Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-11-19 | Indians +140 v. Twins | 7-3 | Win | 140 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Aaron Civale(1-1, 0.75 ERA, 13 SO)will make back-to-back starts for the first time in his Major League career. He allowed one run on three hits in six innings against the Rangers on Monday. Civale threw six scoreless innings in a June 22 start in his only other big league trip to the hill and gets my support here today vs the host Twins. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jose Berrios(10-6, 3.24 ERA, 140 SO)Berrios was crushed for a first-pitch homer by Ronald Acuna Jr. on Tuesday, setting the tone for one an ugly outing in which he allowed a career-high nine earned runs and a season-high four walks in 5 2/3 frames. There were signs of control issues to which could easily signify arm fatigue here late in the season, which could easily continue to translate in excessive offensive production vs opposition batting orders and the Tribe this Sunday. Twins are 0-5 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. MINNESOTA has lost 13 of 21 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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08-11-19 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lucas Giolito had a decent outing last time out , but in July was struggling, and in his L/3 overall starts owns a bloated 5.50 ERA and at home this season record a 4.10 ERA . Im betting that the As do some damage against him today. Over is 4-1 in Giolitos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Pale Hose offence has come to life of late , averaging 5.7 rpg in their L/7 games, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the As starter Bassit who owns a a 4.32 ERA in three outings vs the White Sox . Over is 5-1 in Bassitts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 OVER in home games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.( Yesterday the White Sox upset the As 3-2) Over is 10-4-1 in Bassitts last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 90-48 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 115-63 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-11-19 | Nationals +176 v. Mets | 7-4 | Win | 176 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
There is a battle cry being put out by the Manager of the Nats before this game vs the Mets as a post season spot is being battled for "We're fighting to get in the playoffs, they're fighting to get in the playoffs," Martinez said. "I believe in those boys in that clubhouse. People kicked us, we were down and you saw what they can do. Not by any means are we down." END QUOTE: The Mets, who were tied for 13th place in the NL and eight games out of the second wild card on July 24, have won 15 of their last 16 games to move within a half-game of the Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers, who are tied for the two wild-card spots and are now huge public favs, giving us value with a Nationals team that is 5-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. Im betting the Nats do not get swept today, and do enough damage vs DeGrom to get a win here as hefty underdogs. Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.Nationals are 22-9 in their last 31 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. DEGROM is 1-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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08-11-19 | Royals -109 v. Tigers | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Norris the Tigers starter has never found much success in Comerica Park. He's 4-16 there in his career with a 5.20 ERA in 34 appearances, including 31 starts. Against Kansas City, Norris is 1-2 with a 3.95 ERA in 11 career outings, including 10 starts and is fade material here today. Meanwhile,Jakob Junis (7-10, 4.88 ERA, 130 SO) has thrown at least six innings in six straight starts. In his last outing on Tuesday against the Red Sox, he pitched six innings with seven hits, one run, one walk and four strikeouts and gets my support here today. NORRIS is 0-7 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 8-31 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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08-10-19 | Wings +9.5 v. Mercury | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Phoenix getting to the playoffs is not guaranteed and they need wins, but Dallas who most probably wont be in the play offs would love to play spoilers here, against a team that they have matched up well against recently despite of losing all three meetings with the last two having been decided by a combined 9 points.I once again look for a fairly close affair , and for a Dallas team that is winless on the road this season, to play loose and stay within the number for a cover. Mercury are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on the Wings to cover |
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08-10-19 | Indians +135 v. Twins | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Adam Plutko (4-2, 4.55 ERA, 36 SO) was plugged back into the Indians' starting rotation last Saturday after the club traded Trevor Bauer to the Reds. Plutko earned the win after holding the Angels to one run on five hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings and will be primed to help his team get us to the promised land on a value line here tonight in Minnesota. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jake Odorizzi(12-5, 3.61 ERA, 120 SO)struggled with an elevated pitch count on Monday against the Bravesand Im betting that messes with his effectiveness and freshness in this spot vs and Indians side that is 8-0 on the ML as a dog after a game in which they left more than fifteen men on base and it is not a series opener. CLEVELAND is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. MINNESOTA is 7-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season Cleveland is 41-16 since June 2 while Minnesota is 30-28 and its obvious to me the Indians in their current form are the superior team and offer rare true value tonight. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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08-10-19 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 36.5 | 17-38 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The public loves anything to do with a Chiefs over. But Andy Reid does not need to prove his offence is explosive, but does have a need to make the sure the D is staunch, if his team hopes to progress to the next and final level. The Chiefs are expected to improve defensively this season with the off season upgrades and that will be the Chiefs focus here in game 1 not offence. Also me and many others off I have spoken with expect the Bengals D to also be better this season, and with that said, Im betting on an under wager to be a viable investment opportunity here in this preseason game. Play UNDER |
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08-10-19 | A's -157 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark 7-7, 4.14 ERA, 114 SORoark's A's debut on Sunday was a success, as he tossed five innings of one-run ball in a win over the Cardinals and now I look for him to have positive results here again today against a group that has never faced him. The Athletics are 21-0 on the ML as a road 130-plus favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starting pitcher is seeking same-season-revenge. ( Lopez) OAKLAND is 21-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 35-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-3 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 15-4 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. Play on the As on the ML |
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08-10-19 | BC v. Hamilton UNDER 51.5 | 34-35 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
BC continues to showcase a struggling O line and despite of some changes expected this week Im betting they will have problems generating offence vs a stingy Hamilton D that is allowing an average of 16.2 ppg at home this season.With star linebacker Simoni Lawrence back after a 2 game suspension the Lions are in trouble. I know the Lions D, has also had issues but the Ti Cats offensive cohesiveness has been challenged of late, which will result in a total combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-0 UNDER in August games over the last 3 seasons with a . combined average of 47.3 ppg scored.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 18-7 UNDER after gaining 5 or less yards/play in their previous game with a combined average of 46.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-10-19 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 151.5 | 82-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dream shot just 33% last time out in a loss which marked the 8th straight time Atlanta shot below 40 percent. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of finding ways to post some wins this season, are still ranked 10th in pace, and 7th in ppg, so according to the projection possibilities that I hqve calculated, a lower scoring game must be expected. Under is 5-0-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Wings last 4 road games.Under is 20-6-2 in Wings last 28 overall.Under is 19-6-1 in Wings last 26 games following a straight up loss.Under is 3-1-2 in Wings last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 15-5-1 in Wings last 21 games following a ATS loss.Under is 3-1-1 in Wings last 5 Saturday games. Under is 6-0 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Mercury last 5 Saturday games.Over is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play UNDER |
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08-09-19 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 154 | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Minnesota's defence looks solid in a win vs Atlanta 85-69 on Tuesday to snap a four-game slide, and Im betting on more top tier defence here today, against a Connecticut team that can offensively explosive but that has also averaged 4.1 ppg on the road less than at home. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE is on tonights agenda for the host Lynx which will lead to a grinding lower scoring game than the lines-makes expect. Under is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 14-6 in Lynx last 20 games following a straight up win. Play UNDER |
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08-09-19 | Bucs v. Steelers OVER 37 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay new head coach Bruce Arians, had put together and mentored three top-10 scoring offenses (2007 Steelers, 2015 and 2016 Cardinals) in 14 years as an NFL coach and offensive coordinator and has the talent to make this an explosive version of the Buccaneers again. Look for some points to go on the board here tonight Arians opens this offence up quickly and gets it moving in the right direction. On the flip side the Bucs run D, remains a shambles, as it was last season, and tonight I expect the run happy Steelers to pound away , and do some damage in a game that promises to be fairly high scoring. Play OVER |
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08-09-19 | Yankees -157 v. Blue Jays | 2-8 | Loss | -157 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Yankees have won their last eight games, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Jays. The Jays can explode with some offence, and must not be underestimated, but the Yanks are even more explosive and have a deeper bullpen making them viable favs here tonight. Note: The Yankees have average 6.7 rpg on the road this season via a 2.80 team BA. HAPP is 13-1 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 13-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 24-8 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 28-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL) are 14-49 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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08-08-19 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 152.5 | 74-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The two meetings in this series between LA and Phoenix this season, have seen scores of 82-72 and 85-68 . Both teams had missing components in those meetings, and now both are mostly healthy and with the play offs around the corner and both being play off candidates Im betting a physical post season type affair as both prepare for a WNBA championship run which will make for a fairly lower scoring affair. LOS ANGELES is 17-3 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.7 ppg going on the board. LOS ANGELES is 16-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. LOS ANGELES is 21-5 UNDER in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Mercury last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games.Under is 13-5 in Mercury last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games.Under is 35-16-1 in Sparks last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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08-08-19 | Phillies v. Giants +107 | 0-5 | Win | 107 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
Madison Bumgarner(6-7, 3.92 ERA, 142 SO) the Giants starter has seen his team win seven of his past eight starts, including his past four and gets my support here tonight. I know his starting pitching opponent from the Phillies Nola is also in top form, but Im betting home filed advantage for the Giants will be the difference maker. PHILADELPHIA is 7-25 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. SF are 5-0 in Bumgarners last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarners last 6 home starts. Phillies are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in San Francisco. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in August games are 121-76 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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08-08-19 | Patriots v. Lions +1 | 31-3 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
What could possibly motivate the defending Super Bowl Champion New England Pats here tonight. Im betting not much. From a trends stand point Super Bowl Champs in their first road game of the season are just 7-20 SU,and HC Bellicheck has a recent history of not particularly doing well in his first road game losing 4 straight times all as a favourite and are a ugly 0-5 ATS in preseason play overall vs the NFC North where the Lions reside. Meanwhile, Detroit a franchise that is trying to bring in a winning culture into Motown will take a little bit more pride in this event, especially since its being played here in Michigan in front of their own fans. It must also be noted that the Lions are 14-2 SU/15-1 ATS in NFLX action against the AFC East and are actually viable bets here tonight vs a side Im betting will show very little in their opener, and instead be in full assessment mode . NEW ENGLAND is 1-10 ATS as a preseason road favorite since 1993 NEW ENGLAND is 1-10 ATS as a preseason road favorite of 7 points or less since 1993. NEW ENGLAND is 0-7 ATS as a preseason road favorite of 3 points or less since 1993. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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08-08-19 | Titans v. Eagles -3 | 27-10 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA, 7:30 PM It was not the season the Eagles had envisioned after winning the Super Bowl the season before so needless to say the team would like to get back on track right away, yes even here in the preseason. Im also betting on a competitive approach here be the QB group as the Eagles replace key backup Nick Foles, which makes them dangerous even though this is a preseason game. Note: Look for this trio to come out and really show there stuff here in game 1. Nate Sudfeld, Cody Kessler and Clayton Thorson. Advantage Eagles. The Titans enters this preseason game vs the Eagles on a 0-14 SU / 3-11 ATS skien vs. NFC East and overall are 1-6 SUATS L/7 Away. Meanwhile, the Eagles are 3-0 SUATS vs. AFC South. Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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08-07-19 | Liberty +8 v. Sky | 92-101 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Liberty will desperately try to avoid being swept at the hands of the Sky, but also look to keep from matching a season high with their fourth consecutive overall defeat. Needless to say they have some pride on the line here, and Im betting they play hard and at least make this competitive vs a red hot team. NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in road games double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 39-27 SU L/5 seasons. WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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08-07-19 | Liberty v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that this contest will remain on the low side of the total. Recency bias also suggest this total is skewed to the upside thus giving us value with a under wager. CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season. CHICAGO is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 8-2 UNDER in home games this season. (all of the above combined scores were all under this set total) NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-07-19 | Padres -142 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 5.49 ERA, 84 SO)After a solid start to his season, the rookie from Japan has gone 1-7 with a 7.65 ERA over his last 12 starts, with opponents posting a .347/.406/.677 line with 24 walks, 35 strikeouts and 20 home runs and is fade material here vs the Padres tonight. Meanwhile, Padres starter Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against Seattle in his career and gets my support here tonight. The Mariners are 0-22 on the ML in the second game of a series as a dog of more than 130 when they are off a game as a dog in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games. are 10-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Cardinals +120 v. Dodgers | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (5-6, 3.93) is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing no runs and one hit over seven innings in an 8-0 win against the visiting Chicago Cubs on Thursday.He has been red hot since just before the All-Star break. His record is just 1-1 in his past five starts, but he has registered a minuscule ERA of 1.15 in that span and gets my support here on a value line. Note:Flaherty beat Los Angeles on April 10 as part of a four-game sweep against the visiting Dodgers. He allowed one run and three hits in six innings of the 7-2 win, which earned him his first victory of the season.The Cars righty is now 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. I know the Cards are struggling at the moment but it must be noted that they are pretty resileint group, as MIKE is 24-13 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of ST LOUIS. Cardinals are 5-0 in Flahertys last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 40-16 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Cardinals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 games with umpire Eddings behind home plate.ST LOUIS is 39-26 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Braves -116 v. Twins | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Max Fried(12-4, 4.07 ERA, 112 SO) recorded a strike with nearly 70 percent of the 76 pitches he threw over six strong innings against the Reds on Thursday. His curveball induced a 33.3 percent (7 of 21) swing-and-miss rate during this rain-shortened complete game effort and remains a solid hurler to back for now in this current winning form. Meanwhile,Martin Perez( (8-4, 4.58 ERA, 100 SO) struggled with the long ball in his last start, when he matched a season high with three homers allowed for five runs in five innings. His current form has yielded eight HRs in his last four starts making him fade material vs this explosive Atlanta squad. The lefty hurler also own s a very bloated 7.80 ERA in his L/3 starts. Twins are 15-31 in their last 46 vs. National League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB team (MINNESOTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 89-160 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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08-07-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Brendan McKay(2-1, 4.38 ERA, 25 SO) will be making his sixth career start at the big league level and his first against the Blue Jays. The left-hander is 1-1 with a 5.65 ERA in three home starts this season and and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could be in trouble today vs a hot hitting Blue Jays team, Meanwhile, Jays starter Wilmer Font after being converted to a starter by the New York Mets after he was acquired from Tampa Bay in May went 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in three turns and according to my projections could easily get hammered here today vs a team with top notch scouting report on him. Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 games following a win.Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on astroturf.Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3-1 in Rays last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-2 in Rays last 7 home games. Play OVER |
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08-06-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -133 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Mike Leake9-8, 4.27 ERA, 100 SO was acquired from the Mariners just a couple of minutes before the Trade Deadline. This will be Leake's first start for the D-backs. His last start was on July 30 against the Rangers when he allowed three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings. Meanwhile,Jake Arrieta 8-8, 4.44 ERA, 100 SO is limited because of a bone spur in his right elbow, meaning he typically hits a wall around the fourth or fifth inning, losing velocity and command of his pitches and is fade material in current state of health. LEAKE is 17-8 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.Phillies are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona.PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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08-06-19 | Braves v. Twins -143 | 12-7 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Mike Foltynewicz(2-5, 6.37 ERA, 50 SO) returns to the Majors for the first time since being demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett on June 23. Foltynewicz has a 1-0 record and 8.74 ERA in three career appearances, including two starts, against the Twins.Meanwhile, Twins starter Jose Berrios(10-5, 2.80 ERA, 133 SO) was over powering in his last start against the Marlins, striking out a season-high 11 batters without issuing a walk as he allowed just two singles -- including an infield hit -- in seven scoreless innings to lower his season ERA to 2.81 and gets my support here today. MINNESOTA is 20-6 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MINNESOTA is 25-11 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Braves are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 19-40 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games.Braves are 7-18 in their last 25 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts on grass.Braves are 4-11 in Foltynewiczs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-9 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-10 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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08-06-19 | Angels v. Reds UNDER 10 | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani (6-6, 4.07 ERA, 115 SO) has one win to show for his past five starts despite allowing only 10 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings, for a 3.25 ERA. He has racked up 31 strikeouts in those starts and is the type of hurler that can really slow down a struggling offence like the Angels own at this time. Meanwhile, Suarez the Halos starter, despite of some inconsistent starts this season in limited action, actually matches up well vs the light hitting Reds according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. The Angels have scored 3 or less runs in 5 of their L/6 and as a teaming are hitting just .221 over a 7 game span. Meanwhile, the Reds have not seen more than 10 combined runs scored in 7 of their L/9 games. CINCINNATI is 18-3 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with the combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board. A ANGELS are 11-3 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with an average of 8.1 rpg scored. Under is 11-2 in Angels last 13 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Angels last 14 vs. National League Central.Under is 33-15-4 in Angels last 52 interleague games.Under is 15-7-1 in Angels last 23 interleague road games. Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 14-4-1 in Reds last 19 interleague games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 Tuesday games.Under is 19-7-1 in Reds last 27 vs. American League West.Under is 24-9 in Reds last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 interleague home games.Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 27-13-2 in Reds last 42 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-0-1 in DeSclafanis last 5 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in DeSclafanis last 7 home starts. Under is 14-6 in umpire Tumpanes last 20 interleague games behind home plate and 4 of his L/5 overall. Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (LA ANGELS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-06-19 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 10 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Tuesday, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.73 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15) in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total.Brault has been on the injured list since July 6 because of a left shoulder strain but is expected to be activated for the start with rust being the main concern that could easily see him get roughed up which will result in Milwaukee scoring a projected 1.5 runs more than expected by the linesmakers according to my estimates. These teams have gone over in 7 of the L/8 meetings here in Pittsburgh and Im betting on nothing changing tonight. MILWAUKEE is 20-7 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. COUNSELL is 26-12 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more as the manager of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-5 OVER in home games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.PITTSBURGH is 25-6 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.9 rpg going on the score board. HURDLE is 15-4 OVER in home games after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. Pittsburgh has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and in their L/7 games an average of 13.1 rpg have scored. Play OVER |
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08-06-19 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 148 | 85-69 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Two struggling teams go head to head today in Atlanta . The Dream, are last in the league in scoring and shooting percentage while being the only team connecting below 30 percent from 3-point range and Im betting on their scoring woes continuing here today vs the Minnesota Lynx. Meanwhile, Minnesota has not scored more than 79 points in 8 straight games, while their defence has been fairly decent , allowing more than 79 points just twice during the above mentioned 8 game run that has seen 6 of those game stay under the total. Everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 26-7 in Lynx last 33 road games.Under is 6-2 in Lynx last 8 overall. Under is 20-7 in Dream last 27 vs. Western Conference.Under is 19-7-1 in Dream last 27 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-2-1 in Dream last 8 overall.Under is 23-10 in Dream last 33 home games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-05-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -104 | 7-3 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Phillies are 0-9 on the ML in franchise history with starter Vince Velasquez on the road when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start and the Phillies lost. He is off back to back quality starts , but that has not been a recipe for success going forward for his team when he starts . VELASQUEZ is 2-10 ( against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Phillies are 7-19 in Velasquezs last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 5-14 in Velasquezs last 19 road starts.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 2-9 in Velasquezs last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona. Play on Arizona to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | A's v. Cubs -147 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Chicago has captured 11 of its last 13 home games since June 27 and 22 of its last 31 after completing a three-game sweep over Milwaukee with Sunday's 7-2 win. The Cubs are now an impressive 39-18 overall at home and get my support here tonight vs the Athletics. Kyle Hendricks(8-8, 3.07 ERA, 107 SO) logged seven shutout innings in a win over the Cardinals on Wednesday, giving him a 2.25 ERA with 32 strikeouts vs. nine walks in 32 innings in July. The righty has gone 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA in nine home starts this year and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the As.Hendricks' only previous start against the Athletics was Aug. 7, 2016, in Oakland when he allowed one run on three hits in 7 1/3 innings. .HENDRICKS is 16-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) CHICAGO CUBS are 22-5 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 24-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 50-11 L/L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | White Sox -125 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito(11-5, 3.39 ERA, 150 SO) bounced back from his worst start of the season by allowing just one run over seven innings Wednesday vs. the Mets. This kid has proven his consistency and is a quality pitcher that deserves our support here tonight. Note: White Sox are 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Meanwhile, Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.65 ERA, 88 SO)is expected to be limited to around 75 pitches in his return from the injured list, having been shelved since July 18 with an upper back strain and rust maybe an issue here making him fade material in this spot. GIOLITO is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 4-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. DETROIT is 2-15 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. DETROIT is 1-16 (against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season. DETROIT is 4-24 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | Brewers -140 v. Pirates | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Lyles will be facing his former club and will have something to prove after they traded him away. Im expecting a top tier effort from a pitcher the Pirates deemed ineffective and expendable. The Pirates are 0-15 on the ML in the history of this database in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a game as a home dog in which they drew one or fewer walks. MILWAUKEE is 22-9 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 32-16 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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08-04-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 10 | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
David Price(7-4, 3.86 ERA, 123 SO)Price has struggled since the All-Star break, going 0-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four starts. The lefty won at Yankee Stadium on June 2, holding the Yankees to two runs over 6 1/3 innings ad now primed fora bounce back effort I look for Price to limit the pinstripes offence tonight. Meanwhile,J.A. Happ(8-6, 5.19 ERA, 89 SO) returns from the paternity list for his 22nd start of the season. He took the loss his last time out, though he logged a quality start by holding the D-backs to three runs and eight hits over six innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order lineup matches up well vs the BoSox offence.He is 9-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 23 career appearances (22 starts) against Boston. Under is 6-1 in Prices last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-04-19 | Reds +113 v. Braves | 6-4 | Win | 113 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Sonny Gray(6-6, 3.45 ERA, 130 SO) acknowledged not having his best stuff during Monday's 11-6 win over the Pirates. His streak of five straight quality starts ended, but he's still 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last six games and is . viable underdog option this afternoon in Atlanta. GRAY is 10-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GRAY is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 of more) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 130-73 L/22 seasons fo a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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08-03-19 | Cardinals v. A's -151 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cardinals rookie right-hander Dakota Hudson (10-5, 3.88 ERA) goes against A's righty Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.54) this Saturday.Fiers will take the mound riding a 15-game unbeaten streak in which he's gone 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA. He's gone 4-0 in his last eight home starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here today. Hudson has a 4.63 ERA in his last seven games, allowing 18 earned runs in 35 innings, but he has a 5-2 record in that span. . FIERS is 17-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 23-6 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 17-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. ST LOUIS is 0-11 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season MLB teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 100-148 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-03-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Bauer the Reds newly acquired starter is leading the majors in innings pitched (156 2/3) and ranks fifth in strikeouts (185). The Reds are hopeful that Bauer can bolster a starting rotation that already ranks third in the National League in ERA. Bauer did have a bad outing last time out, but however overall comes in hot, having allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his past 10 starts. Meanwhile, Keuchel the Braves starter a former Cy Young Award winner has allowed a season-high four earned runs in two of his past three starts, but those Im betting are anomalies, and today against a top tier hurler should have his juices flowing and ready to perform, which Im betting helps this total stay on the low side of the number.
KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 22-6 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER against NL East opponents this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 17-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 22-6 in Reds last 28 vs. National League East.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 Saturday games.Under is 24-8 in Reds last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 20-7 in Reds last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 45-18-1 in Reds last 64 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Reds last 25 games following a win.Under is 38-16-1 in Reds last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 52-24-4 in Reds last 80 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 on grass.Under is 40-19-1 in Reds last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Grays last 10 road starts. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 9-1-1 in Braves last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 15-2 in Braves last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3-1 in Braves last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 on grass.Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 home games.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Braves last 13 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts on grass.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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08-03-19 | White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Phillies send their ace on Saturday when Aaron Nola takes the mound. Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA and over his past eight starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox , however , my power rankings suggest he matches up vs well vs this inconsistent Pale Hose batting order that is averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty pitching this season and that overall has scored two runs or less in 9 of their L/13 games. NOLA is 11-1 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with the average score deferential clicking in at 2.9 rpg. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 SU after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a rpg differential of 2.8 rpg registering on the final scoreboard. Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 42-4 SU L/22 seasons with a +3 rpg score differential making this a viable RL trend. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the -1.5 RL |
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08-03-19 | Sky v. Dream +3.5 | 87-75 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, but other than a couple of clunkers have been mostly competitive, and are viable underdogs vs a Chicago Sky team, that has lost 6 of 9 and 4 of their L/5 on the road this season, WNBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Dream are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Sky are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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08-03-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 11.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Sale faced the Yankees last Sunday, striking out seven and allowing six runs (two homers) in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park and was very unhappy after that effort and now with immense talent to back him Im betting he rebounds to limit the Red Sox offence here . Meanwhile,Domingo German(13-2, 4.08 ERA, 107 SO) "was on a mission" in his last outing, according to catcher Austin Romine, as he halted the Yanks' slide by limiting the Red Sox to three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park. German tied his season high with nine strikeouts and is capable of limiting the Red Sox offence again. Im expecting a pitchers duel, and not a shootout, and score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-1-1 in Sales last 10 road starts. Under is 7-0 in Germans last 7 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Germans last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Five of the L/6 games here in NY have gone under. Under is 47-23-4 in umpire Estabrooks last 74 games behind home plate and 7-1 UNDER in his L/8 in Yankee games. Play UNDER @ 10 or more |
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08-02-19 | Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA, 160 SO) has pitched at least six innings in 17 straight starts, going 11-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He has pitched 113 innings in that stretch, striking out 136 and walking just 25 and Im betting he remains on track here limits the Tigers offensive production in this spot. Meanwhile, tigers southpaw starter Tyler Alexander(0-1, 3.86 ERA, 14 SO)After a couple of solid outings to open his Major League career, the rookie was roughed up a bit in his third career start, getting clipped for four runs on eight hits and one walk in 4 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Saturday. However despite of the regression Alexander still showed his prowess with nine strikeouts and has the ability to limit damage here in this spot , which Im betting will help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 9-2-1 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games. Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 Friday starts.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Lynns last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Lynns last 13 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Lynns last 12 starts on grass.Under is 7-3 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 17-5 in Rangers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 23-9 in Rangers last 32 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-02-19 | Ottawa v. Montreal UNDER 53 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
Montreal after a slow start to their current campaign has held its last three opponents to 58 total points 1,177 total yards. Meanwhile, Ottawa their opponents have not scored 20 or more points in any game during its currentfour-game losing streak, and last time out had just 13 first downs in the loss to the Stampeders. Im betting on the Red Blacks continuing to struggle offensively and for Montreal D to continue to stand tall, and for this tilt to be a very physical affair that stays under the set total. These teams have a history of low scoring affairs, with only one of the L/7 meetings seeing more than 52 combined points scored. All three of the most recent meetings here in Montreal have gone under with the average combined score of 48 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 15-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus division opponents since 1996 with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 31-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-02-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -140 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Zach Davies(8-4, 3.56 ERA, 76 SO)has allowed 14 runs (13 earned) over his last two starts, including a loss to the Cubs on Sunday in which he allowed seven earned runs in five innings and is fade material here in this spot in his current form. Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Brewers are 3-10 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Brewers are 4-11 in Davies' last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 48-21 in their last 69 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 69-32 in their last 101 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 41-19 in their last 60 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home game MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 63-17 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-01-19 | Rays +114 v. Red Sox | 9-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Right-hander Andrew Cashner (10-5, 4.18 ERA) gets the nod for Boston opposite Tampa Bay rookie left-hander Brendan McKay (1-1, 3.72). Despite of McKays inexperience, Im still betting he does enough to thwart a BoSox team the Rays have played well against of late.Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games and is 8-6 against the Red Sox this season, with seven of those wins coming in Boston, matching a franchise record (2011). Im betting on more TB Rays positive momentum action in this spot. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Rays are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Boston. Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. MLB team (BOSTON) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 19-49 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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08-01-19 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Trent Thornton (3-7, 5.45 ERA) gets the start for the Jays in Thursday's game. He is coming off of the injured list (elbow inflammation) and could be rusty today and in the process allow this underrated Baltimore offence to unload on him offensively. In his last three starts Thornton garnered a bloated 7.34 ERA .Thornton owns a 1.54 WHIP and .270 batting average against in 21 starts this season.Meanwhile, Os starter Wojciechowski despite of two recent quality starts, was 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in his first four games (three starts) with Baltimore after he was acquired from the Cleveland organization July 1 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this sometimes explosive Toronto offence that is loaded full of young top tier talent. Over is 5-0 in Thorntons last 5 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall. MLB team (TORONTO) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 220-132 OVER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-01-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 154 | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
As we come closer to the WNBA play offs teams become more aware of their defensive responsibilities and play also gets more physical. These two teams are strong candidates for a run at a WNBA championship and Im betting play a hard core competitive game here today that will end up on the low side of the total. CONNECTICUT is 11-2 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.4 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-8 UNDER in road games after 5 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers for a combined average of 158.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, on Thursday nights are 41-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals are 34-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 59-22 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-31-19 | Giants v. Phillies -130 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Phillies are my choice to extend their 2 game winning streak, behind right-hander Vince Velasquez. In Velasquez's last start, he thew 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday . Phillies are 5-0 in Velasquezs last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.Phillies are 7-2 in Velasquezs last 9 home starts. Meanwhile, Giants starter SAMARDZIJA is 1-11 against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 4-22 in Samardzijas last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. Philadelphia is 7-1 L/8 vs the SF Giants and gets my backing to win again. Giants are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 26-52 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML |
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07-31-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 10 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez(6-6, 3.63 ERA, 87 SO)will make his fourth start this season against the Braves, after spending last season with Atlanta, and he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his first three outings against them. He has won six straight decisions since May 29. Meanwhile, Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.44 ERA, 91 SO)was cruising against the Phillies on Friday before his night ended early thanks to a 37-pitch fifth inning in which he recorded only two outs. Still, he allowed just one run over 4 2/3 innings and is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA on the road. The recency of yesterday high scoring game that saw these teams combined for 19 runs, had a bloated line attached to this tilt. Note: WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. SANCHEZ is 21-8 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 12-4 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.8 rpg. WASHINGTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Wednesday games.Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Nationals last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 overall.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 on grass.Under is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Sanchezs last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Sanchezs last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 6-2 in Sorokas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Sorokas last 8 road starts. Play on the UNDER |
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07-30-19 | Wings +12 v. Aces | 54-86 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Vegas has won seven of eight and shares the top spot in the league with Connecticut and are getting a negative public lean , which according to my power rankings gives us value with a underdog wager with the Dallas Stars. Add to that Dallas has not been able to win regularly in July, going 1-7 which gives us a recency bias. LAS VEGAS is 12-23 ATS in home games versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. AS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-30-19 | Blue Jays -108 v. Royals | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Royals will start left-hander Mike Montgomery (1-3, 6.09). It will be his third start for the Royals since being obtained from the Chicago Cubs. Both his past two outings were against the Cleveland Indians, and he went 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and Im betting he gets hammered by a under rated Toronto offence. MONTGOMERY the Royals pitcher is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 6-17 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTOYO is 13-5 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game as the manager of TORONTO. MLB All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 41-23 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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07-30-19 | Rays v. Red Sox -131 | 6-5 | Loss | -131 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Price the BoSox starter tonight vs TB comes in off a hard-luck loss against the Rays his last time out, allowing three runs and striking out eight over six innings. However, the Red Sox are also 9-0 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher. The Red Sox are 21-0 on the ML with David Price as a home favorite when he went six-plus innings and gave up three or fewer runs in his last start and gets my support here tonight vs the Rays. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 33-8 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 33-82 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML |
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07-30-19 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA, 62 SO) allowed career highs of 10 hits and three homers vs. the Cubs last time out, surrendering four runs in 5 2/3 innings and looks unstable entering this game and could easily get lit up vs a batting order Im betting he does matchup well against. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA, 60 ) despite a decent effort in his debut with his new team, has still been very inconsistent this season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well against the Giants batting order. Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 11-2-2 in Giants last 15 games following an off day.Over is 15-3 in Giants last 18 Tuesday games.Over is 9-2-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 7-2-1 in Giants last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Giants last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-5-1 in Giants last 19 road games.Over is 18-7-4 in Giants last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 vs. National League West. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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07-29-19 | Dodgers -120 v. Rockies | 1-9 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Maeda has pitched well against Colorado , including three starts this season in which he is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Overall against the Rockies, he's 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 18 games (13 starts), with seven of those starts coming in Denver. In 10 career games at Coors Field, he is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and he gets my support here on the road vs the Rockies. Meanwhile, Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA, 128 SO) has struggled a bit of late and been unfortunate .Gray, left his last start with a left calf contusion after being struck by a line drive, was cleared to start Monday's series opener against the Dodgers. The Rockies have lost three of his last four start and is fade material here today. Dodgers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 7-23 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 starts vs. Rockies.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 road starts vs. Rockies MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are17-59 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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07-29-19 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 10 | 7-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Toronto's Thomas Pannone(2-4, 6.39 ERA, 43 SO) is being promoted for Monday's start and return to a full five-man rotation. The lefty allowed four runs over 4 1/3 innings against Boston his last time out, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could easily give up alot of production the Royals in this spot. Meanwhile, Brad Keller is currently throwing hard, but the Jays are a explosive fast ball hitting team, that I have projected for a positive output . Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-6 in Blue Jays last 19 during game 1 of a series.Over is 17-8-1 in Blue Jays last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East. KANSAS CITY is 12-3 OVER at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Over |
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07-29-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Nats starter Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) has enjoyed plenty of success against the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) in his career against Atlanta. He gave up two runs on eight hits in five innings on July 19 at SunTrust Park. Corbin's 1.68 ERA at Nationals Park is the second-best home ERA in the Majors.CORBIN is 10-1 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Braves starter Keuchel is coming off a dominant 12-strikeout performance Tuesday against the Royals. The heavy dose of strikeouts were one shy of his career high and his most in a game since Sept. 6, 2015 the year he went on to win the AL Cy Young Award with Houston.KEUCHEL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Im expecting a pitcher duel here today. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-28-19 | Astros -136 v. Cardinals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Astros starter Wade Miley (8-4, 3.18 ERA, 100 SO) carried a shutout into the ninth inning of his previous start Tuesday against Oakland before getting a no-decision. In his last five starts, he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.88 WHIP as opposing hitters owns a ugly .159/.236/.295 slash line during that stretch. The southpaw gets my support here today vs the Cardinals vs anyone the Cards can send to the mound. HOUSTON is 27-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HINCH is 20-7 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Sunday are 133-53 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-28-19 | Rockies +143 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Colorado's starter Peter Lambert(2-2, 5.93 ERA, 31 SO)fastball-changeup combination kept him competitive in his last start, when he struck out eight and gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Washington and has momentum entering this game vs the Reds , making his team a viable underdog investment option. Meanwhile, the Reds starte Alex Wood 0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SOis scheduled to start vs. the Rockies in his season debut. Wood has been on the Reds' injured list all season with a lower back injury. The rust Im betting shows itself here today. Note: In 10career outings vs the Rockies Wood owns a 6.30 ERA. Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Reds are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. WOOD is 6-12 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 9-20 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-28-19 | Braves v. Phillies -135 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Gausman the Braves starter has had little success in his career against the Phillies, going 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three career starts against the club. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter has done well vs the Braves as is is evident In 15 career starts against the Braves, he is 9-3 with a 2.26 ERA. In three starts against them this season, he's 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA including a eight-inning scoreless effort on July 2 when he outdueled Atlanta's Dallas Keuchel in a 2-0 win. In five starts in July, Nola is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and gets my support here today in the favorite role. NOLA is 18-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 18-30 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA of 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies |
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07-27-19 | Braves -116 v. Phillies | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Zach Eflin (7-10, 4.25 ERA, 91 SO goes to the hill tonight. )The Phillies say Eflin is healthy and everything is fine, but Eflin has complained about a "heavy" body recently. He is 1-3 with a 9.38 ERA in his last five starts, and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, southpaw Max Fried of the Braves(10-4, 4.08 ERA, 102 SO)will return from the injured list to start for the first time since developing a blister during a July 15 win in Milwaukee. The young lefty's arm should be fresh. He's totaled just 10 innings in two starts this month. EFLIN is 0-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 29-10 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52 | 45-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
When these teams played on July 20 the Saskatchewan Roughriders came out of that game with a 38-25 win, and Im betting on a offensive similar output here this week in a game I have slated to eclipse the total. I know there has been alot of frustration in BC so far this season, but this is still a talented overall team, that Im betting can be explosive if they cant protect star QB Reilly. With that said Im betting the Lions will provide protection for Quarterback Mike Reilly tonight even though previous to this game he’s been sacked a league-high 21 times this season.Head Coach DeVone Claybrooks has confidence in his squad, telling the media earlier this week, “I have all the ingredients for this soup and I’m just trying to season it to get the right taste.” END QUOTE. It must also be noted that the Riders defence has shown some lapses this season, especially in their two road games and are currently allowing 33.5 ppg . Meanwhile, BC has allowed 33 or more points in 5 of their first 6 games, and despite of me expecting a uptick in offensive production it is their defence that really looks weak. Over is 4-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in Roughriders last 7 road games.Over is 5-2-1 in Roughriders last 8 Saturday games. Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 vs. West.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games overall. Play on the OVER |
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07-27-19 | Yankees +131 v. Red Sox | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Sabathia had a rough outing last time out, but was in top form for a long stretch before that and also notched a quality start vs. Boston on June 2, completing six innings of three-run ball while striking out eight in an 8-5 Yankees loss and gets my support in a contrarian spot here this after vs the BoSox in Fenway. I know Rodriguez has pitched well for the BoSox of late, but my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yankees hitters matchup well against him. BOSTON is 13-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 67-26 in their last 93 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 28-11 in their last 39 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 Saturday games.Yankees are 67-27 in their last 94 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 53-22 in their last 75 games on grass.Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 52-22 in their last 74 vs. American League East.Yankees are 80-36 in their last 116 games following a loss.Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 overall.Yankees are 92-45 in their last 137 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Orioles +185 v. Angels | 9-3 | Win | 185 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Asher Wojciechowski( 1-3, 3.91 ERA, 31 SO) is coming off the best start of his career. The 30-year-old righty threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings vs. Boston on Sunday, striking out 10 and taking a no-hitter into the seventh. His innings pitched and strikeouts were career highs and has momentum coming into this tilt and gets backing . LA ANGELS are 13-33 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 121-81 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Astros -104 v. Cardinals | 3-5 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Jose Urquidy (1-0, 5.54 ERA, 17 SO ) will make his fourth career start .He earned his first win on Saturday vs. the Rangers, when he allowed one run in seven innings. He's the second Astros pitcher to strike out at least nine with no walks within his first three games. This kids the real deal. Meanwhile, Jack Flaherty the Cards starter despite of pitching decently of late has not garnered a win since May 14 against the Braves and is fade material vs the Astros tonight. He is also just 1-2 with a 5.59 ERA over seven career interleague starts, including a 7.63 ERA over three appearances against the American League this season.Note: The Cardinals are 3-15 L/18 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start. I know the Cards have been hot, but playing against upper tier competition seems to ignite the Astros to playing their best ball. HOUSTON is 29-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 19-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON with the average margin of victory coming by 3.1 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Cubs -110 v. Brewers | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
When I first looked at this game, I was not sold on the Cubs with Hendricks on the hill as he has struggled a bit on the road this season. But after really running the numbers, my projections and power rankings say we do have some value here with the Cubbies vs the Brewers. Note: Hendricks despite of being winless in July still garnered a 3.60 ERA. In 20 career starts against Milwaukee, Hendricks is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA. Meanwhile the Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez will make his second start since a stint on the injured list for left shoulder inflammation and in his first start after the injury threw just 74 pitches, and could easily experience rust. Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day. CHICAGO CUBS are 30-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.MILWAUKEE is 2-9 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 37-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5 | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tiger-Cats are well rested coming off a bye week in week six and a win in week five against the Stampeders (30-23) and will be primed to pull he upset as home dogs vs the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Tiger-Cats are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. O'Shea is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - with a turnover margin of 0.75 or more /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 15-40 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton Ti cats to cover |
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07-25-19 | Toronto v. Edmonton UNDER 53 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show | |
Scoring has been an issue for the Toronto offence so far this season, averaging 15 ppg . Meanwhile, Edmonton is proving staunch on D, and are allowing an average of 20.4 ppg. Even if Toronto has a defensive breakdown, which is not uncommon, and Eskimos explode on them, Im still betting the combined total output by both teams will not eclipse this slightly bloated number. These teams met twice last season, taking part in 16-15 and 20-17 affairs in a home and away series. Im betting on more of the same here this Thursday night. Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Eskimos last 5 games in July. Play UNDER |
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07-25-19 | Yankees -115 v. Red Sox | 3-19 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA, 87 SO) just cant get himself in a groove . Though Porcello is 3-1 in his last five starts, he has a 10.57 ERA over that span. Porcello's last start against the Yankees was a rough outing on June 29 in London, when he retired just one batter and gave up six runs and Im betting against him and home side today vs the explosive Yankees. Meanwhile, Tanaka is undefeated in his L/7 starts, and is more than capable of getting us to the promised land here in this spot even though he will be backed by a tired bullpen. NY YANKEES are 28-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season Yankees are 44-14 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 28-9 in their last 37 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-25-19 | Cardinals +109 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 109 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas(6-10, 4.17 ERA, 82 SO) gem got away from him on Saturday against the Reds with a three-run seventh inning, but he threw six scoreless innings prior to that to continue his good start to the second half. He allowed just three hits before the seventh and struck out four and is rounding into top form and has momentum entering this game. Meanwhile, Musgrove his Pittsburgh pitching opponent, is off a strong effort last time out vs the Phillies, but that has proven to be a negative in the past, as the Pirates are just 5-15 in last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. MIKOLAS is 10-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts vs. Cardinals. PITTSBURGH is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), playing on Thursday are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | Indians -131 v. Blue Jays | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Indians will send out right-hander Shane Bieber (9-3, 3.69 ERA) in the rubber match Wednesday against Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-10, 3.06). Stroman is the ace of the Blue Jays rotation, and won his last start , but that has not been a good omen for his team in his career as the following trend indicates. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-17 on the ML as a dog with Marcus Stroman when they won his last start.
Play on the Indians to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | A's +193 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt 7-4, 3.96 ERA, 83 SO The right-hander pitched well in a June 2 loss to Houston, holding the Astros to three runs over six innings and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Astros batting order and offers substantial value as an underdog in this spot play. BASSITT is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The As found a way to win yesterday, and Im betting they stymie the Astros here. Verlander the Astros starter is top tier hurler but OAKLAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 17-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | Liberty +9.5 v. Sun | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
The NY Liberty started their season slowly but overall have performed well of late and been competetive as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 games vs a winning side, and are off a impressive SU win vs the LASparks last time toout. Meanwhile, Connecticut despite of a impressive record this season have been inconsistent and are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. My own power rankings suggest this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the travelling dog. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. |
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07-23-19 | Yankees -119 v. Twins | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
The Yankees took it on the chin yesterday losing to the Twins in game 1 of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past under the following perimeters. Note: The NY Yankees are 25-0 L/25 on the ML in the second game of a series when they allowed six-plus runs as a 110-plus favorite in the series opener which was the case yesterday in a 8-6 loss to the Twins in game 1 of this series. D. German of the starter for the Yankees has won three straight starts since coming back from the injured list, giving up just three runs and striking out 18 batters in 18 innings pitched and is my choice to silence the Twins here tonight. Meanwhile, Twins starter Kyle Gibson allowed five runs at Yankee Stadium earlier this year, though three were unearned and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current NYY batting order. Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in Germans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.NY YANKEES are 41-14 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Twins are 0-7 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. Yankees. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 73-22 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-23-19 | Sparks v. Dream +2.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream are a very contrarian side to be on tonight. In my usual contradictory betting bias that the side Im recommending we take tonight in this battle against the visiting Los Angeles Sparks. It must be noted that Los Angeles (10-8) played the last three games with just eight players as Candace Parker (ankle), Alana Beard (hamstring), Alexis Jones (knee) and Maria Vadeeva (knee) are all hurt and Riquna Williams is currently suspended and with the all star break coming up Im doubting these players will be rushed back to the court. Los Angeles barely beat Atlanta 76-71 in overtime on the road July 14, and Im betting now on tired legs and short handed the Sparks could get upset. WNBA team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 23-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 5-32 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Atlanta Dream |
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07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 10 | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Sampson the Rangers starter today 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA versus the Mariners in 2019, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Mariners inconsistent offence. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Gonzales allowed three runs or less in six straight starts before he was reached for six runs in six frames of a loss at Oakland on Tuesday, but Im betting he bounces back today and gets back to his usual consistent form. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games. Under is 13-3 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-4 in Rangers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-6-1 in Rangers last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. TEXAS is 17-5 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MLB eams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 45-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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07-22-19 | Yankees -114 v. Twins | 6-8 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA, 77 SO) will make his 16th start of the season in the series opener on the road against AL Central-leading Minnesota. He has gone at least six innings in each of his last four outings and hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here tonight in Minnesota. SABATHIA is 22-9 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.211. Yankees are 7-0 in Sabathias last 7 road starts vs. Twins.Meanwhile, my power ranking suggest his pithing opponent form the Twins is over rated.Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA, 89 SO) Perez’s results finally caught up to his stellar hard-hit rate and exit velocity allowed Wednesday against the Mets, when he allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits in six frames before the defense and bullpen imploded in a blowout loss. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 21-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 26-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA is 21-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).NY YANKEES are 19-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-22-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Homer Bailey (8-6, 4.69 ERA, 87 SO) was sharp in his A’s debut, allowing just two runs over six innings in a win against the Mariners. The right-hander returns to his home state of Texas for a matchup with the Astros, whom he’s 4-0 against with a 1.46 ERA in eight career starts. Meanwhile, Astros starter Gerrit Cole (10-5, 3.12 ERA, 194 SO)has put himself in the American League Cy Young race, going 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last 10 starts. He has struck out 94 batters in 64 innings in that span. Cole leads the Majors with 194 strikeouts and 13.47 strikeouts per nine innings. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season for a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average 8.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 21-9 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Athletics last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 road games.Under is 10-4 in Athletics last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a win.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 home games.Under is 39-17-2 in Astros last 58 Monday games. Under is 4-1 in Coles last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Play UNDER |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves -145 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Atlanta starter Kevin Gausman (2-5, 6.21 ERA, 64 SO) will return from the injured list to make his first start since June 10. The veteran right-hander has spent the past couple weeks expanding his two-pitch mix with the development of a cutter and curveball and reports say hes come a long way and is my choice here tonight against the Nationals. Meanwhile, Nats starter Joe Ross (0-1, 11.05 ERA, 12 SO) to start Sunday’s series finale to pitch for the injured Austin Voth and Max Scherzer. Ross appeared in 17 games for Washington this year during a failed experiment as a reliever before being sent to Triple-A work as a starter again andvery much looks like cannon fodder here tonight in Georgia. Note:Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against Atlanta. Current Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) against him. Braves are 4-1 in Gausmans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 9-3 in Gausmans last 12 home starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-33 L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 11 | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers have not faired overly well vs current batting orders. Washingtons batting order has gone 33-for-100 (.333) versus the Braves starter Gausman and Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) Nats starter against Ross. Gausman's splits are better overall, but all in all both pitchers in tandem should support this total going over the total. GAUSMAN is 8-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. We have a high total attached to this game , but rightly so. It must be noted that the last six Sunday Night Baseball games with an over/under of 10 or higher have seen the OVER cash 6 straight times season eclipsing the number by 3.3 rpg. (dating back 13 seasons) Play on the OVER |
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07-21-19 | Fever +5 v. Sky | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My power ranking suggest Indiana despite of their dismal record matches up well against streaking Sky. When these teams played back on June 15 Chicago won 70-64 at Indiana in a game that essentially was up for grabs, and Im betting on a repeat confrontation here. Note: Indiana has won 4 straight on the road in this series and gets the nod to cover again. Sky are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Fever are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Fever are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Chicago. WNBA Road teams (INDIANA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 31-9 ATS L22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate! Play on Indiana to cover |
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07-21-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 0-9 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a 34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence . |
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07-21-19 | A's +123 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
As starter Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21 ERA, 34 SO) has gone 5-0 in six starts since losing to Cleveland in his season debut, allowing fewer than two runs in four of the outings and more than three just once. Mengden picked up a win against the Twins on July 2 in Oakland despite allowing five runs over 5 2/3 innings the one time he struggled so far. MENGDEN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-3 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MENGDEN is 8-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MINNESOTA has lost 12 of 18 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. .Athletics are 44-11 in their last 55 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Athletics are 36-16 in their last 52 games on grass.Athletics are 38-17 in their last 55 overall. PINEDA the Twins starter has pitched well of late as well but is just 13-23 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record) Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 road starts.Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-0 in Mengdens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Mengdens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Athletics are 6-1 in Mengdens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts vs. American League Central..Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 22-8 in Mengdens last 30 starts.Athletics are 21-8 in Mengdens last 29 starts on a natural surface. Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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07-20-19 | Mercury +1.5 v. Wings | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas, which has the worst record in the league, has dropped four straight and six of seven and dont deserve to be favs even against a banged up Mercury side. Look for the Mercury key contributors Grinner and Bonner to be the difference makers. Mercury are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Wings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Home underdogs (DALLAS) - good ball handling team - committing 14 turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 17-41 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 35-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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07-20-19 | BC +5 v. Saskatchewan | 25-38 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these teams the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders need wins, and I am expecting a hard fought affair here making getting points a viable investment option.The spread has shot up after opening at Saskatchewan -2 and now at this level is slightly bloated. I know the Lions have struggled to score, thanks to a struggling offensive line, but their better then their 17 sacks suggest and Im betting they prove that here in desperation mode vs another inconsistent side.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival ( Calgary clobbered the Riders last week 37-10) Play on the BC Lions to cover |
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07-20-19 | Phillies v. Pirates -120 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Zach Eflin (7-9, 4.16 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (6-8, 4.31). Pirates starter Joe Musgrove( . 6-8, 4.31 ERA, 90 SO ) is coming off an odd trip to the hill in which he worked only 4 2/3 innings on 104 pitches as the Cardinals annoyed him with foul balls. He's put together a 3.89 ERA with 39 strikeouts and seven walks in eight starts since the beginning of June and is up trending in my power rankings and gets the nod here today. Meanwhile, Phillies starting thrower Zach Eflin ( 7-9, 4.16 ERA, 88 SO) is 2-6 with a 5.73 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has allowed six or more runs in three of his last four starts. He was beaten up on in a six-run fourth inning on Monday against the Dodgers. Pirates are 4-0 in Musgroves last 4 home starts. Phillies are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh. Phillies are 2-11 in Eflins last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. PHILADELPHIA is 6-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.
Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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07-20-19 | Padres v. Cubs -128 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana (7-7, 4.21 ERA, 88 SO) picked up a win vs. Pittsburgh on Sunday after logging a quality start (three runs in six innings). He has gone 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his past three appearances and gets my support here this afternoon vs the Fathers. The southpaw hurler has a 1-0 record against the Padres with a 2.77 ERA in two starts. Note: Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter and have scored an average of just 3.7 rpg vs LHP this season via a lowly .229 BA.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. SAN DIEGO is 1-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 28-9 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 63-19 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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07-19-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Hyun-Jin Ryu 10-2, 1.78 ERA, 105 SOthe Dodgers starter tonight has bounced back nicely from his rocky June 28 outing at Coors Field, allowing just two earned runs over 13 innings in his last two starts (1.38 ERA). Aside from allowing seven runs to the Rockies, Ryu has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his 17 other starts. . The Marlins will counter with right-hander Zac Gallen (0-1, 4.24), who will be making his fifth career start. The rookie has never faced the Dodgers and is coming off an outing Saturday against the New York Mets when he gave up two runs on four hits over five innings in a no-decision and capable of slowing this Dodgers offence that is not acquainted with his decent stuff. Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 overall.Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 home starts.Under is 16-5-2 in Ryus last 23 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-8-3 in Ryus last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Ryus last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.
Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Aces v. Storm UNDER 157.5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The No.1 ranked D of the Seattle Storm, in the WNBA and 8th ranked pace, and 9th ranked offence take on the No.1 pace , and No 2 offense in the league of the Las Vegas Aces. When these teams played back on June 25 in Nevada the final score clicked in a 60-56 and was very physical. While these teams may not have the small of output this time , Im still expecting a tight game that does not exceed this total. Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 Friday games.Under is 13-3-2 in Storm last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 16-4-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2-1 in Storm last 11 games following a ATS win.Under is 19-9-2 in Storm last 30 overall. Under is 4-0 in Aces last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 road games. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Aces -1 v. Storm | 66-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Aces are slight dogs here, but this team is an explosive group that already beat Storm at home 60-56 back on June 25th. Now well rested and off since Saturday I expect this young but powerful Aces group to battle hard and be fresh enough to come out on top. Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. WNBA team (SEATTLE) - a good offensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and 19-45 ATS for 70% go against conversion rate over the L/22 seasons. Play on the Las Vegas Aces to cover |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 53 | 1-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Efficiency on offence and a little luck have seen Winnipeg go 4-0 SU/ATS so far this season. However it must be noted that QB Matt Nichols despite of leading the CFL with 10 passing touchdowns and only one interception, still only has 855 passing yards and attempted only 98 passes in four games. So unloading here vs a decent RedBlack secondary wont come that easily. Meanwhile, Ottawa is currently struggling mightily , and are 0-2 L/2 as their offense has become stagnant, not scoring a offensive TD in those tilts with QB Davis under center. Even though they expect to replace injured QB Davis with Jennings the offensive line has shown weakness and Im doubting their attack will suddenly become more efficient. My power rankings suggest both teams strengths are based on solid defences and a hard nosed blue collar mind set . This will Im betting be on full display this week in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. WINNIPEG is 16-4 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1996 with a combined average 45.4 ppg scored.WINNIPEG is 6-0 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.8 ppg going on the board. OTTAWA is 13-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 47.7 ppg going on the board. Under is 9-2 in RedBlacks last 11 games in July.Under is 13-6 in RedBlacks last 19 road games.Under is 21-10 in RedBlacks last 31 games following a ATS loss. CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (WINNIPEG) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 43-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OTTAWA) - after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnoversUnder is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 home games are 64-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Winnipeg | 1-31 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The recency of Winnipeg going 4-0 SU/ATS to start their season give us value on what Im betting is a bloated line. I know the Red Black have struggled in their L/2 games , one of which came at home to Winnipeg by a 29-14 count,, but now this hard nosed Rick Campbell coached team with revenge on board must not be underestimated in their ability to cash . With that said look for Ottawa to be hard to handle this this week , just like was the case when they walked into Calgary in week 1 of this season vs the defending Grey Cup champs and won SU as underdogs. |
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07-19-19 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Wainwright the Cards starter tonight against the Reds despite of pitching well of late has struggled mightily in eight road starts, garnering a 1-5 record along with a highly bloated 6.20 ERA and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs the Reds. Meanwhile,Tyler Mahle the Red Starter (2-10, 4.82 ERA, 101 SO) took the loss in his last start as he allowed a season-high-tying six earned runs against the Rockies in 4 1/3 innings of work . He did not look right in that game, and Im betting that effort extends into this tilt. In his L/7 starts he is 0-5 with a 5.80 ERA. WAINWRIGHT is 16-4 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Over is 16-7-1 in Wainwrights last 24 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Reds. MAHLE is 9-1 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Play OVER |
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07-19-19 | White Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Rays starter Brendan McKay 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 13 SO in his fourth career start comes after a seven-strikeout performance against Baltimore on July 13. In two of his three starts, he held the opposing lineup scoreless. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in two career starts against the Rays, with four home runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings. Also after being swept by the Yankees in a double header yesterday to team will have a sense of urgency here and come out and play hard for us im betting vs a White Sox team on an ugly 7 game losing streak. Rays are 51-22 in their last 73 vs. a team with a losing record.MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 465-3 L/5 seasons with the average run differential clicking in at 3.4 rpg which qualifies under my perimeters for a value run line selection in this spot play. Play on TB Rays on the RL -1.5 |
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07-18-19 | Toronto v. Calgary UNDER 53 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 38 h 49 m | Show | |
Rain is in the forecast in Calgary, with a predicted 60 percent chance of precipitation . The Argos own the worst scoring offence, averaging 14.8 points per game this season and I doubt they will eclipse that amount here this week vs a staunch Calgary D. Meanwhile, the Stamps allowed 4 sacks last week, and showed weakness on their offensive line, which Im betting going forward will hinder back up QB Arbuckle, who replaces the injured Bo Levi Jr. Arkbuckle was sacked 4 times last week. Im expecting the Stamps to be in a letdown mode after their loss to Hamilton last week 30-22 and for them to start slowly on offense vs a 0-4 Argos side that Im betting they are not motivated to face. With that said, bet on a total combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Argonauts last 5 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Stampeders last 5 games in July.Under is 6-2 in Stampeders last 8 games overall. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Calgary. Play on the UNDER |
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07-18-19 | Wings +8 v. Sparks | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wings played the Mercury hard yesterday and covered, and now according to my power rankings Dallas is being underestimated in their ability to cover vs LA here today, which gives us value on this line. I know the Wings are on short rest, but the Sparks are banged up with Candace Parker, Alan Beard, Alexis Jones, and Maria Vadeeva out, and short handed with key starter Riquna Williams' taking a lengthy suspension. Dallas has an edge especially from a ATS standpoint. Dallas is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to LA. WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-17-19 | White Sox +123 v. Royals | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Danny Duffy 3-5, 4.64 ERA, lasted only two-plus innings on Friday against the Tigers after being struck by a line drive on the pitching hand. Duffy faced three more hitters -- all of whom reached -- before exiting with numbness in his left hand. He is said to be healthy, but Im betting he is still not 100%. Note: Royals are 0-9 on the ML when Danny Duffy starts at home and he had a WHIP of at least two in his last start. Meanwhile, Nova despite of struggling earlier this season is up trending and could easily have a strong second half Since posting a 7.42 ERA in his first nine starts, he has compiled a 4.14 ERA in his past 10 appearances and showed his abilities by blanking the Chicago Cubs in 5 2/3 innings on July 7 for a win. He gets my support here tonight. White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. KANSAS CITY is 4-16 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 11-0 win last night. Royals are 17-59 in their last 76 during game 3 of a series.Royals are 6-21 in their last 27 games following a win.Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 Wednesday games.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts on grass.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 Wednesday starts.Royals are 9-23 in Duffys last 32 starts vs. American League Central.Royals are 4-12 in Duffys last 16 starts during game 3 of a series.Royals are 2-6 in Duffys last 8 starts.Royals are 1-4 in Duffys last 5 home starts.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Royals are 0-5 in Duffys last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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07-17-19 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Indians starter Mike Clevinger(2-2, 3.99 ERA, 46 SO)After a slow start coming off the injured list, Clevinger said he has felt more like himself on the mound in his past two outings. In that span, he's pitched to a 0.82 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 11 innings and in his current form will be a nightmare for Tigers hitters. Meanwhile,Spencer Turnbull(3-8, 3.59 ERA, 85 SO)Turnbull’s return from the injured list on Friday in Kansas City showed a rejuvenated arm , and is more than capable of at least slowing the Tribes offence here today to some extent , which Im betting translates into a combined score that remains on the low side of this total.TURNBULL is 10-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. TURNBULL is 11-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 21-11 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 23-10-5 in Tigers last 38 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Turnbulls last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Turnbulls last 9 road starts.Under is 3-1-1 in Turnbulls last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts overall.Under is 21-8-2 in Clevingers last 31 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 23-9-2 in Clevingers last 34 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 7-2-1 in Indians last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 39-15-2 in Indians last 56 Wednesday games.Under is 7-3 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 35-16-1 in Indians last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games. Play UNDER |
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07-17-19 | Wings +7.5 v. Mercury | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Mercury on a two game losing streak and losses in 4 of their L/5 proved to me they dont matchup all that well vs the Wings. In the first meeting with the Wings this season on June 20. the Mercury two key offensive threats Griner and Bonner were held to a combined 20 points as Phoenix shot 24.6 percent and was outrebounded 49-28. While I dont expect that lopsided of a occurrence here I do believe we have value taking points with the visitors. Note:Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Dallas Wings ( Back ). Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-17-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh's Chris Archer (3-6, 5.42 ERA) is scheduled to face St. Louis' Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 1.99) in a battle of right-handers. Archer the Pirates starter had his best stuff in his second-half debut on Friday vs. the Cubs. He leaned on his four-seamer and slider to strike out a season-high 10 batters and comes into this tilt with momentum.Archer is 0-0 with a 2.20 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon gets another opportunity after allowing one run in 6 2/3 innings in an emergency start Friday against the D-backs. Note: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. National League Central.Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 11-3 in Cardinals last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 21-6-1 in Cardinals last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 games following a loss.Under is 20-7 in Cardinals last 27 home games.Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 35-15-2 in Cardinals last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 55-25-3 in Cardinals last 83 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Ponce de Leons last 5 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Ponce de Leons last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts on grass.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Ponce de Leons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 16-7 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. ST LOUIS is 30-17 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 18-6 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Play under |
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07-17-19 | Dream +7 v. Sky | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 1 h 60 m | Show | |
Atlanta according to my power rankings is being under rated here thus giving us value taking points with the with the Dream vs Chicago. Atlanta won two of the three games between the teams last year, including an 89-74 romp at home in the most recent matchup. WNBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-57 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-16-19 | Astros v. Angels +104 | 2-7 | Win | 104 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
LAA starterHeaney, who was the late Tyler Skaggs' best friend, is coming off an emotional outing in which he allowed two runs over five innings in Houston. His start began with a slow curveball to honor Skaggs and will prepared to honor his close friend again here vs Astros this evening. Angels are 9-4 in Heaneys last 13 home starts. Note: Mike Trout is not 100% and suffering with a calf injury and may miss this game. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 17-35 for a go against 67% conversion rate. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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07-16-19 | Pirates +166 v. Cardinals | 3-1 | Win | 166 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Under rated Dario Agrazal(2-0, 2.81 ERA, 7 SO)has earned an extended look in the Majors, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over 16 innings in his first three starts for the Pirates and is a viable underdog in this spot play. The Cardinals are 0-8 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and they won in his last start against their opponent. St Louis was the favorite in five of the eight games as they are here tonight.Cardinals are alsoe 0-4 in Flahertys last 4 starts and are fade material here tonight against the Pirates. FLAHERTY is 4-9 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)ST LOUIS is 4-15 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. I know these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Pirates on a 4 game losing streak and the Cards on a 3 game wining run, but all good a bad things must come to end, and thats what Im betting on here. Note: HURDLE is 31-19 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses as the manager of PITTSBURGH. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 52-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |