Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-01-24 | Cavs v. Grizzlies OVER 215 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 215 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 8 ET - When you look at Memphis and the injury situation then of course you start thinking about a tough time scoring points. However, too much emphasis is being placed on that here and not enough on what the Cavaliers are capable of! Also, the Grizzlies are highly unlikely to again make just 30 of 80 from the field like they did in most recent game. Cleveland tends to play higher-scoring games and I could see this game being rather wide-open. Remember too that Memphis had scored 107.5 ppg in their 4 games prior to that loss. As for the Cavs, they have scored big in winning 11 of their last 12 games. The Cavaliers also have allowed 114 ppg their last 4 games. How amped up defensively do you really think the Cavs are going to be facing a Grizzlies team that is enduring a very rough season? I just can not foresee much effort here from Cleveland in terms of defensive intensity. Instead look for more of a run and gun approach in this non-conference affair and that should yield plenty of points. The current spread on this one is 8 and that puts this final at 111-103 in terms of the total posted on this game. But do you really think the Cavs are only going to get to 111 here? They have averaged 120 ppg last 13 games and now face a struggling opponent. In other words, you can see why I love the value with the low total posted on this one! 10* OVER 215 in Memphis |
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02-01-24 | Drexel -4 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #737: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons @ Monmouth Hawks @ 7 ET - The Dragons bounced back nicely from their very first CAA loss of the season (by just 3 points at Towson) by coming up big at home against NC AT & T. The Dragons are a very strong defensive team and they are strong on the offensive boards and they are a very deep team. Those are the kind of gritty teams that can win big games and it is a big reason Drexel is having such a solid season including now 8-1 in CAA action. As for Monmouth, the Hawks did almost upset the Dragons at Drexel last month in CAA action. However, the Hawks shot surprisingly well in that game and Drexel did not and yet the Dragons still pulled out the 4 point win. Also, all 7 of the Dragons CAA wins have been by 4 or more points this season. The current line on this one is a 4 as of about 9 hours before tipoff. Monmouth is not as strong defensively or on the boards or in terms of shooting percentage on offense either. They are 4-4 in CAA action but had lost 4 of 5 (with the only win over a bad Hampton team) prior to coming up with a win versus Hofstra in most recent game. Hofstra has not beaten any of the top tier teams in the CAA either so that win is not ultra impressive. Monmouth will have their hands full here against a Dragons team that already tasted defeat once in their most recent road game and they are very motivated and hungry here as a result in their very next road opportunity as they look to add to an 8-1 conference record. Monmouth just 9-17 SU in last 26 conference games. 10* DREXEL (-) |
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02-01-24 | Manchester United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #200177: English Premier League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Wolverhampton vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - These clubs have a low-scoring history in their meetings in recent years and I am well aware of that. However, from a situational and current form perspective, this one is destined to get to at least 3 goals. Wolverhampton has a chance to leapfrog Man U in the table here with a victory. However, Manchester United has been playing better of late and is going to be on the attack here on the road as this has been their style recently since they seemingly flipped a switch. Man U has scored 2.4 goals per match in going 3-1-1 in their last 5 matches across all competitions. Also, I am aware of the Marcus Rashford situation but watch the club draw energy from that with a strong effort here. As for Wolverhampton, they had a 0-0 draw in most recent EPL match but certainly a result like that has been the exception rather than the rule! Prior to that, Wolverhampton had seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals. Also, the Wolves are coming off a 2-0 win and other than that rare scoreless draw, the other 6 matches in their last 7 across all competitions have seen them average scoring 2.5 goals per match. Given all of the above getting to the 4-goal mark here would not surprise me in the least and certainly we should see at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in Wolverhampton |
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02-01-24 | Real Madrid v. Getafe CF OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #201821: Spanish La Liga: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Getafe vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - Real Madrid is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league. I know that Getafe has a tendency for their home matches to be low-scoring but I anticipate this one getting to at least 2-1. Note that Getafe has scored an average of 1.3 goals per match this season so they are likely to get on the board here. Real Madrid is certainly a 1-goal favorite here on the goal line with good reason. Certainly the visitors, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, are expected to get on the board as well. The odds of this match ending 1-1 are quite slim as Real Madrid has only a 14% draw rate this season. Given all of the above you can see why I am anticipating at least a 2-1 final here as Real Madrid looks to keep the pressure on league-leading Girona. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Getafe |
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02-01-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #200173: English Premier League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -162 or 2.75 -122 or 3 +105 in West Ham United vs Bournemouth @ 2:30 ET - West Ham has been playing tough defense, particularly at home, but this Bournemouth attack has been strong of late. The issue for Bournemouth right now is their defense is dealing with a lot of injuries and absences. They will be susceptible to a West Ham attack that, even missing some guys, will take advantage of the defensive deficiencies on their home pitch. West Ham is averaging 1.7 goals scored per match as a host in league action this season. They are also allowing 1.5 goals per match on the season. Bournemouth is scoring 1.7 goals per match on the road but also allowing 2.3 goals per match away from home. As you can see, that is a 4 goals per match average when Bournemouth is traveling and I expect more of the same here. West Ham has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. Bournemouth with each of last 7 matches totaling at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 -162 or 2.75 -122 or 3 +105 in West Ham United |
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02-01-24 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Green Bay OVER 133.5 | Top | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #735: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Green Bay vs IUPUI @ Noon ET - This total in the 134 range as of about 6 hours before tipoff. Green Bay a heavy favorite with good reason here but don't be surprised if IUPUI scores well enough to hang around in this one for awhile and that will help push this one over the total. The Jaguars have averaged scoring 75 ppg in their last two road games. However, the issue with this team is they continue to allow far too many points. IUPUI has allowed 81 ppg their last 9 games. So if the oddsmakers are correct, as they so often are, about GB being a 12 point favorite here, that would put this game finishing at 81 to 69 Green Bay if IUPUI allows their typical average. That means we have a lot of wiggle room when you consider this total is in the mid-130s. I do believe GB can get to the 80 point range here. The Phoenix have played 11 games since an ugly loss to Oklahoma back in mid-December. In those 11 games they have gone 9-2 and had only 1 ugly loss. In the other 10 games they averaged 77 ppg and now they face one of the worst teams in the Horizon League. Indeed 81 to 69 sounds about right here! The Phoenix tend to play with a little more tempo on their home floor and I expect that to continue here. 10* OVER the total in Green Bay |
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01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Kentucky Wildcats (-) vs Florida Gators @ 8 ET - This line has come down from the -7 range down to as low as a -5.5 on Kentucky as of about 7 hours before tipoff. Note that the Wildcats won the first meeting this season at Florida and that was despite the Gators outscoring them by 12 points from three point land. The Cats were an uncharacteristic 5 of 20 from 3-point land in that one. UK still won that game on the road despite the shooting variance. Now they are at home and hosting a Florida team that is just 1-3 in true road games. The only win was against a Missouri team that is having a tough season including 0-7 in SEC games! The point is that the signs strongly point to a home win here but now, what about the all important cover? Well, Kentucky has 15 wins on the season and the 2 point win over Florida and a 4 point win over a ranked UNC team are the only wins they have this season by less than 6 points! As for Florida, their last 4 losses included the 2 point defeat at home versus Kentucky and then 3 losses all by double digit margins! Look for this one to be the next one! 10* KENTUCKY (-) |
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01-31-24 | Bulls v. Hornets OVER 215.5 | Top | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The first meeting totaled 211 and the next one 195 and the next one 214 (not including OT of course). That said, I do understand that this game has a low total on it. However, it opened up at 218 for a reason and is now down to 215.5 and I love the situational value here with the over. The Bulls are coming off a loss and have averaged 118.5 ppg the last 4 times when off a loss. Also, Chicago (not including OT of course) has seen 8 of last 10 games all total more than 220 points! Charlotte is off a low-scoring loss to New York but, prior to this, the Hornets had one ugly game against the Sixers but their other 6 recent games saw them average 116 points! Also, Charlotte is allowing an average of 125 points last 5 games. Prior to the low-scoring loss to the Knicks, 8 of last 10 Hornets games have totaled at least 219 points. Again, you can see the value here with the low number and I love getting additional value on a total when the line has moved further down in situations where it was already quite low to begin with. 10* OVER 215.5 in Charlotte |
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01-31-24 | Senators v. Red Wings OVER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 +105 in Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:07 ET - Was hoping we would see this tick down to 6.5 but other than a couple exceptions, this line has held at 7 which also is certainly an indication that there is strong support for the over in this one. The Red Wings have won 9 of 12 games and have averaged scoring nearly 4 goals in those wins. The Senators have won 5 of 9 games and note that 8 of the 11 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Both clubs are off high-scoring wins and playing with confidence right now and the winning team has scored 5 goals in each of the 3 prior meetings this season so look for the goals to fly in this one. 10* OVER 7 +105 in Detroit |
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01-31-24 | Chelsea +1 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200197: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play Chelsea Goal Line +1 +100 @ Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - Each of the last 7 meetings between these clubs, amazingly, have been draws! Now, for us to lose this play, Liverpool must win by 2 goals! I like the value here of having a full +1 goal on Chelsea. I know the Reds are tough at home and I know they are having a much stronger season than the Blues thus far, but the fact is Chelsea has been surging in league action. Also, though Liverpool just destroyed a lower-tier opponent in English FA Cup action, this will be a much tougher test as the Reds continue to adjust to the fact that Jurgen Klopp will be leaving the club after this season. Liverpool did win their most recent home match in EPL action 4-2 but their 3 prior home matches in league action featured two draws and a 1-goal win. The value is with the +1 goal here on a hungry Chelsea side. Chelsea, other than Reece James, is finally getting healthy again with the core group really coming together again. Liverpool is still without Mohamed Salah. Chelsea has played 13 matches in December and January and only 1 of the 13 was a loss by more than 1 goal. The aggregate score of the other 12 matches was 24-12 (average score 2-1) in favor of Chelsea. They have been much better after a slow start to the season and they will make things very tough on Liverpool in this one. Another draw would not surprise me and neither would an upset. 10* Chelsea +1 |
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01-31-24 | Burnley v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200193: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Burnley @ 2:30 ET - Manchester City has historically dominated Burnley including 12 straight wins and averaging scoring 3.5 goals per victory! Now they are getting healthier finally and City should put on the quite show here at home and that is why they are 2.5 goal favorites on the goal line as well for this one. Burnley often does struggle to score goals but they have had nearly 3 weeks off entering this match so they have fresh legs and we could see an aggressive approach from the visitors as a result. I am projecting a 3-1 or 4-0 or 4-1 type final here and note that Manchester City scored 5 goals in most recent home match (English FA Cup action) and Burnley's last road match in league action was a 5-goal thriller as well. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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01-31-24 | Brentford v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #200185: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Tottenham vs Brentford @ 2:30 ET - Brentford is a different level of attacking with Toney back in the lineup after his long ban due to sports betting. Tottenham has been adding reinforcements, including Werner, and they are anxious to bounce back after a 1-0 loss to City in English FA Cup action. On their home turf where they are averaging 2 goals scored per match, the Hotspur should bounce back here. However, Brentford is going to put up a fight here on the road. With Toney, the club is rejuvenated. Also, 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 4 goals and more of the same expected here. As for Tottenham, their last 4 matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals and those have averaged 4 goals apiece. Also, the last 3 meetings between these clubs all have totaled 4 goals! 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
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01-30-24 | 76ers +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Golden State Warriors @ 10 ET - I took the over last night in the Sixers game because even if Embiid missed that would mean more of a "small ball" type of game and I liked the Blazers long-term scoring trends at home as I noted in the write-up. I certainly was not shocked that Embiid did not play because he and the Sixers caught flak, including getting the attention the league office, by him not playing the prior game at Denver. From a Philly perspective it was essentially a "see, he really is hurt" statement by having him miss at Portland. I really expect both he and Maxey will return tonight. Even if they do not (though I certainly expect at least one will), note that the Sixers are in a situation that has not lost since November of 2021! Indeed that was the last time the Sixers have had a losing streak of more than 3 games. Since that point in time, Philly is 6-0 SU when they enter a game on a 3-game losing streak! In this match-up they are a dog and I did consider playing the money line here but we'll grab the available points which is currently 3.5 as of early gameday morning. The Warriors are not a strong team. Golden State is dead last in the Pacific and they continue to give up too many points. The Warriors enter this game having lost 10 of 14 games. So in this game GS is what I would term a "false favorite" as they are laying points against a solid Sixers team that will play desperate here no matter who is on the floor. We will grab the points just in case but I do look for that SU multi-year run of the Sixers when on a 3-game losing streak to reach a PERFECT 7-0 last 7 as they come out strong in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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01-30-24 | Wyoming v. Air Force -4 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Air Force Falcons (-) vs Wyoming Cowboys @ 9 ET - Double revenge spot for Wyoming from last season and they are much higher in the conference standings and Air Force has lost 9 of 10 games! That said, why are the Falcons favored by 4 here? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you. This Falcons team is the better team defensively, stronger on their home floor and they catch Wyoming off a huge OT upset win over Colorado State where they celebrated as if they just won the MWC Championship! The point is that the Cowboys could be flat here while the Falcons are at home and hungry and then here is another big key that might surprise you to hear. In true road games this season, Wyoming is still winless! The Cowboys are not only 0-7 SU on the road this season, they also have lost all 7 games by double digits! That means they are being asked to do something they have not managed to do in a single road game this season - that is to lose by less than 10 points! Considering this line is a 4 that means this is a go-against Wyoming spot that is a perfect 7-0 this season! Look for this one to make it 8-0 ON THE SEASON as the Falcons also catch the Cowboys off that huge upset win of a ranked team in OT! 10* AIR FORCE (-) |
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01-30-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 8 ET - The Blues are expected to start Jordan Binnington tonight. His overall numbers are better of late but those stats were buoyed by a shutout performance against a Capitals team struggling badly to score goals. The fact is, Binnington has allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of last 5 starts and allowed an average of 3.5 goals in those games. As for the Blue Jackets, their goaltending has been a concern as well. Columbus has allowed 4 or more goals in 16 of 23 games. The Blue Jackets have allowed an average of 4 goals per game during this 23-game stretch! Columbus has scored 11 goals last 3 games and should have some success in the offensive zone here in St Louis but the Blues also have won 5 straight games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this winning streak. 7 of last 9 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one will too! 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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01-30-24 | Marquette v. Villanova -125 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -1.5 -115 or Pick'em -125 vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 7 ET - A number of books have this line at -1.5 but with a little extra juice at -115. That being said, for just 10 cents more it is worth looking at the money line here which is available as low as 125. Note that Villanova is off a game in which they NEVER trailed in regulation time at Butler and led by as many as 14 points in the 2nd half! The Bulldogs rallied including a late bucket to force OT. Then in first OT the Wildcats again looked like they had the game own only to give up late scoring to force a second OT. Villanova then lost the 2nd OT by 7 points and it was a tough loss. Were they on the road again here I might be concerned. But at home and playing with revenge from a double digit margin of defeat at Marquette couple week ago, this is a great spot to back a Wildcats team that has lost 4 straight games. I had to keep looking further back and further back and finally I found out that is has been more than a DECADE since Villanova has lost 5 straight games. Also, the last 10 times that the Wildcats were at home and entering a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more, they have won the game all 10 times. Perfect 10-0 SU mark and I just do not see the hungry Cats being denied here. Keep in mind, the Golden Eagles are just 2-2 SU on the Big East road and one of those wins was against a DePaul team that is now 3-17! Also, Marquette lost to the same Butler team that the Wildcats just to in double OT but the Golden Eagles lost by 7 and they were at home for that game. There is a reason that this highly ranked road team is an underdog in this one! Don't let the line fool you. The Wildcats improve to 11-0 SU when in this situation! 10* VILLANOVA -1.5 -115 or Pick'em -125 |
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01-30-24 | Newcastle United v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #200169: English Premier League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Aston Villa vs Newcastle United @ 3:15 ET - I am well aware of the fact that Aston Villa has struggled in the goal-scoring department of late but they are back on their home pitch where they have averaged scoring 3 goals per match this season in league action. Also, they are hosting a Newcastle club that has been giving up big goal numbers in recent league action. At the same time, with their backs against the wall as they have been dropping down the table, I look for a strong effort from the visitors here and project a back and forth affair with plenty of goals as a result. Note that Newcastle averages 2 goals scored per match on the season but also is conceding 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Also, each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last two totaled 6 goals apiece! I anticipate a 3-2 type final here given all of the above. Note that Aston Villa is off B2B scoreless draws and will be chomping at the bit for a breakout game here. One of those 0-0 finals was in in EPL action too but this followed B2B matches totaling 5 goals apiece in league action. Newcastle has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions. However, they also have conceded 2.6 goals per match last 7 Premier League matches. 10* OVER 3 in Aston Villa |
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01-30-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Luton Town OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #200181: English Premier League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:45 ET - Luton Town is a stronger club when on their home pitch and should make the net ripple at least once here as they are averaging 1.3 goals per match in EPL action as a host. Both these clubs are coming off wins to advance to the 5th round of the English FA Cup so spirits are running high. Brighton is undefeated last 6 matches across all competitions. In the 3 victories they did concede multiple goals in each of them but also scored at least 4 goals in each win! Brighton won the reverse fixture this season 4-1 as a host and I look for another relentless attack on the road here. Luton Town can be tough here at home and plus they are off B2B 2-1 wins in English FA Cup action so spirits are up. Luton has both scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 matches in Premier League action. Those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece and 6 of the 7 totaled at least 3 goals! More of the same expected here! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town |
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01-29-24 | 76ers v. Blazers OVER 222.5 | Top | 104-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 10:10 ET - The Blazers are in a B2B spot but are finally getting healthier again and I certainly do not expect a repeat of last night's shooting performance which saw them make just 6 of 33 from three point land! The Sixers have a number of guys on the injury report as questionable entering this one but no matter who ends up on the floor for this one, they will be going hard to end a 2-game losing streak and the tempo will be pushed. There have been 4 times this year in which the Sixers were on the road and coming off B2B losses and all 4 of those games totaled at least 242 points. Keep in mind, the posted total on this one as of about 10 hours before tipoff is as low as a 222.5 and so this is a 4-0 / 100% season trend we are testing here in terms of the over given this situation. On the road and off B2B losses the Sixers have responded with a fury offensively all 4 times. With Grant and Henderson back last night and overall better shooting expected tonight at home after unusual debacle yesterday, this should fly over the total. The Blazers had averaged scoring 116.5 ppg in their last 13 home games prior to yesterday's poor effort versus Chicago. This line is 10 on this game. That puts this one at Philly 126-116 given that Blazers average. That puts the total at 242 which is the minimum scored in each of the 4 prior times Philly has been in this situation. In other words, everything is lining up here and looks like a solid value. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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01-29-24 | Houston v. Texas +5.5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns (+) vs Houston Cougars @ 9 ET - Grabbing the +5.5 that is currently available as of about 13 hours before tipoff. When the betting markets are down on a team it is oftentimes the best time to back said team! That is the case here with the Longhorns! Texas has lost 3 of 5 and just lost at BYU by double digits. However, now they are a home dog to a Houston team that is very strong but proving to certainly not be unbeatable. Now, I am not saying the Horns win this outright but I am saying that I certainly will not be shocked if that happens and I feel we have excellent value here with the sizable points available. Remember that Texas won at Oklahoma and beat Baylor in their two games prior to the loss at BYU. All 3 of these teams the Longhorns have just faced are ranked teams and, of course, Houston is as well. However, the Cougars have lost 2 of last 3 road games and those were at TCU and Iowa State. Texas is arguably at a similar level to both the Horned Frogs and Cyclones so, the point is, we have some definite home dog value here. UT hungry off a loss while the Cougars could get caught looking ahead to their next game at Kansas. Yes the Jayhawks are down a little this season but they are still one of the top programs in the country annually and Houston entered the Big 12 this season knowing that Kansas, year in and year out, has a tendency to be the team to beat in this conference. Definite possibility of a lookahead here and Austin will be rocking for this home game! 10* TEXAS (+) |
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01-29-24 | Predators v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Nashville Predators @ 7 ET - The Predators are not known as a high-scoring team but they will take advantage of an Ottawa club that is allowing 3.67 goals per game this season and coming off a 7-2 loss. At the same time however, I do expect the Senators to score well on home ice here as they look to bounce back from that ugly loss to the Rangers. The Sens entered that game having scored 3.7 goals per game last 3 games. The Predators are averaging 3 goals per game this season and can take advantage here of facing a team that is weaker defensively and in goal. Keep in mind, Ottawa has lost 16 of 23 since they started the season 11-11. Defense and netminding have been the bigger issues. 8 of Ottawa's last 12 home games have totaled at least 7 goals and, given the situation here, this one should add another 7+ goal result to that run! 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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01-29-24 | Casa Pia v. Sporting Lisbon OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #206653: Portugese Primeira Liga: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia @ 3:45 ET - Casa Pia is down to their back-up goalie and on the road here against the highest-scoring club in the league. Sporting Lisbon is battling it out at the top of the table right now with Benfica so they will not take their foot off the gas here. Sporting Lisbon has seen 12 of last 14 matches overall total at least 3 goals. Those 14 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Casa Pia has had their road matches average 3 goals apiece this season as they have scored better as travelers than hosts. They could get a goal here but they will not be able to stop the home club. Casa Pia has seen its last 6 matches average 4 goals apiece and only one failed to get to at least the 3 goal mark. The last 4 meetings between these clubs all have totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece and all the matches featured scoring from both clubs. More of the same here. 10* OVER 3 -135 in Sporting Lisbon |
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01-29-24 | Wrexham v. Blackburn Rovers OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200525: English FA Cup | Fourth Round: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs are dealing with a lot of absentees defensively entering this match. That should open this up to be an affair featuring plenty of scoring opportunities. Blackburn is the higher-tier club and on their home pitch so they will not be tentative at all and I expect them to attack early and often in this one. Wrexham will be aggressive on the counter-attack knowing that Blackburn has shown a tendency to both score and concede lately and is nowhere close to 100% in terms of defensive personnel for this one. So Wrexham should make the net ripple at least once here but, keep in mind, Blackburn is a solid home favorite here with good reason. I would not be surprised to see a 3-2 final here but the added value of this total at 3 goals, lending itself to a push should this match end 2-1, is what helps make this one a solid investment the way I see it. 10* OVER 3 -135 in Blackburn |
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01-29-24 | Voluntari v. CFR Cluj -1 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #206874: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play: CFR Cluj Goal Line -1 -125 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj is off a terrible result? How bad was it? Bad enough to get their manager fired! CFR Cluj is one of the top clubs in the league but they returned from the break and promptly lost at FC Botosani which is the worst club in the league! Now they are back home with a new manger and will stomp all over this slumping FC Voluntari side. CFR Cluj has won each of the last 5 meetings and by an aggregate score of 14-2! CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals in last 9 home matches. FC Voluntari has just 1 win in last 5 matches and, other than the victory, has scored just 1 goal in the other 4 matches combined! This one gets ugly and CFR Cluj is a heavy home favorite with good reason. That is why the goal line is a great option here! 10* CFR Cluj -1 -125 |
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01-28-24 | Nevada v. New Mexico OVER 153.5 | Top | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 153.5 in New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolfpack @ 10 ET - The MWC has a lot of strong teams with solid overall records. Certainly the Wolfpack are better than their 3-3 conference record shows. However, this Lobos team is red hot and so strong at home. The way I see it the best way to get involved in this game is the over! New Mexico has already scored 84 points or more in 60% of their games this season. The Lobos enter this game on a 4 game winning streak in which they have averaged scoring 92 ppg! The Wolfpack have struggled a bit in recent games but they still have scored an average of 77 ppg this season. Keep in mind, if Nevada hits their average here and the spread is correct on this one with Lobos about a 9 point favorite, you are talking about a game that gets into the 160s! The Lobos are red hot but have allowed 76 ppg last 5 games. They are not afraid to get in up-tempo games at The Pit in Albuquerque and I look for this one to be an absolute track meet! 10* OVER 153.5 in New Mexico |
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01-28-24 | Blue Jackets v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 -120 in Seattle Kraken vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 9 ET - There is a lot of value with this total at 6 rather than 6.5 and I like the recent compete level of the Blue Jackets. Even in a B2B spot, Columbus will work hard to stay in this game but it will take a lot of scoring from them as they have been unable to stop teams with any consistency whatsoever and Seattle is sure to take advantage here. The Jackets have allowed 4 goals per game last 23 games! The Kraken have allowed 3.5 goals per game last 7 games. Seattle has averaged scoring 3.6 goals per game last 9 home games and they should continue to have success here against a road-weary Blue Jackets team. 10* OVER 6 -120 in Seattle |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers -7 vs Detroit Lions @ 6:30 ET - I know that the Niners barely got by the Packers last week and we had Green Bay right here and were not surprised by the tight outcome. At the same time, the Lions beat Tampa Bay and covered last week as they won by 8 points. However, the Packers were very hot at the end of the season and the Buccaneers were not. The point is that SF was tested more last week than the Lions have been in this post-season. Keep in mind, the Lions game the week before was a 1 point Wild Card round win over the Rams but LA outgained Detroit by nearly 100 yards in that one. Now the Lions will be playing on the road for the first time in 4 weeks! I respect Detroit and I respect Goff at QB but he has a history of struggling badly against the Niners. Also, San Francisco has a big edge here as they have been at home all month long and remain home for this game. The Niners got destroyed by the Eagles in last year's NFC Championship Game. They make up for that ugly result here! They will not let a chance like this get away again. Also, the Lions pass defense has been struggling for quite some time and we know what Purdy is capable of under center. Other than one horrible game against the Ravens in December, he has been consistent and strong for much of this season. Yes, we must lay a TD here but all of the Niners regular season wins were by at least 7 points and 11 of the 12 victories were by a double digit margin! Last week's tight win over Green Bay merely serving to give us line value. We have the better defense and the situational advantage and line value here. 3 of the 4 Lions road losses this season were by at least 7 points and this one will be too! I respect Detroit and they are getting close but they are not quite there yet. This is the 49ers year to get to the Super Bowl after last year's debacle in Philadelphia. Now they are home and are the more balanced team in this match-up. 10* SAN FRANCISCO -7 |
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01-28-24 | Suns -115 v. Magic | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Money Line -115 @ Orlando Magic @ 6:10 ET - The Suns opened as a small favorite here but the line has come down to as low as a -1 and now the money line is available as low as a -115 as of about 8 hours before tipoff. Grab the money line in this one as that is the value way to play this one at a cheap price. I don't see the Suns losing B2B games. They are off a tough 2 point loss but they had won 7 straight and 12 of 15 games prior to that! The Magic, on the other hand, are also off a loss but that brings Orlando's run to 7-15 their last 22 games! The Magic play in one of the weakest divisions in the NBA while the Suns play in one of the strongest. Orlando is 6-9 SU against Western Conference teams this season. Phoenix is 9-5 SU against Eastern Conference teams. Yes, the Magic would like revenge here for a loss at Phoenix 4 weeks ago but Orlando is just not on the same level as this Suns team. Grabbing Phoenix hungry off a loss is a superb value here with the way this line has come down. We'll fade the line move and lay a very short price with this money line. 10* PHOENIX -115 |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 44 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 44 or 44.5 in Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 3 ET - The Ravens, not including their regular season finale when they rested guys, have won 11 of 12 games! In those dozen games they have averaged scoring 33.4 ppg! As for the Chiefs, in their last 4 road games (not including regular season finale as they rested guys), they have scored an average of 26 ppg. We have solid line value with this total in the mid-40s when you consider the recent trending of these two teams. I definitely respect both defenses but Lamar Jackson is such a weapon for the Ravens and Baltimore is going to move the ball well (again!) here at home in this one! However, how can you not respect a Chiefs offense that continues to do enough to once again find themselves in the AFC Championship Game for the 6th straight season! Keep in mind, if each team just gets into the low 20s here we have ourselves a winner and both teams have been doing this all season long. Look for both teams to be aggressive here on offense as Ravens will take advantage of having dual threat Jackson and a solid ground game while the Chiefs aerial attack did produce over 200 yards passing in frigid conditions at Buffalo last week. Also, over 250 yards passing for KC the prior week in even colder conditions in Kansas City. The weather in Baltimore will be cool but not cold and winds should not top 10 mph and rain would be light. Speaking of light, both offenses capable of lighting up the scoreboard here and that is what I expect to see in this one! 10* OVER 44 or 44.5 in Baltimore |
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01-28-24 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 101 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206885: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB @ 1 ET - Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches and those matches all totaled at least 3 goals. FCSB has scored at least 3 goals in 3 straight matches! Also, the last two meetings between these clubs each totaled 3 goals and the last two times they have met at Universitatea Craiova those matches also have each totaled 3 goals. FCSB won the most recent meeting 3-0 and, prior to that, FCSB had both conceded and scored in 4 straight meetings! So you can see why goals can be expected to fly here in this one and FCSB is playing with a lot of confidence thanks to their high-scoring win streak. At the same time, Universitatea Craiova plays with confidence on their home pitch and they seek revenge for the 3-0 white-washing in the prior meeting this season. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Craiova |
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01-28-24 | Norwich City v. Liverpool OVER 4 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200517: English FA Cup | Fourth Round Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 4 +100 in Liverpool vs Norwich City @ 9:30 AM ET - How often do you see a 4 posted as a total? Exactly! Don't let this big number scare you away. Jurgen Klopp recently announced he will be departing Liverpool at the end of this season and give himself a chance to recharge his batteries a bit. The Reds, at home, will go hard for him here in this one in front of the Anfield faithful. Norwich plays in the Championship League and their road matches have been the highest scoring on average in the league. The final result averaging an amazing 3.7 goals per match! Keep in mind, Liverpool is favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line with good reason here. I am looking for a 4-1 type final here given all of the above. Norwich has scored in each of last two meetings with Liverpool. They enter this match off a loss but scored 7 goals in winning 3 straight prior to that. Liverpool will be fired up off a 1-1 draw with Fulham and the Reds had won 5 straight and averaged scoring 3 goals per match prior to that draw. I look for a relentless attacking effort from the hosts in this one and that should also open things up for Norwich to score on the counterattack. Liverpool should get at least 4 on their own here. 10* OVER 4 +100 in Liverpool |
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01-28-24 | Botosani v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206865: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Hermannstadt vs Botosani @ 7 AM ET - Botosani is showing signs of life finally with B2B wins and scoring 3 goals in the process. However, now they are on the road facing a Hermannstadt club that has scored 3 goals in last two matches as a host. Also, Hermannstadt has seen 3 of last 4 matches total at least 3 goals and this one should too but we have the added value of this over available at a 2 in the marketplace. 5 straight Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Botosani had 3 straight matches total at least 2 goals before the 1-0 win in their most recent match. The first meeting this season was a 2-2 final and I expect the goals to fly again in the rematch. 10* OVER 2 -120 in Hermannstadt |
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01-27-24 | Blue Jackets v. Canucks -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Vancouver -1.5 -115 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 10 ET - This is a great spot for a home rout. Vancouver has been one of the hottest teams around. They are coming off a loss however to St Louis. The only team to beat the Canucks, other than the Blues, the entire month of January is Columbus! That said, the Blue Jackets are in for a rude welcoming here in Vancouver. The Canucks lost that game at Columbus in the shootout and they will be ready for revenge here. Vancouver is a heavy money line favorite here with good reason but we get line value on the puck line. Note that the Blue Jackets last 4 losses have all been by a margin of 3 or more goals! As for the Canucks, 21 of their last 28 wins have been by 2 or more goals. Here you have one of the league's best hosting one of the league's worst and they are out for revenge. This one should get ugly! 10* VANCOUVER -1.5 -115 |
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01-27-24 | Golden Knights v. Red Wings -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Detroit -125 vs Vegas @ 8 ET - It might surprise you to see the Red Wings favored here over the defending champs. However, Detroit has really built up into a solid club and they are on home ice here and they catch the Golden Knights in the 2nd night of a back to back. Since Adin Hill played yesterday, Logan Thompson is likely to be in goal here. He has been fantastic on home ice but really struggled on the road. He is coming off a horrible road outing and now has allowed at least 5 goals in each of his last 3 road starts. Detroit is coming off a shutout win and rested here. They take advantage of the goalie edge and rest edge here and get this win on home ice. 10* DETROIT -125 |
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01-27-24 | Rangers v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Over 6.5 -125 in Ottawa vs NY Rangers @ 7 ET - Ottawa off a low-scoring loss but to a tough Bruins team. Prior to that the Senators had scored 4 goals per game in their last 8 games. Their last 2 games have totaled just 5 goals but this followed 6 of 8 games totaling 8 or more! Facing a struggling Rangers side will help to resume that high-scoring trend. Even though NY is giving up too many goals of late, they are also dangerous offensively and will pressure the Sens here. Coming off a 5-2 loss but to the defending champion Golden Knights, I expect the Rangers to get back on track in the offensive zone in this one. Ottawa goalie Korpisalo has struggled this season. 10* OVER 6.5 -125 in Ottawa |
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01-27-24 | 76ers +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Denver Nuggets @ 5:40 ET - The Nuggets are at home and this line has gone from as low as 3.5 to as high as 5.5 points. This is a revenge game for Denver as they lost at Philly earlier this month. However, Embiid is so focused when he is healthy and playing this team and he is ready for this one just like he was in Philly less than two weeks ago. It is the big battle between Jokic and Embiid. In past visits here for the Sixers, Embiid either missed the game or played but was not healthy. The situation this season is different and that will be reflected on the scoreboard as well. The Nuggets are the defending champs and a great team but only 1 of their last 5 games has resulted in a Denver win by more than 5 points. We have some value here with a talented underdog that sees this match-up as a huge game. The Sixers know the NBA title chase ran through Denver last season and that it ultimately could be the same story out west this season. The Sixers must prove they can win here. I do expect Maxey (ankle) to play and, keep in mind, the Nuggets have key players banged up too. That counteracts the impact should Maxey not play in this one. The points are just too valuable here in a game the Sixers can win outright if Embiid keeps playing like he has been. I look for another aggressive game from him here as he looks to again outduel a player, Jokic, that he greatly respects. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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01-27-24 | Villanova +110 v. Butler | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Rotation #671: Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +110 @ Butler Bulldogs @ 3 ET - The Wildcats have lost 3 straight but are a perfect 4-0 the last 4 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. This perfect SU run dates back to last season and I am going money line here. After getting embarrassed at St John's, the Wildcats will be ready to go here. Keep in mind that their other two losses in this 3-game losing streak were both to ranked teams including a 1-point loss to #1 ranked UConn! Prior to this, the Wildcats had won 5 of 6 games including 3 against respectable opponents. This is one of the big keys here because Butler has 4 wins in Big East action but 3 of the 4 were against Georgetown and DePaul and those are the worst teams in the conference. Yes, the Bulldogs did win at Creighton but that is the lone outlier and it only happened because the Bluejays had an unusually poor shooting night. The Jays were unbelievably bad in the shooting department that night. So the point is that the Bulldogs are a bit over-valued coming into this one and the Wildcats are a bit under-valued. We take advantage and the Cats improve to a perfect 5-0 SU last 5 times they have been in this situation. No points needed! 10* VILLANOVA +110 |
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01-27-24 | Newcastle United v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #200505: English FA Cup | Fourth Round: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Fulham vs Newcastle United @ 2 ET - Newcastle has a big rest edge here but Fulham is on their home pitch and will put up a fight here. Newcastle has struggled in Premier League action so they are putting a little extra emphasis on this FA Cup competition. They want it! They have fresh legs and have averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 4 matches. Newcastle's last 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece so they have emphasized attacking at the detriment of protecting their own end of the pitch. That trend continues here and Fulham has scored 4 goals in last 3 matches on their home pitch. Fulham's trouble is they also are conceding too many goals but, going further back, they have had some big results on their home pitch and have averaged scoring 2 goals per match in last 8 played here. Look for an entertaining affair here as Fulham is down quite low in the EPL table and Newcastle has dropped down recently as well so both clubs taking this match-up in FA Cup action as a chance to go all out and earn a chance to advance! Aggressive style and counter-attacking expected in full force here. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 |
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01-27-24 | North Carolina A&T v. Drexel OVER 142 | Top | 47-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
CBB Rotation #663: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Drexel Dragons vs North Carolina AT & T Aggies @ 2 ET - The Dragons off the tough loss at Towson in a game in which they did not shoot well. Now they are back home in Philly and ready to explode on offense. They are known for shooting much better here and they will be able to run and gun against a NC AT & T team not known for defense. The Aggies can stop no one but they do have a big scorer in Glasper. The key here is he was one of 4 guys in double digits in their most recent game but that was a loss at Delaware in which they allowed 90 points. Drexel will win this one big and they are a huge favorite for a reason, but the value rather than laying about 18 points here is certainly on the over the way I see it. Drexel will be anxious to have a huge game at home and will push the tempo against a bad defense. They will get much better looks than they did against Towson. However, the key here is the Aggies have some scoring power and will at least be willing to run and gun here even at their own detriment. This total has dropped to the low 140s and, for example, if the Aggies only get to 65 points but the spread posted on this one is about right, that still puts this game in the upper 140s. I am looking for a 90-70 type game given the situation and the defensive struggles of NC AT & T continue here. 10* OVER the total in Drexel |
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01-27-24 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Dinamo vs Rapid @ 1 ET - This is a battle of Bucuresti as many long-time fans love Dinamo but Rapid has been the better club in recent seasons and has plenty of followers as well. That said, great atmosphere for this match-up Saturday night in Bucuresti. The last two meetings have each totaled 4 goals. Also, Rapid enters this one off a 4-3 win! Dinamo enters this one off a loss but they had won B2B matches prior to that and scored 3 goals in the process. With Rapid having allowed 9 goals in their last 4 matches played in Bucuresti - whether home or away - I do expect Dinamo to get on the board here. Rapid, however, is a favorite for a reason in this one and a 2-1 final appears imminent - at a minimum! Dinamo has only 4 draws this season and only 1 team has less. So, statistically speaking, the odds of a draw are slim and you can see why - per the above - I am expecting each club to score here. That said, we have further support for anticipating at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Dinamo |
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01-27-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Otelul Galati vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - The first meeting this season was a 2-2 final! Galati enters this match with 8 of last 9 matches totaling at least 2 goals. There is a lot of value with this total available at 2 goals. Those 8 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and this one looks destined for a 2-1 final. Petro occasionally has scoreless draws but Galati has not had one of those since October! That said, lets look at what Petro has done in non-scoreless draws. Prior to their 1-0 win in most recent match, Petro had 14 matches featuring at least 1 goal and those 14 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. More of the same here and possibly even another 2-2 draw like we saw in the first meeting between these clubs. 10* OVER 2 in Otelul Galati |
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01-26-24 | Stanford v. California OVER 153.5 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 153.5 in California vs Stanford @ 10 ET - The Cardinal shoot the ball so well and the Golden Bears are on their home floor and are also a high-scoring team. So you have two higher-scoring teams and the team with the lower FG % is on their home floor where they tend to be at their best. That is the perfect ingredients for an over and I believe this total will prove to be too low. Stanford is shooting 48% from the field and they have one rare exception, a 59-53 win, that if it was included in their stats their numbers would be even more impressive in terms of point totals. In their other recent 6 games they have averaged scoring 85 ppg. The Cardinal have allowed 81 ppg in their other 5 recent games played away from home. I would truly not be surprised to see this one get into the 160s and we have a total in the low 150s here. California also has won recent outlier versus UCLA but their other 7 recent games have averaged 157 points. Last year when Cal hosted Stanford, the game totaled 162 points and I expect something similar tonight. 10* OVER 153.5 in California |
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01-26-24 | Kings v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 +100 in Colorado Avalanche vs Los Angeles Kings @ 9 ET - The Avalanche are winning consistently but it is not based on defense and their goaltending has struggled too. Georgiev has allowed 3 or more goals in 8 of his last 10 games. So the goals should fly here as the Kings are hungry to get going again and will look to take advantage of this. At the same time, the Avalanche have really been flowing well on offense and that has played a huge role in 10 of their last 11 games totaling at least 7 goals. Those 10 games have averaged 9 goals apiece! As for the Kings, Talbot is expected to start in goal here and he has struggled badly with 5 goals allowed in each of his last 3 starts. Kings off B2B games each totaling at least 7 goals and those were at home. Their last 3 road games also have averaged 7 goals apiece. Both teams trending toward conceding too many goals of late and I look for that pattern to continue here given the Avs high-scoring ways at home and the Kings hunger to turn around a tough recent losing stretch. Just 2 wins in 14 games has a way of getting a teams attention and they will push hard in the offensive zone here to take advantage of the recent struggles of Georgiev. 10* OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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01-26-24 | Thunder +115 v. Pelicans | Top | 107-83 | Win | 115 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Oklahoma City Thunder +105/+110 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have won 4 straight games and they have revenge on their minds here too. They lost at home to the Pelicans back in early November. Look for the road team to again prevail in this one. Oklahoma City has been so hot with 26-9 SU record last 35 games and they have won 5 of last 7 on the road also. New Orleans is off a win at home but had lost 5 of 9 home games prior to that one. In other words, home court has been nothing special for the Pelicans of late and, overall, New Orleans was on just a mediocre 4-4 run last 8 games prior to hitting everything in sight in their unreal 153 to 124 win over Utah in most recent game. This low line is begging for Pelicans money but we will not bite on the bait. Not only are we grabbing the underdog here but we do not even need the points. Avoid laying any juice and grab a little plus money with the money line in this one. 10* OKLAHOMA CITY +105/+110 |
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01-26-24 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #200481: English FA Cup | Fourth Round : Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Tottenham vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Look for a very high-scoring match here. Tottenham should have Maddison back. We get some line value here because Haaland is out for City. But keep in mind, Manchester City has plenty of scoring options on a loaded club. Also, City is likely going with their back-up goalkeeper here. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have not only been overs, they have been matches that each totaled at least 5 goals! Manchester City also recently welcomed back De Bruyne. Tottenham has seen 11 of last 13 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 11 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! City comes into this one well-rested and 8 of their last 9 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 8 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Don't be surprised if this one gets to 2-2 in what should be quite the battle. The added value of 3 being available on this total is too good to pass up. 10* OVER 3 -130 in Tottenham |
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01-26-24 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200469: English FA Cup | Fourth Round : Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -125 in Chelsea vs Aston Villa @ 2:45 ET - Chelsea off a 6-1 in Carabao Cup action on Tuesday. Aston Villa, on the other hand, enters this one with a week and a half of rest. Aston Villa has not scored well of late but they know what they need to do here. They need to attack a Chelsea side that could have some weary legs. At the same time, however, this Chelsea club is deep and at home which means they will battle hard and score goals no matter who is on the pitch for them. This home side club has depth and they have averaged 3 goals per match in their last 9 home matches! They will be ready to go here at home despite the short rest but I look for an aggressive approach from Aston Villa to push this one toward a goal-laden affair! Aston Villa off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by scoring an average of 2 goals in their prior matches. More of the same here! 10* OVER 2.5 -125 in Chelsea |
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01-26-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -120 in Farul vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 1 ET - Both clubs off high-scoring matches last week in the first week of action after the long Winter Break. Look for more of the same here after FCU 1948 Craiova lost 4-3 last week and Farul won 2-1 last week. Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Also, FCU 1948 Craiova has only 3 draws this season so logically if you expect each club to score at least once here you can also see why the odds favor this match getting to at least a 2-1 final. That said, can we expect each club to score? Absolutely as FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches with a total of 17 during this run. Farul is off that 2-1 win on the road last week but had a scoreless draw in their prior match at home. That, however, was preceded by scoring at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches as a host! They resume that streak here and I look for at least a 2-1 final given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 -120 in Farul |
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01-25-24 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
DEVILS/HURRICANES OVER - The Hurricanes are expected to start Antti Raanta in goal for this one. I know he has been a little better of late but he has struggled badly on the season and the Devils will take advantage. New Jersey is hungry to get rolling again and they have won 2 of 3 games and scored 11 goals in the process. The Canes also have won 2 of 3 and scored 7 goals in the 2 victories plus have the home ice edge here. I just don't trust Carolina goalie Raanta in this one. Also, the Devils expected to go with Nico Daws in the crease and he has struggled and is coming off one of his ugliest outings of the season. The Devils have lost each of his last 3 starts. You can see why I am expecting the goals to fly in this one! 10* OVER 6.5 in Carolina |
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01-25-24 | 76ers -5 v. Pacers | Top | 122-134 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NBA 10* Top Play Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers are about 5 to 5.5 point favorites on the road here. Even though Indiana is at home, they will be without Haliburton and also the Pacers just got back from a long road trip. After a long road swing like that, the first game back is almost the toughest. Making it even tougher is when you face a revenge-minded Sixers team that is on a hot streak. I know Harris might be out for the Sixers tonight but they are otherwise looking strong and certainly the Haliburton absence for the Pacers is the big one. Indiana did spring that upset at Philly as noted above but the Pacers outscored the Sixers beyond the arc by 21 points (differential of 7 threes) as the 76ers had a rare tough shooting night from deep. Philly had taken the first meeting this season by double digits and I expect a repeat of that here. The Sixers enter this one on a 6-game winning streak and the average margin of victory has been 11 points per game. The Pacers have lost 5 of 6 games and are a very weak team defensively. In this revenge spot it will be Philly bringing the better defensive effort. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-25-24 | Flyers v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
FLYERS/RED WINGS OVER - The Flyers can not stop anyone right now and goalie Carter Hart has taken a leave of absence. Philly has allowed 18 goals last 3 games! However, Philadelphia also has scored 19 goals last 5 games! The Red Wings will pressure Philly all game long in this one as they are a solid club that can take advantage of Philly's struggles in stopping the opposition. The key here is Detroit has consistently scored around 3 goals a game but also has allowed at least 4 goals in 2 of last 3. The last time these clubs met it was a 7-6 game decided in a shootout! This will be another wild and high-scoring game here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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01-25-24 | Drexel +1.5 v. Towson | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #755: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons (+) @ Towson Tigers @ 7 ET - I like games like this in which the line flips. Drexel has gone from being a small favorite when this opened to now being a small dog in the 1.5 point range as of about 6 hours before tipoff. Something has to give here as the Dragons are 7-0 in conference play but the Tigers are 8-0 L8 home games. I like the way this Drexel is such a cohesive group and they have the better numbers on both ends of the floor. The Dragons have a higher shooting percentage on the offensive end and they are one of the top 25 teams defensively in the nation! Towson is solid defensively but not as strong as Drexel and the Tigers offense often bogs down against top defensive units. Home court is important in college hoops especially but the odds makers are certainly well aware of that as well. That being said, the Dragons were installed as the favorite here with good reason. I am fading the line move and rolling with a defensive-minded road dog that has meshed well this season. This team is very cohesive as I noted above and a true "team" that is building a winning culture. Season after season of late the Dragons are looking better and better. Now they sit at the top of the conference and that is not a perch they will give up easily. They are ready for this game and have solid team depth also. 10* DREXEL (+) |
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01-25-24 | Sevilla v. Atletico Madrid -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #202214: Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals: Thursday 10* Top Play Atletico Madrid -1 -140 vs Sevilla @ 3 ET - This is a pair of Spanish La Liga clubs squaring off in this one. I know Sevilla would love nothing more than to score a huge upset here, and they had success outside the league last season, but this is just not their year! Sevilla is struggling so badly and Atletico Madrid is on their home pitch and they are the healthier club and they are playing extremely well. In league action they are undefeated at home with 9 wins and 1 push. As for Sevilla, they have just 3 wins in 21 matches in league action this season. Not only that, they enter this one off a 5-1 loss to Girona. In league action they have lost 4 straight matches and by an average score of 3 to 1. I project another multi-goal loss here as the last 10 wins for Atletico Madrid across all competitions have come by an average margin of 2 goals apiece! Blowout time here. 10* Atletico Madrid -1 -140 |
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01-25-24 | Swansea City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #200547: English FA Cup | Fourth Round: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Bournemouth vs Swansea City @ 2:45 ET - Swansea City hails from the English League Championship but that is just one notch below the English Premier League. They have put up a fight in their last two meetings with Bournemouth and, overall, this series has a high-scoring trend with 4 straight meetings totaling at least 3 goals. Those 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and I expect more of the same here. Swansea City has scored 1.6 goals last 5 matches across all competitions but also allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 7 matches away from home. Swansea is a solid club on the counterattack but they will just not be able to get enough stops against this solid Bournemouth club. 14 of last 16 Bournemouth matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 14 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same expected here! 10* OVER 3 -130 in Bournemouth |
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01-25-24 | Istanbulspor v. Galatasaray OVER 3.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 50 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #207865: Turkish Super Lig: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -130 in Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor @ Noon ET - Galatasaray won the prior meeting this season by just a 1-0 count but this followed averaging 3 goals scored per match in their 4 meetings preceding that one. Galatasaray is near the top of the table and chasing Fenerbahce so there is no way they will take this match lightly. Istanbulspor should make the net ripple once but they will be unable to stop a relentless attack by the hosts here. Galatasaray is off a 5-1 win and will look to build off that here. Istanbulspor lost to Fenerbahce 5-1 also so a similar result here could be in the offing. The visitors may again make the net ripple once and they enter this match off a rare confidence-boosting victory. Galatasaray favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line with good reason and this match has, at least, 3-1 written all over it! 10* OVER 3.5 -130 in Galatasaray |
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01-24-24 | Blues v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs St Louis Blues @ 10:07 ET - The Canucks are expected to start their back-up goalie DeSmith in this one. The Blues come in playing well and scoring goals in last two games but Vancouver is on home ice and has been playing well. The Canucks have won 12 of 16 games and scored an average of 4 goals during this stretch. St Louis has scored an average of 3 goals last 6 games and the Blues will push hard here against DeSmith but this Canucks team is tough on home ice. This absolutely has the makings of a 3-3 affair which means it ends with nothing less than 7 goals. Two teams scoring well and playing with confidence and both teams are likely to have back-up goalies going because Binnington went last night for the Blues. So Hofer likely in the crease tonight. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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01-24-24 | Suns -125 v. Mavs | Top | 132-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Money Line -125 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 8:30 ET - The Suns are the hottest team in the Western Conference right now and have won 6 straight games. The Mavericks are at home for this match-up so that is keeping this line in check. But Dallas also is dealing with a lot of injury issues and this includes Doncic and Irving. Even if both those guys play they are not 100% and Dante Exum - a contributor for sure - might still be out as well. So two stars and a 20-minute type guy all are question marks here. Phoenix also is seeking payback for the home loss to Dallas earlier this season. The Mavs just have been very inconsistent and they are facing a high-quality revenge-minded opponent that is on a win streak. Until the Mavericks are healthy I expect their struggles with consistency to continue. Revenge is NOT a big angle for me here but it does not hurt either...that's for sure. The big key is the hotter team and the healthier team available at a nice price here. Line on the side as low as 1.5 points as of early game day morning but I recommend the only slightly higher price on the money line to make any Suns win a win at the betting window as well. 10* PHOENIX -125 |
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01-24-24 | Villanova +3.5 v. St. John's | Top | 50-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #723: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (+) @ St John's Red Storm @ 8:30 ET - The Wildcats lost the first meeting at home by double digits this season. It was a 10 point defeat thanks in part to the Red Storm hitting 44% of their threes while Villanova was a horrible 6 of 28 from beyond the arc! Overall in the game St John's hit 48% from the field while Nova hit just 39% from the field. Now we have a nice revenge spot set up here and the Wildcats are hungry but also confident in this rematch. That's because they just put a scare into the #1 team in the country when they nearly upset UConn this past weekend! I know some will look and say that they are spent after a loss like that, the reality is the Wildcats are hungry because they know they almost did it but almost is not good enough of course. They will have great determination here and we can take advantage of a line that was lower but has moved higher on the Red Storm. I love fading line moves like that. Note that St John's has not been great. The Red Storm have lost 3 straight and now face a team that swept them last season and that normally holds the upper hand in this series. Prior to the upset win by St John's earlier this season, the Wildcats had beaten them 6 straight times. The Cats are not what they used to be under Hall of Fame coach Jay Wright but they are showing signs of turning the corner on this season as the 1-point loss to the Huskies shows. I expect an outright win here but we'll grab the points just in case. 10* VILLANOVA (+) |
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01-24-24 | Liverpool v. Fulham OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #200613: EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Fulham vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - The last two meetings between these clubs, including the 1st Leg of this battle, have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, the last time these teams met at Fulham, the match was a 2-2 final. Fulham has to throw caution to the wind here as they are down 2-1 in this semi-final match-up. That means Liverpool's attackers will be able to be unleashed here as Fulham must be aggressive. However, the Reds could have some weary legs on defense and have not exactly been water-tight at that end of the pitch so I am expecting success for Fulham's attackers on their home pitch here. Note that Liverpool is off a 4-0 win and 3 of their last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Note that Fulham has scored 16 goals in their last 6 matches as a host! This one will end up being a very entertaining battle. Liverpool showed their dangerous scoring ability when they delivered a 4-0 win at Bournemouth in which all 4 goals were scored in the 2nd half. Here they are playing for a shot to face Chelsea next in the EFL Cup and I expect the Reds to go all out here as a result but the hosts are going to make the net ripple as well in this one. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Fulham |
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01-24-24 | Norwich City v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #200305: Championship League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -120 in Leeds United vs Norwich City @ 2:45 ET - The EFL Championship is the league in England that is just one level below the Premier League. These are quality clubs and, in fact, both Leeds United and Norwich City have very recently been in the English Premier League. This match-up Wednesday looks like a solid over. Norwich road matches have averaged 4 goals per match this season! They are allowing just over 2 goals per match and scoring just under 2 goals per match when away from home this season! Leeds has been stellar on their home pitch this season and they average scoring 2 goals per match at home! That is why I am projecting a 2-2 type thriller here in this one as both clubs show a propensity for scoring well but Norwich also struggles to stop anyone when they are the travelers in the match-up. Each of Leeds last 4 matches have totaled 3 goals. Norwich has scored 7 goals in their last 3 matches. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 3 -120 in Leeds United |
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01-23-24 | Boise State v. Fresno State +6 | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Fresno State Bulldogs (+) vs Boise State Broncos @ 10:30 ET - This line is in the 5.5 to 6 range as of about 10 hours before tipoff and it is a great spot for a home dog upset. We will grab the points just in case but the Bulldogs are playing this game with triple revenge and the set-up is perfect. Not only did Fresno State lose last season's meeting, they also lost both meetings the season before and that included the only home loss out of these three games coming in OT. Not only do the Bulldogs have plenty of motivation here, the setup is perfect. Boise State is off a hard-fought 1-point win over San Diego State while Fresno State is off one of their worst performances of the season. The Bulldogs just lost by 21 points at ranked Utah State. Fresno State was on a 5-5 run prior to that with 2 of those losses by 3 or less points. They have played a road-heavy schedule too so they are offering extra value here on their home floor after 5 of their last 7 games have been on the road. Boise State, on the other hand, has had very few true road games this season and 8 of their last 11 have been home games. Based purely on records, everyone will be looking at the road team in this one but the situational edge and motivational edge is all Bulldogs in this one. 10* FRESNO STATE (+) |
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01-23-24 | Jazz +6.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 124-153 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz (+) @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - This line is in the 6.5 range as of 9 hours before tipoff and I like the underdog value here. Yes, Utah does not have a good SU record on the road and the Pelicans are tough at home. However, this Jazz team has been playing very well for an extended stretch here and the 3 meetings between these teams so far this season have all been tight. Those 3 games have been decided by an average margin of 4.7 points. Utah enters this game off B2B losses but both were by 5 or less points! Prior to this, the Jazz had won 12 of 14 games! So this Jazz team is still hot and and they have been tough to beat by a big margin and here they have revenge for losing their most recent game at New Orleans and yet we have a half-dozen points to work with! I will take it! The Pelicans have not exactly been setting the world on fire as they are just 9-7 SU last 16 games and I feel we have solid value with the way the Jazz have been playing and yet entering this game off B2B losses. The Jazz have not lost 3 straight since early December. Upset alert here but we'll grab the points just in case. 10* UTAH (+) |
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01-23-24 | Capitals v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 5.5 in Minnesota - The Wild host the Capitals in this one and this total has dropped to a 5.5 which has opened up solid line value. Kuemper expected to start in goal for Washington and he will want to perform well against his former club but historically he does not have good numbers against Minnesota. Also, he is struggling this season. I know Gustavsson is off a very strong start for Minny but here he faces a Capitals team that is so hungry for goal-scoring and they catch the Wild off a big win over a tough Carolina team. Note that 6 of last 7 Minnesota games have totaled at least 6 goals and these 7 games averaged 8 goals apiece! Washington is off a shutout loss but this was preceded by wins in 4 of last 6 games and the Capitals scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 4 victories. The Wild have been scoring well and Kuemper, prior to a strong start his last time out, had been struggling. Red hot Minny will take advantage of that as well and I love the drop on this total. The Capitals are getting healthier again and will score well here. OVER 5.5 in Minnesota |
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01-23-24 | Lightning v. Flyers -104 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday PHILADELPHIA - The Flyers host the Lightning and Philly has lost B2B games and that is significant because part of the key to their strong season has been the ability to bounce back and avoid longer losing streaks. A streak more than 2 games to the negative has been rare for Philly and they also have the home ice edge here and Tampa Bay is coming off a road loss at Detroit and they have struggled overall on the road this season. Tippett is out for the Flyers but they are otherwise healthy and they take advantage of a Bolts team that has lost 9 of last 14 road games. PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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01-23-24 | Middlesbrough v. Chelsea OVER 3.25 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200609: EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +105 in Chelsea vs Middlesbrough @ 3 ET - Chelsea lost the first leg 1-0 so you know they will be ultra aggressive on the attack here at home. Middlesbrough knows there is no way Chelsea is going to fail to finish and come up empty on 18 shots like they did in the 1st Leg. That said, Middlesbrough knows they need to be aggressive here! Middlesbrough has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of 6 matches and averaged 1.6 goals scored in those 5 matches. Chelsea has won 4 of 5 matches and scored an average of 2.5 goals per match in those 4 victories. The lone loss was at Middlesbrough and this will be payback today. Of course that is why they are a very heavy favorite here and even favored at a -150 price on the goal line at -1.5 goals. I am looking for a 3-1 type final as this is a respectable Middlesbrough club capable of making the net ripple at least once (or even twice) but they also will be unable to stop the hosts at the other end of the pitch! 10* OVER 3.5 +105 in Chelsea |
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01-23-24 | Dundee FC v. Heart of Midlothian OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #207017: Scottish Premiership: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Hearts vs Dundee @ 2:45 ET - Dundee has seen their road matches average 3 goals apiece this season. I see strong odds on each club scoring here as Dundee is averaging 1.33 goals scored in road matches this season and Hearts are averaging 1.14 goals scored as a host this season. So if we get to 1-1 what are the odds on a draw? Only 14% as only 3 of 21 matches for the Hearts have finished in a draw this season. Also, 3 straight Hearts matches have totaled at least 3 goals and they have scored 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 so their shooting boots are running hot! Dundee has allowed 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 matches and conceded an average of 2.5 goals in those 6 matches! On the scoring front, however, Dundee's league matches have seen them score at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 7 matches! Also, 6 of last 7 league matches involving Dundee have totaled at least 3 goals. This one will too! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Hearts |
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01-22-24 | Panthers v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Nashville Predators vs Florida Panthers @ 8 ET - We get line value here because of the recent lower-scoring trending in NHL games. This one is set up well to be one of the outliers that cruises to at least the 7-goal mark and I like the fact we have the added value of a 6 being available as the current posted total in this one. I know Nashville is off a 3-2 loss but they have had some bigger recent scoring outputs. The Predators have now allowed 3.3 goals per game last 8 games but they also have scored 3 goals in each of last 4 home games. Look for the Preds to again score well here as the Panthers have been struggling in terms of goals conceded. However, this talented Florida attack will also prove dangerous here. The Panthers average high shots on goal per game and they, along with the Preds, have a talented power play. Florida has allowed 4 goals per game in their last 4 games. However, the Panthers also have scored 4.3 goals in their last 7 road games! This one has all the makings of one of those games where each team gets to the 3-goal mark! 10* OVER 6 in Nashville |
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01-22-24 | Spurs v. 76ers OVER 236.5 | Top | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - This total in the 237 range and Philly is about a 14 point favorite here. The reason I am referencing those specific numbers is because the Spurs have scored at least 115 points in 7 of their last 9 games. If they hit at least that 115 mark and the odds makers are right about the spread on this game (as they so often are) that puts this total in the mid-240s. That means we have some solid value with the over here the way I see it. The 76ers are off a rare ultra low-scoring game which they won at Charlotte. Now they are back at home where they so often play at a frenetic pace and note that the Spurs are known for playing fast as well. With this being a non-conference match-up there is also less emphasis on defense. The Sixers are rested and have some rest on deck as well so they will go all out here and the Spurs are coming off a rare win and will be ready to push the tempo again here as that is the way they have been playing consistently all season long. Now SA has the confidence boost of coming off a rare win too so their hotter shooting might surprise here as confidence tends to be contagious. Sixers defense could be lax here after holding their last opponent below 90 points! 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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01-22-24 | Wake Forest +8 v. North Carolina | Top | 64-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+) @ North Carolina Tar Heels @ 7 ET - Yes this will be a tough test for the Demon Deacons but, as of 11 hours before tipoff, 8 is the line on this game. That is noteworthy as Wake Forest is 13-5 this season and has not lost a game by more than 7 points! So WF, based on the line in this game, would be 18-0 on the season. Also, in their most recent game the Demon Deacons just got senior Damari Monsanto back and he has been a solid contributor in his career and already produced a solid showing in his first game of this season. He is a strong 3-point shooter so having him back is a key. Monsanto delivered 12 points in the win. Plenty of respect for this Tar Heels team but UNC is facing a confident Wake Forest team that is playing with an extra boost right now after the return of Monsanto. Also, the Demon Deacons beat the Tar Heels in their most recent meeting last season. Don't be surprised if this game goes to the wire. 10* WAKE FOREST (+) |
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01-22-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #200157: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Wolverhampton @ 2:45 ET - Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 5 goals apiece! Brighton has scored an average of 4 goals in those 4 matches! Also, the Wolves enter this one with each of their last 4 matches in EPL action totaling at least 3 goals! Brighton's most recent EPL match was a rare scoreless draw but this was sandwiched by a pair of 4-2 wins for Brighton. As per usual when these clubs meet, the goals will fly here. Look for a 5th in a row totaling at least 3 goals and a 4th in a row that totals at least 4 goals as Brighton makes up for their recent scoreless draw in EPL action and Wolverhampton continues their recent goal-scoring surge as they have averaged scoring 2.6 goals last 5 matches! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-22-24 | UTA Arad v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206833: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in FCSB vs UTA @ 1 ET - Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. UTA off a 2-2 draw in their final match before the winter break. FSCB is back on track with B2B wins prior to the break and they scored 3 goals in each victory. Look for the trend in match-ups between these clubs to make it 5 STRAIGHT OVERS with this game getting to a 2-1 final at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in FCSB |
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01-22-24 | Otelul v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #206825: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -128 in FC Voluntari vs Otelul Galati @ 10 AM ET - The first meeting this season was a 2-2 draw. Galati enters this one with 7 of last 8 matches totaling at least 2 goals so there is value here with this low total. Those 7 Galati matches averaged 3 goals apiece and I am expecting this one will get to 3 goals as well! Voluntari has allowed 11 goals in last 8 matches. They enter this one fired up for some offensive production though after each of last two matches were 1-0 losses for them. Prior to this they had scored an average of 2.2 goals per match over a 5-match stretch so they will get it going again here! 10* OVER 2 -128 in FC Voluntari |
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01-21-24 | Blazers +10.5 v. Lakers | Top | 110-134 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 10:10 ET - First off I know the Blazers are one of the weaker teams in the league but the Lakers are only mediocre in my eyes and that means we have excellent line value here given a few other keys with this one as well. Portland enters this game off B2B wins so that helps a little with confidence. The Lakers are off a bad loss in most recent game and they also could get caught looking ahead to a big game with the rival Clippers on deck. Don't be surprised if LeBron and Company make the mistake of looking right past these Blazers. Also, about LeBron, he is not 100% and could be rested some especially as this game goes on which would allow Portland backdoor cover potential, if that is even needed. Also Anthony Davis appears to have a more serious injury issue he is dealing with now so, even if he plays, he will not be 100% and he could be rested here as a maintenance day given his new injury designation. So, at the end of the day, this is just too many points to give the Blazers in a game like this. Their confidence has been increasing also with recent wins. They will hang around in this game and this one decided by single digits. We'll grab the 10.5 points on offer in this one as of 9 hours before tipoff. 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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01-21-24 | Maple Leafs v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Seattle vs Toronto @ 9:07 ET - The Maple Leafs continue to score well but can not stop anybody. That is why I look for goals to fly here because the Kraken continue to allow too many goals. I know Seattle is struggling to score these days but facing a leaky Leafs defense will help in that regard as Toronto just can not keep the puck out of their own net of late. That has played a big role in why the Leafs have had 7 straight games total at least 6 goals and those games averaged 7.4 goals per game. The Kraken have allowed 4 goals per game last 4 games overall and Seattle has scored 3.7 goals per game in last 6 home games. 10* OVER 6 in Seattle |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (-) vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 6:30 ET - Amazingly Mahomes has 15 career NFL playoff games and 12 were at home and 3 were neutral site (because they were Super Bowl games). That said, this is his first road start in the playoffs which is quite amazing. Now certainly I don't expect this to be a huge impact for a guy with the experience he has but it still not ideal as this is his first ever playoff game - including Super Bowls of course - where almost no one will be cheering for him in the entire stadium! The Bills are hungry and, for Josh Allen, home field does matter. He had an 11-11 TD-INT ratio on the road this season but an 18-7 TD-INT ratio in home starts. Long-term Allen has fantastic numbers at home and he and the Bills love playing here. The Chiefs have been in the Super Bowl 3 of the last 4 seasons but there is a different feel with this team this season. I am not saying either one of these teams would get by the Ravens next week to reach the Super Bowl (we will cross that bridge when we get there!) but I am saying that Bills are very hungry for their chance finally AND this KC team just has not been as dynamic on offense this season. The Bills are scoring an average of 28 points last 8 games including 6 straight wins and not a single loss in regulation. Both teams are strong defensively but Chiefs averaging only 20.6 points last 10 games NOT even including the season finale in which Gabbert was at QB for them. The last 10 games that INCLUDED Mahomes the Chiefs went just 5-5 SU and all 5 losses by at least 3 points so lay the 2.5 here with the home team! 10* BUFFALO (-) |
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01-21-24 | Indiana State -5 v. Murray State | Top | 72-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Sunday CBB 10* Top Play Indiana State Sycamores (-) @ Murray State Racers @ 5 ET - Even though the Racers lost the 2nd meeting last season, the first meeting was a loss for the Sycamores at Murray State. That being said, there is no way that Indiana State is overlooking this match-up and they are just too strong for Murray State. The Sycamores are 15-3 this season and their only 3 losses were to Michigan State, Alabama and Drake. Note that Drake is another of the top teams in the MVC just like Indiana State. As for the Racers, 4 of their 5 conference wins have come against 3 teams that have a combined 6-18 record in the MVC. So, even though Murray State has been hot, it deserves an asterisk. The Sycamores on a whole other level. Lay it! This line currently in the 5 to 5.5 range. 10* INDIANA STATE (-) |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Lions (-) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 3 ET - Detroit is 7-1 SU last 8 games at home and last week's 1 point win was a rare exception of a very tight win as their last 11 victories overall had all been by at least 3 points. Now I know we are laying 6 points in this particular match-up versus the Bucs. However, Tampa Bay has seen 6 of their 8 losses this season come by at least 6 points. Though TB ended up being able take advantage of a dysfunctional Eagles team last week that wrapped the season in ugly fashion, they now face a Lions team that is surging at the right time and I really like their head coach as well. He has the respect of this locker room and that goes a long way in sports. Now, back to the Bucs, note that entering last week's game, though the Bucs started this season 3-1 they then went 6-7 the rest of the way. Not only that, TB went just 1-5 against playoff teams in the regular season! That included a TB loss to the Lions and that game was at Tampa and Detroit won by 14 and won the yardage battle by over 100 yards! The Lions have the better ground game in this match-up and will be able run against the Bucs here and that establishes the passing attack as it makes TB respect the ground game. Keep in mind Tampa Bay just beat the defending NFC Champion Eagles and now they are having to go on the road on short rest and face a team that is worlds better than the Eagles are right now. This sets up well for the Buccaneers to get their doors blown off here. Lay it! 10* DETROIT (-) |
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01-21-24 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206853: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta @ 1 ET - Universitatea Craiova is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match this season and here they host defending champion Farul. The visitors are also scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match but conceding 1.5 goals per match as well. The defense of Farul has let them down often this season and that is why the projection here is at least a 2-1 final. The last 5 meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals apiece. Universitatea Craiova has had 3 straight matches and 4 of last 5 total at least 3 goals. Farul is off crazy B2B scoreless draws as this followed 3 straight matches and 5 of last 7 totaling at least 4 goals! Those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece and I expect a big bounce back from Farul in the goal-scoring department after the way their final two matches ended before the winter break. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Craiova |
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01-21-24 | Liverpool v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200153: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Bournemouth vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - I know Liverpool is missing some guys but they are too strong and will be able to score well here regardless. Bournemouth has been in a cycle in which they continue to get involved in high-scoring matches. I certainly do not see that ending here as the Reds are not known for being water-tight at the backline either! 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals including that crazy 9-0 Liverpool win just a year and a half ago. Bournemouth has had 5 straight matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and those have averaged 4 goals apiece. Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions. More of the same here but they are not shutting down this Bournemouth club on their home pitch as the hosts continue their better scoring trend of late. 10* OVER 3 -135 in Bournemouth |
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01-21-24 | West Ham United v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 110 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200149: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Sheffield United vs West Ham United @ 9 AM ET - West Ham off a disastrous 1-0 loss in English FA Cup action to lower tiered competition. They will come out firing on all cylinders here as a result but Sheffield will put up a fight on their home pitch in this one. That should lead to more scoring than most expect and, yes, I know there are some injury issues relating to this match but this is the perfect set up for goals. Also, West Ham has scored 5 goals in the last two meetings and Sheffield enters this match off a confidence-boosting 4-0 win in English FA Cup action. Though that was again lower competition it still helps in the confidence department entering this match. Sheffield is allowing 2.5 goals per match this season in league action and also West Ham allowing 2 goals per match in road matches this season. The goals will fly here. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Sheffield United |
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01-20-24 | Packers +10 v. 49ers | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
NFL Saturday Green Bay Packers (+) @ San Francisco 49ers @ 8:15 ET - This line is in the range of -10 on San Francisco as of 11 hours before kickoff. While I certainly have a lot of respect for the 49ers they also finished the season 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS L5 home games. The point is they tend to be a little over-valued here at home and I feel strongly that is the case again here. In this case they are facing a Packers team that finished the season on a 6-2 SU run and now, including playoffs, it is 7-2 SU last 9 games! Including post-season, Green Bay played 18 games this season and only 3 of the 17 games were a GB loss by more than 4 points! Surprisingly all 3 of those ugly defeats came at home! The Packers, including the win at Dallas last week, are only 5-5 SU on the road but all 5 losses were by 4 or less points and those 5 defeats averaged just a 2.6 point margin. In other words, in this game San Francisco is being asked to do something no other team has managed yet this season. The Niners are being asked to beat the traveling Packers by a spread greater than 4 points which makes this a 10-0 YTD factor as no team has done that this season! I also like taking big dogs in ugly weather games and rain and possibly wind as well could factor into this game. The Packers, as well as Jordan Love, are peaking at the right time. Look for this to be a great game decided by a one-score margin. The confidence level of the Pack is sky-high right now and the Niners could be a little rusty as the play their first meaningful game in quite some time. Sometimes teams lose momentum in cases like this and this GB team absolutely believe in itself and their run on that 10-0 YTD factor is all set for 11 in a row. 10* GREEN BAY (+) |
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01-20-24 | Connecticut -3.5 v. Villanova | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #793: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Villanova Wildcats @ 8 ET - The Wildcats are just not on the level of prior teams in the Jay Wright years. Yes they are a solid team and they are at home here. However, that is what is keeping this line lower than it should be because the Huskies are a elite team and the Wildcats are not. Connecticut only has 2 losses this season and they were on the road but against Kansas, one of top teams in country and Seton Hall, the other strongest team in the Big East Conference along with UConn. That said, excellent value with this line in the 3.5 range as of 8 hours before tipoff. The Wildcats have only won 5 of 10 games and, of the 5 wins, two were against a very bad DePaul team and one was against a UCLA team struggling badly at the time. Though they did have a surprising win over Creighton their only other win of these 5 was against a Xavier team that has only been mediocre so far this season. That said, the Huskies wins have all been by at least 4 points and they have not lost to a team that is on the level of the Wildcats this entire season. Huskies win and Huskies cover! 10* CONNECTICUT (-) |
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01-20-24 | 76ers v. Hornets +11 | Top | 97-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets (+) vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - This line is in the 11 range as of 8 hours before tipoff. This is the 2nd of 4 meetings between these teams this season and the first game was in Charlotte and was a memorable one! The Hornets suffered their worst home loss in franchise history! 135 to 82 was the final score in that one. Now you have a motivated Hornets team at home and playing with some added confidence after winning their most recent game. Yes it was against the lowly Spurs but that was a much-needed win for Charlotte. Now they host a Sixers team off a big win at Orlando last night. Though Embiid will likely play some, with this being the 2nd game of a B2B and now facing a lesser foe, Philly may choose to rest him some as the game goes on. The Hornets will prove to be the more motivated team here and that will help them keep this game to single digits. The hosts remember all too well how the prior meeting played out this season. Embarrassing home court loss, worst of franchise history, means payback here. Hornets keep this one to single digits. 10* CHARLOTTE (+) |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans @ 4:30 ET - The Ravens regular season finale was a low-scoring battle with the Steelers two weeks ago but Baltimore rested a lot of regulars in that one. Prior to that game, which certainly deserves an asterisk, the Ravens were on a 10-1 run and had scored an average of 34 points in the 10 games in that stretch that followed their win over in London. The point being that if the Ravens just hit their average here of 34 points and they win by about 10 points (current line on this game is Baltimore by 10) then this game will total in the upper 50s! I am not saying we get there but I am pointing out the line value we have on this total! The Texans have scored an average of 27 points last 5 games. I know they had defensive TDs in their playoff win over Cleveland last week but they did see Stroud throw for nearly 300 yards. This is a solid running team too. I like the Texans to score well here as they are a very confident group right now but they will not be able to stop the dangerous offensive attack of the Ravens. With the running threat of Lamar Jackson a constant worry for defenses, Baltimore is going to give this team nightmares in this one. This should fly over the total as a result and I like the fact the total has ticked down a little from the mid-40s to lower-40s on this one. Take advantage of the added value. 10* OVER the total in Baltimore |
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01-20-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #206829: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Yesterday only 2 matches in Romania Liga 1 action in the first games after the winter break and both went crazy with 6 goals and 7 goals scored. Now we have a total of just 2 on this match Saturday and there is a lot of value with the over. Though it snowed a fair amount here overnight and has continued this morning, it will be out of the area by the time this match goes. The last time these clubs met it was a 1-1 draw but both goals were in the first half and it was a bit of bad luck for over players that it never reached the 3 goal mark. This one should make up for that and we again have the additional value of this total being set at only 2 goals. Dinamo has averaged 1 goal scored in last 4 matches and Petro is off B2B shutouts including one at home but their two most recent home matches prior to that saw them score 2 goals in each match! Also, Petro has conceded 5 goals in last 3 matches. Dinamo has only 4 draws in 21 matches this season so expecting each club to score here means also expecting this match to get to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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01-20-24 | Nottingham Forest v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #200145: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest @ 12:30 ET - Toney is back for Brentford in this one. Nottingham Forest is a different club ever since Santo has taken over. 9 of last 12 Brentford matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals including 3 in a row. Nottingham Forest has seen each of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals and those 5 have averaged 4 goals apiece! There is certainly nothing average about that and, with Toney back for the home side, I fully anticipate an electric atmosphere with plenty of scoring! 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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01-20-24 | Hermannstadt v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +105 in Universitatea Cluj vs Hermannstadt @ 10 AM ET - Yesterday only 2 matches in Romania Liga 1 action in the first games after the winter break and both went crazy with 6 goals and 7 goals scored. Now we have a total of just 2 on this match Saturday and there is a lot of value with the over. Universitatea Cluj is fired up off a 4-0 shutout loss and they also were shutout in most recent home match. In other words, motivation will be high to resume scoring and they had won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 2 goals apiece prior to rare B2B shutout losses. Their last 2 meetings with Hermannstadt have each totaled at least 3 goals. Hermannstadt has allowed 2 goals per match over the last 4 matches but also has scored an average of 1 goal in last 3 matches and will get back on track here after getting embarrassed in most recent road match. 10* OVER 2 +105 in Universitatea Cluj |
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01-19-24 | 76ers -5 v. Magic | Top | 124-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - This line is around a -5 as of about 10 hours before tipoff. The Sixers recently beat the Magic at Orlando by 20 points so this is a revenge spot for the Magic. However, Orlando will again be without Wagner and he scored 24 of the 92 points the Magic had in the prior game with Philly. Yes, this is the front end of a B2B for the Sixers but tomorrow it is lowly Charlotte that they will be facing. In other words, I am sure this game has the full attention of Philadelphia and the absence of Wagner will be significant here for the Magic. They enter this game having lost 4 of 5 and the fact they are off a buzzer-beater loss versus a divisional foe will not help them in the confidence department here. The high-flying Sixers can take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-19-24 | Devils v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -120 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:07 - The Blue Jackets have seen 12 of last 18 games total at least 7 goals. Those 12 games have averaged 9 goals apiece! This is a great situation because Columbus comes in with added confidence too off a big 4-3 shootou win over Vancouver. The Devils have surprisingly trended toward unders the last 3 games but this was after their last 7 games had averaged 8 goals apiece. Given that fact plus the way the Jackets have been trending, you can see why goals are in the forecast here. I know the Devils have some injury issues but Merzlikins likely to be in goal here for Columbus and he had been sitting for 6 games before coming in and getting that win over the Canucks. I am not sold on him truly being "back" just yet. These teams met twice last month and one totaled 7 goals and the other totaled 9 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6.5 -120 in Columbus |
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01-19-24 | Akron +1 v. Kent State | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Rotation #887 Friday: Akron Zips (pick'em) @ Kent State Golden Flashes @ 7 ET - The Zips played their most recent game without Nate Johnson but Ali Ali came back mid-December and Akron is 8-1 in the 9 games he has played in with the only loss coming by a single point. Ali Ali has been fantastic. Also, this is a great spot for Akron as this is a double revenge spot. Not only did the Zips lose in their late season visit to Kent State late last season, the Golden Flashes then knocked them out of the conference tourney soon after that as well! In other words, high motivation here and this is a big rivalry match-up and we get line value since this one is at Kent State. The fact is that Akron has been the much stronger team early this season and they enter this game winners of 5 straight and 9 of 10. The Golden Flashes enter this game off a win but had lost 5 of 6 games prior to that victory. Home court matters a lot in college basketball but it is not enough to get this Kent State team over the hump against a double revenge-minded rival that is in better current form. 10* AKRON Pick'em |
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01-19-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #206841: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 -110 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 1 ET - This is the first match for these clubs after the long winter break. Snow is moving into Bucuresti this weekend but is not expected to arrive until a few hours after this 8 pm local time match has gone final here in Romania. That said, weather should not impact this match in the least and I expect goals to fly here. The last time these teams met it was a 5-3 Rapid victory and that was the 4th time last 5 meetings in which the match totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, 3 of those 4 have totaled at least 5 goals. So the goals should be plentiful in this one. These are two of the highest scoring clubs in the league. In explicably, Rapid had 3 shutout draws among its last 4 matches before the winter break. The break was perfect timing for this solid club to hit the reset button and prepare to dominate again. FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches and, of course, Rapid is favored with good reason here. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -110 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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01-19-24 | CSMS Iasi +0.5 v. Sepsi | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1: Friday Poli Iasi +0.5 goals +100 @ Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - This is the first match after the long winter break. Also, rain is moving into Sfantu Gheorghe for this game which is set for 5 PM local time in Romania. That means the value of the 1/2 goal is even greater and I also like the fact Iasi is off a 3-1 loss prior to the break. Note that Iasi has not had B2B losses since August! That was when they were mired in a rough start to the season with 5 losses in first 6 matches. Since then, Iasi has only 3 losses in last 15 matches and all we need here is a draw to cash our ticket. Don't be surprised if the road team springs the upset here. Iasi has only one loss in the last five meetings between these clubs. Also, Sepsi was hot before the break and the last thing a club with momentum wants is a break as that can cool them off. The weather and situational edges here plus line value all favor the road underdog. POLI IASI +0.5 goals +100 |
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01-18-24 | Washington +2.5 v. California | Top | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #819: CBB Thursday Washington Huskies (+) @ California Golden Bears @ 9 ET - This line has swung from Huskies being roughly a 2 point favorite to now the Bears being roughly a 2.5 point favorite as of about 11 hours before tipoff. I like fading line moves like this plus there is a lot more to like about this play! For starters Cal is overvalued here. Lets not forget this Golden Bears team is coming off a 3-29 season. In a season with so many losses like that, there would be very few where payback would matter but the one that ended their season was a loss to Washington State in the Conference Tourney. The Bears have the Cougars on deck and certainly that one would be more of an attention-getter than this one! Also this is a Cal team that is now 30-80 the past 3 and 1/2 seasons! As for the Huskies, they are off their worst loss of the season. Washington just lost by double digits. Prior to this, the Huskies were 10-6 this season with all losses by a single-digit margin and by an average margin of just 4 points! Coming off the double digit loss and facing a team that has won only 27% of games last 3 and 1/2 seasons, I like our chances here! We get excellent line value because the Huskies are on the road. Yes, home court matters, but Cal has been losing everywhere in recent seasons including this one! The Bears did beat Colorado here but, other than that, their wins are nothing to write home about AND in that win over the Buffaloes they were down by as many as 20 points. The Huskies are well aware of that and will keep their pedal to the metal all game long in this one. Now getting as much as 2.5 points here as of gameday morning, love the value in this one. WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-18-24 | Wizards v. Knicks OVER 235 | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Thursday OVER the total in New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - The Knicks in a B2B and off another strong performance on defense. Given that this is a B2B and New York is a double digit favorite with good reason, you can expect a high-scoring run and gun affair in this one. The Knicks used up their defensive energy last night against Houston. Now they face a Wizards team that is having a horrible season and so you know the Knicks are going to be willing to just play a free-flowing game here after last night's stronger effort on the defense end. Washington has scored 120 ppg last 4 games. However, the Wizards also are 7-32 SU this season and have allowed nearly 130 ppg in their 32 losses! Don't be surprised when this game lands in the 130-120 type range which means we have a lot of wiggle room compared to the current total in the 235 range in this one as of 11 hours before tipoff! OVER the total in New York |
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01-18-24 | Stars v. Flyers +117 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 117 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Philadelphia Flyers +115 vs Dallas Stars @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers lost the first meeting this season in OT at Dallas so they are out for revenge here and have won 4 straight games. Though the Stars are a strong team, they are still over-valued here on the road. They have won their last two road games but had lost 5 of their 7 most recent road games prior to that. Also, Dallas enters this game off B2B wins but this followed losses in 4 of 6 games. The Stars last two wins have come against a slumping Kings team and a Blackhawks club that is one of the worst in the league. Now the Stars are on the road facing a solid Flyers club that has been hot. PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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01-18-24 | Canadiens v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 -135 in Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:07 ET - Canadiens are in a B2B which means they will start Primeau in goal and he has not played much so rust will be a factor here. Ottawa is rested and will look to take advantage but the issues for the Senators is their goalie has struggled. Korpisalo will get the start here and he has a rough .862 save percentage in his last 12 appearances. The Sens 11 of last 15 games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one will get to at least that as well. OVER 6.5 -135 in Ottawa |
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01-18-24 | Blues v. Capitals -111 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Washington Capitals -110 vs St Louis Blues @ 7:07 ET - The Caps recently got TJ Oshie back. Now it looks like Alex Ovechkin could be back tonight after being a full participant in practice today. Even if he Ovie is not able to go (game time decision) I still like the Capitals plenty in this one. Binnington has been inconsistent in goal this season for St Louis and the Blues have struggled on the road. Washington has been getting solid goaltending from Lindgren this season too and he is now back on the ice and has continued playing well since his return. Kuemper also gave them a shutout win in the Caps most recent game. On home ice and playing better of late and Oshie has 2 goals and an assist last 3 games and it is huge that he is back now plus Ovechkin might join him tonight. WASHINGTON -110 |
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01-18-24 | Sporting Braga v. Famalicao OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206625: Portugese Primeira Liga: Thursday OVER 2.5 -120 in Famalicao vs Sporting Braga @ 1:45 ET - Famalicao does not have any players away from the club on international duty at either the Africa Cup of Nations or the Asian Cup. That plus the fact they are on their home pitch here should lead to a strong effort against a Braga club that has struggled and had some issues on defense as well. However, Braga has a respectable attack and will score well here also. Braga will be more attack-oriented here off a 2-0 shutout loss and this was preceded by them scoring an average of 2 goals per match last 3 matches. Braga has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match during this stretch. However, they also are averaging scoring 2.4 goals per match in Primeira Liga action this season so it is easy to see why they are favorted here and also why I am expecting at least a 2-1 type final here. Famalicao has scored multiple goals in each of last two matches and also the last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4 goals. OVER 2.5 -120 in Famalicao |
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01-18-24 | Barcelona FC v. Unionistas de Salamanca OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #202217: Spanish Copa del Rey: Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Unionistas vs Barcelona @ 1:30 ET - Barcelona is a massive favorite here with good reason as they face a 3rd tier club here. Unionistas is embracing this rare opportunity to host a behemoth of a club and they have no reason to play conservative here. They need to go for it and they hope to catch Barcelona a little weary after the 4-1 loss in Saudi Arabia against Real Madrid. Indeed, this may help Unionistas to make the net ripple at least once in this match-up but, at the same time, the determination and hunger of Barcelona wanting to respond after defeat will prove to be too much. This one has 3-1 written all over it. Barcelona has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches away from home and has given up an average of 2 goals in those 7 matches. Unionistas has had goal-scoring success in the Spanish Copa del Rey but they will not be able to stop Barcelona here. OVER 3 -120 in Unionistas |
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01-17-24 | Northern Iowa -120 v. Belmont | Top | 83-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #723: CBB Wednesday: Northern Iowa Panthers (-) or Pick'em @ Belmont Bruins @ 9 ET - This line is currently in the -1.5 range at -110 but also there is some pick'em -120 out there to utilize and that would be the preferable option here. Belmont just joined the MVC last season. Not only did the Bruins beat the Panthers in both meetings last season, they also beat UNI by 20 at Northern Iowa this season! So that means this is a triple revenge spot for the Panthers in MVC action. Certainly UNI is not happy about giving up 90 POINTS in the home loss earlier this season. Trust me, the betting markets know this too and that is why this line has swung to UNI after Belmont was the small favorite. Note that even though Northern Iowa is on the road, they are the ones now laying the small number here. A big key for me here is that Ja'Kobi Gillespie is the 2nd leading scorer for the Bruins and he is still out. He also leads the team in assists and steals. His loss is a significant one and Belmont is coming off a loss by 30 points at Indiana State. The Panthers are only a .500 team this season and the Bruins have the better record plus are at home for this one. So why is UNI the favorite here? Exactly! The time is right for triple revenge in this one. 10* NORTHERN IOWA (-) |
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01-17-24 | Mavs +4 v. Lakers | Top | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (+) @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are in the +4 or +3.5 range in this one and I know many will be looking at the Lakers here in a double revenge spot but I look for the Mavs to complete the trifecta and make the series a 3-0 sweep for the regular season. The key here is the line value with the Mavericks getting solid points as a road dog to a team that has been struggling for quite some time now. The Lakers have lost 12 of 18 games. Also, in those 18 games, ONLY 3 have been victories by more than a 3 point margin. Yes, I am aware Doncic is a game time decision here but Hardaway Jr just had 41 with the extra minutes he is getting because Doncic is out. Couple that with the fact Irving is on fire, the Mavs have won 2 of 3 now even with Doncic out. Long-term this Dallas team is on an 8 of 13 run and one of those 5 losses was by just 5 points. They are the top team in the Southwest Division and the Lakers continue to be over-rated by the betting masses. Los Angeles is not a great team. Let's grab the underdog value here. 10* DALLAS (+) |