Handicapper Michael Alexander’s Basketball Picks & Predictions

Michael Alexander

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Free picks

Game Details

Sep 15 '25, 10:00 PM in 9h

NFL | Chargers vs Raiders

Play on: UNDER 47 -115

Game Analysis

NFL Free Pick - Chargers vs Raiders - Under

Los Angeles (1-0) has high hopes as it embarks on the second season of the Jim Harbaugh era. But desperately wanting to prevent the Chargers from a win is new Raiders coach Pete Carroll, who clashed with Harbaugh in the past. The friction was at its worst when Carroll coached at Southern California and Harbaugh was reviving Stanford. The coaches met three times with Harbaugh winning twice. The visiting Cardinal shocked the top-ranked Trojans -- who were favored by 41 points -- in 2007 before USC won the next season at Stanford. Then, in 2009, Harbaugh never took his foot off the pedal as the Cardinal routed USC 55-21 in Los Angeles. Afterward, the two men had a very frosty postgame handshake with Carroll famously asking Harbaugh, "What's your deal?" Carroll exacted some revenge in the NFL when his Seattle Seahawks beat Harbaugh's San Francisco 49ers 23-17 in the 2013 season's NFC Championship. This sets up this game as a defensive struggle when you consider this and the fact that each of the Chargers’ last seven Monday games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line and each of the Raiders’ last six September games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pick Released on Sep 15 at 10:48 am

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Reds vs A's	A's -103	Premium	4-7	Win	100	Show
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics are way more dangerous when hitting the righties. Their lineup is arguably better than the Reds’, but the A’s have struggled against the lefties this month, tallying a .695 OPS and 89 wRC+. Hereof, Nick Lodolo is poised for another strong outing. Lodolo has only allowed eight earned runs on 24 hits and four walks over his previous seven starts and 38.2 innings of work. On the other side, the Reds own a troublesome .675 OPS and 82 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers in September. Luis Morales should be able to bounce back from that rough performance against the Red Sox. The Reds’ relief pitching doesn’t breed confidence, so I’m going with the Athletics.
Royals vs Phillies	Phillies -150	Premium	10-3	Loss	-150	Show
Rating: 2 Units Cameron has been solid this season and is even better on the road, where he has a 2.90 ERA and .223 allowed batting average. The problem is, the Royals have lost 6 of their last 7 games and aren’t a team I’m excited to back. Nola is having a down year with his 6.24 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, but the Phillies are so hot it probably doesn’t matter. Also, we know what Nola is capable of when he’s right, so I’m not exactly concerned with his numbers overall. Give me the Phillies.
White Sox vs Guardians	White Sox +153	Premium	2-3	Loss	-100	Show
Rating: 2 Units I’m going to take one more stab on Chicago here. The White Sox have not looked good in this series offensively, scoring just one run in the two games played so far, but I think that the White Sox have a decent pitching matchup here. Gomez has had issues in a couple of outings, but I think he can be good enough here against Cecconi, who struggled mightily in his lone start against Chicago this season. I’ll side with the White Sox and the plus money here.
Panthers vs Cardinals	Cardinals -6½ -110	Premium	22-27	Loss	-110	Show
Rating: 2 Units The Carolina Panthers looked like the worst team in football in the regular-season opener. In Week 2, they face an Arizona Cardinals offense that can run the football with the best of them and has two playmakers (Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride) coming off strong performances. Arizona will take a two-score lead early on Sunday, putting the pressure on Bryce Young to dig the Panthers’ offense out of a hole that he just doesn’t seem capable of pulling them out of.
Browns vs Ravens	Ravens -11 -120	Premium	17-41	Win	100	Show
Rating: 2 Units The Ravens are 12-0 ATS at home after scoring 35 or more points in their last game when facing a foe coming off a loss. The Browns are 1-7 ATS in their last eight division road games, and the Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in games against foes seeking single revenge. Finally, playing on any NFL team off a non-division loss in which they scored 40-plus points is 18-5 ATS.
Falcons vs Vikings	Falcons +4 -115	Premium	22-6	Win	100	Show
Rating: 3 Units Teams who win the stats by 100 yards but lose the game are prime candidates for wins in follow-up contests. Minnesota’s 3-10 ATS record lately under the Monday Night lights against foes coming off a loss sets the stage. Consider that Atlanta is 12-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in Game Two of the season, including 9-1 ATS when coming off a loss.
Eagles vs Chiefs	Chiefs +1½ -112	Top Premium	20-17	Loss	-112	Show
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Super Bowl losers are 80-63-5 ATS at home the following season when coming off a loss, including 55-19 SU and 43-29-2 ATS against foes coming off a win, including 4-0 SUATS as a pick or dog of 2 or fewer points. Additionally, the Eagles enter just 1-7 ATS in Game Two of the season, and defending Super Bowl winners are 14-25 ATS in Game Two since 1986, including 5-14 ATS as road favorites. Finally, Patrick Mahomes is 15-2 ATS in his NFL career as a pick or dog, including 7-0 ATS versus foes not coming off a double-digit win.
Bills vs Jets	Jets +7 -120	Top Premium	30-10	Loss	-120	Show
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Jets come into this one as a division dog seeking triple revenge and are 12-4 ATS overall in that role, and are 3-0 ATS in home openers. Consider that the Jets are 13-0 ATS as a home dog against AFC foes with at least one win on the season.

SERVICE BIO

Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports. Mr. Alexander has been handicapping sports (NFL Football Picks, College Football Picks, NBA Basketball Picks, College Basketball Picks, NHL Hockey Picks, and MLB Baseball Picks) for over 20 years and holds numerous top 10 handicapping rankings and is the 2004 Overall Champion as documented at Procappers! His approach to this craft is truly unique in the industry. With a background in statistics and prior experience in finance, Michael combines in depth statistical analysis with a financial risk/reward formula. It is this method that allows Mr. Alexander to properly weigh the risk of investment vs. the possible reward of investment for each game he analyzes.

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