starters) and it showed in Week 1. NC State HC Doeren has experience facing Leach. Doeren was on the defensive staff at Kansas when Leach was running Texas Tech. Also, Doeren has assistants who coach with Leach. NC State has its share of explosive offensive personnel too, including a run game which amassed nearly 300 yards last week. We'll go with the strong run game and defense here. NC State the call. |
|||||||
09-11-21 | UAB v. Georgia UNDER 44.5 | 7-56 | Loss | -112 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
09-11-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Syracuse | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
09-09-21 | Cowboys +9.5 v. Bucs | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
Cowboys/Buccaneers 8:20: TB overvalued here. Laying near double digits to a rejuvenated Dallas team with a chip on their shoulder. Cowboys, coming off a sloppy 2020 campaign with QB Prescott going down and a defense that couldn't stop anybody for a large chunk of the season, have made some notable changes that should pay dividends. Prescott is back and the Cowboys' offense, equipped with a lot of skill talent and a solid line despite loss of G Martin, should be able to engineer points vs TB tonight. Realize all 22 starters back for TB this year but tonight will miss FS Whitehead out. On the other hand, former Legion of Boom DC Dan Quinn had time to coordinate a defense with some old and new (LB Parsons) talent that should keep Brady on his heels. Super Bowl winners are generally overhyped early and not good favorites in Game 1 (38%). TB 4-10 Week 1 and Thursday Nights 1-6 ATS; as a matter of fact, Brady had two outright sluggish games on Prime Time last season vs the Saints and Giants. Cowboys have covered 4 of last 5 as a dog and dangerous here. |
|||||||
09-06-21 | Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
Louisville/Ole Miss 8:00: Louisville took a step back last season under Satterfield after an impressive 2019 campaign. We'll look at that as an anomaly with several instances of Covid19 protocol going into effect for the Cardinals. This year, the entire offensive line is back which helped QB Malik Cunningham and company produce an average of more than 200+ yards in both run and pass the last 2 seasons. Ole Miss has one of the worst defenses in the nation last season and had to outscore opponents to win games. They're still loaded offensively as Matt Corral has a great supporting cast. Louisville defense had some good showings last season and do return 7 starters with a number of players who got plenty of playing time. We'll look for Louisville to hang with the Rebels. Satterfield is 52-5 when scoring 30+ points. That's doable tonight! |
|||||||
09-05-21 | Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State | 41-38 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -2.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Georgia/Clemson 7:30: Huge game in terms of playoff ramifications for each team, especially with the relatively light schedule each team is given. Each team has it's question marks. Clemson is breaking in two new offensive line starters who will have to tango with arguably the best defensive line in the country. And new QB Uiagalelei will have to pilot the offense. However, when Uiagalelei played in his only start last year, he lit up Notre Dame's defense for record numbers. He does have a solid supporting cast led by WR Justyn Ross. And the Georgia secondary has to break in three new starters. As for the Clemson defense, they return 9 starters and will make life not so great for Georgia QB J.T. Daniels and the deep RB corps. We'll give the edge to Clemson. |
|||||||
09-04-21 | West Virginia -2.5 v. Maryland | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Maryland 3:30: WV didn't have a good road record last year but do bring back key parts of their winning program (6-4 SU). QB Doege has a solid set of skill personnel to go to including 1000+ rusher Leddie Brown behind a veteran offensive line. MD gets talent under Locksley but it rarely materializes into victories. MD 5-12 ATS as a dog. Under Locksley, Terps a money burning 6-10 ATS. Go with Neal Brown and his balanced team on both sides of the ball. |
|||||||
09-04-21 | Marshall v. Navy +2.5 | 49-7 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Marshall/Navy 3:30: Navy had a rare losing season a year ago. During the pandemic, they didn't practice leading into their opener and consequently fell apart from there. QB problems led to poor rushing which was highly unusual for the normally strong run game of the Midshipmen. Niumatalolo should have his boys bounce back strong this season. He has Arline or Gilligan developed and a quality offensive supporting cast. Defensively, Navy showed promise down the stretch holding some pretty good offenses (Memphis, Tulane, Army) to less than 300 yards each. Marshall, on the other hand, has a loaded team but lack the continuity of Navy. Charles Huff takes over for veteran coach Holiday. We'll look for the scrappy Midshipmen to go 6-1 ATS vs Conference USA |
|||||||
09-02-21 | Bowling Green v. Tennessee -35 | 6-38 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
08-29-21 | Dolphins v. Bengals -1.5 | 29-26 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Dolphins/Bengals 4:00: Dolphins have a poor history of Week 3 pre-season at 1-7 ATS and we'll fade them again here. Bengals, 2-0 ATS this pre-season, deep at running back with a revamped offensive line for Joe Burrow. Offensive upgrade attributed to bringing back former offensive line coach - Pollack who replaced Jim Turner. Bengals offensive line showed grit in both pre-season games and reserve QB Branden Allen very capable of guiding the offense as demonstrated last year after Burrow went down. Home team 5-0 ATS in this series and we won't fight that trend. |
|||||||
08-27-21 | Eagles +5.5 v. Jets | 31-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Eagles/Jets 7:30: Value added to the Eagles now that Hurts, who was a last minute scratch due to a stomach virus last week, should see some significant time. Eagles need to get the offense generated and it should come against a Jets team ravaged by injuries; as a result, Saleh will limit time for his significant playmakers. Jets, 2-0 in pre-season, doing nice work in August but not ready to lay more than a field goal against a reorganized team desperate to get a win on the board. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in Week 3 of pre-season and we'll look for Sirianni to uphold that trend tonight. |
|||||||
08-27-21 | Vikings +4.5 v. Chiefs | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
Vikings/Chiefs 8:00: Minnesota dangerous at any time of year off a loss under Mike Zimmer. They're also 4-0 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off back to back SU wins. KC a money burning 16-26 ATS as a pre-season favorite. This late in the pre-season, Reid most likely to hold back his key players and evaluate the fence sitters with the mandatory roster slicing deadline near. Zimmer, on the other hand, not happy with his team's performances thus far and desperate to establish a rhythm on both sides of the ball. Take the points with the more desperate team. |
|||||||
08-23-21 | Jaguars +4 v. Saints | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Saints 8:00: Jaguars looking for winning momentum more than New Orleans. Payton never a pre-season advocate of winning, especially as a favorite (17-26 ATS). Urban Meyer eager to get winning momentum going for his overhauled bunch. Minshew and Lawrence will battle it out for the starting spot here vs a solid New Orleans' defense. And fortunately for them, CB Lattimore is out. Jag's do have a bit more receiving depth late with Marvin Jones, Austin and Treadwell battling for spots. And rookie Etienne should get some quality reps early. New Orleans Winston and Hill - both battling for starting job, has a thin receiving corps without Michael Thomas (ankle) and Tre-Quan Smith. Jaguars' #3 QB Beathard capable in the mop up role. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
08-22-21 | 49ers v. Chargers +6 | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
49ers/Chargers 7:30: 49ers' offensive line did not perform well in practice vs the Chargers' front line. Sure, Lance and Garoppolo will most likely take field but not sure offensive line can have it together by tonight. In addition, Deebo Samuel may sit this one out. On the other hand, like the defense the Chargers put on the field. And Daniel and Stick are quality back ups to keep the football moving vs a 49ers' defense fighting a plethora of injuries. Chargers 4-1 ATS in Week 2 of Pre-Season. Take the points. |
|||||||
08-22-21 | Giants v. Browns UNDER 35.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Giants/Browns 1:00: Browns looked good in Week 1 with a solid win over Jacksonville. Case Keenum did a solid job in directing the offense for most of the game. Mayfield should get some reps. But Giants' defense appears to be upgraded from last season. A week ago, they were solid vs the Jets. Draft choice Ojulari definitely making life easier on DC Graham. And the Giants secondary working well. On the other hand, Browns' defense solid. Looked good last week and should follow up strong vs a Giants' offense that is struggling to evolve. QB Jones should get some reps and will most likely have Slayton, Shepard and TE Engram at his disposal. But vertical threat and one of the most underrated receivers in the NFL -Golladay will not play. NYG 0-7 O/U their last 7 as a dog. Browns 0-5 O/U in Week 2 of Pre-Season. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
08-21-21 | Ravens v. Panthers +4 | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Ravens/Panthers 7:00: Sure, Baltimore is the king of preseason with an amazing 18-0 SU winning streak; moreover, 4-0 ATS in Week 2; however, that overhype has shifted value to Carolina. Carolina plays the pre-season dog role well at 8-2 ATS and Matt Rhule (head coach) always dangerous as a dog at every level. Baltimore's receiving corps devastated with nagging injuries and down to virtual scout performers. And without backup McSorley (out), who is struggling to make the roster, the mop up duty QBs Huntley and Bahar will not strike fear in Carolina's defense. On the other hand, QB Darnold should see some action while P.J. Walker has been pretty solid in his backup duty. Grier is capable in mop up duty. Panthers have some quality targets to go to even without Moore and Robbie Anderson - (both out). Rookies Terrace Marshall and Shi Smith impressing in practice. Panthers can hold their own here. |
|||||||
08-21-21 | Bills +4.5 v. Bears | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
08-20-21 | Chiefs v. Cardinals +3 | 17-10 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
08-19-21 | Patriots v. Eagles +1.5 | 35-0 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
Patriots/Eagles 7:30: Eagles are 4-1 ATS in Week 2 Pre-Season and that trend should carry over in the Sirianni era. Eagles' ones and twos looked good vs Pittsburgh last week before falling late. Hurts and Flacco did a solid job guiding the offense. I'll expect more from Philadelphia tonight with a much improved offensive line and with upgrades across the board defensively. Belichick doesn't play the favorite role well in pre-season at 20-26 ATS. Grab the Eagles here. |
|||||||
08-14-21 | Jets v. Giants +2.5 | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
08-14-21 | Jets v. Giants UNDER 35 | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
08-13-21 | Bills +1.5 v. Lions | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
Bills/Lions 7:00: Lions just lost CB Dunbar (cut) and have lots of injuries across the board on both sides of the ball. Goff should see very little if any action. And QBs Tim Boyle and David Blough are not going to instill fear in any NFL defense. Bills do have Mitch Trubisky as the backup who should make plays vs a Lions' defense in transition. With a new Detroit coaching staff and the injuries, hard to see them delivering here. Bills the call. |
|||||||
08-13-21 | Bills v. Lions UNDER 37 | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Bills/Lions 7:00: Bills 1-5 O/U in Week 1 of Pre-Season. And with a new coaching staff, limited skill talent and lots of injuries, I don't see them putting up points on a determined Bills' defense which is well aware that they took a step backwards last year. Fortunately, Detroit won't see much of the explosive Bills' starting offensive personnel. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
08-12-21 | Steelers +1 v. Eagles | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
Steelers/Eagles 7:30: Steelers already have a pre-season game under their belt and that's a good thing. Pittsburgh is deep in QBs and offensive weaponry with Rudolph, Haskins and Dobbs all competing for the #2 spot behind Roethlisberger. And despite an offensive line that struggled opening holes last year, it did allow the fewest QB sacks of all NFL teams. Sure, holes to fill but like the young draft talent of C Green and T Dan Moore. Defensively have a few holdouts but solid depth exists for one of the top defenses of last year. On the other hand, Eagles with new head coach, new system on both sides of the ball and should struggle early in adapting. Steelers the call. |
|||||||
07-31-21 | Astros -102 v. Giants | 6-8 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -106 | 43 h 58 m | Show | |
Suns/Bucks 9:05: With the Suns' backs against the wall in a win or go home game, we'll look for Phoenix to deliver here. Suns 14-6 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 of last 5 games in Milwaukee. Giannis effort incredible down stretches and Phoenix will have to surely counter that. Suns shot the lights out in Game 5 yet still came up short despite a lackluster effort at the foul line for Milwaukee (53%). Phoenix knows what's at stake and the veteran presence of Chris Paul and Jae Crowder should support Booker well. Suns will need to step up defensive game and Ayton will have to show up strong. We'll bet on it. Suns the call. |
|||||||
07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -4 | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Bucks/Suns 9:05: Suns clearly in Game 4 until the final moments when Giannis came up with the big block on Ayton. Booker, after a sluggish Game 3, played outstanding in Game 4 but Paul was sluggish and the rest of the Suns didn't assert themselves enough to close out a cover; however, back at their venue where they're 17-5 ATS vs teams above .500, we'll look for the urgency to come back for Phoenix. Phoenix the call. |
|||||||
07-14-21 | Suns +4.5 v. Bucks | 103-109 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4 | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Suns/Bucks 8:05: Bucks out of their element at Phoenix. In Game 1 bricked free throws to the tune of 56% and failed to execute down the stretch. Game 2 shot a ridiculous 9 or 31 from 3 point land instead of attacking the rim where they had a degree of success. In Milwaukee, we'll look for their game to be more fluid. Giannis (62 combined points in Game 1 and 2) is showing no residual effects of his knee injury. Middleton and Holiday should now feed off Giannis and a more aggressive Lopez who is overdue to step up. Lay the buckets. |
|||||||
07-10-21 | Yankees v. Astros -104 | 1-0 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
Yankees/Astros 7:15: Greinke has been a consistent hurler over the years and despite having a fast ball slowing progressively over the years, he makes up for it with his intelligence and ability to paint the plate. Sure, he got a hit by the Yankees in May but he's going into the break stretching the innings, throwing strikes with good location. Yankees are on a nice 4-1 run and coming off a big shutout; however, we'll look for the two game dormant bats of Houston to awaken. Gerrit Cole has not adjusted to the post-sticky substance era yet; as a matter of fact, he's on an 0-3 slide, including his last two disastrous starts in which he gave up 9 ER in 9.1 innings. Yankees just 1-5 in Houston while the Astros are 20-7 at home vs wining teams. Houston the call. |
|||||||
07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Bucks/Suns 9:05: Suns worked Milwaukee on Monday despite little output offensively from veteran Jae Crowder (1 point) and Booker going 1 of 8 from perimeter. Paul came up large while Ayton won the battle of the big men down low with Lopez as the Suns got to the free throw line and delivered (96%). Giannis looked good but his mates were tentative on whether or not to shoot with him in the game. Milwaukee will surely be stepping up their intensity as they've done throughout playoffs off a loss; however, Suns have much room for improvement and I see them upping their game level as well. We'll grab Phoenix again in this spot. |
|||||||
07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -6 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Bucks/Suns 9:05: Suns have covered 6 of last 7 in this series. Suns achieved narrow one point victories both games vs Milwaukee this year. Giannis turned in massive 33 and 47 point showings, respectively. Bucks did do a nice job with reserves in Game 6 vs Atlanta. Portis had a huge game and Connaughton was solid; moreover, Lopez did sensational, enabling Holiday and Middleton to do their thing successfully. Tonight, Suns a bit too savvy to take a back seat. Ayton can handle Lopez much better than Capella did. Crowder has that big game experience (Miami last year in Finals), and Booker overdue for another big game. Throw in veteran PG Paul to run the show and Bucks should wither down the stretch. |
|||||||
07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 8:35: Back to Atlanta, Young most likely back in action, no Giannis on the road makes way for a likely Game 7. Lopez was a monster in Game 5 and fueled the way for quality performances from Middleton, Holiday and Portis. But Bucks 1-6 ATS as a road dog and inconsistency with Bucks gives value back to Atlanta here. Reddish now in the fray gives that quality depth needed. Atlanta, 18-3 ATS as home chalk, the call. |
|||||||
07-01-21 | Hawks +3 v. Bucks | 112-123 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Hawks/Bucks 8:35: At first glance, inkling to take Milwaukee on account that they've won without Giannis (out) on the floor before. However, disturbing that the Bucks were flat into Game 4 when had a chance to take command of series, especially with Atlanta's top player - Young - out. Tonight, most likely Young (bone bruise) will take the floor. Sure Capella (eye) and Bogdanovic (knee) are questionable but lean towards playing. Nevertheless, Okongwu, Reddish have proven to turn in quality minutes off the bench for the Hawks; moreover, Lou Williams proved he can still come off the bench with productivity. On the other hand, not sure if Portis, Connaughton or Forbes can make up the point void left without Giannis. Middleton and Holiday have been hot and cold under Budenholzer. And don't like the 0-4 ATS mark when the Bucks are off a 10+ point loss. Hawks 5-2 ATS as a road dog and we'll grab the points. |
|||||||
06-30-21 | Suns -102 v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:00: As anticipated in Game 5, Suns came out flat; consequently, Clippers jumped all over them early and sustained high energy throughout the game. Suns have the veteran leadership to counter effectively tonight. Suns need to work Ayton on pick and roll with a void in the Clippers lack of low post top tier players, especially with Zubac (knee) questionable. We'll look for a more intensified effort from veterans Paul and Crowder. Booker should continue to do what he does best - score. Not sure Clippers can top Game 5 effort. Suns need killer mentality and should deliver. |
|||||||
06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 130-103 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
Suns/Clippers 9:00: As expected in Game 5, shots that were bricking in Game 4 found their way in the basket in Game 5 to go "over" the adjusted down over/under (215). Tonight, back in Los Angeles where this series has gone 2-8 O/U. Now 5 of the last 7 in the series went "under". And Game 5 seemed like an easy "over" throughout 3.5 quarters but stalled out late to create a sweat. In Los Angeles, the last three games total output has accumulated 213, 198 and 164 respectively. Got some wiggle room with the total and considering the history of the scrums in this series in LA and that the Suns are 0-4 O/U off a SU loss, we'll stay "under". |
|||||||
06-29-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Hawks | 88-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 8:35: Hawks threw some haymakers early in Game 3 but the Bucks survived the assault and closed it out strong. Budenholzer decided to use his Big 3 virtually the entire game and it paid dividends. Wouldn't be surprised if Middleton, Giannis and Holiday go the duration again tonight. Atlanta's Young shut down after his ankle bone bruise (again, we're talking basketball players here). Wasn't effective at all in 4th quarter. And it's almost automatic when Giannis wants to take the ball to the rack as Capella is rendered useless; after all, Lopez does a bang up job in the low post on both ends of the floor. I like Collins but he has limited help down low. We'll look for the Bucks to pull away. |
|||||||
06-28-21 | Clippers +6 v. Suns | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Clippers showed grit climbing back in Game 4 before falling down the stretch. Both teams shot horribly but Clippers managed to stumble worse in the scrum with pitiful numbers of 33% from floor, 16% from perimeter and an inexcusable 66% from free throw line. Tonight, with back against the wall and everything to lose, we'll look for a rejuvenated Clippers team despite the absence of Leonard (knee). Clippers are 16-7 ATS in this series, 5-1 ATS on Mondays and covered 4 of last 5 as a playoff dog. Clippers' HC Lue has made some decent adjustments, but needs Reggie Jackson back to his prime time ways. In addition, need George to show more ready for prime time play and Mann needs to shoot more. Clippers should leave it all out on the floor here. |
|||||||
06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 214 | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Game 4 numbers were ugly. Suns were clanking to the tune of 36% from floor and 20% from 3 point range. That was good enough to whip a Clippers team shooting a brick laying 33%/16% and a disgraceful 66% from the free throw line considering they were #1 in free throw shooting % during regular season. Tonight, let's look for those rim rollers to align in the net; after all, this series has gone 10-4 O/U in Phoenix. And the 'total' has now dropped to a reachable 214. We'll look for the Clippers as the #1 three point shooting team in the NBA to play more relaxed. Phoenix should maintain their groove on their home floor. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 113-102 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 8:35: Hawks were awful in Game 2. There were promising moments as Cam Reddish got his first bit of action in four months and did OK. As for the rest of the Hawks - a step slow and a bucket short in each quarter. The second quarter was a complete disaster getting outscored 42-17! At home, we'll look for a different story. Hawks a strong 30-12-1 ATS at home off a SU loss and covered 20 of their last 26 home games. Bucks 1-5 ATS on the road vs a home team with home win % above .600. We'll look for Young and company to get their traction and hit some buckets tonight. |
|||||||
06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | 84-80 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-25-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | 91-125 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Hawks/Bucks 8:35: Hawks clearly not intimidated by the Bucks. Hawks now 5-1 ATS run as a road dog in the playoffs. In Game 1, Young went off to continue his excellent post-season; in addition, Collins was a great compliment. The good news is that there is room for improvement, especially from 3 point range (25%). And that could change if Bogdanovic and Gallinari get their perimeter range back. Nevertheless, the Hawks did a nice job adjusting when the long ball wasn't dropping. Trae Young was doing a great job dropping floaters and alley oop lobs. As for Milwaukee, similar box score numbers as they were a more pathetic 22% from 3 point range yet a solid 46% from floor. Defensively, however, Budenholzer not coming up with the defensive adjustments. Technically, Hawks now 19-7 ATS in Milwaukee and 13-6 ATS in last 19 meetings in this series. Bucks 1-4 ATS off a SU loss and 1-4 ATS as chalk. Take the points again. |
|||||||
06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1.5 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Suns/Clippers 9:05: As stated in my last write up, Clippers were there in Game 2 and needed a thread more clutch play (free throws from George) down the stretch for the outright; nevertheless, they covered and should be in line to get the win here despite the return of Chris Paul. Beverly is doing as best as he can pestering hot shot Booker. Reggie Jackson has been huge and George is playing well. At home, Mann, Batum and Kennard should lock in as key support players. Even Zubac is holding his own vs Ayton. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games, 6-1 ATS as a home dog and should deliver. |
|||||||
06-23-21 | Hawks +7.5 v. Bucks | 116-113 | Win | 102 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-22-21 | Clippers +5.5 v. Suns | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Clippers held their own in Game 1 despite not having Leonard. They hit 45% from floor, 43% from 3 point land and 82% of free throws. Unfortunately for them, Suns shot 55%/41% and 100%. Booker dropped 40 and Ayton was strong with 20. Tonight, I believe Coach Lue will make the needed adjustments to cover like he did vs Utah. Remember, he went small against Utah in Game 6 and exploited Defensive Player of Year - Gobert - who was rendered useless trying to stretch to the perimeter. Tonight, Clippers need Mann to shoot more and Zubac and Batum to step up their game to assist Jackson and George. Sure, Payne is doing a bang up job keeping Chris Paul's seat warm at the point, but Clippers are a better defensive team than what they showed in Game 1. We'll look for better defense and a bit more successful on the offensive perimeter. Clippers have covered 14 of the last 20 in this series. |
|||||||
06-20-21 | Hawks +7 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-20-21 | Clippers +4 v. Suns | 114-120 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -1 | 115-111 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
Bucks/Nets 8:35: Great players aren't always great; they're just great when they have to be. Durant should go off on the biggest stage. And Harden, after two mediocre - by his standards - games, he's overdue to have a great game. Of course, Griffin, Green and someone else - perhaps Bruce Brown, will have to step up with support. The Bucks have shown resilience but, at times, have shown inability to close. At home, we'll look for the home team to keep with the trend of having the advantage. |
|||||||
06-18-21 | Jazz -1 v. Clippers | 119-131 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 104-99 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
76ers/Hawks 7:35: 76ers should come out with guns a blazing; however, those Doc Rivers' moves are rearing their ugly heads again. In the playoffs, Rivers has a history of leaving starters out too long and failing to utilize his bench. And he's got a dilemma on whether or not to use free throw bricking but defensive stalwart - Ben Simmons - down the stretch of games. Late in the 4th, if Rivers takes him out, their is a glaring defensive void that the sharp shooting and slashing Hawks can exploit; at the same time, with Simmons on the floor in the 4th, he is an offensive liability. His free throw shooting is an atrocious 32.8% in the playoffs! McMillan doing a fine job with adjustments and we'll roll with the Hawks which play well at home (20-6 ATS); moreover, they're 7-1 ATS at home vs Philadelphia. |
|||||||
06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -6 | 89-104 | Win | 101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -6 | 109-106 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-14-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | 104-118 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
76ers/Hawks 7:35: Sixers up 2-1 but don't count out Atlanta yet. McMillan has been around the NBA for a while and he does a nice job with defensive adjustments while letting his ballers play loose on the offensive end. Capela surely can't handle Embiid but Danny Green's absence hurts their depth. I don't see Kurkmaz or Thybulle scorching Atlanta again. The Hawks should tighten the bolts on the defensive end while they seek to get back their touch from the perimeter; after all, they're perimeter game has progressively gone down from Game 1 of this series - from 43%, 37% and just %26 in Game 3 at home. Atlanta's Trae Young is at his most dangerous penetrating with either a floater or kick out. Bogdanovic, Gallinari, Collins should step up. Atlanta is 50-23 ATS off a double-digit home loss at home and covered 5 of last 7 as a home dog. 76ers 0-5 ATS after scoring 125+ points and just 7-18-2 ATS on the road vs a home team with winning % above .600. Moreover, Atlanta has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series at home. Atlanta the call. |
|||||||
06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Suns/Nuggets 8:05: Suns just overwhelming the Nuggets in series. Jokic playing at his MVP (well deserved) level; however, supporting cast not good enough. Important shooting cog - Porter Jr. is sporadic in his play at best. It's never been more apparent that Murray is sorely missed. Suns cruising with Chris Paul hitting short jumpers, floaters and facilitating like he does best. Denver has no answer for him or Booker. And Ayton is doing a solid job and underrated Crowder is that final piece that every championship contender needs. Phoenix should deliver. |
|||||||
06-13-21 | Nets -2 v. Bucks | 96-107 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Nets/Bucks 3:05: Disturbing trend for the Bucks. Hot shooting from the perimeter for most of the season and in Round 1, has given way for a sluggish 23% for this series. It's not that Brooklyn has clamped down defensively, the Bucks have open looks; the shots are just not dropping. Giannis, Middleton and Holiday are forced to drive to the hole with a modicum of success. Yes, they're getting fouled, however, a poor 55% from the free throw line in this series isn't cutting it. On the other hand, Durant has found his range with that short jumper outside the paint, Irving is hitting clutch shots and facilitating well while the Nets are getting more than they bargained for from Bruce Brown, Joe Harris and Griffin. Milwaukee 0-4 ATS as a home dog, 2-5 ATS in this series. We'll stay on the hot Nets (9-1 ATS run). |
|||||||
06-12-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | 106-132 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -1.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +1.5 | 127-111 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Clippers/Jazz 10:00: Going to stay on the Jazz here despite the good outing the Clippers turned in for Game 1. Jazz had that extended layoff and the rust showed in the first half; moreover, Donovan Mitchell was under the weather yet still managed to turn it up a notch in the second half to lead his team to victory. Tonight, with a healthy Donovan Mitchell and a Jazz team that re-established their rhythm, they'll be tough to beat. Sure, Kennard had the game of his life and Zubac was trouble in Game 1; however, those two rarely are consistent big game players. We'll look for the Jazz to tighten the bolts with the needed adjustments tonight. Jazz 13-4 ATS at home vs teams with winning road records. And the Clippers have not had success in Utah at 8-21-1 ATS. |