Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-23 | North Florida v. Charleston Southern UNDER 149.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low to mid 140s giving us a 2 to 3 possession edge to the under. N FLORIDA is 14-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 season with a combined average of 140.9 ppg scored. N FLORIDA is 20-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 143.6 ppg scored. CHARLESTON SO is 22-10 UNDER L/32 after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CHARLESTON SO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-08-23 | Pistons +12 v. Bucks | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Detroit had seven players sidelined by injuries or illness on Monday when it faced a fully healthy Golden State squad and still played cohesively for 90% of that game but faded late losing by 11. Im betting their young legs will keep them in this game as well, vs a Milwaukee side that Im sure will be over looking them and or showing less than desirable motivation, especially after taking part in a emotional thriller in Brooklyn last time out as they barley walked away with a 129-125 victory. Advantage Motown on the spread. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is in top form entering this home game against the Celtics as is evident by having won 5 straight games, with four straight coming by DDs. Meanwhile, the Celtics started strong with 5 straight victories , but that was suddenly snapped last time out vs Minnesota. This is obviously going to be a hard fought game between two eastern conference rivals , and for me that means taking points with the side honing home court advantage. PHILADELPHIA is 20-5 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams (75% or better ) are 15-42 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois v. SMU OVER 144.5 | 53-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections for this tilt between W. Illinois and SMU are closer to the 150 plateau which gives us some very viable value here with an over wager. SMU is 11-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-07-23 | Predators +115 v. Flames | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Calgary snapped a six-game losing streak last time out, but Im betting they wont make it two in a row tonight as Nashville visits town. Flames are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. The Predators arrive in Calgary after snatching a 5-2 victory over the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday and with momentum on their sides look like viable bets. Note:Calgary will be without Andrew Mangiapane after he received a one-game suspension for cross checking .He leads the Flames with four goals and will be missed. Nashville is 3-0 L/3 visits to Calgary. Predators are 66-31 in their last 97 vs. a team with a losing record NHL Road teams against the money line (NASHVILLE) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) vs a poor team (0.4 or less goal/game diff.) are 52-11 L/5 seasons for. a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Nashville to win |
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11-07-23 | Albany v. Massachusetts UNDER 146.5 | 71-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 130s, plateauing in around 141 as a expected combined offensive output. CBB Home teams against the total (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) from last year are 93-49 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 136..6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 354-222 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-07-23 | Ball State +10 v. Northern Illinois | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
It has mot been a very good campaign for Ball State overall as they have garnered only two wins so far, but they have been every competitive of late cashing 3 straight times, and playing with momentum and determination. Meanwhile, N.Illinois from a recent historical trend line has not been a very good home favorite,N.Illinois is 1-10 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and are off a loss last time out, in game where their defense continually let them down allowing 37 points. Momentum resides with Ball State. Northern Illinois owns the third-best passing defense in the country, but they struggle to stop the run as is evident by allowing 167 rushing yards per game and because of that Im betting they will have issues against duel threat QB Kelly and top tier running back Marquez Cooper . The Cardinals defense has been very staunch of late allowing just 19.5 points per game in their last four trips to the gridiron. They're 33rd against the rush and 68th against the pass and could easily give N. Illinois QB Lombardi fits here tonight . N Neu is 14-5 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of BALL ST. Ball State has won three of the last four rivalry meetings with Northern Illinois . the average ppg diff of the last 5 Stalk events have been decided by 8 points or less. Ball State to cover |
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11-06-23 | Chargers -3 v. Jets | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
The Chargers looked very explosive last week vs the Chicago Bears last Sunday Night in prime time action as QB Herbert completed 31-of- 40 passes for 298 yards, 3 touchdowns, with no interceptions. When the Chargers top tier QB is running hot look out as even what has been on occasion a staunch NYJ defense will have it hands full. , Meanwhile, the flip-side the Jets continue to flounder offensively and Im betting they just wont be able to keep up. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 21-69 ATS L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to cover |
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11-06-23 | Central Arkansas v. Tulsa UNDER 148 | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 144 points giving us great value on a score that fails ti eclipse this totals offering. Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)Central Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)TULSA is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 . CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULSA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Georgia Southern +10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 62-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 26 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Tech has a new coaching staff a new system, and have alot of half backed non substantiated optimism surrounding them.The Yellow Jackets were Picked to finish 13th in the ACC preseason poll with no players receiving All-Conference votes. They also currently have the third-lowest odds to win the conference. This program had a vast amount of turnover following the firing of Josh Pastner. Only four scholarship players remain from last year's team. All in all, there are 10 newcomers on this roster, with 6 of those being transfers. Gtechs new HC Stoudamire did not stand out during his five-year tenure at Pacific and as a assistant with Boston was deemed average at best and with little real quality talent may suffer in his first season at the helm of the Yellowjackets. Georgia Southern Im betting stays within the perimeters of a quality dog. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-35 ATS L/26 seasons for. ago against 86% conversion rate. Play on the GSouthern to cover |
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11-06-23 | Wizards +11 v. 76ers | 128-146 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Sixers will try to land their fifth consecutive victory when they host the Washington Wizards on Monday. Because of thier lofty run they are also being over rated here on this line making the underdog a viable proposition. I know the Wizards have lost 5 of 6 but now in desperation mode against a top tier opponent I expect them to put forward a big effort as they search for early season redemption and momentum. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 9-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 26-3 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play on Washington to cover |
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11-06-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My projections are estimating a hard fought game between two strong sides. This Im betting results in a lower scoring tight affair that will see both teams playing physical hockey and transitional hockey. TORONTO is 40-26 UNDER in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 gog scored. TORONTO is 38-25 UNDER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with s combined average of 6.1 gpg scored. Under is 3-1-2 in Lightning last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 7-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 14-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 18 overall.Under is 9-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 12 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 7-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 10 Monday games. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) in the first half of the season are 26-5 UNDER 27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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11-06-23 | Maine +8.5 v. Charlotte | 52-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 26 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My Early season projections for this game come in closer to -6 for /charlotte giving us a full possession edge. Maine is a team that centers around a strong defense, with their top two way player being Tynes who joins a crew of 10 returning players from a season ago. Lots of experience on the Black Bears side and they deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile, Charlotte win the CBI tourney championship last season with a strong finish, but now are being a little over rated because of that giving us value with the pup. Note: The 49ers were led by the duo of Brice Williams and Aly Khalifa who are gone now. NBA favorite (CHARLOTTE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Maine to cover |
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11-06-23 | Niagara v. Notre Dame OVER 125.5 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low 130s which qualifies on this Totals offering to the over. I know Notre Dame is expected to play tough D, this season buy Im betting they do some damage offensively tonight against a under rated Niagara team that will also answer back with enough production to help us get this over bet to cash. NBA teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NOTRE DAME) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 13+ losses in last 15 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | 18-24 | Loss | -112 | 84 h 2 m | Show | |
This pick here for me is simple. REVENGE .sweet sweet revenge- Buffalo comes out here this week against Cincinnati \ with a playoff-loss revenge as a rallying cry. This will be the first time in 30 games that the Bills will be lined as underdogs which is just fine with me . With the Bengals in an emotional letdown state after last weeks big win vs the 49ers they are vulnerable here to regression, as Its hard to play with that intensity against top tier competition two weeks in a row . I know the Bills have been in a bit of a funk of late from a ATS perspective but Buffalo is still a highly talented group that deserves respect . BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS L/8 after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread . NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 35-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Buffalo is 5-2 SU/ATS L/7 at Cincinnati. Play on the Bills to cover |
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11-05-23 | Hornets +11.5 v. Mavs | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
After a grueling Mile High city trip and loss at Denver Im betting the Mavs are in letdown situation and also gassed after their high altitude track meet. Meanwhile, Charlotte has shown some flashes of brilliance vs Atlanta in. opening season win and a victory vs Indiana as underdogs on the road last time out and are according to my early season power rankings a value underdog option this Sunday. DALLAS is 11-23 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 11-26 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-21 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 4-27 SU/ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate with the average point per game diff clicking in at -5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering by DDs. Charlotte is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 overall vs Dallas. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-05-23 | Devils v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Devils enter this game on very tired legs and will not be in their usual wide open offensive mode which will directly effect this total to the under. Note: Chicago has averaged just 2.1 gpg in offense so far this season. NEW JERSEY is 34-16 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NEW JERSEY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal are 23-4 L/27 seasons for a go against for a 85% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-05-23 | Raptors -3.5 v. Spurs | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Spurs are off a two big upset wins vs the Phoenix Suns and will no be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry Toronto team that is playing much better than their record may indicate NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog 1-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at -12.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks +6.5 v. Ravens | 3-37 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these sides are ranked top 10 on both defense and offense and are alot more closely matched than the linesmakers are suggesting. After a slow start on D to start their season, the Seahawks have allowed a total 50 points in their L/4 overall, (12.5 ppg) and have upward momentum entering this tilt. You have to remember the Seahawks took out a strong Detroit team on the road, and must not be underestimated in their prowess and grit. Meanwhile, Ravens QB Lamar Johnson has failed to cover 21 of 33 NFL home tilts . Carroll is 25-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of SEATTLE. Baltimore is 0-5 ATS L/5 off consecutive wins.BALTIMORE is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return.BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. Play on Seattle to cover |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -1 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
Chiefs looked less than motivated last time out against Denver and star QB Mahomes actually failed to throw for a TD for the first time since the 2021 season spanning 29 games. It was a shocking loss but it must be noted that HC Reid is 22-9 SU in NFL career in tilts following a SU favorite loss, including cashing 6 straight times of late a favorite of 7 or less points . Im betting the Chiefs were caught looking ahead to this game and will be very primed to bounce back in a big way vs a side my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. KANSAS CITY is 11-2 ATS l/13 in road games off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more . In Miamis only two games vs top tier squads like the Chiefs they were blasted by DDs vs Buffalo and Philadelphia . Rinse and repeat not out of the question here. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Chiefs to cover |
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11-04-23 | Avalanche -111 v. Golden Knights | 0-7 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
The Vegas Golden Knights take on the Colorado Avalanche in Las Vegas in a battle of the two most recent Stanley Cup champions. The Golden Knights recently just played three consecutive overtime games to keep their current point streak alive, losing to visiting Chicago 4-3 in overtime Oct. 27 before rebounding with back-to-back shootout wins at Los Angeles (4-3) on Saturday and at home against Montreal (3-2) and than Monday night and than finally got a 5-2 victory vs Winnipeg last time out. Vegas has had big targets on their backs, and have had to play furiously to get past some opponents, that kind of action will weigh on the team tonight against a Colorado side that is off a smothering 4-1 win vs st.Louis last time out and probably the toughest side they have faced to this point in the Season. Colorado has won their L/3 visits to Vegas and Im betting they turn the trick here again. Road team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Avalanche are 44-16 in their last 60 road games. COLORADO is 25-8 ATS in road games off a win or tie in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 20-4 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Colorado Avs |
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11-04-23 | Boise State v. Fresno State -2.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
LATE STEAM QB Mikey Keene is key here to what Im betting will be a fairly conclusive home win on a short line for Fresno State. Boise State has failed to cover their L/5 roadies. BOISE ST is 1-8 ATS after a win by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons.Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI) FRESNO ST is 34-18 ATS L/52 after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Fresno State to cover |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 55 m | Show | |
The Huskies are 2-8 ATS L/10 as road chalk and are getting a ,little to much respect here vs the USC Trojans who are led by a HC Lincoln Riley .It must be noted that USCs HC is a home pup for the first time in his career and Im sure despite of the lofty opposition will have his team ready to compete. It must be noted that Riley is 4-0 SU vs unbeaten conference opposition and 3-0 ATS as a conference-under dog. In his career Riley is also an amazing 40-3 ATS at home overall . From a historical perspective the Trojans are 9-2 ATS as underdogs vs Washington and Im betting they leave everything on the field today after what many will consider a down season for this football program. Riley is 21-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 in all games he has coached . CFB Home underdogs vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 42 points or more last game are 34-22 L/31 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on USC to cover |
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11-04-23 | SMU v. Rice +12.5 | 36-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 3 m | Show | |
Rice looked good last week against top tier group from Tulane losing by a 30-28 count but more importantly covering as DD underdogs . I know their opponent SMU has galloped away to a fine season, and will see post season action, but the Owls must not be underestimated and at with a .500 record need some more victories for a decent Bowl invite and are motivated to play strong here. It must also be noted that Rice is 10-1 ATS L//11 in this series while losing 11 of their L/12 here in Houston, including 0-9 ATS over the last nine visits to this venue. Note: Rice is also 10-0 ATS L/10 after playing Tulane . SMU is 17-32 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play.SMU is 6-20 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Lashlee is 0-6 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of SMU. CFB Road favorites (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 81-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on Rice to cover |
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11-04-23 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State OVER 45 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 6 m | Show | |
Bulldogs. Quarterback Mike Wright, who led Vanderbilt to a win against UK at Kroger Field is now playing for Mississippi State. Wright continues to be impress with his ability to make plays and can elude the pocket and make plays with his legs and Im betting he has another strong effort today and helps his team with higher offensive production totals than the linesmakers expect. On the flipside the Wildcats offense really ramped up they're aerial attack last Saturday night. Quarterback Devin Leary had a season-high 372 yards passing vs Tennessee and wide receiver Dane Key had his best game of the season and Im betting they build on that momentum in this tilt With the running game the Wildcats most efficient mode of moving the ball a complete game is not out of the realm of possibility which makes for a much bigger point production than is expected. All in all we have value with taking the over here today. My projections based on some higher edge probabilities estimates a much higher output than the linesmkaers. My projections estimate both sides will score 28+ points - Note: KENTUCKY is 51-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points since 1992. MISSISSIPPI ST is 41-2 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points since 1992. Stoops in 48 road games as the coach of KENTUCKY has seen a combined average of 49.2 ppg scored.
CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 KENTUCKY/ (MISSISSIPPI ST) - in a game involving two average passing teams (6.4-7.5 PYA) after 7+ games.are 52-16 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average score of 48.6 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-04-23 | Lakers v. Magic +4 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lakers started their campaign with a 119-107 road loss in Denver on Oct. 24 before dropping a 132-127 overtime tilt in Sacramento a few days later. Both their road games have ended in defeat and here against a strong/young looking group of Magic Im betting they will also have their hands are full. I know the Magic have a few injuries, but are deeper than many pundits might appreciate. note: Paolo Banchero is healthy and when hes 100% can be a game changers much like he was in Orlandos win at Utah last time out when he poured down 30 points and 8 rebounds. ORLANDO is 21-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 35-22 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 3-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the Magic to cover |
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11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers OVER 220.5 | 100-112 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Sometimes afternoon games have a tendency to see teams start slowly which effects offensive production . But according to my projections this line is still off and a tad to low. PHOENIX is 23-12 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Nurse is 57-34 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 36-23 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 42-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots 52-15 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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11-04-23 | Notre Dame v. Clemson +3 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 8 m | Show | |
Clemson is never easy to play. against in Death Valley, and even against a strong Florida State football program had a chance to win late in the game via an ugly FG attempt that missed its mark The Tigers eventually lost in OT. I know the Tigers have not looked as powerful as past incarnations, but like I said this is a tough place to play and Notre Dame already exhibited a tendency to be over whelmed in a nasty environment at Louisville in a DD loss. So its not like the Irish are invincible. Yes, I know Dabo Sweeny and company has lost 2 straight, but this HC has proven resilient in the past and has only been defeated three times a row twice in his career- the last time was back in 2010. NOTRE DAME is 15-34 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play. NOTRE DAME is 1-13 ATS L/14 off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more . CFBP home team vs. the money line (CLEMSON) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-4 L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors -so according to this long standing trend getting points here is viable wagering opportunity. Play on Clemson to cover |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Blazers +3 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies are the lone winless team in the NBA as they start a two-game set in Portland with a 0-5 record. the linesmkaers combination of disrespect for the Blazers and the desperation factor attached to this number make for what I am betting is a viable underdog selection. Note:MEMPHIS is 0-9 ATS in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-24 ATS in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 5-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (PORTLAND) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 64-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Portland is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. Play on Portland Blazers to cover |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets -6.5 | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
Dallas has won all 4 of their games this season so far while their opponents tonight the Nuggets had their 4 game win streak end last time out with a DD loss at Minnesota. Im betting the Nuggets here at home off a ugly loss will come out here like gang busters and take down the Dallas Mavericks in the high altitudes of Denver where it is never easy for visitors to play. Malone is 34-17 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER. DENVER is 11-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 41-22 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons DALLAS is 3-12 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Kidd is 20-45 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached. NBA Favorites (DENVER) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-03-23 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a total combined score that will reach the low 220s which gives us at least a 1 /2 possession edge on this offered number to the under. MIAMI in their L/12 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-03-23 | Devils v. Blues OVER 6.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
The Devils play an all out aggressive offensive game, that has resulted in consistent back and forth affairs. The Blues have allowed 9 goals in their L/2 trips to the ice, and will have to be prepared to open up if they hope to be competitive tonight. This Im betting results in a combined score that eclipses this offered number. NEW JERSEY is 9-0 OVER in all games this season. ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. ST LOUIS is 10-3 OVER (+7.0 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. Over is 15-5-2 in Blues last 22 vs. Metropolitan.Over is 35-13-3 in Blues last 51 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 42-17-5 in Blues last 64 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-3 in Blues last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - off 2 consecutive road losses by 2 goals or more against opponent off a road win are 55-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (NEW JERSEY) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Friday nights are 80-41 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in St. Louis.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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11-02-23 | Spurs v. Suns -8 | 132-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Spurs a few days ago, upset the Suns after the Suns had taken a big lead before melting down and losing. Now angry and in redemption mode will be ready for a huge bounce back effort. When teams play their opponent a second time in a span of three days in the regular season and are road favorites after losing the last game at home, they are: 20-8 SU at home. Also Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.
Play on Suns to cover |
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11-02-23 | Panthers -113 v. Red Wings | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
I know the Red Wings at 6-4 on the season own a better record than the Panthers who own a 4- 4 record, but my power rankings still suggest the Panthers are the superior side. Yes, Florida lost last time out but a\have proved resilient in the past off a defeat going 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers have won 7 straight in this series including 4-0 in a row here at Motown and im betting another win is on tonights agenda. Panthers are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. Atlantic.Panthers are 9-3 in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.Panthers are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. Eastern Conference. Play on Florida to win |
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11-02-23 | TCU +3 v. Texas Tech | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
The visiting Horned Frogs (4-4, 2-3) have had a tough go of it this season, after going to the National Championship game last year. The worst effort of the season came last time out against Kstate in a ugly 41-3 loss, however, now the Frogs will now be primed for big bounce back effort against their hosts Texas Tech this week a side that has lost 2 Straight SU/ATS. Note: Though he downplayed it, this will be the first trip back to Lubbock for TCU's Sonny Dykes as a head coach at the school where his father, Spike Dykes, won 82 games from 1986-99. This game means alot to Dykes junior. TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (TCU) - average passing team (6.4-7.5 PYA) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PYA) after 7+ games, after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 55-22 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 228 | 109-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are having problems scoring, thanks in part the absence of Morant, Steven Adams (knee), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Luke Kennard (concussion) and Santi Aldama (ankle). The cohesiveness is just not there and that will once again hamper their point production here in Salt Lake City tonight . The Grizzlies is well aware of this and will be focused on good transitional D instead of trying to run and gun which will effect this total to the under. MEMPHIS is 15-4 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored,
MEMPHIS in their L/12 games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse, has seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored, MEMPHIS is 14-3 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-2 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-01-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Mavs | 105-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Chicago enters this road game against the Mavs off a upset win in Indiana last time out and have momentum entering this tilt . Note:CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a DD win vs a banged up Memphis side, which was their third straight win to being the season. It must be noted however, that DALLAS is 1-12 ATS L/13 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games so regression wont come as a surprise.DALLAS is also 1-9 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which is the case. HC Kidd has had issues against teams like the Bulls in the past going 2-12 ATS versus excellent pressure defensive teams -forcing 17 or more turnovers/game in all games he has coached . DALLAS is 9-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 7-21 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-01-23 | Rangers -102 v. Diamondbacks | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas Starter Eovaldi allowed five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings in Game 1, which Texas won 6-5 in 11 innings. He fanned eight and walked one. In eight career regular-season appearances (five starts) against the Diamondbacks, Eovaldi is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA. EOVALDI is 12-1 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game in his carrer. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Texas, owns a record 10-0 on the road in the postseason and matchup well here vs Dbacks starter Zac Gallen who owns a 6.75 ERA in his L/3 play off starts. ARIZONA is 4-18 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 57-28 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage Texas |
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11-01-23 | Kent State +3.5 v. Akron | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a tilt between two evenly matched MAC bottom feeders, and is being lined like a late FG will win it. Im in complete agreement with the lines-makers and thus I recommend we take the points. CFB road team (KENT ST) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 82-40 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (AKRON) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 14-27 L/10 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-01-23 | Sabres -105 v. Flyers | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Flyers are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights and their 4th game in 7 nights. Overall the Flyers are also not playing well, as they have lost 4 of their L/5 and two straight. Meanwhile visiting Buffalo , is well rested after 3 days off. Also according to my early season power rankings the Sabres look to be the overall superior side and more cohesive group and have momentum following a 4-0 victory over the Colorado Avalanche this past Sunday. BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 21-14 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 18-54 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 27-69 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 18-55 ATS when playing their 4th game in 7 days over the last 3 seasons Play on Buffalo to win |
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10-31-23 | Buffalo +16 v. Toledo | 13-31 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Buffalo after a slow start have progressively improved and have now won 3 of their L/4 overall while, covering 4 of their L/5. Early season losses against Wisconsin and Liberty were not unexpected , but the Buffalos still were fairly competitive and did not not look out of place. Also a a win vs pretty good Louisiana Lafayette showed me this Buffalo team deserves my respect here against their MAC rivals the Toledo Rockets tonight. The Rockets have won 7 straight but have misfired in 6 of those games ATs. TOLEDO is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. CFB road team (BUFFALO) - after going under the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 86-43 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -8 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 73 h 58 m | Show | |
Wow were the Lions ever embarrassed last time out by Baltimore. The Lions were media darlings until that game and now they are being dumped like rotten apples by these same media pundits. However the lines-makers are still believers in this Motown crew and in my opinion for good reason. After suffering that humiliating defeat the men from Detroit now have their feet solidly planted and are ready for immediate redemption against a Vegas side that has a one dimensional offensive aerial attack that cannot run the ball and also a inconsistent D. DETROIT is 17-7 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 35 points or more last game as the coach of DETROIT. DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. With that said, Im betting this is the kind of team the Lions matchup well against. Here at home the Lions are a money making machine for their backers as is evident by a 13-2-1 ATS since the 2021 campaign. Monday Night Football sides are 31-18 ATS dating back 43 seasons when coming off a loss of more than 21 points. I know we are betting into a crooked line, but the true value of this number should become evident as this game unfolds, as my projections make the number closer to -10 which gives us value on this offering. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer is still not 100% after returning from a shoulder injury. He pitched 4 innings in his return, allowing five earned runs in an 8-5 loss to the Astros. In his second trip to the hill there was no improvement as he only lasted 2.2 innings while giving uo four hits and two runs.Scherzer's 9.45 postseason ERA does not give me much hope for improvement vs a Texas team that has been explosive on the road in the play offs averaging 6.5 rpg in offense. Meanwhile, despite of Dbacks starter B. Pfaadt having a good post season, it still must be recognized that has a 5.23 regular season ERA overall t and a 5.29 ERA at home. Five of the 6 games between these sides went over this season and Im betting on this one eclipsing the total as well. Texas has allowed an average of 6.1 rpg in their L/7 play off games. SCHERZER is 8-1 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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10-30-23 | Wolves v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Wolves have started out their campaign exhibiting very good defensive posture in transition, and Im betting they will continue that type of play here on the road vs a team that they know like to run and gun. Minnesota has allowed 97 and 90 points in their 2 games , and are more than capable of slowing down a Atlanta side, that Im betting is on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 night and that will be in regression mode after a big upset win on the road vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. It must also be noted that the Hawks HC coach Quinn Snyder, wants to see better defense from his team and has made that clear multiple times in press conferences . With that said, Im betting on a much more defensive affair here than the linesmkaers expect. MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 17-7 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 44-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined 227.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Hawks are off a big underdog road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time and I expect they will be in a letdown situation here, and are also on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 games. ATLANTA is 7-20 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile,Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert make Minnesota a contender in the Western Conference and must be respected here as short favs . NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 42-122 L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 73-19 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in +5.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-29-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 83-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I know both these sides have been involved in high scoring games in both times they have been on the court thus far this season, but my own projections based on coaching tendencies and the type of usual hoops implemented Im betting on a more conservative affair. Lue is 34-19 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. (Clippers lost in Utah last time out as favs118-120 ) LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home win, sub par team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 27-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-29-23 | Blazers +9.5 v. 76ers | 98-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Blazers top offensive threat Anfernee Simons will not be in the lineup tonight for the Blazers, and that in part is why we are getting a good number to bet into. Meanwhile, after two hard fought road games vs the Bucks and the Raptors the 76ers return home on tired legs and may not have that extra edge they will need for all out performance. With the negative factor of Harden (who wants out of Philly hanging over the team, Im betting that also effects the Sixers over all play from a subconscious level) Advantage Blazers as they make the needed adjustment to Simons being out.
Play on Portland to cover |
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10-29-23 | Ravens v. Cardinals UNDER 45 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have a very hard time moving the ball behind a clunky offense. as is evident by averaging just 18.1 ppg in production and have scored 9 and 10 points respectively in their L/2 games.Key Trend: NFC Conference teams who scored 10 pts or less in each of their last two games have gone under 9 straight times. . Thats not a good omen against a Baltimore side that is allowing just 13.9 ppg this season on D (tops in the NFL). On the flipisde, the Ravens offense has been pedestrian this season to say the least , averaging just 22.3 ppg in road tilts. I know Arizonas D, has been highly inconsistent this season, probably because of the amount of time they spend on the field, but it must be noted that BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDER vs.sub par defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 36.2 ppg scored. The Ravens exhibit is a grinding style of play that eats up alot of clock time and Im betting nothing changes today. BALTIMORE is also 9-0 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 34.1 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 7-0 UNDER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 25.2 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 13-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFLbteam where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - with a poor passing D - allowing 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 69-26 L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos +7 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 77 h 19 m | Show | |
Denver lost 19-8 at Kansas City two weeks ago and now Im betting they will be competitive again here at home. KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS after a win by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. (Beat Chargers 31-17 last week) DENVER is 15-3 ATS L/18 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season . NFL Road favorites (KANSAS CITY) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 13-46 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Denver is 2-0 ATS L/2 at home in this series. Play on Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-29-23 | Avalanche v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | 0-4 | Win | 113 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Colorado looked tired in a 4-0 loss last time out at Pittsburgh and with the team now playing their 6th road game in the 8 games they have played so far, Im betting they wont have the legs needed to get into a back forth all out attack mode game plan, and will instead concentrate on playing solid transitional hockey. Im also betting getting back to playing solid D, will be on the agenda for the Avs after allowing 4 goals in 3 straight games after starting their season, allowing 2 goals or less in their first 4 trips to the ice. I know Buffalo has looked to be an aggressive offensive team, but that will be even more of a reason for the Avs to be careful here, and that in itself has me leaning strongly in favor of a low scoring affair. Under is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 home games. Under is 4-1 in Avalanche last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 10-3-1 in Avalanche last 14 Sunday games.Under is 8-3 in Avalanche last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Avalanche last 7 road games. Under is 16-4-2 in Avalanche last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. COLORADO is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.COLORADO after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons ( 8 games) have seen a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 34-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 89 h 28 m | Show | |
Carolina is the only winless team in the NFL so far this season, and now at home and in desperation mode against a banged up Texans squad with 11 players on the injured list which is tied with two other teams for the most in the league the Panthers have an edge. HOUSTON is 6-18 ATS L/24 vs. struggling teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season . Carolina is 4-0 ATS L/4 in this series. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. are 35-11 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina to cover |
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10-29-23 | Rams +6.5 v. Cowboys | 20-43 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 30 m | Show | |
The Rams out-gained the Steelers last week and still found a way to lose, while their opponents today bounced back from a ugly loss vs the 49ers in prime time to notch a victory vs the Chargers last week. by a 20-17 count. The Rams may not inspire bettors because of their lack of consistency. However, also despite of being a rebuilding mode, still have a hardcore group of talent that plays with grit and must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive in this spot situation. With a top tier QB Stafford at the helm of the offense, and the Rams ability to run the ball consistently behind an array of backs, Im betting they will give the Cowboys all they can handle . McVay is 27-14 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of LA RAMS. McVay is 18-9 ATS in road games in games played on turf as the coach of LA RAMS. McVay is 24-14 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of LA RAMS. Rams are 5-1 ATS L/6 vs NFC sides in away games. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DALLAS) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-32 L/10 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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10-29-23 | Jets v. Giants +3 | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 75 h 31 m | Show | |
It does not matter who starts at QB Daniel Jones or Taylor as their attack will center around star RB Saquon Barkley who is now healthy and back in the starting lineup. My power rankings suggest the Giants will have success here this week moving the ball, against a NYJ side that is off a bye week. Rest seems to do some teams well, but this Jets franchise looks to be an outliner as they are 1-10 SU including seven straight losses since 2015. Yes, I know the Jets have played well of late, but it must be noted that they are 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread . NY GIANTS are 13-5 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games in this series. Play on the NYG to cover |
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10-29-23 | Saints +105 v. Colts | 38-27 | Win | 105 | 74 h 24 m | Show | |
New Orleans is a sub par 3-4 despite the fact they have out-yarded five of its seven opponents this season. . They’' re opponents the Colts are also 3-4 Colts entering this tilt . MY power rankings, however, suggest the linesmkaers have the wrong team favored . It must be noted that the Colts are 1-8 ATS L/9 as favs. After playing lights out football against Cleveland last week and still managing to lose Im betting the Colts are vulnerable vs a side like the Saints that have proved to be resilient off a loss , (which they suffered last time out,) cashing 6 of their L/7 after a SU fav defeat. Allen is 3-12 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992 NFL Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 22-4 L/40 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home underdogs or pick (INDIANAPOLIS) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 5-24 L/40 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NO Saints to cover |
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10-29-23 | Patriots +9.5 v. Dolphins | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 42 m | Show | |
The Fins are expected to be without their entire left side of the offensive line in this weeks tilt vs the New England Pats. Last week the Dolphins suffered on offense scoring just one TD , because the starting center was out as well as the left tackle , and things could get hairy again this week vs a fairly staunch Pats D. After upsetting the Buffalo Bills last time out, the Pats now have some confidence and momentum and are viable underdogs here today. Belichick is 29-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. NEW ENGLAND is 25-10 ATS L/35 in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. Play on New England to cover |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona is surprising some of the pundits this season as they are still in Bowl contention with a 4-3 record. and will be very motivated to play hard here today. Meanwhile, Oregon State despite of a solid 6-1 record have had a few issues away from home , and were out gained in both away games this season and are just 2-5 ATS L/7 as PAC 12 road chalk . Beavers are also just 1-7-1 ATS L/9 as road favorites of fewer than seven points. Advantage Arizona . CFB Road favorites (OREGON ST) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-55 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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10-28-23 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 51 m | Show | |
Oklahoma state just completed a trifecta of underdog winners, but now they are in a vulnerable situation after those hard fought affairs , as they look ahead to a Bedlam battle rivalry tilt against Oklahoma next week. I know Cincinnati has not looked all that consistent this season, but the talent base is still there and they are more than capable of being competitive here today vs a side that is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog with Gundy as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST.( Cowboys beat W.Virginia by a 38-24 count last time out. Satterfield is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in all games he has coached . CINCINNATI L/11 against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a ppg diff of - 0.4 . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games, in October games are 92-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or less turnovers/game forced, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 57-27 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover |
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10-28-23 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | 125-113 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers last time out looked very much like they were headed for a second straight win to start the season leading Oklahoma City Thunder 100-90 with 2:37 to play on Friday night before falling apart late. Now in redemption mode Im betting on the Cavs to be ready to rebound in a big way. I know the Pacers are more rested and off impressive victory scoring 143 points , but my early season power ranking still suggest the Cavs are superior more motivated side playing with home court advantage. Also major letdown regression from that huge offensive production must be expected against a side that will be focused on playing a much stronger defensive game after the last debacle. CLEVELAND is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset loss as a favorite, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -4 v. Raptors | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Raptors are going to be tired tonight after losing a 104-103 battle vs Chicago last night giving the Philadelphia 76ers an advantage.Also as far as the medias big deal about Harden not accompanying his team , is actually a blessing in disguise as he is a distraction and creates alot of negative energy when he is court-side. Talented player but just causes to much drama. Coaches like Nurse are a down to business type of coach, and Im sure he wont miss his presence . Raptors are expected to be without OG Anunoby and if he plays will be less than 100%. PHILADELPHIA is 38-23 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 2-11 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-29 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.4. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | 102-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
I know Chicago played a grueling OT game last night, but are one of the better conditioned teams in the NBA. Yes, I know the Motown crew pulled off an upset , last time out against Charlotte and in their first game of the season played the Miami Heat very tough losing by just one point , but according to my early season power rankings do not matchup well against the Bulls. This is the home opener for the Pistons , and they will be motivated but Im betting that wont be enough. Chicago has won 15 consecutive meetings in this series vs Motown, including a sweep of the last four season series qnd nothing should change today even if the oftenr injured Zach Lavine does not play. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 10-42 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to win/cover |
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10-28-23 | Jets -147 v. Canadiens | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Winnipeg has momentum entering this tilt winning 3 straight while surrendering just five . I know the young Habs have played well , and look to be a cohesive bunch, but my power rankings are in alignment with those of the line-makers making my choice the Jets. Note:Hellebuyck, who's started all but one of Winnipeg's games this season, is 11-6-1 and possesses a career 2.96 GAA in 19 starts versus Montreal and will be key to my projection being correct. Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Jets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Atlantic.Canadiens are 16-40 in their last 56 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.Play on the Jets to win NHL Home underdogs against the money line (MONTREAL) - off an home win scoring 4 or more goals, on Saturday games are just 9-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. ( Montreal beat Columbus last time out 4-3 at Molson Center ) Play on the Winnipeg Jets |
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10-28-23 | Maple Leafs v. Predators +125 | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Toronto Maple Leafs are vying for their fourth straight win when they wrap up their five game road trip with a visit to the Nashville Predators on Saturday but Im betting they wont get it as their road weary legs are vulnerable here to a tired effort . TORONTO is 4-8 ATS after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the money line (TORONTO) - off a road win scoring 4 or more goals, a top-level team (70% or more ) playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season are 19-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nashville to win |
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10-28-23 | Air Force v. Colorado State OVER 48 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 12 m | Show | |
Previous to their win last time out vs Navy by a 17-6 score the Air Force Cadets had scored 39,45, 49, 34 points respectively and in their opener this season jacked 42 points on the board. This Flyboys side is explosive to say the least, and here today vs a Colorado State side allowing an average of 35.8 ppg and more than 40 points per game at home , Im projecting them to eclipse the 40 point plateau while Colorado State will fire back in desperation and do just enough damage to help us cash with an over wager vs this very vulnerable number. AIR FORCE is 16-5 OVER in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with he combined average of those games clicking in at 55.3 ppg. AIR FORCE is 33-18 OVER in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game with a combined average of 61.3 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (COLORADO ST) - off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog against opponent off a double digit road win are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 60.6 ppg. CFB Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (AIR FORCE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game are 113-64 OVER L/10 seasons with a combined average of 52 ppg going on the score board . Play on the over |
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10-28-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate this total to be closer to 7 which gives us an edge to the over on the 6.5 totals offering. Florida has consistently put the puck in the net scoring 4,4, 3,3,3 goals in their L/5 and Im betting on a +3 out put tonight as they will be ready to skate after a 3 day rest. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of low overall offensive goal production have shown flashes of the offense getting untracked as they have score 7 and 5 goals in 2 of their L/4 overall and I project a 3+ production in this tilt vs a side that will be prepared to open things up tonight on fresh legs. SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg going on the board.
NHL Road teams against the total (SEATTLE) - struggling offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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10-28-23 | Arkansas State +2.5 v. UL-Monroe | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 25 m | Show | |
I know Arkansas State is no longer a Sunbelt power house, but the way UL Monroe is playing Im not sure they should be favs in this tilt. The Warhawks have lost 5 straight games most of which were not pretty watch. On the flispide, Arkansas State is off two consecutive losses vs Coastal Carolina and Troy, but after facing those viable sides, playing this group will feel like a walk in the park. Its also important to note that Arkansas State is 13-0 SUATS L/13 vs ULM.LA MONROE is 3-12 ATS L/15 as a home favorite of 3 points or less and has failed to cover 13 of their L/14 overall as conference home chalk. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA MONROE) - slow starting team - outscored by 7+ PPG in the first half, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 40-84 L/31 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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10-28-23 | Tulane v. Rice +11 | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 80 h 48 m | Show | |
Tulane is a top 25 ranked team but Rice must not be under estimated in this ability to competitive here this Saturday afternoon at home where they average 39.3 ppg in offensive production. RICE is 14-1 ATS L/15 in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game ( Crushed Tulsa 42-10 last time out, outgaining them by 222 yards) RICE is 16-3 ATS )n home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival since 1992. RICE is 30-16 ATS L/46 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Bloomgren is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of RICE. CFB home team vs. the money line (RICE) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-3 L/10 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover |
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10-28-23 | USC v. California UNDER 67.5 | 50-49 | Loss | -109 | 80 h 40 m | Show | |
The Bears are averaging 195.6 yards per game rushing, third-most in the Pac-12 and 19th nationally and Im betting they try to grind away here in effort to slow this game down to keep the Trojans explosive attack of the field as much as possible - which in turn will eat up alot of clock time. CALIFORNIA is 14-3 UNDER in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att with a combined average of 51.4 ppg scored. Wilcox is 8-1 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 41.7 ppg scored. Wilcox in his L/53 games against conference opponents has seen a combined average of 49.2 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (USC) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 56.7 ppg scored. |
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10-27-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Kings | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The Warriors cruised to a 120-100 win at Sacramento in Game 7 of their first-round playoff series last season to eliminate the third-seeded Kings and end their surprisingly strong season.But Im betting the revenge card is over blown here and that the Warriors after a ugly game 1 performance of the current season will be ready to make sure of a better performance against a familiar foe that they matchup well against. The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games at home (-24.90 Units / -30% ROI) NBA Favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 20-9 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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10-27-23 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing disciplined transitional hockey early in this campaign and Im betting nothing changes tonight. the Blues have allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of their 6 games so far. Meanwhile, the Canucks have allowed more than 3 goals in only one game. Under is 5-1-1 in Blues last 7 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Blues last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Under is 4-1-2 in Canucks last 7 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2-1 in Canucks last 8 vs. Western Conference. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - off a road win by 2 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 44-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72/5 conversion rate for bettors. Under is 19-6-3 in the last 28 meetings in Vancouver. Play under |
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10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +4 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
After a lopsided season-opening loss to the Sacramento Kings, the Utah Jazz will be primed to bounce back against the Los Angeles Clippers this Friday night. Meanwhile, the Clippers because of a strong effort in their opener are now bring over rated in a place where they have not thrived of late (Salt Lake City). UTAH is 30-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 33-14 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 19-6 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Utah is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 vs the Clippers at home . Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
After a deflating season-opening loss that quickly prompted a players-only meeting, the Chicago Bulls will aim to regroup on Friday against the visiting Toronto Raptors. Like Ive said many times before pros dont like to be embarrassed. Remember these individuals have huge egos and have been stars at every level they have ever played at , and now with their egos bruised will be ready to come out with a take no prisoners type of performance. Thats what Im betting the Bulls do tonight and the unfortunate recipients of their redemption tour will be the Raptors. TORONTO is 3-15 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 10-24 ATS after allowing 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 35-19 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 33-14 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Chicago to cover |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
In a series like this Im betting pitching trumps offense , and entering this game the Dbacks pitching has been out standing during the post season as was the case against the explosive offense of the Phillies . Here against another top tier offense, Im betting the Dbacks once again have the edge. Aslo considering the struggles of the Rangers at home in the play offs it will not be a hard decision to take the underdog on a value moneyline offering in this spot play. ARIZONA is 9-3 against the money line in playoff games this season ARIZONA is 31-11 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. TEXAS is 7-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. TEXAS is 9-24 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are just 20-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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10-27-23 | Knicks v. Hawks -1.5 | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams are off narrow defeats in their opening games of the current campaign, but I like the odds of the home side Hawks bouncing back. After playing the Celtics in their opener in a game that looked to be hard fought and grueling Im betting the Knicks are in a vulnerable spot here in Atlanta .NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
I also know the Grizzlies will be without the suspended Ja Morant but the the Grizzlies still retained several key contributors from last year's playoff squad, including Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, Brandon Clarke and Xavier Tillman Sr. and now have Marcus Smart in Morant's position and should form themselves into a cohesive unit as this season progresses. MEMPHIS is also 15-3 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons..MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home vs the Denver Nuggets. Play on Memphis to cover |
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10-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets UNDER 227 | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Pistons will score between 103 and 108 points. Note: CHARLOTTE is 13-0 UNDER when they allow 103 to 108 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored. Im also projecting that Charlotte will score between 109 and 114 points. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.6 ppg scored. Advantage to the under based on my projections NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - off a home win, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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10-27-23 | Sabres +167 v. Devils | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Devils can score goals in bunches but their defense has been atrocious at times as was the case last time out, in a 6-4 loss to the Capitals. Here against a fairly disciplined Buffalo side, they could easily have some problems. ,Sabres are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Also must be noted that Devils are playing their 3rd of their L/4 games . While the Sabres are well rested . Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. Metropolitan. Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Road team is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. NFL Road teams against the money line (BUFFALO) - off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival, playing with 2 days rest are 54-27 last few seasons 5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to win |
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10-26-23 | Georgia State +1.5 v. Georgia Southern | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Georgia Southern Eagles host the Georgia State Panthers as in-state Sun Belt action this Thursday night. Georgia State enters this game with a 6-1 record , including 3-1 in Sun Belt play, and enter this tilt on a two-game win streak. Note:GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons and are-9-1 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Georgia Southern at 5-2 is fine team playing at home but Georgia State according to my power rankings is one of the most under rated teams in the nation and deserve respect .Georgia State has emerged victorious in the last three meetings between these teams and Im once again history repeats itself in this spot play. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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10-26-23 | Jets -104 v. Red Wings | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Red Wings have been playing good hockey of late, but in the recent past this has not always been a good omen for their chances as they are 1-9 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Motown lost their last game here at home, and with that in mind it must be noted that they are just 4-18 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is also 2-15 ATS off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 5-4 defeat the hands of the Seattle Kraken. With two consecutive wins vs Edmonton and St.Louis the Jets enter this tilt with momentum and deserve my backing on a short moneyline offering. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to win |
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10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +1.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cavs finished the preseason at just 1-3 and are little banged up with Allen and Garland not 100% with nagging injuries. The Cavs were sub .500 team on the road last season, and dont deserve respect as road favs against a fairly talented Nets team playing in front of their home town fans on opening night. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses against opponent first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 8-28 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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10-25-23 | Hawks -3.5 v. Hornets | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlanta is fairly healthy rolling into the season with the only injured player being Wesley Matthews who will be out with a mild right calf strain. Meanwhile, The Charlotte Hornets released their injury report Tuesday evening and shows guards Cody Martin (left knee soreness), James Bouknight (left knee), and Frank Ntilikina (tibia fracture) have been ruled out for Wednesday's regular season home opener against the Atlanta Hawks. Bryce McGowens (left ankle) is listed as doubtful. Advantage Hawks. The Hornets finished last in the Southeast Division and posted the fourth-worst record (27-55) in the NBA last season and Im betting the upgrades will not help them all that much. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - lower tier performing team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate with the ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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10-25-23 | Rockets +4 v. Magic | 86-116 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Im betting Houston is being under rated here -but with guard Jalen Green, forward Jabari Smith Jr. and center Alperen Sengun in the mix must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and even pull of the upset. I know the consensus is that the Magic have rebuilt a fine young roster, but their inconsistency remains a concern. Note: Orlando won just 44.4% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (8-10). NBA home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 6-20 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. The road team has won the last 2 most recent meetings in this series. Houston Rockets to cover |
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10-25-23 | Jacksonville State -7.5 v. Florida International | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State according to my own projections should be closer to 10 point road chalk here, so getting them at this number makes for a viable wagering opportunity. Jacksonville State's powerful run game and defensive stopping units have a huge edge over a FIU team that is struggling to score behind a freshman QB. It must be noted that the Gamecocks rank 50 th in the nation in defensive HAVOC , so FIUs pedestrian offensive line and freshman QB should have their hands full tonight. Despite of being an efficient defensive group the Panthers just do not matchup well vs Jacksonville States grinding productive ground attack. Remember this is a FIU squad that is 1-4 in conference play with their only victory coming in OT vs winless Sam Houston State. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 0-7 ATS L/7 as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points . Play on Jacksonville State to cover |
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10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 22 m | Show | |
I cannot see alot of defense being played by the Suns this season with Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal running and gunning with all out wreck-less abandon. Im betting your going to need to score at a high rate to compete with the Suns, and tonight thats what Im betting the capable Golden state offense will be up to doing. My own projections estimate both these sides will score 214 or more points . Note:PHOENIX is 23-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 246.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 31-4 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 248.9 ppg scored. Golden State had an average implied point total of 120.1 last season, which is 3.1 points higher than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (117).Last season, Golden State scored more than 117 points in a game 50 times.The 116.1-point average implied total last season for Phoenix is 1.1 more points than the team’s 115-point implied total in this matchup. PHOENIX is 16-5 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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10-24-23 | Avalanche -131 v. Islanders | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
The Islanders are a older team with alot of experience, but as a group are not cohesive, especially on the power play. the Isles play a clunky style of D, that depends greatly on top tier goal tending from Sorokin one of the leagues premier goalies. Meanwhile, the Avalanche are a speedy cohesive group with explosive offensive players unlike the Isles, and are the superior side here in this matchup and deserve respect as road favs.NY ISLANDERS are 13-35 ATS against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 24-7 ATS in road games off a win or tie in their previous game over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in a 6-4 win vs Colorado. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (COLORADO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, playing with 2 days rest are 26-6 L/5 seasons for. a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky OVER 61.5 | 42-29 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Liberty can destroy opposing Ds with their offense both through the air and on the ground via some very exotic play making as the offense has averaged 36.3 per game overall and 41.3 ppg in road tilts . Meanwhile, W.Kentucky has the ability to answer back with a offense that averages 41.3 ppg on offense at home this season. On the flipside, the Hilltopers D, gives up a ton of yards on the ground and their secondary and according to my own projections and does not matchup well vs Liberty's well oiled aerial or ground assault. Meanwhile Liberty against Buffalo and Middle Tenn State allowed 27 and 35 points on the respectively this season, and have shown themselves to be vulnerable vs decent offensive groups (The Hilltoppers have far more fire power than either Buffalo or Middle Tenn State .With that said, Im betting Western Kentucky will do some offensive damage here today in a all out performance that will have huge implications on them getting a bowl invite as their record now stands at 4-3. Problem remains with the Hilltoppers D, and Liberty is a machine that wont be stopped by a pedestrian group. I know D, seems to standout in big games, but the offensive talent and the lack of defensive talent on display here will trump that trend. My projections estimate both sides will score 28+ points. Note: LIBERTY is 16-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points with the combined average of 82.8 ppg scored. Liberty projected to score 35 W.Kentucky to score 30 |
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10-24-23 | Hurricanes -114 v. Lightning | 0-3 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Carolina after some crazy back forth games, are looking to get back to their usual defensive standards that feature a, hard forecheck and strong transitional play. The team has gotten away from this style for some reason because of their belief in their offense, but now that a reality check is in place Im expecting a smoother trip going forward starting tonight in Tampa Bay vs the Bolts. Lightning are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Hurricanes are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) vs a poor team ( 0.4 or less goal/game diff.) are 37-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina to win |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 133 h 39 m | Show | |
After being upset last time out by Cleveland in a very physical game the 49ers are banged up with key offensive components , RB Christian McCaffrey at less than 100% with an oblique injury and WR Deebo Samuels also questionable.With that said, the offense maybe more muted than usual . The good news for SF is they own the leagues best D, allowing just 14.5 ppg and Im sure they will give the inconsistent Vikings offense all they can handle. Advantage to the under. Monday Night NFL Primetime tilts have seen 7 of 8 games stay under the Total this season with a combined average of 35.9 ppg scored. Monday Night games that have the road side as chalk have gone under 17 of the L/18 times the L/3 seasons. Minnesota has only eclipsed the total one time in 6 games this season. Vikings have gone under in their L/4 MNF games. SF has gone under in 5 of their L/6 back to back road games. Five of the L/seven meetings in this series have stayed on the offered total. NFL team against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss as a favorite, when playing on Monday night are 22-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 39.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Houstons starter Javier (2-0, 1.69 ERA this postseason). The righty allowed two runs on three hits and one walk with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in the Astros' 8-5 victory in Game 3. Javier had not allowed a run in his three previous postseason starts and improved to 4-0 with a 0.82 ERA as a starter in the postseason. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Rangers starter who had been sidelined with a muscle strain in his shoulder did not look good upon his return and is fade material here as I believe he is not 100%. Im betting the Rangers undefeated record on the road in the play offs comes to end tonight. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams such as the Texas Rangers trailing 3-games-2 but winning Game 6 on the road by 7+ runs had a Game 7 record of 2-4; the two victories were by the St. Louis Cardinals over the New York Yankees in the 1926 World Series, and by the Detroit Tigers over the St. Louis Cardinals in the 1968 World Series. MLBRoad teams (TEXAS) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), struggling hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 19-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 62 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is off a loss last week vs the NYJets but actually out-gained the Jets by more than 100 yards. Im now betting on a huge bounce back performance by the Eagles against media darlings the Miami Dolphins at home in prime time this Sunday night. I know the Fins offense has been downright explosive, and have looked better than the Eagles attack, but the Eagles D is superior to that of the Dolphins by 56 plus yards a game. Since this tilt features two strong squads , Im betting as is usually the case in big games for the more physical D of the Eagles to be the difference maker. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in non-conference games are 7-40 L/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Astros starter VALDEZ is 10-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Astros left-hander Framber Valdez (0-2, 11.57 ERA this postseason) and here against a desperate group of Rangers who can light things up when under pressure Im betting he continues his futility. Meanwhile, The Rangers will respond with right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (3-0, 2.29), who limited the Astros to three runs on five hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings in Game 2. He did pitch well against them in that tilt, but this is a resilient Astros offense that adjusts well and must not be discounted in their abilities to put runs on the board in a tilt that Im betting will be a higher scoring event that eclipses this total. TEXAS is 11-1 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. BAKER is 23-9 OVER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season as the manager of HOUSTON with a combined 12.2 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 38-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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10-22-23 | Flames v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Calgary has started their season on a 5 game road trip and enter this tilt playing their 3rd game in 4 nights . Here in the exhausting finale to their current trek Im betting they will have the legs needed to play wide open back and forth hockey and will instead revert to a more defensive mind set which is not uncommon for this team . Meanwhile, the Red Wings are in a back to back situation so they will also be on tired legs and not prepared to play speedy hockey here tonight and this combination will see a slower more type of game plan implemented by these sides which will result in a lower scoring affair that does not eclipse this total. Backup goaltender James Reimer, who recorded a shutout Monday vs the Columbus Blue jackets in his Red Wings' debut, is expected to start on Sunday. Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 14-4-1 in Flames last 19 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. CALGARY is 12-2 UNDER ( when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons Calgarys L/8 after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Under is 5-2-1 in Red Wings last 8 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings. NHL Road teams against the total (CALGARY) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 101-58 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-22-23 | Packers -1 v. Broncos | 17-19 | Loss | -109 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
The Broncos enter this game as one of two teams this season without a victory against the spread as is evident by a 0-5-1 record ATS thanks in part to a 31st ranked 33.3 points per game D. I know the Broncos held the KC Chiefs to just 14 points last week , but that was in a windy atmosphere that hampered both offenses. Yes, this young Packers team, has had problems scoring of late, but that should change here this week according to my projections. Denver is 0-3 SU/ATS at home this season. DENVER is 1-10 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 5-15 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. LaFleur is 11-2 ATS off a road loss as the coach of GREEN BAY. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GREEN BAY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 4-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Green Bay to cover |
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10-22-23 | Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
QB Geno Smith’s just does not have consistent flow and chemistry with the offensive part of his teams attack. and as result his TD production is way down .In last weeks loss to the Bengals Geno Smith threw for 326 yards but the Seahawks failed to score on four of their trips to the red zone. I know the Seahawks have won 3 of their L/4, but I just dont like the way HC Carrols team plays- there is a lack of what I would call the warrior mentality . On the flip side The Cardinals have led at halftime in 4 of their 6 games before falling apart, so they must not be under estimated in their ability to be competitive for a full 4 quarters at some point this season. I also believe from watching some practice reports they they have made some adjustment and have decent replacements for some of their missing offensive cogs. Take the points with the Cardinals |
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10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants +2 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
I know the Giants have struggled offensively this season ,but it must be noted that their opponents the Commanders have a underperforming defense that has struggled along the defensive line as is evident by ranking 25th in pass rush win rate and 16th in pass rush per PFF. Meanwhile on the flipside, the Giants D is improving as was evident in a recent game against the SF 49ers and should pose problems for Washingtons offensive flow. NFL Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (295 to 335 YPG) against a team with a sub par defense (335 to 370 YPG), after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 1-27 L/10 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (WASHINGTON) - with a struggling defense - allowing 6.0 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 5-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts +2.5 | 39-38 | Win | 100 | 77 h 28 m | Show | |
The Browns are off a huge win last week vs the 49ers as underdogs, but are now going to be in an emotional as well as physical letdown scenario after their grueling battle in the trenches. This makes the Browns vulnerable for a down performance in Indianapolis this Sunday making getting points a viable investment option. The Colts lost last time out by DDs to Jacksonville but have proved resilient in the past covering 12 of 14 after a DD SU/ATS defeat. INDIANAPOLIS is 32-17 ATS L/49 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game. CLEVELAND is 0-5 ATS L/5 coming off a win. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasonsCLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Stefanski is 15-27 ATS against conference opponents as the coach of CLEVELAND. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 33-4 L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover |
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10-21-23 | Arizona State +27 v. Washington | 7-15 | Win | 100 | 77 h 32 m | Show | |
One of if not the biggest wins in the history of the Washington Huskies football program took place last week vs /Oregon and will undoubtedly see this group in a huge letdown scenario vs Arizona State this week making them vulnerable. Washington has failed to cover 7 of their L/9 after playing Oregon , and ASU is 15-1 ATS L/16 in this series. Arizona State has also on failed to cover one time in their L/7 as conference of more than 17 points. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 21.5 to 31 points (ARIZONA ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses, in October games are 46-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on ASU to cover |
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10-21-23 | Rangers -125 v. Seattle Kraken | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 0 m | Show | |
Rangers are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. Pacific AND are 15-4 in their last 19 vs. Western Conference and according to my current power rankings have the edge here tonight in Seattle vs the Kraken. Kraken are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. New York had a 26-11-8 record in road games last season. SEATTLE is 2-8 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. (Seattle took out the Carolina Canes 7-4 last time out) NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (SEATTLE) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. NY RANGERS is 3-1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons. Play on NY Rangers to win |
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10-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Colorado has played lights out defensive hockey to start the season allowing 2,1,1, 0 goals in their first 4 tilts and will be ready to play another tight knit game vs an explosive Carolina side that currently leads the NHL in goal production .Meanwhile, Carolina has played alot more wide open hockey, thanks in part in their belief they have the talent to really put alot of pucks in the net However, . after losing 7-4 in their L/game vs the Kraken, you can bet there will be a more concerted effort towards being more defensive minded in nature will be key here tonight. Im expecting and projecting a grinding lower scoring affair. COLORADO is 11-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. COLORADO is 25-12 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 109-53 UNDER L29 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 47-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA regular season; 2-1, 4.96 postseason) will go against the Phillies' Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 regular season; 2-0, 2.37) . The Dbacks have momentum entering game 5 of this series as they won yesterday 6-5 to tie this series. The energy surrounding the Dbacks right now is very positive and Im willing to ride that wave here on a value line. In the postseason, Gallen defeated the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers before losing at Philadelphia. He is 3-1 with a 2.22 in five career regular-season starts against the Phillies. Dbacks starter GALLEN is 11-1 against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 19-11 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Wheeler. WHEELER is 8-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 15-3 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Diamondbacks to win |
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10-21-23 | Duke v. Florida State OVER 49.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 37 h 26 m | Show | |
Florida State enters this tilt having eclipsed the 30 point plateau in offensive production in 12 straight games, and is currently averaging 42.2 ppg overall in offense including 48.7 ppg in 3 road games. On the flip-side Duke, is averaging 31.2 ppg on offense and scored 41 points in their lone road game and are capable of decent offensive output even against viable Ds. I know both these teams have also displayed strong defenses, but as is evident by the line that favors FSU by 14 or more points, the linesmakers are expecting the Seminoles to do some scoring and run away with this game, and in that evident you can bet that Duke will open up their attack and speed their snap count up which will result in an even more wide open type of affair than many might expect. DUKE vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 54.5 ppg scored. FLORIDA ST vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 52.4 ppg scored.FLORIDA ST in their L/116 games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game have seen a combined average of 53.1 ppg scored. CFBl teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (DUKE) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game are 67-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |