My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

San Diego State under HC Brian Dutcher has a offensive system that is efficient, but the D, is something Im betting  will be to key the teams successes  this season. It must be noted that   Nathan Mensah played the first 13 games last season before health problems sidelined him .When the big man played the  Aztecs allowed just 56.3 points per game and when he left the ppg D, increased by more than 5 ppg. He's healthy again, and Im betting he dominates the rim and the lanes making life difficult on a slower paced defensive minded team at UCLA. At the end of last season, under Cronins tut-ledge the Bruins morphed into a defensive behemoth, and during their hot run,UCLA scored 70 points or less in five of the Bruins’ seven wins , as D was the key! 

Under is 5-1 in Aztecs last 6 home games.Under is 21-5 in Aztecs last 26 games as a home underdog.Under is 11-3 in Aztecs last 14 games as an underdog.Under is 6-2 in Aztecs last 8 overall.

Under is 4-0-1 in Bruins last 5 Wednesday games.

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

The Heat have never for one second stopped working hard, and are now getting more physical as the series progresses . Now with the noose tightening on the Lakers and the Heats confidence surging, Im betting on a absolute war here in game 6 with defense and hard core bone breaking action to take center stage. Look for almost every shot to be contested in a hardcore battle that results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. 

Play UNDER 

At their current paces this game projects off as being a tilt that reaches the 220 point plateau  which gives us an edge on this number to the OVER.  Im betting both sides score more than 108 ppg each. Note: LA LAKERS are 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. MIAMI is 46-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.4 ppg. When these teams played earlier this season they combined for 223 points. 

MIAMI is 21-12 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg. MIAMI is 20-9 OVER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226 ppg. M2IAMI is 18-8 OVER  after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Nothing in this series so far suggests that either teams offense will continue to average less than they have  so far. Anything is possible, but remember we are playing the odds based on the data at hand, which suggests from a projections stand point that both teams will score more than 106 points each in what the lines-makers expect to be a closely contested affair. Boston really pushed against the Heat in the 4th quarter last time, and Im betting knowing that the Heat will want to open up and push the pace to keep the Celtics from setting up in the half court. Advantage OVER. 

 MIAMI is 45-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined average score of 233.3 ppg scored. BOSTON is 34-8 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of  234.1 ppg. 

MIAMI in 18 games  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 223.7 ppg. 

Miami in 18 Atlantic division affairs this season have seen a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 75-40 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Miami has not been held to less than 106 points in any of these games vs Boston, and my projections estimate a similar out put here tonight and for Boston in desperation mode to also keep up offensively in more aggressive fashion and let it all hang out as elimination is a real possibility down 3 games to 1.  It must be noted that MIAMI is 44-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg.is 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. Note: The Celtics are averaging  114.6 points per 100 possessions this series, despite of their tentativeness at times.  Miami  has averaged 114.0 points per 100 possessions. 

MIAMI is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 228 ppg going on the board. 

BOSTON is 8-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Nuggets  came back from being down 3-1 twice in a row and looked wobbly in game 1 , and Im not sure they will be 100% energized here in this spot, but a better more aggressive effort is my bet. With top tier offensive talent and a never say die attitude scoring will be up for Denver after going just 9 for 26 behind the arc in game 1. Meanwhile, The Lakers in game 1 of this series, looked hungry and focused behind Antonio Davis and his 37 point output, and now I will expect  his Future HOF cohort James to pick up the pace in game two after only scoring 15 points and for the Lakers to push the pace. This Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring play off game that eclipses this total. 

Over is 6-2-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Over is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Over is 11-4-1 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up loss.

Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 Conference Finals games.

Over is 21-7-2 in the last 30 meetings.

Play on the OVER 

Two second half collapses by the Celtics have put them in a precarious place in this series down 2-0. The Celtics now have to leave everything on the floor today, and push forward in a more aggressive fashion, which Im betting opens this game up a little more, which in turn will help lift this combined score over the number. The first two totals came in at 208 and 209.5, and I feel that thats where they should be today, this giving us value on an over wager. Note:These teams are averaging 231.25 combined points per 100 possessions with a drum banging pace of  91.72, with top tier efficiency.

BOSTON is 7-0 OVER  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average score of 239.6 ppg. 

MIAMI is 12-3 OVER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 229.5 ppg. 

Play OVER

Miami really was lights-out efficient in game 1 of this series offensively and now Im betting on a regression and for both these teams to settle into a much slower paced game here in game 2 after the game 1 OT affair. 

Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 

NBA teams where the Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

 NBA teams with a total of  200 to 209.5 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 34-8 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

This is do or die for Houston and Im expecting them to leave everything on the floor today in aggressive fashion. Im betting the Rockets force the Lakers to open up and for this combined score to eclipse this total. 

LA LAKERS are 10-2 OVER  after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season with a combined average of 233 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA LAKERS/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 144-68 OVER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

This series is getting slower as it progresses as is evident by pace (number of possessions)  as game one registered in  at  97.7 game 2 at 95.3 and game 3 at 89.5. Houston is small ball team, with top tier talent , but  a limited bench and that effects their offensive efficiency in flow when facing    the Lakers big men who are really putting a physical beating on their opponents.  Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

LA LAKERS are 13-2 UNDER vs struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 216.5 ppg. 

HC D'Antoni is 36-17 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score registering at 218.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

The Nuggets have hounded Kawhi Leonard non stop so far in this series and that has effected the Clippers offensive flow and Im expecting more of the same here today in a game I have projected to stay under the total. 

LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 UNDER  in non home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 217.1 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER  in non home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season with the combined average score clicking in at 218 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 59-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

This series has been fairly slow paced , with 97 and 95 possessions in Games 1 and 2 . Alot of turnovers have created alot of fast breaks points  but that Im betting  will regress , and what will remain is a more conservative type of affair here in game 3. 

HOUSTON is 17-6 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 14-6 UNDER against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 221 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 51-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

My projections estimate that both these teams will score +108 points here today based on pace and shooting algorithms. . It must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 35-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 240 ppg going on the board, while MIAMI is 41-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234 ppg scored. 

MIAMI in 37 games with  the total of 210 to 219.5 this season have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - in the second round of the playoffs are 112-64 OVER L/24 seasons for a long term 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Rockets had the best defensive rating in the bubble at 101.7, and played decent defence against Oklahoma City. Now while expecting some small ball from the Rockets, I still believe the Lakers will return fire in transition a more tempered approach in an effort to take the Rockets off their game, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers might expect. 

HOUSTON is 15-4 UNDER  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 27-10 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or more ) over the last 3 seasons with combined average 218.2 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON is 33-17 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. D'Antoni is 21-9 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. 

The Jazz  and Nuggets  are playing at the slowest pace during the play offs, averaging just over 93 possessions per 48 minutes. The reason why these games have been high scoring so far in this series is because of some absolutely insane shooting especially from downtown, but their due for a regression, and Im noticing that Denver is becoming more physical, and that Im betting  is going to create tighter spaces and some ugly shooting which in turn will have a direct effect on this game being lower scoring. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 71-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Harden and company were on their way to a 3-1 series lead vs the Thunder last time out, but blew a DD lead. Now in redemption mode I expect a concerted two way effort from Houston and for Oklahoma city to regress offensively, which will result in a lower scoring game than expected by the lines-makers. 

HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER  after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 71-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA.teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-18 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

After getting upset 122-110 in the series opener, the Bucks have  gone into hyper drive  defensively and have subsequently recorded three straight wins that have put them on the doorstep of advancement in the East. Defense is now the calling card for the Bucks in this series, and nothing will change today . 

The Bucks rank first in the league in defensive rating. Orlando ranks 10th in D rating and 25th in pace and 24th in ppg scored. 

ORLANDO is 27-13 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.9 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Lake Buena Vista, F  

 The pace of the first 3 games of this series  registered at  98, 91, and 102  (with game 3 going into OT). Rinse and repeat here today. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog this season with as combined average of 211.2 ppg scored. 

HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER

Torontos offense remains explosive and  been firing on all cylinders in this series, scoring 116.8 points per 100 possessions and they also love to transition at high pace, (19.25) while hitting at 55.8% effective field goal percentage rate. I know the Nets have not looked good offensively but with nothing left to lose I expect them to open and to just let loose as they hope to be competitive in what is likely their last play off game of the season.

Brooklyn in 27 games this season versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season have seen a combined average score of  225.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL

Key offensive numbers which give momentum to a lower scoring affair here center around the  Magic have the lowest percentage of shots at the rim in the post season bubble, and  the second-least corner 3s behind a offense that is not always flowing smoothly. Thanks to their offensive inefficiencies they  have registered  the second-worst expected eFG% during these playoffs. Considering how elite the Bucks D, is Im expecting more struggles today. Meanwhile, Orlando can play conssitent D, and when Gordon is on the floor they have a star defender to mobilize against  Antetokounmpo who he  limited to 8-for-21 shooting . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.

ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43%  or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.3 ppg.ORLANDO is 20-9 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 209 ppg going on the board.ORLANDO is 18-7 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) or better  over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

The Rockets were in a great flow pattern in game 1 of this series recording 129 Offensive Rating in the half court. This was by far Rockets’ best performance in the half court against any playoff team this season and the Thunder’s absolute worst performance. Now Im looking for a regression back to the norm for the Rockets, and for the Thunder to really look to grind this down game in physical fashion behind a 22nd ranked Pace, and 7th ranked D, and lower tier D ranked 22nd in ppg offensive output which will help keep this game on the low side of the total. 

8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus  teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 33-19 UNDER  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-16 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Oklahoma City beat Houston the last time they met back in January in a 112-107 win and my projections estimate a similar total combined score here today. Note:  D'Antoni is 23-4 UNDER in non home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score of 217.3 ppg going on the board. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-13 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

HOUSTON is 15-3 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season. HOUSTON is 17-3 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 0-6 UNDER L/6 as a dog.

7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Lake Buena Vista, F

Dallas’ defense is horrendous, and they dont have much or any play off experience  but this line is just a tad high according to my projections which gives us close to a two basket edge to the under. 

LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 19-8 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Lake Buena Vista, F

The Raptors defense is very deep and they have a size and physical edge in this series and have an ability to make shooters look bad.  This is evident by their 2nd ranked D vs opponents’ 50.3% eFG%. Also the Nets like to shoot 3s and the Raps will give them that opportunity , but it must be noted  , the Raptors are the best team at limiting opponents’ accuracy from downtown and the Nets Im betting will have issues converting. 

TORONTO is 23-14 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 217.8 ppg.

.NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

These teams have had 3 meetings this season with scores of 98-95 and 106-100, and than a Double OT game in the bubble that resulted in a flash card total of 134-132. Four the fourth meeting Im betting on another lower scoring affair, with no OT which will get us to the promised land of cashing an under ticket. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - playing with 2 days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 67-34 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

-Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 - Orlando, FL

Im betting Memphis will not play into the run and gun strength of the Blazers and instead play a more physical brand of basketball that gives them a chance to compete. This will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse this total.

MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS/PORTLAND) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-2 UNDER with a combined average of 208.5 ppg over the last 5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Nets run the 10th fastest pace in the NBA while Orlando plays much slower. With the Nets short handed speed and small ball will be the name of the game which Im betting helps this game turn into a fast transitional affair that eclipses the total. After two straight losses Im expecting to a see an aggressive Magic side that will be primed to put points on the board. 

ORLANDO is 19-4 OVER   after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board.

ORLANDO is 11-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the board. 

ORLANDO is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 228,7 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

Both teams rank in the top-10 in pace averaging  more than 105 possessions per game with the Clippers ranking 8th and suns 9th. Here in aneutral court environment Im betting they run and gun with wrecklaess abandon here today in a game that eclipses this total. 
The Suns are 13-1 OVER L/13 with less than two days rest off a win as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average ppg total of 233.2 ppg scored.  

NBA teams are 12-0 OVER with more than one day of rest after they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 252.7 ppg scored. 

Play over

Orlando, did a run and gun job on the Nets last time out byt no one played more than 26 minutes and they will be ready to run and gun again vs a Sacramento side, that  lost  129-120, despite 39 points from De'Aaron Fox. Today Im betting Fox continues his hot hand, and for the Magics array of young shooters to once again rain down some terror in what Im betting will be a back and forth affair. 

ORLANDO is 8-1 OVER   when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 7-0 OVER   after a combined score of 245 points or more this season with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. 

The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average combined score clicking in at 236 ppg.The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Kings are 18-1 OVER L/19 on the road with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

With key Pacers offensive cog not in the lineup here tonight vs Philadelphia, Indiana's offence Im betting will have flow problems. When Sabonis was healthy and playing earlier this season his team averaged 112 points per 100 possession and after he was injured the numbers fell to around 107 ppg points per 100 which is a huge drop in productivity . Im betting this has a direct effect on what  is a bloated tota considering the 76ers own the 4th best ppg average in the league behind a 19th ranked pace. On the flip side the Pacers own the 5th best ppg D, and rank 24th in pace, behind the 24th ranked offence. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE here today.

l. Note: INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 197.6 ppg scored.(8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons).

Play UNDER 

Dallas   offense  ranks first in efficiency at 115.8 points per 100 possessions (one spot ahead ahead of the second-ranked Rockets)DALLAS is 11-2 OVER  on Friday nights this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. Both meetings this season were very high scoring affairs with a 128-121 result and a 137-123 score. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda. 

Play OVER

 These two teams have combined for at least 221 points in both head to head meetings this season, which includes 251 points in their last time they faced each other on the court. With a talented full compliment of players on the court for both teams Im expecting some  offensive fireworks .

Before the break the Bucks owned the number 1 pace in the league and the best offensive scoring output at 118.6 ppg .

Play OVER 

HP Field House - Orlando, FL

New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their  last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%)  during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. 

UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. 

The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16.

NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. 

The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Atlanta's Hunter and DeAndre Bembry (abdominal) are questionable prior to Monday's game and if they play I doubt they are playing at 100%.  This will effect the flow of the Hawks. Meanwhile, Charlotte behind the 30th ranked ppg output and 30th ranked pace will in their usual fashion look to grind their opponents down via a very deliberate approach. Here against a run and gun style side like Atlanta a even more conservative approach will be in effect which will directly effect this total to the under.

The Hornets are 4-29-1 to the UNDER L/34 on the road with rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored.The Hornets are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board.

The Hawks are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average combined score clicking in at 188.6 ppg scored.The Hawks are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%). are 49-16 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

As we come closer to play off time teams that expect to be the post season start to pay alot more attention to defence. Thus when I look at this game between what are arguably the best two teams in the west Im expecting we have an edge with an under wager. Im betting a slower paced game that will be more physical than usual for a regular season tilt, and for both to contest the rim repeatedly. 

The Lakers are 4-30 UNDER L/43 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scoredThe Lakers are 2-23 to the UNDER L/25  when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 190.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

A depleted banged up and exhausted 76ers will play their  4th away game on this west coast road trip in  a week and now they will   be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun which Im betting will help make this a lower scoring affair.   NBA teams like Philadelphia  0-17 to the UNDER L/17 on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198 ppg scored. 

The Warriors are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Denver enters this tilt having gone over in 11 of their L/14 games, while the Cavaliers have gone over in 3 straight, and have seen themselves and their opponents average 223+ ppg when playing as hosts this season  as they are here tonight. With Denver finally healthy Im betting they will continue to gear up for play off basketball by getting their offensive flow back, and for Cleveland with nothing to play for to be loose and to run the floor with wreck-less abandon in chase mode, which projects to a higher combined score than this current totals line suggests. 

Nuggets: 5-0 OVER L5 in non-conference road games while the Cavaliers are : 7-0 OVER L/7  in 2/1 rest situation. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS loss.Over is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 games as a road favorite.Over is 7-1-1 in Nuggets last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall.

Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Saturday games.Over is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Nuggets are 20-3-1 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with rest off a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 234.5 ppg going on the score board. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a road favorite with rest off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 25-4-1 OVER with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 238.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

 There is alot of offense in both these teams lineup, but Im expecting this heavy weight battle, to be like a post season tilt and be lower scoring because of both sides expected attention to playing solid defence and to be physical as well. It must be noted the Bucks own the 2nd best ppg D in the NBA, and the No.1 defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers own the 3rd best defensive rating, behind a deliberate disciplined pace that ranks 12th in the league.

The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 191.6 ppg. 

The Lakers are 4-29 UNDER L/33 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.4 ppg going on the board. 

LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored.LA LAKERS are 15-4 UNDER   in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored.  

Play UNDER 

Miami is quite methodical in their approach to most games, behind the 26th ranked pace, and here against a explosive New Orleans team, that must be respected Im sure  HC Spoelstra  has a grinding game plan on his agenda. You have to remember this is the same Heat team that just held Milwaukee to 89s points recently. 

The Heat are 2-16-1 UNDER L/19 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average score of 192 ppg going on the board with none of the games in the sub set going over this total. 

The Pelicans are 0-8 UNDER L/8 at home with rest when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers with the combined average score clicking in at 219.4 ppg. 

 NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

According to Anthony Slater of The Athletic, Curry has been fully cleared for his return and will play on Thursday and Im betting even with reduced minutes, this will spark the Warriors to try to run with the Raptors who have had not problems despite of an array of injuries of lighting up the score board on a regular basis. 

The Raptors are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.  

The Raptors are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 239.4 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 35-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The  banged up and battered Philadelphia 76ers  will once again be short handed tonight, with three key starters  (Joel Embiid (shoulder), Ben Simmons (back)  Josh Richardson (concussion).expected to miss this road game vs Sacramento.  This Im betting effects their offensive flow of a team that only averages 105.1 ppg on the road this season, and that ranks 6th in ppg allowed overall in the NBA ( 107.2 ppg). Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been paying alot more attention to defence as the season progresses and previous to their last game took part in 5 straight lower scoring affairs that failed to eclipse the total. 

SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  218.1 ppg scored .

 NBA Teams like the Kimnhs  are 4-23-1 UNDER L/28  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average of 203.5 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 25-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Raptors have thrived despite dealing with injuries all season, but the most recent injuries are taking a toll because Ibaka and Gasol are their centers and they have no one to replace their quality and thus their offensive flow is off, and now knowing this they are going to have to step up defensively after allowing a whopping 133 points last time out. Meanwhile, the Suns are also banged up, and playing short handed and off two straight home losses and are also having issues with their flow. The suns last three offensive outputs have been 92, 111, 99 and another  below average offensive outing Im betting is on tonights agenda. The above mentioned realities are going to effect this total to the under. 

PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses this season.PHOENIX is 16-2 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more

The Raptors are 2-20 UNDER L/22 as a favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.The Raptors are 0-13 OU (  as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent with a combined average of 190.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 206.4 ppg going on the board.

The Suns are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 203.7 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams are banged up with key regulars out of the lineup .

Boston : 

[PG] 03/02/2020 - Kemba Walker is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Knee ) He is still going to see limited time , and will playing less than 100%. 

Brooklyn:

The Celtics are 1-12 OU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. 

The Nets are 3-19-1 UNDER L/23 on the road with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198.4 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

Chicago has been picking up their pace here late in the season , with their biggest problem coming in being able to slow down opposing offences, allowing an average of 121.2 ppg. Considering Dallas can light up the board quickly, I expect the Mavs to hit the 117+ point output on their own and for the Bulls to have to open up to keep pace in what Im betting will be a  fairly high scoring affair. Note: DALLAS is 31-5 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. The Bulls are 17-1-1 OVER L/19 as a dog with rest off a loss when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average score of 231 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 off a 10+ loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 16-1 OVER L/17 as a road favorite with no rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. Dallas   in 21 games on the  road  where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season has seen a combined average of 229 ppg go on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 34-11 L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

 Atlanta ranks 29th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and have averaged 122.2 ppg in offence in their L/16 trips to the hardwood with 12 of those games going over the total.Meanwhile Memphis ranks 7th in pace and 23rd in ppg per allowed and are allowing a whopping 116.6 ppg on the road this season.  Based on my composite projections Im betting on the home side Atlanta , eclipsing the 122+ range with Memphis following suit in what is expected to be a high scoring affair by both me and the linesmakers.

The Hawks are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 249.2 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 254.9 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 15-1 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 244.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Orlando enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. The Magic enter this game vs the Lilliardless Blazers off a 114-113 loss at San Antonio on Saturday night in a game they worked very hard in to try to pull off the upset. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in home games off a road loss this season with the combined score clicking in at 193.5 ppg. The Magic are also 0-18 UNDER L/18   at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score registering at 200.3 ppg. Meanwhile, NBA Teams like the Blazers are 1-15  UNDER L/16 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. Last time out the Blazers D, was smashed as they allowed 129 points in a loss and that in the past has resulted in a toned done more defensive mindset in their followup as is evident by  going Under is 7-3 UNDER in their  last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

ORLANDO is 17-5 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 204.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - good 3 point shooting team - making 36% or better  of their attempts, in March games are 140-89 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

The Warriors beat the Wizards 125-117 in Washington on Feb. 3, and Im expecting a similar output here today back in Oakland for the rematch. Golden State played last night in. an upset win vs the suns  so they will be on tired legs and their defensive capabilities may suffer which gives credence to my projections of a big time run and and gun Washington Wizards offensive output, which will result in the Warriors having to open up themselves with some offensive fireworks or be blown of the court. The Warriors are 13-0 OVER  l/13 with no rest off a win facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.6 ppg scored. The Warriors are 11-0 OVER with no rest off a win with a combined average of 247.5 ppg. 

The Wizards own the worst ppg D, in the league, 6th fastest pace and 6th best ppg offfence in the league and have allowed more than 123 ppg on the road this season. 

The Wizards are 10-0 OVER L/10 on the road off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 31-5-3 OVER L/39 as a favorite with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers.

Play OVER 

The Clippers crushed the Denver Nuggets 132-103 in a matchup of Western Conference contenders last time out, and now in their current form Im betting they will once again explode offensively  vs a Philadelphia team playing without  Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.  I expect the Clippers to take this chance to really bring the heat here today vs a shorthanded Eastern Conference contender, that beat them 110-103 in Philly back on Feb 11. The Clippers   according the my projections will put up in the 117+ point range offensively while the Sixers put +105 ppg on the scoreboard. 

The Clippers are 11-0 OVER L/12 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 237.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 43-18 L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

The public loves to bet Zion and company overs, and the lines-makers are offering them an option to do what they love to do and that is  bet the over at what I feel is a slightly bloated number ( 1 possession -3). This reminds me of a saying from the Late Jimmy the Greek, The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. 

Which leads me into my contrarian wager here as a I recommend we take the under. It must be noted that the Cavaliers are off a huge win at home last time out as underdogs vs the Sixers and will now Im betting be in a letdown situation.  Which brings into play this trend that shows CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

 Teams like the Cavaliers  are 1-18 UNDER L/19 on the road off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had at least 10 more turnovers than their opponent with the average combined score of 183.2 ppg scored.The Cavaliers are also  0-15 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with the average combined score of those tilts ringing  at 201.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 33-12 UNDER UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

Sacramentos last two road games both wins have featured top tier defensive efforts, holding the Clippers to just 103 points and the Warriors to 94 points. Their successes will have them continue to concentrate on playing top tier D, and this Im betting contributes to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated number.

OKLAHOMA CITY in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. 

The Thunder are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to  make a concerted effort  at turning this into a  physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER  off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) 

The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. 

The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. 

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.

NBA

The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER  

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining  back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings  clicking in at 268 ppg. 

Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better  over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Two top tier teams one from the West and one from the East do battle this afternoon in LA as the Lakers host the Celtics .Its an early start and Im leaning on an under here in what should be a chippy post season type affair. The Lakers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency in the league  6th in ppg per game allowed behind the 12th ranked pace, while the Celtics ranked 3rd in ppg allowed and operate fairly slowly behind the 17th rank pace.  The time of the game, the metrics and also my projections estimate the total should be closer to 221 thus giving us more than 1 possession of value on this number. 

Under is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-9 in Celtics last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 41-18 in Lakers last 59 games as a home favorite.

BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board.

The Lakers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/12 off a 10+ win in a home game when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after with a combined average score of 183.2 ppg scored. 

The Celtics are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they are off two games in which they had more than 25 fouls with a combined average of 186.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Bucknell won as fav in their L/2 games, and when this has happened in the recent past they have gone over in 11 straight times in the followup  with a combined average of 161.5 ppg going on the board with each tilt in the subset easily eclipsing this number. Look for Bucknell now with confidence to set the pace of this tilt and to come out here with some offensive aggressiveness which will result in the home team coming out of their shell, with some minor fireworks of their own which will help this combined score go over the number. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BUCKNELL) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-38 OVER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

  UCI plays a grinding physical type of basketball behind a  slow pace  and  half court defense. Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge runs and guns with wreck-less abandon and was evident in a 110-98 loss to UC Davis last time out, which has added numbers to this total. With the way UCI s opus operandi works, and what I expect to be natural regression offensively by Northridge after their last one way offensive battle, Im betting we have value with an under wager here this evening. 

UC-IRVINE is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45%  or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

These two teams BYU and Gonzaga can light it up with some of the best teams in the nation.Gonzaga has  gone over the total in  22 of their 28 games have eclipsed the total in their L/11 away games  while BYU  has gone over in 16 of their  28 tilts. Gonzaga offensive efficiency is remarkable on alot of fronts but on the road they play a no prisoners type of offense, that also seems to have team having to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court, as is evident by allowing their opposition  to put up a a boat load of shots ( average 62,  ranking 323rd in the nation). What this tells me is , that if you want to be Gonzaga hyou have outscore them. 

Play OVER 

The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. 

The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. 

The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. 

MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. 

The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. 

NBA 

Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on  their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi  my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly  to the under. 

The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2  ppg scored. 

 The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. 

 INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13  with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards  are 14-0-1 OVER  L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Dartmouth has allowed 60.1 ppg at home this season, and their system is predicated oin playing tough defensive ball and nothing changes tonight on their own home court. When these teams played earlier this season, they took part in a 54-46 affair that Penn won, and this is a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch. 

PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 UNDER  after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.5 ppg scored. 

DARTMOUTH is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after a win by 15 points or more with a combined average of  130.6 ppg scored.DARTMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER  after playing a home game this season with a 119.7 ppg scored. (Dartmouth beat Cornell 75-53 at home last time out)

Play on the UNDER 

Chicago was   playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. 

The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. 

The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13  with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 analysis to follow- thank you for your patience 

Rutgers because of their strong defensive play have really stepped up their ability to compete in the Big 10. Here at home the Scarlet Knights are especially tough to play against allowing just 57.5 ppg in 17 games. Tonight at the RAC the Scarlet Knights have revenge on board for a loss to Michigan on the road earlier this season by 69-63 count, and in the past when they have been in redemption mode , playing extremely tough D, has been their modus operandi , under HC Pickell  especially  this season , as they have seen a combined average of 126.2 ppg scored in the 8 tilts that fit revenge perimeters.  Meanwhile, Michigan is off a big 89 point offensive output last time vs Indiana, thanks to some explosive beyond the arc conversion rates ( 57.4%)  and Im betting they will have natural regression here tonight. Note: MICHIGAN is 8-1 UNDER  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored. Im betting on a scrappy physical game and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total.

Play on the UNDER 

North Carolina Central plays a slow grinding type of defensive basketball. On the road they have only averaged 61.4 ppg in offence, so its imperative they continue to grind it out and thanks to a defence that has been solid on a consistent basis this season, allowing just 66.1 ppg , Im betting on more of the same action here which will influence to this total the under. 

NC Carolina A&T off a loss a favorite are 0-9 UNDER with the average ppg diff clicking in at 116.2 ppg going on the board. ( They lost last time out at Florida A&M)

NC CENTRAL is 12-3 UNDER L/15 in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or ,less of their attempts with a combined average of 127.9 ppg scored. 

CBB Road teams against the total (NC CENTRAL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games are 30-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be  another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate 

Play OVER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

LOYOLA-MD is 15-3 OVER  off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season with a combined average off 155 ppg scored. 

LOYOLA-MD is 11-2 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.

Home teams against the total (LOYOLA-MD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 90-42 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, in a tilt I have projected to eclipse this total.  CBB  teams where the total is 129.5 or less (UC-IRVINE) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are  26-4  OVER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER