07-26-19 |
Cubs v. Brewers +102 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 52 m |
Show
|
Cubs/Brewers 8:10: Not a fan of the Cubs on the road. Chicago has the worst road record in the NL at 19-29 including their current 6-16 slide. And Hendricks doesn't do his best work as a traveler: 3-6 with a 5.44 ERA; moreover, he's 2-5 in team starts vs Milwaukee. Yelich and the Brew Crew should give the needed run support to Gio Gonzalez. He's only good for 6 innings but showing signs of progress following shoulder inflammation time off. Cubs just 2-8 vs lefty starters. And they're 2-6 in Milwaukee. Brewers the call.
|
07-26-19 |
Yankees -127 v. Red Sox |
|
5-10 |
Loss |
-127 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Yankees/Red Sox 7:10: Yankees got in late (5:00 am) on Thursday from Minnesota. And they were sluggish last night; tonight, we'll look for the Yankees to bounce back behind Paxton. Paxton sports a 3-0 mark with a 1.89 ERA vs Boston and should be able to limit those early inning runs the Red Sox are piling up. On the other hand, Cashner, who is on the mound for his 3rd start in a Red Sox uniform, should have trouble. This is his fourth start vs NY this season. As a member of Baltimore, he got lit up in his first and fared decently in 2nd and 3rd despite taking the losses. NY 9-1 in Game 2 of series, 44-14 vs righty starters and a blistering 17-4 run on Fridays. Yes, NY the call.
|
07-26-19 |
Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 11 |
|
5-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 52 m |
Show
|
Yankees/Red Sox 7:10: Runs a plenty in this series. Both teams sport heavy "over" trends. And with tonight's starters posting WHIPS above 1.30, the over trends go even higher. Boston is 13-6-1 O/U at home vs lefty starters and on a 7-3 O/U home run. NYY 39-13-2 O/U on road. This series is 7-1 O/U in Boston. Over it is.
|
07-25-19 |
Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9 |
|
6-3 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Pirates 12:35: This series is now 6-2 O/U in Pittsburgh. Pirates are 24-9-2 O/U at home. They will now see Mikolas for the 4th time this season. They couldn't hit him the last two times but both were at St. Louis where he does his best work; today, Mikolas meets his kryptonite - road (7.63 ERA) and daytime action (4.74 ERA). Pirates should finally hit him. On the other hand, Musgrove not exactly money at home or during day either. Musgrove sports a 4.15 ERA at home and 4.44 ERA during the day. He's facing some hot Cardinals' bats that drove in a ton of runs last night and on a nice run since the All-Star break. And the Pittsburgh bullpen (4.92 ERA) is not helping matters. Over the call.
|
07-24-19 |
Angels v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-125 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Angels/Stripling 10:10: Angels' Trout heated up and should continue driving in runs on this hot night in Los Angeles. Stripling not at his best at night (4.40 ERA) and sluggish over last 3 starts (4.40). The Angels counter with converted reliever Jaime Barria who has been tattered on the road to the tune of 23 ER in 15 1/3 IP. He is also poor at night with an 8.36 ERA. Dodgers overdue to tee off on him and the overused bullpen. Over the call.
|
07-23-19 |
Cubs v. Giants +103 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
103 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
Cubs/Giants 9:45: Giants on a 20-8 run as Bruce Bochy continues to work magic for the Giants in close games. Tonight, he's got his horse - Madison Bumgarner on the mound. Mad Bum is approaching mid-season form and should be hard to hit. He's 6-0 in team starts in this series. And he's 9-2 with a 2.17 ERA in 13 starts vs Chicago. Cubs counter with Yu Darvish who shook out of his slump and turned in a few great outings; however, Darvish is 1-5 overall in road team starts and facing a red hot team. With Cubs at 8-20 in their last 28 road games, I'm staying with hot home team.
|
07-23-19 |
Marlins v. White Sox +110 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
Marlins/White Sox 8:10: Chicago starting to heat up on a 3-1 run. They have the big bats of Abreu and Moncada which are finding their range. They should be able to give struggling starter Dylan Covey the needed run support. Hitting Caleb Smith hasn't been easy this year but Smith does have his weakness on the road (4.58 ERA). White Sox 7-3 at home vs lefty starters. And that woesome Marlins' bullpen will eventually come into play tonight. Sure, Dylan Covey is struggling but if you look at his home slate, he's done a solid job with a 2.20 ERA in 16 1/3 innings of work. He faces one of the lowest run producing teams in the league. With Chicago at 4-0 at home in this series, we'll stay with the home team.
|
07-22-19 |
Rangers v. Mariners -120 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rangers/Mariners 10:10: Texas has gotten the best of Seattle in this series but tonight's favorable matchup for the Mariners could turn the tide. Texas starter Adrian Sampson struggling on the road (0-8) sporting a lofty 7.64 ERA. Texas' bullpen not to be trusted either. The Mariners' offense, driving in a respectable 5 RPG vs righties, should get the best of their former mate. On the other hand, Marco Gonzales is 5-2 in his last 7 team starts and 6-1 in Game 1 of a series. Texas 1-7 vs lefty starters. Seattle the call.
|
07-22-19 |
Rangers v. Mariners OVER 9.5 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
Texas/Seattle 10:10: Heavy over trends fill the stat sheet for this matchup. Two starters with lofty ERAs and their respective bullpens with ERAs around 5. Texas' Sampson is 5-1 O/U in his last 6 on the road. Seattle is 25-11-3 O/U at home. Mariners looking forward to tee off on old mate. Meanwhile, Adrian Gonzales has yet to find a groove this season but he should have the run support to deliver the win. "Over" the call.
|
07-21-19 |
Mets v. Giants -118 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
Mets/Giants 4:05: Look for the Giants to bounce back today. SF is on a 14-3 run and sports an 11-3 mark vs pitchers with a WHIP above 1.30. SF should get their bats back against Steven Matz who has struggled on the road this season and is 1-7 as a traveler vs teams with losing records. Giants starter - Connor Menez - was strong working up ranks of the minor leagues and now gets his MLB debut. Mets are a mere 4-10 vs lefty starters. We'll give the edge to SF today.
|
07-20-19 |
Blue Jays -117 v. Tigers |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
Blue Jays/Tigers 6:10: Tigers in a free fall and Norris not the answer. Detroit is 7-19 at home with Daniel Norris starting. The southpaw sports a 4.89 ERA at home and the Tigers' bullpen doesn't show signs of improvement (5.09 ERA); furthermore, Norris most likely won't get help from his light hitting mates which rank in the bottom of MLB. We get value with the Blue Jays' Thornton who is not a quality starter but does sport a 5-1 mark against sub par teams.
|
07-19-19 |
Cardinals -106 v. Reds |
|
12-11 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 27 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Reds 7:10: Big momentum shifts should decide this again. Following the break, Cardinals are on a nice winning run (5-2) whereas the Reds are stuck in reverse (2-5). Wainwright, although struggling on a the road a bit, is coming off a dominant performance vs Arizona and should get some quality innings vs a Reds' lineup that's slowing down in run production. On the other hand, Mahle has yet to find his rhythm and should succumb to a heating up Cardinals' lineup. And the Reds' once dominant bullpen is fading. With the Reds at 6-20 when Mahle gets the start, I feel good about the Cardinals tonight; after all, they're 14-4 in Cincinnati!
|
07-18-19 |
Mets v. Giants +104 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
104 |
20 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
07-17-19 |
Diamondbacks -120 v. Rangers |
|
19-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
Arizona/Texas 8:05: Arizona starters now 5-2 with a 1.90 ERA over last 7 starts. Included in that run is Robbie Ray who has allowed just 2 ER over his last 12 1/3 IP. The veteran southpaw has had his trouble vs Texas which hits lefties well; nevertheless, he's getting good run support from his mates and they should unload on Chavez who is now struggling as a starter in July - allowing 10 ER over his last 10 1/3 IP. Arizona is 7-3 in series and 4-1 at Texas. Arizona the call.
|
07-16-19 |
Padres v. Marlins +116 |
|
7-12 |
Win
|
116 |
18 h 2 m |
Show
|
Padres/Marlins 7:10: Worth taking a shot with Miami as Jordan Yamamoto takes the hill. He's been a great addition to the Marlins' rotation. He throws strikes, eats innings and limits walks. SD is currently slumping to open the second half of the season and should have a rough time in Miami. The Marlins won 2 of 3 in this series at SD earlier this year. Padres putting struggling lefty Logan Allen on the mound. We'll give the edge to Miami.
|
07-16-19 |
Padres v. Marlins UNDER 8 |
|
7-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
Padres/Marlins 7:10: This series has gone 1-4 O/U at Miami. Most of the Padres' lineup is in a funk at the plate and should stay there with Yamamoto on the hill. Padres are 7-17-5 O/U after scoring 2 runs or less previously. On the other hand, Marlins struggle driving in runs vs lefties. Logan Allen is not a well seasoned southpaw but has his moments. Marlins are just 2-6-1 O/U in their last 9 games while the Padres are 1-6 O/U in their last 7. We'll go "under" here.
|
07-15-19 |
White Sox v. Royals UNDER 9 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
07-14-19 |
Dodgers v. Red Sox -102 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Dodgers/Red Sox 7:05: Yesterday, Dodgers finally broke out the whipping sticks by lighting up Sale early. And sure, LAD strong vs lefties at 14-5; however, David Price will be a challenge. He's having a solid year and has won 21 of 27 starts at home; moreover, he shook out of his post-season jitters last October and delivered two outstanding performances vs this Dodgers' team; on the other hand, Ryu was on the losing end of one of those games getting punched out early. Sure, Ryu is MLB's ERA leader now, having a tremendous year minus the disaster in Colorado; however, Boston is 7-1 vs the Dodgers at Fenway and 25-5 after an opponent scores 5+ runs. I like that resiliency. BoSox the call.
|
07-14-19 |
Dodgers v. Red Sox OVER 9 |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
Dodgers/Red Sox 7:05: Both of tonight's starters are having and outstanding year. Ryu is MLB's ERA leader while Price took over from last October's heroics to sport a solid year; however, Ryu did not do well here in October and that could resurface again. BoSox feast on lefties here and Ryu is overdue to get lit up. As for Price, he was sharp for most of June - allowing just 4 walks over 24 2/3 IP; however, in July, he's already issued 6 walks. Perhaps a harbinger for a shelling here. Dodgers 11-2 O/U on road vs team over .500. Over the call.
|
07-14-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Braves +107 v. Padres |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
107 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Braves v. Padres UNDER 8.5 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Giants +118 v. Brewers |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
Giants/Brewers 7:15: Giants making a run going 8-2 over their last 10. They can win another series against the Brewers with a win here. We'll grab one of the best later season lefties in the game in Madison Bumgarner as a dog. Mad Bum is 4-1 at Milwaukee and 8-3 in his last 11 overall vs the Brew Crew with an ERA under 3. He's 5-0 on Saturday. What's more, he's getting run support from the surging Giants' bats. We'll look for them to get the best of Zach Davies who hasn't won a game since June 8th. He's 2-5 on Saturdays and 3-8 in Game 2 of a series. Giants the call.
|
07-13-19 |
Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
Washington/Philadelphia 7:15: Both of tonight's starters coming in red hot. Corbin sported a 2-0 mark with a 0.96 ERA going into the break while allowing just 3 runs over his last 28 innings. Nola was quite impressive himself with a 0.42 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Nola is 3-7 O/U vs Washington . Nationals on a 3-7 O/U run while improving on their bullpen during their 16-4 run. This series is 1-4 O/U and we'll look for another "under" here.
|
07-11-19 |
Astros v. Rangers +120 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
120 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
07-07-19 |
Cardinals v. Giants OVER 8 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Giants 4:05: Giants have finally found their bats (52 runs over last 6 games) and should light up struggling Flaherty who hasn't made it to the 5th inning in 3 of his last 5 starts. On the other hand, the Cardinals' Goldschmidt loves playing at Oracle Park where he bats .328 with 13 HRs and 54 RBI. Samardzija doesn't do his best work in daytime action (5.00 ERA) and that is concerning. Over trends starting to heat up for SF and we'll stay on the "over".
|
07-07-19 |
Cardinals v. Giants +110 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
110 |
2 h 55 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Giants 4:05: Giants starting to drive in runs. They've driven in 52 over their last 6 games. Sandoval got some help with newcomers Dickerson and Slater; today, we'll look for the Giants' bats to get the best of Jack Flaherty who sports a lofty 7.71 ERA over his last 3 starts; moreover, in two starts vs SF, he sports a bloated 11.37 ERA. On the other hand, Samardzija is coming off his best start of the season going 8 innings in a win over SD. We'll look for the Giants to keep the momentum rolling.
|