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Alex Smart Basketball Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
08-29-20 Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 228.5 80-114 Win 100 4 h 41 m Show

Harden and company were on their way to a 3-1 series lead vs the Thunder last time out, but blew a DD lead. Now in redemption mode I expect a concerted two way effort from Houston and for Oklahoma city to regress offensively, which will result in a lower scoring game than expected by the lines-makers. 

HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER  after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 71-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA.teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-18 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

08-29-20 Magic v. Bucks UNDER 225.5 104-118 Win 100 6 h 49 m Show

After getting upset 122-110 in the series opener, the Bucks have  gone into hyper drive  defensively and have subsequently recorded three straight wins that have put them on the doorstep of advancement in the East. Defense is now the calling card for the Bucks in this series, and nothing will change today . 

The Bucks rank first in the league in defensive rating. Orlando ranks 10th in D rating and 25th in pace and 24th in ppg scored. 

ORLANDO is 27-13 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.9 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

08-24-20 Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 222 114-117 Loss -100 6 h 56 m Show

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Lake Buena Vista, F  

 The pace of the first 3 games of this series  registered at  98, 91, and 102  (with game 3 going into OT). Rinse and repeat here today. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog this season with as combined average of 211.2 ppg scored. 

HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER

08-23-20 Raptors v. Nets OVER 219 150-122 Win 100 7 h 42 m Show

Torontos offense remains explosive and  been firing on all cylinders in this series, scoring 116.8 points per 100 possessions and they also love to transition at high pace, (19.25) while hitting at 55.8% effective field goal percentage rate. I know the Nets have not looked good offensively but with nothing left to lose I expect them to open and to just let loose as they hope to be competitive in what is likely their last play off game of the season.

Brooklyn in 27 games this season versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season have seen a combined average score of  225.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

08-22-20 Bucks v. Magic UNDER 223.5 121-107 Loss -110 3 h 4 m Show

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL

Key offensive numbers which give momentum to a lower scoring affair here center around the  Magic have the lowest percentage of shots at the rim in the post season bubble, and  the second-least corner 3s behind a offense that is not always flowing smoothly. Thanks to their offensive inefficiencies they  have registered  the second-worst expected eFG% during these playoffs. Considering how elite the Bucks D, is Im expecting more struggles today. Meanwhile, Orlando can play conssitent D, and when Gordon is on the floor they have a star defender to mobilize against  Antetokounmpo who he  limited to 8-for-21 shooting . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.

ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43%  or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.3 ppg.ORLANDO is 20-9 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 209 ppg going on the board.ORLANDO is 18-7 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) or better  over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

08-20-20 Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 227 98-111 Win 100 10 h 3 m Show

The Rockets were in a great flow pattern in game 1 of this series recording 129 Offensive Rating in the half court. This was by far Rockets’ best performance in the half court against any playoff team this season and the Thunder’s absolute worst performance. Now Im looking for a regression back to the norm for the Rockets, and for the Thunder to really look to grind this down game in physical fashion behind a 22nd ranked Pace, and 7th ranked D, and lower tier D ranked 22nd in ppg offensive output which will help keep this game on the low side of the total. 

8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus  teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 33-19 UNDER  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-16 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

08-18-20 Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 108-123 Loss -110 13 h 30 m Show

Oklahoma City beat Houston the last time they met back in January in a 112-107 win and my projections estimate a similar total combined score here today. Note:  D'Antoni is 23-4 UNDER in non home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score of 217.3 ppg going on the board. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-13 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

HOUSTON is 15-3 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season. HOUSTON is 17-3 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 0-6 UNDER L/6 as a dog.

7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

08-18-20 Heat v. Pacers UNDER 215.5 113-101 Win 100 5 h 3 m Show

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Lake Buena Vista, F

Indiana defensive game plan  held opponents to 32% shooting from 3-point range in the restart. The Pacers ranked 3rd in ppg allowed in the NBA this season, and rank 21st in pace, and will Im betting try to slow this game down to a crawl, which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the total.   McMillan is 37-16 UNDER  off an upset win as an underdog as the coach of INDIANA with a combined averrage of 207.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 17-7 UNDER   in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER
08-17-20 Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 230 110-118 Win 100 12 h 23 m Show

Dallas’ defense is horrendous, and they dont have much or any play off experience  but this line is just a tad high according to my projections which gives us close to a two basket edge to the under. 

LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 19-8 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

08-17-20 Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222 110-134 Loss -110 7 h 23 m Show

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Lake Buena Vista, F

The Raptors defense is very deep and they have a size and physical edge in this series and have an ability to make shooters look bad.  This is evident by their 2nd ranked D vs opponents’ 50.3% eFG%. Also the Nets like to shoot 3s and the Raps will give them that opportunity , but it must be noted  , the Raptors are the best team at limiting opponents’ accuracy from downtown and the Nets Im betting will have issues converting. 

TORONTO is 23-14 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 217.8 ppg.

.NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

08-17-20 Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 216 125-135 Loss -110 5 h 54 m Show

These teams have had 3 meetings this season with scores of 98-95 and 106-100, and than a Double OT game in the bubble that resulted in a flash card total of 134-132. Four the fourth meeting Im betting on another lower scoring affair, with no OT which will get us to the promised land of cashing an under ticket. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - playing with 2 days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 67-34 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

08-15-20 Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 233 122-126 Loss -110 23 h 41 m Show

-Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 - Orlando, FL

Im betting Memphis will not play into the run and gun strength of the Blazers and instead play a more physical brand of basketball that gives them a chance to compete. This will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse this total.

MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS/PORTLAND) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-2 UNDER with a combined average of 208.5 ppg over the last 5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

08-11-20 Nets v. Magic OVER 223.5 108-96 Loss -110 1 h 1 m Show

Nets run the 10th fastest pace in the NBA while Orlando plays much slower. With the Nets short handed speed and small ball will be the name of the game which Im betting helps this game turn into a fast transitional affair that eclipses the total. After two straight losses Im expecting to a see an aggressive Magic side that will be primed to put points on the board. 

ORLANDO is 19-4 OVER   after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board.

ORLANDO is 11-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the board. 

ORLANDO is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 228,7 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

08-04-20 Suns v. Clippers OVER 230 117-115 Win 100 5 h 17 m Show

Both teams rank in the top-10 in pace averaging  more than 105 possessions per game with the Clippers ranking 8th and suns 9th. Here in aneutral court environment Im betting they run and gun with wrecklaess abandon here today in a game that eclipses this total. 
The Suns are 13-1 OVER L/13 with less than two days rest off a win as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average ppg total of 233.2 ppg scored.  

NBA teams are 12-0 OVER with more than one day of rest after they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 252.7 ppg scored. 

Play over

08-02-20 Kings v. Magic OVER 226.5 116-132 Win 100 7 h 11 m Show

Orlando, did a run and gun job on the Nets last time out byt no one played more than 26 minutes and they will be ready to run and gun again vs a Sacramento side, that  lost  129-120, despite 39 points from De'Aaron Fox. Today Im betting Fox continues his hot hand, and for the Magics array of young shooters to once again rain down some terror in what Im betting will be a back and forth affair. 


ORLANDO is 8-1 OVER   when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 7-0 OVER   after a combined score of 245 points or more this season with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. 

The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average combined score clicking in at 236 ppg.The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Kings are 18-1 OVER L/19 on the road with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

08-01-20 76ers v. Pacers UNDER 217 121-127 Loss -110 10 h 10 m Show

With key Pacers offensive cog not in the lineup here tonight vs Philadelphia, Indiana's offence Im betting will have flow problems. When Sabonis was healthy and playing earlier this season his team averaged 112 points per 100 possession and after he was injured the numbers fell to around 107 ppg points per 100 which is a huge drop in productivity . Im betting this has a direct effect on what  is a bloated tota considering the 76ers own the 4th best ppg average in the league behind a 19th ranked pace. On the flip side the Pacers own the 5th best ppg D, and rank 24th in pace, behind the 24th ranked offence. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE here today.

l. Note: INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 197.6 ppg scored.(8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons).

Play UNDER 

07-31-20 Rockets v. Mavs OVER 229 153-149 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show

Dallas   offense  ranks first in efficiency at 115.8 points per 100 possessions (one spot ahead ahead of the second-ranked Rockets)DALLAS is 11-2 OVER  on Friday nights this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. Both meetings this season were very high scoring affairs with a 128-121 result and a 137-123 score. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda. 

Play OVER

07-31-20 Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 112-119 Win 100 11 h 32 m Show

 These two teams have combined for at least 221 points in both head to head meetings this season, which includes 251 points in their last time they faced each other on the court. With a talented full compliment of players on the court for both teams Im expecting some  offensive fireworks .

Before the break the Bucks owned the number 1 pace in the league and the best offensive scoring output at 118.6 ppg .

Play OVER 

07-30-20 Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 223.5 106-104 Loss -111 10 h 38 m Show

HP Field House - Orlando, FL

New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their  last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%)  during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. 

UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. 

The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16.

NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. 

The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

03-09-20 Hornets v. Hawks UNDER 225 138-143 Loss -110 11 h 33 m Show

Atlanta's Hunter and DeAndre Bembry (abdominal) are questionable prior to Monday's game and if they play I doubt they are playing at 100%.  This will effect the flow of the Hawks. Meanwhile, Charlotte behind the 30th ranked ppg output and 30th ranked pace will in their usual fashion look to grind their opponents down via a very deliberate approach. Here against a run and gun style side like Atlanta a even more conservative approach will be in effect which will directly effect this total to the under.

The Hornets are 4-29-1 to the UNDER L/34 on the road with rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored.The Hornets are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board.

The Hawks are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average combined score clicking in at 188.6 ppg scored.The Hawks are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%). are 49-16 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

03-08-20 Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 227 112-103 Win 100 4 h 20 m Show

As we come closer to play off time teams that expect to be the post season start to pay alot more attention to defence. Thus when I look at this game between what are arguably the best two teams in the west Im expecting we have an edge with an under wager. Im betting a slower paced game that will be more physical than usual for a regular season tilt, and for both to contest the rim repeatedly. 

The Lakers are 4-30 UNDER L/43 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scoredThe Lakers are 2-23 to the UNDER L/25  when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 190.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

03-07-20 76ers v. Warriors UNDER 225.5 114-118 Loss -110 7 h 37 m Show

A depleted banged up and exhausted 76ers will play their  4th away game on this west coast road trip in  a week and now they will   be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun which Im betting will help make this a lower scoring affair.   NBA teams like Philadelphia  0-17 to the UNDER L/17 on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198 ppg scored. 

The Warriors are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

03-07-20 Nuggets v. Cavs OVER 218.5 102-104 Loss -110 12 h 1 m Show

Denver enters this tilt having gone over in 11 of their L/14 games, while the Cavaliers have gone over in 3 straight, and have seen themselves and their opponents average 223+ ppg when playing as hosts this season  as they are here tonight. With Denver finally healthy Im betting they will continue to gear up for play off basketball by getting their offensive flow back, and for Cleveland with nothing to play for to be loose and to run the floor with wreck-less abandon in chase mode, which projects to a higher combined score than this current totals line suggests. 

Nuggets: 5-0 OVER L5 in non-conference road games while the Cavaliers are : 7-0 OVER L/7  in 2/1 rest situation. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS loss.Over is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 games as a road favorite.Over is 7-1-1 in Nuggets last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall.

Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Saturday games.Over is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Nuggets are 20-3-1 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with rest off a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 234.5 ppg going on the score board. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a road favorite with rest off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 25-4-1 OVER with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 238.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

03-07-20 Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 133.5 66-62 Win 100 7 h 32 m Show


My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

03-06-20 Bucks v. Lakers UNDER 227 103-113 Win 100 13 h 59 m Show

 There is alot of offense in both these teams lineup, but Im expecting this heavy weight battle, to be like a post season tilt and be lower scoring because of both sides expected attention to playing solid defence and to be physical as well. It must be noted the Bucks own the 2nd best ppg D in the NBA, and the No.1 defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers own the 3rd best defensive rating, behind a deliberate disciplined pace that ranks 12th in the league.

The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 191.6 ppg. 

The Lakers are 4-29 UNDER L/33 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.4 ppg going on the board. 

LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored.LA LAKERS are 15-4 UNDER   in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored.  

Play UNDER 

03-06-20 Heat v. Pelicans UNDER 235 104-110 Win 100 12 h 20 m Show

Miami is quite methodical in their approach to most games, behind the 26th ranked pace, and here against a explosive New Orleans team, that must be respected Im sure  HC Spoelstra  has a grinding game plan on his agenda. You have to remember this is the same Heat team that just held Milwaukee to 89s points recently. 

The Heat are 2-16-1 UNDER L/19 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average score of 192 ppg going on the board with none of the games in the sub set going over this total. 

The Pelicans are 0-8 UNDER L/8 at home with rest when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers with the combined average score clicking in at 219.4 ppg. 

 NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

03-05-20 Raptors v. Warriors OVER 225.5 121-113 Win 100 5 h 56 m Show

According to Anthony Slater of The Athletic, Curry has been fully cleared for his return and will play on Thursday and Im betting even with reduced minutes, this will spark the Warriors to try to run with the Raptors who have had not problems despite of an array of injuries of lighting up the score board on a regular basis. 

The Raptors are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.  

The Raptors are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 239.4 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 35-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

03-05-20 76ers v. Kings UNDER 222.5 125-108 Loss -110 13 h 44 m Show

The  banged up and battered Philadelphia 76ers  will once again be short handed tonight, with three key starters  (Joel Embiid (shoulder), Ben Simmons (back)  Josh Richardson (concussion).expected to miss this road game vs Sacramento.  This Im betting effects their offensive flow of a team that only averages 105.1 ppg on the road this season, and that ranks 6th in ppg allowed overall in the NBA ( 107.2 ppg). Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been paying alot more attention to defence as the season progresses and previous to their last game took part in 5 straight lower scoring affairs that failed to eclipse the total. 

SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  218.1 ppg scored .

 NBA Teams like the Kimnhs  are 4-23-1 UNDER L/28  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average of 203.5 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 25-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

03-03-20 Raptors v. Suns UNDER 225.5 123-114 Loss -105 5 h 59 m Show

The Raptors have thrived despite dealing with injuries all season, but the most recent injuries are taking a toll because Ibaka and Gasol are their centers and they have no one to replace their quality and thus their offensive flow is off, and now knowing this they are going to have to step up defensively after allowing a whopping 133 points last time out. Meanwhile, the Suns are also banged up, and playing short handed and off two straight home losses and are also having issues with their flow. The suns last three offensive outputs have been 92, 111, 99 and another  below average offensive outing Im betting is on tonights agenda. The above mentioned realities are going to effect this total to the under. 

PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses this season.PHOENIX is 16-2 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more

The Raptors are 2-20 UNDER L/22 as a favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.The Raptors are 0-13 OU (  as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent with a combined average of 190.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 206.4 ppg going on the board.

The Suns are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 203.7 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

03-03-20 Vanderbilt v. Alabama UNDER 159.5 87-79 Loss -110 11 h 39 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

03-03-20 Nets v. Celtics UNDER 220.5 129-120 Loss -110 3 h 13 m Show

Both these teams are banged up with key regulars out of the lineup .

Boston : 

[PG] 03/02/2020 - Marcus Smart is "probable" Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Illness )[SF] 03/02/2020 - Jayson Tatum is doubtful Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Illness )

[PG] 03/02/2020 - Kemba Walker is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Knee ) He is still going to see limited time , and will playing less than 100%. 

Brooklyn:

[SG] 03/02/2020 - Garrett Temple is "?" Tuesday vs Boston ( Shoulder )[PG] 02/20/2020 - Kyrie Irving is out for season ( Shoulder )[SF] 10/19/2019 - Kevin Durant is out indefinitely ( Achilles )

The Celtics are 1-12 OU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. 

The Nets are 3-19-1 UNDER L/23 on the road with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198.4 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

03-02-20 Mavs v. Bulls OVER 224 107-109 Loss -115 11 h 58 m Show

Chicago has been picking up their pace here late in the season , with their biggest problem coming in being able to slow down opposing offences, allowing an average of 121.2 ppg. Considering Dallas can light up the board quickly, I expect the Mavs to hit the 117+ point output on their own and for the Bulls to have to open up to keep pace in what Im betting will be a  fairly high scoring affair. Note: DALLAS is 31-5 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. The Bulls are 17-1-1 OVER L/19 as a dog with rest off a loss when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average score of 231 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 off a 10+ loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 16-1 OVER L/17 as a road favorite with no rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. Dallas   in 21 games on the  road  where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season has seen a combined average of 229 ppg go on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 34-11 L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

03-02-20 Grizzlies v. Hawks OVER 239.5 127-88 Loss -100 14 h 31 m Show

 Atlanta ranks 29th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and have averaged 122.2 ppg in offence in their L/16 trips to the hardwood with 12 of those games going over the total.Meanwhile Memphis ranks 7th in pace and 23rd in ppg per allowed and are allowing a whopping 116.6 ppg on the road this season.  Based on my composite projections Im betting on the home side Atlanta , eclipsing the 122+ range with Memphis following suit in what is expected to be a high scoring affair by both me and the linesmakers.

The Hawks are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 249.2 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 254.9 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 15-1 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 244.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

03-02-20 Blazers v. Magic UNDER 222.5 130-107 Loss -110 10 h 28 m Show

Orlando enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. The Magic enter this game vs the Lilliardless Blazers off a 114-113 loss at San Antonio on Saturday night in a game they worked very hard in to try to pull off the upset. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in home games off a road loss this season with the combined score clicking in at 193.5 ppg. The Magic are also 0-18 UNDER L/18   at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score registering at 200.3 ppg. Meanwhile, NBA Teams like the Blazers are 1-15  UNDER L/16 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. Last time out the Blazers D, was smashed as they allowed 129 points in a loss and that in the past has resulted in a toned done more defensive mindset in their followup as is evident by  going Under is 7-3 UNDER in their  last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

ORLANDO is 17-5 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 204.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - good 3 point shooting team - making 36% or better  of their attempts, in March games are 140-89 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

03-02-20 NC State v. Duke OVER 152.5 69-88 Win 100 3 h 44 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

03-01-20 Wizards v. Warriors OVER 229.5 124-110 Win 100 11 h 17 m Show

The Warriors beat the Wizards 125-117 in Washington on Feb. 3, and Im expecting a similar output here today back in Oakland for the rematch. Golden State played last night in. an upset win vs the suns  so they will be on tired legs and their defensive capabilities may suffer which gives credence to my projections of a big time run and and gun Washington Wizards offensive output, which will result in the Warriors having to open up themselves with some offensive fireworks or be blown of the court. The Warriors are 13-0 OVER  l/13 with no rest off a win facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.6 ppg scored. The Warriors are 11-0 OVER with no rest off a win with a combined average of 247.5 ppg. 

The Wizards own the worst ppg D, in the league, 6th fastest pace and 6th best ppg offfence in the league and have allowed more than 123 ppg on the road this season. 

The Wizards are 10-0 OVER L/10 on the road off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 31-5-3 OVER L/39 as a favorite with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers.

Play OVER 

03-01-20 76ers v. Clippers OVER 218.5 130-136 Win 100 5 h 27 m Show

The Clippers crushed the Denver Nuggets 132-103 in a matchup of Western Conference contenders last time out, and now in their current form Im betting they will once again explode offensively  vs a Philadelphia team playing without  Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.  I expect the Clippers to take this chance to really bring the heat here today vs a shorthanded Eastern Conference contender, that beat them 110-103 in Philly back on Feb 11. The Clippers   according the my projections will put up in the 117+ point range offensively while the Sixers put +105 ppg on the scoreboard. 

The Clippers are 11-0 OVER L/12 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 237.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 43-18 L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

02-28-20 Cavs v. Pelicans UNDER 237 104-116 Win 100 10 h 46 m Show

The public loves to bet Zion and company overs, and the lines-makers are offering them an option to do what they love to do and that is  bet the over at what I feel is a slightly bloated number ( 1 possession -3). This reminds me of a saying from the Late Jimmy the Greek, The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. 

Which leads me into my contrarian wager here as a I recommend we take the under. It must be noted that the Cavaliers are off a huge win at home last time out as underdogs vs the Sixers and will now Im betting be in a letdown situation.  Which brings into play this trend that shows CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

 Teams like the Cavaliers  are 1-18 UNDER L/19 on the road off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had at least 10 more turnovers than their opponent with the average combined score of 183.2 ppg scored.The Cavaliers are also  0-15 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with the average combined score of those tilts ringing  at 201.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 33-12 UNDER UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-27-20 Arizona v. USC UNDER 139 48-57 Win 100 8 h 31 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

02-27-20 Kings v. Thunder UNDER 223 108-112 Win 100 10 h 47 m Show

Sacramentos last two road games both wins have featured top tier defensive efforts, holding the Clippers to just 103 points and the Warriors to 94 points. Their successes will have them continue to concentrate on playing top tier D, and this Im betting contributes to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated number.

OKLAHOMA CITY in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. 

The Thunder are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

02-27-20 Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 133 74-66 Loss -109 6 h 35 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

02-26-20 Celtics v. Jazz UNDER 219 114-103 Win 100 11 h 16 m Show

Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to  make a concerted effort  at turning this into a  physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER  off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) 

The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-26-20 Wolves v. Heat OVER 228.5 129-126 Win 100 12 h 51 m Show

Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. 

The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. 

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.

NBA

The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER  

02-26-20 East Carolina v. South Florida UNDER 128 68-73 Loss -109 8 h 47 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

02-25-20 Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 70-78 Loss -109 9 h 27 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

02-24-20 Alcorn State v. Alabama State OVER 135.5 80-77 Win 100 10 h 3 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 
02-24-20 Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 145.5 59-71 Loss -110 2 h 54 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

02-24-20 Bucks v. Wizards OVER 240.5 137-134 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining  back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings  clicking in at 268 ppg. 

Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better  over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

02-23-20 Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 225.5 112-114 Loss -105 7 h 58 m Show

Two top tier teams one from the West and one from the East do battle this afternoon in LA as the Lakers host the Celtics .Its an early start and Im leaning on an under here in what should be a chippy post season type affair. The Lakers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency in the league  6th in ppg per game allowed behind the 12th ranked pace, while the Celtics ranked 3rd in ppg allowed and operate fairly slowly behind the 17th rank pace.  The time of the game, the metrics and also my projections estimate the total should be closer to 221 thus giving us more than 1 possession of value on this number. 

Under is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-9 in Celtics last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 41-18 in Lakers last 59 games as a home favorite.

BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board.

The Lakers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/12 off a 10+ win in a home game when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after with a combined average score of 183.2 ppg scored. 

The Celtics are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they are off two games in which they had more than 25 fouls with a combined average of 186.3 ppg scored. 


NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

02-23-20 Bucknell v. Lehigh OVER 139 60-69 Loss -119 2 h 27 m Show

Bucknell won as fav in their L/2 games, and when this has happened in the recent past they have gone over in 11 straight times in the followup  with a combined average of 161.5 ppg going on the board with each tilt in the subset easily eclipsing this number. Look for Bucknell now with confidence to set the pace of this tilt and to come out here with some offensive aggressiveness which will result in the home team coming out of their shell, with some minor fireworks of their own which will help this combined score go over the number. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BUCKNELL) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-38 OVER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

02-22-20 Cal-Irvine v. CS-Northridge UNDER 149.5 87-64 Loss -110 14 h 2 m Show

  UCI plays a grinding physical type of basketball behind a  slow pace  and  half court defense. Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge runs and guns with wreck-less abandon and was evident in a 110-98 loss to UC Davis last time out, which has added numbers to this total. With the way UCI s opus operandi works, and what I expect to be natural regression offensively by Northridge after their last one way offensive battle, Im betting we have value with an under wager here this evening. 

UC-IRVINE is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45%  or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

02-22-20 Gonzaga v. BYU OVER 158 78-91 Win 100 12 h 25 m Show

These two teams BYU and Gonzaga can light it up with some of the best teams in the nation.Gonzaga has  gone over the total in  22 of their 28 games have eclipsed the total in their L/11 away games  while BYU  has gone over in 16 of their  28 tilts. Gonzaga offensive efficiency is remarkable on alot of fronts but on the road they play a no prisoners type of offense, that also seems to have team having to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court, as is evident by allowing their opposition  to put up a a boat load of shots ( average 62,  ranking 323rd in the nation). What this tells me is , that if you want to be Gonzaga hyou have outscore them. 

Play OVER 

02-22-20 Kings v. Clippers OVER 230 112-103 Loss -110 5 h 33 m Show

The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. 

The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. 

The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

02-21-20 Celtics v. Wolves OVER 226 127-117 Win 100 6 h 2 m Show

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. 

MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. 

The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. 

NBA 

Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

02-21-20 Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 212.5 106-98 Win 100 12 h 10 m Show

Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on  their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi  my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly  to the under. 

The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2  ppg scored. 

 The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. 

 INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13  with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-21-20 Cavs v. Wizards OVER 235.5 113-108 Loss -110 8 h 16 m Show

 Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards  are 14-0-1 OVER  L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

02-21-20 Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 133 59-66 Win 100 11 h 12 m Show

Dartmouth has allowed 60.1 ppg at home this season, and their system is predicated oin playing tough defensive ball and nothing changes tonight on their own home court. When these teams played earlier this season, they took part in a 54-46 affair that Penn won, and this is a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch. 

PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 UNDER  after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.5 ppg scored. 

DARTMOUTH is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after a win by 15 points or more with a combined average of  130.6 ppg scored.DARTMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER  after playing a home game this season with a 119.7 ppg scored. (Dartmouth beat Cornell 75-53 at home last time out)

Play on the UNDER 

02-20-20 Hornets v. Bulls UNDER 211 103-93 Win 100 14 h 47 m Show

Chicago was   playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. 

The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. 

The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13  with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-20-20 Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 224.5 126-106 Loss -110 13 h 2 m Show

 analysis to follow- thank you for your patience 

02-19-20 Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 135 60-52 Win 100 11 h 45 m Show

Rutgers because of their strong defensive play have really stepped up their ability to compete in the Big 10. Here at home the Scarlet Knights are especially tough to play against allowing just 57.5 ppg in 17 games. Tonight at the RAC the Scarlet Knights have revenge on board for a loss to Michigan on the road earlier this season by 69-63 count, and in the past when they have been in redemption mode , playing extremely tough D, has been their modus operandi , under HC Pickell  especially  this season , as they have seen a combined average of 126.2 ppg scored in the 8 tilts that fit revenge perimeters.  Meanwhile, Michigan is off a big 89 point offensive output last time vs Indiana, thanks to some explosive beyond the arc conversion rates ( 57.4%)  and Im betting they will have natural regression here tonight. Note: MICHIGAN is 8-1 UNDER  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored. Im betting on a scrappy physical game and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total.

Play on the UNDER 

02-17-20 North Carolina Central v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 134.5 60-77 Loss -110 10 h 7 m Show

North Carolina Central plays a slow grinding type of defensive basketball. On the road they have only averaged 61.4 ppg in offence, so its imperative they continue to grind it out and thanks to a defence that has been solid on a consistent basis this season, allowing just 66.1 ppg , Im betting on more of the same action here which will influence to this total the under. 

NC Carolina A&T off a loss a favorite are 0-9 UNDER with the average ppg diff clicking in at 116.2 ppg going on the board. ( They lost last time out at Florida A&M)

NC CENTRAL is 12-3 UNDER L/15 in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or ,less of their attempts with a combined average of 127.9 ppg scored. 

CBB Road teams against the total (NC CENTRAL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games are 30-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-16-20 All Star LeBron v. All Star Giannis OVER 303.5 157-155 Win 100 25 h 19 m Show

After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be  another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate 

Play OVER 

02-16-20 Colgate v. Loyola Maryland OVER 148.5 80-84 Win 100 3 h 16 m Show

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

LOYOLA-MD is 15-3 OVER  off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season with a combined average off 155 ppg scored. 

LOYOLA-MD is 11-2 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.

Home teams against the total (LOYOLA-MD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 90-42 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

02-14-20 Cornell v. Harvard UNDER 137.5 63-85 Loss -109 9 h 50 m Show

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

02-12-20 Cal-Irvine v. Cal-Riverside OVER 128 63-59 Loss -110 13 h 59 m Show

Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, in a tilt I have projected to eclipse this total.  CBB  teams where the total is 129.5 or less (UC-IRVINE) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are  26-4  OVER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

02-12-20 Heat v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 101-116 Win 100 11 h 52 m Show

This is the fifth game in the Heats Western road trip and they are now on tired legs and wont have their usual jump here tonight in the high altitude of Utah which Im betting directly effects their  offensive output tonight which favors an under wager . 

The Heat are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a win facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a road game in which they had fewer than 4 times as many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189.7 ppg scored. 

Snyder in his L/49 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of UTAH has seen a combined average of 203.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

02-12-20 Illinois State v. Northern Iowa OVER 139.5 63-71 Loss -109 9 h 44 m Show


My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER 

02-12-20 East Carolina v. Tulsa OVER 132 56-70 Loss -112 11 h 43 m Show


My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER 

02-11-20 Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 232 105-116 Win 100 12 h 18 m Show

Boston enters this game fully healthy and will be primed to play top tier defence here behind the 17th ranked pace and  2nd ranked ppg D in the league. Meanwhile, Houston since changing over to a predominant small ball lineup have shown mixed results with the most troubling aspect seeing difficulties from beyond the arc which Im betting will effect output here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

The Rockets are 9-35-5 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest with a combine average of 217.3 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-11-1 UNDER l/12 on the road with rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg. 

HOUSTON is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

02-10-20 Kings v. Bucks UNDER 228 111-123 Loss -110 9 h 9 m Show

We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me. 

The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1  game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total. 

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 

02-09-20 Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 114-113 Win 100 7 h 14 m Show

The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. 

The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. 

The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. 

HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

02-09-20 Knicks v. Hawks OVER 226.5 135-140 Win 100 7 h 44 m Show

This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. 

ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Knicks  are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg.

Play on the OVER 

02-08-20 Bucks v. Magic UNDER 220.5 112-95 Win 100 6 h 28 m Show

Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence  so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under.

The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. 

The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. 

ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

02-07-20 Rockets v. Suns UNDER 234 91-127 Win 100 10 h 18 m Show

The new look Rockets, on tired legs  get set to play the second of a road back-to-back set Friday night against the   Phoenix Suns .  Im betting some of their trades screw with the offensive flow of the team at least for tonight, and because of their uptempo win vs the Lakers last night will now be in an emotional letdown spot in regression stage. This    Im betting will effect the total to the low side here this evening. 

The Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 187.6 ppg scored. 

The Rockets are 0-16-2 UNDER L/18 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 213.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 1-17-1 UNDER L/19 as a home dog with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 212.9 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 42-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

02-06-20 Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 117-125 Loss -110 10 h 47 m Show

San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run .  Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. 

The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. 

02-05-20 Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 228.5 121-107 Win 100 12 h 31 m Show

 Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks  has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. 

MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored.

The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. 

The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

02-03-20 Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 224 123-115 Loss -110 6 h 28 m Show

The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored.

HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg.

The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

02-02-20 Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231 108-129 Loss -110 5 h 41 m Show

Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites  to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort  to make sure they don't have  a repeat performance and to make sure they have  a much better defensive effort. 

Teams like the Bucks  are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15  with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. 

The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. 

The Suns are 1-13 UNDER  as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

02-02-20 Illinois v. Iowa OVER 146 65-72 Loss -116 2 h 60 m Show

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 151 points . 

Play OVER 

02-01-20 Nets v. Wizards UNDER 242.5 107-113 Win 100 8 h 4 m Show

The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we   we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under.  Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

01-31-20 Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 241 111-139 Loss -115 12 h 7 m Show

Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. 

The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored.

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

01-30-20 Oregon State v. Stanford UNDER 129.5 68-63 Loss -110 5 h 24 m Show


My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

01-30-20 Raptors v. Cavs OVER 221.5 115-109 Win 100 6 h 1 m Show

Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of  226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5  +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total.

TORONTO is 8-1 OVER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. 

The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams like the Raptors  are 22-2 OVER L/24  as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. 

The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

01-28-20 Wizards v. Bucks UNDER 244.5 131-151 Loss -114 7 h 0 m Show

Milwaukee has been playing some excellent defence of late, and as a result of this have gone under the set total in 5 of their L/6 trips to the hardwood. We all know Washington loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but after a huge back and forth tilt last time out vs Atlanta ( 133-152) regression to the mean is expected which puts this tilt closer to the 234 range, which according to my own projections gives us value on an under. 

MILWAUKEE is 24-13 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.6 ppg scored.

The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 at home with rest off a 10+ win in a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 194.2 ppg with none of the games in this subset going over this total. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 5-25 UNDER L/30 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which a game in which their points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER  L/23 seasons seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

01-26-20 Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 132 71-59 Win 100 7 h 13 m Show

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 UNDER  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.1 ppg scored.NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 UNDER  in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored. 

OHIO ST is 8-1 UNDER  in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. (Which was the case last time out at home vs Minnesota) OHIO ST is 9-2 UNDER  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with the combined average 125.6 ppg. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 37-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

01-26-20 Raptors v. Spurs OVER 223 110-106 Loss -107 18 h 33 m Show

 The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting  37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. 

TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

01-24-20 Clippers v. Heat UNDER 222 122-117 Loss -115 10 h 22 m Show

 Miami,   has won its last two home games in overtime and could easily find themselves on tired legs here tonight in a game that Im betting will be slow paced as compared to some of their more recent efforts. 

The Clippers their opponents tonight  are 8-23 UNDER  since Nov 08, 2018 as a road dog and have recently gone under 4 straight times as road dogs with the  combined average score of 209.7 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season

The Heat  0-7-2 UNDER  L9 vs the LA Clippers. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-9 L 23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102  or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 23-5 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

01-24-20 Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 155 70-66 Win 100 9 h 32 m Show

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

KENT ST is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games

Home teams against the total (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (76 or more  PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 59-27 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate fro bettors. 

UNDER

01-23-20 Montana v. Idaho State OVER 132 77-74 Win 100 9 h 20 m Show


My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

OVER

01-23-20 Lakers v. Nets UNDER 227 128-113 Loss -110 11 h 14 m Show

The Lakers defence rebounded nicely from allowing 139 points on Monday in a blowout loss at Boston by recording a 100-92 road victory over the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Im betting on more of the same hardcore defensive action tonight against the Brooklyn Nets in a game I have projected to stay under this slightly bloated total. Quote:"They're an elite defense," Nets coach Kenny Atkinson said of the Lakers. "(JaVale) McGee and (Dwight) Howard are absolutely playing, really protecting the rim. They obviously have elite perimeter defenders with LeBron and Danny Green and all those guys.END QUOTE.

 The Lakers have gone under 10 of 11 games as favs with no rest.  The Nets have gone under 8 of their L/10 times at home vs a side playing the 2nd of back to backs. 

Play UNDER 

01-22-20 Grizzlies v. Celtics UNDER 232 95-119 Win 100 7 h 20 m Show

The Celtics enter off a 139-107 rout of the Western Conference-leading Los Angeles Lakers on Monday vs an explosive Memphis side with a less than average defence. Thanks to this we have a bloated total to bet into here favoring the under.  Memphis thanks to bloated total lines involcving them have seen 4 straight games stay under the total. Stevens in the L/21 games after a combined score of 245 points or more as the coach of BOSTON has seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 11-3 UNDER after allowing 120 points or more this season which waws the case last time out. ( the combined average score of these games was 219.3 ppg.

NBA MEMPHIS is 23-8 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 40-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

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01-20-20 Winthrop v. Radford OVER 145 61-56 Loss -110 7 h 1 m Show

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RADFORD) - after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are 35-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

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01-19-20 Heat v. Spurs OVER 220.5 102-107 Loss -109 6 h 26 m Show

The two teams played Wednesday in Miami, with the Heat producing a 106-100 victory. However, Im betting on a much faster pace being set here as the Spurs on their own home floor will play at fast out of transition. Last time out the Spurs took part in a 121-120 loss to Atlanta, and in the recent past SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 OVER  after a loss by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 235.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER  in non-conference games this season with the average combined score of 230.9 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored.

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01-18-20 Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 106-119 Loss -110 4 h 1 m Show

The Blazers are off a loss last night and now  playing  a back-to-back, will be on tired legs this evening vs Oklahoma City.  Things would be worse without the production from point guard Damian Lillard who as usual even in a loss lead the way for the Blazers Note:The Blazers are 0-18 UNDER as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Lilliard scored 30 points or more which was the case last night.

Donovan is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 39-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

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01-18-20 Kings v. Jazz UNDER 223.5 101-123 Loss -110 4 h 23 m Show

Utah's 10-game winning streak ended Thursday when the Jazz suffered a 138-132 overtime loss to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Their defence was the culprit last time out, but now in rebound mode Im looking for the Jazz to go into shut down mode which will see a score that fails to eclipse this total. 

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 UNDER  in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 215.4 ppg going on the board. 

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 plus PPG), after scoring 130 points or more are 70-40 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

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01-18-20 Louisville v. Duke OVER 137.5 79-73 Win 100 1 h 12 m Show

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

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01-17-20 Heat v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 115-108 Loss -110 5 h 22 m Show

While the Heat are 28-12 and second in the Eastern Conference, they have struggled away from home.The Heat are just 10-11 on the road, scoring 7.5 points per game fewer away from AmericanAirlines Arena scoring  an average of 108 ppg behind the 25th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City rank 19th in ppg, behind the 24th ranked pace, entering this game after a wild game against the Raptors last time out (130-121), Im expecting an offensive regression and a return to their usual staunch defensive ways.Donovan is 70-39 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 84-53 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. 

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01-17-20 Wisconsin v. Michigan State UNDER 131 55-67 Win 100 8 h 39 m Show

 Wisconsin’s deliberate and excruciating slow modus operandi has seen them  last six games. not eclipse  the  118 point plateau  in five of  their L/6 games. This type of game plan will continue tonight against the most explosive offensive team in the Big 10 here tonight, in what Im betting will continue a tradition of low scoring battles between these teams dating back to the 2010 season. These team when the total has bee set at  131, the under has cashed 13 times and pushed once . More of the same brutal on the eyes hard core action Im betting is on tap tonight. 

WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118 ppg scored.

MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

01-16-20 CS Sacramento v. Northern Colorado OVER 124.5 52-71 Loss -110 3 h 40 m Show

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

01-16-20 Celtics v. Bucks OVER 224.5 123-128 Win 100 7 h 8 m Show

The Bucks took 128-102 win against the New York Knicks on Tuesday with the comfortable margin of victory allowing them to limit the minutes of their starters. Im betting they will be very fresh here and ready to really bring some heat on the Celtics offensively . That in part is why the books laid such a big side number on this game, also factoring in the Celtics fatigue factor with this being a back to back situation for them, and also taking into consideration that HC Stevens left alot of the starters in for more minutes than expected. While the side, is to inflated to have me on the Bucks I do expect their motivation to really see them show no mercy tonight and for the proud Celtics to fire back with some offensive  fire works of their own in chase mode which Im betting sees a score that eclipses this total. 

Teams like the Celtics  are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog with no rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with the combined average score clicking in at 236.7 ppg.

he Bucks are 9-0 OVER L/9  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

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