Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-21 | Rutgers +9.5 v. Seton Hall | 63-77 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 2 seasons.RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more points ( Beat Purdue 70-68) Pikiell is 20-7 ATS ( versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS. SETON HALL is 15-36 ATS L/51 in home games after a win by 6 points or less. (Beat Texas 64-60) Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-12-21 | Oregon +1 v. Stanford | 69-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-12-21 | California Baptist v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 135 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | 33-25 | Loss | -103 | 29 h 57 m | Show | |
CFL Playoffs - 108TH GREY CUP Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and are being over rated here in a game I have pegged as a pickem. Blue Bombers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Meanwhile, the Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff home games. HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 340 or less yards/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 8-0 ATS after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. O'Shea is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 300 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFB team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 5-21 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on Hamilton to cover |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
This tilt behind top tier sides Buffalo and Tampa Bay has the makings of game that will decided late and by one score, most probably a FG according to the linesmakers, making getting the hook with the points a strong opportunity for bankroll expansion. Tom Brady is the marquee name in this tilt, and lives with a cloak of invincibility around him, but he's not made of titanium, and eventually father time will get the best of him. Actually Ive noticed his legs have let him down on more than one occasion the last few seasons, and today vs a fast and explosive Buffalo D, his lack of mobility wont allow him the time he usually gets . What Im saying is that if TB wins it wont come easily. Advantage on the line goes to the Bills. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Buccaneers have been favored by 3.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 5-5 ATS in those contests. Buccaneers are 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 14. Buffalo is 5-2 overall, and 5-2 against the spread, on the road.The Bills are 4-2 ATS as 3.5-point underdogs or more on the road. NFL Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 48-19 ATS L/39 seasons for a 72%. conversion rate for bettors. Note: Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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12-12-21 | 49ers -1 v. Bengals | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
Both Cincinnati and San Francisco are both off losses. I thought the 49ers should have won their game vs Seattle , and deserve respect here on the road as essentially a pickem vs a Cincinnati team that is off a less than cohesive loss, and downtrending in my power rankings, especially with QB Joe Burrows hand injury( pinky finger). Todays difference maker will come via both sides offenses where the Bengals rank 24th in their passing game and just 20th with their ground attack. While the 49ers are fourth via the pass and ranked sixth with their run game. SAN FRANCISCO is 21-7 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Francisco to cover |
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12-12-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -3.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 7 or more consecutive wins are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-12-21 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | 29-21 | Win | 100 | 44 h 17 m | Show | |
QB Cam Newton of the Panthers looked horrendous last time out going 5-for-21 for 92 yards in a 33-10 loss to the Dolphins and the coaching staff said they wont make any changes this week. This reminds me of statement by Albert Einstein, that went something like this " doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is a form of insanity. Yes, maybe Im exaggerating a bit, but thats how I feel about that decision, and feel strongly that the Falcons prove me right this week, at least from a cover standpoint. Note: The Last 14 times that Newton has been the favorite the Panthers have only covered 3 times. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors, but have been money in the bank from a historical perspective in this series going 9-2 SU/ATS . Note: Yes, the Panthers are well rested and off a bye but the Falcons have cashed 4 of their L/5 against these types of teams. CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (CAROLINA) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) are 17-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +9.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -120 | 44 h 5 m | Show | |
This is just to many points even though the Texans don't look like a viable side to back , especially if you watched their last game where they were shutout . But pros do not like to be embarrassed and Im betting on a semblance of a bounce back here from the Texans at home. You have to remember Seattle has not looked good recently despite of finding the win column last time out and have been out-yarded in each of its last 11 trips to the gridiron this season. Bottom line no matter which way I slice it and handicap this game, this is just to many points to pass up on with the pup as the favorite is just being plain over rated. Note: HC Carrol is 1-5 ATS L/6 as a 3 or more road fav and has covered just 5 of this L/16 coming off a SU underdog win. HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS L/17 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games off a home loss. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - a horrible offensive team (14 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 54-22 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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12-11-21 | Utah Valley +7.5 v. Wyoming | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wyoming 8-1 on the season, and own the advantage in the high altitudes, of Laramie , but their opponents today Utah Valley already showed their ability to work in the thin air as they covered vs Southern Utah last time out in Cedar City and have proven themselves well conditioned enough to compete and thrive way above sea level. You have to also remember this Utah Valley side beat BYU recently and deserve respect here as underdogs behind a strong defense and top tier rebounding. , and timely shooting on offense behind star Canuck import Fardaws Aimaq who averages 20.4 ppg.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 12-4 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Utah Valley to cover |
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12-11-21 | Santa Clara +2 v. California | 60-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | Warriors v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Philadelphia usually plays their best hoops at home, and tonight is an opportunity to up their game, and take down Western Conference power house Golden State. By pushing on their visiting opponents Im betting on a more aggressive game out of transition by both sides that will then see the combined score pushing upward past this offered totals number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. - NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-11-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1 | 127-112 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
When these teams played a couple days ago here the Spurs came out on top and showed they matchup well vs the Nuggets. Rinse and repeat. DENVER is 6-18 ATS L/24 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 36-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Spurs to cover |
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12-11-21 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -7.5 | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Houston ranks 27th in SRS: -7.09 and 22nd in ppg offense and 26th in ppg defense. Meanwhile, Memphis is ranked 9th in ppg offense and own a ranking of 12th in SRS at 0.63. Add in the edges for home court advantage and I will not be surprised by a DD victory for the home side. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. HOUSTON is 13-24 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-2 L/25 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg which qualifies from a ATS perspective. NBA team (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 72-38 ATS L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Memphis to cover |
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12-11-21 | Boston College v. St. Louis -7 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Clippers | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Magic have some offensive momentum coming into this tilt against the LA Clippers, scoring 130 points last time out which is a good omen for those of us who feel taking points here is a good opportunity for profit taking. Note: The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know the Magic will not inspire bettors and the Clippers are the superior side, but here in a very early afternoon game in LA the visitors Im betting have the edge, vs a side that could easily over looking them. Note: Lue is 7-19 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached since 1999. LA CLIPPERS are 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Play on Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7 v. Army | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
We are expected to have cloudy skies a few showers and some overall less than favorable weather with temps around 50 degrees F. We know these teams use the triple option as their go to means for the moving the ball and nothing will change today. With that said, Im expecting a ground war, here between these military schools, with the points looking to be golden in what Im betting will be very close affair. I know Navy's record is not a feature that makes bettors feel comfortable , but remember the Middies made play off side Cincinnati work hard for a 27-20 win last month and must not be disrespected in what this team will be treating as their biggest game of the season. |
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12-11-21 | Western Michigan +10.5 v. Detroit | 64-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 135.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-21 | UL - Lafayette v. Louisiana Tech OVER 148.5 | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-10-21 | Flyers v. Golden Knights -210 | 4-3 | Loss | -210 | 38 h 32 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has lost 10 straight games and 6 straight road games, and are once again fade material vs a uptrending Vegas side that has won 3 straight and 6 of their L/9 overall . PHILADELPHIA is 2-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. Flyers are 9-26 in their last 35 vs. a team with a winning record.Flyers are 3-13 in their last 16 overall.Flyers are 3-13 in their last 16 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.Flyers are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.Flyers are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Flyers are 0-7 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Flyers are 0-5 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Flyers are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Golden Knights are 46-17 in their last 63 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Golden Knights are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. VEGAS is 33-7 ATS against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (VEGAS) - after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal are 32-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.5. Play on Golden Knights to win |
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12-10-21 | Red Wings v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The Wolves have lost 4 straight, but are still uptrending in my power rankings charts and deserve respect here when Karl-Anthony Towns is in the lineup , which he is expected to be tonight. The Timberwolves' big man is averaging a team-high 24.2 points and 9.3 rebounds this season, and will be a handful for Cleveland D to defend against. Advantage Wolves. Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. CLEVELAND is 9-28 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons and is 12-33 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 8-32 L/25 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 146-91 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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12-10-21 | DePaul v. Louisville UNDER 147 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-10-21 | Green Bay +8 v. UMKC | 55-64 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-10-21 | Knicks v. Raptors -1.5 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Knicks are not living up to their hefty expectations to this point in the season, and have not won back to back games since Oct. The Knicks have lost 4 of their L/5 and are once again looking vulnerable vs a Toronto team that may not be of championship calibre anymore, but are a team to watch with a group of young players that have shown flashes of brilliance and cohesiveness this season. Note:Knicks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 35-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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12-09-21 | Bruins v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1.5 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Denver won last time out, but have not won back to back games since Nov 14 and are fade material here vs a Spurs team that has lost two straight prior to a 4 game win streak. Denver took a 102 -96 win at home back in October, and in their current form I expect a Popovich lead group to that is 30-15 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons to collect the money in this spot play. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Malone is 48-66 ATS against Southwest division opponents as the coach of DENVER. Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 56-26 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is off a huge win last time vs Baltimore to keep their play off hopes alive but now they will be caught in an emotional letdown spot vs a Minnesota Viking side that is desperate for a win after back to back losses including one to formerly winless Detroit last time out. Note: Vikings Zimmer is 25-7-1 ATS in non-division tilts in his career when coming off a defeat, including 11-1 ATS against AFC opposition. Zimmer is 13-3 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFL team (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset win as a home underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 4-24 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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12-09-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +3 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last night as their five-game winning streak ended vs Dallas in an emotionless effort. After exerting very little effort last night Im betting they will have plenty of energy left in the tank for the second half of a back-to-back against the visiting Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Advantage Grizzlies. MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS as a favorite this season. LA LAKERS are 2-12 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 35-7 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-16 ATS L/15 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-09-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 222.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Lakers enter this road game against Memphis with the 4th best ppg offense the 28th ranked ppg defense behind the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA. Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 8th in ppg offense and 24th in ppg defense behind the 13th fast pace in the league. Tonight Im betting on an all out offensive slugfest behind two sides who attack and rarely play defensively well in transition which will result in a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are expecting. Note: Im expecting a fast pace and alot of shots here tonight by both sides: MEMPHIS is 32-19 OVER in up-tempo games where they attempt 93 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, first half of the season are 55-21 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Detroit v. Kent State UNDER 139.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
12-09-21 | Texas v. Seton Hall | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall is expected to have Aiken in the lineup tonight, even though he's listed as questionable. That makes Seton Hall win a viable betting option tonight. Even if the Pirates guard does not play they are still deep enough according to my projections to come out of this with a victory. TEXAS is 1-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 0-7 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.SETON HALL is 15-3 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Beard is 1-10 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls in all games he has coached. Seton Hall to cover |
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12-08-21 | Wyoming +16 v. Arizona | 65-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-08-21 | Utah Valley +5.5 v. Southern Utah | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-08-21 | Jazz v. Wolves +7.5 | 136-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Jazz are being over rated by the lines-makers on as visitors and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. This Im betting is the case here again in Minnesota tonight vs a Wolves side, that are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 8-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite are 19-7 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are just 19-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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12-08-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
.The Nuggets have lost eight of their past 10 games and are obviously in a major funk, with their conditioning looking like it could be an issue as 3rd quarter meltdowns have become the norm of late. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have shown some upward momentum lately, having won four of their last seven games over the past two weeks and deserve enough respect here at home for me to take the points. Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.Nuggets are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-08-21 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -3.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have won and covered 5 straight games even without key cog Morant in the lineup and once again have a big edge vs the visiting Dallas Mavericks who are on tired legs after playing 4 games in 6 night and losing last night for their 3rd straight loss. Advantage Memphis. DALLAS is 2-11 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - poor rebounding team - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, after 3 straight games being out-rebounded by opponent by 10 or more are 4-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.3 ppg. NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 21-6 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4 ppg. Play on Grizzlies to cover |
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12-08-21 | Eastern Washington +15 v. Colorado | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-08-21 | Evansville -120 v. SE Missouri State | 73-75 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-08-21 | 76ers v. Hornets +6.5 | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Philadelphia won the first meeting in this back to back series 127-124 and Im betting on a close game again, but Im expecting the Hornets explosive offense to be the difference maker with some key shots late that gets us the cover and even possible su win. Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. CHARLOTTE is 30-15 ATS versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 5-16 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, first half of the season are 47-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 3 straight games are 10-32 SU L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-08-21 | Avalanche -160 v. Rangers | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
New York is on a seven-game winning streak and an eight-game home winning streak , but Im betting that party ends tonight against a Colorado side that will be primed to play knowing how hot their opponents are. Im betting on the more experienced and talented visitor to grab the cheese.Rangers are 13-28 in their last 41 games as an underdog.Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Play on Avalanche to win |
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12-08-21 | Quinnipiac +3.5 v. Dartmouth | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers -2.5 | 102-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
BOSTON is 41-66 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better . Celtics are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. |
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12-07-21 | Celtics v. Lakers OVER 219.5 | 102-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Lakers offense is very cohesive at the moment as they rank 4th in ppg offense and they have been pressing with the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA, but on the flip-side are ranked 28th in D ppg allowed. Im betting the Lakers continue to run and gun and for the Celtics to have to reciprocate or be blown off the court. This Im betting results in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. BOSTON is 25-14 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228 ppg scored in those 39 games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 41-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 67-31 OVER L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-07-21 | North Dakota State v. Montana State -2.5 | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-07-21 | Butler +11 v. Oklahoma | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-07-21 | Oakland -2 v. Bowling Green | 72-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-06-21 | Magic v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 95-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors after defeating and ending the Suns huge winning streak, came out the next time out, and looked asleep at the wheel especially on defense as they suffered a upset loss to the Spurs. Tonight Im betting on a bounce back effort behind the leagues No.1 ppg allowed defense and defensive rating. Meanwhile, their opponents the visiting Magic own the leagues 25th ranked offense, and Im betting they continue struggle enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the this offered total. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 games as a home favorite. GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 14-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 209.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 41-15 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 206.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-06-21 | Clippers v. Blazers +3 | 102-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
After starting their season with 10 home wins in 11 outings as hosts the Blazers have now lost two straight at home, but with CJ McCollum expected back in the lineup tonight Im betting on a motivated effort here against a Clippers side that has failed to cover 8 of their L/10 overall and 5 of 8 road games this season. Add to that Portland has revenge on board for a 111-92 loss back in late October. and we will back a motivated side Note:NBA team (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. LA CLIPPERS are 14-25 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 48-10 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-06-21 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 218 | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
The Suns had an extensive winning streak end last time out vs Golden State, and did not eclipse the century mark in points for just the 2nd time in their L/20 games. Im now expecting a bounce back behind the 4th fastest pace in the league and a offense that ranks 5th in the NBA Meanwhile, San Antonio has been in a rhythm lately on offense scoring 116, 114, 112 points in their L/3 trips to the hardwood, and will once again have to be aggressive offensively or be blown of the court. Im betting the Suns come out here and explode offensively even without Booker in the lineup and for the Spurs to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in speedy fashion behind the 5th fastest pace in a tilt that I have pegged to eclipse this total. Over is 7-2-1 in Spurs last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as a favorite.Over is 6-2 in Suns last 8 home games.Over is 19-7 in Suns last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a ATS loss Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 224.9 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, with a losing record are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 232.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-06-21 | New Mexico State v. New Mexico OVER 150 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-06-21 | Cavs v. Bucks OVER 215 | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Bucks rank 8th in pace and 8th in offensive output in the NBA, while, Cleveland runs at a slower pace and ranks 2nd in ppg allowed. However, from a head to head perspective Im expecting the Bucks to dictate the pace and to force the slower but capable Cavs offense to have to speed their game up and produce above their averages offensively. My projections are estimating a score in the high 218-220 range giving us more than full possession value on this totals offering according to my thesis which is based on various head to head matchup probabilities. Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 220.5 ppg scored. Budenholzer in his L/44 i n home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average score of 216.4 ppg scored.Budenholzer in his L/86) versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game or less as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average of 220.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games as a favorite. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 41-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Milwaukee. Play OVER |
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12-06-21 | Thunder +4.5 v. Pistons | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
These teams both come in here on 8 game losing streak and Im betting both know this is one of their few winnable games on their schedule and will be primed to compete. The Thunder are well rested and have the edge according to my projections taking points. OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS ( in road games after scoring 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Memphis in a ugly 152-79 loss. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Thunder to cover |
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12-06-21 | Ducks v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -118 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
The Ducks offense is up more than a goal per game from last year (3.32 to 2.21), but Im betting on series regression soon, and have improved on D by almost a third of a goal per game off their scoring defense. Meanwhile, the Capitals: D is allowing just 2.4 goals per game with a .919 save percentage and knowing their opponents are up-trending will pay special attention to D. Im betting on grinding hard hitting defensive type game. played mostly in transition. Under is 6-0 in Ducks last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 6-2 in Capitals last 8 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - off a home loss against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season are 92-48 L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - off a home win by 2 goals or more, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 538-368 L/25 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-06-21 | Towson v. Kent State -6 | 73-58 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-05-21 | Flames v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: CALGARY - JACOB MARKSTROM, VEGAS - ROBIN LEHNER The Flames don't seem to like the flashy lights of the Vegas strip a place where they have been shut out on three of their L/6 trips here , scoring a grand total of six goals while allowing 27 goals. Im betting on a similar out put here for both sides in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game. CALGARY is 7-1 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. VEGAS is 31-11 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game for a combined average of 4.7 gpg. VEGAS is 13-3 UNDER in home games after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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12-05-21 | Flames v. Golden Knights -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Flames have never won at T-Mobile Arena, recording a 0-6 SU record in Vegas. They’ve been shut out on three of those occasions, scored a grand total of six goals and surrendered 27. Rinse and repeat situation here .
Play on Las Vegas |
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12-05-21 | Pelicans -1 v. Rockets | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
The Pelicans, 4-2 over their last six games, go against a Houston side that has won 5 straight. It must be noted that 3 of the Houston wins came again Orlando and two vs Oklahoma State teams that have shown a great deal of futility. Both teams are in good overall form for a win loss perspective, but Im betting that my power rankings adjustments , that pin point New Orleans as the superior side will get my money. From a SRS perspective New Orleans ranks 26th in the NBA at -5.39 while Houston ranks 28th with a -8.62 . Even with home court edges considered the visiting Pelicans are the superior side with a 55% expectation ratio. HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons HOUSTON is 10-32 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 9-26 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Pelicans to cover |
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12-05-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -1.5 | 90-102 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
The Wizards are coming off a 116-101 home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday and have shown themselves to be highly inconsistent of late . Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Meanwhile, the Raptors finally posted a home win with a victory vs Milwaukee last time out. The Raptors have alot of young players but have shown flashes of brilliance and Im betting they have the needed edge to bring the cash in this spot play. TORONTO is 21-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out . TORONTO is 14-4 ATS after a combined score of 195 points or less over the last 3 seasons NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 25-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 13-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on Toronto to cover |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders UNDER 49.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 79 h 36 m | Show | |
Washingtons D is something special in its current form, despite of mostly sub standard numbers overall. This group is as tough as nails and allowing 17, 19, 21 and 15 points respectively in their L/4 tilts and will not easily be pushed around at the line of scrimmage again this week. On the road the Football team are averaging just a little over 20 ppg in offense Meanwhile, Las Vegas has mostly struggled on both sides of the ball, and finally got their first win 4 tries on the 25th of Nov vs the Cowboys. After that exhausting 36-33 offensive slugfest vs Dallas last time out Im betting on an immediate reversion to the mean offensively for the Raiders this week with the added rust of an extended lay off to hamper their output and this help keep this game stay on the low side of the number. .Dating back to the 2015 season all teams like Washington off 3 straight underdogs wins with a line of 43 or more have gone under 8 straight times. Washington is 5-0 UNDER L/5 vs NDC West sides. WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37 ppg scored,
Tilts involving non conference conflicts (AFC vs NFC) have only seen 8 of the 32 games eclipse the offered total. Play UNDER |
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12-05-21 | Jaguars v. Rams -12.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 68 h 26 m | Show | |
I dont usually take huge favs, rarely if ever actually, but this is one of those occasions . The Rams are extremely frustrated right now after 4 straight losses, and need a win badly to get back some long lost respect. Meanwhile, Jacksconville behind QB Lawrence and a less than cohesive offense wont be able to do much damage here this week, while the Rams no matter who is under center (Stafford or Walford) are more than capable of pounding the Jags and getting them selves right again. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-15 ATS in their last 16 games against the NFC West, including 0-9 ATS as an under- dog. Rams are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | 17-15 | Loss | -112 | 56 h 1 m | Show | |
Vegas woke up from a 3 game losing nightmare last time out with a big 36-33 win on TG Day vs the Dallas Cowboys and now have momentum going against a Washington side, off 3 straight wins, that were grueling in nature and Im sure took alot out of them. Now traveling from East to West will further their exhaustion ratio after a smash and grab Monday night game vs the Seahawks and makes them susceptible to a down effort in the desert this Sunday. Note: NFL sides coming off a straight up underdog victory on Thursday are 5-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS L/31 seasons vs opposition coming off a Monday Night tilt. LAS VEGAS is 10-0 ATS L/10 in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs . NFL team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 47-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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12-05-21 | Jazz v. Cavs +4.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show | |
NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 31-6 L/25 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. |
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12-05-21 | Jazz v. Cavs OVER 212.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
I know Cleveland is playing very good defense art the moment, but the Jazz have shot 40% or better from 3-point range in five games this season and are going to bomb from downtown again, because of Cavs go interior D. On the flips die Utah is recently gave up 30 or more points each of the final three quarters against Boston -- including 41 in the third quarter and Cleveland as this game goes on should have success in this sport according to my head to head offense vs defense matchup algorithms. Advantage over. UTAH is 15-4 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 26-13 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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12-05-21 | Richmond v. Northern Iowa +1 | 60-52 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-05-21 | Marist +1.5 v. Rider | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-05-21 | Giants +4 v. Dolphins | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 20 m | Show | |
I know how amazing and maybe also a little lucky the Dolphins have looked of late , as they have garnered four straight wins, but it must be noted that NYG own a 12-3 ATS record in their last fifteen games as a road dog and have cashed 16 of 20 ATS as a dog vs the AFC East . With that said, and not focusing on historical biases, I really like the way the Gmens D is playing, and Im betting they wreak havoc on Tua Tagovailoa and company. Also on the flip-side, despite of a maligned Giants offensive line QB Daniel Jones has remained minimally consistent enough to make the Giants competitive and considering Jones is 12-6 ATS in his career as a visitor I feel we have enough line value to pull the trigger on the road side. NYG is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits to Miami. GIANTS are 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Giants are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NFL Home teams (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 8-30 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 5-25 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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12-05-21 | Vikings -7 v. Lions | 27-29 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
After jumping out to a a 7-0 lead last week the Vikings fell asleep at the proverbial wheel and , lost by a 34-12 score to the Niners last Sunday. Im betting that was an emotional letdown spot performance, after a huge win vs a very good Green bay side the week before. Now in redemption mode after that embarrassment Im betting on a motivated performance here by a red faced group vs a Detroit team that is extremely lucky to be even covering spreads of late. MINNESOTA is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road teams (MINNESOTA) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 23-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota |
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12-04-21 | USC +4.5 v. California | 14-24 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
The PAC 12 is not getting alot of respect this year from the pundits , and maybe they dont deserve it. Despite of the talent levels, most teams maybe other than Utah dont stand out and have shown a great deal of inconsistency. Today we have two PAC 12 Futility Poster stories, going head to head as California hosts USC. In past meetings the Trojans have had the edge from a historical standpoint, winning 20 of 26 games all as chalk. Note: HC Justin Wilcox is a ATM machine for the his backers as an underdog as is evident by his 21-9 ATS record getting points and Im backing him again. Also betting on some of the players that are supposed to return next year dial up their energy as Im sure incoming HC Lincoln Riley is watching this tilt closely. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 42 points or more last game are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (CALIFORNIA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 28-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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12-04-21 | Celtics v. Blazers OVER 211 | 145-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
According to my head to head matchup stats this line is on a low side, and my projections estimate a combined score of 215 or more. Note: Portland is ranked 28th in overall defensive rating in the NBA and 7th in offensive rating and the average score of their home games comes in at 217.1 ppg. The blazers are off a sleepy home effort last time out, but Im betting they will be ready to bounce back here with a more aggressive effort vs a Boston team off putting 130 points on the board last time out. Advantage over. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games as an underdog. These teams have gone over in 4 straight meetings including last two here in Portland .Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland. PORTLAND is 20-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. BOSTON is 27-14 OVER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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12-04-21 | Iowa State v. Creighton -4.5 | 64-58 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-04-21 | Spurs v. Warriors -8.5 | 112-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
HC Kerr knows how to take care of business and Im betting he wont let his team, lose focus here tonight against the visiting Spurs after last nights big win vs the Suns. I know the Spurs have won 3 straight, but they have been highly inconsistent this season, and do not matchup well here on the road where they are just 3-7 SU on the road. GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.GOLDEN STATE is 13-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 ATS after playing a home game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS as a favorite this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.2 ppg. NBA team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road win by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 ppg. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 24-3 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.1 ppg, which easily qualifies as viable vs this ATS offering. Play on Golden State to cover |
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12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 50 m | Show | |
Im betting on. a huge emotional letdown from Michigan this week after defeating Ohio State last time out. The Wolverines after a huge win and celebration are now vulnerable vs a less talented but extremely cohesive team that is coached by one of football most under rated HCs Kirk Ferentz. Iowa are 12-3-2 ATS vs .850 or better conf opposition. Michigan 1-5 ATS vs .800 or better conference opposition. CFB favorite of 6 plus points with a superior record than its opp in its conference championship game – if coming off an ATS win of 15 or more points and facing an .800 or less foe are just 1-10 ATS L/25 seasons. Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-04-21 | Portland State +15.5 v. Weber State | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-04-21 | Islanders -109 v. Red Wings | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
The Islanders have lost 9 straight games, thanks in part to a depleted injury and covid laden line up. The Isles are getting healthier and are getting more desperate by the day as victories and some upward momentum are extremely important at this juncture of the season. With that said Im betting on the surprising demise of the Islanders to at last for tonight take a upward turn vs a young Motown team they matchup well against .Red Wings are 13-38 in their last 51 vs. Metropolitan.Red Wings are 14-43 in their last 57 vs. Eastern Conference.Islanders are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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12-04-21 | Maple Leafs v. Wild UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams have taken part in some fairly high scoring games of late, but from a matchup perspective my projections estimate a lower scoring affair. The UNDER has gone 13-4 in the Leafs last 17 road games after scoring five goals or more in their previous contest, with a combined average of 5.3 gpg. TORONTO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. The Wild, have gone under 10 of their last 12 games as hosts when coming off two or more victories by three goals or more, with a combined average of 4 gpg going on the board.TORONTO is 10-3 UNDER (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 53-22 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. NHL team against the total (MINNESOTA) - after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 201-127 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-04-21 | Duquesne +9 v. Marshall | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-04-21 | UAB +2 v. St. Louis | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Louisiana Tech +2.5 v. Santa Clara | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-04-21 | Houston v. Cincinnati -10 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
Bearcats are undefeated on the season and have won 26 straight home games at Nippert Stadium, and stud QB Desmond Ridder has never lost a tilt on his home field and nothing Im betting will change today against Houston. The Bearcats are an elite team, and when motivated can easily smash a team like Houston. the Bearcats motivation will come from the fact that they will be the first power 5 team to go to the college football play offs with a win here today, and Im betting they do it in conclusive fashion. Hey I know how well Houston has played but they are in over their heads here this Saturday. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their L/5 games vs .900 or better opposition. Houston is just 1-6 SU/ATS L/7 visits here . CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS L/11 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-04-21 | Buffalo +3 v. St Bonaventure | 65-68 | Push | 0 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +3 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 27 m | Show | |
SBC Championship Game Lafayette won the only meeting between these teams this season, 41-13 and App State despite of wanting revenge do not matchup well vs Cajuns. Note: Lafayette is 6-1 ATS L/7 in conference action at home as a dog vs a team they beat in their previous meeting. Lafayette HC Napier who leaves for Gainesville after this tilt is 11-5 ATS L/16 as a dog, including 7-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins . APPALACHIAN ST is 2-10 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins CFB home team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 33-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -3.5 | 46-13 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 16 m | Show | |
The Aztecs own the 2nd best ground defense in the nation and they are dangerous smash and grab specialists forcing takeaways. The Aztecs are tough as nails on defense overall ranking No. 13 in the nation and multi dimensional on offense when they need to be as they proved vs Boise State, a Im betting Utah State will have issues with this type of side. Look for Utah State to become one dimensional on offense, as moving the chains on the ground will be difficult and for a muted effort from them here today against this strong Aztec stopping units . CFB Road underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (UTAH ST) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 1-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualify on this ATS line offering. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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12-04-21 | Georgia State v. Mercer +2 | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-04-21 | Miami-OH v. Indiana State OVER 148.5 | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
12-04-21 | Marquette v. Wisconsin -6.5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 1 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -106 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Big-12 Championship Game - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oklahoma State took out Oklahoma last week, and now have a huge amount of confidence entering this game against the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma State (11-1) is in good position to make the College Football Playoff with a victory and we should find them very motivated in crunch time. Note:Cowboys are 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS laying points in this series and in their current top tier defensive form ranking No.3 in the nation in D allowing just 16.4 ppg . With that said, Im betting they have an edge here today of a TD or less making this a viable wagering opportunity with the favorite. Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS with single-digit spreads this season. Cowboys are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. .Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS against conference opponents this season. Gundy is 12-4 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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12-04-21 | Memphis v. Ole Miss +1 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-03-21 | Suns v. Warriors -7 | 96-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Warriors have revenge on board for a loss earlier this week to the Suns and will be primed to lay down a beating here in front of their own fans . Shutting Curry down two games in a row is far fetched and with the Warriors playing their best ball at home as is evident by going 11-1 SU at home this season, and 10-2 ATS Im betting on them covering. GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 . Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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12-03-21 | Clippers +2 v. Lakers | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Clippers are in a funk after having lost three games in a row. However, this tilt vs their LA rivals will have them fully awake and ready to compete . I know LeBron James is back for the Lakers, but he's starting to show his age of late and is not the game changer he used to be. Lakers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Lakers are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite. LA LAKERS are 2-14 ATS after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. Lakers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road recordL. CLIPPERS are 16-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. .LA CLIPPERS is 6-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons NBA Road favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. LA Clippers to cover |
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12-03-21 | Golden Knights -208 v. Coyotes | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
NHL road teams against the money line (VEGAS) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record in the first half of the season are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-03-21 | Eastern Washington +3 v. Montana | 41-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
UM is giving up just 13 points per game and are getting alot of respect from the lines-makers , (to much in my betting opinion) even here on their own field. EWU is scoring 44.2 points, and in the first meeting between these teams blitzed UM for four plays of 35 or more yards , while Montanas 10 other opponents combined for three plays of more than 35 yards. EWU won that battle, by a 34-28 count and once again matchup well here behind an explosive offense that scored and 51 Red Zone TDs and has shown it can have its way with this strong defense. Key to game:Last week, EWU ran for 129 yards against a Northern Iowa defense that was allowing just 83.3 yards per game on the ground and in their first meeting vs Montana went over 100 yards rushing, (one of only two teams to achieve that vs the Grizzlies this season) Im betting on them breaching the century mark here on the ground which will once again open up their explosive air attack which in turn will be the ultimate difference maker. Play on Eastern Washington to cover |
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12-03-21 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Mavs | 107-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Mavericks have not faired well at home from a betting backers perspective going 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. They did win last time out but that has consistently not be a recipe for success as they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Yes, the Mavs really put a beat down the Pelicans last on Wednesday night but Im betting they wont be able to repeat that performance after Dallas shot a franchise-record 68.7 percent from the floor in that last game. A Mavericks Regression to the mean gives the Pelicans an edge on this line. DALLAS is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 6-16 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites (DALLAS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pelicans to cover |
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12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 58 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Pac-12 Championship Game - Allegiant Stadium - Paradise, NV When these teams played earlier this season, Utah owned the Ducks winning 38-7 and completely shut them down offensively and Im betting they will put their offense on mute again, in a tilt I project to have an output in the lower to mid 50s giving us value on this offered number. OREGON is 20-8 L/28 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more . Under is 10-2 in Ducks last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games as an underdog. UTAH is 12-2 UNDER in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Whittingham is 7-0 UNDER after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 47.1 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (UTAH) - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 30-9 UNDER. L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (OREGON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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12-03-21 | Heat +5.5 v. Pacers | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami owns the 4th best ppg defense in the league and 4th best SRS , as compared to Indiana that owns the 14th ranked ppg defense and 10th ranked SRS. Both sides are struggling but from a matchup data comparison the superior side is the Heat even with Jimmy Butler out. Take the points. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Miami to cover |
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12-03-21 | Cavs v. Wizards -3.5 | 116-101 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Washington is now one of the top teams in the East, and must be respected at home as short favorites. The Wizards snapped Cleveland’s four game win streak back at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse back on November 10, and Im betting they stop their current run at 3 games in this spot play. Washington has won the L/4 meetings between these sides and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Cavaliers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. WASHINGTON is 16-3 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 15-45 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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12-03-21 | Fairfield +1.5 v. Canisius | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CANISIUS is 1-11 ATS as a home favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home teams as a favorite or pick (CANISIUS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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12-03-21 | St. Peter's v. Quinnipiac UNDER 136 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |