My projections estimate that this total should be closer to 212 which gives us more than a 1 possession advantage on this total to the over.

MIAMI is 10-0 OVER  as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. MIAMI is 15-5 OVER versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 overall.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a favorite.Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential), after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are 24-3 OVER  L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two struggling  defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games 36-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play OVER

Golden State is no longer a team that can just beat up on opponents   behind an explosive offense as they only rank 21st in offensive rating and as a result  their defense has had to ramp itself up as is evident in ranking 9th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, they now go against a Rockets side that rank 27th in offensive rating. I know both sides like to run at a faster pace their efficiencies and deficiencies dictate uneven proficiency from a offensive standpoint giving us value with an under wager on this offered totals number. The Rockets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a home dog coming off a home win with a combined average of 207.4 ppg. 

HOUSTON is 21-11 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored. 

GOLDEN STATE is 24-13 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

The Celtics are increasing their pace and offensive aggressiveness of late and have gone over in 3 straight games, and Im betting they will press the action again and turn this into a scoring fest.

The Spurs are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 OVER   in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-28 OVER (+10.2 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 21-9 OVER  after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.7 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

The Pelicans have gone under in 3 straight games and have played good defence of late, and Im betting they remain on the path here tonight vs a Thunder side that is ranked 28th in ppg offence this season. Van Gundy is 22-9 UNDER in road games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog in all games he has coached with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored. 

The Thunder are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog coming off a win in which they had more turnovers than assists with a combined average of 199.9 ppg scored. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-21 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored.

NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 38-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Indiana after allowing +130 points last time out in a lopsided loss will try to get back to defensive basics here this evening vs the run and gun Nets which Im betting will be deflating to this combined score to to low side of the offered totals number. Note:  Pacers Domantas Sabonis is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Brooklyn ( Back ) and this Im betting effects positive flow for the Pacers and will directly impact offensive output, making playing a better brand of D of utmost importance. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

My projections make this total closer to 217. Great value here with an over wager if generalities play out. 

The Spurs are 12-0-1 OVER L/13  as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game with the average combined score clicking in at 237 ppg. MIAMI is 11-2 OVER  in home games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored.

MIAMI is 15-4 OVER  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting  24 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored.   MIAMI is 23-9 OVER   in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 154-95 OVER  L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

Charlotte lost 114-104 to Milwaukee last night, and susceptible to being trampled on by their hosts tonight, which will have them in chase mode which bodes well in a garbage time scenario  for an over wager to cash  .  My projections estimate that the Celtics will put close to 117 points on the board with Charlotte projected to put 103 points on the scoreboard. Which gives us a full possession advantage on this total.  Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a favorite.

CHARLOTTE is 9-0 OVER in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. 

Borrego is 15-2 OVER  in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Orlando has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and Im betting on a more uptempo game than the first two meetings in this series back in January. Advantage over. 

ORLANDO is 25-7 OVER  versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 9-1 OVER  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored.

ORLANDO is 7-0 OVER after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. 

 CLEVELAND is 23-12 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a losing record are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

This number stood out to me from an eye test, and then my projections verified my initial observation . Value to the under.

HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better this season. 

HOUSTON is 20-10 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored.  

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 225 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - off a home win against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 26-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Raptors may not be a championship quality team anymore but they still are well coached and have the ability to slow explosive sides the Nets down . After playing last night the Raptors are on tired legs so they wont be in any shape to run and gun here, and with the Nets off a hard fought run and gun win vs the Suns last time out, I expect they will be in a letdown situation , which will also contribute to a lower combined score than anticipated. 

TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 35-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER 

Boston is off a loss last time out and will have little mercy here vs the Thunder tonight. That will have the thunder operating and catchup zone all night which will help this combined score go over the total. The Celtics are 14-0-1 OVER L/15 coming off a road loss where they had at least 30% of their points on threes with a combined average of 236 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 14-4 OVER  in home games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 13-4 OVER off a road loss this season. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games are 54-29 OVER L/5 seasons, for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER
 

The Suns last time out, looked fatigued from the quick turnaround after playing Philadelphia, were also outr-ebounded 48-38 by the Celtics in 99-86 loss. Im betting that exhaustion will  continue permeate today and that they will be more interested in slowing this game down vs the fast paced Nets , to remain competitive which Im betting directly effects the combined score. 

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 93-39 UNDER L/24 seasons for 71% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

Boston has gone under in 10 of their L/15 and will be primed to slow things down vs the high flying run and gun Nets here this evening in revenge mode for a 121-109 loss back in March.  This Im betting results in a lower combined score than the offered total. 

BROOKLYN is 12-2 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg. 

BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 115-68 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 65-39 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

This total is based on a projection prognosis which is based on how both teams matchup against each other . This one is simple, as my number suggests this total should be closer to 219 giving us a full possession of value. 

The Pistons are 16-0 OVER L/16  as a 8+ point dog after allowed at least 45 points in the paint and being outscored in the paint last game with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Miami successes and failures are based on how ell they play defence. They rank 3rd in ppg allowed , and just. 26th in ppg offensive output and the 28th ranked pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio ranks 20th in ppg offence, and 12 in ppg defence behind a 15 ranked pace. With that said, the numbers suggest we will get a game that sees a combined score in the lower range of 215 number being offered. 

 .Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

MIAMI is 15-7 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. 

The Heat are 0-10 UNDER L/10 going under by more than 20 ppg on average  on the road coming off a win.

Under is 11-4 in Spurs last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play UNDER

The Suns were completely asleep at the wheel in their last trip to the hardwood losing a 111-85 decision at home to the Spurs. Could they have been looking ahead to this top tier tilt? Whatever the situation was, Im expecting a rebound here, and special attention played to playing top tier defensive effort. PHOENIX is 17-3 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. The Bucks HC Budenholzer is 111-78 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with the combined average of 208.5 ppg scored. Its obvious both teams can light it up, but top tier D, will be on display tonight in this EAST vs WEST slugfest. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

The Wizards are 0-12-2 UNDER L/14 at home with less than two days rest coming off a home win in which they never trailed. WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER  versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

These teams overall numbers might point to a lower scoring type of affair, but from a matchup perspective my projections estimate this total to be closer to 216 giving us a full possesion plus of value for an over wager. 

Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER  in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. 

Pistons and Cavaliers have gone over in their L/9 meetings with a combined average of  (227.8 ppg going on the board. )

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 114-70  OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate.

Play OVER

Atlanta runs a fairly methodical offense despite of their reputation,  ranking 24th in the NBA in pace  and only rank 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but have still seen the  Under  get notched in their  last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Which tells me they play differently against these type of teams, and or are forced into slowing down vs sides that know taking the Pacers flow away will be advantageous. Im betting this stronger than expected Hawks side will find a way to slow this game down to a pace that is manageable. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating.  INDIANA is 22-10 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored.

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-14 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

This totals projection to the over is based on head to head matchup stats as compared to current defensive postures and the systems and form being implemented by both sides. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games. Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a home favorite.

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 OVER  in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg going on the board.

The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11 going over by more than 15 ppg with rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field with the average combined score clicking in at 242 ppg. PHOENIX is 11-3 OVER  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 32-10 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

When these teams played back on March 4th they combined to put 223 points on the board in a Bucks 112 -111 win vs the Grizzlies. My projections in rematch estimate a combined score that is in the 233 range which gives us a more than 1 possession advantage. After playing last night the Grizzlies will not have the legs to run with the explosive Bucks, so instead I look for a concerted effort in transition that will slow this game down enough for a more muted score than many might expect. 

It must be noted that the Bucks rank 7th in defensive rating and the Grizzlies 8th.: Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions)

Under is 19-7 in Grizzlies last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4 in Grizzlies last 13 games as an underdog.Under is 19-7 in Grizzlies last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4 in Grizzlies last 13 games as an underdog.

MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average fo 217 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 209.1 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 23-11 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored in those 34 tilts. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 46-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 60-21 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

These two teams according to my projections will take part in a fairly physical affair that will see the combined score stay under this total. 

Golden State ranks 9th in defensive efficiency in the NBA while Boston is 10th in ppg allowed and 21st in pace. 

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the board. 

GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-10 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season. GOLDEN STATE is 21-11 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Under is 12-4 in Warriors last 16 road games.

Warriors: 0-10 UNDER L/10 vs the Celtics .

Celtics: 1-8 UNDER at home in 1/1 rest. 

NBA  Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 33-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER

My projections estimate that the Grizzlies will score at least 115 +points here tonight while the Bulls will put up 109+ points , which gives us a full possession value on this total to the over. 

MEMPHIS is 24-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 25-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.The Grizzlies are 11-0 OVER  L/11 eclipsing the number by more than 16+ ppg off a game as a dog in which they had at least 30% of their points on three-pointers.Jenkins is 17-4 OVER  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Oklahoma State has averaged less than 100 points per game in their L/6 overall, and Im betting their offensive conversion rate will continue vs the Warriors tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number, based on the Thunders horrendous 43% FG conversion rate in their L/5 tilts. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series have remained on the low side of the total. 

GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 210.4 ppg scored.

The Warriors are 0-12 UNDER L/12  on the road after Stephen Curry had the highest plus/minus on the team last game going under by more than 16.5 ppg.

Play UNDER

My own projections estimate a total that should be closer to 218. Thus giving us value with an under wager. We have a full possession plus to work with this spot play. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a struggling team ( 7 PPG or less differential), after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 26-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (+7  or more PPG diff.) against a struggling  team (- 7 or less  PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Clippers rank 28th in pace in the NBA and own the 6th best ppg defense and 2nd ranked defensive rating and have allowed an average of 107 ppg on the road. Im betting the Clippers do what they do best and control the pace of this tilt and defensively own a side that is going to be in a regression mode tonight after taking part in a 132-125 uptempo affair last time out.  This Im betting directly effects the the total combined score to the under here.   INDIANA is 18-4 UNDER  after scoring 130 points or more  with an average of 201.4 ppg scored.

 LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 218.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team ( 36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making  50% or better  of their shots are 28-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 32-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 43-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Jazz average just under 120 ppg at home this season, and against a lower tier defensive side like the Wizards Im betting on them putting 5 to 10 more points on that average tonight, while the Wizards Im betting will be good for 110+ points in a chasing environment. When these teams played back on March 18th the Wizards  took a 131-122 affair, and more fireworks should be considered highly likely again in the rematch as Utah will have little empathy in melt up type of revenge match.WASHINGTON is 15-3 OVER  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 247.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.7 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 258.3 ppg scored.

NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Spurs D has been trashed on a very consistent basis of late, allowing 134, 132, 134, 139, 125, 121 points in a 10 game span, and against this kind of opponent my estimates project Dallas to score in excess of 115+ points while the Spurs project to score 109+ points. Note: DALLAS is 20-4 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238 ppg going on the board. 

 The Spurs are 11-0-1 OVER L/12  as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

Popovich is 34-16 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the board . 

Play OVER

Afternoon basketball can start a little slower then night time hoops, and today Im betting on an affair that is grinding in nature and that combines to stay under the offered totals number. 

Denver runs the 29th ranked pace in the NBA along with the 9th best ppg defence. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 21st in pace in own the 10th best ppg defence. 

Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 overall.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play UNDER

Charlotte plays a style conducive to slowing  down teams like Atlanta. This Im betting will see this afternoon tilt garner  alot less scoring than some may be  anticipated. 

CHARLOTTE is 20-9 UNDER   in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 75-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

Oklahoma City's D, has been shredded on a consistent basis of late, allowing an average of 129.4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im expecting this trend to continue which projects into what Im betting will be a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. 

Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 home games. Over is 26-10-1 in 76ers last 37 games playing on 0 days rest.

 NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play OVER

Denver owns the 9th ranked ppg D in the NBA behind the 29th ranked pace, while, San Antonio ranks 15th in pce in 22nd in offense  ppg. Considering both sides condensed exhausting schedule, and their other pertinent  numbers we have a projected  tilt that very much looks like a combined score that fails to eclipse this number is a likely scenario. 

Malone is 10-1 UNDER in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12  or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 198.6 ppg. 

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible to a very slow start and a down offensive performance against a defense that has alot of stopping power as is evident by ranking 6th in ppg allowed behind the 27th ranked pace. Advantage under. 

PHOENIX is 18-8 UNDER  in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Utah enters this game off an exhausting game last night vs the Suns, losing in OT. Now in an emotional letdown spot I expect the Jazz to not be as aggressive offensive  as usual which Im betting results in a game that goes under the set total.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are they 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

This is the Bucks 5th straight road game and now on tired legs I expect a slower pace from them here and a more defensive minded stance, as they allowed 128 points last time out in a back and forth 129-128 win. Note: MILWAUKEE is 20-9 UNDER  after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219. 8 ppg scored. 

The Warriors are 0-10-2 UNDER off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus. 

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER versus below average foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NB ARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/24 seasons  for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

Over is 5-1-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and tonight Im betting they push the red hot Heat into a faster paced more offensive game then they would like to partake in. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite.

MIAMI is 8-0 OVER  in home games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.

MIAMI is 13-3 OVER  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg. 

MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229 ppg scored.

MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored.

Only one of Grizzlies last 10 games have seen less than 216 combined points scored.

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

Play OVER

The Sixers ranks 7th in ppg allowed while the Celtics rank 10th behind the 21st ranked pace. Both sides are considered eastern conference contenders and rivals and tonight Im betting on a physical affair, as both jockey for play off seeding possibilities and domination from a head to head standpoint.

Boston has gone under in 5 straight. Philadelphia have stayed under in 8 of their L/11 overall. 

BOSTON is 30-11 UNDER L/41 after a huge blowout win by 30 or more with the average combined score of 193 ppg scored. (Beat Charlotte 116-86 last time out) Regression is expected. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 51-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER

The Suns, who will visit the Houston Rockets on Monday, closed Sunday ranked seventh in offensive rating (115.3) and tonight Im betting on more offensive explosiveness, that will result in a wide open affair that eclipses this number. 

The Rockets are 21-0-1 OVER  with no rest after a loss in which they led after the third quarter which was the case last time out. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Atlanta Hawks return home and are now on tired legs after  their season-long eight-game road trip and now this  Sunday play to host the Golden State Warriors.Both sides are banged up as the condensed schedule takes its toll on teams. If Warriors Seth curry plays he will be less than 100% with a sore tailbone as will Atlantas Trae Young who has knee issues. With that said, Im betting on a muted type tilt that will be slower than might be expected, which will translate into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers  estimates. The last time these teams played the Hawks pounded the Warriors by a DD deficit and now I expect the Warriors to be more vigilant defensively.Note: Kerr is 35-18 UNDER  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 34-21 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 18-9 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. 

The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average last game with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 47-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Lakers modus operandi has been a top tier brand of  defense , as is evident by ranking 2nd in the league in ppg allowed, behind what is now a short handed offense that ranks 22nd in ppg scored this season. The Lakers have gone under in 9 of their L/10 games. Competing here against the explosive Clippers Im betting will see the Lakers be even more attentive in transition which will dictate a slower pace (ranked 15th in the league) than is usually the case and this this will translate into a combined score that does not eclipse this offered number. 

LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.7 ppg. LA LAKERS are 20-4 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season for a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 16-3 UNDER   versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215 ppg. LA LAKERS are 23-8 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 92-38 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Cleveland has been held under 100 points in each of its past four games, but all the more need to open up, which will effect their defensive numbers. Miami popped 116 points on the board last time out, and are more than capable of putting points on the board here. 

MIAMI is 9-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  232.2 ppg. 

MIAMI is 15-4 OVER  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226 ppg going on the board. MIAMI is 11-1 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER  in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg were scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 25-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER

These teams have plenty of offensive  fire power, but they both still possess some physical defensive attributes, and Im betting those stopping  qualities  will shine in this tilt between top tier sides. I expect both teams to pay special attention to defense especially in transition. Bucks HC Budenholzer is 83-56 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached with the average combined score ringing in at 209.9 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/ PORTLAND) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a  88% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Houston ranks 25th in ppg offence , while Boston ranks 16th in offensive ppg output. both have proven themselves highly inconsistent offensively and Im betting on more of the same muted action when they meet this Friday night. 

Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite.

Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games as a road underdog.

HOUSTON is 18-4 UNDER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average score of 216.6 ppg. HOUSTON is 25-9 UNDER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season for a combined average of 217.9 ppg. HOUSTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. 

Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

Play UNDER

The Raptors in my opinion are in tank mode and playing with little or no motivation, and their offence has proven futile for a quite a while now. The Raptors are 0-12 UNDER L/12  at home off a loss in which they shot under 40% from the field, which was the case last time out. Torontos opponent Golden State, is 20-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons . This game has sleeper written all over it, that will translate to a lower scoring affair. 

Play on the UNDER 

New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly, which could see their improving defensive game lapse early giving us the room for a faster pace game as this tilt progresses giving an edge for this total to go  over the offered number. 

NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 OVER  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.5 ppg scored.Van Gundy is 11-1 OVER   in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Heat rank 27th in offensive output per game in the league and rank 3rd in defense ppg in the league behind a grinding pace that ranks 28th in the NBA. Seth Curry and company may want to open up but with the Heat  dictating the pace of their games. Im betting this will be a sloshy affair that runs much slower than even this totals number indicates. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207. 8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 12-4 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg going on the board. 

The Warriors are 0-13-1 UNDER by more than 20 points a game as a dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with none of the game sin this 14 game set going over this offered number. 

Play UNDER

The Sixers are off a loss last time out which was their 2nd straight and now i expect a more aggressive offensive effort after producing just 95 points last time out whihc will help this combined score get eclipsed . The Seventysixers are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite coming off a loss as a road dog with a combined average of 235.9 ppg scored. 

NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 22-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Sacramento took out the Spurs 132-115  when they played a couple of days ago, and now Im betting the Spurs paying alot more attention to defence especially in transition which should slow this game down a bit. Which I am betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total.  SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 32-17 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 39-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or more of their shots are 27-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Brooklyn smashed Houston 132-114 on March 3rd and now knowing they cannot run with this type of juggernaut they will hunker down and try to turn this game into a physical affair , which will translate into a lower scoring game.

HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER   revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. 

The Rockets are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog with a combined average of 210. 6 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

For 9 straight games the Sixers did not allow more than 109 points to opposing offenses, and than last time out allowed 122 points. Im now betting on them coming back and paying special attention to defense especially in  transition, which Im betting helps keep this tilt on the low side of the total. Note : Their opponent Denver, ranks 29th in pace, so with the pressure Im betting the Sixers bring , this game will be alot slower than anticipated by the lines-makers.Under is 5-1-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 88-44 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This has been a grueling season for NBA teams, as they take part in a condensed league schedule. The Bucks are now playing their 3rd game in 4 days and are pretty banged up , despite of most of their starters expected to play tonight and Im betting they will not want to take part in anything that resembles a run and gun affair, much like their meeting  in late Feb that saw the Clippers lose to the Bucks by a 105-100 score. Im once again betting on defence, and special attention paid to transitional ball to  help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. 

MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER L/29 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 190.6 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 31-17 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored.

LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS are 17-7 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

Dallas has been playing. alot better D of late and have seen 6 of their L/8 games as result stay under the total. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City have gone under in 4 of their L/6 mostly because of lack of offence that ranks 27th in the league, and a stricter defensive methodology. Im betting on more of the same action here when these teams meet and a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. 

The Mavericks are 0-16 UNDER L/16 as a road favorite when the line is at least eight points lower than their last game going under by more than 19 ppg.  Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 overall.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Denver despite of ranking 4th in ppg scored in the league also ranks 29th in pace. Thanks to a high shooting percentage, which Im betting regresses the Nuggets are scoring at a lower rate than their current output should be expected going forward, at least according to my own projections. With Van Gundy finally getting his Pelicans to pay more attention to defence of late,  allowing 101, 108, 111, and 86 in 4 of their L/5 we have a situation that actually bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. 

DENVER is 94-64 UNDER  in road games against Southwest division opponents with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored in that 158 game sample size. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Nets are playing their 5th game in 7 days and are also playing on back to back nights which Im betting has them on tired legs and in no way ready to run and gun here in the high altitudes of  Salt Lake City tonight. With this being the Jazz first home game after a 5 game road trip they may also be disorientated and take time to get use to home cooking which in conjunction with the Nets exhaustion should see a combine score that remains on the low side of the offered number. 

UTAH is 13-3 UNDER  in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (Brooklyn/UTAH) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) ARE 35-8 UNDER L/24 SEASONS for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Trail Blazers were a shaky 9 of 41 from 3-point range and the trio of Damian Lillard (seven attempts), CJ McCollum (five) and Carmelo Anthony (four) never saw one go through the net in their ugly DD loss Sunday to Dallas  and will now be ready to play much better defence in redemption mode.  The Blazers also on tired legs will want to slow down their speed orientated opponent which Im betting will lead to a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect . QUOTE: "We really depend on our offense and making 3s and any time me, CJ and Melo go 0-for-16 from three, we're not going to have much of a chance," Lillard said;  eND QUOTE: 

BROOKLYN is 36-18 L/54 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.  Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games as an underdog. 

Under is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

Play the UNDER

The Pelicans enter this game ranked 5th in ppg offence in the league and 25th in ppg allowed defence. \Tonight New Orleans will be out looking to take down a Lakers side playing without James and Davis, and will have no mercy in the process which Im betting leads us into a higher scoring tilt that the public and linesmkaers might expect. NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 OVER   in home games this season with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 11-0 OVER  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.8 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 242.1 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 26-9 OVER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combine average of 233.6 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The Pacers shot just 38.8% yesterday and looked to be on tired legs in a grinding  109-106 OT win vs the Heat. Now playing on back to back days, Indiana could find themselves running on less than a full tank and susceptible to a down offensive effort vs the red hot Bucks . Note: The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road after they shot under 40% from the field.Under is 9-3 in Pacers last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the UNDER

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Early afternoon starts can some time see teams starting slowly and playing with less energy . After Miami allowed 137 points in a DD loss to the Pacers in the first game of this weekend series, you can bet the Heat will be ready to pay attention to defense in transition and for the Pacers to regress offensively after shooting 58.4 % from the field and 55.6% from the land of the trey.The Heat are 0-12-1 UNDER  at home after their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc last game with a combined average of 202 ppg.

INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more.

NBA team (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Lakers key to their successes and failures are based on a top tier brand of  defensive basketball that can easily take teams like the Hawks out of their offensive flow. The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in ppg allowed and are ranked 24th in pace in the league. Considering the Hawks have win 6 straight, you can bet the Lakers will be ready to play . It must also be noted that the Hawks own the 11th best ppg defense in the NBA and rank 22nd in pace, which is. a divergence to previous recent campaigns. With this being an afternoon game, Im also expecting energy levels to be somewhat subdued which Im betting will influence total input in this spot and keep the combined score below this posted total offering.  Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have stayed under the total.

Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at. 215.7 ppg .LA LAKERS are 15-3 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.5 ppg.LA LAKERS are 13-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Brooklyn is 14-1 in its past 15 games and has won a franchise-record eight straight road games and six straight overall and are   are 12-0 OVER L/12  as a road favorite eclipsing  the the total  by more than 19 ppg.  Im betting on them continuing to run and gun in this spot vs a Orlando side on tired legs after playing last night . I know the Magic scored just 93 points last night in a one point loss to the Knicks, but now with very little left to lose after suffering their 9th straight ,loss Im betting we see a fairly wide open affair, as the Magic go into tank mode. Note: Orlando is also getting healthier and are expected to have Fournier , back in the lineup. 

BROOKLYN is 8-1 OVER  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 251.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 9-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 248.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 15-2 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

Toronto has done well against the Jazz recently winning 4 straight meetings and must than be noted that the Jazz are 0-12-2 UNDER as a road favorite when they lost at least their last two meetings against this opponent.TORONTO is 24-10 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average score fo those tilts ringing in at 212.7 ppg. My projections also estimate a total closer to 227 which is more than a full possession edge. 

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Atlanta has won 7 straight with alot of that success attributed to much better defensive performances, allowing  107, 82, 106 scores in their L/3 efforts  . Im betting on the Hawks D to continue to improve vs a Oklahoma City side, that ranks 26th in ppg offence in the league. With that said, Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse the total.

The Thunder are 0-12 UNDER L/12 off a game as a dog in which they had more turnovers than assists. OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-18 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 UNDER L/26 in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play UNDER 

These two top tier teams will test each other here this evening a what could be a dress rehearsal for a play off matchup. With that said, Im betting a on hard fought physical affair that stays on the low side of the number.  

PHILADELPHIA is 31-17 UNDER  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 28-15 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are  23-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Lakers are off their biggest offensive output in 15 games last time out scoring 128 points on 62.8% FG shooting. LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better since 1996. Meanwhile the Wolves are off an upset win last time out.  MINNESOTA is 26-6 UNDER  in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1996.

 LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER  after playing a road game this season.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - off a win against a division rival, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 25-4 L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

My projections estimate both these sides will easily eclipse the 105 point plateau here this evening. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 234.4 ppg scored.  CHICAGO is 19-4 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 47-13 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

The Lakers were off Sunday, having opened the second half with a defensive minded 105-101 home win over the Indiana Pacers on Friday, while, the  Warriors pulled off a run and gun upset last night by a 131-119 vs Utah and are now on tired legs. Note: The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 at home off a win as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points  going under by 20 plus points. 

LA LAKERS are 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.LA LAKERS are 17-4 UNDER  vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER   in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-33 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

 Denver behind the 29th ranked pace and 8th best ppg defense in the league, Im betting will be primed to control the flow of this game as they play on back to back nights vs a Indiana team that ranks 15th in ppg offense and 12th in defensive efficiency. With that said, Im betting on a current trend that has seen  the  Under cash  4- straight times in the  Nuggets last 4 games as a home favorite. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 26-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

These teams play opposite styles of hoops. NY Knicks are a defense first side, and Brooklyn is a run and gun side. But from my line projection estimates I feel the number should be closer to 220 this giving us a full possession advantage. 

BROOKLYN is 11-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 90-35 L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER

The Clippers rank 8th in the league in ppg allowed and 24th in pace, and the key to their successes and failures is predicated on playing. solid defense. Meanwhile, the Pelicans HC  Van Gundys philosophy has always been based on having a solid defensive system, something he preaches constantly. With that said, Im betting on a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect.  LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 season. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/NEW ORLEANS) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 58-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a  79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 39-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Dallas who rank 21st in pace, is playing a good brand of defensive hoops of late, allowing around 104 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Denver, who ranked 8th in the league in ppg against, and are 28th in pace has also played strong D, and  allowed 102 ppg in their L/5 games overall. Im betting on more of the same top tier defensive action again tonight. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 overall.

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Detroit behind the 27th ranked pace, will do everything in their power to slow this contest down against an explosive opponent, which Im betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total. DETROIT is 18-4 UNDER L/22  in road games after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games with the average combined score clicking in at 200.9 ppg . 

Under is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 home games.

NBA  Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - excellent 3 point shooting team - making 39% or better  of their attempts are 119-80 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.