Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-25-21 | Celtics v. Hornets OVER 223.5 | Top | 140-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #503 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - Both teams in 2nd game of back to back. Both teams off wins in which they allowed less than 100 points. Historically I like overs a lot in situations like this and I expect some tired legs on the defensive end after giving big efforts to get low-scoring wins yesterday. Adding to the value here is that Jaylen Brown should be back after he missed yesterday's game. It was merely precautionary and Boston only wanted him to play one game of the back to back so this is it. Look for more of a run and gun type of game here after yesterday's grinders for each team. Both teams gave up plenty of points in their first two games this season so one should not over-react to yesterday's surprising results. 10* OVER 223.5 in Charlotte |
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10-25-21 | Lightning v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Puck Line Punisher - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #54 Monday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres +1.5 goals -135 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:08 ET - Tampa Bay has struggled so far this season and their only two victories have come in OT. Also, the Lightning have a big revenge game on deck as they will be at Pittsburgh tomorrow and they lost their season opener at home by a 6-2 count versus the Penguins. As for the Sabres, they have been very scrappy early this season with a 3-1-1 record. That means if you had Buffalo +1.5 in all games this season you would have won 4 of 5 bets and if you went against TB with +1.5 goals in all of their games this season you would have won all 5 bets against the Lightning. Hence the value here with only having to lay a -135 price to have the Sabres at +1.5 goals. Buffalo is off a tight 1-goal loss at New Jersey Saturday and won't be home again, after this game, until Saturday November 6th. After tonight's game Buffalo heads on a west coast road trip. As a result, and hosting the 2-time defending Stanley Cup champs tonight, I look for the Sabres to come out very strong tonight and make the most of this opportunity on home ice before heading west. 10* BUFFALO Puck Line +1.5 goals -135 |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | Top | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Non-Conf Game of the Year - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #471 Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +4 @ San Francisco 49ers @ 8:20 ET - Jimmy Garoppolo back from injury for the 49ers here but how effective will he be considering the time off and the recovery from injury. At the same time, Carson Wentz is quietly putting together some impressive numbers for the Colts. The Indianapolis QB has a TD-INT ratio of 9-1. Keep in mind, prior to a rough season with a fading Eagles team last year, Wentz had compiled a TD-INT ratio of 81-21 over 3 preceding seasons. I had a strong feeling he would enjoy some success in coming to Indianapolis and working with head coach Frank Reich who was an offensive coordinator with the Eagles when they won the Super Bowl a few years and Wentz had been rock solid under Reich before he got hurt. So I am aware the Colts have a disappointing record so far this season but so too do the 49ers and I like the fact Indianapolis has now won 2 of 3 games SU and covered 4 of last 5 games ATS while the Niners are in a 0-3 SU/ATS slump. I know the 49ers are off their bye week but their final game before the break was a disappointing loss to the Cardinals in a divisional game. The 49ers only wins this season were on the road against the Eagles and Lions! I think this Colts team is better than people realize despite their record and they are starting to turn the corner. Keep in mind, Indy went 11-5 last season while San Francisco went 6-10 last year. Give me the points here as the Colts continue to turn this season around and we can fade a Niners team that is favored by more than a FG here and yet lacking in confidence. There is simply something amiss in San Francisco right now and we'll take advantage here. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +4 |
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10-24-21 | Eagles v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | Top | 22-33 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Las Vegas Raiders vs Philadelphia Eagles @ 4:05 ET - The Eagles are off a dismal effort on offense last week but faced Tampa Bay. Now they catch the Raiders off their emotional big win in first game after the change at head coach because of the Jon Gruden situation. Also, Las Vegas certainly not known for defense even though they have been a little better on that side of the ball this season. That said, I am looking for a lot of points in this one. The Eagles have allowed 32 points per game last 4 games and are a 3 point dog here. So if they allow 32 but stay within the number you are talking about a game that lands around 60. Philly will make up for their poor effort on offense last week and I also expect Las Vegas to be much better on offense than they were 2 weeks ago versus Chicago when the team was a mess as the Gruden situation was brewing at that time. The game was at home just like this one is and this is the Raiders first chance to make up for that one in front of their home fans. Note that they had scored an average of 32 points in their first two home games this season. More of the same here. 10* over 48.5 in Las Vegas |
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10-24-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United has scored an average o 2.5 goals in matches on their home pitch this season. Liverpool has scored an average of 3.5 goals in matches on the road this season. Both these clubs are loaded with attackers and, try as they may, the defense of each club will struggle in trying to fully stop the potent attacks they are facing in this one. Sometimes these teams have matched up and then it doesn't live up to the expected onslaught of goals but given the current state of the attacking unit of these clubs and Salah versus Ronaldo having ability to make headlines here, look for a very entertaining affair here. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 44 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44 in Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:45 ET - The Stampeders have been red hot and are off a 39-point outburst last week. The Roughriders had a much needed bye last week and have some key weapons entering the lineup this week to help out QB Cody Fajardo. Look for the rested Riders to enjoy some success on the offensive side of the ball but they also will struggle to stop this red-hot Calgary team. The last two games between these teams totaled right around 40 but I think the better health of each of these two offenses will lead to the 3rd game in this 3-game set getting into the 50s. That said, excellent line value with this total in the 44 range. 10* OVER 44 in Calgary |
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10-23-21 | Bucks -6 v. Spurs | Top | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NBA 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -6 @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - The Bucks just got absolutely destroyed at Miami. That means this is a bounce back spot for Milwaukee and they should have Jrue Holiday back for this one. Yes they are not 100% percent healthy yet for sure but that it is a big plus for them here to get Holiday back. While the Bucks also were off yesterday, the Spurs were at Denver. San Antonio coming off a game in high altitude where they expended a lot of energy. The Spurs in 2nd game of tough back to back and yes they did win their only home game so far but that was much better situation and they faced a bad Magic team missing a ton of starters. This situation is much different and features a very strong, and angry, Bucks team that is rested and in bounce back mode! 10* MILWAUKEE -6 |
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10-23-21 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 65 | Top | 40-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #337 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 65 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 7:30 ET - Cavaliers are off a shutout win but they allowed 39 points per game over the preceding 4-game stretch. Now Virginia takes on a balanced Georgia Tech offensive attack and the Yellow Jackets have averaged scoring 32 points their last 3 games. The issue for GT is they won't be able to stop the potent passing attack of the Cavs. Note that the Cavaliers are throwing for over 400 passing yards per game and the Yellow Jackets have allowed 34 points per game their last 3 games. The Cavs were slowed in one game, versus Wake Forest, but have averaged 39.3 points in their other 6 games this season and this one shapes up to be an absolute shootout! 10* OVER 65 in Virginia |
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10-23-21 | Utah -3 v. Oregon State | Top | 34-42 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Year - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #373 Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Utes (-) @ Oregon State Beavers @ 7:30 ET - The Utes offer line value here because they are on the road so we can lay a small number to have the better team essentially just to win this game with the line at -3. Utah has won 3 straight games and has played a slightly tougher schedule too. Oregon State is off a loss and has lost 2 of their more challenging game this season. The Beavers lost at Washington State and at Purdue and each of those defeats were by 7 or more points. Utah has won 8 of the last 11 meetings and that includes a 45 point blowout win in their last visit to Corvallis. Lay the short number here as the Beavers certainly have improved and are absolutely not the doormat of the Pac-12 that they once were but, Oregon State is still not at the level Utah is. Also, the Utes are undefeated in conference games and, as the only team in the Pac-12 able to stake that claim, they are highly motivated to stay that way. The edge the Beavers have over some Pac-12 teams in terms of being strong in the trenches and a physical team against some of the softer more finesse Pac-12 teams, they just don't have those same edges against a tough Utes team that likes to play a physical brand of football. The road team gets it done here. 10* UTAH -3 |
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10-23-21 | Panthers v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
PA Dominator - Rickenbach NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 +105 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Short and sweet with this one. The Panthers are 4-0 this season and the Flyers are 2-0-1 so neither team has tasted defeat in regulation time this season. Not only that, Florida has scored 4 or more goals in all 4 games and Philadelphia has scored 4 or more goals in all 3 games. With two very confident teams playing to win rather than playing not to lose, the goals should be plentiful in this one. Need each team to get to 3 goals and, again, they have each gotten to no less than 4 goals in each game. As a result, don't be surprised if we see a 5-4 final here but either way I am expecting at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6.5 goals in Philadelphia |
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10-23-21 | Manchester City v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - I do not see Brighton & Hove been held without a goal on their home pitch here. At the same time I do not see Manchester City being denied the full 3 points points in the table in this one. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here and that would cash our ticket. Brighton & Hove's fast start in this campaign has been helped by scheduling and they take a major step up in level of opponent for this one. That said, City will not hold back either. Incredibly, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 5 or more goals in 5 of last 11 matches! This City club can score goals in bunches and I am expecting more of the same here in what is a statement game for them since these two clubs are so tight in the standings right now. The visitors will not hold back here but the hosts find the back of the net too. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox @ 8:08 ET - 8 straight Red Sox games have totaled 9 or more runs. Eovaldi was not overly dominant in his start against the Astros in this series and then he struggled out of the bullpen against them. Garcia has struggled badly for Houston this post-season. Given that factor plus the fact that Boston's last 8 games have averaged 12.5 runs and Houston's last 8 games have averaged 12.6 runs per game, I look for another slugfest here. 10* OVER 9 in Houston |
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10-22-21 | Nets -3 v. 76ers | Top | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
PA Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Friday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -3 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Ben Simmons saga rolls on in Philly. A lot of pressure on Tobias Harris here as the Sixers are in the process of parting ways with Simmons plus Joel Embiid is now questionable for tonight's game with knee issues. That makes this a fantastic situation because Philadelphia is off a blowout win in their first game but it was against a bad Pelicans team while Brooklyn is off a blowout loss in their first game but they faced the defending champion Bucks. Not only off a loss at Milwaukee but also with an extra day of rest between games compared to Philly. The Nets also have double revenge here from losing their last two meetings with the Sixers last season. The road team is favored with good reason here! Lay it! 10* BROOKLYN -3 |
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10-22-21 | Toronto +1 v. Montreal | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +1 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Alouettes are at home and trailing the Argonauts by just one game in the division. However, Toronto is off a bye week and getting healthier while Montreal is down to their 2nd string quarterback. Also, the Argos are 4-1 in divisional games this season and the Als are just 1-2 in home games. The Argonauts defense has been much better since they hired defensive consultant Chris Jones. Hotter and healthier team on the road and that means line value so I am stepping out big with this one. 10* TORONTO |
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10-22-21 | Bruins -1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 4-1 | Win | 125 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Puck Line Punisher - Rickenbach NHL Friday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins -1.5 goals +125 @ Buffalo Sabres @ 7:08 ET - The Bruins in a great spot here. Fired up off a loss and now former Sabre Linus Ullmark will be between the pipes for Boston in Buffalo. I expect a big game from him and I know Buffalo is undefeated on the season and off to a great start but now they are facing one of the best teams in the league and they catch them at the wrong time too. This situation has blowout written all over it. Yes Buffalo off to a 3-0 start but the 3 teams they have faced have now lost a combined 12 of 14 games. All those clubs struggling. Now the Sabres take a big step up in level of opponent. 10* Boston Bruins -1.5 goals +125 |
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10-22-21 | Memphis -122 v. Central Florida | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Money Line Mauling - Rickenbach CFB Friday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers Money Line -122 @ Central Florida Knights @ 7 ET - I know it is hard to trust this Tigers defense but but Memphis is very good on offense and UCF is a much different team these days. The big key of course is being without QB Dillon Gabriel but also they have lost a top wide receiver and a top defensive lineman. Central Florida has lost 3 of last 4 games SU and is 0-5 ATS against FBS teams this season! The Knights recent losses included one against Navy and that is who Memphis just beat by 18 points. Also, one of the Tigers recent losses was to UTSA but the Roadrunners are now 7-0 this season and Memphis really gave that game away and never should have lost it. Perhaps lesson learned for the Tigers in how to close out a big game? Either way I like them here against a UCF team dealing with key injuries on both sides of the ball. I know this is a revenge game for the Knights but they are having a tough season and this is just not the same team at all that we saw last season. The Tigers roll here. 10* MEMPHIS -122 |
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10-22-21 | Aston Villa v. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - Arsenal is off a 2-2 draw but this was preceded by allowing just one single goal over 4 matches! Aston Villa also is off a high-scoring match that was preceded by stifling defense. Prior to a 3-2 defeat, Aston Villa allowed a total of only 3 goals over 4 matches. Also, there has been a clean sheet in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs and that includes a pair of 1-0 victories for Aston Villa which is the type of result I feel is likely in this one. 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -120 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - Rickenbach NFL Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns Money Line -120 vs Denver Broncos @ 8:20 ET - Baker Mayfield is out but Case Keenum has experience working with head coach Kevin Stefanski as they are were together in Minnesota in 2017. That year was Keenum's best in the NFL and he might surprise many by coming up big in this Thursday night start. With the line at -2 in most places but the money line available as low as -120 in some spots, I am recommending grabbing the money line here. Look for the Browns to bounce back at home off an ugly home loss to the last remaining undefeated team in the league. By the way, the Broncos have lost 3 straight games as their early season 3-0 start proving to be a fluke. Denver's 3 wins are against teams that are a combined 3-14 on the season! Two of the Browns wins are against teams that are .500 on the season and their loss to a Chargers team that is now 4-2 on the season was a very tight defeat. The Broncos 3 defeats, on the other hand, have come by an average margin of 11.3 points. I am grabbing the home team that is available at a bargain price because of Mayfield being out for this game. 10* CLEVELAND money line -120 |
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10-21-21 | Braves +132 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
TBS Annihilation - Rickenbach MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Atlanta Braves +132 @ Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:08 - I don't care who the starting pitchers are. The Braves are expected to start Max Fried while the Los Angeles Dodgers are expected to go with a bullpen game. The Dodgers lost Justin Turner to injury yesterday and now are even in bigger trouble than they already were. The Braves have won 6 of 7 games and the average margin of victory has been nearly 3 runs in the 6 victories. Amazingly the Braves have allowed an average of just 2.5 runs per game in their 8 post-season games. The Dodgers, conversely, have allowed 19 runs the last 3 games against Braves and that includes 5 or more in all 3 games. Now going to a bullpen game here and without one of their better bats in the lineup too, the situation is a tough one for the Dodgers. The road dog Braves offer tremendous money line value here as a result. 10* ATLANTA +132 |
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10-21-21 | Mavs +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 87-113 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
TNT Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +2.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The Hawks are at home and had a decent record last season. That is leading to solid line value with the road dog in this one. Keep in mind, Atlanta was barely above .500 against Western Conference teams last season. Conversely, Dallas was 21-9 against Eastern Conference teams last season and that included 2-0 versus the Hawks. I still feel strongly that there exists an East-West dichotomy in the NBA and, until we see this dynamic change, there is always a bit of shading toward the West in my mind when it comes to East-West match-ups. That said, when I can get the team from the West on the road and getting points then I pay particularly close attention. Looking at this match-up, the Hawks also are a bit banged up while the Mavs appear healthy entering this one. I do expect an outright upset but will gladly grab the points as added insurance in this one. 10* DALLAS +2.5 |
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10-21-21 | Tulane v. SMU OVER 70.5 | Top | 26-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CFB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 70.5 in SMU Mustangs vs Tulane Green Wave @ 7:30 ET - Both teams play fast. SMU is one of the fastest-paced teams in CFB and has averaged 44 points per game at home this season. Tulane is allowing 43.3 points per game on the road this season. The Green Wave should score plenty here though as the Mustangs did allow 37 points to Louisiana Tech and 34 points to TCU. As noted above, Tulane also likes to play fast on offense and the Green Wave did put up 35 points against Oklahoma earlier this season. The over is 5-1 in Tulane's games this season. I know SMU has trended under this season but the way they play on offense and the fact that the Green Wave can't stop anyone but also have a decent offensive attack has me eyeing the Mustangs under trending coming to a screeching halt in this game. 10* OVER 70.5 in SMU |
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10-21-21 | Avalanche +105 v. Panthers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Money Line Mauling - Rickenbach NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche Money Line +105 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:08 ET - Landeskog back tonight from two game suspension. The only game he played the Avalanche won 4-2 in their season opener. Since then they have gone 0-2 and MacKinnon missed one of those losses and was not himself in the loss Tuesday in Washington after flying cross country Monday night after being cleared from covid protocols. I know goalie Kuemper has struggled early this season but I know what he is capable of too. That said, and with Landeskog and MacKinnon and Rantanen finally together again on the top line for this one, I look for a big road win from a hungry Avalanche team in this one. They are off back to back losses and they catch Florida off a big divisional win at Tampa Bay and, of course, the Lightning are the B2B defending Stanley Cup champs too. This set up is ideal for this play and the Avs get it done on the road to get back on track. 10* COLORADO +105 |
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10-20-21 | 76ers -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 117-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
PA Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Sixers are eager to prove that life will go on without Ben Simmons. They want to put that entire nonsense behind them and press ahead. Joel Embiid and company will dominate here as the Pelicans are without Zion Williamson to open up the season. I know Brandon Ingram is going to play for New Orleans here but he was bothered by his knee as the preseason went on. Of course Williamson and Ingram are two key players for New Orleans. As for the 76ers being without Simmons, he honestly had become more of a distraction than anything else and hurt them in the post-season with his reluctance to take shots. Look for Embiid and Tobias Harris to help lead the way to a dominating road win here as the 76ers get payback for a loss here the last time these teams met at New Orleans. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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10-20-21 | Bruins v. Flyers +121 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 121 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
TNT Annihilation - Rickenbach NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs Boston Bruins @ 7:38 ET - The Bruins have played just one game and got a win. They have yet to face adversity early this season. The Flyers got plenty of that in their season-opening loss to the Canucks which was likely the best thing that could have happened to them. Philadelphia rallied to force a shutout as they were down 4-2 but tied it at 4 late and forced the shootout. They ultimately lost 5-4 but then bounced back with a big win over Seattle Monday and looked great at both ends of the ice in that one. The Bruins gave the Flyers trouble last season but Philly did win 2 of the last 3 meetings and I like the roster changes this Philly team made coming into this season. They are built much better now to do battle with high quality teams like Boston and also defenseman Rasmus Ristolainen should make his Flyers debut tonight. The additions Philadelphia has made will result in them being a much tougher team to face this season and Boston finds that out tonight. This Flyers team has more resiliency and veteran support guys and they will be a tough hard-fighting home dog in this match-up tonight. Great line value on home ice and Bruins went from being a -125 favorite to a -140 favorite and I am grabbing the value on the other side of the move. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina -5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
ESPN2 Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -5 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers @ 7:30 ET - We can lay a short number here to have a team that has won nearly 20 regular season games in a row. I'll take it! Yes I know Coastal Carolina has played a weak schedule but this is essentially the same Chanticleers team we saw last season and they knocked off a pair of ranked teams last season as part of their undefeated regular season. Coastal Carolina's toughest game this season was at Buffalo and they won by just 3. However late in the game the Chanticleers had a 1st and goal and were getting ready to make the score 35 to 17 to put the game away. Then it was the one and only interception that CC has had this season and the Bulls then drove 92 yards for a 14 point swing on the scoreboard. Honestly that one turn of events is simply serving to give us great line value here. Again, it is the only INT that Coastal has this season and this is a very strong running team with a QB with a 14-1 ratio as well! They are up against an Appalachian State team that is banged up at the RB position and off a blowout loss at UL Lafayette. The Mountaineers have turnover issues and that was the case in last season's loss to Coastal Carolina as well. In summary, the Chanticleers should have beaten Buffalo by a double digit margin and every other win they have this season has been by 27 points or more. Appalachian State simply will not be able to keep up in this one. 10* COASTAL CAROLINA |
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10-20-21 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros @ 5:08 ET - I know yesterday's game had no business going over the total. Boston was up 2-1 after 1 inning and it stayed that way until Houston tied it at 2 in the top of the 8th and then exploded for 7 runs in the top of the 9th. However, deserved or not, it did go over the total and continued the incredible high-scoring trending for both of these teams. Now, after plenty of bullpen arms have been used and exposed in this series too, I am looking for another high-scoring game Wednesday. I really do not care who the starting pitchers are as I expect the Astros bats to build off yesterday's huge rallying win and I expect the Red Sox bats to bounce back at home after a disappointing effort yesterday. The scheduled starters are Framber Valdez and Chris Sale and both southpaws are having a rough time thus far in this post-season. More of the same expected in Wednesday's Game 5 as well as both lineups pound whoever is on the mound in this one and the high-scoring trending continues. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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10-19-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -125 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
ACTION on the pitchers - Playoff Game of the Year - Rickenbach MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Red Sox Money Line -125 vs Houston Astros @ 8:08 ET - I do not care who pitches here. This is a team-based play. The stats below are from the regular season action. The Red Sox finished 17 games over .500 in home games this season. The Astros were only 7 games above .500 in road games this season. Boston was 18 games above .500 versus right-handed starters this season and Zack Greinke expected to start for the Astros in this one. Nick Pivetta expected to start for Boston in this one. Again, not concerned with the pitchers as like the Red Sox no matter what but Pivetta off a strong start versus the Rays at Fenway Park last week. Also, Pivetta is a strikeout machine and absolutely dominated the Astros at Houston when he faced them this season! Greinke is making his first start in a month and he could be rusty here as he has hardly had any game activity over the past month as he has made 2 bullpen appearances and was not impressive in either of those either. The one thing the Astros had going for them recently is their bats but those were quieted yesterday while the Red Sox remain on fire at the plate. In fact, Boston entered yesterday averaging 7.8 runs per game last 5 games and the Red Sox then exploded for a dozen runs in yesterday's blowout home win. The hosts have won 9 of 11 games and remain on absolute fire here after back to back wins by a combined score of 21 to 8 over the fading Astros. Look for the Red Sox to take a stranglehold on this series with another big win here! 10* BOSTON -125 |
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10-19-21 | Stars +115 v. Penguins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Non-Conf Game of the Month - Rickenbach NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars Money Line +115 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - I am well aware of the fact that each team has played 3 games and the Penguins have yet to lose in regulation while the Stars have yet to win in regulation. Still, I love Dallas in this spot. The Stars have faced a tough early season schedule and they are a solid team and they are catching the Penguins at the right time for an upset. Yes Pittsburgh has opened the season surprisingly hot but this is a team without Malkin until December and, more importantly, without Crosby until at least this weekend! Dallas is off a loss at Ottawa but they outshot the Senators in that game. Also, the Stars outscored the Sens 2-1 in 5 on 5 action in that game. The other loss Dallas had was at Boston and the Bruins are one of the best teams in the league! I feel we are getting exceptional line value here and I will not pass up on it. Hungry road team off a loss battling it out with a Penguins team still dealing with injuries and a little bit over-valued right now. Fade Pittsburgh as their fortunate start to the season comes to an end in convincing fashion Tuesday evening. 10* DALLAS +115 |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - Rickenbach NFL Monday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +6 vs Buffalo Bills @ 8:15 ET - The Bills are a great team. They also have revenge on their minds here and a bye week on deck. However, lets not forget that Buffalo is off a huge playoff revenge win over Kansas City last week. Also, lets not forget that the Titans are a quality team and at home and catching as many 6.5 points here after opening as a 3.5 point dog. Buffalo is simply over-priced here especially when you consider that Tennessee is getting healthier. The Titans should have WR Julio Jones back for this game and could have WR AJ Brown back as well. Tennessee has a strong ground game and has won 3 of 4 games since an embarrassing opening week loss to a Cardinals team that remains undefeated on the season. The Titans lone loss since then was by 3 points in overtime. I see them hanging tough in this game throughout. I have a ton of respect for the Bills but the value is with the underdog here especially a home dog like this in a primetime game. As a home dog in a non-divisional match-up, the Titans have covered 6 of 8. Buffalo has been on an ATS tear dating back to last season too so they are becoming over-valued by the betting markets. Wish we could get the full +7 here but we are not quite there yet and, even so, great value with this current number at +6 as the revenge factor is being overplayed on this one. 10* TENNESSEE +6 |
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10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros @ 8:08 ET - The Red Sox and Astros both continue to score runs like crazy. The over trending likely to continue even though it will be a chilly evening at Fenway Park for this one. Boston averaging 7.8 runs per game last 5 games. Houston averaging 6.8 runs per game last 6 games. Expected pitching match-up here is Jose Urquidy versus Eduardo Rodriguez but I am not concerned with who the pitchers are. Both lineups red hot and the runs keep piling up. Going to continue to ride the over trend as long as it keeps going for these teams. I do not see that changing here. 10* OVER 9 in Boston |
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10-18-21 | Rangers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Network Rout - Rickenbach NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers @ 7:08 ET - I know these teams have trended under so far this season but the Maple Leafs get Auston Matthews back tonight for his first game of the season. The center will help lead the way to a higher-scoring game here as the Rangers also have plenty of talent up front that has been a bit bottled up early this season. New York is off a 3-1 win and will build off that here but they are not going to shut down the Leafs in their own building either. Each team off a game in which they scored 3 goals and I expect the same thing here which would mean this match has to end up 4-3 at a minimum and that cashes our ticket in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Toronto |
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10-18-21 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - I know Arsenal has been playing much better in the defensive zone for quite some time now. However, they are still a very strong club on the attack too when they want to be and Arsenal enters this match off a scoreless draw. After that 0-0 final with Brighton & Hove two weeks ago, I look for Arsenal to be very aggressive on the attack in this one on their home pitch. Prior to that low-scoring match, Arsenal - across all competitions - had scored 3 goals in each of their prior two matches. Also, 4 of Crystal Palace's last 5 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. Crystal Palace is known for giving Arsenal some trouble so I do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match. Look for this to be a very competitive match that ends with at least 3 goals (perhaps a 2-1 final) Monday afternoon. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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10-17-21 | Seahawks +5.5 v. Steelers | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Sunday Night Game of the Month - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #273 Sunday 10* Top Play Seattle Seahawks +5.5 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:20 ET - Russell Wilson is out for awhile after the injury suffered to the middle finger of his throwing hand. That said, the Seahawks have decided they have no chance to win this game and have decided to forfeit the contest and may not even show up at Heinz Field tonight. I am being facetious of course about Seattle not showing up but I do find humor in the fact that no one is giving the Seahawks a chance in this game. The line has gone all the way up to as high as a 5.5 as of early morning Sunday and, keep in mind, teammates step up particularly strong in the first game after a star goes down. Wilson, of course, is a franchise player for the Seahawks and everyone - on offense as well as defense - is going to step up their game in his absence on Sunday night. Pittsburgh is off a win against an over-rated Denver team whose only 3 wins this season are against teams that are now a combined 2-13 on the season. Prior to that win the Steelers had lost 3 straight games and the only other win for Pittsburgh this season was in the season opener when they upset the Bills but were outstatted at Buffalo. Seattle has been underachieving on defense and will be fired up after the loss to the Rams. Prior to the defeat the Seahawks were only 2-2 SU but one of the losses was in OT by just 3 points. Look for a big bounce back here. In non-conference games the Seahawks have covered 6 of 9 and I am expecting a very big effort from them here as they battle hard to make up for the absence of Wilson. 10* SEATTLE +5.5 |
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10-17-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Run Line Rout - Rickenbach MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 runs -100 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:35 ET - I am grabbing Dodgers off a 9th inning loss in a game in which they outhit the Braves and deserved better. I am taking the experienced Max Scherzer over a young Ian Anderson lacking in post-season experience. Los Angeles has the better lineup in my opinion and also has been getting fantastic bullpen work too. I see them bouncing back but of course am not laying a big price here with this money line in the -175 range. Instead we can get even money by laying the 1.5 runs on the run line and that is the value way to play this game. 10* LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 +100 |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns OVER 48 | Top | 37-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Non-Conf Total of the Year - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #267 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals @ 4:05 ET - Due to some injury issues and weather concerns (wind) this total has dropped from the mid-50s to the upper 40s! After the drop of nearly a full TD, I feel we have excellent line value here as you know these two former OU quarterbacks (both were Sooners) are going to do everything they can to outduel each other here. The Cardinals are 5-0 on the season and off a shutout win but faced a 49ers team with a mess at the QB spot last week. Now they face Baker Mayfield coming off a huge game and plus the strength of the Browns offense is their ground game and the Cardinals struggle to stop the run. On the flip side, the Cleveland defense was abysmal last week and now face Kyler Murray and he has completed more than 70% of his passes in 4 straight games! The wind is expected to subside some as this game goes on and to average in the 17 mph range which is not too excessive. If this was a 1 ET game the wind would have been more of a concern but looks like it will not be hugely impactful on this game starting at 4 ET Sunday. These two teams rank as two of the best offenses in the league and with the Murray vs Mayfield friendly rivalry added to the mix I am expecting a shootout here! The Cards scored only 17 points last week but averaged 35 points the first 4 weeks! The Browns had one low-scoring win at Minnesota but have scored an average of 32 points in their other 4 games! 10* OVER 48 in Cleveland |
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10-17-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle does tend to fare better in the goal-scoring department on their home pitch and there is renewed enthusiasm with the changes at the top of the organization that just took place. Also, Tottenham has allowed 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 away matches. The Hotspur also have some issues on defense which the hosts can take advantage of. However, Newcastle has been dreadful defending their own goal thus far and is allowing an average of 2.3 goals per match. Do not be surprised, given the above, if each club gets to 2 goals in this one as the odds certainly seem to favor that. With that being said, we have excellent line value here with this total at just 2.5 goals and I will lay the very fair price on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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10-16-21 | Air Force v. Boise State OVER 51.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 in Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons @ 9 ET - The Broncos have averaged 39.5 points scored in their last two meetings with Air Force. Yes, the Falcons overall defensive numbers look good this season but this team allowed 49 points to Utah State and will struggle to stop Boise State here. The Broncos are known for being a tough team to play against at Albertsons Stadium and they are also fired up to respond after recent home losses this season. I look for Boise State to make a statement in this game but, at the same time, I expect them to struggle to stop the Falcons option attack on offense. The Broncos have struggled some against the run this season and are also off a hard-fought physical win at BYU. Look for the Falcons to score plenty of points here too but the AF defense will not be able to stop the potent attack for the Broncos! Each of these teams is averaging in the low 30s for points scored this season and the weather is going to be very nice in Boise this evening as well. Look for this game to find its way into the 60s and yet this total is posted just north of 50. I will take it! 10* OVER 51.5 in Boise State |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss -135 v. Tennessee | Top | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Money Line Game of the Year - Rickenbach CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels -135 @ Tennessee Volunteers @ 7:30 ET - This line is currently a -2.5 but, with the money line available as low as -135, I feel it is worth laying the price to turn a 1-point or 2-point win for the road team from a loss to a win! Ole Miss has faced a tougher schedule than Tennessee. Yes the Volunteers defense has looked better than that of the Rebels but scheduling has had something to do with that too. The Rebels are 4-1 SU this season and the only loss was to an Alabama team that, despite the upset loss to A & M, is still one of the best teams in the nation no doubt. The two SEC teams that Ole Miss has faced are a combined 9-3 SU on the season. Tennessee, on the other hand, has two SEC wins over teams that are just .500 on the season and are a combined 0-5 in SEC games this season! Their only game against a tough SEC team saw the Vols get rolled 38-14 at Florida! Keep in mind the Volunteers also lost at home to Pittsburgh and the Panthers are another team that is just .500 on the season and is winless in their conference games. Yes Tennessee will score plenty of points here but they won't outscore Ole Miss in my opinion. The Rebels have the better and more dynamic offense and this is even with facing the tougher schedule overall. Also note that the Rebels are 5-1 ATS in last 6 meetings in this series for those of you that like historical data. 10* OLE MISS -135 |
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10-16-21 | Calgary +3.5 v. BC | Top | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +3.5 @ BC Lions @ 7 ET - I am very tempted to take the Stamps on the money line here but the trade off of losing 3.5 points to have a +150 money line is just not worth it in my opinion. But I really do expect an outright win for the road dogs in this one. This line has gone from nearly a pick'em to now catching 3.5 points. Keep in mind, BC lost star WR Lucky Whitehead to injury. Yes the Lions are coming off a bye week and the Stampeders are off back to back wins over rival Saskatchewan, but I still feel we have excellent line value here. Calgary is a very strong team that is now finally starting to play back up to their potential again. As for the Lions, they are only 1-4 in divisional games this season! I am still not sold on this BC team and also the road team has dominated their games this season. The Lions are 3-1 on the road and just 1-3 at home. So, playing the road team in BC games all season long would have netted you a 6-2 record. Again, I do expect an outright road upset here but getting 3.5 is a strong value to have and I will not pass that up. 10* CALGARY +3.5 |
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10-16-21 | Islanders +122 v. Panthers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NHL Saturday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line +120 @ Florida Panthers @ 6:05 ET - Islanders will respond off an embarrassing season-opening loss to a good Carolina team. I know the Panthers did open their season with a win but it took OT to do it and they knocked off a Penguins team that is hurting early this season and missing some key personnel. I think Florida could regress some this season and I still really like the Isles. That said, from a situational standpoint and value standpoint, this is a great spot to back a road dog. High quality team that rarely ever allows so many goals in a game. The road team responds here and gets back on track by producing their typical stingy game on defense. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS +120 |
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10-16-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
ACTION on pitchers. Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #903 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox @ 4:20 ET - Same thing as yesterday and though it took a 9th inning run to push that one over the total it should not have come down to that as both teams reached double digits in hits. As shown in yesterday's write-up: "Would recommend playing this at a sports book that gives you action on totals wagers. I just do not care who the starting pitchers are in this one. This match-up features two very hot lineups. Boston has scored 6.3 runs per game last 7 games. Houston has scored 7.7 runs per game last 7 games. The posted total on this game is 8 runs (8.5 today) and we are talking about American League baseball here so there are designated hitters too instead of the pitchers having to bat. It is simply a high value spot here no matter who the starting pitchers are..." but I will mention that it is expected to be Nathan Eovaldi for Boston and Luis Garcia for Houston. Eovaldi has been great but did get hit hard and rocked by Astros when he faced them this season. Garcia got hammered in his only post-season start thus far. More of the same here. 10* OVER 8.5 runs in Houston |
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10-16-21 | Chelsea v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford - Chelsea is a machine right now and sitting at the top of table. Chelsea is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. I know Brentford was known for lower-scoring matches earlier in the season but look at what they have been doing of late. Brentford, across all competitions, has scored 2 or more goals in 4 straight! In fact, thanks to a 7-0 win outside the league during this 4 match stretch (other 3 were league games), Brentford has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 4 matches! Chelsea is 3-1 last 4 matches in league action and scored 3 goals in each of the 3 victories! I do not see either team being held off the scoresheet here and, as a result, am expecting nothing less than 2-1 final here as you know Brentford will be gunning hard for the upset but the scoring talent of these visitors can not be underestimated. It is why the travelers are favored by 1 goal on the spread (goal line) for this match. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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10-15-21 | California v. Oregon -13.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #122 Friday 10* Top Play Oregon Ducks -13.5 vs California Golden Bears @ 10:30 ET - The Ducks off an OT loss preceding their bye week. Oregon will bounce back strong at home here. They are vastly superior to this Golden Bears team. Also, the Ducks lost at California last season so this is a revenge game for Oregon. The Golden Bears are off a 21-6 loss two weeks ago (also off a bye like the Ducks are) and Cal just does not have the offense to keep up in this one. The Golden Bears only scored well in 1 of their 4 games against FBS opponents this season. In the other 3 games California averaged only 16 points per game. Oregon is averaging 40 points a game in their home games this season and will pull away to win this one by a big margin as they are angry off a loss and have had extra time to think about the defeat too. This will be an angry Ducks team in front of their home fans on a Friday night and this is surely to be domination as a result against a Cal team that has only 1 win this season and it was against an FCS school. 10* OREGON -13.5 |
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10-15-21 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks +12 | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
West Div Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #672 Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +12 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - If you look at this game on paper, the Elks have no chance. But, as the long-time saying goes, the games are not played on paper! The fact is that Edmonton is a huge home dog here and offering substantial value as I expect them to step up big after last week's embarrassing loss at Winnipeg. The Elks did not just lose to the Blue Bombers last week, they got destroyed. Now, coming back home and with an immediate shot at revenge, Edmonton can get some redemption here. Of course this does not mean they win the game outright, but I do expect them to be ultra competitive here and lose this game by no more than a single score margin. Note that Winnipeg has been rolling teams but this looks like a tough spot as they won big at Edmonton a few weeks ago as well and have BC on deck. This is the final meeting between these teams this season and the Elks have a bye on deck and will go all out here with a week of rest on deck. They have had enough of being embarrassed by the Blue Bombers and will put up a strong fight in this one. I know the Elks have an ugly record this season but they are better than their record shows and will prove to be a tough home dog to put away in this spot. 10* EDMONTON |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
ACTION on pitchers. Total of the Month - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #901 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox @ 8:07 ET - Would recommend playing this at a sports book that gives you action on totals wagers. I just do not care who the starting pitchers are in this one. This match-up features two very hot lineups. Boston has scored 6.3 runs per game last 7 games. Houston has scored 7.7 runs per game last 7 games. The posted total on this game is 8 runs and we are talking about American League baseball here so there are designated hitters too instead of the pitchers having to bat. It is simply a high value spot here no matter who the starting pitchers are but I will mention that it is expected to be Chris Sale for Boston and Framber Valdez for Houston. Sale has been enduring a horrible stretch and Valdez has allowed 4 earned runs in each of his last two starts. 10* OVER 8 runs in Houston |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers -105 v. Giants | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NOTE: As always I prefer action with my plays in MLB and this one was no exception. Just mentioning that now Knebel is expected to start for Dodgers rather than Urias but note that Knebel is only being used as an opener and Urias is expected to get the bulk of the work. My bet stands on the Dodgers regardless of the pitching match-up in this one. ORIGINAL write-up: TBS Annihilation - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #971 Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Money Line -105 vs San Francisco Giants @ 9:07 ET - The Giants are a great team. But so too are the Dodgers. As long-time followers know, I am a contrarian. So the fact that San Francisco is 13-0 in Logan Webb's home starts and yet this line is a pick'em speaks volumes to me. The Dodgers are the play. Webb has been rock solid, particularly at home, but Julio Urias has also been fantastic. So lets talk about what these two lineups have been doing as that is likely to be the key in this one. Los Angeles has scored 7 or more runs in 7 of last 10 games. San Francisco has been held to 3 or less runs in 6 of last 9 games. Factoring that in plus the huge post-season experience edge that LA has, I just do not see the Dodgers being denied in this one and look for them to advance to the NLCS with a convincing win here. 10* LOS ANGELES DODGERS -105 |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #110 Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:20 ET - The Eagles will be flying sky high in terms of emotions as they get a home game against the defending champion Buccaneers. Also, their defense rates higher than the Bucs in terms of overall stats as well as pressuring the QB. Philadelphia will generate some pressure against Tom Brady in this one and Tampa Bay's offense has not been as good on the road this season as they have been at home. Look for the Eagles to build off the momentum of last week's come from behind win at Carolina. That may not lead to an outright upset win but Philly should at least get the cover. TB is 0-2 ATS on the road this season and the Eagles will take advantage of what is their only home game in a 4-week span. An outright upset would not be a total surprise but definitely there is value with the points in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7 |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
ESPNU Annihilation - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #112 Thursday 10* Top Play South Alabama Jaguars -3 vs Georgia Southern Eagles @ 7:30 ET - I know the Eagles have played the tougher schedule. But I also feel strongly that the Jaguars are in an ideal bounce back spot and will respond. Why is South Alabama favored over a Georgia Southern team that has won 7 straight meetings with them? Exactly! Don't let the line fool you. The Jags are going to get it done finally and put an end to that losing streak versus the Eagles. Georgia Southern is allowing 487 yards per game while South Alabama is allowing only 311 yards per game. After blowing their game against Texas State last week and losing in 4 overtimes, I expect the Jaguars to come up big this week and respond huge. South Alabama is off back to back losses by 2 points each and will get back to winning ways here. The Eagles have lost 4 of last 5 games and their pass defense is a weakness and the strength of the Jaguars offense is the passing attack. This will help key this home win so lay the short number. 10* SOUTH ALABAMA -3 |
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10-14-21 | Islanders +115 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #67 Thursday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line +115 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:08 ET - The Hurricanes deserve respect and I certainly do respect this team. However, getting the Islanders at plus money against anyone is a huge value. Also, their team has a little less turnover than the Hurricanes did coming into this season. I know Frederik Andersen performed well in goal for the Maple Leafs last season but historically he has been a bit inconsistent. Yes, the Islanders are without #1 goalie Semyon Varlamov right now but Ilya Sorokin is a rock solid #2 netminder for them and, unlike Andersen, he is use to the teammates in front of him too. Keep in mind, there could be a bit of an adjustment period early on for Andersen in Carolina. The Hurricanes are a solid team but I love the stingy Islanders on the road getting plus money. The defensive-minded hockey club frustrates their opponents and wears them down and I expect that to be the case again in this season opener for these two clubs. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS +115 |
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10-13-21 | Rangers +115 v. Capitals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #51 Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:35 ET - The Rangers finished 5th in the divisional standings last year while the Capitals were 2nd in the same division. That is why it might seem surprising to see Washington as such a slight home favorite here in this season opener. However, this Capitals team is getting a little long in the tooth and the Rangers, on the other hand, are trending the right direction. Also, lets not forget the Tom Wilson / Artemi Panarin incident that happened late last season. That is part of the reason the Rangers got Ryan Reaves as an enforcer this season. Reaves is listed as probable for tonight's game. Also, Ryan Strome is probable for the Rangers as well. New York will be ready to go and get some revenge against this Capitals team. Washington's injury news is not as good either. Nicklas Backstrom is currently out and Alex Ovechkin is questionable with a lower body injury. This one sets up well for the road team to get it done. Like I said with my intro, this game is priced very low for a reason so grab that small dog on the road and look for them notch the mild upset in this one. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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10-12-21 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach NHL 10* Top Play Seattle Kraken +1.5 goals -110 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:15 ET - Both teams dealing with a combination of injury/covid protocol issues coming into this regular season opener. If anything that favors Seattle as Vegas just does not have all their usual top end talent for this one. That said, I like the fact the the Kraken are very strong on the blue line and in net. With having Grubauer and Driedger as their goalies and strong defense in front of them (even with Oleksiak out for this one), I expect Seattle to be very stingy in terms of goals allowed. At the other end of the ice it will be interesting to see how the outspoken netminder, Robin Lehner, performs now that Marc Andre Fleury is gone and is a Blackhawk now. Could this actually backfire as Lehner no longer is worrying about Fleury? Was Fleury helping to push him to be even better? Look for this to be a tight low-scoring game and that means the ability to get the +1.5 goals at a pick'em price is absolutely a bargain here. The Kraken are highly motivated and I certainly do not see them laying an egg in their first shot on the ice with entirety of the NHL world watching them in the 2nd game of tonight's ESPN double header. 10* SEATTLE +1.5 goals -110 |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +5 | Top | 13-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Sun Belt Game of the Year - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #108 Tuesday 10* Top Play UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns +5 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers @ 7:30 ET - Coastal Carolina is undefeated on the season and ranked #15 in the nation. What does that have to do with this play? Well, Appalachian State plays in the same division of the Sun Belt Conference along with the Chanticleers and they are hosting them next week. It is hard to imagine the Mountaineers overlooking a 4-1 UL Lafayette team but, if there was a spot for that to be the case, this is it! I like the fact that the Ragin' Cajuns lone loss came against a Texas team that showed again on Saturday (versus Oklahoma) that they have an incredible offense. Also, ULL played UT much tougher than the final score reflected. Appalachian State is a very good football team in the Sun Belt but so are the Ragin's Cajuns and this line has gone from a 3 to a 5 and is offering exceptional home dog value! ULL won last year's meeting and the year before they lost but outgained App State by nearly 100 yards! The last time the Cajuns hosted the Mountaineers they fell short and now they get some payback for that home loss Tuesday. In fact, prior to winning the match-up in December, ULL had lost 8 straight meetings with Appalachian State. Suffice to say some home payback is still on order! As a dog, the Ragin Cajuns have only lost the money 4 times the last 14 games when getting points! 10* UL-LAFAYETTE +5 |
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10-12-21 | Astros +105 v. White Sox | Top | 10-1 | Win | 105 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NOTE: ACTION on pitchers as mentioned yesterday and this game was rained out yesterday and now is expected to be Lance McCullers rather that Jose Urquidy going at 2:07 ET Tuesday. McCullers already shut down the White Sox once in this series and can do it again here but, as mentioned yesterday, I do not care who the starting pitchers are and this is more about a solid spot to grab a strong team off a loss. ORIGINAL write-up: Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #953 Monday 10* Top Play Houston Astros Money Line +115 @ Chicago White Sox @ 3:37 ET - Action on the pitchers because this play is all about the team edges. I know the White Sox Rodon has great numbers and would rate higher than Urquidy in terms of most analytics relating to starting pitching. However, the Astros are the much better team and I look for them to bounce back off the high-scoring loss yesterday. White Sox reliever Ryan Tepera not helping his team by implying that Houston, already punished for this in past, was again stealing signs in Games 1 and 2 of this series because those games were at Minute Maid Park. Watch the Astros pound the White Sox today to prove that notion false. Tepera can think whatever he wants but should have kept his mouth shut. The last thing you want to do is motivate your opponent right before another elimination game. This one is all Astros. 10* HOUSTON +115 |
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10-11-21 | Colts +7.5 v. Ravens | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #479 Monday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts (+) @ Baltimore Ravens @ 8:15 ET - The Ravens are a high-quality team for sure but the Colts are better than their record and I feel we have excellent line value here. Keep in mind Baltimore faced KC, LV, Detroit and Denver. The Ravens beat the Chiefs but KC is now 2-3 on the season and their defense has been poor. Baltimore lost to the Raiders in OT and Las Vegas also now off B2B losses and starting to disappoint. The Broncos are also 3-2 and padded their record with 3 wins against bad teams to start the season. As for the Lions, though they fight hard they are still 0-5 SU on the season. The points is that I am certainly not convinced that the Ravens should be a 7.5 point favorite over this solid Colts team. Baltimore has 2 wins that came by a total margin of just 3 points. They could easily be 1-3 on the season! As for the Colts they have faced Rams and Titans teams that are a combined 7-3 on the season. Indianapolis off a win at Miami last week and statistically have the better defense in comparison with the Ravens. That said, I look for the Colts to have a great shot at the outright upset here and, if they do fall short, I certainly expect it to be by just a 1-score margin. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +7.5 |
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10-11-21 | Rays +102 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #955 Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays Money Line +102 @ Boston Red Sox @ 7:07 ET - ACTION on pitchers. The Rays used a lot of bullpen arms last night. I am well aware of that. They do not even know who they will use as the opener in this game. I do not care. Tampa Bay is the better team and I see them forcing a Game 5 by getting the key win in this one tonight. Keep in mind the Rays have the bullpen edge overall and yesterday the Red Sox got the best work on the mound from Eovaldi and Pivetta. Neither one of those guys will be available today and the other pitchers yesterday for Boston combined to allow 4 hits and walk 2 in 4 innings. Certainly decent numbers but not complete domination. The Rays are a perfect 7-0 the last 7 times they have entered a game off back to back losses. Prior to yesterday's win, the Red Sox had lost 3 of last 4 home games. The expected starter for Boston here is Eduardo Rodriguez. He struggled badly in Game 1 of this series and also in his most recent regular season start against the Rays last month he got hammered for 6 earned runs in less than 4 innings at Fenway Park. No matter who pitches here, I look for the Rays to get it done. 10* TAMPA BAY +102 |
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10-11-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton -4.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #688 Monday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -4.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 4 ET - Toronto is coming off a big win versus Ottawa on Wednesday but the Argonauts were fortunate. The Redblacks actually outgained them by 153 yards but interceptions where the difference in the game. That said, this is now a battle for first place at the top of the division and the team trailing, Hamilton, is the better team and is coming off a loss and has a rest edge here. Last week the Tiger-Cats lost in OT to Montreal so this is a great spot to back them. Toronto is just 1-3 on the road this season and the Ti-Cats can pull equal with them in the standings by notching a win in this one. Hamilton is allowing only 18 points per game this season while the Argos are allowing 23 points a game. Again, the home/road dichotomy for the Argonauts is another reason to look for the Tiger-Cats to bounce back big at home in this one. Hamilton's wins have been by an average margin of 13 points per game and that includes a big win over Toronto. Look for another dominating victory here. 10* HAMILTON -4.5 |
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10-10-21 | Astros v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #933 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros @ 8:07 ET - The Astros have won 4 straight games and the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games as Houston has scored at least 6 runs in all five games. That said, we are working with a generously low number here. Dylan Cease starts for the White Sox and he has a 9.00 ERA this season in starts against the Astros. Luis Garcia starts for Houston and he has a 4.24 ERA in road starts this season plus got rocked in his final start of the regular season even though that was at home. The White Sox have lost 3 straight games now but this was preceded by a 6-game winning streak in which they scored at least 5 runs in all six games. Look for the White Sox to bounce back at home where they are scoring much better of late than how they played in first two games of this series at Houston. However, Cease will not be able to slow down this hot Astros offense. The result? High-scoring slug-fest in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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10-10-21 | Giants +7 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-44 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
NFC East Game of the Month - Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Giants +7 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS this season and, as a result, are over-rated right now. The Giants are known for playing them very tough and this is a real tough spot for Dallas to cover in my opinion. New York is only 1-3 this season SU but get at least a little confidence back as they are coming off a win plus their two games prior to that were each losses but only by a combined 4 points. If you look at the stats of these two teams they are not very different but the betting masses are not seeing that. What the betting masses are seeing is a Dallas team that is 4-0 both SU and ATS on the season and also a Giants team that was 0-3 SU prior to notching their first win of the season last week. What generally happens in NFL betting in cases like this is that facing the market perception is your best bet and that is absolutely what I am going to do here. I am grabbing the generous points being offered here for my top side play of the day. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS +7 |
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10-10-21 | Jets v. Falcons OVER 45 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 45 in Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets @ 9:30 AM ET in London - Early start here with game played in London. Jets coming off first win so they have some momentum. That gives the New York offense some confidence. As for the Jets defense they have allowed 24 points or more 3 straight weeks! The Falcons have allowed an average of 32 points the last 3 games! Atlanta's offense has averaged 24 points last 3 weeks. With a low total posted on this game I feel strongly that we have a lot of value here. I know the numbers on offense are not that impressive for these teams but watch what they do in this game against sub-par defenses and in a special setting like this over in London. 10* OVER 45 in Atlanta (game played in London) |
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10-09-21 | Calgary +4.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #663 Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4.5 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - I know the Riders outgained the Stamps last week but still lost the game. However, I am not taking the bait here on Saskatchewan. The Roughriders opened up as a 3.5 point favorite and are up to a 4.5 point favorite. Everyone seems to be liking the revenge factor here but this Stampeders team is better than their record shows and the Riders also have had trouble matching up with them. Look for the Calgary offensive line to again help key the victory as they win battles in the trenches. This is a battle of brothers in the coaching ranks and the Stamps hold a 3-0 edge in games in which they have squared off. Look for that to be 4-0 after today but I am grabbing the points also as added insurance in what could be a tight finish. 10* CALGARY +4.5 |
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10-09-21 | UTSA v. Western Kentucky -3 | Top | 52-46 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #394 Saturday 10* Top Play Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -3 vs UTSA Roadrunners @ 7 ET - I have been waiting for the right spot to fade UTSA and I believe we have that right here! Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and so it will not surprise you to see me making this bet. Western Kentucky is 1-3 this season while UTSA is 5-0 plus the Roadrunners have the much better numbers on defense and yet the Hilltoppers are favored. Looks funny does it not? Of course it does and you know that a situation like this is screaming "trap line" and I love the home team in this spot. UTSA has played the much weaker schedule and their luck runs out here. They had a dramatic come from behind victory at Memphis two weeks ago which was a game the Tigers gave away and had no business losing. Then last week the Runners barely got past a bad UNLV team. Now the Roadrunners are on the road and facing a Western Kentucky team that has played the tougher schedule and also is averaging over 500 yards of offense per game. The Hilltoppers defense is certainly not a strength but they will step up here at home in what is their first conference game of the season. On the other side of the field I just do not see UTSA as being able to get enough stops against the potent WKU offense. 10* WESTERN KENTUCKY -3 |
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10-09-21 | East Carolina v. Central Florida OVER 65 | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
AAC Total of the Year - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #321 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 65 in Central Florida Knights vs East Carolina Pirates @ 6 ET - Both of these teams have been trending over and this total has gone from the 70 range to the 65 range and I feel we have excellent line value here as a result. East Carolina's defense has been abysmal but their offense has been picking up steam. The Pirates have scored 42 points per game last 3 games. East Carolina has allowed only 29.6 points per game this season but this is deceiving and that is why we have line value here because the Pirates have allowed 478.4 yards per game. Look for Central Florida to take advantage of this porous defense and another edge we have here is in terms of pace of play. UCF is averaging 86 snaps per game on offense when at home this season. East Carolina is averaging 78 snaps per game when on the road this season. Central Florida is averaging 41 points per game this season. They are 10 point favorites here which puts this game at a 41-31 type final based on averages. That said, you can see why we have value here and also consider that the Knights have won the past two games by an average score of 46-28 which is nearly 10 points above the current total posted on this game. Of course UCF is without QB Gabriel but Keene can get the job done and will be even better after helping lead the way to 30 points on the road at Navy last week. Now he is at home with a road game under his belt. They also have junior Gatewood available after he transferred from Kentucky. Either way this dangerous UCF attack will have no problems with the porous Pirates defense but I do like what I have been seeing from the East Carolina offense and I expect this one to turn into a shootout. 10* OVER 65 in Central Florida |
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10-09-21 | Braves v. Brewers OVER 7 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #925 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 runs in Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves @ 5:07 ET - Yesterday both ALDS match-ups went over the total in their respective Game 2 spots after the Game 1 match-ups each stayed under the total. Do not be surprised if we see something similar with the NLDS match-ups today. However, the only one I am comfortable with playing on Saturday is the earlier match-up in Milwaukee. I know Max Fried has fantastic numbers to close out the season but look for the long layoff to lead to some rust here. That goes for Brandon Woodruff as well. Also, Woodruff allowed 7 hits in 4 innings in his final start of the regular season and allowed 8 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings in his only start against the Braves this season. Again, I know Fried had a very strong finish to the season but I like overs in spots like this as the home team has a pitcher likely to struggle a bit and yet their lineup, comfy at home, should do some damage. This line opened up at a 7.5 for a reason and the drop to a 7 has led to value in this spot. 10* OVER 7 in Milwaukee |
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10-08-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg vs Edmonton @ 8:30 ET - Edmonton's defense is not getting any respect here because of the ugly loss at Ottawa last week. However, the Elks have had a knack this season for allowing more points than they should have based on yardage allowed. This is shading some value toward the under in this one as a result as there should be a regression to the mean in that regard. Winnipeg is 7-1 this season and has been incredibly good on defense. In the 7 wins the Blue Bombers have allowed only 11 points per game. So if the odds makers are correct and Winnipeg wins this by 10 and has an "average" game for them in a victory (allowing around 11 points) that puts this game around 21-11. You can see why I feel we have some very solid line value here! This total, per the above as well as the simulation report, is simply too high. Also note that it did open up at 43.5 and has jumped to 48.5 and the odds makers likely had it in the better range with their original number and it will be the betting markets that are proven wrong in this one. 10* UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg |
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10-08-21 | Red Sox v. Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 14-6 | Win | 107 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #917 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:07 ET - The Rays scored 5 runs in yesterday's win. Though the Red Sox were shutout they did have 9 hits in the game. I am expecting Boston to bounce back at the plate today but also expect the Rays to fare well again too! This is regardless of the pitchers. I like playing overs from a "team standpoint" when a good hitting team like the Red Sox is coming off a loss. But lets talk about these pitchers as well. Chris Sale has faced the Rays twice recently and he is lucky the earned run damage was not worse as he did get hit hard. Overall he finished the season a bit "off" as he just was not on his game and had a 4.98 ERA his last 3 starts. As for Shane Baz, the rookie has impressed but this is still a new experience for him here as he pitches now in an MLB playoff setting. Baz has only been in the bigs for a few weeks now! I feel it catches up with him here in a huge playoff game against a tough Red Sox lineup coming off a shutout loss. At the same time though, he should get plenty of run support as Sale has allowed 16 hits in less than 10 innings spanning his two starts against the Rays this season and both were in the month of September too! That means Tampa Bay very familiar with his offerings. 10* OVER 7.5 runs in Tampa Bay |
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10-08-21 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 54 | Top | 3-52 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #308 Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 54 in Cincinnati Bearcats vs Temple Owls @ 7 ET - Bearcats off the huge win at Notre Dame plus have Central Florida on deck. That makes this the ideal spot for a Cincinnati letdown. However, I just can't trust Temple to score much (if at all!) against this Bearcats defense but I do expect Cincinnati to pull away as this game goes on. But it is just not the type of setting where the Bearcats are likely to run up the score. They just want to grind out a win and rely on their ground attack to run clock and just simply take care of business in this game. That said, I don't see it getting out of the 40s and would not be surprised if it ended in the 30s! Cincinnati has allowed just 14.5 points per game and Temple had an embarrassing season opening loss but has allowed only 22.5 points per game since then. Each team enters this game having recorded unders in 2 of last 3 games. Also, their last meeting (2019) totaled only 28 points. The Owls have injury issues on offense that is starting to effect their depth on that side of the ball. Bearcats grind out a solid home win likely very close to the 4 TD spread on this game but I expect it the form of a 28-0, 35-7, 38-10 type game and all those work just fine for our purposes here! 10* UNDER 54 in Cincinnati |
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10-08-21 | White Sox +115 v. Astros | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #915 Friday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox +115 @ Houston Astros @ 2:07 ET - I like the White Sox here no matter who pitches as I am expecting a big bounce back after they got drilled yesterday. However, lets talk about the expected starting pitchers here. Lucas Giolito went 7-3 with a 3.25 ERA on the road this season for the White Sox. Also, Chicago won each of his last 3 starts this season and he produced a fantastic 1.10 ERA in those 3 outings. Additionally, Giolito has pitched two complete game shutouts and allowed just 1 earned runs only only 7 hits while striking out 17 in his last 2 starts against Houston. The Astros start Framber Valdez here. He has been okay against the White Sox in two starts against them this season but did allow 3 homers in the 2 outings. Also, Valdez has allowed 4 earned runs in each of his last two starts at home and those outings were only 5 innings each as well. Game One of this series notwithstanding, the White Sox were 5-0 last 5 times they were off a loss in which they allowed 5 or more runs. I am expecting a big bounce back here after they got drilled 6-1 yesterday. 10* Chicago White Sox +115 |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 54.5 | Top | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
Thursday Total - Rickenbach NFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 54.5 in Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams @ 8:20 ET - I know the Seahawks defensive numbers have not impressed but they have played 3 of their 4 games on the road. Generally speaking Seattle tends to play better defense at home. That was not the case in their lone home game when this season when they lost to the Titans 33 to 30. That said, I expect them to make up for that poor game with a much better effort here on defense. The Rams are off an ugly loss to Arizona. The over is an uncharacteristic 4-0 in LA games this season. I don't see that continuing in this big rivalry game but we get a big total to work with here of 54.5 which is very significant. Consider that none of the last 4 meetings have topped 50 points and they have averaged 42 points. We have good cushion to work with on this total in my opinion and I expect both defenses to step up big here in this one. 10* UNDER 54.5 in Seattle |
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10-07-21 | Houston v. Tulane OVER 59.5 | Top | 40-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #303 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 59.5 in Tulane Green Wave vs Houston Cougars @ 7:30 ET - The Green Wave have a solid offense but can't stop teams on the other end of the field. The Cougars look like they have a fantastic defense but really they have been helped by facing a super weak schedule. Houston allowed 38 in week one but has since faced a lot of weaker foes and it is overestimating their defense as a result. The Cougars D is not nearly as strong as their numbers would suggest. Another key here is the Tulane offense averaging more yardage than Houston offense so don't be surprised when the Green Wave score plenty here but, again, that Tulane defense is a major problem and they are allowing nearly 500 yards per game. The Cougars have gone over the total in each of their two true road games. The Green Wave are 4-1 to the over this season. Cougars scored 44 or more in 3 of last 4 games. Tulane has scored 35 per game this season. The fact this total opened up in nearly the mid-60s and has dropped into the 50s is an added value as well. Look for a shootout. 10* OVER 59.5 in Tulane |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Run Line Rout - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #940 Wednesday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 runs -100 vs St Louis Cardinals @ 8:10 ET - The Dodgers should win this one in a blowout. I know the Cardinals were hot late in the season and that Max Scherzer did struggle in his final two starts of the season. However, he also is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Cardinals. Two of those were this season and in those 3 starts he allowed only 11 hits while striking out 33 in 21 innings! St Louis counters with Adam Wainwright here. He pitched well on the road this season but has had some rough seasons in terms of road struggles throughout his career. I have never been able to trust him as much on the road as a result and I have a strong feeling the Dodgers pound him here. Wainwright will face a Dodgers team that has won 7 straight games and 9 of its last 10. By the way, the combined margin of the 9 victories was 61 to 32. That works out to an average score of about 7 to 3.5 and there is certainly nothing "average" about that. With that said, and with the fact the Cardinals did lose 3 of their last 5 games and scored only 3 runs per game in those 5 games, I like this play no matter who the pitchers are. I expect a home blowout and will lay the -1.5 runs with action on the pitchers for those of you able to play that option at your respective sports book. 10* Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 runs -100 |
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10-06-21 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Toronto | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #679 Wednesday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7:30 ET - Ottawa was much better in last week's win versus Edmonton. That was a Wednesday game too so they are fine on rest here too. The Argonauts are off a bye week so they are set up well here but I feel this is a dangerous game for them. Toronto has a big game with rival Hamilton on deck and that is on Monday. The Redblacks also have a game Monday at Montreal but the point is those big Thanksgiving Day (Canada) match-ups are more of a lookahead for the Argos in this case. Toronto is 4-3 and Hamilton is right behind them in the standings at 4-4 plus coming off their huge 2019 season. It is hard for the Argonauts to not already be thinking about that key battle with the Tigercats. As for the Redblacks, their mindset is quite different. The win over the Elks was key and if they get a win here they are suddenly just a game out of 1st place in the division! I look for another very motivated effort, just like we saw from them last week, as Ottawa makes this a difficult match-up for Toronto. Yes the Argos are the better team and at home and they may still win the game here but I don't see them covering this large number. The Redblacks capable of making this one a battle all the way to the finish. The Argonauts 4 wins this season all by 7 or less points and, in fact, the average margin was just 3.5 points in those 4 victories. Look for another tight one here. 10* OTTAWA +9.5 |
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10-05-21 | Yankees -120 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
AL East Game of the Year - Rickenbach MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Yankees Money Line -120 @ Boston Red Sox @ 8:08 ET - The Yankees have won 9 of 12 to build a lot of momentum heading into the post-season. Give the Red Sox credit too as they got a key 3-game sweep at Washington to wrap up the regular season but prior to that Boston had lost 5 of 6 games. This included a sweep at the hands of the Yankees. Overall, the Red Sox have lost 6 straight games to New York and I look for that trend to continue here. I am simply playing the hotter team here so this bet is action (regardless of the starting pitchers) but I will touch on them here. The Yankees Gerrit Cole is 10-4 with a 3.32 ERA on the road this season. He has been solid against Boston in recent starts this season including piling up big strikeout totals. The same can not be said of Nathan Eovaldi. Yes the Red Sox right-hander had some good earlier successes against the Yankees but he just got destroyed in the most recent outing against them. In Boston a little over a week ago, Eovaldi allowed 7 earned runs in less than 3 innings of work. Overall, he allowed 14 hits in less than 8 innings of work in his last two starts versus New York. In Eovaldi's home start prior to facing the Yankees he also was hit hard by the Orioles. All that said, this one lines up well for a road rout in my opinion. Yankees make it 7 in a row over the Red Sox. 10* New York Yankees -120 |
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10-04-21 | Raiders +3 v. Chargers | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - Rickenbach NFL Monday 10* Top Play Las Vegas Raiders (+) @ Los Angeles Chargers @ 8:15 ET - The Raiders much-maligned defense was really bad last season but they are a little better this season. Statistically, based on yardage allowed, they are right about even with the Chargers. That said, I like the fact that Las Vegas does have the more potent offense and, sitting undefeated on the season, they are playing with a ton of confidence right now. I am not sold on this Chargers team. They are off to a good start this season as well but they faced two NFC East teams to start the season and then faced a Chiefs team that handed them the game on turnovers. Give Los Angeles some credit for sure but I am just saying they might be slightly over-rated at this early juncture in the season. The Raiders faced a strong Baltimore team, impressed with a road win in eastern time zone, and then suffered no letdown last week when they defeated Miami. Getting the 3 points is a strong value here as the Raiders potent offense insures their ability to stay in this game all the way through and I sense a road upset. Note that the road team has won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams. I don't see that changing here but will grab the points as added insurance. I know Chargers QB Justin Herbert is not on the injury report for this game but he did have his throwing hand iced and bandaged after the game at Kansas City last week. Perhaps a little bit of an issue for him in this game and, either way, I like the road dog that has shown a knack for finding a way in tight games this season. Give me the points. 10* LAS VEGAS +3 |
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10-03-21 | Bucs v. Patriots OVER 49.5 | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
Sunday Night Total of the Month - Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:20 ET - The Patriots should have scored a lot more than 13 points last week but QB Mac Jones was done in by turnovers. He still threw for a ton of yardage though and the Pats did score 25 points in a win the week before. Also, Jones is taking on a Buccaneers defense that has been susceptible through the air this season. The Bucs ground defense has been solid plus New England likely to be playing catch up here so I expect them to be forced to throw the ball a lot. I know a lot is being made of Tom Brady's return to Foxboro and I get that 100% but the fact is this Bucs passing attack is a machine right now and I am expecting them to move the ball very well all night long against a Pats defense that has not faced a quarterback anywhere close to the level of Brady this season. Granted Brady is in a class of his own but my point is none of the teams the Patriots have faced this season had even what one could refer to as a strong QB presence. Now they face one of the NFL's greatest of all time at that position and TB is off a loss and threw like crazy against a solid Rams defense. That said I am looking for a ton of passing from the Bucs here and the Pats will be forced to throw as well for the two reasons I noted above. I am aware of rain expected in the area tonight but the heavier stuff is expected in the overnight hours and also the winds are expected to be light. So really this shapes up well for both offenses to excel and I look for a shootout here. 10* OVER 49.5 in New England |
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10-03-21 | Ravens v. Broncos | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month - Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Baltimore Ravens PICK'EM @ Denver Broncos @ 4:25 ET - I know the Chiefs are just 1-2 this season but Kansas City is still a very good football team. What does that have to do with this play? Kansas City is one of the teams the Ravens beat and the Chiefs were in the Super Bowl (again!) last season! As for Baltimore's lone loss it came in OT and in a very tough setting at Las Vegas in Week 1 when the Raiders finally were able to have a stadium full of fans and it showed. Also, LV is now 3-0 on the season. Speaking of 3-0 records, so too are the Broncos. However, let me know when they play somebody meaningful! Actually, that is happening this week and that is the point! The Broncos are highly over-rated right now in my opinion because they are undefeated this season but they have played 3 teams that are now a combined 0-10 on the season! Denver has faced the Jaguars, Giants, and Jets! Now the Broncos finally face a tough football team and I do not expect this to go well at all for them. The fact the Ravens are on the road for this one is even better for us because the line is a pick'em as a result. If the game was in Baltimore that means we would likely be laying 6 or 7 points in this one which I would still recommend but I much prefer this situation. The Ravens are riding the positive emotion of a dramatic last-second win last week and they come to Denver and take care of business in this one. The Broncos finally face a real challenge and that changes everything. 10* BALTIMORE PICK'EM |
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10-03-21 | Indians v. Rangers OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Texas vs Cleveland @ 3:05 ET - I understand the low total here because Dunning has good numbers at home this season. However, with yesterday's 7-2 Rangers win, both these teams are on solid over trends and Dunning does enter this game in poor numbers looking at his last 3 starts. He has allowed 13 hits and 7 walks in 12 innings of work. Yes those outings were on the road but I am not expecting sudden magic at home for him and he is facing an Indians team that had been averaging 6.4 runs per game last 5 games prior to yesterday's 7-2 loss. As for Rangers sticks, they have averaged 5.5 runs last 8 games and face a struggling Civale. The Indians right-hander has allowed 11 earned runs in 7 innings in his last two starts and given up 6 longballs in those two outings. This one should easily get over the low total. 10* OVER 7.5 in Texas |
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10-03-21 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a battle of heavyweights in the Premier League. I know match-ups like this can sometimes turn into grinders but I expect plenty of scoring in this one. Liverpool has been in fantastic form and is averaging 2.5 goals per match this season to lead the league in scoring. Manchester City is not far behind as they are averaging 2 goals per match. I know City is known for their tough defense but Liverpool is simply playing at a phenomenal level on the attacking side of things. At the same time, I doubt Liverpool is going to shut down City as the other end of the pitch either. Just a lot of firepower on the attack for both of these clubs and this total opened up at a 3 in many spots. The ability to turn a final result of 3 goals from a push to a win, after some downward line movement has moved this total down to a 2.5, has me elevating this play to my highest level on Sunday. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool |
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10-02-21 | Fresno State v. Hawaii OVER 64 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 64 in Hawaii Warriors vs Fresno State Bulldogs @ 11 PM ET - These two teams both capable of scoring in bunches. The Fresno State offense has been even better than advertised. The Bulldogs have the better defense, also why they are favored by double digits here, but note they did just allow 30 points to UNLV and had to rally for the win. Hawaii will take momentum from scoring 41 points in last week's win but their defense going to struggle to stop a Fresno State offense that, other than a tough loss at Oregon, has scored an average of 46.5 points in its other 4 games - all wins. So, look at this way, if Fresno State expected to win this game by double digits and they have averaged mid-40s in wins then that puts this game around a 45 to 35 type game which is well over the mid-60s total posted on this one. Both team play at a quick pace on offense and the Warriors will likely be playing catch-up here so that forces the tempo a bit. Fresno averaging over 500 yards of offense this season and particularly strong through the air and the Warriors are allowing nearly 300 passing yards per game! I know the Bulldogs have some decent defensive numbers but that was helped in part by facing Connecticut and Cal Poly Slo this season! In the other 3 games the Bulldog allowed at least 30 in each one. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 64 in Hawaii |
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10-02-21 | Auburn +3 v. LSU | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Year - Rickenbach CFB 10* Top Play Auburn Tigers (+) @ LSU Tigers @ 9 ET - I lost a lot of respect for this LSU team when they lost at UCLA early in the season. I know they ended up getting the win last week against Mississippi State but LSU was outgained in that game and it was a very fortunate win. So the Bruins and the Bulldogs were the only two tough games that LSU has had this season and they should have lost both games. I am well aware of the fact that Auburn lost their big game at Penn State earlier this season but that was a strong game from them! The stats were roughly equal in that game and Auburn is a perfect 3-0 on the season and could very easily be 4-0. Of course LSU is out for revenge after getting blasted by Auburn last season but revenge tends to be over-played. The fact is Auburn is the much better defense in this match-up and, on offense, has the vastly superior ground attack. I love taking road underdogs that play solid defense and can run the ball on offense. I know this is a night game in Baton Rouge and being played with revenge, etc. but this is not the same level of LSU teams we have seen in the past. I feel we have excellent line value here with the road team getting a full field goal. I also like the fact that QB Finley is a former LSU players and if Nix plays I also look to him be better after being benched last week. That was a wakeup call for him and this is a well-coached Auburn team capable of punching LSU in the mouth all night long. 10* AUBURN +3 |
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10-02-21 | A's v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Houston Astros vs Oakland A's @ 7:10 ET - Yesterday's game exploded for 14 runs and I am expecting more of the same today. Not only did we see some bullpen implosion yesterday, both of these starters are likely to struggle. The Astros Jake Odorizzi has not lasted long in recent starts and the over is 6-3 in his home starts this season. The A's Paul Blackburn has a 5.79 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP on the road this season. These pitchers just matched up last week and that helps the hitters here as they see them immediately again and neither pitcher was overly dominant. I know Blackburn was better than Odorizzi but he still recorded only 1 strikeout in the 5-inning start and now faces the Astros in their own park. Houston still trying to hang onto the #2 seed in the AL for the post-season but the A's have averaged 5 runs a game last 7 games and will work to play the role of spoiler here but the Astros bats answer the call too as the over improves to 12-6 in the 18 games between these teams this season. 10* OVER 9 in Houston |
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10-02-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary +2.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
ATS Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders (+) vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - This line may look funny but Calgary is way better than their record shows. Keep in mind, the Stampeders are coming off a huge season and have been looking better in recent games. Also, they enter this game off a bye week and are 14-2 SU the last 16 times when coming off a bye. I really don't think we'll need the points here but I am grabbing the 2.5 points. The Stampeders are only 2-5 on the season but only 1 of their losses was by more than 6 points. This is a team that has been within one possession of a 6-1 season thus far. The fact is the Riders are a strong team and they have the record to show for it too. However, they have played only 2 road games this season (went 1-1) and that has certainly helped their strong start. Also, the Roughriders are off a big comeback win last week and that was on the road and it took a lot in rallying for the win. The Stamps will be the more rested team and fresher team and they bring it big-time in what is essentially a must-win game for them to get back into the thick of things out west. Look for them to do just that as they improve to 15-2 when off a bye week! 10* CALGARY +2.5 |
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10-02-21 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
NBC National TV Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Part of what has fueled the recent Arsenal surge is their health on defense and that would tend to point one toward an under. However, the confidence in the back-end has actually fueled a surge on the attack going the other way. Arsenal has been extremely impressive on the attack and has scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions including 3 goals in each of the past two. As for Brighton & Hove, they have scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions and have averaged 1.5 goals during this stretch while Arsenal has averaged 2 goals during this stretch. I don't see Arsenal settling for a draw either as they look to notch a 5th straight victory. That said, per all of the above you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. The victor has tallied 2 goals in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs and I expect at least that here with a 2-1 tally being the most likely result. Arsenal pushes the pace again here but Brighton fares well on their home pitch also. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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10-01-21 | Winnipeg -120 v. BC | Top | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
Money Line Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Blue Bombers -120 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - The Blue Bombers have only 1 loss in 7 games this season. Both these teams have great offenses led by strong quarterbacks but the Winnipeg defense is what should key a win here. The fact the Blue Bombers are on the road is helping to give us line value here as otherwise they would likely be about a TD favorite if they were the hosts. That said I love the extra value here and instead of even laying the point and a half lets grab the very affordable money line which is in a -120 price range as of early game day morning. Another big variance here is that Winnipeg has a number of wins over strong teams. Unlike the Blue Bombers, the Lions wins have only come against teams that currently have losing records: Ottawa (2-5) twice, Calgary (2-5) and Montreal (2-4). The road team is the far superior team in this match-up in my opinion and has already handed Saskatchewan its only 2 losses and has wins over Hamilton and Toronto - both those teams have winning records this season. Last but certainly not least, the Blue Bombers are off a bye last week while BC was battling it out with Saskatchewan last week. Big rest edge for the road team. 10* WINNIPEG -120 |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 51-14 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Reichenator Rout - Rickenbach CFB Friday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +3.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 8 ET - When a team is favored by a field goal it is not quite the same as being a pick'em but the point is most games are decided by 3 or more points in football. The reason I mention that here is because I find it quite interesting that a team ranked #5 in the nation is favored by such a small number here. That said, the public is likely to be enticed to play Iowa here. Don't be fooled by this line! Yes, the Hawkeyes have played the tougher schedule so far this season but do not underestimate these Terrapins. They are undefeated on the season, just like Iowa, and statistically their defense has not been that far behind that of the Hawkeyes. The key statistical variance in looking at these two teams is actually on the other side of the ball where Maryland has been the much stronger team. The Terrapins offense, based on yardage, ranks among the best in the nation while the Hawkeyes offense production ranks among the worst. Iowa does hold the defensive edge but I am expecting a big game from Tagovailoa here and the QB helps lead the way to a home win in this one. If they do fall short I expect it to be by the slimmest of margins so I am grabbing the points here. 10* MARYLAND +3.5 |
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10-01-21 | Red Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
IL Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - The Red Sox dropped yesterday game but this was preceded by an 8-4 stretch in which they scored an average of 8 runs per game in the 8 victories. Boston is still battling hard for a wild card spot and I expect them to score plenty here. They'll need all the runs they can get because Washington is off a 10-5 loss but it marked the 7th time in last 10 games that they have scored 5 or more runs! The Nationals Josh Rogers got hit hard in his most recent start plus had control issues with more walks than strikeouts. Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez has a 4.93 ERA this season and is facing a Nats lineup that has hit lefties well. More of the same expected here and taking advantage of the low total in this one. 10* OVER 9 runs in Washington |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Bengals | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 @ Cincinnati Bengals @ 8:20 ET - The Bengals are 2-1 on the season plus at home and they are facing a winless Jacksonville team. This should be easy, right? Absolute blowout for the home team, right? No not at all! In fact I would not be surprised to see this one result in an outright upset for the underdog but I am grabbing the generous points being offered. The Jaguars are 0-3 but there are only five 3-0 teams in the league at this point in the season and Jacksonville faced two of them. Conversely, the Bengals have faced three teams that all have losing records now at this point in the season. Also, Cincinnati's win over the Vikings in Week 1 was a fortunate one and it took OT to get it. Also, the Bengals win last week at Pittsburgh was driven by turnovers. The Steelers actually outgained Cincinnati in that game. As you can see, big value with the underdog in this one and it is a big of a hidden value which is what makes it even better as I expect the line to stay in the 7.5 or 8 range and, keep in mind, this line had opened up at a 6.5 which was for a reason as I like to say! 10* JACKSONVILLE +7.5 |
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09-30-21 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -5.5 | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Reichenator Rout - Rickenbach CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Miami Hurricanes -5.5 vs Virginia Cavaliers @ 7:30 ET - The Hurricanes are playing their first ACC game while this is the 3rd one for the Cavaliers. However, I expect this actually to work to Miami's edge in this case. That's because Virginia is 0-2 in ACC action already and the handwriting is on the wall early for them this season. As for the Canes, they are expected to perform well in the ACC this season and enter this one at 0-0 with everything in front of them. Yes, they have two non-conference losses but they were to Michigan State and Alabama - a pair of 4-0 teams. Note that Miami just thrashed an FCS school last week which is a big confidence boost heading into this game. Also, D'Eriq King should be back after sitting that one out and his shoulder has improved. He was solid on the ground and through the air when the Canes beat a solid Appalachian State team a few weeks ago. I feel we are getting good value here with the better team and the home team and we get that value because they have two losses but to two undefeated teams. The Cavs defense has simply been atrocious this season and the Canes better defense at home will be the difference maker here even if King did not play or was limited but I do not expect any issues with that here. Either way, 10* MIAMI -5.5 |
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09-30-21 | Angels v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels @ 2:05 ET - Yesterday's 7-2 Angels win snuck over the total to improve the over to 6-3 in the last 9 Los Angeles games. Look for today's to fly over the total much more easily. The over is 3-1 in Rangers last 4 games against a right-handed starter and they should pound Cobb in this one. The Angels righty has a 4.99 ERA in road starts this season and the over is 11-6 in all his starts this season. The Rangers counter with Otto on the bump for this one and he is 0-3 with an 8.02 ERA in his 5 starts this season and is off a decent start versus Baltimore but this followed getting absolutely destroyed in the two starts just prior to that. Otto gets pounded here again but look for Cobb to have major problems too. The Rangers had won 3 of 4 games and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game before struggling yesterday so I look for them to get back on track in a big way this afternoon and both teams enjoy plenty of success at the plate. 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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09-30-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in St Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 1:15 ET - The Cardinals winning streak ended yesterday but this was after 17 straight wins. St Louis averaged scoring 7 runs per game during this stretch. Look for bounce back at plate today for Cardinals. The Brewers were on a 4-2 run to the over before yesterday's low-scoring shutout win. St Louis was on a 6-1 run to the over before the shutout loss. The hitters bounce back today as Brett Anderson has a 5.87 ERA and ridiculous 2.22 WHIP last 3 starts. JA Happ is coming back down to earth after a strong run as he has allowed 11 baserunners in 8 innings his last two starts and is not working deep into games. This is still a guy with a 5.86 ERA on the season and the Brewers fully relaxed at the plate as their playoff position is locked in. The Cardinals also locked into their wild card spot. Look for the hitters to excel in this one and that is even if a few of the regular rest which I am well aware of that potential. 10* OVER 8.5 runs in St Louis |
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09-29-21 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Divisional Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - The Red Sox had just 3 hits in yesterday's game. Now they face a pitcher they have crushed to the tune of a 15.90 ERA in his two starts against them this season. Not only that but Zac Lowther has struggled overall in his starts this season with his most recent one (albeit versus a bad Texas lineup) being a rare exception. Boston entered yesterday's game scoring an average of nearly 7 runs per game last 9 games so look for a big bounce back here. The Sox will need all the runs they can get to because I do expect Nathan Eovaldi to struggle as well. The Orioles just recently faced Eovaldi and got to him for 3 earned runs on 7 hits in just 5 innings and now they face him in Baltimore where their home slugging percentage ranks among the best in the majors. Eovaldi has allowed 10 earned runs in less than 8 innings over his last two starts and the over is a perfect 3-0 in his last 3 starts. Look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 9.5 runs in Baltimore |
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09-29-21 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 12 runs in Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals @ 3:10 ET - Yesterday's game totaled only 4 runs. The posted total on this one opened up at 12.5 and has dropped to a 12 and I am looking for a much different result today as both lineups explode. This is Espino's first ever start at Coors Field. The Nationals are an ugly 1-6 in his road starts and he has a 5.90 ERA away from home. Lambert is making just his 2nd start of the season and he was a bit shaky in the first one last week. This included giving up 2 homers in less than 4 innings of work. Lambert is now 3-7 with a 7.16 ERA in his 20 career MLB starts. Opponents have hit .319 against him in his MLB career which includes his 19 starts for the Rockies in 2019. Two starting pitchers likely to struggle and neither bullpen has been a strength this season. 10* OVER 12 runs in Colorado |
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09-28-21 | Edmonton Elks -6.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Tuesday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks -6.5 @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - Both teams dealing with QB injuries but the situation for the Redblacks is even worse. Also I like what I saw from Elks QB Taylor Cornelius last week but he just needs to cut down on the turnovers. This is a revenge game for a week 2 home loss for Edmonton in which they lost 16 to 12 despite a massive yardage edge! The Elks outgained Ottawa by a 443 to 127 edge! I seriously do not know if there has ever been another CFL game in history with that type of yardage domination and yet a loss for the team with the big edge! It is payback time here and Ottawa is 0-3 at home this season and their win over the Elks is their only win this year! The Redblacks 5 losses have been by an average margin of 19.2 points! The very first number to come out on this game is 6.5 and I expect it to climb but, either way, expect a road rout by a double digit margin. Elks have #1 pass defense and #2 rush defense in the league in terms of yards allowed per game. 10* EDMONTON -6.5 |
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09-28-21 | Phillies +109 v. Braves | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
Game of the Year - Rickenbach MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +110 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - This series with the Braves is the Phillies season. They have no shot at a wild card berth now but can still catch Atlanta and win the division. Of course the fact Philadelphia faces practically a must win situation does not guarantee anything. But I do expect them to come out strong and take Game 1 of this series. The Phillies are off a loss to Pittsburgh Sunday but this followed a 9-2 run. Also, Philadelphia had won 7 in a row against right-handed starters before that loss. The Braves are only 11-13 last 24 home games. Charlie Morton starts here and his last home start against the Phillies was a disaster as he could not even make it out of the first inning. Zack Wheeler starts for the Phillies. He has allowed just 1 earned run while striking out 20 in 15 innings in his last two starts against the Braves. Also, Wheeler enters this start in top notch form! The veteran right-hander has led the Phillies to a perfect 5-0 record in his last 5 starts. Also, in his 4 starts in the month of September, Wheeler has a 1.14 ERA while striking out 32 in 23 and 2/3 innings! Look for his dominance to continue here and the Phillies improve to 8-1 last 9 against a right-handed starters while dropping the Braves to a pedestrian 11-14 mark in their last 25 home games. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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09-28-21 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs @ 6:35 ET - The Pirates had been scoring runs like crazy and the over is 6-3 in their last 9 games. Prior to yesterday's ugly 13-1 loss the Pirates had scored 5 or more runs in 7 of 8 games. Also consider that this is a late season match-up between two teams just playing out the string. No playoff pressure so the hitters on each club can be fully relaxed and that is bad news for a pair of starters likely to struggle. I really would not care who starts here because will mention that the Cubs are off an under but this followed 10 straight overs! The fact is both of these clubs have been getting involved in plenty of high-scoring action of late no matter who is on the mound. Now I will touch on the pitchers as Alec Mills has been rocked in each of his last two starts overall and also has really struggled against the Pirates with 7 homers allowed in 3 starts and all have been in past 13 months! As for Pittsburgh starter Mitch Keller, he is 2-8 with a 7.76 ERA in his 13 home starts this season! Both teams continue the over trending in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 runs in Pittsburgh |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - Rickenbach NFL 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:15 ET - Value with the points here. First divisional game for each of these teams and it is an early-season battle for first place in the NFC Least as I like to call it! Both of these teams have looked a little better than expected early this season but like the fact that, though both teams went 1-5 ATS in divisional games last season, the Cowboys are laying 3 plus the hook here and they went an ugly 1-6 ATS as a favorite last season. Philadelphia has been the better team defensively early this season and I also like the fact that they have been running the ball well early this season. When you have a road team that can establish the ground game on offense plus play very strong on the other side of the ball, you have a good shot at a road dog cover if not upset win. Also note that Dallas is 2-0 ATS this season but look around the league after yesterday's results and you can see how rare it is for teams to be perfect 3-0 ATS after 3 weeks. In other words the odds a bit stacked against the Cowboys here and I do like the fact that the road teams are a perfect 2-0 ATS this season in both Eagles games and Dallas games. Those trends continue here and the road dog relies on solid defensive play as well as a strong ground game on offense to grind out the win (at least ATS win) in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 |
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09-27-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion +162 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +162 @ Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Brighton & Hove has a chance to move to the top of the table with a win here and picking up the full three points. I love the fact that they are winless in their last four meetings with Crystal Palace as that is helping to keep this line in a very valuable price range. I do not see Brighton settling for a draw here as they will go hard for the full 3 points to do their best to earn the points needed to vault to the top of the table! I know they have only produced 7 goals in their 5 matches this season but Brighton & Hove does have a more potent attack than that of Crystal Palace. The visitors in this one are full of confidence and looking to end that winless run versus the hosts and I do not see them being denied. The hotter club is on the road (which gives us extra line value) and firing on all cylinders and keep in mind, Crystal Palace had one shocking 3-0 home win but, other than that, has tallied only 2 goals total in its other 4 matches! 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION +162 |
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09-27-21 | White Sox v. Tigers +142 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Monday 10* Top Play Detroit Tigers Money Line +142 vs Chicago White Sox @ 1:10 ET - ACTION on pitchers. No matter who pitches here this play is all about the value. The White Sox have already locked up the division and Chicago's road record is a slight losing record while the Tigers home record is a slight winning record. The point is that there is value on the home dog even just looking at this game from that perspective. The White Sox are off a win yesterday but have lost 9 times the last 10 when coming off a win! The Tigers are off a loss yesterday but this was preceded by a 10-4 run as they have been a scrappy team during this stretch run of the season. In fact, Detroit is 7-2 last 9 games when coming off a loss. Nice set up here regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Keuchel has allowed 25 hits in 16 and 2/3 innings his last 3 starts overall and the White Sox are 4-11 in his starts this season! As for Manning, he has allowed only 10 hits in 14 innings spanning his last 3 starts and the Tigers went 3-0 in those starts and are 6-3 in his home starts this season! 10* DETROIT +142 |
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09-27-21 | Royals v. Indians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals @ 1:10 ET - Jackson Kowar is the expected starter for the Royals here and he is 0-4 with an 11.45 ERA. Cal Quantrill has great numbers for the Indians but he just faced Kansas City last week and that could be a problem here. They have hit him decently this season (including 3 homers in 2 starts) plus are now getting a quick second look at him after having just seen him. Also, this total went from a 9 to a 9.5 and given the recent under stretch for the Royals I believe this is a sign of sharp money funneling in on the over in this one. My money is going to be on it as well. Yes the Indians game stayed under yesterday but the teams combined for 23 hits! That's ridiculous. Also ridiculous was the Royals having only 2 runs on 10 hits in their game yesterday. This game makes up for yesterday as the situation is ideal. 10* OVER 9.5 runs in Cleveland |
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09-26-21 | Packers v. 49ers -3 | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - NFL Sunday 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers (-) vs Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 ET - The 49ers burned their backers when they let the Lions get a miracle backdoor cover in Week 1. Green Bay then burned Lions backers last week with a big 2nd half to get the money. Still the Packers were outgained by Detroit in that game and also looked very ugly in their season-opening 38 to 3 loss to the Saints. The point is that I still do not think things are as they should be in Green Bay just yet and we are getting a lot of line value here as a result. The Niners got embarrassed by the Packers when these teams met last season but this is much more than a revenge spot for San Francisco. It is also their home opener and they get Green Bay on a short week as they are coming off a Monday night win versus Detroit. If you look at the Packers statistically it is quite ugly. As for the Niners stats a lot of the yardage allowed to the Lions was in garbage time of what was otherwise a blowout win. Then last week SF battled hard for a win over a resilient Eagles team that is playing solid defense early this season. I feel we have excellent line value with the home team now dropping to a -3 here after being as high as a -4 in early trading action earlier this week. Keep in mind the public still remembers the 6-10 SF team of last season and the 4-12 team that preceded the 49ers big season in 2019. As for the public's viewpoint on the Packers all they can remember is the 13-3 records of the past two seasons but that Aaron Rodgers holdout situation has effected the team chemistry of this team and last week's win was not reflective of how the game should have played out - just look at the stats - and again this was the same Lions team that the Niners really destroyed in week one before letting them in for a miracle backdoor cover. Tremendous line value here. 10* SAN FRANCISCO |
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09-26-21 | Dolphins v. Raiders OVER 43.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Total of the Month - NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 43.5 in Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins @ 4:05 ET - I know Brissett did not look good in relief of the injured Tagovailoa last week but he is a veteran QB fully capable of a bounce back here. Also, he goes from facing one of the best defenses in the league to facing one of the worst. Miami's numbers are poor on offense this season but they faced the Bills and Patriots and those two defenses have been very solid early this season. The Raiders, on the other hand, have a very questionable secondary but I do love their offense and expect plenty of success in this one for the Las Vegas offense at home. The key to the over is we have seen this total drop from the upper 40s to the low 40s and we have great value as a result. Las Vegas, at 2-0 and with a divisional game at the Chargers on deck, could make the mistake defensively of being a bit flat in this one. After all, they hung on for a dramatic OT win in week 1 over the Ravens and then went on the road and beat the Steelers. The set up is now ideal for the Dolphins to surprise and have a very good game on offense. However, I do not trust their defense against a Raiders offense that is very dangerous. As a result, plenty of points in this one and we have a great value with a low total that has been driven even lower in trading. 10* OVER 43.5 in Las Vegas |