Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The Angels will be primed for a redemption performance today after blowing a big lead to the Blue Jays yesterday and finally succumbing in extra innings by a 12-11 count. Washingtons starting hurler CORBIN is 2-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this run line offering. CORBIN is 4-25 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at -3.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (WASHINGTON) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 10-61 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Angels -1.5 runline |
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04-10-23 | Royals v. Rangers -165 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Royals enter this game against Texas with a 41-88 record in their last 129 vs. American League West and are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series. Royals are also 16-35 in their last 51 road games and are fade material here at Texas tonight. Meanwhile, the Rangers , are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Greinke and are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Rangers are also 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and according to my projections have multiple edges in this tilt. Rangers starter HEANEY is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.887. KANSAS CITY is 2-15 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base. Play on Texas |
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04-10-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My projections make this a very close game, with strong value attached to taking the plus goals on the puck-line. It must be noted that the L/4 most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 1 goal. BUFFALO is 6-2 ATS in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against this season . BUFFALO is 6-3 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season. BUFFALO is 5-1 ATS in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. BUFFALO is 11-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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04-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -120 | 12-11 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My power rankings suggest Kikuchi the Blue Jays expected starter does not matchup well vs the LA Angels batting order. KIKUCHI is 4-12 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). KIKUCHI is 1-6 against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.61 and a WHIP of 2.222. Meanwhile, Blue Jays are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos starter Detmers. Detmers pitched at a top tier level in his lone start against the Jays , allowing just four hits and no runs in 5 plus innings while striking out five batters. Rinse and repeat situation on board. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. The Angels have won four of their last seven games and are in a groove offensively, scoring 16 runs in their last four trips to the diamonds. Play on LA Angels to win |
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04-09-23 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My projections expect a total combined score of 9+ runs here giving us value with an over wager. Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Giants expected starter A. Desclafani. Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-1 in Royals last 9 road games. Over is 11-3 in Royals last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5 in Royals last 20 interleague games. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. KAPLER is 21-6 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 40-12 OVER L/26 seasons. Play over |
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04-09-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +17 | 157-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Warriors mission will be to stay as healthy as possible entering the play offs and I wont be at all surprised if they rest alot of key players as this game proceeds giving us an edge with the home dog. GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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04-09-23 | Mariners v. Guardians +117 | 6-7 | Win | 117 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
In the series finale, right-hander George Kirby (0-1, 8.31 ERA) gets the start for Seattle. The Guardians counter with right-hander Zach Plesac who is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.533. These teams have played each other 6 times already this season, with Seattle winning 3 of 4 in Seattle. Now here in Cleveland the Mariners took the first two games of the series, but now Im betting on a bounce back scenario for the Guardians. FRANCONA is 36-14 (against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of CLEVELAND. CLEVELAND is 27-9 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 95-36 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-09-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers +106 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Red Sox will send right-hander Kutter Crawford (0-1, 15.75 ERA), who was battered in his season debut by Pittsburgh on Monday, giving up seven runs in four innings . My early season power rankings suggest he does not matchup well here vs the Tigers batting order. Advantage to the Tigers. HINCH is 19-12 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. Boston pounded Motown yesterday 14-5) Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing recordTigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home game. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-09-23 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 105-121 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
The Bucks will be resting almost the entire core of their team, and Im betting that they will instead concentrate on playing a conservative defensive minded game behind a coaching staff that recognizes the importance of being disciplined in transition entering post season play. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. Also with a depleted lineup last time out the Bucks allowed the Grizzlies to pound down 137 points, they will be more aware here defensively in this spot play vs the Toronto Raptors who could also rest a big portion of their team.Under is 10-4 in Bucks last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 11-3 in Raptors last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Play UNDER |
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04-08-23 | Avalanche -118 v. Kings | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
The defending Stanley cup champion Avalanche have won 12 of their past 14 games to climb into a tie for first with the Dallas Stars atop the Central Division standings and in their current form look like. a team on a mission with huge momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, LA after a hot run, have cooled off thanks to a boatload full of injuries and have now lost 4 of their L/6 games. It must be noted that the Avs have the added incentive of revenge for a 5-2 loss suffered at home to the Kings back on March 9th. COLORADO is 15-3 ATS in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season.COLORADO is 12-2 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on Avs to win |
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04-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
LAA southpaw starter ANDERSON is 16-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and according to my early season power rankings matches up well here vs the Jays.ANDERSON is 25-10 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 14-22 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Note:Anderson was 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and named to the All-Star team for the first time in his career last year with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jays starter BERRIOS is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 1.598. Berrios (0-1, 12.71 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays after a poor performance in his first start of the season. Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West. Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Advantage LA Angels to win |
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04-08-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 8-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter DAVIES is 12-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 16-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 during game 3 of a series. Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bolts have a play off spot wrapped up and right now they are more interested in staying healthy than garnering wins as post season play approaches. What Im betting the Bolts are interested in, however, is to be more conservative in transition, and to focus more on good defensive fundamentals after allowing 6 goals in two straight games. Because of this Im expecting a concerted effort on D from the Lightning and for a Ottawa side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 4 straight and 7 of their L/10 to struggle to score goals. This combination will Im betting result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gg going on the scoreboard. OTTAWA is 26-13 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Yankees v. Orioles +118 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Baltimore is one of the American Leagues most under rated teams, and thanks to what has been so far an explosive offense look to be underrated in this spot play vs the NYY. Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Irvine and with my early season power rankings suggesting he has an edge against this NYY batting order especially with Josh Donaldson expected to miss. Im also betting on this hardcore offense of the Orioles having a good day against a rookie hurler in Brito. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-08-23 | Wolves v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | 151-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Minnesota has been off since Tuesday, and will have plenty of energy to run and gun here tonight vs what is usually a poor Spurs defense ranked last in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The Spurs are off 129-127 win vs Portland last time out and run the 2nd ranked pace in the NBA and Im betting on more wide hoops tonight against a fresh Wolves side. Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 35-16 in Timberwolves last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-4 in Spurs last 14 games following a straight up win. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in San Antonio. Play on the over |
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04-08-23 | Royals v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Royals right-hander Brady Singer (1-0, 1.80 ERA)Im betting will duplicate his effort in a 9-5 home victory over the Toronto Blue Jays this past Monday. He worked the first five innings, allowing the Jays to one run on two hits. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Manaea will be making his first home start since joining the Giants as a free agent in December and Im also betting he will be primed to compete.Under is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Note: KC has scored 3 or less runs in 4 straight and 5 of 8 games and have already been shutout 3 times. SF has been shutout twice already this season and scored 3 or less runs in 4 of 7 games. More offensive struggles look imminent today, Play under |
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04-07-23 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 225.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won a season-high seven straight games entering this meeting against the Lakers, and Im betting will push the home team hard today in a tilt I have pegged to be a back forth event that will see aggressive offensive action. With this being a back to back situation for the Suns Im sure they wont get physical and their defense positioning will suffer. I do also expect the Lakers James and Anthony to suit up despite of being questionable . The Lakers are trying to avoid playing play in game so all decks should be on the agenda tonight. the most recent meeting in this series sae a combined 233 points scored. Rinse and repeat . Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games. Play over |
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04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 225 ppg giving us almost a two two full possession edge on an under wager cashing. DALLAS is 12-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. NBA team (DALLAS/CHICAGO) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 28-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DALLAS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 36-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Colorado shutout Washington yesterday 1-0 and another low scoring game is my forecast here today . Colorados starter URENA is 16-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Colorado has not scored more than 4 runs in 6 straight games. Washington has scored 2 or less runs in 5 of their 7 games this season. COLORADO is 11-0 UNDER after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. ( the combined score of these games were all well below this offering) Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League East. COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Yankees v. Orioles +108 | 6-7 | Win | 108 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
The Orioles have 11 home runs so far this season -the same amount as the Yankees -- and their 34 runs scored are five more than the Yankees' total. So from a offensive perspective the Orioles must not be discounted here as underdogs. Im betting that they get a decent start from Kremer today, which put them in a great spot to cash a underdog ticket for us. KREMER is 14-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 94-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers going against each other for the second time this season. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings in the first meeting. Im betting we see them continue their successes here today and for both bullpens to stand tall in support.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road gamesUnder is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days .NY METS are 13-3 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders -145 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
The Islanders need this win desperately if they want to remain in the hunt for a play-off spot. With Tampa already having clinched a play off spot Im betting they will rest some players and not be extremely motivated and on tired legs after playing last night. Advantage Isles. TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days this season. Play on NY Islanders to win |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | 129-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
As Philadelphia prepares for a play off run, they have begun to hone their defensive skills and are not not running and gunning like they were during their mid season portion of their so far successful campaign. Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the NBA in ppg allowed. the last time the 76ers played the Heat back on March 1st the held the Heat to just 96 points. MIAMI is 10-2 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210.3 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Heat have gone Under in 4 straight road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games. Im betting on another lower scoring affair in this spot play. Spoelstra in 280 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI has seen a combined average score of 202.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this Totals offering. The L/4 meetings in this series have also seen one of these teams not eclipse the 100 point plateau. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), in April games are 94-50 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-05-23 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | 131-138 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Pelicans played last night, and Im betting dont have the legs to get the cover here vs a Memphis side that is being under rated on this line offering. NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Pelicans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 40-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-05-23 | Nets -10.5 v. Pistons | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Detroits season has been abysmal as is evident by a 16-62 SU record and have now lost 9 straight . Their biggest problem has been a lack of shooting consistency as they convert just 45.4% from the floor, which is 30th in the league. Tonight against Brooklyn Im betting the tanking Pistons are in trouble. Note: Pistons are 1-8 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Brooklyn lost 107-102 to Minnesota last night, as it snapped a three-game home winning streak , but now need to rebound quickly as they stay in the hunt for play in spot into the post season. Full effort here tonight is the prognosis against a proverbial dead corpse Pistons side playing with no emotion. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-05-23 | Knicks v. Pacers +8.5 | 138-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Indiana has nothing to play for but pride, since their play off hopes are gone. However it must be noted the the Pacers are 15-8-1 ATS home dog this season . On the flip -iside NYK has played top tier basketball of late, but Im betting missing star Julius Randle will eventually effect their flow. With that said, I expect a well rested Pacers group that are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest will be primed to compete. NYK have covered only 3 of their L/8 overall. Pacers have covered 2 straight. Pacers to cover |
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04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Cleveland bats are currently on fire and have brought 18 runs across the plate in their L/2 games, and Im betting they light up As starter Muller here today which gives us an a pronounced edge to the over.Note: Oakland has allowed 31 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds. These teams took part in a 12-11 slugfest and Im betting on not of lot of regression in this meeting. Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Over is 4-0-2 in Athletics last 6 vs. American League Central. Over is 6-0-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the over |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees OVER 7 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Two quality right handed pitchers Cole (NYY )and Nola for Philadelphia go head to head against two quality offensive lineups. Both teams hit righties well and even the best of pitchers in this league would have problems with these batting orders. Im expecting a decent offensive utput by these sides today in a game that I pegged to eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. COLE is 25-11 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 15-1 OVER L/16 vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-10 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game are 79-38 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-04-23 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Sharks | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
With just over a week left in the regular season, the playoff fate of the Colorado Avalanche is still unknown, but one thing that is know is that they need to keep picking up wins. With the previously injured Lehkonen and Landeskog who are top-six forwards retuning to the lineup they have a strong chance of doing just that against the San Jose Sharks this Tuesday night.SAN JOSE is 8-27 ATS in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.COLORADO is 13-3 ATS in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season. Play on Colorado -1.5 puckline |
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04-04-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -3.5 | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
The Bulls (38-40) are four games ahead of their closest rival for the final spot in the play-in, but are not yet officially part of the field. Chicago can get into the play offs withj one more victory or one Orlando Magic loss.A victory vs the Hawks would be an important one though, as the Bulls would secure the season-series tiebreaker over the Hawks . With Hawks star Trae Young dealing with an illness the Hawks are at a disadvantage vs a motivated side playing at home. Note: The Hawks have not win back to back games since early March ( they coincidentally won last time out) Hawks are 18-41 ATS in their last 59 games following a straight up win. Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Chicago beat Atlanta at home back in January by a 111-100 count. Play on Chicago to cover |
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04-04-23 | Celtics +2.5 v. 76ers | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Celtics won the first two head-to-head meetings by nine and seven points, respectively and matchup very well vs the Sixers .Mazzulla is 14-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 24-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Celtics are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON is 24-9 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 16-5 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-04-23 | Wolves v. Nets +1 | 107-102 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota has lost 3 straight while /Brooklyn has won 3 straight. Both teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Ill ride with the hotter team on their own home court. Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS in non-conference games this season. Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 2-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-04-23 | Bucks -12.5 v. Wizards | 140-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington is expected to be without leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis ( 23.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game) and Bradley Beal who averages 23.2 points per game. With little left to play. for the wizards I will not be surprised by a big double digit win by the Bucks here against a short handed side. MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at+13.5 ppg. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 which easily qualifies on this current ATS offering. |
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04-04-23 | Cavs v. Magic +5 | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
The Magic come into this tonights meeting with the Cavaliers in top form, as is evident by winning five of six since March 21, and six of eight since March 18. Cleveland has proven to be a top tier team this season, but the Magic must not be disrespected as home dogs. ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Orlando is the Eastern Conference's sole team outside of the top 10 not yet eliminated from the play-in race so Im betting they play all out hoops tonight. ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. I know the Cavs have won both meetings in this series this season with the last back in December , but it must be noted that NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Orlando is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings at home in this series. Play on Orlando to cover |
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04-04-23 | Twins +130 v. Marlins | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Marlins starting pitcher today ALCANTARA despite of being one of MLBs top hurlers is just 5-17 against the money line vs. teams like the Twins outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ALCANTARA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 13.49 and a WHIP of 2.355. The Twins have won 4 straight out of the gate this season and deserve respect here as road dogs. vs a Miami side that has lost 4 of their first 5 home tilts. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter dating back to last season. Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 interleague home games.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series. MIAMI is 20-46 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-29 ( against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
The Padres send Yu Darvish to the hill this afternoon vs the DBacks. The right hander finished eighth in the 2022 Cy Young voting and matches up well here according to my early season power rankings. DARVISH is 12-0 UNDER ( when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 4.6 rpg scored. Arizona's Zac Gallen, who finished fifth in the 2022 Cy Young race goes for the Dbacks. He has struggled of late in the spring and his opener, but he matches up well vs the Padres batting order.Gallen, who went. 12-4 in 31 starts last season with a 2.54 ERA, a league-leading 0.913 WHIP and a .186 opponents' batting average. Im betting both hurlers go fairly deep today and both bullpens stand tall behind them when need be. Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn does everything better than San Diego State according to my power rating projections. Big East teams are 7-1 ATS in the championship round game. CONNECTICUT is 15-0-1 ATS after a non-conference game this season and are 15-0 SU and 14-0-1 ATS in non conference tilts this season. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after 2 straight close wins by 3 points or less against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. UConn to cover |
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04-03-23 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Nashville has played strong defense of late allowing 3 goals or less in 6 of their L/7 games overall and after a 6-1 blowout win vs the Blues last time out Im now betting their top tier defensive posture continues and for them to regress offensively here today vs Dallas which will give us an edge on a under bet cashing. Note: NASHVILLE is 9-0 UNDER in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.NASHVILLE is 8-1 UNDER off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Under is 8-3 in Stars last 11 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game Also the Stars are on tired legs . . Under is 20-8-1 in Stars last 29 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Under is 33-14-4 in Stars last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have seen 5 combined goals or less go on the board, with one of those game seeing 6 combined goals go on the board. Rinse and repeat to the under. Play on the under |
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04-03-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox -147 | 7-6 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
In the first series of the season vs Baltimore, The Red Sox restructured batting order looked like it would be an explosive offensive group and that what it was . The offense scored nine runs in each of the first three games and now with momentum on their sides look like a side on a mission here vs the light hitting Pirates today. Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 home games. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 11-37 against the money line in road games against AL East opponents since 1997. Pirates are 8-26 in their last 34 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 7-24 in their last 31 interleague road games. SHELTON is 3-21 against the money line in road games when playing on Monday as the manager of PITTSBURGH. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 48-17 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play on Red Sox to win |
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04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Its never easy playing in the high altitudes of the the Mile High city, but for a poor traveling side like Golden State a house of horrors could easily await them. The Nuggets according to my projections also matchup very well against the Warriors as was the case the last time these teams met back on Feb 2nd when the Nuggets procured a 134-117 victory. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. I know Denver looked lethargic last time out in a loss but they are a resilient group and playing a top tier group of Warriors should have them motivated to get redemptionDENVER is 10-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3. GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATSin road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the average ppg diff registering at -8.9. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff registering at -10.2. GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 45-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 15-41 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS . MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on Pacers to cover |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on March 13 Oklahoma City grabbed a 124-120 win, but Im betting we do not reach the combined plateau in this tilt. It must be noted that the Suns are currently playing a top tier brand of defensive basketball, as is evident by allowing 105, 103, 100, and 93 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood and will now not deviate from that strong transitional posture, making for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. It must also be noted that PHOENIX is 21-9 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 16-5 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 46-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Atlanta took out Dallas 130-122 last time they met in Jan on the 18th. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Mavs will in the rematch will not try to run and gun again against the Hawks, and Im betting will instead be more conservative in transition. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS/ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 26-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-02-23 | Mets -114 v. Marlins | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
New York Mets right-hander Kodai Senga is set to make his major league debut on Sunday when he faces the Miami Marlins and Im betting he gives the edge on the mound to the Mets with an extremely motivated effort. Meanwhile, Trevor rogers the Marlins starter has seen his side lose his L/3 starts vs the Mets and Im betting that run continues. Rogers struggled against right-handed batters last year, allowing them to hit .299 with an .886 OPS : the Mets matchup well in that category. ROGERS is 4-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Marlins are 11-28 in their last 39 vs. National League East. Mets are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami. Play on NY Mets to win |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Thee teams can light up the board, but in this type of game defense is what will bring home the victory. Im betting on a grueling physical defensive event that will remain on the low side of the total. Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored. MIAMI is 15-6 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 140.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored. - Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 23-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CONNECTICUT) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 178-012 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-01-23 | Devils -1.5 v. Blackhawks | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks enter this game in what some might consider tank mode losing 7 straight trips to the ice by 2 goals or more. Here tonight against the visiting Devils Im betting on another ugly effort as this team does not seem very enthusiastic about putting forward a cohesive work ethic. I know the Devils have also not been playing all that well, but they now have a opportunity to gain momentum with a top tier effort vs a sub par side and Im betting they will be primed to play. CHICAGO is 7-36 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on NJ Devils -1.5 puckline |
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04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Both Dallas and Miami are in a funk right now despite of having talented rosters. The Heat has lost 3 straight while, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6. Both are desperate for wins , but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker in this head to head tilt. DALLAS is 6-18 ATS in non-conference games this season. Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-4 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -2.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. San Diego State showed me they are a team that deserves a championship appearance after taking out a highly talented Alabama Crimson Tide program in this tournament. The Aztecs determination, and veteran presence along with a top tier defense first posture suits them well against a side like Florida Atlantic. The Aztecs have 16-3 record in non-conference play this season.Aztecs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Aztecs are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. SAN DIEGO ST is 12-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games this season. Dutcher is 18-4 ATS after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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04-01-23 | Twins -146 v. Royals | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-01-23 | Blue Jays v. Cardinals +120 | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Flaherty was 2-1 with 4.25 ERA last season in nine appearances (eight starts), after recovering from a shoulder injury. He was 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 2021, but he was limited to 17 appearances (15 starts) by an oblique strain that season. He is now said to be as healthy as he has been in a few years and is ready for a rebound. Quote: "At the end of the day, we are counting on him to be a dude," Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said. "And he has prepared in a way to do exactly that." END Quote. Toronto's starter GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.482. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TORONTO) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 17-32 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis Cards |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Ray In 32 games last season procured a 12-12 record and had a 3.71 ERA and a 1.190 WHIP.He ranked 31st in ERA (3.71), 31st in WHIP (1.190), and 10th in K/9 (10.1) among qualified pitchers in the majors last year and according to my early season power rankings matches up well vs this Guardians batting order. Ray is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career appearances against Cleveland, including three starts. On the flipside I know Gaddis does not inspire the same confidence in being able to curb the Mariners bats , but he is under rated according to my projections and should do just fine here and if he falters he has the benefit of having the backing of a viable bullpen, Everything points to a lower scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 6-1-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 12-3 in Guardians last 15 during game 2 of a series. Under is 13-3 in Mariners last 16 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle. Play UNDER |
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03-31-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -175 | 2-1 | Loss | -175 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Dodgers blasted the Dbacks last night 8-2 in the opening game in this series and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario in game 2. Dodgers are 41-10 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. DBacks starter Kelly, was 13-8 last season with a 3.37 ERA in 33 starts. In his recent starts with Team USA he went 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA. Kelly does not have a victory against the Dodgers in 12 career starts, garnering a 0-9 record along with a 5.97 ERA over 63 1/3 innings and Im betting his less than stellar starts vs the Dodgers will continue today. Rinse and repeat as the Dodgers win for the 18th time in the L/21 meetings in this series. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
You have heard of slugfest , well this tilt Im betting wont be one of them. Get ready for a Sleepfest instead between to team with nothing left to play for other than a strong draft choice. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Pistons last 7 road games. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 lower tier teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 27-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DETROIT) - in a game involving two lower tier defensive teams (118 PPG or more) are 64-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Knicks will be without key offensive cog Randle as they look to officially clinch a playoff spot Friday night. Im betting the Knicks clinching a play off spot tonight will be derailed for now vs a Cleveland side that matches up well against them according to my current power rankings. The Cavs rank 2nd in the NBA in SRS with a 5.52 mark, while NYK are ranked 7th with a 2.93 . Factoring in home court advantage the Cavs according to my projections should be -6 point favs giving us decent value laying 4 points or less. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-31-23 | Rangers v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Rangers have not allowed more than 3 goals in game in 12 straight games, and Im betting that those strong defensive numbers remain intact tonight vs a Sabres side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 5 of their L/6 trips to the ice. The last time these teams played the Rangers won a tightly contested 2-1 contest and according to my projections another lower scoring tilt must be expected. Note : The L/2 meetings here in Buffalo were 2-1 results favoring the Rangers. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NY RANGERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season are 37-15 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 42-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Buffalo. Play UNDER |
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03-30-23 | Guardians +108 v. Mariners | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Seattle really had Cleveland's number last year, winning six of their seven matchups in a home-and-home split down the stretch. But most of those games were incredibly close, headlined by their final matchup in what became a weather-impacted matinee and now Im betting on things turning around starting tonight/ Clevelands starter BIEBER is 21-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 5-13 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)Current Cleveland batters own an .838 OPS against him. CLEVELAND is 24-13 against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. Guardians dating back to last season are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West. Play on Cleveland to win on the ML ( Late Steam) |
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03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas OVER 127.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Blazers are yet again one of the highest scoring teams in the country under Andy Kennedy and have successfully in their two most recent meetings this season been able to force N.Texas into opening up as is evident by a 76-69 Neutral court win last time they met in the Conference play offs, and their last regular season game that saw N.Texas procure a 82-79 victory. Both these teams are solid at the charity stripe, which is key to this over bet. UAB is 9-1 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game this season. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (N.TEXAS/UAB) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game).are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-30-23 | Blues v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Blues have average 6 gpg in 3 straight and enter into this tilt with offensive momentum against a sub par defensive side that has allowed 4.4 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. Im betting on the Blues lighting up the Blackhawks in this one and to continue their current onslaught. Meanwhile, the Blues in wide open fashion have allowed 12 goals in their L/2 games and 3 goals or more in 5 straight and Im betting that the fast asleep Blackhawks find holes that are not always available to them which makes this a viable over wager.
ST LOUIS is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. CHICAGO is 5-0 OVER after 6 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or better goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 35-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 37-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season/4th in defensive efficiency and rank 18th in pace, while the Bucks rank 3rd in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams can score in bunches but in this type of affair between two of the top teams in the NBA a more conservative defensive minded approach must be expected especially with the play offs around the corner. Also the Bucks played last night in run gun fashion posting 149-136 win so instant offensive regression and tired legs vs a strong defensive side will effect their aggressiveness here and overall output giving us an edge on a under wager. Under is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 games playing with no rest. Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. MILWAUKEE in 57 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 18 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored. Under is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON in 18 road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams are 31-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Im not a big believer in the tank mode concept but the Spurs are exhibiting a lack of competitive spirit of late losing 4 straight by DDs, and not eclipsing the 94 point plateau on offense in 3 of those games. I know Utah has also lost 4 straight, but now in desperation mode as they seek a play in spot against a side that they have the added incentive of revenge against Im betting the Jazz have a break out game and notch a win as road favs. (Note: San Antonio beat Utah 102-94 as road dogs back in Feb 28th) SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more this season SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 13-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Clippers always seem to play a more aggressive offensive style on the road, and Im betting nothing changes tonight against their hosts their explosive hosts the Memphis Grizzlies. Over is 21-8 in Clippers last 29 road games. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.(Beat the Bulls 124-112 last time out) Over is 18-7-1 in Grizzlies last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 overall. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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03-29-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Knicks | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Knicks and Heat are both put looking for a top-six finish in the Eastern Conference in their final regular-season meeting between the longtime rivals . With that said Im expecting a hard fought battle with the away dog giving us a golden opportunity to cash a ticket. Note: Jimmy butler is expected to play tonight after taking the last game off with a sore neck. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York. Play on Miami to cover |
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03-29-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Florida has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/8 and 5 goals or more in 5 of those games. Needless to say it is the lack of solid D, and top tier goaltending that has seen them lose four straight games and tonight against the capable offense of the Leafs Im betting they get lit up again in what Im betting will end up in a high scoring game. Note: Leafs have seen an average of 7.8 gpg go on the board in their L/5 trips to the ice. When these teams played in Florida on March 23rd the Leafs took a 6-2 victory. Im projecting a +8 combined output today. FLORIDA in 5 road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more this season have seen a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored. .FLORIDA is 8-1 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. FLORIDA is 16-3 OVER off a road loss this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. (Lost at Ottawa last time out by a 5-2 count) Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 vs. Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 road games. Over is 7-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. Atlantic. Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. Play over |
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03-28-23 | Jets v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Tuesday is the final stop of the Jets' three-game road trip against California teams and on tired legs Im betting they are not prepared to skate and gun, and instead I expect they will lean on good defensive play and top tier goaltending to get the job done. This will in effect keep scoring to a marginal amount. Also the Jets have not scored more than 3 goals in their L/8 games and in 10 of their L/11 overall. So paying attention in transition is obviously key for the Jets here tonight on the road. Under is 21-5 in Jets last 26 road games. Under is 8-3-1 in Sharks last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. WINNIPEG is 22-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 8-0 UNDER ) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play under |
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03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Golden State had a 3 game win streak abruptly end last time out at home in a rare home loss to the up trending Minnesota wolves last time out. Now Im betting the Warriors will be wide awake and primed for a bounce back vs a Pelicans side that has found a way into the win column in 4 straight tilts( 3 of those wins came against bottom feeders Houston, Charlotte and San Antonio .That illustrates that their run may not be that impressive and a more subjective deeper look has me backing the home fav. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pelicans are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4. Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Warriors are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 7-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are just 10-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. (Golden State beat the Pelicans 108-99 here in this same venue on March 3). Play on Warriors |
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03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are 32-5 at home this season with the average margin ppf diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg . Memphis is also on a 6 game win streak and gaining momentum as they heads towards the play offs. There will not be a letdown here down the stretch. I know the Magic are playing well , but that will have the Grizzlies even more focused. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder -9 | 137-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Bringing down the hammer on lower tier sides is something the Thunder do well especially when playing as hosts. Thunder are currently secured victories in nine of their last 13 games, and HC Dort's defense has been a big reason for Oklahoma City's recent success. Nothing changes tonight especially if key star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unable to play because of a sore ankle. OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 . Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas OVER 115 | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (North TEXAS /WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two below average offensive teams (63-67 PPG) are 36-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of 131.4 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Kings will be have an advantage vs a Minnesota side that played a hard fought game on the road against the Golden State Warriors last night grabbing narrow 99-96 victory. The Wolves victory was a grueling physical event and now on tired legs in a back to back situation their hosts the Sacramento Kings off since Friday have the advantage.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an excellent offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-8 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-27-23 | 76ers +6 v. Nuggets | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
After a 7 game win streak the Sixers have hit a road bump losing 3 of their L/4, but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a winning side that should have them motivated in ready to compete- if not even pull off the outright upset. I know Embiid and Harden are not 100% but at least one of them is expected to play tonight and even if they don't Im betting the 76ers are still deep enough to step up and compete. Note: 76ers are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Denver. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. DENVER is 5-16 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home win, in March games are 39-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more 2 straight games are 38-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons +15.5 | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Detroits has not got alot to play for other than pride at this point in the season, and tonight against the defending champs their egos will be on the line, as they are rated as 15 point plus home dogs. The advantage that the Pistons have here at least on this line, is that Milwaukee is on tired legs, as this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and could also be over looking an inferior opponent. Advantage goes to the fresher legs of the Pistons playing at home. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Casey is 34-18 ATS L/52 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached . NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 5-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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03-26-23 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
In their L/10 games the LA Kings have only allowed more than 2 goals one time and my projections estimate another top tier defensive effort here by what has suddenly become a solid goaltending group since the team parted ways with Johnathon Quick. Yes, I know the Blues have doing well offensively of late, but that will make the Kings even more disciplined in transition. Meanwhile, visiting St.Louis has not allowed more than 3 goals in 5 straight and now on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights Im expecting a more tempered and conservative effort here vs a team they know could light them up quickly.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings. NHL home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 37-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -6.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Home sweet home is where Golden state plays their best basketball as their 30-7 SU record would indicate with the average ppg diff margin clicking in at just under +8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering . The Warriors have 3 straight wins and took out a top tier Philadelphia squad here at home last time out, by a 120-112 count and Im betting on the momentum of their current run to extend into todays tilt against the visiting Wolves, who despite of two consecutive wins have been highly inconsistent this season. Golden State is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. GOLDEN STATE is 22-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better assists/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% SU conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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03-26-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +9.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
After 3 straight hard fought tilts against the LA Clippers( back to back meetings) and a their recent loss to the Lakers, Im betting the Thunder may not be as viable a favorite as the lines-makers expect even though the Blazers are missing Lillard and some other not as important starters. Im betting on the Blazers support staff will step things up a notch off the bench as they look to make an impression that will further their careers. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. (The Thunder beat the 138-129 back in Feb 10 here in Portland) Play on Portland to cover |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 34 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami plays an explosive form of small ball , behind top tier guards , including a small ball super star in Norchad Omier and despite of the Longhorns current run are in danger of being upset. Note: In the elite 8 round Big 12 teams are 4-15 vs opp off ATS win. Longhorns are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 NCAA Tournament games. MIAMI in 23 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons the Canes have a scoring edge on their favored opponent's by an average of 2.2 ppg. . Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Miami Fl to cover |
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03-26-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
The Lakers continue to play hard to try to get themselves in a play off spot, but now play against a side in top form. Chicago is off smashing Portland 124-96 on Friday to open a three-game road trip while grabbing its sixth victory in eight games and must be respected in this spot play vs a aging Lakers group. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Bulls won both meetings last season and viable underdogs in this spot play. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is off a huge DD win vs the Jazz last night in Salt Lake City scoring 144 points. Now Im expecting immediate regression by a Bucks side playing back to back games on tired legs in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Advantage Denver. MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATSas an underdog over the last 3 seasons DENVER is 11-2 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut -2 v. Gonzaga | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn behind a potent two way game have the edge here vs a strong offensive side with a average at best D. The Huskies are 14-0 SU and 13-0-1 ATS vs non conference opposition this season and Im betting nothing changes here today. GONZAGA is 2-8 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season. NBA favorite (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 53-21 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA underdog (GONZAGA) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UConn to cover |
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03-25-23 | Sharks v. Flames -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Flames already knew they need a miracle finish to reach the playoffs, but their chances took another hit in Thursday's 3-2 home defeat to the Vegas Golden Knights. Tongiht the desperate Flames Im betting will it all on the ice, in a conclusive win vs a tanking Sharks side that has a chance in draft lottery of claiming phenom Connor Bedard. SAN JOSE is 0-16 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season Play on Calgary to cover -1.5 on the puckline |
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03-24-23 | Princeton +10 v. Creighton | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. PRINCETON is 6-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts this season.PRINCETON is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season. McDermott is 27-40 ATS \in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of CREIGHTON. Princeton to cover |
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03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
The Jazz consistently bring their A game to tilts against top tier sides like visiting Milwaukee . Note: Jazz are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.The Jazz have also been particularly tough to play against at home when they are underdogs as is evident by their 10-0 ATS record as a home underdog this season. The edge goes to the Salt Lake city crew in this spot play. UTAH is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - sub par defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Bucks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami plays an explosive form of small ball , behind top tier guards , including a small ball super star in Norchad Omier. I know Houston is a strong side, but have failed to cover 7 of 8 vs elite opp with a .750 win % or better like the Canes. Advantage Miami. MIAMI in 23 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with both themselves and their opponents scoring an average of 72.2 ppg. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39%or less over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 11-3 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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03-24-23 | Devils -167 v. Sabres | 4-5 | Loss | -167 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these sides are off losses and both are not playing a top tier brand of hockey at the moment. However, according to my power rankings the NJ Devils very much have the edge here. Note: Four of the Sabres last six losses have been by at least three goals and two have been by at least six goals so their obviously completely in disarray. Sabres are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. Devils are 23-5 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. Devils are 26-8 in their last 34 road games. BUFFALO is 0-9 ATS in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. Devils are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Buffalo. Play on NJ Devils to win |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama HC Oats is 12-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached since 1997. ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season. Alabama to cover |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Clippers lost to Oklahoma city on March 21st by a 101-100 count as 7 point chalk and will be primed for a big bounce back effort here tonight in the rematch. I know the Clippers are without key player George, but they are a deep group and have the replacements ie(Eric Gordon, Robert Covington and Bones Hyland )to excel off the bench. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Thunder are 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73 road games. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 38-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-23-23 | Gonzaga +2 v. UCLA | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gonzaga started fairly slow this season, but kept picking up their pace behind an explosive offense and are now on a 11 game win streak. Meanwhile, UCLA after a top tier season, have had a few issues of late that Im betting hamper them in this battle. Those problems stem from their top defender bering absent (Jaylen Clark) injury and , David Singleton who is limping around after the Bruins win vs Northwestern in the 2nd round of this season tournament. UCLA is 2-10 ATS in the "sweet 16" round of the NCAA tournament since 1997. UCLA is 0-7 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.UCLA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -3.5 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arkansas pulled the upset vs Kansas last time out in a grueling physical game and Im betting the Hawgs wont have the needed energy to knock off a UConn side with a 13-0 SU/12-0-1 ATS record vs non conference foes this season. Note:Sweet 16 teams off an upset win over a No. 1 seed are just 4-7 SU and 3-7-1 ATS L/11 opportunities dating back 27 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 14-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 .CONNECTICUT is 13-3 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season. UConn to cover |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate both sides to eclipse the 70 point plateau giving us value with an over wager in todays NCAA matchup between Michigan State and Kansas State. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 OVER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season with a combined average of 1461. ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 6-0 OVER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 8-1 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored. KANSAS ST in their L/31 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 147.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to this same Chicago side at home few days ago and will now be primed on getting redemption in this home and home series. That defeat ended a 8 game win streak for the 76ers. Philadelphia has won and covered their L/5 trips to Chicago. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-22-23 | Spurs +17.5 v. Bucks | 94-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Don't be surprised if this ends up being a defacto night off for the Bucks as they are highly likely to rest players as this game goes on vs the lowly Spurs.Note: The Spurs have covered 3 of their L/4 overall. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are just 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors, MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS L/112 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season. Spurs are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -4.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Minnesota have been a inconsistent most of the season, but almost always save their best effort for top tier opposition like they will face tonight. With the Hawks off a win vs Pistons last night scoring 125 points in DD victory and now playing in a back to back situation Im betting they are a disadvantage vs a Wolves side that needs wins if they have hopes of getting a play in post season spot . Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards are expected to return to the lineup tonight. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 17-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Wolves to cover |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh offense has really stuttered of late as is evident by averaging just 2 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. On the season the Pens have averaged just 2.9 gg and Im betting they once again have problems scoring vs the Avs in this spot play. Meanwhile, Colorado is on a 6 game win streak allowing 2 goals or less in 4 of those 6 tilts. It must be noted that in their L/meeting back on 2/7/2023 the Pens squeezed out a 2-1 win and considering both sides current form another lower scoring affair is to be expected. COLORADO is 13-4 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with an averge of 5.1 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 10-3 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored.
COLORADO is 23-9 UNDER when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. NHL Home teams against the total (COLORADO) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Vanderbilt now on a 12-2 run since January owns a top-25 unit in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and deserve respect against a UAB side that is considered to by offensively dynamic. Here against a Blazers team that allows alot of downtown action from beyond the arc, Im betting the Dores have the edge. Stackhouse is 31-19 ATS (versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. The Commodores are 4-1 in the all-time series versus UAB. The Commodores have won 14 home games, their most since the 2014-15 season. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The Kings will need to ramp up their D here against a strong Boston side. The Kings have done a decent job on defense for the most part of late, but did have a down effort defensively last time out allowing 128 points in a loss to the Jazz. SACRAMENTO is 39-21 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.Under is 3-1-1 in Kings last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Celtics rank 7th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating and ranked 19th in pace, and will be primed to stand tall here defensively against an explosive side. Under is 18-8 in Kings last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in Celtics last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 35-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 74-32 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento. Play UNDER |
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03-21-23 | Coyotes v. Jets -253 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jets will return home for a Tuesday night meeting with the 26th-placed Arizona Coyotes in need to post wins if they hope to remain in a positive play off position. I know we are laying a lot of lumber, but this is a matchup the Jets will be primed to win. This fav line is the cost of two separate games but considering the situation and the trend listed below is worth the wager %. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (WINNIPEG) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on a ml/ puck-line offering. Play on Winnipeg Jets to win |
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03-21-23 | Senators v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Ottawa has lost 5 of their L/6 and are not in good form and also on tired legs after playing last night. Yes, they did find a way to win last night in Pittsburgh, by a 2-1 count, but now going against the top team in the NHL the Sens Im betting are at a disadvantage. . Meanwhile, the Bruins are 27-6 at home this season with the average margin of victory clicking in at +1.9 gpg . Considering the Bruins merciless efforts against sub par .500 sides this season a wager on the puck-line Im betting is viable wagering opportunity. BOSTON is 15-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Play on Boston to win -1.5 |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 124 | 65-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections mkae this total closer to 128 giving us value with on over wager. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N.Texas OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 136.9 ppg. Play over |
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03-20-23 | Pacers -1.5 v. Hornets | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Charlotte has lost 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall and are fade material in their current form , even here in their own backyard. Mean while, Indiana has won 7 of their L/11 , and have not dropped back to back games in more than a month.( The Pacers lost to Philadelphia last time out) Both of these sides are not in play off contention but the Pacers seem to be more interested in improving as the season winds down and get the nod tonight as short favs. Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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03-20-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Charlotte | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Sanchez is 2-11 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of CHARLOTTE Wisconsin Milwaukee to cover |