Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners -123 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. TOM MILONE (L) The Mariners are in a nasty slump, but all good and bad things must come to aned and tonight Im betting the Mariners getting back into the win column. I know Lance Lynn the Rangers starter has won two straight vs Seattle, but after numerous looks Im betting they start to catch up to him today here at home tonight. The Mariners are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when they are off a game as a road dog and they are hosting aa team that has lost at least their last two games. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 17-57 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Both Boston and the Blues have top tier goaltending and defences, and very physical units. This Im betting will be on full display here in game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals this Monday night. Bostons super star net minder Tuukka Rask leads playoff goalies with an NHL-best 1.84 goals-against average and .942 save percentage. Blues goalie Bennington owns NHL-best 1.89 GAA, a .927 save percentage (fourth in the NHL) and five shutouts during the reg season and enters this finals series on fire stopping 75 of 77 shots (.974 save percentage) in winning the final three games vs San Jose. UNDER is 20-7 in Blues last 27 vs. Atlantic. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (BOSTON/ST.LOUIS) - in the Stanley Cup finals are 140-86 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-27-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -110 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JON GRAY (R) Arizona's Zack Greinke is a top tier hurler, but he will have his hands full with a Rockies batting order that my power rankings suggest he does matchup well against. Diamondbacks are 2-5 in Greinkes last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 2-9 in Greinkes last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Diamondbacks are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings. Meanwhile, Colorados starting hurler Jon Gray has looked over powering recently as was evident in a seven-inning, seven-strikeout performance in a win at Pittsburgh in his last start, Gray averaged 97.1 mph on his fastball. That's the first time the heater averaged such velocity in two years and gives his team a great shot at a ml win here in Coors Field. Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 13-3 in Grays last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game COLORADO is 22-6 against the money line after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 3 straight games since 1997. COLORADO is 60-33 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games since 1997. BLACK is 38-16 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 39-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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05-27-19 | Royals v. White Sox -113 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) The White Sox lost the veteran right-hander’s first five starts of the year, but in Nova’s last five, the team has a 4-1 record. He has made three quality starts in that stretch and gets . my support here this afternoon. Meanwhile, KCs starter Bailey struggled Wednesday against the Cardinals, giving up five runs and four hits in 1 2/3 innings and in his current form is fade material. Note:BAILEY is 5-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BAILEY is 2-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 2-18 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 0-17 L/17 on the ML as a road underdog off a home game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs which happened yesterday. CHI WHITE SOX are 5-0 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 47-16 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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05-27-19 | Tigers v. Orioles -110 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Tigers LH Daniel Norris (2-2, 4.30 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Gabriel Ynoa (0-1, 5.60) Detroit just cant find ways to win no matter who their starter is, as they have lost 11 of their L/12 . I know Baltimore has not faired much better, after suffering losses in 8 of their L/9, but they are lesser of two evils here and get my support on the ML this afternoon at home in Camden Yard where the visiting Tigers have lost 4 of their L/5. DETROIT is 24-42 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Tigers are 1-5 in Norris' last 6 road starts.Tigers are 1-6 in Norris' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 1-8 in Norris' last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 0-4 in Norris' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Tigers are 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 15-41 in their last 56 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 14-40 in their last 54 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 7-21 in their last 28 overall. Tigers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore. Play on Baltimore to win on the ML |
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05-26-19 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L) After winning his first two games, Leake the As starter is 1-5 with a 5.21 ERA over his last eight. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Anderson is dealing with a neck strain and may not be 100% here. Anderson did not look good at Seattle when he opposed Leake on May 14 and served up three homers including six hits in six innings of sub par work. Today Im betting todays starting pitcher will effect a energy surge to the over as will a home plate umpire that has taken part in alot of high scoring affairs. Note:Over is 21-8-3 in Gucciones last 32 games behind home plate. The Mariners dating back to last Sept are 43-19-3 OVER with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 20-8 in Mariners last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 7-0 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 11-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season for a 12.1 rpg. SEATTLE is 15-4 OVER in day games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Over is 7-2 in Andersons last 9 starts overall.Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-26-19 | Rangers +160 v. Angels | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
ARIEL JURADO (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) Los Angeles Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney is expected to make his season debut against the visiting Texas Rangers on Sunday afternoon.Heaney, who threw a team-high 180 innings last season, missed the past two months with inflammation in his throwing elbow. He is 1-3 with a 6.57 ERA in seven career meetings with the Rangers.Today Im betting the Rangers take advantage of his rust in this spot play. TEXAS is 6-0 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season. Note: Angels won yesterdays game 3-2. LA ANGELS are 3-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season. LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line against division opponents this season. TEXAS is 13-5 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games on a natural surface.Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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05-26-19 | Yankees -163 v. Royals | 7-8 | Loss | -163 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) NYY starter German became the Majors' first nine-game winner last time out in Baltimore, though he completed just five frames. German has won his last six starts since April 23, posting a 2.72 ERA and limiting opponents to a .210 average over that span. Im laying a little bit outside my value borders here but they .10c extra outlay is worth it according to my expectations on this line. Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 road starts. Royals are 0-6 in their starter Duffys last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City.Yankees are 88-39 in the last 127 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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05-26-19 | Red Sox +157 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 157 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) Verlander despite of his great record is only a .500 pitcher ( 12-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) RODRIGUEZ the BoSox starter despite of some struggles and a defeat last time out is 21-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Boston lost the first two games of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past under these circumstances, going 26-6 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons.The Red Sox are also 16-0 L/16 on the Moneyline in the last game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is before the All-Star break. The Red Sox are 8-0 on the ML as a 170+ underdog after a contest in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter which was the case yesterday. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are just 42-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 57.4 % conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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05-26-19 | Tigers +162 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
Tigers RH Spencer Turnbull (2-3, 2.68 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (3-3, 4.74) Wheeler the Mets starter is 4-4 with a 5.05 ERA in 14 interleague startsWHEELER is 5-15 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets are 0-4 in Wheelers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.Mets are 10-22 in their last 32 interleague games.Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 5-12 in their last 17 interleague home gamesMeanwhile, Turnbull the Tigers starter matches up well vs the Mets batting order according to my cross reference power rankings. NY METS are 6-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mets have been playing a little better, but todays matchup does not favor them as compared to the value we have with this line. DETROIT is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. CALLAWAY is 3-9 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the manager of NY METS. Tigers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.Tigers are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have made the Bucks look bad in the last two meetings on this series. It must be noted that Milwaukee has stayed UNDER 10 straight times with rest when they are off two double-digit ATS losses and the line is -3 to a pick. Overall in this series the Bucks and the Raptors have struggled offensively .In game 5 the ugliness of this series was highlighted as Toronto went 31-of-84 from the field while the Bucks were 38-of-84. The Raptors actually made seven fewer FGs, but they came out on top because they made twelve more charity stripe conversions than the Bucks. Tonight with so much on the line, I expect this to be a very physical game that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 14-6 in Bucks last 20 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-4-1 in Raptors last 14 games following a straight up win.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-25-19 | Red Sox +115 v. Astros | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH David Price (2-2, 3.29 ERA) vs. Astros RH Brad Peacock (5-2, 3.59) Price returned from the injured list for his most recent start in Toronto, and looked comfortable over five shutout innings. His pitch count will be worth monitoring, as he threw just 67 in that outing and will be very fresh here vs Houston tonight and gets my backing.Price is 6-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 12 career regular-season appearances (10 starts) PRICE is 18-6 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% ro better in his career. (Team's Record) Note: Houstons starting hurler Peacock is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) versus the BoSox. Astros are 2-5 in Peacocks last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, in May games are 14-33 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games. are 12-40 L/5 sesaons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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05-25-19 | Rays +124 v. Indians | 6-2 | Win | 124 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Rays RH Charlie Morton (4-0, 2.65 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (4-4, 4.30) Rays Righty Charlie Morton according to my cross reference pitcher vs batter power rankings Im betting wlll have have success against a lineup of Indians hitters that struggle big time against righties.Note: Morton, who was 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts against the Indians last year. Meanwhile, Carrasco the Tribes starter can be dominate when hes on his game, and Im betting he will be. Last time out, Carrasco had his streak of 13 consecutive scoreless innings snapped, as he gave up three runs in five innings, and looks like a mortal coming in this tilt vs a tough TB side. Note: Carrasco was 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in two games versus Tampa Bay in 2018. Rays are 25-11 in their last 36 road games.Indians are 2-5 in Carrascos last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-4 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. American League East.Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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05-25-19 | Mercury -2.5 v. Storm | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Health issues within the team and coaching staff are expected to make the Seattle Storm's defense of their WNBA title much more difficult and makes them weak home dogs here as well vs the Phoenix Mercury. I know the Mercury are banged up as well but Phoenix, , still has two of the league's top players on the floor and prepared to go in superstar Brittney Griner (20.5 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.6 blocks per game) and DeWanna Bonner (17.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg). The Mercury also took versatile Stanford star Alanna Smith in the first round of last month's draft. Note: PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SEATTLE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws are 5-20 L/25 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate with a the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.7 ppg. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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05-25-19 | Padres v. Blue Jays +110 | 19-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Jackson struggled a bit in his first start for the Blue Jays last time out, and took a loss but Im betting on him bouncing back this afternoon and leading the Jays to the promised land. JACKSON is 8-0 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-0 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 interleague road games.Padres are 11-25 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series.Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Padres are 5-15 in their last 20 Saturday games.Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games on astroturf.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. GREEN is 8-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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05-24-19 | Diamondbacks v. Giants +117 | 18-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L) SF starter Pomeranz gave up two runs over 4 2/3 innings against the D-backs on Sunday in his first start since returning from the injured list and should be even stronger here as he grades back into game shape. He goes against a struggling Arizona side on a 5 game losing streak and losses in 6 of their L/7 on the road. I know the DBacks will start their ace Ray, but The DBacks have lost 10 of the L/14 in this series and in their current form fade material in this spot . Arizona will be without manager Torey Lovullo, who will be attending his son Connor's high school graduation. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-36 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate! Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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05-24-19 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. GRIFFIN CANNING (R) Angels starter Canning is coming off the best start of his career, throwing seven scoreless innings against the Royals. He scattered just three hits and a walk while striking out five and Im betting on him going long and strong in this outing vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my power rankings. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Smyly is in two starts and one relief appearance since returning from the injured list on May 5 has held opponents to a .191 batting average and is more than capable of having a decent start here again. TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall.Under is 18-7-1 in Angels last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 34-15-2 in Angels last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 38-18-4 in Angels last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts overall. Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 during game 1 of a series Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA ANGELS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER |
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05-24-19 | Rays v. Indians +122 | 1-3 | Win | 122 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R) Cleveland starter Bieber became the fourth-youngest pitcher since at least 1908 to record 15 strikeouts without a walk in a complete-game shutout against the Orioles and is my choice today to buoy the Indians to a victory vs TB. TAMPA BAY is 5-16 against the money line in road games after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.FRANCONA is 63-30 against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-18 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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05-24-19 | Padres v. Blue Jays +108 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. TRENT THORNTON (R) The Padres will start left-hander Joey Lucchesi (3-3, 4,28 ERA) Friday night against Toronto right-hander Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.41). LUCCHESI has struggled on the road this season where he has garnered a 8.10 ERA. Meanwhile, Thornton will head to the mound to open a three-game Interleague set against the Padres, looking for his second win of the season. The rookie right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the year, allowing one run on three hits with four strikeouts over six innings against the White Sox last time out, and gets my support here tonight. San Diego is playing well and on a 3 game winning streak, but it must be noted that GREEN is 7-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO. MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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05-24-19 | Marlins +125 v. Nationals | 10-12 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. KYLE MCGOWIN (R) The Nationals are struggling entering this series vs Miami and are 12 games under .500, after losing 20 of their L/28 games and are fade material in their current vs a up trending Marlins team on a 5 game win streak. WASHINGTON is 2-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Marlins starter Lopez.WASHINGTON is 9-21 against the money line in night games this season Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Wrong or right my perception of the Raptors last win in this series vs the Bucks was an albatross event, and that the Bucks are the superior team in a bounce back situation after an embarrassing 18 point loss. It must be noted that the Bucks lost just 7 games this season by 10 or more points . In the last six losses, the Bucks went 6-0 ATS, covering by 12.8 points per game. Also from a league wide perspective teams like Milwaukee coming off a 10 point plus post season loss are 25-11 ATS in the followup game in the Conference Finals. In the last 14 seasons teams that have won at least two straight games entering a playoff game and are in the underdog role in their next game and it is between game 5 and 7 in a playoff series, the team on the two-game-plus winning streak is just 31-48-1 ATS. MILWAUKEE is 16-3 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 37-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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05-23-19 | Rays v. Indians +120 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter tonight Yarbrough was recalled from the minors for this game . The righty was 2-1 with an 8.10 ERA in five relief outings for the Rays earlier this season. Hes been brought up because TB is resting starters. This is a good opportunity for the Tribe to get out of a current offensive funk and get back to winning after getting swept at home. Meanwhile, Cleveland right-hander Adam Plutko, who will get the start on Thursday, allowed just one hit in six innings in his season debut Saturday during a 4-1 win over the Baltimore Orioles and looks very strong and fresh entering this tilt and gets my support in this spot situation. Plutko (1-0, 1.50 ERA) will be making his 21st career appearance (14th start) overall and first versus Tampa Bay which is an advantage for him, as their batters will take few turns to catchup with this viable hurler. TAMPA BAY is 2-11 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings this season. FRANCONA is 63-27 against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CLEVELAND. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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05-23-19 | Phillies v. Cubs -118 | 9-7 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
AARON NOLA (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) Cubs starter Lester is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four May starts, with 23 strikeouts and three walks in 24 innings.Lester has a brilliant record against the Phillies, going 8-0 against them with a 1.49 ERA in 10 career starts and gets my support here today. Note: LESTER is 19-3 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 11-27 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 23-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 138-50 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversi Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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05-23-19 | Nationals v. Mets +135 | 4-6 | Win | 135 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L) There are two key negative issues hampering the Nationals this season, No.1 being their bullpen, which is MLB worst as is evident by garnering a ERA of 6.89 , and secondly their offense which is batting.230 as a team on the road. Today the Nats have a top tier hurler to start this game in Stephen Strasburg, but odds are he cant get this done on his own, and will have to rely on run and bullpen support which is not a likely scenario if current trends stay in place. it must also be noted that the Nats are just 2-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher like the Mets (Matz) with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season and 4-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. I know the Nats are desperate to avoid being swept here in this the final game of this 4 game series, but their needs may well be outweighed by their ugly performance factors. WASHINGTON is 11-21 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons and have failed to win 15 of 25 games this season when listed as a fav or -110 or more. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML |
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05-22-19 | Marlins +117 v. Tigers | 6-3 | Win | 117 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
JOSE URENA (R) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L The victories may not be there for Urena, but the performances have been quality, in his last six starts. Despite being 1-3, he has a 2.77 ERA over that span, working at least six innings in each of them and is a value selection here tonight. URENA is 12-4 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Marlins are 10-3 in Urenas last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers have lost 7 straight games while the Marlins have won 4 straight. NORRIS the Tigers starter is 1-9 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NORRIS is 9-20 against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record) Tigers are 1-10 in Norris' last 11 starts during game 2 of a series. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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05-22-19 | Red Sox -145 v. Blue Jays | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R) After a rough first three starts of the season, Porcello has been stellar ever since, going 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in his last six starts and gets my support here today as the Boston Red Sox bounce back off yesterdays loss to the Jays. Red Sox are 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts.Red Sox are 9-3 in Porcellos last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 10-4 in Porcellos last 14 starts during game 3 of a series. Note: Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez RHP 3-4, 3.88 ERA, 50 SO, exited his last game early with a blister, and may still not be 100%. Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. BOSTON is 20-8 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML |
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05-22-19 | A's -120 v. Indians | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Frankie Montas ...RHP5-2, 2.67 ERA, 52 SO....Montas is emerging as the A's top pitcher, coming off a career-best performance of 8 2/3 innings and 10 strikeouts in a win over the Tigers. He allowed just two earned runs over six innings in a start against Cleveland at the Oakland Coliseum earlier this month and gets my support here today. CLEVELAND is 3-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 4-0 in Montas' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Montas' last 6 starts vs. American League Central. OAKLAND is 32-9 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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05-21-19 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R) These two pitchers give the assumption to public bettors that this looks like and easy slam dunk for the over. Truth is the number is frothy at this number, and offers us value on the under in contrarian fashion. Angels have eclipsed the total only one time in their L/10 games. Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 Tuesday games. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 51-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Bucks -2 v. Raptors | 102-120 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 The Raptors came out in game 3 of this series in desperation mode, and played like their play off lives depended on it, and still needed double OT to get barely get by the Bucks. After playing an exhausting 7 game series with the Sixers Im betting fatigue will now be in a factor for the Raptors and that they are at a disadvantage in game 4 here in Toronto because of that. Meanwhile, the Bucks are much fresher, and very ready to take advantage of the Dinos . It must be noted that no team in the NBA was better at rebounding of a loss this season than Milwaukee as is evident by going 22-1 SU with a +15 ppg diff and 19-4 ATS after a loss this season covering by an average of 7.6 ppg. Milwaukee is 20-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more in their last game with the average ppg cover diff coming by 6 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while the Raptors have gone under 7 straight times in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also 0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 Its win or go home for the banged up Sharks tonight, so Im betting they will be very physical, and aggressive from the get go, but at the same time conscious of playing solid transitional hockey with alot more emphasis on being coherent defensively. Meanwhile, St.Louis despite of consistently finding ways to score timely goals, are a defence first team, with multitudes of patience , and when all else fails a goaltending phenom by the Bennington on their side. With so much on the line here in game 6 for both sides Im betting we see a hard fought low scoring game. SAN JOSE is 18-7 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.4 gpg. JOSE is 21-8 L/29 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games. NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 100-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (SAN JOSE) - after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 417-283 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Nationals +129 v. Mets | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
ERICK FEDDE (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R) NY Mets starter today Wheeler faces the Nats for the second straight start and fourth time already this season and the results have not been good as is evident by a 9.77 ERA. Last Thursday, Meanwhile,Fedde the Nats starter will make his first start of the season, joining the Nationals' rotation in place of the injured Anibal Sanchez. Four of Fedde's five outings from the bullpen have been scoreless, and is a viable pitcher with value attached to his performance results. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 2-7 in Wheelers last 9 home starts vs. Nationals. The Mets ended a 5 game losing streak last time out, but it must be noted that the NY METS are 1-9 against the money line in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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05-21-19 | Red Sox -150 v. Blue Jays | 3-10 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R) Blue Jays stater Marcus Stroman is off to a hot start this season with a 2.95 ERA over 10 starts. The problem is that he has just one win to show for it because of a lack of run support. Because of this he is less than a desirable hurler to back vs a BoSox team with a viable offence. Meanwhile, Bostons starter RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 21-4 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CORA is 16-8 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of BOSTON. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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05-20-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) vs. Padres RH Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99) Weaver has recorded three straight quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings and has been a road warrior for the D-backs this year, going 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts away from Chase Field. In four career starts against the Padres, he is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter Paddack's ERA sits below 2, and opponents have a .146 batting average against him, the lowest mark in the Majors. The young hurler owns a 49-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 45 1/3 innings in his first eight starts. The linesmakers expect a pitchers duel and Im on board, with a key number 7 offering value to the under according to my projections. SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Paddacks last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts overall. Play on UNDER |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total. PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-20-19 | Mariners v. Rangers -143 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Mariners starter Leake's worst outing of the year came against the Rangers on April 27 when he allowed 10 hits and 9 runs (5 earned) in 5 innings in a 15-1 loss in Seattle and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs Rangers. Meanwhile, Minor beat the Mariners, 15-1 in that above mentioned April 27 tilt, by holding them to one run in seven innings. He allowed three hits and struck out 13. Minor earned a victory in his last start last Wednesday, when he allowed one run over five innings as the Rangers cruised past the Royals 6-1 and has momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs Seattle team that has the worst record in baseball since April 27 . He entered Sunday ranked among the AL's top 10 in both ERA and strikeouts (tied for 10th with 56). SEATTLE is 1-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 7-43 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win on the ML |
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05-20-19 | Phillies v. Cubs -117 | 5-4 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Darvish the Cubs starter is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies and gets the nod and my support in this spot situation.Meanwhile, Phillies starter Arrieta got off to a solid start this season and was 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA after four outings, but has dropped his past two starts and is winless since April 27. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Arrietas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games. The Phillies are 0-17 L/17 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 I have not been impressed by the way the Raptors have played in the play offs overall especially the Philadelphia series, and the 2nd game of this series when they lost by 22 points. However, there is enough talent and pride with guys like Kawhi Leonard, and hardcore work ethic from key character players like Siakam to produce a top tier effort in desperation mode here at home today. Note: The L/14 seasons home favorites like the Raptors that were defeated their previous game by double digits have gone 117-79-5 ATS in the playoffs. MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS L/28 off 3 or more consecutive home wins . Milwaukee is 0-23 ATS as a rested dog when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they shot better than 25% from the arc and are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio of better than 1.50. NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a 108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-19-19 | Blues +118 v. Sharks | 5-0 | Win | 118 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The St.Louis Blues despite of lacking experience have played some tremendous hockey since the midway point of the NHL season, and have been lights out in my humble opinion the best team in the league, and nothing has changed my opinion of that in this seasons play offs. Tonight in a game 3 Im betting on their ability to be physical and tenacious will be the difference maker in a game vs a good San Jose team that lacks consistent defence or goaltending which is a real negative that they have been able to overcome so far in these play offs because of a potent offence and bad officiating calls. SAN JOSE is 11-20 ATS off a close road loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons. (The Blues won game 4 by a 2-1 count) Blues are 8-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.Blues are 23-6 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Blues are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Pacific.Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 17-8 in their last 25 overall.Blues are 19-9 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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05-19-19 | Rockies +116 v. Phillies | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-5, 5.68 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 2.65) Freeland won against the Phillies on April 18, when he struck out seven and allowed only two hits in six scoreless innings. In two games against the Phillies, Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.0 ERA. also did not allow a walk. The lefty is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three day games this season and despite of some recent struggles is a quality hurler that matches up well vs thePhillies batting order according to my power rankings and offers us a viable chance to cash a value line ticket. EICKHOFF the Philies stater is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.826. Phillies are 6-15 in Eickhoffs last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 2-6 in Eickhoffs last 8 starts vs. National League West. FREELAND is 6-0 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Rockies are 8-0 in Freelands last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Colorado is 14-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Colorado to win on the ML |
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05-18-19 | Twins -122 v. Mariners | 18-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Jose Berrios RHP 6-2, 3.05 ERA, 54 SO.......Berrios the Twins starter struggled for the first time in 2019 on Monday against the Angels, when he was tagged for a career-high 12 hits and a season-high five runs in 5 2/3 frames. It marked the first time in 10 starts that he did not complete at least six innings and gets my support here to bounce back and get us to the promised land. MINNESOTA is 10-0 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.The Twins are 11-0 on the ML as a road favorite when playing a team that has a worse record. MINNESOTA is 8-0 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. The Twins are 19-0 on the ML as a road favorite after a five-plus win if that was not a complete game by their starter which was the case in last nights 7 -1 win vs Seattle. SEATTLE is 0-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Play on Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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05-18-19 | Warriors +2.5 v. Blazers | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 After squandering a gigantic lead last time out vs Golden State in game 2 in this series, I can see the Blazers in a classic emotional letdown situation. When you exert that much energy and play much better than anyone anticipated and still lose, a follow up effort could easily be more muted than many expect here in game 3. I know alot of pundits point out that the Warriors are vulnerable without Durant in the lineup. However, it must be noted that the Warriors, play well together without Durant on the court, as they are 3-0 SU/ATS this season when he is out of the lineup, covering by more than 14 points per game, with all of the tilts coming on the road. Overall Durant is has been out, of the Warriors line 14 times since he came to Oakland and 5 of those games saw Steph Murray play, and guess what the Dubs were a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS in those tilts. Kerr is 11-2 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA team (PORTLAND) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-100 L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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05-18-19 | Cardinals v. Rangers +130 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Dakota Hudson the Cards starter has shown some promise but his hard-hit rate of 45.8 percent is a concern, especially against a Texas team seeing the ball very well at the moment. In . his current form the kid is fade material in this spot. |
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05-18-19 | Rockies v. Phillies OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (3-2, 5.35 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.86) This contest today features a rematch of Philadelphia’s 8-5 victory on April 20 in Denver. Citizens Park in Philadelphia is also a hitters park like Coors is , and today Im expecting some offensive fireworks in a notorious hitters park .Nola has not pitched as well overall as he did last season, but thanks to an explosive offence is receiving superior run support to remain in the unbeaten column. Nola only has three quality starts in nine starts this season.NOLA is 8-1 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. . Meanwhile, Rockies stater Senzatela has pitched well overall but of late has produced a 7.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, and according to my cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against him and and project do adequate damage to get us over the set total this afternoon. Over is 5-0 in Senzatelas last 5 starts overall.Over is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Nolas last 9 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Colorado is average 5.2 rpg this season and Philadelphia is averaging 5.3 rpg at home. COLORADO is 11-1 OVER in May games this season with an average of 14.7 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-17-19 | Twins -115 v. Mariners | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Twins starter Perez (5-1,3.11 ERA 46 SOs) suffered a contusion after taking a line drive off his left foot in his last outing, but he is expected to make his next scheduled start in Seattle here tonight. His 15-inning scoreless streak was snapped vs. Detroit, but he allowed only four hits in five innings and comes into this tilt looking very sharp and qualifies for an investment option on the money-line . His pitching opponentGonzales started strongly this season, but he's been roughed up of late after two rough outings in his past three with short stints and high pitch counts against the Cubs and Red Sox. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings he just does matchup well here tonight vs the Twinkies and considering his current form is fade material. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Twins are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 12-1 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West. SEATTLE is 3-17 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SEATTLE is 0-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-33 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins to win on the ML ( Best Bet of the Day) |
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05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors starters logged a lot of minutes last time out, in game 1 of this series vs the Bucks and were previously off a 7 game series with the Sixers . So fatigue factors come into play for the Dinos as was the case in the fourth quarter of the last game where the Raptors were rolled over by a team that they had lead by DDs at different junctures of this matchup. Contrary to belief it takes more effort and stamina to play strong physical defence than to run and gun and wide open fashion and tonight Im betting the Raptors are forced to open up in transition because of the inability to defend vs a fresher side . This is the lowest total the books have offered from the 5 games these teams have played this year, and the one with the most value for an OVER wager to cash. MILWAUKEE in 49 games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. Toronto in their L/11 after failing to cover the spread in 3 game or more have seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg scored. Note: The Raptors have gone 6-0 OVER L/6 as a pup with less than two days rest after a loss in which they were ahead by double digits at some point, going over the number by an average of 23.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 7-0 OVER L/7 with less than two days rest off a win as chalk after a victory where they were behind by double digits, going over the Total by an average of 20 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 40-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-17-19 | Brewers v. Braves -134 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
There is more to baseball than just pitching, and while I do focus on starting pitching and bullpen support, sometimes a pitching matchup that might look like it favors a certain team is void. Thats the situation here tonight as the Brewers Chacin, is in better form than Fried the Braves starter, but despite of this I like the home team to come out of this with a victory based on the teams overall form of late that has seen them go 5-1 L/6 and how they matchup vs the Brewers from an array of head to head power rankings that I use. As you can see the lines-makers and market agree with my assessments. There is public support for the Brewers , but the smarter money win or lose is on the Braves here and rightly so. Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 road starts.Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings in Atlanta. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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05-17-19 | Astros -130 v. Red Sox | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R) The opener of the three-game series will see Houston right-hander Gerrit Cole (4-4, 3.88 ERA) take the mound opposite Boston righty Rick Porcello (3-3, 5.15).Cole is coming off a start in which he allowed one run on four hits with a season-high 12 strikeouts against the Rangers last Saturday. Over his last four starts, Cole has a 2.39 ERA across 26 1/3 innings, with 42 strikeouts and six walks and gets my support here on the road tonight behind a batting order that has produced 8.1 rpg and a .316 BA in their L/7 overall (wins). HOUSTON is 18-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 season. HINCH is 32-11 against the money line in road games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span as the manager of HOUSTON. HINCH is 41-17 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of HOUSTON. The Astros are 18-0 L/18 on the ML with rest in the first game of a road series when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 3.4 on the season and it is before the All-Star break. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 38-10 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 217.5 | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State rolled to a 116-94 win vs Portland in the first game of this series, and Im betting they are just getting ramped up. Portland had issues converting from the field and despite of being on tired legs did play more efficient conservative ball like they did against Denver, but the Warriors have just to much firepower, so their efforts were muted . With that said, Im expecting this Portland Blazers team to man up here and play more aggressive offensive hoops behind their splash brothers Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum vs the explosive Dubs in a game Im betting will be much higher scoring than the first game. Over is 26-8-1 in Trail Blazers last 36 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 11-4 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up loss.Over is 19-8 in Trail Blazers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-5 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Warriors are 8-0 OVER L/8 in playoff games when they are off a home victory where they held their opposition under their season-to-date shooting percentage average by more than ten percentage points, going over by an average of +21 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight game are 130-89 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-16-19 | Cardinals -102 v. Braves | 2-10 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Thursday's pitching matchup features St. Louis right-hander Adam Wainwright (3-3, 4.15 ERA) against right-hander Julio Teheran (2-4, 4.26).Wainwright made his first seven-inning start in 13 months his last time out and generated a season-high 23 called strikes. Key to his early-season success has been his curveball and with that confidence is a dangerous hurler at the moment.Wainwright is 9-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 18 career games (13 starts) against the Braves and gets my support again tonight in Georgia. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright! Cardinals are 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Braves.Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Braves Atlantas starter Teheran has not notched a win in 5 starts and is lacking support in his appearances. ST LOUIS is 14-4 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIKE is 35-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS. MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-18 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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05-16-19 | Brewers +113 v. Phillies | 11-3 | Win | 113 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Brewers starter Davies at 4-0 is in top form entering this afternoon tilt. The light throwing righty has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his eight starts. Only five times this season has a Brewers starter worked into at least the seventh inning. Davies has three of them. With that said, he gets my backing on a value line this afternoon in Philadelphia. Phillies are 1-4 in Eflins their starters last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Brewers. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 18-44 L/22seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bewers to win on the ML |
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05-15-19 | Raptors +6 v. Bucks | 100-108 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors looked clumsy at best in their game 7 win vs the Philadelphia 76ers, and overall in that series. Overall, I believe both teams in that series, somehow effected the energy flow of each other in a negative way, which resulted in some of the ugliest basketball in this years playoffs. One thing did stand out to me in that above mentioned series, and that is the absolute dominance of Kawhi Leonard, and how he is a top tier player and game changer at the height of his career . His efforts were key for the Dinos in the play offs so far and nothing will change tonight vs a rested but rusty Milwaukee team that easily disposed of Boston in their last series victory. Im being careful here not to use any head to head matchup stats from the regular season, as the hoops that we will see tonight, wont be the same kind of hoops we have seen previously. I know the Raptors have a poor game 1 history in the play offs, but they did win game 1 vs Philly, and their still in game shape after a long series with the Sixers, while the inexperienced Bucks, are off a long lay off, and could easily start slow, which Im betting on a entire game basis effects their ability to cover, giving us value with the underdog Raptors. NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points in their last ten games are 11-43 . ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues -131 | 5-4 | Loss | -131 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Jordan Binnington saved 24 of 26 shots in the Blues' Game 2 win, and Im betting on him repeating in follow up performance as the series moves St. Louis. I also expect Sharks Logan Couture to be concentrated on by the Blues here tonight and for his presence to be muted. St.Louis remains a consistent team, cold as is ice sort of speak, as they consistently show speed in the offensive zone of transition, and hard fore checking from start to finish making them a dangerous team and my choice here tonight vs the Sharks. ST LOUIS is 21-6 ATS against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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05-15-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R) Right-hander Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21) will face St. Louis right-hander Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35) in the second game of the three-game series in Atlanta.Last time out, Soroka became the first MLB pitcher since earned runs became official in both leagues in 1913 to allow one or fewer earned runs as a starter in eight of his first 10 career games. Im expecting both hurlers to hold their own here against batting orders that my projections suggest they matchup well against. Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 9-4-1 in Cardinals last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Sorokas last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. ATLANTA is 20-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-15-19 | Cubs v. Reds -123 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
YU DARVISH (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R) Cubs starter Darvish (2-3, 5.40 ERA) leads the majors with 33 walks in 36 2/3 innings. He has 11 walks and 11 strikeouts in eight innings this month, the main reason he is winless in his first two starts in May with a 6.75 ERA. In his current form he is fade material. Meanwhile, GRAY the Reds starter is is 14-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati. Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 7-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Portland has really piked up its defensive intensity in these play offs. That was evident vs the Denver Nuggets in this last series. Note: Since late December of 2015, the Denver Nuggets were held to under 37.1% shooting from the field at home in only two games - both were in their playoff series vs Portland. Now the Blazers will go against an explosive Golden State team that they know they wont easily compete against in a run and gun affair, and instead Im betting will focus on a more conservative physical approach here that will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 Conference Finals games Play UNDER |
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05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 The Bruins dominated the Carolina Canes in game 2 at home in this series, after getting lucky and taking game 1. However, Im betting the Canes in desperation mode with their home town fans behind them, get a must needed win here tonight. I know after their last debacle , its hard to back Carolina, but they have been one of the best 5 on 5 teams in the NHL this season, and one of the few teams that can battle with the Bs straight up. CAROLINA is 12-5 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season.CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on Carolina to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Angels v. Twins -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
FELIX PENA (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R) Gibson struck out a career-high 11 hitters on Wednesday, when he allowed only one run and two hits to the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. He is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA, 28 strikeouts and three walks in his last four appearances and gets my support here tonight. LA ANGELS are 1-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 season.LA ANGELS are 11-33 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home. Play on Minnesota to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Cardinals -122 v. Braves | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) Atlanta's starter today vs St.Louis Foltynewicz hasn't had a quality start in his first three outings of the season, going 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA. Now the right-hander faces the Cardinals, against whom he owns an 8.06 ERA in five career starts and is fade material in this spot play.FOLTYNEWICZ is 3-13 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) I know the Card sin their current struggling form dont inspire bettors, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 24-10 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons and get my support today to get us the win. MIKE is 34-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Brewers -114 v. Phillies | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Woodruff is 5-1 with a 4.25 ERA in eight starts this season. He has allowed just three earned runs over the last 16 innings in three previous starts and enters this game looking like he has top tier momentum, and a viable pitcher to back here tonight in Philadelphia. Note:Woodruff has struck out at least six batters in each of his last seven starts, the most by a Milwaukee pitcher since Zack Greinke had seven in a row in 2011. MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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05-13-19 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -153 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L) Arizona starter Ray took a no-decision in his last outing against the Rays when he threw 5 2/3 shutout innings while striking out 11 batters. He is six strikeouts away from 800 for his career and would be the second fastest lefty in terms of games pitched to reach that mark and gets my support today to over power this Pirates batting order. RAY is 19-4 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Arizona has won all 4 meetings in this series this season outscoring the Pirates by a 30-7 count and matchup well vs this Pirates side. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 43-9 L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAN Leads 1-0 San Jose won game 1 of this series by a 6-3 count, and Im betting on more high octane work here tonight by both teams in a game Im betting eclipses the total. Considering how erratic Martin Jones San Jose goalie has been all season, its an easy decision to take an over stance here. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 road games. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-0 in Blues last 4 Conference Finals games. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 56-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-13-19 | Angels +123 v. Twins | 5-4 | Win | 123 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R) Skaggs is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota with 15 strikeouts in 13 innings and gets y support here today vs a batting order that my pitcher vs power ranking suggest he matches up well against. Twins are 9-22 in their last 31 vs. American League West and their starter Berrios is 2-5 vs the West in his L/7 starts.Angels are 6-2 in Skaggs' last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Angels are 7-3 in Skaggs' last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MINNESOTA) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games are 18-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +138 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L) Boyd Detroits left-handed starter has won his last two starts and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his eight outings, becoming Detroit's most reliable starter in the process and is a viable underdog in this spot. Astros are 5-16 in their starters Peacocks last 21 starts with 4 days of rest. Tigers are 14-3 in Boyds last 17 home starts.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 6-2 in Boyds last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Tigers are 9-3 in Boyds last 12 starts on grass.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts vs. American League West.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts. BOYD is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BOYD is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-17 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -138 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-3, 5.03 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (2-1, 1.41) Lester has been stellar since returning from the IL, allowing just one earned run over 18 innings (three starts) with 19 strikeouts and one walk. The southpaw has not faced the Brewers this year, but went 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts (11 2/3 IP) in '18 and gets my support here this Sunday night. CHICAGO CUBS are 15-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.
Brewers are 1-4 in Chacins last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 overall.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 Sunday games.Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 6-1 in Lesters last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 Sunday starts.Cubs are 10-3 in Lesters last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 11-4 in Lesters last 15 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 38-14 in Lesters last 52 home starts.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 37-16 in Lesters last 53 starts on grass.Cubs are 36-16 in Lesters last 52 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 37-17 in Lesters last 54 starts.Cubs are 39-18 in Lesters last 57 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 19-9 in Lesters last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | 76ers +6 v. Raptors | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Philadelphia awoke from a 2 game slumber last time out in game 6, and forced a game 7 here in Toronto this Sunday. From the outset of this series I thought these teams were fairly evenly matched, and my thoughts have not changed. With that said, Im now betting we have value on the line getting points with Philadelphia in a game that has a high probability according to my projections of being hard fought to the very end. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Raptors are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games.TORONTO is 2-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 77-58 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average margin deficit of those 135 games clicking in at 5 ppg. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I know that play off series when they go deep have a tendency of going under. However all games must be treated independently of each other. There is just to much offence on the floor here tonight in a game that I have pegged to be closely contested for this total not to breached . PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 53 games vs up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-12-19 | Nationals v. Dodgers -141 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-2, 3.71 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-1, 2.03) Dodgers starter Ryu’s last trip to the hill was a 93-pitch, four-hit shutout of the Braves. It was another walk-less start for the Korean hurler , who has 45 strikeouts and only two walks and in his current form is a viable chalk call here. Note: Ryu owns a 1.93 ERA in three career starts versus the Nationals. Dodgers are 21-6 in Ryus last 27 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Hyun Jin Ryu starts as a favorite and they scored more than 6 runs in his last start.The Dodgers are 16-0 L/16 on the ML in the last game of a home series when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start. Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. National League West. WASHINGTON is 0-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. ROBERTS is 36-8 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Reds +105 v. Giants | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Reds RH Tyler Mahle (0-5, 3.69 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2-4, 3.99) Reds starter Mahle, has allowed only one run in each of his last two appearances and despite of not showing it with his record is a viable hurler on a value line here today in SF. The Reds have outscored their opponents 15-4 during their three-game winning streak and are showing the upward momentum needed for them to sweep this series and notch a victory in this spot. BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Giants are 1-7 in their starts Bumgarners last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance which was the case vs Colorado last time out.Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. National League Central. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Angels v. Orioles +159 | 1-5 | Win | 159 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
RH Griffin Canning (1-0, 4.66 ERA) Vs. Orioles LH John Means (4-3, 2.48) Means a long shot to make this roster is a key component in the Baltimore rotation and held the Boston Red Sox to one run and three hits over seven innings on Monday to earn his third victory in his last four trips to the hill. The rookie has only allowed one or no earned runs in eight of his nine appearances and has garnered 29 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings of quality work. Means is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in five outings at home this season and gets the nod today on a value line. Note: The Orioles are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a 150-plus pup against a team that has won at least their last three games like the Halos. Angels are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. LA ANGELS are 8-26 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 2 seasons MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 12-28 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 As in all NBA play off games that have gone deep into a series the opposing sides are a bit fatigued and both sides are very accustomed to each others offensive schemes and all the necessary defensive adjustments have been accounted for thus a lower scoring affair is not out of the ordinary. Add that both sides do not want to make mistakes, and conservative hoops is the norm that makes a under wager here a viable investment option. The L/14 seasons have seen the under go 97-69 UNDER in game 6 and 7s of play off series. Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 14-5 in Nuggets last 19 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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05-12-19 | Padres v. Rockies -123 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
LH Nick Margevicius (2-3, 3.47 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-2, 5.67) After beginning the year on the injured list with an infected right heel blister, Senzatela the Rockies starter faced the Padres in his season debut and gave up one run and six hits -- and fanned four -- in 6 2/3 innings of a win at Petco Park and gets the nod again in this spot. Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts vs. Padres.Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 12-5 in Senzatelas last 17 starts vs. National League West.Padres are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings. SAN DIEGO is 1-12 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 3-18 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are 56-28 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to . win on the ML |
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05-11-19 | Reds v. Giants +119 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 3.65 ERA) vs. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (2-1, 3.16) Samardzija will be primed to bounce back after a down effort last Sunday in Cincinnati, during which he gave up four runs over five innings, including three homers on consecutive pitches in the first. Prior to that, he had a 2.53 ERA over his first six starts and Im betting he bounces back. Reds are 1-7 in DeSclafanis last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.DESCLAFANI is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.384. Reds are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. The Reds are 0-15 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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05-11-19 | White Sox +150 v. Blue Jays | 7-2 | Win | 150 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R) Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. White Sox Toronto's Opening Day starter Stroman has allowed 11 runs over his last eight innings while registering just five strikeouts and in his current form is fade material. Nova is one of only two White Sox starters to work at least seven innings this season, accomplishing that goal for a second time on Monday in Cleveland. Nova, who allowed one run in the victory, feels as if his velocity is climbing. Im betting he has upward momentum, while his opponent does not making this a value line situation Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 home starts. WHITE SOX are 13-8 against the money line in road games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 14-27 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 213 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 These teams have had alot of half court games over the last few seasons, but the two games played in Houston in this series, showed some more wide open hoops. With Houston on the verge of elimination Im betting they unload here in a big way and leave everything on the court in aggressive fashion which will force the Warriors to run and gun with their desperate opponents in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. The Rockets in their L/10 games since Mar 17, 2019 as a home favorite have seen a combined average score of 220.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-2 OVER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg going on the score board. GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 OVER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 104-52 OVER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-19 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
In his past four starts,Twins starter Odorizzi is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings. He has a 3-1 record and 3.77 ERA in eight career starts against the Tigers and gets the nod tonight on this runline wager. Meanwhile,Tigers starter Tyson Ross (1-4, 5.34 ERA), gave up five runs on seven hits in 1 1/3 innings in a 15-3 loss to Kansas City this past Saturday, will make his second start of the season against the Twins. Ross, is 0-4 with a 5.30 ERA in six games and four career starts against Minnesota and is fade material in his current form. JAKE ODORIZZI is 13-5 against the run line in home games over the last 2 seasons. The Twins are in top form and 11 games over .500 (23-12) and swept the Tigers in an abbreviated 2 game sweep earlier this season, and matchup well vs Motown , especially here tonight in a game that Im betting ends in a 2+ run or more positive deficit for them. Play on the Minnesota on the -1.5 RL |
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05-10-19 | Marlins +163 v. Mets | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R) New York lost five of six on a road trip to San Diego and Milwaukee and is 4-10 since its last back-to-back wins, so going against them even with under rated Miami is not an issue for me here today. I know the Marlins dont inspire confidence after having lost 10 of 12, but they have taken become more competitive over the last week. Miami ended a home stand Sunday by losing to the Atlanta Braves 3-1 in 10 innings before beating the Cubs on Monday and suffering walk-off defeats Tuesday and Wednesday. Note: Miami's starter Lopez's only start against the Mets came in his major league debut last June 30, when he started and earned the win by allowing two runs over six innings as Miami earned a 5-2 victory and gets my support in this spot on a value line. WHEELER the Mets starter is 1-10 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets are 4-11 in Wheelers last 15 starts during game 1 of a series.Mets are 1-4 in Wheelers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. NY METS are 5-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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05-10-19 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L) Chicago left-hander Jose Quintana (4-1, 3.40 ERA) will make his second start against Milwaukee this season. Quintana is 6-2 owns a 1.62 ERA vs the Brewers. Last year alone, Quintana was 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA vs Milwaukee and Im betting on him having a quality start today. Meanwhile, Gonzalez the Brewers starter has made two starts for the Brewers each against the New York Mets and he has a 2.61 ERA with no decisions in 10 1/3 innings. He has gone at least five innings in each start and has allowed nine hits, just one walk and no homers. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 home starts vs. Brewers.Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.MILWAUKEE is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons with an average of 7.2 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg. MADDON is 32-13 UNDER after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS with a combined 7.4 rpg scored. The wind is blowing in from center field today at Wrigley Field. In the recent past , the under 105-72-8 L/185 record at Wrigley when the wind is blowing in , and we once again have value on the under here today. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record and are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 Denver phenom Nikola Jokic continued his top tier play with 25 points and 19 rebounds in Game 5 . The big man is averaging 26.4 points, 14.4 rebounds and 8.8 assists and controlling play while hes on the court. His emergence into the associations list of up and comers and the good energy he creates for his hard working teams mates makes this Denver hard to beat in their current form and they get my backing again tonight to cover this spread. PORTLAND is 11-22 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 6-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. Play on Denver to cover |
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05-09-19 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -102 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R) Weaver the DBacks starter has allowed more than three runs just once this season, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his past four starts. The righty over powered the Rockies over seven innings his last time out, allowing one earned run on three hits and striking out eight and gets my support here tonight in the desert. ATLANTA is 3-11 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. ARIZONA is 11-4 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a favorite of -150 or more, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 12-31 L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 34-19 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona to win on the ML |
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05-09-19 | Raptors -2 v. 76ers | 101-112 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 It has become painfully obvious to Sixers backers over the last couple of games that the young men from the City of Brotherly Love, are having issues dealing with the Raptors super star Kawhi Leonard who is proving himself as the best player in this series. Add to that the sudden emergence of Kyle Lowry , as he finally is showing us he can play well in a play off environment and you have a situation that favors the Raptors to advance to the next round with a win tonight. Note: Leonard has become the fifth player in NBA history to register150 points, 30 rebounds and 15 assists through the first four games of a playoff series in NBA history, and Im betting he will be the difference maker in this spot. Note: Since the 2014-15, season, home underdogs in game 6 are 0-10 SU, losing by an average of 19.5 ppg. Philadelphias Embiid is averaging just 17 points and 7.6 rebounds in the series ( injuries, ailments, exhaustion, and lack of play off experience is key here ) 76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 14-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212.5 | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 With the way the Sixers are shooting, and their flow has been for the last couple of games Im betting they wont just suddenly come out here and light things up. Add to that when the Sixers star Embiid is off the court his team has been a wreck, and with him playing they have really not been been much better, as its obvious to me hes not 100% as rumors swirl about his fitness and possible ill health at a very inopportune time. Because the Sixers chemistry looks to be a shambles entering this game I fully expect them to have a muted offensive effort in a game that has a high probability of not eclipsing the number. Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-0-1 in Raptors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Raptors last 10 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-2-1 in Raptors last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.TORONTO is 24-7 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER (LATE STEAM) |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The opening line on this game was -9.5 which is pretty accurate , and now because of public perceptions about Houstons ability to compete with Golden State a flurry of public money has lowered this line down to value level and Im now all over Golden State elevating their play here tonight in coming out here like their hair is on fire. Note: NBA playoff teams like the Rockets that won two straight games vs a one or a two seed to tie the series at two games are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 times in game five with the average margin defeat coming by 17.4 ppg. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-08-19 | Avalanche +125 v. Sharks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 San Jose is the older of these two teams and more experienced but their overall age and the fact that this is their 2nd straight 7 games series, flashes fatigue factor red flags all over the place. With that said, Im betting on the young legs and natural offensive talent of play makers like Nathan McKinnon to be the difference maker here tonight in this pivotal tilt. Plus I can't trust SJ goalie Martin Jones, who is as inconsistent any goalie in the entire NHL. Avalanche are 13-3 in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest and are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Avalanche are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog. Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the ML |
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05-08-19 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
KC Right-hander Jorge Lopez (0-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Astros in the series finale. Lopez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the road this season and does not matchup well according to my power rankings vs this Houston batting order. Note:HOUSTON is 53-14 SU vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2.7 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 9-33 SU against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 1.8 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Houston is in revenge mode today after being embarrassed by the Royals yesterday losing by a 12-2 count. Note: MLB chalk of more than -200 coming off a 10+ run loss are 22-3 SU in their followup game winning by an average of 3 rpg . Play on Houston Astros RL -1.5 to win and cover |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 | 91-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - MIL Leads 3-1 The Celtics are now in desperation mode and must get back to what made their opening game in this series a successful one. In game 1 the Celtics held the Bucks to 90 points and got a win, and since than gotten away from the type of defensive ball that has made them successful over the last few seasons. Tonight Im betting they pay very strict attention to D, knowing that they can not out score the Bucks in a fast paced game and are a big time disadvantage. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers and public might expect. BOSTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-08-19 | Angels +106 v. Tigers | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L) Angles starter Skaggs has been solid since missing two weeks with an ankle sprain, allowing two runs and striking out 10 over his last 11 innings. Both runs came in his six-inning outing against Toronto on Thursday, which was a win. In his current form he is hard to face, especially against a inconsistent offence like the Tigers own. LA ANGELS are 18-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 25-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 41-13 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Denver has shown me they are the superior team in this series conflict with Portland thanks in part to a top tier defence, better open court shots, and a young man by the name of Jokic who is averaging 24.5 points per game, 12.5 assists, 9.3 assists and shooting better than 50% from the field, which are to this point the greatest numbers ever put up by a rookie in play off history. The big man logged alot of minutes last time out, but hes well conditioned and young, and more than capable of having another big game here at home in the Mile High City where the Nuggets have played their best hoops this season. Portland has failed to cover 18 of their L/23 after a straight-up loss in the playoffs under HC Stotts. Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games. Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest. Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home loss are 63-19 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate with the average ppg dif clicking in at +6.6 . NBA Road underdogs (PORTLAND) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 8-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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05-07-19 | Giants v. Rockies -115 | 14-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-4, 3.92 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 4.03) Colorados stater Senzatela, is 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in eight games (six starts) against San Francisco. His team won all 6 starts, and he gets the nod again today vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. The Giants have lost six straight tilts at the launching pad knows as Coors Field and are 2-17 on the ML in the Mile High City since 2017 , winning one game in each of the last two campaigns and Im betting on the Giants losing another one in this spot. Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. BOCHY is 9-27 against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more as the manager of SAN FRANCO. (SF lost 12-4 to the Reds on Monday.) BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 0-7 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. SAN FRANCISCO is 4-21 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 These teams base most of their successes and failures on playing hard nosed hockey that keys on top tier defences and goalies . Also in game 7s refs usually make sure the game is not decided on border line calls, so penalties and power plays should be limited. Add to that the Vegas Knights penalty fiasco and you can make a case for the refs being very cautious with their whistles in what will be a grinding conservative affair that will be based on each sides transition game, which Im betting aides in us cashing on with a under ticket. Play UNDER |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 89-125 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 These teams are pretty evenly matched according to my head to head power rankings . I know Joel Embiid looked horrible in the final half of the last quarter, and possibly single handily handed the Raptors the win in game 4 of this series , with ugly charity stripe shooting, turnovers, and very nervous and overall big man clumsiness, and his lack of being an experienced closer . Despite of all this he is very talented and being on the road should help him be more balanced. With that said, Im betting the young man comes out here and adjusts , with a much better effort and leads his team to a cover. Raptors are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdogs are 41-22 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate . Play on the 76ers to cover |
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05-07-19 | Mariners v. Yankees -150 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka goes to the hill Tuesday on five days' rest, and looking fresh enough to continue his dominance over Seattle. The Japanese hurler is 7-0 with a 2.02 ERA in eight career starts against Seattle and has lasted at least seven innings in seven of those starts.It must be noted that Tanaka is among four active pitchers with an ERA of 2.50 or less and a 7-0 record or better against one opponent. Dominance is the name of the game here and confidence that is carries , as Tanaka's ERA against the Mariners is his lowest against any American League team, as is evident by holding Mariners hitters to a .199 average (42-for-211). He also owns a 12.80 strikeout-to-walk ratio (64 strikeouts, five walks) vs. Seattle, the fourth highest against any opponent by any pitcher with at least 50 strikeouts since 1913. The Yankees are 17-0 on the ML in franchise history with Masahiro Tanaka as chalk of more than 135 when they used five pitchers yesterday and their starter had at least three more strikeouts than their bullpen. GONZALES Seattle start is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.53 and a WHIP of 1.422. Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 overall. NY YANKEES are 31-7 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Lay the lumber here with the NY Yankees on the ML |
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05-07-19 | White Sox +132 v. Indians | 2-0 | Win | 132 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.32 ERA) vs. Indians RH Jefry Rodriguez (0-1, 2.13) Cleveland has been steamrolled in back to back games by 10-0 and 9-1 counts and look in disarray as injuries eat away at their starting pitching core and lineup. I know the White Sox dont inspire bettors , but their catching the Tribe at a perfect time, and knocked them around last night and look like viable investment options on a value ML here again this evening. White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Note: GIOLITO the Pale Hose starter is 11-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2 The Avalanche have given the Sharks all they can handle in this series, but Saturday it was San Jose that controlled the game and bottled up Colorado's best player. Oilers center Nathan MacKinnon, who came into Saturday with an eight-game playoff point streak, was held scoreless and managed just one shot. Im betting that wont happen again and Colorado takes this to a 7th and deciding game . SAN JOSE is 6-17 ATS in the 6th game of a playoff series since 1996.COLORADO is 26-16 ATS revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Colorado Avalanche to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2 A combined total of 6 goals have been scored in the L/2 games of this series, and Im betting on the tight play and top tier goal tending and defence continuing here tonight. Martin Jones turned aside 21 of 22 shots on Saturday, improving his save percentage to .936 over the last eight games. Colorado G Philipp Grubauer owns 3-1 mark with a 1.69 goals-against average and .945 save percentage at Pepsi Center in the 2019 playoffs. Play UNDER |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 In game 3 of this series I expected a fairly high scoring game , and it went into OT, and we cashed on the OVER. I saw a tendency towards a faster paced set in game 2, which led me to my assessment, but now Im expecting a more conservative approach here from both teams, and a half court game which is the norm when these teams go head to head over the last few seasons. Remember both teams saw key players play an extreme amount of minutes ( Harden) and now a fatigue factor must be considered. Houston is and 0-6 UNDER by an average of more than 14 points as a favorite in the playoffs after a game with eight-plus lead changes while the Warriors are 0-8 UNDER L/8 staying below the number by more than an average 13 ppg as a road pup with less than two days rest off a road loss in which there were eight-plus lead changes. GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 215.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 77-37 UNDER L5 seasons for 68%conversion rate. Play on the UNDER . |
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05-06-19 | Nationals v. Brewers -104 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R) Chacin worked six scoreless innings against the Rockies earlier on this homestand that he delivered a scoreless start and looks to be finally rounding into form after a mediocre start. Meanwhile,Max Scherzer (1-4, 4.08) will start for the Nationals, who played with a mix-and-match lineup Sunday against Philadelphia due to the assorted injuries.The Nationals have lost six of Scherzer’s seven starts on the season, and him and his team are fade material in their present form. SCHERZER is 0-5 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) CHACIN is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 18-1 against the money line after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 21-50 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Diamondbacks +173 v. Rays | 1-12 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Kelly the Dbacks starter tonight has proven to be a valuable pickup for the D-backs, who signed him in December after he spent four years in Korea. Kelly allowed one run on five hits over 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees and is my value choice here this Monday vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Note:The Rays have won eight of 11 series this season but are only 7-8 in their last 15 games following a 14-4 start and do not look as strong as they did earlier this season. Snell TBs starter the defending AL Cy Young Award winner, gave up a career-high seven runs in his last start, when he went three-plus innings in an 8-2 loss to Kansas City on Wednesday and looks vulnerable at the moment.It's the first time in his career he has gone 3 1/3 innings or fewer in back-to-back starts. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - after getting shut out against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Arizona has scored 26 runs in their L/3 while TB has scored 3 runs or less in 6 of their L/9 overall. Play on Arizona to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Twins +104 v. Blue Jays | 8-0 | Win | 104 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Martin Perez takes the mound in search of his fourth straight victory after holding the Astros scoreless over eight innings in his last start. Perez is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA since joining the Twins' who have won seven of 10 and 11 of 16. Perez and the Twinkies get my support here again in this start vs the inconsistent Blue Jays. Note:TORONTO is 18-32 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Perez over the last 3 seasons. Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 11-2 in their last 13 games following a loss.Twins are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall. Blue Jays are 17-41 in their last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 12-30 in their last 42 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Blue Jays are 3-8 in Stromans last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-7 in Stromans last 9 starts.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 home starts.Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts on astroturf. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |