Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-04-22 | Flames v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - There has been a high-scoring trend in the NHL since the season resumed after a break due to the holidays as well as covid. Certainly these two clubs have been a part of the high-scoring trend and it extends further back as well. As for the Flames, they have won back to back games and scored at least 5 goals in their last two games and both were wins. Calgary enters this game with confidence after the B2B high-scoring wins but before the 5-1 win at Chicago Sunday, the Flames did allow 4 goals in each of last two games. The Panthers know plenty about allowing too many goals too. Florida is off a 5-2 win but this was preceded by allowing 4.5 goals in last 4 games. The Panthers have scored an average of 6 goals per game in their 3 games since returning from the time off. They are one of the highest scoring teams in the league but Calgary will give them a run for their money in this one and that has me looking for a 4-3 type game here. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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01-04-22 | Ohio +1.5 v. Akron | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Ohio University Bobcats +1.5 @ Akron Zips @ 6 ET - Akron is off a huge win over Buffalo. That was big for the Zips because the Bulls had knocked them out of the MAC Tournament last season. As for the Bobcats, they lost by 20 points in their visit to Akron last season so they will be looking to make up for that Tuesday. I expect Ohio University to do just that as they are a fantastic 10-2 this season and their only two losses were to LSU (12-1 this season) and Kentucky (a ranked team) and both those teams are solid SEC programs. The fact Bobcats are on the road here is the only reason they are a small dog and I won't hesitate to grab them given the above factors. They catch the Zips a little flat off their revenging win. 10* OHIO UNIVERSITY +1.5 |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Year Monday NFL 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - The Browns are eliminated from playoff contention while the Steelers remain alive with a win tonight though they would also have to win plus get unlikely help next week. The point is that Pittsburgh is playing with playoff pressure while Cleveland is not. The Browns have now gone from being a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog in this one. The line swing of about a full TD is simply too much. Keep in mind, the Steelers are a rival for Cleveland. Just as their playoff hopes were squelched yesterday, the Browns would love nothing more than to end Pittsburgh's playoff hopes tonight. There is no pressure to do so but they would love to do it. So you have a road team playing loose and relaxed and hungry for an elimination win over a rival. You have a host that has not even scored a first-half touchdown in ANY of their last FIVE games and is playing with playoff pressure here. The Steelers are a bit lucky they are even 2-3 SU in their last five games and I look for them to struggle to score points again in this one. The Browns will deliver a "shocker" tonight as Pittsburgh is the team that needs to win but, to this day, the betting markets have just never fully gotten a grasp on this. The reaction is that if a team needs to win it will win and that is just not how this stuff works. This is particularly true in a rivalry game. I'll happily take the points in this one! 10* CLEVELAND +3 |
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01-03-22 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 217 | Top | 113-133 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - Philly could have some defensive letdown after big win over Brooklyn. As for Houston, they hardly ever pay attention to defense no matter the situation. The over is on a 17-4 run in Rockets games. The over is 3-1 in last 4 meetings between these teams and both match-ups last season flew over the total. Non-conference match-ups generally not known for much defensive intensity. Also, the line move from low 220s down to mid 210s is offering solid line value here! 10* OVER 217 in Philadelphia |
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01-03-22 | Oilers -117 v. Rangers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -120 @ New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - I know that the Rangers have been the hotter team and are having the stronger overall season thus far plus are on home ice here. However, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the Oilers in this one but, also in typical fashion, it is not without good reasoning! The fact is that the loss of Artemi Panarin really hurts the production of the Rangers forwards. Also, the fact that goalie Alexandar Georgiev is back and likely to start here is also a negative for the Rangers in my book. Igor Shesterkin has been so strong that he would likely be the best option in goal here but I expect the Rangers to want a rusty Georgiev to get some work now that he is back from covid protocols. Look for an angry Oilers team loaded with talent up front to take advantage. Edmonton is on a losing streak but each of the last two defeats were after regulation time and the Oilers are ultra hungry to push over the top here and finally get back into the win column. They dominated earlier this season in terms of shots on goal when these teams met out west and now they get it done again here in the rematch back east. 10* EDMONTON -120 |
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01-03-22 | Alabama State -8 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Rotation #306051 Alabama State Hornets -8 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ 5 ET - The Hornets are only 2-11 this season and yet opened up as 10 point favorites here on the road at Mississippi Valley State. Big mistake, right? After all the line already dropped to a -8 because the sharps must be lining up on the Delta Devils here. Long-time followers know how I feel about supposed mistakes by the odds makers. The fact is that Alabama State at least has a couple wins on the season and also the Hornets are coming off back to back ATS covers against Texas Tech and Texas! They have certainly been a lot more competitive than a Mississippi Valley State team that is 0-10 this season and losing by an average margin of 29.5 points per game! The Delta Devils have one loss by a 4-point margin but all the other 9 defeats hae been by 14 or more points and I feel strongly this one will too! The Hornets are the better shooting team and the much better team on the defensive end also and one of just two wins that Mississippi State had season was on the road against this team. Now payback will be delivered on the road in their first meeting since then! 10* Alabama State -8 |
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01-03-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United builds off their 3-1 win over Burnley. They finally seem to be responding well to Ralf Rangnick as their interim manager has now had more time at the helm and the players are starting to get comfortable in their roles. Wolverhampton's struggles continue as they have not played in two weeks and could be rusty here. The reason I feel this will translate to an over here is because the hosts are going to force the pace of play in this one. I am well aware of the fact that Wolverhampton is known for playing low-scoring matches but Manchester United, on their home pitch, will be dictating the flow of this game. The hosts were aggressive in their 3-1 win over Burnley. In their prior match, a 1-1 draw with Newcastle, both clubs had a lot of quality scoring chances and saw good opportunities for a much higher-scoring game. Now, after the breakthrough versus Burnley and taking on a rusty Wolverhampton club here, look for a very aggressive attack from Rangnick's club. The result should be plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United |
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01-02-22 | Vikings +13 v. Packers | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings +13 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 PM ET - Frigid temperatures expected for this one and it is a divisional battle and it is just too many points in my opinion. Even though Vikings are with their #2 QB, Mannion can be a good game manager and I am expecting a huge game from RB Cook in this one. The Packers should still win this game but I expect it to be by a margin closer to the original 1 TD line on this game not two TDs! The home team has won just twice in last five meetings between these divisional foes and the two wins by the host were each by 5 or less points! Green Bay has won 4 in a row but all but 1 were by 8 or less points! The Vikings have played 15 games this season and not one of them have been a loss by more than 8 points! That means if you had the Vikes +13 in all games this season you would be a perfect 15-0! Happy to test that edge here! 10* MINNESOTA +13 |
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01-02-22 | Flames v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - I certainly do not claim to be the sharpest guy around but this is a rare case where a total is a head-scratcher to me. Marc Andre Fleury did clear covid protocols but he has to get game ready and will not play tonight. Also, Kevin Lankinen just recently entered covid protocols. That said, the Blackhawks are expected to start the inexperienced Arvid Soderblom in goal tonight with a struggling Collin Delia as his back-up. Now certainly the Flames goalie situation is much better with Jacob Markstrom likely starting tonight but even he is off back to back starts in which he has allowed 4 goals in each. That said, and considering the plethora of high-scoring games since the NHL return from the Covid/Christmas break, I just can not see how the total on this game is only 5.5 goals! Calgary is off a 6-4 win at Seattle and that was preceded by a 4-2 loss versus Boston before the break. Chicago is off a 6-1 loss at Nashville and 4 of their last 5 games have totaled 7 or more goals and we only need 6 to be a winner with this bet. I like our chances given all of the above! 10* OVER 5.5 in Chicago |
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01-02-22 | Lions v. Seahawks OVER 41 | Top | 29-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 41 in Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions @ 4:25 ET - Late in the season I like to look for overs in games involving teams going nowhere. When you have teams eliminated from playoff contention you generally have teams disinterested in terms of having a lot of defensive intensity on the field. I am also a contrarian and with somewhat ugly weather expected in Seattle Sunday afternoon I will gladly go against public perception and take the over with the low total being offered. Yes I know that Stafford is out at QB for the Lions in this one but that means Boyle gets a 2nd straight start and that will help him here. Also, Russell Wilson still would like to go out with a bang this season and I expect a big game here in the 2nd to last week of the regular season. No holding back here for either QB as neither team has anything to worry about as there is no playoff pressure. Note that Detroit had scored 29 or more in 2 of last 3 games before their 20-16 loss last week. The Seahawks have scored 24 or more in 3 of last 4 games and all 3 of those efforts resulted in an over. Look for another one here! 10* OVER 41 in Seattle |
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01-02-22 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a 1-0 defeat and Chelsea off a 1-1 draw. After those low-scoring matches, and knowing Chelsea is a bit depleted defensively on the injury/covid front, I like the over in this one. Liverpool's road matches have averaged totaling nearly 3.8 goals apiece this season while Chelsea's matches on their home pitch averaging 3.1 goals each. Liverpool scores 2.8 per match on the road and Chelsea scores 2.3 per match on their home pitch. I know Chelsea tends to play lower-scoring matches but Liverpool is going to force the issue here. The visitors will be particularly aggressive coming off a 1-0 loss and knowing the hosts are a bit depleted defensively. Liverpool will be on the attack here which should lead to good opportunities on the counter-attack as well in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea |
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01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels -1 vs Baylor Bears @ 8:45 ET - Ole Miss has the more dynamic offense in this match-up. Also, could Baylor QB Gerry Bohanon be impacted by the fact he has missed some recent game action with a hamstring injury? I believe the answer to that will prove to be yes. Keep in mind, the Rebels allowed an average of only 18 points per game over their last 4 games. The Bears are off a tight 21-16 win over Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game but did allow 24 or more points in 6 of 9 games heading into that one. Also, in their win over the Cowboys they actually were outgained by nearly 100 yards but were the beneficiary of 4 Oklahoma State interceptions in that game. That is not happening again here as Mississippi QB Matt Corral threw only 4 all year and plus threw for 20 touchdowns. Also, the Rebels have an excellent ground attack so they have a balanced offense and a tremendously solid defense! The Bears are in trouble here and are over-rated in my opinion and the SEC foe how had only 2 losses this season will get it done. One of their only two losses was to mighty Alabama and the other one was to a very solid Auburn team that had almost beaten the Crimson Tide this season. 10* OLE MISS -1 |
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01-01-22 | Blues v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 106 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
NHL Winter Classic Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Minnesota Wild vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - This game is outdoors and the conditions will be frigid. As a skater you can stay warm on the bench and also all the skating on the ice warms your body in a hurry. As for the goalies however, they are out there in the cold and not moving around as much and their situation is much different. That is just part of the situation here. The big key too is that the Wild have not played since the Christmas break which also started early due to the covid breakout. A lot of these first games for teams after the layoff have been a bit messy with extra goals scored due to some rust from the long layoff leading to good quality scoring chances. Also, St Louis is off a 4-2 win versus Edmonton in their only game since the break. The Blues have not been the Blues of old this season as they have been a much higher scoring team and a little less emphasis in the defensive zone. The Wild have allowed an average of 5 goals per game last 3 games. That was part of a stretch of 4 straight losses but all of this followed a 9-2 stretch in which Minnesota scored an average of 4.6 goals per game. St Louis has won 8 of 12 games and scored an average of 3.6 goals per game in these dozen games. 10* OVER 6 in Minnesota |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 45-48 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 9* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 vs Utah Utes @ 5 ET - This is a contrarian play here. The common viewpoint on this game is that Ohio State is disappointed to be here. Lets not forget this is the Rose Bowl! Yes the Buckeyes were playing for the national championship last year and this year they will not be. However, this is an Ohio State team that is angry after losing badly at Michigan to finish their regular season off. The Buckeyes want to erase the bitter taste of defeat from their mouths here and they also want to get some redemption against a Pac-12 foe as their only other loss this season came at the hands of Oregon. That is the same Ducks team that the Utes manhandled twice this season. However, Ohio State is coming to play here and Utah does not have the explosive offense that the Buckeyes have. Look for that to be a key difference maker here and the favorite pulls away as this game goes on. They are far more motivated for this game than most realize. 9* OHIO STATE -3.5 |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 vs Providence Friars @ 3 ET - The Friars are off a big win versus Seton Hall but the Pirates were down 5 players, including 1 starter, and this resulted in a limited rotation as the bench was much shorter than usual. Now Providence faces a tough DePaul team and this is a rare road game for the Friars. Look for home court and health to be big difference makers here. Keep in mind Providence had just one player shoot well from 3-point land in the win over Seton Hall as the rest of the team made just 1 of 11 three pointers! Look for the Friars to struggle on the road here and the Blue Demons take advantage with a big home court win as they get revenge for a pair of tight losses last season versus Providence including one in double OT! 10* DEPAUL +1.5 |
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01-01-22 | West Ham United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been strong as a host this season and is scoring an average of 1.8 goals on their home pitch. West Ham averages a respectable 1.6 goals scored per match on enemy soil. I feel we have excellent line value here with the low total posted on this one. This is particularly true when you consider that each of West Ham's last 3 matches across all competitions have totaled 3 or more goals including the last two, each in Premier League matches, each totaling 5 goals. Each of Crystal Palace's last 4 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same expected here on New Year's Day! 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Georgia Bulldogs -7.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:30 ET - The Wolverines are known for struggling in big games. I know Michigan finally came up big in their big game versus Ohio State and also won the Big Ten Championship over Iowa. However, that does not change the fact that the Wolverines have lost 4 straight bowl games both SU and ATS and now they face a team that might be the best team in the country. I know Georgia lost to Alabama but this Bulldogs team is really something else. They had allowed only 7 points per game in 12 straight wins before the loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. Now we get a chance to take one of the best teams in the country off a loss and laying only about a TD and we can fade a team with a poor recent bowl history under Harbaugh...I'll take it! Lay the points for a big play here. The Bulldogs defense will be the difference in this one. The Wolverines allowed 23.6 in their 5 games away from home before the Big Ten Championship. The Bulldogs never allowed more than 17 points this season until the loss to Crimson Tide. Michigan allowed 17 points or more in all 5 of those games away from before beating Iowa. The Dawgs D rules the day here. 10* GEORGIA -7.5 |
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12-31-21 | Rangers v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning are back home after a 9-3 loss at Florida last night. The Bolts will be hungry to bounce back and they did have over 40 shots on goal against the Panthers yesterday. However, they have serious goaltending issues with Vasilevskiy and Elliott dealing with covid protocols. Both Lagace and Alnefelt seeing action between the pipes last night at Florida. TB does have tremendous scoring ability and that is why I again like the over tonight even though I certainly respect Rangers goalie Shesterkin. He is going to see a barrage of shots tonight from a Lightning club determined to get back on track. That means the Bolts should get some goals again tonight but, once again, I expect trouble for them in their own end. 10* OVER 6 goals in Tampa Bay |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Friday 9* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 3:30 ET - The Bearcats are undefeated and yet nearly a two TD underdog against a Crimson Tide team that has one loss on the season. Big mistake by the odds makers, right? Hardly! In typical contrarian fashion, laying the big points in this one! Look for Alabama to crush Cincinnati here. The Tide played a tougher schedule, have the much better passing attack and the much better run defense. All signs pointing to a blowout here as the Bearcats finally find out what it is like to take a major step up in class in terms of the high level of opponent they are now facing. They finally got their wish of being a part of the national title discussion and having that chance to prove that a smaller program can get it done on the big stage. Unfortunately for Cincinnati though, this story does not have a good ending. 9* ALABAMA -13.5 |
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12-31-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - The Celtics are without leading scorer Jayson Tatum. The Suns have struggled recently and that has led to line value in this spot as it has kept the line lower than it should be. Boston has struggled and lost 3 straight games SU and now has lost 8 of last 11 games. Phoenix has won 11 of 14 road games SU this season and they get the win and cover in this one as home team struggles without Tatum and plus without Dennis Schroder and also Marcus Smart still dealing with a hand injury. 10* PHOENIX -4.5 |
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12-30-21 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning have goalie issues with Vasilevskiy and Elliott both in covid protocols. That means Maxime Lagace likely to start again and he has struggled badly at the NHL level. The Lightning off a 5-4 OT win Tuesday and I am looking for plenty of goals again tonight. The Panthers started Sergei Bobrovsky last night in their 4-3 win over the Rangers and that means Spencer Knight likely to get the start in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, in his last 3 starts Knight has allowed a total of 15 goals - 5 per game. He could be rusty too as he has not played in 2 and 1/2 weeks and there is a lot of scoring firepower for the Bolts so Knight is going to face a barrage of shots here. But the Panthers are one of the highest scoring teams in the league so you can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Peach Bowl Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 vs Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - The Panthers have the better numbers overall this season and I definitely like their edge on defense in this match-up in particular. Yes there are some opt-outs for this game but that is effecting both teams. I also know the Spartans have the better recent bowl history but feel we have value with the defensive-minded physical underdog in this match-up. The Panthers hold the edges in pass defense and I like their ground game too. Strong rushing team and with a solid defense and they are an underdog. This one has all the right ingredients that equate to value. Also, Pat Narduzzi is Pittsburgh's head coach and he was the defensive coordinator at Michigan State from 2007 to 2014. The Spartans are coached by Mel Tucker and this is the first ever bowl game he has coached in. Grab the points! 10* PITTSBURGH |
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12-30-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Burnley @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United's home matches have averaged 3.4 goals this season. Their recent matches have been lower scoring but they are ready to bounce back large after a disappointing draw against Newcastle United Monday. Burnley is known for lower-scoring matches but they have not played in 2 and 1/2 weeks and that rust is something the hosts will exploit and attack and that leads to plenty of goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Insider Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 vs Oregon Ducks @ 9:15 ET - The Sooners are the much better overall team in my opinion. Yes they have lost a couple games recently but they only trailed Baylor by 3 entering 4th quarter of the defeat that ended a 17-game winning streak for Oklahoma. Also, the Sooners other loss was by just 4 points to another strong team, Oklahoma State. That said, take a look now at the Ducks losses: lost to a Stanford team that has since lost 7 straight games and finished the season 3-9. Also, Oregon lost twice to Utah by a combined score of 76 to 17. The fact we can still get Oklahoma in the TD range for this game has me rating this play with my top play rating as I feel we have the much stronger team here at a bargain price and the Ducks have shown on 3 different occasions this season that they are fully capable of really disappointing in a game. They do it again here and the Sooners roll. 10* OKLAHOMA -6.5 |
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12-29-21 | Rangers v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - Some key offensive production listed as probable for each team here and I like our chances of a high-scoring game. Panarin is back for Rangers and Barkov back for Panthers. Also, Georgiev is on the covid list now for Rangers and that means Shesterkin will be back between the pipes. Both are solid goalies but Shesterkin has not played since the very beginning of the month and could have rust here. That said, and with the Panthers being a high-scoring team but allowing a lot of goals too, I am comfortably expecting 7 or more goals here. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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12-29-21 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5 vs Arkansas Razorbacks @ 5 ET - Bulldogs got blasted at Arkansas by double digits last season. That takes the run to 32-12 SU for the home team in match-ups between these foes. Mississippi State should keep that home trend going here and they are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings as a host against the Razorbacks. I look for a big key here to be that home court edge and also how it impacts the shooting of these two teams. Arkansas has been horrible both inside and outside the 3-point line in terms of shooting percentages away from home this season. The Bulldogs have been rock solid in terms of the shooting percentages at home this season with 50.2% and 40.6% overall and outside the arc, respectively. Lay the short number here. 10* MISSISSIPPI STATE -2.5 |
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12-29-21 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - City is on fire scoring a ton of goals as they have won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 5.7 goals per match. Manchester City can certainly get this total all by themselves based on the way they have been playing but Brentford should contribute as well. The hosts are off a loss in which a clean sheet was delivered to them but they had scored 2 goals in each of their two prior matches in league action. Look for 1 to 2 from the hosts here and look for the visitors and front-runners in the league to continue their torrid scoring pace here. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford |
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12-28-21 | 76ers -6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors roster is severely depleted by covid right now. Even though Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent Jr should return tonight they could be on minutes restrictions and this is still a team expected to be without its top two scorers. Both Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby are expected to still be out for this one. Keep in mind the #3 and #4 scorers are Siakam and Trent so this team is far from 100 percent right now. Also, the road team has won and covered each of the last two meetings between these teams and that includes a road win for the Raptors at Philly last month which makes this a revenge game for the Sixers. With revenge on their side, including the playoff loss a few years ago in a season that ended in Toronto for Embiid and Philly, I am expecting the 76ers to come up big here and take advantage of a short-handed Raptors team. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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12-28-21 | Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total Blowout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - First off, these games right after the little NHL break due to Christmas and covid are going to be a little tricky. Secondly, my first thought here was actually Montreal as Tampa Bay currently has the worst of the covid outbreak in terms of comparing these two teams right now. Also, the Habs have revenge from losing in the playoffs to the Lightning last season and also losing the first meeting between these teams this season. However, I can't trust the goalie situation here for the Canadiens as Jake Allen has entered virus protocols. That means Samuel Montembeault likely to get the start here and he has struggled this season. Lightning also have issues too. Andrei Vasilevskiy and Brian Elliott are their top two goalies and both are out for this one so Maxime Lagace likely to get the start here and he has struggled at the NHL level. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6 in Tampa Bay |
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12-28-21 | Texas Tech v. Mississippi State OVER 57.5 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 57.5 in Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders @ 6:45 ET - The Red Raiders defense struggled down the stretch. The Bulldogs should be able to score plenty in this one against Texas Tech and, of course, Mississippi State is a big favorite here with good reason. However, don't be surprised if the big dog in this match-up also moves the ball quite well. Texas Tech has a solid aerial attack and, other than a shutout loss to Oklahoma State, note that the Red Raiders scored an average of 33 points per game this season! That was their average in the other 11 games. The Bulldogs had one bad game - 9 points against Alabama - but averaged 33 points in the other 11 games this season! Don't be surprised if we see a 42 to 31 type game here which pushes this one well over the total. 10* OVER 57.5 in Mississippi State |
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12-28-21 | Liverpool v. Leicester OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Leicester vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool averaging 3 goals scored and 1 goal allowed per road match this season. Leicester will struggle to stop the aggressive Liverpool attack. However, Leicester is on their home pitch and they themselves have averaged 2 goals per match when on home soil this season. This one could get quite crazy as Leicester is off a 6-3 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged a total of 6 goals apiece! Liverpool's last 2 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals apiece and I just can't see this one today finishing with anything less than 4 goals. 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Leicester |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Thrasher Monday NFL 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +3.5 vs Miami Dolphins @ 8:15 ET - Ian Book of the Saints is scheduled to make his first ever NFL start and, in the eyes of the betting marketplace, that means the Dolphins win this game. I disagree. It is not as if Book has never played on the big stage as he played his College Football at Notre Dame! This guy is use to big game settings and also this game is at home. Having the support of the home fans will certainly help Book. Also, New Orleans is a solid team battling to stay alive in the playoff race and they are catching value here because the Dolphins have been on a winning streak. Keep in mind, two of those six Miami wins were over a Jets team that is 4-11 and another one was over a Giants team that is 4-11 and also Houston is 4-11 and Carolina is 5-10. So of the 6 wins in their win streak, 5 were against combined current records of 21-54 (counting Jets record twice). I am just not sold on this Miami team and only one of those 6 wins was on the road and prior to that road win the Dolphins had lost 4 straight games when away from home. 10* NEW ORLEANS +3.5 |
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12-27-21 | Rockets +6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-123 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Houston Rockets +6.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets are missing a few key players. The Rockets are getting a little healthier and could have a few key guys back on the floor for this one. That said, I like the value with the under-valued underdog in this one. Charlotte is off a win but has not won back to back games since before Thanksgiving. Don't be surprised if the road dogs get the outright upset here but, of course, I am grabbing the points as added insurance. Charlotte was only 3-9 last 12 before most recent win and 2 of those 3 wins were by a margin of just 3 or less points! Tremendous underdog value here especially considering the current covid/injury issues for each club. 10* HOUSTON +6.5 |
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12-27-21 | Brown +10 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB ACC Network Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Brown Bears +10 @ Syracuse Orange @ 6 ET - With all the time off between games for these teams I feel it strongly favors a double-digit dog. That's because it could be a bit of a sloppy game with a tough flow to it. That equates to a game in which it is hard to establish a big lead and maintain it. Yes Syracuse is the better team from the bigger conference. However, the Orange playing for the first time since over two weeks ago. Also, that was a loss that wrapped up a 2-5 stretch for Syracuse and one of those two wins was by just two points in double overtime. The Bears off a loss versus Vermont but it was by only a 5-point margin and Brown entered that game having won 4 straight. Two Bears losses that immediately preceded the 4-game winning streak were by 6 or less points. Tremendous value with the points here as I look for it to be tough for Syracuse to pull away as both teams show some rust in this game after the long layoff. 10* BROWN +10 |
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12-27-21 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Manchester United is now back and healthy and that is bad news for Newcastle United. That should translate to plenty of goals here as Newcastle matches, particularly on home soil, have been trending to very high scores this season. We get some line value here because Manchester United off some tighter lower-scoring games but this situation has the makings of being very high-scoring. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3.7 goals this season. Manchester United matches averaging 3.1 goals this season. Each of the last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled 4 or more goals. The hosts also enter this one having surrendered 3 or more goals in 3 straight matches. More of the same expected in this game as do note that the visitors have been unable to produce a clean sheet against these hosts in each of last 4 meetings. The home team finds the back of the net at least once in this one but the visitors run wild here! 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle United |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada +7 | Top | 52-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
CFB Earliest Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +7 vs Western Michigan @ 11 AM ET - In the regular season the situation here for Nevada would be devastating. But, in bowl time, when a team has extra time to prepare for a game things can be managed much better. Nevada has a number of opt outs for this game but nearly the entire defense is intact and it is made up of veteran players. On offense yes they are starting an inexperienced QB but the 6'9 signal-caller has had extra time to prep with this team and they are going against a MAC defense. The MAC has not performed well overall in these bowls thus far. So, what about the MWC? They are a perfect 4-0 and that includes beating a Pac-12 team (Ore St) and a team (UTSA) that nearly finished with a perfect record in the regular season. This line has gone from Nevada -3 or -4 to now the Wolf Pack being a +7 underdog. More times than not these line moves never work out like the betting masses think they will. A 10 point swing here? A MAC team favored by 7 over an MWC school? I know that Nevada also has an interim head coach for this one but he has this team believing and viewing this is as their "one game season" together. Practices have been spirited and you are going to see a spirited effort from the Wolf Pack come game time too. Look for the defense, mostly intact other than being without one top player, to absolutely be the dominant force in this game! 10* NEVADA +7 |
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12-26-21 | Washington Football Team +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Football Team +9.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - Washington gets Taylor Heinicke back at QB for this game. This is a rivalry game. Washington swept the Cowboys last season but now has revenge from a loss at home versus Dallas two weeks ago. The Football Team now in a little better shape from the covid that had impacted their roster recently. Also, the road team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 Cowboys games. Also, Dallas is 1-2 SU and ATS last 3 home games. The road team gets the money in this one. The set up is perfect, everyone is on the Dallas bandwagon now after their big road trip and now, as per usual, the Cowboys return to Jerry's World and disappoint. Look for the Cowboys to win but not cover as I expect this to be a tight game decided by a one-score margin. Look for a huge game from Heinicke in this one and the Cowboys get caught looking ahead to Arizona in a tough match-up in this one. 10* WASHINGTON +9.5 |
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12-26-21 | 76ers -3 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 or -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards are expected to be without one of their top scorers as Bradley Beal likely to miss due to covid protocols. The Sixers will take advantage with fresh legs for both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris and I expect each of them to play in this game. Either way, I like Philly in this match-up as the Sixers have won 9 of last 11 meetings between these teams and this is a small number to lay so a SU win should equate to an ATS win as well. I know the Sixers have been struggling but this looks like an ideal bounce back spot as Washington will be short-handed and is also just 1-3 SU and ATS last 3 home games. That trend continues here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 or -3.5 |
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12-26-21 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 10-36 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
NFL AFC Total of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER 45.5 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:25 ET - Mild weather in Kansas City for this one but driven by strong south winds. That said, the wind should be enough to limit the passing attacks here and I expect a bit of a low-scoring grinder in this one. The Chiefs on a 7-game winning streak and off a high-scoring win at LA against the Chargers but had allowed only 11 points per game in the first 6 victories in the streak. The Steelers have allowed 19 points or less in 2 of last 3 games. Pittsburgh's defense has had some issues at times this season but considering the magnitude of this game in the playoff race I look for the D to deliver another strong game here and the Chiefs defense resumes their recent domination as well. Couple those factors with the potential wind issue here and we should see a bit of a grinders. 10* UNDER 45.5 in Kansas City |
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12-26-21 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 3 ET - I like the extra value we can get here with the plus money on the over 2.5 available as high as a +130 in this one as of about 6 hours before it gets underway on Sunday. Yes I know Brighton & Hove has endured a long winless drought but they get some guys back here and I look for them to make a big push for the full 3 points in the table in this one. That said, I also do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match so this is another one of those instances where I can comfortably forecast at least a 2-1 final here. Brentford's matches away from home have averaged totaling 3 goals apiece as they score an average of about 1.5 goals but also allow an average of 1.5 goals when on enemy soil. The hosts are the favorite in this one for a reason and given Brentford's history can you really expect Brighton to deliver a clean sheet here? Exactly! You can not! So we should see at least a 2-1 final here as each club works hard to get on the board and then works even harder to get the full 3 points and pull a little farther away from the relegation zone. 10* OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-25-21 | Colts +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher NFL 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Cardinals have lost back to back games and 3 straight home games! Not much home field edge here for Arizona. As for the Colts, they are one of the hottest teams around with going 8-3 last 11 games! Indianapolis is off a key win over the Patriots but they will not let up here and the key is they also had a bye week before facing New England. The Colts are the fresher team and hotter and they are still chasing the Titans for the top spot in the division so, again, no letdown here! The Colts have covered 9 of last 11 road games and I will take the points here but don't expect to need them as Arizona is starting to doubt themselves. B2B losses and 3 straight defeats at home...the doubts are creeping in on this team and this Colts team is even better than their full season record indicates. Keep in mind they started the season a poor 0-3 so they have come a long way since then. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | Top | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Perfection Play Saturday 10* Top Play Ball State Cardinals +6 vs Georgia State Panthers @ 2:30 ET - Value with the points here. Feel we are getting extra value in this line simply based on the fact that the Panthers went 8-4 ATS this season while the Cardinals went 4-8 ATS this season. There is really not a lot that separates these two teams and yet Ball State is getting about 6 points in this one. Yes, they come from the MAC and that conference has struggled in these bowls but Georgia State is from the Sun Belt Conference and that is certainly not a powerhouse conference. The Cards have had extra bowl prep time to prepare for a Panthers offense that is rather ground-heavy while I feel strongly that the Cardinals have the better passing attack and that will ultimately prove to be the difference in this one. 10* BALL STATE +6 |
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12-25-21 | Wyoming -7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Wyoming Cowboys -7.5 vs South Florida @ 1:30 PM ET @ Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii - This game is the battle for 5th place in this tournament and it has a local start time of 8:30 AM ET on Christmas Day. That is very tough on teams even though the players have been in Hawaii for some time already. It is just tough to play early morning basketball and to shoot well that early in the day. That said, I feel this situation strongly favors the much better team on offense. Wyoming shoots about 10 percentage points higher both inside and outside the arc and also averages about 20 points more per game on the season! With that said, a South Florida team that often struggles to score points is likely in trouble in this early morning start! Also, the Bulls are off a rare win where they did score well. Keep in mind, this is a USF team that is 0-4 SU this season when off a win. Yes, South Florida has yet to win back to back games this season. The Cowboys have 10 SU wins this season and 9 of those in lined games and they have had only 1 ATS loss in those 9 victories! Lay it! 10* WYOMING -7.5 |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks -6 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 12:10 ET - Trae Young has been ruled out for this game so that explains the Hawks being an underdog of about a half dozen points in this one. New York is at home and the Knicks, very short-handed Thursday, actually impressed me with their efforts. I had Washington in that one and we got the well-deserved win but I did like what I saw from the Knicks. That said, they will be in a little better shape health-wise for this one and they catch the Hawks missing a very key player, Young, among others who could miss as well due to covid. This is the first time the Knicks have hosted the Hawks since Atlanta knocked them out of the post-season here at Madison Square Garden back in early June. That said, we have plenty of motivational factors working in our favor here as well. Yes the Knicks won at Atlanta last month but they have waited a long time for this chance to exact some revenge at home as well. I look for them to get it and for it to be a solid win by 9 or more points just like their 9-point win last month. 10* NEW YORK -6 |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 101 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +3 vs San Francisco 49ers @ 8:20 ET - The Titans are off a loss at Pittsburgh but they nearly doubled up the Steelers in yardage. Tennessee was simply done in by turnovers in that game and this is helping to give us line value here. Keep in mind this Titans team has beaten the Colts twice this season plus the Chiefs, Rams, and Bills. Tennessee can beat anybody on any given Sunday and love them in this spot as a home dog against an over-valued 49ers team! 10* TENNESSEE +3 |
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12-23-21 | Wizards -1 v. Knicks | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards -1 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Knicks have been greatly impacted by covid. That is why the Wizards are a small favorite here and is also why I will gladly take them in this spot! Washington has triple revenge from losing all 3 meetings with New York last season. The Wizards are off a big road win at Utah and have picked up 4 road wins since Thanksgiving so it is not as if Washington does not win on the road. Also, the Knicks are just so depleted in terms of their roster right now and this is a New York team which is off a win versus Detroit but this followed losses in 8 of last 10 games. 10* WASHINGTON |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Central Florida Knights +7 vs Florida Gators @ 7 ET - Too many points. Florida has not covered 6 straight games. Central Florida, in this match-up, is like the little brother facing the big brother, an SEC team from the same state. That said, the more motivated team to (no offense intended) to be playing in the Gasparilla Bowl rather than a bigger bowl closer to (or on) New Year's is going to the Knights. They will prove to be the team that wants this more. UCF has won 5 of 6 games SU and here they are getting a full 7 points. Florida's only 3-5 SU last 8 games and one of those wins was by just 3 points and the other 2 were against Samford and a bad Vanderbilt team. The Gators just have not shown us much this season and I expect more of the same in this bowl game. 10* UCF +7 |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas OVER 54.5 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 54.5 in North Texas Mean Green vs Miami-OH Redhawks @ 3:30 ET - The over is on a 3-1 run last 4 games for Miami-Ohio. The Redhawks have scored an average of 40 points last 4 games. The Mean Green have averaged 36 points last 5 games. This total is only in the mid-50s yet should get to at least 60s or even 70s the way these teams have been going in terms of offensive production. 10* OVER 54.5 in North Texas |
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12-22-21 | Missouri v. Army OVER 53 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 53 in Missouri Tigers vs Army Black Knights @ 8 ET - The Black Knights option attack is likely to give the Missouri defense a lot of trouble. It is simply an offensive attack the Tigers are not use to seeing. The other side of the equation is that Army rarely faces a passing attack as potent as what Missouri possesses. Given the above factors, I am looking for plenty of points in this one and we have a rather low total to work with here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 53 in Missouri |
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12-22-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Cavaliers have won and covered 6 straight games and overall are on an incredible 13-1 ATS run. The Celtics are off a home loss to Philly and have lost 5 of last 7 games SU. The Cavaliers have revenge from loss in most recent meeting between these teams and, keep in mind, before that defeat Cleveland had won 3 straight meetings with Boston. The Cavs have an incredible overall ATS record on the season plus are 10-5 SU in road games this season. Look for those trends to continue here. 10* CLEVELAND +6.5 |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee -1.5 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 vs Arizona Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Wildcats are 11-0 this season and the Volunteers already have 2 losses. Must be something wrong with this line, right? After all, how can Arizona be an underdog when they have not lost a game all season? Precisely! The point is that Tennessee is the favorite for a reason! Don't let the line fool you. The fact is that the Volunteers have played a bit of a tougher schedule and their two losses were to Villanova and Texas Tech, the latter of which was in overtime. The Vols have the rest edge here too since their most recent game, versus Memphis, was cancelled. Home court edge, rest edge, and in my opinion a slight strength of schedule edge so far this season. Two high-quality programs but watch the hosts surprise a lot of people when the knock off an undefeated team that is ranked among the top teams in the country. 10* TENNESSEE -1.5 |
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12-21-21 | Lightning +108 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-3 | Win | 108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line +105 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:05 ET - This is just too strong of an opportunity to take the 2x defending Stanley Cup Champion Lightning at a plus money price. Tampa Bay is likely to have Vasilevskiy between the pipes as this is scheduled to be the final NHL game before the normal Christmas break as, due to covid concerns league-wide, they are beginning it early. So hopefully they get this one in and then NHL resumes on Monday the 27th. In any event, the Lightning very likely to use the world's best goaltender in Vasilevskiy tonight and TB is 6-0 in his last 6 starts! The Bolts have been red hot even though they are still down a couple key starters and I don't see that ending tonight as Vegas is certainly not 100% healthy either and Tampa has the edge in goal for this one. Vegas has been hot too and Lehner has been strong between the pipes but he'll be tested early and often by this strong Lightning team. Also, already with Alec Martinez hurting, the fact that Mark Stone is dealing with an upper body injury could have the Golden Knights a bit short-handed here. 10* TAMPA BAY +105 |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -136 v. UTSA | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
CFB Money Line Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play San Diego State Aztecs Money Line -135 vs UTSA Roadrunners @ 7:30 ET - With the line in the -2.5 to -3 range I feel it is well worth it to lay just a little extra juice and take the Aztecs at -135 on the money line in this game. I just don't see San Diego State losing this game. The Aztecs are off an embarrassing 46 to 13 loss in the MWC Title Game and will respond big here. Compared to UTSA, San Diego State played the much tougher schedule this season. Also, the Roadrunners don't have the defense that the Aztecs do and that will make a huge difference in this game. In the regular season San Diego State allowed 14.8 points per game in their 11 wins. The Runners allowed 28 points or more in 6 of their 13 games this season. Remember they played a weaker scheduled too but yet, in those 6 games, UTSA allowed 37 points per game! I am grabbing the better defense from the stronger conference that also has additional motivation because they did not play in a bowl game last season and they coming off the ugly MWC Championship Game loss. 10* SAN DIEGO STATE |
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12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL PA Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs Washington Football Team @ 7 ET - The Eagles are rested off a bye week and also much healthier both on the injury front and in terms of covid issues as you compare these two teams heading into this one. That said, I like the Eagles to roll big at home. Philly finally gets a chance to give Washington some payback as they had won 6 in a row from 2017 to 2019 but then lost both meetings last season. Now it is time for the Eagles to resume the domination and their ground game and better health status and the home field edge will all be key factors as they pull away for the double digit win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks +7 v. Rams | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Early Blowout Tuesday 9* Top Play Seattle Seahawks +7 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 7 ET - Just too many points now that Seattle has gotten healthier and is playing a little better. The Rams are a quality team but so many times they disappoint and you know the Seahawks are going to bring their "A game" here and that means we should see quite the ball game here. This one likely to go down to the wire and an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. That said, we have excellent line value here with the +7 on this one. The Seahawks off B2B wins and though they have 8 losses this season 4 of those were by 3 or less points. The Rams are of B2B wins and covers but had lost 5 straight ATS prior to that. LA appears overvalued here and the road dog gets it done. 9* SEATTLE +7 |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State | Top | 52-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Tuesday Top Play 9* Wyoming Cowboys -3.5 vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 3:30 ET - The Golden Flashes are a MAC school facing a stronger MWC team here. Don't be fooled by their 6-6 record. Wyoming got better on offense as the season went on and the defense, as per usual, has been the consistent backbone for this Cowboys team. That will be the key again here as Kent State struggles to score and also eventually gets worn down by their opponents ground game. 9* WYOMING |
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12-20-21 | Wild -104 v. Stars | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Minnesota Wild Money Line -104 @ Dallas Stars @ 8:38 ET - The Wild have lost 3 straight and the Stars have revenge from a 7-2 loss at Minnesota last month. However, in typical contrarian fashion I am on Minny here. Dallas might have revenge but I don't like what I have seen from them lately. Yes, they are off an OT win but this followed 5 straight losses and the Stars scored a total of only 3 goals in the final 4 games of that 5-game losing streak. Also, when off a game decided in OT (not the shootout but OT), Dallas is 0-4 this season and lost those 4 games by a combined score of 17 to 6. Look for the Stars to get clobbered again in that situation as they are off a hard-fought win over the Blackhawks in OT Saturday and now playing 3rd game in 4 nights. As for the Wild, they are off a shootout loss and are a perfect 4-0 this season when off a game decided in the shootout. Playing just their 2nd game in 8 days, the fresh legs of the visitors and the hunger to end a 3-game losing streak will be the difference-makers in this one. Testing double perfect situation here as you can see with the Stars 0-4 and the Wild 4-0 in this situation respectively this season. 10* MINNESOTA -104 |
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12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears +6.5 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NFL NFC North Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bears +6.5 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 8:15 ET - I am aware of the Bears having injury/covid issues which has been particularly impacting to their secondary. However, other players for Chicago will step up as needed and let's not forget that Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is just 1-9 SU in Monday Night games. I know not all of that falls on him but it is still a stat that is hard to ignore and now here the Vikings have to win by 7 or more to beat us. I'll grab the big home dog points. You know the Bears are going to bring it in a divisional game like this at Soldier Field. Also, Chicago has won 5 of last 6 meetings between these divisional foes. The Vikings enter this game on a run that, for me, just makes it tough to trust them at all as a favorite. Minnesota nearly blew last week's huge lead versus Pittsburgh as the Vikings defense has now allowed 30.5 points per game last 4 games. Before getting blown out at Green Bay last week, a loss fueled by turnovers, the Packers had allowed only 17 points per game in their 3 divisional games this season. They will bounce back here and the Bears have allowed only 17 points per game in their last 4 games against the Vikes. Typical contrarian angle for me here as the whole world is looking at the situation with the Bears secondary but there is much more to this game than just that aspect and the hungry home dog finds a way to overcome the adversity. 10* CHICAGO +6.5 |
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12-20-21 | Thunder v. Grizzlies OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 8:10 ET - The over is 5-1 in Oklahoma City's last 6 road games. Memphis is off an under yesterday but the over was on an 8-2 run in Grizzlies home games prior to that low-scoring win over the Trail Blazers yesterday. Also, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 212.5 in Memphis |
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12-20-21 | Raiders v. Browns -3 | Top | 16-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher 9* Top Play Cleveland Browns -3 vs Las Vegas Raiders @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know that I am a contrarian in my handicapping. Most will be lining up on the Raiders here because it was the Browns with all the covid issues. But that means bettors are overlooking the fact that Las Vegas has lost 5 of 6 games and has had a very rough season due to all the off the field distractions. Even if Baker Mayfield can't go for the Browns or Case Keenum could not go then Nick Mullens, solid NFL experience with 49ers, would likely get the call here. Either way I like the fact that we get the Browns at home just favored by the typical 3 points assigned for home field advantage. I say that because the markets are implying these teams are equal and I just don't think they are right now. The moving of the game from Saturday to Monday has allowed the Browns to get healthier and they will get it done in this one and improve to 6-2 in home games this season. 9* CLEVELAND |
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12-20-21 | South Carolina State v. The Citadel OVER 155.5 | Top | 74-57 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 155.5 in The Citadel vs South Carolina State @ 5 ET - These teams just met a few ago and the game flew over the total and that is despite SC State making only 25% of threes and 33% from the field overall in that one. So how did it go over the total? Well, SC State took 78 shots from the field including 28 from beyond the arc. The fact is that both these teams are comfortable playing fast pace and we've seen some major point totals involving these teams. I expect more of the same in this one. The Citadel averaging 85.6 points per game this season. South Carolina State on a 4-2 run to the over and their last 7 games have seen them average 78 points per game! They are a double digit dog here. Given all of the above numbers you can see why I am projecting this game to get into the 160 to 170 range. 10* OVER 155.5 in The Citadel |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa -8.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Tulsa Golden Hurricane -8.5 vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 2:30 ET - Both these teams are 6-6 but Tulsa is the vastly superior team and played a much tougher schedule. Also, check out their performances against some quality teams and tell me if you think the Monarchs could have duplicated such efforts. Tulsa lost at Oklahoma State by just 5 and were leading that game in the 4th quarter. Also, the Golden Hurricane hung around with Ohio State until the Buckeyes finally pulled away convincingly over the final 5 minutes. Tulsa also nearly beat Cincinnati outright on the road. I can not imagine Old Dominion coming anywhere close to duplicating those efforts. Also, the Monarchs did not even play last season - covid - but the Golden Hurricane did and went 6-0 in their conference games but then lost their bowl game last season. Most of those players returned this season and their motivation level is very high to close this season differently! Last year they faced an SEC team in the bowls and this season they face a CUSA team. Huge difference and they should win this handily by a solid double digit margin. 10* TULSA -8.5 |
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12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NFL NFC South Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +11.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:20 PM ET - The Buccaneers are over-valued here. The Saints have owned this series, last season's playoff loss notwithstanding, for quite some time and actually are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS last 7 regular season meetings. Now I am certainly not saying they will win this game outright but I do expect them to keep this game very competitive throughout. Yes, last week's win was against "only" the Jets but it also was a game in which the Saints got back some key players on offense and that showed in the results. I am well aware the Bucs are the more talented team in this match-up but they continue to be overvalued. Keep in mind a few weeks ago they looked like they would not cover the 3.5 versus Colts but then Fournette got a late TD run when really they were just trying to set up winning field goal. Then last week they were very fortunate to beat the Bills let alone cover the 3.5 as every late break went their way and, again, it was a long late TD run when setting up for FG would have won it. This Bucs team could easily (and should) be just 5-8 ATS this season and the Saints have been a road covering machine and a divisional covering machine in recent seasons and that continues here. Just too many points to give a respectable team like New Orleans even though they are a different team without Winston at QB. Look for Hill to continue to give opponents trouble with his running ability and look for another big game from RB Kamara here as his return last week was big for this team. 10* NEW ORLEANS +11.5 |
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12-19-21 | Kings v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Washington Capitals @ 7:08 ET - This is not a match-up that would have you immediately thinking "over" but there is a key to the value here. Kings are in 2nd game of a back to back. Jonathan Quick started yesterday in between the pipes. The normal back-up is Cal Petersen but he is in covid protocols. That means that Jacob Ingham, all the way up from ECHL, or Garret Sparks (up from AHL) could get the call here in the crease. None of these options, including Quick possibly starting again after a bad game yesterday, is very attractive against Alex Ovechkin and company. Also, keep in mind, Washington also has dealt with some covid issues through the ranks but news on that front appears better entering this one. Also, the Capitals have been involved in plenty of high-scoring games including their most recent ones and I expect this trend to continue here. We only need 6 to be a winner and 10 of the Caps last 12 games have totaled 6 or more goals. I feel strongly that this one will too. 10* OVER 5.5 in Washington |
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12-19-21 | Packers v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Total of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 43.5 in Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers @ 4:25 ET - Not only is there a chance Lamar Jackson might play, bone bruise rather than ankle sprain, there is no denying that Tyler Huntley has played quite well in his last two appearances for this Ravens offense as his back-up. Either way I like the over a ton in this spot. Baltimore is off an over at Cleveland and, though their most recent home game was an under, the Ravens preceding 4 game stretch of home games went 3-1 to the over. The Packers have a QB by the name of Aaron Rodgers you might have heard of! In all seriousness, Rodgers can break down defenses with the best of him and Green Bay enters this game on a 3-0 run to the over the last 3 games! The Pack has scored an average of 37.3 ppg during this stretch but also allowed 30.7 points per game and I look for this one to be a very entertaining affair. Also, from a weather standpoint, if this game was an early game the winds might be an issue but as it is played toward evening hours the winds are expected to be subsiding by then and really be no issue at all in this one. 10* OVER 43.5 in Baltimore |
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12-19-21 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - With Tottenham playing for the first time in two weeks as covid continues to wreck havoc with scheduling, you know Liverpool is going to be on the attack early and often. The visitors will be looking to catch the hosts a little rusty in this match. Liverpool has been on an incredible goal-scoring tear and has averaged 3.3 goals per match on enemy soil this season! Though Tottenham has not scored as well overall this season, they are still averaging 1.4 goals per match when on their home pitch this season. Both matches between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals last season. The Hotspur have been better recently too. Though they have not played in 2 weeks now their 4 matches leading into the unwanted break have seen them score an average of 2 goals per match across all competitions. As for Liverpool, they are the highest scoring club in the league thus far this season. 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Saturday Slaughter - 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts -2 vs New England Patriots @ 8:20 ET - The Patriots are 6-0 on the road this season and the Colts are 3-4 at home this season. Why is Indianapolis favored here? Exactly! At the end of the day, the odds makers are the sharpest people around long-term. Sure things fluctuate from day to day and week to week and month to month but those guys are extremely good at what they do. The point here is, don't let the line fool you. Many will be piling up on a New England team that has won 7 straight games but the Colts are the play here. Of the Pats road wins, they faced the Bills in a windstorm that completely changed the complexion of that game. Their other road wins are against the 8-6 Chargers but then 4 teams that are a combined 16-36 on the season! In other words, this is going to be a tougher test than most anything that the Pats have faced on the road this season. Colts hungry to make a statement at home. 10* INDIANAPOLIS |
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12-18-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Divisional Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The covid protocol situation suddenly impacting all sports in a heavy way is going to make things even tougher on teams in back to back situations. That is the situation tonight for Boston and the Celtics expended a lot of energy in battling back against the Warriors last night only to ultimately fall short anyway. This back to back spot will be very tough on Boston while New York comes in rested and off a win at Houston Thursday. That said, value with the underdog in this one. I know that neither team has been playing very well but the situation makes the underdog very attractive in this one. 10* NEW YORK +4.5 |
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12-18-21 | Senators v. Flyers -119 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Annihilation Saturday NHL 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -120 vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:08 ET - Between covid and injury issues there is a ton to keep up with relating to all sports teams in all leagues. So, specific to the NHL and the Flyers, I know there are a few issues here. However, I also know that Philadelphia had won 3 straight before the shootout loss at Montreal on Thursday. I also know that the Flyers hold the home ice edge here. So we are talking about a line that has dropped from the -155 range to the -120 range and I won't hesitate to grab the home team that has been playing better hockey of late since the coaching change was made. As for the Senators, I know they have been playing better lately too but this is still a team that still has won only 7 of last 24 games overall and I feel we have value here with the Flyers on a 4-game points streak in the standings but angry about letting a win slip away from them in the shootout loss at Montreal Thursday. Payback time here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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12-18-21 | UAB v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play BYU Cougars -6.5 vs UAB Blazers @ 3:30 ET - I know this UAB team is respectable for sure and I know the location of the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, LA also favors them. However, the line move on BYU from 8.5 to 6.5 has helped to raise this one to top play level for me. BYU started the season with 5 straight wins and ended the season with 5 straight wins. The two losses were in the middle of that were against Boise State and Baylor. No shame in losing to those two teams. Conversely, the Blazers were a 23.5 points dog versus Georgia and lost by 49 points. Also, UAB lost to Liberty by 24 and also got upset by Rice even though they were favored by 24 points in that one! Yes the Blazers should not have lost their game with UTSA and the Roadrunners did have a great season but the fact is UAB did lose it and they play in the CUSA which is certainly resulted in them playing a much weaker schedule than the 10-2 Cougars did! Look for Brigham Young to prove to be too much in this one. 10* BYU -6.5 |
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12-18-21 | TCU v. Georgetown OVER 142 | Top | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Early Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 142 in Georgetown Hoyas vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 2 ET - Both teams play at a good pace that is conducive to overs. The Horned Frogs have played 4 games away from home this season and NONE of the four resulted in an under! The Hoyas enter this game with their home games on a 5-0 run to the over. Georgetown does tend to score better at home and, with the way each of these teams has been trending, we should see plenty of scoring in this one. We have a manageable total to work with too. I will take it! 10* OVER 142 in Georgetown |
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12-18-21 | Arsenal v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
EPL NBC Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Leeds has allowed an average of 4 goals in last 3 matches. However, in the two matches before the embarrassing 7-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester City they did score two goals in each match. Arsenal enters this one having scored an average of two goals in last 5 matches. Arsenal also has scored an average of 3 goals per match in last two versus Leeds United. However, the hosts are sure to respond off the embarrassing loss in their most recent match and that is why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. Keep in mind, Arsenal is allowing an average of 2 goals per match on enemy pitch this season while the hosts have averaged 2 goals per match overall thus far this season. This is another one of those matches where I expect neither club to produce a clean sheet and I also do not foresee either club settling for just 1 point in the table via a draw. In other words, we should see at least a 2-1 final at a bare minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United |
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12-17-21 | Heat v. Magic +7.5 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +7.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Still have football fever? Look at this game in this way then - the Heat opened up favored by a field goal and now are favored by a touchdown :) - but in all seriousness, I love fading the line move here. Miami was favored by 3 and now is favored by 7 in this one and they are still without Butler and Adebayo. I know Orlando has had a very rough season but, keep in mind, 4 of their last 8 games were either an outright win (Denver) or a loss by 5 or less points (3 of the defeats). The Magic also beat Utah here in Orlando earlier this season and they are catching the wounded Heat off a hard-fought win over the 76ers in Philly. This looks like the ideal flat spot for Miami. The Magic failed to cover at Miami earlier this season but had gone 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings preceding that one. The Magic get up for facing the in-state rival Heat and I look for them to get the job done here and an upset would not surprise me as Miami has struggled on the road this season and are battling injuries. 10* ORLANDO +7.5 |
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12-17-21 | Golden Knights v. Rangers +119 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers +120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:08 ET - A few years ago the Golden Knights faced the Sharks in the post-season. What does that have to do with this play you ask? Well San Jose was then coached by Peter DeBoer and Vegas was coached by Gerard Gallant. During the series Gallant called DeBoer a clown and San Jose ended up winning a thrilling 7-game series. The reason this is all relevant here is Gallant is now the coach of the Rangers and DeBoer now the coach of the Golden Knights. Gallant was fired by Vegas and replaced by the man he had called a clown. You know Gallant wants this game bad. That is also part of the reason the line dropped early on as the Rangers got some betting action but then it went the other way because Panarin is out for New York for this game. This is one of those classic setups where you actually get even more value because of an injury effecting the team you are betting on. I simply love the Rangers on home ice in this match-up as they catch the Golden Knights in a back to back and New York is a fantastic 19-7-3 this season and on home ice and have the rest edge. I know that Vegas has been hot but the back to back likely means Laurent Brossoit between the pipes and he struggled in most recent start. More of the same here. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +120 |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Northern Illinois OVER 62.5 | Top | 47-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Top Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 62.5 in Cure Bowl @ 6 ET - Northern Illinois faced a tougher strength of schedule but, other than that, all the edges here appear to line up with Coastal Carolina. However, I am never too excited to lay double digits particularly in an early bowl season match-up. That said, the best value here does appear to be with the over in this one. Yes I know both teams like to run the ball a lot which normally lends itself to unders but I feel each rushing attack holds a big edge over the run D they are going against and this game should see some big breakaway runs too as a result. Some quicker scoring strikes than you would expect. Also, the passing game for each, particularly Coastal Carolina, is strong enough that the defenses certainly can not just stack the box to stop the run here. The quarterbacks have had solid success and the Huskies are off an under but 5 of 6 games before that went over the total. As for the Chanticleers, they have averaged 40.4 points per game on the season! 10* OVER 62.5 in Cure Bowl (CC/N.Ill) |
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12-17-21 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech OVER 128.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Afternoon Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Virginia Tech Hokies vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 4 ET in the Basketball Hall of Fame Shootout in Charlotte, NC - Neutral site game for this tourney action and I like the over in this one. Yes, the Hokies have trended under of late but that has had a lot do with who they have faced and this total just seems far too low considering they are now facing the Bonnies and St Bonaventure is likely to get Kyle Lofton back for this one as he has been practicing this week. The over is 4-1 in the Bonnies last 5 games and Virginia Tech is knocking down 39% of their threes this season and St Bonaventure will force a decent pace in this game. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 74 points per game this season and the Hokies recent lower-scoring games had a lot to do with the opposition. That is merely serving to give us excellent line value here. 10* OVER 128.5 in Virginia Tech |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher - 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers +3 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:20 ET - The Chiefs have been hot but they faced a fading Raiders team twice during this 6-game win streak. They also faced a Giants team that is now 4-9 and faced the Packers when they were without Aaron Rodgers. The Chiefs also benefited from 3 turnovers in their wins over the Cowboys and Broncos and actually were outgained 404 to 267 by Denver in that deceiving 22-9 win. Give KC credit for getting all these wins but the point is that there has been some good fortune in there too. Now facing the #2 team in their division that can tie them in the standings with a win on Thursday, Chiefs are in for a real challenge here. I like the Chargers a lot as a home dog here. Both these teams have strong passing offenses but the key could be the pass defense here. Based on yardage allowed, the pass defense of LA far superior to that of KC on the season. The home team wins the air battle here in this one and, in doing so, also wins the game. 10* LA CHARGERS +3 |
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12-16-21 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 209.5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Year Thursday NBA 10* Top Play OVER 209.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons have lost 12 straight games and allowed at least 100 points in all dozen of those games and an average of 111.6 points! The Pacers are off a game in which they were on pace to score 116 points heading into the 4th quarter but then scored just 12 points in the 4th quarter of that game and it stayed just under the total despite Indiana allowing 114 points to the Bucks in that game. That loss at Milwaukee was the 9th time the Pacers have allowed at least 100 points in last 11 games. In those 9 games Indiana has allowed an average of 111 points per game. Given all these numbers you can see why I am forecasting a high-scoring game here. Yes, the Pistons are without Jerami Grant but their first game without him totaled 220 and flew over the total. The over is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 home games and 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games overall. 10* OVER 209.5 in Indiana |
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12-16-21 | Golden Knights v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New Jersey Devils vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:08 ET - Vegas is really hot with wins in 5 of their last 6. In the last 7 Golden Knights games they have averaged scoring nearly 5 goals per game and overall these 7 games have averaged the teams totaling 8 goals per game. More of the same likely here given the recent pattern we have seen with New Jersey also. The Devils have seen 6 of their last 9 games total at least 6 goals. New Jersey has lost 7 of 8 games and allowed an average of nearly 5 goals in those 7 defeats. The Devils are scoring an average of 3 goals per game at home this season but the Golden Knights are heavily favored here for a reason. In other words, don't be surprised if we see a 4-3 or 5-3 type game here. 10* OVER 6 in New Jersey |
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12-16-21 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Day Smash Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - The visitors are going to sneak up on the hosts in this one. Newcastle is off a 4-0 loss in their most recent match and I know they have struggled to score goals on the road this season but Liverpool is going to get caught being overconfident here and I am sure the visitors sneak through for a goal or two in this one. At the same time, the hosts had been on an explosive high-scoring stretch before some recent lower-scoring matches. That said, after being frustrated by a hot goalie for Aston Villa in their tight 1-0 win Saturday, look for plenty of goals in this one as Liverpool faces a Newcastle club that just allowed 4 goals on Sunday. The last two matches between these clubs were surprisingly low-scoring but prior to that their matches have trended over in a big way. That trending resumes here and we see plenty of offensive fireworks in this one. Keep in mind, the hosts are scoring an average of 3 goals per match this season and the visitors, as rough as their campaign has been, are averaging a goal per match this season. Looking for at least a 3-1 final here but would not be surprised to see much more as Liverpool is just in front of Chelsea and just behind Manchester City in the table and will not take their foot off the gas here and will leave no doubt in this one as to who the superior foe is in this match-up. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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12-16-21 | Incarnate Word +17.5 v. Rice | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Incarnate Word Cardinals +17.5 @ Rice Owls @ 12:15 ET - I know Rice is the better team from the bigger conference but don't be surprised if the Cardinals hang around in this game. Incarnate Word lost some key guys from last season but have received bigger contributions than expected from some newcomers and this is a well-coached team too. That said, even though they have a tough 2-8 SU record note that they have won 2 of last 3 games and also 3 of their last 6 losses have been by a single digit margin. Rice, looking at their last 7 games, have won 4 of 7 but 3 of the 4 wins by 15 points or less including two by just 5 points and one of those was in triple OT. The Owls get the win here but look for it to be by single digits. 10* INCARNATE WORD +17.5 |
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12-15-21 | Capitals v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Blowout - 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Washington Capitals @ 8:08 ET - The Capitals have been scoring very well plus are expected to have Nicklas Backstrom back tonight for his first game of the season. The Caps are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season. Defensively Washington has allowed 3.1 goals per game last 10 games. I feel this total at 5.5 goals is offering solid line value. It did open at 6 in some books. I know that the Blackhawks have not scored that well overall but they did score 4 goals at Toronto in their most recent game and I expect them to enjoy some more success in the offensive zone tonight but to again struggle in their own end given all the numbers above. This one should land in the 6 to 7 range. 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Chicago |
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12-15-21 | Heat v. 76ers -6 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Joel Embiid (ribs) did participate in the morning shootaround. That is no guarantee he will play but it is a good sign for the 76ers. Either way we do the Heat will not have Bam Adebayo or Jimmy Butler and I look for Philly to roll in this one. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU last 6 times when off a loss and the Sixers lost at Memphis in an embarrassing ugly blowout loss to the Grizzlies by 35 points. Bounce back time here at home. Miami is off a road loss and is now on a 1-5 ATS run in road games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6 |
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12-15-21 | Chattanooga v. Belmont OVER 140 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Total Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 140 in Belmont Bruins vs Chattanooga Mocs @ 6 ET - Match-up features a Belmont team that came into the season projected to finish at the top of the Ohio Valley Conference and Chattanooga Mocs team that came into the season projected to finish at the top of the Southern Conference. These are two quality teams with a lot of confidence in the offensive end in terms of creating quality scoring opportunities on their possessions. Both teams averaging close to 80 points per game this season and I feel we have good value with the total on this one when you consider that both teams have been solid with high shooting percentages so far this season. 10* OVER 140 in Belmont |
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12-15-21 | Southampton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 120 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Crystal Palace vs Southampton @ 2:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been playing well on their home pitch and has had some nice scoring outputs recently. Their 3-1 win Sunday was the 2nd time in 5 matches in which they have scored 3 goals. Southampton has a leaky defense and shaky goaltending right now and the recent increased attacking style from the hosts should pay big dividends here. As for Southampton, they should bounce back on the attack after being shutout 3-0 in most recent match. The visitors had scored a total of 3 goals over their prior two matches and overall that was the 4th time in 5 matches that a Southampton affair has totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here as I don't see Crystal Palace being stopped here but Southampton won the last meeting 3-1 and has scored 2 or more goals in 2 of last 3 meetings. So goals should flow better than most are expecting here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Crystal Palace |
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12-14-21 | Warriors v. Knicks OVER 211.5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 211.5 in New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The Warriors were on pace for an over and then the 4th quarter had just 38 points for the two teams combined! After that nonsensical finish, even if Steph Curry does not play in tonight's game, I feel we are going to see this one get over the rather low posted total here. We get a low total here because the Knicks are involved but New York off back to back low-scoring games but this followed 5 straight overs. Look for the over trending to resume here as the over is 2-1 in the Warriors last 3 second game of B2B situations and, by the way, the one that stayed under totaled 219 which would be an over given today's posted number. Look for this to soar over the total. 10* OVER 211.5 in New York |
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12-14-21 | Devils v. Flyers -115 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Blowout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -115 vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:08 ET - The Flyers and Devils both have had disappointing stretches of late. The difference though is Philly appears to be snapping out of it. Sometimes all it takes is one. Once they got that key win at Vegas they were able to build off it with a win at Arizona. Yes the Coyotes are a bad team but the B2B wins are a confidence boost and this Flyers team has looked better since the coaching change. They are playing a more spirited brand of hockey now. Also, hosting the Devils means they can take advantage of another struggling team and they are on home ice. Note that the home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams. I look for that trend to continue here as New Jersey has only 3 wins in 11 road games this season. Flyers stay hot and make it 3 in a row here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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12-14-21 | Southeastern Louisiana v. Louisville OVER 139.5 | Top | 60-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in Louisville Cardinals vs Southeastern Louisiana Lions @ 6 ET - The Cardinals are off a home loss to DePaul in which they were held to just 55 points. Fired up off that defeat, you know Louisville is going to bring it in this one! The Cards are going to score a ton of points here as Southeastern Louisiana won't put up much resistance. The good news about the Lions is even though they come from the Southland Conference, they entered this season expected to be the top team in that conference. They are scoring 80.6 points per game so far this season and will not be intimidated about facing Louisville here. The problem is that they won't be able to stop the Cardinals. Based on the above I like the over plenty here but here is a statistical way to look at this one also. The Lions have scored at least 61 points in every game this season. The Cards are favored by about 23 points in this one. That puts the final around 84 to 61 even if Southeastern Louisiana just matches their season low in points scored. I am expecting even more that than given all of the above factors and am looking for a 90 to 65 type game. Should be a solid over as the Cardinals bounce back off the ugly home loss to the Blue Demons. 10* OVER 139.5 in Louisville |
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12-14-21 | Leeds United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation - 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - I know this total is at a 3.5 and of course would prefer it at 3 but I think we'll see at least 4 goals in this one! Leeds is off a 3-2 loss to Chelsea and this was preceded by a 2-2 draw versus Brentford. Leeds United is allowing 2 goals per match on enemy pitch this season but their attacking ability also showing signs of life in recent matches. Manchester City should have a strong performance here after a nail-biter 1-0 win versus Wolverhampton. Manchester City is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season and should get to 3 or more here. Last season they managed only 1 goal in each match against Leeds United and certainly want to make up for that here as one ended in a draw and the other in a defeat for Manchester City. With all the firepower they have on the attack and the fact that Leeds United has a leaky defense, look for the hosts to take advantage in a big way in this one. I am expecting a 3 to 1 or perhaps even wilder 3 to 2 or 4 to 2 match here. I know Manchester City has been so stingy in terms of goals allowed but Leeds has scored 2 in back to back matches and one of those was against Chelsea and plus they had success against City last season. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NFL NFC West Game of the Year - NFL 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Jaguars were just what the doctor ordered for the Rams! Last week's blowout win by 30 over Jacksonville was exactly what Los Angeles needed. Building momentum off that huge victory I look for LA to come up big again here. Yes, they lost to the Cardinals earlier this season at home but the Rams got the series sweep both SU and ATS each of the two prior seasons. Also, the bad news for the Cards here is that this game is at home. All kidding aside, the fact is that the road team is 5-0 SU/ATS in the Cardinals last 5 games! I look for that trend to continue here as LA is not happy at all about the way the first game between these teams this season played out. They will respond big here. The Rams are two games behind Arizona in the NFC West standings but after tonight there are still 4 games to go in the regular season and LA can move within 1 game of the Cardinals with a win tonight. Look for them to get it as they resume their series dominance plus make it 6 in a row in terms of road team victories in Cards games. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS +2.5 |
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12-13-21 | Warriors v. Pacers OVER 213 | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NBA TV Early - 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - The last 3 times the Warriors were held to 103 points or less they enjoyed an explosion on offense in their next game. Golden State averaged 116.3 points per game in those 3 games and here they enter off an ugly 102 to 93 loss at Philly as Steph Curry, among others, shot unusually poor. The Warriors will bounce back here and I like the fact that Indiana is off a low-scoring win. That 106-93 win stayed well under the total but Pacers were on a 7-1 run to the over heading into that one. Their over trending resumes in a big way here. Curry is expected to play here and needs 7 more threes to break Ray Allen's regular season record for threes made. That only helps our cause here in another non-conference battle and coming off a rare poor shooting effort. Expect plenty of points in this one with a lot of threes! 10* OVER 213 in Indiana |
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12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers OVER 43 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NFL NFC North Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 43 in Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears @ 8:20 ET - Decent weather expected for this one with winds near 10 mph, no precipitation and temperatures in the mid-30s. Not bad at all by mid-December Green Bay standards. Also, quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers and Justin Fields both expected to start for their respective teams in this one. I know the Bears offense does not excite but Fields was showing some promise with the way he was playing before he ended up out for a few games. His running ability also makes thing tough on defenses. As for Rodgers he often comes up huge in the big game settings and I look for him to do the same in this Sunday night. The Packers are averaging 28 points per game at home this season and are off a bye week which followed GB averaging 33.5 points the prior two games. The Bears have gone over the total in 3 of last 5 games and did score at least 22 points in all 3 of those games. Chicago has allowed 29 points or more in 4 of last 6 games. The Packers have averaged 33.3 points in last 3 games versus Bears and I expect another big effort here in that regard but something tells me the visitors are going to respond huge with getting a boost of momentum with Fields back under center and this game will surprise many by getting into the 50+ range for total points scored. 10* OVER 43 in Green Bay |
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12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -4 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - Luka Doncic is out for this game. Of course that is factored into this line however and I am going to lay the small number with Dallas on the road. The Mavericks fell apart in the 4th quarter at Indiana Friday after Doncic got hurt. Also, he made just 1 of 8 three pointers and the team made just 4 of 29! No wonder the Mavs lost by 13 with ridiculous numbers like that. In fact, Dallas actually outscored the Pacers by 14 not including 3-pointers. In other words, the horrible 3-point shooting of the Mavs was the difference in the game and that won't be repeated here against a bad Thunder team. Yes, OKC had B2B wins before losing to the Lakers Friday but, prior to those two wins Oklahoma City had lost 10 of 11 games. Only 1 of their last 11 losses by less than 4 points. Each of the Mavs last 6 wins by 8 or more points. Each of last 3 games between these teams decided by 8 or more points and the Mavs took 2 of the 3 and I look for guys to step up with Doncic out and help lead the Mavericks to a big road win in this one. 10* DALLAS -4 |
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12-12-21 | Predators v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New York Rangers vs Nashville Predators @ 7:08 ET - Predators off a 3-2 win at New Jersey Friday which stayed under the total but 7 of 8 games for Nashville heading into that one had totaled 6 or more goals. Preds averaging about 4 goals per game last 6 wins! They are on a 4-game winning streak and will challenge the Rangers here for sure but look for New York to answer them goal for goal. The Rangers are off a tight 2-1 win at Buffalo but had been trending toward high-scoring games prior to that. 10 of 15 heading into that one had totaled 6 or more goals and I expect this one will get there as well. New York had won 11 of 13 before a 7-3 loss that preceded that 2-1 win. In those 11 victories the Rangers averaged scoring about 4 goals per game. You can see why you have two teams here playing with a lot of confidence and that should find the back of the net early and often in this one. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Rangers |
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12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 33-25 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
CFL Grey Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET - I am aware the Ti-Cats have some injury issues heading into this one but it also is a revenge game from the most recent Grey Cup (2019) and Hamilton is also the host city for this one and we are getting a full +3 here. There is tremendous irony here in how this one will play out. In 2019 Hamilton had a huge season while Winnipeg caught fire late and it carried into a post-season run and the Blue Bombers rode the momentum all the way to winning it all. Now this season it is Winnipeg with the much better regular season record but the Tiger-Cats caught fire late in the season and now riding a post-season streak coming into this one. Again, just very ironic and I feel strongly the same script that played out in the most recent Grey Cup plays out in this one as Hamilton (8-6 regular season) gets it done against Winnipeg (11-3 - top regular season record). Remember we saw this happen in 2019 with Hamilton (15-3) losing to Winnipeg (11-7). Looking closer at this season's standings, note that Ti-Cats went 5-2 at home while the Bombers were 4-3 on road. Also, Winnipeg was 3-2 against the East while Hamilton was 4-2 against the West. Considering all of the above and the fact we can get a full 3 points, I like my changes with a Tiger-Cats team determined to get revenge here in the biggest game of them all. 10* HAMILTON +3 |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conf Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills +3.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 4:25 ET - The Bills are on short rest this week and the Bucs have regular rest. I certainly understand that factor. However, the fact Buffalo lost at home Monday versus the Patriots and they are 4-0 SU/ATS this season when off a loss has me liking the Bills a ton in this spot. Buffalo won those 4 games by a combined score of 137 to 34 says a lot. No, this game will not be a blowout like that but the point is the Bills respond very well off losses and I like them to at least get the cover in this one. Keep in mind, Buffalo has only lost the money once in last dozen games as a road dog and also they have covered all but 1 of last 10 in non-conference action. Tampa Bay has won and covered 3 in a row but this team was 3-6 ATS on the season prior to that. The Bills have the much better pass defense and rushing offense and I look for both of those factors to help lead the way to a road cover, if not outright win, in this one! 10* BUFFALO +3.5 |
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12-12-21 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 11:30 AM ET - Neither one of these clubs has delivered a clean sheet in any of their matches dating back to early last month. That said, looking for at least to find the back of the net once and with these clubs sitting at 13/14 in the table, neither one wants to settle for just a draw here. I am expecting at least a 2-1 battle. Crystal Palace has allowed 1.8 goals last 4 matches. Everton has conceded 2.2 goals last 4 matches. The hosts have struggled recently in the goal-scoring department but being on their home pitch and facing a foe that has struggled a bit should lead to some much more positive results in this one. Everton enters this one off a 2-1 win also so the visitors will have some momentum heading into a match they certainly view as winnable despite the longer odds here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-11-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs | Top | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets Pick @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - In games played since Thanksgiving, Denver is 3-0 SU/ATS when they enter a game off a loss. After losing at San Antonio Thursday (Nuggets were in a B2B by the way), Denver should respond here. They get a chance at immediate revenge against the Spurs and note that in each of the past 6 meetings between these teams there has never been a case where there the Nuggets did not get either the SU or ATS win or both in back to back games. Throughout calendar year 2021 that trend has held true and with Denver failing to cover or win outright in the loss Thursday at San Antonio, look for them to get payback Saturday. Of course with this line a pick'em, any SU win also an ATS win for the Nuggets and I look for them to get it done in a big way here! 10* DENVER Pick'em |
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12-11-21 | Capitals v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals @ 7 ET - Both teams in a back to back situation. Both teams hungry off losses. I am expecting a big push in the offensive zone as a result and I like the expected goaltending match-up. Vanecek going for the Capitals and he will be rusty and has struggled in his last two starts. Luukkonen has started last two games for Sabres and played well but he is unlikely to go in this one. Prior to that the other 3 goalies started the 3 prior games for Buffalo were involved in games totaling 20 goals allowed by the Sabres. With Luukkonen unlikely to go here you can see why I am expecting the Capitals to have a huge game in the offensive zone given those numbers. The result should be a high-scoring match-up as the Sabres certainly will not lay down at home and they should enjoy success against a rusty Vanecek as his recent struggles continue. 10* OVER 6 goals in Buffalo |
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12-11-21 | LSU v. Georgia Tech +8 | Top | 69-53 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conf Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +8 vs LSU Tigers @ 6 ET - The Yellow Jackets are a scrappy underdog with a strong backcourt. The backcourt depth they have is going to give LSU some trouble here in this one. Georgia Tech going to be tough for the Tigers to put away especially with this game being played at Atlanta. We get line value here too because LSU is undefeated on the season. The Tigers are 8-0 SU this season but barely snuck into the top 25 and that is because their strength of schedule thus far is absolutely a concern. We take advantage here with a Yellow Jackets team that is off B2B losses but actually led North Carolina in the 2nd half of the eventual loss by a double digit margin. Just too many points here in a game that should be ultra competitive all the way through and I look for better shooting down the stretch for the Jackets here after that tough performance against the Tar Heels as the 2nd half wore on. Battle tested and a hungry home dog combine for strong odds of the host getting the money in this one. 10* GEORGIA TECH |