Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-12-22 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Atlantic Div Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:05 ET - Toronto out for revenge from a 5-2 loss at Buffalo last month. Since that defeat, the Maple Leafs have won 10 of 13 games and score an average of 4.4 goals per game. In this revenge spot the Leafs most certainly will not take their foot off the gas and I expect them to score plenty here. But Toronto also gives up goals in bunches and that is why 29 of 39 Maple Leafs games totaled at least 7 goals prior to Saturday's 3-2 win over Montreal. The Sabres are off a 5-0 loss to a determined Tampa Bay team as Buffalo continues to struggle defensively and with goaltending. However, the goose egg on the board for the Sabres has certainly not been the norm of late. Buffalo actually average scoring nearly 4 goals per game in their 9 games before that shutout loss. In fact, Sabres 8 of 10 games before the loss to TB had totaled at least 7 goals and this one will too! 10* OVER 7 in Toronto |
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04-12-22 | Cavs +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7 ET - The Cavaliers are expected to again be without Allen but that is keeping this line higher than it should be. Mobley has returned from a recent 5-game absence and is coming off a double-double performance. Look for Mobley to continue to fill the shoes of Allen and look for he and Love to carry the load in this match-up. The Cavs might fall short on the scoreboard but only by a bucket or two in my opinion. In the 118-107 loss at Brooklyn last week, the Cavaliers actually led that game by 5 heading to the 4th quarter after trailing by 15 after 1 quarter of play. Now it is payback time when it matters most after the Cavs were done in by a poor 4th quarter last week against the Nets. 10* CLEVELAND +8.5 |
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04-11-22 | Jets v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:05 ET - Jets in a back to back spot and off a 4-3 win at Ottawa last night. Look for at least 7 goals in their game again tonight. Here is an updated excerpt from yesterday's write-up on the Winnipeg Over: Consider that the Jets road games have been higher scoring and perhaps they feel a little less pressure not being in front of their home fans. 7 of the last 9 Winnipeg road games have totaled 7 or more goals. In fact those 7 games averaged 8 goals per game! As for the Canadiens, they are off a 3-2 loss in which the game totaled just 5 goals scored but this followed a stretch in which 4 of 5 Montreal games totaled at least 9 goals! That loss was on the road but now they are back on home ice where 12 of last 18 Habs games have totaled 7 or more goals! Look for another wild one here as Jets fighting hard to stay alive in playoff race but Canadiens would love to play role of spoiler and the B2B spot for Winnipeg takes on toll on their defensemen and goaltending for this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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04-10-22 | Jets v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:35 ET - This is a contrarian play because many will look at this match-up and see a Senators team that has had a bad season and scored just 1 goal in most recent game and they will also see a Jets team that is battling hard to stay relevant in the playoff picture and has been involved in lower scoring games recently. The way I see this one playing out is a huge push from Winnipeg but also seeing Ottawa respond well because they are on home ice. Consider that the Jets road games have been higher scoring and perhaps they feel a little less pressure not being in front of their home fans. 6 of the last 8 Winnipeg road games have totaled 7 or more goals. In fact those 6 games averaged 8.5 goals per game! As for the Sens, they are off B2B losses in which they totaled just 3 goals scored but this followed a stretch in which 5 of 6 Ottawa games totaled at least 7 goals. Those 6 games averaged 7 goals and I look for this one to get to at least that mark as well! 10* OVER 6 in Ottawa |
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04-10-22 | Pistons +12.5 v. 76ers | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +12.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - We had a tough loss with Philly yesterday when they dribbled out the shot clock late for a 24 second violation intentionally because they led the game by 16 points at the time and then the Pacers subsequently jacked up a 3 and hit it with just few seconds left on clock. Indiana then only lost by 13 and Philly was a 13.5 or 14 point favorite when we released that selection. Tough beat but now the situation Sunday is much different and favors the big dog strongly in my opinion. The Sixers need to stay healthy going into post-season. Yes their big guns are likely to see plenty of floor time here but not into the latter portion of the game if 76ers have a big lead. Also, the Pistons are off B2B ugly losses but had been one of the best ATS teams around for many weeks before those two big defeats. Dating back to March 1st, Pistons were on a 13-3 ATS run before the losses to Mavericks and Bucks. The Sixers know Boston is likely to also win Sunday and that means Philly is likely locked into the #4 seed and facing Toronto in first round. That said, giving too much effort here and ending up getting somebody hurt would be the worst thing the 76ers could do heading into the playoffs. Grab all the points you can and look for the Pistons to hang around throughout this contest! 10* DETROIT +12.5 |
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04-10-22 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. I will talk about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the pitchers. Two low-scoring grinders in this series including Saturday's pitchers duel but in between was a wild 13-6 Astros win. Scoring is down early this season as is so often the case as it takes awhile for the bats to wake up and weather can be bad in some MLB cities. However, weather will be just fine in Anaheim and this total was set as high as a 10 in some books with good reason. Urquidy scheduled to start for Astros here and he got roughed up in his last September start in Anaheim and this Angels team certainly has a potent lineup. LA starts Suarez here and his team is 1-4 in his career starts against the Astros which comes as no surprise given his 5.95 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in starts against Houston in his career. 4th straight game for these teams against each other to open the season so they are familiar with the relievers too and the bats are going to be the story this afternoon like they were on Friday. 10* OVER 9.5 in LA Angels |
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04-10-22 | Predators v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
NHL TNT Annihilation Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators @ 4:05 ET - Both teams in a back to back. Both teams off losses. The Pens off a 6-3 defeat and there were a TON of missed opportunities and shots off iron in the Preds 4-1 home loss to Florida yesterday. That game, just like Pittsburgh's game did, could have easily also totaled 9 goals. That said, I feel we do have some solid line value here with the over as the B2B situation tends to be tough on a teams defensemen plus it taxes the goaltending situation. Look for plenty of goals here in this one as both teams push hard to bounce back off losses as this game important to each. Playoff implications for Nashville and playoff seeding for the Penguins. 9* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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04-10-22 | Liverpool +0.5 v. Manchester City | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 9* Top Play Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 @ Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Very short write-up here. There is no way to bash Manchester City of course. This a match-up of the top two clubs in the league. What I like about the dog here though is the fantastic price. In fact, I almost took Liverpool in the +250 range on the money line but instead we'll go ahead and utilize the goal line here and grab the +1/2 goal at a -120 price range on the underdog here. Liverpool has been the hottest team in the league. Yes, Manchester City is having a great season but they are at home here and all the pressure is on them and the road dogs come in playing with a ton of confidence as they have just looked so strong for months now! 9* Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 |
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04-10-22 | Crystal Palace v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
EPL Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - Leicester will do some damage here at home. Crystal Palace has been red hot so being on the road is not going to phase them at all. The visitors enter this match having scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace off B2B wins in which they have scored a total of 7 goals. Leicester will put up a fight here at home and that means plenty of goals in this one. The hosts off a scoreless draw in UEFA Europa Conference League competition but this followed a long-term run of 13 matches across all competitions averaging 3 goals apiece. I see at least a 2-1 final in this one as both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table and neither club likely to deliver a clean sheet. So this one sees each club score at least once and a 2-1 final at the very least as these clubs tightly packed in the table and don't want to settle for a draw here. Quite a wide open match in this one as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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04-09-22 | Ducks v. Flyers -108 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NHL PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -105 vs Anaheim Ducks @ 7:35 ET - The Flyers have won 2 of 3 games but they had a home loss in there. That was their 2nd straight home loss but this followed a stretch of 4 wins in last 5 games on home ice for Philadelphia. Unlike the Ducks, the Flyers are still playing with a lot of heart and passion here late in the season. That said, Philly is offering a lot of line value here at home at a pick'em price. With both these clubs being non-playoff teams this game is off the radar of most bettors but sometimes these hidden games are actually hidden gems offering the best line value late in a season. That is absolutely my strong sense here and I expect Philly to get it done on home ice in a big way in this one. Note that the Ducks have lost 13 of 14 games! This is excellent line value in a spot where Anaheim should be faded. By the way 6 of last 8 losses for Ducks were by a multi-goal margin. They simply are not playing that well right now and the Flyers have been looking better in recent games and take advantage of home ice here too. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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04-09-22 | Panthers v. Predators OVER 7 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Nashville Predators vs Florida Panthers @ 6:05 ET - Yesterday the Panthers were in Buffalo and the game was 3-3 entering the 3rd period and was also an over 7 and, miraculously, the over ended up a push in a 4-3 Florida win. Over players can get the win they deserved yesterday by again backing the over in this one today! The Panthers are the highest scoring team in the NHL and continue to pile up goals. Their speed will create problems for the Predators in what is a tougher game today at Nashville but don't be surprised if the Preds pile up goals too as the Panthers struggle defensively and in goal in this back to back spot after the hard-fought win last night. So the point is that both teams are in a spot that favors an over too. Nashville was off yesterday so they are rested here and, prior to the 3-2 Preds win Thursday over Ottawa, 10 of last 12 Predators games had totaled 7 or more goals. The Panthers 8 of last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7 in Nashville |
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04-09-22 | A's v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
MLB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -105 vs Oakland A's @ 4:05 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. I will talk about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the pitchers. In this case, Kyle Gibson starts for Phillies and last year he split his time with Texas and Philly and went a rock solid 7-3 with a 2.81 ERA in home games and a superb 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA in day games. In his starts at Citizens Bank Park he dominated in terms of hits allowed except for one bad start versus the ultra-potent Dodgers. In his other 5 starts at CBP he allowed just 15 hits in 23 innings! Now he faces an Oakland team that only had 6 hits yesterday and were it not for a 3-run bomb, would have had a very dismal effort at the plate yesterday. This A's team is just not very good and now former Phillie Cole Irvin is scheduled to take the mound for the Athletics. He led the American League in losses last season with 15! No disrespect as he is a solid young arm but I expect him to struggle here as he tries to overdo it against his former team and this Phillies lineup is stacked as they showed yesterday in the 9-5 win. The Phillies do have a lot of lefty lumber but the lefty Irvin actually hit just as hard by lefties as righties last year. Also, Oakland was very bad last season against teams with a winning record and this A's team is nowhere close to the level of last year's team so this looks like another ugly road loss for them and we'll take the run line this team with Philly as the money line just too high today in the -200 range. But Phils should win big again! 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -105 |
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04-09-22 | Pacers v. 76ers -13.5 | Top | 120-133 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -13.5 vs Indiana Pacers @ 1:10 ET - Normally I do not lay big points but this is a rare exception. I love this spot for the Sixers. I successfully played against the 76ers with the Raptors on Thursday. But that situation was different as Philly was on the road and Toronto wanted that game just as bad as they did. Now the Sixers are back home where they won their most recent game by 30 points over a Charlotte team that is certainly better than this short-handed Pacers team. Indiana has been dealing with a myriad of injuries and they have lost 8 straight games! They are simply playing out the string on a disappointing season and here they run into a motivated Philly team that had won 3 straight before the loss at Toronto. The Pacers last 7 losses by an average margin of 15 points and I expect this one to be by 20+ as an angry 76ers team at home will show no mercy here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -13.5 |
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04-09-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 12:30 ET - This is another pick where we are using logic to arrive at a wagering decision. There are 20 teams in the premier league. They are all sitting around the 30-match mark in term of matches played this season. The lowest number of draws clubs have had on the season is 3 and there are only 3 clubs like that and 2 of them are matched up right here Saturday. The point is that with just 3 draws in 30 matches for both Tottenham and Aston Villa these clubs have absolutely shown a propensity for avoiding draws. That said, if you think each club will also get at least 1 goal - and most certainly that should be expected - then with logic we know the odds are in our favor for at least a 2-1 final here as both clubs want the full 3 points in the table here and do not want to settle for a sharing of the spoils! 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Tottenham, in premier league matches, have seen 5 of their last 6 total at least 4 goals! In fact, they have scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 6 matches so they are in top form right now to say the least. As a result, look for this one to soar over the total as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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04-08-22 | Wild v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in St Louis Blues vs Minnesota Wild @ 8:05 ET - This is a big battle for playoff positioning in the Central Division so defense and goaltending will be important. However, both these teams have been more offensively-driven this season and I expect plenty of goals in a fierce battle. Note that 6 of the last 8 meetings have totaled 7 or more goals and 4 of those 6 totaled at least 9 goals! In other words these are not just sneaking over the totals, they are crushing it. So the recent history between these teams bodes well for an over and, also, the Blues have won 5 of 6 games and have scored an average of 4.7 goals per game during this stretch. St Louis is off a 4-1 win that stayed under the total but this was preceded by 11 of 13 Blues games totaling at least 7 goals. Minnesota has played lower scoring games of late but is off a 6-2 loss at Nashville in which Fleury finally faltered in a Wild uniform after a good couple starts to begin his Minny tenure. Talbot expected to start here and he is off a strong start at Washington. However, prior to that he allowed an average of 4 goals per game in last 8 road starts including 4 or more in each of 4 preceding road starts and all 4 of those non-playoff teams! In other words, he will have his hands full trying to stop the Blues here but I do look for the Wild to have some success getting pucks past Husso. The STL netminder is off B2B strong starts against non-playoff teams but has definitely had some struggles against quality foes in recent starts before that with 4 or more allowed against Calgary, Carolina, Columbus, and Nashville. All those efforts since mid-March too. Look for a "Wild" one here! 10* OVER 6 in St Louis |
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04-08-22 | Knicks v. Wizards OVER 222.5 | Top | 114-92 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards home finale and this is a team that has played with a lot of energy at home for quite some time now. It is still a bad team defensively but, without a doubt, Washington can put up big points! The O/U is 8-1 in the 9 home games the Wiz have had since March 1st. The Knicks are more of a defensive-minded slow-paced team but lets take this game for what it is. This is clearly a late-season match-up between two teams just playing out the string on the season and the Knicks will simply run right along with the Wizards. I simply do not expect a lot of defense to be played here. The Knicks have averaged 113 points the last 3 times they were off a game in which they were held under 105 and they just were held to 98 by Brooklyn - a playoff team. Last game against a non-playoff team, New York exploded for 118 points. Couple that with the fact Wizards have been scoring like crazy at home and you can see where I am going with this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Washington |
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04-08-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - I fully realize Wolverhampton matches averaging just 2 goals apiece this season. However, the Wolves are one of the best road clubs in the league and have already won 8 matches on enemy turf this season! Of course to win you have to score! That said, I do look for them to find the back of the net at least once. But note that Newcastle has lost only 4 of 14 matches on their home pitch this season. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3 goals apiece this season. I am looking for a 2-1 final at the very least here. Keep in mind we have the added cushion since this total has dropped to 2 goals in that even just getting this match to 1-1 or 2-0 gets us a push. These clubs had a 2-1 final in the reverse fixture earlier this season and also that was preceded by 5 straight 1-1 draws in the 5 meetings between these teams preceding that one. The hosts have conceded at least one goal in 5 straight matches overall and are coming off a 5-1 loss. The visitors have scored an average of 2.2 goals last 4 matches and 7 of their last 9 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I love the line value here. 10* OVER 2 in Newcastle United |
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04-07-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken @ 8:35 ET - The Kraken are in a B2B spot here and they scored a measly 1 goal last night. Seattle will bounce back and score more at Chicago but they will not be able to stop the Blackhawks. Entering yesterday (4-1 loss at St Louis) the Kraken had trended toward higher-scoring games the past 5 weeks. Seattle had one 3-0 loss during this stretch but in the other 13 games since then they had gone 6-6-1 and the games averaged 6.5 goals per game. So after yesterday's game stayed under, look for things to return to normal for Seattle here. Note that Chicago is off a 3-2 OT loss to Arizona and that was on home ice! The Blackhawks will be angry to respond big here and will take advantage of tired Seattle defensemen and a Kraken team known for shaky goaltending in a back to back. Chicago, prior to the 3-2 OT loss to the Coyotes, had seen 13 of 18 games total 7 or more goals and I fully expect this one will too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-07-22 | Mets -115 v. Nationals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Opening Day Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play New York Mets Money Line -115 @ Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - Great line value here as the Mets are on the road so we get a better price. Also, New York is expected to use 2nd-year big leaguer Tyler Megill as their starting pitcher for this one and that is keeping the line down. Patrick Corbin expected to start for the Nationals and he is coming off a rough season that was even rougher in home games and rougher in night games. His ERA was north of 6.00 in both those scenarios and, of course, both are in play tonight. No matter who the starting pitchers are, the Mets are the better overall team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Yes they struggled on the road last season but I am sure that is going to prove to be an aberration and this quality team bounces back overall with a better road record this season. As for the Nationals, they lost nearly 100 games last season and what have they done to improve for last year? Exactly! Not enough! I love fading line moves and this one has come down from the -135 range to the -115 range. Great value here. 10* NEW YORK METS -115 |
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04-07-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Toronto Raptors +1.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and this one has moved a full 5 points as yesterday it opened up with the Raptors at -3.5 and now the 76ers are at -1.5 this morning. This game has importance for both teams in the playoff picture so lets dive into some other factors I like a lot here. The 76ers have won 3 straight games but are on a 1-7-1 ATS run against the closing number last 9 road games. The Raptors are off a win and are fantastic 12-3 SU last 15 games. Toronto is 5-1 SU L6 home games. The Raptors have covered 4 of last 5 games as a host to the Sixers. For all the hype Philly has had because of the big move for Harden, this is a team that has covered only 5 of its last 18 games. I know the spread here is very small but even SU Philadelphia was on a 7-7 SU run before this little 3-game winning streak they are currently on. These teams could meet in the playoffs and I look for the Raptors to make a statement about that on their home floor tonight. 10* TORONTO +1.5 |
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04-07-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -104 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -105 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - The NHL is not as popular for sports betting as NFL, NBA, and even MLB. However, just as in those sports there are "public teams" when it comes to betting. Just like the Cowboys in the NFL or the Lakers in the NBA or the Yankees in MLB, the Penguins in the NHL tend to be one of the more heavily bet teams. This to me is a classic value spot as a result of that. The Rangers opened up as a -120 favorite and now the line has moved to a pick'em and even to the point of the Penguins being a -115 favorite in some spots. The Pens are certainly a quality team but so too are the Rangers and they are on home ice for this one. For those of you that like trends, the Rangers have not had a standalone win since January 8th. In other words, a New York win when coming off a loss usually leads to a win streak of at least 2 games. The Rangers bounced back from a SO loss to the Flyers Sunday by notching a 3-1 win over the Devils Tuesday. They will make it 2 straight wins here! 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -105 |
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04-06-22 | Lightning v. Capitals +135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 135 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Money Line +135 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:35 ET - These clubs have met twice this season and the Bolts took both games but each by just a single goal including an OT win here in DC very early this season. The Caps outshot TB in both games and it is time for some payback here. The Capitals have not won a game since March 26th but they enter tonight having played only 2 games since then. In other words, this Washington team is rested and ready and angry! I know that the Caps have struggled recently but so too has Tampa Bay. That said, this play is all about the value. The whole world is seeming to line up on the Lightning here but that gives us a great price on a home dog that is going to come out firing on all cylinders in this game in my opinion. Note that Tampa is off B2B losses and playing 4th game in 6 days. Yes the Lightning were off yesterday but this is still a tough spot for them and they are on enemy ice and facing an angry foe. 10* WASHINGTON +135 |
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04-06-22 | Red Wings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 +105 in Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:35 ET - The Jets tend to play lower-scoring games at times but the young, scrappy Red Wings are going to push the pace in this game and help it to play out as a high-scoring game. Plus Winnipeg's goaltending has been a bit up and down of late to say the least. Note that the Jets had seen 12 of 18 games total at least 7 goals prior to a 3-2 loss to Los Angeles Saturday. Winnipeg has had a few days to think about the opportunity they let slip away in that game against the Kings so I also feel sure they will be more aggressive here in the offensive zone against Detroit. The Red Wings have seen 7 of last 8 games total at least 7 goals and I fully expect another wild one here. Detroit is off a 5-3 upset win over the Bruins which will give them some confidence heading into this one and I expect them to score well here as a result but they will not be able to stop the Jets. Prior to the win over Boston, the Red Wings lost 7 of 8 games and allowed an average of 5 goals per game during this stretch! 10* OVER 6.5 +105 in Winnipeg |
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04-06-22 | Mavs v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - The Mavericks need to win for playoff reasons. But just like we used the Wizards over the Timberwolves last night for another easy outright underdog win, we roll with the Pistons here. It is practically the same situation except even better because Detroit is at home for this one. But, just like Washington, the Pistons currently are playing some of their best basketball of the season because they are fully relaxed and any pressure to make the playoffs is long gone for them. Detroit enters this game having won 3 in a row SU and also 5 in a row ATS and, in fact, the Pistons are on an incredible 17-3 ATS run last 20 games. So you have a Mavs team that is certainly high-quality but on the road and playing with all the pressure to try and move up to the #3 seed or at least make sure they hang onto the #4 seed and Dallas has B2B home games coming up to close the season. If there was a spot for the Mavericks to get tripped up late this season, this is it. The Pistons confidence is very high right now with 3 straight wins, 2 on the road, and they also have home wins over Sixers and Hawks recently so it is not like these victories were only over chumps. The hosts will not necessarily win this game outright but I absolutely expect them to be in it all the way to the final buzzer and that means they lose this by a half dozen points or less if they even do fall short! 10* DETROIT +8.5 |
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04-06-22 | Everton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +135 in Burnley vs Everton @ 2:30 ET - Yes these are two of the lower-scoring clubs but they are battling it out at the bottom of the table and getting the full 3 points here with a win will be of the utmost importance. I also do not foresee either club getting a clean sheet here either. That means we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. Note that Everton's road matches have averaged totaling 3 goals this season. Also, each of its last five road matches have seen them concede at least two goals! Burnley lost the first match-up with Everton this season by a final score of 3-1. The meeting prior to that was a 2-1 Burnley win. The hosts have allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches but they have been struggling to score goals. They will do better in the goal-scoring department here as they take advantage of a short-handed Everton club so look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +135 in Burnley |
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04-05-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Wolves | Top | 132-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +12.5 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards just got their doors blown off at Boston Sunday. However, these Wolves are not those Celtics! It is the perfect time to back a Washington team that entered Sunday having won 4 of 5 both SU and ATS. By the way, the Wizards also have won 3 in a row over Minnesota. All the pressure here is on the Timberwolves. With the Wiz eliminated from the post-season they have been playing without pressure and really were playing well before running into a Boston team that was determined to put on a killing display in their final regular season home game. The Wolves are coming off a 4-game road trip and have 2 more home games after this one to close out the regular season. All these factors make this the perfect spot to fade them. Yes I see Minny finding a way to win this game but I absolutely see this one being decided by single digits. That said, I also love the fact that the line has gone from 10.5 to 12.5 as of early Tuesday morning. Grab the extra value! 10* WASHINGTON +12.5 |
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04-05-22 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -130 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets gave a huge effort last night against the Bruins but ended up losing the game 3-2 in OT. After that very physical, grueling game against Boston, Columbus could quite possibly "mail it in" against the Flyers here. I look for Philadelphia to roll on home ice here given the huge situational edge. Philly is off a confidence-boosting road win over the Rangers Sunday. So they were resting yesterday for this one and they did lose most recent home game to Maple Leafs but this followed earning points in 5 straight games here! Indeed, Philly was on a 4-0-1 run in home ice games prior to the loss to Toronto. As for the Jackets, they have lost 7 straight games! 9* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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04-05-22 | Senators v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - These teams have both been trending toward higher scoring games and neither team has been getting stellar goaltending so another high-scoring game likely here. Both teams long gone from the playoff picture and can play loose, free-wheeling, pressure-free hockey here. Note that the Habs have allowed at least 4 goals in 3 straight games. The Canadiens have been scoring well too and that has played a key role in why 12 of their last 16 games have totaled 7 or more goals. Also, the posted total on this game is 6 goals and 2 of the only 4 games in that 16-game stretch that did not total at least 7 did total 6 goals! As for the Senators, they have seen 4 of their last 5 games total 7 or more goals. Also, Ottawa is off B2B wins so a team that is use to losing actually comes in with some extra confidence and you know Montreal will feel good too about having this match-up on their home ice. That said, look for plenty of scoring from both the Habs and Sens in this one! 10* OVER 6 in Montreal |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +175 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
NCAA Money Line Champ. Monday 10* Top Play North Carolina Tar Heels Money Line +175 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 9:20 ET - Why the money line here? For one thing 4 points is not much. If I can only get a win ATS with a game landing on 1 or 2 or 3 why not give the risk for the extra payout! Particularly in this case because the line was in the 4.5 to 5 range yet has dropped to mostly a solid painted 4. At the same time though, the money line has actually crept a little higher. This is a heavily pubic wagered game but public bettors get nervous about laying points so many on Kansas roll in and load up on the money line. The result is even more value for sharps if you like the underdog and certainly I do here and we are able to get into the +175 range on this one which is huge. Keep in mind, Kansas faced a Villanova team without its 2nd leading scorer. After the huge 2nd half against Miami and then blowing out the Wildcats, the public is in love with the Jayhawks. I love being anti-public and I am happy to take a team that has won 11 of 12 games on a neutral floor and to be getting a +175 payback. Last year I won with Baylor +175 over Gonzaga in this spot. The world was on the Bulldogs there. Look for same thing this year and the underdog wins outright! 10* NORTH CAROLINA +175 |
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04-04-22 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets are on home ice here so they certainly will put up a fight as they have double revenge against the Bruins from falling short in each of the two meetings this season including 5-2 at Boston Saturday. The issue for Columbus is they will be unable to stop the Bruins here and, so though they should put up a valiant effort, the Jackets ultimately lose a high-scoring battle. That is how I see this one playing out and, of course, that is why Boston is such a huge money line favorite here. Where we have the value here, in my opinion, is with the over. The Bruins have had 4 straight games total 7 or more goals and in fact these games have averaged 8.75 goals per game. The two games against Columbus have seen Boston and the Blue Jackets combine for an average of 7.5 goals in regulation time. The Jackets have had 21 of last 29 games total 7 or more goals! More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-04-22 | Arsenal v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 115 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Crystal Palace vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Of course Arsenal is the favorite on enemy pitch here for a reason but, at the same time, I do not see a surging Crystal Palace team being held without a goal on their home pitch. In fact, the hosts could even score twice but lets say they score once but lose the match as forecast by odds makers. That still puts this one at least 2-1 as a final. As we dive into the numbers here, note that Palace is off a 4-0 win that was their 3rd win last 4 matches across all competitions. The only non-victory was a scoreless draw but that came against league-leading Manchester City! In each of the wins in this 4-match stretch, Crystal Palace has scored at least 2 goals in all 3 of them! As for Arsenal, they have won 4 of 5 matches - all in EPL matches - and the only defeat in this stretch was against a scorching hot Liverpool club. In the 4 victories, Arsenal has averaged scoring 2 goals per match! These clubs have met twice in the last 11 months and each match totaled 4 goals. We may not get to that lofty number here but I certainly do expect at least 3 goals in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Crystal Palace |
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04-03-22 | Wild v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Washington Capitals vs Minnesota Wild @ 7:05 ET - Minnesota off a huge 3-1 win at Carolina as Fleury dominated between the pipes again. Talbot now gets the start after taking the loss in a 4-3 defeat in his last start. So this is a back to back for Minny and will Talbot be the same guy now that Fleury is in town and supplanting him as the #1 guy? Seems Talbot could be a little shaky now and the Wild are facing an angry Capitals team off a 6-1 loss. I am sure Washington is going to score well on home ice here. The issue for the Caps will be in trying to stop a solid Minnesota offense that has been piling up goals. As for the Capitals, they had won 9 of 12 before the loss and 11 of last 12 Washington games have totaled 7 or more goals! As for the Wild, their games have trended toward lower-scoring of late but they have been winning because they score enough to get the job done. Here if Minny gets to their typical 3 goals I absolutely expect the Caps to match them goal for goal and that sends this one over the total. Great situation with Wild in a B2B and Capitals off a rare ugly loss in which they scored only 1 goal and the Caps get their offense going again on home ice. 10* OVER 6 in Washington |
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04-03-22 | Islanders v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Afternoon Annihilation Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders @ 4:05 ET - The Devils off a 7-6 SO loss versus Panthers yesterday and this followed an 8-1 loss as pucks keep flying in the net in New Jersey games. NJ crazy high-scoring loss to Florida Saturday was the 17th time last 25 games in which a New Jersey game has totaled 7 or more goals. Now the Devils remain on home ice and catch Islanders off huge shutout win at the Rangers Friday. New Jersey will score some goals here again but the Devils problems will be at the other end of the ice in this one. NJ will be unable to stop a surging Islanders team that has won 3 straight games. The Isles have won 10 of 14 and higher-scoring games have been the norm of late for NYI. Prior to 3-0 win over the rival Rangers, the Islanders 10 of last 14 games totaled 6 or more goals and I fully expect this one will too as the Devils go hard to play the role of spoiler in this one. 9* OVER 5.5 in New Jersey |
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04-03-22 | Nuggets -2 v. Lakers | Top | 129-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets -2 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 3:40 ET - The Lakers are still a public team when it comes to betting and they also are a team desperate for wins right now to keep playoff hopes alive. Also, the Lakers are at home here and have revenge against a Nuggets team that blasted them by 37 points in first meeting this season. However, in spite of all that both James and Davis are banged up right now and the fact is the confidence of LA is shaken as their hopes of earning a play-in spot for the post-season are fading. The Nuggets fully capable of blasting this Lakers team and we get line value because Denver is on the road! That is keeping this line low and yet Denver actually has won 9 of last 10 road games! Each of last 7 road wins by 4 or more points and I expect this one will fall into that category as well! The Lakers have lost 27 of 37 games. Incredible value here in fading LA! Adding to the value is the fact the Nuggets are off a tight, high-scoring home loss to Minnesota Friday. 10* DENVER -2 |
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04-03-22 | Newcastle United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle is off a loss but actually outplayed Everton. Newcastle lost 1-0 but won the possession battle and actually outshot Everton by a 2 to 1 ratio. It was a frustrating loss after a defeat by the same score against a powerful Chelsea club. That said, prior to the B2B defeats Newcastle had scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches - all were victories. The visitor in this one fully capable of putting a scare into a Tottenham club working hard for a top four spot in the table. That being said, I am expecting plenty of goals here. Tottenham has won 3 of last 4 matches and 3 of the 4 totaled at least 4 goals. Tottenham has averaged scoring 3 goals during this strong stretch of play. Newcastle scored a pair of goals in each of the 2021 meetings between these clubs and 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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04-02-22 | Kings v. Jets -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -120 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7:05 ET - Kings in a playoff spot and this game is important to them for sure but I feel we have excellent line value with the Jets given the situation here and the fact the hosts are desperate for points in the standings to keep their playoff hopes alive. Winnipeg is on home ice and off a bad 7-3 loss at Toronto. That is noteworthy because the Jets have not lost back to back games in 4 weeks. Winnipeg had won 9 of 12 before the ugly loss to the Maple Leafs and I expect them to bounce right back here. The situation is perfect because the Kings are off a tight road win at Calgary Thursday. Hellebuyck is likely to be back between the pipes for this one after Comrie started, and struggled, against the Leafs because it was the 2nd game of a B2B for Winnipeg. This situation much better for the Jets and note that Los Angeles has not won B2B games since early March. The Kings had lost 7 of 11 before the shootout win over the Flames. Perfect set up here. 10* WINNIPEG -120 |
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04-02-22 | Maple Leafs v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Maple Leafs are off a 7-3 win versus Winnipeg Thursday and are one of the highest scoring teams in the league. The Flyers continue playing competitive hockey and will put up a fight here on home ice. However, Philadelphia continues to struggle in the D zone and, when you add all this up, it equates to what should be a highly competitive and high-scoring battle. Toronto's last 35 games have seen 25 of them total 7 or more goals. We have solid line value with this total at a 6.5 as the Flyers are off a 4-1 loss at Minnesota Tuesday but had been involved in a stretch of high-scoring battles before that. Prior to the loss to the Wild, Philly's last 13 games had seen 9 of them total 7 or more goals. The Flyers most recent home game was a tight 2-1 win over the division rival Islanders but this was preceded by 4 of last 5 Philly games on home ice totaling at least 7 goals. In fact, those 4 games averaged 8 goals per game. Look for a wild one involving the Leafs in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-02-22 | Villanova +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NCAA Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +4.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 6:09 ET - It is no surprise that the masses are lining up on Kansas here. The Jayhawks coming off that colossal 2nd half performance against Miami and they are the highest ranked team left in the tournament. Also, Villanova is without 2nd leading scorer Justin Moore after he got hurt at the end of the Michigan game. Well, as long-time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am on the Wildcats here and with good reason. One of the keys is Caleb Daniels is the guy taking Moore's place in the lineup. He is from Louisiana. This game is at the Superdome in New Orleans. Daniels is back home again. In fact his college career started at Tulane. He is a redshirt senior and 22 years old. He has a lot of experience and has been the 6th man for Nova this season but will embrace his new starting role and, though his shooting stats were not good, he did score 12 of Villanova's 50 points in the win over Houston in the Elite 8 round to help the Cats to get here! Also, the Wildcats are known for a certain style and pedigree in College Basketball just like Kansas is. Well, through the years even though the players change it is still noteworthy how these two powerhouses have fared when matched up against each other because their style of play is often similar year to year. Well, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in last 8 meetings with Kansas and the Jayhawks have won only 3 of those 8 meetings SU. Look for Collin Gillespie and Daniels to have huge games and look for Kansas to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread in this one! 10* VILLANOVA +4.5 |
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04-02-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | Top | 114-144 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 12:30 ET - The 76ers have lost 3 straight and the Hornets have been playing well so is it any surprise that a line that opened up as high as an 8 is down to a 5? Not really, no! But, in typical contrarian fashion I am going against the line move and grabbing the extra value here! The Sixers are very hungry and at home and they also have revenge here! After a long winning streak against Charlotte, Philadelphia got beat in mid-January by the Hornets in a rare double-digit home loss. Philly is out for revenge here and remember they were on a 30-11 run since Christmas before this current 3-game losing streak. Time for the 76ers to get back on track here and they will not be at home again until they wrap up the season here in Philly next weekend. So this game is ultra important for them and they catch the Hornets off a road win at New York. The set up is ideal for the hungry home team to do what the odds makers said they would do and yet what the betting markets are doubting here. Look for the Sixers to roll big at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5 |
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04-02-22 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester United vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester is allowing an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. They will struggle to slow the attack of Manchester United here. Leicester's last 10 matches across all competitions saw them on the wrong end of a clean sheet once but they scored an average of 2 goals per match in the other 9 matches! Indeed the visitor in this one is a solid scoring club that can also find the back of the net against the hosts in this one. Manchester United has seen one scoreless draw in their last four matches within Premier League action but the other 3 matches within league competition all totaled at least 5 goals! In those 3, they scored 8 times but also conceded 8 times. Look for a wild one at Old Trafford in this one Saturday! 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United |
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04-01-22 | Mavs v. Wizards +8.5 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - Interesting late-season match-up here because one has to wonder...does Dallas even know what it wants here? In actuality, the West is a jumbled mess from spots 3 through 6 in the playoff picture. So yes Dallas will want to win but it is not even as critical as you think just yet because there is so much uncertainty who will finish in the 5 and 6 spots and then of course that impacts the match-ups for the 3 and 4 spots. Conversely, the Wizards are eliminated from the playoff picture and playing loose, relaxed basketball as a result. That makes for a dangerous underdog the way I see it and note that Washington is 20-19 SU at home this season and in terms of current trending, the Wizards have covered 5 of last 7 games at home. In terms of all games, home and away, Washington is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run. Look for the Wizards to hang around in this game on their home floor. 10* WASHINGTON +8.5 |
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04-01-22 | Predators v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Buffalo Sabres vs Nashville Predators @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres went into the 3rd period of their game Wednesday with a 2-2 score hosting the Jets but, inexplicably, nobody scored in the 3rd period. The game ended up being a 3-2 Winnipeg win decided in the shootout. Buffalo bounces back here with plenty of goals but I expect them to struggle to stop a solid Nashville team. The Sabres should be able to get some past Saros as he has struggled in goal recently for the Predators. Before a 4-1 win in his most recent start, Saros actually had seen 20 goals against the Preds in his last 5 starts! That is an average of 4 goals per outing. As for the Sabres, prior to the tight 3-2 SO loss versus the Jets, they had 4 straight games total 7 or more goals. We only need 6 for a push here but certainly I expecting 7+ as I go to my highest rating on this play! The Sabres averaged 4 goals in regulation time of their last 4 games prior to the low-scoring loss versus Winnipeg. Buffalo allowed an average of nearly 4 goals last 4 games before the Sabres fell short to the Jets. I like how competitive the Sabres have been of late but the Preds likely force them to score plenty to keep up here so the result should be at least a 4-3 final as I see it! 10* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | Top | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
CBB Situational Slaughter Friday 10* Top Play Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +3 vs Fresno State Bulldogs @ 6 ET - This game was supposed to be played Thursday but ended up being pushed back to Friday when the Bulldogs had charter flight issues trying to leave from home. Anything that breaks the routine or normalcy for a team is not a good thing. Certainly they have had time to adjust but the fact that Fresno State flew across country later than expected and allowed the Chanticleers to comfortably rest at home and have more preparation time is unlikely to help the visitors. I also like the fact that the Bulldogs are just a .500 team SU on the road this season and Coastal Carolina is a solid 13-6 SU at home. Considering that plus the fact the Chanticleers are getting 3 points here and score very well at home while the Bulldogs tend to struggle scoring away from home, I like the home dog a lot in this one! 10* COASTAL CAROLINA +3 |
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03-31-22 | Penguins v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Minnesota Wild vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 8:05 ET - The Penguins struggling and have lost 3 of 4 games and allowed 4 goals per game in the 3 losses. Going to Minnesota is not exactly the right locale to improve your GAA and, indeed, I expect the Wild to have a huge game here on home ice. However, most definitely the Penguins can pile up goals and I expect success against Talbot here after Fleury was dominant in most recent game for Minny. Now Talbot likely get the start and he's facing a Pens team that has scored an average of 4.3 goals last 6 games. The Wild off a 4-1 win versus Philly and have seen a stretch of games not get past the 5-goal mark but I look for this one to play out much differently. The Wild have scored an average of 3.5 goals last 13 games and that is not including anything other than regulation goals of course and they have gone 9-4 in this stretch. Given all of the above I expect each club to get to at least the 3-goal mark here and that guarantees us of nothing less than a 4-3 final in what should be a highly competitive game. 10* OVER 6.5 in Minnesota |
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03-31-22 | 76ers -9.5 v. Pistons | Top | 94-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and this one was as high as an 11 but has dropped to a 9.5 and the 76ers offer strong value here off B2B losses. Philly has lost B2B games for just the 2nd time since mid-December. The only other time it happened since then the Sixers went into Chicago and won by double digits! The Bulls are 2nd place in the Central Division behind only the defending champion Bucks! As for the Pistons, no team in the entire league has fewer wins than the paltry 20 victories that Detroit has on the season. The Pistons have been more competitive of late but they are hosting the Sixers at the wrong time. Philly will show no mercy given the situation and that means when they are up by 20+ points as this game goes on they will still keep their foot on the gas. I see no way they do not win this game by at least 10 points. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -9.5 |
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03-31-22 | Xavier +175 v. Texas A&M | Top | 73-72 | Win | 175 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
CBB Money Line Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +175 vs Texas A & M @ 7 ET - I am going with the high value play here. I fully understand the line on Aggies here as the odds makers must set the lines with an eye toward public perception as well. However, I personally do not look at this game and say that 2 out of every 3 meetings Texas A & M will win and yes I know the Musketeers are without Paul Scruggs. The fact is the -200 money line on the Aggies here is just too high. Xavier faced a tougher strength of schedule on the season and if you like the Musketeers here, the high value way to play it is with the money line. Each of Xavier's last 6 losses were by 7 or more points. If they don't win this game they are unlikely to cover. As for the Aggies, each of their last 6 wins by 5 or more points. Everyone loves Texas A & M here it seems and I am a contrarian and, in this particular case, you can also see there is justification for taking a shot with the big dog money line here rather than playing this ATS. What a way to wrap March Madness - at least in terms of NIT action - but with a resounding upset to close this tourney! The tougher regular season schedule pays off for battle-tested Musketeers here. 10* XAVIER +175 |
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03-30-22 | Rangers v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 108 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NHL TNT Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs New York Rangers @ 7:35 ET - The Rangers off key 3-2 win at Pittsburgh last night. Not only is this a back to back spot that could leave New York a bit flat and susceptible to big plays in their D zone, their goaltending could be subpar here too. That is because Shesterkin has dominated for the Rangers this season but if he plays here it would be a B2B. So whether he starts again or Georgiev gets the call - the latter is more likely - the Rangers could struggle to slow down the Red Wings here. Detroit has been involved in a lot of high-scoring games lately. Sure they want to bounce back in the defensive zone after an 11-2 loss at Pittsburgh Sunday but I just don't think the Wings are built well enough defensively or in goal to slow a talented group of Rangers forwards that will have to lead the way for New York tonight. The Rangers have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 4 games. The Red Wings have seen 16 of 26 games total 7 or more goals and the crazy thing is those 16 games have averaged a ridiculous 10 goals each! Detroit's most recent home game was a 2-1 loss to Tampa Bay but the Red Wings scored 4 or more goals in 9 of 13 at home prior to that one. High scoring trending on home ice continues here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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03-30-22 | Nuggets v. Pacers OVER 233 | Top | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 233 in Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:10 ET - Nuggets averaged 121 points per game last 4 games. The Pacers allowing 132 points per game last 3 games. Indiana scoring an average of 119 points last 6 home games. Could easily see this one getting into the 240s given the above. Pacers have been slumping and are officially eliminated from post-season contention but that means they can play loose and relaxed here at home. Look for very little resistance on the defensive end from an Indiana team that has clearly been struggling in that regard of late. However, the Pacers certainly should be able to put up a lot of points here and the Nuggets are off B2B unders but this was preceded by 5 straight overs. Given all of the above, that strong over trending likely to quickly resume here. 10* OVER 233 in Indiana |
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03-29-22 | Flyers v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Minnesota Wild vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 8:05 ET - The Flyers are on a stretch of 4 straight road games totaling 7 or more goals. They continue to play competitive hockey but are guilty of breakdowns in the defensive zone and so Philadelphia continues to give up too many goals. Philly has endured some sub-par goaltending too but continues to score quite well and that is why I look for this game at Minnesota to fly over the total. The Wild are in the midst of a stretch of low-scoring wins but I look for the Flyers, playing with no pressure, to be very aggressive in getting plenty of rubber on the net to put pressure on Marc-Andre Fleury. Keep in mind, Fleury was solid in his first start with the Wild and allowed just 2 goals but this followed him allowing 3 or more goals in 7 of 8 starts heading into that one. He allowed 3.6 goals in those 8 games and more of the same expected here. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 type game in this one! 10* OVER 6 in Minnesota |
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03-29-22 | Bucks v. 76ers -115 | Top | 118-116 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Game of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -115 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:10 ET - With this line opening up at -2.5 and dropping now to as low as -1 on the 76ers as of Tuesday morning, we are seeing money lines as low as -115. I like the value here with taking Philly on their home floor just to win the game. Yes, I know both teams off losses so Bucks will be hungry here too. However, Philadelphia is 12-1 SU last 13 times when off a loss! Conversely, Milwaukee has already had 9 losing streaks of at least 2 games this season. When the Bucks lose one, they certainly are not automatic to bounce right back! That said, great value here with a home team that should bounce back and get right back into the win column. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure v. Xavier +2 | Top | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
CBB NIT Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The odds makers well aware that Musketeers 2nd leading scorer Paul Scruggs if out for season with torn ACL suffered in the win over Florida in this tournament. However, they still opened up the line on this one with Xavier as the small favorite. Sure enough, the line flipped and St Bonaventure is now the favorite. Historically I love fading line moves like this and there is certainly justification for fading this one. The Musketeers faced the tougher schedule this season. Also, their only loss last 5 games was in OT. Not including OT points, Xavier has scored an average of 77 points last 5 games. The Bonnies, on the other hand, have scored less than 57 points in 4 of last 7 games. Even without Scruggs, the Musketeers are the more talented and skilled team. The odds makers know that and so do we and, given the above scoring stats, don't be surprised if St Bonaventure can not keep up as this game goes on and the underdog pulls away in the latter stages for the outright win. Grab the point or two for added insurance but you should not need it. 10* XAVIER +2 |
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03-28-22 | Coastal Carolina v. South Alabama OVER 137.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in South Alabama Jaguars vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ 8 ET - This is a rare set up in a semi-final game of a non-conference post-season match-up. I say that because these two teams are each from the Sun Belt Conference but managed to win out so far in this tourney and now meet with a chance to go to The Basketball Classic Championship Game. No team ever wants their season to end but this is particularly true when that game comes against a foe from the same conference. That said, no matter who is up late in this game there is likely to be late fouling and a huge effort for desperation points if needed to keep the season going. This is particularly true because each team knows the other is certainly not exceptional at the free throw line. Putting the opponent on the line late will likely allow the trailing team to get back in the game. With all of that said, I like the over quite a lot in this one in what should be a back and forth power struggle. Keep in mind these teams have met 5 times since January of last year so this will be their 6th game in 15 months. None of those games have totaled less than 136 points. The posted total on this one is currently 137.5 which means we are likely "right there" for the win in this one late given the recent history between these teams. I just don't see this one falling short of the 140s given all of the above and, in fact, the last 5 meetings have totaled an average of 141 points. Jags averaging 75 points last 3 games. CC averaging 72 points last 8 games. 75-72 S Ala win would put this right at the current number of -3 on this game and also would put this game about 10 points over the posted total. I am expecting this game to get to at least upper 140s. 10* OVER 137.5 in South Alabama |
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03-28-22 | Nuggets v. Hornets +3 | Top | 113-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +3 vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:10 ET - This is a contrarian play because most will be looking the way of the road team in this one because of the scheduling situation but I am grabbing the home dog! The Hornets are off a big win at Brooklyn yesterday and that was an upset win on the road which also followed an upset win at home versus Utah Friday. Will Charlotte run out of gas here? Absolutely not! The fact they are at home and in a battle for playoff position and are playing so well means they will not come up short here! The Hornets are red hot with wins in 7 of last 8 games. The Nuggets are off a win Saturday but it was a non-covering win versus a bad Thunder team. Denver's ATS slide has now reached 3-8 last 11 games. Also, prior to the SU win over OKC, the Nuggets had lost 5 of 8 SU. Based on all of the above, you can see why I am grabbing the red hot home dog that is playing with a lot of confidence right now. 10* CHARLOTTE +3 |
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03-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 102 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes are back on track and scoring more goals again. After a rare low-scoring stretch, the Canes scored 3 goals in a 4-3 SO loss versus Dallas. This was followed by a huge 7-2 win at St Louis Saturday and I expect Carolina to carry the high-scoring momentum right into this revenge game at Washington. I know this game has big-time playoff implications and involves the Hurricanes seeking revenge against a divisional foe for a home loss versus Capitals less than 2 weeks ago, but I still expect a high-scoring game here. The Caps piled up 40 shots on goal in that 4-3 shootout win at Carolina and the Canes have allowed 3 goals per game last 7 games. So the Hurricanes will struggle to stop the Capitals here but the key is that Washington has been allowing too many goals lately and faces a talented revenge-minded divisional foe. The Caps have won 9 of 12 games and 10 of last 11 games have totaled 7 or more goals and I expect this one will too! 10* OVER 6 in Washington |
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03-27-22 | 76ers +4 v. Suns | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +4 @ Phoenix Suns @ 6:10 ET - The Suns are a great team of course but missing a couple solid contributors here with Cameron Johnson and JaVale McGee both expected to miss this game. Against a lesser team that would be no big deal but the Sixers are going to give Phoenix all they can handle here. Keep in mind, Philadelphia wants to prove that, with James Harden now on board too, they belong with the elite of the NBA. Phoenix, on the other hand, has certainly proven in recent seasons that they are among the elite of the NBA. That said, I also expect the 76ers to be the hungrier team in this one. They will want it a little more and I feel we have excellent line value with Philly as an underdog. The Suns have dominated this series in recent seasons and that includes winning at Philly early last month. Payback time here as Sixers hungry to end the dominance of Phoenix in this series by coming up big today. Suns off big win at Denver and have big game at Golden State on deck. Will they be totally focused on this non-conference match-up? Perhaps not and this is a Sixers team that won 12 of 16 games and going for 4 in a row here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +4 |
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03-27-22 | Flyers v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Total of the Month NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Nashville Predators vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 6:05 ET - The Predators off B2B 6-1 losses but, prior to that, Nashville had won 7 of 9 games and scored an average of 5 goals per game during this stretch! Now, off B2B losses and facing a Flyers team that has struggled defensively and in goal, Nashville should enjoy an offensive explosion here. One thing about Philly though, is they are still fighting and scoring goals and I do not expect them to lay down here. The result has been 3 straight games totaling 7 or more goals and, going further back, 8 of last 12 games totaling 7 or more goals. The Flyers have scored at least 3 goals in 8 of last 12 and will have success here in the offensive zone but, once again, their defense and goaltending lets them down. The result is a barn-burner with a ton of goals scored here. 10* OVER 6 in Nashville |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -5.5 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
NCAA Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -5.5 vs Miami-Florida Hurricanes @ 2:20 ET - The Jayhawks were outshot by the Friars - in terms of FG attempts - in their Sweet 16 win on Friday. However, Kansas did win the rebounding battle and they had a huge edge in terms of getting to the free throw line. Had they not shot so poorly from three point land, the Jayhawks would have easily covered the game and won by double digits. The key here is that the same can not be said of the Hurricanes. Miami got a favorable match-up Friday in terms of facing an Iowa State team that, in the opinion of most, had over-achieved to even get to that stage. That said, the Hurricanes getting outshot 68 to 56 in terms of FG attempts plus having only 7 offensive boards comparted to allowing 16 to the Cyclones combines for some concern here as they now face one of the best teams in the nation. I feel strongly that the Hurricanes have reached the end of the line in their season and feel we are getting excellent line value. This spread is being held lower than it should be because of Friday's results. The Jayhawks make it 9 wins in a row and this one comes by double digits in my opinion. Keep in mind their last 6 wins in the 8-game winning streak have come by an average margin of 14 points. The Hurricanes get beaten on the boards and the Jayhawks also again get to the free throw line much more than their opponent. 10* KANSAS -5.5 |
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03-26-22 | Hurricanes -125 v. Blues | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NHL No Doubt Blowout Rout Saturday 9* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes -125 @ St Louis Blues @ 8:05 ET - The Blues are off a 5-2 loss to the Flyers. Yes, home loss to Philadelphia! So we should take St Louis to bounce back, right? Don't be so fast to do so! The Blues have lost 8 of 11 as they have recent 4-game and 3-game losing streaks and I fully expect at least a 2-game losing streak now for St Louis. They are hosting a very strong Carolina team that is favored on the road for a reason here! The Hurricanes are also off a loss and have had some struggles lately but they were 41-12-5 as of last Saturday the 12th. They then faced a very tough schedule and struggle for it. Now, after a SO loss at Dallas, after a key win over the 2x defending Stanley Cup Champion Lightning, the Canes take advantage of facing a struggling STL team and get right back on track. This one will be all Hurricanes on the road. 9* CAROLINA -125 |
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03-26-22 | Kings v. Magic OVER 221 | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Total dropped from mid-220s range to closer to 220 range and I love fading the line move here. Both teams have fresh legs here as they were off each of the last two days entering this one. Also, both teams are off unders so I look for the offensive production to take over in this non-conference match. The Kings, prior to the under, were on a 5-3 run to the over including each of last 2 road games. The Magic are off 3 straight unders including 2 in a row at home but this is helping to give us line value. Orlando, before those B2B unders in home games, allowed an average of 120 points per game the preceding 9 home games! Think Sacramento loses this game? The Kings have allowed 124 points last 11 losses. Think Orlando loses this game? The Magic have allowed 124 points last 9 losses! Given those facts you can see why I like the over in this match-up! 10* OVER 221 in Orlando |
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03-26-22 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Devils off a 3-2 loss at Toronto Wednesday but this followed 4 straight New Jersey games totaling 9 or more goals! Washington off a 4-3 SO win at Buffalo last night and this continued a high-scoring trend in Capitals games! 9 of last 10 Caps games have totaled 7 or more goals! More of the same expected here as the B2B situation and having been on the road last night plus the game going into OT and having to be decided in the shootout means an extra taxing situation for Washington goaltending and defense. Devils will be on the attack early and often but Capitals will respond and this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +132 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 132 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
NCAA Money Line Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +132 vs Houston Cougars @ 6:09 ET - This is the game where the losses of starters Marcus Sasser and Tramon Mark finally catch up with the Cougars. I love fading public perception and, in this case, because the game is in San Antonio, Texas the consensus is that Houston has a huge home court edge. Villanova, through the years, has a history of success in games played in Texas. This is no big deal at all for this solid Wildcats team. Collin Gillespie is the key for Nova and his knee has been pronounced fine coming into this game after he took a hard fall in Sweet 16 action. I fully respect the Cougars but Villanova faced the tougher schedule this season and Houston finally runs out of bullets here! The Wildcats have lost only one game since early February. This is a 13-1 SU stretch for Nova. We will not need the points here. I am grabbing the money line for the big plus money value. The Cougars have gotten hot at the right time but lets not forget that they lost 2 of 4 road games to wrap regular season and one of the 2 wins was in double-OT! No this is not a true road game but it also is not being played at home in Houston either and the Wildcats have tremendous moxie and, just like 2016 and 2018, it is time for Final Four for this Nova team. 10* VILLANOVA +132 |
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03-25-22 | Providence v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
NCAA Sweet 16 Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -7 vs Providence Friars @ 7:29 ET - Kansas just beat Creighton by 7 points to reach this game. The Bluejays are the same Big East team that knocked Providence out of the Big East tourney. Creighton beat the Friars by 27 points in that laugher. That does not mean this win will be so easy for the Jayhawks but I definitely do not see them being denied and I do expect a double digit win for Kansas. The Jayhawks have gotten hot at the right time and when this team is firing on all cylinders in terms of point production and offensive efficiency, look out! Kansas is on an 11-2 SU run and had one low-scoring win during this stretch but averaged scoring 79 points per game in the other 10 victories. Providence is 3-2 SU last 5 games and, prior to big win over Richmond, scored an average of 63 points over 3 prior games. The Friars averaged 66.5 points on the road this season while Kansas averaged 76.7 points on the road this season. Simply put, Providence just will not be able to keep up in this one and the Jayhawks eventually pull away for a win by a double digit margin. Lay it! 10* KANSAS -7 |
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03-25-22 | Capitals v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres off a 4-3 SO win over Penguins and will ride momentum into this game. The problem is that, though Buffalo should score well at home again, they will have trouble stopping an angry Capitals team. Washington is off a 5-2 loss and will be looking to respond with plenty of goals here. I am expecting 7 or more and we have extra value here since this total is set at 6 goals. The Sabres last 12 home games have featured 9 totaling 7 or more goals! Those 9 games have averaged 8 goals per game! The Capitals 5-2 loss versus St Louis was the 8th time last 9 games that a Washington game has totaled 7 or more goals. More of the same expected here with a high-scoring barn-burner expected between these two teams given the situation. 10* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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03-24-22 | Cavs +5 v. Raptors | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - Toronto opened up at a -3 and has jumped up to as high as a -5.5 already. In typical contrarian fashion I am fading the line move. As per usual, the fade is not without reason! The Cavaliers are off a loss and the last 3 times they were off a loss by a margin less than a dozen points, Cleveland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU. Also, the Raptors are off a road loss (SU and ATS) at Chicago but, prior to this, the road team was on an 11-1 ATS run in Toronto games. Look for that strong road trend to resume here. The Cavs already won all 3 meetings with Raptors this season and average margin of 18 points per victory. Look for another road win here. 10* CLEVELAND +5.5 |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA PA Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -4.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:29 ET - The Wolverines are off an upset win over Tennessee but a closer look at how that played out tells you all you need to know. Michigan actually had 13 LESS field goal attempts than the Volunteers but they managed to win the game handily because the Vols shot 2 of 18 from three point land! Also, Michigan had 15 turnovers compared to just 7 for Tennessee. Now we get line value here with one of the best teams in the country laying a short number, in part, due to the upset win for the Wolverines over Tennessee. On a neutral court, the Wildcats are much better than just a 5-point differential in comparison with Wolverines. Villanova enters this game having won 12 of 13 games and the Wildcats have seen 9 of those 12 victories come by a margin of at least 5 points. I am sure this one will too. 10* VILLANOVA -4.5 |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +10 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NCAA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +10 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 7:09 ET - The Razorbacks played the tougher regular season schedule in comparison with Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are a great team of course and ranked #1 in the nation but this is a tough spot for them to win by double digits. They barely got by Memphis and remember they lost at St Mary's in final game of February. Arkansas enters this game having won 17 of 20 and 2 of those 3 losses were by just 4 or less points. Look for another tight game here and having the big points on your side is the way to go in this one. 9* ARKANSAS +10 |
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03-24-22 | Panthers v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Canadiens are off a 3-2 OT loss Monday which followed a 5-1 win Saturday. While those games fell short of going over 6 goals, note that the Habs 8 games prior ALL totaled 7 or more goals! In fact, those 8 games averaged 8.3 goals each and I expect we'll get to 8 goals again here or at least the 7 we need for a win! Florida, of course, is a scoring machine and this is the debut of Claude Giroux with his new team and the Panthers have had nearly a full week off since a 3-0 shutout win capped a West Coast road trip. Florida has seen 17 of last 20 home games total 7 or more goals and this one will too! 10* OVER 6.5 goals in Montreal |
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03-23-22 | Penguins v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
NHL TNT Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:35 ET - The Penguins won 5-1 last night at home against Columbus but the game burned me as we had over 6.5 and it fell just short despite being 4-1 after two periods. I will come right back with an over involving the Penguins as they will continue scoring well here but note they did use #1 goalie Tristan Jarry last night. Look for the Sabres to enjoy some success on home ice and facing a back-up goalie or Jarry in the 2nd game of a back to back. At the same time though, I do not foresee Buffalo being able to slow down the Pens here. In fact, Pittsburgh has averaged a ridiculous 47 shots on goal in the first two games against the Sabres this season. More of the same here and this one should fly over the total as a result. 8 of Buffalo's last 11 home games have totaled 7 or more goals. Pittsburgh has won 5 of 6 games and scored an average of 4 goals per victory. Of course the Penguins are a big favorite here for a reason. In other words, look for a 5-3 type game or at least a 4-3 game. 10* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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03-23-22 | Knicks +7.5 v. Hornets | Top | 121-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +7.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line has jumped from Charlotte as a very small home favorite all the way up to as high as 7.5 points. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move and going with the big underdog. The Knicks are in 2nd game of a B2B but the last time they were in this situation they won by 16 points in the 2nd game of the B2B. New York is off B2B losses but last night's defeat was by just 6 points after Sunday's loss was by a double digit margin. Also, note all this was preceded by a 5-2 stretch SU and an 8 game run in which the only 3 SU losses were each by 4 or less points! Tremendous big dog value here when you consider that, althought the Hornets are on a 5-game winning streak, this was preceded by a 3-7 SU run. Also, Charlotte is playing 3rd game in 5 days so their scheduling situation truly not that much better than that of the Knicks. 10* NEW YORK +7.5 |
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03-23-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Middle Tennessee -4.5 | Top | 96-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
CBB CBI Championship Winner Wednesday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4.5 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - Middle Tennessee has some edges here and it makes me very comfortable in laying the 4.5 points in this one. The Seahawks are playing a 4th straight day in going for the CBI Championship today. Conversely, the Blue Raiders first game of this tournament was Saturday. The off day that Middle Tennessee had Sunday could pay major dividends here as they should have the fresher legs in pushing for the CBI Title! Also, the Blue Raiders have been the better shooting team on the season plus the better team in terms of defending including shutting down the 3-ball too. Those better numbers are a big reason that UNC Wilmington had just a 1-point win Monday while the Blue Raiders wins Monday and Tuesday were by a combined 46 points! Look for the favorite to pull away in the 2nd half for another big win here. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE |
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03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic OVER 215.5 | Top | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - After a low-scoring grinding 90-85 win for the Magic Sunday over the Thunder, look for a high-scoring game here. Orlando games were on a 3-0 run to the over before that crazy low-scoring game over the weekend. The Warriors are allowing an average of 114.6 points per game last 10 games. Golden State had one ugly game offensively in that 10-game stretch but scored an average of 116.4 points per game in the other 9 games. Given all of the above, and the non-conference element to this match-up as well, we should see plenty of points as this one gets into the 220s. 10* OVER 215.5 in Orlando |
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03-22-22 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets are off a 5-4 win versus St Louis Saturday. 17 of last 23 Columbus games have totaled 7 or more goals. Not surprisingly, given those numbers, the Jackets have scored well for many weeks now but also have struggled to stop the opposition. Look for that trend to continue here. The Penguins have not been giving up many goals but their most recent home game was a 4-2 win and, prior to that, 7 of last 8 Pittsburgh home games totaled 7 or more goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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03-22-22 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia -3 | Top | 52-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
CBB NIT Tourney Smash Tuesday 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -3 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The Bonnies have surprisingly won back to back road games to reach this point in the NIT Tourney. However, entering this tournament, St Bonaventure had averaged scoring only 58 points in last 5 games away from home. Now the Bonnies are on the road taking on a Cavaliers team known for tough defense! Virginia will stifle St Bonaventure here and pull away in the latter stages. The Cavs last 8 wins have come by an average margin of 8 points. Lay the short number here for the big win. 10* VIRGINIA |
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03-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - The Wild have been hot and have won 4 of 6 games. Minnesota has scored an average of 3.7 goals per game last 9 games. The problem for the Wild at times is allowing too many goals. Prior to their 3-1 win over Chicago Saturday, Minnesota had allowed a crazy 4.4 goals per game last 15 games. Vegas has been without the injured Robin Lehner (goalie) and, prior to 5-1 win versus Kings Saturday, the Golden Knights allowed 5.3 goals last 4 games. 2 of the last 3 meetings between the Knights and Wild have totaled 8 or more goals and this one should easily get to at least 7 goals given all of the above. Look for a 4-3 type game at a minimum in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Minnesota |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 222 | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 7:10 ET - The Blazers off a ridiculous under, as I know all too well, as they scored just 16 points in the 4th quarter last night of a game that looked like a sure over. This followed 4 straight overs involving Portland and I expect to get my money back on a Trail Blazers over tonight! We will come right back with Blazers game over the total here. Keep in mind, Portland has allowed 125 points per game last dozen games. The Pistons will score well here as they have gone on a 13-1 ATS tear thanks to playing better of late. Detroit can lean on a huge offensive performance here as they catch the Trail Blazers in the 2nd game of a back to back. 10* OVER 222 in Detroit |
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03-21-22 | Middle Tennessee -4 v. Boston University | Top | 76-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBI Tourney Smash Monday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 vs Boston University Terriers @ 6 ET - The Terriers had to play yesterday and they were down by 7 at the half before rallying in the 2nd half for the 3 point win over UNC Greensboro. That said, Middle Tennessee has an advantage because they played Saturday so they have an extra day of rest. Also, the Blue Raiders are the better team defensively in comparison with the Terriers. I also like the fact that Middle Tennessee was the better team ATS in comparison with Boston University this season and feel they are again undervalued here. Lay the short number here with the better team and look for a win by a double digit margin as the more rested team pulls away as this game goes on. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE -4 |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -3 vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:40 ET - Great line value here in my opinion. Purdue is off a blowout win over Yale. The Boilermakers have now won 12 of 18 games away from home this season and here we are only having to lay 3 points to have the much stronger team in this match-up. The Longhorns managed to get a win over Virginia Tech Friday but entered that game with only 5 wins in 13 games away from home prior to that! The Boilermakers are a much better shooting team in comparison with Texas. The Horns making only 43% from the field in road games this season and overall 33% of threes this season. Purdue is hitting overall 39% of threes this season and 49% from the field overall. Before beating the Hokies, the Longhorns had been held to 63 or less points in 3 straight games. The Boilermakers have averaged 73 points last 3 games. Texas will not be able to keep up in this one. 10* PURDUE -3 |
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03-20-22 | Miami-FL v. Auburn OVER 142.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
NCAA Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Auburn Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes @ 7:45 ET - The Tigers one of the best teams in the country and just 1 under last 5 times they have been a favorite. Auburn has scored 80 or more in 3 of last 4. Miami will struggle to try to slow down the Tigers and will be forced to score well in this game to keep up. The Hurricanes are off an under but this followed overs in 6 of last 7 games. The Canes off a 68-66 win over USC but this followed scoring an average of 75.4 points the 10 games leading into that one. 10* OVER 142.5 in Auburn |
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03-20-22 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 233 | Top | 98-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 233 in Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:40 ET - The over is 4-0 in last 4 Blazers games and they have allowed 125.4 points per game last 10 games! The Pacers are off an under but the game did total 239 points and Indiana has not had B2B unders in a very long time. I do not expect that fact to change here as this one flies over the total! The over is 24-11 in Pacers home games this season. 10* OVER 233 in Indiana |
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03-20-22 | Islanders v. Flyers +137 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 137 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +135 vs New York Islanders @ 2:05 ET - The Islanders are off a win yesterday and should have a hot goalie, Ilya Sorokin, between the pipes for this one. However, New York is just 3-7 the last 10 times when playing the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Islanders are not only off a win yesterday, they are in a short rest spot while the Flyers have rest here and are on their home ice. Philadelphia is playing first game since the Claude Giroux trade has been made official and I am expect them to respond in a strong way on home ice in this one. The Flyers have gone 3-0 the last 3 times they are at home off a loss that was not a shutout loss and not a back to back situation. Here they enter this home game off a 3-1 loss at Ottawa and that followed an emotional home game win and was a Friday game. Rested, at home, off a loss, the Flyers get a big home dog win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +135 |
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03-20-22 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Tottenham is rolling with wins in 3 of last 4 in Premier League matches and they have scored an average of 3.3 goals per match during this hot stretch. West Ham United off B2B victories - one in UEFA Europa League and one in EPL action - and they have scored 2 goals in each match. One could argue we should see a 3-2 final here given the above. The fact is we should see at least a 2-1 match and that is all we need is 3 goals to be a winner here. I know it is a key battle with these clubs very close in the upper portion of the table but I still expect the confidence of both clubs on the attack right now to lead to a higher-scoring match than you would otherwise expect in a match like this. That said, look for each club to find the back of the net early in this one and neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 draw so we'll see at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-19-22 | Richmond +3 v. Providence | Top | 51-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders +3 vs Providence Friars @ 6:10 ET - This line looks funny does it not? Providence only favored by 3 over Richmond? Look at the records...look at the rankings...look at the seedings. You get my point and these are the types of situations I love to look for. I am going to ride this Spiders team as they are red hot and full of confidence. Richmond is on a 15-6 SU run and 4 of those 6 losses by 3 or less points. This Spiders team plays very well defensively and the Friars are going to have their hands full in this one. Give me the points! That was a solid Iowa team playing very well and with a such a potent offense and Richmond got the upset win over the Hawkeyes. That said, they can certainly knock off this Providence team too. We'll grab the points with the Spiders as added insurance. 10* RICHMOND +3 |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves +3 | Top | 119-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +3 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 5:10 ET - Both teams playing well but the Wolves are not getting enough respect on their home floor here and I am happy to grab them as a home dog in this one. Minnesota has won 9 of last 10 games and also already beat the Bucks earlier this season in Milwaukee. The Bucks are off B2B road covers but this was preceded by a 5-7 ATS stretch overall. The Timberwolves are 23-12 at home while the Bucks are 20-14 on the road this season. But due to long-term reputation of these teams this game is priced this way. We'll take advantage. Give me the points! 10* MINNESOTA |
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03-19-22 | Penguins v. Coyotes +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
10* Arizona Coyotes +1.5 goals -120 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 5:05 ET - This is a tough spot for the Penguins and they are over-valued. They are off a 3-2 win in the shootout at St Louis Thursday. That was a big win for the Pens but this Pittsburgh team is only 6-6 last 12 games and 3 of the wins were by just a single goal. That means that at -1.5 goals the Penguins would be just 3-9 last 12 games. Now they face a scrappy Coyotes team that is at home and well-rested and has been playing well. Arizona has been off since Tuesday and they have won 8 of 11 games and 2 of the 3 losses were by just a single goal. That means that the Coyotes have only 1 loss by a multi-goal margin in last 11 games. Just a ton of line value here in a non-conference game in which the Penguins will be in a fierce battle just to win this game let alone win it by any kind of margin. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 goals |
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03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | Top | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates (-) vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:57 ET - The Pirates lost to Connecticut in the Big East tourney but won 6 in a row before that defeat. Seton Hall certainly finished the season much hotter than TCU. The Horned Frogs enter this game having lost 8 of 13 games. The Pirates, had a mid-season lull but then got stronger later in the season and I like the way Seton Hall played down the stretch. TCU turned the ball over 15 times per game away from home this season while the Pirates turned it over 11 times per game away from home. I am grabbing the hotter team that takes better care of the ball and I look for the Pirates to pull away strongly in the 2nd half of this game as their winning ways continue while the Horned Frogs, a little beaten up from all the losing, again struggle to find a way to get back to winning as they came slips away from TCU in the second half. 10* SETON HALL |
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03-18-22 | Bruins v. Jets -101 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -100 vs Boston Bruins @ 8:05 ET - I know the Bruins are a good team and coming off a loss but this is a tough spot for them on enemy ice. Note that on the road Boston only has 1 regulation win last 5 games! Also, the 2 road losses last 5 games away from home were both in regulation for the Bruins. I like a surging Winnipeg team here on home ice. The Jets have won 4 of last 5 games and Hellebuyck getting his confidence back with the recent winning and Comrie also was rock solid between the pipes in a recent 2-1 win. The Jets get it done here. 10* WINNIPEG |
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03-18-22 | Wright State v. Arizona OVER 156.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NCAA Top Total Friday 9* Top Play OVER 156.5 in Arizona Wildcats vs Wright State Raiders @ 7:27 ET - The Wildcats have had a huge season and will pile up the points. Arizona's last 10 wins have seen them average 86.7 points per victory. Keep in mind, those victories were against tough Pac-12 competition. Now the Cats can take advantage of facing a weaker foe in Wright State. The Raiders will not be able to slow down Arizona but, at the same time, I do expect they will score well also. Wright State has won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 79.5 points per game. I am looking for a 95 to 75 type game here and that puts this one in the 170 range. 9* OVER 156.5 in Arizona |
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03-18-22 | Mavs v. 76ers OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Total Blowout Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - With Joel Embiid listed as questionable for this game, the posted total has dropped from low 220s to mid 210s and we have excellent value with the over. If Embiid plays we will certainly welcome his offense. If Embiid does not play, the 76ers will still find their points but absolutely will be missing his defense against a dangerous Mavs team. Since Kristaps Porzingis was traded they have seen Spencer Dinwiddie really become a key on offense. The Mavs have won 10 of last 12 with him on the court and he is really playing well. Dallas had two duds offensively last 12 games but averaged 113 points in the other 10 games! The Sixers have won 8 of 11 games and have scored an average of 123 games in the 8 victories. Watch this game fly over the total! 10* OVER 217.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-18-22 | Leeds United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton vs Leeds @ 4 ET - The expectation is that Wolverhampton is going to switch back to a 3-4-3 formation for this match. Look for an emphasis on the attack and more offense than you would otherwise expect in this match. Note that the Wolves are off B2B wins and have scored 5 goals last 2 matches. Leeds also enters off a thrilling 2-1 win. I know each club averaging scoring only 1 goal per match this season but I do not see either of these clubs being willing to settle for a 1-1 draw here. Also, Leeds has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match when on enemy soil this season. Good value here with the over 2.5 goals available without laying any juice. I look for 3 or 4 goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton |
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03-17-22 | Creighton +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays (+) vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 7:27 ET - Bluejays faced a tougher schedule and I also like the fact Creighton won both games against UConn and all 3 games against Marquette and also they did get a 20 point win versus Villanova this season. San Diego State, on the other hand, lost both games against Boise State this season and 2 of 3 against Colorado State. The point is we are looking at how these teams fared against some of the other tourney teams coming from the same conference they are in and you can see that the Bluejays were much better than the Aztecs. Couple that with the fact that Creighton had the tougher overall schedule and you can see why I like having them as a small underdog to San Diego State in this match-up. Having the 2.5 points (current line) could be a bigger value than you think too when you consider the very low posted total on this Bluejays/Aztecs battle. Believe it or not, 6 of San Diego State's last 14 games decided by 2 points or less! 10* CREIGHTON |
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 218.5 | Top | 134-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA TV Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 218.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Magic and Pistons are two of the worst teams in the league. Orlando and Detroit each allowing 112 points per game on the season. The Magic off back to back losses and the Pistons off 4 straight losses so each team going to bring some extra effort here in a game they definitely each view as a winnable game. That said, I do look for this to lead to plenty of points. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Detroit has averaged 109 points scored per game during their current 11-1 ATS run entering this game. Magic have averaged 112.5 points scored per game last 8 home games. This one should get well into the 220s given the situation. 10* OVER 218.5 in Orlando |
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03-17-22 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - Total moved from 6.5 to a 6 likely because of the Auston Matthews suspension and I am happy to take advantage of the added value here! The Maple Leafs have plenty of firepower to score goals even with Matthews not on the ice for this one. Also, the biggest issue for Toronto these days is between the pipes and that issue has been magnified by the Jack Campbell injury. The Leafs had given up an average of nearly 5 goals per game in the 8 games preceding a rare 4-0 shutout win Tuesday versus Dallas. As for Carolina, they will be fired up to respond off a 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh Tuesday. Prior to that defeat, the Hurricanes had won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 3 goals per game in the 9 wins. I would not be surprised to see each team get to 3 goals in this one and that would translate to nothing less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6 in Toronto |
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03-17-22 | Newcastle United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 3:45 ET - Everton has to start picking up points in the table to avoid relegation. They have played 3 less matches then the club nipping at their heels but still enough is enough. I look for them to respond well on their home pitch here. Newcastle United, unlike Everton, actually has been playing very well but then they ran into Chelsea and, unsurprisingly, lost 1-0. Both clubs off 1-0 defeats and I look for a big response here. Everton does score an average of 1.5 goals at home on the season. Newcastle, prior to the loss to Chelsea, had scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches. I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. This total opened up at a 2.5 with high juice on the over but is now a 2.5 with high juice on the under. I love grabbing the additional value in situations like this and feel strongly that the odds makers had it right! 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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03-16-22 | Bruins v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
NHL TNT Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins @ 7:35 ET - I know the Bruins trend toward lower scoring games but this is the 2nd game of a B2B situation for them and they are on the road and I feel strongly that the Wild are going to dictate the flow and pace of this game on their home ice. That should certainly be a good sign that we can expect an over here as Minnesota enters this game with 12 of their last 15 totaling 7 or more goals. By the way, one of the only 3 that did not was a game totaling 6 goals and the posted number on this total is 6 goals. Boston has won 10 of last 12 games. Prior to last night's tight low-scoring OT win, the Bruins had scored an average of 4 goals per game. I know Bruins have been getting solid goaltending but this Wild team so dangerous in the offensive zone and I look for plenty of goals in this one given Boston being in a back to back situation as well. 10* OVER 6 in Minnesota |
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03-16-22 | 76ers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Cleveland is a solid team playing with revenge here and they are on their home floor. However, the flip side of that is the fact that Philly being on the road gets a small number for the point spread and I love the fact that the Sixers enter this game off a loss. Philadelphia is a rock solid 10-1 SU last 11 times when off a SU loss. Also, the 76ers have won each of last 3 meetings with the Cavaliers and they won each of the games by at least 6 points and that includes a 20-point win in their last visit to Cleveland. Look for another big win for the Sixers in this one as they face a Cavs team that is off a win but this was after losses in 8 of last 11 games! Look for the road team to get back on track after they blew their game Monday at home against Denver and they will make it 4 in a row over the Cavaliers! 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Play-in Wednesday 10* Top Play Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 vs Wright State Raiders @ 6:40 ET - Most people have heard of Wright State from the Horizon League but very few know about Bryant University from the Northeast Conference. Of course this is an advantage come tournament time. I like taking underdogs like the Bulldogs in spots like this at this time of the year and will ride with Bryant in this play-in game. The Raiders have played the tougher schedule but only slightly and, keep in mind, confidence builds with wins and this Bryant team has won 18 of 20 games! Wright State has won 10 of 15 games and the Raiders have been playing well but again this Bulldogs team even hotter. Also, Bryant does have the better defensive numbers on the season. 10* BRYANT +3.5 |
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03-16-22 | Liverpool v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Liverpool @ 4:15 ET - Arsenal has won 10 matches as a host this season and only 2 clubs - Liverpool is one of them - have won more on their home pitch. A key for Arsenal is they are scoring an average of about 2 goals per match as a host. However, only 2 clubs have won more matches than the 9 Liverpool has won as a visitor this season. A big key to Liverpool notching all those victories on enemy soil has been scoring an average of nearly 3 goals goals per match when away from home. Now, given these numbers, one could envision a 3-2 game here. I am not saying we'll necessarily get to that level here but 4 goals would certainly not surprise me here in the least and we need only 3 to cash this ticket. Yes I know this is a big battle involving 2 teams in the top four in the table but I do not foresee a clean sheet from either club in this match nor do I foresee a draw and that means I am expecting a 2-1 final at the very least here. Both pushing very hard and will need to be aggressive on the attack because they each want the full 3 points in the table. Arsenal currently in a top four spot but has multiple clubs nipping at its heels. The hosts need the full 3 points here but the visitors also hungry for the full 3 points as they are hot on the heels of Manchester City as the #1 team in the league table opened up the door for Liverpool to close the gap as City was involved in a scoreless draw Tuesday. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +10 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic (+) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic have been competitive with covers in 7 of last 9 games! Also, one of those two non-covers was an 8 point loss and, with this spread in the 10-point range, that would be enough for an ATS cover in this case! Certainly I am expecting a game decided by single digits as the Magic have been tough on the Nets with covers in 3 of last 4. Also, 2 of the 3 ATS wins were SU wins and the lone loss by just 2 points. I know Brooklyn should have Kyrie Irving for this one since it is a road game but also note that the Nets are off B2B divisional games including that huge win at Philly and a tight win over the city rival Knicks. Also, Brooklyn has a tougher match-up on deck tomorrow night as they are hosting a solid Mavericks team then. All that said, this is an ideal flat spot for the Nets. Great spot to fade Brooklyn. 10* ORLANDO |
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03-15-22 | Coyotes v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Montreal Canadiens vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7:05 ET - Had over involving Coyotes last night and that was a solid winner and I will use the over again involving Arizona in their very next game in this B2B situation. The Coyotes won 5-3 at Ottawa last night and now they head a little further east to Montreal for this one. The Canadiens last 6 games all have totaled 7 or more goals and I fully expect this one will as well. Montreal has won 8 of 11 games and has been scoring much better of late. Arizona falls into that same category of playing better, and scoring better, of late. The Coyotes are 5-1 last 6 games and have scored an average of 5 goals during this run of strong play. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6 in Montreal |
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03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern -3.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Opener Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers (-) vs Texas A & M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Both teams considered 16 seeds in this play-in game yet the team with the lesser record favored by 3.5 points. Head scratcher? Not really! The fact is the Tigers have been the hotter team in comparison with the Islanders for quite some time now. Texas Southern enters this game having gone 18-5 since starting the season 0-7. The Tigers also have won 13 of last 15 games and their last two wins each by 19 or more points in conference tourney action. Texas A & M Corpus Christi is just 8-7 since starting the season 15-4. For the Islanders, 6 of those 7 losses were by 6 or more points and I fully expect this one will be too! 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN |