Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-31-19 | Sam Houston State +9.5 v. New Mexico | 31-39 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Lobos are in a transition season with new dynamics and schemes and are expected to possibly highlight four QBs today. Needless to say their cohesiveness could be tested. Meanwhile, the Sam Houston BearKats come in nationally ranked, 22nd in the preseason poll by Stats FCS, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a team like New Mexico. Lobos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in August. Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Lobos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Lobos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.v Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Play on Sam Houston to cover |
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08-31-19 | Duke +35 v. Alabama | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
The public is all over Alabama but it must be noted that HC Saban has been inconsistent as a large favorite covering just 11 of 33 games when favored by 30 or more points. Meanwhile, Duke HC Cutcliffe is 15-3 SU lifetime in season openers with the three losses coming by an average of 5.56 ppg. The Blue Devils return the top two rushers and the most experienced part of their defense. abd look fairly solid and more than capable of being competitive. Meanwhile, Alabama loses Damien Harris and most of the offensive line and it must also be noted that this game is being played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, where QB Tagovailoa had a bad game while looking uncomfortable playing on that surface ,converting just t 10-of-25 passes for just 165 yards and 2 interceptions against Georgia in the SEC Championship game. Could this environment trigger a PTSD event? Im betting it does . DUKE is 6-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.DUKE is 24-8 ATS in games played on turf. ALABAMA is 8-19 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.DUKE is 28-13 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992. Take the points with Duke to cover |
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08-31-19 | Mississippi State -20 v. UL-Lafayette | 38-28 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 23 m | Show | |
Superdome - New Orleans, LA The Mississippi State Bulldogs delivered 8 wins last season and ranked No. 1 in the nation in defence and this season Im betting their offence chips in and makes this side very under rated. Meanwhile, the Ragin Cajuns despite of a top tier recruiting class and success last season in a 7 win campaign, are over matched here today. The Cajuns might be out looking for revenge for a 56-10 smash down last season to the Bulldogs, but Im betting they will fail as they make it 36 straight losses to a SEC school. Note: UL-Lafayette are an ugly 0-28 ATS in their last 28 SU home losses versus lined opponents. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 81-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% covnersion rate for bettors. Play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs to cover |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 17 m | Show | |
Toledo continues to recruit top tier offensive players as was evident by scoring at least 50 points in six games during their 2018 campaign, and something that will aid them covering here today . Meanwhile, Kentucky is a depleted team with players going to the NFL and other departures that no longer make them a contender in the SEC. Mark Stoops has his work cut out for him this season, and some serious regression is not out of the question. It must be noted as far as this matchup is involved the Wildcats are being over rated in my humble betting opinion. Note Kentucky is 1-7 ATS as home favourite the past two seasons, while the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in road openers . The MAC owns a 9-0 ATS L/9 record vs SEC opposition. KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (TOLEDO) - poor defense from last season - allowed 400 or more total yards/game, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 61-27 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toledo Rockets to cover |
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08-31-19 | Akron v. Illinois -18 | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show | |
This bet is not so much about Lovie Smiths Illinois even though Im betting they will be significantly better this season, but this bet is rather about the matchup discrepancies here today , that favor Illinois. The Zips have a completely new coaching staff, and only have a couple returning starters on the defensive side of the ball back, and a new offensive scheme that will take time to be cohesive.I know the MAC has a reputation for doing well against the Big10 in the past, but today the Big 1o will dominate . Illinois in their 4 wins last season averaged 39.5 ppg so they can score when in a groove and should prove even better this season. Overall from a historical standpoint it must also be noted that Illini have won 21 straight home openers by an average of 24 points per game. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ILLINOIS) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 81-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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08-30-19 | Mariners +103 v. Rangers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Marco Gonzales(14-10, 4.17 ERA, 126 SO)is his teams No. 1 starter and is 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA over his last 14 starts, including a win over the Rangers in Seattle on July 22, when he allowed two runs in seven innings. He's 2-2 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts vs. Texas on the season. He gets the nod again here tonight vs the Rangers.GONZALES is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. TEXAS is 15-30 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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08-30-19 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 10.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Astros starter Miley is 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his last 11 starts, and in the top five in ERA in the American League at 3.13. Opponents are hitting .233 against him. Im betting he will slow down this young Blue Jays offence that has scored and average of just 2.6 rpg in their L/10 overall and limit their output today. The Astros have allowed an average of 2.8 rpg in their L/10 tilts overall. MILEY is 15-7 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those 22 games clicking in at 8.4 rpg. Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts vs. American League East.Under is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Thorton his pitching opponent form the Blue Jays continues to flash glimpses of brilliance, and despite of inconsistencies is a capable hurler that can slow down this Astros offence. Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games following an off day.Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games. Play UNDER |
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08-30-19 | A's v. Yankees -137 | 8-2 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Senior citizen CC Sabathia looked good in his last outing at Dodger Stadium, where he permitted two runs and five hits over four innings, walking one with seven strikeouts. Sabathia has pitched seven innings in two starts since returning from a right knee injury and will be ready to go longer and stronger here tonight vs the As. The Yankees can almost always depend on him go be a stable force in their rotation, especially late in the season. Meanwhile, his Athletics pitching opponent Anderson is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA in his last six starts, and fade material here in this spot. Note: Anderson is 0-6 with a 6.86 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees. The Athletics are 0-13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest on the road off a one-run road win. NY YANKEES are 15-4 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 39-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa +23.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Last season the Michigan State Spartans ranked 127th in scoring nationally and put up an average of 8 ppg in their final 4 tilts. It was a frikin embarrassment. However, Im betting they will be improved this season , but tonight they might not show off their improved attack and playbook options as the Spartys have a reputation for staring slowly failing to cover 4 of their L/5 openers and are also 0-6 ATS as home chalk of more than 17 points. Meanwhile, Tulsa behind head man Phil Montgomery have really been bitten the by the injury bug the last couple of seasons, but have remained fairly competitive behind a under rated D as they have eight one-possession losses, Note:The Golden Hurricane were ranked eighth in the country in pass defense last season. With alot of experience returning this season and Montgomerys need to post some wins to save his job Im betting on him pulling out all the stops this season. Considering Tulsa has covered 6 of their L/7 ATS as a under dog of 20 or more points they get my support here vs what we can usually count on to be a disinterested Mark Dantonio group. Play on the Tulsa Canes to cover |
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08-30-19 | Rice +22 v. Army | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 58 h 56 m | Show | |
Army had a tremendous season in 2018, and some regression must be expected this around especially with their two top Full Backs gone, and a new defensive coordinator in the fold . But hey Art Monkin has done a great job with the Black Knights and they should be fine this season. However today they go against a very under rated Rice squad with a huge amount of returning experience in the lineup, and with some luck the Owls won't be as injury prone as last season ie ( 4 QBS played last year). Army because of their recent success is now a public team but because of this we are getting a decent line to bet into here with the underdog, especially considering that I highly doubt that Army will open up their playbook this week with Jim Harbaughs Michigan up next. I also expect the Knights may not play their starters late into this tilt, which gives credence to back door cover opportunities if need be. Note: Rice HC Bloomgren has said he has been preparing for Army's Triple option since last February. Rice has cashed 10 of their L/15 as 20 point or more dogs. Army has failed to cover 15 of their L/24 as DD favorites( 38%). Army is 4-11 ATS L/15 season openers. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (ARMY) - good defense from last season - allowed 315 or less total yards/game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB, in the first two weeks of the season are 16-44 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rice Owls to cover |
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08-29-19 | Raiders v. Seahawks UNDER 33.5 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 58 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all abut staying healthy. Look for most backups to see action in a tilt Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. Gruden in his L/9 after playing a Thursday game in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 27.7 ppg scored. Carroll is 12-3 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 32.7 ppg scored. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 29-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE/OAKLAND) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record in the preseason playing another winning team are 22-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. PLAY UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Texas State +33.5 v. Texas A&M | 7-41 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 16 m | Show | |
Texas State Im betting is a under rated commodity here in game 1 vs respected Texas A&M football program However, this Bobcats team is loaded with experienced players with 19 returning starters and the O-Line completely intact. Meanwhile, the Aggies, despite of a decent season last year, have to now endure a new batch of players on defence, having to replace 6 of 7 players in the front 7, which will effect them here today. With Clemson up next for Texas A&M concentrating on this matchup, could be difficult. Texas State has also been solid as an underdog of 20 or more points cashing 5 of their L/6 opportunities, and Im betting they don't roll over so easily here, and find the way to get us a cover on a almost 5 TD spread. Bobcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in August.Aggies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Thursday games. Play on Texas State to cover |
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08-29-19 | Wings +11.5 v. Sky | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
After winning 3 straight Dallas has dropped three straight and failed to cover . But it must be noted that Agler is 36-20 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Its interesting to note that Chicago has average 44.3 % with their FG conversion rate at home, but DALLAS is 21-9 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Chicago Sky have already clinched a playoff berth, so playing all out here is not a priority. However staying healthy is , which makes for plenty of back door cover options if the Sky get up big and rest their top players . WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
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08-29-19 | Ravens -6 v. Redskins | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 50 h 33 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens go into Washington with momentum as they ride a 16-game winning streak in pre-season play and have won and covered each of their three exhibition tilts this season.Rookie QB Trace McSorley has looked tremendous and completed 19 of his 28 passing attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns, last time out in a Ravens, win and should get more snaps tonight with Lamar Jackson not expected to play. Meanwhile, Washington despite of a preseason win last time out, is suffering through some scattered key injuries and will want to stay relatively healthy, going forward so Im betting they play alot of backups and sort out the bottom half of the depth chart . Looks very much like Baltimore makes it 17 straight here, and covers for the 11th time in 13 trips to the gridiron. BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points . Play on Baltimore to cover |
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08-29-19 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 32.5 | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 41 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all about staying healthy. Look for mostly backups to see action in a tilt which Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. The L/2 preseason meetings in this series, have seen scores of 13-7, and 17-6 go on the board and Im betting on a similar ouput in this battle. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 Thursday games. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. NFLX team against the total (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent off 3 or more consecutive unders are 23-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Vikings -3 v. Bills | 23-27 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings opened at 2.5 point dogs vs the Buffalo Bils, but that number was knocked down, and now the value despite of the divergence still lies with the Vikings of favorites of 3 points. Zimmer is 12-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. Zimmer is 9-2 ATS in road games as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFLX teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after a 2 game home stand against opponent after playing their last game on the road are 29-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NFLX Road teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive home wins, undefeated in the preseason are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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08-29-19 | UCLA +3 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Coach Chip Kelly has 19 returning starters in the lineup and come into this season with experience and momentum after outgunning 3 of their L/4 opponents last season. Meanwhile, the Bearcats despite of being fairly solid team , are 0-4 ATS L/4 in non conference home games and according to my projections could get lit up by QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Joshua Kelley who could have a big day vs a D, that has lost their 3 top players from last season. With instate rivals Ohio State on deck, we may not see the Bearcats fully focused and unreliable favs. Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover |
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08-29-19 | Mercury v. Dream +5 | 65-58 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won the two meetings between the teams by a combined 11 points and Im betting on another close game , as both teams are competing for a play off birth against each other. The Mercury dont have as tough a path as Atlanta, but the Dream still have a chance if they can win their L/4 games of the season, so they wont easily fold here tonight. Atlanta has won 2 straight. WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 73-129 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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08-29-19 | Sparks v. Fever +6 | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Los Angeles' weakness is, perimeter defending, was again exposed as Washington knocked down nine first-half 3-pointers and put the Sparks in a 17-point halftime hole and tonight Im betting they wont easily get off the matt after being KOd last time out. LA has proven themselves at home but on the road they have lost 9 of 15 straight up and are fade material as hefty road favs. LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1997. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-29-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Berrios the Twins starter is 0-2 along with an 8.44 ERA in four starts this month after giving up five runs and 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit tigers this past The Twins righty has allowed six homers in his last four trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Cease (3-6, 5.76) the Pale Hose starting thrower today, has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts, allowing nine runs and 12 hits and once again looks like cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota offence averaging 6.2 rpg on the road this season. Everything points to a high scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Berrios' last 6 starts overall.MINNESOTA is 34-18 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-29-19 | A's -1.5 v. Royals | 9-8 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Athletics starter Chris Bassitt has seen (9-5, 3.59 ERA, 117 SO) has een Left-handed batters hitting .198 off him compared to .255 against righties. He's close to averaging one strikeout per inning (117 in 125 1/3 innings) and his 1.18 WHIP is solid. Athletics are 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. American League Central. Meanwhile,Royals right-handed starter Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA), has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts and is fade material here. Royals are 0-8 in Sparkmans last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. OAKLAND is 30-8 SU vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.OAKLAND is 28-5 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-13 against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season losing by an average of 3.9 rpg. Play on the Oakland AS on the runline -1.5 |
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08-28-19 | Rays +195 v. Astros | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Cole despite of being in top form has not fared well vs TB as he is 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA over three career starts against the Rays, including a 4-1 loss on March 29 when he allowed four runs (one earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts over six innings in St. Petersburg, Fla. Meanwhile,Rays lefty starter Ryan Yarbrough(11-3, 3.29 ERA, 93 SO)s last start may have been cut short due to rain, but it was no less dominant. The lefty now owns a 1.48 ERA across 61 innings over his past 12 appearances, which includes a staggering 59 strikeouts compared to just four walks and must be respected on a value line no matter who the opposition is . Yes even the mighty Astros. CASH is 17-11 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY. The Rays are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a underdog of more than 160 vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not a series opener. MLB team (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 over his last 3 starts are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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08-28-19 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Yankees' James "Big Maple" Paxton (10-6, 4.43 ERA), who spent his first six seasons in Seattle, will go up against the Mariners' Justus Sheffield (0-0, 6.43), who will be making his second major league start. Im betting both offences do enough damage here this afternoon to help us eclipse this total. The Yankees won yesterday 7-0 but in the past this has been an omen for a fairly high scoring game as SERVAIS in his L/31 after getting shut out as the manager of SEATTLE has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. PAXTON is 10-2 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg going on the board. PAXTON is 8-0 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.2 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 20-9 OVER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.9 rog scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. The Yankees have gone over 14 straight times and its not the first game of a series as a road chalk vs a team that has lost at least their last two games with the average combined score of 14.15 rpg scored with no game seeing less than a combined 11 runs scored. Play OVER |
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08-27-19 | Red Sox -130 v. Rockies | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Bostons offence is built to destroy parks like Coors Field and matchup well vs the Colorado Rockies. Red Sox are 14-3 in their starters Porcellos last 17 interleague starts. Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 interleague road games.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 21-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 41-17 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 161-89 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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08-27-19 | Twins v. White Sox +104 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lucas Giolito (14-6, 3.20 ERA, 194 SO) termed his shutout of the Twins last Wednesday as the “best I’ve ever felt pitching in my life.” Giolito struck out 12 in that three-hitter, without issuing a walk. Giolito needs six strikeouts to reach 200 for the season and gets my support again vs a team that matches up well against. GIOLITO is 11-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox on the ML |
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08-27-19 | Orioles v. Nationals -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals starter Patrick Corbin(10-5, 3.17 ERA, 184 SO) ranked fifth in the NL in strikeouts, joining teammates Max Scherzer (second) and Stephen Strasburg (third) in the top five. His 1.76 ERA at home this year (12 starts) is the second-best home ERA in the NL and deserves his big chalk status here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Brooks despite of coming off a good effort vs a struggling team in KC, is just 1-4 with an 8.07 ERA in eight starts for Baltimore overall and fade material in this spot on the runline. Home favorites with a money lines of -200 or more (WASHINGTON) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 50-4 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average score of 6.1 to 2.9 - with a diff of +3.2 rpg qualifying as a solid run-line situation. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the RL -1.5 |
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08-26-19 | Diamondbacks -103 v. Giants | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede the Giants starter is 0-4 with an 8.23 ERA over his last six starts, each of which the Giants have lost and is fade material here in this spot play vs the Arizona DBacks.He is 0-3 in eight home games (seven starts) in his two-year career, and has never beaten the Diamondbacks (0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three starts).Meanwhile, Young his pitching opponent from the DBacks has pitched his best on the road this season, where he 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA so far this season. Giants are 10-21 in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Giants are 13-32 in their last 45 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 62-33 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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08-26-19 | Reds v. Marlins +145 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Gray the Reds starter has a mixed history against the Marlins. In three career appearances against them, he is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA. But he is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start at Marlins Park. GRAY is 4-15 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,Pablo Lopez (5-5, 4.23 ERA, 73 SO) will come off the injured list and make his first start since June 15 when he beat the Pirates, working seven innings. The 23-year-old made 14 starts before his shoulder injury. At home, he is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA. The Marlins are 4-0 L/4 on the ML as a home 140-plus underdog after a game in which they left fewer than ten men on base, which happened yesterday. CINCINNATI is 2-13 (against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 overall. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor OBP (.310or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less ) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -132 | 12-2 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The series opens with a pair of veterans as Milwaukee starts left-hander Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA) and St. Louis starts righty Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51). Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA, 53 SO)has pitched well for the Brewers since they originally acquired him last Aug. 31 from the Nationals. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of six starts since returning from a shoulder injury. Meanwhile, Card starter Adam Wainwright(9-9, 4.51 ERA, 126 SO) gave up four runs in the first inning to the Brewers in the Cardinals’ rain-shortened loss Wednesday and five runs total in his five innings. He struck out two and struggled with fastball command and according to my power rankings just does not matchup well vs the Brewers batting order. ST LOUIS is 4-18 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ST LOUIS is 2-14 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. The Cardinals are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a underdog in the first game of a series when they are off a game as a favorite and they are seeking same season revenge for a loss. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings. are 11-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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08-25-19 | Steelers v. Titans -2.5 | 18-6 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Sunday night National Football League preseason action features the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers doing battle with the AFC South Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium, in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans owned a top tier defense last year ranking 8th in total yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed( 18.9 ppg). This season and tonight Im betting the Titans D will continue to shine thanks to addition of some key draft acquisitions and depth. On offence with QB Mariotts expected to play at least half the game a Tennessee offence that has looked more fluid than usual thanks to a more balanced run and passing game and should continue to do good work vs a Pittsburgh D, that might not be as stable as many pundits believe. On the opposite end of the field, its looks like the Steelers Big ben will see limited time if plays today at all which gives me more credence in my backing of the Titans here at home this week. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-11 ATS L/12 off a upset win as an underdog . Their 17-7 win vs KC last week qualifies here under a regression chart that I use to isolate let down spots. Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on a natural surface. Titans are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games. Play on the Tennessee Titans to win on the ML Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. |
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08-25-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Kershaw has made three starts against the Yankees in his career. While the Dodgers' left-hander does not have a decision against the Yankees, he has an ERA of a minuscule 0.90 in 20 innings. Meanwhile Yankees will lean on major league wins leader Domingo German (16-3, 4.15), who is second in baseball in win percentage behind ... Kershaw. The 27 year old did get knocked around last time, but his consistency is unmatched and Im betting he bounces back here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay under the total. LA DODGERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 20-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 22-11 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. ( Dodgers won a 2-1 game yesterday) Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games following a loss.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague road gamesUnder is 20-6-1 in Yankees last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Play UNDER |
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08-25-19 | Sun +2.5 v. Sparks | 72-84 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Looking to maintain their spot atop the WNBA standings, the Sun try for a fifth consecutive victory while looking to halt the Los Angeles Sparks' 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Sun have the edge here and offer us value taking points. Take the points with the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-25-19 | Red Sox +107 v. Padres | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres starter Lucchesi threw a career-high 109 pitches in Philadelphia his last time out, so fatigue could rare its ugly head here, even though he is on 6 days resr. The left-hander hasn't pitched into the seventh inning since before the All-Star break and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Red Sox. Note: Lucchesi's ERA has climbed from 3.94 to 4.20 since the All-Star break. He has given up seven homers in his last eight starts. LUCCHESI has seen his team lose 13 of his L/20 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) CORA is 15-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Brian Johnson the BoSox starter despite of probably not inspiring bettors or linesmakers has shown he can get the job done as his team has won 17 of his L/24 starts and 4 of his L/5 interleague trips to the hill. Red Sox are 8-3 in Johnsons last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Red Sox are 10-4 in Johnsons last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 5-2 in Johnsons last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Red Sox are 17-7 in Johnsons last 24 starts.Red Sox are 7-3 in Johnsons last 10 road starts.Red Sox are 15-7 in Johnsons last 22 starts on grass.
SAN DIEGO is 3-19 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague road games.BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. MLBeam (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 39-22 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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08-25-19 | Nationals -118 v. Cubs | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Strasburg the Nats starter is coming off a strong performance in which he hurled seven scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday.In seven career starts against the Cubs, Strasburg is 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA and gets my support here today vs the Cubs at Wrigley. STRASBURG is 15-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Nationals have scored double-digit runs five times in the past 10 games, and have scored at least seven runs eight times and are dangerous against any hurler the Cubs trot out. The Nationals are 9-0 on the ML as a favorite off a road game in which they did not hit a home run which was the case yesterday. WASHINGTON is 16-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-22 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 32-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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08-25-19 | Rangers +122 v. White Sox | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rangers young starter Burke shined in his debut Tuesday, scattering four hits and two walks while striking out four in six scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels in a game the Rangers went on to win 3-2 in 11 innings.Only four of 17 balls put in play had an exit velocity of 95 mph or greater. The kid has alot of promise and gets my support here today on a value line. Meanwhile, Lopez ( 7-11, 5.25 ERA) his pitching opponent from the White Sox despite of a quality outing last time out , has been inconsistent this season, and according to my power rankings does matchup all that well vs the Rangers batting order. White Sox are 8-23 in Lopezs last 31 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.White Sox are 2-6 in Lopezs last 8 starts on a natural surface.White Sox are 1-4 in Lopezs last 5 home starts.White Sox are 1-5 in Lopezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 0-4 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 14-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii UNDER 74 | 38-45 | Loss | -112 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
The weather forecast in Hawaii is calling for hefty winds that are being estimated at 14 mph for the entire course of the game with nasty Gusts 30 mph expected. It must also be noted that despite of having star QB at the helm of the Hawaii offence, in Junior QB Cole McDonald , the coordinators do not run a speed formation, and it is methodical in nature. Meanwhile, Arizona with Khalil Tate back at QB, and J.J. Taylor returning at RB after a 1,434-yard season that ranked 6th nationally will once again focus on their ground attack to move the chains which will eat up precious clock time. Im liking the under here in this Paradise Island game between a PAC 12 opponent and MWC foe. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARIZONA) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, with 8 defensive starters returning are 35-11 L/seasons for a 76% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER |
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08-24-19 | Seahawks -3 v. Chargers | 23-15 | Win | 100 | 38 h 30 m | Show | |
Veteran QB Philip Rivers will not play this week vs the Chargers and backing Seattle is a good investment option behind a above average group of backup QBs ie JT Barrett and especially Geno Smith with veteran QB Wilson probably playing the first quarter. Pete Carrol said all of starters will see some action on Saturday, but has not specified how much. The line from its opening has spun around in a big way , but there is still market value here on this line favoring the Seahawks. Advantage Seahawks. SEATTLE is 31-12 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1993. SEATTLE is 33-18 ATS in road games since 1993. NFLX team (SEATTLE) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 11-31 L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 38 h 59 m | Show | |
The B.C. Lions outplayed the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last month in their best road game of the season and still ended up with the L despite of covering as 8.5 dogs. Its been a very frustrating year for the Lions, and now they get a chance for redemption vs the TiCats here tonight at home . I know the public is all over the TiCats, because of the BCs horrible record ( 2-10 ATS) but travelling from East to West and playing in a different time zone is never easy. Plus the Lions have already proved they match up well vs this group of Hamilton players and must be respected in their ability to even pull off the SU upset. Note: CFL Home teams vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 29-12 SU L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with the ppg diff 0f +6.1 ppg clicking in on the scoreboard. Tiger-Cats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 Saturday games.Tiger-Cats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in AugustTiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in BC. Play on the BC Lions to cover |
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08-24-19 | Giants v. A's -138 | 10-5 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Oakland starter Chris Bassitt (9-5, 3.61 ERA, 112 SO)limited the Astros to three runs over six innings in a win last Saturday, continuing his strong run over the past month. The right-hander holds a 1.80 ERA over his past four starts and in his current form makes for a viable investment opportunity backing the As.Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter has struggled a bit of late and is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA in five lifetime starts in Oakland. With this being the Giants 8th straight road game, Im betting their gruelling schedule will effect them against a streaking squad with their eye on the post season. Giants are 10-22 in Bumgarners last 32 road starts.Giants are 2-5 in Bumgarners last 7 interleague starts.Giants are 1-7 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Bassitts last 4 home starts.Giants are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Oakland.Giants are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. OAKLAND is 37-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-24-19 | Red Sox -118 v. Padres | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Padres just look like their going through the motions right now as the season winds down. Tonight they will send a hurler in Lamet, that despite of being in decent form is still a little unstable after coming of Tommy John surgery. Here against a BoSox side that grind out at bats like no one else in the majors, Lamet could easily find himself tired and in trouble. Note: The Red Sox are averaging 6 rpg vs right handers like Lamet this season. Padres are 0-7 in Lamets last 7 home starts.Padres are 1-11 in Lamets last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.The Padres got blasted yesterday by the BoSox by an11-0 count. Note: SAN DIEGO is 3-16 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 3 seasons and is 1-7 against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more this season. SAN DIEGO is 3-18 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 40-16 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 10-1 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML |
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08-24-19 | Saints v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show | |
I know the Saints run and gun reputation proceeds them, but right now HC Payton just wants he key offensive weapons to stay healthy, and for the goal of improving the defence this season to be key here tonight. Meanwhile, the Jets remain a team dedicated to playing strong D, and here in week 3 against a explosive opponent Im expecting a conservative effort and a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Bowles is 13-5 UNDER in all games as the coach of NY JETS with average combined score of 34.6 ppg scored. Week 3-4 NFLX totals above the 40 point threshold have gone 91-62-3 UNDER for a 60% conversion rate since the 2004 season. NFLX team against the total (NY Jets/NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win are 67-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-24-19 | Saints -3 v. Jets | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Jets running back Le’Veon Bell won’t see action until the regular season. With QB Saints Drew Brees likely to see his only action prior to Week 1 kickoff the Saints have an edge over his young counterpart Sam Darnold . Note: Brees has averaged 22 snaps in Week 3 of the previous two pre-seasons. The Saints have covered 3 of their L/4 road games in the preseason and 6 of their L/8 preseason games overall and get the nod again. NEW ORLEANS is 21-6 ATS in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest . NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 39-11 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are 11-33 ATS L/10 seasons L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 8-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game are 40-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Saints |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL +7 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 915 h 11 m | Show | |
Both teams were of the top tier variety on the defensive side of the ball last season, with both ranking in the top-25 nationally for total defense. Im betting on more of the same this season, and for this particular battle to be won on the defensive side of the ball in the trenches. Look for Redshirt freshman QB Jarren Williams to do more than enough to get the Canes to the promised land and get us the cover. This is a huge instate non conference rivalry game that Im betting will be hard fought, thus making getting points a value investment option. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in August. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. ACC.Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. CFB road team vs. the money line (FLORIDA) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 3-23 SU L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate ( Average ppg differential clicks in at +12.5 ppg which makes this a strong ATS selection based on these above perimeters.) Miami Fl to cover |
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08-24-19 | Braves v. Mets OVER 8 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Wheeler the NY Mets starter is struggling mightily in his most recent two outings, where he allowed eight earned runs and an opponents’ batting average of .372 in only 10 innings pitched.With that said, Im betting on him continuing to be lit up as fatigue late in the season is rearing its ugly head. Meanwhile, Fried the Braves starter managed to complete five innings after nearly getting the hook during the first inning of Sunday's start against the Dodgers. The southpaw has seen opponents hit .271 against him in his last four starts. I do epect he will bounce back here this week, but that is his overall form, is downtrending , and he should also end up taking on some more damage from the Mets offence this week in what Im betting will br a high scoring affair. Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 road games.Over is 7-1-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. The Braves are 18-0 OVER L/18 on the road off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2.00 and an ERA of less than five, their opponent is less than .640 and they are not a 130-plus dog. Play OVER |
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08-24-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Saskatchewan | 18-40 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 58 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan is having a good season, winning 4 in a row and well Ottawa is not as they have now lost 6 of their L/7 overall. Tonight because of the direction and path both teams are on we get to bet into a recency bias line, that is bloated according to my power rankings charts. Despite the RedBlacks below .500 record at 3-6 Campbells troops are a hard working blue collar group that never say die and deserve my respect on a DD underdog line. Note: Ottawa has covered 14 of their L/19 as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. |
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08-23-19 | Angels +240 v. Astros | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The public loves Zach Greinke the Astros starting pitcher, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Halos matchup well vs the veteran hurler. With the Astros getting bitten by the injury bug of late, with shortstop Carlos Correa sidelined indefinitely with back discomfort and utility infielder Aledmys Diaz on the 10-day injured list the Astros are at a disadvantage. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Angels are 6-0 L/6 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest off a walk-off-loss as a dog. The Astros are 0-4 L/4 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a home 200-+ favorite after playing as a home chalk when their opponent's starting pitcher has same-season-revenge. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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08-23-19 | Bills v. Lions +1.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 38 m | Show | |
Buffalo enters this week 3 preseason tilt off a 27-14 win last week vs Carolina on the road but it must be noted that from a league wide trend in preseason ball this may not be a positive situation for them. Note: NFLX teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are just 11-31 ATS in the followup for go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. BUFFALO is also just 3-13 ATS after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game since 1993. The Bills also own a ugly 3-12 SU / ATS mark against NFC North foes in preseason action . Meanwhile, the Lions are a bankroll expanding 14-2 SU and 15-1 ATS for their backers vs AFC East opposition including a 9-1 SUATS record in this series) – including 10-0 ATS at home in Motown. Im expecting a letdown situation here for the Bills, while the Lions after losing their first two preseason games will be primed to get a victory in what they consider to be their dress rehearsal game for the regular season. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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08-23-19 | Nationals v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 9-3 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Today 12-14 mph winds blowing in at Wrigley made could make for a type of pitchers’ duel, and for a limited amount of offence, making this a value Totals selection to the under. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are 49-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 2 runs or less are 36-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-22-19 | Fever +10.5 v. Sparks | 65-98 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks will try to extend their home winning streak to 10 games on Thursday night against the Indiana Fever. However, Im betting it wont come so easily . LOS ANGELES is 9-21 ATS after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. This will be the Sparks 4th game in 8 days, and they are on just one days rest so a little bit of fatigue will factor into this game, which gives credence to an Indiana cover here . Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Indiana is 5-2 L/7 meetings in LA.WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LOS ANGELES) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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08-22-19 | Yankees v. A's +102 | 3-5 | Win | 102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark(7-8, 4.01 ERA, 124 SO) went too to toe with Justin Verlander and turned in six innings of two-run ball in a win over the Astros on Friday. He's posted a 2.55 ERA in three starts since joining the A's via trade and he gets my support here tonight vs Tanaka and the banged up Yanks. This is a momentum play, the As have won 8 of 9 meetings in this series here in Oakland over the last couple of seasons , and have won two straight here, and a third Im betting on tonight agenda vs a Yanks team that has lost 3 straight and looking fatigued and short handed. OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-1 against the money line in home games in August games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 29-15 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-22-19 | Jaguars v. Dolphins -2.5 | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami is expected to keep their starters in the game for alot longer than the Jaguars, which has me automatically leaning to the Dolphins in this preseason instate NFL battle. I know QB Josh Rosen after a rather ugly rookie campaign under a archaic offensive scheme in Arizona, may not inspire bettors, but he has some very athletic and speedy receivers he has been gifted with an a new ability to go down field more often. Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.Jaguars are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.Jaguars are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Jacksonville is 1-8-1 ATS vs. AFC East. Miami is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in preseason vs the Jags. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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08-22-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Braves starter Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.41 ERA, 107 SO) has limited the Marlins to three runs ( one earned) over 22 innings this year. He exited Friday's start against the Dodgers one out shy of what would have been his fourth straight seven-inning effort. Im expecting a stellar effort from him today vs a light hitting Miami side that has averaged just 3.4 rpg in offensive production on the road this season. Meanwhile, Marlins starting hurler Sandy Alcantara (4-11, 4.35 ERA, 101 SO)was excellent in a seven-inning start at Coors Field last Friday, giving up just two runs on three hits in Miami’s 3-0 loss. In August, he has a 3.20 ERA, and in his current form a hard guy to face for opposition batting orders. Under is 8-3 in Alcantaras last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Considering the pitching matcup here today, Im betting on these teams to convert on the UNDER for the 7th straight time here in Atlanta this season. MIAMI is 20-9 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.MIAMI is 21-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-22-19 | Giants +178 v. Cubs | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Giants starter Jeff Samardzija (9-9, 3.54 ERA, 119 SO)has been one of the best starters in the NL since July 1, posting a 2.09 ERA over his last nine starts and now gets my support here this afternoon in Chicago against the Cubs. SAMARDZIJA is 5-0 ( against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) The Giants are 5-0 on the ML when Jeff Samardzija starts as a underdog when they lost in his last start against their opponent.Giants are 7-0 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts. Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games with umpire Nauert behind home plate. .The Cubs won yesterday vs the Giants in a 12-11 shoutout, but those kinds of games in the followup have not been kind to the Cubs as they are are 1-7 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 38-24 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants ( Late Steam) |
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08-21-19 | Yankees v. A's -112 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ 10-7, (5.40 ERA, 101 SO) has given the Yankees at least five innings in each of his last four starts, though he has done so with a 6.23 ERA over that span. Meanwhile, As hurler Fiers has not lost a game since May 1 at Boston. Beginning with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7, Fiers is 9-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 18 starts and deserves our support here tonight at home on a value line. FIERS is 14-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is s 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) FIERS is 9-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Athletics are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Yankees are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Oakland. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 42-84 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-21-19 | Nationals v. Pirates OVER 9 | 11-1 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Musgrove In his last 11 starts, owns a 4.22 ERA in 59 2/3 innings and Im betting the Nationals sometimes explosive batting order will light him today. Meanwhile, Patrick Corbin despite of being a left hander, which Pittsburgh has struggled against this season, has not been very consistent on the road where he owns a 5.12 ERA in 13 road outings. CORBIN in his career is 20-8 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) with an average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Corbins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 20-6 in Pirates last 26 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 starts vs. National League East. PITTSBURGH is 27-8 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH in 33 games against left-handed starters this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-21-19 | Royals v. Orioles -103 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Royals LH Mike Montgomery (3-5, 4.63 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Aaron Brooks (2-7, 6.49) Montgomery, has pitched decently of late, but has a bloated 4.91 ERA in three appearances against the Orioles and from a power ranking pitcher vs batting order perspective does not matchup all that well against the Orioles batting order. His pitching opponent Brooks is fighting for a future rotation spot either here or somewhere else and after some bad efforts will primed to respond like a cornered animal. ( No disrespect intended) KANSAS CITY is 19-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. KANSAS CITY is 32-60 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Royals are 19-64 in their last 83 during game 3 of a series. Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 20-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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08-21-19 | White Sox +167 v. Twins | 4-0 | Win | 167 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito (13-6, 3.41 ERA, 182 SO) delivered a quality start against the Angels on Friday, fanning 11 in six innings of two-run ball. The right-hander has reached double-digit strikeouts in each of his last two outings and gets my support here this afternoon. The White Sox are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Lucas Giolito as a 150-plus road dog when he averaged more than 3.90 pitches per batter in his last start. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - after a win by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White sox to win on the ML ( Late Steam) |
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08-20-19 | Mercury +8.5 v. Aces | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Phoenix's recent win on got them back to .500 (13-13) as they rallied for a 78-72 victory over the New York Liberty on Sunday and now bring momentum into this game vs their hosts Las Vegas.Phoenix is in seventh in the league, one-half game better than Minnesota for the final playoff spot, and will play with desperation tonight making them viable underdogs.Phoenix won the only game between the teams thus far, 86-84 on May 3 and get my support to make this a competitive tilt as well. I know Las Vegas has been hot, but because of a recency bias attached to this side number we have value on the underdog. Note: LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 1-9 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. LAS VEGAS is 1-10 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. LAS VEGAS is 6-28 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% or better of their shots. PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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08-20-19 | Rockies +140 v. Diamondbacks | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Colorado has been playing a little better of late winning 4 of their L/5 and now they go against a pitcher in Young who has struggled in his past two starts, losing both and giving up a total of nine earned runs in 8 1/3 innings. Thats not a good omen for Arizona backers as the team is just 5-11 (against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies offence despite of being inconsistent this season are averaging 5.2 rpg vs LHP and offer us value here tonight vs this type of hurler. Meanwhile FREELAND the Rockies stater is 13-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and gets mys upport here on a value line. Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks. Rockies are 13-5 in Freelands last 18 starts vs. National League West.MLB team (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season is 37-20 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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08-20-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals +102 | 4-9 | Win | 102 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Cardinals starting pitcher Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.44 ERA) has done well against the Brewers. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against them this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances against them. I know his presence will not inspire bettors, but what inspires me is not Wacha but the team that surrounds him does . The Cards are a team that finds ways to win, behind usually solid pitching and limited offence. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Gonzalez has not been able to get his team to the promised land against light hitting sides like St.Louis as the following negative trend suggests.GONZALEZ is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is is 0-8 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 16-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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08-20-19 | Marlins +245 v. Braves | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Braves starter Keuchel is making his 12th start of the season. He has been inconsistent since signing with the Braves as a free agent in June, and despite of being off a quality effort last time out does not inspire me in this spot, and according to my power rankings vs batting orders he does not matchup well vs the Marlins. Note: Keuchel is 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season. KEUCHEL is 4-9 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-7 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, his Marlins pitching opponent Hernandez has had seven previous outings this season , two of them starts, against Atlanta, going 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA. He looked good in his most recent start against the Braves on Aug. 8 when he threw six scoreless innings and allowed two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. MLB team (ATLANTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 77-150 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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08-20-19 | Liberty +5 v. Fever | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Liberty are in a real funk and have lost 11 of their L/12 games, but this is a favorable matchup for them from a ats perspective , as Im betting this number is bloated according to my power rankings. The Fever were smashed 107-68 on the road by the Washington Mystics last time out, and after being KOd like that by a heavy weight its hard to bounce right back. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 6-25 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. INDIANA is 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 4-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -123 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Dakota (11-6, 3.82 ERA, 97 SO)Hudson put together one of his best starts of the season Wednesday, shutting out the Royals over six innings and enters this game vs the Brewers with momentum. HUDSON is 10-0 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Brewers light throwing starter Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA, 78 SO) will return from his two-week stint on the injured list to face the Cardinals. The Brewers thought he needed rest after he allowed 18 runs (17 earned) in three starts before going on the shelf. Truth is the guy throws beach balls, and if it were not for his savvy baseball intelligence and ability o pinpoint his stuff, he would be consistent cannon fodder. I respect Davies, but Im not a fan of his overall arsenal (or lack there of), and considering my power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the batting order he is fade material in this spot. ST LOUIS is 15-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. MIKE is 12-3 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ST LOUIS. MILWAUKEE is 9-18 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 130-71 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.550 to 1.650) -NL, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 53-97 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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08-19-19 | Padres +151 v. Reds | 3-2 | Win | 151 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Bauer, the Reds starter vs San Diego has garnered a 7.31 ERA in his L/3 starts . He now goes up against the Fathers for the first time this season. However his experiences vs the Padres have not been good ones as he is 0-3 with a bloated 6.28 ERA in three career starts against the Padres, with batters hitting .348 against him. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Lauer In three career starts against Cincinnati, is 1-1 along with a very stingy 1.93 ERA, and Reds batters are hitting at just a .219 vs him. Padres despite of being without rookie sensation Tatis, are value bets here tonight. Note:The Padres are 4-0 l/4 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they hit at least one home run which happened Sunday. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 102-151 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Padres ML |
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08-19-19 | Royals +123 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Win | 123 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
John Means(8-8, 3.76 ERA, 84 SO)After a decent mid season run, has now started to down trend and has lost his last three starts. He pitched 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, allowing six runs to the Yankees on Aug. 13 and is fade material here today vs the KC Royals. I know Lopez his pitching opponent from the Royals may not inspire bettors, but he has a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA in one career appearance versus Baltimore. Baltimore has now has lost 12 of its last 13 games and went 0-7 on a road trip where it also took on the Yankees and while KC is not much better they do matchup well vs the Orioles and my power rankings suggest we have value on this line, making this a green light selection on the Royals. The Orioles have been a 200+ underdog in 13 straight games and are now chalk for the first time in while. It must now be noted that the Orioles are 0-11L/11 on the ML as chalk after a tilt in which they struck out at least ten times which happened last time out. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.600 to 1.700) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 25-53 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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08-19-19 | Nationals v. Pirates +107 | 13-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
The Nationals have a shot at a play off spot and the Pirates are playing for pride and rosters spots next season. However, it must be noted that the Nats have really racked up alot of innings on their bullpen after some exciting high scoring weekend games, and after some very explosive offensive performances a regression of their out put must be expected as well as they themselves getting lit up because of the above mentioned work placed on their relievers. I know that was a long sentence, but it was a long weekend for the Nats, and a natural letdown scenario vs a non play off side, makes them susceptible in the first game of this series. Note: WASHINGTON is less than a break even venture on the ML going 48-51 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with their betting backers down more than 14.4 units. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Seahawks +3 v. Vikings | 19-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
This will be the 3rd straight season, these teams Minnesota and Seattle have faced each other.The Vikings barely edged out a 21-20 victory in their last pre-season encounter; and Im betting on another closely contested affair here in this NFLX tilt. Looking at the Seahawks, I like the way they have stacked this team with top tier athletes, with tremendous size especially on offence focusing a strong looking WR core , where I believe they will be improved. This will buoy QB Wilsons ability in the run heavy option and continue to make him a dangerous weapon. Im expecting big things from the Seahawks in the regular season, and a few flashes of brilliance here today in preseason action, making them my choice to cover this number and stay competitive on the road . SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS in road lined games since 1993 and is 32-16 ATS as an underdog since 1993.
NFLX Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-18-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -102 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts. SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Twins v. Rangers -128 | 6-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording 32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a 9-1 record along with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins. TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season. The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Wings +11 v. Sun | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Rookie star Arike Ogunbowale leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer. Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think. CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997. CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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08-18-19 | Dodgers +115 v. Braves | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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08-18-19 | Indians -127 v. Yankees | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger, has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a perfect 6-0 record along with a stingy 2.39 ERA in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase. Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts. Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran CC Sabathia who was 0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder. Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Twins v. Rangers +145 | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Twins starter Berrios (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts against Texas. He lost his only start at Globe Life Park last season when he allowed five runs on three hits, all of them home runs, in four innings of a 7-4 loss and is fade material here in this spot according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: BERRIOS is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 3-10 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 11-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-23 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -116 | 11-6 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Giants will start a rookie hurler (L.Webb) in his first ever outing in the big leagues. Im betting despite of his top tier designation as a prospect ,that being here in a unfriendly environment on the road will not serve him well in his debut. Giants are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win. The Giants are 0-10 on the ML when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a home chalk in which they held the lead.( The DBacks lost 10-9 last night) ARIZONA is 26-11 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Montreal +6 v. Calgary | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Montreal after 3 straight victories is off two hard fought losses one in OT, and one that was only played into the third quarter before being cancelled because of a vicious storm. Two unfortunate events that will have them hungry to compete here tonight, in Calgary. With Calgary off a heart breaking loss to Winnipeg last week 26-24, in a gruelling affair I wont be surprised if the Stamps suffer a let down scenario, and come out here on the slow side, and fail to cover this spread. MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons. CFL Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, after the first month of the season are 21-9 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a 5 point per game margin differential. Play on the Montreal Als to cover |
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08-17-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -125 | 15-14 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA, 99 SO) is on a run mirroring the roll he went on in 2018 to help lead the Braves to a division title. Sanchez has won his last seven decisions and has a 2.93 ERA over his last 14 starts. Im betting he buoys a Nats team that has won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall to another win vs Brewers here in this spot. I know his pitching opponent from the Brewers Lyles has pitched well since his trade from the Pirates , but prior to that trade , he registered a nasty 9.57 ERA in his final nine starts and could easily get nailed her vs a side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings. Nationals are 10-4 in Sanchezs last 14 starts. rewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Cardinals v. Reds +108 | 1-6 | Win | 108 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA, 101 SO)After a consistent start to the second half, Mikolas regressed on Sunday against the Pirates, allowing five runs on seven hits in five innings. He struggled with command which is not a good omen as he exasperates fthe same problems he exhibited earlier this season. I know the Cards are playing well, and the pitching staff has looked strong, but ST LOUIS is just 1-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Cardinals are 0-6 in Mikolas' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The Cards crushed the Reds yesterday, 13-4, but in the past that kind of output has not been kind in their followup game, as they have gone 10-20 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons while scoring an average of just 3.5 rpg over that 30 game sample size. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is 11-3 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season with margin out put of 5.0 to 2.9. ST LOUIS is 7-18 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-34 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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08-17-19 | Mariners +150 v. Blue Jays | 4-3 | Win | 150 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Jays starter Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA, 110 SO) is coming off one of his best starts of the season, where he held the Yankees to just one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton's biggest problem in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 on the ML with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start. Meanwhile,Reggie McClain (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 SO)The 26-year-old rookie has risen from Class A ball to the big leagues this season and now gets his first MLB start, as the Mariners will go with a bullpen game. McClain is a converted starter who has pitched 3 games in relief since being called up and according to scouts deserves a mlb start. Blue Jays are 3-9 in Thorntons last 12 starts on astroturf. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 91-47 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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08-16-19 | Liberty v. Wings UNDER 153 | 77-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Liberty are on a 6 game losing streak, and what stands out during their current negative run is their inability to score with consistency, only once scoring more than 79 points. Meanwhile, Dallas during this entire season, has had problems putting points on the board, averaging just 70.3 ppg, behind the leagues slowest pace, and D ppg allowed ranking 2nd in the league ( 74.9 ppg). Look for this two converging trends of play to see a game that is much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. I know the Wings have had two consecutive decent offensive efforts, the last against a stunned Sparks team, but now a reversion to the mean is my prediction and a total that stays on the low side of the number. Under is 3-1-1 in Liberty last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 16-4-1 in Wings last 21 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Friday games.Under is 8-3-2 in Wings last 13 home games.Under is 18-7-2 in Wings last 27 overall.Under is 11-5-2 in Wings last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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08-16-19 | Storm +8.5 v. Sun | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Connecticut Sun look to retain the inside track on a bye to the semifinal round of the playoffs Friday night when they host the reigning WNBA champion Seattle Storm. However, I don't believe the sledding will be easy, for a Sun side that is still getting acclimated to being at home after a exhausting 4 game road trip that including 3 straight games out west. I know the visiting Storm were smashed by the Mystics last time out, but after that embarrassment Im betting this proud championship team will be out looking for redemption and will be prepared to play a strong game. Note: Storm are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Sun are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Sun are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Friday games.Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Sun are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sun are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-16-19 | Bears v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 13-32 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Bears look like they are going to try to stay healthy for the regular season by not playing their key starters during the preseason. With the Bears offensive depth a concerns and their defensive depth looking strong I expect conservative game plans offensively and top tier defensive efforts in a competitive environment which will limit their output and limit the opponents output. Meanwhile, Giants backup QB Daniel Jones despite of scoring on his first set of downs in last weeks preseason , might have Giants pundits dreaming of replacing Manning, but all reports out of camp suggest Jones despite of having no problems going deep, still lacks in his short term and intermediate game, which makes him susceptible tonight vs a explosive Bears D. Everything points to a lower scoring affair here tonight according to my projections. key injuries to WRs also have been taken into consideration: Golden Tate (suspension) and Sterling Shepard (fractured thumb) and Corey Coleman (torn ACL) is out for the season. NFL Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (NY GIANTS) - off a upset win as an underdog, with a winning record in the preseason. are 34-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-16-19 | Dodgers +108 v. Braves | 8-3 | Win | 108 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda(8-8, 4.12 ERA, 128 SO) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, when he scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a win over the D-backs last Saturday. Maeda struck out six batters and didn't issue a walk for the first time in four starts. The right handed hurler is looking confident and deserves my backing here tonight on the road vs the Braves. MAEDA is 2-0 in two outings when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.825. I know Soroka the Braves rookie hurler has looked tremendous this season, but according to my power rankings the Dodgers batting order matches up well against him. ATLANTA is 9-21 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 44-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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08-16-19 | Padres +117 v. Phillies | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Phillies will send right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30 ERA).Velasquez opened the season in the rotation before moving to the bullpen. He returned in June and is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA in nine starts since then. He has pitched more than 5 2/3 innings just once in that stretch and is fade material here tonight vs the under rated San Diego Padres. Meanwhile,San Diego will send 23-year-old Chris Paddack to the hill. Paddack is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and owns a devastating changeup that pitchers have been laying off on lately, but that good prove fatal as strike zone efficiency could easily increase here down the stretch for Paddock. PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and 9-28 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. SAN DIEGO is 22-14 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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08-15-19 | Astros v. A's +109 | 6-7 | Win | 109 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Oakland has an edge here tonight with top tier starter Mike Fiers (11-3, 3.30 ERA). Fiers will take the mound Thursday riding a 17-start unbeaten streak. He has gone 9-0 with a 2.12 ERA in that run. He goes against Astros starter Aaron Sanchez (5-14, 5.60 ERA allowing 74 hits in 60.1 innings ) and never inspires me, making the As my choice in this spot play. Athletics are 7-2 in Fiers' last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Fiers, own a very solid home ERA of 2.54 this season, including a 1.66 ERA since the first of May. Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. This has been a fairly grueling road trip with a couple of marathons so far for the Astros and Im sure fatigue is taking its toll in them. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 21-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win on the ML |
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08-15-19 | BC v. Winnipeg UNDER 52.5 | 16-32 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
BC played their hearts out last time out, and still found a way to lose, 35-34 to Hamilton, and now will be in a complete letdown scenario against a Winnipeg team that is allowing just 16.7 ppg at home this season. Prior to scoring 34 points last week the Lions scored, 18,6,25,18 and now revert back into that range here which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 UNDER in August games over the last 3 seasons. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, good offensive team - scoring 29 or more points/game are 62-28 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-15-19 | Packers +4 v. Ravens | 13-26 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Packers Coach Matt LaFleur told reporters yesterday that Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the starters on both sides of the ball would play for a decent portion of the game, which has me leaning towards the Packers here in Baltimore tonight. I know the Ravens are on a 15-preseason game win streak, but all good and bad things must eventually come to end. However , more importantly we are getting points here and a game I have pegged to be very competitive, which according to my projections makes for a viable investment opportunity. NFL team (GREEN BAY) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 23-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-15-19 | Mets v. Braves -120 | 10-8 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Atlanta's starter Teheran has recorded a quality start in five of his past seven outings and has the ability to keep his team in all matchups especially here at home. Note: Teheran has been pitching at a high level for most of the season, but he has been especially tough on opposition batting orders in his last seven starts -- all in July and August. During that run, he is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA.In his latest trip to the hill this past Friday, Teheran gave up one run and struck out seven in seven innings in an 8-4 vcitory at Miami., his pitching opponent, Stroman In two starts since joining the Mets from the Jays, has a bloated 6.10 ERA. He is a quality hurler, but could easily get picked apart by one of baseballs most consistent offences. I know the Mets have been hot, but I still strongly believe they are over rated, especially offensively, and are also being over valued by the public thanks to the media , who has failed to recognize that much of their current hot run has come against losing teams. Note: Mets are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record. METS are 8-22 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Mets are 0-21 on the ML as a dog after they had 12+ hits and were not a 150-plus dog and it is not a series opener. Mets are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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08-15-19 | Eagles v. Jaguars UNDER 35 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
QB Nick Foles is not expected to play for the Jaguars this week, and QB Carson Wentz is also not expected to see action for the Eagles. Last season the Jaguars scored and allowed fewer points in Weeks 2 and 3 than in their opener last preseason. After losing 29-0 to Baltimore last week, Im expecting a staunch defensive effort , but their offence as the big zero showed last week , is definitely a project that needs honing. Meanwhile, Philadelphia lost 27-10 to the Tennessee Titans in Week 1, and as their output indicates they suffered in their attempts at vertical football and Im also betting their offence will suffer again this week. PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER L/22 preseason games after a loss by 10 or more points with a combined average of 32.7 ppg scored in those 22 tilts. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - after playing their last game on the road are 114-65 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders are 129-80 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-14-19 | Storm v. Mystics -9.5 | 59-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Seattle swept Washington in the 2018 championship series and won this season's first meeting 74-71 on the road June 14. However, the Mystics (17-7) finally got some amount of revenge with a 99-79 win at Seattle on Aug. 2 and will be ready to send another message to the Storm here tonight. Storm are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Mystics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mystics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more are 27-1 SU winning by an average of 12.7 ppg. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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08-14-19 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Hamels the Cubs starter is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 19 starts this season. He strained an oblique in late June and missed more than a month. Hamels struggled a bit in his last start , but now should be getting the rust off and ready to go deeper and be fresher.In the southpaws seven previous starts, he was phenomenal , producing a minuscule 1.07 ERA.HAMELS is 18-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Meanwhile, the Phillies will hand the ball Wednesday to right-hander Aaron Nola (10-3, 3.67 ERA). NOLA is 9-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. The Cubs have gone under 13 straight games as a road dog off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher with the average combined sore of 4.9 rpg scored with no one game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. Play UNDER |
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08-14-19 | Red Sox v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Bieber beat the Red Sox on May 29 despite getting smacked around for six runs on eight hits, three of which were home runs, in a sub par five innings. He's 2-1 with an 8.44 ERA in three games (two starts) lifetime versus Boston and Im betting he gets lit up here today by a now desperate Boston Red Sox teams that needs wins badly. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter Johnson will make his fourth straight start for Boston, having been crunched for three runs in 2 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels his last time out. He's pitched more than three innings once in nine appearances this season and once again looks like cannon fodder in this spot. Over is 9-2 in Johnsons last 11 starts overallOver is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 20-7 in Red Sox last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Indians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-2 in Indians last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 12-3-3 in the last 18 meetings. Over is 5-1 in umpire Barretts last 6 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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08-13-19 | Dodgers v. Marlins +1.5 | 15-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers travelled from the West Coast to the East coast yesterday, and after a gruelling overall schedule should show some jet lag here tonight in Miami and be at a disadvantage. It must be noted that over the L/5 seasons , teams travelling from west coast or mountain west and than playing in the visitors role in Miami have not been a very bad bet going just 3-15 (SU/ML). |
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08-13-19 | Cubs -120 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana(10-7, 4.23 ERA, 110 SO)Qu beat the A's on Wednesday at home behind seven strong innings. He struck out seven, walked none and allowed one run on two hits. The Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven starts. Quintana is 6-0 with a 3.67 ERA in that span and gets the nod here today vs their hosts the Philadelphia Phillies. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. PHILADELPHIA is 7-23 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-12-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -110 | 8-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Merrill Kelly (7-12, 4.52 ERA, 104 SO) After allowing seven runs in each of his previous two starts, allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits over six innings in a 7-3 loss to the Phillies at Chase Field and in his current form is fade material entering this tilt vs the Colorado Rockies. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Kellys last 7 starts. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 34-15 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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08-12-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -105 | 4-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
This young and talented Toronto team continues to be undervalued and tonight we have more the same value . The Blue Jays are 23 games below .500 but are 20-20 over their past 40 games. Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto. TEXAS is 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLV as a whole is 0-18 on the ML L/18 in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog in which their starter pitched at least eight innings. The Rangers qualify under these perimeters. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 94-150 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the ML |
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08-12-19 | Reds v. Nationals UNDER 10.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani( 7-6, 4.20 ERA, 120 SO) has faced the Nationals seven times over his career, with four of them starts. He's 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA, nine walks and 21 strikeouts over 29 innings against them. Meanwhile, Nats starter Erick Fedde (2-2, 4.20 ERA, 32 SO)is coming off his best start of the season and one of the best in his young career: six shutout innings with a pair of strikeouts against the Giants on Monday. This will be his third start filling in for Max Scherzer in the Nats' rotation. According to my pitcher vs batting order projections these two pitchers should be able to go fairly deep and limit offensive output vs their respective opposition. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. CINCINNATI in 24 games on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.5 this season have seen a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 74 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-11-19 | Phillies v. Giants -101 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Arrieta's has bone Spurs and his ailing elbow makes it difficult to know when to pull him from a game. Thats a dangerous recipe for disaster, and I wont be surprised if he had an unhappy ending to this game here in SF tonight.The veteran has now gone six straight starts without a win, recording a 0-2 record and 4.34 ERA. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. KAPLER is 9-24 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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08-11-19 | Sky v. Sparks -6 | 81-84 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing very good basketball at the moment, with the Sky having won 7 of their L/8 games, while the Sparks have also won 7 of their L/8. But home court advantage Im betting will be the difference makers and after playing a grueling competitive game in Las Vegas a couple of days ago the Sky will not be as fresh as they need to be vs a LA team on a 5 game home winning streak that plays their best in Southern California. LA has won the L/4 meetings in this series dating back to last season and they get the nod again this Sunday. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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08-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 105 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
RYU the Dodgers starter is 17-2 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Dodgers 5.2 Opp 1.9 ...3.3 rpg average deficit diff. RYU is 18-2 SU in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff of 3.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Mike Leake(9-8, 4.24 ERA, 103 SO) pitched around a lot of traffic on the bases in his D-backs debut. He allowed 11 hits and walked one in 5 1/3 innings and to me looks like cannon fodder vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order making this a viable runline wagering opportunity. Dodgers are 7-0 in Ryus last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are 0-17 SU a road dog of more than 160 off a loss as a underdog in which they never led and it is not a series opener losing by an average of 2.78 rpg. The Dodgers are 28-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 200+ chalk after they won and never trailed winning by an average of 4.4 rpg. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the -1.5 RL |
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08-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Leake gave up 11 hits and three runs (two earned) while receiving no-decision in his Arizona debut, an 8-4 victory over Philadelphia on Tuesday, but he dealt with alot of traffic in that game, and now today Im betting he feels the brunt of the Dodgers offensive attack in this spot, which will help this score get over the set total. I know Ryu the dodgers lefty hurler is in top form, but Im betting the dbacks do just enough damage to get us over the set total. Note: ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER in road games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 10 (LA DODGERS) - after shutting out a division rival, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 36-13 OVER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |