Rating: 2 Units

The Raiders have now scored 16 or fewer points in each of the last three games. NFL teams that scored 16 or fewer points and lost each of their previous three games are 252-193-11 ATS (56.6%) since 1982, including 35-13-1 ATS since 2019, and 19-2-1 ATS against foes coming off a SU/ATS loss. Knowing the Chargers’ OL woes and the Raiders’ 7-1 ATS record in the first of back-to-back division games, we’re going all in on Vegas today.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pelicans have won six of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Lakers and have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents following a loss. While the Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games following a home win.

Rating: 2 Units

The Timberwolves are a team that likes to play with their food at times, and it’s led to a 7-12 ATS record. I don’t love this team in the favorite role, and I like them even less on the end of a back-to-back. However, the Spurs remain banged up, and we’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. If the Timberwolves are serious about competing for a top seed in the west and making some noise come playoff time, these are games they need to take advantage of. At home against a banged up team. I’ll lay the small number with the Timberwolves at home, given the health difference of both sides.

Rating: 2 Units

The Jazz have won 22 of their last 23 day games at Delta Center following a home win. While the Rockets have lost eight of their last nine road games on the first leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs and have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games at Delta Center against Jazz teams that held a losing record. Additionally, the underdogs have covered the spread in 13 of the Rockets’ last 14 games at Delta Center.

Rating: 2 Units

Each of The Citadel’s last seven day games have produced a total of 141+ points. Thirteen of Presbyterian’s last 15 day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 132+ points.

Rating: 2 Units

In this Belmont vs Charleston Prediction, Belmont is coming as -3 road favorites. Belmont has been the better team this season, as they are undefeated in their 7 games played, having won their only road game so far. But both teams have been playing only lower-scoring games this season as they are 10-3 to the under combined, as they play excellent defense and allow just 135.5 points per game combined. I like this game to be a low-scoring one, more than I like Belmont to cover the big spread, so take the under 155.5 points in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

The Mountaineers and Lakers average 12.1 more points between them than the over/under of 125 for this game. The average over/under for Lakers games this season is 5.5 more points than the point total of 125 for this outing.

Rating: 2 Units

I’ll take a stab on Wyoming here. The Cowboys didn’t have any issues with an overmatched Denver team in their last game, hitting 56.1 percent from the field, 45.5 percent (10-of-22) from outside and 70.8 percent (17-of-24) from the line. Wyoming had a 43-30 rebounding edge and a 52-32 advantage on points in the paint alongside just nine turnovers as well. The Cowboys have hit at least 70 points in every game so far this year, but they’ve given up a couple of big-scoring performances as well. They’ll need to be careful today. As for Texas Tech, they asserted themselves pretty well versus New Orleans this past week. The Raiders shot just 15-of-25 (60 percent) from the line but had a 40-26 rebounding edge and held the Privateers to just 37 percent shooting on the other side. Texas Tech has been dominant in their wins so far this year, hitting 80 or more points in each of them.

Rating: 2 Units

Vermont has a good basketball program that’s made runs in March and is usually a tough out at home. The problem is, Vermont is off to a shaky start this season and has failed to cover 6 of its last 8 games. Yale has one of the best offenses in the country through 7 games and has proven it can win away from home. Vermont isn’t defending the three-ball, and that’s going to be an issue in this contest.

Rating: 2 Units

The Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last nine divisional road games. It’s been a nightmare for Cam Ward and the Titans this season, today’s tussle on a 3-21 overall fall dating back to last season. The one thing we’ve learned over the years is never to back a comatose team until they snap out of the coma on their own. Tennessee’s 2-8 ATS record in its last ten division home games helped put them in the condition.

Rating: 2 Units

The Rams enter on a 6-game win skein and are 8-0 ATS in Game Twelves the last eight seasons. They are also 6-1 ATS in their previous tries as division road chalk. With the Panthers on a 2-6 SUATS run after playing on Monday nights, we don’t see them keeping pace with the runaway Rams.

Rating: 2 Units

With Tampa’s offense struggling, averaging 13.7 points over the previous three losses, a QB change might heighten concerns against Arizona’s improving defense. With Zona 6-2 ATS against the NFC South, and Tampa 2-8 ATS before a division game, we see no reason to back the Bucs.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Pittsburgh seeks revenge after their last meeting in the Wild Card Round, a 31-17 loss at Buffalo. The Bills are 1-3 ATS after playing on Thursday, while the Steelers are 19-8-5 ATS as home underdogs under Mike Tomlin. He is also 5-0-4 ATS as a home dog against foes coming off a loss. Consider as well, that playing against any NFL road favorite from Game Seven out if they allow 5.0 or more rushing yards on defense, and they are facing an opponent that won 10 or more game last season is 10-0 ATS.

AFC Divisional Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

It’s been a year from heaven for the lucky horseshoes this season, currently the No. 3 seed in the AFC Playoff Picture despite coughing up season-high yardage to seven foes. With that, we look at the fact that Houston is 13-3 ATS as a division dog of more than 2 points, including 5-0 ATS with a win percentage of .250 or more.