Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-06-24 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville +9.5 | 83-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Louisville to cover |
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01-06-24 | North Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 159.5 | 65-55 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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01-05-24 | Wolves v. Rockets +3.5 | 122-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Houston has played their best hoops at home this season winning 14 of 19 games and won at home last time out for their 2nd straight win. HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS after playing a home game this season. Udoka is 12-1 ATS off a home win as the coach of HOUSTON. Meanwhile, the visotrs tonight are on a down mode at the moment after a 117-106 home loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday, their third loss in five games. Current momentum and their top tier level of play at home has me recommending we take the hosts to cover. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after playing 4 consecutive home games are 24-13 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Houston to cover |
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01-05-24 | Blackhawks v. Devils -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks are banged up and playing a ugly brand of hockey at the moment, as is evident by losing 11 of the L/13 trips to the ice and are also on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights, vs a surging NJ Devils side, that (4-1-0) L/5 and who are 12-6-1 since Thanksgiving even though they are also not fully healthy. The Blackhawks have lost 17 of 21 road games with the average gpg diff clicking in at -2.3 gpg and are fade material here tonight. CHICAGO is 0-12 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 6-32 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. Play on the NJ Devils to cover -1.5 |
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01-05-24 | Iona v. St. Peter's UNDER 126 | 57-69 | Push | 0 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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01-04-24 | Utah v. Arizona State +6 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona State to cover |
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01-04-24 | California Baptist v. Utah Valley -1.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah Valley has suffered just two losses over the last two seasons in the confines of the UCCU Center. The Wolverines have won 21 of their last 23 games at home and get the nod again. CBB team (UTAH VALLEY ST) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 69-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Utah Valley to cover |
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01-04-24 | Blackhawks v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Chicago enters this game having seen an average of 7.2 gpg scored in their L/5 trips to the golden pond. Meanwhile, the Rangers offense continues to uptrend and have averaged 3.6 gpg game, with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored in their L/5. They Rangers are off a down effort last time only scoring 1 goal in a 6-1 loss at home to Carolina and will be in a big bounce mode tonight and will have little mercy here in their approach to this game which for me projects to be a big scoring output. Note: The Rangers have gone over in 6 of their L/7 with one push. CHICAGO is 8-2 OVER after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7 gog scored. NHL Road teams against the total (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game are 21-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (NY RANGERS) - after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game against opponent after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 118-70 OVER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-04-24 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Merrimack UNDER 146.5 | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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01-04-24 | IUPU-Indianapolis +9.5 v. Robert Morris | 48-92 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. IUPU to cover |
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01-04-24 | St Francis PA v. Sacred Heart OVER 142 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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01-03-24 | Clippers v. Suns +3 | 131-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Suns are shinning bright right now after 4 straight wins and have the ability to pull off the upset vs the red hot LA Clippers tonight in the desert. I know that Kevin Durant is expected this miss this game but Bradly Beal has really stepped up his play and feels confident taking a leading role for the Suns. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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01-03-24 | Rice +8.5 v. Tulane | 59-84 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Rice to cover |
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01-03-24 | NC State v. Notre Dame OVER 136.5 | 54-52 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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01-03-24 | Louisville +15 v. Virginia | 53-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Louisville to cover |
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01-03-24 | High Point v. Radford -2 | 85-71 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Radford to cover |
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01-03-24 | Fordham v. George Washington -4 | 119-113 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. George Washington to cover |
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01-03-24 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Louis -2 | 80-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Louis to cover |
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01-02-24 | Celtics v. Thunder +4 | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Both these sides enter this game in top form. The Thunder have won four straight games and seven of their last eight, entering Tuesday's matchup with the second-fewest losses in the conference. Oklahoma City is 22-9 this season. Meanwhile, Boston has won 11 of its past 12. So this will be a clash of the titans, but Im betting the home court advantage for the Thunder will be the difference maker in a place where the home side has won the two most recent meetings. BOSTON is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-3 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. The Thunder are 4-0 ATS L/4 meeting in this series. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-02-24 | Lightning v. Jets -127 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
After splitting a home-and-home set with the Minnesota Wild, Winnipeg is 10-1-2 in its past 13 games and deserve respect here as home chalk vs a Tampa Bay side that has lost 12 of 19 road games this season. Winnipeg has won the two most recent meetings as hosts in this series and get the nod again. WINNIPEG is 15-3 ATS against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season.WINNIPEG is 10-1 ATSin home games after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The Tampa Bay Lightning have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 91 games (-18.00 Units / -13% ROI)Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win |
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01-02-24 | Illinois-Chicago +4 v. Murray State | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Illinois Chicago to cover |
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01-02-24 | Ball State v. Kent State OVER 141 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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01-02-24 | Toledo +2.5 v. Ohio | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Toledo to cover |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington OVER 62.5 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
Washington undefeated season came by route of an explosive offense that averaged just under 38 points per game and rarely could be slowed. their Achilles heel has and is their D that allowed 30.1 ppg, and Texas is a team that can exploit that as is evident by averaging 36.2 ppg this season and that put up 57 and 49 points respectively in their L/2 games of the season. What Im betting on here today is a back and forth blockbuster that easily eclipses this total. TEXAS is 10-0 L/10 OVER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 68.7 ppg scored. TEXAS is 16-3 OVER L/19 after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games with a combined average of 71 ppg scored. Washingtons HC DeBoer has seen his team score an average of 43.2 in his teams L/10 non conference games. Play over |
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01-01-24 | Pacers v. Bucks -7.5 | 122-113 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bucks are back home after a four-game road trip, most recently defeating the Cavaliers in Cleveland on Friday by a 119-111 final and have won 9 of their L/10 overall SU. Meanwhile, Indiana has won 3 straight, and before that run started they lost 6 of 7 Considering the Bucs play their best hoops at home where they are 16-1 SU while covering 12 of those games it will be an easy decision to back the home side that has one more day rest as compared to the visitors. . Indiana can really light up that score-bard and thats their opus operandi but Milwaukee is equally explosive offensively. These are the top two offensive teams in the NBA in points per game (126.6 and 125, respectively) and offensive rating (122.3 and 121, respectively). the difference maker comes on the defensive end of the floor via efficiency ratings - Indiana ranks 28th (120.9) in defensive while the Bucks rank 16th (116) . Note: Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 posessions. MILWAUKEE is 55-42 ATS (as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 20-46 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors . NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 23-53 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Bucks to cover |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Alabama started slowly this year but like a run away freight train seem unstoppable now. The Tide enter this game with some powerful trends on their side. For example Alabama is 20-3-1 ATS as an underdog against an undefeated team and the SEC champion team is perfect 6-0 ATS in a Bowl game vs a undefeated side. On the flipside the wolverines are 0-6 SU/ATS in their L/6 Bowl games. I know Michigan can run the ball, and have a mobile QB, but Sabans crew owns 30th ranked rush defense in the country allowing just 3.7 YPC and 124.5 YPG. I can see Harbaugh finding the sledding tough in this matchup and thus for us taking the points makes alot of sense. ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play this season. Harbaugh is 4-12 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of MICHIGAN. Play on Alabama to cover |
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01-01-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Texas UNDER 146 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa +6 v. Tennessee | 0-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Volunteers have alot of talent, but that has not helped all that much this season, as they underperformed as compared to what the pundits though they would achieve. The Vols owned the worst time of possession in all of FCS football, and here against Iowas super staunch D, will be challenged to hold the ball for long here today. What Im betting on is that this disciplined Iowa D, that ranked 5th in not taking penalties this season will life miserable for a mistake prone and undisciplined Vols side that ranked 127 th in penalties this season. I know the Hawkeyes offense has looked stale this season, but it must be noted that TENNESSEE is 5-15 ATS L/20 versus terrible offensive teams - averaging 4.25 or less yards/play. Also Ferentz is 31-18 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of IOWA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.3 ppg. Play on Iowa to cover |
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01-01-24 | Liberty +18 v. Oregon | 6-45 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
Liberty comes into this game undefeated and have out yarded their opposition in every game this season and Im betting if they lose to this powerful Oregon side they wont go into the night easily. After losing the PAC 12 championship to Washington, the Ducks may find themselves in a emotional letdown spot. With RB Bucky Irving opting out and a litany of other key missing parts from the regular season the Ducks are waddling in this tilt vs a formidable opponent. QB Bo Nix cannot win this game on his own. Note: Pac 12 Bowlers are 3-26 ATS vs teams coming off a victory like Liberty. OREGON is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. CFB Neutral field underdogs (LIBERTY) - excellent rushing team - averaging 225 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 26-3 ATS L/31 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field underdogs (LIBERTY) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-3 ATS L/31 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Liberty to cover |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +10 v. LSU | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
QB Jayden Daniels’ will play for LSU today and his name alone has over bloated this line in favor of the underdogs Wisconsin. It must be noted that Heisman Trophy QBS have lost 20 of 31 games SU vs top tier defenses that give up 19 PPG or less like the Badgers. I know LSU has flashy explosive offense but Wisconsin has a very tough D, that can slow down the best of attacks. On the flips side Im betting the Badgers can grind their way towards the red zone , and also do some damage to a non existent LSU red zone D, ranked 113th in the nation. Note: Brian Kelly is 1-7 ATS as a bowl favorite of 7 or more points while, the Badgers have covered 6 of their L/8 as 6+ point underdogs. CFB Neutral field favorites (LSU) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 9-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 17 or more total starters returning are 38-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (WISCONSIN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 34-18 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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01-01-24 | Hampton v. Drexel OVER 139.5 | 65-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 43 | 33-10 | Push | 0 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
Going over in a indoor game at this time year is alot more optimal a bet than an under in a out doors game. With this game going in a dome tonight, Im betting on alot more offensive fireworks than the lines-makers might expect. Both sides recently have been involved in higher scoring affairs, with the Packers going over in 5 straight games, combing for 52 ppg while Minnesota has gone over in two straight with a combined average of 52.5 ppg scored. I know this is essentially a play off elimination game with loser not going to the post season, but instead of a chess match these sides are more suited to playing an aggressive take no prisoners type of affair which translates into a higher scoring game. GREEN BAY is 22-4 OVER in road games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games with a combined average of 53.7 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 6-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 48 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after a win by 6 or less points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 51.2 ppg scored ( GB beat Carolina 33-10 last week) MINNESOTA is 17-5 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.1 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 6-0 OVER in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 57.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 6-0 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 56.2 ppg scored. ( Vikings lost to Lions last week 30-24) NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MINNESOTA) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival, in the second half of the season are 42-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-31-23 | Kings v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 123-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s or very low 230 fange giving us a substantial edge on an under bet cashing according to to those projections. Memphis ranks 10th in the NBA in Defensive rating and have seen a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored in in their 13 games as hosts with 9 of their 13 games at home staying under the total. SACRAMENTO is 33-13 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 14-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 21-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 15-4 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-31-23 | Magic +6 v. Suns | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The Suns have won two consecutive tilts to move above .500 but have been major underachievers so far this season. Phoenix lost nine of 12 games before the consecutive victories and according to my power rankings are being over rated in this spot play at home. Note: PHOENIX is 4-12 ATS in home games this season. From a matchup perspective the Magic look good here as they are 13-4 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. ORLANDO is 32-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 2-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 0-7 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Advantage Orlando. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Orlando Magic |
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12-31-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Grizzlies | 123-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
This is the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 nights and they are coming off an exhausting 4 game road trip that saw them lose their last two tilts. Sacramento is off a road win vs Atlantan last time out and has momentum entering this game . Im betting it takes some time for the Grizzlies to acclimated to home cooking and for the Kings to grab the win. SACRAMENTO is 19-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 23-10 ATS ( when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 37-21 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-31-23 | Celtics v. Spurs +13.5 | 134-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston's most recent win was a 120-118 slugfest at home against Toronto. The truth of the matter was the Celtics looked a little tired after playing all out winning hoops for what has been an extended period of time which believe it or not can be exhausting both physically and mentally. With this being the Celtics 3rd game in 4 nights the young Spurs who have been fairly competitive at home could easily stay within this offered underdog number. The Spurs have procured a -8.2 ppf at home this season. BOSTON is 15-27 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are 4-23 L/27 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Spurs to cover |
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12-31-23 | North Dakota +11.5 v. South Dakota State | 61-80 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N Dakota State to cover |
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12-31-23 | South Carolina State v. Oklahoma State OVER 146 | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-31-23 | Raiders +4 v. Colts | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Las Vegas is off a big win last time out at KC and are 5--1-1 ATS under new interim HC Antonio Pierce . With momentum on their sides going against a Colts side, that is just 1-6 ATS hosting AFC West opposition taking points here with the reborn Raiders looks very much to be. viable betting option. It must also be noted that the visitor in this series is 5-0 ATS L/5 and Raiders’ interim head coach's when coming off a victory the last three seasons, are 5-1 ATS as a pups, and 3-0 ATS against opposition like the Colts coming off a SUATS defeat. LAS VEGAS is 7-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. (Beat KC last week 20-14) INDIANAPOLIS is 16-31 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LAS VEGAS) - with a terrible passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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12-31-23 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
I know the Bucs won last time out as hosts, but that has been a recipe for disaster for their betting backers as they are 0-5-1 ATS at home off a home game. I know QB Baker Mayfield has looked great for the Bucs, but today he goes against a desperate Saints side that needs wins to have the possibility of making the pay offs. Today revenge and desperation trump the Bucs situational algorithms. NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS L/29 in road games revenging a same season loss against opponent and are 5-0 ATS when they have triple revenge on board. (Saints have lost last three to TB including a game this season) NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS L/15 in road games vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games . NFL team (TAMPA BAY) - off an upset win as a home underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 5-25 ATS L/30 seasons for. go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-31-23 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | 19-56 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
Baltimore is off a huge DD road win vs the SF 49ers last time out and will be in natural letdown spot here this Sunday. Note: NFL team (BALTIMORE) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 13-38 ATS L/10 seasons in their followup tilt. Also BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS in home games after a win by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and top gun QB Lamar Jackson is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite when coming off a straight up underdog victory. Meanwhile, Miami is off a ugly 22-20 win vs Dallas last time out and continue to uptrend in my power rankings. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 97-49 ATS L/30 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. The Fins have also played teams like the Ravens tough recently going 6-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Miami has covered their L/2 vs the Ravens including one here in Maryland and get my backing to cover this week in a key spot play. Play on Miami to cover |
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12-30-23 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | 132-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Dallas super star Doncic has been on a tear of late, recently putting up 39-points and a 50-point explosion Christmas Day in Phoenix in a victory versus the Suns. He was given Thursday off on the second night of a back-to-backs and should be fresh and ready to run and gun tonight against the over rated and inconsistent Golden State. Kidd is 22-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of DALLAS. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Saturday games are 47-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mavs to cover |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 43 m | Show | |
Dallas' offense has looked a little inconsistent the past two games as Dak Prescott was limited to 134 passing yards by the Bills , but is more than capable of a bounce back effort here at home.In the team's home games, Prescott has completed 74 % of his passing attempts with 20 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda vs visiting Motown. Dallas is 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS at home in this last 15 games overall , including a 5-0 ATS when coming off a loss and are in bounce back mode. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Dallas also matches up well vs a explosive team like the Lions, going 7-0 ATS ( in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons Play on Cowboys to cover |
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12-30-23 | Knicks +3.5 v. Pacers | 126-140 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
NYK has lost 3 of their L/4 games , but this is a resilient well conditioned side that is more than capable of bouncing back. Note: NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. This will be the Knicks 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned sides as is evident by HC Thibodeau 26-12 ATS mark in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of NEW YORK. We all know the Pacers can shoot the lights out both their defense is atrocious. With that said it must be noted that NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season.NEW YORK is also 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.( lost in Orlando 118-107 - going under a total of 226) Meanwhile, Im betting Indiana after two straight underdog wins on the road could easily be in a letdown spot here which seems to not be uncommon for them as they are 5-17 ATS L/22 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog . INDIANA is also 0-8 ATS after a division game this season. ( Took out division foe Chicago 120-114 last time out) NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 25-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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12-30-23 | Devils v. Bruins -143 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Devils are on tired legs after a 6-2 win on the road vs the Ottawa Senators last night. NEW JERSEY is 1-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season and 0-6 ATS L/6 off a road victory by 2 goals or more. Meanwhile, the Bruins had a 4 game losing streak snapped last time out with a 4-1 win at Buffalo and have momentum entering this tilt vs a side that they have beaten in their L/3 as hosts in this series. NHL team against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 46-85 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Bruins to win |
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12-30-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida Gulf Coast +16.5 | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Pennsylvania v. Houston -26.5 | 42-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +5 | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Pistons continue their ugly season tonight against the Raptors as they try to grab a victory for the first time in 28 games . Despite of not winning they have been mostly competitive and played a great game vs the Celtics last time out after taking a big lead.Despite playing an grueling heart breaking game in a overtime contest on Thursday, the Pistons will be the fresher team on Saturday vs a Toronto side playing in back to back games. Im not saying the Pistons grab the win here, but taking points with them is a viable option. note: The Pistons have grabbed the cash the L/3 times they have faced the Raptors at home in Motown. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 25-12 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (DETROIT) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-30-23 | Wyoming v. BYU -20.5 | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Cal Poly +12 v. UC-Davis | 46-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Georgia v. Florida State OVER 44 | 63-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
Two very explosive offenses go head to head here in the Orange bowl with Florida State averaging 37 ppg, and their opponent Georgia averaging 38.4 ppg. Both these teams can make top tier defenses look average and thats what Im betting on today in this Bowl game. My projections estimate a much higher scoring game than the linesmakers- with both sides scoring 28Plus points Note: GEORGIA is 46-0 OVER L/46 when both teams score 28 or more points . FLORIDA ST is 46-4 OVER L/50 when both teams score 28 or more points . Norvell is 13-3 OVER with extended rest in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 68.4 ppg scored. Smart is 11-3 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of GEORGIA with a combined average of 59 ppg going on the board in those games. CFB team against the total (GEORGIA) - in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or less turnovers/game forced after 8+ games, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 33-14 OVER L/5 seasons for. a70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-30-23 | UCLA +7.5 v. Oregon | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Auburn v. Maryland +6.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Auburn lost In the Stats battles , in all 7 conference games with a net average of -165 YPG and yet fine d favor with the linesmakers. Needless to say this was not one of better incarnations of the Auburn football program and Im betting they are getting far to much respect here vs a Maryland side with a top tier QB at the helm of their offense, ( future NFLer Taulia Tagovailoa) Auburn is -1-5 SU ATS L/6 Bowl games and failed to cover 7 of their L/8 against the Big 10. AUBURN is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. Teprs are 5-1 ATS L/6 non conference tilts. MARYLAND is 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Maryland to cover |
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12-30-23 | Liberty v. Alabama UNDER 154.5 | 56-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-30-23 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest -3.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Arkansas State v. Georgia State OVER 145 | 90-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +6 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart can rip apart the best of defenses. Yes, Penn State has a top tier D, but their offense is very inconsistent . Note: Penn States respected defensive coordinator Manny Diaz has left a for a job at Duke, and will not be around to mentor his D today. Edge Ole Miss taking points. Big Ten bowl sides like Penn State have lost 11 of 17 games and are just 4-13 ATS versus the SEC football programs when they are a three point or more favorite. Ole Miss is 5-0 SUATS as the bowl under dog of 3 or more points. CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (OLE MISS) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in December games are 19-7 L/30 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLE MISS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 170-101 L/31 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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12-29-23 | Arizona v. California +14.5 | 100-81 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CALIFORNIA is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Play on California to cover |
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12-29-23 | Thunder +3.5 v. Nuggets | 119-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets, would be riding a 10-game winning streak if not for Oklahoma City. The last time these teams played the young never say die Thunder came out on top and their ability to be relentless will be the difference maker tonight. The Thunder rallied to win at Denver on Dec. 16, and now they return there for another matchup against the reigning champions on Friday night. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 ATS in all games this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 41-12 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Thunder to cover |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 48.5 | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Missouri has a strong QB and offense lead by their key arm under center Brady Cook . With that said, Im betting the Tigers do some damage here today. Meanwhile, despite of alot of transfer portal opt outs for Ohio State on offense the depth of this top tier variety program is very viable and and Im also betting hold their own offensively no matter who the QB is. MISSOURI in their L/20 games in December games have seen a combined average of 63.7 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (MISSOURI) - quick starting team - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the first half, after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 32-11 OVER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate fro bettors. Play over |
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12-29-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Hawks | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this home game against Sacramento dumping money for their betting backers at an astounding rate , as is evident by cashing just 2 of their L/15 overall including SU losses in 9 of their L/12 overall. I know Atlanta has won 4 straight meetings in this series but that was than and this is now. Advantage Kings SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more over the last 2 seasons ATLANTA is 2-13 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite this season. ATLANTA is 0-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 8-32 L/5 seasons for. a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento |
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12-29-23 | Bucks v. Cavs +6.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Cleveland came through in the crunch in a hard-fought battle Wednesday, taking down the Dallas Mavericks on the road 113-110 after needing to come-back from a 20-point deficit. Entering this game with a big scoop of confidence Im betting the Cavs give the visiting Milwaukee Bucks all they can handle. Cleveland has won the L/4 meetings in this series a at home and have an edge taking points at home. CLEVELAND is 28-14 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-29-23 | Alabama State v. South Florida OVER 144.5 | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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12-29-23 | Wright State -7 v. Green Bay | 77-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Wright St to cover |
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12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky +4.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
Clemsons HC Dabo Sweeney is used to playing for bigger marbles than this, and the team as whole may not be as motivated to play in a minor bowl . Meanwhile. Kentucky is a gritty team, that has played well overall this season, against top tier competition and considering ,ACC teams are just 1-6 SU L/7 l bowl games vs the Southeastern Conference its not going to be hard decision for me to take the points with the underdog Wildcats who are 24-1 SU in their L/25 non conference games. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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12-28-23 | Long Beach State -3 v. CS-Fullerton | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
I know Oklahoma will start a freshman QB Jackson Arnold today after their starter went into the transfer portal, but this is still a solid Sooners team that is more than capable of upending No.14th ranked Arizona. He went 18-for-24 for 202 yards this season so its not like hes has not taken a snaps. Scouting reports also say hes is excelling in the new offensive coordinators system. I also know Arizona has won 6 straight and are streaking into this Bowl game, but it must also be noted that Pac-12 bowl sides are an ugly 2-25 ATS versus opposition coming off a victory. Note: The Sooners are 5-0 SU in their L/5 games against Pac-12. The favorite is 2-7 ATS in this bowl venue. Arizona QB Noah Fafita may have more issues staying upright as his starting starting left tackle, will ,miss this tilt, Historical trend chart: ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS in road games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival since 1992.ARIZONA is 1-12 ATSin road games after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. (Beat rivals Arizona State 59-23 last time out) |
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12-28-23 | CS Sacramento v. Idaho -2.5 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-28-23 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tennessee Tech OVER 153 | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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12-28-23 | Pacers v. Bulls +1.5 | 120-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bulls according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs a Indiana team that pays little attention to D. Note: CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. Right now the Bulls are a ATM machine for their betting backers cashing 11 of their L/13 ATS and are off a underdog victory vs the Atlanta Hawks last time out. That good news considering they are a bankroll expanding CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons . HC Donovan is 18-2 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog as the coach of CHICAGO.CHICAGO is also 7-0 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. The Pacers won last time out against Houston, but that was only their 3rd win in 9 games, and Im betting against them here tonight, mostly because of their lack of defensive discipline, something the Bulls have in spades. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more PPG) are 40-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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12-28-23 | Albany v. Long Island UNDER 153 | 86-69 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-28-23 | Coppin State v. Maryland UNDER 129 | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-28-23 | NC State v. Kansas State -1.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Both of these teams have opt outs, but the deeper side is Kansas State and they have the better coach in my opinion, Kleiman who takes winning seriously and losing even more intensely as is evident by going 6-0 ATS /SU after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.( KState lost to Iowa State 42-35 to end the season) Bounce back time on todays agenda for the Wildcats. Note: Kleiman is 10-1-1 ATS off a loss versus a side coming off a victory like NC State. KANSAS ST is 13-5 ATS (as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. KState ranked No. 1 in the nation in most Defensive TD CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NC STATE) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NC State is 0-3 SUATS L3 Bowls. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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12-28-23 | SMU v. Boston College +10.5 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
To start with SMU is 0-4 SU/ATS vs ACC schools and have lost their L/3 Bowl games SU/ATS all as chalk. I know Boston college will have a back up QB at the helm of the offense, but my projections estimate they will still do enough damage to cover this number with their D being the key to covering this number and even possibly pulling of the upset. It must also be noted three of the Eagles 6 wins came as underdogs this season and they must not be discounted in this spot play . I know SMU comes in their streaking, but are jus 2-11 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 55-24 L/31 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on BC to cover |
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12-27-23 | Chicago State v. California Baptist UNDER 132.5 | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (CHICAGO ST) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with a combined average of 129.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-27-23 | Jets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Winnipeg blitzed Atlantic Division-leading Boston 5-1 and Im betting they light up the board again, which will help propel this combined score over the set Totals offering. Note: Winnipeg has scored 5 or more goals in 4 of their L/5 trips to the ice. Chicago has allowed 4.71 GPG in their L/7 overall while allowing 7 goal outputs by their opponents twice during that span. Im betting the Jets are good for 5 or 6 goals here, which by itself puts us in a position to cash this ticket , even if the Hawks struggle to score.
Road teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 25-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State -2 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas A&M enters this Bowl game with a recent history of failure in Bowl games going 0-3 SU/ATS L/3 appearances. The Aggies despite of some top tier talent just makes to many mistakes and are an undisciplined group as is evident by ranking No. 130 in the nation in Most Penalties Per Game (9.83). Also the Aggies this season are 1-5 SU against fellow Bowl teams. Considering the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L/7 series , I like their chances to cover against a inconsistent Aggies side. .The key will be one of the nations top running backs Gordon who eclipsed the 100-yard mark in eight games this season and has 20 TDs of Oklahoma State.
CFB team (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 60-20 ATS sicne 1992 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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12-27-23 | Cavs +4.5 v. Mavs | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
Cleveland has played very competitive ball and according to my projections matchup well here vs a Dallas Mavs side that is 15-28 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and just 10-24 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Considering Cleveland is well rested after last playing Saturday in a 109-95 win at Chicago, they look to have an edge here taking points vs a side that played Christmas day in a win vs the Suns on the road - behind Doncics 50 point out put. Regression from the Mavs should be expected. NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 45-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-27-23 | Louisville v. USC OVER 58 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
USC will be shorthanded offensively because of the portal transfer , but will still have four-star QB under center along with a large group of tainted offensive players who I expect to take this opportunity to showcase their talents. Defensively Im also betting the Trojans stop units will once again struggle vs a Louisville side that can score in bunches. (Note: Trojans rank :Trojans defense ranks just 122nd in EPA per play and 118th in explosiveness) Yes on the flip side the Cardinal D has shown some staunch efforts overall but have also been torched,Georgia Tech (34 points, 488 yards ), Virginia (24 points, 434 yards ), Miami (31 points, 486 yards ), and Kentucky (38 points) I project at least 28 points for the Trojans -Note: USC is 7-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points this season with a combined average of 83.7 ppg scored. LOUISVILLE is 9-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 70.2 ppg scored. USC is 15-4 OVER in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 73.1 ppg scored.USC is 15-3 OVER after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 75.9 ppg scored. Play over USC is 12-3 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 73.5 ppg scored. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina +6.5 v. West Virginia | 10-30 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
These teams West Virginia and North Carolina feature two key missing parts. The Mountaineers will be without starting C Zach Frazier who is out due to surgery. Meanwhile, North Carolina, will be without star QB Drake Maye who opted out for the NFL draft. Both may have problems moving the ball consistently though the air because of this will Im betting instead pound the ball on the ground consistently behind very strong running games. The Mounties have a trio of strong backs, QB Garrett Green ,.J. Donaldson, and Jaheim White while, Tar Heels exhibit RB Omarion Hampton who had 1442 yars of production. From my projected perspective this will be a grinding game that could easily be decided by one score, thus making the underdog value a very viable proposition. W VIRGINIA is 0-8 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. W VIRGINIA is 1-12 ATS as a neutral field favorite since 1992. West Virginia is also s 0-11 ATS as a bowl favorite. N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season CFB Neutral field favorites (W VIRGINIA) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 7-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. The Fav has failed to cover 5 of the L/6 Duke's Mayo Bowl confrontations. Play on North Carolina to cover |
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12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +11 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
So Tulanes HC Willie Fritz is gone to Houston along with a few assistants , but is that enough to sway this line in that big of a direction vs a side like Tulane that has won 24 of their L/27 games overall. Im betting no. This is a viable Tulane team, that is in my opinion being vastly under rated and deserve respect here getting points. The Green Wave are 11-2 on the season , while the VTech Hokies are just 6-6 on the season, and just 2-4 away from home. Just have to take the points here as the line seems bloated. VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games . Also VTech won their last game of the season vs Virginia, but in the past thats not a good omen for their betting backers as they are 1-10 ATS L/11 coming off a victory as a fav (which they were). Play on Tulane to cover |
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12-26-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -1 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls have shown alot of consistency and competitive recently winning 8 of their L/12 SU while covering 10 of those games. They did lose to Cleveland late time out but are a resilient bunch that Im betting will bounce back vs a Atlanta side that does not travel particularly well as is evident by their 8-9 away record that has seen them fail to cover 11 of those tilts and 10 of their L/14 overall SU(home/away). With the Hawks expected to be without forward De'Andre Hunter who will undergo a non-surgical procedure and already missing key component Johnson, Trae Young becomes the sole arbiter of the Hawks, and despite his prowess is not a one man team. Advantage Chicago. ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA team (CHICAGO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more PPG) are 39-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice +3.5 | 45-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
The Texas State offense was explosive this season but the D is where the problems are incurred as is evident by , ranking 118th in the nation while allowing 33.8 points per game and earlier this season allowed 77 points in a loss versus Arkansas State. I know Rice Backup AJ Padgett has not been as explosive as starter JT Daniels , but he is a quality QB that matches up well vs this miserable Texas State secondary and D. Note: AAC bowlers are 4-2 SUATS vs. Sun Belt opponent. The Owls 7-1 ATS L/7 games as a dog of 13 or less points. RICE is 8-2 ATS in games played on turf this season. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RICE) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 57-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover |
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12-26-23 | Bowling Green v. Minnesota OVER 39.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Gophers allow 5.8 yards per play and have less than viable offense, and rank130th in Finishing Drives Allowed and red-zone scoring percentage allowed. Meanwhile, as this season has progressed the bowl Green offense has improved and Im betting they do some damage here as they put up 49 , 31, 34 points respectively in L/3 games of the season . Meanwhile, the media has been making a big deal over whether starting quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis will not start for the Gophers as he enters the transfer portal. But truth is the Gophers offense runs around their running game, as they move the ball via the rush more 60% of time behind, star RB Darius Taylor who averages 5.7 yard per carry. Note:Falcons have struggled stopping the rush, ranking outside the top 100 in Rushing Success Rate Allowed. Everything points to this total being eclipsed. CFB teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BOWLING GREEN/MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (280 to 330 YPG) are 120-62 OVER L/31 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show | |
We two very explosive offenses ready to go head tonight in San Francisco as the Ravens visit the 49ers in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. My projections estimate both sides will put up 21 plus points. Note: SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 64.3 ppg scored.BALTIMORE is 16-3 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 57.4 ppg scored in those tilts. San Francisco popped 45 points on the score board last week in their road victory vs the Cards - which brings in to play this Top tier trend- NFL home teams who scored 45 or more points in an away game the previous week have gone over 9 straight times. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 48.4 ppg scored. Harbaugh is 18-9 OVER as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 47.1 ppg scored. NFC home chalk of 7 points or less like the 49ers on Mondays have gone OVER 9 of the L/10 times dating back 9 seasons vs AFC opposition like the Ravens. Play over |
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12-25-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Lakers | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show | |
Boston owns the No.1 SRS in the NBA with. a 11.50 mark, while the Lakers are ranked 20th in SRS at -0.13. Even with home court advantage there is a clear cut edge for the top tier Celtics telling me this line is tainted based on Lakers brand name recognition. I know the Lakers grabbed a elite win vs the Thunder last time out on the road, but history does not bode well for the aging Lakers to put out another big time effort in this spot, as HC Ham is 6-19 ATS off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BOSTON is 19-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Boston team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight game are 39-10 L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Celtics to cover |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13 | 25-33 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 42 m | Show | |
Philadelphia before their current 3 games losing streak had won 24 of 28 games . Despite of the negatives of their current skein this is still a proud side with enough top tier talent for a conclusive bounce back effort. I know the Giants had won 3 straight before getting lambasted by DDs last week at New Orleans , but this is a side that has been out yarded in 6 straight games and just don't have the wheels to compete here vs a frustrated and redemption minded side. Its not often I lay this much lumber, but that what Im recommending we do this Monday. Super Bowl losing sides from the previous season like the Eagles are 9-1 SU L/10 opportunities when playing off three consecutive defeats, including 3-0 SUATS at home by an average ppg diff of 14 ppg. NFL team (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season is 43-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Eagles to cover |
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12-25-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 230.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -110 | 787 h 47 m | Show | |
12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks +3.5 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii +5.5 | 65-51 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 14-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals +4 v. Bears | 16-27 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Kyler Murray is set to make his sixth start since returning from injury.The QB has completed 62.1 percent of his passes for 1,075 yards, four touchdowns and four interception while rushing for 155 yards and three scores and Im betting he will be the difference maker vs a Bears side he matches up well against. ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.Arizona 9-2 ATS in their last eleven non-division tilts and 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Chicago 1-5 ATS L/6 as short non-division home favorite of 6 or less points. Play on the Arizona Cards to cover |
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12-24-23 | Old Dominion v. Massachusetts UNDER 155 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-24-23 | Temple -3.5 v. Portland | 55-54 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TEMPLE) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3. Temple to cover |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattle is not playing well, despite of finding a way to win last time out, coming from behind to beat a tired Philadelphia Eagles side 20-17 count. After 4 straight exhausting games against the 49ers twice and the Cowboys and the Eagles last time out, Im betting the Seahawks dont have alot left in the tank. It must also be noted that the Seahawks are 0-5 SU in away tilts this season since its Bye Week. With Tennessee owning a 6-1 ATS record in this series and the fact that they are 4-0 SUATS this season off a loss the Titans look like viable underdogs. NFL Road teams (SEATTLE) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game), after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 22-53 ATS L/30 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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12-24-23 | Browns v. Texans OVER 40 | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
CLEVELAND is 6-0 OVER in road games this season with a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored. This Browns team seems to play alot more wide open on the road, and are transitioning to pass first attack with Joe Flacco under center. Today with talented Texas QB Stroud back in the mix Im betting they will have to open up their offense, as Im betting Stroud and company do some offensive damage. Stefanski is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of CLEVELAND. Play over |
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12-24-23 | Commanders v. Jets -150 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
both these sides to inspire bets or bettors, but home filed advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here today NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after allowing 25 points or more in 5 straight games are 1-26 L/10 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jets ML |
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12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina +10 v. San Jose State | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
San Jose State has not lost since late October winning 6 straight games and have looked decent overall . But this line vs Coastal Carolina is a just a bit too big a spread. according to my projections. Note : Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS vs an opponent with equal or better record and are 20-9 ATS L/29 as a dog of 12 points or more . San Jose State HC Brennan has cashed only 2 of 8 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Coastal Carolina to cover |
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12-23-23 | Lakers v. Thunder -3 | 129-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
After winning the in season tournament the Lakers old legs look like they have cramped up as is evident by losing 5 of their L/6 including four straight. Meanwhile, the Thunder are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, and just off ending the Clippers extended win streak while having won 5 of their L/6 and three straight and will be primed to take down the visitors tonight as they are one of the best conditioned sides in the league. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Thunder to cover |
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12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +13 | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
After two top tier victories in a row vs KC and Dallas, Im betting on the Bills to be in a letdown spot here in Southern California tonight vs a Chargers side that is a perfect 5-0 SU at home in this series and a 5-0 ATS in its last five games as a double-digit underdog . It must be noted that the Bills are 0-6 ATS L/5 as DD favs. I know the Bills need wins for a play off admission but a victory does not mean things will go all that easily , especially against a side that looks to be running the ball this week alot because their starting star QB Hebert in out. Note: The Bills rush D, is kind of wonky as is evident by allowing 4.6 ypc. Advantage Chargers NFL Underdogs of 10.5 or more points (LA CHARGERS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Chargers to cover |
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12-23-23 | Utah v. Northwestern +6 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
I dont think is the kind of Bowl invite the Utah Utes expected at the out set of what might be considered a disappointing season, based on high expectations. I realy cant see the Utes coming into this game with a lot of enthusiasm, and Im betting they are weak favs here vs a Northwestern side that won their L/3 games of the season while covering their L/6 overall. . The Utes are 0-4 SU in their last four bowl tilts, and have lost 3 of their L/4 SU/ATS vs big 10 opposition. Whittingham is 24-38 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH. Big Ten teams coming off a victory like (Northwestern) are 14-0 ATS in bowl games versus Pac-12 opponents. Meanwhile, Pac 12 Bowl teams like the Utes are 2-25 ATS vs teams coming off a win. Northwestern is 7-3 ATS L/10 bowl games. Play on Northwestern to cover |