Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-15-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206985: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti sometimes has these 0-0 matches but then other times they get involved in high-scoring ones. It is truly feast or famine with them and this looks like another one of those. 4 of last 7 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 totaled 4 goals. Given the situation here, with Petrolul Ploiesti at home where they should play well but are hosting an angry Rapid team that will be on the attack. The goals should fly in this one. Rapid off a 2-1 loss and has struggled some recently with an 0-2-2 mark last 4 matches but this club is so much better than that. They are chomping at the bit to get back on track here. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored 2 goals in each of last two home matches. Rapid lost at home to Petrolul Ploiesti by a 2-0 count in August after winning the prior meeting 3-1 so the club from Bucuresti is out for revenge here as well. The fact we get this total at only a 2 is a great value. 10* OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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12-15-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #206961: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in FC Voluntari vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 10 AM ET - FC Voluntari off a 2-1 win and 4 of last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. They have scored at least 2 goals in all 4 of those matches and now they face a FCU 1948 Craiova with which the last 4 meetings have all totaled at least 3 goals. There has been scoring from both clubs in each of those 4 meetings as well and more of the same likely here. FCU 1948 Craiova is off a 2-0 win and that was preceded by 3 straight matches that all totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here as goals have been flying for each of these clubs in terms of recent form and in terms of match-ups. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in FC Voluntari |
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12-14-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers + @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:15 ET - The current line on this as of about 12 hours before kickoff is in the 3 to 3.5 range and I feel we have solid underdog line value with the Chargers in this one. LA will be starting Ethan Stick at QB in this one. Yes he has a little NFL experience but this guy was a winner at North Dakota State - a solid FCS school - and he has some experience already in the LA system here. Now with a full week to prepare for this game and work with the first team offense again, Stick will be fully prepared here and I expect him to surprise. This Raiders team covered their game last week despite not scoring a single point! They lost 3-0 but were 3.5 point dogs last week. They are favored here because of the home field factor in this one but the road team is actually 8-5 SU in Chargers games this season as LA has been better on the road than at home. Also, one of those 5 SU wins for the home team was when the Chargers beat the Raiders in LA earlier this season. Remember too that the Chargers just recently won 6-0 at New England after a low-scoring loss in which they scored just 10 points at home the week before. The Chargers are now a perfect 9-0 ATS when they are on the road and coming off a game in which they scored 10 or less points. Coming off the 24-7 home loss to Denver last week and now on the road at Las Vegas, look for LA to bounce back strong here and take that ATS run to a perfect 10-0 ATS! 10* LA CHARGERS + points |
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12-14-23 | Senators -117 v. Blues | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Senators -117 @ St Louis Blues @ 8:07 ET - The Blues just fired their coach and normally that is a situation that would be a play on situation for me. However, St Louis has some major issues right now and this Senators team has a coach that has been enduring a stretch on the hot seat as well. That said, I like this Ottawa team - with much more scoring firepower - to get the job done against a Blues team that is just having too many issues at both ends of the ice. The Blues have lost 4 straight and been outscored by a combined 20-10 during this stretch. The Sens have won 3 of last 5 and outscored the opposition 17-10 during this stretch. Ottawa has won 5 of last 6 games played away from home and I just can't see this Blues team having enough to outscore them here. The Senators have the much better power play unit and also have been a much higher-scoring team than the Blues this season. St Louis just has not been able to get their scoring going with any consistency. 10* OTTAWA -117 |
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12-14-23 | Cavs +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This line currently in the 9.5 to 9 range as of mid-day Thursday. Boston is the only team that has an undefeated home record this season but this sure looks like too many points! Cleveland is 2-0 the last 2 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of at least two games. The Cavaliers are 12-8 SU last 20 games but, only 3 of their last 20 games have been losses by a double digit margin! Boston is 8-3 SU last 11 games but only 3 of the 11 games were Celtics wins by a double digit margin. The Cavs did lost this same match-up when these teams met Tuesday but Boston outscored them by 20 points at the free throw point line. In other words, the Cavaliers actually won the game by 13 points if not including free throws and I feel we have excellent line value here in this revenge spot for the Cavs. Grab the points in this one. 10* CLEVELAND (+) |
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12-14-23 | Capitals v. Flyers -129 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -130 vs Washington Capitals @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers are off an OT loss at Nashville but had won 10 of 14 games before that and have been one of the biggest surprise teams in the league so far this season. Washington is off B2B wins but they had lost 5 of 7 games prior to that. The Flyers are at home and off a loss and this is the ideal spot to fade the Capitals. Lindgren is expected to start between the pipes here for the Caps. He is off a shutout win in his last start but this was preceded by 3 of the 4 prior appearances seeing him allow at least 3 goals. He allowed an average of 4 goals in those 3 appearances. The Flyers likely will have Carter Hart between the pipes here and he has allowed a total of ONLY 4 goals in his last 3 appearances. The Flyers have allowed only 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 games. The Capitals have allowed lesser goals recently but they were really struggling just before that and the Flyers, off a tight loss in OT, will prove to be too much here on home ice! 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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12-14-23 | Sturm Graz v. Sporting Lisbon OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #224557: Europa League Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Sporting Lisbon vs Sturm Graz @ 3 ET - Sporting Lisbon has already sealed their spot but they are still pricey favorites here for a reason. The odds makers are well aware of what is going on but they still have Lisbon priced in the -155 range for this one. It is Sturm Graz that still needs to win and they will field a strong lineup for this one as a result. Plus they need to go all out on the attack here because they are in a battle with Rakow for securing a spot and Rakow's match with Atalanta is taking place at the same time as this one. I expect Sturm Graz to get on the board here but also feel they are sizable dogs with good reason and envision a 2-1 type final here. Lisbon, even without playing their top guys, still has the superior talent edges. Also, Sturm Graz is without a key defender. The goals will fly quite well here as Lisbon has a big league match on deck for this weekend so the focus here is simply on a loose and relaxed playing style which will translate to goals. Sturm Graz will push hard and Lisbon will respond and 3 or more goals is not a big ask in this one considering the situation. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Sporting Lisbon |
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12-14-23 | Liverpool v. Union Saint-Gilloise OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #224521: Europa League Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Liverpool @ 12:45 ET - Liverpool is bringing a lesser roster to Belgium here so the total has been held down to a 3. The fact is the Reds have plenty of firepower and the superior talent edge to give USG all sorts of problems in this one. However, Union Saint-Gilloise are pushing for the upset win here as they still have a shot at a top two finish in this group. Liverpool has already secured the top spot so they can play loose and relaxed here and throw caution to the wind. That should translate to plenty of goals in this one. Liverpool won the reverse fixture 2-0 but their other 4 matches in Europa League action have ALL totaled 4 or more goals. Considering the situation entering this one, I fully expect 4 or more AGAIN in this one! 10* OVER 3 -105 in Union Saint-Gilloise |
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12-13-23 | Creighton v. UNLV OVER 151.5 | Top | 64-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #639 - CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 151.5 in UNLV Rebels vs Creighton Bluejays @ 9 ET - The Bluejays are huge road favorites here and I feel the big numbers is justified. However, I also feel that the Rebels will score well at home and so you are looking at a match-up that should get well into the 150s. Creighton, other than one game in which they were surprisingly held to just 48 points, has scored extremely well all season. They scored 79 points or more in each of the other 8 games (all wins) and actually averaged 84 ppg in those 8 victories. The Rebels have scored more than 70 points in all but one of their games this season. Of course if they get to at least 70 points here (and on their home floor against an offensive-minded team they should do just that) then notice the line on the Jays is about a -13 and so you are already into the low 150s and that is just looking at the minimum type result here the way I see it and based on all of the above. That is why the reality is you have a game that should get into at least the 160 range. Neither team has played any OT games yet either so the ppg stats are certainly not over-inflated either. Look for a wild one in another non-conference match-up involving teams that have consistently put up solid offensive numbers early this season. 10* OVER 151.5 in UNLV |
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12-13-23 | Bruins v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New Jersey Devils vs Boston Bruins @ 7:37 ET - The Bruins are 3-0 to the over last 3 road games and the Devils are 3-0 to the over last 3 home games. The set up here is a good one with New Jersey hungry to get back on track off a 4-1 loss that wrapped up their recent road trip. Now they are back at home where each of their last 3 games totaled at least 8 goals. Also, prior to that loss, the Devils were 6-1 their last 7 games and have scored an average of 4.5 goals per game in those 6 wins. The Bruins have seen 5 of last 6 road games have totaled at least 7 goals. Boston used to be known for stellar defense and goaltending but this is not quite the same style of club it once was and they have allowed an average of 3.2 goals per game last 10 games. They have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game last 16 games. This one is set up well for plenty of goals as Devils had been on fire and will push hard on home ice and enjoy some success in the offensive zone against the Bruins just like other clubs have in recent Boston home games. However, the Devils are expected to start Vanecek between the pipes in this one and he has allowed 3.5 goals last 6 appearances. I look for both clubs to get to the 3-goal mark and that would guarantee us of no less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6 in New Jersey |
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12-13-23 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 233 | Top | 129-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Total in 233 range as of early gameday morning. The 76ers are off a beatdown of the Wizards and are proving they are ready to battle even though they are now in a stretch in which they face a number of weak foes consecutively. That includes facing a Pistons team that has lost 20 straight games! Detroit has allowed 124 ppg this season. The Sixers have averaged 131 ppg in their last 8 wins. With this pointspread around an 11, that would put this game at about 131-120 and certainly that sounds about right and that pushes this game into the 250 range for total points. The Sixers had one dominating win defensively in their last 6 games as that was when they beat the Lakers and held them to 94 points but in their other 6 games since Thanksgiving they have allowed 119 points. The 76ers have shown they are willing to play run and gun type games. Given all of the above I expect 250ish here but at least the 240s and that is why I feel we have excellent value with this total in the 233 range as of early game day morning. Pistons off a high-scoring loss against the Pacers and I expect a similar result here as they do tend to score a little better when at home. 10* OVER the total in Detroit |
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12-13-23 | AC Milan v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #224321: Champions League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Both clubs dealing with injuries but Newcastle has seen a return to health of a couple players that help on the attacking front plus they are at home. Meanwhile, a solid AC Milan club has injury issues defensively and in goal. The set up is perfect for goals here in a match where each club is in need of a win in hopes of advancing. Newcastle should be relentless here after their prior match in Champions League action was a tough 1-1 draw on a late penalty that was debatable. Newcastle is known for being stronger at home and this time, after that 1-1 draw with PSG, they will be relentless on the attack no matter the score! However, Newcastle has conceded 7 goals in last two matches so they certainly have not been water-tight at the back! As for AC Milan, 4 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 4 goals. I expect this one will as well as AC Milan has both scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches. Couple that with the fact that neither club can afford to settle for a share of the spoils here and this one should end with at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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12-13-23 | Young Boys Bern v. RB Leipzig OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #224301: Champions League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in RB Leipzig vs Young Boys @ 12:45 ET - With a match that carries no weight other than pride, I expect a rather loosely played affair with an attacking mindset being front and center in this one. RB Leipzig is a heavy favorite here with good reason and note that of their last 8 home wins, they have conceded in 7 of them. Young Boys will play with an attacking style here in a wide open affair. The reverse fixture was 3-1 and this one will also see goals aplenty! RB Leipzig has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for plenty of scoring opportunities throughout this highly entertaining match. 10* OVER 3.5 in RB Leipzig |
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12-12-23 | Jets v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs Winnipeg Jets @ 10:37 ET - The Sharks continue to fly over the total in games and I don't see that changing here. The Jets are expected to go with Brossoit here and he may be "okay" but he is no Hellebuyck. As for the Sharks, they will likely go with Blackwood and he has struggled recently. Look for his struggles to continue here. Blackwood is facing a Jets team without leading scorer Kyle Connor but that is helping to keep this line lower than it should be. I feel this total should be a 6.5 and we have solid value here. The Sharks have gone over the total in 5 straight games and, not only that, all 5 games totaled at least 9 goals. Lover the way the over is going strong in San Jose games and here neither team has a top goalie going. The Jets have won 12 of 16 games and are heavy favorites here for a reason. Winnipeg has averaged 4 goals per game in those 12 victories! The way both of these teams are scoring, the goals should again fly in this one. 10* OVER 6 in San Jose |
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12-12-23 | Warriors v. Suns -115 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Pick -115 vs Golden State Warriors @ 10:10 ET - The Suns will be without Kevin Durant here but look for others to pick up their game in his absence. Phoenix is so strong at home. The Warriors are not good on the road and have been struggling overall. Golden State have lost 10 of 14 games. Phoenix has lost 4 of 5 but were 11-6 this season prior to this. Also, the Suns are 3-0 the last 3 times they have been at home and entered a game off B2B losses. That is their situation here and I am taking advantage of the line value with Durant being out for this one. Look for Booker to have a huge game! 10* Phoenix Pick -115 |
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12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech OVER 143 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ 9 ET - The Red Raiders have scored well this season with one exception. If you take that one outlier out of the equation, Texas Tech has scored at least 69 points in all the other 7 games. Not including OT points, the Red Raiders averaged 76 points points in those 7 games. Now look at Oral Roberts and they have averaged 76 points per game this season as well. I feel the Golden Eagles are going to hang tough in this game as they have played some tough teams this season and already and held their own. Yet Texas Tech is a large favorite here for a reason and basically if we get Oral Roberts to 65 and the odds makers are right about the -13 here than we are already in the 143 range but I expect Oral Roberts to get into the 70s here and hence the solid value with this total. 10* OVER 143 in Texas Tech |
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12-12-23 | Bayern Munich v. Manchester United OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #224293: Champions League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +110 in Manchester United vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - 3 of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. Man U needs to go all out here and is coming off a 3-0 embarrassment in EPL action. Bayern Munich off a 5-1 loss that was embarrassing in Bundesliga action as well. So here you have two strong clubs coming off disappointment and likely to push hard here in an effort to regroup yet both showed again most recently that they are capable of shipping a lot of goals. Given the circumstances here, look for a lot of goals in this one. The number is big with good reason. 10* OVER 3.5 +110 in Man U |
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12-12-23 | Galatasaray v. FC Copenhagen OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #224273: Champions League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +11 in FC Copenhagen vs Galatasaray @ 3 ET - This Galatasaray club scores goals very well. FC Copenhagen is desperate for a win as well so both clubs pushing hard for goals here. Galatasaray is one to attack but Copenhagen is at home and desperate for a win and the result should be plenty of goals here. The attacking style of Galatasaray does expose them on the counter-attack and just getting to 3 goals here is not asking too much. Excellent line value here. 10* OVER 3 +110 in FC Copenhagen |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +6 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play New York Giants (+) @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:15 ET - The Giants will likely have Tommy DeVito under center for this one and he has been a pleasant surprise as he has improved each week. This one sets up well from a situational perspective. The line has gone up on Green Bay and is now a solid 6 as of early game day morning. The Packers are off that huge upset win over the Chiefs while the Giants benefit here from a late season bye. Note that New York won their two games before the bye week too. I know those wins were over bad Commanders and Patriots teams but, the point is, the confidence of New York is growing with each win. They also will have Tyrod Taylor available here to back up DeVito. The Packers won their most recent road game in upset fashion at Detroit but they had lost 4 straight road games prior to that. Now Green Bay is in an unusual role (for this season) as they are a larger favorite in this one. Keep in mind, the Packers (before these wins over the Lions and Chiefs), had only one win by more than 3 points in the 9 games preceding these two bigger wins. As bad as the Giants have been, they only have lost by more than 5 points twice in their last 7 games and they have the rest edge entering this one plus a home dog edge as they have been much better here since losing big in their first two home games to the Cowboys and Seahawks. Grab the home dog here and don't be surprised if we see an outright upset. Not only is GB off the big upset of KC but they also have TB on deck and the Bucs are in the mix along with the Packers for a Wild Card spot in the post-season. This is a tricky spot for the Pack all the way around. Give me the points. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS (+) |
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12-11-23 | Wizards +12 v. 76ers | Top | 101-146 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - These teams just met in Washington and the Sixers only won by 5 points and that was with Joel Embiid scoring 50 in that contest. I realize that the Wizards shot very well in that game, including from 3-point land. But now the Sixers are heavier favorites here - 11.5 to 12 points as of early gameday morning - and this is with Embiid questionable. Embiid did practice fully Sunday but why is he still on the report then? The fact is there is a chance that, facing a 3-18 team, the Sixers might try to give him rest here. Even if they do not rest him fully, there is a chance they will limit his minutes. Either way, the Sixers are likely in for at least a dogfight in which the Wizards keep this one to a single digit margin again. Washington has scorers and has some confidence given the way the last game played out. The Wizards off ugly loss at Brooklyn but this followed a 7-game stretch in which Washington had only 2 losses by more than 5 points! As for the 76ers, they only have 2 wins by more than 11 points in their last 15 games. I feel this is a nice value here as this is a game where Philly knows they have bigger fish to fry and I could see them being a bit flat or disinterested in this one. Even if they do manage to get up by 15 points or so the Wizards could easily backdoor the cover in the final stages too. Just too many points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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12-11-23 | Coyotes v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7:07 ET - The Coyotes have been scoring well but now goalie Ingram is finally coming back down to earth after a hot run. He might finally be seeing a regression to the mean in terms of his results. Since this is the front end of a back to back for the Coyotes, we might see Vejmelka in goal here and he has struggled this season. Either way I look for the Sabres, on home ice for this one, to snap their recent slump of lower-scoring performances. Buffalo will take advantage of the Coyotes goalie situation as Ingram struggling now and Vejmelka will be rusty if he gets the call here. The issue for Buffalo though is that the Coyotes have been scoring a lot of goals and they come into this one with plenty of confidence having built up based on recent performances in the offensive zone. That is why I fully expect a high-scoring match-up here. This is a non-conference battle too and those tend to be be less intense defensively. The Coyotes have averaged scoring 3.5 goals their last 8 games. But, other than a shocking shutout at Vegas, Arizona has allowed 4 goals per game in last 8 road games. I am expecting, based on the above, that each club will get to at least 3 goals here and that would result in at least a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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12-11-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #206957: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -145 in Dinamo vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1:45 ET - Dinamo is having a dreadful season and starting to face a lot of pressure as a result. They need to start scoring better and are at home here and will take advantage of hosting a Universitatea Cluj club that has allowed 12 goals in its 9 road matches this season! Note that Dinamo has allowed 1.5 goals per match in losing 4 straight matches. Universitatea Cluj has scored 1.5 goals per match last 10 matches. Dinamo has only 4 draws in 18 matches this season and with the pressure to be aggressive on the attack here, I see this one ending up at least a 2-1 final. The fact we can get over 2 here, even at higher juice, makes this one a high value play too! 10* OVER 2 -145 in Universitatea Cluj |
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12-11-23 | Botosani v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. 7 of their 9 home matches this have totaled at least 3 goals! Botosani is off a scoreless draw but had been scoring better of late and yet typically concede goals at an alarming rate. Botosani, prior to the scoreless draw, had seen 8 of last 11 matches total at least 3 goals. I also like the fact that Botosani has both scored and conceded in 6 straight road matches. They are a big dog here with good reason. In other words, based on all of the above, this one is destined for at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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12-10-23 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks @ 10:07 ET - The Sharks are playing well finally but are still giving up a lot of goals. San Jose has played 4 straight games that have each totaled at least 9 goals. Vegas is heating up again and has won 4 of 5 games and scored an average of 5 goals in the 4 victories! Also, I like the fact that this is a B2B situation for the Knights as that impacts the goalie situation. Is Hill ready to come back? Will it be Patera in this one? Thompson has been playing well again but he go the start last night. This is the perfect set-up to expect plenty of goals tonight as the Knights have been lighting the lamp with great regularity plus already scored 4 or more in each of their two meetings with the Sharks this season. This is a divisional match-up and the teams do not like each other and San Jose is playing much better than they were when Vegas faced them the two prior times. In other words, the goals should fly here as San Jose fights back seeking revenge here but the Sharks continue to allow too many goals. Vegas in a B2B and that goalie situation further helps the cause here! 10* OVER 6 in Vegas |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (+) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - This is a classic case of recent results creating an immediate over-reaction from the marketplace. The Cowboys are favored by 3.5 points here as of the overnight hours heading into Sunday. Dallas lost at Philly earlier this season but, since then, they have won 4 straight. However, they barely got by Seattle last week after having walloped the Giants, Panthers and Commanders. The combined record of those 3 teams is now 9-28 on the season. This is classic Cowboys. Dallas tends to look great and pad stats against bad teams and then struggle mightily against others. Note that the Cowboys are now facing 4 straight tough games against teams with a combined 34-14 record. Part of the reason Dallas has such a strong record this season is they have played a weak schedule. The Cowboys already are 0-2 against stronger teams: SF and Philly. The Eagles have already played Buffalo and Miami while Dallas still has those teams on deck. Philly also beat the Chiefs in addition to toppling the Bills and Dolphins. Now, I am well aware that the Niners just waxed the Eagles but the Cowboys got rolled by them as well. The ugly Philly loss to SF just happened and creates the line value here. You know the Eagles will be hungry to bounce back and prove that defeat was a fluke! I have no hesitation in grabbing the points here and challenging Dallas to win this game by more than field goal. The Cowboys just do not have a history of performing well in big games against strong teams. Dallas will struggle just to win, let alone cover, in this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-10-23 | Michigan State -3 v. Nebraska | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #859: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Michigan State Spartans (-) @ Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 6:30 ET - The Huskers are 7-2 this season plus at home and plus playing with revenge from last season. Yes they are a 3-point dog to a Spartans team that is just 4-4 this season. Big mistake, right? Actually, not at all! The Huskers have played a weaker schedule than the Spartans. Also, Nebraska lost their Big Ten opener to Minnesota despite the Golden Gophers losing their leading scorer to injury early in the game. Yes the Spartans also off a loss to open up Big Ten action but they faced a tough Badgers team and mainly lost that game because Wisconsin was much better from 3-point land than Michigan State. So here we are getting solid line value in this spot as there has been an over-reaction the Spartans mediocre record so far this season. We step in and take advantage of a quality team laying a small number in a bounce back spot. We get the small number because they are on the road and because of a forced adjustment on the line by the marketplace. 10* MICHIGAN STATE (-) |
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12-10-23 | Bills +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (+) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:25 ET - Current line in the overnight hours is as high as a +1.5 for the Bills. The Chiefs are at home where they are 4-2 on the season. The Bills are on the road where they are 1-4 on the season. Kansas City also lost last year's meeting at Buffalo so this is revenge even though yes, I know, the Bills have had some memorable playoff battles recently against the Chiefs that went the wrong way. When you consider all of the above factors, how is KC such a small favorite in this spot? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you! The Bills are the play! Who can bet against Mahomes and Company at a home in a game where the line is virtually a pick'em and we are playing on a team that has had tough road trips this season? We can! Buffalo has a key edge here in that they are coming off a late-season bye week. So the Bills have had plenty of time to rest both mentally and physically plus "recharge their batteries" for this game. The set-up here is a solid one for Buffalo. Remember that the Bills made a change at offensive coordinator last month. The Bills are off that OT loss at Philly but they scored a pile of points and this followed a thrashing of the Jets the prior week. As bad as the Jets are, they do have a respectable defense and the point is that Buffalo put up big yardage against them and against the Eagles. They outgained Philly by over 100 yards and should have won that game. They have averaged nearly 450 yards per game in the two games since the OC change. Conversely, the Chiefs offense just has not been what it once was. The Bills season has ended here in Kansas City in 2 of the last 3 seasons. Though the Bills won a regular season game at KC last season, this is yet another shot at more payback that is on the very field where the Bills season had ended in EACH of the two seasons prior to last year. Payback time. 10* BUFFALO |
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12-10-23 | Colts +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts (+) @ Cincinnati Bengals @ 1 ET - We get line value here (in the 2.5 range as of overnight hours) because the Bengals are off that upset win of the Jaguars on Monday night. Note that the Bengals had lost 3 straight before that. I know Browning had a big game for Cincinnati and is a solid QB. However, Cincinnati is now on a short week and with travel involved as they were in Jacksonville for the battle with the Jags. Indy has won 4 straight games and, like Jags QB Browning, Colts QB Minshew is off a big game. The Colts were favored in this one but the line has flipped to having Indianapolis as the dog. I love fading line moves like this and expect the Bengals struggles to quickly resume. Yes, both teams off OT wins but the Colts have a rest edge here plus they have now won 4 straight whereas the Bengals had lost 3 in a row before that victory. Cincy is allowing 28 ppg last 4 games while Colts allowing 17 ppg last 4 games. 10* INDIANAPOLIS (+) |
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12-10-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -63 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 1 ET - I know CFR Cluj has struggled recently but they are too strong at home to keep struggling here in terms of the goal-scoring department. As for FCSB, they are also a strong club but enter this one off a 2-0 loss to Galati. The set up here is perfect for two clubs that normally score well to bounce back big off disappointing shutout losses. Note that CFR Cluj has been shutout in B2B matches but this followed a stretch in which they scored 3 goals twice in their 3 preceding matches. As for FCSB, they have scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 6 road matches. This one should at least get to 2-1 but even a 2-2 draw would not surprise me in the least. Despite a history of low-scoring matches when these clubs meet and despite the fact each have struggled a bit recently in the goal-scoring department, the total on this one is set at 2.5 goals. You know what that means! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in CFR Cluj |
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12-09-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -135 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 9:07 ET - The Avalanche have lost 4 of 5 games and the only win was by a 1-goal margin. Of course they are the better team in this match-up but they have been a bit shaky of late and the Flyers continue to be an early season surprise. Philly has been getting strong goaltending for much of this season and that is why they have been so hard to beat by big margins too. Philadelphia has won 9 of 13 games and also if you look at their last 24 games only 6 of them (25%!) have been a loss by more than a 1-goal margin. The Flyers are hot and the Avs are cold and even if Colorado bounces back for a win here I look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. The Avs makes it 6 in a row without a multi-goal win and the Flyers remarkably have been on an amazing road run. They won their first road game of the season but then lost the second one 5-2. However, since then, they have played 11 road games and NONE of them featured a Flyers loss by more than 1 goal. Look for that run to reach 12-0 right here Saturday! 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -135 |
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12-09-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:30 ET in Las Vegas, NV - There is some extra value baked into this line because the Lakers just absolutely destroyed the Pelicans on the scoreboard. However, LA shot 55% overall plus made 17 of 35 threes. New Orleans had a dreadful shooting game and was outscored by 30 from 3-point land as the Lakers made 10 more threes in the game. Keep in mind, the Lakers entered that game against NO in Vegas having gone just 4-7 in road games this season. The Pacers entered their game, a win over the Bucks, having gone 4-3 on the road this season and 2 of the 3 losses were at Boston and Philly. Of course the Celtics and 76ers are two of the best teams in the league. The point is that Indiana is arguably a better road team than the Lakers yet they are catching sizable points here against an over-rated LA team that is now over-valued after the hot-shooting win over the Pelicans. The Pacers are a very cohesive group. I like the team chemistry this roster has and I feel they will pull together to win this thing. Even if they fall short I look for it to be by one possession. This game could go right down to the wire but I am expecting the outright upset. We'll grab the 4.5 points. 10* INDIANA (+) |
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12-09-23 | UCLA v. Villanova OVER 127 | Top | 56-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #711: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 127 in Villanova Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins @ 7 ET - Justin Moore is out for Villanova but sometimes when a solid veteran guard like that is out for a team it can result in more scoring. That's because perhaps the defensive rotations are thrown off a bit. Perhaps the guy coming in is willing to jack up a lot of shots. In this case, Jordan Longino played a lot of minutes against Kansas State because Moore got hurt after playing only 8 minutes in that game. Longino was 5 of 17 from the field including 3 of 9 from three point land. You can see the style he played in that one. I am looking for Nova, now off 3 straight losses, to be very aggressive at home in this one. They may have a more aggressive attacking style in this situation and I feel this low total is offering us exceptional value. The Wildcats are averaging 74 ppg this season. The Bruins are averaging 71 ppg this season. UCLA has scored at least 65 points in every game this season and that includes facing Marquette and Gonzaga and none of the Bruins games have gone to OT this season! Villanova has had two duds on the offensive end in which they scored 57 and 55 points but even eliminating the OT points against Kansas State they reached the 63 mark. Considering the importance of this game I look for a big effort at home but this Wildcats defense is not what it was under Jay Wright. The Wildcats are just not the same level of team but they are quality and they have scorers and the shots are going to start to fall. Take advantage of a total that is too low in the 127 range here in this one. 10* OVER 127 in Villanova |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 28 | Top | 17-11 | Push | 0 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights @ 3 ET - First off, this game being played in Foxboro, MA instead of Philly. Don't be surprised if we see the change in venue result in the change of results this year as well. Last season's match-up did go over the total but it took OT to get there also. If you only factor in regulation points, last season's game would have ended 10-10 and would have been the 17th straight under in this series. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian. The total was in the low 30s for this match-up and has dropped to the upper 20s. We have value here and I will buck the long-term under trend. For one thing the weather will be surprisingly mild and for this one. Certainly by New England standards it is unseasonably mild and little wind and no precipitation expected. Both teams have averaged about 15 pass attempts per game on the season. That may not seem like much but for these teams it is and it means it will not necessarily be just "run run run" here like we so often see in this match-ups. Of course this will also help in terms of an over. I know that both teams know how to defend the option because they see it so often and that is what leads to a lot of unders. But sometimes there is an overadjustment and I do believe that is the case here as well. I am even seeing some 27.5 out there in some spots as of about 7 hours before kickoff. Again, I completely get it that this low total is all about the match-up but the game being in a different locale this season, the decent weather, a little more passing from each team, plus consider the numbers. Army has had only 2 games out of 11 this season finish with less than 31 points. 7 of 11 Navy games have totaled at least 37 points. I am looking for at least a 17-14 type game here at a minimum. 10* OVER the total in Army/Navy game |
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12-09-23 | Voluntari v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1:45 ET - Rapid is fired up for this one after a scoreless draw at league-worst Botosani! Rapid is now back home where they have scored have scored at least 2 goals in 6 straight matches! Rapid has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in those 6 matches! Not only that, Rapid won 4-1 in the most recent meeting here with FC Voluntari. The last match Voluntari (a suburb of Bucuresti) hosted also went over the total as that was a 2-1 win for FC Voluntari. Note that Voluntari is also off a scoreless draw but this followed 3 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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12-09-23 | Arsenal v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200141: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Aston Villa vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - This is a marquee match featuring the 1st and 3rd place clubs in the table entering the day. Note that Liverpool can pass or move level with Arsenal if the Reds win and the Gunners lose. That said, strong push from Arsenal here to maintain top position as they want the full 3 points in the table in this one. The thing is, so does Aston Villa! If Villa wins this match then they move to within one point of the table of Arsenal. So this is a big match where neither club wants to settle for a share of the spoils. So if you can expect each club to score you can also logically expect this match to find its way to 2-1 also! Aston Villa has had now draws at home where they are actually a perfect 7-0 and scoring an average of 3.4 goals per match. Arsenal has had only 1 draw in 7 matches on the road and is averaging scoring 2 goals away from home this season. You can see why I am fully expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Aston Villa's 1-0 win over Man City notwithstanding, both clubs have been consistently involved in high-scoring matches of late. Given the situation and the high stakes of this marquee match, more of the same expected here Saturday. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Aston Villa |
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12-09-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Manchester United vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Bournemouth has actually been scoring well despite their lower placement in the table right now. They have scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and are making a move up the table. As for Manchester United, they are off a 2-1 win and have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of last 4 matches across all competitions. The have conceded an average of 1.7 goals last 3 matches across all competitions and Bournemouth has conceded an average of 2 goals per match this season and 2.6 goals per match when on the road. This one should feature plenty of goals as Bournemouth has been going strong and is playing with confidence but Man U is a heavy home favorite with good reason here. The last 3 meetings here all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 5 goals per piece. 10* OVER 3 -130 in Manchester United |
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12-08-23 | Hawks v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - This line in the 7 or 7.5 range and this is a bargain in my opinion. Looks like Trae Young could miss due to illness or at least would not be 100% here. That is bad news for a Hawks team that already lost to the Sixers by double digits earlier this season and that game was in Atlanta! Also, Philadelphia won their most recent home game by 44 points over the Lakers and the 76ers are getting healthy again with Oubre having come back as well. The Sixers are off a road game at Washington and have another game versus the Wizards at home up next. That said, the Hawks are certainly getting the full focus and attention of the Sixers right now. When Philly is focused they can blow teams out. They know they let that game at DC be much closer against the Wiz then it should have been and they will respond huge here with a strong home game. The Sixers have 7 home wins this season and all were by double digit margin except the Celtics. The Hawks are definitely not at the level of the C's. In other words, another blowout home win is imminent here! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-08-23 | Blues v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs St Louis Blues @ 7:07 ET - Great set up for plenty of goals here as the Blue Jackets are off a 7-3 loss yesterday on the road and the Blues are off a 6-3 home loss Wednesday. Columbus has allowed 4 goals per game in last 5 games but the Blue Jackets also have scored 3.6 goals in their last 9 games on home ice! St Louis has scored an average of 3 goals per game last 9 games and had won 5 of 8 before the home loss to Vegas. Blues have had one low-scoring game last 8 games but the other 7 games averaged 8 goals apiece. Blue Jackets have seen 11 of last 17 games total at least 7 goals. Both teams allowing too many goals in many of their recent games but both are also in bounce back mode off high-scoring losses. Perfect set-up for another high-scoring contest here given all of the above. Also, Blue Jackets allowing 3.5 goals on the season. Blues have struggled on the penalty kill this season. Look for each team to get the 3 goal mark in this one and the result would then be at least a 4-3 final in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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12-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Jacksonville State OVER 130.5 | Top | 55-49 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #887: CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 130.5 in Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 7 ET - As I mentioned in my write-ups earlier this season on UIC, the Flames have been developing well in recent years. They are well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been a process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is coming off B2B losses in which they did not score well and this is the perfect spot for an over. I am sure that UIC is going to push the pace here as their 5-game winning streak saw them average 83 ppg while their 2-game losing streak has seen them allow just 63 ppg but also score only 60 ppg. That is not working for the Flames. They will resume with an up-tempo attack here plus I expect better shooting against a Gamecocks team that has played a rather weak schedule. I do like the fact that Jacksonville State is at home in this one and they had scored 71 ppg in a 3-game winning streak prior to losing their most recent game. So both teams off losses, both teams had been hot recently and scoring well, and now we have a rather low total to work with here. I look for a solid over here as both teams should get into the upper 60s here if not into the 70s! 10* OVER 130.5 in Jacksonville State |
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12-08-23 | UTA Arad v. CSMS Iasi +125 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 125 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #206938: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play Poli Iasi Money Line +125 vs UTA Arad @ Noon ET - Arad won the first match 1-0 so this is a revenge spot for Iasi. Notice that Iasi is favored here on the 3-way line (draw and Arad both in +200 range) and this is even though Arad has the better record recently. This is a classic "someone knows something" situation when you consider this line. Of course I do like the fact that Iasi is at home for this one but how is a club that has no wins in last 6 matches (1 loss, 5 draws) put in this type of price range? Exactly! Someone does know something here and Iasi has scored 8 goals in last 5 matches as a host. Arad has scored an average of just 1 goal in their 9 road matches this season. Arad, prior to a scoreless draw in most recent away match, had conceded 1.6 goals per match last 8 matches away from home. With a win here, Iasi will move into a tie with Arad in the table as they currently trail by 3 points in the table. That means we have motivation, revenge, and home pitch all in our favor here! 10* IASI +125 |
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12-08-23 | Adana Demirspor v. Galatasaray OVER 3.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 50 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #207881: Turkish Super Liga: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -135 in Galatasaray vs Adana Demirspor @ Noon ET - Both clubs are scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. Galatasaray is motivated for a win here by the fact they can move into 1st place in the division. They are 6-0 at home this season. while Adana Demirspor has struggled away from home this season, this club will likely be very aggressive on the attack here as their goal is to score more goals away from home. They know they can not afford to sit back here against a club that is so ruthless on the attack at home. They must counterattack. The visitors lost the most recent meeting 2-0 but had scored at least 2 goals in 3 of 4 prior meetings. The hosts are heavy favorites here for a reason. I am expecting a 3-2 type match which is the result Adana Demirspor just had in most recent match too. The hosts in this one have scored 3.3 goals per match last 3 matches but did allow 3 goals in most recent match as a host. That was in Champions League action versus Man U and I look for another high-scoring battle in this one in Istanbul. 10* OVER 3.5 -135 in Galatasaray |
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12-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
NHL 10* Carolina / Calgary OVER 6.5 - Flames using a young goalie again in Wolf here and he has struggled in his action so far this season at the NHL level ... though Wolf has been solid at the AHL level, the fact he is struggling so far in the NHL means it could really be tough sledding for him tonight ... the Hurricanes are angry off a loss and will be firing plenty of shots on goal ... the issue for the Canes this season is they continue to give up too many goals ... Carolina has allowed an average of 3.5 goals per game in their last 8 ... the Flames are now without top goalie Markstrom due to broken finger and Calgary has allowed 4 goals per game in their last 3 ... strong odds each team gets to 3 goals in this one and that would guarantee us of nothing less than a 4-3 final here |
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12-07-23 | Pelicans +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 89-133 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans (+) vs Los Angeles Lakers in Las Vegas, NV @ 9 ET - The Lakers are such a popular team they tend to get some extra attention in the betting markets and that can put lines out of whack a bit. Lets not forget that this is a neutral site game and they are 4-7 SU away from home this season. Davis should play here but is managing some injuries. James is questionable but I am sure he will play but the point is that neither are likely to be 100% here. Couple that with the fact that the Pelicans have won 8 of 12 games plus they are the healthier team entering this match-up and they have revenge from losing 3 of 4 with LeBron and the Lakers last season. This line is now up to a 2.5 and I like the value with the underdog in this one given all of the above. 10* NEW ORLEANS (+) |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 29.5 | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - As of about 8 hours before kickoff the dominant number on this total is 30 but there is even some 29.5 starting to show up. I totally understand the low number but am happy to go against it here. Don't be surprised if Trubisky has a big game for Pittsburgh here and if New England surprises pleasantly whether it is Zappe or Jones under center. Note that the Steelers are not nearly good defensively as their points allowed would lead you to believe. Statistically, Pittsburgh ranks poorly against both the run and the pass! New England ranks only in the middle of the pack statistically against the pass. So, even though the Patriots have some low points allowed numbers o late, don't be surprised if things come unraveled here. The Steelers had scored an average of 19 ppg in their last 5 home games prior to struggling versus the Cardinals last week. Also, 6 of their 7 home games have totaled at least 30 points this season. The Patriots, before a 10-7 loss to the Giants in New York, had seen 4 of their last 5 true road games (non-neutral site) had seen each of their last 3 road games total at least 38 points. The point is that recent point totals have caused an over-reaction in the marketplace. This has created on value on the over here. Also, the weather in Pittsburgh will be perfect football weather. Chilly but little wind and no precipitation expected. Also, the overall trending of night games under the total this season is starting to show signs of a reversal. Last week all 3 primetime games went over the total. Getting this one into the 30s is not too much to ask. Each team has quarterbacks and offenses hungry to prove they can get going again. No this will NOT be a shootout but we don't need a shootout to get into the 30s in this one! Look for each offense to enjoy moderate success here and that gets the job done in this one. 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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12-07-23 | Iowa v. Iowa State OVER 153 | Top | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7:30 ET - This is a rivalry game and a revenge match-up for Iowa State as they got hammered at Iowa last season due to poor shooting while the Hawkeyes shot lights out in that one. Look for a strong push from the Cyclones here as they look to get payback for that one. This should lead to a very high-scoring game as Iowa is scoring very well this season but also giving up huge points. Iowa has allowed 80 ppg last 6 games but also is scoring an average of 88 ppg on the year! Iowa State is scoring 83 ppg this season. I realize the Cyclones have a solid number in terms of points allowed but as their schedule has toughened up, they have now allowed 78 ppg last 3 games. This one should fly over the total and I like the drop here as it gone from nearly 160 to the low 150s as of about 6 hours before tipoff! 10* OVER the total in Iowa State |
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12-07-23 | Maple Leafs -122 v. Senators | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
NHL 10* Toronto -125 - the Maple Leafs have revenge against the Senators plus they catch Ottawa off a big upset win ... it is the perfect set up for Toronto to get payback here on the road ... prior to, earlier this season, losing to the Senators (in Toronto no less) the Maple Leafs had dominated this series recently and I look for payback here as Toronto bounces back off a tough loss to Boston in most recent game ... the Leafs also have the rest edge here |
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12-07-23 | Sharks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
NHL 10* SJ / Detroit OVER 6.5 - the Sharks have been playing much better of late ... the Red Wings could get a boost with Patrick Kane making his debut in Detroit tonight ... San Jose has had 3 straight games total at least 9 goals ... the Red Wings have scored at least 4 goals in 8 of last 10 games ... considering the Sharks are finally playing more competitively, both goalies in this match-up struggling of late, and the fact San Jose will have to score well to keep up with a rejuvenated Detroit team here, I just can not see this one finishing with less than 7 goals |
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12-07-23 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Tottenham vs West Ham United @ 3:15 ET - Tottenham is entering this one off the 3-3 thrilling draw with Manchester City and the goals should be flying again here. The Hotspur have seen each of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Tottenham has averaged scoring 2 goals in last 5 meetings with West Ham and has scored at least 2 in each of last 4 meetings on their home pitch. West Ham is off a 1-1 draw in EPL action but 5 of their last 6 EPL matches before that all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 4.4 goals apiece. Tottenham matches overall are averaging 3.5 goals apiece this season and West Ham matches averaging 4 goals apiece in their away matches this season. 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
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12-07-23 | Newcastle United v. Everton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #200114: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs dealing with injury issues and with Everton having a big match with Chelsea on deck for Sunday they might wait a little longer to bring Calvert-Lewin back. That means this one sets up to be a low-scoring grinder. Everton has scored only 5 goals in 7 matches on their home pitch this season. They are solid defensively but will struggle to score here. Newcastle has allowed an average of only 1 goal per match on the season. Everton has scored a total of only 3 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs but Everton also has allowed an average of only 1 goal in last 8 matches overall heading into this one. Newcastle had a recent 4-1 victory over Chelsea which is what stands out in recent results but note they only have scored a TOTAL of 3 goals in their other 5 recent matches. That means this is a great value spot which I see finishing 1-1 at best or 2-0 type final here. 10* UNDER 2.5 in Everton |
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12-06-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 109 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 +110 in St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:07 ET - These teams just met and played to a tight low-scoring battle which the Blues won in OT even though the Golden Knights outshot them. Now you know that Vegas is out for revenge and will be relentless on the attack here. However, St Louis will score well on home ice and I am looking for this game to play out much differently than their game Monday. So often this happens in a rematch when teams meet B2B like this. Plus the Golden Knights are currently without their top goalie. The Blues last 9 home games averaged 7 goals and only 3 failed to reach the 6 goal mark! The Golden Knights have scored an average of 3 goals per game in their last 7 away from home. Vegas goalie Thompson has allowed about 3 goals per game in his last 7 road starts. Hill (injured now) is definitely the better #1 option for the Knights. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting this one to get to at least 7 goals as I expect each team to score 3 goals in this one and that would mean nothing less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6 +110 in St Louis |
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12-06-23 | San Francisco v. Vanderbilt OVER 138 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #709: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Vanderbilt Commodores vs San Francisco Dons @ 8 ET - This total has dropped a little from its opener and is in the 138 range as of early gameday morning. Vanderbilt is off a 78-59 win but against a much weaker foe and, keep in mind, this followed 6 straight Commodores games topping more than 140 points! San Francisco is off a 72-61 loss but this followed averaging 80 ppg in their first 7 games. Even if you eliminate that first huge win of the season when the faced a completely overmatched foe, the Dons had scored at least 70 points in 4 of last 5 games prior to the low-scoring loss at Arizona State. Based on all of the above and what we have seen from these teams so far this season, I just can not see this one ending with anything less than 70 points for each team! The Dons have shot well overall this season and I know the Commodores will get their shooting percentages back up soon and they can build off scoring 78 points in their most recent game even though it was against a weaker foe. Take advantage of the line value here as neither club is particularly strong on defense either. 10* OVER the total in Vanderbilt |
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12-06-23 | 76ers -9.5 v. Wizards | Top | 131-126 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Normally I do not like to lay 9.5 or 10+ points in NBA games but this Sixers team is finally going to have everyone back and healthy on the floor for this one and they are off B2B losses and they are facing a 3-16 team. Not only that, this 3-16 Wizards team might be without Shamet and Poole. The latter is of particular importance but even Shamet gets some decent minutes. Poole is one of the top scorers. If either or both guys play they are unlikely to be 100% for this one. The Wizards have lost 11 of 12 games. The Sixers are strong when off B2B losses and are 9-2 SU the last 11 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. This team just not have long losing streaks and they are a much better and more cohesive club this season than last season. Of course a SU win is not the only key here as we also have a big spread to cover. The key with that is the Sixers have had 4 of last 5 wins come by 10+ points and the Wizards most recent loss was by 5 points. However, Washington has lost 6 straight road games and 5 of the 6 have been by more than a dozen points! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-06-23 | Chelsea v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United vs Chelsea @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United will bounce back here off the 1-0 loss to Newcastle United. Prior to that defeat, Man U had scored 3 goals in 3 of last 4 matches. They appeared to be turning the corner in that department and I am sure they will respond off the shutout loss here. Facing Chelsea will help in that regard. Man U won the last meeting with Chelsea 4-1. I am not saying that happens here but I do know that Chelsea has been scoring more goals of late as well and playing a more wide-open style. Chelsea has had 4 straight matches and 6 of last 7 in EPL action total at least 4 goals! Look for that streak to continue here as 5 in a row involving Chelsea total 4 or more goals! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United |
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12-06-23 | Manchester City v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #200109: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Aston Villa vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - These are the two highest scoring clubs in the league so far and each is also allowing 1 goal per match on the season. Now, with a match-up of two attacking threats, I can not see this match ending without at least getting to the 3-goal mark though I am expecting much more. We get line value because City has some injury/suspension issues. That is keeping this total lower than it would otherwise be and Manchester City still has a ton of attacking options even missing a couple players for this one. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Aston Villa has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches and 9 of last 10 matches. 8 of those last 9 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 10 of last 12 Manchester City matches have totaled at least 3 goals. That is across all competitions and, also 3 of those last 4 have totaled at least 5 goals! City has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches. These clubs have combined for just 5 draws in 28 EPL matches so the odds of this one getting to at least 2-1 (again, strong odds both score) are very strong. Look for much more than just 3 but this is a solid number to have on this match as well. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Aston Villa |
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12-05-23 | Sharks v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:37 ET - I feel strongly that this total currently at 5.5 in the markets has a lot more to do with long-term history than it does with the current trending of both teams. The Sharks have been playing much better and scoring more goals and their confidence level is up. With a higher confidence level comes stronger odds on success in the offensive zone. The trouble for San Jose has been allowing too many goals at times and that included the 6-5 loss that was their most recent game. Surprisingly, the Islanders also have fallen into the category of high-scoring games as well. New York has seen 7 of last 9 games total at least 7 goals and, keep in mind, we only need 6 to be a winner here! This is a non-conference match-up and the Isles are off a big win over the Panthers plus have a divisional game on deck. The Sharks are 3-2 last 5 games and, other than a shutout loss mixed in there, scored an average of 4 goals per game in the other 4 games. That said, don't forget they are allowing 4 goals per game this season too! Take advantage of the low total here in a game that could (should!) see each team get to at least 3 goals scored. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders |
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12-05-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 122-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The Bucks line is down to 4.5 in this one. After the line move especially there is value on Milwaukee in this one. The Bucks are 9-1 at home this season. 8 of their last 9 wins have been by 6 or more points. Of the Knicks last 6 losses, 5 have been by 5 or more points. Home court is a key factor here as the Bucks are 41-10 since the start of last season. The Knicks are solid on the road but certainly not at 80%+ like Milwaukee is at home. The Bucks have won 7 in a row over New York in their regular season meetings and I am grabbing the extra value here after the line move. The Bucks are without Connaughton and they are certainly better with him on the floor but are these teams really equal on a neutral floor (which is what this line is practically saying) when Bucks don't have him? I say no and I know the hosts want this tourney game and will have a strong crowd behind them. 10* MILWAUKEE (-) |
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12-05-23 | Villanova v. Kansas State OVER 142.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #613: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kansas State Wildcats vs Villanova Wildcats @ 7 ET - Villanova has too many good shooters to continue struggling from outside. Their outside shots, particularly threes, will start to fall with much more regularity. Don't be surprised if that starts here as Kansas State, not including OT points, has allowed 70 ppg this season. Here they face a very talented Nova team that has underachieved so far. In other words, Kansas State very likely to give up more than their season average in this one. Villanova had been scoring decently this season before that ugly low-scoring loss to Drexel. Villanova's block and steal numbers are not good this season and this shows the level of defensive play has dropped. Kansas State has not been great on the defensive end either but, not including OT points, is averaging scoring in the upper 70s this season. I am looking for both clubs, per the above, to get into the 70s here and that means excellent value with this one in the 142.5 range as about 5 and 1/2 hours before tipoff. 10* OVER the total in Kansas State |
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12-05-23 | Arsenal v. Luton Town OVER 2.75 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - Luton Town has defensive injury concerns here and Arsenal is well aware of course and will be on the attack. The visitors are heavy favorites here with good reason. Arsenal has some concerns at the backline as well and they could be susceptible to fatigue as this is 3rd match in a span of a week due to also playing in the Champions League Group Stage. Luton Town will put up a fight and should get on the board at home but Arsenal wins this one and whether it is 2-1 or 3-1, either type of result will suit our purposes here. Arsenal has won 5 straight matches and averaged scoring 3 goals apiece. Luton Town is averaging 1 goal scored per match at home this season but the cluster of injuries in defense make this difficult spot. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town |
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12-05-23 | Burnley v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Wolverhampton vs Burnley @ 2:30 ET - Burnley has scored 8 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs and I am not worried about Wolverhampton scoring here! The Wolves will take advantage of hosting a club that is allowing 2.3 goals per match this season. Wolverhampton has had defensive challenges of their own though as well as they are allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Burnley has some confidence coming off a 5-0 win last week but this is still a club that entered that one having allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Amazingly, Wolverhampton has both scored and conceded in 12 straight matches and 11 of those were in EPL action! 11 of their last 13 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes 6 in row. Look for that run to make it 7 straight! 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Wolverhampton |
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12-04-23 | Cal Poly v. Oregon State OVER 132 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 132 in Oregon State Beavers vs Cal Poly Mustangs @ 10 ET - This total dropped from mid-130s and is offering excellent line value. Cal Poly average games are in the 145 range so far and Oregon State games are in the low 140s so far this season. Look for this one to get past the low 130s as the Beavers are off a 71-59 win but this was preceded by allowing an average of 83 ppg last 3 games! The Mustangs have allowed 67 points or more last 4 games and that trend certainly will continue here as they face a Pac-12 foe in this one. They are a 14 point dog for a reason. Of course, if Cal Poly just gets to 60 and odds makers are right about this line, it gets to the mid-130s. I like our chances! The Mustangs averaging nearly 70 per game this season. 10* OVER 132 in Oregon State |
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12-04-23 | Capitals +111 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals +110 @ Arizona Coyotes @ 9:05 ET - The Capitals are off a loss but they are 4-1 the last 5 times they are off a defeat. The Caps had won 7 of 9 before that loss and keep it mind it was the defending champion Vegas they lost to. Now they take on Arizona and they are scrappy team but they certainly are no Vegas. The Coyotes have suddenly won 4 straight games and Ingram has played well between the pipes but he had struggled in recent home ice outings before suddenly catching fire. I just can not see the run continuing here against a fired up Caps team off a loss. Statistically note that Washington has been just as strong on the road as they have been at home. So there is line value with the Capitals at an underdog price in this one. 10* WASHINGTON +110 |
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12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Cincinnati Bengals (+) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8:15 ET - This line is currently in the 10 range with even some 10.5 out there as of early game day morning. First off a couple of perfect systems here in this situation involving the Bengals. Cincinnati beat Jacksonville the last time these teams met and it was recent enough that it matters. This one in 2021 and that makes this a revenge game for the Jaguars. That puts the Bengals into a nice system angle here as they have covered 10 times in a row when they are a road dog and the team they are facing is playing with revenge. Also, Cincinnati has covered 8 times in a row when they are in non-divisional action against an AFC foe that is on a SU winning streak of at least 2 games. Now, to the meat and potatoes of this spot, I think the Bengals were still dealing with shock last week as they lost their star QB for the season in the prior game. As a result, they got crushed by the Steelers as it was about more than just Joe Burrow being gone for the season, the overall team morale was just crushed and they could never get it going in that game. Keep in mind, these are still professionals and after an effort at Pittsburgh in which they were outstatted by a big margin, they will bounce back here. The Bengals come to play in this one on primetime TV and I love having big dogs that will give big effort in the NFL. Browning is now expected to have Higgins back at WR for this one after he missed 8 games and having him along with Chase makes the offense a little more dangerous. I liked Browning in College and feel he will be stronger now after getting that first start under his belt. The Jags are having a strong season but in 11 games so far they have only 3 wins by more than 10 points on the season. I think this is a on-score game and we have excellent line value. 10* CINCINNATI (+) |
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12-04-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -150 in Sepsi vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 meetings actually averaged 4 goals apiece. Sepsi is a bit of an "all or nothing" club as sometimes they get involved in 1-0 matches or scoreless draws but other times the goals are flying. This should be one of the latter versions as you know they are hungry to take advantage of facing a foe that is near the very bottom of the table. Though Dinamo has struggled, they truly have often looked much better than their record shows and they have had some undeserved results. This is a nice set up for goals with two clubs hungry to get into the win column and both approaching this as a winnable game in which being on the attack is of paramount importance. I expect Dinamo to get on the board here but also note that they are allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. 10* OVER 2 -150 in Sepsi |
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12-04-23 | Sivasspor v. Fenerbahce OVER 3.25 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #207877: Turkish Super Liga: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Fenerbahce in Sivasspor @ Noon ET - Here you have one of the league's best road clubs battling it out away from home and I like overs in a spot like this as they face a host coming off of an ugly 6-1 loss in Europa Conference League action. Returning to league action should bring out the best in Fenerbahce. As for Sivasspor, they were 3-1-1 in road battles in league action prior to a loss in last match away from home. They will bounce back after that shutout defeat but, at the same time, Fenerbahce is a heavy favorite for a reason. Sivasspor is off a home match that was a draw featuring 6 goals and now they are hungry to resume their road winning ways. Fenerbahce is off that 6-1 loss outside of league action but they have scored 3 goals per match last 8 matches in league action and of course they are favored by about 2 goals on the goal line here for good reason. Look for at least a 3-1 final here and take advantage of the fact we have 3 goals in the marketplace on this one. 10* OVER 3 -135 in Sivasspor |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers OVER 43 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Sunday NFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:20 ET - There is snow in the area today but it will be mostly gone by kickoff here. Winds will have also died down by kickoff. It will be cold but nothing brutal. The point is I do not expect either offense to be impacted here. We all know the Chiefs can move the ball well but the big key here too is that the Packers offense has been stronger of late too. Green Bay did tally 377 yards last week and they have scored an average of 24 points per game last 3 games. The Packers have allowed at least 20 points in 3 of last 4 games at home and now face the defending champs. Kansas City only scored 17 points in that recent loss with Philly but they should have had a lot more scoring in that one. They dropped too many passes. The Chiefs then scored 31 last week at Vegas and, other than a fluke 9 point performance at Denver, they have scored 24.7 ppg in their other 10 games. There has been a big under trend on primetime NFL this season and this has forced the numbers down further than they should be. Keep in mind, both teams off divisional wins plus the Chiefs have a big game with the Bills on deck. The defenses are unlikely to be at their best in this kind of scheduling situation and I love the fact this total is in the low 40s. 10* OVER the total in Green Bay |
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12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - This is a revenge game for Boston but they just beat Toronto in OT by a 4-3 count last night. That was a big win of course and I think the Bruins will be giving up some goals here off of such a big divisional win like that. The thing is the Blue Jackets have been scoring better of late but you know Boston is hungry to get some payback after losing 5-2 on the road at Columbus just last week. Note that the Bruins last 9 games have seen 7 of them total at least 7 goals. These are not the low-scoring defensive-minded Bruins of recent seasons. That said, there is a lot of value here getting this total at 6 goals. The Blue Jackets are off B2B 4-2 games and this followed 9 of last 12 games totaling at least 7 goals. Great line value here. The Jackets have scored 11 goals last 3 games and confidence is growing with wins in 4 of 6 games. Catching the Bruins over the big win over the Leafs means great spot for the Jackets to catch Boston a little lax (or tired) on defense but the Bruins are a big favorite for a reason and will battle back and the result is plenty of scoring here. 10* OVER 6 in Boston |
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12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State OVER 140.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #847: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 140.5 in Ohio State Buckeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 6:30 ET - This total has come down some from its opener and I am grabbing the value on the other side of the line move. The Buckeyes are 6-1 this season and the Golden Gophers are 5-2 this season and neither team has been involved in any OT games. Now look at their point totals and note that they each have averaged in the 145 point range. Now consider that Minny has won 2 of 3 and scored at least 86 points in each win and the Buckeyes last 3 wins in their 5 game winning streak have seen them total at least 86 points in each game. Granted this is a Big Ten opener for each team and defensive intensity might pick up some but both teams are playing well in the offensive end and playing with a lot of confidence. The point is that we have some healthy wiggle room with this total when you consider that each team is averaging 80 ppg this season. Don't be surprised if each team gets into the 70s here. 10* OVER 140.5 in Ohio State |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -4 | Top | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Los Angeles Rams (-) vs Cleveland Browns @ 4:25 ET - The dominant number on this one is a 4 as of about 6 hours before kickoff. The Browns have struggled to score points in their past two games and now they have to go with Joe Flacco at QB in this one. He is a veteran but is entering this game off the practice squad and has not seen live action in a long time. I expect Cleveland's offense to continue to struggle here and they are facing a Rams team that has been much better since their bye week. The confidence of B2B wins for this LA team was much needed and, though the Rams are not spectacular in any one facet, they have solid overall teams stats in terms of the run and the pass numbers on offense and defense. The Browns are very weak on the passing attack and that will be the difference in this one! Don't be surprised if Flacco struggles in his first action in a long time in this one and this is a new team for him as well. The Rams barely snuck by the Seahawks and also just beat a Cardinals team that is having a tough season but the confidence and the locker room atmosphere that is now present in LA is getting contagious. These guys believe they can make a run at the post-season yet and I am expecting another strong effort here to result in the home win and cover in this one! 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS (-) |
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12-03-23 | Otelul v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in FCSB vs Otelul Galati @ 2 ET - The last meeting totaled only 2 goals as FCSB prevailed on the road at Galati by a count of 2-0. However, Otelul Galati has seen their last two matches each total at least 4 goals and these two matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. Otelul Galati has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches but, of course, FCSB is a big favorite here with good reason. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. FCSB is off a 1-0 win but each of their 3 prior matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, before that win over Dinamo, 9 of last 12 matches had totaled at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in FCSB |
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12-03-23 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals (+) @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1 ET - This line is a solid 6.5 as of 5 hours before kickoff and this is unchartered territory for the Steelers this season. Look for that to be the difference in this one. Every line in Steelers games this season has been in the 4 range or less (whether dog or fave) and this is a rare bigger favorite situation for Pittsburgh. Yes they put up some big yardage (finally!) last week but this team has been outgained in almost every single game this season and is one of the most fortunate 7-4 NFL teams the league has ever seen at this later stage in the season. This is the perfect spot for a letdown. The Cardinals have a bye on deck. The Steelers are facing a non-conference opponent that has one of the worst records in the league. This game and this line is Trap City for the Steel City! Don't let the line fool you. I was hoping for +7 but there is a reason this line is holding at 6.5 across the board. The ugly dog Cards are the play. The Bengals are really a mess because the entire team morale plummeted after the Joe Burrow injury. The reason I am talking about Cincinnati here is because that is the team the Steelers just piled up all those yards against last week. The Bengals have issues now with Burrow out for the season. The defense of the Cards, though not great, is going to at least bring an effort here. These guys not happy at all about their record and will be going all out for an upset road win before their bye week. 10* ARIZONA +6.5 |
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12-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Tottenham @ 11:30 ET - The last 4 meetings here in league matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. City is also angry off B2B draws in league action including one on their home pitch! Manchester City needs to respond and they will here. Tottenham also has lost 3 straight matches and allowed 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. Manchester City is averaging 3 goals scored per match at home and Tottenham averaging 2 goals per match on the road this season. This sets up well to be a high-scoring match as City in need of a bounce back and Tottenham is as well. Both clubs aggressive on the attack here and will not be denied. The goals fly in this one just like the other 4 recent meetings here in league action. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-03-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206897: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 9 AM ET - The last 3 meetings have all totaled at least 4 goals and have averaged 5 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 Universitatea Cluj matches have totaled at least 3 goals. 3 of last 4 FCU 1948 Craiova matches have totaled at least 3 goals. All signs point to another high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj |
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12-03-23 | Crystal Palace v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in West Ham United vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - The last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 5 goals. The last 5 Crystal Palace matches have seen 4 total at least 3 goals. CP not known for high-scoring matches generally but they have been trending that way plus the match-up history here is 5 in a row. Also, 10 of last 12 West Ham matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. This one should get there as well. Expecting 4 but 3 will suit us just fine as the run between these clubs reaches 6 in a row totaling at least 3 goals! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in West Ham United |
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12-02-23 | Nuggets v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Sacramento -4.5 vs Denver Nuggets @ 10:10 ET - Tough spot for Nuggets off the big win over Phoenix last night. B2B spot for Denver and, this is the 3rd time they have entered a game on a 4-game winning streak. Both times thus far they lost the 5th game each time. This is a solid Kings team they face here and Sacramento is angry off a loss. The Kings just lost to the Clippers but Sacramento was off a big win over the Warriors. Remember that Golden State had won each of the first two meetings this season plus knocked Sacramento out of the playoffs last season. Not only that, the Kings had to rally and practically won that game in miracle fashion. So it was a definite flat spot. They bounce back here and take advantage of catching the defending champs in a tough scheduling spot. 10* SACRAMENTO -4.5 |
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12-02-23 | St. Joe's v. Temple OVER 147.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #715: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Temple Owls vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7:30 ET - The type of games each of these teams if off of entering this Big 5 match-up make it the perfect spot for an over. The Owls off a triple-OT win over fellow Philly foe LaSalle. St Joe's off the huge upset win over Villanova in their Big 5 match-up. That sets this one up well for plenty of points. Keep in mind it was not the triple-OT that forced Temple's game over. It did have a good pace in regulation. As for St Joe's, they have been scoring well and that is even with recent games against Villanova and Kentucky. This one projects to get into the 150s the way these teams have been going and of course both of them comfortable playing here in Philly. Look of another exciting high-scoring battle between two teams not afraid to play at a brisk pace. 10* OVER 147.5 in Temple |
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12-02-23 | Flyers +155 v. Penguins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 155 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +155 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers are having a solid start to the season, in part, because they have been able to avoid a lengthy losing streak. In fact, their longest streak is 3 games and they are 4-1 this season when entering a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. That is the case here and this is a big rivalry game with the Penguins and Philly's road record is actually slightly better than the Pens home record so far this season. Also, the Flyers will have Ersson between the pipes instead of Hart but he just had a fantastic November. He allowed only 8 goals in his last 5 starts. Also, Pittsburgh is off a win but had lost 5 of 7 prior to that. Off the big win over the Bolts and now catching the rival Flyers off B2B losses, the set up here is perfect for an upset. 10* PHILADELPHIA +155 |
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12-02-23 | SMU +3 v. Tulane | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
CFB Saturday SMU Mustangs (+) @ Tulane Green Wave @ 4 ET - This line is a around a 3 and certainly presents as a head-scratcher, right? Think about it. Tulane has won 11 straight AAC games and it all began with the last time these teams met. Tulane smashed SMU 59-24 last season as party of a huge campaign they had. They then won 2 more AAC games and are perfect 8-0 in the conference this season too. So now notice this line is around a field even though the Green Wave are at home, won the last meeting by 35 points, have won 11 conference match-ups in a row, AND (here is the kicker) the Mustangs just lost their starting QB for the season. All of those factors and this line is a -3. This is a trap line if I have ever seen one and the key for me is that, even though Stone is out, Jennings is a solid option at QB. Not only that, the Mustangs do rate a slight edge on defense and a strong edge on offense. Now, with Stone out, one could dispute that latter fact but the odds makers certainly are not! This game is priced this way for a reason! Grab the underdog here as Jennings will have a big game here. He does have some experience and has a lot of talent all around him to work with. I am fading the 11-0 SU run of Tulane but even if they sneak out a win we could still get the cover with having the points on our side. Great spot to fade an 11-0 run and I expect an outright upset. 10* SMU (+) |
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12-02-23 | Boise State -2.5 v. UNLV | Top | 44-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Boise State Broncos (-) @ UNLV @ 3 ET - This is another one of those funny line scenarios as UNLV is at home and has the better record yet Boise State is favored by about a field goal in this one. The line is holding around a -2.5 as of about 6 hours before kickoff. I like the fact that Boise State was left for dead not too long ago and then their head coach was fired and they could have just packed it in. Instead these team has shown incredible fortitude and fought their way through the battles and somehow ended up in the MWC Championship Game. Hats off to the Broncos for this performance and I expect their momentum to carry them all the way through this game. Certainly the amazing turnaround at UNLV was impressive this season but they had a couple of tight wins and some losses late in the season and I feel some cracks are starting to show here. Keep in mind, the Rebels have a 10-2 ATS record this season but that was also the case with Oregon and New Mexico State last night and both lost their games SU and ATS. I have Boise State rated better on each side of the ball plus they are used to playing this MWC Champ games while the same can certainly not be said for the UNLV Football program. At this time of the year, I like taking teams playing their best football of the season and that is the case with the Broncos. Solid season for the Rebels but they face a surging team with a lot of dangerous playmaking options on offense in this one. 10* BOISE STATE (-) |
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12-02-23 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League: Saturday EPL 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Historically speaking, I like overs when Newcastle is on their home pitch. They are a different club here. They play more aggressive and even if some of their players are out and others are being rotated in, they play an attacking style here. We have seen Manchester United be very susceptible at the back. They just blew a 3-1 lead against Galatasaray in Champions action this week in a match that ended 3-3. One thing for sure though, Man U is starting to score much better and has so many big playmakers like Garnacho and Fernandes and Rashford. Two clubs with strong attacking capabilities here and we should see at least 2-1 here. I see both clubs scoring and Man U has not had a draw this season and Newcastle has not had a draw at home this season. Therefore, perfect odds favor that a 1-1 match would eventually get to at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Newcastle United |
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12-02-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -145 in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Excellent line value with this total available at just a 2 in this one. Yes, we must lay some juice for the over but the fact is each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 2 goals. Also, Universitatea Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 7 matches. CFR Cluj is off a scoreless draw but 9 of 12 matches before that totaled at least 2 goals. Those dozen matches averaged 3.3 goals apiece and I look for another one getting to at least 3 goals here. Neither club has a high draw rate so if each club expected to score (see above for that reasoning) then also expecting it end up at least 2-1 is not asking too much as the statistical odds favor that. Again, the value of a 2 is big here as well. 10* OVER 2 -145 in Universitatea Craiova |
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12-02-23 | Everton v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200053: English Premier League: Saturday EPL 10* OVER 2.5 +110/+120 in Nottingham Forest vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - Nottingham has struggled and is desperate for points in the table. They have defensive deficiencies just like Everton but at least they should finally score well again here at home. Nottingham Forest has averaged 1.7 goals scored per home match this season but also Everton has scored 1.5 goals per road match this season! Not much likelihood of a draw here and with the way both these clubs allow goals and the fact they each need to fight hard for the full 3 points in the table here...I expect at least a 2-1 final to result. Everton had that 10-point penalty for legal violation and that has hurt them in the table which means even more aggression and attacking here from them. Everton desperate to start moving back up the table and they enter this one off a loss so they will look to make the most of a vulnerable Nottingham Forest backline here. Everton off a 3-0 loss to Manchester United and brings a strong effort here. 10* OVER 2.5 +110/+120 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-02-23 | Oklahoma State +15.5 v. Texas | Top | 21-49 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) vs Texas Longhorns @ Noon ET - This line is up to 15.5 and it is just too much the way I see it. Yes, Texas has revenge and is the better overall team but we saw that last night also with Oregon when they faced Washington and the Huskies ended up winning outright! I am not expecting an outright win here but I am expecting a solid underdog cover. The Cowboys have been tough as underdogs under head coach Mike Gundy and has covered 4 of 5 as a big 12 dog this season and 15 of 21 long-term when installed as a big 12 dog. As for Texas, they have not been great ATS away from home. Remember that, prior to barely covering at Iowa State, the last 3 Longhorns games played away from Austin were all ATS losses. The Cowboys did beat Oklahoma this year. The Horns lost to that same Sooners team. Don't get me wrong though, I am not saying Okla St is better than UT because of something like this. I am just telling you that this is a quality 9-3 team that plays well as an underdog and is well-coached and is getting too many points here. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE + |
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12-02-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Botosani OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in FC Botosani vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 10 AM ET - Goals should fly here. Rapid angry off a 3-2 loss in which they led 2-0 and then took their foot off the gas and lost! They will be relentless here and Botosani is the worst club in the league. As bad as they have been, at least Botosani starting to show some life in the goal-scoring department and they have scored 5 goals in their last 3 matches. They should get on the board here at home and put up a good fight but, of course, Rapid is a sizable favorite with good reason and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Rapid is also fired up because their last road match was a scoreless draw. Rapid has averaged 2 goals scored in the last 4 meetings between these teams and Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches. Again, another reason to expect at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in FC Botosani |
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12-01-23 | St. Mary's v. Boise State OVER 129.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boise State Broncos vs St Mary's Gaels @ 10:30 ET - This total in the 129.5 range. The Broncos and Gaels average around 70 points per game this season but I can see why this total is lower than that. The fact is that each have been involved in some low-scoring grinders this season but I like the value here on this lower total in this game played in Idaho Falls. The fact is that St Mary's has faced some tough defensive-minded competition. The Broncos are just not on the same level as those teams St Mary's struggled to score against and I expect things to open up here. Boise State definitely has the edge here in terms of this game being played in their home state and they were scoring an average of 72 points per game their first 5 games prior to a low-scoring loss to Butler. Look for them to bounce back in the offensive end after scoring just 56 against the Bulldogs. The Gaels are also off a loss and will bounce back and they have their confidence back in the offensive end after averaging 80 points last two games! More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Boise State |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +10 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (+) vs Oregon Ducks Friday at 8 ET - Current line around 10 as of early game day morning. I have tremendous respect for Dan Lanning and the Ducks but feel strongly that they are over-valued here. Kalen DeBoer and the Huskies have some edges in my opinion here and I am expecting a 1-score game as a result. Don't be surprised if Oregon gets their revenge but the win comes by just a FG or TD the way I see it. The big key here is that this is a pair of 2nd year coaches and Lanning is 21-2 with the Ducks against teams not named Washington and DeBoer is 23-2 with the Huskies overall. The key point here is Lanning is 0-2 against DeBoer so far. All the pressure is on him and the Ducks here. I know the Huskies have unbeaten pressure if you will but I feel this is a game in which Oregon has all the pressure to prove they can finally beat Washington again and you know DeBoer and the Huskies have extra confidence from winning the meetings both last season and this season. Also, notice that these teams played the exact same conference schedule expect the Ducks played the Pac-12 worst Buffaloes while the Huskies had to play a top tier Pac-12 team as they faced the Wildcats. Arizona is 10-2 ATS this season also and so is Oregon. Washington did get straight-up wins over both these 10-2 ATS teams and the Huskies are 12-0 SU on the season. Also, consider that the Ducks non-conference schedule included an 81-7 win over an FCS school which certainly padded stats. The Huskies non-conference schedule included, instead of an FCS school in that slot, a Boise State team that is now playing for the Mountain West Championship title tomorrow. The point is that the Huskies are 12-0, played the tougher non-conf schedule, played the tougher conference schedule, have won both meetings that featured these two head coaches, and are getting double digits in points here. This is a lot of line value. Ducks are a great team but this Huskies team is not undefeated by accident. They might lose this game but I expect an epic finish if that is the case. Lanning wants this game bad but, as the line shows, all the pressure is on him here. Lose a 3rd straight to the Huskies (and this one as a double digit fave) and that tarnishes what he has done with this Ducks program so far. This is a pressure game for Oregon. I'll take the big points as the Huskies schedule to end the season was a tough one with 3 straight ranked teams and then rival Washington State so they are better than some of their late season stats would lead you to believe and, keep in mind, they still found a way to win all 4 of those games. These guys are winners. Two very strong teams...I am taking the big points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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12-01-23 | 76ers +7 v. Celtics | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This line is as high as 7 as of about 7 hours before tipoff. Embiid missed the morning shootaround so now speculation is rampant that he will miss tonight's game. Don't be surprised when Embiid plays tonight. I just do not see him missing this contest as the Sixers seek revenge here. They probably wanted to let him rest as much as possible this morning rather than force him for the shootaround. Either way this is a lot of points in a rivalry game and I like Philly here. Before the loss to the Pelicans, in which it was a surprise that Embiid did not play, the Sixers were 5-2 SU on the road this season and one of those losses was by just 1 point. We have great line value here with this line possibly now even going higher. You are going to see a huge effort here in this revenge spot from the Sixers no matter who is on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-01-23 | Senators v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -125 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:07 ET - The Blue Jackets Merzlikins has been better of late in goal but it still hard to trust him and the Senators are heavy favorites here with good reason. Merzlikins has struggled quite often this season and the Sens will pressure him with a lot of shots. The Blue Jackets should also enjoy success on home ice where, long-term, they do tend to score better. Columbus will take advantage of facing a struggling goalie in the form of former Jacket Korpisalo. The fact he was with the Blue Jackets before just puts even more pressure on him and he has a lofty GAA. Both teams do for that matter and I am expecting goals to fly here. Ottawa is off a 5-0 loss and prior to that 12 of 16 games totaled at least 7 goals! Columbus off a 4-2 loss but 9 of 12 games before that totaled at least 7 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 6.5 -125 in Columbus |
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12-01-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -150 in Poli Iasi vs Farul @ 1 PM ET - Getting a 2 here is a fantastic value. Poli Iasi is off a scoreless draw on the road but their last 3 matches at home all totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3 goals apiece. Farul is seeking revenge for a home loss to Iasi and that was a 3-1 beating and I expect the goals to fly again here. Farul, dating all the way back to mid-July, has seen 20 of last 23 matches across all competitions total at least 2 goals. These matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and more of the same on tap here. Specific to league matches, 14 of last 16 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 -150 in Poli Iasi |
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12-01-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -127 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - Getting a 2 here is a fantastic value. FC Voluntari has had 4 straight matches total at least 2 goals and the last 3 have totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Petrolul Ploiesti has had a number of scoreless draws the last two months but 3 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Their matches have been "all or nothing" in terms of goal scoring. That said, matching up with an FC Voluntari club that has been pushing the pace in recent matches means this will be more of an "all" match than a "nothing" match! This is particularly true because Petrolul Ploiesti has only one home loss this season and it came against FC Voluntari so this is a revenge match where they would like to return the favor on their opponent's home pitch. This is an important match in terms of positioning in the table. Look for a 2-1 type match as both clubs push hard for the full 3 points here. 10* OVER 2 -125 in FC Voluntari |
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11-30-23 | Clippers v. Warriors -5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -5 vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 10:10 ET - Last night the Clippers caught the Kings off a dramatic huge-deficit come from behind victory the night before. LA took advantage and got the win at Sacramento but the situation was a good one for the Clips and a horrible one for the Kings plus LA hit 14 of 28 three-points in the game! They will not do that again tonight. Now it is the Clippers that are in a B2B situation and they are facing the very team (Warriors) that had blown a massive lead in a gut-wrenching loss at Sacramento! That said, Golden State is rested and ready and angry and this is a very reasonable line to lay here. I would not be surprised to see Leonard and Harden be less effective in the 2nd game of a B2B plus Powell got hurt last night and will not play here. Yes I am aware of the Chris Paul injury for the Warriors but the rest of the team in good shape entering this one and now Draymond Green is back from his suspension too. The Warriors are ready to go tonight and I am expecting them to have one of their best games of the season thus far in this one. They led by as many as 24 points in that loss at Sacramento and did lead by 17 at the half. GSW can not wait to get back on the floor. 10* GOLDEN STATE -5 |
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11-30-23 | Golden Knights v. Canucks -116 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
VANCOUVER - The Canucks have been great on home ice all season long and here they catch a slumping Golden Knights team. Vegas has lost 8 of 11 games and I know some of the defeats were tight too but the losing is taking a toll and no let up is in sight. They are off a high-scoring loss at Edmonton but they were fortunate to even get that game to OT as they had to rally to do so. The trouble too is that, before that game, they only scored 7 goals in their last 7 losses. All is not well in Vegas right now and, now wrapping up a long road trip, the Golden Knights are not likely to see things get better until their home ice match-up this weekend. This is just a typical scenario here where it is so hard to pull it together on the road when 7 of your last 8 games have been on the road and you just can't get any consistency going. Being the defending champs plus the fact this is a divisional game, you know the Canucks want to take down the champs here. VANCOUVER -120 |
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11-30-23 | Stars -130 v. Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
DALLAS - The road team has won both meetings this season and the Stars lost at home to the Flames 7-4 last week so this is a shot at right back revenge. Calgary off the huge upset win over Vegas. Not only are they just 2-6 this season when off a win, the Flames just knocked off the defending champs so the set up here is great. DALLAS -130 |
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11-30-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Ariz vs Colo - Both teams have had some recent lower-scoring games but both are winning too. Confidence running high right now for both these clubs and the Coyotes have scored 10 goals in their last 3 games. The Avalanche have won 7 of 8 games and averaged 5 goals per game in the 7 victories. The Avs have seen 8 of last 12 games total at least 7 goals. The Coyotes most recent home game was a low-scoring win but this followed a stretch in which 5 of last 7 games totaled at least 7 goals and those games actually averaged 8 goals apiece. This is a small but special venue that the Coyotes are currently playing in down in Arizona and the atmosphere lends itself to some crazy games at Mullett Arena with a raucous crowd. More of the same expected here with a nearby foe in town. OVER 6.5 in Arizona |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Seattle Seahawks (+) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:15 ET - The current number as of early game day morning is 9.5 or 9 in most books. I was hoping we might see 10 points popping up but, either way, based on this current line we are essentially challenging the Cowboys to win this game by double digits. I love this spot as a spot to fade Dallas. They are off a big home win but when you look close at what the Cowboys have done this season, it has been a typical Dallas season. They beat up on bad teams (other than when they fell short at Arizona) and they lose to stronger teams (Niners, Eagles). Now I am certainly not saying the Seahawks are in the category of a San Fran or Philly. But I they do have a winning record this season and were 6-3 before suffering B2B tough losses. The Cowboys are 8-3 this season and taking away the two games against the only two teams they have faced that currently have a winning record, the other 8 teams they have faced have a combined record of 26-55 this season! So the Cowboys 8 wins (including twice beating Giants) plus the lone loss to a bad team (Arizona) means that Dallas is 8-1 against teams with a losing record. Those teams current combined losing record is 26-55. Seattle is not SF or Philly but they also are better than all the teams that Dallas has made a living feasting off of this season. This is going to be a much tougher game than most are expecting. Carroll will have his team ready on the road coming off B2B losses and to top it off, the Cowboys have Philly on deck! This is a huge lookahead situation because Eagles are playing SF this week. Dallas knows that Philly could lose that game which means if the Cowboys win this plus beat Philly next week then both teams would be 10-3 and tied at the top of the NFC East! Trust me Dallas has this in their head too and all this in their head means this "cakewalk game" turns into a "lookahead situation" and traditionally these are the types of games Dallas struggles in. Seattle has beaten Detroit and Cleveland this season and those two teams have a combined 15-7 record this season. The Seahawks are 11-2 ATS when they face a non-divisional opponent that has a winning record. Also, coach Carroll's teams have produced a 20-5 ATS record when entering a game off B2B SU losses and this their first losing streak of the season! Even with the big win over Washington on Thanksgiving, the Cowboys are still just 2-9 ATS as a home favorite in Thursday games. Seahawks bounce back here and might even pull off the shocker. Grab the big points. 10* SEATTLE (+) |
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11-30-23 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #752: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (-) vs Illinois State Redbirds @ 8 ET - As I mentioned in Sunday's write-up on UIC - an underdog cover as they lost by just one point - the Flames have been developing well in recent years. They are well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been a process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is 5-2 on the season and with Illinois State, this is not the right kind of team roster to take advantage of the Flames guard-heavy style. This is an MVC opener for these teams and the Flames will fare well in this match-up. I like laying a very reasonable number of points in this one with a team that is undefeated at home and hosting a team that has lost 3 in a row in games played away from home. Note that UIC is hitting 48% from the field this season and the Redbirds are hitting just 39% from the field. Also, the Flames are averaging much higher blocked shots numbers. This is no surprise as, in this match-up too, UIC has some height and length edges in guard play as well. Illinois-Chicago lost the most recent meeting between these teams in a game played at Illinois State and that was in OT last season. This will be payback at home and they bounce back from a 1-point loss. Keep in mind the Flames only other loss this season was to Cincinnati! Lay it! Illinois-Chicago (+) |
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11-30-23 | LASK Linz v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #224485: Europa League | Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -110 in Liverpool vs LASK Linz @ 3 ET - LASK Linz has to go for it here and so I am expecting an aggressive attacking style from the visitors in this one. They have no choice if they want to stay alive in this competition. That should open this up to plenty of goals as Liverpool is favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line and it is a justified number. Considering the aggressive approach LASK Linz must take plus the fact that the Reds have some issues on the back line I do not expect a clean sheet here. That said, the big dog visitors make the net ripple at least once. The final score likely in the 4-1 range or at least 3-1. Liverpool lost their most recent match in this competition 3-2 at Toulouse so the Reds come out hungry and aggressive here and should be relentless. This is particularly true after the 1-1 draw with Manchester City over the weekend. The reverse fixture between these clubs was 3-1 and LASK Linz had scored 3 goals in 3 straight matches before splitting their last two matches in low-scoring affairs. The high-scoring ways resume here. 10* OVER 3.5 -110 in Liverpool |
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11-30-23 | West Ham United v. Backa Topola OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #224461: Europa League | Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Backa Topola vs West Ham United @ 12:45 ET - A victory here in Serbia on Thursday will guarantee a place for West Ham in the Europa League knockout rounds. They are favored by 1.5 goals with heavy juice for a reason. I do look for the Hammers to come up with a strong effort but Backa Topola on home soil for this one and coming off a win over the weekend that is a confidence boost as well. The lost the reverse fixture 3-1 and a similar result is likely here. Yes, this total is a big one but each of Backa Topola's last 5 matches in continental action like Europa League and Champions League Qualifying have all totaled at least 4 goals. That means this spot is testing a 5-0 run! Not only that, the Hammers are off a 2-1 win and 5 of last 8 matches across all competitions had totaled at least 4 goals. We'll see goals here! 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Backa Topola |
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11-29-23 | 76ers v. Pelicans | Top | 114-124 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Pick'em @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - As of very early game day morning this line is showing some movement toward the Pelicans and the Sixers have gone from being a small favorite to right around a pick'em. The 76ers might even end up being the dog here but we are getting in on this now at the pick'em price. Yes, the 76ers have a revenge game on deck at Boston and are 1-1 this season when they have the Celtics on deck. However, the win was by 18 points while the loss was a game in which they were in the 2nd leg of a B2B with a Pacers team they had just beaten. This is a different situation. Philly going on the road off a blowout win over the Lakers and they know they do not want to make the same mistake they made against the Pacers. In other words, the fact this is a road game might even help the Sixers in the focus department and they know they can not overlook these Pelicans. New Orleans is at home and that is why this game is priced this way but they have lost B2B games and another reason for the pricing is that CJ McCollum could be back tonight. But if you are the Pelicans, wouldn't you rather wait and bring him back Friday against a bad Spurs team? Also, if he does play here, he would likely not be 100% plus he would be on a minutes restriction. The Sixers are 5-1 last 6 road games and a PERFECT 5-0 L5 road games when Embiid plays. He is playing tonight and the lone road game he missed was a loss he sat out of due to a b2b situation and playing with a sore hip. So this is a non-B2B and it is a road games streak I expect Philly to take to a PERFECT 6-0 RUN! 10* PHILADELPHIA pick'em |
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11-29-23 | Red Wings v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:37 ET - This is a great spot for goals! The Rangers are off a 5-1 loss and ready to respond. However, the Red Wings have won 3 straight games and have scored at least 4 goals in all 3 wins! Detroit also has revenge from a 5-3 loss here in New York in the first meeting this season. The Rangers have seen 7 of last 10 games total at least 6 goals and all 6 of the first 7 that did before last night's 5-1 loss had each totaled at least 7 goals. The Red Wings have now actually scored at least 4 goals in 5 of last 6 games and the Rangers have given up at least 4 goals in each of last two games. So this has the makings of another high-scoring affair between these teams. New York has yet to lose B2B games this season and will come out flying here but there is no way I am fading this Detroit team the way they are scoring goals coupled with the fact the Rangers D and netminding has recently faded. 10* OVER 6 in New York Rangers |
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11-29-23 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 142.5 | Top | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #657 CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Temple Owls vs La Salle Explorers @ 7 ET - This is part of the Philly Big 5 tourney and I love the fact that this total has gone from the upper 140s to the low 140s. The current number is in the 143 range as of early game day morning. The Explorers and Owls both play at a decent pace. Both shoot a lot of threes. Both are comfortable, of course, playing here in Philly. La Salle is the road team here but it is no big deal as Fran Dunphy just got his 600th career win and the Explorers coach was the head coach here at Temple for many years too. I like the fact that LaSalle has seen 4 different leading scorers in its last 5 games. It shows you they do not have to rely on just one guy. The Explorers have averaged 75 ppg in the 5 wins in their 5-1 start to the season and they even scored 66 in their loss to DUKE! La Salle should score very well here but I am on crazy about their defensive capabilities. Though the Owls rely more heavily on their top scorer Hysier Miller. They have other solid scoring options too and will make their way through this defense without a problem, especially with confidence in their own arena! The Owls have been held below 73 points just once this season and are allowing 70 ppg but averaging 75. This one should get into the 150s given all of the above and so I do feel we have solid line value in a game that should be back and forth and reach at least the 150 mark. These guys push hard in this Philly Big 5 games and I expect exciting game here! 10* OVER the total in Temple |