Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-27-21 | Bucks v. Hornets +9 | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Charlotte seems to know how to deal with the Bucks and and have beaten twice this season already and despite of the Bucks being in revenge mode are not viable favs here considering they are barely a .500 team on the road dating back to last season, as they are 17-17 away from home and 11-23 ATS L/24 as visitors. CHARLOTTE is 4-0 SU/ against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. The Hornets are 11-0 ATS L/11 10-1 SU off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Borrego is 13-3 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE. Budenholzer is 17-31 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 68-105 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hornets to cover |
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04-27-21 | Islanders -103 v. Capitals | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Isles have lost 2 straight to the Capitals and are now desperate to get back into the win column. With the added incentive of revenge Im betting on the Isles to get back on track here behind what has become a veteran lineup. NY ISLANDERS are 16-6 ATS revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 ATS after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals this season. NHL favorite against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on the Islanders to win |
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04-26-21 | Reds v. Dodgers -180 | 5-3 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP3-0, 2.81 ERA, 26 SO) struck out a career-high 11 over seven innings vs. the Mariners in his last start start. The left-hander has not lost a decision since Aug. 9, 2019, against the D-backs. Risne and repeat again today. The Reds are 0-9 L/9 on the ML when Tyler Mahle starts as a road dog when they lost in his last start. CINCINNATI is 0-6 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. LA DODGERS are 61-18 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts is 67-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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04-26-21 | Rockies v. Giants -163 | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani(RHP1-0, 2.14 ERA, 21 SO ) gave up three runs over four innings in his last start against the Phillies on Wednesday, which was interrupted by a rain delay. He is 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA over four career starts against the Rockies. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-0 against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games over the last 3 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 3 games are 35-6 for a 86% conversion rate. |
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04-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4 | 96-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a cover machine and they have played quite well of late, but this is a bad spot for them here in the thin air of the mile high city as they play their 7th straight road game and are on now exhausted and on tired legs and very suceptiable to a down effort. |
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04-26-21 | Clippers -3.5 v. Pelicans | 103-120 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
The Clippers still have a chance for top seed in the West and Im betting they will be primed to play down the stretch and especially here tonight in revenge mode vs the pesky Pelicans who defeated them 135-113 back in mid march . Note the Clippers this season when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 10 or more points, 5-0 SUATS the last five opportunities and Im betting the 6th straight comes tonight in the Bayou. The explosive Clippers are also 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS away taking on losing sides , including 3-0 SUATS mark when playing with a redemption on their minds. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. are 127-78 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-26-21 | Mariners +155 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Justus Sheffield(LHP1-1, 4.86 ERA, 16 SO)has faced the Astros just once in his career, but was impressive in that outing, holding Houston to one earned run across six innings with four strikeouts last season. He gets the nod here on a value ML offering. Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Mariners are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a loss which was the case last time out. The Mariners are 9-0 L/9 on the ML after they drew 0-1 walks last game. The Mariners were a dog in all 9 games.
MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 99-48 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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04-26-21 | Panthers v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 102 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
The Panthers' Chris Driedger, who made 16 saves on Saturday for his 13th win of 2020-21, has stopped 45 of 46 shots and posted a shutout in two starts against the Predators this season. Nashville's Juuse Saros has 17 wins this season, including one in three starts against Florida (2.66 goals-against average. Im betting on both these goalies to help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. Under is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 road games. Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings. NASHVILLE is 16-4 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 21-8 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 3 seasons. FLORIDA is 7-1 UNDER in road games after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season are 124-67 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-26-21 | Suns -130 v. Knicks | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Knicks have been red hot, winning 8 straight, but tonight Im betting their run comes to an end vs what my rankings suggest is the superior side. The Knicks rank 13th in the league from a SRS perspective with a 1,73 mark, while the Suns rank 4th with a 5.53 which is a huge divergence based on this data. Note: SRS -Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Suns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Suns are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in New York.Suns are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. PHOENIX is 18-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a home underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 9-31 L/24 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 46-101 L/24 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (NEW YORK) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 20-85 L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win/cover |
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04-26-21 | Lakers v. Magic +10 | 114-103 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Lakers style of play bases its success or failures on their ability to play a top tier brand of defense, but against good ball handling sides like Orlando that type of hoops does not really give value to being a DD favorite as they the Lakers. Note: NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - good ball handling team - committing 14 or less turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 7+ less turnovers than opponents are 37-7 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.LA LAKERS are 17-35 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 2-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-26-21 | Cubs v. Braves -180 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Atlantas Charlie Morton(RHP1-1, 3.91 ERA, 27 SO) has felt good about his curveball in both of his previous two starts. The veteran will be pitching with an extra day of rest. He limited the Yankees to one run over six innings on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Zach Davies(RHP)(1-2, 8.80 ERA, 10 SO)Davies has a 12.10 ERA in his past three starts (9 2/3 innings), which includes allowing four runs in four innings to the Braves on April 16. He gave up two runs in four innings vs. the Brewers in his last start on Wednesday and is fade material in his current form. CHICAGO CUBS are 4-11 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. The Cubs are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a road dog of at least +140 after they were shutout last game. Play on the Braves to win |
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04-26-21 | A's v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
As starter Sean Manaea(LHP2-1, 3.04 ERA, 22 SO) has been dominant over his last three starts, going 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA, including a shutout of the Twins his last time out and Im betting that momentum carries on into this tilt, and will be a contributing factor in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. MANAEA is 22-8 UNDER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record) Under is 6-0 in Athletics last 6 on astroturf.Under is 7-1-2 in Athletics last 10 vs. American League East. Under is 9-3-1 in Rays last 13 vs. American League West. Play UNDER |
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04-26-21 | Twins -120 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Twins starter Zach Plesac (RHP1-3, 6.75 ERA, 14 SO) has gotten off to a tough start, taking the loss in three of his first four outings. Although he has issued only two walks and struck out 14 in 18 2/3 innings, opposing hitters are batting .299 against him and is fade material in its current form. Meanwhile, Twins starting hurler Jose Berrios (RHP2-2, 3.00 ERA, 30 SO)leads the Twins' pitching staff with 30 strikeouts in 21 innings this season. He took a tough-luck loss against the A's in his last outing due to a lack of run support despite allowing one run in five innings and get my support in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 5-17 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 4-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Any team (CLEVELAND) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota Twins to win |
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04-26-21 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
Royals Brad Keller(RHP1-2, 12.00 ERA, 9 SO) will look to turn around his season after making it through 1 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Rays. Keller wasn't hit hard, but ran into unlucky plays and walked three. He was tagged for five runs on three hits and his second loss of the season. Meanwhile, Spencer Turnbull despite of being off a good start is winless in six career starts against the Royals, and according to my projections does not matchup well against this opponent. OVER
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04-25-21 | Kings +8.5 v. Warriors | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Two playoff hopefuls dealing with the ramifications of COVID protocols meet Sunday night when the Sacramento Kings visit the Golden State Warriors for a matchup of Western Conference playoff significance. These sides , both looking for a post season, placings will be primed to play hard, but according to my own numbers this line is bloated considering how rested the Kings are and how important this game is. Kings: 6-1 with /3+ days rest . the Warriors are 1-5 as division home favs of 9 points or less. SACRAMENTO is 27-11 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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04-25-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +6.5 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee since March 1 of last season, is just 17-16 SU and 11-22 ATS away. The last time they were visitors was 10 days ago where they did win and cash vs the Hawks, 120- 109. That may have been an aberration as the Bucks are just 9-16 ATS away in non- division games, and 4-12 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Now with revenge on board it must be noted that the Hawks are 6-1 ATS at home with same-season double-digit loss revenge when out look for redemption from two straight losses vs the same side which is the case here tonight. Also the Bucks are just 1-10 ATS off consecutive home games with no rest going against a foe seeking same-season double revenge (exact). MILWAUKEE is 10-22 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons McMillan is 30-12 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more are 69-36 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-25-21 | Suns v. Nets UNDER 233 | 119-128 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
The Suns last time out, looked fatigued from the quick turnaround after playing Philadelphia, were also outr-ebounded 48-38 by the Celtics in 99-86 loss. Im betting that exhaustion will continue permeate today and that they will be more interested in slowing this game down vs the fast paced Nets , to remain competitive which Im betting directly effects the combined score. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 93-39 UNDER L/24 seasons for 71% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-25-21 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Comparing both star4ting pitchers and their bullpens vs the opposing offenses has me recommending we take an under stance here in this spot play. Under is 5-2-1 in Reds last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games following a win. Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in St. Louis. CINCINNATI is 23-8 UNDER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CINCINNATI) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-25-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -179 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Michael Kopech(RHP1-0, 1.69 ERA, 17 SO)Kopech will get his second start of the 2021 season during Sunday's series finale against the Rangers. Kopech takes the place of Lucas Giolito, who was pushed back following a cut to the top of his middle finger. This hurler is one of the most under rated hurlers in the majors according to my power rankings and matches up well vs the Rangers batting order. The White Sox are 24-0 L/24 on the ML as a -125+ favorite after they scored in no more than two separate innings last game. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (TEXAS) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts, cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 9-61 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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04-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Rays +106 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Luis Patino(RHP0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO)The headliner of the Rays' return from the Padres for Blake Snell, Patiño will make his second Major League start in his Rays debut against the Jays. He's stretched out to pitch at least four innings. Lefty Josh Fleming will also pitch for Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, Ryu the Jays starter despite of remaining a top tier pitcher has seen his velocity decrease recently , which might be a troubling scenario that signals some other issues. The Blue Jays are 0-16 L/16 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. TAMPA BAY is 16-4 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 24-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. are 44-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-25-21 | Mariners v. Red Sox -189 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
Nick Margevicius(LHP0-1, 5.40 ERA, 11 SO)is slated to pitch on turn after exiting his last outing early with left arm fatigue. His last start came on one day’s fewer rest than he’s been accustomed to in the six-man rotation. This will be his first career start against the Red Sox and is fafe material vs a batting order that matches up well against him. Note :The Red Sox are 23-0 L/23 on the ML when Bosox starter Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of more than -180.MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 25-108 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.
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04-24-21 | Wolves +11.5 v. Jazz | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The T-Wolves suffered a frustrating last-second 128-125 loss at Sacramento on Wednesday. Towns scored 26 but missed a shot in the final seconds and despite of a not so flattering overall record are playing much more competitive hoops of late and have the ability to hang tough today vs a Utah side that Im sure is over looking them and playing with star Donovan Mitchell;. Note: Jazz are just 1-7 ATS L/8 as 10+ ppg fav vs division at home. Meanwhile, the Wolves are 5-1-1 ATS L/7 in a division road game. Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.Timberwolves are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-24-21 | Marlins +132 v. Giants | 5-2 | Win | 132 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Pablo Lopez(RHP0-2, 3.32 ERA, 25 SO) was the tough-luck loser his last time out on Sunday against the Giants. Though he set a career high with nine strikeouts -- all on the changeup -- across six innings, an unearned run proved to be the difference in the 1-0 defeat. Im betting he keeps the Marlins in this game and they find a way to punch past the Giants tonight.
MIAMI is 22-17 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Play on the Marlins to win |
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04-24-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -163 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Gibson has pitched well for the Rangers this season, but Im betting the way his teams offence has been operating, that he wont be able to win this game on his own. TEXAS is 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (TEXAS) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 7-31 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 7-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White sox to win |
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04-24-21 | Pistons +4.5 v. Pacers | 109-115 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Detroit was very burned out and rested players last time vs San Antonio and took it on the chin, and now a little bit more rested Im betting their ready to compete again. DETROIT is 24-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% ofr more of their shots this season. DETROIT is 11-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. INDIANA is 1-10 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Bjorkgren is 0-10 ATS in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more as the coach of INDIANA. The Pacers are 0-15 ATS L/15 at home after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers last game. Home teams (INDIANA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-24-21 | Capitals v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Islanders and Capitals took part in a play off play off style affair last time out, and the Caps came out on top 1-0 in the shootout after over time decided nothing. Im betting on more of the same here today and for this tilts combined score to stay on the low side of the offered number. NY ISLANDERS are 20-7 UNDER in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-24-21 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Shane Bieber(RHP2-1, 2.45 ERA, 48 SO) has notched 11 or more strikeouts in each of his first four starts, fanning 48 over that stretch. The last time he went head-to-head with Cole was in Game 1 of the 2020 American League Wild Card Series, in which Bieber allowed seven runs in 4 2/3 innings of a loss.BIEBER is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 10.12 and a WHIP of 1.874. Two quality hurlers here, but there is enough efficient offense for this number to be eclipsed. NY YANKEES are 15-4 OVER in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES are 30-11 OVER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (NYY/ CLEVELAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-24-21 | Angels v. Astros -140 | 2-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Astros Jake Odorizzi(RHP)0-2, 10.57 ERA, 11 SO has made two starts since joining the rotation, allowing five runs in 3 1/3 innings April 13 and four runs in 4 1/3 innings on Sunday. He did retire 10 in a row during a stretch Sunday in Seattle with seven strikeouts overall. Despite of his lackluster overall record my power rankings suggest he matches up well vs the Angels batting order.
The Angels are 0-13 ML L/13 past the first game of a series as a dog off a road game in which they had 12+ hits. Play on the Astros to win |
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04-24-21 | Nationals +166 v. Mets | 7-1 | Win | 166 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Nationals matchup well against the Mets starter Stroman. I know Stroman has started hot but he is one of baseballs most inconsistent starters despite of his talents. NY METS are 4-11 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. NY METS are 4-16 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (WASHINGTON) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, a bad team, winning 38% to 46% of their games on the season are 26-11 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Nationals to win |
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04-24-21 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6 | 3-5 | Win | 101 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - DEVAN DUBNYK, ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON COLORADO is 6-0 OVER after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season. ST LOUIS is 13-3 OVER in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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04-24-21 | Pirates v. Twins -192 | 6-2 | Loss | -192 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
The Twins are a bad matchup for the Pirates according to my power rankings. I look for the Twins to tee off on Trevor Cahill (RHP0-2, 9.69 ERA, 17 SO)who allowed five runs in the first inning of Saturday's loss to the Brewers, which was the third time in three Cahill starts this season that an opponent scored in the first. Cahill will look to end that stretch against the Twins. Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 interleague road games.Pirates are 5-23 in their last 28 interleague games. PITTSBURGH is 0-13,against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 12-1 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 21-8 against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Twins are 10-0 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series as a favorite after they scored 3 runs or less and won last game. The Twins are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when Michael Pineda starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-61 5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. Play on the Twins to win |
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04-24-21 | Raptors v. Knicks +1 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
The Knicks seek their first nine-game winning streak in a little over eight years Saturday afternoon when they host the Toronto Raptors and Im betting they get it. TORONTO is 4-12 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Raptors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games. Knicks are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Thibodeau is 22-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW YORK. Thibodeau is 15-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW YORK. Thibodeau is 12-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of NEW YORK. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-24-21 | Devils v. Penguins UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: NEW JERSEY - MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD, PITTSBURGH - TRISTAN JARRY NEW JERSEY is 17-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average combined score clicking in at 5.5 gpg. PITTSBURGH is 15-8 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. PITTSBURGH is 11-3 UNDER in home games off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (NEW JERSEY) - after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-23-21 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Golden State won the last meeting between these teams back on April 12th here 116-107, and matchup well vs the Nuggets. DENVER is 0-8 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. DENVER is 14-23 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-23-21 | Marlins v. Giants UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Sandy Alcantara(RHP0-1, 3.28 ERA, 28 SO)Last Saturday, Alcantara held the Giants scoreless through six innings before things unraveled in a four-run seventh. His stretch of 44 2/3 regular-season frames without allowing a homer ended when Brandon Belt took him deep. Im betting on bounce back here. Meanwhile, Alex Wood(LHP1-0, 0.00 ERA, 4 SO)After pitching five scoreless innings in his debut against the Marlins on Sunday, Wood will again take the mound against Miami -- this time in San Francisco. He allowed just three hits and zero runs in the last meeting.
The Marlins are 0-10 UNDER since Sep 13, 2018 when Sandy Alcantara starts in the regular season after he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start with a combined average of 5 rpg scored and no more than 7 in any of the 10 tilts. ALCANTARA is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN FRANCISCO is 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-23-21 | Cavs v. Hornets -1.5 | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Both team do not inspire bettors but Im betting the Hornets have the edge here a thome. Hornets are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bickerstaff is 6-22 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days as the coach of CLEVELAND. CHARLOTTE is 23-11 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 39-6 L/6 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to win /cover |
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04-23-21 | Clippers -10 v. Rockets | 109-104 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Rockets are in tank mode and not a viable wager here even if some Clipper stars are rested. The Rockets are 0-18 ATS L/18 at home with less than two days rest coming off a 10+ point loss. HOUSTON is 4-15 ATS as a home underdog this season. NBA Home underdogs (HOUSTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game are 24-57 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Clippers to cover |
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04-23-21 | Angels v. Astros -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Zack Greinke(RHP2-1, 2.81 ERA, 16 SO) has three quality starts in four outings, posting a 1.01 WHIP. He threw eight scoreless innings Saturday at Seattle and in his current form deservers respect as a short favorite. GREINKE is 119-63 against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
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04-23-21 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 225.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
Boston has gone under in 10 of their L/15 and will be primed to slow things down vs the high flying run and gun Nets here this evening in revenge mode for a 121-109 loss back in March. This Im betting results in a lower combined score than the offered total. BROOKLYN is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 115-68 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 65-39 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-23-21 | Nationals +260 v. Mets | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Nationals Erick Fedde(RHP1-1, 5.56 ERA, 15 SO) is looking to ride the momentum of recording a career-high-tying nine strikeouts on Saturday against the D-backs. He is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA over his last two starts. FEDDE is 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record)
The Nationals are 11-0 on the ML on the road when they are off two straight one-run wins with 8 wins seeing their opponents core 1 run or less. NY METS are 3-11 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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04-23-21 | Bruins v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo is on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and are in complete disarray especially from a offensive standpoint. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.Under is 5-0-1 in Sabres last 6 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Meanwhile, the Bruins continue to function at a high level as is evident by winning 6 straight games thanks to top strong goaltending and defense which has seen them allow just 6 goals during their current run. With that said, everything points to this being a low scoring affair. BUFFALO is 11-3 UNDER in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 51. gog scored. BOSTON is 14-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 4.6 gpg scored in those 3 games. BOSTON is 10-3 UNDER against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average 4.6 gpg scored. Play Under - Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - after a 3 game unbeaten streak, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (30% or less).are 37-15 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-23-21 | A's -130 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Cole Irvin(LHP1-2, 4.60 ERA, 11 SO)looks to build off what was his best outing since becoming a starter after tossing six scoreless innings with no walks and six strikeouts in a win over the Tigers and gets my support in this spot play here today in Baltimore.
OAKLAND is 11-1 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. OAKLAND is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. HYDE is 6-34 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) as the manager of BALTIMORE MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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04-23-21 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | 2-15 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Cubs Hendricks spun six shutout innings vs. Milwaukee on April 7 and matches up well vs this Brewers batting order. Meanwhile, Anderson the Brewers starter has only has 1 bad inning in the 17 innings he has pitched in this season, and once again looks like a viable pitching opponent. MILWAUKEE is 21-7 UNDER in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 23-7 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 15-3 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-22-21 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Ryan Weathers(LHP)1-0, 0.93 ERA, 10 SO again will start the first game of a series vs. the rival Dodgers. On Friday, he pitched 3 2/3 scoreless innings in his first big league start. He allowed one hit and walked two. He has the tools to go farther here today and control of the Dodgers potent offence. Meanwhile, Dodgers starter Walker Buehler(RHP1-0, 2.00 ERA, 12 SO) has pitched exactly six innings in each of his three starts, allowing two runs or fewer in all three. Against the Padres on Friday, Buehler allowed two runs and struck out four. More of the same pitching action from the top tier veteran is on tape again. Look for both strong bullpens to also help these starters and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the number. BUEHLER is 15-3 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) BUEHLER is 24-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 10-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive home games this season.SAN DIEGO is 8-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive home games this season. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. Play UNDER |
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04-22-21 | Pistons v. Spurs OVER 216 | 91-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
This total is based on a projection prognosis which is based on how both teams matchup against each other . This one is simple, as my number suggests this total should be closer to 219 giving us a full possession of value. The Pistons are 16-0 OVER L/16 as a 8+ point dog after allowed at least 45 points in the paint and being outscored in the paint last game with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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04-22-21 | 76ers +6 v. Bucks | 117-124 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these top tier Eastern Conference sides are coming off losses and on enough rest to have them ready to bounce back here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. Also after watching the Bucks lose a hard fought 128-127 affair to the Suns that ended with a controversial call , Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown state and less than 100% mentally because of this, which gives an advantage to the visitings 76ers. Add to that the Sixers have revenge on board for a loss to the Bucks in their previous matchup and will be motivated to perform at top level. 76ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.n76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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04-22-21 | Suns v. Celtics +3.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Boston catches Phoenix off a hugely emotional 128-127 win last time out vs the Bucks. Thats an advantage for a charged up Celtics team that will be motivated to pull of the upset vs a vulnerable top tier opponent. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 17-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 27-13 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.Stevens is 30-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots as the coach of BOSTON. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-22-21 | Mariners v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Red Sox Nick Pivetta(RHP2-0, 3.68 ERA, 14 SO) has looked fairly decent from a records perspective , but truth is his control is has been lousy and ready to implode after recording 11 walks o far. Meanwhile, the inconsistent Mariners starter Justin Dunn (RHP1-0, 3.72 ERA, 9 SO) was much more in the strike zone in his second start of the season after throwing a career-high eight walks in his debut and is not a viable option for the Yankees vs the Mariners batting order. The Red Sox are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home after they allowed 5+ walks last game. SEATTLE is 15-5 OVER in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. BOSTON is 25-13 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 10.9 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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04-22-21 | Yankees v. Indians -109 | 6-3 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Indians starter Aaron Civale(RHP) 3-0, 2.18 ERA, 16 SO will look to secure his fourth win of the season. Last time out, he permitted just one run on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in six innings against the White Sox on April 15, throwing a season-high 99 pitches. Meanwhile, Yankees starter Domingo German(RHP) (0-2, 9.00 ERA, 7 SO ) Germán will be recalled from the alternate training site, having been demoted after permitting four runs and eight hits in four innings against the Rays on April 10. Germán is fade material in his current form. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks. NY YANKEES are 0-6 \against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. CLEVELAND is 27-4 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 9-30 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-21-21 | Wolves v. Kings -4.5 | 125-128 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Sacramento played last night with the Wolves upsetting the Kings as underdogs, now thoroughly embarrassed Im betting they stop tanking for one night and come out of this with a motivated win. MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Kings to cover |
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04-21-21 | Sharks +238 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. One is comfortable in a play off spot, and the other struggling and probably not going to make the play offs. This is a classic NHL situation and offers value with the visiting team. Sharks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. San Jose to win |
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04-21-21 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 215.5 | 107-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Miami successes and failures are based on how ell they play defence. They rank 3rd in ppg allowed , and just. 26th in ppg offensive output and the 28th ranked pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio ranks 20th in ppg offence, and 12 in ppg defence behind a 15 ranked pace. With that said, the numbers suggest we will get a game that sees a combined score in the lower range of 215 number being offered. .Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. MIAMI is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. The Heat are 0-10 UNDER L/10 going under by more than 20 ppg on average on the road coming off a win. Under is 11-4 in Spurs last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play UNDER |
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04-21-21 | Heat +1 v. Spurs | 107-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
San Antonio have played their worst basketball in the Alamo City as is evident by have notching just 12 victories in their 30 games at home. The Spurs won only twice in a nine-game home-stand from March 22 through April 5 and have dropped four straight in its home building. SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 19-7 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 25-8 ATS L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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04-21-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -2 | 127-137 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks are the real deal and they have chemistry. I know the Hawks are the flashier side, but the Knicks tenacious work ethic sets them apart from alot of mid level competition. NEW YORK is 14-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-21-21 | Rays +102 v. Royals | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Michael Wacha(RHP1-1, 4.20 ERA, 20 SO)is coming off a dominant start against the Yankees in which he struck out nine and allowed just one hit over six innings. He owns a 3-1 record and 3.24 ERA in four career starts in Kansas City and Im betting he helps his team connect on a 3 game sweep of the Royals.Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. TAMPA BAY is 18-3 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-21-21 | Warriors v. Wizards +2 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The NBA's top two scorers will go head-to-head when Curry leads the Warriors into the nation's capital to duel Beal and the Washington Wizards. Wizards take care of business vs side like Golden State as they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Washington has won five in a row and seven of eight and deserve respect here at home vs the Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Brooks is 17-5 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread as the coach of WASHINGTON. NBA team vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 6-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Washington to cover |
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04-21-21 | Predators -119 v. Blackhawks | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Nashville matches up well vs Chicago and have won 6 straight meetings. Rinse and repeat . Predators are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 in the second game of a home-and-home situation. NASHVILLE is 10-0 against the money line against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season.NASHVILLE is 20-4 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Play on the Nashville Predators to win |
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04-21-21 | Rangers +158 v. Angels | 7-4 | Win | 158 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Jose QuintanaLHP0-1, 16.20 ERA, 9 SO has struggled with his command, walking seven in five innings. He allowed seven runs (five earned) in 1 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays in his last start and is big time fade material in his current form. Note: LA ANGELS are 3-9 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games against opponent with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 23-10 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rangers to win |
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04-21-21 | Astros v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Austin Gomber(LHP0-2, 3.52 ERA, 14 SO) held the Dodgers to three runs in six innings in his last start, and was in position for a win. He’s also taken major steps forward with his best pitch, the curveball and fits into a under rated category for me. Meanwhile, Jose Urquidy(RHP0-1, 4.50 ERA, 19 SO) is looking for his first win of the season. He is the only Astros starting pitcher to reach 100 pitches in a game so far this year, throwing 101 pitches April 10 against Oakland. He also fits into the under rated category which makes it an easy decision to take the under here on a value total. COLORADO is 7-0 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. COLORADO is 10-2 UNDER against right-handed starters this season. Under is 9-2-2 in Astros last 13 during game 2 of a series. Under is 23-10-3 in Astros last 36 interleague road games. Play UNDER |
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04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings -3 | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Sacramento ended a 9 game losing streak last time out and now have momentum on their sides vs a Wolves side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games. The Kings also have revenge on board or a 116-106 loss on April 5th. MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 6-18 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Sacramento Kings to win |
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04-20-21 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: TORONTO - JACK CAMPBELL, VANCOUVER - THATCHER DEMKO These teams have had a recent string of playing low scoring affairs , going under in 9 of their L/10 meetings and 5 straight here in Vancouver. A couple of days ago the Canucks took a 3-2 win vs the Buds, and Im betting on more hard core defense to be on tonights agenda. Under is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 overall. TORONTO is 9-2 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. VANCOUVER is 10-4 UNDER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season.Under is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play UNDER |
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04-20-21 | Nets v. Pelicans -2.5 | 134-129 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Pelicans consistently rise to the occasion when playing top tier sides and Im betting on them doing the same again in this tilt. When their 7th ranked ppg offence is hitting on all cylinders any team is susceptible to being beaten including the Brooklyn Nets. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-1 L/24 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans to win |
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04-20-21 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -110 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Eduardo Rodriguez(LHP2-0, 3.60 ERA, 12 SO)Two starts have equaled two wins for Rodriguez, who missed all of 2020 with complications related to COVID-19. Tuesday will mark Rodriguez's first home start of the season; he is 16-6 at Fenway since '18.
RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 14-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 11-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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04-20-21 | Blue Jackets v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - JOONAS KORPISALO, FLORIDA - SPENCER KNIGHT Both these teams are on tired legs after playing last night and in no way be ready to run and gun here this evening. COLUMBUS is 15-4 UNDER in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% worse of chances this season. COLUMBUS is 7-0 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season. COLUMBUS is 10-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.
NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-20-21 | Dodgers v. Mariners OVER 8 | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 57 m | Show | |
Urías is in bad form after allowing five runs (four earned) over six innings Thursday vs. Colorado. In his past two starts, Urías has allowed eight runs (seven earned) over 11 2/3 innings. More of the same negative action here will help the combined score eclipse this total. URIAS is 12-2 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URIAS is 10-0 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URIAS is 11-0 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Play over |
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04-19-21 | Jazz v. Lakers +6.5 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jazz are on tired legs and banged up entering this game playing their 3rd game in 4 days with some key injuries to Donavan Mitchell, and Rudy Gobert who is he plays will be less than 100%. Meanwhile, the Lakers are also missing their two top players Davis and James, but have come together as a team, behind a top tier brand of defense and deserve respect getting points in this spot play. Lakers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Jazz are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 67-102 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-19-21 | Dodgers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Joe Musgrove (RHP2-1, 0.47 ERA, 24 SO) It's Musgrove's first start in San Diego since he became a local hero by authoring the first no-no in franchise history. It's already been an eventful home-stand. Musgrove was honored for his no-no on Friday, then he played left field in extra innings.Meanwhile, Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP)0-0, 2.12 ERA, 19 SO finds the right tempo in his delivery, he pitches like an ace. He fought that throughout his last start against the Cubs, but he still delivered six innings of one-run ball, with one walk and six strikeouts.MILWAUKEE is 13-2 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. Play on the UNDER |
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04-19-21 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
Joe Musgrove (RHP2-1, 0.47 ERA, 24 SO) It's Musgrove's first start in San Diego since he became a local hero by authoring the first no-no in franchise history. It's already been an eventful home-stand. Musgrove was honored for his no-no on Friday, then he played left field in extra innings.Meanwhile, Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP)0-0, 2.12 ERA, 19 SO finds the right tempo in his delivery, he pitches like an ace. He fought that throughout his last start against the Cubs, but he still delivered six innings of one-run ball, with one walk and six strikeouts.MILWAUKEE is 13-2 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. Play on the UNDER |
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04-19-21 | Rangers v. Angels -215 | 6-4 | Loss | -215 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Dylan Bundy(RHP0-1, 3.32 ERA, 22 SO) has been off to a strong start and is coming off a solid outing against the Royals. He gave up two earned runs over seven innings with six strikeouts in a loss. In his current form he is a good bet here even at a higher price than I usually pay. TEXAS is 4-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 17-61 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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04-19-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5 | 137-139 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies beat the Bucks 128-115 in their last contest on Saturday and Im betting they will be in a letdown spot here in the Mile High city tonight. I know the Nuggets are playing through the loss of Jamal Murray, who tore the ACL in his left knee last week and is out for the season. However, Denver has not missed a beat and have won two straight without its point guard and will be highly motivated in this spot play. The Nuggets are 16-11 ATS in 2020-21 when they are at least a 5-point favorite. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Grizzlies are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 11-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-30 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-19-21 | Canadiens v. Oilers -124 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Habs are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and 4th in 6 days. Thats not a good spot for them here in this road environment vs the Edmonton Oilers side that is 7-0 L/7 at home as a favorite. Canadiens are 3-9 in their last 12 road games. Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Canadiens are 2-8 in their last 10 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Play on Edmonton to win |
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04-19-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 128-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Suns were completely asleep at the wheel in their last trip to the hardwood losing a 111-85 decision at home to the Spurs. Could they have been looking ahead to this top tier tilt? Whatever the situation was, Im expecting a rebound here, and special attention played to playing top tier defensive effort. PHOENIX is 17-3 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. The Bucks HC Budenholzer is 111-78 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with the combined average of 208.5 ppg scored. Its obvious both teams can light it up, but top tier D, will be on display tonight in this EAST vs WEST slugfest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-19-21 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 232 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
The Wizards are 0-12-2 UNDER L/14 at home with less than two days rest coming off a home win in which they never trailed. WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 UNDER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-19-21 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 212.5 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
These teams overall numbers might point to a lower scoring type of affair, but from a matchup perspective my projections estimate this total to be closer to 216 giving us a full possesion plus of value for an over wager. Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Pistons and Cavaliers have gone over in their L/9 meetings with a combined average of (227.8 ppg going on the board. ) NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 114-70 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-18-21 | Kings +8.5 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 9 straight games, and could easily be in tank mode. However, their opponent Dallas has also not played all that well of late, losing 4 of their L/6 while failing to cover 5 times. nothing is coming easy for the Mavs of late, and Im betting that will once again be the case tonight. Carlisle is 13-27 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of DALLAS. Kings are 5-1 ATS L/6 at Dallas and have won 3 of their L/4 meetings here the heart of Texas. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS L/11 off a home game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. DALLAS is 1-8 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season. Mavericks are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 107-70 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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04-18-21 | Rockets v. Magic +1 | 114-110 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Magic have revenge on board for an embarrassing 132-90 loss to the Rockets in their season-opener and will be very motivated here today. The Houston Rockets are 8-62 ATS in their last 70 defeats on the road, including 3-39 ATS versus opponents with revenge like the Magic. . HOUSTON is 6-24 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Houston is 1-12 SUATS this season versus non-conference opponents seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 4 or more points . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to win |
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04-18-21 | Braves v. Cubs -132 | 13-4 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Kyle Hendricks(RHP0-1, 3.00 ERA, 10 SO)The Cubs skipped Hendricks' start in Milwaukee earlier this week when the righty reported feeling under the weather. If he continues to improve, he will start against Atlanta on Sunday. Hendricks spun six shutout innings against the Brewers on April 7 and gets my support against them in this spot again. Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Cubs are 71-31 in their last 102 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Chicago cubs to win
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04-18-21 | Tigers v. A's -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Boyd is a strong hurler for Detroit but he does not matchup well vs this As batting order. DETROIT is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 19-4 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 31-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 9-1 against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 19-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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04-18-21 | Blue Jays v. Royals -109 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Jays starter Ray according to my projections does not matchup well vs the Royals lineup. RAY is 15-30 against the money line in day games since 1997. KANSAS CITY is 23-17 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 77-42 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Royals to win |
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04-18-21 | Pelicans +1 v. Knicks | 112-122 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
NYK have been playing some strong hoops of late, but New Orleans matchup well according to my power rankings vs the Knicks and have the added incentive of revenge here for a loss they suffered at home last week to their hosts today. NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 85-104 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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04-18-21 | Pacers v. Hawks UNDER 234.5 | 117-129 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
Atlanta runs a fairly methodical offense despite of their reputation, ranking 24th in the NBA in pace and only rank 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but have still seen the Under get notched in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Which tells me they play differently against these type of teams, and or are forced into slowing down vs sides that know taking the Pacers flow away will be advantageous. Im betting this stronger than expected Hawks side will find a way to slow this game down to a pace that is manageable. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 22-10 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-14 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-18-21 | Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 4-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.887. NOLA is 29-14 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)NOLA is 24-10 UNDER as a favorite of -150 or more in his career. (Team's Record) Under is 11-5-1 in Cardinals last 17 games as an underdog. Play UNDER |
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04-18-21 | Rays v. Yankees -225 | 4-2 | Loss | -225 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Gerrit Cole RHP(2-0, 1.47 ERA, 29 SO)In his last start, Cole settled in after a rocky beginning to retire the final 15 batters he faced in a 3-1 win over the Blue Jays. Keep in mind that Cole has a 1.52 ERA in nine starts with catcher Kyle Higashioka, including the playoffs, and thats the expected pairing here today. BOONE is 53-18 against the money line in home games after a loss as the manager of NY YANKEES.BOONE is 32-11 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 4-31 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the Yankees to win |
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04-18-21 | Capitals v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
BOSTON is 24-11 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Home teams where the total is 5.5 (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored are 52-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-17-21 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 227 | 111-85 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This totals projection to the over is based on head to head matchup stats as compared to current defensive postures and the systems and form being implemented by both sides. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games. Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a home favorite. SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 OVER in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11 going over by more than 15 ppg with rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field with the average combined score clicking in at 242 ppg. PHOENIX is 11-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 32-10 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-17-21 | Grizzlies v. Bucks UNDER 237 | 128-115 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on March 4th they combined to put 223 points on the board in a Bucks 112 -111 win vs the Grizzlies. My projections in rematch estimate a combined score that is in the 233 range which gives us a more than 1 possession advantage. After playing last night the Grizzlies will not have the legs to run with the explosive Bucks, so instead I look for a concerted effort in transition that will slow this game down enough for a more muted score than many might expect. It must be noted that the Bucks rank 7th in defensive rating and the Grizzlies 8th.: Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions) Under is 19-7 in Grizzlies last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4 in Grizzlies last 13 games as an underdog.Under is 19-7 in Grizzlies last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4 in Grizzlies last 13 games as an underdog. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average fo 217 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 209.1 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored in those 34 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 46-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 60-21 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-17-21 | Grizzlies +8 v. Bucks | 128-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the NBA and deserve respect here vs a Bucks side that is 0-9 ATS L/9 vs Southwest division sides. I know Memphis played yesterday and may not be ready to run and gun in this spot, they do have the weapons needed to be competitive. Note: The Grizzlies are 6-1 L/7 ATS with no rest vs non conference opposition. MILWAUKEE is 7-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS versus teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS in non-conference games this season. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-17-21 | Dodgers v. Padres +110 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Yu Darvish(RHP1-0, 3.06 ERA, 19 SO), who was catch partners with Clayton Kershaw during their 2017 stint together in L.A., faces off against his former teammate. He's been excellent in his past two outings, allowing one run on three hits in each of those starts and gets my support here on a value line at home. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.. ROBERTS is 49-62 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of LA DODGERS.Play on the San Diego Padres to win
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 228.5 | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
These two teams according to my projections will take part in a fairly physical affair that will see the combined score stay under this total. Golden State ranks 9th in defensive efficiency in the NBA while Boston is 10th in ppg allowed and 21st in pace. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the board. GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 20-10 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. GOLDEN STATE is 21-11 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 12-4 in Warriors last 16 road games. Warriors: 0-10 UNDER L/10 vs the Celtics . Celtics: 1-8 UNDER at home in 1/1 rest. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 33-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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04-17-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 6-1 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Dane Dunning(RHP1-0, 1.00 ERA, 11 SO)The rookie looks to continue his early season dominance. After giving up a home run in his first inning of 2021, Dunning has pitched eight scoreless innings and garners support here in his current form.TEXAS is 6-1 against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons.Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series. Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East. Rangers are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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04-17-21 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 2-6 | Win | 105 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Erick Fedde(RHP0-1, 8.53 ERA, 6 SO) continues to step up in the starting rotation while Jon Lester ramps up. This will be his third start of the season. On Monday, Fedde held the Cardinals to one run on two hits and two walks over 4 2/3 innings. Meanwhile,Luke Weaver(RHP ,1-0, 2.13 ERA, 11 SO) had one of his finest outings since early in the 2019 season last time out against the Reds. He carried a perfect game into the sixth and a no-hitter into the seventh before settling for seven one-hit shutout innings and enters this game in top form.ARIZONA is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.LOVULLO is 33-18 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of ARIZONA.Under is 8-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 vs. National League West. Play UNDER |
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04-17-21 | Capitals v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
The Capitals have allowed 1 goal or less in 4 of their L/7 games, while the Flyers are a hot or miss type side when it comes to puck stopping. The Caps have looked explosive offensively of late, but that will make the Flyers even more aware of their defensive play especially after being humiliated 6-1 the last time these teams met. I now have this game pegged to remain on the low side of the total because of the countervailing view of how this afternoon game plays out. PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 UNDER in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, off a road win by 1 goal are 22-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-16-21 | Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: VEGAS - ROBIN LEHNER, ANAHEIM - JOHN GIBSON Anaheim and Vegas in their L/2 meetings this season have seen a total of 6 goals scored and Im betting another close low scoring game in this spot play. ANAHEIM is 6-0 UNDER in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less this season. ANAHEIM is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 UNDER in home games against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 season NHL team against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more.are 38-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-16-21 | Knicks +5.5 v. Mavs | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Mavs are tired and I suspect their conditioning is not good, as Cuban and company complain about the condensed schedule. Tonight against a NYK side that has won 4 straight and covered 7 straight Im betting they are in trouble, as the Knicks have the added motivation of revenge for a loss they suffered at home earlier this season to the Mavs. DALLAS is 5-14 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Mavs are 1-6 ATS as non-conf favs of 2 or more pts vs opposition with revenge. The Knicks are 13-0 ATS covering by more than 15 ppg after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home favorites (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 57-97 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-16-21 | Twins +111 v. Angels | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Andrew HeaneyLHP1-1, 7.00 ERA, 13 SOHeaney bounced back from a rough season debut to throw six scoreless innings against the Blue Jays on Friday. He scattered three hits and two walks, while striking out nine. But in this matchup vs the Twins my power rankings suggest he does matchup well vs the Twins batting order. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record and are 5-0 L/5 meetings vs the Halos. LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. BALDELLI is 24-14 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of MINNESOTA. Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-16-21 | Grizzlies v. Bulls OVER 220 | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Grizzlies will score at least 115 +points here tonight while the Bulls will put up 109+ points , which gives us a full possession value on this total to the over. MEMPHIS is 24-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 25-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.The Grizzlies are 11-0 OVER L/11 eclipsing the number by more than 16+ ppg off a game as a dog in which they had at least 30% of their points on three-pointers.Jenkins is 17-4 OVER in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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04-16-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -118 | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Jorge LopezRHP(0-2, 11.42 ERA, 9 SO) last start, vs. the Red Sox, he was hurt by two home runs, and he struggled with walks in the prior outing (April 5). All told, the righty has allowed 11 runs over his first two starts, striking out nine and is fade material in his current form. TEXAS is 21-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons . MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 12-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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04-16-21 | Thunder +3.5 v. Pistons | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Thunder maybe tanking but there is still some pride left among this young side, and Im betting they will be motivated to get revenge vs a Pistons side that beat them 132-108 at home 10 or so ago at home. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Thunder are 13-2 ATS away vs .400 or less opposition while the Pistons: 0-6 as home favs vs a side that is an under .500 side. OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-16-21 | Flames v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: CALGARY - JACOB MARKSTROM, MONTREAL - JAKE ALLEN Play OVER |
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04-15-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is off beating up two lower tier teams the Orlando Magic and Minnesota Wolves and are now playing back to back road games which means their not that fresh . Meanwhile, the well conditioned Hawks are not a team that should be disrespected as they have won 7 of their L/8 overall and out to prove their worthiness and will be motivated to grab a straight up win . Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and despite of their top tier status dont deserve to be this much of a favorite . Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off an upset win as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |