Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-06-22 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jazz have played alot better hoops than many had expected after some departures in the off season. However its still early, and Ive noticed the Jazz have played a lot of run and gun hoops on a heavy schedule, so they are on tired legs and vulnerable entering this tilt vs a Clippers side that has won 3 straight games behind a solid D. With that said, Im recommending we ride the momentum of the Clippers at Staples today. UTAH is 8-18 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 9-21 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. UTAH is 15-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Jazz are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Jazz are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line. Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 42.5 | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 25 m | Show | |
.These two sides in head to head action have taken part in some high scoring tilts with the last five meetings going over the set total with a combined average of , 65.4 combined ppg registering on the scoreboard. Im betting two hungry sides who need to get untracked go after each other from the get fo today and contribute to a higher scoring affair than the data might project. Note: The Rams were off their Bye last Sunday before their defeat to the 49ers at home. Despite of being well rested the Rams lost . NFL sides like the Rams have gone over 7 straight times when off a SU/ATS home chalk loss after their Bye Week. Another interesting trend: Tampa goes to Europe next week . Dating back 17 seasons, non-division NFC sides before playing in a neutral site tilt like the Bucs will the total has been eclipsed , 20 of 22 times , when the Total offering is between 39 and 49.5 points . Bowles is 12-2 OVER in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 54.5 ppg scored. McVay is 12-4 OVER in road games off a division game as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. McVay is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 55.5 ppg scored. TB is 5-0 L/5 vs NFC West. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | 13-16 | Push | 0 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
Future HOF QB Brady and the Buccaneers are no longer to be feared as is evident by their sub par play so far this season. Brady has averaged a substandard 6.7 yards per attempt and the offense is tied for 25th in third-down efficiency (34.6 percent). TAMPA BAY is 9-21 ATS in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS in games played on a grass field this season. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS in games played on a grass field this season which was the case last time out. After a negative outing vs the SF 49ers last /Sunday the defending Super Bowl Champs will be in redemption and bounce back mode and are very dangerous. Sean McVay is 10-5 ATS as a road dog and 10-3 ATS and 9-4 ATS i vs NFC South opposition , including cashing and winning 3 straight as a dog. The Rams’ also own a 8-1 ATS series record vs the Bucs and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits to Tampa Bay. Small non-Division Away Pup (+5 or less points) if they lost their last game as a Home Dog/pk and scored 20 points or less are 24-2 ATS . Rams qualify. NFL team vs the money line (TAMPA BAY) - poor rushing team - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rams |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 49 m | Show | |
The Buffalo D ranked 1st in the NFL is staunch to say the least allowing an average of 14 ppg overall and have seen their 6 of their 7 games games stay under the total and all 4 of their home games with a combined average of 43.6 ppg go on the score board while allowing an average of 9.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Jets defense ranked 6th in the league has allowed 19.5 ppg in division games and 13.7 ppg in their L/3 games overall with all going under the set total. AFC East division confrontations have gone 4-21 UNDER L/10 seasons and have gone under 16 of their L/18 dating back 5 season when the Host side is an underdog of +3.5 or more points . NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - versus division opponents, off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite 23-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 38 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros -140 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Theres blood in the water and Houston Im betting will be ready to finish off their opponents here today. This is a championship side with lots of experience and are capable of top tier efforts in situations like this while the Phillies under pressure have a better chance of succumbing to having their backs up against a wall. Astros starter VALDEZ is 21-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)VALDEZ is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.883. Phillies starter WHEELER is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800. HOUSTON is 44-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Play on Houston to win - |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks UNDER 233 | 121-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks go head to head Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Both of these teams have been taking part in some high scoring events, but my projections tell me that is offered total is a little over blown considering the Pelicans played last night and are on tired legs. The Hawks are much fresher, but Im betting the Pelicans try to slow this game down to a manageable tempo which will in turn help us stay under this offered number. Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-2 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg going on the board. ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks -2 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
New Orleans played last night in a win vs Golden State and will now be on tired legs against a well rested Atlanta Hawks side that is built to take on bigger teams like the Pelicans. ATLANTA is 29-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. Pelicans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games. Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Play on Atlanta to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Celtics v. Knicks +4.5 | 133-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Last time out -The Knicks came back from a 12-point deficit , in the fourth-quarter Friday to edge the host Philadelphia 76ers 106-104. The Celtics are off a hard fought victory Chicago Bulls to take a 123-119 event. Both teams are now ion tired legs, but the Knicks under HC Thibodeau has proved themselves to well conditioned. Note: Thibodeau is 18-7 ATS when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. BOSTON is 14-30 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. The Knicks have won the L/3 meetings SU at home in this series. Play on the Knicks to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Nets v. Hornets +5.5 | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is off a much needed win last time out playing a complete game vs the Washington Wizards. by a 128-86 count. But now Im betting on regression, vs a Charlotte side that is desperate for some positive results after 3 straight losses.Note: BROOKLYN is 9-25 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.Udoka is 1-14 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached. BROOKLYN is 10-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 18-43 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-30 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 27-17 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Im not recommending we make this a ML bet, but giving an example of a possible outright upset that makes taking points a very viable option. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Two explosive offenses go to the ice today as the Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs do battle. Leafs goalie Kallgren has allowed three or more goals in 12 of his 17 NHL games and owns a .875 save percentage and 0-1-2 record in his three outings.Im betting on a repeat of that here today while the Leafs who are picking up the pace offensively as this season progresses should also do damage against the Bruins. Note: In the last couple of weeks, the Maple Leafs have ranked second in high-danger chances per 60 (15.74) and 22nd in high-danger chances against per 60 (13.21). Back in forth action is in play here with an over wager being a viable opportunity for bankroll expansion.TORONTO is 24-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 19-9 OVER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 8-0 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. The last 3 meeting in this series have all gone over the total. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Navy +18.5 v. Cincinnati | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 17 m | Show | |
Cincinnati lost last week to UCF and now are in a emotional letdown spot and vulnerable to starting slow despite of being in bounce back mode. Since last seasons play off run the Bearcats own a 1-6-1 ATS mark. NAVY is 7-0 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 9-1 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 8-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Niumatalolo is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points as the coach of NAVY. Niumatalolo is 15-4 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of NAVY. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - mistake free team - 42 or less penalty yards per game, after dominating the time of possession last game (36 or better minutes) are 55-16 SATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Navy to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Michigan State +17.5 v. Illinois | 23-15 | Win | 100 | 54 h 25 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with Illinois getting national accolades, while Michigan state seems completely lost. However, for today at least Im betting on Michigan state finding a way to be competitive. After a huge passing game last week vs Nebraska (91% completion rate)-- Illinois Im betting regresses especially after having to endure a emotional letdown after playing in type of stadium that can sap your energy. Michigan State needs wins badly to get a Bowl invite, so Im betting they leave everything on the field today. ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. ILLINOIS is 2-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 42 or less since 1992. ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. Play on Michigan State to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Tennessee v. Georgia -8 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 5 m | Show | |
Both these sides Tennessee and Georgia are explosive offensively but the difference maker comes via the Dawgs far superior D. The Dawgs are 10 ppg and 131 yards better on defense than the Volunteers. Georgia ranks 1st in red zone offense, and No.2 in Red Zone defense. Meanwhile, the Vols are ranked 82nd in the nation in overall D. Note: Dawgs HC Kirby Smart is 36-7 SU covering 31 times as a favorite of less than 20 points, and has won 8 straight games against undefeated foes. CFB road team (TENNESSEE) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (GEORGIA) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. are 48-19 ATS L/30 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Central Florida v. Memphis +3.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
The UCF Knights are strong team especially when playing at home but have yet to notch a victory on the road in the American Athletic Conference this season and have not grabbed a win in Memphis since 2018 season. Im betting UCF will find it hard again to find a way to win here this week on the highway, vs a Memphis side that 11-0 coming off an open date going back 8 seasons and 3-0 under Silverfield. key here will be the tigers discipline Note: Memphis ranks sixth for fewest penalties in FBS football and are averaging just 4.25 penalties per game. Memphis is also 7-0 ATS as a home dog since 2016. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS off 2 consecutive road lossesMEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season since 1992.MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game . MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus UCF since 1992 at home. Play on Memphis to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 53 h 4 m | Show | |
Baylor is 6-1-1 ATS as Big 12 away pups and are viable dogs in this spot based on their overall body of work during this campaign as compared to the Sooners inconsistent displays. BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. Baylor is 20-1 ATS as a conference underdog against an opponent coming off a SU/ATS win. BAYLOR is 46-27 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992. Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bears are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Bears are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Bears are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win.Bears are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in November.Bears are 47-23 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sooners are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Sooners are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Oklahoma is 0-5 ATS at home against a side likr BU coming off consecutive SU/ATS victories. Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Oklahoma.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. CFB home team (OKLAHOMA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 18-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on Baylor to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Texas Tech v. TCU -9 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
TCU is red hot entering this game winning 8 straight and still undefeated, ranking 3rd in the nation in Scoring Offense, averaging 44.3 PPG.and go against a Texas Tech side that was blasted vs Baylor last week and looking emotional and physically drained after taking on quality opponents in 5 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. CFB road team (TEXAS TECH) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are just 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Iowa +4.5 v. Purdue | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
Purdue upset the Hawkeyes as 11-point pups on the road at Iowa last season and now the Hawkeyes have revenge on board. I know both sides have played at the proverbial opposite end of performance spectrum , but Iowa showed some offensive uptick last week in a victory, and with a solid defensive group on the field ranking 5th overall on D Im betting they can make a game out of this and possibly get SU playback. IOWA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Road team is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 60-26 ATS L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Iowa to cover |
|||||||
11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Golden State took part in a back and forth event last night with the Orlando Magic losing 130-129 and are now on tired legs headed into this tilt against Zion Williamson and company and at a disadvantage after losing 4 straight games, thanks to a shoddy D, that ranks last in the league in ppg allowed (122.2). Im betting on the Pelicans who will be prepared as hosts to take advantage of an opponents not operating on all cylinders.GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-34 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 11-22 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 11-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.2. Play on New Orleans to cover |
|||||||
11-04-22 | Duke -9.5 v. Boston College | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 37 m | Show | |
Wow what an ugly outing for the Boston College last time out, losing 13-3 as 8-point road favorite vs UConn which drops their ATS record vs FBS sides this season to 1-6 ATS. With that said, Im betting on another ugly outing for the Golden Eagles this week vs a Duke side that has registered 35 and 45 points in back to back games . With BC averaging 17.3 PPG on offense this season I highly doubt they can keep up here tonight and as the game progresses should find themselves down by DDs. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Blue Devils are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf. Blue Devils are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Eagles are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CFB road team (DUKE) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 63-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Duke to cover |
|||||||
11-04-22 | Blue Jackets v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
We all know how explosive offensively the Avalanche are, and its now becoming obvious the Blue Jackets D, is atrocious allowing 4.8 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. Im betting the Avs take advantage of their vulnerable opponents and for this to end up in a wide open affair as Columbus desperately trys to revitalize a very slow start to their campaign with an all out leave everything on the ice outing. COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gog scored. COLORADO is 8-1 OVER in November games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLUMBUS) - after a division game against opponent after 3 consecutive non-conference games are 52-18 OVER L/5 SEASONS FOR A 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 46 | 29-17 | Push | 0 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
The Eagles defense (allowing 16.9 ppg) ranks second in DVOA against the pass and in no way will the Texans game plan be based on play option, rather, Im betting it will focus on making this into a sleep fest with a slow deliberate ground attack. Note: Texans QB Mills ranks 29th in EPA/play, 30th in ANY/A and 31st in yards per attempt in the league among starting QBs. Meanwhile, on the flip-side the Texans have been viable in their secondary, ranking 17th in DVOA vs the pass , so the explosive Eagles run attack will be put into primary action vs a porous Houston run D. What Im expecting here is for a run heavy game to take place, and for it to be grinding in nature which will aid us in my recommendation that we take an under stance here on this Totals offering. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.9 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games.Under is 16-5 in Eagles last 21 games in November. Under is 10-4 in Texans last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Thursday night NFC sides like Philly in away tilts vs AFC opp like Houston have gone under 10 of the L/12 times with the average combined ppg averaging 35.6 . Thursday non-division away sides like the Eagles off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins have gone under 8 straight times. Thursday night pups like the Texans off a SU/ATS division loss have gone under 7 straight times since the 2016 campaign. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 68-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Islanders +105 v. Blues | 5-2 | Win | 105 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The Islanders come into this game as winners of four straight while the Blues are on a five-game losing streak. Two teams going in opposite flow directions. Instead of swimming up steam, Ill ride the momentum of the under rated pups NY Islanders. Im betting the Isles special teams, now explosive offense under Lambert and top tier goaltending behind,Sorokin’s .935 SV% and a 2.04 GAA to have the edge. NY ISLANDERS are 20-3 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on NYI to win |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Astros v. Phillies +144 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Astros starter Verlander World Series history has been less than faltering as is evident by garnering a 0-6 record in eight starts along with a bloated 6.07 ERA. Thats the worst ever recorded among pitchers who threw at least 30 innings in the Fall Classic. Needless to say, Im not betting on a sudden turn around performance. Meanwhile,Philadelphia sends Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA regular season; 0-0, 1.69 postseason). He is well rested and under rated in his ability to control this Astros batting order. PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 World Series games. Play on Philadelphia to win |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina are home dogs tonight where they deserve respect as is evident by a 17-2 SU in their last 19 overall , including 6-0 SU in revenge, and 2-0 SU/ATS as a underdog. Coastal Carolina lost in OT last season 30-27 in Boone and with big time revenge on board you can bet the home side will be fully awake and ready to perform. Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win which w the case last time out. Chadwell is 6-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA. APPALACHIAN ST is 0-7 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a double digit road win, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 62-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Warriors v. Magic UNDER 227 | 129-130 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Orlando ranks 29th in offensive output, and 12th in ppg allowed and rank 18th in pace. Meanwhile, Golden state is almost the complete opposite, running and gunning behind a fast paced attack. The clashes of these opposites bodes well however, according to my projections for seeing a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. The Magic dont have the overall talent or system to push back hard on the Warriors, and the visitors Im betting after a grueling start to their campaign may treat this like a defacto game off and make a it a more pleasure orientated trip to Disney. Grinder on board. GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE L/12 road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25% or worse) playing a team with a losing record are 65-35 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
|||||||
11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah despite of supposedly being in a rebuilding or remodeling mode have played well this season. However, now with opponents aware of the Jazz grit and top tier play to begin the season will now have zero surprise factor working for them, and will face a Dallas side prepared to play them. Also after falling asleep at the wheel in a loss vs the Orlando Magic last time out the Mavericks will be primed for a bounce back effort. Jazz are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 road games.Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA team (UTAH) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series vs Utah. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
11-02-22 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 222 | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Houston continues to be inconsistent offensively and tonight against a banged up Clippers side, Im betting this total will not be eclipsed as both teams flow issues lean towards a lower scoring affair. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.4 ppg.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
11-02-22 | Pistons +11.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Milwaukee pulled off a 110-108 win in the first game of this 2 game set in Wisconsin with the visiting Detroit Pistons. The Pistons showed alot of fight and grit in that above mentioned tilt and Im betting they're not going down without a fight tonight. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record DETROIT is 30-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 8-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 22-6 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
|||||||
11-02-22 | Astros -101 v. Phillies | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
After a flat performance yesterday the Astros will be keen on a big rebound and Im betting they get it . The Astros starter Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA regular season; 1-0, 1.35 ERA postseason) will help pivot the momentum back to the Astros side. Javier has allowed only one run in 6 2/3 innings in the playoffs. Phillies starter NOLA is 7-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 30-10 ( against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.HOUSTON is 41-17 against the money line after a loss this season. Play on Astros to win |
|||||||
11-02-22 | Penguins v. Sabres +122 | 3-6 | Win | 122 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is slumping after having lost 4 straight games. Things dont look to get much better here this evening against Buffalo as the Pens play on tired legs with this being their 5th straight road game after playing last night in a 6-5 loss to Boston . Meanwhile, the Sabres are playing a strong brand of hockey as is evident by their 6-3 SU record so far this season. PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS in road games after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. Penguins are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Penguins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Penguins are 1-4 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.Penguins are 3-13 in their last 16 road games. Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. Home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Sabres to win |
|||||||
11-02-22 | Western Michigan +4.5 v. Bowling Green | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these offenses are less than explosive, but overall according to my data and power rankings projections the difference maker will come via Western Michigan superior red zone defense where they rank top-30 in opponent conversion rate. Last time out the Broncos was suffocating allowing Miami just 10 points in a win and smashed and grabbed their way to 7 sacks. Note:The Broncos have seen a decrease in their FBS opponent rushing yards in each of the last four games since giving up a season-high 238 to Pittsburgh and Im betting the ground the lanes will once again be shut down forcing Bowling Green to the air making them alot more one dimensional and readable. Advantage Western Michigan. Falcons are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in November.Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week. Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
|||||||
11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) head to The Valley on Tuesday night to take on the Phoenix Suns (5-1) at Footprint Center.
Williams is 15-34 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more in all games he has coached MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 6-25 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
11-01-22 | Islanders -178 v. Blackhawks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Islanders are on a roll having won 3 straight games vs viable opponents including a come from behind win vs defending Stanley Cup champs Colorado last time out. More winning from the Isles is on tap. CHICAGO is 2-17 ATS against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at - 2.2. NHL underdog against the money line (CHICAGO) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
|||||||
11-01-22 | Astros -115 v. Phillies | 0-7 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The Phillies came back from a 5-0 deficit to win 6-5 in 10 innings in Game 1 and then were taken out by 5-2 count in Game 2 Saturday. I know the Phillies are 5-0 at home this season, but Im betting that comes to end in game 3 of the World Series. Houston will send Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA regular season; 0-0, 2.45 ERA postseason) to the hill here and my data suggests he matches up well here vs the Phillies . Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games.Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
HOUSTON is 20-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. BAKER is 39-17 against the money line when playing with a day off as the manager of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 23-8 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 World Series games.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games. Play on Houston to win |
|||||||
10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 235 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Jazz grabbed a 124-123 win vs Memphis last time out , and once again face the Grizzlies for the second time in three nights Monday in Salt Lake City. Memphis shot 56.8 percent, but Utah countered by hitting 51.7 percent of its shots. It was a wide open event, but now Im betting on offensive regression. Previous to the Jazz last tilt they saw 3 straight unders, and Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse this offering. UTAH is 24-13 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games. Under is 19-7-1 in Jazz last 27 games following a straight up win. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 52-19 UNDER L/26 for a 73% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 93-37 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Packers +11.5 v. Bills | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 80 h 22 m | Show | |
Oh how far the mighty have fallen. Biblical proportions have been attached to line and the perception of the public and the lines-makers ability to play into that concept. Right now Rodgers and company are no longer feared by their opponents and the betting public has abandoned them for their new darlings the Buffalo Bills. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 15-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Green Bay to cover |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Wolves v. Spurs UNDER 235.5 | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The teams spilt the two previous contests in Minneapolis, with the Spurs winning 115-106 on Monday and Minnesota getting the job done in a 134-122 victory on Wednesday. Im now betting on regression from a offensive perspective here in game 3 after the last explosion and for this combined score to more closely mimic the first meeting. Note: Minnesota enters after a 111-102 win at home over the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday with their D being the big difference maker and nothing changes here today as this looks to be a recipe for success. SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Wolves v. Spurs +6 | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
These teams spilt the two previous contests in Minneapolis, with the Spurs winning 115-106 on Monday and Minnesota prevailing 134-122 on Wednesday. With that said, I run here with a regular season zig zag theory and support and recommend we bet the upstart Spurs at home with crowd advantage on their side. Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Spurs are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Spurs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Spurs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Road favorites (MINNESOTA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-4 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Wild -1.5 v. Blackhawks | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Minnesota has owned this series of late winning 4 straight meetings. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: Chicago has allowed five power-play goals on 10 chances over the past two contests. The Blackhawks lost yesterday by a 4-3 count in OT. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons. losing by an average of 2.5 gpg. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Warriors v. Pistons UNDER 230.5 | 114-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
I know both sides have played some fast paced wide open affairs, but both sides are openly speaking about playing better D. Based on my projections this line should be closer to 227 thus giving us value with a full possession edge on an under wager. GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored.
Under is 35-16-1 in Warriors last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. DETROIT is 18-4 UNDER L/22 after allowing 130 points or more with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Pistons last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DETROIT) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (118 or more PPG are 34-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams +1.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 10 m | Show | |
The defending Super Bowl Champs are not getting alot of respect here , probably based on their 24-9 loss on the road in San Francisco in early October. However, now in revenge mode, Im betting on this sleepy looking Rams side to come out their coma here with a top tier effort. McVay is 10-2 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of LA RAMS. NFL Underdogs or pick (LA RAMS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 49-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 7-29 L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more are 24-1 L/39 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Rams to cover |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Panthers +4.5 v. Falcons | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlantas positive ATS record according to my data is skewed in comparison to the the fact they have been out-gained in each of their last six trips to the gridiron. Thats not a good omen for a team that has failed to cover 11 of their L/15 as home favs. ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and despite of Carolina not having a solid record still beat TB last week and were gritty in a loss to the Rams in their previous game. Carolina has won their last two visits here and don't be surprised if a rinse and repeat situation rears it ugly head in this spot play. NFL Road underdogs or pick (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 10-35 ATS 39 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. Take the points with Carolina to cover |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Cardinals v. Vikings OVER 49 | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 5 m | Show | |
These teams secondaries look weak at best. The Vikings rank 28th in passing defense giving up an average 272 ypg while Cardinals rank 25th in give up an average of /260 ypg . With two more than capable QBs playing today (Murray vs Cousins) Im expecting a wide open down field affair with plenty of points going on the board. The Vikings are on fresh legs off a bye which sets up well for a all out attack. Note: NFC home favorites after their Bye Week going against another NFC opponent like the Cards when the Totals offering is 51 or less points have gone over 20 of the L/22 dating back to the 2016 season. NFL sides with a .800 record or better as home favs of 6 points or less like the Vikings going against a less than .500 side like the Cards , when the Totals offering comes in at between 45 to 54 points has gone over 14 straight times dating back to the 2014 campaign. Minnesota has gone over the total in 15 of their L/20 home tilts including going over in 9 of 10 with a 49 or more totals offering from the books. The L/3 meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 55 ppg go on the board. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Stanford +16.5 v. UCLA | 13-38 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bruins (6-1, 3-1 Pac-12) were defeated by Oregon 45-30 last week at Autzen Stadium Note:The Bruins are 3-6 SU/ATS coming off their first loss of the season. . That was a deflating loss for the Bruins and Im betting they are drained emotionally here and may come out a little flat. Meanwhile, Ssnce giving up 40 or more points in each of its first three Pac-12 tilts, the Stanfords defense has really picked up on their tenacity and has now permitted its last three opponents to score 56 combined points and have won two straight games. Note: Cardinal HC David Shaw is 16-4 SU and 16-3 ATS when coming off two wins exact. Shaw is 20-10 ATS in road games in games played on a grass field as the coach of STANFORD. Stanford owns a 12 -2 SU record last 14 games in this series, covering 11 of those games. Play on Stanford to cover |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Bucks are a solid defensive side ranking 1st in the NBA in ppg allowed . The Bucks have become very physical in nature, and Im betting they matchup well here vs a run and gun offensive structure that Atlanta utilizes. ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.7. ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. McMillan is 9-22 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game as the coach of ATLANTA. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or better of their free throws, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 25-2 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 36% or better of their attempts, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 23-4 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Milwaukee is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros -134 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Astros southpaw starter VALDEZ is 19-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) VALDEZ is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.600. Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 interl-eague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Phillies starter today Wheeler. Astros in certain desperation mode and now wide awake have the edge vs upstart Phillies who may finally start to feel the pressure . HOUSTON is 42-17 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague road games.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 World Series games.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Astros |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Maple Leafs v. Kings OVER 6.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Los Angeles has given up an average 4.33 goals per game this season which is the second-highest total in the NHL and here against a hungry Toronto team looking to get untracked offensively Im betting that average will be breached by the Leafs . Kings Goaltenders Jonathan Quick and Cal Peterson have combined for a lowly .868 save percentage this season. Meanwhile, on the flipside, LA has responded in decent fashion early this season averaging 3.44 goals per game ranking the ninth in the NHL in that offensive category. The Leafs have allowed 3 or more goals in 50% of their games this season, and that number Im betting will be breached again in a game I have pegged to eclipse this total. NHLvHome teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after allowing 6 goals or more are 43-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
10-29-22 | South Alabama v. Arkansas State +10.5 | 31-3 | Loss | -120 | 55 h 26 m | Show | |
Last week South Alabama struggled to score and lost 10-6 to the Troy Trojans and a very physical game. Now in a letdown spot and physically/ emotionally drained Im betting they will have a hard time getting up off the matt in a tilt vs Arkansas State this Saturday. With formerly banged up QB James Blackman expected back in the llineup this week for the Red Wolves Im betting they will be competitive. S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
|||||||
10-29-22 | SMU v. Tulsa +3 | 45-34 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 31 m | Show | |
The SMU Mustangs D is not looking good this season allowing 453 YPG vs FBS opposition and have been shredded against ground attacks as their No. 120th ranking trying to stop the run would indicate. With that said, Im betting on Tulsa RB Deneric Prince who enters this game off a career-best 231 yards performance last week to be a major catalyst in a Tulsa cover and possible outright win this week. TULSA is 6-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.TULSA is 9-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 6-17 ATS L/23 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 6-17 ATS L/23 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). CFB road team vs. the money line (SMU) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (440 or more YPG) after 7+ games, after being out-gained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 4-34 SU L/30 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play on Tulsa to cover |
|||||||
10-29-22 | North Texas v. Western Kentucky -10 | 40-13 | Loss | -107 | 53 h 49 m | Show | |
This is not a strong version of the North Texas football program taking to the field today against Western Kentucky especially from a defensive standpoint as is evident by allowing an average of 476.1 ppg and 34.5 ppg. I know the Mean Green are 3-1 in CUSA action but like I said having a Swiss cheese D is not optimal. going forward -or here today, for that matter. Meanwhile, Western Kentucky is looking very strong after finding a way past UAB last week, and now sporting a 3-1 record in CUSA action while allowing just 19.5 ppg at home this season and can alos light it up offensively averaging 39.5 ppg at home. The only real weakness that the Hilltoppers have displayed is a lack of discipline, but Littrell is 2-9 ATS in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game as the coach of NORTH TEXAS. NORTH TEXAS is 7-21 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.7. Note:N.Texas is 2-23-1 ATS record in conference tilts when they loss SU which the lines-makers believe will happen as do I. CFB road team (NORTH TEXAS) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after a loss by 6 or less points and 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Ohio State v. Penn State +15.5 | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 125 h 5 m | Show | |
I know how powerful Ohio State can be, but Penn State Im betting can keep this game close enough to cover via a grinding ground game that is capable of turning this game into a slow crawl in the trenches. Note: Day is 0-6 ATS in road games vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry as the coach of OHIO ST. CFB home team vs. the money line (PENN ST) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 29-3 L/5 seasons SU for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (PENN ST) - with a good offense - averaging 400 or more total yards/game are 45-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Notre Dame +2.5 v. Syracuse | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 50 m | Show | |
Wow what an emotional hangover Syracuse must have after going into Death Valley and taking a big lead and then falling apart late and eventually losing to Clemson. The Orange had an opportunity of lifetime and blew it. Not a good situation for them here as Im betting they will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out a hungry Notre Dame side. ND as a dog versus an opponent coming off a loss, and they are coming off a victory of 4 points or more are 10-1 ATS . The Irish are 5-0 SUATS L/5 vs the ACC.NOTRE DAME is 7-0 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.NOTRE DAME is 6-0 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.NOTRE DAME is 7-0 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
|||||||
10-28-22 | Rockets +5.5 v. Blazers | 111-125 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Damian Lillard averaged 33.3 points during the Trail Blazers' 4-0 start, shooting 50 percent overall and 40 percent on 3-pointers while playing 37.1 minutes per game. He was injured last time out in the Blazers first loss of the season. He is a key cog for this teams offensive flow and Im betting it effects them here tonight vs a young under rated Houston team that almost always plays a all out brand of hoops on young legs. Houston has covered their L/4 trips to Portland and get the nod again tonight. Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games dating back to last season, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. PORTLAND is 18-36 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasonsTrail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Trail Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Play on Rockets to cover |
|||||||
10-28-22 | Penguins -160 v. Canucks | 1-5 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Things are not good in Vancouver despite of them squeezing out a 5-4 win last time out vs the Kraken to end their 7 game losing streak to open the season. Lots of grumbling from players and management. Tonight against a hungry Pittsburgh side that is off two straight losses, and in bounce back mode Im betting the struggling Canucks are in trouble. NHL Home underdogs against the money line (VANCOUVER) - off a road win against a division rival, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 3-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
|||||||
10-28-22 | Phillies +157 v. Astros | 6-5 | Win | 157 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
Houston Astros right-hander Justin Verlander, in seven career World Series starts with two franchises, is 0-6 with a 5.68 ERA and here today vs a upstart and very under rated Phillies baseball team the veteran star hurler Im betting is in trouble again Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter for game 1 of the World Series was the pitcher of record when Philadelphia took out the Astros 3-0 on Oct. 3, a victory that cemented the Phillies' first postseason appearance in 11 campaigns. Nola was in top form in that tilt, allowing the Astros just two hits while garnering nine strikeouts and no walks over 6 2/3 innings. Rinse and repeat is the call in the opener. Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 against the money line in playoff games this season and on the season are 15-11 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 World Series home games. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 47-77 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
|||||||
10-28-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Raptors | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The 76ers lost the first game in this 2 tilt set in Toronto on Wednesday, but now I expect the Philadelphia 76ers to answer back in the rematch on Friday night. Philadelphia are going to make adjustments. It's almost like the playoffs, where you do something in Game 1, and the other side adjust to it. I know the 76ers have struggled so far , but its early and they are more than capable behind Doc. Rivers tutelage of a bounce back beginning here tonight vs the Raptors. Note: TORONTO is 0-9 ATS in home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 23-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
10-28-22 | Pacers v. Wizards -4.5 | 127-117 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington (3-1) matches up well against Indiana as was the case in their opening game of the season winning by. a 114-107 count as road dogs. With Indiana (1-4) playing horrendous D, early on this season ranking dead last in the league in ppg allowed ( 122 ppg) they are fade material. INDIANA is 4-14 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.4. INDIANA is 2-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - excellent defensive team (42% or less) against a struggling defensive team (47% or more ) are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Washington is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in D.C. Play on Washington to cover |
|||||||
10-27-22 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 103 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs rank 24th in high-danger chances against with 13.31, they have a banged up defense and a sub par goalie starting tonight in Erik Kallgren (.886 SVP% and 3.29 GAA) between the pipes. San Jose Im betting does some offensive damage. On the flipside, we all know explosive the Buds can be on offense with an array of talent. Note: Offensively Toronto ranks 10th in high danger chances (54.15%) while San Jose sits 16th (49.76%). TORONTO is 31-17 OVER against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs +1.5 | 27-22 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 12 m | Show | |
Is Tom Brady finally starting to show his age? Well to an extent he has been for a while, but even at 75% of where he was the future HOF QB is still better than most QBs in this league and deserves respect . The Bucs lost last week and look lost in the process , but after all the negative press are ready to reap redemption on a national stage this Thursday night. . Lets look at what Brady bring to the table in a situation like this.... He is 10-0 SU/ATS in his NFL career with a sub .500 record and coming off a SU defeat . While the Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS L/4 overall and 0-5-1 ATS in Thursday night road game . Until Tommy shows me he is toast Im betting he will be the difference maker here today and motivating factor behind a Bucs rebound.Ravens are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Buccaneers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
|||||||
10-27-22 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 218 | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Clippers have gone under in 4 straight games to begin their season, rNKING DEAD LAST IN OFFENSIVE out , and 17th in pace and ranking 8th in ppg allowed and 6th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has gone under in 3 of their L/4 overall with a 22nd ranked offensive output despite of a fast pace. The Clippers will be out to slow down the Thunder especially after taking ti on the chin vs Thunder last time out. Im betting on a grinding affair. LA CLIPPERS are 27-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.8 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER in road games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. ( Oklahoma City upset them last time out) NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 45-13 UNDER L/L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 125-75 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
10-27-22 | UL-Lafayette v. Southern Miss +1.5 | 24-39 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Both these teams are off 2 straight wins with back up QBs at the helm. Conventional handicapping has alot of pundits on Lafayette, but Im going to take a contrarian view here tonight in a tilt that features strong defensive units sitting inside the Top 35 in scoring defense (ULL 21st, USM 35th). Both have almost identical yards allowed per play and yards allowed per game with the superior offensive numbers belonging to Lafayette . Despite of that I like home field advantage to be a strong , advantage for this Southern Miss football program . key catalyst Im betting for Southern /Miss will be Frank Gore, Jr., who continues to lead the ground game with 568 rushing yards and four TDs. He averages 81.1 yards per contest rushing and 4.9 per carry. Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Southern Miss holds a 40-11-1 series advantage, including a current nine-game winning streak heading into this contest including 6 straight wins at home . Play on Southern Miss to cover |
|||||||
10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Los Angeles has been solid on the defensive end so far this season, and will be primed to slow down their opponents in physical fashion. The Nuggets have run and gun with wreck-less abandon so far this season, but Im betting they will have to start to pay attention in transition, or continue to be blown off the court as was the case vs the Trail Blazers last time out in a 135-110 loss that featured allowing 80 points in the second half . I can guarantee you the coaching staff of the Nuggets will be focused on playing better defense immediately and that will help see this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. LA LAKERS are 51-31 UNDER in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots. DENVER is 43-20 UNDERL/63 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 30-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 24-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
10-26-22 | Heat -1.5 v. Blazers | 119-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Portland is on a big run to begin their season winning all 4 of their contests, while the Heat have looked lethargic at times and lost 3 of their first 4 games. It must be noted , however, that MIAMI is 8-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons and are a resilient group with top tier chemistry and work ethic so staying in a down mode wont be permanent. Miami has won their last two visits to Portland and Im betting number 3 is right around the corner. PORTLAND is 11-26 ATS L/37 off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival . The Blazers had a 135 point output last time out against Denver in a DD win ( 135-110) so now a regressionary offensive output against a Heat side that can play a strong brand of D wont come as a surprise. Note: Portland hasn't won at least five in a row to start a campaign since the Clyde Drexler-led squad won its first eight in 1992-93. MIAMI is 22-8 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 30-18 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Miami has won the last three meetings overall against the Blazers. Play on Miami to cover |
|||||||
10-26-22 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Giannis Antetokounmpo is up-trending in his scoring average to nearly 30 points a game last season and is off to another quick start and averaging 32.5 ppg entering this tilt. He averaged 31.9 points per game against the Nets in the 2021 Eastern Conference semifinals and matches up very well against this current group and will be key for me in backing the Bucks to win and cover tonight against a Nets team with early season defensive problems. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 23-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 45-4 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Nets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee. Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in the last 52 meetings. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
|||||||
10-25-22 | Panthers -227 v. Blackhawks | 2-4 | Loss | -227 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks have been down early in 3 of their games this season and still found a way to win. Im betting they wont be so fortunate here against a strong Panthers squad that will not fall asleep at the wheel with a lead. NHL underdog against the money line (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 1-24 L/5 seasons for a 96% go against conversion rate! Play on the Florida Panthers to win |
|||||||
10-25-22 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is Detroits 3rd straight road game and they have lost the previous two by 24 and 9 points respectively and now Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Wizards side that are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. note: Pistons are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. The L/4 meetings here in DC have been won the Wizards by DD margins and a rinse and repeat situation is projected here. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - excellent defensive team (42% or less ) against a struggling defensive team (47% or more ) are 29-4 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.2 . Play on Washington to cover |
|||||||
10-25-22 | Devils v. Red Wings -105 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 0 h 29 m | Show | |
The Red Wings have already taken out New Jersey this season. key cog Larkin had a goal and two assists in Detroit's 5-2 road victory on Oct. 15 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. Devils are 14-37 in their last 51 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Red Wings are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. DETROIT is 4-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons. Detroit (LATE STEAM) |
|||||||
10-24-22 | Bears +8.5 v. Patriots | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 129 h 40 m | Show | |
The Bears 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday Night road games have finally figured out that any success they will have this season wont come on the back of QB Justin Fields. Thus Im expecting a continued run heavy attack from the Bears and for their staunch defense to stand tall. Note: The Bears rushing attack has big-play potential, ranking second in rush yards per game (170) and seventh in rushing average (5.2 yards per rush).With that said I will back them getting more than a TD on the road here in this prime time event . NFL Home teams (NEW ENGLAND) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.), after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Play on Bears to cover |
|||||||
10-24-22 | Jazz v. Rockets +2 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
After losing key players in the off season it was expected that the Jazz could easily find themselves as lottery picks by the end of this campaign. Well for now they have dispelled some of the pundits predictions, after some early season wins including a hard fought OT victory vs the Pelicans last now. However, now on tired legs and offering up less than deep bench Im betting they are vulnerable to being upset by their hosts the Houston Rockets this Monday night. Jazz are 16-35-4 ATS in their last 55 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Jazz are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games. Jazz are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (118 PPG or more ), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are just 11-30 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
|||||||
10-24-22 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 220 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams NYK and the Magic took part in run and gun fast paced games last time out, and Im betting on tired legs and offensive regression taking its toll here tonight in what will see this combined score fail to see this offered number from the lines-makers being eclipsed. Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Thibodeau is 16-4 UNDER versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of NEW YORK with a combined average of 202.6 ppg. NEW YORK is 42-25 UNDER as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209 ppg. Under is 14-4 in Knicks last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 6-2-1 in Knicks last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 20-7-1 in Knicks last 28 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this offered total. Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 22-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-24-22 | Stars -105 v. Senators | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators have won 3 straight games behind a surprisingly explosive offense. I betting that trend will not hold up against a Dallas side that has won 4 of their 5 games this season, behind one of the NHLs stingiest defenses ( 8 goals allowed in 5 games - 1.60 GAA) . NHL underdog against the money line (OTTAWA) - off a home win by 2 goals or more, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to win |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Suns +2.5 v. Clippers | 112-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
After a hard fought win vs the Dallas Mavs (107-105) in their opener the Suns had a letdown performance in game 2 of their campaign against Portland and lost 113-111 , but will now be prepared in a big way for a bounce back against the Clippers tonight. Note:
Williams is 48-31 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 26-12 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Home favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - off a win against a division rival, first half of the season are 42-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 47-20 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Astros +111 v. Yankees | 6-5 | Win | 111 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Astros smell blood in the water and have an edge here to sweep this series 4-0 and advance to their fourth World Series in six seasons Sunday night when they take on a Yankees team that has struggled on and off since Aug. New York is batting .161 (40-for-248) in the postseason and .128 for the series and against a strong pitcher on Mccullers up-trending will be a difficult proposition.McCullers went head to head with the Yankees two times in the 2017 ALCS when he allowed one run in 10 innings. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 League Championship games.Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games.Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the NYY starter Cortes. Yankees are 7-19 in their last 26 League Championship games.Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Astros to win |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Chiefs -3 v. 49ers | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 34 m | Show | |
KC QB Mahomes is in bounce back and redemption mode this week after throwing a late interception last week and falling short vs Josh Allan and Buffalo . The top tier QB is still high in the NFL QB standing with a passer rating of at least 100 and is tied for the league lead with 17 touchdown passes and capable of a big effort . Considering the 49ers are banged up on both offense and defense they are in trouble. The Niners also have alot of walking wounded who if they play are less than 100% i.e( Left tackle Trent Williams and defensive end Nick Bosa ) Advantage Chiefs. 49ers are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 7. Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. NFL Underdogs -SU (SAN FRANCISCO) - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 1-25 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Kansas City to cover |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers UNDER 48.5 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 13 m | Show | |
Chiefs QB Mahomes and company are explosive offensively but they go against a SF side that are allowing just 255 yards per game and 14.9 ppg which gives them the No.1 rank in the league defensively. Meanwhile the 49ers Im betting will also want to keep Mahomes off the field as much as possible and grind away with their ground game in effort to slow this game down to a grinding affair . All in all I expect this tilt to be lower scoring than the lines-makers and pundits expect. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more yards per return over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored. SF is 2-12 UNDER L/14 dating back to last season. Under is 6-0 in 49ers last 6 games following a straight up loss which was the case last time out. NFL Home teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 27-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with combined average of 40.4 ppg game. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Jets v. Broncos OVER 38.5 | 16-9 | Loss | -115 | 101 h 10 m | Show | |
I know the Jets D, has played well lately while the Broncos offense has struggled, but Im betting that Denvers QB Wilson finally gets rolling this week, and that the Jets offense continues to uptrend. NYJ are 8-1 OVER vs opposition off Monday night tilt like Denver. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (DENVER) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, after the first month of the season are 22-2 OVER L/10 seasons with a combined average of 50.5 ppg scored. NFL team against the total (NY JETS) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Play on the OVER |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Giants +3 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show | |
Giants Im betting will continue their upward momentum on Sunday when they face the host Jacksonville Jaguars. The lines-makers expect this to be a close game, but the Giants have shown grit and propensity, as is evident by winning five of the 6 one-score tilts and a rinse and repeat situation is at hand again this Sunday. Yes, I know Jags QB Trevor Lawrence had a big game last week, maybe the best of his career, but his team still found a way to lose to a Indy team they have dominated in the recent past . Letdown is in order here for Jags as is continued success for Big Blue. NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Jaguars 0-18 SU in their last eighteen games against NFC opposition. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in October games are 8-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Sabres v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Vancouver has played some wide open games, of late, but its been a buys early season schedule, and they are now on tired legs and not in any shape to run and gun tonight against a Buffalo side that has allowed an average of 2.5 gpg this season behind solid goaltending . With that said Im betting the combined score does not eclipse this offering. VANCOUVER is 10-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 12-3 UNDER in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 4.7 gpg. BUFFALO is 8-1 UNDER in road games off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals, terrible team, winning 30% or less of their games in the first half of the season are 38-13 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Cavs -1.5 v. Bulls | 128-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Donovan Mitchell is a game changer for the Cleveland Cavaliers and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight in Chicago. I know LaVine is expected to make his debut tonight for Chicago after sitting out so far with a nagging injury, but he is still less than 100% and may not play as much as is expected by the pundits. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road loss are 33-82 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cavaliers to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Minnesota +4.5 v. Penn State | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 40 m | Show | |
Penn States perfect season record ended last week in a loss to the Michigan and they will now be in a letdown situation against a hungry and tough group of Gophers who after a 4-0 start have lost 2 straight. Last week the Nittany Lions D was shredded on the ground allowing a whopping 418 yards. Now against a strong Minnesota run attack behind the legs of Mohammed Ibrahim trouble looms for the home side here this Saturday on white out night. Fleck is 8-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of MINNESOTA.Fleck is 11-2 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Franklin is 7-22 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses as the coach of PENN ST.Franklin is 3-15 ATS off a road loss as the coach of PENN ST. CFB Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - with a good offense - averaging 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game are 28-6 ATS 10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Pistons -1 v. Pacers | 115-124 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, but my special power rankings suggest the Pistons are more well conditioned than the Spurs . Considering how tanked the Pacers looked at the end of their last game which was a back and forth event vs San Antonio last night that saw them lose by a 137-134 count, I feel confident the Pistons finding. a way to get the W tonight and keep Indiana winless on the season. Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 5-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 6-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Celtics v. Magic +9 | 126-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Celtics played a strong game last night in Miami against what was a revenge minded Miami Heat team, that wanted redemption for last years game 7 loss to Boston. However, that expected strong effort did not materialize and instead it was Boston who came out swinging and eventually garnering a 111-104 win . After playing all out hoops last night I now expect the Bean town crew to be in a physical and emotional letdown scenario vs a young under rated Orlando squad playing at home dreaming of an upset. Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. BOSTON is 2-11 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season are 15-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Favorites (BOSTON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 24 or less free throws/game, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 13-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Mississippi State +21 v. Alabama | 6-30 | Loss | -104 | 82 h 21 m | Show | |
Alabama took part in a back forth emotional battle last week and lost on a ugly looking FG to Tennessee losing for the first time this season. That was an exhausting affair, and now Im betting instead of a giant rebound, Im expecting a slow start from Sabans now over valued crew. Note: Nick Saban in his career, js 0-5 ATS vs FBS opposition at home when coming off a SU/ATS loss Hey I know Mississippi State lost last week for the 2nd time this season to Kentucky, but I would at all not be surprised if they were not caught looking ahead to this game . Leach is 33-13 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992 CFB Road underdogs (MISSISSIPPI ST) - with a good offense - averaging 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game are 28-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mississippi state to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Astros starter Javier allowed just one earned run ins his last five September/October starts garnering a minuscule (0.32 ERA), Javier didnt get a start in the last series and just came out of the bullpen, but hes going to be the starter today, which gives me confidence in the Yankees have a below average offensive output while hes out there. Meanwhile, Cole goes for the Yankees. The hard throwing righty has allowed just three runs in 13.1 innings during the play offs. The two-time Cy Young finalist is not stranger to top tier post season efforts as is evident by a 2.81 ERA and 11.5 K/9 rate in 16 trips to the hill in the starters role. HOUSTON is 21-9 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.HOUSTON is 50-22 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. HOUSTON is 37-14 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.
NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) this season.NY YANKEES are 22-10 UNDER against AL West opponents this season. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Arizona State +3 v. Stanford | 14-15 | Win | 100 | 77 h 15 m | Show | |
Stanford is in a huge letdown situation after upsetting Notre Dame last time out, and will now be vulnerable vs up trending ASU side that defeated a decent Washington team a couple of weeks ago before their bye week. Now well rested Arizona State with the relief of having gotten rid of HC Herm Edwards and a new era under way Im betting use their fresh legs here to be competitive and get us the cover . STANFORD is 2-9 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Shaw is 3-11 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return as the coach of STANFORD. Cardinal are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Play on Arizona State to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -2 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 78 h 60 m | Show | |
Purdue 4-0 L/4 is getting alot of respect for the great football they have played, but this is a bad matchup for them vs Wisconsin despite of what many pundits expect. I know the Badgers seem discombobulated and are off being edged by Michigan State, 34-28 last time out in double OT, but this is a home tilt that puts this team in a situation that makes getting a victory a must just to get back some lost respect which means they will leave everything on the field in a all out effort. From historical standpoint Wisconsin is 42-28 ATS in Big Ten tilts when sporting a .500 record. WISCONSIN is also 47-27 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992. Note: Wisconsin 15-0 SU in this series since the 2003 season. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 10-22 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PURDUE) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate! Play on Wisconsin to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +6.5 | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 77 h 47 m | Show | |
This a key game for both Oklahoma State and Texas , as they have each already lost 1 game. With that said, Im expecting this to be a gritty battle that will be won in the trenches in physical fashion, and could easily be decided on the last possession of the game. Note:Texas HC Steve Sarkisian is just 3-13 SU away against opposition with a better record. Steve Sarkisian is 0-1 SU against Oklahoma State. I know the Cowboys blew a lead to TCU last time out and lost in OT, but the this is a resilient program as they have 6 straight wins after a loss. OKLAHOMA ST is 9-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 43-26 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992. The Cowboys have won five of their past six and 11 of their past 14 on Homecoming. OSU has won eight of the past 12 matchups with Texas, as well as two of the past three played in Stillwater. OSU is 7-2 in its past 10 and 16-7 in its past 23 games vs. AP Top 25 teams and 9- 4 in its last 13 games when both teams are ranked in the AP Top 25. CFB home team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate which obviously qualifies on this ATS line offering . Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State UNDER 59.5 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show | |
This totals selection is based on a projection system that I have used during the L/30 seasons. My assessment is that based on the type of football both sides are playing a lower scoring affair than the offered number should be expected. Ball State has gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall. Under is 10-3 in Cardinals last 13 home games.Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 conference games.Under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games on fieldturf.Under is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 games in October. Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. BALL ST is 10-2 UNDER ) after playing a game at home over the last 3 season with a combined average of 50.8 ppg scored. Neu is 11-1 UNDER against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of BALL ST with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (E MICHIGAN) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 25-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (BALL ST) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 62-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 74 h 14 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bulls are currently in top form going 4-0 SUATS and deserve respect here getting points vs visiting Toledo. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG during that span including allowing back to back opponents to score 7 points. This kind of data and momentum gives us an edge on a possible SU win or a back door cover in competitive fashion. Note: The Bulls have not allowed points in the fourth quarter in any of their last four games. The Bulls have outscored their opponents, 55-7, in the first half over the last two games. Buffalo owns a solid 12-4-1 ATS mark as a home underdog, including 5-0-1 ATS against better than .700 foes. Buffalo is 3-0 ATS L/3 at home vs Toledo at home.The Bulls won the last meeting, 49-30, at UB Stadium in 2019. CFB Road favorites (TOLEDO) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 13-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 39-14 ATS for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo Bulls to cover |
|||||||
10-21-22 | UAB +2 v. Western Kentucky | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
UAB owns the nation's third-ranked pass defense and will be key to slowing down the Western Kentucky offense that averages throwing the ball 44 times per game so far this season..This will be the fourth spread offense UAB has faced this season and they have faired very well as the Blazers have allowed opposition quarterbacks to complete just 54 percent of their passes and have held opposing sides to an average of just 176.6 passing yards per game. Note: Western Kentucky has averaged 489 yards and 40 points per game, while UAB allows only 319 yards and 17 points per game. With said, this is a important game, and as almost is the case the better D will find a way to win. On the flipside the Blazers are a strong rushing team behind McBride and one of the nations most cohesive Offensive lines, but so far this season WKU has been a dominant run stopping group, but Im betting that wont be the case today. The physicality of UABS defense and offense will be the difference maker tonight. Clark is 12-1 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of UAB.Clark is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less as the coach of UAB.UAB is 6-0 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. UAB is 10-2 ATS L/12 as C USA dog. WKU is 0-8 ATS as single-digit conference chalk when facing an above .500 win percentage side. Play on UAB to cover |
|||||||
10-21-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | 111-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Miami opened this season with a loss, 116-108 to the visiting Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. The team played well and still were defeated, but Im betting on a bounce back here by the Heat vs a Boston Celtics side they have revenge against for a Game 7 loss in last years play offs. I know Boston looked good , in their opening win against Philadelphia on Tuesday by a 127-116 count, but will now be in emotional letdown spot after a big night where Bill Russells number was retired. Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Play on revenge minded Miami Heat to cover |
|||||||
10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros -143 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Houstons starting pitcher VALDEZ is 18-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Valdez set a major league single-season record by recording 25 consecutive quality starts during this campaign. NYY SEVERINO is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.254. In three career postseason starts against the Astros, Severino is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA NY YANKEES are 1-10 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 17-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 18-4 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on Astros to win |
|||||||
10-20-22 | Troy +3 v. South Alabama | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
South Alabama has had a great start to their campaign garnering a 5-1 record to this point but in their two most recent games have been over rated by the lines-makers and failed to cover . Tonight against Troy (5-2) Im betting their dream season maybe abruptly upended. The Trojans have cashed 3 straight times against the spread and are on a 4 game winning run, and have cashed 5 straight times in this series and are not to be underestimated in their ferocity and ability to compete. Troy is also 3-0 ATS on the road this season and have cashed 4 straight as underdogs overall. S ALABAMA is 20-37 ATS after playing a game at home. TROY is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 51-108 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. CFB road team (TROY) - poor rushing team - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry are 160-91 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on Troy to cover |
|||||||
10-20-22 | Stars +150 v. Maple Leafs | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Toronto is just 2-2 to start their season, only been able to average 2.75 goals per 60 to this point in the season. Tonight against a top tier Dallas’ defence, with a strong goalie between the pipes problems could easily arise for the Leafs. Jake G Oettinger is 3-0-0 and has allowed no more than a goal in any of his appearances this season. Stars are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Stars to win |
|||||||
10-19-22 | Hornets -1.5 v. Spurs | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
San Antonio is committed to a long-term rebuild as is evident by trading Dejounte Murray to the Atlanta Hawks. I know there are also question marks around Charlotte, but despite of probably not playing All-Star LaMelo Ball here tonight who has an ankle injury still is the deeper side with more experience and overall fire power. Charlotte will go big on Wednesday with a starting five of forwards Kelly Oubre Jr., Gordon Hayward and P.J. Washington, center Mason Plumlee and point guard Terry Rozier in Ball's stead. Rozier averaged 19.3 points per game in 2021-22. Im betting they over power the young Spurs on their way to a win. CHARLOTTE is 13-3 ATS as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons and get the nod here this Wednesday night. Hornets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
|||||||
10-19-22 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-8 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 11-3 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Phillies starter NOLA is 12-5 UNDER in road games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg. PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored in those 22 tilts. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games this season with a combined average of 4.9 rpg . Under is 11-4 in Phillies last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning record. SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season with a combined an average of 6.2 rpg. Under is 9-4 in Padres last 13 vs. National League East. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN DIEGO/PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate! Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. Play UNDER |
|||||||
10-18-22 | 76ers v. Celtics -2 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Celtics won last season's Eastern Conference championship . The Celtics have had some bad PR surround the team , of late, as HC Ime Udoka was suspended for the season because of a scandal and now the men from Bean-town move forward with interim head coach, Joe Mazzulla. The Celtics beefed up in the off season with Blake Griffin now in the fold and the often injured but very talented Malcolm Brogodon. The chemistry of the team and hard defensive work ethic will Im betting stay intact as their ability to compete in the Eastern Conference. Note: The Celtics led the league in Defensive Rating (106.2) last season and despite of some defensive deletions including Williams III remain solid in that stopping department. I know there is alot of enthusiasm around Embiid and Harden in the 76ers rotation , but Im not sold that these two stars complement each other and cohesiveness is something that may not manifest for the Philly pundits. Last season the Sixers ranked 11th in Offensive Rating (113.0) and 12th- Defensive Rating (110.2) and Im betting at least for now those averages will not be excessively breached. As for tonight home court advantage will be key, and something I'll call in a tongue and cheek manner "The Tuesday Effect " PHILADELPHIA is 0-10 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - on Tuesday nights are 184-118 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. 76ers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. 76ers are 4-16 SU L/20 visits to Boston dating back to the 2015 season. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
10-18-22 | Canucks -105 v. Blue Jackets | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Both Vancouver and Columbus has started their season at 0-3, but from. projected matchup perspective I like the cohesiveness and the talent /chemistry factor the Canucks have. Columbus has looked completely lost thus far, and yes I know they played some strong teams but collectively in their current form are fade material. Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jackets are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Pacific. Blue Jackets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Blue Jackets are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 5-42 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. |
|||||||
10-18-22 | Guardians v. Yankees UNDER 7 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Yesterday game 5 postponement gives both bullpens and both teams in general a much needed rest period . This Im betting will see a very low scoring do or die battle take place . No pitcher will be given much room or leeway and each pitch will be important. Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 vs. American League East.Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 playoff games. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Divisional Playoff games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
10-17-22 | Broncos +5 v. Chargers | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 106 h 5 m | Show | |
QB Wilson has not performed well for the Broncos since coming over from Seattle but he is 15-2-1 ATS in his career as an underdog vs opposition coming off consecutive victories like the Chargers , including a stellar 8-0 ATS mark in division games under those parameters. Look for the QB to finally get things going this week, and for a solid Denver D, to give the Chargers all they can handle in this Monday night spot play. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA CHARGERS) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 12-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick (DENVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 36-12 ATS 5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |