Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-09-18 | Princeton v. Harvard -1.5 | 51-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Harvard has revenge on board for 3 straight losses to Princeton last season and will now be primed for payback. With the Crimson currently rounding into top form and playing their best hoops of the season, (5-1 L/6) it will be an easy decision to lay the short lumber and take them here at home in this spot. Note: The Crimson has come alive from beyond the 3-point line, making 38 triples over the last three games while shooting 48.7 percent making them dangerous in their current form. Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Crimson are 17-6-2 ATS in their last 25 vs. Ivy League.Harvard was a stellar 6-1 at home in Ivy play last season, and outscored its opponents over the 14-game stretch by nearly eight points per game. HARVARD is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts . PRINCETON is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. Play on Harvard to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Santa Clara +16.5 v. BYU | 58-80 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
BYU is off an emotional loss to Gonzaga last time out, in a hard fought tilt that saw them lose for the 3rd time in 4 outings, and will now enter this game in a let down situation and be susceptible to a down effort vs a opponent that they will look at as inferior. BYU clobbered San Clara 80-54 earlier this season on Jan 13th and now the visitor will be playing with revenge and very focused on giving out a better effort in the rematch. With that said, lets take the points.
Santa Clara and BYU are sixth and seventh, respectively, in 3-pointers per game. The Broncos average 8.0 per game and the Cougars 6.8. SANTA CLARA is 8-0 ATS L/8 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last few seasons. SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game.SANTA CLARA is 20-6 ATS L/26 in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.SANTA CLARA is 11-2 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival .BYU is 6-16 ATS L/22 after a game where they covered the spread. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SANTA CLARA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Santa Clara to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 221 | 103-121 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks visit a tired looking Golden State Warriors team on Thursday night that has lost 3 of their L/4 overall. The last time the Mavs came to town the Warriors took a 112-97 win and I'm expecting a similar output tonight. Note: Dallas has gone under in 7 of their L/8 while, the Dubs have gone under in 3 straight tilts. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER L/10 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 15-7 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 21-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 19-7 UNDER L/26 after 3 or more consecutive unders dating back to last season with the combined average score of 215.3 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or better) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 27-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent free throw shooting team - making 80% or more of their free throws, in February games are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Hornets v. Blazers OVER 213 | 103-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland as the season has progressed has reverted back to their old run and gun style of play and has improved its offensive production now ranking 15th in the NBA in offensive rating (105.2). The Blazers' defense has also gotten progressively worse and after being in the top 10 for a long time and are now ranked 11th at 104.9. ppg. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 18th in points allowed, and 14th in offense, with a combined average of 212.8 ppg scored. (106.4 ppg in both categories). From matchup perspective and a projections system I have used for 14 years, I'm expecting both sides to play a faster paced game then usual, and for the this combined score to eclipse the number. My projection has both sides scoring more than 105 points each- Note: PORTLAND is 20-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board.CHARLOTTE is 49-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 226.4 ppg clicking in on the board. PORTLAND is 12-2 OVER L/14 after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg being registered. Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons HC Stotts is 8-0 OVER L/8 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored.
Play OVER |
|||||||
02-08-18 | St. Mary's v. Loyola Marymount +12 | 83-62 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
LMU took down BYU last Thursday on the Bluff, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs might St.Mary's here tonight. In the season’s first matchup with the Gaels, SMC shot 62 percent (31-for-50) against the Lions and 62.5 percent (10-for-16) from three, the best shooting percentages for any LMU opponent this season. I'm betting the Gaels won't come near those numbers again. Since that ugly low point, eight of LMU’s conference games have been decided by seven points or fewer, including seven of the last eight games and five straight. My own power rankings and system to system ranking suggest we have value with the home pup. Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Loyola Marymount to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Southern Illinois v. Illinois State +2 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Southern Illinois and Illinois State are both playing some of their best basketball of the season entering this tilt, with Southern Illinois on a 5 game win streak, while the Red Birds are 3-0 L/3.During Illinois State head coach Dam Muller's tenure, the Redbirds have a 44-22 record over the last 12 games of the regular season, including a 4-2 mark this season. His ability to make his teams better as the season progresses, is a testament to his top teir coaching abilities, and his side is the choice tonight on their own home court behind his big time group of three leading scorers of Yarbrough, Keyshawn Evans , and Fayne . These athletes are a one of the best trios in the country as they average 15 points per game. Illinois State has covered 19 of the L/25 meetings in this series and when they own a .520 or better record like they do now they are a perfect 11-0 ATS. S ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS L/7 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ILLINOIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are just 13-37 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors. Play on Illinois State to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Celtics v. Wizards -1.5 | 110-104 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards despite of not having All-Star John Wall in the lineup conjured up a five-game winning streak before abruptly having it end in their last trip to the hardwood. The victorious run included wins vs Oklahoma City and Toronto. Meanwhile, their opponents the Boston Celtics also had their , four game win streak ended when they were beaten up on by Toronto last time out 111-91 thud. Now these teams will both be looking to get back on track. Both according to my power rankings are pretty evenly matched, with home court advantage being the difference maker and their ability to outduel their opponents via top tier ball movement and balanced scoring . WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last few seasons. Washington has won 5 of the L/7 meetings at home in this series SU. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more are 8-54 SU L/21 seasons for a87% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Youngstown State +10.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | 75-100 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The Flames won the last meeting between the schools, 92-78, at the Beeghly Center on Jan. 18, and now Youngstown State will be out looking for revenge and more importantly a top tier effort. I know Illinois Chicago is on a big time run right now , after a slow start to their campaign, but from a power rankings perspective and projections based on tonight's starting lineups we have value on this line with the underdog. The last time these schools played at the UIC Pavilion, the Flames came away with an 84-81 victory in 2017. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 27-13 ATS off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals . CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 71-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Youngstown State to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 213 | 88-113 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game having lost four games in a row and seven of their last nine and are obviously in bad form, and to make matters worse they have to play without a key offensive cog because of an injury to Porzingis and also to guard Ron Baker (right shoulder surgery) and center Enes Kanter (oral surgery). If Tim Hardaway Jr. plays for NYK he has been fairly unproductive and rusty and won't help their offensive cause much. This will of course effect the Knicks offensive flow tonight vs one of the leagues top teams the Toronto Raptors , which in turn will effect the total combined score of this tilt in downward fashion. The Knicks know they have to find a way to slow this game down and make it physical, and that's what I'm betting they will do which will aid us in cashing an under bet here. The Four most recent meetings in this series have all not eclipsed this Total. Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 overall.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic. TORONTO is 16-7 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. TORONTO is 8-1 UNDER after a division game this season with a combined average of 198.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors . Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Hawks v. Magic +2 | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Orlando is play very good basketball at the moment, winning 3 of their L/4 games and are off beating the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out.Since a 130-113 defeat at Washington, the Magic are at .500 ( 5-5) in their last 10 games. Four of the losses during that run are by single digits and four victories came against teams with above.500 records Meanwhile. Atlanta has also won 2 straight, but my own power rankings suggest the Magic have the edge on their own home court. With that said, I am recommending we take the points in this spot. Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 53-96 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Orlando to cover |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Marist v. St. Peter's UNDER 133 | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
My own number ( total ) on this game is closer to 127.5 thus giving us value on a under wager in this spot. St.Peters in their 5 most recent games have not scored more than 60 points with their average offensive output during that time clicking in at 58 ppg. St.Peter's sets a deliberate pace, and once again will dictate the speed of this game, which I'm betting will be slow and grinding. ST PETERS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average of 123.8 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 59-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 128.3 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 25-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-08-18 | Bryant +17.5 v. Wagner | 76-96 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Bryant has used 16 different starting lineup combinations this season, which is the most nationally entering the week. The Bulldogs have started 12 different players this season, with only Ikkenna Ndugba and Adam Grant starting in at least two-thirds of Bryant's 25 games and are thus hard to scout and prepare for by most teams including Wagner. From a matchup perspective the linesmakers have gotten carried away here with this number, and we have good value taking the points in this spot. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (BRYANT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bryant to cover |
|||||||
02-07-18 | UNLV v. Nevada UNDER 163.5 | 86-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
UNLV is coming in to this tilt vs instate rival Nevada off a heartbreaking overtime loss at Boise State (93-91) on Saturday and will be in a letdown spot at the worst possible time. This situation I'm betting will see the Rebels offensive production curtailed and effect their offensive flow which in effect will slow this game down a bit for both sides, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt then the lines-makers expect. UNLV is 41-22 UNDER L/63 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts.UNLV is 18-5 UNDER L/23 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games with a combined average score of 144.7 ppg scored. UNLV in their L/14 road games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 152.4 ppg go on the board. NEVADA in their L/7 i home games in February games over the last few seasons have seen a combined average score of 152.4 ppg scored. NEVADA in their L/24 as a home favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 155 ppg. NEVADA in their L/9 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 or more free throws/game have seen a combined average of 156.6 ppg go on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (NEVADA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (UNLV) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 171-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-07-18 | CS-Northridge +14.5 v. Cal-Irvine | 56-77 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
UC Irvine Anteaters' took a 71-54 victory over the Matadors on Jan. 13, but this time around I expect UC Northridge will be much more competitive as their coach Theus is a top tier technical guy who has the ability to make adjustments . CS-NORTHRIDGE is 34-12 ATS L/46 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. HC Theus is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games over the last few seasons. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 15-6 ATS L/21 in road games against conference opponents. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UC-IRVINE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 61-100 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on CS Northridge to cover |
|||||||
02-07-18 | Wolves v. Cavs +4 | 138-140 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
It's official the lines-makers have finally thrown in the towel on the Cleveland Cavaliers after the Cavs completely embarrassed themselves in a 116-88 loss to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. Absolutely pitiful is the best two words I can use to describe that effort . It truly sickening to watch a talented team like this implode, which seems to be the case as HC Tyronn Lue can't seem to stomach watching this calamity unfold, and has left the last two games at some point because of undisclosed illness. Despite of that last nasty effort, I'm still grasping on to my power rankings that suggest we have a live home dog here with what still must be considered a championship calibre team. With pride on the line, and revenge on board for a Cleveland's loss to the Wolves on Jan. 8, in Minnesota via a ugly 127-99 beating I'm actually going to recommend we take the points here. I know this is a contrarian viewpoint, but my convictions about this team, are still at least for now solid . With the Cavs showcasing a 19-7 SU record at home this season, I'm betting they dig deep here in play an inspired game in front of their fans , and get us the cover. QUOTE: "Just got to keep pushing," said LeBron James, who scored only 10 points the last time the Cavs played Minnesota. "Stay positive, keep pushing. Try to get better. That's where it's at for me. We've got another opportunity tomorrow playing against a very good team that beat us up pretty good in Minnesota before. We look forward to the challenge. We've got to come out with the right game plan, we've got to come out with a sense of urgency and we've got to play the game the right way and try to sustain some good basketball for 48 minutes." END QUOTE: Minnesota has lost 4 of their L/7 overall, and is 7-17 ATS L/24 in road games in non-conference games .Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. are 33-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover |
|||||||
02-07-18 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +7.5 | 92-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
These two teams the Jazz and Grizzlies are currently playing at the opposite ends of the proverbial performance spectrum of late, with Utah on a 6 game win streak while the Grizzlies are on 4 game losing streak. Despite of the their current discrepancies , their is value backing the home dog on what is a slightly bloated number. I know the Grizzlies played last night, but they did not exert much energy, in a lifeless loss to Atlanta, and recently have shown resiliency and good conditioning as they are 4-0 ATS L/4 back to backs, and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 7-2-1 ATS L/10 at home overall. Meanwhile the Jazz are Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. This ticket is not based on which side is better at the moment, but is based on the mathematics associated with spread betting, and according to my numbers and power rankings we have value taking points. Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. NBA teams like (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in February games are just 40-77 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
|||||||
02-07-18 | Rockets v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
The Rockets are off a win in Brooklyn last night by a 123-113 count and now prepare to visit the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at AmericanAirlines Arena . The Rockets now on tired legs just won't have as much energy to run and gun as they usually do . Add to that they will play a very physical defensive side, lead by Hassan Whiteside, that are well equipped to slow the Rockets down. With that said, I won't be surprised if the visitors produce below their season offensive average in this spot. On the flipside, the Heat ranked 28th in pace and 5th in defensive efficiency, and off a couple of dubious lackluster defensive performances, will be primed to bounce back and play solid D, in a building where they have held 3 of their L/4 opponents to 91 point or less. Houston must also not be underestimated in their ability to play solid D, as they have held 5 of their L/10 opponents to 99 or less points and rank 9th in the league in defensive rating. The above combinations bode well for this score staying on the low side of the Total. Note: Miami in 7 of their L/15 overall have seen them and their opponents fail to eclipse the 99 point plateau in a game. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings between these teams here in Miami have remained on the low side of the number. Under is 10-2 in Rockets last 12 overall.Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 road games.Under is 35-15-2 in Rockets last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-11 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-07-18 | Virginia -3 v. Florida State | 59-55 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Virginia is proving it is one of the front runners for the national championship this season behind a defense that is ranked No.1 and allowing just 53 ppg. Meanwhile, their hosts the Florida State Seminoles, after a fast start to their season, have slowed considerably and are just 5-5 in their L/10 games for a .500 record during that period. As far as todays matchup is concerned it must be noted that Virginia lost Florida State at home last season by a 60-58 count , and will be primed to exact revenge for that defeat in this spot. With Virginia well rested I expect they will deliver some payback. HC Tony Bennett is a perfect 11-0 L/11 in his career with 3 or more days rest seeking revenge. VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS L/8 in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games. Play on Virginia to cover |
|||||||
02-07-18 | Samford +10.5 v. Wofford | 79-92 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Samford will be meeting Wofford tonight in a key SoCon tilt. The Terriers barley got by the Bulldogs earlier this season, 93-89, in a battle at the Pete Hanna Center in Birmingham, Alabama, on Jan. 18. Samford despite of not performing all that well this season, do matchup well vs Wofford according to my cross reference player to player and system to systems analysis and are viable underdogs in this spot. Samford HC Padgett is 16-5 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). WOFFORD is 1-7 ATS L/8 after 2 consecutive conference games this season.SAMFORD is 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Samford to cover |
|||||||
02-06-18 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Hawks | 82-108 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Both the Memphis Grizzlies and their hosts the Atlanta Hawks have been highly inconsistent this season, with neither probably inspiring many bettors to back them. But in a game involving two bottom feeders, one side the ( Grizzlies) are the lesser of two evils according to my power rankings and head to head matchup analysis. When these teams played on Dec. 15. the Grizzlies defeated the Hawks 96-94 in Memphis , and once again look like a viable side to back in this spot. ATLANTA is 1-13 ATS L/14 in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread dating back to last season. Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
|||||||
02-06-18 | Bucks v. Knicks +1.5 | 103-89 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game frustrated and embarrassed after blowing what looked like a sure win last time out, as they gave up a 5 point lead with under 2 min lefts and lost to Atlanta . Now completely dejected and with nothing to lose, I expect a all out effort from a side looking to get some pride back. Key Trend: Knicks are 5-0 ATS l/5 after a loss. QUOTE: "I can't even process that we lost," Knicks leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis told reporters after the game. "I can't believe it. It was our game. It was 100 percent our game. Stuff happened quick, and boom, it was over. ... We're just not there yet as a team. We keep losing these games." END QUOTE: I know the Knicks don't inspire many bettors, but considering their current mood, and the fact they actually matchup well vs the Bucks actually makes them decent options in this spot. Note: When these teams played last week the Bucks squeaked out a 92-90 vs the Knicks at home , but now with this game now in NYC could get easily get hi jacked in MSG in the rematch tonight. ( The Knicks are outrebounding Bucks this season, 44.4 to 39.0, and the Bucks rank 19th in the NBA in points per game (104.7) and 11th in points allowed (104.9). The Knicks are right behind the Bucks in both categories ranking 20th in points per game (104.1) and 13th in points allowed at 105.5. Milwaukee has a SRS of - 0.28 vs NYK -1.69 . Bucks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Underdog is 7-2 ATS L/9 meetings and Bucks have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 visits to NY to play the Knicks. Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo left last game, is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs New York ( Foot ) but is still operating at less than 100% tonight. NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS L/20 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 18-30 ATS L/48 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 105 points or more are 55-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
02-06-18 | Akron +5 v. Ohio | 75-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Ohio enters the contest with a 9-13 SU overall record and 2-8 in MAC play and are struggling mightily after having lost 4 straight . Ohio is 7-5 (1-4 MAC) at home and once again according to my power rankings are being over rated here on this home chalk line vs a Akron side that matches up well against them despite of their experience levels . Meanwhile, Akron is on a 3 game losing streak, but it must be noted that since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of top teams in the country when it comes to bouncing back off a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 97-39 SU (.713) following a loss. During this strong run, Akron has only posted 30 losing streaks with 18 of those at just two games and 22 have consisted of two or more games on the road (road/neutral site). UA has not lost more than four-straight games in over 10 years and this trend I'm betting will not easily end tonight, making getting points golden in my humble opinion. The Zips have won 10 of the last 14 meetings, and three of the last five meetings at the Convocation Center and won the first meetings of the season between these two teams back on Jan 23 71-68 as 1 point chalk. OHIO U is 4-12 ATS L/16 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS on Tuesday nights this season. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Akron to cover |
|||||||
02-06-18 | Northern Illinois +13.5 v. Toledo | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Huskies enter this game against red hot Toledo, off an 81-65 setback at home against Miami this past Saturday (Feb. 3), just their second home loss of the season, but I'm expecting a big bounce back here vs a program that they always seem to be up for playing against. Note: NIU (10-13, 3-7 MAC) has won each of its last three trips to the Glass City, including a 74-72 victory last season (Jan. 28, 2017). I know Northern Illinois has been very inconsistent this season, but they are showing flashes of brilliance, which have influenced my MAC power rankings and matchup stats. NIU Over the last four games, is shooting 64 percent from the field in the second half, including 54.5 percent from three-point range, and has scored 46.0 points per game after the intermission. So from a back door perspective , this is the kind of side I feel good backing on this type of DD underdog line. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (TOLEDO) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 13-42 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ILLINOIS) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 41-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northern Illinois to cover |
|||||||
02-06-18 | UCF v. Cincinnati UNDER 122.5 | 40-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
When these two teams squared off earlier this season, Cincinnati won 49-38 at CFE Arena.UCF is third in the nation, holding opponents to 60.6 points per game. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is ranked 2ne holding teams to 56.8 ppg and just 55.8 ppg at home. I'm expecting more points from both teams this time around , but I'm betting this tilt still falls below the Total. I know that UCF is without 7'6 Tacko Fall, after getting injured but the Knights D, is still viable enough to turn this into a physical battle in the paint and slow transitional affair. UCF is 10-0 UNDER \L/10 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) dating back to last season with a combined average of 115.8 ppg scored.UCF is 10-1 UNDER L/11 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game with a combined average score of 111.1 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER L/18 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game with a combined average of 122.7 ppg scored. These teams have a history of slow physical low scoring games with 8 of the L/9 meetings remaining on the low side of the Total with the 3 most recent meetings seeing a combined average score of 100 ppg scored ( 49-38 , 53-49, 60-50) . Rinse and repeat on the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-18 | Bulls +2.5 v. Kings | 98-104 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Two cellar dwellers go head to head tonight in the NBA. The Bulls are near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. The Kings are at the bottom of the Western Conference. But according to my power rankings one side is the lesser of two evils and that is the Chicago Bulls, a hoops franchise that despite of rebuilding has played well for long stretch's this season and have gained my respect. I know their leading scorer(Mirotic) was traded to the Pelicans, in exchange for forward Omer Asik and guard Jameer Nelson, but with key cog Markkanen back in the lineup after a week off (personal) they will have fresh legs in the lineup and will be dangerous underdogs. With that said, the Kings have not won on their own home floor since a 106-98 victory over the Denver Nuggets on Jan. 6 and are weak chalk here again tonight . Chicago has won 4 of their L/5 visits to Sacramento and are 2-0 here in recent meetings. SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS L/19 versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.CHICAGO is 18-9 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors, and NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are a bankroll expanding 70-25 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
|||||||
02-05-18 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma UNDER 169 | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
HC Huggins and his West Virginia group finally played the defense their capable of playing last time out in a lopsided 89-51 weekend defeat of Kansas State. The Mountaineers played hard in that game and exerted a lot of energy and will now approach this dangerous offensive opponent with a conservative mind set on tired legs and in a defensive posture , which will result in both team outputs being curtailed. Meanwhile, Oklahoma high paced attack is also off a hard fought physical loss to Texas last time out, and will also be in tired legs, which I'm also betting will effect their overall flow and output in this spot, despite of playing with revenge tonight. With that said, I'm expecting a grueling affair, that won't have the offensive fireworks that the public expects thanks to the hype associated with media darlings like Trae Young in this spot. The Mountaineers edged the Sooners, 89-76, in the season’s first meeting on Jan. 6 in Morgantown with a total of 167 points scored. I won't be surprised by a similar total output this time around in a rinse and repeat situation. W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.4 ppg.W VIRGINIA is 16-6 UNDER as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. W VIRGINIA is 10-2 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER when the total is 160 or more over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 off a road loss against a conference rival with a combined average of 139 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA is 26-9 UNDER L/35 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 133.8 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 26-9 UNDER L/35 after a blowout win by 30 points or more with a combined average of 141.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 170-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - playing with one or less days rest are 384-244 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-18 | Jazz +2 v. Pelicans | 133-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
The Jazz have won five in a row, including their last four road games, and they upset the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday night 120-111 and are currently operating at a top level of performance. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans have lost three of four games since star center DeMarcus Cousins suffered a season-ending left Achilles tear and are now struggling to find cohesiveness as they adjust to his absence. From a matchup perspective in both sides current for the Jazz have the edge.The Jazz have won four of the last five against New Orleans and get the nod again as road pups. Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pelicans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans. UTAH is 9-1 ATS L/10 after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. UTAH is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS L/69 as a home favorite. Pelicans HC Gentry is 9-24 favorite ATS L/33 where they attempted 90 or more shots in all games in 2 straight games . Snyder is 21-9 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home in his career. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, second half of the season are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
|||||||
02-05-18 | Jazz v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 | 133-109 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Utah is suddenly playing top tier hoops again as is evident by 5 straight wins. Their current top form must be attributed to their ability to play a very strong brand of defensive basketball that has resulted in allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents to score less than 99 points. This type of D, has been a mainstay of Jazz basketball for a while, and their now in a groove and closely following their regiment. I know that the Pelicans have continued to play fairly high scoring games, despite of losing DeMarcus Cousns to an injury, but their flow I'm betting will be inhibited tonight by a side that knows exactly how to slow opponents down, behind a 25th ranked pace and the 4th best D in the league. Utah HC Snyder is 28-15 UNDER L/43 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 194.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-18 | Wizards v. Pacers UNDER 213.5 | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game starting to shore up their defensive play and have held 3 of their L/6 opponents under the 98 point mark and overall rank in the upper half of the NBA defensive numbers . Meanwhile, Indiana ha held 8 of their L/16 opponents to 99 points or less behind the 17th ranked pace. With that said, and considering my own power ranking matchup projections the lines-makers are slightly over weighted on the Total and thus I'm betting we have value with an under wager in this spot. Indiana has gone under 17 of their L/28 home games this season. Washington has gone under in 17 of their 26 road games during this campaign. The combined average score of Wizards road games clicks in at a combined average of 210 ppg, while Indiana's home games have seen a combined average of 211.3 ppg. The two most recent games these teams have played here in Indiana have not eclipsed this total, and I'm once again betting on this Number not being breached. WASHINGTON is 16-7 UNDER L/23 after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. r INDIANA is 25-9 UNDER L/34 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average 205.3 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 19-8 UNDER L/27 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 208 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -4.5 | 41-33 | Loss | -109 | 219 h 42 m | Show | |
Super Bowl 52 - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN New England's super star QB Tom Brady despite of being able to perform miracle after football miracle, via amazing comebacks, must finally be feeling like he and his team mates need to play a complete start to finish game, and stop messing around with fate. With that said, I expect the 40 year old Phenom, to be extremely focused and prepared to lay down a big beat down vs a Philadelphia side that is over matched and in an emotional letdown situation after surprising Minnesota in DD blowout in their Conference championship game .That aforementioned victory saw the Eagles exert a lot of energy in a stadium that was rocking and shaking all night long with extremely exuberant fans. The Party in the City of brotherly love, after wards was enormous, and the players now exhausted and ready to go into Super Bowl preparations, will now be even more drained by the time game time arrives. Now against what I am betting is a very focused and experienced Patriots team that been here before, I expect we will see their superior overall talent in most facets of this game, including the all important Head Coach position on full display this Sunday. Everyone loves an underdog, but when push comes to shove, the defending champs must be respected on any line of a TD or less and are my pick to win and cover and get yet another Super Bowl ring. NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS L/12 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play and is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. Belichick is 16-4 ATS L20 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in road games vs teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game. NFL team (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 97-169 ATS L/34 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Update: I know the Pats previous Super Bowl wins have been close, but I'm betting that won't be the case this time around. Note: the straight-up winner of the Super Bowl is 43-6-2 ATS L/51. Play on the New England Patriots to cover |
|||||||
02-04-18 | Blazers +2 v. Celtics | 96-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Portland has been playing some highly competitive hoops of late and have won 7 of their L/9 games and have only failed to cover 1 of their L/8 games overall. The Trail Blazers saw their four-game winning streak end abruptly last time out in a 130-105 loss at Toronto on Friday, but will now be ready to bounce back in a big way vs a Celtics side playing without injured Kyrie Irving. The Blazers have scored 100 points in 17 straight games, and matchup well here vs a side has suddenly become defensively deficient of late holding only 2 of their L/10 opponents to under 100 points. |
|||||||
02-04-18 | Illinois v. Ohio State -12 | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Ohio State enters this game on a 8-1 SU run, and will now be ready for a Illinois team off their first win in Big 10 play last time out against Rutgers. From a matchup perspective Ohio State is the far superior side, and have revenge and a motivational factor on side for a New Years day loss to Illinois last season. It must be noted that Illinois is just 3-18 ATS L/21 when they lose vs a conference side with revenge. Ohio State has gone 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 with revenge in this series, and are a bankroll expanding 32-3 ATS when they get their SU revenge in conference games. The Illini have lost seven in a row in Value City Arena and are 2-13 there. Note: Ohio State has won their home games by an average almost 15 ppg this season. ILLINOIS is 16-31 ATS L/47 in road games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more , which happened against Rutgers last time out. ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games. OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games after 2 straight games where opponent grabbed 26 or less rebounds . OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents this season. Play on Ohio State to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Coyotes +165 v. Kings | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
The Kings 3-7 in their L/10 return home after a four-game road trip that ended in a 5-0 loss to the Nashville Predators in a game that had me believing from their on ice effort and the numbers associated with that the game that this team is struggling to score and get offensive flow, which has been an issue since C Jeff Carter went down with an injury. With LA coming off a 4 game road trip and now looking to get acclimated to their won digs again, another lackluster effort is not out of the question vs a an opponent that they may not be that charged up to play against . Meanwhile, Arizona has won the lone game between the teams this season, registering a 3-2 overtime win at Gila River Arena on Nov. 24 and have won their L/5 visits to LA. I know the Coyotes don't inspire many bettors, but this team seems to have a formula for dealing with the Kings and are a value selection here this evening on this underdog line. LOS ANGELES is 1-4 ATS L/5 in home games against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 2-8 ATS L/10 after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season. Kings are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Kings are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Western Conference. Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win on the moneyline |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Air Force +16 v. San Diego State | 50-81 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
San Diego State I'm betting is in a emotional letdown spot, after a grueling game with UNLV they lost last time out. Actually the Aztecs, have struggled a bit recently losing 4 of their L/5 SU and currently much to my surprise do not look like Mountain West contenders. Meanwhile, visiting Air Force despite of a sub par below .500 record ( 8-12) have been highly competitive , while covering 6 of their L/7 overall and according to my numbers are solid underdogs in this spot. AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. AIR FORCE is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less the last few seasons. AIR FORCE is 19-8 ATS L/27 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points. San Diego State is 1-8 ATS L/9 in this series. Play on Air Force to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Pelicans v. Wolves UNDER 221 | 107-118 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
New Orleans after losing DeMarcus Cousins for the seasons with a Achilles injury are now Short-handed going in to this tilt against the Wolves . The Pelicans did manage to shore up their bench by acquiring Forward Nikola Mirotic from the Bulls and is expected to make his debut for New Orleans tonight. But his presence I'm betting slows down the offensive flow of the Pelicans that they had with Anthony and Cousins patrolling the hardwood. From my own projections which considers the new personnel I'm estimating that the Pelicans will score in the 100 point range , and attempt between 81 and 87 shots, which has resulted in them combining with their opponents to average 206.8 ppg in the recent past. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches, have shown that they have the flashes of having the ability to play solid defense as well, behind the 24th ranked pace in the league, which has resulted in them going under in 4 straight games, allowing two of their L/4 opponents to 97 and 87 points respectively. The combination of Minnesota's concerted focus on playing better D, and the Pelicans getting acclimated to playing without key cogs and new pieces will culminate in tilt that stays under the total. NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus teams - allowing an overall shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign, with the combined average score of 207.9 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 UNDER in road games off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. ( The Pelicans upset Thunder 114-110 L/time out) MINNESOTA is 13-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 OVER L/21 seasons, for a 87% conversion rate for bettors ( with a combined average of 210.6 ppg going on the board). Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Warriors -5 v. Nuggets | 108-115 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Denver enters this game having played three straight grueling games, with their last game resulting in a last second 127-124 buzzer beater win vs Oklahoma City. Now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state, I'm betting they have problems dealing with a Golden State team that they may meet in the first round of the play offs. The Warriors also aware of the possible post season implications, will now take the time I'm betting to deliver a message and knock down a fragile Nuggets group still dealing with confidence issues, after making a habit of squandering leads this season, including the win they took last time out. There is also a low possibility , that the Warriors will not be prepared to play here tonight, as Denver has played them tough on occasion in the past including shocking them by 96-81 back on Dec 3 at home. With that said, I'm also betting the Warriors would love to shovel out some pay back here tonight and leave this building and their fans in a shambles via smack down performance. Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.Warriors are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Denver. Golden States SRS - is 8.21 vs Denver SRS - 0.50 .( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.) GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season. NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 25-2 ATS L/21 seasons for a 92% conversion rare winning SU by an average of 11.1 pgg. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Rockets v. Cavs UNDER 231 | 120-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
When we think of the Houston Rockets we get the image of a run and gun offensive team that plays with one way reckless abandon. While their are times when they do look like this kind of side, overall this is not a true picture of what they have been trying to achieve or the way they play . Overall the Rockets are ranked 10th in the league in defensive efficiency, and on the road of late have held 5 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points or less. Overall thanks to a decent defensive posture they have also seen 8 of their L/10 games remain on the low side of the number. On the road this season the Rockets have seen a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Now we enter this game against a Cleveland team, playing for the most part aggressive offensive ball while looking like pylons on defense. The Cavs did however, come out last time out, and show us some metal in a 91-89 win vs Miami, and now on a couple of days rest, should be well prepared to use that winning formula for this top tier non conference showdown in a game I have pegged at staying under the slightly bloated public total.
HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER L/34 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. CLEVELAND in their L/42 versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game have seen an average of 224.7 ppg scored. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 201.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Maple Leafs +119 v. Bruins | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
The Leafs enter this game in Beantown having dominated this series in the past and have won seven straight against the Bruins and have a four-game TD Garden winning streak. Toronto's expected starting goalie tonight Andersen, 9-0 with a 1.88 goals-against average and .944 save percentage lifetime against the Bruins. From a matchup perspective my own projections estimate that the Leafs domination of this series will continue here this evening. Note: Tuska Rusk who is a 17-0-2 in his L/19 games is just 0-3 in his L/3 starts vs the Leafs. Toronto beat Boston in back to back games back in November , 3-2 and 4-1 in the second game. BOSTON is 1-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the money-line |
|||||||
02-03-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -2 | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Last night Pacers came back from an 18-point first-half deficit to make the game tight, but ended up losing 133-126 to the Charlotte Hornets. What I took from that game, was how much of a flow the Pacers can get into when their running and gunning and how well they matchup vs a side the 76ers. With that said, I'm betting on the well conditioned PACERS continuing their flow vs a Philadelphia 76ers side that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU and also played last night .76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on no rest. Also add to that Indiana will have the added motivation, vs a Sixers side that took them out, by a 121-110 count back in November in Philly and you have a quality side situation to sink our teeth into. 76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Chalk is 8-2 ATS L/10 meetings in this series. INDIANA is 27-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Indiana has won 3 straight at home in this series.PHILADELPHIA is 5-17 ATS L/22 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 TO's or more ) against a good ball handling team ( 14.5 TO's or less) are 9-31 SU L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors. Play on the Pacers to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Southern Miss +3 v. Florida Atlantic | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.FLA ATLANTIC is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.SOUTHERN MISS is 8-0 ATS L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road losses. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors . Play on Southern Miss to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Ole Miss +10 v. Tennessee | 61-94 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. OLE MISS is 13-0 ATS L/13 off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OLE MISS is 17-4 ATS L/21 as a road underdog of 10 or more points. CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 88-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 115-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Wofford +3.5 v. Mercer | 65-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
WOFFORD is 13-2 ATS L/14 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game .MERCER is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots .WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS L/7 off a road loss against a conference rival .MERCER is 0-9 ATS L/9 after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.WOFFORD is 10-0 ATS L/10 off a road loss dating back to last season. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (MERCER) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 8-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 135 | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors, with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games 48-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Alabama +8 v. Florida | 68-50 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
Alabama enters this game vs Florida as a underdog with a bite, as is evident by a 3-1 record when playing an AP Top-25 team this season. The Tide, have defeated then-No. 5 Texas A&M, then-No. 17 Auburn and then-No. 12 Oklahoma, and is one of eight teams from around the nation who has at least three victories of AP Top-25 teams this season. I know the Crimson Tide were upset last time out by Missouri, but I think this group got caught looking ahead to this tilt, as they lost for the first time at home in program history to the Tigers. I'm betting Alabama will now be very focused this Saturday, and ready to extend on a 6-3 ATS SEC conversion rate this season. Meanwhile, Florida is off a hard fought tilt against Georgia last time out, which has not been a good omen for the program in the past as they are 0-13 ATS L/13 after facing Bulldogs. From a matchup perspective Alabama defense is allowing opponents to shoot 41.3 percent from the field , while Florida is shooting just .437 on the season ranking just No.229 in the nation. My own projections make this a much closer game the linesmakers estimate, because of the offense vs defense power rankings system I used for this tilt. Alabama is 9-3 ATS in this series as a dog of 6 points or more. Play on Alabama to cover |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Montana State v. Northern Colorado OVER 149 | 63-86 | Push | 0 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER L/9 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 156 ppg going on the board. MONTANA ST is 10-1 OVER L/11 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.N COLORADO is 6-0 OVER in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 166.6 ppg scored. CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points MONTANA ST/(N COLORADO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER dating back 5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-03-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 148.5 | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game with a combined average score of 172.8 ppg scored. KANSAS is 29-11 OVER L/40 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games going back over multiple seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings in this series have seen 175 , and 167 total combined points go on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
02-02-18 | Lakers +1.5 v. Nets | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The last time these teams met, the Lakers took out the Nets by a 124-112 win as former Net Lopez scored a season-high 34 points on 13 of 23 from the field and made six 3-pointers. From a matchup perspective I feel the Lakers once again have a viable opportunity to turn the trick again. It must be noted that Brooklyn could easily also be in a letdown scenario here , after back to back grueling division games, including an upset of the 76ers ast time out . BROOKLYN has crashed and burned consistently in the past after these type of affairs as is evident by their 1-12 ATS L/13 record in home games after 2 consecutive division games . Lakers are 9-2-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Brooklyn
Play on LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
02-02-18 | Pacers v. Hornets -3 | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pacers are coming off a 3-0 homestand that included a 105-96 victory over the Hornets on Monday night but despite of that momentum, this is a bad spot for them according to my reference power rankings and system vs system matchup projections. The home team also has the added edge factored in for Coach Nate McMillan not being behind the bench tonight for the Pacers because of personal reasons. The Hornets also have motivation on their side as they look to get revenge for a earlier loss to the Pacers this season. Actually in that loss the Hornets looked like the better team, when they pushed Dwight Howard to the front of their offensive attack and focused on him getting the ball. They floundered in the second half however, when they got away from that game plan and lost . But now tonight with the Pacers weaknesses exposed look for Howard once again be a focal and point and eventual catalyst in what I am betting will be a Hornets win and cover . Pacers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Charlotte.Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher 9-20 SU for go against 69% conversion rate for bettors over the last 5 seasons losing by an average of 4.4 ppg . NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 60-18 SU L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 7.1 ppg. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
02-02-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis +2 v. Detroit | 60-74 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Head coach Jason Gardner, will have his teamed primed and ready to get back on track vs a Titans team defeated 81-66 back in January of this season when they last met. IUPUI shot nearly 52 percent as a team while holding Detroit to just over 40 percent from the floor.From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Jaguars have a good chance of breaking a recent 3 game skid here tonight vs Detroit Mercy. Meanwhile, Detroit is 6-17 SU overall and 2-8 SU in Horizon League play. The Titans are 4-7 SU at home this season. The Titans come in having dropped four straight, which began with the 81-66 loss on Jan. 16 to the Jaguars and are fade material in this spot as chalk as they enter this game possibly short handed, and feeling deflated ... [C] 02/01/2018 - Isaiah Jones is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Undisclosed )[F] 02/01/2018 - Jaleel Hogan is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Academics )[F] 02/01/2018 - Tariiq Jones is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Academics )[G] 02/01/2018 - Jermaine Jackson Jr. left last game, is "?" Friday vs IUPUI ( Knee )DETROIT is 0-7 ATS L/7 in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 dating back to last season.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS L/20 after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . Play on IUPU-Indianapolis to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | San Francisco +14.5 v. St. Mary's | 43-79 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Dons will travel east on the Bay Bridge to take on long time rival Saint Mary's on Thursday night in McKeon Pavilion. The Gaels are team that is riding a 16-game winning streak, and looks like their on a mission this season. However, with this group playing all out on a nightly basis I'm betting they will eventually slow down a bit, which could be the case against a upstart rival that would love to upset them in this spot. From a matchup analysis standpoint, my system vs system projections give us a decent opportunity to cash via cover . ST MARYS-CA is 3-11 ATS L/14 in home games after a win by 10 points or more. ST MARYS-CA is 4-12 ATS L/16 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-68 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Francisco to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +1.5 | 124-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
The Thunder have possibly put it all together as they have been surging of late. I'm not completely sold on their sudden reversal in fortunes just yet, despite of the prognosticators and media shoveling their love for them down our proverbial throats. Hey guys, I'm not dumping on the Thunder, because the big three of Westbrook, Melo, and George are true big times talents, I'm just throwing caution to the wind as their a lot of basketball to played this season, before a definite stance can be taken and in my opinion the jury is still out. In their last trip to the hardwood Oklahoma City had a 8 game win streak abruptly ended against Washington despite of the Wizards playing without John Wall, and in the recent past have proven themselves unreliable and inconsistent despite of their talent levels. With that said, I'll take a contrarian stance, and back the young but talented Denver Nuggets to grab us some cash in the Mile High city tonight. It must be also noted that Oklahoma City has crashed and burned consistently after being cash cows for their backers for extended periods, as this trend indicates: OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-12 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread . The Thunder have also not been able to take advantage of struggling defenses: OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS L/22 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is also just 2-10 ATS vs. division opponents this season. Thunder are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Nuggets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 25-9 L/5 seasons SU for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Injury update: Nuggets C Nikola Jokic (ankle) is probable Thursday vs Oklahoma City. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Middle Tennessee +3.5 v. Old Dominion | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
These are two strong hoops programs, with similar records and defensive records. I know the players and home town crowd will be sky high for this tilt, but if Old Dominion gets the win it won't come easily and I'm betting they fail to cover. Middle Tennessee State is a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 in this series. Middle Tennessee State has played in hostile environment and recently taken part in NCAA Tourney games and are not easily intimidated. Home court advantage is worth something here, but not enough for me to consider the home chalk as a stable choice, and instead I'm siding with what my own system to system rankings suggest is the better team. ( Middle Tennessee State) This game could easily be decided by one or two possessions which makes getting points a quality opportunity. No team in the nation has more wins on the road this season than Middle Tennessee, with a 8-1 record in true road games. MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS l/9 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last few seasons and overall is 21-9 ATS L/30 when playing against a team with a winning record . OLD DOMINION is 8-20 ATS L/28 in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. CBB favorite (OLD DOMINION) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion UNDER 130 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Blue Raiders and Monarchs prepare to meet in a game that I have pegged for a defensive battle on Thursday.These are the two best statistical defenses in the conference this season, ODU giving up just 62.9 points per game and MT 64.9 |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Blues +120 v. Bruins | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
The Blues, are off a win vs the Montreal Canadiens in St. Louis on Tuesday night, and have now won three straight and five of their last six behind back up goalie Hutton who has allowed just seven goals in the six starts and leads the NHL in GAA (1.70) and save percentage (.945). If designated top goalie Allen starts , that not a bad thing either as he is 3-1-0 with a 1.92 GAA and .940 save percentage lifetime against the Bruins. Meanwhile, the Bruins had an 18-game point streak abruptly stopped with a 3-1 loss to the Anaheim Ducks in the opener of Boston's three-game homestand Tuesday their first after the all star break. The Bruins are also now short handed and at a disadvantage with Brad Marchand out via suspension and rookie Charlie McAvoy ( heart procedure). Noel Acciari, (lower body injury) and also Anders Bjork, injured in the last game. ST LOUIS is 8-2 ATS L/10 in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year dating back to last season and 6-1 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign. Blues HC MIKE YEO is 9-2 L/11 against the money line against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season. Blues are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Blues are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.Road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline |
|||||||
02-01-18 | Northern Kentucky v. Youngstown State +12 | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Youngstown States win/loss record is not very impressive, but in their defense they have played a road heavy schedule of late , with 9 of their L/13 as visitors. However, in the 4 games at home during that span they have won 3 of those games, with the only loss coming against a top tier Illinois Chicago program. The visitors today Northern Kentucky are a strong team, but this line is bloated according to my own data and projections. With Youngstown State averaging 88.4 ppg at home this season, I'm betting their well positioned to get us a cover vs a N.Kentucky side that despite of a 16-7 overall record on the season is just 5-5 ATS on the road this season . |
|||||||
02-01-18 | VMI +17.5 v. NC-Greensboro | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
UNC Greensboro enter this home game on tired legs after two straight wide open run and gun affairs , a 98-82 win at Samford , and a upset loss at Chatanooga by a 87-85 margin. For a team that usually plays strong D, their are some issues that need to be addressed, and I'm expecting a concerted and more methodical effort from Greensboro in this spot, which will make for closer gap in the margin of victory than the lines-makers are estimating. I know VMI may not inspire many bettors but they have covered 4 of their L/6 and have down in enough upward meomtnum to be considered viable dogs in this situation. Greensboro HC Miller is 0-6 ATS L/6 after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent and is 1-9 ATS L/10 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-13 ATS L/15 after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. UNC-GREENSBORO is 0-6 ATS L/6 after a combined score of 165 points or more. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-22 ATS L/31 in home games after a loss by 6 points or less CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UNC-GREENSBORO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 32-69 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors on the blind. Play on VMI to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | San Jose State +18 v. UNLV | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
When these teams met earlier this season UNLV came out on top , 82-76, in overtime at the Event Center. The Rebels are obviously the superior team, and San Jose State has struggled mightily this season, but from a player vs player /system vs system analysis the Spartans actually matchup fairly well, especially on this line and vs a side that has a tendency to play down to their opponents. It must also be noted that San Jose State played a decent Wyoming hoops program very tough loss last time out ( 90-86), covering a 11 point dogs and are showing progress. San José State shot 48.4 percent (30-62) on Wednesday night compared to Wyoming's 44.1 percent (30-68). It's the sixth time in nine Mountain West games that SJSU has finished with a higher shooting percentage than the opponent. With that said, I'll recommend we take San Jose State in this spot vs a side that is consistently over rated by the linesmakers as they covered only once in their 11 games . That one cover was in their last trip to the hardwood, in an emotional 88-78 win vs top tier San Diego State, that will now also have the Rebels in a let down state, and susceptible to a down game vs less competetion. UNLV is 1-9 ATS L/10 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. UNLV is 6-18 ATS L/24 against conference opponents . CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 113-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. San Jose State to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | 76ers v. Nets +7 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after a hot streak that saw them notch wins in 10 of 13 games, have now lost back to back games including a 10-point loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday and a 12-point smack down at Milwaukee on Monday. I watched highlights from those game , and some shot clips, and the 76ers looked exhausted and are fade material here in their current form, even against a struggling side like Brooklyn, especially laying this much lumber on the road. Note: BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season and 19-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BROOKLYN is 16-7 ATS L/23 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season I also betting on a motivated game from the Nets newest acquisition Okafor as he goes against his old teammates. His will to show his old team what he's truly worth should spread and motivate the entire squad to a stronger than normal performance . Okafor a former No.3 pick with the Philadelphia 76ers was traded to the Brooklyn Nets last month, and has slowly been getting acclimated to his new teammates and is getting more minutes of late. This kid has talent, and despite of not working out in Philly is a steal in my opinion for the Nets. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more 13-52 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Heat v. Cavs -2 | 89-91 | Push | 0 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Cavs, for a team that is held in such high regard by NBA prognosticators, is a team that has not been fluent of late as their 5-8 record in January would indicate . This team needs some motivational therapy, as they are now a half game ahead of the Heat for third place in the East. To make matters worse the team will have to play without all star Kevin Love who broke his hand in his last trip to the hardwood. However, the silver lining is that the Bulls will now be playing small ball for longer stretches , and when they go big with Jae Crowder ( 6-6) and bring Channing Frye off the bench they wont be easily intimidated by guys like Hassan Whiteside, and maybe more motivated in Love's absence ,which I'm betting actually helps them in the long run. I recently began to believe going small for Cleveland would get them over this ugly slump their in, and now their going to be forced to do it. In their only meeting this season the Cavs beat the Heat 108-97 and lead by as much as 34 points , and now even with out a key cog in their lineup matchup well vs the Heat. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games after 2 consecutive division games .MIAMI is 1-8 ATS L/9 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season . NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 10-29 L/5 seasons for ago against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, in January games are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Pittsburgh +16.5 v. Miami-FL | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is having problems notching wins and are currently on a 9 game losing streak in conference action and desperate for a win. I know the Panthers record is ugly but my own cross reference analysis suggests their has been improvement with a program that is chalk loaded full of freshman, and on this DD line are viable dogs. Their ability to work hard and be competitive was showcased when Pitt dropped a hard-fought battle to Syracuse, 60-55, Saturday at the Petersen.Pitt has limited its past two opponents to 34.4 percent (43-of-125) shooting from the field, including 24.0 percent (12-of-50) from beyond the three-point arc and capable of giving a Miami Fl side of a hard fought 104-93 loss to instate rivals last time out and now in a letdown state a battle for their money in this spot Note: PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season. MIAMI is 8-17 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread MIAMI is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss are 180-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - a very good team (8 or more PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 23-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
|||||||
01-31-18 | West Virginia v. Iowa State OVER 147.5 | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-31-18 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 123.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Louisville enters this game off a 97 point out and win vs Wake Forest last time out, but now go against a staunch physical Virginia D, that will be out to ruin their flow and make them more manageable to control. Meanwhile, Virginia will be in a letdown spot , and on tired legs after taking out Duke on the weekend in a grueling 65-63 win , which should see them even more methodical than usual. VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season and is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or mote with a defense of 42% or better .LOUISVILLE is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better. Note: Louisville has not scored more than 60 points in any of their six meetings with the Cavaliers since joining the ACC. Virginia currently leads the country in scoring defense, allowing (52.1). Rinse and repeat are on tonight's agenda in what I'm betting is a combined total that remains on the low side of the number. VIRGINIA is 10-0 UNDER L/10 after a win by 6 points or less and is 8-0 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival with both combined totals well below this offered number. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Vanderbilt +10 v. Kentucky | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Kentucky enters this game off a huge win vs the West Virginia Mountaineers on the weekend and will now be in a letdown spot vs visiting Vanderbilt and susceptible to a down outing. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt despite of sporting just a 3-6 SU record in SEC play this season, have been highly competitive and have covered their L/3 games to the hardwood. One of those aforementioned losses came to Kentucky by a 74-67 deficit at home and the commodores will now have revenge on board. Note: VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent and is 6-0 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (KENTUCKY) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-46 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Magic +12.5 v. Rockets | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Houston at home this season, has played down to lower tier opponents like Orlando and have used these type of games , as resting points and live in game scrimmages. Resting key players for longer junctures of the game, and conserving their overall energy levels for foes they deem more important in stature. This is an intelligent game plan, in a long in grueling season, but it provides an opening for a cover on a DD line. Note: HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season and long term are is 17-37 ATS L/54 as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. I know Orlando does not inspire bettors , but they have been competitive of late, and have covered 6 of their L/7 overall Houston is also just 5-18 ATS L/23 in home games in non-conference games. Orlando is also 8-2 ATS on the road as non conference DD dogs. NBA Home favorites (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Nebraska-Omaha +14.5 v. South Dakota State | 60-80 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jackrabbits (18-6, 6-1 Summit League) are coming off a grueling 78-76 win over Fort Wayne in the 2018 Pork Classic Saturday and could now easily be in a letdown spot. From a matchup standpoint the Rabbits took out visiting Mavericks 101-88 in Omaha earlier this month and now the lines-makers are adding a couple of digits in there for good measure because of home court advantage. I have a lot of respect for the home team, as they have won 16 straight here, one of the longest active streaks in College Hoops, but complacency could make it difficult to be motivated vs a side that thet stepped on in the earlier meeting, and with the added energy they exerted last time out, I'm betting their susceptible to a non salient performance this evening. Note: NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS L/14 revenging a loss vs opponent and is 8-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent .S DAKOTA ST is 2-9 ATS L/11 when playing only their 3rd game in a week . Omaha is led by four double-figure scorers, with Zach Jackson (18.1 points per game) pacing the team.The Mavericks are averaging 78.3 points per game as a team and shooting 46.7 percent combined and are the type of hoops group that have the ability to cover a DD line like this because of their ability to score in bunches, especially via the back door scenario . NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NEBRASKA-OMAHA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 93-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nebraska Omaha to cover |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards tried to run and gun with the red hot Oklahoma City Thunder on the road last week and lost by a 121-111 count. Now in the rematch, I'm betting the Wizards slow things down a little bit, as they play without star guard John Wall in the lineup. This combination of expected strategy and key cog missing will see their flow curtailed, which will also effect their offensive output here , which in turn will effect the total combined score falling on the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games on Tuesday nights. ( This could just be an anomaly but still worth noting) OKLAHOMA CITY is also 19-5 UNDER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after 5 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 192.1 ppg scored. Under is 25-12 in Thunder last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Wizards last 17 vs. Western Conference. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5/ 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Ducks +140 v. Bruins | 3-1 | Win | 140 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Boston Bruins have gone 18 games without a regulation loss -- last losing in 60 minutes way back on Dec. 14. The 14-0-4 is the franchise's longest since 1968-69 and tied for the second-longest in club history. However, all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end , and that what I'm betting on tonight as the rough and tumble Anaheim Ducks come to town . The Ducks as they have gotten healthier are getting better and are a formidable opponent, as is evident by a recent 4-1 home stand including a 8-3-1 run in their last 12, 10-4-1 in their last 15 before the all star break. Considering the Bruins are going to be without key cogs suspended Brad Marchand, rookie defenseman Charlie McAvoy (heart procedure) and Noel Acciari (lower body) they are also short handed and susceptible to down performance as the break probably has also broken their momentum. Its also interesting to note that Bruins goalie Rask, 16-0-2 in his L/18 but just 1-6-1 with a 3.62 GAA and .865 save percentage lifetime against Anaheim, will sit in favor of backup and former Duck -- Anton Khudobin (0-1-1 vs Anaheim). the Ducks know Khudobin's weaknesses well and have an edge here. Ducks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Ducks are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Anaheim Ducks to win on the moneyline |
|||||||
01-30-18 | Indiana v. Ohio State -11 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers enter this game in a big letdown situation after taking on a top tier Purdue program at home on the weekend in a grueling game that saw the Hoosiers take the Boilermakers down to the wire before losing. After the energy they exerted, I doubt they will have much left in the tank, versus an explosive Ohio State side that is a perfect 9-0 SU at home this season and 8-1 ATS winning those games by an average of 16 ppg . It must also be noted that Ohio State has revenge on board for losing to Indiana in their final game of last season, which is a good omen for the Buckeyes covering as they are 7-1 ATS with revenge L/8 at home in this series. INDIANA is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games after playing a home game and is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better .INDIANA is 14-29 ATS L/43 in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days and just 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS L/13 when playing on the road with one days rest . Indiana HC Miller is 2-12 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in his career. Play on Ohio State to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs +2 | 95-88 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavs enter this game desperate for a win after being losers of three in a row and six of the last seven, and are off a heart breaking 2 point loss to the Denver Nuggets last time out. The Heat are a fine team but with this being their 4th game in 7 nights will be on tired legs, and susceptible to down performance after playing 5 straight closely contested and grueling games. Dallas won the first meeting between these teams this season, but DALLAS is 32-17 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent and are viable home dogs in this spot. DALLAS is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.DALLAS is 20-11 ATS L/31 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DALLAS is 33-18 ATS L/51 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 36-13 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Wolves v. Hawks +6 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Minnesota is 12 games above .500 and 20-6 at home but the Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven tilts on the road and are weak favorites here as they look ahead to going against the Toronto Raptors on their schedule for tomorrow night . Meanwhile, Atlanta despite a lackluster record, in a rebuilding year, have been competitive for most of this season, despite of some recent lopsided setbacks. Minnesota is 8-11 against the East and Atlanta is 8-11 against the West and from a system to system and player to player standpoint the Hawks matchup fairly decently vs the Wolves especially on their own home court. MINNESOTA is 17-33 ATS L/50 versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game .ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS L/12 after 2 consecutive division games.ATLANTA is 16-7 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season and is 13-5 ATS L/18 in non-conference games this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, after allowing 105 points or more in a loss to a division rival are 29-12 SU L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The visiting Charlotte Hornets enter this game with a 4-9-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 1-3-1 ATS in their L/5 strips to the hardwood. The Hornets are also just 3-9 away in a 1 and 1 situation vs conference opposition. Meanwhile, their hosts the Pacers unlike some people, seem to like playing on Mondays as their 11-1 ATS mark in their L/12 first games of the week would indicate . The Pacers from a betting perspective have also faired well against NBA Southeast opposition cashing 8 of their L/10 meetings with the series host cashing 5 straight meetings and once again look like viable wagers. CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is 19-8 ATS L/27 vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48%or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 43-3 SU l/21 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 8.4 ppg. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Lehigh +2.5 v. Holy Cross | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Lehigh enters this game desperately looking for a win after a 4 game losing streak, during which they have not played badly and experienced some heart breaking close losses. After splitting a pair of meeting last season, Lehigh won the first meeting this year, 83-77 and matchup very well against Holly Cross and are viable underdogs. Meanwhile, Holy Cross began Patriot League play 0-3, but is 4-3 over its last seven games and according to my power rankings are a pickem against this type of opponent according to my head to head system to system, analysis. Holy Cross is last in the league in scoring offense (63.3), but stands second in scoring defense (69.4). I'm betting the teams lack of consistent scoring will be their undoing in this matchup. LEHIGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 o less turnovers/game and LEHIGH is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games and 14-3 ATS L/17 as a road underdog or pick .LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games . LEHIGH HC Reed is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game like Holy Cross. CBB road team (LEHIGH) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 46-17 ?21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Lehigh to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | Notre Dame +14.5 v. Duke | 66-88 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Duke is coming off a huge game against Virginia last time out which they lost 65-63. Coach K stuck with his starting 5 for the entire 2nd half, which is going to effect his team tonight. The Blue Devils exerted a heck of a lot of energy in a grueling physical game, and will now be in a letdown scenario vs a Notre Dame team that despite of being in a slump, will be out looking for revenge for last seasons ACC Finals loss. QUOTE: We have to put (the Virginia game) behind us and get ready for Notre Dame," Krzyzewski said. "It was a very physical game. I'm not saying dirty or anything like that. It was hard-fought. We have to recover, not just emotionally, but physically, before Monday night." END QUOTE: It must be noted that Duke is just 0-4 ATS L/4 as home favs of 13 points or more after taking on the Cavaliers. The Fighting Irish desperately are now trying to end a 5 game losing streak thanks in part of suffering through and injury bug (ie PG Matt Farrell, and Bonzie Colson), and inexcusable shooting from the floor of late (less than 40%), With that said, both teams have their issues going into this game, but from a matchup standpoint this line is a little bloated which gives us value with the visiting dog. Notre Dame has won and covered both their games vs .900 or better opposition this season. DUKE is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss as a favorite, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 169-108 ATS L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
|||||||
01-29-18 | East Tennessee State v. The Citadel UNDER 164 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
E.Tenn State is a fine all around team, but their defense is particuallary tough, as is evident by allowing just 65 ppg on average. I know Citadel is a wide open run and gun team, but I'm betting E.Tennessee will slow them down , and conservatively and systematically wear them down as the game progresses( something they do very well). This type of game plan should lead to much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. E TENN ST is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored. E TENN ST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game and is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games .THE CITADEL is 6-0 UNDER L/6 off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 154 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (THE CITADEL) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 33-13 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (E TENN ST) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Washington State v. Washington OVER 148 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | California +18 v. USC | 59-77 | Push | 0 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The California Bears current 7 game losing streak might not suggest to passive college hoops fan that they are a very good team. But the truth is, this young rebuilding program lead by Justice Sueing (18.9 ppg) is actually starting to show signs of positive momentum according to my own data and power rankings, and are gaining confidence with each game out, as was the case when they almost upset UCLA last time out . Meanwhile, USC remains a contender in the PAC 12, and despite of their superiority may not be all that motivated vs a side they beat by 18 points earlier this season, especially after taking part in a hard fought revenge win vs Stanford last time out. With that said, my own numbers suggest we have value taking the Bears here. CALIFORNIA is 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders. USC is 9-22 ATS in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.CALIFORNIA is 25-12 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals.Enfield is 14-24 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week as the coach of USC CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (USC) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 36-78 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on California to cover |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Northern Iowa v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 127.5 | 47-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. When these teams played back on Jan 7 they combined for 107 points in a Loyola Chicago win by a 57-50 count. I'm expecting another physical affair, that results in a rinse and repeat situation. N IOWA is 11-3 UNDER L/14 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) with a combined average score of 122.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. N IOWA is 8-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games with a combined average score of 114 ppg scored. N IOWA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with a combined average score of 120.1 ppg scored. LOYOLA-IL is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 123.1 ppg scored. N IOWA is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored. N IOWA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread with a combined average of 117.2 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team ( 80% or better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors with a combined average score of 116.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 75-40 UNDER L/5 seasons with the combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Seton Hall v. DePaul OVER 147.5 | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
Seton Hall has averaged 78.3 ppg on offense this season, and matchup well enough against DePaul to stay in that range here today according to my own projections. Note: SETON HALL is 50-13 OVER L/63 when they score 75 to 80 points. SETON HALL is 16-6 OVER L/22 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 150.1 ppg scored. CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 116-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 226.5 | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rockets have no problem scoring points in bunches behind an explosive offense that averages 116.8 ppg at home this season, but its their defensive performances that are most troubling, as is evident by allowing 108.8 ppg as hosts. Needless to say, the Rockets are a one way offensive juggernaut and nothing will change today vs the visiting Phoenix Suns. The Suns are allowing more than 112 ppg this season, while the offense, has averaged 106.8 ppg on the road ranking last in the NBA overall and also own the 4th fastest pace . This according to my own projections results in a high scoring affair that eclipses this fairly high but beatable Total. My own estimates suggest that the Rockets will meet their season average offensive output of around 117 points today, which is a good omen for a over wager cashing as the Rockets 46-13 OVER when they score 117 or more points in a game with the combined average score clicking in at 236 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points wit a combined average score of 236.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points with a combined average of 145.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 14-3 OVER L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game of 130.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Purdue v. Indiana +11 | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Powerful Purdue enters this game against their Big 10 rivals Indiana, pounding opponents mercilessly. Purdue may look unbeatable, but their are chinks in their armour, especially when it comes to getting to the charity stripe. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of a 1 point loss to Illinois last time out, I'm betting Archie Miller and company will be very prepared to pull of the upset here at home in Assembly Hall vs a side that destroyed them in two meetings last season. Note: Purdue is just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road as chalk vs a side with Double revenge. Indiana is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home with revenge as long as they have a .500 record or better and 7-1 ATS in their L/8 overall. PURDUE is 7-22 ATS L/29 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games. INDIANA is 20-9 ATS L/29 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. Take the pointS with Indiana to cover |
|||||||
01-28-18 | Detroit +19 v. Northern Kentucky | 44-72 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky is in a letdown situation after playing against a top tier Oakland program on Friday night and losing in a grueling affair. Meanwhile, Detroit is a team that despite of a ugly record have been very competitive for the most part this season behind an offense that averages more than 80 ppg overall. The Jesuits did look bad in their last game vs Wright State , losing by 30 plus points but that kind of ugly performance has been rare this season, and they are capable of bouncing back in this spot. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 8-31 ATS L/21 seasons, for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (N KENTUCKY) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Portland +22.5 v. St. Mary's | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. St.Mary;s is off a big win vs BYU last time out and will now be in a letdown spot, and susceptible to being upset but more importantly not covering. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 29-67 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.
ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons and is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing with one or less days rest. Portland has won and covered its last two trips to St.Mary's. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Nets +10.5 v. Wolves | 97-111 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Wolves enter this game on a 2 game losing streak, and looked very lackluster on defense in the process, allowing 126 points to Golden State and 123 to Portland. They looked tired for long stretches of those games, which is not a good omen headed into this game vs a well conditioned Brooklyn team that is tenacious and competitive. In the Nets last trip to the hardwood a 116-91 loss to the Bucks, they had a rare ugly outing but that has been the exception in recent outings, as 11 of their last 14 games have been decided by six points or less, and they have covered 12 of their L/15 overall. When these teams met on Jan 3 the Nets squeaked out a 98-97 win at home and actually matchup pretty well against the Wolves and get my support here getting points. BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 16-4 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.MINNESOTA is 37-61 ATS L/98 after allowing 120 points or more .MINNESOTA is 17-30 ATS L/47 in non-conference games dating back to last season. NBA Road underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Colorado State v. New Mexico OVER 148.5 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 220 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The Celtics in a grueling physical game took out the Golden State Warriors 92-88 in a home win in November. With that template having proven successful last time out, I'm betting on the Celtics preparing to play a similar type conservative affair. Boston's guards limited Golden State's super star backcourt duo of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to a total of 22 points on 8-for-32 shooting in that game. I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in a much lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER L/11 when the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 25-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Kentucky +8 v. West Virginia | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Wow. How often do we see Kentucky as this big a dog. I know the Wildcats are a young team, but now with no pressure on them, and many expecting them to lose I'm expecting we see this team at its very best . It must be noted that West Virginias coach Bog Huggins is 0-13 ATS L13 vs the SEC and once against looks like his team will have problems covering vs a Kentucky team with a chip on their shoulders. Play on Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | St. Joe's v. Pennsylvania OVER 143 | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | SIU-Edwardsville +20 v. Belmont | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. BELMONT is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better . Play on SIU-Edwardsville to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia Southern OVER 149 | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Tennessee v. Iowa State +3 | 68-45 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Iowa State has owned non conference teams in their own home court over the years, sporting a 212-21 SU mark in these games including 45-1 from game 12 out. I will not be surprised if home court advantage helps them spring another upset and more importantly get us a cover. Play on Iowa State to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis +8 v. Illinois-Chicago | 62-71 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Play on IUPUI to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Western Carolina +14.5 v. Furman | 66-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. W CAROLINA is 21-10 ATS L/31 when the total is 130 to 139.5. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FURMAN) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG) or more against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 26-63 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Carolina to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Dayton v. St. Louis -3 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Dayton is in a letdown spot after taking out Davidson last time out by a 65-64 count and now susceptible to a down performance. That last game was a huge paybakc effort, for losing in last years A10 Tourney to Davidson. Meanwhile, St.Louis is much improved and have been playing great ball at home and are my choice here tonight to take advantage of Daytons situation. Dayton is just 1-4 ATs L/5 off a conference win. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock +8 v. Coastal Carolina | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan OVER 143 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Fairfield v. Quinnipiac UNDER 147.5 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
|||||||
01-27-18 | Duquesne +18 v. Rhode Island | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The home team Rhode Island is obviously the better team, but from a matchup analysis system I use , my data has me believing the line is slightly bloated and their is value with the underdog. DUQUESNE is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games.RHODE ISLAND is 5-16 ATS L/21 in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DUQUESNE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Duquesne to cover |
|||||||
01-26-18 | Knicks v. Suns OVER 217 | 107-85 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This game between the visiting NY Knicks and their hosts the Phoenix Suns has the makings of a run and gun all out offensive affair. The Suns behind the 4th ranked pace in the NBA are lead by explosive offensive guard Devin Booker who is averaging 24.8 points a game but also own a lackluster D allowing 112.2 ppg the worst mark in the league. With this their first game home after an extended road trip, I'm betting they will be ready to take off here in their own digs. Note: Over is 19-7-1 in Suns last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Meanwhile, the Knicks are allowing 110.3 ppg on the road this season, and are consistently taking part in back and forth wide open tilts as is evident by going over the Total in 9 straight and 11 of their L/12 games overall with the average combined score clicking in at 223.5 ppg . The Knicks are also on tired legs as they played last night, and won't have the energy to play physically in what should be a loosely played game. Over is 18-5 in Knicks last 23 games playing on no rest. NEW YORK is 10-1 OVER L/11 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average score of 224 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 7-0 OVER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 228.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
01-26-18 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 157.5 | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky can score in bunches, but what makes them such a strong team is their ability to play shutdown defense , especially at home where they have allowed an average of just 58 ppg. I'm betting Oakland despite of owning a solid attack, will find their flow curtailed here, which will effect their output which in turn will influence the Total combined score of this tilt to a lower combined score than the lines-makers are estimating. N KENTUCKY is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 141.3 ppg scored.OAKLAND is 10-2 UNDER in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 146.7 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (N KENTUCKY) - a very good team (+8 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 82-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 65\% conversion rate for totals bettors on the blind. CBB Road teams against the total (OAKLAND) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) 66-31 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
01-26-18 | 76ers v. Spurs -3.5 | 97-78 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs are well prepared and very motivated to take on the Philadelphia 76ers tonight at home in the Alamo city. The Spurs have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Sixer's in Pennsylvania, by a 112-106 count , and will have a rested LaMarcus Aldridge ready to get them what they want. Spurs HC Popovich rested Aldridge last time out, in a win at Memphis and now has fresh super star to deploy here this evening. I know Philadelphia is playing good ball at the moment winning 7 of their L/9, and have come a long way from their recent failures, but they are still not an elite team, and do not have the pedigree or experience of their opponents tonight the Spurs. SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS L/20 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game .Spurs are 20-3 SU at home this season. Spurs are 13-0 SU at home L/13 in this series. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 19-44 ATS L/21 seasons for ago against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover
|