Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-24-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -177 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and have the edge here vs a side that just cant find a way to get any kind of momentum going. Blue Jays have the edge. TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons.( Orioles starter Dean Kremer -RHP-0-6, 6.20 ERA,) BALTIMORE is 0-12 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. The Orioles are 0-19 L/19 on the road. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 57-117 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays |
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06-24-21 | A's -137 v. Rangers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
The Athletics are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a road favorite.BASSITT is 13-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 17-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Rangers starter,ALLARD is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.95 and a WHIP of 1.896. The Rangers found a way to get by the AS yesterday but are just 0-5 L/5 after a win. Athletics are 53-25 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Athletics are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Texas. Play on Oakland to win |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Since the play offs began the Atlanta Hawks successes have been based on precise high opportunity shooting chances, and tough physical defensive hoops and nothing will change today vs their host the Milwaukee Bucks. This Im betting helps keep the flow of this game at a slower pace than the lines-makers are expecting. Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 home games Budenholzer is 23-9 UNDER in home games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 35-19 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +132 | 2-3 | Win | 132 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Islanders were smashed last time out, and did not look like themselves. This Islanders team is usually very disciplined, but that went out the window in game 5. Now here back home at the Nassau Coliseum Im betting on the Islanders being hell bent on redemption and of course not being eliminated will see them at their best . I respect HC Barry Trotz ability to have his team ready to compete and notch a victory. NY ISLANDERS are 15-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 ATS in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.Islanders are 37-18 in their last 55 home games. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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06-23-21 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 168 | 87-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Reeve is 25-12 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival as the coach of MINNESOTA. ( HC complained that the team had lost focus). Back to D and basics here in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 64-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-23-21 | Nationals v. Phillies -104 | 13-12 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)The Phillies are also 9-0 on the ML L/9 since Jul 30, 2017 when Vince Velasquez starts at home after he had a WHIP of at least 2.00 in his last start. Nationals starter Fede has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs Phillies. Nationals are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 13-1 against the money line in home games in day games this season. Play on Phillies to win |
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06-23-21 | White Sox -156 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP5-3, 3.99 ERA, 89 SO( has been in good form on the hill this season, plus he adds a live bat to the lineup in inter-leauge action as he went 3 for 3 last time he went against a NL team the the Reds. PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.
The Pirates are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a dog after they scored first and then trailed before coming back to win last game. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 15-38 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-23-21 | White Sox v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Considering how both pitching staffs and bullpens are operating of late, my projections see a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 32-15-4 in Pirates last 51 during game 2 of a series. Over is 11-4 in White Sox last 15 games as a road favorite.Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. LARUSSA is 10-0 OVER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games in all games he has managed - dating back to 1996 with the average combined score of 11.6 rpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -164 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Seattle starter FLEXEN is 8-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is also 7-1 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 4-18 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. I know the White Sox have used up alot of innings with their bullpen staff of late, but COLORADO is 4-19 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - AL team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less ) against a terrible NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.650 or worse ), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-7 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mariners to win |
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06-22-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has allowed 29 runs in their L/4 gamers, after losing to the lowly Arizona Dbacks last night. Im betting that Arizona does more damage tonight, and for the Brewers to also do some of their own in a tilt I have projected to go over this total. Note: The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Freddy Peralta starts on the road after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 13.7 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. COUNSELL is 36-22 OVER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 as the manager of MILWAUKEE with an average of 10.4 rpg scored. Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 games following a win. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 during game 2 of a series. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The recipe for Montreals success vs Vegas has been their ability to play very physical defensive hockey that is backed up by top tier goalie Price. More of this trap style of hockey Im betting will once again give an edge to a low scoring affair.
MONTREAL is 10-3 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5 or less (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5 | 103-104 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
The Suns enter into game 2 of this series vs the Clippers off a win in game 1 for their 8th straight play off victory. I know the Clippers have found a way to win without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup but Im betting it will finally start to effect them as early as tonight. PHOENIX is 16-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-22-21 | Astros -174 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 62-18 against the opening money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. Baltimores starter LOPEZ owns a ugly 8.23 ERA in his L/3 starts and is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 23.18 and a WHIP of 3.863. BALTIMORE is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 35-16 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -124 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Padres starting hurler Yu Darvish(RHP6-2, 2.57 ERA, 97 SO)The Padres won 11 of Darvish's first 12 starts this season, but they've now lost two straight. Still, Darvish was mostly sharp in those two outings. He's allowed just 59 hits while striking out 97 across 84 innings this season and my support here in what will be a motivated start for the ace of the staff.
The Padres are 8-0 on the ML when Yu Darvish starts as a favorite after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Padres are 20-6 in their last 26 home games. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 17-35 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on San Diego to win |
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06-21-21 | Brewers -114 v. Diamondbacks | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Fading the Dbacks has been a lucrative endeavor.Arizona has lost 13 straight and the momentum of their ugly run must be an option to back on this cheap of a line. Arizona has allowed 8.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Note: Brewers starter Anderson is a southpaw hurler , ARIZONA is 3-15 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they scored at least six runs last game. ( Milwaukee scored 7 runs yesterday in a win) Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Todays starting pitchers Anderson and Kelley according to projections are good for a combined 9 + runs. Which makes this a high probability over investment option. Over is 15-5-3 in Brewers last 23 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Arizona is allowing 8.3 rpg in their L/7 overall with a combined average score of 12.7 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games a home underdog.The Diamondbacks are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Its become obvious to me that the Hawks matchup well vs the Sixers and according to my projections this is just to many points here for me not grab the underdog line value. From historical standpoint the 76ers have never won a series when they were down 3-2 (0-14) which was the case last time out, with the Sixers leaving everything on the floor in a 5 point victory that could have gone either way. With that said, I would also not be surprised to see the young Hawks grab this series outright with a win, but more importantly taking the points is a solid option. Key:Young must own this game which Im betting he is capable of. He has been explosive offensively averaging of 30.3 points and 11.0 assists in this series. Interesting anomaly shows the Hawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants -121 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Eflin has pitched fewer than six innings in two of his last three starts and in his current form a good hurler to fade. The Phillies won yesterday 13-6 but now a regression factor comes into play favoring the sf Giants. The Giants are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they did not score after the third inning last game. PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 against the money line after scoring 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Play on Giants to win |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Clippers are off a exhausting 7 game series vs the Jazz last time out, and the Suns may be a little rusty after an extended lay off after disposing of the defending champion LA Lakers . Considering these parameters Im betting on a fairly grinding lack of flow from game 1 in afternoon action. Under is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 30-14 in Clippers last 44 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 105-44 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/PHOENIX) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-20-21 | Red Sox -116 v. Royals | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
KCs starter MINOR is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 4-11 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Royals are 6-for-67 with runners in scoring position in their last eight games, and they've lost seven of them, including Saturday's 7-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox, in which the Royals were 0-for-11 with RISP. (Fade Material)
The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. Play on Red Sox to win |
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06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -105 | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Austin Gomber( LHP-6-5, 3.54 ERA, 75 SO)Remember when the going wisdom was curveballs were not good at Coors Field? Well, according to MLB Quality of Pitch, Gomber's knuckle curve ranks in the top four percent in MLB in overall quality.Colorados starter GOMBER is 8-1 against the money line as an opening line underdog of +100 to +150 in his career.
The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. COLORADO is 23-10 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 15-6 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-15 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Rockies have won 5 straight and the Brewers have lost 5 straight. Both are currently headed in opposite directions. This is a momentum play. Take the Rockies to win |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -1.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not played all that well on the road this season which is evident by their 16-25 ATS record as visitors, and are just 5-16 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and 4-14 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Nash is 12-1 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BROOKLYN. I know Kyrie Irving is not expected to play tonight for the Nets, but they are deep enough to adjust to that loss, and will be ready to compete tonight at home vs a Bucks franchise that is 0-7 in game 7s in their NBA lifetime. Note:HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLLWL:Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WWLLWL irrespective of site order (Brooklyn) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2021 and NBA Preliminary rounds: 22-6 SU Game 7 record. Play on Brooklyn to win |
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06-19-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +115 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Isles were down in their first two series 2-1 and came back to win their series 4-2. In game 2 they lost 2-1 but outhsot and outplayed the Bolts in the final half of the game, and are more than capable of pulling off a win here at the Nassau Coliseum as dogs.Islanders are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home underdog.Islanders are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Islanders are 25-10 in their last 35 home games. Note:In three games in this series, New York has a 6.89-5.09 advantage in terms of expected goals. Play on the NY Islanders |
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06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Astros hurler Valdez has been in top form of late, but the White Sox generally dominate southpaw pitchers as is evident by a 6.5 rpg offensive output . Meanwhile, Lance Lyn in his L/2 starts vs the Astros have seen the Pale Hose score 8 and 12 runs respectively . HOUSTON is 8-1 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season. HOUSTON is 24-9 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. HOUSTON is 15-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The White Sox are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Over is 18-7-3 in White Sox last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the OVER |
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06-19-21 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP-7-2, 3.43 ERA, 91 SO) has allowed four runs or fewer in each of his past 25 starts over the past two years and Im betting on the run continuing today vs the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-7 UNDER L/7 when Domingo German starts in an afternoon game. NY YANKEES are 18-9 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 home games OAKLAND is 19-7 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Under is 18-7-3 in Athletics last 28 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1-1 in Athletics last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-18-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Clippers | 119-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
With Kawhi Leonard on the sidelines again tonight Im betting on the Jazz finding a way to extend this series with a take no prisoners effort here and take this to a game 7. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 as a favorite after they won by 5+ runs last game. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-1 OVER off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons Giants starter CUETO is 11-1 OVER in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board. CUETO is 1-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.284 in 13 games. SAN FRANCISCO is 23-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Phillies starter Velasquez. with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the score board. ( Velasquez owns a 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts) MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-18-21 | Dodgers -184 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Bauer had a great start to his campaign and is obviously a top tier pitcher, that has looked average of late. But this is a great opportunity to get back into early season form vs a struggling side in Arizona. ARIZONA is 2-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. ARIZONA is 3-22 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. ARIZONA is 1-15 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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06-18-21 | Twins -155 v. Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Twins starter Jose Berrios ( RHP-7-2, 3.49 ERA, 81 SO) In his last outing, José Berríos went seven innings and limited the Astros to two runs on five hits. Berríos was the winning pitcher in five of his last eight outings. He has pitched seven or more innings three times in that span and now still in top form entering this tilt gets my support on a moderate chalk line. The Twins are 20-0 L/20 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a road favorite in which they won by 5+ runs. TEXAS is 9-28 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 8-33 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 163-110 L/24 seasons for. a60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 Atlanta took game 5 by a 109-106 score in Philadelphia thanks to being able to slow the Sixers down defensively after going down early. Playing some physical hardcore D will continue to be the Hawks recipe for success vs a Sixers side that is streaky offensively. With that said, D, will also be the focus of the visitors in this big game, and Im betting will result in a tight lower scoring affair. Rivers is 38-21 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 197.8 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ATLANTA is 15-1 UNDER L/16 when attempting to close out a playoff series with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 24-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 185.6 ppg scored. Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 42-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 104-99 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The 76ers held a 26-point lead at home against the Atlanta Hawks in game 5 and took a 18 point lead into the fourth quarter. But however, in miraculous fashion the Hawks scored 40 points in the final quarter to complete one of the biggest playoff comebacks in league history.In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947, road teams down 22 points as late as after two quarters had a game record of only 0-19 (.000). Now with huge momentum on their sides Im betting Atlanta has the edge vs a deflated 76ers group that have shown themselves to be less than brilliant on the road this season as is evident by their 19-19 ATS record. ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS in home games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team ( 14.5 or less TO's) after 42+ games are 102-30 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons here at home in Georgia. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-18-21 | Cardinals +135 v. Braves | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Cards starter Martínez was sharp in his last start (two unearned runs over seven frames) and owns a 3.90 ERA in 11 games (four starts) against Atlanta. MARTINEZ is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.240. ATLANTA is 7-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. ST LOUIS is 18-2 against the money line after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cards to win |
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06-17-21 | Brewers -148 v. Rockies | 3-7 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Milwaukee starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP-5-2, 1.52 ERA, 97 SO) 1.52 ERA and 0.72 WHIP is the best of the Brewers' three aces. He's coming off seven efficient innings last Friday against the Pirates, in which he threw 98 pitches. Im b etting on a rinse and repeat performance here in Coors today. Brewers stater WOODRUFF is 23-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts coming off a start where he got at least seven runs of support. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brewers to win |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -5.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home where they own a 30-10 SU record with an average 8.1 ppg diff, and tonight Im betting they come out here in a desperation mode and play a start to finish all out energy game . With no tomorrow if they lose you can bet we get the best out of the Bucks tonight vs a Nets side that 21-19 SU on the road this season. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.4 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game are 169-56 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4 ppg. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-17-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | 2-10 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R) Both these starters have been reliable of late, and Im betting on them to continue their strong efforts and when needed these strong bullpens will be there to bail them out. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 UNDER vs. struggling speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 42-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-17-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +120 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams are more evenly matched than the lines-makers may suggest to the public with their line offerings. I know the defending champion Bolts know how to win, but the Islanders are very tough to play against in the Nassau County Coliseum, and they have the edge here.
NY ISLANDERS are 6-1 (against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +150 this season.NY ISLANDERS are 8-2 against the money line against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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06-17-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +109 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Yankees starter Michael King(RHP0-3, 3.77 ERA, 28 SO) In three starts since taking the injured Corey Kluber's place in the rotation, has pitched to a 6.35 ERA with two losses, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) in 11 1/3 innings. Im betting the mighty Blue Jays offense tees off here and brings home the W. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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06-17-21 | Orioles v. Indians -120 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The Orioles are 0-18 L/18 on the road and at this price Ill just continue to ride the curse of the Birds. Remember there is no such thing as due for a win.CLEVELAND is 31-9 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Indians to win |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
Pivotal game 5 goes tonight in Utah. Each team has won both their home games, and tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to continue. Advantage. Utah. Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. UTAH is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 15-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. UTAH is 5-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons at home . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas is running hot offensively scoring 18 goals in their L/4 play off games. If the Habs have any chance of making this a series they are going to have to open up a bit . Hey I know Price and Fleury are top tier goalies, but when the action gets quicker and more aggressive even the best of goaltenders in this league look very mortal. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Vegas. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 playoff games as a favorite NHL team against the total (VEGAS /MONTREAL) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Rangers v. Astros -215 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 32-8 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) The Astros are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after their opponent left 18+ men on base individually last game. TEXAS is 5-28 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (HOUSTON) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team is 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Houston to win |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -6 | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after exploding out of the gate last time out to take a commanding DD lead, in game 4, feel asleep at the proverbial wheel and ended up losing SU. It was an embarrassing result, that Im sure will have this 76ers crew ready to bounce back with a vengeance and keep the pedal to metal until the final whistle goes off which makes laying points a viable betting option. Note: Sixers star Joel Embiid, went 0 for 12 in the 2nd half, and despite of a light injury to his knee is good to go, and ready to shine up his big ego here tonight in a game his team needs badly to get their mojo back.PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with the ppg differential clicking in at +11 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season. ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.3 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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06-16-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh ha allowed 36 runs in their L/6 games ( 6.00 rpg) and Im betting the bleeding won end today. I know the Nationals offence is sometimes inconsistent but they matchup well here vs the Pirates pitching staff. Also its obvious that the Bucks dont do alot of scoring and or HR hitting but, it must be noted that MARTINEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 12.1. rpg scored. The Nationals are 11-0 OVER past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Padres v. Rockies +178 | 7-8 | Win | 178 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 0-6 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 3-8 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 0-7 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 when lefty Kyle Freeland starts at home in an afternoon game. Padres are 21-50 in their last 71 road games vs. a left-handed starter. COLORADO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 12-31 L/24 seasons for a 72/% go against conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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06-16-21 | Switzerland +1 v. Italy | 0-3 | Loss | -150 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Im betting Switzerland will spend a great deal of this tilt in a strong defensive stance that has displayed 3-4-1-2 formation with key contributors Ricardo Rodriguez and Kevin Mbabu leading the way. This will see a fluid Swiss team attack in transition, and give the Italian D some issues. Both sides can score , but I like the Swiss D, to be the difference maker on the spread. Thus getting a goal here is my choice selection of todays Euro action. Play on Switzerland to cover +1 |
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06-16-21 | Tigers +132 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 132 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Tigers start Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.35 ERA, 74 SO)is unbeaten in his last three starts after racking up 25 strikeouts in 17 innings against the White Sox and Yankees. His slider has become an increasingly effective swing-and-miss pitch, coupled with more consistent command of his fastball. He brings great momentum and top tier form into this matchup and gets my support to help the Tigers get the W here today vs a KC side that has lost 10 of their L/11 games overall. KANSAS CITY is 0-15 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to win |
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06-15-21 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Eflin is searching for his first win has gone 0-4 in his last five start and despite of some brilliance has been generally sub par lately and susceptible to be smacked around by a powerful Dodger batting order and could easily contribute to the Dodgers eclipsing this total all by themselves. Note: EFLIN is 17-4 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LA Dodgers starter URIAS is 7-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record) as he continues to get run support . URIAS is 16-1 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Dodgers are 10-0-1 OVER when Julio Urias starts after a quality start in his last start with a combined average of 12.27 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Angels v. A's -122 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
As starter Frankie Montas ( RHP 6-6, 4.37 ERA, 73 SO ) took a tough-luck loss against the Royals his last time out, looking unhittable through six innings before an unlucky sequence in the seventh that led to three runs scored. Im betting he continues his current trend of top tier efforts and that this time will result in a W. Angels starter HEANEY is 3-15 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 12-0 against the money line in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 23-9 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Play on the As to win |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5- No Irving or Harden in the lineup for the Nets has this Totals number taking a dive that is in my betting opinion over done by both the lines-makers and the market. Yes these games have been lower than the expected as compared to the totals offerings but with the current number according to projections being transiently low a high probability edge for an over wagering opportunity cashing looks promising in my humble betting opinion. With Milwaukee off two straight wins, Im betting they look to take advantage of this Nets injury situation with an aggressive approach which result in the pace here being favorable for an over wager to cash. Milwaukee is 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 93-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bolts now down 1-0 in this series will come out here all guns blazing and eventually Im betting they will drag the Islanders out of their defensive shell and that will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect. ' TAMPA BAY is 22-8 OVER L/30 when trailing in a playoff series . Over is 5-0-1 in Islanders last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS/TB ) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Orioles v. Indians -170 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Orioles starter Matt Harvey( RHP3-7, 7.41 ERA, 47 SO) owns a ugly 11.79 ERA in his L/7 starts , with six of them registered as losses. Note: The Orioles are 0-16 L/16 on the road and continue to be fade material here today vs the Indians. CLEVELAND is 8-0 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 29-9 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons Play on the Indians to win |
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06-15-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -118 | 6-5 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Hyun Jin RyuLHP ( 5-4, 3.34 ERA, 62 SO) hasn't been quite as sharp recently, but he is close to getting back to his ace form and looked great against the Yankees earlier this season, allowing just one unearned run over 6 2/3 innings on April 13. With upward momentum ready to peak he is a prime candidate to get the under rated and explosive Blue Jays into the win column tonight vs a Yankees team that has lost 7 of their L/9. RYU is 48-16 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 41-14 against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOONE is 17-36 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight game are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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06-15-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Nats starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-5, 6.21 ERA, 48 SO) and Pirates starting hurler Tyler Anderson(LHP3-6, 4.52 ERA, 61 SO) have in general terms been very hittable throwers. PITTSBURGH is 44-23 OVER against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board. ANDERSON is 14-2 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.7 rpg. The Nationals are 10-0 OVER L/10 past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined 14.5 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Germany v. France | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Germany's record since September in international play 6-5-2 (W-D-L) including being blasted by Spain by a 6-0 count. This young team, despite of being talented has yet to click, and here vs a versatile championship French side could easily find the action to be to much on them as this tilt goes deeper . Bottom line: France is far more talented at this juncture and deserve respect here. Play on France to win |
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06-14-21 | Twins v. Mariners OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Mariners starter GONZALES is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 11.58 and a WHIP of 2.251 and according to my pitcher vbs batting order power rankings matches up badly here vs the Twins batting order. Meanwhile Twins Manaea has totaled a season-high 111 pitches in each of his last two starts and despite of being strong in those starts fatigue could easily rare its ugly head in this tilt. The Mariners are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 at home off a road game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent. MINNESOTA is 19-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MINNESOTA is 22-11 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings in this series overall. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz looked defensively lazy last time out, and were starting to rely on their offensive explosiveness to just run over opponents. The last game in this series that saw the Jazz get blasted was a wake up call for them, and now Im expecting a more defensive minded effort and also for the Clippers to regress offensively which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair as compared to the offered total. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 8-2-1 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-2-2 in Clippers last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. .LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 UNDER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 32-15 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 191.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 102-44 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. These teams have not gone over the total in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Habs star goalie Carey Price enters this semifinals series leading all playoff net-minders with a .935 save percentage and will be key here for a Montreal side that plays a strong defensive system behind strong physical play. This Im betting will help them keep the Knights from exploding offensively here in game 1, and aid in this game staying under the total. Note: Vegas goalies Fleury and Lehner won the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals allowed in the regular season. In the playoffs, Fleury has registered a .923 GAA and will not be an easy roll over for the Habs limited attack strategy. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Rays -107 v. White Sox | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
TB starter GLASNOW is 22-7 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) White Sox success rate vs righties has not been great as is evident by averaging just 4.4 rpg which is a detriment vs a Rays side that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season. TAMPA BAY is 7-0 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. The Rays are 12-0 L/12 as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers. TAMPA BAY is 13-2 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - after sweeping a 3 game series at home against a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 34-12 L/ 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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06-14-21 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Royals starter Keller owns a ugly 7.20 ERA in 6 home starts this season. Meanwhile, Boyd the Tigers starter owns a equally nasty 5.47 ERA in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 9-0 OVER L/9 when Matthew Boyd starts when their opponent is on a 3+ losing streak with a combined average of 13.8 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 15-5 OVER in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 97-44 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Three-time NBA champion Danny Green sustained a strained right calf during Philadelphia's 127-111 win over Atlanta on Friday and will now Im betting have problems adjusting without him and being as fluid. Im also betting on the streaky Trae Young to find his form after a couple crap shooting games in a row. Advantage Atlanta. PHILADELPHIA is 9-27 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 14-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons . ATLANTA is 20-8 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
it has become obvious to me the Suns are the superior side in this matchup which we see via the 3-0 strangle hold they have in this series that resulted in 3 DD victories. These Suns have morphed into a cohesive machine, with a killer instinct and I cant see them taking their proverbial feet of the pedal as they go for a sweep of the Nuggets. PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season.PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games DENVER is 9-19 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 74-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 24-8 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg game. Play on the Suns to win |
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06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Suns behind the 26th ranked pace, Im betting will precisely attack this game like they have every play off game to date, with patience and precision. They have Denver on the verge of elimination, and now without panic will methodically continue to play a top tier brand of defence, and take high %shot opportunities. This type of approach is a must here in the high altitudes of the Mile High city and this Im betting translates in a lower combined score than the offered total. DENVER is 20-9 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Denver in their L/78 home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more have seen a combined average of 192.2 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 100-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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06-13-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -120 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Zach Davies(RHP3-3, 4.45 ERA, 37 SO) logged six shutout innings to beat the Padres on the road on Tuesday, ending with four strikeouts, two walks and one hit allowed. The righty has a 2.16 ERA in his last eight turns, including five shutout frames in St. Louis on May 23. Considering his form and momentum he is a good bet tonight to help the Cubs into the win column. DAVIES is 16-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cubs are 10-0 on the ML past the first game of a series when the opposing starting pitcher has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season by an average of 4.4 rpg. (Martinez the Cards pitcher owns a ugly looking 6.21 ERA) Cubs are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-13-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodger stater Walker Buehler(RHP5-0, 2.56 ERA, 72 SO) is unbeaten in his last 21 starts, tying Clayton Kershaw and Julio Urías for the longest streak since the team moved to Los Angeles. Buehler's last loss came on Sept. 21, 2019, against the Rockies. Rinse and repeat .
MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors. Dodgers to win |
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06-13-21 | Royals v. A's -189 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP6-2, 3.44 ERA, 86 SO) Dating back to the start of the 2020 season, Bassitt is 11-4 with a 2.94 ERA in 24 starts. He has walked just one batter in each of his last four outings. He deserves our support here even with the extra lumber being layed. The Athletics are 14-0 L/14 when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 14-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 10-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home, and just like they did in game 3 will try to produce another strong defensive effort as they try to take the flow away from the explosive Nets. Im betting their physicality will help them to another victory. Budenholzer is 34-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight in Wisconsin against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. The home team has won the L/6 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-100 ATS L/24 seasons for. ago against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 11-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 76% to cover. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers success and failure is predicated on playing to tier defensive hoops, that is ranked 4th in ppg D and a precise mind set that is evident by a 28th ranked pace. Tonight Im betting that type of basketball will be on full display as they desperately need to win this game to avoid going down 3-0 in this series. Also betting on Rudy Gobert to continue his top tier defensive play and for the Jazz to show their ability to also play strong D wull be on full display. With that said, I expect we see a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. UTAH is 32-14 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 190.1 ppg. Snyder is 105-84 UNDER off a home win as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1-2 in Clippers last 10 Conference Semifinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-12-21 | Astros -105 v. Twins | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Astros starter Luis Garcia(RHP5-3, 2.75 ERA, 68 SO) has been moving upward with effective momentum all season, but now that success is showing up in the win column. After an 0-3 start through his first seven games, he's won each of his past five. He has just two homers allowed in his past 29 innings and gets my support here todays vs a Twins side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings. The Twins are 0-10 L/10 on the ML in the second game of a series after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. MINNESOTA is 9-20 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MINNESOTA is 1-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Twins are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League West. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts with a combined average of 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Astros to win |
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06-12-21 | White Sox -165 v. Tigers | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Dylan Cease(RHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 78 SO) absolutely dominates the Tigers. He has a 7-0 record with a 1.91 ERA over seven career starts against Detroit, striking out 47 over 42 1/3 innings. Cease has 14 scoreless innings in two wins over the Tigers this season. Rinse and repeat . Note: Tigers starter : URENA is 2-19 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-12-21 | Angels -112 v. Diamondbacks | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Halos starter Alex Cobb(RHP4-2, 4.24 ERA, 49 SO) has pitched well over his last four starts, garnering a stingy 2.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 24 innings and in his current form deserves respect here vs a struggling Dbacks side that has lost 8 straight games.ARIZONA is 2-21 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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06-12-21 | Mariners v. Indians -114 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Indians stater McKenzie has already made two starts in the Majors since his demotion to Triple-A, but this time, he'll look to stay with the big league team for good. Two starts ago, he tossed five scoreless innings before fanning 10 batters in his next outing and with experience Im betting will continue to improve.
The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a home favorite off a home game in which Jose Ramirez had multiple hits. Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) (AL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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06-12-21 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 8-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Angels have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs right handers like Smith and they could almost all by themselves eclipse this number. The Diamondbacks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. ARIZONA is 17-4 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 10-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -1.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
Its never easy for visiting teams like the Suns to play in the high altitudes of the Mile High City and tonight vs a desperate and extremely motivated Nuggets team that will become evident. DENVER is 14-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 32-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are just 9-26 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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06-11-21 | Royals v. A's -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
As starter Cole Irvin(LHP4-7, 3.89 ERA, 50 SO) bounced back from what had been a rough stretch , by tossing six innings of one-run ball in a win over the Rockies his last time out and now with momentum gets my support here vs the Royals. The Royals are 0-15 L/15 on the ML as a road dog off a 5+ run road win. OAKLAND is 36-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.OAKLAND is 35-11 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season. Play on the As to win |
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06-11-21 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 11-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting he shuts the Pirates down here this evening. Note: Pittsburgh has average just 2 rpg in their L/4 overall. Meanwhile, the Brewers have allowed more than 2 runs just twice in their L/6 games. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. The Brewers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start. Under is 20-7 in Pirates last 27 during game 1 of a series. Play on the UNDER |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This Total offers value as my own simplified pace and shooting statistics algorithm chart indicates. The 76ers shot 54.9 % FG in game one and 52.9% in game 2. Atlanta shot over 51% in game 1 but fell to just over 45% in game 2. Ny projections estimate the Hawks will shoot above or around their season average here at home of around 48% while the Sixers will regress to the high 40s as well or better , which translates in a combined score that breaches this total. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | White Sox -155 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.33 ERA, 68 SO) pitched well vs the White sox the last time they met, but now after scanning him, Im betting they have an edge against a left handed fast ball hurler. Meanwhile, White Sox starter GIOLITO is 7-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 30-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-11-21 | Giants v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
We have two quality hurlers to start this game, but my power rankings suggest the both offenses matchup well against these pitchers. Note: Giants starter ANTHONY DESCLAFANI owns a 9.45 road ERA this season. SCHERZER is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.144 WHIP. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games as a road underdog. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Play OVER |
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06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Clippers behind the 28th ranked pace and 4th ranked ppg defense in the NBA will continue to disrupt the flow of the explosive Utah Jazz in a game I have pegged to be physical and to stay under the the offered total. LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 218.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-0-2 in Clippers last 9 Conference Semifinals games. UTAH is 49-21 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less with a combined average of 190.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH is 32-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of just 189.3 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Avalanche +127 v. Golden Knights | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Colorado is in desperation do or die mode and Im betting we see them at their very best in this game and avoid elimination. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (VEGAS) - after a 3 game unbeaten streak, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are just 10-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on the Colorado Avs to win |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these top tier teams have alot of fire power and big name stars in the lineup but this series Im betting will continue to be more physical than anticipated . Remember this is not a international competition and or an all star game, its NBA post season action which has a tendency of producing alot more battles on the inside, which can make a game have alot less flow and thus less points going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 125.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 17-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 83-86 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Brooklyn took the first two games of this series, but the Bucks now in desperation mode and playing at home will come out here with all guns blazing. With the Nets Harden expected to miss this tilt Im betting the edge resides with the Bucks. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bucks have won 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series in Milwaukee. MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 16-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 60-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to win |
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06-10-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -109 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts in the last game of a three-game series when they lost the first two games. RODRIGUEZ is 22-6 ) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 19-32 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons Road teams (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 29-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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06-10-21 | Dodgers -209 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP8-2, 3.48 ERA, 80 SO) bounced back well following his worst start of the season with five innings of one-run ball against the Braves on Friday. Since the beginning of May, the left-hander has struck out 48 and walked five over seven starts and gets my support here in this spot. The Dodgers are 27-0 L27 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game. PITTSBURGH is 3-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PITTSBURGH is 6-27 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. LA DODGERS is 8-0 against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons. Play on the LA dodgers to win |
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06-10-21 | Brewers -111 v. Reds | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Freddy Peralta(RHP6-1, 2.25 ERA, 92 SO) came within five outs of a no-hitter last Friday against the D-backs before Nick Ahmed hit a slider below the zone for a single. Peralta's last two starts: 14 1/3 innings, five hits, two runs. Rinse and repeat here and we will back Peralta. Reds starter CASTILLO is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a home dog after they had a comeback win last game. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 against the money line in road games in day games this season MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), playing on Thursday are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-09-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Angels starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-4, 5.82 ERA, 50 SO) is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners, allowing four runs over 3 1/3 innings. He has an 8.74 ERA over his last three starts and in his current form could contribute this total being eclipsed all by himself. The Angels are 11-0-2 OVER L/13 when Griffin Canning starts after they lost in his last start. A ANGELS are 12-4 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver behind the 27th ranked pace and No.8 ppg offense operates at a precise speed behind precision shooting but Im betting they will be forced to speed up their play against a Phoenix side that they do not matchup well against overall. The Suns put 122 points on the board in the opening game of this series, and after watching that tilt, I feel strongly the Nuggets will have to go on the attack more aggressively vs a explosive offensive side that ranks 7th in the NBA in ppg offense that can and will will fire back with some consistent offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that will Im betting easily eclipse this total.Note: 6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Arizona. DENVER is 11-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 239.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg going on the board.PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg going on the. board.PHOENIX is 16-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 229.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 277-178 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-09-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -143 | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
White Sox starter right-hander Lance Lynn is 6-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a .150 opponents average over his past seven starts. Lynn has 36 strikeouts in his last 39 innings of work and deserves respect here on the M L. LYNN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 8-16 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The White Sox are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after their opponent scored first last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 against the money line vs. a struggling bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the White sox to win |
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06-09-21 | Diamondbacks v. A's -210 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
As starter Sean Manaea( LHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 70 SO) pitched a masterpiece in his last time out, throwing a shutout with eight strikeouts against the Mariners. In his last four starts, Manaea owns a 1.69 ERA with 25 strikeouts to seven walks and my support here on a big chalk line. MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ARIZONA is 2-19 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (OAKLAND) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on Oakland to win |
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06-09-21 | Giants -104 v. Rangers | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
I know Gibson the ace of the Giants pitching staff takes to the hill today, but the way the Rangers bats have shown inconsistency this season, Im fading them here as run support could easily lead to SF finding a way to win in this spot play. GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.000. The Rangers are 0-10 SL/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.TEXAS is 1-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 0-9 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Play on SF Giants to win |
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06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 220.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Utah was able to run over the Memphis Grizzlies in their first round series, but Im betting their offensive flow will not be as fluid here vs a LA Clippers team that can ramp things up defensively . Im betting on hardcore action on the inside to be key for the Clippers and for a very physical series to manifest itself in game 1 of their competition vs a explosive Utah side that they know they must handle with kid gloves. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 20-5-2 in Clippers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 182.6 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/LAC /UTAH) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 40-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Salt Lake City. Play UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Diamondbacks +193 v. A's | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt RHP5-2, 3.53 ERA, 80 SOis coming off his shortest start of the season, going just four innings against the Mariners in his last outing and looks vulnerable entering this tilt vs a side the As maybe overlooking. ARIZONA is 8-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 11-0 L/11 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. ARIZONA is 26-9 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win |
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06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -135 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Jays southpaw Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA, 69 SO) has pitched well this season, but hes going against a Pale Hose offense that rips apart left handed pitching averaging 6.8 rpg. Advantage White Sox. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-08-21 | Mariners v. Tigers -125 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 19-70 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Tigers to win ( LATE STEAM) |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 102-118 | Win | 101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Game 1 in this series was a high octane affair thanks to the Sixers slow start and that saw them try to catch up furiously by chasing a DD deficit . Im now looking for the experienced Sixers who key to success is top tier D, to come out here with a more physical game plan, that will center on taking the young Hawks out of a steady flow. This will result in a lower scoring affair than the Totals offering might indicate. Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 playoff games as an underdog. ATLANTA is 9-0 L/9 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 182.9 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 23-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 184.1 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 L/52 UNDER in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average score of 212.2 ppg scored. Under is 13-4 in 76ers last 17 games following a ATS loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Tuesday nights are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Under is 7-0 in 76ers last 7 Tuesday games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Brewers v. Reds -132 | 5-1 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Brewers starter HOUSER is 7-16 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). Reds starter GRAY is 19-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 19-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 0-9 L/9 off a win as a favorite in which they scored 3 runs or less. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on the Reds to win |
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06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Aaron Nola (RHP4-4, 3.84 ERA, 78 SO) became the ninth pitcher in Phillies history to record 1,000 strikeouts. He is the third Phils pitcher to reach 1,000 before turning 28 . He continues to be a consistent hurler for the Phillies and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Braves.NOLA is 17-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, Drew Smyly (LHP 2-3, 5.98 ERA, 43 SO) will make his second start against the Phillies, and despite of some inconsistent numbers could easily The Braves are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog after they did not give up a walk last game . Play on the UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes +107 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is and has been a hard fought series, and Im betting on the Canes finding a way to get the win here. CAROLINA is 9-0 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Carolina to win |
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06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -116 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Padres starter Ryan Weathers(LHP2-2, 2.06 ERA, 29 SO) suffered through his roughest outing as a big leaguer against the Cubs on Tuesday, allowing four runs over five innings. Still, he's been one of the most effective rookies in the sport, and he's allowed four runs, total, in four starts at home and now Im betting he bounces back in a big wauy here at home in Petco where he loves to pitch. The Padres are 7-0 L/7 on the ML as a favorite when they lost the last two games their starter started. The Cubs are 0-7 L/7 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a road dog after they had a comeback win last game. CHICAGO CUBS are 22-40 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Padres to win |