Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and that goes for all sports. That said, the fact that Ottawa just loss QB Masoli to injury and then acquired Arbuckle (but unavailable for this game) is even more reason I like the over here. We get a low number because Evans will be under center for the Redblacks. Now in his 2nd CFL season and getting his first significant work of the season Saturday, don't be surprised if Caleb Evans has a big game both through the air and with his legs in this one - as he is a running threat too. The Tiger-Cats also have a QB by the name of Evans and Dane Evans gets the start here. He is off to a shaky start this season but the Redblacks have some injuries in the secondary and we've seen Evans average 270 yards per game through the air this season but he has been done in by interceptions. This is a match-up of two very hungry teams each seeking their first win of the season and also each dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The weather is going to be good for this one too and all signs point to a higher-scoring game than many expect here. Take advantage of the low total here and don't be surprised when this one gets into the 50s for total points scored. 10* OVER 44.5 in Hamilton |
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07-16-22 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Even against a struggling A's offense, Howard allowed 6 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. He only allowed 1 earned run but only struck out 1 and remains very hittable and has an 8.04 ERA on the season. Gilbert has a fantastic ERA on the season for the Mariners but he allowed 2 homers for the 3rd time in his last 4 starts when he gave up a pair against the Blue Jays in his most recent start. No matter the starting pitchers here (my play is action), note that Seattle has won 12 straight games and score an average of 5.7 runs per game last 10 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in the first 8 games of this 10-game homestand and yesterday was the first time they have been held below 5 runs in any of these games! 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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07-16-22 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Love this situation regardless of the pitchers but will mention that the expected starters include a righty for Rockies and that does hold some significance here though it is not the only factor. Pittsburgh is a lineup dominated by left-handed bats. Not only is Jose Urena a right-handed pitcher, he has been absolutely crushed in recent years against left-handed hitting. Urena also was hit hard by the Pirates earlier this season. As for Pirates right-hander Keller, he has been getting hit hard this month and really has struggled for much of his MLB career. Keller is 10-23 with a 5.65 ERA in his MLB career. So even if these pitchers do not go it still could end up a lefty-righty match-up but either way I like the over here. Note that Pirates, before B2B losses to close series with Marlins, had won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and had allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! As for Rockies, 10 of last 11 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 13-2 Rockies win and this after an 8-5 Colorado win which followed a 10-6 Rockies win. The teams - faced Padres - combined for 29 hits in that one. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and that has continued of late in a huge way as you can see above. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-16-22 | White Sox +108 v. Twins | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox Money Line +110 @ Minnesota Twins @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected starters are Lynn vs Bundy. But, regardless of who actually starts, I like the fact that the White Sox have won 4 straight games and allowed an average of only 1.8 runs per game last 5 games. The Twins have lost 4 of last 5 home games and have averaged only 2.7 runs per game last 7 home games! Minnesota is struggling at the plate while Chicago has exploded for 6.3 runs scored per game last 8 road games and has won 7 of last 9 road games. Action on pitchers because riding the hot team here but will mention that the White Sox will start Lynn and he should respond here as he had given up 19 hits over 22 and 2/3 innings in 4 preceding starts prior to getting roughed up in his most recent outing. As for Bundy, his first 3 starts of the year way back in April were solid but since then the numbers are ugly. 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA. He is in trouble here the way the White Sox are hitting. No matter the pitchers, riding the road team to continue to close the gap in the AL Central standings. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX +110 |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +2.5 or +3 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 2 ET - The location of this Touchdown Atlantic game in Halifax certainly favors the Argonauts. The fact Toronto has fresh legs and has only played 3 games this season, compared to Saskatchewan having played 5 games already, certainly favors the Argos as well. I know the Riders are 4-1 this season and the Argos are just 1-2. However, other than 1 blowout loss Toronto has played quite well and their only other loss was by 1 point to a Winnipeg team that remains undefeated on the season after last night's win over the only other team, Calgary, that was also undefeated on the year. In other words, this Argonauts team deserves some credit plus note that the Roughriders historically do not play as well when they are away from home. Situational edges and I will grab the home dog in this one. Again, is not a true home game for them but certainly the location in Atlantic Canada favors the Argos over the Riders. 10* TORONTO +2.5 or +3 |
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07-15-22 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Love this situation regardless of the pitchers but will mention that the expected starters are a righty for Rockies and a lefty for Pirates and that does hold some significance here though it is not the only factor. Pittsburgh is a lineup dominated by left-handed bats. Not only is Marquez a right-handed pitcher, he has struggled at home this season and also has struggled in recent years against left-handed hitting. As for Pirates Quintana, he has been getting hit hard this month plus in recent seasons the lefty has been pounded by right-handed bats and the Rockies are a lineup that is dominated by right-handed sticks. So even if these pitchers do not go it still could end up a lefty-righty match-up but either way I like the over here. Note that Pirates, before B2B losses to close series with Marlins, had won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and had allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! As for Rockies, 9 of last 10 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 8-5 Colorado win and this followed a 10-6 Rockies win and the teams combined for 29 hits. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and that has continued of late. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Just too many points here. Match-up of unbeatens and Blue Bombers have home field edge and are the 2x defending champs. However, it was not that long ago that Calgary was in the Grey Cup championship 3 straight years and 5 of 7 years. The Stampeders appear to be back this season and also have a dual rest edge here. Not only did they play earlier in the week last week than Winnipeg did, they also had their bye week the week before. The Blue Bombers have yet to have a bye week and will be playing on short rest and a 6th straight week. Also, Winnipeg off the blowout win over a previously unbeaten BC team. The Lions were a bit over-rated in my opinion and yet that big Bombers win last week is giving us extra line value this week. 10* CALGARY +4 |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. These teams just met in a series so there is familiarity with the starting pitchers and the bullpen guys. That is a big part of the reason I don't care who the starting pitchers are here either but I will mention them. This play is action. Corbin is having a rough season and he sprinkled in a couple of good starts recently but overall it has been a disaster and he struggled against the Braves recently too. As for Anderson, he had too many walks but held the Nationals in check in most recent start. Now he gives them a quick 2nd look however and, in the 3 starts prior to facing Washington, he allowed 21 hits in 11 innings! The big key here is hot hitting and confidence of a Braves team that is on a 31-10 run. Atlanta has averaged 6 runs per game in the 10 victories in their current 10-4 run last 14 games. Washington has lost 13 of 14 games and allowed 6 runs per game in those 13 defeats. Their bullpen has had major struggles but their lineup does tend to produce a little better when at home and they have averaged 4 runs per game last 11 home games. This one gets to double digits. 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |
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07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal OVER 49 | Top | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49 in Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - The Elks are changing things up at QB and that will be a good thing as they are off a 49-6 loss last week. Ford is listed as out for this week and Arbuckle was traded to Ottawa. That means Edmonton wanted change and they got it. Most likely Taylor Cornelius under center for this one and remember he averaged, before a dismal final game of the season last year, about 250 yards per game with a 6-1 TD-INT ratio over a 4-game stretch. No matter who is under center for the Elks, they will enjoy success against an Als defense that has allowed 26 points per game game this season. The key here though is Montreal is off a bye week which followed their own blowout loss, 41-20, at Saskatchewan. That said, the Alouettes are primed for a huge bounce back effort and they are scoring an average of 26 points per game this season and facing an Elks team that is giving up 38 points per game this season. So worst defense in CFL against highest scoring team from the East Division. Perfect set-up too considering each team off an embarrassing loss. Focused efforts here and solid offensive production with Edmonton buoyed by the QB change as well. 10* OVER 49 in Montreal |
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07-14-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Monday's game saw both starting pitchers work at least 6 innings yet the bullpens combined to allow 7 runs in the final 3 innings of the game. Again this is why you have seen some of the biggest sportsbooks in the world do "action only" as mandatory on their sports bets. The starting pitchers play a role for sure but baseball also is so much more including fielding, baserunning, hitting, bullpens, etc. I digress but, as always, will touch on the starting pitchers here but just remember this play is a go regardless of pitchers. The Rockies 8 of last 9 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 10-6 Rockies win and the teams combined for 29 hits. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and it will be hot weather in Denver for this afternoon game. Perfect conditions for the ball to carry very well. The Padres, when in hitter-friendly parks away from home, are known to get involving in crazy high-scoring games. Their last 10 games played at Coors Field or Wrigley Field have seen an average of 13 runs per game! I know Snell has been rounding into form for the Padres but Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch. Snell has been rocked in his 3 starts here in 2021 and 2022. Also, his name on the mound for tonight is what is helping to keep this total low. As for Rockies Freeland, he has had a rough start to July plus the Padres will be facing him for the 3rd time since mid-June. Familiarity like this often leads to success for the hitters particularly when a guy is currently struggling. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-14-22 | Pirates v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 12:10 ET - Action on this play. Yesterday's game was 1-0 heading to bottom of 8th and then ended up being a game that totaled 9 runs thanks to extra innings. However, that also goes to show that even if two starting pitchers have great starts it does not always equate to an under. I don't care who the pitchers are here but will touch on them below. I feel both bullpens will again have some issues here and note also that the Pirates had won 9 of 14 games before yesterday's loss and have scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! The Marlins have won 9 of 14 games also and so you have a pair of unpopular teams but that are confident teams right now and have extra confidence at the plate as a result. Now, about those expected starters. Garrett off couple good starts on the road but he had been getting hit hard throughout June, his first month of the season, and this was particularly true at home. As for Thompson, he has struggled in away games (5.27 ERA) and day games (.283 BAA). Taking advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Miami |
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07-13-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Texas Rangers vs Oakland A's @ 8:05 ET - Action on pitchers. This is all about high-scoring trending. Yes, I know the Athletics got a pile of runs in the top of the 12th but they had a decent day at the plate up until that point also. Plus you must note that the Rangers 8 of last 10 games have totaled double digits in runs. Texas has been scoring well but also giving up piles of runs. The A's are not a high-scoring team by any stretch of the imagination but they have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of last 8 games overall. Also, on the road, Oakland has scored at least 5 runs in 6 of last 11 road games. No matter who pitches I like the over here as both bullpens have been roughed up in this series too. But I will mention that the expected starters here each give me reason to believe they will struggle. Gray getting hit at a .300 clip this month and has given up a pair of homers in each start. Blackburn off a rough start versus Astros and has been hit hard in 4 of last 5 starts! The low number here is because of the A's long-term reputation and the decent long-term ERA of these two starting pitchers but you can see very clearly, per the above, that there is reason to believe this one comfortably gets over the low total. 10* OVER 7.5 in Texas |
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07-13-22 | Phillies -110 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 @ Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. The Blue Jays won 4-3 yesterday but had lost 9 of 10 entering that game. The Phillies now have lost 3 straight but had won 25 of 35 games before that. Wheeler is the expected starter for the Phillies and he has won 8 of his last 9 decisions! The Phillies have prevailed in 5 of his last 6 road starts. Stripling is the expected starter for Toronto and he is getting hammered at a .341 clip this month by opposing hitters. The Blue Jays scoring an average of just 2.8 runs per game last 11 games. Phillies, before rare tough 3-game stretch of losses, had gone 7-2 and averaged scoring 5.6 runs per game. They should bounce back strong here regardless of the starting pitchers. Action on the pitchers and look for big road win as the Phillies outhit the Jays in this one after the opposite held true yesterday. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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07-12-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Yesterday's game saw both starting pitchers work at least 6 innings yet the bullpens combined to allow 7 runs in the final 3 innings of the game. Again this is why you have seen some of the biggest sportsbooks in the world do "action only" as mandatory on their sports bets. The starting pitchers play a role for sure but baseball also is so much more inlcuding fielding, baserunning, hitting, bullpens, etc. I digress but, as always, will touch on the starting pitchers here but just remember this play is a go regardless of pitchers. The Rockies last 6 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and it will be hot weather in Denver for this one. Perfect conditions for the ball to carry very well. The Padres, when in hitter-friendly parks away from home, are known to get involving in crazy high-scoring games. Their last 7 games played at Coors Field or Wrigley Field have seen an average of nearly 14 runs per game! Favorable wind tonight too. I know Clevinger has been rounding into form for the Padres but Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch. Also, his name on the mound for tonight is what is helping to keep this total low. As for Rockies Gomber, he hit a tough patch late last season and has not been the same ever since. He has a 6.46 ERA this season and opponents hitting nearly .300 against him. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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07-12-22 | Reds v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. This is another one of those "sneaky" totals where we get some extra line value on an over because one team has an "ace" going. Most definitely Cole is one of the top pitchers in the league but he has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts and 10 homers in his last 6 starts. The Reds have been playing better and also have been scoring particularly well on the road too. Cincinnati will surprise by contributing to this total quite well in my opinions. It will be the -300 odds Yankees that do most of the damage of course and I love fading Ashcraft here. He had a great start to the season but is now coming back down to reality and has allowed 21 earned runs on 40 hits in 26 innings spanning his last 5 starts. The Yankees have scored an average of 9 runs per game last 5 games and stay hot at the plate here. They will be "dialed in" I am certain as they are off B2B losses to the Red Sox to wrap the weekend. The Reds have won 6 of last 10 road games and averaged scoring 5.2 runs per game during this stretch. Cincinnati enters this game having won 4 straight games overall and has averaged scoring 5.5 runs per victory. This one should fly over the low number. 10* OVER 8 in New York Yankees |
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07-11-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics @ 8:05 ET - We get line value here because the A's generally struggle to score runs. However, Oakland has a little extra confidence thanks to having won 3 of 6 games on their just-completed homestand versus solid teams, Blue Jays and Astros. Also, the A's have averaged scoring about 4 runs per game last 9 road games. They take on a Rangers team that has scored an average of 6 runs per game last 6 games but also allow an average of 6 runs per game last 6 games! That is why, regardless of the starting pitchers here, I like the over in this match-up but I will touch on the starting pitchers here. Martinez and Howard both are struggling! Martinez had a 5.63 ERA with AAA Vegas this season and now has a 6.00 ERA with the big club in Oakland. As for Texas starter, Spencer Howard, he is now 1-8 with a 7.44 ERA in his career. The Rangers right-hander is getting hit at a .340 clip this season. Take advantage of the low total because the A's will hit some in this one I am sure but I am also looking for the Rangers high-scoring ways - both runs scored and allowed - to continue their recent trend as 5 of last 6 games have featured plenty of offense. 10* OVER 9 in Texas |
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07-11-22 | Phillies -105 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -105 @ St Louis Cardinals @ 7:15 ET - I like the Phillies here regardless of starting pitchers because all signs point to them bouncing back from the 4-3 loss yesterday at St Louis. The Cardinals are 2-7 last 9 times when off a win. Also, STL had lost 8 of 10 games prior to yesterday's win. Philadelphia is 8-3 last 11 times when off a loss. Overall, the Phils had won 25 of 35 games prior to yesterday's loss. The Phillies bats have been much hotter than the Cards bats. Now will touch on the starting pitching here but, again, that is not the key factor. The Phillies Aaron Nola has an edge in that the Cardinals have not faced him this season. He dominated them last season and also enters this start in top notch form! As for Miles Mikolas, the Cardinals right-hander is also having a strong season but the Phillies have a number of hitters that have enjoyed success against him and they just faced him (and pounded him) in Philly less than 2 weeks ago. Take advantage of a very favorable line and favorable situation here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:08 ET - We were fortunate we got extra innings yesterday to cash the over for us. While certainly grateful for such a break, we will not need such good fortune here as this one appears like perfect set-up for plenty of runs. No matter the pitchers, I am riding the over here. The Yankees have been scoring runs like crazy and the Red Sox are known for scoring well at Fenway Park. New York is 9-4 last 13 games and has scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch. Boston is averaging 5.8 runs per game last 29 home games. Will mention the pitchers here but, again, is definitely a play here regardless of starting pitchers. Both Taillon and Pivetta have solid numbers on the season but both have been fading of late. Taillon has allowed 14 earned runs in 16 innings spanning his last 3 starts. Pivetta has allowed 11 earned runs on 22 hits in less than 19 innings spanning his last 3 starts. The hot hitting for Yankees continues here no matter the pitcher and, as for the Red Sox sticks, they have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of last 19 games and I am looking for solid double digits from these teams combined in another wild one Sunday evening at Fenway Park. 10* OVER 9 in Boston |
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07-10-22 | Phillies +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Sunday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +100 @ St Louis Cardinals @ 2:15 ET - I am taking action on pitchers because I love this situation with the Cardinals having lost 8 of 10 games including 4 of 5 to the Phillies. The Cards have scored an average of only 1 run per game last 7 games. The Phils have won 7 of 9 games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in these 9 games. Hotter team with hotter bats so regardless of the pitchers I am riding the road team here. I will now touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Pallante has been a much stronger pitcher out of the bullpen then as a starter. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 4.26 ERA in his 6 starts. As for Philadelphia, Nick Nelson expected to make his first start of the season after working out of the bullpen. Nelson did have plenty of success in the minors as a starter and is facing the right team at the right time for his first start of the season. The Cardinals bats continue to stay quiet while the Phillies roll again on the road. Grab the bargain pick'em price with the road team in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA +100 |
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07-09-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:15 ET - No matter the pitchers, I am riding the over here. The Yankees have been scoring runs like crazy and the Red Sox are known for scoring well at Fenway Park. New York is 9-3 last 12 games and has scored an average of 6.5 runs per game during this stretch. Boston is averaging 5.8 runs per game last 28 home games. Will mention the pitchers here but, again, is definitely a play here regardless of starting pitchers. The Yankees Montgomery has great numbers this season but the Red Sox have a number of hitters that have enjoyed solid success against the southpaw and they are very familiar with him. As for Boston, the expected starter is Kutter Crawford. The young right-hander has a 6.33 ERA in his 12 games (3 starts) at the MLB level. Crawford has given up 5 hits in 2 innings of work versus the Yankees this season. The hot hitting for Yankees continues here no matter the pitcher as Crawford unlikely to be in this game very long anyway and the Yanks pound the pen. As for the Red Sox sticks, they have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of last 18 games and I am looking for solid double digits from these teams combined in a wild one Saturday evening at Fenway Park. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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07-09-22 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - I know the Blue Bombers defense has been solid in the red zone and in terms of takeaways this season. However, Winnipeg has still given up a pile of yardage and this includes through the air where they have been particularly weak. That does not bode well for now facing a BC team that has been lighting up opposing defenses so far this season. In fact, it should mean a ton of points here because the Lions are likely to move the ball very well at home in this match-up as they look to take down the defending champs. BC is out to prove their hot start this season is no fluke and I do expect them to achieve that goal with offensive production here as they have been the offensive juggernaut of the CFL so far this season. However, I do not trust this Lions defense. They have faced some weak offensive units so far this season. I know the Blue Bombers have not put up big points on offense so far this season but the 2x defending champs are more than capable on that side of the ball and they will need to (and can) score plenty to keep up with high-flying Lions. A match-up of unbeatens in a Week 5 game might have you thinking under and certainly intensity will be high here. But the offenses are going to be the story here. BC dictates flow of game at home and this will be another shootout at BC Place in Vancouver! 10* OVER 50 in BC |
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07-09-22 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Oakland A's vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Regardless of starting pitchers here, I look for the Athletics to score some runs here and for the Astros to remain red hot at the plate. So make this bet with action on the pitchers. The Astros have won 10 of 11 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. The Athletics have average about 4 runs per game last 13 games. So they can get us some runs here at home. I like contrarian plays like this because the Astros are scheduled to start Valdez on the mound and he has great numbers on the season and is coming off a 13-strikeout performance. Note that he did walk 5 in that game, threw over 100 pitches, and so don't be surprised if he labors a bit in this one. Yes he was successful at Oakland earlier this season but they have some hitters who have enjoyed success against him plus he struggled in some starts against the A's just last season. Of course the big key here is the Astros scoring plenty and that should not be a problem. Not only are their bats hot but the expected starter is Logue for Oakland. The southpaw was demoted to the minors back in May. That was a result of struggling with the big club and then things really did not get any better with AAA Vegas as he was hit hard. The reason for the call-up is because Montas must miss a turn in the rotation. That said, plenty of runs from the visiting team likely in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 in Oakland |
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07-08-22 | Ottawa +6 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +6 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - The Redblacks had been playing well, despite their record, but were then severely out-statted by BC in last week's 3-point loss. Ottawa should bounce back here and is a much better team their winless record on the season would lead you to believe. I know that Saskatchewan is off big win last week but Redblacks have the rest edge here as they played earlier last week and were coming off a bye entering that one. Additionally, the Riders off a very satisfying and dominating win. They could be a little complacent here as a result. There will be nothing complacent about this Redblacks team as they are very hungry with an 0-3 SU record on the season and an average margin of defeat of only 4 points. An outright win here would not shock me at all but I am, of course, even more confident with having the points on our side. Let's grab them for a big play here. 10* OTTAWA +6 |
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07-08-22 | Phillies -110 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Friday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 @ St Louis Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - I am taking action on pitchers because I love this situation with the Cardinals off a hard-fought extra-innings win at Atlanta last night. St Louis had lost 6 of 7 games before that including 2 of 3 to the Phillies. The Cards have scored an average of only 1.4 runs per game last 5 games. The Phils have won 5 of 7 games and have scored an average of 6.7 runs per game in these 7 games. Hotter team with hotter bats so regardless of the pitchers I am riding the road team here. I will now touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Wainwright is certainly solid for the Cardinals and has been known, through the years, for being a stronger pitcher when at home. However, the right-hander got hit at a .302 clip in his 5 June starts and then opened up July with a rough effort versus these same Phillies. As for Philadelphia, staff ace Wheeler expected to get the start here. Wheeler is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in his 10 night game starts this season. He also has allowed just 1 earned run in 15 innings spanning his last two starts versus the Cardinals. Grab the bargain pick'em price with the road team in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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07-08-22 | Guardians v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians @ 8:10 ET - No matter who the starting pitchers are I like the way the fact both teams have trended toward higher scoring games of late. The Royals off a 5-2 loss at Houston but this was preceded by a stretch of 4 wins in 7 games and Kansas City had scored 7 runs in 4 straight games before being held to just 2 runs by Verlander yesterday. KC is known for hitting well at home through the years. Also, the Guardians enter this one on a tough 3-6 run but they scored 4.8 runs in the 3 victories and allowed 7.8 runs in the 6 losses! We'll see some runs here regardless of who the starting pitchers are but I will mention they are expected to be Civale and Singer. Note that Civale is 2-5 with a 7.04 ERA this season and also has an ugly 9.90 ERA in his 5 road starts this season. Singer was able to get strikeouts but also allowed 6 hits in less than 5 innings in his only July start. In his 5 June starts he had a 5.97 ERA. He has a 4.58 ERA in home starts this season including getting hit hard by Cleveland here earlier this season. Look for the bats to rule the night in this one no matter who is on the mound for either team. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies @ 9:40 ET - I especially want action on this match-up because I like the Diamondbacks lineup to stay hot and I like the Rockies to bounce back in a more hitter-friendly venue after struggling at Dodger Stadium. Due to strength of lineup performance here I want action on pitchers because there is a possibility Keuchel will not get this start. Supposedly his most recent start was a good chance to be his last in the rotation for awhile but the Davies DL situation could have impacted that thinking. I do expect the match-up to be Gomber versus Keuchel but, regardless of the pitchers, note that Arizona has scored an average of 6.4 runs per game last 9 games. In fact, one shutout loss in there but an average of 7.3 runs scored in the other 8 games for the Dbacks. As for the Rockies, they had gone 10-10 last 20 games prior to getting swept by the Dodgers. Also, those 20 games were a good mixture of road and home so it wasn't just home field hitting that led to the Rockies scoring an average of 4.8 runs per game during this 20 game stretch. Again, regardless of pitchers, I want this play on the over but I will mention that Keuchel is 2-6 with an 8.27 ERA this season. Gomber is 4-7 with a 6.53 ERA this season. Also, he has a 7.20 ERA in night games and his home/road splits are nearly identical. In other words, his inflated numbers this season are NOT because of Coors Field. This one, regardless of starting pitchers, gets ugly as these teams both giving up piles of runs this season. 10* OVER 9.5 in Arizona |
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07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 52 in Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 9 ET - This total opened up at a 50.5 and has risen to a 52. That gives us some line value here because actually the yardage stats were way down in the Elks upset win at Hamilton last week even though the game found its way over the total. Also, when the Elks visited Calgary a few weeks ago that game had late scoring as a key in getting to a total of 53 points. That said, we really have some solid line value here with this total at a 52 as I feel strongly that it will prove to be too high. Edmonton has the confidence in going toe to toe with the Stampeders earlier this season and nearly getting the upset. The Stamps come into this one with fresh legs off a bye week and will put the clamps down defensively on the Elks in this one. Calgary looks to grind out a road win and control the clock and I look for that to help key a low-scoring battle here. 10* UNDER 52 in Edmonton |
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07-07-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET - We get a low total because Cole is the scheduled starter for the Yankees and because Winckowski has a low ERA for the Red Sox. First off, I like this play regardless of the starting pitchers. Boston known for hitting well at home and the Yankees the top run-producing in MLB this season and coming off a 16-0 win yesterday. That said, I will still of course touch on the pitchers here and the fact is that Cole, despite all his accolades, does have a recent history of struggling in outings at Boston. The Red Sox have given him some trouble when they face him at Fenway Park and it will be a hitter-friendly night there for this one. As for Boston starter Winckowski, he has faced a lot of lower-tier teams so far in his limited MLB career. Orioles, Cubs, Tigers, A's, Guardians. 4 of 5 have a losing record and, though Cleveland is at .500 on the season, the Guardians one of the weaker hitting teams in terms of run production among teams that do not currently have a losing record on the season. Considering these factors I feel we have excellent line value where with the low posted total and the fact Red Sox have averaged scoring 5 runs per game last 13 home games and Yankees scoring an average of 5 runs per game on the full season and tend to hit well at Fenway Park too. 10* OVER 8.5 in Boston |
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07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 3:37 ET - This play is more about the lineups than the pitchers so select action on pitchers. I know the A's are not known for hitting but they have at least been a little better of late and now have won 5 of 11 games and scored an average of 4 runs per game during this stretch. That said, we may not need much from them here to get this game over the total anyway because I am expecting an offensive explosion from the Blue Jays in this one. Toronto was held to just 3 run in yesterday's loss but did have 10 hits in the game. Also before being held to 1 run in Monday's loss the Jays previously over a 15-game stretch averaged scoring 6 runs per game dating back to June 19th. Will touch on the pitchers here but again this play is action. Kaprielian and is 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA at home this season. He is coming off a good start but that has been a rarity for him as he had an ERA near 6 in both the months of May and June after missing April. Berrios expected to start for the Blue Jays and he has been hit harder on the road than at home throughout his career. That pattern has continued this season and he is coming off a rough June (6.28 ERA) and had a rough May (7.01 ERA). Berrios has 7.92 ERA on the road and a 7.71 ERA in day games this season. Both lineups have big days under the sun today no matter the starting pitchers here. Blue Jays 10 hits yesterday, A's 5 runs, and today both teams put it all together at the plate. Take advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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07-05-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's versus Toronto Blue Jays @ 9:40 ET - This play is more about the lineups than the pitchers so select action on pitchers. I know the A's are not known for hitting but they have at least been a little better of late and now have won 4 of 10 games and scored an average of 4 runs per game during this stretch. That said, we may not need much from them here to get this game over the total anyway because I am expecting an offensive explosion from the Blue Jays in this one. Toronto was held to just 1 run in yesterday's loss but previously, though only 7-8 over a 15-game stretch, averaged scoring 6 runs per game dating back to June 19th. The Jays have also scored an average of 6 runs per game the last 4 times they were off a game in which they were held to 2 or less runs scored. Will touch on the pitchers here but again this play is action. Martinez expected to start for the Athletics and has very little MLB experience and does not have overly impressive in numbers in the minors. Kikuchi expected to start for the Blue Jays and he has been hit harder on the road than at home throughout his career. That pattern has continued this season plus the southpaw has historically had some tough outings at Oakland and he is coming off a rough June. Take advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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07-04-22 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins @ 8:10 ET - The White Sox hosting a Twins team that has scored an average of 6 runs in last 7 road games. Chicago comes into this game hot at the plate with wins in 4 of last 5 games and scoring an average of 6 runs during this stretch. Regardless of the starting pitchers, you can see why I am looking for plenty of runs here. However, I will mention that the expected starters here will only help our cause in my strong opinion. Johnny Cueto 0-3 with a 5.48 ERA at home this season and 1-3 with a 4.20 ERA in night games. Dylan Bundy had a great April but has struggled ever since. Also, Bundy has a 6.41 ERA in road games and a 5.09 ERA in night games. The White Sox have a number of hitters that have enjoyed success against him. Both bullpens rank in the middle of the pack this season in terms of bullpen ERA. White Sox carry momentum from huge 13-4 win at San Francisco yesterday. Like taking the Twins lineup to bounce back here after disappointing recent stretch as they now bounce back in divisional action in a venue they are very familiar with. 10* OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way but, as per usual, it is not without good reasoning either. The Blue Bombers are undefeated on the season and, overall, the West has absolutely dominated the East so far this season. However, Winnipeg is 3-0 but the only two teams they have played are a combined 0-7 on the season. They are the only two teams in the league that remain winless after Week 4 action is in the books. Not only that, the Blue Bombers off huge win versus Hamilton in a Grey Cup rematch game. On deck for Winnipeg is a huge game versus fellow undefeated foe BC next week. That said, this is absolutely a tricky spot for the Blue Bombers and they are facing an Argos team that has another bye week on deck and that is coming off a 44-3 thrashing at the hands of the Lions last week. Simply put it is the ideal set-up for a huge effort from Toronto here. The Argonauts are very fresh as they have played only 2 games this season and, by the way, one was against a BC team that remains undefeated and the other was an Argos win over a Montreal team that is the other East Division team, besides Argonauts, that also has a win this season. Based on all of the above we have a lot of line value here with a big home dog. Keep in mind, it is hard to cover 5 points on the road when you are in a tough scheduling situation plus have averaged scoring only 21 points per game this season. By the way the Blue Bombers vaunted defense did give up big yardage to the now 0-3 Redblacks in the first two games of this season. Of course the defending champs are strong team but they are simply over-rated here! 10* TORONTO +5.5 |
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07-04-22 | Royals v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals @ 4:10 ET - Regardless of pitchers here I like the fact that the Astros have won 15 of 19 games and scored an average of 6 runs scored per victory. As for the Royals, they have won 3 of 4 overall and 7 of last 10 road games. That said, you have a couple of confident lineups stepping into the batters box for this one. Now I will touch on the starting pitchers but, again, this is a play regardless of which pitchers get the start here. Odorizzi expected to get the start for the Astros here and he has great numbers but is coming back from injury and has not been with Houston since May. He last faced Kansas City last season and the Royals hit him hard. They have quite a few hitters who have had success against him. As for the red hot Astros lineup, they will tee off on whoever the Royals send to the mound but it is expected to be Heasley and he is 2-5 with a 5.13 ERA at the MLB level. He comes into this outing having been hammered hard in his last two starts with 11 earned runs allowed in less than 9 innings of work! Heasley has allowed 18 hits in 12.2 innings in his last 3 starts. This one flies over the total! 10* OVER 8.5 in Houston |
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07-03-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -130 vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:08 ET - No matter who pitches here, I like the Phillies to bounce back off yesterday's 1-run loss. Philadelphia had won 20 of 28 games and 10 of 14 homes games before the loss yesterday. The Cardinals, as solid as they are, still are just a .500 team on the road and they are 18-21 this season against teams with a winning record. St Louis also is just 7-8 against teams from the NL East this season. The Phillies had won 71% of games against teams from the NL Central this season before yesterday's loss. The Cards had lost 9 of last 15 games before the victory yesterday. St Louis has won B2B games only twice since mid-June. The odds favor a Philly bounce back here regardless of the starting pitchers but now I will touch on them. The fact is the Cardinals Wainwright is notorious, through the years, for being a very strong pitcher in home games but struggling on the road. Overall from 2016 through this season there is a big ERA variance for him. As for Wheeler, he has been fantastic since coming to Philly from the Mets and he has been particularly dominant at home. Wheeler is 4-2 with a 1.85 ERA at home this season and last season had a 2.38 ERA at home and had a 2.29 ERA at home in his first season in Philly. As you can see, Wheeler's 3 seasons in Philadelphia have shown he likes pitching at Citizens Bank Park. Phillies get it done here and respond at home off a tight 1-run loss. They have still been playing well even since the Harper injury. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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07-03-22 | White Sox v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 13-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers here as per usual and is especially important here because Giants are just using an opener, John Brebbia, in this one. Then 6'11 Sean Hjelle likely to get the ball after him. Either way, and no matter if White Sox starter Lucas Giolito get the ball here, I like the over based on some team angles. Chicago has seen each of last 3 road games total 8 or less runs but this followed a stretch in which 9 of 14 road games totaled at least 9 runs. During that 14 game stretch the White Sox allowed about 5 runs per game. Chicago has scored an average of about 5.5 runs per game last 22 games. The Giants have lost 3 straight home games but this followed a 7-3 stretch of home games in which SF did average 4.2 runs per game. Certainly not powerhouse numbers but you can see why I am expecting at least a 5-4 type game here. In terms of the starting pitchers, Giolito is finally off a better start but he allowed the leadoff batter to get on in each of the first 4 innings of that start and the damage easily could have been worse. Prior to that outing he allowed 30 runs (27 earned) over 25 and 2/3 innings spanning rough 5-start stretch. Brebbia has not gone more than 2 innings in any start and Hjelle has only 2 games at the MLB level and has unimpressive numbers at the minor league level. After neither of the first two games topped 8 runs I feel there is good reason this total still holding at 8.5 runs! 10* OVER 8.5 in San Francisco |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Special teams and turnovers were the difference in last week's Als blowout win in their home opener. Now the Riders are back at home and angry and will get their revenge. Note that yardage was roughly equal in last week's game so the 37-13 final was deceiving. Certainly Montreal deserved the win and they got it but now it is time for Saskatchewan payback! The West has dominated the East so far this season as the Riders loss to the Als is actually the only such loss for a West team versus an East team. We'll lay the points here. I know Sask is without Evans at WR but they still have Williams and many other weapons at the WR position. Additionally, I like the fact that the Roughriders went 5-2 at home last season and 4-1 against teams from the East. The Riders already won their first home game this season and are now 14-3 SU last 17 home games. We'll lay the very fair number here and look for immediate payback from the hosts this week. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -4.5 |
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07-02-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Atlanta Braves -1.5 -110 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 4:10 ET - Same play as yesterday's 9-1 win so much of the the write-up the same as yesterday. This game has blowout written all over it and is a play for me regardless of the starting pitchers. I will mention them below but this is all about taking one of the best teams in the league against a team that has been slumping badly in home games and catching all this in the perfect situation. The Braves just got destroyed by the Phillies at Philly Thursday and will respond huge throughout this series. The Reds got destroyed by the Cubs at Chicago Thursday but don't have what it takes to respond in a series against one of the best teams in the league. Note that Cincinnati is outclassed here. The Braves have won 12 of 15 games after yesterday's blowout win. The Reds have now lost 9 straight home games. Mahle is expected started for Cincinnati and he is 0-4 with 5.13 ERA in his 9 home starts this season. Strider the expected starter for the Braves and he has been piling up strikeouts and pitching very well since moving into the rotation! Road rout here regardless of starting pitching as this is a case of road warriors versus a team on a 9-game home losing streak. Lay it! By the way Reds last 6 home losses all by 2+ runs and Braves last 6 road games all decided by 2 or more runs. Love the run line here. 10* ATLANTA -1.5 -110 |
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07-02-22 | A's v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics @ 4:10 ET - We fell short with this play yesterday because the Mariners had a rare bad game at the plate as opposing starting pitcher Kaprielian got his first win of the season. Oakland actually pounded out double digits in hits but struggled with runners in scoring position. That said I will come right back with this play here as Athletics get more clutch hitting today and the M's bounce back at the plate. As noted yesterday, yes the A's are known as one of the weaker hitting teams in the majors. However, they are hitting better again and have hit well at Seattle this season which continue yesterday despite scoring just 3 runs in the victory yesterday. After the 3-1, Oakland has now scored an average of 5.6 runs in their 5 games at Seattle this season. Also, overall, the Athletics have scored an average of nearly 5 runs last 7 road games. That said, I expect them to hit Blackburn like they did the last time they faced him just last month. He comes into this start having gone 1-2 with a 5.13 ERA last 5 starts and was hit at a .306 clip in those games. As for the Mariners starter George Kirby, he gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings the last time he hosted the A's. Also, the Mariners righty has been hit very hard overall in his last 4 starts at home. 29 hits in 20 innings for Kirby in his last 4 home starts this season. Regardless of starting pitchers I like the fact the A's have been scoring better of late plus scoring well at Seattle this season. I also like the fact the Mariners have won 8 of 11 games and scored an average of 4.6 runs during this stretch. Take action on the pitchers and look for plenty of runs here no matter who the starting pitchers are. The games between these teams at T-Mobile Park this season have averaged 9.6 runs per game. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Seattle |
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07-02-22 | Rays +125 v. Blue Jays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays Money Line +125 @ Toronto Blue Jays @ 12:07 ET (Game 1 of 2) - Action on pitchers as I simply like a strong Rays team to bounce back here after an embarrassing 9-2 loss yesterday. Tampa Bay is off 4 straight losses which has only happened to them twice this season and each time they bounced back in the 5th game to put an end to the losing streak. Rays improve to 3-0 on the season when in this situation. I will mention that McClanahan is the expected starter for TB here and he has been phenomenal again this season. 8-3 with a 1.77 ERA and holding opponents to a .183 batting average. The Blue Jays are expected to start Gausman here and he is off a strong home start but, prior to that, he had been rocked in recent home starts. In fact, he is lucky his ERA is not even higher on the season. Gausman actually has been hit at a .300 clip in home games and a .310 clip in day games. Toronto has won first two games of this series but entered this series having lost 7 of last 13 games at home. The Blue Jays are over-valued here and actually are 0-4 the last 4 times they entered a game off B2B wins. As noted above, Rays going for 3-0 this season when they enter a game on a 4-game losing streak. So we are testing a pair of 100% trends here regardless of the starting pitchers. 10* TAMPA BAY +125 |
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07-01-22 | A's v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics @ 10:10 ET - Yes the A's are known as one of the weaker hitting teams in the majors. However, they are hitting better again and have hit well at Seattle this season. After yesterday's 8-6 loss, Oakland has now scored an average of 6 runs in their 4 games at Seattle this season. Also, overall, the Athletics have scored an average of 5 runs last 6 road games. That said, I expect them to hit Gonzales like they did the last time they faced him at Seattle. He comes into this start having had success in his most recent home start but that was preceded by 7 walks against just 6 strikeouts in his 2 prior home starts. The home start before those 2? Gonzales allowed 5 earned runs to this same Oakland team. As for the A's starter Kaprielian he is winless in his 11 starts with a 5.88 ERA. Also, he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his most recent start at Seattle. Overall, Kaprielian has 10 walks against 4 strikeouts in his last two road starts. Regardless of starting pitchers I like the fact the A's have been scoring better of late plus scoring well at Seattle this season. I also like the fact the Mariners have won 8 of 10 games and scored an average of 5 runs during this stretch. Take action on the pitchers and look for plenty of runs here no matter who the starting pitchers are. The games between these teams at T-Mobile Park this season have averaged 11 runs per game. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 8 in Seattle |
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07-01-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton OVER 46 | Top | 29-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - We are getting some line value here because this total is being held lower due to the treat of rain in the forecast for this game. The key here is I do not expect it to be full-on rain event. Rather look for some scattered storms which means it may or may not happen during the game. Additionally, the winds are not expected to be too bad. That said, I love the over here. Edmonton allowing 38 points per game this season and Hamilton allowing 30 points per game this season. Each team has allowed at least 26 points in all 3 of their games. Given those numbers you can see why I am fully expecting this non-divisional match-up to get into the 50s for total points. 10* OVER 46 in Hamilton |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +2.5 vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - Yes the Lions are 2-0 this season and the Redblacks are 0-2. However, a ton of edges for the home team in this one. First off BC playing their first road game of the season. The Lions also are on short rest and will be without wide receiver Burnham. Conversely, Ottawa is coming off a bye week. The Redblacks are 0-2 on the season but they outgained Winnipeg in each of the first two games of the season. Keep in mind, this Blue Bombers team is a very strong team and now 3-0 on the season after beating a strong Hamilton team last week. The point is that Ottawa is playing much better than their record indicates and this includes against strong competition too. As for the Lions, they are 2-0 this season but played a bad Edmonton team and a Toronto team known for inconsistency. The Argonauts seemed to not show up last weekend at BC. You can bet (literally) the Redblacks are going to show up here and I expect the hosts to hand the Lions their first loss of the season but will grab the added insurance of the points here. 10* OTTAWA +2.5 |
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06-30-22 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 105 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:05 ET - This play more about the sticks than the pitchers so I am going action on the pitchers as per usual. Brubaker is the expected starter for the Pirates and he has struggled badly on the season with a 1-7 record and 4.14 ERA. Also, in the month of June, opponents are hitting .294 against him! The way the Brewers are swinging the bats right now (won 5-3 yesterday and hit some more homers) I expect Brubaker's struggles to continue! Speaking of struggling, the Brewers Houser has not pitched well this season since a solid April. His May and June have been rough and the biggest key of all here is that Houser has consistently struggled each of the last 4 years against left-handed hitters! The Pirates had nearly every single hitter stepping in on that side of the batters box in yesterday's huge 8-7 win at Washington. I expect a parade of lefties to the plate for Pittsburgh tonight and this will be tough on Houser. Again, regardless of starting pitchers, the Brewers have been playing well and with a lot of confidence and scoring runs. Also, the Pirates off a high-scoring road win and now back home where they have scored well. Pittsburgh is 4-1 last 5 home games and has scored an average of 7 runs per game last 6 home games! Neither bullpen overly impressive this season (as Milwaukee seems down a notch in that department and Pirates struggling with relievers as usual). Also, the Brewers have won 11 of 16 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 11 victories. In their last 9 losses, Milwaukee has allowed an average of 7 runs per game. You can see, given those numbers, why I am anticipating at least 9 runs scored for these teams combined. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh |
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06-30-22 | Braves v. Phillies -148 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -150 vs Atlanta Braves @ 6:05 ET - The expected starters are Nola versus Anderson but, either way, I like the Phillies here. Regardless of starting pitching this is a play on the Phillies to bounce back off yesterday's 4-1 loss. Philadelphia is 3-1 last 4 times when off a home loss. The Braves are 0-3 last 3 times they entered a game on a winning streak of 2 or more games. As for the pitchers, Anderson continues to struggle for the Braves and has allowed at least 4 runs in 5 of last 7 starts. Also, he keeps getting hit at a higher batting average month by month as April to May to June the averages keep getting uglier. Conversely, Nola has been throwing extremely well for the Phillies and he is known for pitching particularly well at home where he has compiled a fantastic won-loss record through the years. More of the same expected here. 9* PHILADELPHIA -150 |
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06-29-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:07 ET - Yesterday's game snuck over the total late but this has the look of a pitchers duel and, even if these pitchers do not go, I like the under in this game. Took some late-inning magic for yesterday's game to sneak over the total and I feel we now have value here on the under as a result. Pivetta had a rough April for Boston but he has been a different pitcher ever since. The right-hander has allowed a TOTAL of just 14 runs in his 10 starts dating back to early May. He averaged 6.8 innings in those two starts also. Pivetta is 8-1 in his last 9 starts. Manoah is 9-2 this season with a 2.05 ERA. Keep in mind, he also went 9-2 last season! In home starts he has a 1.94 ERA and in night games he is 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA. Runs will be at a premium in this one. Red Sox had been held to 2 or less runs scored in 5 of last 11 road games before getting late runs yesterday in a wild 6-5 loss. 10* UNDER 8.5 in Toronto |
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06-29-22 | Padres -132 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play San Diego Padres Money Line -130 @ Arizona Diamondbacks @ 3:40 ET - No matter who the starting pitchers end up being in this one, I love the road favorite. San Diego blew a 6-0 lead late in yesterday's game and went on to lose the game 7-6. They are sure to bounce back here! The expected starters are an improving Clevinger against a struggling Bumgarner. Also, Clevinger and Bumgarner just squared off at San Diego and the Padres hurler was definitely the sharper of the two. Clevinger appears to be getting strong since his return from Tommy John surgery. Conversely, Bumgarner has allowed 32 hits in the 20 innings spanning his last 4 starts on the mound. Again these are the expected starters and like this play no matter what. But some other notes about this one are that San Diego is 17-8 versus left-handed starters and Arizona is 6-16 in divisional games. Padres 24-15 in road games and 26-12 against teams with a losing record on the season. Diamondbacks are below .500 at home this season and are 14-26 this season against teams with a winning record. 10* SAN DIEGO -130 |
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06-28-22 | Red Sox +129 v. Blue Jays | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Red Sox +130 @ Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:07 ET - So Toronto rolled to a 7-2 win yesterday but lets not forget how hot the Red Sox had been. Boston entered yesterday's game having won 19 of 23 games. Boston is an incredible 12-1 the last 13 times they have entered a game off a loss. That said, I like this bounce back spot regardless of the starting pitchers (make this bet with action) but also will add some comments on the expected starters here. Michael Wacha has been fantastic for the Red Sox. He is 6-1 with a 2.34 ERA on the season and opponents are hitting just .205 against him. I know the Blue Jays Ross Stripling also has some decent numbers on the season but he has been far less consistent and has been in and out of the starters role. In his last 3 home starts he has allowed 14 hits in just 10 and 1/3 innings. More of the same expected here and, again, this is a play on team situation not a starting pitching play. The fact is love Red Sox in bounce back spot and, as for the hosts, Toronto is 3-8 last 11 times when off a win. Blue Jays were just 3-7 last 10 games prior to yesterday's win. 10* BOSTON +130 |
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06-28-22 | Braves v. Phillies -110 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - I like the Phillies no matter the pitchers here as they have the home field edge and I love the contrarian factor as, sure enough, they have already won the first couple games since Harper suffered the hand fracture. As for the Braves, they have cooled off and are 5-5 last 10 games and are not as strong on the road as they are at home. Now, about those expected starters Wheeler has dominated at home (1.49 ERA) and in night games (1.79 ERA) while Morton has struggled on the road (5.63 ERA) and in night games (6.03 ERA). Morton also was hit very hard when he faced the Phillies earlier this season and that was at home. It is unlikely to be any easier facing them in Philly. The price is very low on the home team because Bryce Harper is now out and everyone is writing off the Phillies but there is a lot to like in this one and we'll grab the favorable line. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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06-27-22 | Twins -125 v. Guardians | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play Minnesota Twins Money Line -125 @ Cleveland Guardians @ 7:10 ET - I trust the Twins more than the Guardians here and I like Sonny Gray over Tristan Mckenzie. These pitchers each struggled in their last start and that was against the same teams they will be facing in this rematch today. I do expect Gray has the much better chance to bounce back than Mckenzie but just will say that I do like this play regardless of the pitching match-up. But Gray had a 2.09 ERA and a .184 opponents batting average on the season prior to struggling against the Guardians in last start. He had not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start this season and had allowed a total of just 1 earned run in each of 3 prior starts. Conversely, McKenzie now has a 5.40 ERA this month. Also, the Twins have won 3 of 4 games and allowed an average of only 1 run per game. The Guardians are just 10-17 this season against teams with a winning record. Also, Cleveland has scored an average of only 2 runs per game last 4 games and lost all 4 of them. Just don't see the Guardians scoring enough to keep up with the Twins here. 10* MINNESOTA -125 |
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06-27-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:07 ET - I know that the Blue Jays Gausman carries a certain reputation with the betting markets but there is a reason this total opened up at a 9.5 in most books. Gausman has struggled at home this season and the Red Sox have been one of the hottest teams in the league and have been hot at the plate. The Jays are also such a strong hitting team and particularly at home and that is why I love this total no matter the starting pitchers. Make this play with action as the Red Sox are starting Seabold and, though he has been good at the AAA level this season, pitching in the bigs and on the road is an entirely different situation. Seabold has only one MLB start in his career and will have his hands full with a Toronto team that has averaged scoring 6 runs per game last 14 games. The Red Sox have won 11 of 13 games and scored an average of 6 runs last 10 victories. The bats rule the day in this one. 10* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -114 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche Money Line -114 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:15 ET - The Avalanche are 4-0 last 4 times when entering a game off a loss. Also, the Avs are 8-1 in road games in this post-season. Colorado has dominated shots on goal in this series and that continues here. The Avalanche just too much for a Lightning team that doesn't have the same level of talent on offense. Vasilevskiy fantastic in goal for the Bolts but Avs also have been getting good goaltending and the better team in terms of offensive output will prove to be too much here. 10* COLORADO -114 |
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06-26-22 | Dodgers -115 v. Braves | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Money Line -115 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:08 ET - The Dodgers lost yesterday's game 5-3 but this followed a run of 4 straight wins and 7 of last 9 games. That is why, regardless of who the starting pitchers end up being, I love LA in this match-up. The Dodgers are expected to start Tony Gonsolin here and he is having a phenomenal season and has proven very tough to hit time and time again. He is 7-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his 10 night game starts and he is 19-5 overall in his career and opponents are hitting just .150 against him this season. The Braves did get the win yesterday but his was on the heels of a mediocre 4-4 stretch. Yes, Atlanta is having a solid season but the Dodgers still the better team. Also, the expected starter here for the Braves is Spencer Strider. He struggled in his most recent start at home and he has a 4.84 ERA in his outings at home this season. Overall he has struggled at times since moving from the bullpen to the starters role and now he faces one of the best teams in the league. The road team takes this one. 10* LA DODGERS -115 |
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06-26-22 | Blue Jays v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET - I am going with, as usual, action on the pitchers. But I will mention that Jose Berrios is a big name pitcher but so often he struggles on the road. That has been a problem for much of his career and this season has been no different. In four of his last six starts including his most recent one, he allowed at least 5 earned runs. He is likely to struggle here more than you might expect even though the Brewers are not known for scoring big runs. Note that the Brewers are expected to start Chi Chi Gonzalez here and he is 9-24 with a 5.71 ERA in his career. He has not been good in his limited action this season either as he has a 7.36 ERA so far. Brewers got the 5-4 win yesterday and, even with that loss, the road team has averaged scoring 6 runs per game last 13 games. No matter the pitchers I expect Toronto to resume high-scoring ways and the Brewers have produced an average of 5 runs per game last 11 games. Don't be surprised if each team gets to 5 runs in a wild one today. 10* OVER 9.5 in Milwaukee |
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06-25-22 | Toronto +5.5 v. BC | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - The Lions are off a bye week and they rolled 59 to 15 in Week 1 but are they really that good? Or is Edmonton just that bad? The Elks were plagued by turnovers in that game and BC will face a much tougher test this week with the Argonauts in town. Toronto had a bye in Week 1 so that negates some of the Lions rest edge here. There is truly not a big edge in terms of rest as a result. That said, like getting the points here with a scrappy Argos team that is facing a bit of an over-rated BC team in this one. Lions are going to be better this season than last season but this line has gone from around a 3 to a 5.5 and this is excellent line value on the under-valued road dog in this one. 10* TORONTO +5.5 |
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06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - The Elks are so bad defensively and then you look at all the points the Stampeders have given up this season and you can see how this one should play out. This should be an absolutely shootout with both offensive units on full display and we get some added value because Edmonton's game last week stayed under the total. Lets not forget the Elks are allowing 42.5 points per game this season and the Stampeders first two games both have gone over the total. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 48.5 in Calgary |
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06-25-22 | Blue Jays v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 4:10 ET - We get a low total here because of the pitchers in this match-up. Particularly Burnes of the Brewers carries a lot of respect. However, the key to this play is the Blue Jays have been so hot at the plate I feel strongly that they can hit anyone right now. I am going with, as usual, action on the pitchers. But I will mention that before Burnes last start, which was a good one at home, he actually had allowed 12 runs (10 earned) in the 14 innings spanning his last 3 home starts. He will struggle here more than you might expect. So we take advantage of the low total of 8 in this one. Note that the Blue Jays are expected to start Kikuchi here and he has not been great this season plus is winless with a 7.11 ERA in his 4 day game starts this season. Brewers look to bounce back off a 9-4 loss yesterday to these same Jays but the road team stays red hot. 10* OVER 8 in Milwaukee |
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06-25-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 2:10 ET - Watkins has a 6.00 ERA and Lynn has a 5.79 ERA so far this season. I know has been limited action for each so far but the fact is I don't expect either to be at 100% just yet plus this play has a lot to do with the lineups and they will bounce back after yesterday's low-scoring game let us down. 10 of last 15 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 12 Orioles road games have totaled 10 or more runs. Slugfest time on a mild afternoon at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like 7 of Chicago's last 9 home games, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-24-22 | Phillies -120 v. Padres | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 @ San Diego Padres @ 9:40 ET - The Padres have lost 4 of 7 and are mediocre 16-14 last 30 games. The Phillies 16-5 last 21 games. Regardless of starting pitchers, I like the hotter team at a great price in this match-up. Will mention that the expected starters are Nola and Gore. Note that Gore has allowed 14 earned runs in his last two starts spanning just 6 and 1/3 innings. As for Nola, he has been charged with a total of just 3 earned runs in 31 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 4 road starts. Overall he has off to a great start this season and Nola rates the edge over Gore here. The key though is not the pitchers, rather it is the fact we have the hotter team that has also been scoring a pile of runs last 20 games! Also, the Phils have had Bryce Harper back in the lineup last two games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
Friday CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4.5 or +5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Revenge game for the Tiger-Cats as they lost the Grey Cup to Winnipeg last year. Not only that, Hamilton also lost the Grey Cup in the prior season played (2019) and that makes this a double-revenge spot for the Ti-Cats. Yes it is now Dane Evans at QB rather than Jeremiah Masoli for Hamilton but I do feel he is settling in nicely. Also, this is similar situation to last night's play on Montreal which won 37 to 13. Here we have an 0-2 underdog against a 2-0 favorite and I like the extra hunger that will mean for this highly motivated Tiger-Cats team. Also, the Blue Bombers are indeed 2-0 this season but they were outgained in both games and are down big in the yardage differential department so far this year. In other words, though Winnipeg is indeed a good team, they have been fortunate, to say the least, early this season and we take advantage with the substantial value being offered to the underdog. 10* HAMILTON +4.5 or +5 |
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06-24-22 | Lightning +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-2 | Win | 163 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +163 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - Pretty amazing that Tampa Bay could be up 3-1 in this series and yet are down 3-1 but are now catching a big underdog price in this one. Lightning lost Game 1 in OT and now Game 4 in OT and that is the only reason this series is 3-1 Avs instead of 3-1 Bolts. Colorado is a strong team for sure but they are very over-valued here and the play of Andrei Vasilveskiy in goal has been huge for them in the past two games. Truly the Avs goals on him in Game 4 including some fortunate bounces. That said, I am sure the stellar netminder, when he is in the zone like he has been now, can come into Denver and help the Bolts steal this game on the road. Tampa Bay is 9-2 the last 11 times they entered a game off a loss. With the Avs win at TB Wednesday, the road team has taken 8 of the last 13 Colorado games. Also, though Brayden Point is likely again out for the Lightning, they are 11-2 in the last 13 games he has missed in this post-season. The value is off the charts here and I look for the defending champs to get up off the mat, at least one more time, to live to fight another day as they stay alive with a big upset in Game 5 Friday. 10* TAMPA BAY +163 |
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06-24-22 | Blue Jays -133 v. Brewers | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays Money Line -135 @ Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:10 ET - I like the road team here no matter the starting pitchers so this is a play either way. However, I will mention that the Blue Jays are 10-4 last 14 road games while the Brewers are just 2-8 last 10 home games. As for the expected starting pitchers here, we'll start with the Blue Jays Manoah. He is now an incredible 17-4 in his career and he has a 2.00 ERA this season and he is 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his night game starts this season. The Brewers expected starter is Adrian Houser and he is off a win in most recent start but this followed losing 5 straight decisions in a 7 start stretch. Also, even with victory in most recent start, Houser has allowed 12 earned runs in less than 15 innings spanning his last 3 starts. Look for the road team to get it done here. 10* TORONTO -135 |
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06-24-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Michael Kopech has great numbers this season but actually is off a bit of a rough start which followed him leaving his prior start in the 1st inning with knee discomfort. In other words, he may not be 100% and it sure appears that way. The White Sox right-hander has been hit hard in recent road starts and now he just does not seem to be 100% and I feel the Orioles will take full advantage. The issue for Baltimore is that Austin Voth is struggling and this has been out of the bullpen. In his career he has been a starter and a reliever but not much success at either with a 5.61 ERA in his career. Voth getting hit at a .372 clip this season and and now faces a White Sox team that had 9 hits yesterday but went 1 of 9 with runners in scoring position and left 11 men on base as they were shutout. The Sox had their chances for sure and that will again be the case here and, by the way, the Orioles did pound out 10 hits in yesterday's win. 10 of last 14 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 11 Orioles road games have totaled 10 or more runs. Slugfest time on a mild evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like 7 of Chicago's last 8 home games, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-23-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Johnny Cueto has struggled in his 3 home appearances and is winless with a 5.60 ERA at home. The White Sox right-hander has been hit hard overall at home and I feel the Orioles will take full advantage. The issue for Baltimore is that even though Dean Kremer has surprisingly good numbers early this season it has been in limited action and lets not forget 2021. Last season, Kremer went 0-7 with a 7.55 ERA in 13 starts and that sample size of 13 certainly carries more weight than his 3 starts this season. I know his overall numbers are good in limited action this season but lets not forget that he is 2-9 with a 6.06 ERA in his career. 10 of last 13 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 10 Orioles road games have totaled 10 or more runs. Slugfest time on a mild evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like each of Chicago's last 7 home games, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +3.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +3.5 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - The Alouettes have a two day rest edge here compared to the Roughriders. Also, the Als have the home field edge. Montreal is off B2B tight losses to start the season. Extra hunger here for the 0-2 host facing a 2-0 Saskatchewan team. We get line value with as many as 3.5 points available for this one and looking at statistical factors, these teams are much more evenly matched than their records would suggest. Turnovers have been the difference early this season and now we take advantage of the added line value as a result of those factors. 10* MONTREAL +3.5 |
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06-23-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs St Louis Cardinals @ 2:10 ET - This is a classic contrarian play as the total looked funny to me right away. The Cardinals Hudson has a 3.31 ERA and Alexander has a 2.42 ERA for the Brewers and yet this total is as high as a 9.5 this morning. This one jumped off the page at me and I will not hesitate to get involved and do not care who the starting pitchers end up being for this one. The Cardinals Hudson has a higher ERA on the road and in day games. The Brewers Alexander has a 2.42 ERA but opponents are hitting .330 against him in his 4 starts this season. The last 2 games of this series hit 8 and 9 runs respectively after a pitchers duel in the first game. However, prior to this series, 7 of last 8 Cardinals games had reached double digits in runs. Also, the Brewers bullpen has not been as strong this season and they have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of last 9 home games. Given all of the above, and the fact Brewers need a bounce back win here in order to move back into a first place tie in the division, I am looking for a 6-5 type game here. 9* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Milwaukee |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -103 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -105 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - After the Lightning got destroyed 7-0 in Game 2 of this series following a tight OT loss in Game 1, they responded with a huge 6-2 win in Game 3. Tampa Bay is now 7-0 / 100% PERFECT L7 home games in this post-season. Indeed, the Bolts have won 8 straight games this post-season on home ice. The combined score of those 8 home ice playoff wins is 33-13. In other words they have not just been squeaking by in these home victories, they have been dominating. I have no hesitation in now testing a perfect situation here. I like our chances in this spot for the defending champs to stand up strong here once again as Vasilevskiy continues to be so strong on home ice and they now climb all the way back into this series by making it 2-2 after Wednesday's game is in the books. 10* Tampa Bay -105 |
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06-22-22 | Phillies -130 v. Rangers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 @ Texas Rangers @ 4:05 ET - This is a case of hot versus not so make this bet with "action" on pitchers. Even off Tuesday's surprising shutout loss, the Phillies have won 15 of 19 games. The Rangers, prior to Tuesday's shocking shutout win, had lost 4 of 6 games and 11 of 18 games. Wheeler is the expected starter for Phillies here and he has been dominating ever since late April. Wheeler is 6-0 in his last 9 starts and has allowed a total of just 9 earned runs in those 9 starts. Wheeler is going to bring his A game here and that should be too much for this Rangers team that just is not on the same level as the Phillies. I know that Jon Gray, the expected starter for Texas here has some decent numbers on the season. However, he has been rocked in 2 of his last 3 starts against Philadelphia and that includes one this season. Also, the Phillies are 21-13 against teams with a losing record. The Rangers are still just 15-18 at home and only 14-19 against teams with a winning record this season. Better team with a highly exceptional pitcher and fading a weaker team that has not been nearly as hot of late...it all adds up to an excellent value spot in my opinion. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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06-22-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Lucas Giolito has struggled in his last 4 starts and is having a rough June. The White Sox right-hander has been hit very hard overall in recent starts and I feel the Blue Jays will take full advantage. Giolito has allowed 23 runs (20 earned) over his last 20 and 2/3 innings. The issue for Toronto is that Ross Stripling has a 4.97 ERA in day games this season and I know his overall numbers are good but lets not forget that he also went 5-7 with a 4.80 ERA last season and 3-3 with a 5.84 ERA the year before. 8 of Blue Jays last 9 games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 12 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! Slugfest time on a warm afternoon at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like yesterday's game, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-22-22 | Mets v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs New York Mets @ 2:10 ET - The Astros are heating up again and starting to hit better during this stretch as well. Houston has scored an average of nearly 8 runs per victory in the 6-2 run their last 8 games. The Mets also are a very solid hitting club and had been quite hot at the plate before getting shutdown in yesterday's 8-2 loss. They are hitting .261 on the season and only the Rockies have a higher team batting average and Colorado plays their home games at Coors Field so, without that factor, New York would surely be topping the majors in this category. Solid hitting team and scoring an average of 5 runs per game this season. The pitchers are NOT the most important factor here as this is a play no matter the starting pitchers but I will mention that Carlos Carrasco has a 5.18 ERA on the road this season and opponents are hitting almost .300 against him away from home. Also, Luis Garcia has a 5.14 ERA in home games. 10* OVER 8.5 in Houston |
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06-21-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Dylan Cease has struggled in night games and has not been as sharp in a number of home starts this season. The White Sox right-hander has also been hit quite hard overall in recent starts and I feel the Blue Jays will take full advantage. The issue for Toronto is that Kevin Gausman has been getting hit very hard of late and essentially has been roughed up in 3 of his last 4 starts and one of those was against these White Sox. 7 of Blue Jays last 8 games have totaled 11 or more runs! 8 of last 11 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! Slugfest time on a warm evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like yesterday's game, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-21-22 | Phillies +108 v. Rangers | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +110 @ Texas Rangers @ 8:05 ET - Feel we have the starting pitching edge here too but the pitchers are not the most relevant factor here. This is a case of hot versus not so make this bet with "action" on pitchers. Even off Sunday's surprising loss, the Phillies have won 15 of 18 games. The Rangers have now lost 4 of last 6 games and 11 of last 18 games. Gibson is the expected starter for Phillies here and he is going against a former team for the first time since he left Texas in mid-season last year. You know the veteran hurler is going to bring his A game here and that should be too much for this Rangers team that just is not on the same level as the Phillies. I know that Perez, the expected starter for Texas here has great numbers on the season. However, he has been rocked for 27 hits in 18 innings so far in the month of June. Also, the Phillies are 13-8 against southpaws and 7-4 in interleague games and 21-12 against teams with a losing record. The Rangers are just 14-18 at home and 13-19 against teams with a winning record this season. Better team with a highly motivated pitcher and fading a pitcher who has been very hittable this month and fading a weaker team that has not been nearly as hot of late...it all adds up to an excellent underdog spot in my opinion. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -106 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -105 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - The Lightning just got destroyed 7-0 in Game 2 of this series after a tight OT loss in Game 1. Tampa Bay is 4-0 / 100% PERFECT this season when off a shutout loss. Also, the Bolts have won 7 straight games this post-season on home ice. The combined score of those 7 wins is 27-11. In other words we are testing a double perfect situation here and one of those situations is one that has not lost all season for TB. I like our chances here for the defending champs to stand up strong here to climb back into the series and make it 2-1 after Monday's game is in the books. 10* Tampa Bay -105 |
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06-20-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitches but I will mention that Lance Lynn got hit very hard in his season debut last week. The White Sox right-hander also compiled a 9.00 ERA in his minor league rehab starts so my point is that he is just not ready yet and I feel the Blue Jays will take full advantage. The issue for Toronto is that Jose Berrios is known for struggling more on the road than at home. That has been the case again this season as he has a 5.97 ERA in his 7 road starts. Year after year this is a pattern for Berrios quite consistently throughout his career. 6 of Blue Jays last 7 games have totaled 11 or more runs! 7 of last 10 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! Slugfest time on a warm evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. 10* OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-20-22 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 or 8 in New York Mets vs Miami Marlins @ 1:10 ET - No matter the pitchers here I am expecting good run-scoring from two very capable lineups on a warm afternoon in New York. The Mets are off a loss in which they scored just two runs but they had won 15 of 21 games before that defeat and scored an average of 7 runs per game in the 7 victories. The total on this game has dropped into the 7.5 or 8 range and 15 of the Marlins last 23 games have totaled at least 8 runs. Like the total regardless of starting pitchers but will mention that the Marlins Rogers continues to struggle and he has allowed 19 earned runs in 21 and 1/3 innings over his last 5 starts. The Mets Peterson has allowed 11 earned runs in 13 and 2/3 innings over his last 3 home starts. 10* OVER 7.5 or 8 in New York Mets |
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06-19-22 | White Sox +162 v. Astros | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox +160 @ Houston Astros @ 7:08 ET - This play is all about the line value regardless of starting pitchers here. I will mention that Javier has strong numbers for Astros but he has faced a lot of weak lineups - more on strength of schedule in a minute. As for Kopech, he will be fresh and ready to go after exiting his last start for precautionary reasons (knee). He was pronounced fine and did fine in his bullpen session Thursday and he has absolutely dominated hitters this season. So, about the value here, the Astros have played so few games (15) against teams with a winning record this season that it is phenomenal. To put that in proper perspective, every other team in the AL West Division has at least 32 games against winning teams and the White Sox have 35 games against winning teams. The point is that Houston is a solid team for sure but they are over-rated right now. There is simply too much value to pass up on here. With yesterday's 7-0 win, Chicago has won 4 of 5 and 8 of 13. Also, in last 9 games they have averaged 6.7 runs scored per game! Houston has lost 7 of 13 games. Houston has been held to 4 runs scored or less in 8 of last 11 games. Road upset time here. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX +160 |
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06-19-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 12.5 in Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres @ 3:10 ET - Regardless of pitchers (I will mention them below), I am taking the over in this spot no matter who starts. That's because we have ideal conditions on a warm afternoon in Denver and with the wind blowing out. The Rockies got a narrow win yesterday and the game stayed under the total but the Padres bats have been so hot - including coming alive at Wrigley Field earlier this week in conditions similar to this - that I am expecting an explosion at the plate today. Colorado starter Senzatela has a .382 batting average against in home games. The Rockies right-hander has been hit a crazy .453 batting average against in day games. San Diego should be crushing the ball here but don't be surprised if the Rockies do also. Padres starter just faced Colorado but that was at home. Now he faces them at Coors Field where he got destroyed in most recent road start against this Rockies team. All factors pointing to a wild one here as it is a hitter-friendly day game at the most hitter-friendly ballpark in the majors. 10* OVER 12.5 in Colorado |
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06-18-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - These are the perfect type of set-ups I like to look for when it comes to an over. Edmonton has a leaky defense and allowed 59 points last week at BC. The Elks are back home and their offense will respond after moving the ball but having too many turnovers last week. As for Saskatchewan, they are on the road now and coming off a huge win over a Hamilton team that was playing for the Grey Cup in November! In other words, that was a huge win for the Riders and their defense gave a massive effort at home and now they go on the road to face an Elks team that is off to a horrific start and had a horrible season last year too. In other words, this is the perfect set-up for a flat-footed performance from the Riders defense. So Elks offense bounces back and Riders offense responds against a bad defense as the game goes on and "Voila" the perfect set up for a high-scoring game comes to fruition. 10* OVER 49.5 in Edmonton |
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06-18-22 | Lightning +138 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line +135 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Lightning are 8-0 the last 8 times they were off a loss in which they allowed 5 or less goals. Keep in mind, the 4-3 OT loss saw the Bolts dig out of an early 3-1 hole. I liked the response from Tampa Bay after falling behind early and I like the fact they played more their style of game the final two periods of the hockey game before losing in overtime. I know the Avalanche are a great team and have been red hot but Tampa has won B2B cups for a reason! Look for their streak to make it 9 in a row here when in this situation! 10* TAMPA BAY +135 |
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06-18-22 | Calgary v. Hamilton -115 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats Money Line -115 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 6:30 ET - Love the setup here with Calgary off a hard-fought time win over Montreal and Hamilton off an ugly loss at Saskatchewan. Now the Ti-Cats are at home and the Stamps are on the road. Hamilton went 4-2 against the West last season and Calgary went just 2-2 against the East last season. Also, the Tiger-Cats did go 5-2 in home games last season. With this line coming down to a -1 we can get the money line in nearly a pick'em range so that is the way to play this one in my opinion. 10* HAMILTON -115 |
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06-18-22 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 4:35 ET - Historically Nola has been a better pitchers at home than on the road. He is a rock solid pitcher for sure and I know he is capable of dominating a team in any given outing. However, I think this Nationals team is going to be tough on him on their home field. They hit him hard in both meetings here last season. As for Washington's Gray, he held the Phillies in check the first time he faced them last year but then they pounded him in the 2nd meeting. Also, just as Nola has had some struggles in this venue, Gray is struggling at home this season with a 2-4 mark and 7.14 ERA. Yesterday's game two flew over the total and game one arguably should have gone over the total as well. The fact the teams played a double header yesterday also weakens the bullpens. That said, I like the over in this match-up regardless of the starting pitching match-up. The Phillies have been red hot and scoring well during their on fire streak. The Nats have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game last 13 home games. Philadelphia has won 14 of 16 games and scored 6.5 runs per game in this stretch. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington |
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06-18-22 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 4:05 ET - Rays lost 1-0 yesterday but Tampa Bay had scored at least 5 runs in each of last 5 games versus the Orioles and had actually averaged scoring 6 runs in those games. Also, the Baltimore had been red hot at the plate before getting shut down (but winning the game 1-0) yesterday. In fact, the over is still 14-3-1 their last 18 games even after yesterday's surprising. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 15 games. The Rays just got shut down by the Yankees in a series in the Bronx but will bounce back here against much weaker pitching. Yes they did not happen yesterday but they will get to Kyle Bradish today. In fact, I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams had been swinging the bats (the series in New York will prove to be an aberration for Tampa Bay) plus the Orioles bullpen has had its share of struggles. I will mention however that the expected starter for Tampa Bay here is Jeffrey Springs and he has been hot but the Orioles getting another look at him in a starting situation will help and their lineup has been hot. Bradish is the scheduled starter for the Orioles and he is 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA this season and the Rays should pound the rookie at the plate as he has struggled over his last 5 starts and that included an outing versus TB. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story in this afternoon match-up. 10* OVER 8 in Baltimore |
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06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - These teams just met last week in the season opener and Ottawa gave Winnipeg all they could handle. However, the Redblacks managed just 17 points despite new QB Masoli throwing for 380 yards. The way I see the rematch playing out in Ottawa is that the hosts will again pile up big yardage but this time the points will match it. However, can you really doubt the defending champion Blue Bombers here? I don't think so and I absolutely feel this one turns into a back and forth high-scoring affair. Instead of a 19-17 final look for a 30-27 type game but as to who the winner is it looks like another tight finish in my book. That said, over is the play. 10* OVER 45.5 in Ottawa |
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06-17-22 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 6:05 ET - After getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays Monday, Baltimore bounced right back in a 6-5 win Tuesday and a 7-6 extra innings hit-fest loss Wednesday was followed by a 10-2 win yesterday at Toronto. This comes as no surprise as they have been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City too and the over is now 14-2-1 their last 17 games after yesterday's blowout win flew over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.6 runs per game last 14 games. The Rays just got shut down by the Yankees in a series in the Bronx but will bounce back here against much weaker pitching. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (the series in New York will prove to be an aberration for Tampa Bay) plus the Orioles bullpen has had its share of struggles. I will mention however that the expected starter for Tampa Bay here is Shane Baz and he struggled in his first start of 2022 last week. Dean Kremer is the scheduled starter for the Orioles and he is 2-9 with a 6.50 ERA in his MLB career. He has decent ERA in limited action this season but the damage could easily be worse based on how he actually performed on the mound and the Rays should pound him at the plate. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story in this early evening match-up. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 210 | Top | 103-90 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 210 in Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - The Warriors are now one step away from winning it all but you also know the Celtics are going to respond off B2B losses and now being back on their home floor. That said, I see no way this game does not find its way over the total. Golden State playing with so much confidence right now but Boston will ride a wave of emotion at home and score a ton of points in this one. Celtics had averaged 106.7 points per game at home in this playoffs before the Game 4 home loss in this series. Golden State averaging 112.3 points per game in the post-season. 10* OVER 210 in Boston |
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06-16-22 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 49.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Both meetings between these teams last season reached at least 53 points and now we have a total in the upper 40s for first match-up this season between these rivals. Keep in mind, scoring is expected to be up this season so this is a strong value. Montreal scored 27 points in week 1 despite 2 interceptions and turning the ball over 1 time on downs too. The Als issue this season, especially early on in my opinion, will be a defense with a lot of new faces. Toronto is also in the same boat in terms of a leaky defense in my opinion and though this is their first game of the new season I do expect the offense to do just fine. Rule changes are designed to help the offense this season and a match-up like this is conducive to offense. As we saw in Week 1 with two overs and two unders, you can not just blindly play overs that is for sure. But the scoring is expected to be up overall and this is the right match-up for another high-scoring game. 10* OVER 49.5 in Toronto |
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06-16-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 3:07 ET - After getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays Monday, Baltimore bounced right back in a 6-5 win Tuesday and a 7-6 extra inning loss Wednesday. This comes as no surprise as they have been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City and the over is now 13-2-1 their last 16 games after yesterday's tight loss went over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 13 games. The Blue Jays, after yesterday's one-run win, have gone over the total in 13 of last 17 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in Sunday's big win that stayed under the total. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (Monday having proven to be an aberration for Baltimore) plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly ERA north of 4.50 at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Kevin Gausman. I know he has a solid starter and has some good numbers this season but he has been hit hard particularly at home (.305 BAA) and in day games (.292 BAA) and plus he may be guilty here of trying to overdo it against his former team and that will lead to overthrowing and missed location with pitchers. He spent many seasons with Baltimore and could be trying to do "too much" here. By the way, there have only been 9 unders in the last 32 meetings between these AL East foes. Tyler Wells is the scheduled starter for the Orioles. He has solid overall numbers but struggled badly in day games and also in away games so the red hot Blue Jays should pound him at the plate. Wells has a 4.80 ERA in away games and a 5.63 ERA in day games. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story again this afternoon. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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06-16-22 | Padres v. Cubs OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres @ 2:20 ET - Yes Joe Musgrove has fantastic numbers this season. Truly phenomenal numbers for Musgrove on the year for the Padres. However, wind blowing out and another wild game expected at Wrigley Field. Action on pitchers as this one is all about the weather and the recent hot hitting but will also mention that the starter for the Cubs is expected to be Matt Swarmer. In 3 starts spanning 17 innings, Swarmer has allowed 9 homers! Whoever is on the mound for Chicago will be facing a Padres team that has erupted for 31 runs the past two games in this series! The Cubs have scored 5 runs in each of past two games! In other words look for a wild and crazy afternoon affair at Wrigley today with the wind blowing out plus hot temperatures! 10* OVER 10.5 in Chicago Cubs |
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06-15-22 | Lightning +150 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +150 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - This one falls into the rest versus rust factor. You might be thinking it is great that the Avalanche swept the Oilers and are so well-rested here. However, this will be their first live game action in over a week and that will be tough on Colorado. Conversely, the Bolts have an ideal amount of rest entering this game. Yes Tampa Bay had to battle hard to get by the Rangers in 6 games after dropping the first two games of the series. However, the Lighting will enter this game having full off days Sunday and Monday and Tuesday. That, unlike what the Avs had, is an ideal amount of rest. It is enough to rest up but not so much that a team is rusty. Also, TB has more recently been in intense game action and winning all those tight low-scoring games could serve the Lightning well right off the bat here. These are two great teams here and I am certainly not saying that TB is going to get a 3-peat. Lets not get ahead of ourselves. We have to see how things play out as the series gets going. But the points is I do feel this is a huge situational edge for the Lightning entering this series and I feel they have a great shot to steal game one on the road. Getting a +150 price on a dog that is the 2x defending champ and enters this game having won 10 of 12 games...yes, I'll take it! 10* TAMPA BAY +150 |
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06-15-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - After getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays Monday, Baltimore bounced right back in a 6-5 win Tuesday which comes as no surprise as they have been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City and the over is now 12-2-1 their last 15 games after yesterday's tight win went over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 12 games. The Blue Jays, after yesterday's one-run loss, have gone over the total in 12 of last 16 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in Sunday's big win that stayed under the total. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (Monday having proven to be an aberration for Baltimore) plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly ERA north of 4.50 at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Jose Berrios. I know he has some good numbers this season but he has struggled against left-handed hitters and he likely faces 4 of them in the Orioles lineup. Berrios also did struggle a bit the last time he hosted Baltimore. By the way, there have only been 9 unders in the last 31 meetings between these AL East foes. Bruce Zimmerman is the scheduled starter for the Orioles. He has struggled badly and so the Blue Jays should pound him at the plate. Zimmerman has a 6.89 ERA in away games and a 6.51 ERA in night games. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story again tonight. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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06-15-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 vs Miami Marlins @ 1:05 ET - Looks like Gibson is going to start for the Phillies and Lopez will be scratched for the Marlins with a wrist issue. Regardless of the starters here, I like the Phillies to bounce back after blowing an 8-4 lead in yesterday's game. After then regaining the lead at 9-8, the Phillies imploded in the top of the 9th and lost. They will bounce back here. They are at home where Gibson has been strong this season but, again, regardless of pitchers, I like Philadelphia here. The Marlins are still just 13-18 in road games this season. Also, the Phillies are 10-2 last dozen games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - Prior to getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays yesterday, Baltimore had been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City and the over is now 11-2-1 their last 14 games after yesterday's blowout loss flew over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.2 runs per game last 11 games. The Blue Jays, after yesterday's blowout win, have gone over the total in 11 of last 15 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in Sunday's big win that stayed under the total. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (yesterday will prove to be an aberration for Baltimore) plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly ERA north of 4.50 at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Jordan Lyles. The over is 2-0 in his last 2 starts and he has an 8.16 ERA in his last 3 outings and an ugly 6.69 ERA in his 7 road starts this season. There have only been 9 unders in the last 30 meetings between these AL East foes. Yusei Kikuchi is the scheduled starter for the Blue Jays. He has struggled badly and so the Orioles should bounce right back at the plate. Kikuchi has a 7.83 ERA last 3 starts and all have resulted in an over. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story tonight. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in St Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 1:15 ET (Game 1 of 2) - This is first game of doubleheader and will be a hot afternoon game in St Louis with wind likely blowing out toward left center and I like the over no matter who the starting pitchers are in this game. Make this bet with action on the pitchers. The Pirates are expected to start Brubaker and he is 0-6 with a 4.60 ERA in his dozen starts this season. The Cardinals are expected to start Liberatore and he has been hit hard in 2 of his 3 starts this season and allowed 3 homers in most recent outing. None of his three starts have resulted in an under and the last two have been overs. I know that the Pirates are not known for offense but yesterday's 7-5 Cardinals win is a sign of things to come in this series. Neither team's bullpen has been particularly strong and the Cards have allowed 5.3 runs per game last 3 games and Pirates have allowed 7.3 runs per game last 3 games. 10* OVER 9.5 in St Louis (Game 1 of 2) |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +150 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +150 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - This is perfect spot for Celtics to grab another game in this series on the road. The Celtics are 8-3 SU in road games in the post-season plus are 7-3 SU last 10 versus the Warriors including a rock solid 4-1 SU last 5 at Golden State and you have the perfect set up for an upset here. No points needed. No team has won B2B games yet in this series and this should not be a huge surprise because both teams are so good at bouncing back off losses. The Warriors are now 8-0 SU when off a loss after bouncing back in the Game 4 win. As for the Celtics, they enter this game on a 9-0 / 100% SU run when entering a game off a loss. I know the Warriors were the better team in the 4th quarter of Game 4 but overall the Celtics have been an amazing 4th quarter team of late and I expect a big response here from Boston on the road. As noted above, they have been so strong on the road overall in this post-season and, again, they have also been phenomenal when off a loss. 9-0 last 9 and I am expecting the streak to reach 10 in a row so will go with the money line here. 10* BOSTON +150 |
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06-13-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - I am upset with myself that I chose an NL total for my big play yesterday instead of again riding the Orioles as they continue to trend over. That turned what could have been a 2-1 day into a 1-2 day and I will not make the same mistake today. I know Manoah has pitched very well for the Blue Jays but Baltimore is feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 yesterday and the over is now 10-2-1 their last 13 games. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.6 runs per game last 10 games. The Blue Jays, despite an under yesterday, have gone over the total in 10 of last 14 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in yesterday's big win. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly 4.68 ERA at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Kyle Bradish. The over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and he has an 8.17 ERA in those outings and an ugly 6.45 ERA in his 8 starts this season. There have only been 9 unders in the last 29 meetings between these AL East foes. We get a low total because Mahoah is the scheduled starter for the Blue Jays. Over his last 3 starts he had one with a 1.50 WHIP, one at home in which he allowed 3 earned runs, and his start before that he allowed 2 homers. In other words, he has been solid but not unhittable. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups stay red hot. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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06-12-22 | Brewers v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 1:35 ET - The Nationals won 8-6 yesterday. It was yet another high-scoring game for Washington and the over is now 6-2 last 8 in Nats games. Milwaukee is expected to start Jason Alexander here. I know he has solid numbers in limited action thus far this season but he was very fortunate last start as he walked 2 and gave up 7 hits for 9 baserunners in 5 innings yet he allowed only 1 earned run. Alexander's good fortune runs out here as the Nationals have scored an average of 8 runs per game last 6 home games! Overall the over is 14-6 last 20 Washington games. The Brewers are not known for high-scoring games yet the over is on an 11-4 run last 15 games after yet another high-scoring loss yesterday. Milwaukee should enjoy plenty of success at the plate as whether it is Lee who gets the start or Espino, neither has been a starter long-term this season. Espino has been working out of the pen and Evan Lee is a rookie. No matter the starting pitchers here, I am playing the over as both bullpens have been shaky of late and the recent over trending for both these clubs fully supports this play as well. 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |
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06-12-22 | A's v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland A's @ 11:35 AM ET - Sometimes all it takes is one to get a team going. The A's had been struggling to score runs and had been mired in a losing streak but I look for yesterday's 10-5 win to give them a jolt and get them going again at the plate. At the same time, I do expect the Guardians to respond here at home. That is why I like the over here no matter who the pitchers are. Cleveland is 9-3 last 12 games and has scored an average of 5 runs in these dozen games. The A's are expected to start lefty Cole Irvin and the Guardians have had just 6 unders in last 18 games versus a southpaw starter. Oakland enters this game with just 2 unders last 9 games. Cleveland expected to start Cal Quantrill and he allowed 2 homers in most recent start as did Irvin. Regardless of starting pitchers here I like taking advantage of the low total here in this early day game Sunday given the situation being absolutely conducive to a high-scoring game in my opinion. 10* OVER 7.5 in Cleveland |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 48 | Top | 15-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - These teams are both coming off rough seasons and it had a lot to do with not being able to stop the opposition. Note that the BC Lions allowed 25 points per game last season and Elks allowed 27 points per game! Couple that with the fact that some rule changes were made coming into this season that are supposed to improve point production plus the fact that Edmonton wants to play fast and you have a great set up for an over here. The Elks and Lions both want to be very aggressive in the passing attack and that emphasis should help lead to a shootout here. Each team has some unproven areas defensively and I expect the quarterbacks to be successful in attacking those weaknesses. Look for an absolute shootout with a raucous atmosphere at BC Place in Vancouver for this one. Huge crowd expected and an electric atmosphere. Big scoring rules the night in this one. 10* OVER 48 in BC |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +167 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +167 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - As long-time followers know I am a contrarian. Everyone will be lining up on Tampa Bay here to close this series out. However, the Rangers have been "right there" with the Lightning throughout this series and this is a tremendous value spot for New York getting huge plus money on the money line. Yes the home team had dominated this series but that ended when the Bolts scored late in Game 5 to steal a game on the road. Look for a similar result here as now it is the Rangers turn to steal one and that will set us up for an incredible Game 7 which is exactly what this hard-fought series deserves. New York has been a fantastic team all season long when off B2B losses and now they've lost 3 straight for just the 3rd time this season. Note: the Rangers have NOT lost 4 straight this entire season! That trend continues here as the big road dog staves off elimination. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +167 |
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06-11-22 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles @ 4:10 ET - The Orioles have gone over the total to the tune of 8-2-1 last 11 games despite yesterday's 8-1 loss staying just under the total of 9.5 runs! Regardless of who the starting pitchers are here on Saturday I like the over. The fact each team reached double digits in hits Thursday is a good sign the lineups are in sync right now. The Orioles struggled at the plate yesterday but will bounce right back today. The Royals now have scored at least 7 runs in 3 straight games to get back on track and the Orioles have one shutout win last 11 games but have allowed an average of 6 runs per game the other 10 games. Baltimore has one shutout loss the last 10 games but has averaged scoring 5 runs per game the other 9 games. The Orioles are expected to start Tyler Wells here and he is off a road win but Baltimore was 0-5 in his road starts prior to that one this season and he had an ERA of 5+ on the road prior to that rare strong effort! Kansas City is expected to start Daniel Lynch and the Royals are 1-3 in his 4 home starts this season. Lynch has struggled and has an unimpressive 1.54 WHIP as a starter this season plus an 8.40 ERA last 3 starts. The Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home. The Royals bullpen has a 5.38 ERA in home games this season. 10* OVER 9.5 in Kansas City |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors +4 @ Boston Celtics @ 9 ET - The Warriors are 6-0 the last 6 times when off a loss. That is 6-0 SU / 100% PERFECT! That said, the fact we get an added 4 points here with underdog Golden State is simply a bonus! I do expect GS to win outright but will grab the points as added insurance. The Warriors led the first game by 12 after 3 quarters and the second game by 21 after 3 quarters and they only trailed the third game by 4 after 3 quarters. The point is that the Warriors could just as easy be up 3-0 in this series rather than down 2-1. Give credit to the Celtics for their resilience and their ability to come up strong in 4th quarters. However, I look for the Warriors - with their backs against the wall - to absolutely come up big in this one. They should improve to 7-0 SU / 100% PERFECT last 7 times when off a loss but I will grab the points here as I feel this is an excellent line value that could prove well worth it in the event Boston prevails by a very slim margin. 10* GOLDEN STATE +4 |