Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-22 | Phillies v. Mets -166 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Zach Eflin (1-1, 3.20 ERA) is expected to start for the Phillies against the Mets' Max Scherzer (3-0, 1.80) in a battle of right-handers. Eflin is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 13 starts against the Mets. Scherzer is 15-4 with a 2.47 ERA in 26 career starts against the Phillies. Advantage NYM. Mets starter SCHERZER is 19-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies qualify. PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. SCHERZER is 12-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SCHERZER is 25-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies starter. EFLIN is 1-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets qualify. Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog.Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 Sunday games. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 45-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 220.5 | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Golden State ranks 3rd in ppg allowed in the league and is ranked 15th in ppg offense, which tells you this team despite of some top tier offensive talent has gotten this far based on a top tier brand of D, and nothing will change here against the Grizzlies. At this number we still have value for an under wager and wont be deterred by all the attention centered on how explosive offensively the home side is. GOLDEN STATE is 17-7 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 218 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.Kerr is 21-8 UNDER (+12.2 Units) versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 20-8 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Five of the lat 6 meetings here in Memphis between these two sides has gone under the set total. Play UNDER |
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05-01-22 | Mariners v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will counter with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA. Miami starter SANDY ALCANTARA is 9-0 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 14-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. With another strong hurler on the hill for the Mariners ( Gilbert) Im expecting a pitchers duel and lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. MIAMI is 14-4 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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05-01-22 | Mariners +117 v. Marlins | 7-3 | Win | 117 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will fire back with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA. Gilbert will enter Sunday's game on a streak of 17 1/3 scoreless innings. GILBERT is 13-2 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 10-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ALCANTARA is 2-12 against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) With the Mariners top hurler on the hill they have an edge, via. value moneyline offering. Play on the Mariners to win |
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05-01-22 | Twins v. Rays -145 | 9-3 | Loss | -145 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday, the Twins will start rookie right-hander Josh Winder (0-0, 3.48), who has never faced the Rays. Im betting the kid is in over his head here according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 road games. TAMPA BAY is 34-12 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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04-30-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 7.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Brewers lefty starter Lauer has gone 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four previous outings against the Cubs, including three starts . Meanwhile, Cubs starter Steele (1-2, 5.40 ERA) pitched the controversial second game of the season, a 9-0 home victory over the Brewers. Needless to say Milwaukee has a semblance of revenge on board, and will be prepared to light up the Cubbies hurler at home today. After popping 11 runs on the board yesterday another onslaught with momentum is a good bet. Considering the starting pitching matchup and both bullpens abilities vs these batting orders, a over wager on my projections is a viable option. Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-2 in Brewers last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 Saturday games. Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-3 in Cubs last 13 during game 2 of a series.Over is 18-8-1 in Cubs last 27 games as an underdog.Over is 11-5 in Cubs last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on the OVER |
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04-30-22 | Mariners -103 v. Marlins | 1-3 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Mariners batting order has done their best work against southpaws like Luzardo this season averaging 5.8 rpg . Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. The Marlins have average just 2.7 rog via a lowly .180 BA vs lefty starters and are fade material here in this spot according to my early season power rankings. MIAMI is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 4-19 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to cover |
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04-30-22 | Angels +100 v. White Sox | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
After starting the season 6-2, the defending American League Central champs have lost 10 of 11 and in no shape or form playing a decent enough brand of baseball to easily upend a red hot Angels side that has won 6 straight and that also owns a 8-2 record here in Southside Chicago . According to my power rankings the Halos matchup well Right-hander Vince Velasquez (0-2, 6.75 ERA) who prepares to make his fourth start of the season for the Pale Hose. VELASQUEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. American League Central. Play on LAA to win |
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04-30-22 | Astros +121 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Astros bats woke up late night and took a 11-7 win. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting on another Astros win here today. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Astros are also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Astros starter GARCIA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 0.923. With Vlad Guerrero not 100% with a foot injury the Astros have an edge on the hill. Right-hander Jose Berrios (1-0, 4.91 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season for Toronto on Saturday. the righty is 3-3 with a 5.46 ERA over six career starts against the Astros and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Houston roster. Play on Houston to win |
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04-30-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -160 | 2-0 | Loss | -160 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
ARIZONA is 0-16 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better over the last 2 seasons. Cards starting right-hander Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.21). Advantage St.Louis. Note: Arizona stater Kelly has pitched against the Cardinals twice in his career, both times in 2019. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 against St. Louis, giving up nine runs (six earned) in 11 innings. ARIZONA is 46-109 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ST LOUIS) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 94-25 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Cardinals to win |
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04-29-22 | Guardians +140 v. A's | 9-8 | Win | 140 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Cleveland is faltering of late but this is a great opportunity for them to get back into the win column vs a Oakland side that has almost no offensive consistency . Note: Guardians starter CIVALE is 10-3 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Athletics are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home favorite. FRANCONA is 105-65 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
We are down to the nitty gritty here in this series, as Memphis can advance with a win tonight on the road in Minnesota. With that said, Im looking for a a more conservative tentative game in transition that translates into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 games as a home underdog. MEMPHIS is 20-9 UNDER versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 32-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
These teams are evenly matched according to my current numbers, with home court advantage Im betting being the difference maker. Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games. Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Timberwolves are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-29-22 | Yankees -184 v. Royals | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Yankees will hand the ball to Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.15 ERA), while Kris Bubic (0-1, 14.14) will start for the Royals in a matchup of left-handers. One pitcher is in good form the other is not, and the same goes for the Yanks or hot and the Royals who are not, Advantage Yanks. KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 6-33 L/26 seasons. Play on NYY to win |
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04-29-22 | Phillies v. Mets -118 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 2-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 3-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-15 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Mets matchup well here and Im betting on a bounce back performance here after yesterdays loss. Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Play on the Mets |
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04-29-22 | Mariners -105 v. Marlins | 6-8 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Marlins starter Hernandez throws his fastball 49% of the time and it has been beaten around like a rag doll as is evident by a opposition .323 batting average. The Mariners matchup very well here. Meanwhile, Matt Brash the Mariners starter has some vicious action on his curveball and breaking stuff, and deserves respect here against a inconsistent Marlins batting order. MIAMI is 1-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 49-10 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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04-28-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Since Devon Booker went down the Suns have not looked like the same team, and that was very evident the last time these teams played here in New Orleans as the Pelicans won by 15 points. Im betting the desperation of the do or die situation here tonight will have the Pelicans ready to extend to this series to a final game 7. Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Pelicans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. NEW ORLEANS is 38-24 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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04-28-22 | Cubs v. Braves -175 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Braves won the first game of the series 3-1 and the Cubs rebounded to win the second game 6-3 in 10 innings. Im now betting the Braves get their first series win of the season. Note: Braves starter Wright (2-0, 1.06) has allowed only two runs this season . He's KOd 26 batters in 17 innings and walked only two. Wright struck out a career-high 11 batters in his last start against the Marlins on Friday. This kid is magic and gets my support to help his team garner a victory. Cubs are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-15 in their last 20 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League East.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 21-53 in their last 74 games as an underdog. Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 49-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Cubs are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-28-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +1.5 | 132-97 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 54 m | Show | |
04-28-22 | Tigers +128 v. Twins | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
The Tigers southpaw starter Skubal (1-1, 2.30 ERA) matches up well against the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings. Twins are 11-24 in their last 35 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Twins are also just 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I know the Twins have won the first two games of this series, but the under rated Tigers have proven resilient in the recent past when losing the first two games of a series going 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. DETROIT is 11-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 47-31 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after a game where they had 2 or less hits are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to win |
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04-28-22 | Orioles +200 v. Yankees | 5-10 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Bruce Zimmermann (1-0, 1.20 ERA), who shut out the Yankees in five innings of four-hit ball on April 17 in Baltimore, takes the hill for the Orioles here today and gives his team an edge on this ML offering. BOONE is 29-31 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game as the manager of NY YANKEES. NY YANKEES are 27-36 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 77-38 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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04-27-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 225 | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
All the tilts in this series have been fairly high scoring with all 4 games going over the set total. With series victory at hand for the Warriors Im betting they come here firing darts. This will force Denver into opening up and chasing as they fight for their lives. This could easily be the highest scoring game in the series. DENVER is 13-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 230 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 23-9 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-2 OVER versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after one or more consecutive overs against opponent after 3 or more consecutive overs are 122-76 OVER L/26 seasons for a 62%. conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-27-22 | Guardians +181 v. Angels | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.53 ERA) will make his fourth start of the year for , coming off his best start of the season last Thursday and today Im betting on the sleepy streaky bats of the Guardians to wake up and support him vs a inconsistent and overly propagandized arm belonging to Japanese duel threat phenom Ohtani.. Note: Plesac is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in two starts against the Angels in his career. Ohtani went 1-for-4 with a run scored and one strikeout on Tuesday and is now hitting .213 with a .645 OPS. Guardians are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 52-36 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-27-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | 1-3 | Loss | -190 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
04-27-22 | Mets -116 v. Cardinals | 5-10 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Mets are playing top tier baseball heading onto the this 3rd game of their series at St.Louis and deserve respect on a value money line offering . Note: Cards starter MATZ is 6-12 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,The Mets will counter with Carlos Carrasco (1-0, 1.47 ERA), who took down the San Francisco Giants 6-2 in his latest start. He allowed the two runs on just four hits in 7 2/3 innings on Thursday, striking out seven with no walks and an edge vs a St.Louis side, that has scored just 14 runs in their past seven games. Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis. Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Play on NY Mets to win. |
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04-26-22 | Guardians +145 v. Angels | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Angels southpaw starter Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his third start of the season Tuesday, opposing McKenzie.Sandoval is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in two career starts vs. Cleveland and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Guardians batting order. I know the Guardians are struggling at the moment losing for straight games and were shut out yesterday but this is a under rated team, that offers us value on this money line offering in this spot play.CLEVELAND is 12-2 against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons. Note: Cleveland starter MCKENZIE is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429 and has pitched relatively well this season and is a viable hurler to back as a starter. Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League West. Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 home games.Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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04-26-22 | Golden Knights -105 v. Stars | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Vegas Golden Knights will try to keep their slim playoff hopes alive when they begin a three-game road trip on Tuesday night against the team ahead of them in the Western Conference wild-card standings, the Dallas Stars. Its obvious they need this game, and Im betting they leave everything on the ice here this evening. I know the Stars have played well at home, but are just 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.VEGAS is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season which has been the case of late. Vegas has won 5 of their L/6 visits here. Play on Vegas |
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04-26-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This has been a big time back and forth series between two young talented teams. The Wolves played lights in the last game in this series and won. Now Im betting on a bounce back scenario here tonight, at home where the Grizzlies have thrived this season, as is evident by a 31-12 SU record along with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +9.1 . MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and is is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a win by 6 points or less this season. MEMPHIS is 14-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS off a road loss this season. Interesting anomaly, MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS on Tuesday nights this season. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs are 102-163 L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7 | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat are the far superior side here according to my power rankings and for the most part have proved that prognosis correct during this series. More of the same one sided action is my call here again tonight in South Florida. MIAMI is 18-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.
ATLANTA is 1-12 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 52-105 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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04-26-22 | Rockies +152 v. Phillies | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Todays itching matchup features Phillies starter Eflin who has struggled in five career starts against the Rockies, going 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA. Meanwhile, Rockies starter Marquez, a first time All-Star last season, is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA in seven career starts against the Phillies. My pitcher vs batting order projections estimate a rinse and repeat situation here giving us an edge with the road dog. The Rockies lost game one of this series but are 4-1 L/5 after a loss and are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are also 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog and get my support in this series spot play in the city of Brotherly love. MARQUEZ is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 16-9 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 18-7 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 21-8 against the money line when playing against a sub .500 team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Colorado to win |
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04-26-22 | Mariners +105 v. Rays | 8-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Mariners enter this game with a 6-1 record in their last 7 overall and are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series and offer value here on this line vs a very inconsistent Tampa Bay side. Mariners man on the hill Gilbert (2-0, 0.54), has allowed one earned run over his first three starts covering 16 2/3 innings. Note: GILBERT is a perfect 9-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ILBERT is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Mariners are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings in Tampa Bay. Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. Play on Seattle on the ML |
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04-25-22 | Guardians -115 v. Angels | 0-3 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Guardians were humbled in a 3 game sweep at Yankee Stadium this past weekend and were also physically attacked by Yankee fans. Now bruised and battered emotionally , Im now betting on their PTSD to be used as a spring board to a bounce back effort against the Angels here in game 1 of this series. With Shane Bieber starting today for the Guardians Im expecting they have the needed edge to get the job done.BIEBER is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.831. Guardians are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite.Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Angels are 2-10 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This usually offensively explosive Utah side has been really tamed by the Mavericsk top tier defense, and now with home court advantage on their side and Doncic back in the lineup the home team looks very much like a viable side to back on a short fav line. Note: Not only has the Jazz offense faltered, but their perimeter D continues to be exposed like in last seasons post season tilts. Advantage Dallas.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. DALLAS is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (UTAH) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 36-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to. cover |
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04-25-22 | Celtics v. Nets -1 | 116-112 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
This is it for Brooklyn- do or die. Im betting on do, and for the Nets to extend this series to game 5. Im obviously expecting Kyrie Irving to do as well as he did in game 1 and for Durant to finally break through after being continually frustrated by the Celtics . Based on what we have seen in the series so far I know the Nets do not look like a viable option. However, this is a more talented Brooklyn team than both Denver and Toronto and both sides have found a way to extend their series and Im betting the Nets do as well. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off a home loss against a division rival are 26-3 L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are 25-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-24-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Pelicans | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Suns fell asleep at the proverbial wheel in game two their series vs the Pelicans, but thanks to bering nudged out of a coma, they are now fully awake and ready to perform at a top level here in a pivotal game in this series. key to this game is suns C Paul who was masterful in Game 3. He scored 28 on 10-18 shooting. The top tier guard also dished out 14 assists. With Devon Booker out Im betting on Ayton and Chris Paul doing a double shuffle and to pick-and-roll all night against a inexperienced New Orleans defense. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 33-19 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 13-2 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 21-6 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Suns are 6-1 SU/ATS L/7 visits to New Orleans. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 214.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Phoenix shot 4-of-26 from long distance last time out and still 114 points on the board . Im betting they bounce back and drastically increase their downtown shooting and for the offense behind Ayton and Paul to pick and roll all night long and to force a desperate Pelicans side in to opening up in a game I like to eclipse this total. The last 6 games here on the Bayou between these teams has gone over the total, and a rinse and repeat situation is a viable outcome again, NEW ORLEANS is 29-16 OVER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning record on the season are 73-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-24-22 | Brewers +154 v. Phillies | 1-0 | Win | 154 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Brewers have won five of their last six tilts and are off, sweeping Pittsburgh earlier this week despite of below average offensive numbers. They succumbed to the Phillies in game 1 of this series on Friday night, but they bounced back with a 5-3 victory on Saturday afternoon and have momentum entering this tilt and according to my power rankings are being vastly under rated tonight. I know the Phillies have a load of offense, but its hardly been consistent, and their pitching on all levels has alot to desired. I know big things are expected from the Phillies this season because of upgrades, but that guarantees nothing. Look for the Brewers to find a way to sneak out a victory in prime time Sunday night. Phillies starter NOLA is 3-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-14 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 12-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 22-7 (against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.Brewers are 22-9 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games. Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Lauer. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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04-24-22 | Heat -1.5 v. Hawks | 110-86 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
Atlanta made a miraculous comeback in game 3 of this series, after falling behind by 16 points late in the 3rd quarter after a 21-0 Miami run, and took a 111-110 victory. Unfortunately however for the Hawks they spent alot of energy in that come from behind win, and will now find it difficult to come up here with the same effort against a side that Im betting is more talented and wide awake now after that above mentioned collapse. I know Kyle Lowry may not be 100% with a hamstring injury, but he is expected to play and even if he does not I still like the Heats depth to get the job done. MIAMI is 17-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season. NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite are 108-62 ATS L/28 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. |
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04-24-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Cole Irvin the As starting hurler has seen a combined score of 14,14, and 15 runs go on the board in his last 4 tilts vs the Rangers. Meanwhile, Richards the Rangers starter has seen 13 and 9 combined runs go on the board in his L/2 trips to the hill vs the As. I know both these offenses have been inconsistent to start their seasons, but from a matchup standpoint my projections estimate a total of 8+ or more runs scored in this spot play. As starter IRVIN in his L/19 starts vs division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games as an underdog.Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Play OVER |
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04-24-22 | Guardians +190 v. Yankees | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians are a team that is pretty angry right now after losing yesterday as their bullpen blew a 4-3 9th inning lead. To add insult to injury the Guardians had to take abuse from Yankee fans that prompted media attention after the game, and now you have a motivated group to back. With Yankees starter Garret Cole(0-0 6.35 ERA) struggling out of the gate this season, the former Tribesman will be ready to come out here and put forth a motivated effort in an attempt to get some revenge and to halt a possible 3 game sweep by the Yanks. COLE is 5-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)COLE is 4-8 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Guardians pitcher Civale is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. He took the win again them Sept. 18 in New York when he allowed four hits in six scoreless innings of an 11-3 victory.CIVALE is 10-2 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 8-1 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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04-24-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Bulls | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
The defending champs have made adequate adjustments of the course of this series to be able to easily deal with whatever the Bulls can muster. That was evident in game 3 of this series as the Bucks romped to a 111-81 victory. Im betting the Bulls will perform better here today but it wont be enough. Also no Buck players breached the 20 point plateau in a team effort. Im betting super star Antetokounmpo comes back alot stronger in this tilt and helps lead his team to victory. Milwaukees HC Budenholzer is 19-3 ATS L/22 in road games after 2 consecutive division games in all games he has coached . MILWAUKEE is 20-9 ATS as a road favorite this season. CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more are 72-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 7-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucs to cover |
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04-23-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Wolves | 118-119 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
After losing game 1 of this series, to the Wolves , the Grizzlies have bounced back and taken control of this series, and Im betting on more relentless two way pressure from them here again tonight. in Minnesota MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS as a favorite this season.MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 24-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. Grizzlies are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the Memphis to cover |
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04-23-22 | White Sox v. Twins -124 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
White Sox starter VELASQUEZ is 6-16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Twins starter BUNDY is 4-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 0.969. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 7-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 36-120 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - after a one run win against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +3.5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
This it do or die for the Raptors today and just like in game 3 Im betting they leave everything on the floor and get us the cover. Nurse is 25-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS off a road win this season. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (TORONTO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and 51-21 ATS for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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04-23-22 | Guardians +161 v. Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Cleveland lost 4-1 in game 1 of this series and now Im betting on a rebound performance from the Guardians offense tonight. Note: CLEVELAND is 21-6 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. NY YANKEES are 2-10 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 season. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-23-22 | Giants -158 v. Nationals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants starter WOOD is 16-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 21-7 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN FRANCISCO is 61-25 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-4 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 42-12 in their last 54 games as a favorite. Giants are 39-12 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record. SAN FRANCISCO is 27-5 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 9-32 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Nationals are 15-36 in their last 51 games as a home underdog.Nationals are 5-12 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350)or less against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 220-94 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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04-23-22 | Islanders -124 v. Sabres | 3-5 | Loss | -124 | 1 h 32 m | Show | |
For whatever reason the Isles seem to generally always play their best hockey vs lower tier sides while struggling against better teams this season. Today vs a sub .500 Sabres squad Im betting on them continuing with this trend. NY ISLANDERS are 26-7 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. NHL underdog against the money line (BUFFALO) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games are 36-105 L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Islanders to win |
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04-22-22 | Suns -1 v. Pelicans | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show | |
The Pelicans surprised the Suns with a big time performance in game 2 of this series, and now Im betting the Suns will be primed for a big bounce back effort here in the Bayou this Friday night. NBA team (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, with a losing record. are 10-32 ATS L/5 season for a 76% go against conversion rate. PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.PHOENIX is 20-6 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 12-2 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-22-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Avalanche (55-16-6, 116 points) have clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference and were tied with Florida for the most points in the NHL heading into play Thursday and will want to stay focused as the play off approach especially from a defensive standpoint. After losing 2 straight they will be prepared to hunker down here in play in transition, vs a red hot Edmonton team that is 9-1-1 L/11 overall. The two most recent meetings in this series resulted in 3-2 and 2-1 Colorado victories , Im betting a rinse and repeat type of combined score in this spot play.COLORADO is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 10-3 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored . Under is 6-1 in Avalanche last 7 vs. Pacific. Under is 7-2-1 in Oilers last 10 games as an underdog. Under is 17-5-2 in Oilers last 24 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game are 102-56 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-22-22 | Bucks -2 v. Bulls | 111-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Chicago has played the Bucks tough this season, and upset them in game 2 in a closely contested tilt. I know the Bulls seem to have figured out how to be competitive and thrive against the Bucks , but the Bucks are also learning why they're getting frustrated by the Bulls and Im betting we see the visitors and NBA Champs finding a way to get the job done . Remember the Bulls have been very inconsistent for a good part of the 2nd half of this season, and on a micro handicapping basis might seem to have an edge because of K Middletons absence from the Bucks lineup. But the truth is Milwaukee is still the deeper team and must be respected here as short favs. From a SRS perspective Milwaukee ranks 7th at 3.22 in the NBA while the Bulls rank 20th with a -0.38 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Chicago’s 4-8 home-underdog ATS mark, is tied for the fourth-worst covering percentage in the NBA this season. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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04-22-22 | Guardians +180 v. Yankees | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Cleveland has scored double-digit runs four times and scored 19 runs in a three-game sweep of the visiting Chicago White Sox and are more than capable of pulling of an underdog win for us here at Yankee stadium, where they took out the Bronx Bombers in a two game set late last season via 20-4 combined output. My power rankings also suggest Guardians starting batting order matches up well vs Yanks starting pitcher Taillon who is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against Cleveland. Note:Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games and in 6 road games this season Cleveland offense has averaged 7.5 rpg. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-21-22 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Cubs offense has looked viable of late scoring 34 runs in their L/6 games ( 5.66 rpg avg) , and Im betting they once again show their offensive capabilities vs Pirates starting pitcher B.Wilson and company.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. . Over is 24-7-3 in Cubs last 34 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Cubs starter Mark Leiter JR is a very hi-table pitcher who owns a 3-8 career record and a bloated 5.91 ERA and a -1.8 WAR. Im betting the Pirates do enough damage against him and a average at best bullpen to get us over the mark here tonight in windy Wrigley. Over is 20-6-1 in Cubs last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-3 in Cubs last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 vs. National League Central. Over is 10-1 in Cubs last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 19-6-1 in Cubs last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 2-0-2 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 during game 1 of a series.Over is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 10-4-2 in Pirates last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 13-6-2 in Pirates last 21 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play OVER |
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04-21-22 | Cardinals +115 v. Marlins | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
St.Louis has now won 8 straight meetings vs the Marlins, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. I know Pablo Lopez has pitched well for the Marlins so far , but its not about the Cards pitching that puts them at a disadvantage its their extremely inconsistent offense and that will generally continue to be their downfall until they address that situation. Today against an over powering fastball pitcher in Hicks the Marlins look to be in trouble again. ST LOUIS is 19-9 against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Cardinals are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a win. Cardinals are 12-3 in their last 15 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 26-8 in their last 34 road games. Play on St.Louis to win |
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04-21-22 | Yankees v. Tigers +155 | 0-3 | Win | 155 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
New York will give the ball to Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 3.24 ERA), while Detroit will counter with Michael Pineda (2021 stats: 9-8, 3.62 ERA) The Yankees won the first two games of this series, but the tigers have proved them selves resilient in these types of situations in the recent past as is evident by Motowns 4-0 record in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Tigers are also 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Here today the Tigers have a pitcher in Montgomery that according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings that they match up well against. Meanwhile, Pineda, the former Twin and now Tiger hurler, will go against a Yankees side that has not faired all that well against him overall . Plus with 7 of 9 New York regulars batting below .260 this season, Pineda should be a viable pitcher to support in the starting role. Note: Heres an interesting anomaly - MONTGOMERY is 1-8 against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday in his career. (Team's Record) BOONE is 40-46 against the money line in road games in day games as the manager of NY YANKEES. Yankees are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. MLB team (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games are 25-9 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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04-20-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -142 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
Rangers: Dane Dunning (0-0, 5.40 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, four strikeouts); Mariners: Logan Gilbert (1-0, .90 ERA, .80 WHIP, 11 strikeouts) Gilbert the Mariners starting hurler has pitched lights out early on in this camapaign and gets my support here again tonight vs the Rangers. Note: GILBERT is 8-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 9-31 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 6-25 against the money line in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 1-20 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 4-24 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +2 | 104-101 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Raptors after 2 straight DD losses in Philadelphia are now in desperation mode here in game 3. Needless to say the Raptors need a victory, and Im betting they leave everything on the florr tonight and get us the cover. TORONTO is 23-9 ATS L/32 after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 12-23 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 42-22 L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. TORONTO is 5-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons at home. Take the points with Toronto |
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04-20-22 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals -123 | 11-2 | Loss | -123 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored a major-league-low 22 runs through 11 games, and. averaged 1.4 rpg of offense in 5 road games Im betting that their lack of offensive consistency will be their downfall again today. I know Dbacks starter Kelley has been lights out so far, but in the past despite flashes of brilliance has had some major lapses . Just to many other variables at play that make Arizonas starting pitcher a less dangerous factor than the linesmakers might project. ARIZONA is 3-31 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.Diamondbacks are 11-55 in their last 66 games as a road underdog.Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Washington. WASHINGTON is 9-0 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons. als are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite. Play on Washington to win |
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04-20-22 | Cardinals +120 v. Marlins | 2-0 | Win | 120 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
St.Louis has now won 7 straight meetings against Miami dating back to last season, and matchup well against their ace Alacantara . ALCANTARA is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.40, and despite of pitching well never seems to get run support when he has faced the Cards. Now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again today in Miami as the inconsistent bats of the Marlins makes them vulnerable as favs.Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 17-4 in their last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a win.Cardinals are 25-8 in their last 33 road games. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Play on St.Louis to win |
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04-20-22 | Rays -110 v. Cubs | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Since opening the season on April 8, the Rays have not had a day off. They will get one Thursday , and now knowing that Im betting the Rays play a invigorated/motivated game, and grab a 2-1 win in this series vs the Cubs and even their trip into Chicago at 3-3 after losing 2 of 3 to the Southsiders. Note: Cubs righty starter STROMAN is 5-12 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)STROMAN is 5-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.408. In the only game he faced Tampa Bay last season, Stroman gave up five runs on six hits in six innings during a 7-1 loss on May 16. My pitcher vs batting order once again suggests the Rays have the edge. Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games.Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games. (TAMPA BAY is 22-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons). Cubs are 8-19 in their last 27 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 21-52 in their last 73 games as an underdog.Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games as an underdog.Cubs are 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 4-12 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 6-22 in their last 28 games as a home underdog.Cubs are 3-11 in their last 14 home games.Cubs are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague home games.Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 125-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have tried to pay attention to strong defensive play down the stretch this season, and here against an explosive Suns side, an even more concerted and very physical defensive effort will be employed. The Pelicans do not matchup well in a shootout scenario , so Im betting on them really trying to slow things down. Meanwhile, the Suns can also thrive in this type of game, and will gladly saddle up and be equally as physical which will translate into most of the offensive action here tonight to be in slow motion transition. Under is 6-0 in Suns last 6 overall.Under is 5-0 in Suns last 5 games as a home favorite.Under is 9-1-1 in Suns last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. Under is 9-2 in Pelicans last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 10-4 in Pelicans last 14 overall. NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored. Green is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 25-16 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 26-9 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 216 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 UNDER against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. Play UNDER |
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04-19-22 | Angels v. Astros OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Angels have averaged 6.4 rpg on the road this season, while, the Astros have averaged 8 rpg at home (1 game) but their bats generally thrive here and Im betting they light up their opponents the Halos in this spot play. It must be noted the Angels have taken part in some high scoring tilts of late with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored in their L/5 overall. Halos starting hurler Sandoval is 0-3 with a 9.77 ERA in five career games (four starts) against the Astros and Im betting he gets lit up again today. Meanwhile, Valdez the Astros starter despite of being a capable hurler does not matchup well against this current group of Halos, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and could easily give higher than expected numbers here which favors an over wager . Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 overall and are 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 on a natural surface .Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 33-16-3 in Astros last 52 vs. American League West.Over is 43-21 in Astros last 64 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play on the OVER |
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04-19-22 | Rays -104 v. Cubs | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays, lot the first game of this series 4-2 Monday night in the opener of a three-game set in Chicago. The starting pitcher for the Rays is a little banged up, but I expect a joint effort from this group tonight and an effort that evens this 3 game series. I know the Rays bats have not been firing on all cylinders yet, but it must be noted that TAMPA BAY is 30-13 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 24-7 in their last 31 interleague games as a favorite.Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games. TAMPA BAY is 21-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games.Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Rays are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-19-22 | Panthers v. Islanders +180 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
The Isles have been officially eliminated from play off contention. With Barry Trotz reassessing the Islanders current lineup alot of players will be playing for jobs next season, so you can bet the Isles will be primed to pull and upset. With 9 shut outs already under his belt this season Sorokin the Isles goalie is the x factor at home where NYI has won 8 of their L/9 overall . From a series point of view the Islanders have had success against the Panthers at home as is evident by 4 straight wins as hosts. At this price the Islanders are the right side, no matter how inconsistent they have been and how powerful the Panthers have looked of late. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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04-19-22 | Giants +114 v. Mets | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
San Francisco has won 5 straight games, and after a day off yesterday will be fresh and motivated to continue their current positive run that has seen them average 5.2 rpg in road production on the road this season vs their hosts the NY Mets. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-6 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 25-14 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.SAN FRANCISCO is 17-9 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 39-12 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. (Scherzer is a RHP) Mets are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. National League West. Giants are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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04-19-22 | Hawks v. Heat UNDER 219.5 | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 Atlanta has a stiff test here trying to get offensive flow going against a Miami team that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind the 28th ranked pace. This in itself Im betting helps keep this game on the low side of the offered total. Under is 9-0 in Hawks last 9 games as an underdog. Under is 7-0 in Hawks last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. ATLANTA is 18-6 UNDER L/24 in the 2nd game of a playoff series with a combined average of 186.7 ppg scored. Historically speaking ATLANTA is 55-29 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 184.4 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 102-73 UNDER L/175 when the total is 210 to 219.5 with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. Under is 24-8 in the last 32 meetings in Miami Play UNDER |
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04-19-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Im going to keep this selection explantation brief. The Hawks simply and generally do matchup well vs the Heat, and here on the road where the Hawks have struggled against top tier sides are once again in trouble. The Heat dominated game 1 as the final 115-91 score would indicate. Rinse and repeat type game highly like to be duplicated here. Heat are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 playoff games as a favorite. ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. ATLANTA is 0-9 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami Play on Miami to cover |
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04-18-22 | Senators +105 v. Seattle Kraken | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Ottawa is in top form and has totaled 19 goals while going 4-1-0 on the road in April and deserve respect here vs the expansion Kraken as road dogs.Ottawa's G Anton Forsberg has set career highs with 40 starts and 19 wins and currently boasts a personal-best 2.78 goals-against average. He made 30 saves at Seattle in a 4-3 win earlier this season and another positive outcome is a viable bet again,Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Kraken are 7-18 in their last 25 home games. Play on the Senators to win |
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04-18-22 | Reds v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Padres have generally struggled offensively early on this season but have averaged 5.3 rpg vs LHP , and once again look like they are capable of exploding vs Lodolo the Reds starter tonight. Meanwhile, the Reds have also struggled getting runs across the plate, but when they have struggled in the past for an extended period of time, they have taken part in some high scoring affairs as is evident by a 12-1 OVER mark after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. I know the Padres starter Manaea has looked strong to start his season, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he could project to give up 3 or more hits more than anticipated with a 1 run accumulated diff giving us an edge on a over wager. Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play OVER |
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04-18-22 | Phillies v. Rockies +153 | 1-4 | Win | 153 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Rockies will send Chad Kuhl (0-0, 2.08 ERA) to the mound against the Phillies' Aaron Nola (1-1, 6.75).Kuhl is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in five games -- three starts -- in his career against Philadelphia and despite of the ace of the Phillies taking to the hill today I still like the Coors field advantage for the home side. Note:Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. NOLA is 7-13 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KUHL is 7-2 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.Rockies are 21-5 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Rockies are also 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League East MLBt team (PHILADELPHIA) - National League team with an excellent starting pitcher whose WHIP was 1.150 or better last season, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 31-49 L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win |
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04-18-22 | Jazz -5 v. Mavs | 104-110 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
With Luka Doncic downgraded to doubtful Monday vs Utah ( Calf ) the Jazz become viable option here as road favs. The Jazz dominated game 1 of this series, without the Euro star in the Mavs lineup and a rinse and repeat scenario is highly likely, with the zig zag theory taking a back seat for the mean time. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home loss, in April games are 66-122 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, second half of the season are 31-4 with the average margin ppg diff registering in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS line as a viable trend. Play on Utah Jazz to cover |
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04-18-22 | Rays v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rays starter MCCLANAHAN is 13-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 45-25 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. We all know how the wind has a tendency to blow in from center field at Wrigley, and no matter what the weather forecast says its a generally predictable factor. Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 during game 1 of a series.Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 on grass.Under is 8-3-2 in Rays last 13 road games.Under is 8-2-2 in Rays last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 during game 1 of a series.Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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04-18-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. 76ers | 97-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Previous to game 1 of this series the Raptors and the Sixers took part in 3 straight games that were decided by exactly 5 points and prior to that they played 4 straight games that were deiced by 6, 7,7,7 points. All in total Toronto won 4 of those 7 tilts SU, and in true zig zag theory are a viable cover option here in game 2 of this series according to my projections. From a SRS perspective the Raptors rank 11th in the NBA with a 2.38 mark, while Philadelphia ranks 9th with a 2.57 mark, making them virtually even in a neutral court environment , but with home floor advantage are rue 4.5 favs, which is gives us value on this offered line. The DD, win by the 76ers has tainted the line, and gives us an edge on a cover proposition. Note:Nurse is 22-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more as the coach of TORONTO. TORONTO is 33-19 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Raptors are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 125 points or more are 18-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 224.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
The Suns finished their season with 5 straight unders, and going against a New Orleans side that ranks 21st in pace and 21st in offensive ppg output Im betting the Suns 8th ranked D will hold down the fort and contribute to a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season are 221.1 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 13-5 UNDER (+7.5 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 214.8 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 25-9 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 14-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 25-15 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored.Green is 14-4 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Play UNDER |
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04-17-22 | Braves +122 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Darvish the Padres starter opened his season in good form but was blasted last time out, giving up 9 runs and 1 2/3 innings of work. He looked off with his delivery, which is not a good omen against a Atanta side he has not had much luck against in the past as is evident, by his 0-4 record when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.714.. DARVISH is also just 8-12 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)..... Advantage Atlanta. The San Diego offense expected to struggle without injured star Fernando Tatis Jr. Padres manager Bob Melvin has said as much and that Im betting continues tonight. After exploding for 12 runs in the home opener Thursday against the Braves, the Padres have scored four runs on 10 hits in two straight defeats. Note: In their past five games, the Padres have scored more than two runs only once. Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Braves are 22-9 in their last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. National League West. ATLANTA is 27-9 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 16-6 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Braves are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in San Diego. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-17-22 | Sabres -105 v. Flyers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sabres have won 4 straight meetings in this series with the fFyers and once again matchup well here in Philadelphia again. Buffalo just beat the Flyers 4-3 on April 16. Note: Flyers are 0-6 in their last 6 in the second game of a home-and-home situation.
Flyers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Flyers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Play on Buffalo to win |
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04-17-22 | Phillies v. Marlins +142 | 3-11 | Win | 142 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Hernandez has been an average at best MLB pitcher, but here has had quality performances against the Phillies. In six career appearances versus Philadelphia -- including four starts -- Hernandez is 3-0 with a 4.24 ERA and gets my support here on a value ML offering. I know Zach Wheeler the Phillies starter is a top tier hurler, but with the way the Phillies inconsistencies at the plate getting enough support here maybe an issue. Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. GIRARDI is 2-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or lower ) as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. MIAMI is 21-10 against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Phillies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami. Play on Miami to win |
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04-17-22 | Twins v. Red Sox -105 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox look for their fourth win in five games as they host the Minnesota Twins on Sunday afternoon and Im betting they have a positive lost and found event here this afternoon in Fenway. BoSox starter Michael Wacha (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is set for his first Red Sox home start. He allowed one run on two hits and three walks while striking out four in a 4 1/3-inning no-decision last Monday in Detroit and according to my power rankings matches up well here against the Twins batting order. Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 81-36 in their last 117 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Red Sox are 36-17 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record. BOSTON is 41-18 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons MLB team (BOSTON) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Boston Red sox to win |
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04-17-22 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | 91-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
The Heat are well rested while the Hawks have played hard in two wins to get to this point, and will now be in a letdown spot vs what my power rankings suggest is a superior side. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 15-3 ATS\ versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. Play on Miami to cover |
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04-16-22 | Angels v. Rangers +108 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Angels exploded for 9 runs yesterday in a win , but that has not been a recipe for success in the past for the Halos, as is evident by Manager MADDONs 8-16 run against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more as the manager of LA ANGELS. Angels are also 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win and 3-9 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.MADDON is also just 29-40 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of LA ANGELS. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss. Angels starter Noah Syndergaard is off having Tommy John surgery and is vulnerable. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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04-16-22 | Maple Leafs v. Senators +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Leafs have a tendency of falling asleep at the proverbial wheel against lower level sides, as was the case recently in a loss to the Buffalo Sabres. Note:TORONTO is 9-11 ATS in road games against lower tier teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. Tonight against a Ottawa side that almost always comes to life when they play the Leafs especially at home Im betting we have value on this viable puckline offering. It must be noted that the Senators have been extremely competitive here in Canadas capital vs the /buds with the L/6 meetings decided by 1 goal, which includes 3 SU wins. Play on the puckline +1.5 with Ottawa |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The last 3 meetings this season between these teams were deiced by 5 points with the one game back in November decided by 6 points with the Raptors covering all 4 games while winning 3 straight up. Im betting on another close game, and for the under rated Raptors getting us the cover today with a 5 point advantage which is key to this selection advantage . TORONTO is 29-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. TORONTO is 19-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. TORONTO is 25-16 ATS in road games this season. PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. NBA home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 49-84 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate. Play on Toronto to cover |
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04-16-22 | Twins v. Red Sox -119 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Twins ruined the BoSox home opener yesterday but now the home side will be ready for a rebound against a starting right handed pitcher Gray who has struggled in his career against Boston, as is evident by a 1-6 record and a 6.64 ERA in 42 career innings in 10 outings and nine starts . Note: Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies UNDER 237 | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Play Off basketball can be alot more physical than regular season NBA play, and thats what Im betting we will see here tonight between two offensive juggernauts . This Im betting directly gives us on an edge on this slightly bloated post season total. My own projections make this total closer to 233 giving us a full possession plus advantage on the offered number. Under is 34-16 in Grizzlies last 50 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games as a favorite. MEMPHIS is 17-7 UNDER versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg going on the score board. MEMPHIS is 35-20 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - averaging 9 or more steals/game on the season, on Saturday games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 58-20 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, on Saturday games are 66-28 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 49-21 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors, Play UNDER |
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04-16-22 | A's +203 v. Blue Jays | 7-5 | Win | 203 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Ryu the ace of the Toronto staff goes to the hill today for the Jays , but it must be noted that the As have done well against southpaw pitchers in the recent past as is evident by a 24-10 record against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. In his first start of the season on Sunday, Ryu (0-0, 16.20 ERA) allowed six runs, five hits and two walks in 3 1/3 innings in Toronto's 12-6 loss to the Texas Rangers and once again looks vulnerable in this spot. RYU is just 9-13 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Athletics will start right-hander Paul Blackburn (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who was the winning pitcher Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays at St. Petersburg, Fla., allowing three hits and one walk while striking out seven in five innings. Oakland won 13-2 Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TORONTO) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season are 34-51 L/26 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans v. Clippers -3.5 | 105-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Entering the play offs the Clippers were red hot having won 5 straight games. .Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The last time these teams mets here in Los Angeles this season the Clippers won the final meeting, 119-100 at home on April 3. Rinse and repeat scenario here. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NEW ORLEANS is 10-27 ATS L/37 in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-15-22 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Royals starter KELLER is 20-8 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)KELLER is 25-9 UNDER against division opponents in his career with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. (Team's Record) Keller has seen 7 of his L/8 appearances vs the Tigers go under the total. T Skubal the Tigers starter matches up well against the Royals batting order according to my early season projections. Under is 42-18-2 in Royals last 62 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-2 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and is 4-1 UNDER in Royals last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 9-3-1 in Royals last 13 games as a favorite.Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 during game 2 of a series. DETROIT is 17-4 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-3-1 in Tigers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 15-4-2 in Tigers last 21 during game 2 of a series.Under is 9-4-1 in Tigers last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-15-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +181 | 1-2 | Win | 181 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
After 3 game series against a Toronto Blue Jays side that is highly touted Im betting on the Yankees suffering a letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the Baltimore Orioles. The Yanks took the finale vs the Jays yesterday 3-0. Note: Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles starter LYLES is 7-1 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LYLES is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167. Dating back to last season, the Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Lyles. NY YANKEES are 2-8 against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.NY YANKEES are 10-12 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-15-22 | Islanders v. Canadiens OVER 5.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
NYI HC Barry Trotz is asking his scorers to step up their aggressiveness as the season winds down, as the Isles access off season trade scenarios. So a higher scoring game between two teams that will not make the play offs is a likely situation as the defensively challenged Habs will also open up in an attempt to steal this game in front of their disgruntled fans. NY ISLANDERS are 14-7 OVER in road games second half of the season this season. MONTREAL is 16-8 OVER after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games this season with s combined average of 7.4 gog scored. NHL home teams against the total (MONTREAL) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 35-8 OVER L/5 season for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-15-22 | Twins v. Red Sox -126 | 8-4 | Loss | -126 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
This is the home opener fro the Red Sox so I expect them to be motivated today and supported by a packed house. Meanwhile, the visiting Twins were swept by the Dodgers in two games to finish 2-4 on their opening home-stand and their current lack of momentum in this type of an environment will be a negative factor for them today.Joe Ryan, who is the No. 4 prospect in the Twins organization, will be making his seventh MLB start which is another situation that favors the BoSox, as the intimidation factor of being on the hill on Fenway wont help the Twins cause. Red Sox are 37-17 in their last 54 games as a home favorite. MINNESOTA is 10-19 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East. Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the BoSox to win |
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04-14-22 | Braves +100 v. Padres | 1-12 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Padres starter MORTON is 6-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.09 and a WHIP of 1.036. He has allowed the Padres only 35 hits and 23 walks while striking out 52 in 56 innings. Add to that he is a perfect 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three starts covering 17 1/3 innings at Petco Park. Im betting on more of the same top tier pitching action for the defending champs here tonight. Note: Padres starter Musgrove is 2-1 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts spanning 29 1/3 innings. Braves are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. Padres are 3-14 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-14-22 | Capitals +153 v. Maple Leafs | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The Capitals have won 4 straight, and are in top form . The Caps have also gone 10-1 in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog and deserve respect here on a value line especially with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Leafs the last time they played back on Feb 28th of this season. Capitals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 27-9 ATS in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS in road games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better - 2nd half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 7-2 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the money line (WASHINGTON) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 40-9 L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Capitals to win |
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04-14-22 | Mariners -105 v. White Sox | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Seattle starter GILBERT is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-2 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 5-0 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-3 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite. MLB team (SEATTLE) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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04-13-22 | Mariners +110 v. White Sox | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
With a strong outing on Opening Day, Ray (1-0, 1.29 ERA) gives credence to me taking the Mariners as underdogs today in South side Chicago. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel (9-9, 5.28 in 2021) is a thrower that looks vulnerable after posting a 6.82 mark in 14 games (13 starts) in the second half of last season. Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog.Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Seattle to win |
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04-13-22 | Brewers v. Orioles +160 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
National League Cy Young Award recipient Corbin Burnes is obviously a top tier hurler, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Orioles matchup well here. After a strong outing last time out where Burnes struck out 14 , Im betting on a natural regression here . Meanwhile, the Orioles starting southpaw pitcher Means is a quality thrower as well, and as long as he can get into the 5th inning which I believe he can , we have value with this underdog ticket. Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. MILWAUKEE is 3-8 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-13-22 | Hornets v. Hawks -5 | 103-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Hawks looked strong in the 2nd half of the season, and must be respected here at home. Note: Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record as well as 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.McMillan is 20-7 ATS in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of ATLANTA. Meanwhile , Charlotte , also played well down the stretch, but Im betting home court advantage is the difference maker this evening. In 4 previous meetings this season,Charlotte won by margins of three and 10 points. Atlanta's victories came by 10 and 22 points. Rinse and repeat victory is what Im betting on here this evening in Georgia. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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04-13-22 | Padres v. Giants -125 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The Giants bats exploded yesterday and in a 13-2 win and Im betting they continue to build on that momentum here in game 3 of this series. Giants are 43-16 in their last 59 vs. National League West and are 24-9 in their last 33 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a favorite. Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record and are 14-37 in their last 51 games as an underdog. Padres are also 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Webb and are 8-22 in their last 30 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/25 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Giants to win |
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04-13-22 | Red Sox v. Tigers +121 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
BoSox stater EOVALDI is 14-27 against the money line when playing against a below .500 side(Win Pct. 38% to 46%) . (Team's Record) Nathan Eovaldi is scheduled to start for the Red Sox. Eovaldi (0-0, 5.40) gave up three runs on five hits in five innings while striking out seven New York Yankees in his season debut and looks vulnerable here. Meanwhile, Motowns starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-2 against the money line in April games in his career (Team's Record) Advantage Tigers . Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road game. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-12-22 | Lightning -155 v. Stars | 0-1 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay will be wide a wake and ready to get back to winning consistently tonight in Dallas. The Bolts have not looked like defending champs of late, but as we know the talent is there and Im going to back them in this spot, as they build momentum and their 2nd straight win tonight. . Note:TAMPA BAY is 13-1 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Central. Lightning are 39-17 in their last 56 games as a favorite. Stars are 23-49 in their last 72 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. NHL team against the money line (DALLAS) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home win where they shut out their opponent are 3-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-12-22 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Play off basketball is here, and tonight we have an experienced post season group going up a young crew with virtually no NBA play off experience. I know Minnesota has been explosive offensively for much of the season , but Im betting they will be slowed by a Clippers team that will want to be very physical and conservative here on the road , which Im betting leads to a combined score that is on the low side of this totals offering. LA CLIPPERS in L/12 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. ( Clippers lost to the Wolves at home 122-104 earlier this season) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 78-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - off a home loss, with a winning record on the season. 49-22 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-12-22 | Royals +150 v. Cardinals | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Royals are in a bounce back mode after allowing 27 runs in their previous two games. Im betting they come through here with a concerted team effort and pull off the underdog win. Cardinals are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games. Royals are 12-3 in their last 15 during game 1 of a series. KANSAS CITY is 17-10 against the money line in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. MATHENY is 14-9 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) as the manager of KANSAS CITY. Play on KC Royals to win |