|
02-01-21 |
Hornets v. Heat UNDER 217 |
|
129-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
Based on my projections this game has value on a under wager. (Late Steam)
NBA. Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, vs. division opponents are 56-28 under L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team aren30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
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|
01-31-21 |
Nets v. Wizards UNDER 244.5 |
|
146-149 |
Loss |
-113 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
Both these sides style of play obviously leans towards a high scoring affair, but the number according to my projections is just to high, and should be closer to 239 which gives us some obvious value to the under with an almost 2 possession divergence. The Nets have not gone over the total in 12 straight games with rest coming off a road win where they had 30+ assists.Under is 8-2 in Nets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or kore of their shots are 30-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
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01-30-21 |
Rockets v. Pelicans UNDER 223 |
|
126-112 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
My projections give us value with an under wager here in this matchup which says this Total should be closer to 219 which makes this a full ;possession divergence. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER after playing a home game this season. HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
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01-29-21 |
Nets v. Thunder UNDER 232.5 |
|
147-125 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
There is now way Oklahoma City can compete in a run and gun affair and that is why Im betting they do everything with their power to slow this game down, which Im betting results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-12 UNDER when the total is 220 to 232.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.
The Thunder are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a dog after they had 5 or fewer offensive boards last game , with non of the tilts going over this offered number.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-28-21 |
Warriors v. Suns UNDER 220.5 |
|
93-114 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
Both sides are unrested and Im expecting a slower more deliberate game than many might expect. The Warriors have seen the L/6 meetings vs the Suns stay under the set total and have gone under in 8 of their L/9 as division road dogs and have also seen 6 of their L/7 away games stay under vs unrested foes . Mean while, the Suns have gone under 9 straight times as division chalk including 5 straight vs unrested division opposition. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 220.5 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 90-51 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
|
|
01-27-21 |
Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 214 |
|
107-122 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
|
|
01-25-21 |
Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 228 |
|
119-103 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
Boston really shot the lights out last time out in a 141-103 win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers and now a natural offensive regression is in the cards. This in itself will help contribute to this tilts combined score staying on the low side of the total. Note: BOSTON is 29-11 UNDER after a huge blowout win by 30 or more since 1996 with a combined 191.3 ppg scored.
HC Donovan of the Bulls is 95-55 UNDER as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average lof 215.7 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 29-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
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|
01-25-21 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State UNDER 145.5 |
|
81-60 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
|
|
01-25-21 |
Hornets v. Magic UNDER 213.5 |
|
108-117 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
The pace and matchup comparisons suggest a score that stays on the low side of the number as was the case last night in a 107-104 Charlotte win. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, with a losing record are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
|
|
01-24-21 |
Hornets v. Magic UNDER 214.5 |
|
107-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
Orlando enters this game with the 22nd ranked pace, 28th in the league in ppg scored and have seen 9 of their L/12 games fail to eclipse the total. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 24th in ppg offence, and 10th in ppg allowed D, behind the 18th ranked pace. Both sides , play at a speed and style that points towards a combined score that stays below thsi offered number.
ORLANDO is 15-4 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-24-21 |
Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 |
|
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma City is ranked 27th in ppg offense to this point in the season, and are now dealing with the fact they are not a offensive juggernaut and must learn to slow down teams in transition, which Im sure is the game plan tonight. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers have projected. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-62 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 45-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% for conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
|
|
01-23-21 |
Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 227 |
|
101-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
After a hard fought win vs Milwaukee last time out by the Lakers, Im betting on a bit of an emotional letdown situation here vs Chicago tonight, which will see the Lakers start slower than usual, and that will in turn effect the early flow of this game and subsequently the combined score that will end up to be lower than the number expected by the linesmakers. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. Vogel is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 210.6 ppg scored.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-23-21 |
Heat v. Nets UNDER 232 |
|
124-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
The Nets are having some defensive issues and I expect them to ficus on correcting some of their issues Saturday night when they host the shorthanded Miami Heat. The Heat will be effected by a lack of cohesiveness because of their lack of a full compliment of players, This Im betting effect the score of this tilt to the low side of the number. Spoelstra is 135-103 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 201.1 ppg .
NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-22-21 |
Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 222.5 |
|
122-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
The Mavs enter this game ranked 6th in ppg allowed defence, and 22nd in offensive output, behind the 22nd ranked pace. Needless to say they are playing a deliberate conservative style of hoops, that has coincidently resulted in unders cashing for bettors in 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood, including going Under is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio is ranked. middle of the pack, ranking 17th in offensive output and 11th in defensive rating . Note:Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. The Spurs have also been in a under groove going 5-1 to the low side of the number L/6 trips to the court. Considering both teams current form, Ill bet and recommend we take a lower scoring stance here.Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER
|
|
01-22-21 |
North Dakota v. South Dakota State UNDER 143.5 |
|
73-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
|
|
01-22-21 |
Celtics v. 76ers OVER 222 |
|
110-122 |
Win
|
101 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
HC Nurse said his team's defense was at its worst of the season "times three" in the game and Im betting things dont get better here tonight in a game that is more wide open than the pundits might expect.
MIAMI is 19-8 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.5 ppg scored.
Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall.
NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a losing record are 43-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
Play OVER
|
|
01-20-21 |
Kings v. Clippers UNDER 232 |
|
96-115 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
Analysis to follow. Thank you for your patience.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.
teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 32-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.
|
|
01-20-21 |
Magic v. Wolves OVER 217 |
|
97-96 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
Minnesota and Orlando both are aiming to pull out of their funks Wednesday night in their matchup at the Target Center in Minneapolis and Im betting they come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to get back into the win column. This Im betting results in a combined score that goes over the total.
Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-1-1 in Magic last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-1-1 in Magic last 9 games as a road favorite. The Timberwolves are 14-0 OVER L/14 at home after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game with every game in the subset eclipsing this total with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. Play OVER
|
|
01-18-21 |
Rockets v. Bulls UNDER 226.5 |
|
120-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored and enter this game on a current 8 game streak of unders. Rinse and repeat here despite of a partially revamped new lineup.
NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 51-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 31-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-18-21 |
Bucks v. Nets UNDER 238.5 |
|
123-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
Yes, both these sides can light it up , but according to my Totals projection , the number should be closer to 234 , so with a full possession plus avaialble Im recommedning we take an under stance on a public line. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as a favorite. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are 70-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 43-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-17-21 |
Pacers v. Clippers UNDER 220 |
|
96-129 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
The Pacers are are at the tail end of a 4 game west coast road trip, and will be prepared to pace themselves here vs a LA Clippers side that is well aware of their oppositions prowess. Im betting on a offensive regression to the norm for the Clippers after running and gunning for 138 points last time out vs the Kings in a lopsided win.
INDIANA is 48-23 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or kore of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored.
The Pacers are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after their opponent shot under 40% from the field with a combined average of 206.3 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA/LA CLIPPERS) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 57-15 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-17-21 |
Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 228.5 |
|
128-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
The Pelicans for the most part have payed attention to their defense and rank 7th in the league in ppg allowed while operating a pace that ranks 26th in the NBA. Here on the road Im betting on more disciplined hoops vs a Sacramento Kings group that plays has shown very little discipline of late .Also is the case with Van Gundy coached sides a consistent persistence on not losing control of the speed of game will continue to be implemented . This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 road games.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-17-21 |
Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 220 |
|
109-105 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
The last 3 meetings in this series here in the Mile High City have been fairly low scoring affakirs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in a game that will fail to eclipse the total according to my projections.
Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 overall. Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Denver.
UTAH is 35-21 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 season with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 79-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, playing with 2 days rest are 82-45 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-16-21 |
Holy Cross v. Colgate UNDER 149.5 |
|
55-95 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
|
|
01-15-21 |
Clippers v. Kings UNDER 227.5 |
|
138-100 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
The L/3 meetings in this series have seen non of the game eclipse this total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 130 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are 52-25 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
|
|
01-14-21 |
Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 230 |
|
104-114 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
Golden State games have been according to my projections seeing added digits to the totals from the linesmakers , which is showing value to the under. Thanks to those faulty numbers offered by the books we have seen 4 straight Warriors games go under the total. Warriors speedy pace, has influenced the linesmkaers, as has the presence of their super star Curry. However, their off, because of a variation of reasons, and continue to hold value for under bettors.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg.
NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 230 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 27-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-12-21 |
Spurs v. Thunder OVER 218 |
|
112-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
Both these sides have been playing top tier hoops of late, with San Antonio winning 3 of their L/4 and the Thunder 4 of their L/5. The Spurs did lose their last game, behind some lackluster shooting, but that has not been the norm for this side, and Im betting on a offensive bounce back performance tonight. Note: The Spurs are 11-0 OVER as a favorite with rest off a road loss with the average combined ppg clicking in at 222.1 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 13-1 OVER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored.
Play OVER
|
|
01-11-21 |
Pacers v. Kings UNDER 227 |
|
122-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
Both these teams
Indiana has played some fairly high scoring tilts this season, but their calling card remains their D, and here on the road behind a pace that ranks 20th in the league Im betting we will see them paying attention in transition. Meanwhile, Sacramento was clobbered last time out, by Portland by a 125-99 count. In the recent past , the Under is 13-6 in Kings last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home as they tighten things up and focus more on basics. Everything points to a tilt that sees a combined score that remains on the low side of the total.
Under is 8-3 in Pacers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 24-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-11-21 |
Raptors v. Blazers OVER 230 |
|
111-112 |
Loss |
-112 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
The Trailblazers who rank 7th in pace 4th in offence and 25th in ppg games allowed on D, are off a win last time out on the road as a favorite which sets up a strong trend that has seen them go over 10 straight times by an average of more than 22 ppg, with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at at a massive 249.9 ppg. Meanwhile, Toronto now playing in back to back games are on tired legs, and may have issues stopping the run and gun Blazers and will have to open up with some offensive fireworks of their own in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-16 OVER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.
Play OVER
|
|
01-10-21 |
Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 234.5 |
|
105-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
This total is partly based on the Raptors dismal 3 point defence, but Im betting it will get better as the season progresses, including tonight. The Raptors are playing better lately overall, and have the veterans and coaching needed to know how to handle a Seth Curry lead offence. With that said, Im betting on the Raptors physicality to be in top gear and for the flow of this game to be slower than the number might suggest. Advantage under.
TORONTO is 16-6 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212 ppg scored. TORONTO is 31-19 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average combined total of 220.5 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (TORONTO) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-09-21 |
Spurs v. Wolves UNDER 233 |
|
125-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
The Spurs are playing top tier hoops at the moment, and are off two consecutive upset victories. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 L/16 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with the average combined score of 185.3 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 30-14 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg going on the board.
The Spurs are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16 as a road favorite with rest after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average of 191.5 ppg scored with non of the games in the subset eclipising this total.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA team (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 37-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
|
|
01-08-21 |
Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 |
|
131-118 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
Utahs inconsistent play early on in the season continued last time out, as they lost as -6.5 road favs at NYK last time out. It must be noted UTAH is 28-9 UNDER off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more with a combined average of 191.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. It makes sense as teams who are in this role, look to get back to basics and play a more conservative style of getting back to basics basketball. Few teams try to run and gun with the Bucks, and Im betting the Jazz instead will try to slow things down a bit and play a more phsycial style of hoops which will keep this combined score on the low side of the number.
Budenholzer is 39-18 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 206.4 ppg scored.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 61-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-08-21 |
Suns v. Pistons UNDER 218 |
|
105-110 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
The Suns enter this game as the top ppg defence in the NBA, behind the slowest pace. Im betting they dictate the pacde again vs a Detroit team that is trending lower in many categories including offencive rating where they rank 20th. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair.
NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more are 33-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or less ) are 24-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
|
|
01-07-21 |
Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 225 |
|
124-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
These teams have taken part in some physical grinding affairs of late when they have met and 5 of their L/6 meetings have resulted in the under cashing.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Dallas HC Carlisle is 124-84 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents in all games he has coached with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored in those tilts.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - off a win against a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 83-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
|
|
01-06-21 |
Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 226 |
|
115-130 |
Loss |
-113 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
My projections make this total closer to 221, thus giving us value with an under wager. Long term trends suggest a style of play by both sides in this kind of matchup is indicative of a lower trending combined score. Casey is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 206.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 season with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 222.8 ppg. DETROIT is 20-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons at 214.7 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-06-21 |
Lamar v. Nicholls State UNDER 144.5 |
|
69-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NICHOLLS ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 30-6 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 132.8 ppg scored.
Play on the UNDER
|
|
01-05-21 |
Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 228 |
|
116-123 |
Loss |
-111 |
15 h 42 m |
Show
|
I am betting Denver behind a 28th ranked pace, will dictate this game in the trenches, which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 207.7 ppg.
Play UNDER
|
|
01-05-21 |
Jazz v. Nets UNDER 231.5 |
|
96-130 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
Utah runs a pace that ranks 23rd in the NBA and now own the 8th best ppg defence and here tonight Im betting that we have value taking the under here vs a Nets side that has gone under in 7 of their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 like the Jazz.
Snyder is 30-15 UNDER L/45 versus poor ball handling teams - committing 16 or more turnovers/game as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 196.1 ppg per game going on the board.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 62-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 30-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER
|
|
01-04-21 |
Thunder v. Heat OVER 215.5 |
|
90-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
I have charted how the Heat have performed recently against sides like Oklahoma City that are having a hard time competing. These following trends give us an indication of a strong factor favoring the over. MIAMI is 16-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. Also MIAMI is 20-6 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg going on the board. MIAMI is 13-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Play OVER
|
|
01-04-21 |
Cavs v. Magic UNDER 217.5 |
|
83-103 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions.
Alex Smart's moto Alex's moto comes via the late Great Jimmy the Greek, "The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself".
Play on the UNDER
|
|
01-04-21 |
Hornets v. 76ers OVER 221.5 |
|
101-118 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions.
Alex Smart's moto Alex's moto comes via the late Great Jimmy the Greek, "The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself".
Play on the OVER
|
|
01-03-21 |
Blazers v. Warriors OVER 233.5 |
|
122-137 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
Portland enters this game ranked 9th in offensive output and 23rd in defensive ppg against and 25th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Warriors rank 2nd in pace in the league, and 30th in ppg allowed. This current form for both teams sets up for a formula of big offensive numbers going on the board.
PORTLAND is 14-2 OVER after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg going on the board.
Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 74-39 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Play OVER
|
|
01-03-21 |
Jazz v. Spurs OVER 219 |
|
130-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
My projections have made this game total 224 thus giving us value with an over wager.
UTAH is 8-0 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 OVER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242.1 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.
Play OVER
|
|
01-03-21 |
St. Joe's v. Rhode Island UNDER 153.5 |
|
77-85 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rhode Island plays a top tier brand of defence and has allowed just 62 ppg in 3 home games this season, and nothing will change today against St.Joes. Look for Rhode Island to grind this game down to a crawl and not allow their run and gun opponent to open up. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE. Play on the UNDER
RHODE ISLAND is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.5 ppg scored.RHODE ISLAND is 6-0 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored. RHODE ISLAND is 10-1 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored.
CBB Road teams against the total (ST JOSEPHS) - after allowing 80 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games. are 25-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
UNDER
|
|
01-02-21 |
Knicks v. Pacers OVER 215 |
|
106-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
My projections estimate that the Pacers will score 112+ points and will force the Knciks to chase . Note: INDIANA is 31-6 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight game are 27-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.
Play OVER
|
|
01-02-21 |
Kings v. Rockets UNDER 233.5 |
|
94-102 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
My projections make this total closer ot 229 thus giving us value with an under wager.
HOUSTON is 16-3 UNDER after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 33-17 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 56-23 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 105-58 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.
Play on UNDER
|
|
01-02-21 |
Creighton v. Providence UNDER 146.5 |
|
67-65 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
The Creighton Bluejays just took part in a 66-61 decision over Xavier a little over a week ago, and showed us their defense is not to be underestimated as they held the Musketeers to 35.3 percent field-goal shooting and allowed just five offensive boards. Im betting they will need their D to stand tall, here today as Providence sdie that wont bend defensively as is evident by allowing an average of just 67 ppg in 4 home games. With that said, Im betting on a tough physical fairly low scoring affair between two bitter rivals.
CREIGHTON is 16-4 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 142.5 ppg scored. PROVIDENCE is 14-5 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored.
CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PROVIDENCE) - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 24-3 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.
CBB Home teams against the total (PROVIDENCE) - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 65-21 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
12-31-20 |
Suns v. Jazz OVER 220.5 |
|
106-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 44-18 OVER L/24 seasons for an 71% conversion rate. Play OVER
|
|
12-31-20 |
Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 215.5 |
|
113-80 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
The Pelicans enter this tilt vs Oklahoma city ranked last in pace in the league and , 29th in offense and have seen their first 4 games of the season stay under the set total . Meanwhile, OKC when at full strength like they are expected to be tonight are a solid defensive side that must be respected. Under is 7-1 in Pelicans last 8 games as a favorite.Under is 12-2 in Pelicans last 14 overall . Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 50-23-1 in Thunder last 74 games as an underdog.
Play UNDER
|
|
12-31-20 |
Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 217 |
|
99-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
These two sides just don't push for explosive offensive flow and have shown some conservative style here early this season, especially when attempting shots from downtown ranking bottom six in the league in beyond the arc attempts . Both sides are showing early signs of injury woes, and some key players are hobbled missing in action or less than 100%.
INDIANA is 27-12 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CLEVELAND/INDIANA) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG are 146-84 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER
|
|
12-30-20 |
Bucks v. Heat UNDER 226.5 |
|
108-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
On Tuesday night, the Bucks set an NBA record by sinking 29 3-pointers while crushing the Heat 144-97. Tonight in the rematch it will be difficult for the Bucks to exert the same energy while, the Heat will be primed to step up on defence and be more physical, which will translate Im betting into a lower scoring affair than yesterdays combined score. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 23-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on UNDER
|
|
12-29-20 |
Nuggets v. Kings OVER 224 |
|
115-125 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
The two most recents meetings in this series have seen 235 and 246 combined points go on the board and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup. Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games as a road favorite. Over is 7-3 in Kings last 10 games as an underdog. SACRAMENTO is 23-9 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of. 229.8 ppg going on the board. Play OVER
|
|
12-29-20 |
Magic v. Thunder OVER 218 |
|
118-107 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
My totals number projects at 221 thus giving us value on over wager. Orlando owns the 5th fastest pace early here this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City ranks 13th in pace and will be forced into a high energy flow here against a superior side, that can run and push the speed of this game to higher levels.
ORLANDO is 17-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 13-1 OVER after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. Over is 6-0-1 in Magic last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-0-1 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 4-0-1 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 13-2-1 in Magic last 16 games as a favorite.Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 home games. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Play OVER
|
|
12-29-20 |
Bucks v. Heat OVER 225.5 |
|
144-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Bucks, now with two losses in their first three games, would love to get back on track against the Heat side that they have huge revenge against for play off ejection embarrasement. I just dont see the Bucks sitting back and trying to make this into a tight play off style game, and instead will be out looking to run and gun in angry fashion, which will turn this tilt into more wide open tilt than the linesmakers are expecting. MIAMI is 22-11 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 227-114 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.
Play OVER
|
|
12-29-20 |
Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 216 |
|
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
From out of nowhere the Knicks came out running andf gunning in their last game and put 130 points on the board in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks. It must be noted however, that the Under is 23-8-1 in Knicks last 32 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. That would make sense because after that kind of flow a natural letdown should be expected , as I am expecting here tonight vs Cleveland ina tilt Im projecting to stay on the low side of the total. NEW YORK is also 15-4 UNDER L/19 in road games off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more with a combined average of 193.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
|
|
12-29-20 |
Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 218.5 |
|
116-111 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
Indiana is a defence first side and nothing will change tonight against top tier opponent Boston. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games as a home underdog. Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Celtics play more conservatively on the road behind a solid D, as is evident by the following trends going 9-3-1 UNDER in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.1 ppg going on the baord.
NBA team (INDIANA) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 54-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
|
|
12-29-20 |
Bulls v. Wizards OVER 237 |
|
115-107 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
Washington plays a one way type of game, that is based on all out run and gun basketball with little or no consideration for strong defensive play. Its all about entertainment in the new NBA and this is the type of hoops the fan base wants to see. Tonight Im expecting offensive fireworks at both ends of the court and for two defenses Chicago and Washington allowing an average of more than 121 and 125 ppg respectively to be left vulnerable again. Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 road games. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 245 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 11-2 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244 ppg. Play OVER
|
|
12-28-20 |
Blazers v. Lakers OVER 225 |
|
115-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
Both these sides can really light up the scoreboard when in a groove which Im betting both teams are. The Lakers just scored 138 and 127 points respectively in their L/2 trips to the hardwood, while the run and gun Blazers scored 128 points last time out. My own projections estimate, that this line is closer to 229, making this total high on the value perspective for over wager. Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 Monday games.Over is 12-3 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up win. Over is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 road games.Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 games as a road underdog.
Play OVER
|
|
12-28-20 |
Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 218.5 |
|
110-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
My projections make this total closer to the 214 mark, thus giviing us value with a under wager .
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 UNDER when the total is 218.5 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored.
The Jazz are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a road favorite when they lost 2+ straight matchups vs this opponent with none of the games eclipsing this total.
Play UNDER
|
|
12-28-20 |
Pistons v. Hawks OVER 223 |
|
120-128 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
Pierce is 27-12 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games as the coach of ATLANTA with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. The Hawks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home coming off a road game going over by more than 23 ppg on average. Play OVER
|
|
12-27-20 |
Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 |
|
107-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
These are two play off contenders with tough defenses. The new version of the Pacers after lousy trey numbers last season will try to get going behind the arc more this season, but the Celtics own a strong 3 point D, and nothing is going to come easy from long range for the Pacers tonight. Meanwhile, the Celtics themselves Im betting struggle for flow vs a physically bigger Pacers side that is well balanced and mean on the inside. Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 road games. Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 games as an underdog. INDIANA is 143-110 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1996 with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. Stevens is 65-45 UNDER off a home loss as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average score of 205.7 ppg. Play UNDER
|
|
12-27-20 |
76ers v. Cavs UNDER 217 |
|
94-118 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
Sixers visit Cavaliers in battle of unbeatens. Defence is key to both sides and nothing will change today. Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 10-3 in 76ers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 games as a road favorite. Under is 13-3 in Cavaliers last 16 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 games as a road favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 82-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on UNDER
|
|
12-26-20 |
Suns v. Kings UNDER 227.5 |
|
103-106 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
The Kings posted a dramatic 124-122 overtime win over the host Denver Nuggets on Wednesday, while Phoenix held off the Dallas Mavericks for a 106-102 home win on the same night. What stood out to me was the Suns top tier defensive play and Im betting on more of the same type of hoops in this spot , which favors this score to stay on the low side of the total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 67-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. late steam- under
|
|
12-26-20 |
Hawks v. Grizzlies OVER 237 |
|
122-112 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
Atlanta plays a one way brand of run and gun basketball, and nothing should change with the full throttle Young leading the way. Meanwhile, Memphis must not be underestimated in their abiility to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. ATLANTA is 37-25 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
Play OVER
|
|
12-25-20 |
Clippers v. Nuggets OVER 224 |
|
121-108 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 21 m |
Show
|
Its still early on the season to use pace numbers, but I expect both teams will take part in a high octane type of affair rather than a defensive minded play off type game that they took part in during the recent bubble play off adventure both took part in.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average of 105-60 OVER L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.
NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 155-97 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.
Play OVER
|
|
12-25-20 |
Warriors v. Bucks UNDER 232 |
|
99-138 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. Van Gundy is 187-141 UNDER in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average score of 198.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 297-266 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI with the average combiend score of this big sample size clicking in at 198 ppg. NBA team (MIAMI) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year are 53-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
|
|
12-25-20 |
Pelicans v. Heat UNDER 224.5 |
|
98-111 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 59 m |
Show
|
Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet.
Van Gundy is 187-141 UNDER in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average score of 198.5 ppg scored.
Spoelstra is 297-266 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI with the average combiend score of this big sample size clicking in at 198 ppg.
NBA team (MIAMI) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year are 53-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDER
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12-19-20 |
Gonzaga v. Iowa UNDER 169.5 |
|
99-88 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-16-20 |
Northern Colorado v. Denver UNDER 143 |
|
83-75 |
Loss |
-130 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-16-20 |
East Carolina v. SMU UNDER 143 |
|
55-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-16-20 |
Samford v. Troy State UNDER 148.5 |
|
71-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-15-20 |
Indiana State v. St. Louis UNDER 142 |
|
59-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-11-20 |
Marquette v. UCLA UNDER 140.5 |
|
60-69 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 23 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-11-20 |
Nevada v. Grand Canyon UNDER 139.5 |
|
77-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-10-20 |
San Diego State v. Arizona State UNDER 146 |
|
80-68 |
Loss |
-112 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-10-20 |
Long Beach State v. San Francisco OVER 148 |
|
62-107 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-10-20 |
UMKC v. Minnesota OVER 136.5 |
|
61-90 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-09-20 |
Idaho v. Washington State UNDER 136 |
|
58-61 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 36 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-09-20 |
Providence v. TCU OVER 128 |
|
79-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-08-20 |
Cal-Irvine v. USC OVER 135.5 |
|
56-91 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 4 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-08-20 |
Colorado v. Tennessee OVER 136.5 |
|
47-56 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 5 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-07-20 |
Northern Arizona v. Arizona OVER 139 |
|
53-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-06-20 |
Kentucky v. Georgia Tech UNDER 141.5 |
|
62-79 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-06-20 |
Xavier v. Cincinnati UNDER 136.5 |
|
77-69 |
Loss |
-112 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-06-20 |
Villanova v. Texas OVER 132.5 |
|
68-64 |
Loss |
-118 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-05-20 |
Oakland v. Oklahoma State OVER 143 |
|
71-84 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-05-20 |
Northern Illinois v. Pittsburgh UNDER 133.5 |
|
59-89 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-05-20 |
Miami-OH v. Wright State OVER 142.5 |
|
47-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
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12-04-20 |
Oregon v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 |
|
83-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
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My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-03-20 |
Arizona State v. California UNDER 145.5 |
|
70-62 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-03-20 |
Florida v. Boston College OVER 145 |
|
90-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-03-20 |
Washington v. Utah UNDER 135.5 |
|
62-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-03-20 |
Chicago State v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 140 |
|
56-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-02-20 |
Oregon State v. Washington State UNDER 139 |
|
55-59 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 19 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-02-20 |
Arkansas State v. Memphis OVER 142 |
|
54-83 |
Loss |
-120 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-02-20 |
Southern Illinois v. SE Missouri State UNDER 137 |
|
87-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-02-20 |
VCU v. Penn State UNDER 143.5 |
|
69-72 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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12-02-20 |
Texas v. North Carolina OVER 136.5 |
|
69-67 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-01-20 |
South Dakota v. Nebraska OVER 150 |
|
69-76 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER
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12-01-20 |
Cleveland State v. Toledo UNDER 139 |
|
61-70 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER
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