Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-20-23 | Senators v. Bruins OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals +110 in Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators @ 1:07 ET - The Senators are off a 7-2 win yesterday and playing with a lot of confidence right now. They have been winning games of late despite being down their top two goalies. Also, they have confidence here by virtue of having already beaten the Bruins twice this season including once by a count of 7-5. You can bet that Boston is going to be ready for revenge here and will take advantage of the Sens being in a B2B and essentially down to their #4 goalie as their option for starting today's game. Also, Bruins have scored an average of 4 goals per game in going 4-1 last 5 games. Senators have scored 4 goals per game in going 7-2 last 9 games. Though I respect the defense and netminding of the Bruins, Ottawa has given them some trouble this season and they can get to 3 goals here but, of course, Boston a heavy favorite for a reason here. Look for a 5-3 type game in this one. Love the plus money with the over in a game in which the Bruins should really look to pile it on against a divisional foe. 10* OVER 6.5 goals +110 in Boston |
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02-20-23 | Ducks v. Panthers OVER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks @ 1:05 ET - I know it may seem tough to feel comfortable laying a total of 7 goals and, of course, we don't want a push with landing on 7 here but I do feel confident we are going to see 8 or more here. At the same time, there is value here in the fact that if we get to 3-3 we can not lose this play and honestly I feel very confident even the Ducks will get to 3 in this one. The problem for Anaheim is they can stop no one! The Ducks have allowed 6.5 goals in losing 4 straight games and all 4 of those games totaled at least 9 goals! In terms of scoring goals, Anaheim has averaged scoring 3.3 goals per game last 11 games. The Ducks porous defense is in trouble here against the high-powered Panthers. Note that Florida is on their home ice for this one and they have gone 9-7 overall last 16 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. The Panthers have also scored an impressive average of 4.5 goals per game in their last 10 on home ice! This Florida team is dangerous but they also have struggles in their own end of the ice at time. 3 times in last 5 games they have allowed 5 or more goals! They have allowed 4 goals per game last 11 games! 10* OVER 7 goals in Florida |
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02-20-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - There is excellent line value with this total available at just 2 goals. FC Voluntari actually has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches but the problem for them is having conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches! Overall, FC Voluntari has conceded 1.5 goals per match last 11 matches. U Craiova 1948 has seen 9 of last 10 matches total at least 2 goals. Also, they have had only 2 draws in their 12 home matches! That is a 17% draw rate. You can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and you can see why I also do not expect it to end 1-1 either as the odds certainly do not favor that. Expect 3 goals here and grab the extra value of having the over 2 goals at a very fair price in this one. U Craiova 1948 has seen their last 5 home matches average 2.6 goals apiece and they are the better team in this match-up plus seeking revenge from loss at FC Voluntari earlier this season. By the way, FC Voluntari has beaten them 3 straight times and scored an average of 1.7 goals in the process. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here which is justified per the above. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-20-23 | Sepsi v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50.5 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Botosani vs Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - The last time these clubs met Sepsi prevailed 7-0 at home. Now FC Botosani is at home where they won their last match 5-0. However, FC Botosani is also off a match in which they conceded 3 times. Sepsi has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.5 goals during this stretch. 8 straight Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. That is also why I am recommending doing your line shopping and grabbing an over 2 even if you have to lay extra juice to have it. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight home matches and has averaged 2.3 goals scored in those 4 matches. 3 straight and 6 of last 8 FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Sepsi one of the top clubs in the league for goals scored while FC Botosani one of the league's worst in terms of goals conceded. We should see plenty of goals here! 10* OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Botosani |
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02-19-23 | Jets +112 v. Devils | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line +115 @ New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Jets have a huge situational edge here. They have been off since Thursday and that was a 3-1 loss at Columbus. They are fired up and rested and ready to bounce back here. Also, they could have Hellebuyck back between the pipes though, even if Rittich goes, I still like this play. Rittich has actually played quite well. However the same can not be said for Vanececk's back-up, Blackwood, in New Jersey. The Devils back-up netminder is likely to play tonight and he has allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of last 4 games! He is likely to play because Vanecek was in goal for yesterday's big win over division rival Penguins. In summary, New Jersey is in a B2B spot and off a big divisional win and is facing a rested Jets team having a solid season but coming off a loss. There is a reason this money line has been moving downward already. This is sharp hockey money seeing the same thing I am seeing here which is great underdog line value. 10* WINNIPEG +115 |
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02-19-23 | Iowa -120 v. Northwestern | Top | 60-80 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes Money Line -120 @ Northwestern Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - The Hawkeyes are a -1.5 point favorite in most spots so I am recommending to take the money line instead which is in the -120 range. But this is a contrarian play all the way and I love spots like this. Why in the world is Iowa favored here? Exactly! That is why I like them. But, really when you look at this it is likely to fool the markets. The fact is Northwestern is above the Hawkeyes in the Big Ten standings PLUS they are 12-4 at home PLUS Iowa is 3-5 on the road PLUS the Wildcats have revenge here. So all those factors and yet the Hawkeyes are favored? Don't be fooled here ladies and gentlemen. Iowa is favored for a reason and I love the fact that Northwestern had to fight so hard for their win Wednesday night over Indiana. The Cats allowed the Hoosiers to rally from a 19-point deficit and then had to win it on a floater with just a couple ticks on the clock. Northwestern's luck runs out here. Give them credit but still take note of the fact the wins in their current 4-game winning streak by an average margin of only 4 points. The Hawkeyes have won 5 of 6 games and 4 of the 5 wins were by a double digit margin. That includes a 16 point win over the Wildcats and, once again, the Cats will struggle to keep up with the high-scoring Hawkeyes in this one. 10* IOWA -120 |
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02-19-23 | Maple Leafs v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 6 ET - The Maple Leafs off a huge 5-1 win versus Montreal yesterday so could be flat here defensively. Still they should have no trouble scoring goals against this Chicago club but don't be surprised if Toronto gives up plenty too given the situation. Toronto has scored 4 goals per game on average last 6 games. However, the Leafs also had allowed 4 or more goals in 3 of 5 games before the 5-2 win over this Blackhawks team that began their 2-game win streak. Now the Leafs are in Chicago and I am expecting the Hawks to score better at home as they seek revenge for the 5-2 loss at Toronto. However, this Blackhawks team has allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games. Chicago does have some positive momentum here though with 4-3 OT wins both in most recent game on the road and most recent game here at home. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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02-19-23 | Maryland v. Nebraska OVER 133.5 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Maryland Terrapins @ 5 ET - The Cornhuskers off first win at Rutgers since 2018. The Terrapins off big win over the top team in the Big Ten as they just beat Purdue. That said, this game is set up perfectly for plenty of confidence from the scores and plenty of lax defense on the other end. It is simply a natural reaction after big wins like that and I feel we will see a good flow with this game. In terms of pure numbers, the Huskers have seen 6 of last 8 games (not including OT of course) total at least 135 points. Also, Nebraska has allowed 75 ppg last 8 games and, again, no OT points included in that. At home, the Cornhuskers should score well here but they are not good defensively and the Terps already hung 82 on them when these teams met in Maryland. The Terrapins enter this game having won 6 of 7 games and averaging 74 points in the 6 victories. Maryland favored by about 5 here and based on the above numbers that puts this game at around 75-70 which is more than 10 points above the early posted total. I feel we have good value with the over given the confidence level of each of these teams right now and their ability to get big buckets when needed. Both teams have been playing well lately in that regard as Tominaga is on fire for the Huskers and has come out of nowhere to be a huge scorer and they had 4 guys in double digits at Rutgers. Young continues to be the go to guy for the Terps but they also are getting big games from Scott, Hart, and Reese plus had solid bench support in the win over Boilermakers. 10* OVER 133.5 in Nebraska |
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02-19-23 | CS U Craiova v. Steaua Bucharesti +101 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - FCSB has won 5 of last 7 matches. Also, they just beat FC Voluntari 2-1 but were it not for a very late penalty shot (essentially final action of the match in extra time) awarded to Voluntari it would have been the 5th straight victory via clean sheet for FCSB! Indeed they have done a great job of not conceding goals! At the same time, their production on the attack has been great as they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 11 matches! As for Universitatea Craiova, they are having a solid season but have won only one of last five road matches and that was against a CS Mioveni club that is at the very bottom of the league table. Their two most recent matches on the road have both been losses and by a combined 3-1 margin. FCSB also has revenge here from a loss at Universitatea Craiova earlier this season plus they did lose the most recent match played here in Bucuresti too. In other words, big time payback is on order here. 10* FCSB Money Line -105 |
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02-19-23 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur -112 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Money Line -115 vs West Ham United @ 11:30 AM ET - Part of handicapping and sports betting is putting the odds in your favor. Here the odds say it is highly unlikely we will have a draw as Tottenham has ZERO draws in 11 matches at home this season. Okay, so who wins? Well, West Ham has but ONE win in 11 road matches this season while Tottenham has won 7 of 11 on home soil! You can see that the odds greatly favor a Tottenham victory here and I love the fact we are getting line value here with the low price. Of course the low price makes sense - it is NOT odds maker error or anything of the sort. The fact is West Ham has been playing solidly and is on a 4-match unbeaten run. However, this is still a Hammers club that struggles to score goals and has only found the back of the net 7 times in 11 road matches this season. Tottenham is fired up here at home after road losses in Champions League and Premier League action in their last two matches. The hosts will absolutely respond here and they are AVERAGING 3 goals per match at home this season. Couple that with defensive injuries for West Ham and this sets up well to be a solid home win here. 10* TOTTENHAM -115 |
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02-19-23 | Arges v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in CFR Cluj vs FC Arges @ 10 AM ET - CFR Cluj is angry and will be relentless on the attack here. They are one of the top clubs in the league yet they have not scored a goal in their last 3 matches across all competitions. They scored an average of 3 goals per match in winning all 3 matches against FC Arges in calendar year 2022. FC Arges enters this one off a scoreless draw but has scored in 4 of its last 5 road matches. They keep that trend going with a goal in this one but you know CFR Cluj is a heavy favorite for a reason here so this one ends at least 2-1 but honestly would not be surprised to see the home club win this 3-0 or 3-1 also. Either way, we should see at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in CFR Cluj |
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02-19-23 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leicester @ 9 AM ET - Manchester United, incredibly, has scored at least 2 goals in 17 of last 20 matches across all competitions and that includes 8 in a row! Leicester has been resurgent and scored 11 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions. In league action though they have conceded in 7 straight matches and allowed 2 goals per match during this stretch. As you can see, per the above, it should be goals aplenty in this match-up at Old Trafford. The last meeting was a 1-0 Man U win at Leicester but this was preceded by 4 meetings between these clubs averaging 4 goals apiece and that is what I am fully expecting here given the current goal-scoring form of these clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United |
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02-18-23 | Rangers v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers @ 10:05 ET - The Rangers are off a thrilling comeback win over the Oilers in Edmonton last night as they rallied from a 4-1 deficit and ending up winning in a 5-4 shootout - literally and figuratively! New York has shown a knack for high-scoring games of late and, given this is a back to back and Flames can score well on home ice, I do not see that coming to an end here. The Rangers have won 7 straight games and 8 of 9. New York has scored an average of almost 5 goals per game during this 9-game stretch! The Flames enter this one having seen 7 of their last 9 games total at least 7 goals! Calgary has had trouble stopping the opposition of late but fully capable of putting up some goals on a Rangers team that could be a little fatigued defensively in the 2nd game of a B2B. Flames have averaged scoring about 3.5 goals per game last 9 games. More of the same here in a game that has all the makings of another 5-4 type game and should end up at nothing less than 4-3 the way I see it! 10* OVER 6.5 in Calgary |
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02-18-23 | Creighton v. St. John's +7.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +7.5 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7:30 ET - I love spots for home dogs like this. Creighton is off a loss to Providence so some will look to back the Bluejays here. However, the Jays are in a 3-way tie for 2nd place in the Big East and they have a game on deck at home versus first-place Marquette on deck! Coming off games against ranked teams in UConn and Providence plus having another ranked team on deck with the 1st place Golden Eagles up next, this is a tough spot for Creighton. Also, the Bluejays hammered the Red Storm ruthlessly when these teams met earlier this season at Creighton as the Jays put up 104 points against them! When a team puts up 100+ on you in a college game you do NOT forget about that team. The Red Storm will be ready to exact revenge here and they are a quality home team. Note that St John's is 11-4 SU in home games this season while the Bluejays are 3-5 SU in road games this season. Yes, the Jays are off a loss and the Red Storm are off a win that came in double OT. However, St John's confidence is growing again with B2B victories and they want revenge here and they catch Creighton in a clear lookahead spot! An outright upset would not surprise me here but I am looking for at least a home dog cover in this one ATS to get us the cash! 10* ST JOHN'S +7.5 |
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02-18-23 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - Double revenge spot for Toronto here as they has lost each of the first two meetings this season with the Habs and both of those defeats were in Montreal. Of course this is why the Maple Leafs are a huge favorite and expected to win this game by a multiple goal margin. In other words, look for plenty of goals here because the Canadiens actually have been scoring well of late with 4 goals on average in their last 5 games. The problem for Montreal comes with stopping the opposition. They have allowed 3.7 goals last 10 games. We should see a wild one here in a spirited match-up between division rivals. The Leafs have averaged scoring about 4 goals per game in last 9 games. However, the Maple Leafs, prior to a 5-2 win over Blackhawks, also had allowed 4 goals per game last 4 home games. Look for a 5-3 type game here the way I see it. Certainly we should get to at least the 7 goal mark but truly, based on all of the above, I am expecting 8 or more goals! 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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02-18-23 | Hofstra -12.5 v. Stony Brook | Top | 68-65 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -12.5 @ Stony Brook Seawolves @ 6:30 ET - The formula is simple for Hofstra at this point. Win out and they earn the regular season title for the Colonial Athletic Association. That is because they are currently tied with Charleston for the top spot in the conference but they already beat them (at Charleston!) in their only meeting this season. That also ended a 20-game win streak for the Cougars. The fact is that this Pride team is very strong and I see Hofstra rolling to an easy win here. Their final game of the regular season is next week at home against a weak Northeastern team so there is no way they will look past their final road challenge. Also, Hofstra is facing a Stony Brook team that is off a win and only ONE TIME this entire season have the Seawolves managed back to back wins. Of course you can tell by this line that, indeed, B2B wins unlikely for Stony Brook here. The key is covering this big number but I have no qualms about that because the Pride have made big-margin wins a regular thing for sure! Hofstra has won 15 of 17 games and 13 of the 15 wins by 13 or more points! We can cover this 12.5 as the only only tight wins were versus Towson and Charleston. Those two teams are a combined 24-7 in CAA action this season! The Seawolves are 6-9 in CAA games and 10-18 overall on the season. This is a complete mismatch and the Pride coasted to a 21 point margin of victory in the first meeting. Also, the Seawolves have lost big to the top teams in the conference (and finally face Charleston next week) and Stony Brook should get hammered again here. 10* HOFSTRA -12.5 |
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02-18-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Farul vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - We have to lay a little extra juice to have Over 2 here but, of course, the value of a push rather than a loss if this lands on 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting 3 or more goals though as both clubs are off matches in which they delivered rare clean sheets. In fact, Farul's match was an ultra rare scoreless draw! Back at home for this match, Farul will respond and resume their high-scoring ways. I am sure of this. However, Petrolul Ploiesti also fully capable of making the net ripple. Note that Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least one goal in 9 of last 12 matches. Also, their last 18 matches have averaged 2.7 goals apiece! Prior to last week's 2-0 win, Petrolul Ploiesti had allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Farul, prior to last week's scoreless draw, had seen 18 of last 19 matches total at least 2 goals! In fact, those 18 matches averaged 3.6 goals per match! Excellent line value here especially considering last week's results. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Farul |
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02-18-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - On the one hand, Newcastle has become the kings of the draw this season. However, they know they need to start picking up the full 3 points in their matches if they want to start moving back up the table again. Liverpool also desperately needs to keep picking up 3 points in the table because they are still digging out from a slow start this season. That said, there is excellent value here because I see plenty of reason to expect each club to score here as well as plenty of reason to expect neither club to settle for a 1-1 draw. In other words, they will be aggressive on the attack and the end result should be nothing less than a 2-1 final. Note that Newcastle has only one loss this season in league action and it came at Liverpool so they are seeking revenge in this one. However, Liverpool has one each of the last 3 meetings and averaged scoring 2 goals in each so they have had Newcastle's number per se. Also, Liverpool will build off a win over Everton last week in which they scored 2 goals. Newcastle has both scored and conceded in each of last 3 matches across all competitions. But again, they also realize they can not keep settling for 1-1 draws. Liverpool's average match this season has totaled 3 goals and Newcastle is scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match when at home. This is a contrarian play but it will see goals in my opinion given the circumstances. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-18-23 | Manchester City v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City @ 10 AM ET - This total is available for over players with options of 2.5 or 2.75 or 3 as of very early Saturday morning. Of course I would do your best with line shopping to make sure you win some profit, rather than just get a push, should this match land on 3 goals. I do expect 4 or more however as Manchester City is rolling again and also won the first meeting 6-0. Nottingham Forest is a better club when they are at home and I would not be surprised to see them find the back of the net at least once here. However, the hosts are dealing with a cluster of injuries on defense and will have their hands full with this powerful City club. Do note that the visitors just played on Wednesday and that was a huge match with Arsenal. Could their defensive focus be a little "off" in this one? It is certainly entirely possible and they did lose the possession battle by a big margin to Arsenal as well. So Nottingham Forest could surprise here and should score at least once. But, of course, Manchester City is a massive favorite here for a reason. Manchester City is 4-1 in last 5 matches in league action and they have allowed 1 goal per match last 5 matches in league action plus did score at least 3 goals in all 4 of those victories! I am forecasting a 3-1 type final here! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest |
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02-18-23 | UTA Arad v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -110 in Hermannstadt vs UTA @ 7:30 AM ET - Hermannstadt is winless in 4 matches since the winter break and has allowed at least 1 goal in all 4 matches. Hermannstadt should bounce back here on their home pitch as they did score 1 goal in a draw in most recent home match against FC Arges and now face an equal level of foe in UTA. Note that UTA enters this match having both conceded and scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and 8 of last 9. Those 8 matches averaged 3 goals and that is what I am expecting we'll see here as well. Getting the value of an over 2 is simply an added bonus here in terms of line value. 3 of last 4 meetings between these teams totaled at least 2 goals and the most recent one totaled 3 and I expect a similar 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 -110 in Hermannstadt |
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02-17-23 | Rangers v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers @ 9:05 ET - 11 of last 14 Oilers games have totaled at least 7 goals. Yes, we have to lay some juice to have the over 6.5 in this one but it should prove well worth it. Edmonton is a top scoring team and particularly tough on home ice. However, the Oilers also have allowed 3.2 goals per game this season. The Rangers have better goals allowed numbers on the season but they certainly have been a bit "leaky" in their own end of the ice in recent weeks. The Rangers have won 6 straight games but have allowed 3.2 goals per game last 5 games. The key to the 6-game winning streak is they are scoring an average of 5 goals per game. Considering that plus the way the Oilers have been scoring during their current winning stretch - 4.5 goals per game during 9-1-3 run - we should see an absolute barn-burner here. Look for end to end action with plenty of goals as another non-conference battle flies over the total. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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02-17-23 | Blackhawks v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 7:05 ET - So the issue for the Blackhawks includes not scoring goals with much frequency but they are facing a Senators team that is down to their #3 and #4 netminders. So the point is Chicago should get it going in the goal-scoring department here. However, also note that Ottawa has been playing well and scoring well and here they take advantage of a Hawks club that has allowed an average of 4 goals per game in losing 5 of last 6 games. The Sens have won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 4 goals in last 6 games. However, Ottawa has also allowed about 4 goals per game last 4 games and, again, I would have some concern here with the Senators in terms of the goaltender concern. Excellent value with the over available at a great price in this one too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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02-17-23 | Dayton v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 131 | Top | 65-49 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 131 in Loyola-Chicago Ramblers vs Dayton Flyers @ 7 ET - This is a tricky spot for the Flyers that should translate to big points. Dayton should still find a way to win and they are a 7-point favorite with good reason here. But note that the Flyers, since they faced the Ramblers in an OT win in Dayton recently, have played 3 straight games against stronger teams including the last two against solid teams in VCU and St Louis. That sets this game up well as a letdown spot. Also, the Flyers and Ramblers combined for 144 points in regulation time of Dayton's 85-81 win two weeks ago. Dayton is fully capable of playing solid defense but I feel their motivation will be a little "off" in that regard after facing VCU and St Louis in the last two games. So here you have a last-place Loyola-Chicago team lying in the weeds so to speak. The Ramblers can, and have, scored well at home this season but the reason they are at the very bottom of the A-10 standings is because they are not exactly known for defensive prowess! Loyola-Chicago is off a 64-62 win over a bad UMass team but, prior to this allowed 80 ppg in regulation time of the 11 defeats in the 2-11 stretch that preceded that! If they give up 80 here and the odds makers are right about the spread that puts this game at 80-73 for 153 points! By the way, not including OT points, the Ramblers are averaging 70.6 ppg at home this season. So again, you can see why I would be projecting at least 140s here for the final score and yet anything in the 130s basically makes us a winner too. I feel given the numbers here as well as the situation (bad team off rare win, good team in a flat spot) it sets up well for lackluster defense and a lot of scoring. 10* OVER 131 in Loyola-Chicago |
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02-17-23 | Hoffenheim v. FC Augsburg OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Augsburg vs Hoffenheim @ 2:30 ET - These two clubs both perilously close to relegation status for this season. That said, avoiding a draw here and picking up the full 3 points is of paramount importance. At the same time, each of these clubs has trouble stopping the opposition so I am not expecting a clean sheet here. So if we get this match to 1-1 and a draw is unlikely that means, yes of course, a 2-1 final is likely as a minimum result here. That is why I like the value of the over 2.5 goals here even though we have to lay some extra juice to have it. Augsburg will step up at home and Hoffenheim will respond in what is now their 2nd match with their new manager. This is a more favorable match-up for them then the first one with the new manager and so they will score well here and be aggressive on the attack but look for the hosts to not back down either. That means some solid attacking and quality scoring chances throughout this one. Prior to a 1-0 Hoffenheim win early this season, each of last 4 meetings totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 actually totaled 4 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Augsburg |
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02-17-23 | Rapid Bucuresti -112 v. Mioveni | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Rapid Money Line -115 @ CS Mioveni @ 1 ET - Rapid is again one of the top teams in the league and they have been on a surge for a long time now as they have been marching higher and higher in the table after a bit of a sluggish start much earlier this season. Now we have a great spot to back Rapid as they are off a rare loss. It was just their 6th loss of the season and they are undefeated this season when off a loss as they have had 3 wins and 2 draws against no losses when coming off a defeat. So Rapid is sure to respond here and they are taking on the last place team in the league. Now certainly CS Mioveni has been playing better of late and I have noticed this. However, they still have just 3 wins on the season and they are outclassed here and facing the wrong club at the wrong time. Rapid is fired up to respond off a loss and resume their march up the table. They want the full 3 points here and we get value because they are on the road for this one. That is keeping this money line very manageable and this is a great spot to step in and take advantage of a line like this! Keep in mind, CS Mioveni has scored a TOTAL of only 2 goals in last 6 matches at home! Rapid has scored 2 goals in 3 of last 4 meetings with CS Mioveni. Also, no club in the league has conceded fewer times (22) than Rapid. They also enter this match having scored 1.7 goals per match last 15 matches. Look for a 2-0 type match here in my strong opinion. 10* RAPID -115 |
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02-17-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +115 in Chindia Targoviste vs Universitatea Cluj @ 10 AM ET - This total is a bargain as there are even some 1.75 lines out there at -120 on the over. This match absolutely should get to at least 2 goals and really 3 or more quite likely! Universitatea Cluj has seen 4 of their last 5 matches total at least 3 goals! They have allowed an average of 2 goals in each of last 6 road matches and gave up at least 1 goal in all 6 of those! Chindia Targoviste has seen 11 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals! Also, they have conceded at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches. So you can easily see why I am expecting each club to allow at least 1 goal here. Chindia Targoviste has 2 wins and 2 draws since the winter break so they truly have played much better and are at home here. Universitatea Cluj has two draws and a win in last 4 matches so, like the hosts, their confidence is a little higher too. We will see goals as a result here! 10* OVER 2 goals +115 in Chindia Targoviste |
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02-16-23 | Flyers +180 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +180 @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:05 ET - Revenge game for Flyers. Philadelphia lost at home to Seattle 4-3 but should have Carter Hart back in net after Felix Sandstrom started that game. Note that Hart has been fantastic in goal of late. Also, the Flyers have gone 2-2-3 in last 7 games and I though about laying the juice and taking the 1.5 goals here since Philly does not have any multi-goal losses last 7 games. But the best value here is with the money line as I do feel the Kraken are vastly over-priced here. Hart has allowed just 1.4 goals in regulation time of his last 7 starts including just 1 goal per start in regulation time of his last 4 starts. The Flyers have won 2 of last 3 road games and the wins were by a combined score of 6 to 1 while the loss was in OT. If you look at the last dozen games for the Kraken, other than the tight win at Philly, they have won just 3 of 11 games! They are not a -200 favorite here or, at least, they do not merit such a price. While Philly is getting stellar goaltending from Hart, Seattle has allowed an average of 3.6 goals in regulation time of their last 5 games. 10* PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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02-16-23 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks @ 10:05 ET - The Golden Knights have won 3 straight games and scored at least 5 goals in all 3 wins. They also have revenge here for a 5-2 home loss to the Sharks earlier this season so they will not hold back in this one. They did score 4 in a win at San Jose earlier this season. The Sharks entered this game off of a dud at home as they scored just 1 goal but they did fire nearly 40 shots on goal in that one! Also, San Jose had scored 4 or more goals in 3 of 4 games before that 3-1 loss to the Penguins. Vegas has scored 17 goals last 3 games overall (2 of those were on the road!) and also 13 goals in last 2 home games! Sharks have seen 3 straight games total 5 or less goals but this followed a stretch in which 20 of last 26 games totaled at least 7 goals! 10* OVER 6.5 in Vegas |
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02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +3.5 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards got Kuzma back from injury and he had a huge game in a big Washington win in their most recent game. The Wizards have now won 3 of 4 games and are heating up at the right time. Gobert and Anderson are questionable for the Timberwolves heading into this one. Minnesota is at home and a very small favorite so don't let this "tricky line" fool you. Washington is 5 games below .500 on the road this season while Minny is 8 games over .500 in home games this season yet the Wolves are hardly favored here. Looks easy, right? Exactly! Don't be fooled. The Wizards are surging and are the play here as they are also the healthier team here. The Timberwolves also off a big win at Dallas and are 0-4 the last 4 times they were off a win. They have not won back to back games since last month and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* WASHINGTON +3.5 |
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02-16-23 | UCF v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers -6.5 vs UCF Knights @ 8 ET - Earlier this season these teams met at UCF and the Knights forced OT with a late 3-pointer. That led to an eventual 3 point win in double-OT for Central Florida in a memorable game that the Tigers certainly have not forgotten. Keep in mind, Memphis was outscored by 30 points from 3-point land in that game and yet still lost the game by only 3 points! Don't be surprised if the Tigers have the better shooting numbers from deep in this one as they are at home where they are 11-1 this season and note that UCF is only 3-4 this season on the road. I feel we have the much stronger team here plus line value considering they are at home and laying a very reasonable number. Note that the Knights, after that crazy 2-OT win over Memphis, then lost 5 straight games! That was followed by a 2-game winning streak that UCF now brings into this game. However, those two victories for the Knights were against teams that are a combined 7-20 in AAC action. Memphis has a 9-3 record in conference games! Yes, they are #2 in the conference and they have a game at #1 Houston on deck. However, there is no way they will look past this revenge game with UCF and they are at home and they catch UCF off a rare blowout win. Memphis brings it every night. That is why their 6 losses have all been by single digits and the average margin of defeat only 3.5 points. They will be ready for payback here at home and UCF gets a quick dose of reality here after taking advantage of a bad Tulsa team in most recent game. Now is back to reality and playing at Memphis is tough. The Tigers get payback here at home. Kendric Davis and DeAndre Williams given the Tigers a great inside-out combo and lead the way here at home as Williams has been playing extremely well and Davis put up 42 points in the last game versus the Knights! 10* MEMPHIS -6.5 |
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02-16-23 | Manchester United v. Barcelona FC OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Europa League, Knockout Round Playoffs, 1st Leg Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Barcelona vs Manchester United @ 12:45 ET - Barcelona won the last meeting 3-0 in Champions League action a few years ago but look for Manchester United to continue their recent scoring surge in this one. That should lead to a highly entertaining affair here as Manchester United has scored 2.2 goals per match in the last 19 matches across all competitions. That includes having scored at least 2 goals in 16 of the 19 matches including each of the last 7! Barcelona has averaged 2.1 goals scored in the last 21 matches. Barcelona has scored at least one goal in 16 straight matches. So the odds strongly favor scoring here and what are the odds of a draw? Well only 7 of Barcelona's last 40 matches across all competitions have been a draw. Manchester United has had only 6 draws in the last 44 matches across all competitions. In summary, you can see why I am expecting each team to score at least once here and you can also see why the match ending at 1-1 has rather slim odds! So let's look for at least a 2-1 final here in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Barcelona |
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02-15-23 | Sabres v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Buffalo Sabres @ 10:05 ET - The Sabres have allowed 5 or more goals in 3 straight games. Also, these teams recent met in Buffalo and that was a 6-3 Sabres win. Ducks will be out for revenge here but the best play here is the over in my opinion. Just like Buffalo's struggles to keep the puck out of their own net, Anaheim is having the game issue. The Ducks have allowed at least 6 goals in B2B games. Also, going further back, Anaheim has lost 9 of last 14 games and, in those 9 losses the Ducks have allowed 5.3 goals per game in regulation time! This game sets up to be another wild, high-scoring non-conference battle. 80% of Ducks last 15 games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one is set up nicely to do the same. 10* OVER 6.5 in Anaheim |
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02-15-23 | Rangers v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs New York Rangers @ 10:05 ET - I feel sure that the Canucks are going to put up a fight here at home. Of course the Rangers are a deserved pricey road favorite here but it would not surprise me if they start a bit sluggish here. Their most recent game was on the east coast in Carolina and that was a big win over a strong Hurricanes team. Now the Rangers have come all the way out to the Pacific Northwest and, off that big win, could start slow against a fired up Canucks team. Vancouver wants to bounce back off some recent ugly road losses. To their credit, the Canucks - prior to a 6-1 home ice loss - had won their prior two home games each by identical 5-2 scores. The issue for Vancouver though is they continue to struggle to keep the puck out of their own net and they are facing a Rangers club here that has been scoring a pile of goals. So the Canucks have allowed 4.3 goals per game last 20 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 5 goals per game last 5 games. Each of New York's last 4 games have totaled at least 7 goals and, again, given this situation we would see them continue to allow more goals than normal. They have allowed an average of 3 goals last 4 games and are off that big win over the Hurricanes so could be a little flat on defense here especially early. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -2 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2 vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers have played 56 games so far this season. That means the 82-game season is more than 2/3 of the way complete and, in this final game before the week-long "mid"-season All-Star break, the Sixers have a chance at big-time revenge. This not just any revenge, this is a big one! The worst game the 76ers have had all season long out of all 56 games is a 28-point defeat at Cleveland way back on the final day of November. No other margin of defeat for the Sixers this season eclipses the half-way mark of that drubbing as their 2nd worst loss margin is 14 points this season. So, the fact is the Sixers have not forgotten that loss and the fact the Cavs shot 60% from the field overall and 50% from three-point land while Philly could not throw it in the ocean that night! It was just one of those nights but what better way to head into the break than with this glorious revenge opportunity? For sure Cleveland is a strong team and for sure the Cavaliers are not going to be push-overs here but the fact is this revenge-minded Sixers team will prove to be the hungrier team. The Cavs started the season 4-1 on the road but they have since gone 9-15 SU in road games! Philly started the season 1-4 at home but they have since gone 21-4 in home games! I have plenty of respect for this Cavaliers team but given this home/road dichotomy and the low line here and the big-time revenge factor, I am all over the 76ers in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2 |
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02-15-23 | VCU v. Rhode Island +8.5 | Top | 55-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +8.5 vs VCU Rams @ 7 ET - VCU is off a loss and they are the top team in the A 10 so, of course, they are attracting some market attention here. However, it has led to exceptional line value on the road dog here in my opinion. First off, only 2 times out of 6 has VCU - when off a loss this season - responded with a win by more than 4 points! Also, VCU is off big games versus St Louis and Dayton and they have Fordham on deck. Those 3 teams combined with VCU are the top 4 teams in the A 10. Don't be surprised if VCU underestimates Rhode Island here. The betting markets certainly seem to have undervalued RI in this spot. RI actually is 7-5 SU at home this season plus they have wins over La Salle, Dayton, St Bonaventure and Fordham on this floor! The combined conference record of those 4 teams is 30-20 and 2 of those 4 teams are two of the top teams in the conference. None of those teams have a losing conference record on the season. The point is that RI has been quite solid at home this season and it is just their horrible road record that drags them down. Also, we do NOT need them to win this game outright. We just need them to cover a spread that, in my mind, is very inflated for a road team that is in a sandwich spot of big games! 4 of the 5 Rhode Island home losses this season have been by 7 or less points. The average margin of those 4 home defeats was only 4 points! 3 of the 5 VCU road wins by 7 or less points and average margin of victory of those 3 road wins was only 4 points. So big home dog value here in a scheduling spot that is a tough one for VCU who also could be rusty because they have not played in a week! 10* RHODE ISLAND +8.5 |
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02-15-23 | Manchester City +140 v. Arsenal | Top | 3-1 | Win | 140 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Manchester City Money Line +140 @ Arsenal @ 2:30 ET - There is a reason this match is priced this way. Do not let the line fool you. Yes, currently in the table, Arsenal is #1 and Manchester City is #2. Also, Arsenal is on their home pitch and yet priced as the dog here on the 3-way line despite being 8-0 with two draws in their 10 league home matches. Again, do not let any of this fool you. The fact is that this an angry Manchester City club right now after all the allegations against them and they came out and thrashed Aston Villa 3-1 over the weekend. Now they have a chance to tie Arsenal at the top of the EPL table and, even if only temporarily, assume the #1 position based on goal differential. Also, Haaland I do believe is fine as even though there was some discussion about injury. I fully believe this is more gamesmanship on the point of City manager Guardiola. By the way, Arteta worked under Guardiola in the past and City has owned this series with Arsenal. The master Guardiola does not want to let the apprentice Arteta get the best of him. The big run goes even further back but just looking at the past 5 matches shows City with victories in all 5 and by an aggregate count of 13 to 2. That included beating them again in English FA Cup action about 3 weeks ago. That began a 3-match run in which Arsenal has scored only 1 goal total! As for Manchester City, they have averaged 2.5 goals scored in last 4 matches in league competition. The angry road club rolls again here. 10* MANCHESTER CITY MONEY LINE +140 |
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02-14-23 | Penguins v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in San Jose Sharks vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 10:35 ET - The Penguins just allowed 6 goals for the 3rd time in 6 games. The Pens are definitely having some struggles defensively and in goal. However, prior to the 6-0 shutout loss, Pittsburgh had scored an average of about 4 goals per game last 9 games. This Penguins team will be hungry to bounce back here after the ugly loss but I also look for their troubles in terms of conceding too many goals to continue here. San Jose enters this game having averaged 3.6 goals per game last 5 games. The Sharks have scored well in 4 of their last 5 games but, prior to a 4-1 in most recent game, had allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 21 games! Given all of the above this one has the makings of a 4-3 type game. Non-conference games tend to be a little less intense defensively and, based on these teams recent results, that perfectly fits the bill tonight. 10* OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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02-14-23 | Magic +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 113-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +6.5 or +7 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - This is a high value spot for the Magic. They are off the radar of many because they do not have an overly impressive overall record plus have struggled on the road this season SU. But there is a lot of ATS value in a road spot like this with Orlando. The Magic are "only" 9-8 SU last 17 games but 5 of those 8 defeats were by 5 or less points! That means that, at +6 or more, Orlando would be 14-3 ATS last 17 games! That is why I feel we have exceptional line value here as the Magic just do not get blown out often. Also, if you look at the Raptors, they are 8-8 SU last 16 game but 4 of those 8 wins by 6 or less points! So at the -6.5 or -7 current line as of very early gameday morning, Toronto would be an ugly 4-12 ATS last 16 games! Grab the road dog here as the ultra-competitive Magic should be in this one all the way and, if they do fall short, look for it to be by just a bucket or two! 10* ORLANDO +6.5 or +7 |
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02-14-23 | Senators v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:35 ET - As mentioned yesterday, the Senators are currently without their top two goalies and are down to their #3 and #4 options. That exposes Ottawa here against an Islanders team that has been playing with confidence again of late. New York has won 4 of 6 games and scored an average of 4 goals in their last 3 games. However, the Islanders have allowed an average of 4.5 goals in regulation of last 2 games with each goalie struggling. The point is that it makes sense the Senators are going to do their fair share of scoring here even on enemy ice too. I am looking for this one to get to the 3-3 mark at some point which would get us to at least 4-3 of course. The Sens 4 of last 5 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Ottawa has scored nearly 5 goals per game last 5 games but also been allowing quite a few goals too. Now things even tougher with the goalie situation too. This one should fly over the total. The addition of Horvat to a club that already had the ever-dangerous Barzal makes this club ultra dangerous with the puck! 10* OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
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02-14-23 | Missouri +6.5 v. Auburn | Top | 56-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6.5 @ Auburn Tigers @ 7 ET - This line has already moved toward Auburn. I do understand the move as they are at home and they catch Missouri off the huge upset win on a last-second 3-pointer at Tennessee. However, Missouri actually led that game big early in the 2nd half and played a very strong game overall against the Volunteers. I know the mindset the betting markets have is now Missouri will be flat off the buzzer-beating win but I disagree. This Missouri team is rock solid this season and playing much better defense and piling up steals. Missouri has won 6 of 8 games and that included 3 wins over ranked opponents. Speaking of ranked teams, this is the first time these teams have met since Missouri suffered a 1-point loss to Auburn at home last season when Auburn had just become the #1 ranked team in the country. This is not the same Auburn team this season and Missouri will get their revenge. Yes, Auburn is still a high-quality team but they actually enter this game having lost 5 of 6 games! So the point is, here you have a match-up of two teams that have been heading opposite directions plus the hotter team is on the road and off a last-second win so you get line value as well as market-inflated value. The other helper on this game is the fact that it is a revenge game! All of those are factors in favor of Mizzou and I love the fact we are getting a half-dozen points here plus the hook. This Mizz team is really starting to believe in themselves and they have a ton of momentum right now. 10* MISSOURI +6.5 |
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02-14-23 | Bayern Munich v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - So much firepower for each club in this one. Bayern Munich has won 3 straight matches across all competitions and scored an average of 3.7 goals per match in the process. Paris Saint-Germain has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions. PSG averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match in those 6 matches but also they have allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches and conceded at least once in all 5 matches. Of course this wager is made with the intent of a winner and at least 4 goals. But there certainly is some added insurance in the fact that landing on 3 goals still gets us at least a push and not a loss. That is noteworthy indeed because PSG has seen 16 of last 19 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals. As for Bayern Munich, 13 of last 19 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 3 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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02-13-23 | Texas v. Texas Tech +4 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 or +4.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 9 ET - The Red Raiders are so much better than their 2-10 Big 12 Conference record shows. That is why they opened as a very small home dog here. Now the line is all the way up to the 4 or 4.5 range and that does not surprise me at all. Texas is a strong team of course and at the top of the conference but this is a rivalry game and it is a revenge game after the Red Raiders lost at the Moody Center in Austin by just 2 points early this season. That tight loss has been a recurring them for Texas Tech this season but they are turning the corner now. They have won 3 of 5 games and are coming off a home win over a solid Kansas State team. That was a tight win over the Wildcats and that does wonders for the Red Raiders confidence as they managed to hang on in a tight game and get the job done. Note that, in addition to winning 3 of 5 games, Texas Tech lost by just 3 points in most recent road game and, against, the loss to Longhorns was by just 2 points! The Horns are 9-3 in Conference games and the Red Raiders are 2-10 so this line looks like a gift to most bettors but we know better. This game priced this way for a reason and we take advantage with a hungry home dog seeking revenge! Keep in mind, 5 of the Longhorns 9 Big 12 wins were very close wins and the average margin of victory of those was just 3 points. I am sensing upset here but note also that UT is just 2-3 in last 5 road games and one of those wins by just 3 points. The Red Raiders have gone to a smaller lineup and are having success with it and forcing a lot of turnovers. Texas has another big rival, Oklahoma, on deck plus that is followed by final 4 games all against Big 12 teams that are currently ranked. So this could be a bit of a trap game for the Longhorns after they already beat Texas Tech this season. This is a payback game for the Red Raiders and I look for them to get their revenge. 10* TEXAS TECH +4 or +4.5 |
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02-13-23 | Flames v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames @ 7:35 ET - The Senators are currently without their top two goalies and are down to their #3 and #4 options. That exposes Ottawa here against a Flames team that has been playing with confidence again of late. Calgary has won 4 of 7 games and scored an average of 4 goals in those 7 games. However, the Flames have allowed an average of 3.3 goals last 8 games. The point is that it makes sense the Senators are going to do their fair share of scoring here on home ice too. I am looking for this one to get to the 3-3 mark at some point which would get us to at least 4-3 of course. The Sens 3 of last 4 games have totaled at least 8 goals. Ottawa has scored 5 goals per game last 4 games but also allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 7 home games. Now things even tougher with the goalie situation too. This one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Ottawa |
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02-13-23 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 225 | Top | 104-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER 225 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers could finally rest Embiid here but that could lead to a more small-ball run and gun affair. The fact is Philly is off a stretch of 4 games against divisional foes so, of course, those games featured more defensive and were a little bit more "gritty" if you will. Now, they face a non-conference foe that is horrible defensively. That said, we should see a lot of points here because I also do not expect the Sixers to be very intense on the defensive end for this game either. Philly has seen their last 3 games against Western Conference opponents average 254 points. None of those 3 totaled less than 245 points and here we have a posted total of 225 points. I am loving this over as a result. Note that the Rockets have lost 5 straight games and the most recent one was very low-scoring but that is because they faced defense-minded Miami. Prior to that, the Rockets first 4 losses in the 5 games streak averaged 255 points per game. The point is we are talking about point totals well above the posted total on this one and I feel we have phenomenal line value on a game that should be played very freely with a lot of open floor spacing. Not much D in this non-conference battle. 10* OVER 225 in Philadelphia |
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02-13-23 | Everton v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool vs Everton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because neither club has been scoring many goals lately and because the last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw! That said, why do you think this total is still a 2.5 with heavy juice on the over? Of course it is because the odds makers are expecting the same thing I am here. That is ... it is time! Liverpool is too strong to keep going like this. They are now on their home pitch and hungry for a win and are sure to be relentless here on the attack. Everton is off a 1-0 win but, prior to that victory, they allowed 2.6 goals per match in their last 9 matches across all competitions. Also, Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches. That is why I am expecting at least a 2-1 type of final here. Liverpool has allowed about 1.5 goals per match this season. Also, though they have recently struggled to score goals, this is still a Reds club that has scored about 2.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. The hosts should take this one at least by a 2-1 count but in my mind, the best value is with the total rather than the heavy juice on the money line in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool |
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02-13-23 | Hermannstadt v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti is struggling with 3 straight losses and they have allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored in 5 straight home matches and averaged 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches as a host! As for Hermannstadt, they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of 3 matches since the break as they are struggling too. 5 of last 7 Hermanndstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 5 actually averaged 3.2 goals scored per match! The last time these clubs met it was a 2-1 final and I expect similar result here. You can see why, per the above, I am expecting each club to score at least once here. At the same time, what are the odds on a 1-1 draw? Not likely as only 2 of last 9 Hermannstadt road matches have ended in a draw. Also, on the season, Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 24 matches! Look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-13-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10 *AM* ET - Of course Sepsi is a favorite here for a reason but Chindia Targoviste has been playing well since play resumed after the winter break. They are 2-0-1 last 3 matches and have scored 5 goals in those 3 matches. Also, 10 of last 11 Chindia Targoviste matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I see the 2.25 totals that are out there at plus money but the safer value is just laying the extra juice to have this over at 2 goals though we certainly are not playing this for a push! The fact is the last two meetings between these clubs did each total 3 goals. Also, the last 6 Sepsi matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and those 6 matches have actually averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Sepsi has scored 5 goals in last 3 home matches and, as noted above, Chindia Targoviste has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches overall. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles -120 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 53 h 33 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles Money Line -120 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 6:30 ET - The Eagles are hearing all the critics for sure and will play this game with a chip on their shoulder and with a little extra fire burning as well. The word on the street is that Sirianni has no chance coaching against Reid in this one. Additionally, the naysayers are saying Hurts has no chance to outduel Mahomes in this one. It is funny because these critics must not be watching the same games I have been watching. The Eagles are a high-quality team that is so strong in the trenches plus has a pair of wide receivers and a tight end that have combined for over 3,400 yards and 21 receiving touchdowns. Yet, per most "experts" out there, Hurts is only a running quarterback that can't beat you with his arm. Really I am not kidding you that some have this belief. Hurts is a gamer. This Eagles team can run on you like crazy too including Hurts of course but the fact is he can - and will - beat teams through the air. Yes the Chiefs are, of course, a high quality team. But the Eagles have a fantastic pass rush and Mahomes' ankle is unlikely to be 100 percent here. He could be having to run around more than he wants to back there as well as the Eagles pass rush is fantastic. Mahomes played in every game this season and the Chiefs lost 3 games in which Mahomes was under center. Conversely, the Eagles had only 1 of their 3 losses happen in a game Hurts played. The Eagles divisional foes were a combined 22-11 in non-divisional games. The Chiefs divisional foes were 15-18 in non-divisional games. The point is the NFC East was much tougher than the AFC West this season and, overall, I feel strongly the Eagles are a bit under-valued in this one especially considering Mahomes high ankle sprain. The line here as of Friday afternoon of Super Bowl weekend is mostly 1.5 everywhere. Considering we can get the money line as low as -120 in this one, the value is definitely with the money line in this situation. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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02-12-23 | SMU v. Wichita State OVER 136.5 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Wichita State Shockers vs SMU Mustangs @ 4 ET - The last time these teams met the Mustangs won 92-67 at SMU. That said, do you think Wichita State will take their foot off the gas here if they have the chance to return the favor and run up the score on their home floor? No, of course not! The Shockers will run and gun here given the chance and the fact is the Mustangs have allowed an average of 79 points last 6 games and have allowed more than 70 points in all 6 of those! As for Wichita State, if you look at their last 8 games and remove the one against Houston (such a strong team), all of the other 7 games totaled at least 140 points! That is more than this total and, not including OT points of course, the average points totaled has been 152 points! I feel we have truly exceptional line value with this total given all the of above variables. Also, the Shockers have allowed at least 66 points in 11 straight games! They are a 7 point favorite here. So if they allow at least 66 which is the LEAST they have allowed in last 11 games plus if the odds makers are correct about the 7 point spread here, you are talking about a game getting to 139 and again, that is at a minimum! The point is you can see why I am expecting at least 140s here and feel we have a better chance of 150s than 130s too given all of the above! 10* OVER 136.5 in Wichita State |
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02-12-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Sunday NBA Top Play Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Memphis has not been good on the road this season. Boston has been great at home this season. So what gives? Well the fact is this line is priced this way because the Celtics are without Brown and Smart. Those are a pair of key guys that are a big part of the success in Boston. Of course this is still a solid team even without them on the floor. But I am looking for Ja Morant and company to get it done here. Yes the line looks "funny" to most but do not let it fool you. Great upset potential here as the Grizzlies have been getting adjusted to life without Adams for a bit and are off B2B wins and I look for them to keep it rolling here. If they do fall short, look for it to be by just a bucket so the value here is with the points in a big way the way I see it. 10* MEMPHIS +4.5 |
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02-12-23 | Sharks v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs San Jose Sharks @ 1:35 ET - This is a great spot for an over. The Capitals off a huge win at Boston by a 2-1 count yesterday. A hard-fought win and Kuemper was between the pipes. That means it will likely be Lindgren here. He is off a good start but had been struggling his last 4 appearances prior to that one. Also, I just like the fact that Washington gave so much effort to beat one of the top teams in the East yesterday. Now they face a non-conference foe and could get caught "chasing the game" early on as a result of the situation. So don't be surprised if the Sharks have some early success here. However, San Jose just can not keep the puck out of their own net and so the Caps will come roaring back. That should mean a rather solid over here. The Capitals have been trending more toward unders but that is why we get line value as the key is the Caps situation plus the Sharks trending. Take a look at San Jose as this team is off a 4-1 loss at Florida that stayed under the total but, prior to this, was trending over big-time. San Jose's prior 21 games featured 17 that totaled at least 7 goals. Given their struggling defense and netminding but catching the Capitals in a scheduling spot that favors some Sharks scoring, I look for both teams to score plenty in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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02-12-23 | Steaua Bucharesti +100 v. Voluntari | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 @ FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - FCSB has been playing very well and is nearing the top of the table for the season while FC Voluntari continues to struggle and is near the lower portion of the table. FCSB has won 3 of 4 with the only loss in this stretch to league-leading Farul. The 3 victories all saw FCSB deliver clean sheets. Also, going further back, FCSB has won 8 of 10 matches and the only other loss in that stretch besides the one to Farul was a loss to a solid CFR Cluj club. So, the point is, this FCSB club has been hot and they also have been taking care of business against all but the top teams in the league. That said, FC Voluntari is overmatched here. Voluntari is winless in last 5 matches and that includes losing each of last 3 by a combined score of 7 to 2. Also, when these clubs met earlier this season FCSB was up 1-0 but then had a red card at the 86 minute mark and Voluntari ended up earning a draw with scoring on a penalty kick at the 7 minute mark of extra time. Essentially, on the final play of the match. FCSB wants (and gets!) payback here. 10* FCSB Money Line -105 |
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02-12-23 | Oilers v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Edmonton Oilers @ 12:35 ET - The Oilers have won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 5.4 goals per game in the 9 victories! You can see why I am expecting goals here as Edmonton is just relentless in terms of goal-scoring prowess. Here they face a Montreal club that has scored at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 games and plus is on home ice here. The issue for the Canadiens is they have allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games. This one has the makings of a 4-3 type game. Both teams in a B2B spot which stresses the defense and the goaltending so the offense will again be free-flowing with both teams off high-scoring wins yesterday too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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02-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - What do the players want to do the most when distractions off the pitch have been rampant? They want to get back on the pitch and play the sport they love with passion. That said, everything going on with Manchester City right now is actually going to unite them here. They will play an impassioned style here and they are also hungry to bounce back off a 1-0 loss to Tottenham last week. However, City has been conceding a little more than usual of late plus they are facing an Aston Villa club that has been scoring well too. But the problem for Aston Villa is they can stop no one. They allowed 4 goals in the loss to Leicester last week. Over their last dozen matches across all competitions, Aston Villa has allowed 2 goals per match. Manchester City is averaging scoring 3.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. So this total is a 3 that has been set on this match but I am looking for a 3-1 or 4-2 type final so don't worry about the big number here. City has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. They are angry off the loss last week and not happy that the first match this season with Aston Villa was a 1-1 draw. That said, look for Manchester City to be relentless on the attack in this one. Prior to the 1-1 draw in last meeting, City had scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Aston Villa. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-12-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Arges vs Farul @ 10 AM ET - Farul is the top club in the league and highest-scoring club too as they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. FC Arges is on their home pitch though and Farul has allowed 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Goals should be plentiful here and the value of the O/U being just a 2 on this match is huge. 18 of last 19 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 19 matches have averaged 3.3 goals! 7 of last 8 FC Arges matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 8 matches have averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Farul has averaged 2 goals scored in winning each of last 3 matches with FC Arges. Look for the hosts to get on the board at least once in this one given the recent penchant Farul has had for allowing goals. But the visitors are favored for a reason and I am looking for a 2-1 type final here at a minimum. 10* OVER 2 in FC Arges |
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02-12-23 | Manchester United v. Leeds United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United @ Leeds United @ 9 *AM* ET - As noted in Wednesday's write-up involving these same clubs in a match at Man U, I an looking for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds entered that match off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here again just like they were in the 2-2 draw at Man U. They are now at home and will be especially responsive to the positive energy of the crowd as well as Skubala patrolling the sideline. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The visitors have won 4 of 5 matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 11 matches. Manchester United is 5-0-1 in last 6 matches with Leeds United. 5 of the 6 matches totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 5.6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action and that 2-2 draw Wednesday could them going plus they also have scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on the recent results. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Leeds United |
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02-11-23 | Seton Hall +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +5 or +5.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 8 ET - I know Seton Hall is on the road for this game but this is still a high-value spot especially after the line move. I have been saying this all season long and it is so true...Villanova is just not the same team they use to be when Jay Wright was patrolling the sideline. The Wildcats have a losing record this season overall plus are just 5-8 in Big East games. Here is the big key with that record too. Villanova's 5 wins in conference action have included St John's (2), Georgetown (2), and DePaul. Those teams have a combined record of 8-34 in Big East games and are the 3 lowest teams in the standings. Even 5-10 (Big East record) Butler beat the Wildcats. Now they are facing an 8-6 (Big East record) Seton Hall team that is off a loss by a double digit margin and has gone 5-1 this season when off a loss by double digits. So the set-up here is perfect, the line move toward Nova is only adding value for us, and the Pirates lost at home to Creighton because the Bluejays made a ridiculous 12 of 20 three pointers! The result is line value in this bounce back spot here. 10* SETON HALL +5 or +5.5 |
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02-11-23 | Jazz v. Knicks -5 | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks -5 vs Utah Jazz @ 7:40 ET - Great situational spot in my opinion as both teams are in a B2B but Knicks are at home and played yesterday in nearby Philly while the Jazz are on the road and were in Toronto last night. The big key here is the situational aspect as New York led the Sixers last night going to the 4th quarter but then lost by double digits. Also, the Jazz were down by double digits against the Raptors heading to the 4th quarter last night but then rallied for the win. Love this as a flat spot for Utah and an extremely hungry spot for the Knicks. 10* NEW YORK -5 |
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02-11-23 | Duke +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Duke Blue Devils +6 or +6.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 4 ET - Yes the Cavaliers are off huge win versus NC State but the Wolfpack actually had 10 more field goal attempts in the game plus outrebounded Virginia. We are getting line value here because prior to that win, if you look at the Cavs 7-2 run that preceded, none of those 9 teams have fewer losses on the season. Now certainly the Blue Devils are not the same team this season that they typically are. However, they are definitely still a high-quality program loaded with talent and they are off a bad loss that was not a huge surprise as it was on the heels of a huge win over North Carolina. After that big win over rival Tar Heels, the Blue Devils fell short badly in their next game at Miami. However, Duke is 6-0 this season when off a SU loss. The Blue Devils will respond here again off a loss plus you know they want this game badly as it is Virginia that is currently topping the ACC standings and that is a position the Blue Devils are use to occupying. I have a lot of respect for the Cavs but look at the game they are off of and the game Duke is off of. Look at the situation here and the line value. This will be one of the toughest tests the Cavs will have this season and yet the game is not really priced that way in my opinion. I also like the fact that the move here on this line has gone toward Virginia. That means even more value with the underdog Blue Devils. I am expecting Duke to improve to a perfect 7-0 SU this season when off a loss. I do expect the outright upset here. However, I will grab the points with the road dog as added insurance. The play here is 10* DUKE +6 or +6.5 |
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02-11-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj might be happy they are on the road for this one. The reality is they have 5 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches away from home and have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 5 road matches. They have struggled recently at home but again stay hot on enemy pitch here. However, though CFR Cluj should score well, they will struggle to stop Universitatea Craiova on own pitch. The hosts enter this match off a 2-1 road loss to a tough Farul club and now face another tough club here with CFR Cluj paying a visit. However, Universitatea Craiova enters this match having scored an average of 1.9 goals per match in last 9 matches. The fact the posted total is a 2 here with no big juice on the over is truly a great value. Universitatea Craiova has only 5 draws in its 24 matches this season and CFR Cluj has the fewest (2) draws of any club in the league this season. So you can see why I am expecting both clubs to score here as well as why I am expecting this match to then find its way to at least a 2-1 final! 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-11-23 | Predators v. Flyers +121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs Nashville Predators @ 12:35 ET - If you do not allow the opponent to score it is tough for them to beat you! Indeed the Flyers have been getting great goaltending and are not allowing many goals at all in recent games. The Predators have been winning lately but those games were at home and they are coming off a home loss to the Golden Knights. The key is that the Preds have only had one strong game in the last 5 in terms of goals conceded. In the other 4 games, Nashville has allowed an average of 4.3 goals. Also, the Predators have lost 3 straight road games and allowed 3.7 goals per game in those 3 games. Home ice and stronger goaltending make for solid upset potential here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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02-11-23 | Newcastle United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Newcastle United @ 12:30 ET - Love this spot for an over. Bournemouth is on their home pitch where they do score an average of 1 goal per match. The issue for the hosts is they concede more goals than anyone else in the league. I know Newcastle is missing Guimaraes right now but they are angry off a 1-1 draw at home and want get the full 3 points here in the table. Yes Bournemouth allowed only 1 goal to Brighton but they allowed 20 shots in that match and 6 were on target. The point is that Bournemouth was not exactly sharp in their own end and Newcastle is going to exploit their defensive shortcomings here. The visitors are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The hosts attack has looked a little better since their January signings and they will make the net ripple once here on their home pitch. Yes I know the Newcastle defense is rock solid but this is a tough spot for them and they have a home match with Liverpool up next. So perhaps they peek ahead a bit at that match and they do concede at least once here but then they battle back against a weak defense here and pile up some goals. They might, in fact, get this total all by themselves by scoring 3 on their own the way I see it after last week's frustrating draw. However, at the very least, I am expecting a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth |
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02-11-23 | Canucks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs Vancouver Canucks @ 12:05 ET - Canucks have a new head coach in Rick Tocchet but things have remained the same in the goal-scoring department in Vancouver. The Canucks can not stop anybody but also do score very well! That is why each of their last 6 games have totaled at least 7 goals and those 6 have averaged 8 goals per game. But, not only that, 9 STRAIGHT ROAD GAMES for Vancouver have resulted in at least 7 goals scored! Those 9 games have averaged 8.6 goals per game! As for the Red Wings, they should score well at home here and I know that goalie Ville Husso can be strong at times but also he has had a few tougher outings from time to time too. With this being an early start and with the way things are going for Canucks of late, I just can not see this game ending with less than 7 goals. Look for Vancouver to again force the pace of play in this one and don't be surprised if power play goals continue to play a role in yet another over here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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02-11-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Tottenham @ 10 *AM* ET - Love this situation for a lot of goals. Leicester is off a 4-2 win and is on their home pitch and their confidence is sky-high of late as they continue to pile up goals. Tottenham is off delivering a clean sheet against Manchester City. They gave a tremendous defensive effort in that 1-0 win. That said, you can sense what is coming here. It is impossible for Tottenham to again give such a dominating defensive effort as they will get caught still celebrating that huge win over Manchester City. However, at the same time they still have plenty weapons to exploit a very weak defensive club as Leicester definitely does struggle in that regard. Also, the injury to Tottenham goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is certainly noteworthy here as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-11-23 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 106 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Botosani has won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 2.7 goals per match. They enter this match with confidence plus seeking revenge for a 2-1 home loss earlier this season to UTA. As for Arad, they will be ready to answer the call on their home pitch here so I look for Botosani to stay hot in the goal-scoring department but Arad has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. Also, Botosani has no draws last 4 matches and also 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have ended without a draw. So the result here is nothing less than a 2-1 final in my opinion and, if you do your line shopping, there is over 2 goals available at a very price of the -130 range on this one so that would be my top choice for this bet. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA |
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02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5 vs New York Knicks @ 7 ET - The Sixers get their revenge here. I do expect Embiid, seemingly a constant on the injury report, to play in this one tonight but would still make this bet even without him. Philly is off B2B road losses and they are 3-0 the last 3 times this season that they have been at home and off consecutive losses. Not only were both losses on the road, they just faced a tough Celtics team in Boston and this was after blowing a 21 point lead in their prior game which was (you guessed it!) at New York. So here they are seeking revenge on the Knicks and they are at home and they are off B2B losses and they catch the Knicks off B2B wins! When Philly lost at New York it had a lot to do with a rare poor shooting night. The Sixers will bounce back here at home where they have been so hot for so long! As for the Knicks, they are off those B2B wins but had lost 7 of 10 overall before that. Also, New York had lost 3 of last 4 road games before getting the big win at Orlando after knocking off the 76ers at home. The Sixers will be "Raining Threes" tonight and the Knicks luck runs out here. Yes they just beat the Magic by 4 at Orlando but they outscored them by 27 points from three point land! In other words, inside the arc in that game the Magic won it by 23 points! Great spot for Philly revenge here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5 |
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02-10-23 | Maple Leafs v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Maple Leafs just always seem to plagued by goaltending issues and that is the case again this season. Toronto's Matt Murray is out again so that is not helping matters in net. Ilya Samsonov has been quite inconsistent. He has allowed 5 or more goals in 2 of last 3 starts. The Leafs do continue to score well. Toronto, prior to a 5-2 loss to Boston, had averaged 3.8 goals scored per game last 25 games. As for Columbus, they do tend to score better at home but they also have been one of the worst teams in the league defensively and in goal. That is why 6 of last 7 Blue Jackets home games have totaled at least 7 goals. Also, Columbus has scored 3.7 goals per game last 3 games as a host. More of the same on tap here as I feel this is one of those back and forth match-ups that has a great shot to get to 3-3 which, of course, would mean nothing less than a 4-3 final. Either way, this one finds its way to at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 150.5 | Top | 72-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 150.5 in Buffalo Bulls vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 6 ET - The Bulls and Golden Flashes met at Kent State two weeks ago and that game totaled 142 points despite the teams combining to make 12 of 53 from three point land! The point is that, despite poor shooting, thanks to an overall strong pace to the game the teams still totaled over 140 points. We can easily get past the 150 mark with normal shooting in the rematch. In fact the total should get close to a 160 with a normal performance on offense. Both teams recently faced Akron - a strong defensive team - and they each struggled with shooting. However, other than that, Buffalo has scored points like crazy this season. Overall on the year the Bulls are averaging 80 points per game but they also allow 78 points per game! As for Kent State, other than struggling at Akron recently (eliminating that from the equation), they have averaged 78 points per game last 10 games! Also, they have allowed an average of 70 points per game last 4 road games and the Bulls are known for firing away (and connecting!) when on their home floor. Unlike the game played at Kent State, the rematch sees much more normal shooting and - as a result - an absolute shootout expected here! 10* OVER 150.5 in Buffalo |
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02-10-23 | Mioveni v. Universitatea Cluj +100 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Universitatea Cluj Money Line +100 vs CS Mioveni - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play considering Universitatea Cluj has been struggling and CS Mioveni has been playing better. However, the fact that the hosts are off a 5-0 beating last week is what has me loving this spot for Universitatea Cluj on their home pitch. Yes, CS Mioveni has played better since returning from the holiday break but 2 of those 3 matches were at home. Now, they are on the road and CS Mioveni still has the lowest win total and highest loss total in the league this season. Universitatea Cluj has only 1 loss in last 9 matches at home and allowed a total of only 6 goals in those matches. I know a lot of those matches ended in draws but I feel this one will not as the fired up hosts respond in a big way off last week's embarrassing loss. 10* Universitatea Cluj Money Line +100 |
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02-10-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs U Craiova 1948 - Rapid is off a 5-0 win last week and U Craiova 1948 is off a 4-1 win last week. Look for the goals to keep flying this week and I like the fact we can get over 2 here are a reasonable price. I would recommend to do your line shopping early in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and actually averaged 2 goals per match in those 5. Overall, U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. As for Rapid, they are seeking revenge for a 1-0 loss in the first meeting this season. They have been involved in one scoreless draw in last 13 matches but in the other dozen matches they averaged scoring 2 goals per match! In other words, each team averaging 2 goals scored per match for quite some time now and yet we have a posted total of only 2 goals to work with here. You can see why 2-2 would not be a shock here at all but certainly we should see at least 2-1. Each club has only a 25% draw rate on the season so don't expect a 1-1 final here. Once this gets to 1-1 it will get to 2-1. No matter how it gets there, the point is we should see solid scoring in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-09-23 | USC +4.5 v. Oregon | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday 10* Top Play USC Trojans +4.5 @ Oregon Ducks @ 11 PM ET - The Trojans have won 4 straight and 13 of 16 games. Also 2 of those 3 losses were to ranked teams. Not only is Oregon unranked, the Ducks are just 7-5 last 12 games and the first 4 of those 5 losses were to unranked teams. Of course Oregon gets some line shading here for home court but this is just too much here. USC is too strong a team to be getting 4.5 points here in this one. Southern Cal has a great shot at the outright upset here and if they do fall short I would expect it to be by only a bucket or two. Note that the road team won both meetings between these teams last season. Also, the most recent meeting prior to that actually was in the Big Dance in 2021 and USC won that match-up by double digits. The Trojans are playing with a lot of confidence right now and Oregon is off a win but is 2-5 SU the last 7 times when off a win. The Ducks just have not been as consistent this season plus they have Pac-12 leaders UCLA on deck and the Bruins already beat Oregon this season too. So the point is that this is not necessarily a great scheduling spot for the Ducks. As for the Trojans, love their confidence level right now plus the fact they have been off since Saturday. That minimizes the travel aspect to this game and, once again, for the 3rd straight time in regular season action, look for the road team to prevail. I will grab the points here just in case and if Trojans do fall short I would expect it to be by only a bucket or two. 10* USC +4.5 |
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02-09-23 | Suns v. Hawks -4 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -4 vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:40 ET - As a result of the blockbuster trade between Nets and Suns with Phoenix acquiring Kevin Durant in the deal but losing Johnson and Bridges, the Suns are going to be very short-handed for this game tonight. That is why a line that opened up around a pick'em has shot up to the -4 range and even as high as the -6 range as of very early gameday morning. I am looking for the Hawks to roll big here as the Suns just do not have enough talent to put on the floor in this game to match Trae Young and Atlanta. Keep in mind, the Suns barely beat the Nets at Brooklyn earlier this week and that was with Ayton scoring 35 plus Booker was back and plus they had Johnson and Bridges on the floor. Booker is expected to miss this game as it is front end of B2B and he is recovering from injuries. Johnson and Bridges are on their way to Brooklyn. Newly acquired Durant is injured plus the add-on in the trade was Warren but he will not play tonight. So Suns are super short-handed and Atlanta recently beat them 132 to 100 in Phoenix so you know what is likely here. 10* ATLANTA -4 |
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02-09-23 | Canucks v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:35 ET - I know the Islanders have been trending under of late and getting solid goaltending. However, this is a very unique match-up. The Islanders just made the huge move to get Bo Harvat from Vancouver. Now the Canucks are in town for this game. The situation keeps getting bigger and bigger for Horvat and this will be an especially electric atmosphere for this game as a result. First it was Horvat's debut with the Isles and that was on enemy ice in a division rivalry game. Then it was his home ice debut and he scored a goal in that one too. Now in his 3rd game with his new team he is facing his old team and this game is again on Long Island. So the atmosphere will be great and the Isles are off of a 4-goal outburst in their most recent game. They certainly should score plenty here against the Canucks. Vancouver enters this one having allowed 4 goals per game on the season. However, the Canucks have been even worse of late on the road with 5 goals allowed per game in last 8 away from home. However, they also have scored at least 3 goals in 7 of last 8 road games. This one should end up at least a 4-3 final based on all of the above. 10* OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
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02-08-23 | Canucks v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8:05 ET - The Canucks fired their head coach on the 22nd. Since then they have scored at least 4 goals in 3 of 4 games. However, Vancouver continues to have trouble keeping the puck out of their own net. The Canucks have lost 12 of 16 games and allowed 4 goals per game during this stretch. Shesterkin is a great goalie and likely to get the start here for Rangers but he could be rusty after the time off and he only played in the All Star game over the weekend. Other than this will be the first action for him tonight in two weeks. He could be a little rusty here and the Canucks only hope to steal a road win here is to outscore the Rangers because you know Vancouver is going to be giving up goals here. The Rangers have plenty of high-scoring capability and have scored at least 3 goals in 9 of last 13 games. Many of those games saw New York get to 4 goals and I fully expect at least that here in what should be a highly entertaining non-conference battle. 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers |
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02-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago +12.5 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +12.5 @ Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - This is a very bad scheduling spot for Southern Illinois. Yes the Salukis are at home but they have a huge game on deck at Drake. Yes they already did beat the Bulldogs earlier this season but right now Drake is in first place in the Missouri Valley Conference and the Salukis know that is a big game that is awaiting them Saturday. Not only that, the Salukis lost all 3 games to Drake last season including in the MVC Tournament. That said, the Salukis could look right past this Flames team. Illinois-Chicago is certainly having a rough season but they are off a win and also have been much more competitive for a long time now! That is the key here is the line value with this large number when you consider this is a clear lookahead spot for Southern Illinois. Note that the Flames are just 2-10 last 12 games but only 3 of those losses by more than 10 points and here we are catching a dozen points plus the hook. Also, the last 5 losses for UIC all by 10 or less points and an average margin of defeat of only 6.6 points and one of those was in OT! So none of last 6 Flames games were losses by more than 10 points and this team, off a confidence-boosting win, will be tough to put away in this game. Look for UIC to hang around throughout this game! 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +12.5 |
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02-08-23 | 76ers +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 99-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I do not think it is a mere coincidence that the Celtics are 3-4 since losing Marcus Smart to injury and the fact that those 3 wins came against below .500 teams (Pistons and Lakers) and a team (Nets) that is currently a dumpster fire. So Boston has not really beaten a quality team in this 7-game run and now faces a very tough test here. Celtics without Smart and taking on a red hot Sixers team that had won 22 of 27 games before loss in most recent game. Definitely Philly was looking ahead to this game when they fell apart in the 4th quarter and lost by double digits at New York. Here at Boston they will be fully motivated and ready to prove the Celtics don't have this division locked up just yet! Also, though Embiid is on the injury report, that has been the case for multiple weeks now and he continues to play through his injury and has been plenty effective plus there has been plenty of time between games recently for Embiid too. The 76ers are 4-0 L4 times when off a loss and also 5-0 L5 times when off a loss by 9 or more points. Boston, without Smart, has recent losses to Phoenix, New York, and Miami teams that all have a winning record on the season. Those 3 teams are a combined 12 games over .500 on the season. But this Philly team is 16 games over .500 by themselves and, once again, the Celtics without Smart struggle and fall short here. I am expecting an outright upset for Philly here but, at the very least, a cover in a loss by the slimmest of margins. 10* PHILADELPHIA +4.5 |
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02-08-23 | Leeds United v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Look for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here in response. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The hosts have won 4 straight matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 10 matches. Manchester United is 4-0-1 in last 5 matches with Leeds United. Those 4 matches that were Man U victories all totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action but has scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on those recent results. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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02-07-23 | Ducks v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 8:35 ET - Like the fact that Ducks played last night but lost in shootout at Dallas. Anaheim shoot skate well here in the B2B but will have a rusty Stolarz between the net most likely since Gibson played last night. Speaking of rusty, the Blackhawks coming back from the All-Star break so I don't expect either of their goalies to be sharp here. The Ducks are off B2B lower-scoring games but this followed 10 straight games that totaled 7 goals or more and those 10 averaged 8 goals apiece! Chicago has averaged 3.5 goals scored per game last 10 games but also has a goalie issue here. Stalock has been out because of a concussion. Stauber is young and unproven so don't put too much stock into his first couple of NHL games. Mrazek likely to get most of the starts and he has allowed 11 goals in his last two starts. 10* OVER 6 in Chicago |
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02-07-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in NY Islanders vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:35 ET - We get a very low total to work with here because the Islanders are involved. However, they are in a B2B spot here and Varlamov played last night which means it will likely be Sorokin in goal tonight. Sorokin played in the All Star game and did have a shutout in his most recent start prior to the break. However, prior to this he allowed an average of 4 goals per game over his 3 prior starts. He has not been as strong as Varlamov. Also, this will be the home ice debut for New York's big-name addition with Bo Harvat coming on board. The Isles have needed to have some offensive production and I am looking for a strong effort tonight after the divisional win at Philly last night. Islanders will see a higher-scoring game here as having a game under their belt after the break should allow them the early edge over the Kraken but I do expect Seattle to come roaring back in this one too. The Kraken have won 11 of 15 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this 15-game stretch. Seattle has allowed 5 goals in each of last two road games and also just allowed 5 goals in most recent home loss too! Take advantage of the low number here as this one has strong odds of getting to at least 6 goals. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders |
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02-07-23 | Knicks v. Magic +1.5 | Top | 102-98 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +1.5 or +2 vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This is a great spot to fade the Knicks. Look for the defensive intensity for the Knicks to be lacking in this one. New York is off that huge comeback win over division rival Philly on Sunday. The Knicks held them to just 18 points in the 4th quarter as they rallied for the win. On deck for New York is a trip to that same division rival, in Philadelphia this time. That said, this is a horrible scheduling spot for the Knicks and let us not forget they had lost 7 of 10 games before the shocking win over the 76ers. As for the Magic, they are rested and at home and have won 6 of last 10 games overall. Also, they had won 9 of last 12 home games prior to losing the most recent one so look for a big bounce back effort from the hosts in this one! 10* ORLANDO +1.5 or +2 |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana -4 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -4 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - As the saying goes, if it was too easy everyone would be doing it! That theory applies here. The Hoosiers were a 5 point favorite and are already down to a -4 in early market movement. Why? Because everyone knows they just knocked off the best team in the country when they beat Purdue this past weekend. So that's it, right? It is that easy? Just fade Hoosiers because they beat the #1 team in the country and the fans stormed the court after the game? Ladies and gentlemen, nothing is automatic in this business and nothing is truly easy. The fact here is a quote from Indiana star Trayce Jackson-Davis tells you the key info you really need to know here. What did he reference after the big win over the Boilermakers? Rutgers! Why? Because he was saying that ever since they got drilled by the Scarlet Knights early this season in their Big Ten opener they have toughened up and been a different team. All that said, and this revenge game being at home, you know Jackson-Davis and the Hoosiers are going to bring it in this game! They want payback for being held to just 48 points in the first match-up at Rutgers earlier this season. So this is a classic case where the public views this game in a certain way and the market moves it in the same way and we get line value fading the movement! I love spots like this and feel the Hoosiers get their revenge in a big way on their home court here. The Scarlet Knights have gone 2-4 in road games this season and the Hoosiers are 12-1 in home games! Rutgers last 3 Big Ten losses all by double digits and that includes 0-2 in last two road games. Hoosiers get payback for having one of their worst games of the season against these guys earlier this year. 10* INDIANA -4 |
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02-07-23 | SC Freiburg v. Sandhausen OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
2022-23 German DFB Pokal, Round of 16, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen vs Freiburg @ Noon ET - Should see plenty of goals in this one. Freiburg is both scoring and allowing 1.6 goals per match in Bundesliga action. Sandhausen is the 2nd level of Bundesliga and is allowing 1.8 goals per match this season but is scoring an average of 1.3 goals per match as a host. I also like the fact that Freiburg has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 4 goals. Again, we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. As for Sandhausen, 8 of last 9 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! I know Freiburg is the better team and off a loss in which they played a man short and ended up getting throttled. So, from that perspective, they will want to be much better in their own end of the pitch here. However, they have consistently allowed quite a few goals this season and plus this one has Sandhausen as the host. That said, the home club will get on the board but I would certainly expect the higher quality team to get at least 2 or 3 of their own in this one as well. Freiburg likely to get to 3 by themselves but, if not, at least a 2-1 final here the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen |
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02-06-23 | Texas v. Kansas -3.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -3.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 9 ET - Great spot for Kansas in this one. They are off a sloppy road loss at Iowa State but perhaps got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the team leading the Big 12. Texas is having a great season, even surviving the situation head coach Beard and now having an interim head coach on the sidelines. I did have the Longhorns here as one of my two plays Saturday but it was not an easy win for them at Kansas State. The Horns were down big to the Wildcats at halftime and had to rally back and it was a physical game and it used a lot of energy for UT in the eventual 3-point win. That makes this is a very tough spot for Texas and their win at Kansas State was their first win over a ranked foe that was not a home game for UT. Prior to defeating the Wildcats, the Longhorns other 3 non-home games versus ranked foes had seen them lose in a neutral site game against Illinois plus the Horns lost by double digits at Iowa State and at Tennessee. I feel sure the Jayhawks are going to bounce back strong here Monday after their ugly loss at Iowa State. Also note that the last 8 times Kansas has been off a loss in which they allowed 79 points or less, they have gone a perfect 8-0 in their next game. The Jayhawks get it done again here coming off a loss as the guys surrounding Wilson do a much better job in this home game than they did against the Cyclones Saturday. Home court matters in this key Big 12 battle and KU gets it done at home! 10* KANSAS -3.5 |
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02-06-23 | Clippers -6.5 v. Nets | Top | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play LA Clippers -6.5 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - The Clippers won in overtime Saturday night. The guys that led them are who you would expect - Leonard, George, Powell. The Nets are off a win over Washington in which they rallied from a 23 point deficit in the eventual 2-point win. Brooklyn had 2 guys have career-best scoring games in that one and their output was ridiculous and will not be repeated here. Not even close. That said, we have a lot of value here because this Nets team is still without Durant and it sounds like Irving has been traded to Dallas. Also, Brooklyn has a lot of other banged up guys, including Curry who will miss tonight's game. Curry and Durant were the only two guys to score more than 13 points when the Nets upset the Clippers in LA by 15 points earlier this season. So this is a revenge game plus the situation is perfect. Normally I do not laying points on the road but I just can not see the Nets as being able to hang in this game. They are too depleted and guys will not repeat the magic they did on the floor against Washington this past weekend. This is a defensive and revenge-minded Clippers team that Brooklyn has to deal with tonight. 10* LA CLIPPERS -6.5 |
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02-06-23 | Islanders v. Flyers +120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The Islanders are off B2B wins but had lost 10 of 11 games prior to that. Also, both those wins were on home ice. On the road, the Isles have lost 5 straight games and 10 of last 12. The home team is 2-0 in the two games between these divisional foes this season. The Flyers have been opposite of the Islanders this season. New York started hot than cooled. Philly had a very rough stretch earlier in the season for an extended period. However, they have since won 10 of 16 games. They did lose their most recent home game however in OT to the Kings. Philly either led or was tied with LA throughout the entirety of that game. They will make up for that home ice loss here and get back into the win column as they continue to exceed expectations of late while the Islanders have truly been mired in a long slump. Yes they acquired Bo Harvat from the Canucks and he is a great player but it could take him some time to "get on the same page" with his teammates and they could be a bit sloppy on the ice coming out of the All Star break. Don't be surprised if the Flyers are the more cohesive group on home ice here and I look for a huge game from Carter Hart in goal as he has allowed a total of only 6 goals in regulation time of his last 4 starts. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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02-06-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - The ability to get a 2 here even at slightly higher juice is well worth it. I feel strongly we see at least 3 goals in this one but just can not imagine anyway possible that it does not get to at least 2 goals which, in this case, would give us a push here. The fact is the last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, have averaged 5 goals apiece! Universitatea Craiova has won 3 of last 4 matches overall and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 3 victories. Farul is one of the top clubs in the league and is the highest scoring club in the league and is averaging 2 goals scored per match on the season! The sudden problem for Farul however is that they are allowing too many goals and, in fact, have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches. 17 of Farul's last 18 matches have totaled at least 2 goals so you can see the value in this number here! 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul |
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02-06-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - I am fading the line move here and grabbing the over 2 goals as this one has moved down from a 2.5 as of matchday morning. FC Botosani has played better since the winter break and is off B2B victories. They scored 3 goals in those 2 victories. Also, FC Botosani has scored 4 goals in their last 3 home matches and has notched at least one goal in each of those 3 as a host. However, they did lose at Petrolul Ploiesti 2-1 earlier this season and I am looking for a similar final score here regardless of the victor. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 16 of last 21 matches. 13 of last 16 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 13 matches have averaged 3 goals per match! Of course we are not playing this looking for the push and, as you can see per that stat, strong odds on this one getting to 3 goals for the win. Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 23 matches and they are angry off a slow start after the winter break so look for them to fight hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 10* OVER 2 in FC Botosani |
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02-05-23 | 76ers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:05 ET - As per usual, Embiid is on the injury report. As per usual, I am expect him to play. Even if he does not, look for the Sixers to roll any way in this one. But Embiid keeps showing up on the report with left foot soreness but he has played 5 straight games. A key here to why he is likely to play too is Philly was off yesterday and they then have Monday and Tuesday off before facing the Celtics Wednesday. There really is no reason to rest Embiid here. He rested yesterday and can rest Monday and Tuesday too! As for this scheduling situation, it definitely favors the Sixers as the Knicks are off an OT loss to the Clippers last night. That leaves them spent here both emotionally and physically as it was 7th loss in last 10 games for New York also. By the way, each of Knicks last 6 losses have been by at least 6 points. As for Philly, they enter this one on a 22-5 run! They have been one of the hottest teams in the league for months now and 15 of last 22 wins by at least 7 points! They should roll here on the road as they beat the Knicks by 7 the last time they met and that was despite New York having a rare 14-rebound edge over the 76ers in that one. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -5.5 |
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02-05-23 | Wichita State -5.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 86-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers -5.5 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 3 ET - Tulsa is the worst team in the AAC. The Golden Hurricane have lost 10 of last 11 games and the average margin of defeat has been 14 points. Yes, Tulsa almost beat the Shockers at Wichita State but would you believe the Golden Hurricane were up huge in that game and yet still lost despite a crazy stat. The Shockers were 2 of 17 from three point land in that game and Tulsa was 10 of 22 from downtown. That means the Golden Hurricane outscored Wichita State by 24 points from beyond the arc and yet still lost the game by 4 points! I am sure that the Shockers are going to play much better here even though they are on the road and I am projecting a win by a double digit margin. A big key here is Wichita State enters this game angry off a loss. Believe it or not the Shockers are actually a fantastic 4-1 when they are on the road and coming off a loss! The most recent one was a big 13 point win at East Carolina and Tulsa is worse than the Pirates. Also, the only loss for Wichita State when in this situation was at Kansas State and, of course the Wildcats are a ranked Big 12 team that is having an excellent season. There is just a big disparity in these programs right now and I do not see the Shockers being denied off a loss and I look for Tulsa's knack for blowout losses to add another one to the list Sunday. 10* WICHITA STATE -5.5 |
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02-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - Just now early this morning eastern time and even still before noon here in Romania, this total dropped to a 2 which is a huge value. I can see why some people are looking under here. The first match between these teams ended 1-0 in December. However, there were a number of quality chances in that one and these clubs are so strong. Really like what FCSB has been doing but of course have plenty of respect for the top club in the league CFR Cluj, especially on their home pitch. That said, also note that only Farul has scored more goals than either one of these two clubs. Indeed, FCSB and CFR Cluj are two of the top clubs in the league in terms of scoring talent. FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight road matches and averaged scoring 1.8 goals per match in that stretch! CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches. They have averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match in those 10 matches. You can see why I am looking for this one to get to at least 1-1 and keep in mind these clubs do not settle for draws! Odds would suggest there is only a 15% chance of a draw here as they have combined for just 7 draws in their 46 matches! I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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02-05-23 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is The Big Ticket Event Sunday as Tottenham hosts Manchester City. Note that City averages scoring 1.7 goals per match when on the road and the Hotspur average scoring 2.1 goals per match when at home this season! These clubs have met twice in the last 12 months and there have been at least 5 goals scored in each match. Tottenham, other than manager Conte (Stellini may fill in here), is getting healthier and should get some scoring going here at home. But Manchester City back on track with Haaland ending his scoring drought in a big way with his hat trick performance in recent EPL action. Overall, Manchester City so dangerous and they have been known to give Tottenham fits in recent meetings. I do expect each club to score at least once given their current trending as well as results in recent battles against each other. That said, I also envision the match would get to at least 2-1 as Manchester City has only 3 draws in 20 matches this season for a 15% draw rate! As for the Hotspur, their 10 home matches have featured 0 draws! Look for at least a 2-1 final but truly I am expecting much more. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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02-05-23 | Leeds United v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Leeds United Goal Line Pick -105 @ Nottingham Forest @ 9 AM ET - When you look at this line I feel it says a lot about this match-up. There is a reason this match is priced as a pick'em even though Leeds has won only 1 of 9 road matches in the league and Nottingham Forest has lost only 3 of 10 matches in league action. I do feel Leeds will draw momentum from recent successes in the English FA Cup. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has been getting throttled in the English Carabao Cup. They also are currently without their top goalie Dean Henderson so it will likely be Keylor Navas between the pipes since Wayne Hennessey has been struggling. However, will Navas prove to be an upgrade? At least at first I think that is absolutely a no. Navas has not been playing much at all and will be rusty here. 10* LEEDS Goal Line Pick -105 |
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02-05-23 | Sepsi v. Mioveni OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni vs Sepsi @ 8:30 AM ET - Sepsi lost 3-0 last week but faced a Rapid club that has been red hot and giving a lot of clubs trouble. Prior to that loss, Sepsi was on a 4-0-1 run in which they scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! In their last 4 matches, Sepsi has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match. CS Mioveni is at the bottom of the table and having a tough season but they have been better of late and gone 2-0-1 since the winter break. CS Mioveni won the most recent meeting with Sepsi 1-0 but each of the 3 meetings before that totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3 goals per match. CS Mioveni has scored an average of 1.7 goals in 3 matches since winter break. However, they also have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches. The weather is still cold in Romania but the sun is out today and no snow expected. Will be pleasant conditions for this match and we are going to see goals in this one with good field conditions. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni |
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02-04-23 | Villanova +10 v. Creighton | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +10 @ Creighton Bluejays @ 7:30 ET - The Wildcats recently got Justin Moore back and he is a senior guard who is a key player for them. Villanova also has been a better team since Cam Whitmore joined the playing rotation at the start of the season. What is happening with this line here is that Creighton is over-valued. Yes, the Bluejays are known for playing well at home and have revenge from last year's Big East title loss. But the key here with Creighton is that they are laying double digits against a Nova team that is getting stronger and more confident and healthier. Yes they just lost at Marquette but they had key guys in foul trouble plus it was just the 2nd game for Moore since he came back. He'll be even better here. Note that Villanova is only 10-12 this season but the average margin of defeat is 6.5 points per loss and only one defeat was by more than 10 points. The Wildcats are 0-4 against ranked teams but no loss was by a double digit margin. This is just too many points here. The revenge angle for Creighton is making this line higher than it should be. The Bluejays only scored 63 against a bad Georgetown team in most recent game and, again, the Cats likely would have won at Marquette if not for foul trouble "slowing their roll" in that game. They will be very strong in this game as they are off B2B tight losses but have their team together again with Moore back in the lineup and it is showing in how competitive they have been against ranked foes in the last two games. That continues here and the points are just too much here for the Bluejays to be laying. 10* VILLANOVA +10 |
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02-04-23 | Suns v. Pistons OVER 226 | Top | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 226 in Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns @ 7 ET - Yesterday's Pistons game had 137 points at halftime and yet stayed under the total. Yesterday's Suns game at Boston totaled just 200 points and stayed way under the total. Both Detroit and Phoenix won those games too. Also, as noted above, both those games were yesterday on Friday so this is a B2B spot for both clubs. All of these factors are situations where I like to take an over and they are all lining up right here on the same game so I am all over this over! The Pistons game was ridiculous in not going over the total yesterday. The Suns are off a very strong defensive effort in an upset win of Celtics on the road. Both teams off wins here so could let up on intensity on the defensive end. Last but not least, is back to back spot for both teams so could be some tired legs taking plays off on the defensive end too. Add it all up and you can see why I am going big on this one. 10* OVER 226 in Detroit |
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02-04-23 | Texas -120 v. Kansas State | Top | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns Money Line -115 @ Kansas State Wildcats @ 4 ET - The Wildcats are ranked higher. Kansas State also is undefeated at home this season. The Cats also already beat the Longhorns at Texas earlier this season. All that and yet this line is right around a pick'em even though KSU is at home. Must be a mistake, right? No, not at all! The road team has won 4 straight meetings in this series. Also, UT is the better team defensively and you would never know that considering they allowed the Wildcats to put up 116 on them in Austin in the prior meeting this season. You think the Horns have forgotten that? Of course not! UT comes up huge on the defensive end in this one and gets a convincing win! Kansas State is a solid team for sure but the Longhorns are even better. The Wildcats have lost 3 of last 4 games against ranked teams. Texas has won 4 of 7 against ranked teams and they catch KSU off a disappointing big game loss to their biggest rival as they just lost to the Jayhawks. 10* TEXAS -115 |
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02-04-23 | Voluntari v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their 11 road matches this season. So the good news for them is they are away from home for this one. The better news about that too is this is really no road trip either as Voluntari is a suburb of Bucuresti. That said, even though Voluntari is down in the table, you know they will push hard against their "big brothers" Rapid in this one. That is why I am projecting an over here as I do expect Voluntari to make the net ripple at least once and, at the same time, they will struggle to slow down a Rapid team that has been marching its way back up the table for a long time now. 8 of Voluntari's last 10 road matches have totaled at least 2 goals and they have allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match in those. As for Rapid, they are off a scoreless draw but this followed 12 straight games that totaled at least 2 goals and those dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid |
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02-04-23 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - I know that the Hammers have not been scoring well this season but they are starting to score better of late with at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions and this includes 2 goals scored for West Ham in 3 of those 4 matches! Also, against Newcastle, the Hammers have scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches and, amazingly, scored at least 2 goals in 7 of those 8 matches! That said, the Hammers have a little extra confidence entering this one! The trouble for them is they are running into a red hot Newcastle club that has been particularly tough at St James' Park! Here they are averaging 1.8 goals scored per match in league action. Also, overall, Newcastle United enters this one having suffered one home shutout in last 6 league matches as a host but scoring an average of 2.4 goals in the other 5 home matches in league action dating back to early October. I am looking for a 2-1 match here at the very least but I expect the Hammers to open things up here and that helps lead the way to a match that could surprise many by being very high-scoring. Keep in mind, Newcastle's match with Southampton had 3 goals by the 29 minute mark earlier this week in tournament action. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-04-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Brighton has scored at least 2 goals in 7 straight matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 3 goals per match during this stretch. Brighton is in fine form and Bournemouth continues to struggle in giving up a ton of goals. That said, it would not surprise me if Brighton gets us this win all by themselves as they have been scoring an average of 3 goals against competition that is much tougher than this Bournemouth team. However, don't be surprised if the hosts get caught looking ahead to upcoming bigger matches and that allows the visitors to find the back of the net once. In that case, this match should end at least 2-1 but, however it manages to get there, the key is I am fully expecting 3 goals in this one given the above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton |
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02-03-23 | Kent State +2.5 v. Akron | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes +2.5 @ Akron Zips @ 9 ET - Love this play a ton because the "deeper dive" here reveals key factors that the markets are likely missing here. The markets will look and see that these two teams are tied at the top of the MAC and have identical records in MAC games and then they will look at Akron being at home for this one where they are 11-0 this season. You don't think the odds makers know all these facts too? Yet they set the line at right around a pick'em on this game and, of course, everyone jumping in on the Zips here. Now the line is as high as a 2.5 as of early gameday morning. Now the key factors the odds makers (and yours truly) are considering here! The fact is that Akron lost to Ball State and has yet to play Toledo! Those are the 2 other top teams out of the 4 top teams in the league (with Zips and Golden Flashes being the other 2). As for Kent State, unlike the Zips, they beat Ball State and also they have played the Rockets and they beat them too! So the point is that the records may be identical in the MAC but the Zips have played the weaker in-conference schedule. Also, in terms of overall records, Akron has 6 losses and the average margin of defeat was 12.5 points and they did NOT play the tough non-conference schedule that Kent State did! The Golden Flashes faced both Gonzaga AND Houston and they nearly beat both of them outright! Overall, Kent State only has 2 other losses this season and one was by 2 points in non-conference action and the other was an upset at hands of Northern Illinois but the Huskies shot a ridiculously high percentage in that game including from 3-point land. So the point is all the boxes are checked that this is a HIGH VALUE spot for grabbing the points with Kent State and then you have the final "kicker" that pushes this over the top! The Golden Flashes lost to Akron in the Championship Game of the MAC Tourney and that sent the Zips to the Big Dance where they got to face UCLA in the NCAA Tourney while it sent the Golden Flashes to play in The Basketball Classic and to ponder "what could have been". So all these factors considered plus the rivalry aspect with these two teams and I love the underdog in this spot. 10* KENT STATE +2.5 |