Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-22 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8 | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
Cubs lefty starter MILEY is 9-1 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILEY is 22-11 OVER in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored in those 33 games. Over is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 9-2-1 in Pirates last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Miley. PITTSBURGH is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. J. Oviedo owns a 7.71 ERA at home in limited action this season, but my projections estimate he gets lit up here this Saturday. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), playing on Saturday are 34-9 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-24-22 | Georgia Tech v. Central Florida -20 | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 58 m | Show | |
Gtech is 0-3 ITS and been out-yarded by 176 YPG and are fade material in their current form. GEORGIA TECH is 0-7 ATS after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Collins is 1-9 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of GEORGIA TECH. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (GEORGIA TECH) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 7-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (GEORGIA TECH) - poor team - outgained by their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 10-33 ATS L/10 seasons for go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover |
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09-24-22 | Oregon v. Washington State +7 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
Transfer quarterback Cameron Ward has looked in this Washington State football program so far this season. On the flip-side the up-trending Cougars have allowed just 12.7 points per game, which has them ranked 19th in D-1. Washington State has given up a total of 273 yards rushing (91.0 yards per game) in addition to 0 touchdowns rushing for the year. In total, they have surrendered 38 points overall and just 4 passing touchdowns and 217.0 yards average pg, which has them ranked 70th in Division 1. Im betting they make the Ducks one dimensional on offense and make life very difficult for the young men from Eugene. WASHINGTON ST is 36-18 ATS L/54 versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game . Dickert is 6-0 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of WASHINGTON ST. CFB Road favorites (OREGON) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON ST) - after out gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 37-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington State to cover |
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09-24-22 | Florida +10.5 v. Tennessee | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 59 h 36 m | Show | |
The Florida Gators enter this road game against Tennessee with 5-1 SUATS record in the last six meetings, and overall are 16-1 ATS in the last 17 games vs the Vols. Meanwhile, Tennessee is just1-8 ATS as SEC home favorites of 10.5 or less points. In the Vols last 5 home games vs SEC sides off a victory like Florida is are just 0-5 SU/ATS. I know ol Rocky top has a explosive offense, but Im betting a stronger than expected Florida D, stands tall here and makes life difficult for the DD home fav. Heupel is 3-13 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game in all games he has coached. Napier is 10-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached. Play on Florida to cover |
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09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 68 h 16 m | Show | |
Wake Forest is being under estimated here by the lines-makers according to my own projections. The Deacons have an 11-game home winning streak and must not be taken lightly in their ability to light up the scoreboard and be competitive as hosts with 5th year experienced QB.Sam Hartman the helm of the offense . The top tier man under center has accumulated almost 10,000 yards and 79 touchdowns over the span of his College Football career and is a solid underdog. CLEMSON is 1-10 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. CLEMSON is 1-8 ATS in September games over the last 3 seasons. Clawson is 21-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents as the coach of WAKE FOREST. CFB Road favorites (CLEMSON) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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09-24-22 | Kent State +46 v. Georgia | 22-39 | Win | 100 | 68 h 8 m | Show | |
Powerful Georgia has nothing to worry about here vs Kent State and Im betting will play alot of backups today. Meanwhile, Kent will leave everything on the field in an attempt to make a historical statement. The Flashes have already played Oklahoma and Washington and showed some spark in those games despite of handy defeats and Im betting they find a way to get us a cover vs a disinterested Dawgs side that will most probably trying to stay healthy and remain rested before SEC heavy duty action gets underway. GEORGIA is 7-23 ATS in home games after a cover as a double digit favorite . GEORGIA is 4-13 ATS in home games after 3 straight wins by 17 or more points . Smart is 1-11 ATS in home games after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of GEORGIA. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (GEORGIA) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 125 or more total yds 2 consecutive games are 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-24-22 | Baylor v. Iowa State -2.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 27 m | Show | |
Iowa State was wide awake last week in their win vs Ohio U by a 43-10 count and are primed to play some big time football this week vs Baylor at home in their Big 12 opener. Cyclones are 3-0 ITS and winning the stats battles by an average 191 YPG early on this campaign and my projections estimate another strong performance vs a viable opponent. Note: IOWA ST is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 8-1 ATS in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season as the coach of IOWA ST. Campbell is 14-3 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of IOWA ST CFB home team vs. the money line (IOWA ST) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 43-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for. bettors with the average margin of victory combing by 20.2 ppg. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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09-24-22 | Maryland v. Michigan -16.5 | 27-34 | Loss | -115 | 64 h 26 m | Show | |
Jim Harbaugh has owned Maryland going a perfect 6-0 SUATS in the series while outscoring them by an average of 33 points per game. Rinse and repeat situation Im betting is now on board this Saturday. Maryland as Big Ten road pups of 10 or more points have failed to cover 9 of their L/11 opportunities. MARYLAND is 0-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a the average margin ppg diff clicking in at -30.2 ppg. CFB home team vs. the money line (IOWA ST) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 43-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for. bettors with the average margin of victory combing by 20.2 ppg. CFB Home favorites (MICHIGAN) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games are 78-38 ATS L/30 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan to cover |
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09-24-22 | Missouri +7 v. Auburn | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 55 h 4 m | Show | |
Since Bryan Harsin took over the coaching duties at Auburn the program has reversed itself, and continued negative regression is expected this week vs Missouri. Auburn is 0-3 ATS so far this season. Harsin is 6-11 ATS when favored and coming off a loss, including 2-7 ATS at home (Penn State crushed Auburn last week by a 41-12 count. ) CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 27-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri to cover |
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09-23-22 | Boise State -16 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
UTEP is 1-3 SU on the season and has been outscored by an average of 34-12 and have failed to cover all 4 games. I know Boise State has been slow on take off this season, with a minimal type wins vs Tenn Martin and New Mexico and a opening loss vs Oregon State. However, now I expect the Blue Broncos to be in top flight tonight vs a side they pummeled last season by a 54-13 count. Note: The Broncos D has shined allowing an average of 260 ypg total which ranks 10th in the nation and Im betting UTEP struggles to score and keep up. Boise State has faired well in their fourth game of the season the last 4 seasons winning/ cashing all 4 times by an average of 21.5 ppg. Boise State is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series and a rinse and repeat scenario is offering itself up tonight. Play on Boise State to cover |
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09-23-22 | Padres v. Rockies +145 | 3-4 | Win | 145 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres have lost 13 of their past 14 games in Colorado, including six of seven at Coors Field this season and Im betting those negative numbers will continue to intensify. Padres starter MANAEA is 0-9 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) Rockies starter Feltner holds a 3.72 ERA and a pair of no-decisions vs the Fathers this season, and will Im betting keep his team in this matchup as they find a way to squeeze out another win in this series. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rockies to win |
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09-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 13-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the rpg diff clicks in at +5.2 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. URIAS is 27-4 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average run per game diff coming in at +3.4. Urias is in top form having garnered minuscule 1..89 ERA in his L/3 starts all wins allowing just 4 ERS in 19 innings of quality work, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. URIAS is 6-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.781 in his career. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 33-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6 rpg which qualifies on this ATS ( Run-line) offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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09-22-22 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech +1.5 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
The Mountaineers can roll up points quickly but they will go against a Hokies side that have rebounded from a last-second loss at Old Dominion to win two straight battles, because of a top tier defense that ranks 5th overall, 3rd against the run and 15th against the pass in the nation . Compared to West Virginia they have allowed 126 yards less ppg than the Mounties including 21 less points per game. Va Tech owns a 7-2 ATS L/9 series edge at Lane Stadium, including 4-0 ATS with revenge which is on board here tonight. Virginia Tech is 12-7-1 SU all-time at home vs West Virginia. W VIRGINIA is 2-11 ATS in road games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game. W VIRGINIA is 6-19 ATS L/25 in road games against ACC opponents . VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game. Play on Vtech to cover |
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09-21-22 | Guardians v. White Sox -130 | 8-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Cleveland (81-67) holds a five-game lead over the White Sox (76-72) for first place in the AL Central with 14 games left for both teams. Needless to say after losing the opener of this series you can bet the Pale Hose will now be in desperation mode. They need this game, and will leave it all on the filed here tonight making them a viable hungry team to back. Chicago veteran Lance Lynn, who has victories in his past four starts with a 1.03 ERA .Lynn (7-5, 3.99) most recently beat the Guardians in a one-game makeup on Thursday, allowing two runs and six hits in 6 1/3 innings of an 8-2 win in Cleveland. Overall, he's 5-0 with a 1.43 ERA in his past seven starts and gets my support here tonight in a key contest. White Sox starter LYNN is 39-17 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) LYNN is 45-18 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LYNN is 49-19 against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 187-309 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate. Play on White Sox to win |
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09-20-22 | Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 18-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Phillies starter GIBSON is 31-13 OVER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. GIBSON is 21-7 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. GIBSON is 18-4 OVER in home games in September games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague home games. Blue Jays starter Stripling has pitched well for the Jays but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the Phillies sometimes explosive batting order. TORONTO is 7-0 OVER in road games after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored. Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a winning recor MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 36-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the OVER |
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09-19-22 | Giants -119 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Rockies will send Chad Kuhl (6-9, 5.33 ERA) against Jakob Junis (4-6, 4.15) in a battle of righties on Monday night. Junis has faced Colorado twice in his career -- both of them starts -- with a 3.00 ERA in those outings and my projections tell me he matches up well here again in this matchup. KUHL is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.12 and a WHIP of 1.560. SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. KAPLER is 80-37 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Giants to win |
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09-18-22 | Bengals v. Cowboys +7.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 81 h 49 m | Show | |
I personally believe we have an over reaction to the Cowboys losing their starting QB Prescott for a under determined amount of time because of a hand injury. I know Cincinnati is a strong team, but Joe Burrows behind a revamped OLine registered a career-high 5 turnovers in last week’s loss to the Steelers and could face pressure again vs a Dallas side that still exhibits a top tier D. In n my humble opinion the Bengals are vulnerable and we have a viable investment opportunity backing the underdog Cowboys. Defending Super Bowl losers are just 37-62-5 ATS as non-division road chalk. The Cowboys are a long-term 40-20-1 ATS L/61 as a home underdog . DALLAS is 39-23 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992. NFL Underdogs or pick (DALLAS) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 34-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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09-18-22 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 47 | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 16 m | Show | |
Defending super bowl champion Rams looked asleep at the wheel in their opening game loss by a 31-10 count to the Buffalo Bills last Thursday night. Note:NFL teams like LAR who scored 10 or less points in a Thursday night tilt have gone under 16 straight times in their follow game dating back 5 seasons with a combined average of 36.2 ppg going on the board. Atlanta also lost which is important as NFL contests have gone UNDER 28 of their L/36 opportunities when both sides are of a home defeat in their last game . Everything points to this being a low scoring affair as the early season rust and attention to strong Defensive play remains important. Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 road games. LA RAMS are 16-4 UNDER in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games on fieldturf.Under is 6-0 in Rams last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. . NFL team against the total (ATLANTA) - off a home loss against opponent off a home loss by 10 or more points are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA RAMS) - off a home loss by 10 or more points are 46-16 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-18-22 | Yankees v. Brewers OVER 7.5 | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Entering yesterdays action the Yankees bats are back after a long slump and have now scored 38 runs in their L/5 trips to the diamonds (7.6 rpg). Im betting they bounce back again in a big way after only 1 run yesterday. Meanwhile the Brewers bats have also come alive scoring 28 runs in their L/5 tilts entering Saturday and have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of those games. (They scored 4 runs yesterday in their 4-1 win) Cole and Alexander are viable pitchers but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the offenses will fair well here. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or worse ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 35-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-18-22 | Jets +7 v. Browns | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 47 m | Show | |
The Browns miraculously ended a 17-game winless - opening streak games with a late 58 yard FG with 8 seconds remaining for a 26-24 victory at Carolina last Sunday much to my chagrin. Despite of that improbable hyperbole victory Im going against the Browns this week. After watching Baker Mayfield struggle behind a offensive line that looked ragged it actually not a hard decision to fade the Browns here vs a under rated NY Jets D that played tough against Baltimore last week despite of losing. CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 at home as 3 or more point favorite. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CLEVELAND) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, in conference games are just 14-39 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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09-18-22 | Panthers +2 v. Giants | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 37 m | Show | |
Carolina lost a 26-24 heart breaker on a 58 yard FG with under 8 seconds left on the clock to Cleveland last week, but Im betting on a bounce back effort here vs public favorite the NY Giants this week, another side that snatched a victory late by a 21-20 count. The Giants are just 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when favored and , are just 1-7-1 ATS in non-division tilts. NFLHome favorites (NY GIANTS) - team that had a losing record last season, in conference games are 97-163 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 3 m | Show | |
Tom Brady is still undefeated in his career vs the Dallas Cowboys with a 7-0 record after last weeks win by a 19-3 count. Brady was not prolific but still found a way to win behind a top tier D. This week however, I expect Tom to have some regression, something he has done in the past after covering by DDs on the road and than going into successive away tilts , as is evident by failing to cover in his L/6 opportunities. Last season the Saints took out the Bucs both times they met them and despite of having revenge on board, things are far from automatic vs a Saints team that has proven it knows how to handle Brady and company. It must be noted that the Bucs are just 1-6 ATS L/7 on the road in a double revenge scenario. The Saints have won SU 8 of their L/9 and have cashed 9 straight as conference home dogs against .800 + opponents and are 7-1 ATS L/8 in this series. NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 39-14 ATS L/39 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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09-18-22 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 44 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 76 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting the Giants will continue push the ball on the ground with Barkley and play a slow grinding type of football in the trenches. With Carolina looking offensively vulnerable and their D which was no 1 in the NFC last year being the key to their successes and failures Im looking at beatable totals numbers as a critical money making factor this season . With that said my projections make this this number a viable to the under investment option NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 32.9 ppg scored and have actually gone under in 12 straight homes games with a combined average of 34 ppg going on the board . NY GIANTS are 15-4 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.7 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 8-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.1 ppg scored. Giants have gone under 7 of their L/8 times as fav or dog of less than 3 points. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Carolina has gone under 9 straight times with NO Saints on board in their following tilt which is the case this week. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY GIANTS/ CAROLINA) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 32-8 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-18-22 | Colts v. Jaguars +3 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Jags were able to move the ball decently in their loss to the Commodores last week and should be able to move the chains again vs a Colts team off a tough grinding game last week vs Houston. Jaguars have won seven consecutive home games against the Colts in Duval County. Jags are 12-1 ATS in this series, including 5-0 ATS the last five games and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Todays weather is expected to be in the 80s in Jacksonville with high humidity and this will favor the Jags who are more accustomed to this heat than a Colts side that plays their games in a dome. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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09-17-22 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Texas A&M | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 26 m | Show | |
The Aggies were held to under 200 total yards and 1 offensive touchdown last week in a loss to App State, and after dissecting that game it's obvious this Texas A&M side has alot of vulnerabilities that can be exploited by a team like the Canes. Im betting on Miami Fl , new HC Mario Cristobal to be very well prepared here to pull off a possible upset and more importantly as we are concerned a cover. Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS A&M) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 10-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 6 m | Show | |
Huge emotional letdown situation for Texas this week vs UTSA after a heart breaking loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide last week 20-19 -thanks to a late FG by the Tide. Now vulnerable and also with injured starting QB Quinn Ewers out of the lineup the Longhorns are vulnerable to a slow start and subsequent fail as DD home favs vs a UTSA side with a top tier coach at the helm (Jeff Traylor).UTSA is 6-0 ATS in the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. Traylor is 7-0 ATS in road games in the first half of the season as the coach of UTSA. Play on UTSA to cover |
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09-17-22 | Marshall v. Bowling Green +16.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 82 h 11 m | Show | |
Marshall came up with a huge upset last week vs Notre Dame and will now be in a huge emotional letdown situation vs a Bowling Green side that deserves some respect getting points as the 6th most experienced team in the country. After some heavy celebrating by the Thundering Herd and their fan base Im betting on their battery being a little depleted here, making them vulnerable to being upset . Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS L/4 meetings in this series at home. CFB team (BOWLING GREEN) - off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less, in the first month of the season are 71-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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09-17-22 | Kansas +10 v. Houston | 48-30 | Win | 100 | 105 h 3 m | Show | |
Kansas has shown offensive explosiveness and cohesion in their first two games this season scoring 56 and 55 points respectively both resulting in victories. Meanwhile, Houston has shown some defensive deficiencies allowing 35 and 33 points in their first two games and very much look vulnerable as DD chalk. Kansas is 3-0 SU since 1992 vs Houston! Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS) - pathetic team from last season - outscored by opponents by 17 or more points/game are 36-12 ATS L/30 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 32-10 ATS L/30 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburns much maligned HC Harisan is much better than many might think, especially early on in campaigns Harsin who is devout chartist is 27-7 in his first four games of the season and Im betting he will be well prepared again. Penn State has failed to cover 3 of their L/4 as a non conference road fav of 4 points or less.Franklin is 11-21 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of PENN ST. Penn State is just 2-7 ATS vs the SEC. Auburn is 10-2 ATS as home dogs against undefeated opposition like Penn State. CFB team (AUBURN) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games, team that had a losing record last season are 34-11 ATS L/30 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (PENN ST) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 27-66 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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09-17-22 | BYU +4 v. Oregon | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 17 m | Show | |
BYU has victories against USF and Baylor. This is a never say die group the Mormons bring on to the field and are not the type of squad that would have partied heavily last week after defeating Baylor in OT. Im betting they wont let that big win make them emotionally vulnerable because their maturity levels are above average as is their talent levels. BYU is 6-2 ATS L/8 as road dogs of 8 point or less. Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.Cougars are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on fieldturf. Ducks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.Ducks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.Ducks are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win.Ducks are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Ducks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BYU) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on BYU |
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09-17-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Bradish and Berrios have ERAs over 5.00 during this campaign and the last 6 times these to hurlers have faced each other the total has been eclipsed. Altogether 11 of the 14 meetings in this series have gone over the total and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today .TORONTO is 25-10 OVER ( in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-17-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -151 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Bradish’s four-starts against the Blue Jays this season, has seen him garner a 7.27 ERA in a ugly 17.1 innings of work and Im betting nothing changes today.Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Berrios (10-5, 5.07 ERA) is a stellar 7-0 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 career starts against Baltimore and gives the Blue Jays the edge here today on the hill. Overall the Jays are the better team playing at home with alot of post season future motivations. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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09-17-22 | Rutgers v. Temple OVER 43.5 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 52 m | Show | |
Rutgers destroyed Temple last season by a 61-14 count l, and another projected explosive offensive output Im betting is on todays agenda, giving us an edge on a over investment cashing. Rutgers has already put 66 points on the board this season. Over is 4-1 in Owls last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Owls last 5 home games. CFB Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (RUTGERS) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 games are 25-5 OVER L/30 seasons with a combined average of 54.7 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (TEMPLE) - team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less) playing a team that had a losing record are 50-17 OVER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with a combined average of 53.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 77 h 38 m | Show | |
Indiana found a way past Illinois last week, but Im not a big believer in this program at the present moment and really like Western Kentucky's passing game which could make like difficult for the Hoosiers secondary that has shown some glaring weaknesses. Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.Hilltoppers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. Hilltoppers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. W KENTUCKY is 13-2 ATS L/15 tilts as a road underdog of 7 points or less . W KENTUCKY is 30-12 ATS L/32 after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins INDIANA is 8-20 ATS L/28 in home games off a home win . INDIANA is 2-11 ATS when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Hoosiers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Hoosiers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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09-16-22 | Florida State v. Louisville OVER 56.5 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Louisville QB Malik Cunningham has owned FSU’s defense the last two seasons and Im betting he helps his team land some big offensive punches against what is still not a complete FSU D that struggled to contain the QB vs LSU .Florida State defense ranks outside the top 90 in Passing Success Rate and Passing PPA Allowed. . On the flipside FSU’s offense matches up really well against Louisville’s weak rush defense and does more than enough damage here with the option being key for big downfield offensive gains behind improved QB play and 3 dimensional run game. Louisville HC Satterfield and former QB is 15-3 OVER off 2 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 60 ppg going on the board. Over is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Louisville. Play on the OVER |
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09-16-22 | Rangers v. Rays -139 | 4-3 | Loss | -139 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup for the opening meeting will feature Texas left-hander Martin Perez (11-6, 2.77 ERA) and Rays right-hander Corey Kluber (10-8, 4.36). Kluber was roughed up by the Yankees in his last outing, but he has been a stable presence in the Rays rotation and is 6-1 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 career starts vs the Rangers and my projections make him a solid fav here today. Texas starter PEREZ is 3-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.457. TAMPA BAY is 32-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 22-7 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 20-7 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB road teams (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 18-62 L/5 season for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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09-16-22 | White Sox -149 v. Tigers | 2-3 | Loss | -149 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Detroit starter Manning is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox with his team losing all 5 of those tilts. Today Im betting we see a rinse and repeat situation manifest. White Sox starter GIOLITO is 22-9 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 33-14 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 14-42 L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. White Sox are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Play on Detroit to win |
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09-16-22 | Rockies +127 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 9-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Marquez is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last five road starts. Cubs starter STROMAN is 4-10 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 2-10 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 1-8 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Stroman is 0-5 with a 7.11 ERA in nine starts at Wrigley Field this season and is fade material in this spot play. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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09-15-22 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
D Lynch the Royals starter owns a 9.22 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill along with an equally ugly 2.048 WHIP allowing 14 ERS including 5 HRS in a 13.7 inning span. My projections estimate that he matches up poorly vs the Twins and should be lit up again. He is 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three lifetime starts at Minneapolis. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Bundy the Twins starter owns a 5.25 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill , while allowing 23 hits in 14.3 innings of sub par pitching and is set to be beaten around more than his two previous pitching Twins predecessors in the first two games of this series . BUNDY is 23-11 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 37-18-4 in the last 59 meetings in Minnesota. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Play on OVER . |
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09-14-22 | Pirates +138 v. Reds | 10-4 | Win | 138 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
The Pirates send Roansy Contreras (5-4, 3.29 ERA) to the mound in the series finale. The 22-year-old right-hander will be making his 15th start of the season for the Pirates, and second this year against Cincinnati and according to my projections gives the Pirates a edge on the hill. CINCINNATI is 12-21 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. CINCINNATI is 8-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. CINCINNATI is 7-23 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse ), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-13-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
Dodgers star hurler and expected starter today KERSHAW is 39-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) LA DODGERS are 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. LA DODGERS are 41-15 against the money line against division opponents this season. Meanwhile, Kelly the DBacks starting hurler despite of a strong season is off a 6-5 loss in his last out vs San Diego, and has shown some chinks in his proverbial armor of late, by allowing 4 HRs in his L/3 starts.KELLY is also just 0-7 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.567. Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 10-45 in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 59-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +7 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The upgrades to Denver Broncos football and the so called rebuilding of the Seattle Seahawks has the public hands down backing the visitors tonight. However, in my sometimes contrarian ways Im instead going with the home dog. I know newly acquired Broncos QB Russell Wilson knows his former team the Seahawks well, but likewise so do the Seahawks know Wilson well and his mode of operation and his weaknesses. As far as preseason football goes, I was not impressed by the Broncos, and their coaching staff. I really feel their are alot of kinks that need to be ironed out, for this Denver franchise to show the upward momentum expected of them making getting points with the home side a better deal than many might expect .Carroll is 21-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of SEATTLE.Carroll is 50-29 ATS as an underdog as the coach of SEATTLE.Carroll is 14-5 ATS in home games in September games as the coach of SEATTLE. Denver 3-11-1 ATS L/14 Monday nighters. Monday night chalk in game 1 of the season are just 19-39-1 ATS L/42 seasons. Play on Seattle to cover |
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09-12-22 | Angels v. Guardians OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Angels southpaw Reid Detmers (5-5, 3.67 ERA) will make his 22nd start of the season on Monday for Los Angeles. He is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts versus Cleveland. Meanwhile, another Left-hander Konnor Pilkington (1-2, 3.99) will make his 10th start (14th appearance) of the season for Cleveland. He hasn't started a major league game since July 23, spending most of the past two months at Triple-A Columbus. (Rust at the MLB level is a factor here) According to my projections both these pitchers do not matchup well vs the opposing sides batting orders aiding in my synopsis for this tilt to see more runs scored than the offered number from the lines-makers. Over is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 overall.Over is 10-4-3 in Angels last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-2 in Angels last 9 road games. Over is 7-2 in Guardians last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-11-22 | White Sox v. A's +150 | 3-10 | Win | 150 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CUETO is 8-14 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox clobbered the As yesterday 10-2 out hitting them by a 20-3 count. Note:CHI WHITE SOX are 2-9 against the money line after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent over the last 2 seasons. Regression now expected by the Pale Hose and a bounce back effort is at hand for a redemption minded As squad. MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 30-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland As to win |
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09-11-22 | Jaguars +3 v. Washington Commanders | 22-28 | Loss | -107 | 196 h 22 m | Show | |
Off season moves by Jags has WR Christian Kirk, in the lineup giving QB Lawrence the best receiver he’s played with in his NFL career and Im betting as long as they both stay healthy they will have a productive on field relationship that will aid the Jags offense greatly . Expected QB matchup Wentz vs Lawrence. Historical Trends: WASHINGTON is 16-36 ATS in home games in September games since 1992.WASHINGTON is 44-75 ATS as a home favorite since 1992. Commanders are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.Commanders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.Commanders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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09-11-22 | Ravens v. Jets UNDER 45 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 103 h 44 m | Show | |
Baltimores QB Jackson is still in contract negotiations, and may not be 100% focused and with key receiver Marquis Brown gone and Sammy Watkins also playing somewhere else this season, may not have as many options to move the ball as he once had. Offensive adjustments are now in play and could easily stymie the Ravens output early on this season and more importantly today. Meanwhile, NYJ banged up starting QB Wilson may not play this week or see limited action. No matter what materializes Im betting the Jets remain limited in their offensive prowess, and could easily have problems against a supped up Baltimore D. Everything points to this combined score not eclipsing the offered number. BALTIMORE is 22-10 UNDER L/32 in road games against AFC East division opponents with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games as a road favorite.Under is 11-4 in Ravens last 15 road games NY JETS in their L/6 September games over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 36.8 ppg go on the score board. Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games in September. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (/BALTIMORE /NY JETS) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 30-8 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average ppg total clicking in at 40.9 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-11-22 | Browns v. Panthers | 26-24 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
The Panthers will start Baker Mayfield this week against a Cleveland side that will start back up QB Jacoby Brissett instead of the suspended DeShaun Watson. Im betting Mayfield will want a grain of redemption here to prove to the Browns what they gave up on. Note: Brissett has lost 23 of his 37 NFL starts for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Bottom line: The Panthers with a motivated Baker in the lineup , and Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September. Play on Carolina to win |
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09-10-22 | Mississippi State v. Arizona UNDER 57.5 | 39-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
We. know how explosive Mississippi State can be with an air raid offense that never quits. But Arizona is use to explosive passing attacks and are currently well suited to deal with it. Meanwhile, I expect the Wildcats to really look to slow this game down via the running game, which Im betting makes for a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers current offering suggests. Under is 16-6 in Bulldogs last 22 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 21-8 in Bulldogs last 29 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. MISSISSIPPI ST is 24-10 l/34 UNDER after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Last week they won 49-23 ,but the coaching staff were emphatic about shoring up the D this week. Under is 6-1 in Wildcats last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 home games. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 MISS STATE /ARIZONA) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 30-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 52.9 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-10-22 | Baylor v. BYU -3 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 63 h 5 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears had a great season last year winning the Big 12 championship with an upset vs Oklahoma State. They also beat the Cougars last season by a 38-24 count, But now BYU will be primed for payback behind a explosive team that is very under rated in my humble opinion. It must also be noted that BYU ranks No. 1 overall and the Bears at No. 126. in returning production. With the home side winning and covering the last three meetings including a 6-1 ATS record favoring the Mormons in their last seven meetings with Big 12 opposition I feel confident in a winning effort by the home side today.Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on BYU |
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09-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +104 | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks are 28-64 in their last 92 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rockies Urina. Rockies are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Colorado has won 3 straight while the Dbacks have lost 3 straight Im betting on the trend continuing tonight. COLORADO is 31-16 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 31-21 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Diamondbacks are 39-91 in their last 130 road games MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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09-10-22 | Boston College +3 v. Virginia Tech | 10-27 | Loss | -120 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech is off a loss to lower tier Old Dominion last week by a 20-17 count and are proving my assessments of them correct at this juncture of the season. Vtech lost to Boston last season by a 17-3 count and look incapable of payback . I know BC blew a lead vs Rutgers last week and lost 22-21, but that will make them all the more hungrier this week in a matchup that favors them getting points. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are 33-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston College to cover |
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09-10-22 | Kansas +13.5 v. West Virginia | 55-42 | Win | 100 | 71 h 53 m | Show | |
These teams played a regular season finale on Thanksgiving weekend last season with West Virginia barley getting by Kansas with a 34-28 victory in Lawrence. Kansas has 9 starters back on offense and 17 returning starters overall while West Virginia only has 4 on defense and 11 total coming back. The experience resides with Kansas and some key trends also support them as underdogs and possible out right winners. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS) - team with a below average scoring defense last season - allowed 35 or more points/game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning have won 19 of their L/27 opportunities SU. Kanas has covered 6 of the L/9 meetings in this series and 3 of their L/4 @ West Virginia.Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Mountaineers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on Kansas to cover |
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09-10-22 | UNLV v. California OVER 48 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
UNLV quarterback Doug Brumfield went 21 of 25 for 356 yards and threw four first-half touchdowns in last weeks 55-21 win over Idaho State and Im betting he does some damage again, while the Rebels D, will take some punishment from a PAC 12 offense that matches up well agains them. Note: Bears Cal QB Jack Plummer went 23 for 35 for 268 yards with three touchdowns and Im betting on even more consistency here as they get the rust off . Over is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 games overall. Over is 4-0 in Golden Bears last 4 games in September. Over is 38-18-1 in Golden Bears last 57 non-conference games. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (CALIFORNIA) - team that had a losing record last season, with just 9 or fewer total starters returning are 39-98 OVER L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 54.2 ppg. CFBeams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less) playing a team that had a losing record are 49-17 OVER L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 53.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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09-10-22 | Alabama v. Texas +21 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 65 h 49 m | Show | |
Alabama's goes into Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns . Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian was Saban's offensive coordinator for two seasons, so both coaches are not strangers and know their opponent well. New Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers, who transferred from Ohio State, passed for 225 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in his first start and is capable of doing some damage here again this week against a top tier defense that is still human in nature.
From a historical standpoint Texas is 7-1-1 all-time against Alabama with the loss coming in the BCS Championship Game at the end of the 2009 season. Sarkisian is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games in September games in all games he has coached since 1992. Sarkisian is 13-4 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Texas to cover |
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09-10-22 | North Carolina v. Georgia State +7.5 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 64 h 27 m | Show | |
Huge emotional letdown scenario on tap here this week vs Georgia State for the North Carolina Tar Heels as they come off a extremely hard fought victory against App St in OT by a 65-63 score. Biggest problem for the Tar Heels is a D, that has now surrendered 85 points in two games and once again looks vulnerable here, N CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Brown is 2-10 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of N CAROLINA. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA ST) - team that had a winning record last season 103-54 L/30 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA ST) - team that had a winning record last season, in non-conference games are 83-35 ATS L/30 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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09-09-22 | Boise State -17 v. New Mexico | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 39 h 49 m | Show | |
Boise State was beaten up on by Oregon state in their first game of the season, and will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort against a less than strong New Mexico side that they matchup very well against. In the two most recent meetings in this series the Broncos bashed the Lobos by scores of 37-0 and 42-9, and my projections estimate a rinse and repeat situation is on board for this Friday night. Yes, I know the Lobos clobbered a ugly looking Maine team at home in their opener by a 41-0 count, but the side their facing today is a multiple times better than what they saw last week. Note: New Mexico is just 1-12 ATS when off a 7 or more point win.Lobos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Broncos are 7-1 ATS when off an away defeat. Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Play on the Boise State Broncos to cover |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
The defending Super Bowl Champions the LA Rams host the Buffalo Bills in both sides opening tilt of the regular season this Thursday night. At the time of me releasing this selection the Bills are getting most of the publics support, but head coach Sean McVay and company have proved very competitive out of the gate in the recent past posting a 5-0 SU/ATS record in game 1 of the season and must not be underestimated. Buffalo barley eked out a 35-32 win during the 2020 campaign at home when these teams played and will be lucky in my opinion to get the job done again vs a top tier side that demands respect from opponents. Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.Rams are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in September. Defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 ATS as home dogs in the first six games of the season dating back 42 seasons.. NFL Underdogs or pick (LA RAMS) - good offensive team from last season - scored 24 or more points/game are 43-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Rams to cover |
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09-08-22 | Reds v. Cubs -138 | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Cessa has not faired well against the Cubs this season allowing five runs, six hits and three walks over 3 1/3 innings spanning four relief appearances. In eight lifetime outings vs. Chicago, Cessa has no decisions and a 6.14 ERA. Im betting the Cubs take advantage of him again today and get us the victory. Note: The righty hurler has allowed five runs over his L/11 11 innings of his previous three starts including giving up four homers.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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09-07-22 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Padres | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Dbacks starter Henry will face the Padres today and has been in good form away from home of late , going 2-0 in his last two road starts, with a 3.49 ERA. He took a bit of beating last time out, but is a quality hurler and Im betting he bounces back. Padres Starter DARVISH is 3-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 42-101 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dbacks +1.5 run-line |
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09-06-22 | Aces v. Storm OVER 165 | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with the average ppg hitting in at 175 ppg. |
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09-06-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Phillies dropped two of three against the Arizona Diamondbacks and were then swept by the San Francisco Giants to cap the 1-5 road swing and will now be hungry for redemption and to get their momentum back on a upward swing against a Marlins side that has lost 7 straight games. PHILADELPHIA is 23-4 SU vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8. MIAMI is 4-23 SU vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clikcing in at -3.1. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 13-77 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in a t-2.8 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 |
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09-05-22 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/6 games overall and are obviously struggling offensively in a big way entering this game against the Milwaukee Brewers. All 6 of those games have gone under the total and more of the same lack of production will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. Ryan Feltner the Rockies righty starting pitcher has seen his L/3 trips to the hill go under the total with combined runs of 5 , 4 and 7 combined runs going on the score board. Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-2-2 in Brewers last 11 during game 1 of a series.Under is 11-5 in Brewers last 16 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. COLORADO is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 30-16 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 36-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 71-35 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Colorado. Play UNDER |
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09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton -1 | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
The Tiger-Cats have won seven consecutive Labour Day contests and Im betting nothing changes here in the 2022 version- this Monday. Hamilton is 37-13-1 all-time against Toronto on Labour Day. Tiger-Cats are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Play on Hamilton |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +3 v. LSU | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 81 h 56 m | Show | |
The Brian Kelly era at LSU Im betting will be a difficult one for him in this ‘neutral field’ opening event at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans vs a Florida State program that looks ready to right the ship . Off course the media is all over LSU and how potent they will be this season . However hold your horses folks as FSU head coach Mike Norvell showed momentum late last season as the Seminoles won five of their last eight games,. It was to little to late, but now Im betting on bigger and better things for FSU. With QB Jordan Travis, the Louisville transfer, registering a 148.9 Passer rating last season, and back to back 1,000 yards rushing campaigns this more experienced FSU crew has an anchor. Note: LSU HC Kelly is 0-3 ATS in season openers the last three years . Meanwhile, : Norvell is 7-0 ATS the last seven tilts vs non conference opposition. Florida State 5-1 ATS L/6 a non conference favs of 8 points or less. Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-04-22 | Yankees -118 v. Rays | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
New York Im betting at least temporarily ends their current slide and and beat the Tampa Bay Rays when the American League East rivals conclude a three-game series Sunday afternoon in St. Petersburg, Fla. New acquisition Montas is 2-1 with a 1.87 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against Tampa Bay and according to my projections gives the Yankees the edge on the mound today. Note:Tampa Bay is expected to begin Sunday with Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.72) as its opener before using Ryan Yarbrough (1-8, 4.87) as its bulk reliever. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Pirates OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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09-03-22 | SMU v. North Texas +12 | 48-10 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 42 m | Show | |
North Texas is off a win in their opening game of the season vs UTEP and once again deserve respect vs a SMU team playing without HC Sonny Dykes who went over to coach TCU. This N.Texas team this season returns eight starters on offense, while featuring and a under rated D that improved vastly last season compared to the previous season . The Mean Green are ranked No. 21 overall in Returning Production and deserve respect getting this many points. With this being a revenge situation for N.Texas after suffering losses in this series in three straight seasons Im betting on a motivated effort from the home dog. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons. Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NORTH TEXAS is 10-2 ATS in home games off a double digit road win since 1992.NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.Littrell is 6-0 ATS in home games off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of NORTH TEXAS. Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Mean Green are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. North Texas to cover |
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09-03-22 | Utah v. Florida +3 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 58 h 57 m | Show | |
New Head coach Billy Napier is a top tier coach and Im betting he actually gets the most out of the rebuild with the Gators and talent he has on the field this season thanks to a strong coaching staff he brought over from Louisiana . I know he will face PAC 12 Champs Utah, but according to early season power rankings this SEC home side will be very competitive and the linesmakers agree with me. Note: Utah in one-score tilts the L/5 seasons, are just 1-6 SU on the road and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 as non-conference favorites the last four campaigns. Meanwhile, the Gators are 3-0 ATS run as a home pup, and have covered their L/3 gridiron battles vs Pac-12 sides . Add to that Billy Napier is 7-1 SU/ATS as a dog of 5 or less points and you have what I am recommending as a solid take option getting points. Play on Florida to cover |
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09-03-22 | Blue Jays v. Pirates +155 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Contreras, is a young gun that management are high on. In 15 appearances (12 starts) this season, he twice has pitched at least five scoreless innings including his last trip to the hill where he registered a a 5-0 win Sunday against Philadelphia, striking out seven in five shutout innings of top tier baseball. Pitching advantage goes to the Pirates |
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09-03-22 | Yankees +118 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Yankees won five straight after manager Aaron Boone smashed his hand down on the table in the Yankee Stadium interview room following a 5-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Aug. 20. Since its 3-2 win in Oakland on Aug. 26, New York is 1-5, has scored just 15 runs and gone 3-for-30 with runners in scoring position. Im betting hell broke loose again last night after their game 1 loss to the Rays in the confines of the lock room and that the Yanks will come out here and get themselves out a late season slump here today with a motivated redemption minded effort.
MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 23-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-03-22 | Troy +21.5 v. Ole Miss | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 36 m | Show | |
Miss HC Lane Kiffin might take a few games to get rolling as he has lost some key production from last year, so a blowout may not come as easily as this line suggests. Here today against a 18 returning starter the Bulldogs may find themselves in a closer tilt than anticipated. Note: Kiffin has failed to cover 7 of his L/10 as a non conference chalk of 20 or more points. ’17 returning starter ’pups in their season openers , are 113-84-3 ATS L/.198 opportunities . Play on Troy to cover |
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09-03-22 | Bowling Green +23.5 v. UCLA | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 20 m | Show | |
The UCLA Bruins had a decent campaign last season, but Im betting they are over rated despite of some top tier offensive talent returning .According to my projections the Bruins are getting just a bit to much respect here today against MAC opponents Bowling Green.. The Falcons may not inspire bettors but with the amount of experience they have thanks to playing so many under class-man last season they become dangerous underdogs. Bowling Green coming into this season as the countries 6th ranked team in Returning Production experience, and also rank No. 3 in returning offensive production. . Note: UCLAs HC Chip Kelly is a perennial slow starter losing 5 of his first 8 openers SU and for me is fade material against a under rated opponent. Bruins are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games. Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on the Bowling Green Falcons to cover |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
North Carolina did not look good in their opener vs a lower tier side and were up just 21-14 with 5 seconds remaining in the first half despite of Florida A&M having 25 ineligible players sidelined. They did win 56-24 but I was very unimpressed. North Carolina barely made it to a Bowl game last season, and looked horrendous in a 38- 21 defeat as 13-point favs vs South Carolina With key personnel now gone Mack Brown just does not look like he has a solid base for a team to suddenly begin to put wins on the board, especially here on the road against a Appalachian State program that has garnered a 11-1 SU at home record the last 3 seasons and a eye popping 32-3 SU record at home in their L/35 attempts and 21-3 ITS at home the last 4 seasons. Brown is 1-10 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of N CAROLINA.Brown is 9-26 ATS after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on App state to cover |
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09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado +14 | 38-13 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU opens without head coach Gary Patterson for the first time in 20 seasons. Hes gone and and a new era begins at TCU. Sonny Dykes, an so called offensive guru with a lack of respect for putting together decent defenses takes over ( At SMU he allowed an average of 430 YPG in four seasons . Thats not a good look for a Horned Frogs side that ranked 122nd against the run via 222 RYPG. Dykes is favored here by to many points despite of Colorados recent lack of success. Note: Dykes has failed to cover 17 of his L/25 as a road favorite , and 3-16 ATS the L/19 trips to the gridiron. Playing in the High altitudes is not an easy proposition for visiting sides, and Im betting the Buffs who are acclimated to the thin air make life difficult for TCU . TCU is 2-9 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Colorado to cover |
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09-02-22 | Marlins +170 v. Braves | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Alcantara (12-6, 2.13 ERA) will face Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (6-5, 4.10) in the opener. With that said, Im betting we have value with a possible Cy Young award winner on the hill here this evening. We know how potent Atlanta is but Alacantra and make the most powerful offenses look mortal. He is fifth in the National League in opponent batting average (.205) and strikeouts (167).He threw his league-leading fourth complete game of the season in his last start, on Aug. 27 against the Los Angeles Dodgers which proves my point.Alcantara has made two starts against Atlanta this season garnering a 2-0 record along with a minsicule 0.53 ERA, giving up four runs (one earned) with 21 strikeouts over 17 innings. He is 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA in nine career starts and has never allowed a home run to the Braves. ATLANTA is 6-14 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season. Play on Miami to win |
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09-02-22 | Yankees +115 v. Rays | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Rays Jeffrey Springs (6-4, 2.76 ERA) has pitched well lately but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the left-hander does not matchup well here and was roughed up in his latest trip the hill by the Red Sox who smashed him for five runs on eight hits in six innings. I know the Rays are in top form , but now the Yankees after a last season slumber will be motivated and now Im betting and ready to perform behind a very talented lineup. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day. Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series. Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 101-66 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-02-22 | Mariners v. Guardians +130 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Seattles starter CASTILLO is 0-5 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter is right-hander Zach Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA), who was winning pitcher last time he faced Seattle going seven innings and allowing just three runs last Saturday in Seattle. Im betting on. RINSE and REPEAT situation here and a value line victory. Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Guardians are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss. Play on Cleveland to win |
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09-02-22 | Virginia Tech v. Old Dominion +7 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
VTechs new HC Pry and Old Dominions HC Ricky Rahne, served under James Franklin at both Vanderbilt and Penn State, where they were dueling coordinators. Needless to say they know each other well and competitiveness should be on this agenda. Its also interesting to note that the last time Old Dominion played hosts to a Power 5 program was back in 2018 . That game saw the Monarchs take out the Hokies by 49-35 count as 29-point home underdogs. With 17 starters back, including 10 on offense, plus an array of transfers from Power 5 schools Old Dominion Im betting will be more competitive than the pundits might think vs a Virginia Tech squad that was just 6-7 last season and still trying to gauge how to win regularly. NCAAF Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLD DOMINION) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in non-conference games are 83-42 ATS L/30 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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09-01-22 | West Virginia +7.5 v. Pittsburgh | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
HC Browns needs to get his team off on the proverbial right foot here tonight as West Virginia starts this season on the road vs a Pittsburgh side that finds itself starting this campaign without NFL draftee QB Kenny Pickett and top tier WR Jordan Addison who took the transfer portal option and went out to USC. Im betting QB Daniels who previously was under center at USC and Georgia will have an advantage here today and get us the cover and possible outright victory. West Virginia is 9-3 SU/ATS and including 5-1 SUATS as underdogs. Meanwhile, Pitt has recorded a 1-6 SU L/7 record against Big 12 opponents. Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in September.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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09-01-22 | Dodgers v. Mets +120 | 3-5 | Win | 120 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Dodgers took the first two games of this series, and now in desperation mode Im betting we see a motivated bounce back effort vs Kershaw and company by the Mets. Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. NY METS are 16-3 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.Mets are 24-6 in their last 30 during game 3 of a series.Mets are 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. NY METS are 34-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 55-108 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 20-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Mets to win |
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08-31-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +124 | 18-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Arizona has won seven straight home games against Philadelphia including a come from behind 13-7 victory. Arizona has pushed 45 runs across the plate during their current five-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks had a season-best 17 hits on Tuesday and more of the same action Im betting is on board this Wednesday vs Phillies starter Falter (2-3, 4.41) who has struggled to keep the ball in the park, allowing up 12 homers in just 51 innings of sub par work . ARIZONA is 23-11 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win Paul Goldschmidt looks like a sure bet to win the NL MVP if he stays healthy down the stretch. He has owned Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Minor during his illustrious career, going 8-for-14 against the southpaw including three home runs. His slashline against Minor is absolutely impressive ringing in at .571/.600/1.286. |
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08-31-22 | Rays -168 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays have defeated the Miami Marlins in six straight games and Im betting nothing changes today. Tampa Bay, which leads the American League wild-card race, will start right-hander Drew Rasmussen (9-4, 2.77 ERA) on Wednesday and he matches up very well here vs the light hitting Marlins batting order according to my power rankings. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 17-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-31-22 | Cardinals v. Reds +200 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Cards starter QUINTANA is 0-5 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more in his career. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 4-13 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Cardinals will trot out southpaw Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.45 ERA) to the hill in the rubber match of the series. In his last outing Quintana suffered his first loss with the Cardinals since coming over from the Pirates at the trade deadline. He allowed four runs (two earned) and seven hits over five innings against the Atlanta Braves and Im betting with his momentum broken he continues to get hit around by a Reds side that averages 5.1 rpg vs lefties this season. CINCINNATI is 13-7 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) are 32-23 L/5 seasons. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -159 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Colorado stater URENA is 2-23 SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9. Jose Urena owns a ugly 10.39 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder for the explosive Braves. Braves starter FRIED is 13-1 against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average rpg diff recorded at +3.8. ATLANTA is 20-2 SU when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with the rpg diff registering at +2.8 . Atlanta is in a rebound mode tonight after two straight losses. Note:ATLANTA is 13-1against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season with average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 113-20 L/5 seasons with the average run diff clikcing in at +3.3 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 |
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08-30-22 | A's v. Nationals OVER 8 | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The Nationals will start right-hander Erick Fedde (5-8, 4.88), who will make just his second appearance of August. FEDDE is 21-8 OVER in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg going on the board. Left-hander Cole Irvin (6-11, 3.16 ERA) will get the start for Oakland. Irvin lost four consecutive starts before his no-decision Wednesday vs the light hitting Marlins. Cole owns a 4.73 road ERA and according to my pitcher vs batting order matchup power rankings does not matchup well vs the Nationals . I know the Nationals offense has been stagnant but they have a chance to bust out here today giving us value for an over wager to cash. Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games following an off day. WASHINGTON is 29-13 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored.Over is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 during game 1 of a series. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 34-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play over |
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08-30-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Marlins | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The host Miami Marlins, have previously lost five straight games to the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays and Im betting nothing changes today. It must be noted that in two career starts against the Marlins, Rays starter McClanahan is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA. That includes a 4-0 win on May 24 when McClanahan pitched brilliantly with nine strikeouts in six scoreless innings. Rinse and repeat scenario now in play. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - bad NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 8-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win -1.5 |
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08-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tony Gonsolin has been over powering this season as is evident by a 16-1 record along with a stingy 2.10 ERA . Im betting he continues to add to his Cy Young award chances here today vs a very inconsistent Miami Marlins side. Advantage on multi run victory for the powerful Dodgers offense . GONSOLIN is 14-1 SU line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5. MIAMI is 2-15 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg dfff clicking in at -3.5 . MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 112-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games are 37-11 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers -1.5 |
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08-28-22 | Braves +115 v. Cardinals | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Odorizzi (5-5, 3.95 ERA) threw a solid six innings in a 2-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last time out . He allowed the one run on four hits while striking out seven batters and stopping 14 of the final 15 batters he went against .He is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals. Cards offensive stars Albert Pujols (0-for-10, three strikeouts) and Paul Goldschmidt (0-for-3, two strikeouts) have not faired well against the righty. I know the Cards Adam Wainwright has pitched well of late, but this version of the Braves matches up well against him giving us value with the Braves as road dogs. Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 road games. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after 5 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base are 46-23 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Braves are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis. Braves are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-28-22 | Yankees v. A's +1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 122 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
These teams played two tight games so far in this series with each side squeezing out 3-2 victories. More of the same projected action is now on board giving us value with a runline wager with the As. BOONE is 26-30 SU in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent as the manager of NY YANKEES. Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss. Yankees are 6-15 in their last 21 road games. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 5-10 SU in road games in day games this season. NY YANKEES are 5-11 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Martinez. Road teams (NY YANKEES) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games are 19-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win +1.5 runline |
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08-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 14-1 SU in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.1 . URIAS is also 17-2 SU in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Miami squeezed by the Dodgers yesterday, but a repeat performance is not on the table here today. Note: MIAMI is 5-16 against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 111-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 run-line |
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08-27-22 | Orioles v. Astros -165 | 3-1 | Loss | -165 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Astros righty starter URQUIDY is 26-9 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 22-7 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 71-162 in their last 233 road games vs. a right-handed starter. HOUSTON is 51-27 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Orioles starter Kremer. HOUSTON is 32-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. HOUSTON is 34-15 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-27-22 | Reds v. Nationals -120 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The pitching matchups are a toss up, but this is game that favors the Nationals to grab a win based on pitcher vs batting order power ranking projections. Reds are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East. Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 16-39 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series. CINCINNATI is 10-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL are 49-22 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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08-27-22 | Charlotte +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 13-43 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
Charlotte brings back some experience from last season -ranking 19th in the nation in returning experience. Considering Charlotte has revenge on board for a humiliating loss last year to the Owls you can bet this group will primed for payback . With that said Im betting on QB Chris Reynolds and his experienced offensive group to stay in this game against FAU and possibly win the tilt outright. FLA ATLANTIC is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points . FLA ATLANTIC is 7-18 ATS L/25 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. NCAAF Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHARLOTTE) - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 41-15 ATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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08-27-22 | Rays -120 v. Red Sox | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rays starter nJeffrey Springs owns a 6-3 record along with a tight 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. The left-hander is in top form of late as well garnering a 3-0 record while registering a 1.66 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his L/4 trips to the hill. Im betting his recent success will continue vs a very inconsistent BoSox batting order. Meanwhile, Rich Hill the Red Sox starter has garnered a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and on the season, 7.12 ERA at home in 30.3 innings of sub par work. The Rays also according to my own data matchup well against him and the tired looking Boston bullpen. BOSTON is 2-12 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 17-35 against the money line against division opponents this season. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-27-22 | Wyoming v. Illinois -10 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 104 h 32 m | Show | |
Wyoming returns just 4 starers on each side of the ball and is expected to have a sub par season in the Mountain West Conference. Note: Wyoming ranks 129 out of 131 teams in terms of returning production. Meanwhile, Illinois is up trending- behind HC Bret Bielema who has 13 starters back in Champaign. I know the Illini did not have a strong season last year, but Im betting they start this season off with a big bang effort behind new OC Barry Lunney Jr. who comes over with his successes from UTSA. Bielema is 13-0 SU in home openers in his college head-coaching career. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Play on Illinois to cover |
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08-27-22 | Angels v. Blue Jays -140 | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
The Angels crushed the Blue Jays yesterday by a 12-0 count and now the Jays will be primed to bounce back after that embarrassing outcome. Note:TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after a loss by 12 runs or more since 1997. Note: In two career outings against Toronto, Ohtani is 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA. He took a loss against the Blue Jays on May 26 when he allowed five runs in six innings, though he struck out 10. I know the Blue Jays starter Manoah has suddenly gone cold, but this big man still is a top tier pitcher and deserves respect here to help his team get some redemption today. Manoah owns a 1-0 record and a 2.84 ERA in two career starts against the Halos. LA ANGELS are 7-22 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
Game to played on a neutral Field in Dublin, Ireland . Nebraska's Scott Frost returns 12 starters from a 3-9 SU team from last season and are being vastly over rated against a Northwestern side that had a atrocious season in 2021. Meanwhile, the Wildcats bring back 14 starters, and will be primed and very motivated to stay competitive after last seasons nasty 56-7 beatdown at the hands of the Corn huskers. Cornhuskers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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08-26-22 | Yankees v. A's +211 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
NYY starter COLE is 0-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cole has also struggle of late as is evident by his gone 0-4 record along with a fairly bloated 4.62 ERA in his last six starts. Meanwhile,A's, starter JP Sears (5-0, 1.93 ERA) has gone 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA since a recent trade from the Yankees. Im betting he makes the Yankees wish they never traded him here this evening. I know the Yankees blew out the As yesterday but it must be noted that the NY YANKEES are just 8-15 against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 23-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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08-26-22 | Braves -140 v. Cardinals | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Braves will open the series by starting Spencer Strider (7-4, 2.95 ERA), who has held opponents to one run in four of his last five starts. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Qintana despite of pitching well overall for the Cards since coming over in a trade, had a bad outing last time out, and lost the last time he faced the Braves, when he allowed four runs in five innings on June 12 while still with the Pirates. He is 2-2 with an 8.37 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta. Note: Braves are 42-19 in their last 61 games vs. a left-handed starter. ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-26-22 | Padres -180 v. Royals | 13-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Royals will send Kris Bubic (2-8, 5.29 ERA) to the mound in the opener, and the Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove (8-6, 2.91 ERA). The pitching matchup favors the Padres. Musgrove the San Diego-area native is a first-time All-Star this season, currently holding a career-low ERA, and has delivered quality starts in each of his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Bubic the Royals starter has struggled at home this season going 1-4 along with a bloated 5.55 ERA in 11 outings, having allowed 54 hits in 48.7 innings of sub par work. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 36-6 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. MLBt team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 32-11 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |