My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a score closer to  136 which gives us plenty of value to cash an over ticket . 

CAMPBELL is 10-3 OVER   in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored.

Aldrich is 22-12 OVER   when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of LONGWOOD with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (LONGWOOD) - off a home loss against a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 150.2 ppg.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER  in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored.GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114.8 ppg. 

Play UNDER

San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident  by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing  because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" .  So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just  21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring  game than the lines-makers expect .

INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. 

GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. 

Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

 Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average  in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER   after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. 

UTAH is 24-11 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.

UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.

Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. 

Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency .  

DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored.

INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed  are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring.  BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NC CENTRAL is 7-1 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored.

NORFOLK ST is 20-7 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 

NORFOLK ST is 6-0 OVER  in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined 151.5 ppg scored. 

Road teams against the total (NORFOLK ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over 

Take no prisoners all out one way hoops is what Minnesota has implemented in last season games for a while, now is as is evident by the following trends. MINNESOTA is 10-0 OVER  in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. Finch is 13-0 OVER  in road games in February games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 249.8 ppg scored. Minnesota is  5-0 OVER L5 conf games  and are 5-0 L/5 OVER  awa .

Golden State is banged up but there is still enough talent to soldier forward and put points on the board, especially against. side that will come out firing bullets and force them into a wide open affair. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 OVER  after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. (Beat Golden State 116-100 last time out)

 Golden State is  8-0-2 OVER L/10 playing  on Sundays  and  15-1  OVER   after a day off   Series These teams have combined for a  (236.5 ) in their L/9 meetings.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.

Play on the over 

Philadelphia is 3rd in ppg allowed this season behind a slow pace that ranks them 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace. Today in a elite NBA eastern conference tilt Im expecting a physical battle that helps keep this score on the low side of the Total. 

BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER   in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored.  BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA  in their L/44 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 212.4 ppg scored.

NBA  team (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 45-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My projections place this total closer to 231 giving us a full two possession value to the under on this totals offering.  

Memphis owns the No.1 ranked defensive efficiency rating in the league. Denver ranks 19th in pace. 

MEMPHIS is 25-8 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better  of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230  MEMPHIS/(DENVER) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 161 which gives us a two possesion edge on this totals offering. 

GONZAGA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored.GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER  after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149 ppg scored.

Lavin is 17-5 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 147.8 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (GONZAGA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Indiana beat the Celtics as road dogs earlier this season, and now the Celtics will have redemption in mind and which usually centers on them playing their best form of defensive basketball. BOSTON in 12 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored..BOSTON  in  8 games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season have allowed that opponent in the rematch to score an average of 108.3 ppg while themselves have also average roughly 108.1 points for a combined average of 216.4 ppg. 

BOSTON is 15-6 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season.with the average combined score clicking in at 223.4 ppg. BOSTON is 12-4 UNDER  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the combined average score of 226.5 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season with a combined average 219.1 ppg. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg scored.

Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 home games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WEBER ST is 44-14 OVER   at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored.

Weber has gone over in 6 straight games.

Sacramento state has gone over in 4 of their L/5 overall.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WEBER ST) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a total in low 130s giving us a substantial edge on this Totals offering. 

AUSTIN PEAY is 33-18 OVER L/51 when the total is 120 to 129.5 with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored. 

 CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (JACKSONVILLE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (AUSTIN PEAY) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 43-23 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Play on the over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

The Celtics played last night, which sets up a trend that shows them going over the set total in their L/6 home games with no rest and overall they are 6-0 over vs sides with a .300 win percentage or less like visiting Motown. With this.being both sides, last game before the all star game, Im betting this will be a wide open affair as both sides will see no reason to pace themselves. The Pistons have gone over in 4 straight before extended rest. 

BOSTON iin thier L/23 games as a favorite of 10 or more points on the opening line over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.  

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 73-36 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. Last 5 meetings in Boston have eclipsed the total. 

Play over

My projections make this total closer to 231 thus giving us an almost 2  full possession advantage to the under. The Suns are in a jet lag situation after a 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to home cooking . Note: The Suns are ranked 5th in ppg allowed and 22nd ranked pace and will primed to try to slow down their run and gun opponents.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 UNDER  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 UNDER   in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO  in 27    road games this season have seen a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored.

PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or better- 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored.

PHOENIX is 15-7 UNDER  as a home favorite this season

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Playing on tired legs will have Orlando at a disadvantage from a transitional standpoint and that Im betting will lead to them giving up some extra points beyond what the lines-makers are projecting. Over is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 17-8 in Magic last 25 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day

TORONTO is 19-7 OVER  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored.

Nurse is 25-12 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of TORONTO with a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in February games are 43-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 49-24 L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto

Play on the over 

Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 overall

The Magic and Bulls are both off losses, in what were low scoring affairs. Both are playing solid d, and with the Bulls looking especially tired Im betting on a slower grinding type game here as well. The Bulls rank 9th in defensive efficiency on the league, behind a 14th ranked pace, and have gone under in 10 of their L/12 overall while, the Magic rank 19th in pace and own the 27th ranked offensive output and have gone under in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 overall. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER  in road games off a home loss this season.with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 13-5 UNDER  off a road loss this season with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. 

CHICAGO is 34-19 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 219.7 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 35-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 115-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago

Play on the UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Rockets' defense was in good form last time out against the  Heat in a 97-95 loss. However, that  has not been the case in four previous losses -- 117-111 to the Toronto Raptors, 153-121 to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 140-120 to the Sacramento Kings and 130-128 to the Kings. Im betting they regress here into their former state and also progress offensively after that last outing, which will produce a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are expecting. These teams took part in a 132-123 Houston win back on dec 5th of the season. Im sure the Sixers will ramp up their energy here in revenge mode and will be prepared to bring down the hammer and merciless fashion which will also aid our quest for cashing an over ticket. 

Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Over is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Over is 9-2 in 76ers last 11 home games.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER (after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 26-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and  the early start time which  play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. 

Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall.

MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and  the early start time which  play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. 

Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall.

MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER   in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored. 

OHIO ST is 12-4 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games  are 54-18 OVER l/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 149.3 ppg. 

Play on the OVER

The Heat recorded 110-105 decision against the Magic on Jan. 27 and the offered total is now mimicking that score. However, tonight Im betting on that number being eclipsed as the Heat play on tired legs after being in action last night. Note: Miami is 14-2 OVER away when playing with no rest. Last night the Heat also played a grinding affair that was low scoring squeaking out a 97-95 victory and now will be ready to get their offense rolling against instate rivals Orlando, a side that is on one days rest and 8-1 OVER facing unrested opposition.Over is 16-7-1 in the last 24 meetings in Orlando.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UConn defeated Creighton, 69-60, at Gampel Pavilion on Jan. 7 and Im betting on another grinding affair here this Saturday. 

CREIGHTON is 8-0 UNDER in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. 

CREIGHTON is 10-3 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CLEVELAND ST is 24-12 OVER  against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147 ppg scored.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. CLEVELAND ST is 12-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 149.5 ppg scored.

Toole is 8-1 OVER  off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of ROBERT MORRIS with a combined average of 138,8 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more are 87-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 231 giving us a two possession edge on this current offering. 

Denver runs at a slow 20th ranked pace while Minnesota ranks 20th in ppg offense and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 .

MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 44-20 UNDER L/64 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average 200 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-14 UNDER  L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 91-57 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a total closer to 148 giving us a full two possession plus advantage to the under on this offering. 

TULANE is 36-20 UNDER  in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game with a combined average of 133.5 ppg in that 56 game sampling size. 

TULANE is 10-1 UNDER l/11 in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored. 

CINCINNATI  in their L/149 road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) have seen a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored. 

CINCINNATI is 6-0 UNDER  in road games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 129.1 ppg scored.

CBB  teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TULANE) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 45-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 60-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play  under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WEBER ST is 23-7 OVER  L/30 versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or worse after 15+ games with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored.

N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER   in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.   N COLORADO is 21-8 OVER l/29 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick with a combined average of 150.8 ppg scored.

Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WEBER ST) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 74-25 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.9 ppg. 

Play over

Without the injured Curry in the lineup Im betting the Warriors offensively flow will be negatively effected which will also effect this totals offering to the low side . The Thunder have seen 6 of their L/9 games stay on the low side of the Total. 

Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games.Under is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER (  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 62-23 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings.

Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Golden State.

Play UNDER

Nine of the L/10 meetings in this series have not seen todays offered number eclipsed and Im betting nothing changes today. The L/4 most recent matchups have seen a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored. Note: Dallas ranks 29th in pace in the NBA and 8th in ppg allowed, and will look to slow down a Jazz side that ranks 14th in pace, and that has gone over the offered total only twice in their L/7 games overall. Im betting on the Mavs putting us to sleep here and for this to be a slow grinding affair. 

Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 home games.

Play UNDER

Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day which was the case in the OT loss to the Clippers last night. Over is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Philly is 6-0 over a division road fav last two seasons. 

Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out in a 137-125 win vs the Spurs. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record like the Knicks. . Knicks have gone over in 7 straight division tilts. 

PHILADELPHIA is 29-11 OVER  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 32-9 OVER  L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBAl teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game.   are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

After losing two straight games Im betting Utah will out of frustration play a start to finish game here today and really bring the heat in a more wide open tilt that the pundits might expect. 

These teams played a very low scoring sleeper the last time they met earlier this season with Utah winning by a 58-43 count. Note: CALIFORNIA is 9-1 OVER   in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. 

CALIFORNIA is 9-2 OVER  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 133.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.CALIFORNIA is 7-0 OVER after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average off 144.2 ppg scored. 

UTAH is 25-12 OVER L/37 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or better of their attempts after 15+ games with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

Dallas behind the 29th ranked  pace in the league  and 7th best ppg D, will be primed to slow down the run and gun Golden State Warriors tonight as road underdogs. This results in a lower scoring game than many of the pundits might expect. On the flipside the Warriors viable 3 point D, will also highlight this lower than expected combined score. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Miami has defeated the Bucks twice already this season in physical lower scoring  altercations, and Im betting nothing changes today. Miami won 108-102 and 111- 95 and a rinse and repeat type of score is being projected by me for this spot play. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 8-1 UNDER   after 4 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. 

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER  against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. 

MIAMI is 8-1 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of 155 points giving us a almost full 2 possession edge on this number.

MIAMI OHIO is 9-2 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 164.9 ppg scored.

OHIO U is 7-0 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160.6 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

The Spurs offense is struggling mightily of late averaging just 107 .4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court. This team as a whole looks winded and Im betting things wont get much better tonight vs a 76ers side that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind a deliberate 23red ranked pace. 

Note: The Spurs upset the 76ers way back in Oct of this season, but now with redemption at hand Im betting Philly will be wide awake here and ready to play a top tier brand of hoops tonight. 

Rivers is 35-19 UNDER (  in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 UNDER   after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the board. 

NBA  team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNDER 

These two struggling teams see this as an opportunity for a rare win, so Im betting on this being a very physical hard fought affair that stays on the low side of the number.

Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games.

DETROIT is 28-14 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 56-31 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two struggling  defensive teams ( 118 or more PPG) are 50-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a  75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

New Orleans has lost 9 straight behind a struggling offense that has averaged just 105 ppg in their L/5 overall trips to the court.On the flipside the Mavs have picked up their defensive game of late and allowed just 102.7 ppg in their L/3 tilts overall. today Im betting the Pelicans offensive struggles to persist and for the Mavs to continue to ramp up defensively. 

Kidd is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 206 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 40-25 UNDER  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. 

DALLAS is 10-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 23-8 UNDER in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.3 ppg. 

 ORLEANS is 25-13 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Mcneese has averaged over 77 points in offensive production at home this season while LaMars D has allowed over 81 ppg in offense while on the road (11 games)/ and their most recent 5 road games have allowed more than that average . Im betting on McNeese eclipsing their season average at home in offense while Lamar doing enough damage offensively to get us over this offered total. MCneese has won the two most recent meetings- Note: 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LAMAR/ MCNEESE ST) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-4 OVER with a combined average of 161.3 ppg scored. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two different types of hoops systems are employed by these sides. Kenn state is very aggressive and efficient offensively as is evident by eclipsing the 81 plus  point  offensive plateau in 7 of their L/9 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Bellermaine is a D, first team. However, tonight against a very efficient offense , their slow down tactics could see them have to open up  or handily lose. HC Davenport  in 6  home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts as the coach of BELLARMINE has seen a combined average of 138 ppg go on the board. My projections also estimate a combined score of 137 points giving us a full 2 possession edge to the over on the current total  offering. 

KENNESAW ST is 6-0 OVER  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 155.4 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST is 12-1 OVER in February games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.8 ppg scored. KENNESAW ST in their L/28 games when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (KENNESAW ST) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-19 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense. 

ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering. 

 AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored. 

GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER  as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play over 

The Clippers enter this game playing alot of fairly high scoring affairs as their usually staunch defense fails them. Only 1 of their L/8 games has stayed on the low side of the total and they have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The clippers have gone over the set total in 18 of their 27 road games this season. The Clippers are coming off Sunday's 122-99 loss at Cleveland, which snapped a season-best five-game winning streak, but now Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack will highlight their bounce back effort, forcing Chicago into opening up in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this  offered totals number. 

My. projections estimate both sides will at least hit  114 points in production. Note: CHICAGO is 13-0 OVER   where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251.9 ppg scored.

LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 232.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 OVER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 235.7 ppg scored.

CHICAGO  L/  43  non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored with their L/5 non conference home games eclipsing the offered total. 

Play over

Atlanta continues to play one way run and gun basketball with a combined average 243.2 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the court. My projections estimate both Portland and Atlanta will eclipse a 114 team scoring plateau which gives credence to a over bet here as ATLANTA is 17-2 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 249 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 51-21 OVER L/26 seasons for 70% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Alabama State has the fourth-best scoring defense in the SWAC, allowing 66.4 PPG.

The Rattlers have one of the best defenses in the SWAC, allowing 64.5 PPG (2nd best).

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (ALABAMA STATE/FLORIDA A&M) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 32-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of 145 giving us a full 2 plus possession cushion  to the over on the offered number. 

ROBERT MORRIS is 7-0 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155 ppg scored.

OAKLAND is 32-18 OVER   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored.Kampe is 21-8 OVER   in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of OAKLAND.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ROBERT MORRIS) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 93-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Suns have played teams like the wreck-less Spurs with a tough defensive mind set and nothing will change tonight as the home side continues to try to play a more physical type of game which is bucking the new wide open trend in the league. the suns have held their L/2 opponents to under 100 points and have gone under in 4 straight tilts.  None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. PHOENIX is 11-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 37-18-1 in Suns last 56 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Pistons got involved in a consecutive high scoring games while scoring an astounding 130 points in both tilts and are now on tired legs and ready for immediate regression on offense. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect.   Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more are 36-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Play under 

Im betting on a hard fought affair between big apple rivals today in a game my projections estimate to go under the set total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering.

BROOKLYN is 9-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projection's make this total closer to 158 giving a 2 possession edge to the over. Queens is averaging just under 90 points per game on offense at home this season, and will attack again with wreck-less abandon at a fast pace, and force Stetson into opening up. This Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

QUEENS U - CHAR is 6-0 OVER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 169.2 ppg scored.

STETSON is 6-0 OVER  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (STETSON) - in a game involving two sub standard  defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 44-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.

Play on the over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both these teams have eclipsed the offered total in their L/4 games and Im betting on another higher scoring affair than the Totals number being offered. North Dakota State has allowed just under 77 points on the road this season while N.Dakota has averaged 77 points on offense in their home games, and Im betting that this aggregate average continues with the visitors doing more than enough damage offensively to get us over this number. 

Sather is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored.

Sather is 6-0 OVER  in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 151.3 ppg scored.

N DAKOTA ST in their L/7 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 32-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After  a successful defensive display by the Bucks  against Denver in a  107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive  formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under.

Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.

Play UNDER

Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights.  With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note:   Clippers in their  L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. 

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER   in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER  ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER   in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projections come in at 157 which gives us a two possession edge on this total being eclipsed. 

SE MISSOURI ST is 9-2 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 159.1 ppg going on the board.

TENNESSEE ST is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 29-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 164.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over  on the current offering.

Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER  in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER  with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.

Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. 

INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected 

Sampson is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

AIR FORCE is 8-2 OVER  after playing a game as an underdog this season with a combined average score of 139 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (AIR FORCE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SAN JOSE ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

DELAWARE ST is 13-4 UNDER L/17 vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored. 

S CAROLINA ST is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DELAWARE ST) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling  teams (20% or worse ) are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My projections suggest a combined score of 140 points which gives us a two possession advantage to the under.

CHICAGO ST is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 11-3 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 138.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 135.3 ppg scored.

Ellis is 22-11 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA with a combined average of 138.6 ppg going on the scoreboard in that 33 game sample size. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 25-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

After putting only 90 points on the board in a loss to Dallas last time out on the road, Im now betting on more aggressive Heat performance in the offensive end of the court. In a recent effort the Heat beat the Pelicans by a 123-99 count and Im expecting a similar output here today and for the Pelicans to have to open up to keep pace in a game I have projected to eclipse this total.

NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 OVER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 OVER   when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

Over is 8-3 in Pelicans last 11 road games.

Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up loss. Miami has gone over in 5 straight games at home in 1/1 rest situation  vs non-conference opposition. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 139 giving us a full one possession plus edge to the under.

C CONN ST is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128 ppg scored C CONN ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.3 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 10-1 UNDER  in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 130.2 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.4 ppg going on the board.

LONG ISLAND is 16-7 UNDER  when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons,

LONG ISLAND is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two terrible teams (20% or less) are 30-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Cavaliers crashed and burned last night as favorites as they their defense failed them. Im betting things wont get much better tonight, and in return the Cavs will have to open up against a foe that can put points on the board in hurry. Everything points to the Cavs tired legs not allowing them to be physical and for Milwaukee to push forward with extreme prejudice which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. 

CLEVELAND is 15-7 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 33-10 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN /ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score closer to 163 giving us a 2 full possession value to the under in what should be a fairly physical MAC clash. Both these sides are off huge offensive outputs last time out with Toledo hitting the 90 point plateau on top tier 3 point shooting while Buffalo smashed out 100 plus points. Now Im betting on offensive regression. Note: TOLEDO L/51 games  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better haver seen a combined average score of 142.3 ppg going on the board.

BUFFALO is 11-3 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (BUFFALO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 154.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER

After a hard fought affair in Boston last night the Warriors will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun vs a Cleveland side that will be primed to slow this game down to a pace they they can handle. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of this offering. note: Cleveland ranks 30th in pace in No.1 in ppg allowed in the league.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.8 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 9-1 UNDER  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 29-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CAL SAN DIEGO is 25-12 OVER  against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 143.2 ppg.

CAL POLY-SLO is 22-7 OVER in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses with a combined average of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (CAL SAN DIEGO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N DAKOTA is 16-6 OVER  L/22 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  after 15+ games  with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored.N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER  after playing a road game this season with a combined averageof 

MISSOURI-KC is 11-1 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 155.2 ppg scored.MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season with a combined average of 143.8 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. MISSOURI-KC is 16-3 OVER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average of 147.2 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSOURI-KC) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 32-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 133.1 ppg.

 The Clippers have gone  9-0 OVER L/9 on the road vs sub par .500 opposition like the Jazz  and have eclipsed the total in 10 of their L/12 with not  rest vs non-division  foes  like the Jazz.( clippers played Philly last night and will now be on tired legs and less prepared to play a defensive affair vs a run and gun opponent in Salt Lake city tonight.  Meanwhile,  Utah: 5-0 OVER home vs unrested opposition like the Clippers and  only 1 of their  L8 meetings vs the Clippers has failed to eclipse the total. 

Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

Over is 12-3-1 in Clippers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 overall.

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (76-79%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CINCINNATI is 14-4 OVER  after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival last time out which was the case in a very physical grinding affair vs SMU last time out in a 54-52 victory. Now Im expecting a more wide open style of game as that tilt will exhausting and natural on the road against a USF side that plays a more wide open style of hoops. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring tilt that the lines makers are estimating.

S FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 145.4 ppg. S FLORIDA is 7-1 OVER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 174.4 ppg.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with a combined average of 155.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 147 which gives us a full two possession advantage on this offering. 

BUCKNELL is 13-3 OVER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157 ppg.

BUCKNELL is 10-2 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored.BUCKNELL is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored.

 ARMY is 7-1 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with a combined average of 157 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (BUCKNELL) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 45-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 149.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Tennessee is off a hard fought physical affair and upset 63-56 loss vs Kentucky last time out and will now be primed for a rebound and redemption minded effort . I know that Miss state will try to slow this game down to a grind, but the Vols will be hell bent on playing more aggressive and a more wide open style of hoops in transition, and Mississippi State will have to open up or be blown of the court. It must be noted Tennessee popped 87 points on the board at home in these teams first meeting this season.

Barnes is 24-7 OVER  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored.

 TENNESSEE L/24 games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 140.5 ppg scored.

 CBB home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or worse) after 15+ games are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors wtht a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (TENNESSEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My rejections estimate a combined score of 144 or more giving us a full possession cushion this total with over position. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA ST) - poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) vs. a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 29-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My own projection makes this line closer to 160 giving us a two possession cushion on a under wager. 

Smart is 19-7 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 139 points per game going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (XAVIER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOLY CROSS/ LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg output ringing in at 113.8 ppg. 

Play UNDER

These teams have a recent history of playing physical defensive affairs here at the Staples Center as is evident by the under cashing in the Nuggets last 5 visits to LA to play the Clippers with a combined average score  (200.4 ppg)  going on the board. Denver has recently played a long series of home games (four on a row) and when this has happened recently the Nuggets have gone under in 8 of their L/9 tilts overall ( after 4 or more straight as hosts). Meanwhile, the Clippers have gone under in 11 of their L/12  in 2/1 rest situation and  have gone  under in  9 of their L/10  against  .600  or better  conf opposition. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered total.Also the  Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 36-13-2 in Nuggets last 51 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 22-5-1 in Clippers last 28 home games.

Play on the UNDER 

Back on Nov 14 the Spurs were clobbered by the Warriors by a 132-95 count. Im betting this time around the Spurs  HC Popovich will try to slow this game down in a redemption scenario. This will directly effect this score to the under. Yes, I know these teams Ds, do not look viable, but this number is still  slightly bloated according to my projections . 

Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER  L/52 in road games versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.  .

GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 UNDER  when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg . 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 47-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Tauer is 8-1 OVER   when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of ST THOMAS (MN) with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored.

MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.7 ppg scored. 

MISSOURI-KC is 10-1 OVER   versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored.

CBB  Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (ST THOMAS (MN)) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 144.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Im betting Boston and Brooklyn who are two top tier  heavy weight teams will conservatively and physically turn this into a grinding affair rather than a  run and gun battle which is not abnormal for matchups like this. The Celtics are ranked 9th in defensive efficiency and 16th in pace, while the Nets rank 5th in ppg allowed while ranking 21st in pace. Im betting on this being a rock fight and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the total. 

BROOKLYN is 17-2 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 220.7 ppg.  

BROOKLYN is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 216.3 ppg scored.

BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or more turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg.

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 222.2 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBAteams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (PRESBYTERIAN) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or less) after 15+ games are 41-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

Cleveland has seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored on the road this season in 19 games, and always seem to play at a more deliberate  pace away from home  while paying special attention to defense in transition. That will definitely be the game plan vs a run and gun opponent Utah. With my projections estimates coming in a 224 I feel we have a comfortable one possession plus cushion to the under. . 

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

 CLEVELAND is 27-13 UNDER   when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Utah with none of the games eclisping this current offering.

Play UNDER

Toronto and Charlotte both have  both struggled . Charlotte is ranked 27th in ppg defense, behind the 7th ranked pace, so when they  are hitting shots like they did against Milwaukee recently they poured down 139 points in a win.  I now expect the Hornets to once again do some damage tonight as Im also betting the Raptors pedestrian offense will hit above their season average as they are forced into opening up with this totals number being eclipsed.

Clifford is 12-1 OVER  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 241.7 ppg scored. 

Nurse is 23-11 OVER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game as the coach of TORONTO with a combined an average of 232.1 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bowling Green has scored  93, 102, 91, 88 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the hardwood, and Im betting they drag Akron into a run and gun affair here this evening. Akron has eclipsed the 80 point plateau in half of their L/8 games and can light it up offensively when pushed which will be the case tonight. 

BOWLING GREEN is 11-1 OVER L/12 after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games  with a combined average score of 155.7 ppg going on the board.

BOWLING GREEN is 12-2 OVER b when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 155.5 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOWLING GREEN) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 38-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 149.6 ppg going on the board. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Texas Southern has averaged 62.3 ppg on offense on the road this season while their hosts Miss Valley State have averaged 54.6 ppg on offense overall. 

Texas Southern HC Jones is 10-0 UNDER  off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. 

Miss Valley State HC Ivory is 9-0 UNDER  after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 125.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play on the UNDER

Clippers play a strong defensive brand of basketball at home as is evident by   16-3 UNDER record in home games this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER  in home games after playing a road game this season which is the case here tonight with the average combined score of 207.7 ppg scored. CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER  as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 207 ppg going on the board. I know Atlanta will push forward here, but the clippers will hold them back in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. 

LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 211.5 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-2 UNDER   in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  this season with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER  in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 155.9 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 150.5 ppg scored. 

 Play over 

Portland ihas become more defensively-oriented as time has progressed  . Meanwhile,  Toronto  plays a mugging style of physical basketball that features a strong defense and  less than explosive  offense.

The Trail Blazers have the 12th-best scoring defence in the NBA and are ranked just 20th-best points per game average. The Raptors rank 11th in point against  defence and 26th in offensive production and 27th in pace  .  Im betting on grinding affair lower scoring affair. 

PORTLAND is 8-1 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. 

PORTLAND is 32-19 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MARIST is 7-0 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MARIST) - off a home blowout loss by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

The Lakers played last night and captured a win, (130-114) and now on tired legs as they play. back to back affairs, Im betting their strategy will not be a run and gun program, but instead a more defensive minded game plan out of transition that will skew this totals offering to the low side of the lines-makers estimates. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

LA LAKERS in 7  division games  this season have seen a combined average of 227 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 overall.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Saturday games are 46-14 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 61-26 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Both these teams have played some wide open games of late, both are defensively deficient, but when sub par teams like San Antonio and Detroit go head to head there is a history of fairly low scoring events. One of  the key reasons for these lower scoring affairs is because they are usually more physical as both teams know they have a rare winnable game in their grasp, and the play becomes intense . 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO /DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 sub par teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 25-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 44-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 27-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this game Total closer to 147 thus giving us a almost 2 possession value on this offering. 

Baggett is 9-1 OVER off a close road loss by 3 points or less as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored. (Rider lost 61-59 on the road last time out)

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points /RIDER (QUINNIPIAC) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

analysis to follow thank you for your patience 

NBA team (ORLANDO) - playing on back-to-back days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 94-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.