Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse v. Michigan State OVER 129 | 55-53 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI
Michigan States offense is explosive averaging more than 81 ppg this season, and will force Syracuse in responding with some offensive fireworks of their own or get blown of the court. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this number. Recently North Carolina scored 78 against Syracuse the Boston College 85 , and I'm betting Michigan State puts a similar of points on the board here. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 OVERL/7 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of with a combined average score of 149.3 ppg going on the board. SYRACUSE is 15-4 OVER L/19in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 143 ppg going on the board.SYRACUSE is 10-1 OVER L/11 after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers dating back to last season with a combined average score of 1ith a combined average of 153.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SYRACUSE) - after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers are 44-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in March games. are 61-25 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-17-18 | Portland State +6 v. San Diego | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Portland States Head Coach Barret Peery has shown his metal in his first year at the helm of the team, as the Vikings have registered a 20 win season, something many thought was improbable. This Portland State team is explosive offensively averaging 85.8 points per game on offense and are a dangerous opponent for teams like the San Diego Toreros squad that averages just 70.1 points per game on offense which ranks them 264th nationally. PORTLAND ST is 10-0 ATS in non-conference games this season. Vikings are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. West Coast Conference. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAN DIEGO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an below average defensive team (47.5% or better ) after 15+ games are a long term negative out bet, as is evident by 171- 266 ATS mark over the L/21 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on Portland State to cover |
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03-17-18 | Houston +3.5 v. Michigan | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS
Cougars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. HC Sampson is 7-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last few seasons. Play on Houston |
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03-17-18 | Florida v. Texas Tech -1.5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX
My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. With 10 players averaging over 12 minutes per game Texas Tech is a team that is able to sustain a high level of intensity on the floor for an entire game and as they have plenty of able bodied reserves to sub in when a player gets fatigued. Their extremely dangerous and must be respected here as short favs vs a good but inconsistent Florida side, that , on the other hand, only has 6 players that average over 12 minutes per game and relies heavily on front-end production ,which I'm betting will see them fade as this game progresses as exhaustion and foul trouble come into play. HC Beard is 20-7 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in all games he has coached. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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03-17-18 | Hornets -6.5 v. Knicks | 101-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Charlotte's Hornets star Dwight Howard enters this game on fire , playing some of his best basketball in years with three 30-point games in the last 10 days, including a 33-point performance in a 129-117 win over his former team, the Atlanta Hawks. Tonight I'm betting he will be the catalyst behind what is a now an explosive Charlotte offense that can easily take advantage of a team that has lost 9 straight and 17 of their L/18 games overall and playing a lot of young players. NEW YORK is 9-21 ATS L/30 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Knicks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. NBA Favorites (CHARLOTTE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 29-5 ATS l/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
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03-17-18 | Rockets v. Pelicans +7.5 | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
One of Houston's three losses since Jan. 6 was a 115-113 setback at New Orleans on Jan. 26 and now the teams play again. Houston is off clinching the division title last time out, on Thursday and could now be in a letdown spot vs a side that actually matches up quite well against them as has been evident by recent meetings. I know New Orleans has struggled a bit over tier last few games, but taking on this type of top tier side I'm betting will bring out the best them. Pelicans are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and get the nod getting points here this evening. Rockets are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in New Orleans.Underdog is 20-9-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 44-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island v. Duke OVER 148.5 | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA Look for Dukes powerful inside-outside game to go head to head in a back forth affair against the dynamic guard play of the Rams in a game I have projected to go over the total. DUKE is 11-1 OVER L/12 after a non-conference game this season with a combined average score of 169.7 ppg scored.DUKE is 10-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average score of 164.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-2 in Blue Devils last 8 neutral site games. Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 neutral site games. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RHODE ISLAND/DUKE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 160-88 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-16-18 | Florida State v. Missouri +1.5 | 67-54 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TNMy CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Missouri has Michael Porter Jr. after missing most of the season with a back injury. This Tigers team is a top tier downtown shooting side and very consistent from the FT line, making them viable opponents for a inconsistent Florida state Seminoles team, that is just 7 - 9 away from home this season. The Seminoles coincidently do not guard the three well and are horrible from the charity stripe making them fade material in this spot.
.Play on Missouri to cover |
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03-16-18 | New Mexico State +5 v. Clemson | 68-79 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 23 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Viejas Arena - San Diego, CA My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The WAC champ New Mexico State has a roster filled with big athletic men who are not easily intimidated and are a cohesive offensive unit lead by 20 point-per-game scorer Zachm Lofton and Jemerrio Jones who is the double-double demon.
Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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03-16-18 | Clippers +5 v. Thunder | 113-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder have made a habit of beating up on lower tier teams, which is good as their taking care of business when they need to but, they have struggled against better teams. . Since Feb. 1, the Thunder are just 2-6 against teams with better-than-.500 records, beating only Golden State on the road and the Spurs at home. Tonight they go against another above .500 opponent, the LA Clippers a team that desperately needs win to get into the play offs as they are on the bubble at the moment. Los Angeles has won 11 of their last 16 to stay in playoff contention and must not be underestimated in their current desperate form. Note: The Thunder could be without Center Steven Adams and George who were both limited in Thursday's practice and both are listed as questionable. If they do play they will be less than 100%,giving a key advantage to the Clippers. LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Clippers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS on Friday nights this season. The Thunder are 0-12 ATS L/12 failing to cover by 9.75 ppg and 1-11 with that win coming by just 1 point when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a road favorite in which their high scorer had at least ten more points than their next highest scorer. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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03-16-18 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 113-121 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these sides have played some fairly high scoring back and forth games of late, but the Clippers still key on defense to get where they need to go, and have seen 3 of their L/4 stay under the total . The average combined score of the Clippers road games clicks in at around 216 ppg. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City also has been running and gunning on a consistent basis, but because of this the lines makers are attaching some slightly bloated Totals to their tilts which makes for value when looking at the under as is evident by 4 of their L/5 home tilts failing to eclipse the number. The Thunders home games have seen a combined average score of 209.6 ppg scored behind the 20th ranked pace in the league and the 8th best defensive rating. My projections make this Total closer to 219 which gives us value on the under. OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-27 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season with a combined average score of 211.3 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER L/33 against Pacific division opponents with a combined average score of 213.1 ppg scored. The Thunder are 0-20 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest when they won as a favorite in each of their last two games with the highest score in those games coming in at 218 total points with the average combined score clicking in at 193.7 ppg. The Thunder are 0-19 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest off a double-digit win as a favorite with the highest score in those games not eclipsing the 216 point plateau. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 38-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 211.6 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-16-18 | Celtics v. Magic +6.5 | 92-83 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The banged up Boston Celtics gave everything they had against long time rivals the Washington Wizards last time out losing, 125-124 in OT. Now still shorthanded playing without key cog Kyrie Irving and exhausted and emotionally letdown after that above mentioned marathon event, they will be at a disadvantage trying to cover a 6 point + spread on the road against a young hungry group in Orlando looking for recognition. Meanwhile, Orlando has also sustained some injuries, but they are also hanging in there, and are off a win last time out and for the most part remain competitive and deserve my respect here as home dogs in this spot. I know that Boston lost to Orlando at home back in Jan , but right now I don't think their in the best shape mentally or physically to get their revenge and hand out a beat down in their current form BOSTON is 9-21 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons. .
NBA Road teams (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 95-154 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada -1 | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals Nevada really takes care of the rock and they don’t turn the ball over very often, they’re also explosive of the land of the trey, and are dizzying with their ball movement. baskets. They had a crap tournament after a great season, but overall they beat teams by an average of over 11 points per game and must be respected behind an experienced older group. Meanwhile, Texas does not pas well and can are easily read when on the attack. Yes, they do defend the three well, but their overall game is lacking compared to this opponent. NEVADA is 27-14 ATS L/41 when playing against a team with a winning record .TEXAS is 4-17 ATS L/21 as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick.NEVADA is 7-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite|(which happened in the MWC Tourney) Play on Nevada to cover |
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03-16-18 | Murray State +10 v. West Virginia | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 10 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Viejas Arena - San Diego, CA
The Racers of the Ohio Valley Conference have not lost in almost two month and must be respected here as less than easy out for West Virginia. The Racers played a non-conference game against Auburn, which uses a similar pressing style of defense, that West Virginia uses, and lost by just a few points. Don't write off Murray State vs what my own power rankings suggest is a over rated West Virginia side. MURRAY ST is 8-2 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB favorite (W VIRGINIA) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are just 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors. Play on Murray State to cover |
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03-16-18 | CS-Fullerton +21 v. Purdue | 48-74 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The Titans enter Friday's matchup having won eight of their last 10 games and are in top form. Fifteen seeds have upset two seeds eight times throughout NCAA Tournament history. Four of those times have happened since 2012, with the most recent coming in 2016 (MTSU over Michigan State). So don't be surprised by a freak show and more importantly getting us the cover vs a strong Big 10 program. CS-FULLERTON is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.CS-FULLERTON is 11-3 ATS as an underdog this season. .PURDUE is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season. NCAA No.2 seed as chalk of 18 or more points in the opening round of the national tournament have not covered in their L/18 tries vs a team off a win like Fullerton which cruised to a 71-55 victory over UC Irvine in the final winning the Big West Championship) Play on the Cal State Fullerton |
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03-16-18 | Providence +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 69-73 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC
Providence is not an amazing team that stands put, but they are very deep , and that was evident when they took Villanova to OT in the conference final. This team is physical and can draw fouls, which is a positive for a team that is extremely proficient from the FT line. This team must be respected here as dogs vs a good but over rated Texas A&M Aggies side that lost 4 of their L/7 games overall including a collapse in the conference tournament to Alabama. Texas A&M is frustrating to watch at the charity stripe and their downtown shooting is extremely inconsistent. TEXAS A&M is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS L/15 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better. PROVIDENCE is 23-12 ATS L/35 as an underdog . Play on Providence to cover |
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03-15-18 | Alabama +2 v. Virginia Tech | 86-83 | Win | 100 | 57 h 58 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Alabama Guard Collin Sexton is one of the best one on one players I've seen in a long time, and I feel strongly that his team are sleepers here and under rated. Look for him to be the catalyst behind a cover here for the Crimson tide. Play on Alabama to cover |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State v. Houston -4 | 65-67 | Loss | -103 | 55 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. According to my own power rankings Houston is being vastly under rated by the linesmakers and one of the most under rated sides in the tournament. HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS L/10 versus good defensive teams - allowing shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season which was the case vs Cincinnati in their conference championship loss ( 56-55). Play on Houston to cover |
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03-15-18 | Raptors -3.5 v. Pacers | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Heading into this tilt at Indiana , the Toronto Raptors are in red hot form and have won nine in a row and 16 of its last 17 and are one of the very few teams in this league that must be respected as road favorites. I know Toronto has played a heavy schedule of late , but they are the best conditioned team in the NBA, and more than capable of standing tall here and notching the win and cover s visitors. A great deal has been made of Indiana, and I respect this team, but they have proven highly inconsistent this season, with long negative and positive runs and despite of a current 3 game win streak and 6 wins in their L/7 overall , just dont' inspire me against this type of lights out side, that will primed to continue to prove their dominance over the Eastern Conference. Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. TORONTO is 8-1 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Toronto 114.6 Opp 97 NBA Road favorites (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 25-3 L/21 seasons for a 89.% conversion rate for bettors. ( Team 98 Opp 87.5) Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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03-15-18 | NC State v. Seton Hall -2 | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. NC STATE is 6-15 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 5-13 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. CBB favorite (SETON HALL) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO or less ) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 95-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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03-15-18 | South Dakota State +8 v. Ohio State | 73-81 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Taco Bell Arena - Boise, ID South Dakota State is a side that should not be underestimated, as they are very talented and now making their 3rd straight NCAA tourney appearance and on a 11 game win streak . They are lead by Mike Daum (23.8 ppg) the Dominator, a player that is headed for the NBA next season and one of the best players in this entire tournament. Make no mistake that their opponents today Ohio State had a marvelous season, playing well above expectations, but they were just 2-3 SU/ATS down the stretch and being over rated here today against a side that matches up very well against them. S DAKOTA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season No.12 seeds like N.Dakota State are 24-11-1 ATS L/9 seasons when facing a No.5 seed like Ohio State. Play on S.Dakota State to cover |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Miami-FL -1.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Champions of the Missouri Valley Conference, Loyola (28-5, 15-3 MVC) earned a NCAA berth by defeating Illinois State, 65-49, to capture the MVC Tournament title last Sunday. The Ramblers are one of the hottest teams in the country, winners of 17 of their last 18 tilts, including 10 straight, but facing a team with superior recruiting and talent in a big time event is going to be to over whelming for this group, and I'm betting against them here. HC Larranaga is 32-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MIAMI. Play on Miami Florida to cover |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -2 | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA Oklahoma depends way to much on the one man team Trae Young to get things going. Young thanks to Krugers coaching takes control of the offensive end of the court in one on one fashion, , but the team in its entirety has proven inconsistent as is evident by losing 8 of their L/10 overall. Watching the sooners play defense is like watching a pylon parade. Meanwhile Rhode Island is a hard working cohesive group with great chemistry and they get the nod here today in this matchup. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS L/17 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game. OKLAHOMA is 2-13 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season. OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS in all games this season.
Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse +2 | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 53 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH Arizona State was the darlings of the College basketball world earlier this season, but they cooled off considerably during conference play and finished their season losing 5 of their L/6 games, and are playing very inconsistent ball at the moment. Meanwhile, Syracuse despite of an average campaign are a hard working defensive minded program, with pedigree and experience in this NCAA tournament, and must be respected with HC Boheim on the sideleines . With that said, my own power rankings also suggest Syracuse is the side that should be favored and not Arizona State making gets points here in my humble opinion a viable wagering opportunity. Note: The Orange had a non-conference schedule ranked No. 14. Its overall schedule was ranked 18. SU played Virginia, the No. 1 team in the RPI, twice. It played North Carolina (RPI 4) twice, it played Kansas (5), Duke (7) and Clemson (11). ........Kansas (5), St. Bonaventure (24) and Buffalo (25) were all non-conference opponents. Needless to say their ready for whats coming their way today. ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 when playing against a team with a winning record and is 1-7 ATS L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). CBB underdog (SYRACUSE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 62-31 ATS L/12 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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03-14-18 | Wizards v. Celtics +2.5 | 125-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Boston has been hampered over the last week with injuries and enters Wednesday night's game vs Washington minus at least two starters and two reserves. but despite of this they are a deep team, and must not be underestimated at home as underdogs. Meanwhile visiting Washington had a 5 game winning streak ended in ugly DD fashion last time out, to Minnesota and looked a little fatigued in that game, as many teams in the league are right now as the season begins to wind down.
These teams are vicious rivals, and despite of Boston being short handed , I'm betting they make a game of this and get the cover as home dogs. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS as an underdog this season. WASHINGTON is 15-26 ATS as a favorite this season.BOSTON is 31-15 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 73-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% SU conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 26-2 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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03-14-18 | Temple +10 v. Penn State | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 35 h 36 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS L/14 in all tournament games. Temple is 8-2 SU L/10 meetings in this series. TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS L/35 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 31-52 ATS L/83 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). Play on Temple to cover |
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03-14-18 | UT-Rio Grande Valley +3 v. New Orleans | 74-77 | Push | 0 | 35 h 31 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - First Round My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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03-14-18 | Miami-OH +1 v. Campbell | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 56 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - First Round My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. MIAMI OHIO is 8-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Miami O to cover |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. UCLA | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show | |
The very under rated Bonnies had a 13 game losing streak snapped last time out, but got some great news when they were informed of an at-large bid to the Tournament and now will primed to face UCLA in the First Four on Tuesday. To beat UCLA you have to play fast and need quality guard play , something the Bonnies have. St.Bonaventure are lead by All-Conference backcourt seniors Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who combine to average 38 points per game and I'm betting they will be the catalysts behind a Bonnies cover vs the Bruins this evening. Bruins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Bonnies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bonnies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-13-18 | Eastern Washington v. Utah Valley -6.5 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
The Utah Valley Wolverines, have been on the rise in the college basketball world as of late and despite of not being a school you might recognize , it has a quality group of talent on board with 4 returning starters. QUOTE: “This is my most talented roster, so I think we have some higher expectations we’re trying to meet,” HC Pope said. END QUOTE.Last year, the Wolverines, made the final four of the CBI tournament, and upset BYU during the regular season, and than played Duke in Kentucky earlier this season, and are battle tested and more than capable of taking out Eastern Washington here today on their own home floor. Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on Utah Valley to cover |
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03-13-18 | Vermont v. Middle Tennessee -6 | 64-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round The Vermont Catamounts had a great season, but faltered in the conference championship and were surprisingly upset. I really don't think this hoops group is now happy to be here as they expected to be in the NCAA tourney. I know Middle Tennessee is also disappointed, after losing their bid, but from reading different quotes from the Raiders, its become obvious their more motivated. QUOTE: MIDDLE TENN ST is 25-11 ATS L/36 when playing against a team with a winning record.MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots.VERMONT is 2-10 ATS L/12 in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers . CBB underdog (VERMONT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite are 69-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors on the blind. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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03-13-18 | Long Island v. Radford -4 | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH The Radford Blackbirds are led by NEC Tournament MVP Joel Hernandez (20.9 ppg) and Raiquan Clark (17.4 ppg). Clark is the team's top rebounder with 7.1 per game, while possessing a 55.7 field goal percentage. Hernandez dishes out 2.6 dimes a game, while shooting 38.0 percent from beyond the arc. I'm betting these two key cogs will be the difference maker in this tilt. |
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03-12-18 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 207 | 121-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are in full tank mode, and are using a lot of young players . and partly because of this have not been fluid offensively for long time and have failed to score more than 98 points in 10 of their L/15 games . Memphis because of their lack of scoring and key injuries have seen 6 of their L/7 stay below the Total and here against Milwaukee tonight, I'm expecting another combined score to fail to eclipse the number. It must also be noted that their opponents tonight Milwaukee have been playing a more conservative style of hoops, of late and have failed to score more than 99 points in 6 of their L/8 games. Everything points to this being a viable under wager. MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season with a combined average score of 200.9 ppg going on the board.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 198.7 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after 7 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average score of 191.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 overall.Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.MILWAUKEE is 22-11 UNDER L/33 in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins with a a combined average score of 204.3 ppg.Under is 10-2 in Bucks last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 11-3 in Bucks last 14 road games.Under is 21-8 in Bucks last 29 overall.Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings.
NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in March games are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-11-18 | 76ers v. Nets +6 | 120-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Philadelphia enters this game having lost eight of its last 11 road games, and are being over valued here vs a Brooklyn side that has been very competitive of late covering 5 of their L/6 games overall including a DD win last time out. Note: BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. Meanwhile, The Sixer's issues of late seem to be a lack of conditioning as they have looked fatigued , with key contributors like Joel Embiid who has looked gassed in recent outings averaging just 18.8 points on 41 percent shooting in five games in March after averaging 24.4 ppg on 50.3 percent shooting in February. QUOTE: "I think fatigue definitely has a part to say in some of Joel's performances recently," Philadelphia coach Brett Brown told reporters after Thursday's game when Embiid shot less than 30 percent for the first time all season. END QUOTE: With that said, I'm betting on a fairly well rested Brooklyn side to make a game of this and not be easy outs . Take the points. ( The last time these teams played here in Brooklyn back on Jan 31 the Nets won 116-108 as 8 point dogs) BROOKLYN is 15-7 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.BROOKLYN is 32-20 ATS as an underdog this season. BROOKLYN is 19-9 ATS L/28 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games are 71-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 6-26 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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03-11-18 | Jazz -2 v. Pelicans | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans saw their franchise record-tying 10-game winning streak abruptly end Friday night with a 116-97 home loss to the Washington Wizards and I am now betting they will lose two in row as they face the up trending Utah Jazz a side that has won 10 consecutive road games and 17 of their last 19 games overall. It must also be noted that Key Pelicans starter Anthony Davis is injured ( ankle) and despite of practicing yesterday is going to be less than 100% if he plays today. The Jazz have won two of three meetings this season against the Pelicans, including a 133-109 blowout of the Pelicans in New Orleans on Feb. 5. According to my system to system power rankings this was not an anomaly , and are the superior side in this matchup as the linesmakers have already estimated. NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free throws/game or less this season.UTAH is 8-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 9-36 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 80 points or less against opponent after allowing 115 points or more are 34-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover
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03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
AAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Orlando, FL The No. 8 Bearcats face No. 21 Houston on Sunday afternoon in the American Athletic Conference Tournament championship in Orlando, Fla., very focused and ready to avenge their loss in last year's tourney final . Houston is admittedly playing some great hoops at the moment, but as is usually the case in big games like this the superior D, will be the difference maker. Which makes the Bearcats the go to team here. Note: Cincinnati is No.2 in the DFG and ranked in the nation No.8 in rebounding. Cincinnati is 15-2 SU vs Houston L/17 meetings. All 4 championship games in this conference have been won by the fav SU/ATS. CBB An underdog (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or better ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 76-124 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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03-11-18 | Kentucky v. Tennessee | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
SEC Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO
Kentucky owns a strong pedigree and entered this seasons SEC tournament playing their best basketball of the season and have continued their top tier play throughout this championship tourney. John Calapri's Wildcats teams have been lights out dominant in the Semi final and finals rounds going 32-5 SU while covering 27 of those tilts, and I'm betting they come out on top again and get us the cover as they play this contest with double revenge for two losses they suffered in this series... the last one a 61-59 heart breaker in Rupp. Wildcats are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Southeastern. Kentucky has won 11 straight games in the SEC Tournament. The Wildcats' last lost in the tournament came against Florida in 2014. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-11-18 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -2 | 58-57 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Rhode Island and Davidson split their two games this season with Rhode Island taking a DD victory at home while, Davidson barley slipped by Rhode Island in a high charged atmosphere at home by a 63-61 count. Watching clips of those tilts it became obvious to me the Rams were the superior hoops program, and if they met again in the A10 conference tourney that Rhode Island would get the automatic nod at -5 or less. My own power rankings makes the Rams 5 point chalk here in a neutral court environment and they are my choice in this spot. Note: . |
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03-10-18 | Toledo +3.5 v. Buffalo | 66-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Toledo is the type of team that matches up very well against Buffalo's high powered offense, and I had them pegged for the champions of this conference from the very beginning of the season. The Rockets have played their best basketball down the stretch covering 8 of their L/11 and were 4-1 ATS against top tier sides with a .666 record or better this season. According to my power rankings we have a live dog here that has the capabilities of pulling off a SU upset. Rockets are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. the underdog has won 7 of the L/8 MAC conference tourneys straight up. Buffalo is 0-3 SU/ATS in this tourney vs a side off back to back SU/ATS wins. Play on Toledo to cover |
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03-10-18 | Suns +12 v. Hornets | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game in a big time funk having lost 5 straight games, and should not be DD favs against any team at the NBA in their current form not even the lowly Phoenix Suns. That was evident in a disheartening loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night which will make getting up off the proverbial matt very difficult for the Hornets. The Hornets nasty D, makes them fade material as DD home chalk. The Hornets have allowed 121 or more points six times in their last 15 games. CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS L/13 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS L/13 playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Suns are 13-0 ATS L/13 covering by 9.6 ppg on the road off a game as a dog when they are off two double-digit ATS losses. The Suns were 9-4 SU in those games with non of the losses coming by more than 7 points.The Hornets are 1-18 SU and 2-17 ATS with rest when they are off two consecutive games in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. NBA Road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 62-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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03-10-18 | Capitals v. Sharks -135 | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Capitals enter this tilt at Shark Tank on a ugly seven-game losing streak that has seen them outscored by a 29-12 count. Considering the Sharks are 11-0-2 in their last 13 home meetings versus the Capitals going back to 1998, it will be n easy decision to fade a faltering side. Note: Capitals G Brian Holtby has surrendered 31 goals over his last eight starts, going 1-5-2. Washington is 4-11 ATS L/15 against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or better of their chances .Capitals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.Capitals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Capitals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Pacific.Sharks are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NHL Road teams against the money line (WASHINGTON) - off 2 consecutive road losses by 2 goals or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 18-62 SU L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline |
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03-10-18 | Davidson v. St Bonaventure +3 | 82-70 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Washington, DC St.Bonnie enters this game on a 13 game winning streak, which includes a victory vs Davidson 117-113. and have proven themselves a top tier squad that must be respected this season. If they lose to Davidson here today I'm betting they won't go easily and must be respected a dogs in this spot. St.Bonnie has won 7 of its L/10 A10 conference tourney games.Bonnies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-10-18 | Alabama v. Kentucky -3.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
SEC Tournament - Semifinals - ST Louis, MO Alabama ended their regular season on a 5 game losing streak, and looked downtrodden entering the conference championship tourney. Then suddenly and surprisingly they won their first two games of tournament and find themselves going up against Kentucky side that has won and covered 5 of their L/ games including this tourney and enter todays semi finals matchup as deserving favorites. John Calapri's wildcats teams have been lights out dominant in the Semi final and finals rounds going 31-5 SU while covering 26 of those tilts, and I'm betting they come out on top again and get us the cover. Kentucky has won 6 straight meetings in this series SU, and beat Alabama this season 81-71 and last year in a neutral court environment 79-74 and once again have the edge today as short chalk. Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-09-18 | Warriors -4 v. Blazers | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers' current eight-game winning streak began Feb. 14, when the Golden State Warriors visited here just before the all star break. The Blazers won that game by a 123-117 count, but will be hard pressed to do it again vs Golden State is 27-5 SU on the road this season with the average margin of victory coming by 7 ppg. NBA Home underdogs (PORTLAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 32-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 148-82 ATS L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 58-10 SU winning by a combined average of 8.4 ppg game , which gives credence to us laying 4 points or less in this situation. Play on Golden State to cover |
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03-09-18 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech | 66-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Kansas City, MO Texas Tech, enters this game against West Virginia highly ranked according to my power rankings and also ranks fourth nationally in the KenPom defensive efficiency ratings. This is a team that is currently healthy and playing with a lot of confidence. QUOTE: High, high confidence," star G Evans said after scoring 25 points in a 73-69 victory over Texas on Thursday. "We got everybody back. We're getting healthier by the day. We all know what we can do and what we're capable of." END QUOTE: Both these NCAA tournament locks, will be very motivated here today, but as is usually the case superior Ds, wins big games and this one will be no different. ( They split their two meetings this season, but Evans did not play in the loss) Note: The No.2 Seed ( Texas Tech I) n this Tourney is a perfect 9-0 SU since 2006 in Semi Finals games and 7-0 SU L/7 seven seasons. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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03-09-18 | Butler +8.5 v. Villanova | 68-87 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
analysis to follow-thank you for your patience. |
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03-09-18 | SMU v. Cincinnati OVER 126.5 | 51-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orlando, FL The linesmkaers are expecting Cincinnati to take out the SMU Mustangs by a DD margin of victory, which translates to the Bearcats putting up 72+ plus points here according to my own projections with the Mustangs reciprocating with 58+ points in a game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. The meetings between the programs this season have seen 127 and 132 points go on the scoreboard. I'm expecting a score of around 130+ here in a neutral court environment giving us an edge for an over wager. SMU HC Jankovich in 23 i neutral court games in his career has seen an a combined average of 130.4 ppg scored. Jankovich in all 33 tournament games he has coached have seen a combined average score of 131.6 ppg scored. HC Cronin of Cincinnati in 203 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game has seen a combined average of 130.2 ppg go on the board. Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SMU/CINCINNATI) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Fridays are 26-2 OVER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-08-18 | Oregon State v. USC -5 | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV Oregon State has had a decent season, but are still very over matched vs a talented USC Trojans side. The Beavers have won 5 of their 13 , but four of those wins were home and away victories vs Washington and Washington State. Their systems matchup well against those two programs, but according to my power rankings they do not matchup well vs this kind of talented athletic side. With that said, I'm expecting an easy cover by the Trojans here tonight. Trojans smashed the Beavers by a 72-59 count last time they met Feb 17 and a rinse and repeat situation will not be surprising. Oregon States -Tres Tinkle injured last game, is probable Thursday vs USC ( Ankle ) but likely to be less 100%. No.2 Seeds like USC in this PAC12 tourney are 10-2 ATS L/12 and 10-2 ATS when they are favs of less than 6 points. Trojans are 8-0 ATS L/8 neutral site games. Favorite is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series. Play on USC Trojans to cover |
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03-08-18 | 76ers v. Heat +1 | 99-108 | Win | 102 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The 76ers and Miami Heat have played three times already this season with the home team holding serve in each tilt, and I'm betting the status quo remains the same after tonight. Miami has won the last six times it has faced the 76ers at home. MIAMI is 20-8 ATS L/28 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign. The Heat are 18-0 ATS/SU off a loss in which their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc and it is after the All-Star break with the wins coming by an average of 17 ppg. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are just 6-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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03-08-18 | Notre Dame +7 v. Duke | 70-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY The University of Notre Dame matchup well according to my power rankings against No. 4 seed (and No. 5/4 national rank) Duke on Thursday night .(Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. ) Last season the Blue Devils took out t the Irish 75-69 in last season’s ACC Championship game - a contest the Irish led by three points in the final minutes . Notre Dame is currently in top form and have won 7 of their L/10 with two of those losses coming by 3 points to Miami fl, and to top ranked Virginia by 5 points and they must not be disrespected here as dogs. Note: ACC defending Champs like Duke are 3-14 ATS as a fav in the first round, and Duke is 4-14 ATS in their first round conference tourney game dating back to the 2001 campaign. Notre Dame is 8-2 all-time in the Barclays Center - but the current group of Irish players have a 8-1 record in the home of the Brooklyn Nets. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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03-08-18 | Boston College v. Clemson OVER 139.5 | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY BC has gotten better as this season has progressed because of their ability to punch it out offensively with anyone in this conference behind the talented backcourt duo of Robinson and Bowman and I'm betting this group will force a defensive minded Clemson into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own in this conflict. Yesterday Boston took out NC State by a 91-87 count and scored a 88-77 opening round win vs Georgia Tech . This BC team knows only one way to play and that is fast transitional basketball, and nothing will change here today. When these teams played earlier this season Clemson took a 74-70 win and my own projections estimate a combined score of the 145+ points range to be scored here which makes for a viable over wager. BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-2 OVER L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 160.4 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER L/12 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average score of 157.3 ppg going on the board.BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 OVER L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average score of 158.9 ppg scored. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 OVER L/6 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-08-18 | Dayton v. VCU -2 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Second Round - Washington, DC |
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03-07-18 | Cavs v. Nuggets -2 | 113-108 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland will be out looking for payback when they meet in Denver on Wednesday night for a 126-117 loss they suffered at home to the Nuggets last week. But with that said, you don't always get what you want as the Rolling Stones song suggests. Tonight, I'm betting the young Nuggets despite of playing last night and looking disinterested in a loss to Dallas as road chalk, will be very motivated for a bounce back at home vs a Cavaliers side I'm betting they will be up for playing against and that they actually matchup well against according to my own system vs system analysis. Note: Nuggets are a well conditioned group and are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing with no rest. CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 4-12 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS versus below average defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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03-07-18 | Fordham v. George Washington -6 | 72-78 | Push | 0 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Washington, DC GW enters this game against Fordham having won the last seven meetings in this series a row, and 10 of the last 11, and lead the all-time series 26-6. The Colonials just defeated the Rams in the Smith Center, 72-56, last Wednesday and now they are my pick to get the job done again here today SU/ATS. The Colonials have won their opening game four straight years in the conference tourney. After starting their season very slowly the Colonials averaging just 61.3 points per game in their first eight conference tilts , they than began to get things going and are now performing in top tier fashion offensively as GW is now averaging 74.5 ppg in its last 10 outings and should once again be dominating vs a Fordham side on a 6 game losing streak, and struggling with their offense scoring 60 points or less points in 5 of those 6 trips to the hardwood. FORDHAM is 12-27 ATS in all tournament games since 1997.FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more .FORDHAM is 7-23 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.FORDHAM is 5-16 ATS as an underdog this season.
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03-07-18 | Jazz v. Pacers +1 | 104-84 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The schizophrenic Indiana Pacers are currently on a 3 game win streak, and have 7 wins in their L/9 and look very much like their revving up into top gear, and must be respected here on their own home floor where they have thrived going 22-11 SU this season. When they visited tonight's guests Utah back on Jan 15 the Pacers looked like they matched up well against their opponents, and despite of Jazz looking for revenge I'm betting they fall short. Note: Utah has lost 19 of their 31 road games this season.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Jazz have won three in a row and are 15-2 in the last 17 games. But now on tired legs with this their 4th game in 7 days and short handed as they are expected to be without forward Derrick Favors, who is sidelined with neck spasms, their at a disadvantage. If Favors plays I, expecting he will be less 100%. QUOTE: "We're going to have a very difficult game at Indiana," Jazz coach Quin Snyder said. "We know that. They played well against us here and beat us pretty good (109-94 on Jan. 15). END QUOTE NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-211 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana Pacers to cover |
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03-07-18 | Louisville +1 v. Florida State | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY Louisville has won 10 of its last 12 conference tournament games and has a 15-4 record with three championships over its last eight conference tournaments and have top tier pedigree on this sides, and a lot to prove after receiving some disturbing NCAA sanctions recently .Louisville has a 33-11 series advantage over Florida State winning three of the last five matchups while covering 4 of those tilts. It must also be noted that the Cardinals took down the No.23 Noles 73-69 earlier this season breaking a 28-game Seminoles home winning streak as UofL fought back from a 17-point deficit to notch the victory. If they could win there, the Cardinal can beat this team here in a much friendlier environment. Louisville has made 41.8 percent of their threes over the last nine games (84-of-201) and is third in the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.382). I'm betting this will be the catalyst behind what I'm betting will be a cover for the Cardinal in this spot. Florida State has failed to cover 8 straight games. FLORIDA ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 5-14 ATS (L.19 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back 3 seasons.FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS in road games off a home win against a conference rival. Play on Louisville to cover |
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03-06-18 | Nets +15 v. Warriors | 101-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Golden State continues their quest for another NBA championship and are currently in top form having won five straight as they host the downtrodden Brooklyn Nets this Tuesday night. Despite of the Warriors over whelming fire power and superior record compared the the Brooklyn Nets recent meetings in this series ,have been competitive . The last time these teams played the Nets made the Warriors work hard for a 118-111 win at home in November. It must also be noted that six of their last seven games at Golden State have been decided by nine or fewer points, with one loss going to overtime. Recently despite of their continued futility the Nets have shown some fight, as their L/3 road losses have been decided by a total margin of 14 points ( 4.66 ppg). With that said, lets plug our noses, closes our eyes and quickly squeeze the proverbial trigger on the Nets to cover taking points. GOLDEN STATE is 8-19 ATS L/27 against Atlantic division opponents.Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.BROOKLYN is 30-20 ATS as an underdog this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS when playing against a top-tier team (Win Pct. 70% or better) this season. Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (BROOKLYN) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are a long term quality wager, going 241-160 ATSL/21 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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03-06-18 | Knicks v. Blazers -9 | 87-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
I don't make a habit of laying a lot of lumber with my NBA selections, but every now and than playing chalk makes sense. Right now NY is just playing out its schedule, and despite of a hungry group of bench players and G League scrubs getting a lot of court time they are still fade material vs a Portland side currently in top form, as is evident by winning 7 straight. The Blazers have also only lost once in their L/14 at home in the Moda Center where they consistently play their best hoops behind super star Damian Liilard. The Knicks have lost in 11 of their last 13 meetings with the Blazers, including a 103-91 defeat at Madison Square Garden on Nov. 27 and once again look like they will end up on the wrong side of a lopsided score. Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Knicks are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Knicks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with the average margin of defeat coming by 12.6 ppg. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 7-55 SU losing by an average of just under 10 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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03-06-18 | Long Island +8 v. Wagner | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Northeast Conference Tournament - Championship Game The No. 1 seeded Wagner men's basketball team takes on No. 4 seed, LIU Brooklyn, in Tuesday's championship game. If Wagner wins, the Seahawks will earn the NEC's automatic bid but I'm betting if they get that big prize tonight, it won't come easily. Tuesday's championship tilt is the rubber match between the Seahawks and Blackbirds as the teams split their two meetings this season, each retaining victories on their respective home courts.In the two previous games between Wagner and LIU the difference of scoring margin was a combined six points as on January 13, LIU earned a last-second 69-67 victory in Brooklyn while the Seahawks grinded out a 78-74 home win on February 17. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be on tonights agenda. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points. LONG ISLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent and is a perfect 7-0 ATS L/7 revenging a road loss vs opponent. LIU HC Kellogg is 15-3 ATS L/18 in his career as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points . CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 79-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Long Island to cover |
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03-05-18 | BYU v. St. Mary's -5 | 85-72 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV
From a power rankings perspective the Gaels according to my numbers should be a 7.5 point fav here, which makes laying around 5 points a value line wager. SMC has won the last five meetings versus BYU. The Gaels defeated the Cougars last year in the semifinals, 81-50 and I won't be surprised by another DD margin of victory again. BYU HC BYU is 2-11 ATS L/13 revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more.BYU is 6-17 ATS L/23 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots. Play on St.Mary;s Gaels to cover |
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03-05-18 | Bucks +3 v. Pacers | 89-92 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Bucks and Pacers go head to head for the second time in less than a week in Central Division action this Monday night . The last time they played it was a hard fought affair. Pacers managed to eek out a 103-96 win at Milwaukee despite of nearly blowing a 17-point lead in the fourth quarter. Now in the return bout, I'm expecting to the Bucks to have a good chance of returning the unsavory favor of dumping the Pacers in front of their own fans and more importantly get us the cover. It must be noted that the Bucks and their Greek Freak looked to be coming out of a mini slump when he provided his team with 35 points in a come from behind win vs Philadelphia last night . When this top tier baller is on his game, the Bucks are hard to defeat, and I'm betting he will be the catalyst for his team to cover in this spot. Yes, I know Indiana has played well of late, and off two consecutive road upsets. But in the past this has not be a good scenario for the Pacers as they are just 2-12 ATS L/14 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bucks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are just 5-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 4-28 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-04-18 | 76ers v. Bucks +2 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bucks enter this game against the Sixer's slumping ( 4 straight losses) but they are more than capable of turning things around, and have won or tied the last five season series with Philadelphia .Each team has won once on its home court already this season . QUOTE: "We can't worry about these last couple games," Middleton said. "I know they were big games for us; we lost them, we've been through it before. Now we've just got to bounce back, pull together and show the kind of team that we are." END QUOTE. With that said, I'm expecting a big time effort here from the Dr.Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Bucks in this spot. 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic. MILWAUKEE is 19-6 ATS L/25 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last few seasons.MILWAUKEE is 84-48 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses .aVERAGE COMPOSITE score: Bucks 99 Opp 99. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 42-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-04-18 | Suns v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 112-113 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
These two rebuilding programs have gone through a lot of struggles this season, and both have looked a little winded here late in the campaign. A team that is particular tired are the young Suns, as was evident against Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, falling 124-116 despite 39 points from emerging star Devin Booker. QUOTE: "I think we probably fatigued a little bit," Phoenix interim coach Jay Triano told reporters afterward. "I don't know if our guys are used to playing at that level for that long of a period of time, but that's what we'll get to." END QUOTE. Today here in Atlanta I'm expecting their tired legs to effect the Suns, and they won't be up to taking part in a run and gun affair, which is just fine for a Atlanta side that prefers a slower pace behind a 26th ranked offensive effecnicy rating. With that said, I'm betting we see the combined score of this affair to stay below the number. Under is 11-2 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games. Under is 20-9 in Suns last 29 games following a straight up loss. Under is 17-8 in Suns last 25 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 vs. Western Conference. Under is 21-7 in Hawks last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. ATLANTA is 21-7 UNDER L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 9-0 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored . PHOENIX is 16-7 UNDER L/23 after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored. NBA All teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA/PHOENIX) - in a game involving two struggling teams (25% to 40%), second half of the season are 38-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER |
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03-04-18 | Flyers v. Panthers -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The Panthers play host to the Philadelphia Flyers (34-20-11) at the BB&T Center this afternoon, as one of the hottest teams in the entire NHL, as is evident by winning 5 straight and 12 of their last 15 games. With their opponents the Flyers, playing on short rest, having lost to the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-6 in a shootout Saturday afternoon, the Panthers have the advantage again and look to be viable bets this afternoon on the moneyline. Note: Philly is also without injured high-scoring right winger Wayne Simmonds (20 goals, 17 assists). FLORIDA is 11-0 ATS L/11 against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - season. NHL Home Favorites against the money line (FLORIDA) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, on Sunday games are 44-6 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Florida Panthers to win on the moneyline |
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03-04-18 | Towson v. William & Mary +2 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Colonial Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Charleston, SC Play on William Mary to cover |
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03-04-18 | Cincinnati +3 v. Wichita State | 62-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
The 10th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats go head to head with the 11th ranked Wichita State Shockers this Sunday in a battle that I'm betting favors the road side getting points. I know that Wichita took out Cincinnati 76-62 earlier this season, on the road , but I have a great deal of confidence in the Bearcats refocusing and clawing back with some revenge here as visitors, vs a program that has lost 6 of their L/7 home finales vs a .666 or better opposition. Yes, the Shockers are a big nasty group of big young men, but the Bearcats are not easily intimidated behind the nations No.2 FG % and No.7 Rebound margin. Note: Bearcats are a perfect 7-0 SU with revenge on the road vs .850 or better opposition when their hoops program owns a .800 or better record. WICHITA ST is 5-12 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games this season. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival are 47-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CINCINNATI) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are 28-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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03-03-18 | Jazz v. Kings +7 | 98-91 | Push | 0 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Kings enter this game in a positive state of mind and momentum on their sides as they come off a home victory. Sacramento's 116-111 overtime winner over the Brooklyn Nets ended a four-game home losing streak and a five-game skid overall. The Kings will face a Utah Jazz side off a revenge win last night vs Minnesota on tired legs and susceptible to being in a letdown situation vs a team that they could easily be over looking. Note: Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Jazz are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a home win against a division rival, on Saturday games are 17-42 SU L/5 seasons for 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-03-18 | Nevada v. San Diego State -2 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Nevada is off wrapping Mountain west Conference with a blowout beat down of UNLV last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot and focused on staying healthy for the post season. Tonight against a SD State Aztecs side that plays their best hoops at home ( 12-2 SU) I expect to see a mild upset on a short chalk line, especially considering the Aztecs have revenge on board for a ugly 94-56 smack down the last time these teams played. Note: HC Fisher is 8-2 ATS in his career when seeking same season revenge of a loss of 20 points or more.SAN DIEGO ST is also a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent . SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick.
San Diego State to cover |
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03-03-18 | Lakers v. Spurs -4.5 | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Spurs, have lost four of their past five games and seven of their last 10 trips to the hardwood, and are now in need of getting their ship righted and quickly before the post season arrives. Tonight against a Lakers side that they have revenge against for a 93-81 upset loss earlier this season, I expect Popovich and company to come out here with all guns blazing in the friendly confines of the AT & T Center where they own a 22-7 SU record . It must be noted that Popovich is a perfect 12-0 SU in his career vs Pacific division sides with revenge for a same season loss and once again looks to notch a win and more importantly a cover. Spurs are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Lakers are 1-10 SU L/11 after playing in Miami. ( That's a place where a lot ballers go over board with extra curricular activities and hangovers for young groups like the Lakers are common.)
Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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03-03-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock +21 v. UL-Lafayette | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
These two sides have bi polar records , with UL Lafayette with a 24-6 mark and 14-0 SU at home and Arkansas Little Rock with a 6-24 W/L overall record. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors but despite of their lack of success SU have been very competitive of late, with their L/4 games being decided by 4,5,2 and 4 points. This team also has a lot of road games under their belts this season, and won't be easily intimidated here. Note: Little Rock's 16 road opponents have a combined record of 274-204 (.573) as 11 of the 16 currently own winning records. Arkansas Little Rock plays a hardcore style of physical D, and go hard in the paint, which makes them difficult to play against if your a free flowing side like Cajuns. The Trojans have outscored their opponents 863-726 in points in the paint through 30 games this season, averaging 28.8 points in the key per game and accounting for 45.4% of their offensive production, and I'm betting this will be the catalyst to them getting the cover today vs a superior foe that I'm sure is over looking them. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-7 ATS L/25 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-2 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last few seasons. CBB Underdogs of 20 or more points (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 51-21 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Arkansas Little Rock to cover |
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03-03-18 | Boston College v. Florida State -7.5 | 76-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Florida State is off two straight road losses, but have played their best basketball at home this season, winning 12 of 14 games outscoring opposition sies by 14.4 ppg . The Noles desperately need to get back into the win column here this afternoon vs Boston College in their home finale. With this game also being a revenger for the Seminoles , I'm expecting we see them very motivated and in top form here. ( BC beat FSU 81-75 earlier this season) Florida States HC is 16-2 ATS in home finales when seeking revenge. FSU is also 6-1 ATS L/7 home finales and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here. Hamilton is 8-1 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more as the coach of FLORIDA ST with the combined average margin of victory coming by more than 11.4 ppg. Play on Florida State to cover |
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03-03-18 | Kentucky v. Florida OVER 143 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Kentucky and Florida enter this game both playing top tier hoops at the moment. I'm expecting like the linesmkaers for this to be a closely contested 2 possession game that will see both teams according to my own projections putting 72+ points on the board, which gives me justification in call for an over wager here in this spot. Note: Florida has averaged 76.4 ppg at home this season, and Kentucky has averaged 73.3 ppg away. The total combined score according to my projections and systems analysis could easily eclipse this number by 5 points , making this a viable over wager. FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season with a combined average of 148.7 ppg going on the board.KENTUCKY is 11-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with a combined average score of 168.7 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER in road games off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals with a combined average of 163.5 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games this season with a combine average score of 168.2 ppg scored.
Play OVER |
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03-02-18 | Thunder v. Suns +8 | 124-116 | Push | 0 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The young Suns broke an 0-for-February run with a 110-102 victory at Memphis on Wednesday and now have a little momentum on their sides as they face the Oklahoma City Thunder this Friday night in Arizona. Phoenix took a 114-100 victory over Oklahoma City seven weeks ago , and strangely enough according to my system vs system power rankings matches up well against the Thunder. Considering how the Thunder consistently play down to lower tier opponents it will not be a difficult decision to take the points with home side in this spot. Suns are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-16 ATS as a road favorite this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-11 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season.
NBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) are 26-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games are 10-34 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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03-02-18 | Mavs v. Bulls +2 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas has not had a good season, but has been especially bad on the road where they own a ugly record going just 7-23 SU. I know their opponents tonight the Chicago Bulls might not inspire bettors, but this young group Hoiberg has put on the floor are hungry for wins and are playing for recognition within the organization which makes them dangerous.
DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less this season( lost a 111-110 heartbreaker vs the Thunder last time out) .DALLAS is 0-9 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons . CHICAGO is 10-0 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . Play on Chicago to cover |
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03-02-18 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State UNDER 152 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round - Detroit, MI These teams just took part in a back and forth game on Feb 24 that saw Cleveland State grab a 99-94 victory. However, now in the rematch I expect a more tempered approach by both sides, and a reversion to the norm from a offensive output standpoint. Tourney play tends to be more tactical, and physically grueling which should aid this score to stay on the low side of the number. CLEVELAND ST is 12-2 UNDER off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored and is 6-0 UNDER off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 129.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season with the combined average score of 132.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a struggling/losing team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the total combined score of those tilts clicking in at 126.7 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - in a conference tournament game, a struggling/losing team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-18 | Chattanooga v. Samford UNDER 154 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - First Round - Asheville, NC In both meetings this season, the total combined score did not exceed this posted number. UT Chatanooga 78 Samford 71 - Samford 73 Chatanooga 56. My own projections expect both sides to not exceed the 75 point offensive plateau, which makes for a viable under wager according to these estimates. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 14-3 UNDER L/17 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 145.8 ppg scored.UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 143.4 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (SAMFORD) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday nights are 27-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 128.4 pgg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a struggling team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.4 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two struggling teams (20% to 40%) are 38-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-02-18 | Canadiens v. Islanders -121 | 6-3 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The NY Islanders continue to struggle, losing 4 straight games, the last 3 on the road, despite of having an explosive offense behind the likes of rookie sensation Matt Barzal and star center John Tavares. Tonight in the most desperate of situations they must absolutely garner a win, if they have any real chance of a play off spot . With that said their current desperation, gives me confidence in backing a side with their backs up against the proverbial wall. Montreal beat the Isles in a couple of days ago 3-1, back in Quebec, but I'm betting the Isles get their revenge and keep their dwindling play off hopes alive with a victory . Canadiens are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Canadiens are 7-21 in their last 28 road games.Canadiens are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Islanders are 9-2 in their last 11 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Islanders are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NY ISLANDERS are 25-12 ATS off a road loss by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS L/17 against good offensive teams - 29 shots or more on goal, convert 17% or more of his pp - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the NY Islanders to win on the moneyline |
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03-02-18 | Eastern Michigan +5 v. Toledo | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan is a hoops program I have been keeping a close on eye on as this season has progressed, as this team looks to have a lot of chemistry and talent, which has translated into them up trending in my power rankings behind five straight wins , and 7 victories in their L/8 trips to the hardwood . The Eagles clinched a first round bye in the Mid-American Conference Tournament with its 16-point road win at Western Michigan last time out and must be respected in their current form.The Eagles have put up 78.2 points per contest on 52.1 field goal percentage in their L/4 games and come in here ready to send a message to Toledo before the conference Tourney starts. In Eastern's L/8 games their already staunch defense has gotten even better as the Eagles are allowing just 61.5 points per game and holding opponents to a 38.6 shooting percentage from the floor during that stretch, while forcing110 turnovers, had 43 steals, and smacked down 23 shots , which makes them very dangerous pups in their current incarnation. |
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03-02-18 | Bradley v. Drake +1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO Drake has won both meetings this season home and away and matchup very well vs Bradley from a system vs system analysis projection that I use exclusively for tournament action. Note: Bradley G Darrel Brown is expected to play today, but according to court side news from multiple sources is far from being 100%. BRADLEY is 0-6 ATS L/6 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points which happened in a 78-68 road loss at Drake in their last meeting on Feb 3 of this season. DRAKE is 21-11 ATS L/33 when playing against a team with a winning record . CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BRADLEY) - off a home loss by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 26-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (DRAKE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Friday nights are 53-20 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72 % conversion rate for bettors. Play on Drake to cover |
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03-02-18 | Northern Iowa v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | 50-54 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO Loyola enters the 2018 Missouri Valley Conference Championship tourney on a seven-game winning streak and are currently in top form. The Ramblers go against a N.Iowa side that they have prevailed against in five of the last six matchups between the programs.This year, Loyola swept the season series, marking the second time in the last three years it has taken both contests from UNI and once again look like a team that we want to back here. N IOWA is 3-10 ATS as an underdog this season losing SU by an average of 7.3 ppg. N IOWA is 8-23 ATS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and 4-15 ATS L/19 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .LOYOLA-IL is 10-1 ATS l/11 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOYOLA-IL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Loyola Chicago to cover |
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03-01-18 | Nets -1.5 v. Kings | 111-116 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
This wager I'm making on this game between the Brooklyn Nets and their hosts the Sacramento Kings is based on a old cliché which focuses in on the lesser of two evils concept. In this corner we have a bottom feeder and in the other corner another perennial loser or vice versa. However, despite of my less than flattering description of these two squads, one of them according to my power rankings has a decent edge, and must be considered viable side investment options
With. Brooklyn starting to get healthy with Forwards Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (14.2 points per game) and Caris LeVert (11.7 points) returning from extended side line duty this past Tuesday and in the process producing 21 and 24 points in their first two games , respectively the Nets look very much like they have the ability to take out their opponents here as visitors. I know that the Brooklyn lost to Sacramento at home earlier this season 104-99 back on Dec 20th, but with payback on the agenda and supped up lineup , I'm expecting the Brooklyn crew to make a positive mark in a revenge scenario vs a Kings team that is just 8-20 SU at home this season. BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS L/30 in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent. SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season. NBA Road favorites (BROOKLYN) - an explosive offensive team (102 PPG or more ) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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03-01-18 | Marist v. Fairfield UNDER 154 | 57-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament - First Round - Albany, NY Marist road games have seen a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Fairfield has seen a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. My own projections estimate that in this neutral court environment, that the combined score will be closer to 149, which gives us a two possession advantage to the under in what will be a tighter more grueling post season affair than their last regular season matchup that saw Fairfield beat Marist 83-79. FAIRFIELD in their L/25 games as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 146.8 ppg scored.FAIRFIELD is 9-1 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. HC of Fairfield Johnson is 18-5 UNDER L/23 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals with a combined average score of 131 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ) are 46-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 132.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 53-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the combine average score of 136.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-01-18 | South Florida +13.5 v. Memphis | 75-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis enters this game on a 4 game win streak, but took part in some grueling affairs vs quality opponents in those tilts, ie ( SMU, Tulane , Houston UConn) and despite of having momentum on their sides, they could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a lowly USF hoops program I'm sure their over looking. With that said, I'm recommending we close our eyes, plug our noses and pull the proverbial trigger with extreme prejudice vs a Tigers side that will be playing without star point guard Jeremiah Martin, who was ruled out for the season with a broken foot. Martin's 18.9 points per game are currently tops in the conference. Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The road team is 11-4 ATS L/15 meetings. South Florida has covered their two most recent trips to Memphis. MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS L/14 after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season.S FLORIDA is 12-3 ATS L/15 in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread. S FLORIDA is 48-30 ATS L/78 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a struggling team (8 PPG or worse differential), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CBB oad team (S FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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03-01-18 | Virginia v. Louisville +4 | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is Louisville's last home game of the season, on senior night, and will be primed and motivated for a win as they go against the No.1 ranked team in the country and the ACC the Virginia Cavaliers. Louisville has won 15 of its last 16 Senior Day games, including last year's 71-64 victory over No. 19 Notre Dame It must also be noted that Louisville has a 42-11 SU record in its conference home games over the last six years (.792) and must not be underestimated as dogs vs a top tier side. The Cardinal also looked good last time out on the road, beating a pretty good Virginia Tech hoops program by a 75-68 count, and has been cruising in to high gear offensively of late , as they have converted on 43.5 percent of their threes over the last eight games (73-of-168) and leads the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.387). UofL is also 14-2 when it makes eight or more three-pointers in a game. Add to that the D, is also playing consistently as is evident by holding eight of its 16 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and you have a pup here that I feel good about backing. UofL fell 74-64 at Virginia last month, but in that game the Cards despite of the DD loss were viable opponents vs the Cavs as Louisville shot 50 percent from the field , the only team that has achieved that this season against Virginia. With that said, My own projections estimate that Louisville will be able to put 61 + points on the scoreboard here tonight which is key, as VIRGINIA is just 6-15 ATS when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last few seasons ( Virginia 63.9 Opposition 63.4) Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-28-18 | Texas A&M v. Georgia -1 | 61-60 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Georgia prepares to play its last regular-season home game on Wednesday night when the Bulldogs host Texas A&M on "Senior Night" at Stegeman Coliseum. The Bulldogs continue to build momentum and bolster their postseason résumé. Georgia has won three of its last four games, including victories over projected NCAA Tournament participants Florida and No. 18 Tennessee. Georgia also looked to be in top form via a 93-82 win over LSU last Saturday. . .Georgia was No. 70 in Monday's NCAA RPI but has secured more quality victories than most of the teams ahead of the Bulldogs.UGA has 8 combined "Q1" & "Q2" wins, more than 37 teams ahead of UGA in the RPI. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is off a revenge game vs Vanderbilt last time out winning 89-81 and could easily be in a letdown spot here vs an up trending side. Previous to the Aggies win they had lost 3 straight, and still don't look to be operating with the same proficiency they did earlier this season. Note: Texas A&M has only won 2 of 10 road games this season and are fade material here according to my own projections. TEXAS A&M is 1-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS L/7 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.TEXAS A&M is 2-11 ATS L/13 after scoring 85 points or more. GEORGIA is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game. GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS L/12 after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS A&M) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less on the season against opponent after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent vs 37-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
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02-28-18 | Warriors v. Wizards +9 | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The mighty Golden State Warriors visit the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night at Capital One Arena in a game that I'm betting will be a lot closer than the linesmakers may anticipate. The Wizards in their last trip to the hardwood took 107-104 victory in Milwaukee on Tuesday for their third win in four games since the All-Star break . Washington is 10-3 without injured point guard John Wall .In these teams' first meeting, the Warriors trailed by 10 at home after three quarters, but rallied for a 120-117 win Oct. 27. No body in this league matches up well against the Warriors, but from a system vs system stand point I'm betting the Wizards have an edge despite of playing last night. Washington has covered 10 of their L/13 overall. Golden State is just 14-16 ATS on the road this season.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS as an underdog this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are just 18-44 SU L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-28-18 | Red Wings v. Blues -145 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Last night without the traded center Paul Stastny, the Blues came out flat and were blasted 8-3 by the Wild. That extended the teams losing streak to 7 straight games. But enough is enough and pros don't like to be embarrassed, as its effects their future contract talks and future in the league, so I'm now expecting a total effort from the entire Blues team tonight in a big time bounce back situation . QUOTE: "It's embarrassing," forward Vladimir Tarasenko told NHL.com after the game. END QUOTE: I'm also not worried that the Blues played last night, as they are one of the leagues best conditioned teams, and are 22-6 in their last 28 games playing on 0 days rest. Home Favorites against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 34-4 L/21 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline |
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02-28-18 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 150 | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Ohio Valley Conference Tournament - First Round - Evansville, IN When Tennessee Tech and SIU Edwardsville met earlier this season, they took part in a grueling physical game that Tennessee Tech Tech won 68-67, and I'm betting on a similar style game this time around and a combined score that is also similar , which makes this a viable under wager according to my own projections. TENNESSEE TECH is 9-0 UNDER L/9 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 10-1 UNDER L/11 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game of 134.3 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 145.3 ppg scored. TENNESSEE TECH is 8-0 UNDER when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season of 135.9 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 24-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENNESSEE TECH) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better) are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-18 | Ole Miss +11 v. Kentucky | 78-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Ole Miss had had a overall disappointing season, but must not be underestimated here vs their hosts Kentucky, as they have notched six wins versus RPI top 100 teams, including three against the top 50 this season. Tonight against a good but still over rated Wildcats hoops program, they look like solid investment options getting points. Keys to a Ole Miss cover here a DD dogs will come I'm betting via these key attributes: Ole Miss has taken care of the basketball this season. The Rebels have coughed up the rock only 331 times, ranking 39th nationally in fewest turnovers allowed. Averaging only 11.4 turnovers per tilt, Ole Miss ranks 42nd in the nation and owns a solid 1.3 assist/turnover ratio which ranks fourth in the SEC and 60th in the country.The Rebels also lead the SEC in rebounding in conference games, pulling down 38.2 boards per game. - Ole Miss also paces the conference with 13.1 offensive rebounds per SEC contest. Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.( the Wildcats clobbered Missouri last time out 87-66) KENTUCKY is 9-18 ATS L/27 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.OLE MISS is 20-7 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points and 17-5 ATS L/22 as a road underdog of 10 or more points. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 121-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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02-28-18 | LSU v. South Carolina OVER 142.5 | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
It is no secret that LSU struggles with grind it out teams like South Carolina. Last time out the Bayou Bengals allowed 90+ points to Georgia to a team that struggles to score 60 points most nights. Tonight against a South Carolina I'm betting the home side scores above its season average of 71.2 ppg, vs a Tigers side that has allowed an average 78.8 ppg on the road, and for LSU to hit in the 75point range ( LSU averages 77.7 ppg overall in off) . Those projections suggest a Total that will be eclipsed. LSU HC Wade is 9-1 OVER in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games with a combined score of 145.9 ppg scored.LSU is 8-1 OVER L/9 in road games after allowing 90 points or more with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. LSU is 14-5 OVER as a road underdog or pick with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER L/8 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season with a combined average of 165.4 ppg scored. S CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER L/6 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 149.7 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LSU) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more are 131-71 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S CAROLINA) - after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 97-59 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-27-18 | Kings +12 v. Blazers | 99-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Sacramento despite of playing last night are viable underdogs in this spot vs Portland thanks to this line be over exaggerated by the lines-makers. The Kings lost 118-110 to Minnesota on Monday but have been competitive overall and have been in position in the fourth quarter to win their previous three contests, despite of suffering losses in those tilts. Previous to those games they beat Dallas. Note: Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on NO rest. The Kings have also covered 10 of their L/16 overall, while Portland has covered just 14 of 29 at home this season for sub. 500 ATS record as hosts. Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. SACRAMENTO is 36-13 ATS in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a lower tier defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after allowing 105 points or more are 40-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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02-27-18 | Miami-FL +10.5 v. North Carolina | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
North Carolina may not have their full attention focused on this tilt with the Canes here this evening, as their season finale vs Duke is up next, with the No.2 seed on the line. Meanwhile, Miami after losing key Guard Bruce Brown took some time to get rolling again, but I've kept an eye on them, and they are looking like a viable up trending side that cannot be ignored as DD underdogs in this spot.Walker and Lykes have stepped up as Miami's leading scorers. Walker has averaged 13.3 points per game in the last eight contests, while Lykes has totaled 13.1 points per game over that period It must also be noted that Miami Fl has revenge on board for a ACC tourney loss to North Carolina from last season, and will be ramped up for payback vs a side that has covered just 3 of their L/19 vs an avenging foe with a 60% or better record before facing the Blue Devils. Since HC Jim Larrañaga took over at UM, the Canes are 5-5 SU against UNC, including a pair of upset wins in Chapel Hill. The teams split a pair of games last year, with Miami prevailing, 77-62, in Coral Gables, and UNC winning 78-53 in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament. The Hurricanes have won five of the last eight meetings in this series. MIAMI is 30-13 ATS L/43 as an underdog of 10 or more points.MIAMI is 26-13 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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02-27-18 | Blues v. Wild -145 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
For whatever reason, St.Louis made a very strange move yesterday, involving trading one of their best forwards Paul Statsny , to division rival Winnipeg which to me sends a message that says they don't think their team is good enough to compete for the Stanley Cup in their current form. Now today, in the aftermath of that trade deadline move I expect a down effort from the Blues as uncertainty surrounds the team during a current 6 game losing streak. ST LOUIS is 2-10 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season,( Blues lost toWild 6-2 last time they met this season) MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ST LOUIS is 10-19 ATS against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against this season NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are just 3-30 on the moneyline L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 91% SU. Play on Minnesota Wild to win on the moneyline |
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02-27-18 | Bulls +10.5 v. Hornets | 103-118 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game playing some pretty good basketball at the moment, as their 4 game win streak would suggest. However, this Hornets teams is far from being consistent and slightly being over rated by the lines-makers tonight as home chalk.Meanwhile, the Bulls in a rebuilding season, are struggling mightily, but have been competitive enough to warrant being backed as DD dogs vs this type of team, based on my own system to system analysis . The Bulls are 2-0 against the Hornets this season and have won each of the last four meetings. Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Bulls are 4-0 ATS L/4 meetings. CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS L/32 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS against Southeast division opponents this season.CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS L/12 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.CHARLOTTE is 2-16 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CHARLOTTE is 4-17 ATS L/21 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread.CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half dating back to last season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHICAGO) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Tuesday nights are 46-15 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - strong offensive team (102 PPG or better ) against a struggling defensive team (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 24-57 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. The Hornets are 0-18 SU/ 1-17 ATS with rest when they are off two consecutive games in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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02-27-18 | Ball State v. Central Michigan OVER 147.5 | 51-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
BSU has won the past three meetings vs Central Michigan, including an 82-76 victory earlier this year in Muncie, all three combined scores easily eclipsed this Totals number, and I'm expecting another fairly high scoring tilt here today. Central Michigan is averaging just under 80 ppg at home this season, while BSU has averaged 76.6 ppg overall, and have picked up their offensive attack of late with 87,90,99, 77, 80 point outputs in their L/5 respectively. Everything points to this total getting eclipsed. Central Michigan is off 89-76 loss vs Toledo last time out, which sets us up well for an OVER wager to cash, as C MICHIGAN is 11-1 OVER L/12 off a road loss against a conference rival dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 176.1 ppg scored.C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER as a home underdog or pick over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 180.5 ppg going on the board.C MICHIGAN is 7-1 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg scored. C MICHIGAN is 17-3 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 176.6 ppg registered on the scoreboard. C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER L/6 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) with a combined average score of 163.3 ppg scored. BALL ST is 22-9 OVER L/31 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 156.7 ppg scored. BALL ST is 6-0 OVER vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots ( Note: The Chippewas lead the league in free throw shooting at 80 percent ) CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a79% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 71-39 OVER L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-27-18 | Akron +15.5 v. Buffalo | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Buffalo has had a good season, from a SU perspective but the lines-makers are continually over estimating them, as is evident by them having failed to cover 8 of their L/9 games overall. With Akron entering this game with revenge for a ugly 87-65 set back at home back on Jan 9 of this season, I expect they come out on a mission and are subsequently a lot more competitive this time around , and make it 3 straight covers here as visitors. Note: Buffalo scored 108 points against Ohio on Saturday afternoon, its most ever in a MAC game and despite of this being Seniors night and an opportunity to capture the No.1 seed in the conference tourney, the Bulls should experience a natural let down and a reversal to their mean average output . Akron last time out 64-62 to Miami O, but Since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of best teams in the nation when it comes to rebounding after a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 99-42 (.702) following a loss.The Zips have posted a 48-27 mark (.640) in the last 75 games against the MAC East dating back to the start of the 2012 league schedule. BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS L/8 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game. BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS L/16 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games. BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite this season. Play on Akron to cover |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | 96-85 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Houston has averaged 123 points during a current 12 win streak. However, the Jazz are a side that can present any team in the NBA some problems in their current form after winning 12 of their last 13 games. The Jazz have also held 10 of its last 13 foes below 100 points and deserve respect here in their own back yard. After playing last night, I expect the Rockets to be on tired legs and for the high altitude of Salt Lake City to be hard on them. Note: Houston is just 2-8 ATS L/10 with no rest, while the Jazz are 7-3 ATS as home dogs this campaign. Utah has been winning SU but not covering spreads regularly.... However, HC Snyder is 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. NBA teams (HOUSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in February games are 51-93 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors on the blind. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 39-78 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (UTAH) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 103-60 ATS L/5 seasons L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-26-18 | Pacers v. Mavs +3 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Tonight's Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks game features two teams operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Indiana has won 4 straight, while, the Mavericks are on a four-game losing streak . The Mavs have only notched 3 wins in their L/14 overall but Nine of the Mavericks' last 14 losses are by single digits, and they must not be underestimated as home dogs in this spot. DALLAS is 13-5 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest. The Pacers are 0-13 ATS/SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50 and it is after the All-Star break. losing SU by an average of 9.5 ppg. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-26-18 | Magic +10.5 v. Thunder | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Orlando enters this tilt on a 5 game losing streak, but they have been competitive in their L/15 trips to the hardwood covering 10 times and only twice during that span have lost by more than 10 points. The Magic also beat their hosts tonight the Thunder earlier this season by a 121-108 count and actually matchup well against them from a system to system standpoint. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City despite of their top tier talent, have been largely inconsistent this season. This unbalanced basketball is exemplified on the ATS board where the Thunder have covered only 3 of their L/8 games. Tonight the up and down Oklahoma City hoops team now find themselves in a precarious spot as they enter this game in an emotional letdown mode after getting slapped around by Golden State 112-80 last time out and are susceptible to a down effort. Orlando is 4-1 ATS L/5 meetings in this series and have covered 5 straight here in Oklahoma City. OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%or more this season. Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Thunder are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - lower tier rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have won SU 23 of the L/33 opportunities. NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 20-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Orlando to cover |
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02-26-18 | Capitals +115 v. Blue Jackets | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The Capitals enter this game against Columbus matching up very well against their hosts. Washington has recorded six straight victories vs Columbus including three this season and must be respected as viable underdogs in this spot. Washington G Braden Holtby is 14-3-2 lifetime versus the Blue Jackets and gets my support tonight . 'm betting the difference maker comes via the Jackets continued inability to convert on the PP. Note: The Blue Jackets have converted on just 1-for-10 on the power play over their L/6 games and now rank 30th in the NHL at 14.6 percent. Jackets are 4-9 in their last 13 overall.Blue Jackets are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. WASHINGTON is 16-4 ATS off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more.(Beat Buffalo 5-1 L/time out) COLUMBUS is 1-8 ATS revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite this season. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline |