Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-26-22 | Padres -180 v. Royals | 13-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Royals will send Kris Bubic (2-8, 5.29 ERA) to the mound in the opener, and the Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove (8-6, 2.91 ERA). The pitching matchup favors the Padres. Musgrove the San Diego-area native is a first-time All-Star this season, currently holding a career-low ERA, and has delivered quality starts in each of his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Bubic the Royals starter has struggled at home this season going 1-4 along with a bloated 5.55 ERA in 11 outings, having allowed 54 hits in 48.7 innings of sub par work. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 36-6 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. MLBt team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 32-11 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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08-26-22 | Giants v. Twins -126 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Twins bring a season-worst, six-game losing streak into this tilt t following a 6-3 loss to the host Houston Astros on Thursday night and will be extremely motivated to get back on track with a victory here this evening. Meanwhile, the Giants are off a 6-1 loss to the Tigers, as their inconsistent play continues. Note: SAN FRANCISCO is 3-15 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season. Rookie right-hander Joe Ryan, who was born in San Francisco, will be motivated to end the Twins' losing streak. Ryan (9-6, 3.86 ERA) recorded a solid start in his latest trip to the hill , vs the Texas Rangers on Sunday, but his team still lost. A better overall result is expected by me today behind the arm of a viable hurler and a desperate side. Note: Giants are 6-22 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Ryan. Giants are also 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter lie the Giants stater Wood who owns a 4.64 road ERA in 13 outings this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins |
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08-26-22 | Cubs +140 v. Brewers | 4-3 | Win | 140 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has lost 14 of its past 22 games to plummet six games behind the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals and in their current form look like fade material vs a up trending Chicago Cubs side that have a pitcher on the hill (Steele) who is in top form as is evident by a 0.79 ERA with 33 strikeouts over 22 2/3 innings in four starts this month. MILWAUKEE is 4-12 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 overall. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 52-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on Chicago Cubs to win |
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08-26-22 | Rays +111 v. Red Sox | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay visits Boston having won six consecutive games -- which is currently the longest active streak in the majors including 11 of 13, and a four-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels this week. The Rays are on a top tier run, allowing just 16 runs in their last eight games overall with their pitchers having allowed three or less runs in 12 of the past 13 games. Tonight we will tail that momentum vs a struggling Boston side playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. MLB team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-25-22 | Cardinals -120 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Marcus Stroman has thrown the ball quite well for the Chicago Cubs of late, but at home this season he has generally struggled going 0-3 along with a bloated 6.62 ERA. Cubs starter STROMAN is 9-14 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) After losing yesterday the Cards will be primed for a come back and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here. The Cardinals' Dakota Hudson (6-6, 4.33 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA in seven career games against the Cubs, including four starts and gets my support here today. The St.Louis pitching staff owns a 2.12 ERA in their L/15 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. ST LOUIS is 17-4 against the money line in August games this season.ST LOUIS is 26-9 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on Cardinals to win |
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08-24-22 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Royals | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks righty Zac Gallen is in top form and has garnered a 0.92 ERA over his last six starts . He matches up very well against this light hitting Royals side and gives his team an obvious edge in this matchup. Not since the 3rd week of July Gallen has allowed only five runs (four earned) in 39 innings of quality work with opposition batters registering a lowly .152/.200/.182 slash-line against the righty. GALLEN is 6-0 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) LOVULLO is 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like KCs starter Singer. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more on the opening line (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 43-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dbacks to win |
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08-24-22 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Cubs | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The red hot visiting Cardinals Im betting will grab their 10th victory in 11 games when they face the Cubs on Wednesday night . Im also betting it comes in conclusive fashion. The NL Central-leading Cardinals have hit .310 with 18 homers while averaging seven runs over the last 10 trips to the diamonds. Meanwhile, their pitching staff has a 2.17 ERA with an opposition batting orders averaging f .178 in the last 12 contests. Rinse and repeat here tonight behid Cards starter Mikolas who has given up three runs and six hits while going eight innings in each of his last two starts, both wins. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (ST LOUIS) - off a win of 10 runs or more over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 35-10 L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 17-55 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the Cardinals -1.5 runline |
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08-24-22 | White Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
White Sox starter GIOLITO is 9-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. GIOLITO is 16-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 20-8 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. The Pale Hose righty enters this game with a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the mound and looks vulnerable to being lit up again vs a sometimes explosive batting order. . Giolito L/3 outings have all gone over the offered total. Meanwhile, Baltimores stater Watkins, owns a 4.35 ERA at home this season in 9 outings, allowing 46 hits in 39 plus innings of work with a low strikeout rate (21). Hitters are making contact consistently and the White Sox are the kind of team that can make him pay for his beachball type offerings. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 15-7-4 in White Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-2-2 in Orioles last 13 during game 2 of a series. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE/CHI WHITE SOX) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%), playing on Wednesday are 106-54 OVER L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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08-24-22 | Braves v. Pirates +1.5 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
In this series finale, Atlanta right-hander Kyle Wright (15-5, 3.14 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-9, 4.49). Keller according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings matches up well here vs the Braves giving us the edge on the run-line. The Braves won all four games in a home series against Pittsburgh in June and have won the first two this series 2-1 and 6-1 but Im betting on some regression here today. ATLANTA is 18-22 against the money line in day games this season. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 runline |
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08-23-22 | Brewers v. Dodgers -135 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 13-1 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 18-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Gonsolin. LA DODGERS are 31-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Milwaukees starter Burnes. Dodgers are also 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record. LA DODGERS are 16-4 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-22 | Guardians v. Padres -135 | 3-1 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.63 ERA) will start for the Guardians Tuesday night against Padres right-hander Mike Clevinger (4-4, 3.63). On the season, Civale has given up 70 hits in 64 innings with a 1.34 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .277 against him and overall has not pitched well away from home, going 0-2 along with a bloated 7.26 ERA in 31 innings of sub par work. In his current form he is fade material. Guardians are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Guardians are 16-43 in their last 59 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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08-23-22 | Mets v. Yankees -122 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA) is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a ugly 6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen. Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win. Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games. Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York. |
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08-23-22 | Mets v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA) is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a ugly 6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen. Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win. Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games. Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York. |
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08-22-22 | Braves v. Pirates +175 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Atlanta is off a hard fought series against the Houston Astros this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot on the road this Monday vs the Pittsburgh Pirates making them vulnerable to being upset in game 1 of this series. Atlantas newly acquired starter Odorizzi has made three starts for Atlanta since coming over from Houston on Aug. 1 and is 0-2 along with a bloated 5.93 ERA. He was smacked around in his last start against the Mets at home this past Wednesday, allowing five runs on eight hits in five innings. Im betting Pittsburgh takes advantage of his tired arm in this spot. Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 5-1 SU when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 25-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-9 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to win +1.5 runline |
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08-22-22 | Mets v. Yankees +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
After watching the Yankees find a way to salvage a game from their weekend series with the Blue Jays yesterday I feel their is a momentum edge here taking the Yanks to find a way to pull off another victory and get them selves out of this late season funk. I know The Yanks starter German has looked far from spectacular since his return from the IR, but now I expect after enough innings of work should also be ready to help his team get going in the right direction. Note:GERMAN is 14-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) Its obvious he pulls in a diff gear in these kinds of tilts at home. I know the Mets will send out top tier hurler Scherzer (9-2, 2.15 ERA) but a we know this Yankees team can make the best of hurlers look bad. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games. Play on the Yankees +1.5 runline |
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08-22-22 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox have seen alot of low-scoring tilts in recent weeks as is evident by having eight or less combined runs scored in 14 of their past 18 trips to the diamonds for a (.780) conversion rate to the under. Im betting on another low scoring affair as both the White Sox and Royal send pitchers with viable form to the hill. The White Sox Kopech in 22 starts this season, has garnered a 3.25 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. The righty in his his L/ 7 starts, owns a viable a 3.08 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP and top tier .303 xwOBA, .210 xBA and a .365 xSLG during his current campaign. Add to he has pitched well vs the Royals this season, registering a 3.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHP in two quality starts. KOPECH is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.3 rpg scored. KOPECH is 11-3 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Royals starter Lynch has been up-trending lately recording a 3.18 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in his last 8 starts. In two starts against Chicago, Lynch is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in what promises to be a constipated offensive output by both sides. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Under is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 7-2 in Royals last 9 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings.Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Kansas City. Play UNDER |
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08-21-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-10 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Todays Im going to back a potential Cy Young award front runner in this tilt featuring the visiting Marlins vs the LA Dodgers. The Marlins stater Sandy Alcantara owns a stingy 2.78 xERA, and is allowing a .243 xwOBA, with opposition batting orders garnering a lowly .209 xBA against the strong righty. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with inexperienced R Pepiot. The Dodgers right hander has made just six starts in the the big leagues and despite of no losses, recorded a sub par 5.03 xERA, a 7.11 BB/9 rate, and 1.77 HR/9 rate. These are obviously not good numbers, and even the light hitting Marlins look capable of doing some damage here against him. The Dodgers are a great team and own a consistent offense so they are always dangerous, but Im betting Alacantara can keep them in this game and they could possibly steal it. Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Marlins are 12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 25-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami +1.5 |
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08-21-22 | Mariners v. A's +198 | 3-5 | Win | 198 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Seattles starter CASTILLO is 3-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 5-9 ) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, As new acquired pitcher Sears has been impressive in two starts for the A's, allowing two runs and seven hits over 10 1/3 innings. The southpaw is of a five inning shutout performance on the road against the Texas Rangers in a 5-1 win on Tuesday. The kids got a good slider and Im betting he gives the Mariners all they can handle. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -175 or more (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 22-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate with a average 0.2 rpg diff which qualifies on a run-line offering. Play on Oakland to win |
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08-21-22 | Royals v. Rays -159 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
The Royals Zack Greinke has not pitched well on the road this season where he has garnered a 0-6 record along with a bloated 6.48 ERA and 1.600 WHIP . My projections once again see a non quality start and a situation where the home side has the edge. The Royals as a team have generally not played well away from home and are 5-16 in their last 21 road games. I know the Royals found a way to win on Friday , by a score of 3-2 but lost yesterday by a 5-2 count and todays outcome Im betting will be similar to yesterdays Rays victory. Meanwhile, the Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. Rays are also 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game Royals are 16-35 in their last 51 games on astroturf.Royals are 19-42 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Royals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. Royals are 8-19 in the last 27 meetings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 25-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-20-22 | Mariners v. A's OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Right-hander Logan Gilbert (10-5, 3.51) is the scheduled starter for the Mariners,. The southpaw is winless in his last seven starts overall, during which his ERA has gone up from 2.61 to 3.51 and Im betting he continues to regress. The predominately fast ball hurler has a very significant hard hot rate and Im betting he gets lit up more than the lines-makers estimate here today. Meanwhile, A's right-hander James Kaprielian (3-7, 4.33 ERA) goers to the hill knowing he owns a 5.40 ERA in eight games, including five starts, in his career against the Mariners. He registered a xERA ( 4.79) and a xFIP ( 5.13). He is also predominately a fastball pitcher something the Mariners offense excels against +16.7 rv). Everything points to total being eclisped. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 55-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-20-22 | Royals v. Rays -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rasmussen (7-4, 2.80 ERA) had a bid for a perfect game last time he took to the hill and enters this game in top form. In three career outings (one start) vs the Royals, Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA . He defeated the Royals on July 22 in Kansas City when he threw five innings of one-run ball in a 7-3 win. Meanwhile, the Rays offense will go against left-hander Kris Bubic (2-7, 5.11 ERA). Advantage Tampa Bay -1.5. Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Rasmussen. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 107-21 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4 which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-20-22 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Cubs pitchers have been in top form garnering a 2.98 ERA since the All-Star break . Cubs starter Marcus Stroman in his last seven trips to the hill has been solid as is evident by registering a 2.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP along with 33 strikeouts in 36.2 innings of top tier work and has owned the Brewers during this current campaign recording a 0.75 ERA in 12 innings . Im betting on him having another strong outing vs a very inconsistent Milwaukee offense. Cubs offense meanwhile, has strong momentum on their sides averaging five runs per game in their L/11 tilts and matchup well vs Brewers starter Peralta . The righty has not gone past 5 innings since returning from IR and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this up-trending Cubs batting order. MILWAUKEE is 2-10 SU vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or less in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 3-11 SU vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 1-6 SU in road games in August games this season. Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meeting. Play on the Cubs +1.5 on the runline |
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08-20-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
The Yankees offense has sputtered of late as is evident by having been blanked five times in their last 13 games and have been held to three runs or less 12 times in the past 15 trips to the diamonds. Today here against Toronto starter White, who is set to make his third start since being acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers at the trade deadline. The Jays new starter has allowed four runs and nine hits in 9 1/3 innings , against the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians. Im betting he will continue to uptrend here vs the slumping Yanks offense. Meanwhile, Yanks starter Cole has allowed one run on nine hits in 13 innings over his past two starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Jays . I know the Yanks bullpen has looked tired lately but Im betting on Cole going deep and helping keep the combined score on the low side of the Totals offering. Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play |
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08-19-22 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona has won eight of its past 12 games and is fresh off a four-game road split against the San Francisco Giants and off a win yesterday and deserve respect here getting runs vs the Cards who easily be in a letdown mode after an extended home stand . Note: Left-hander Tommy Henry (2-1, 4.15) will make his fourth career start for the Diamondbacks. The southpaw won his last two outings and is in top form. ST LOUIS is 1-8 SU in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games this season MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 165 to -135) (ARIZONA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more are 29-5 L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dbacks to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-22 | Giants v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Giants starter WOOD is 5-11 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Giants have struggled to find consistency most of the year, and that was on full display yesterday vs Arizona as they lost 5-3. More of the same sleepy action in Colorado tonight. Giants are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. National League West. COLORADO is 11-1 SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 7-0 SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Rockies to win |
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08-19-22 | Saints v. Packers -3 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 63 h 56 m | Show | |
HC Matt LaFleur and his coaching staff looked more concerned with just getting the gears started on the Packers proverbial football machine than finding a way to win last time out.(SF 28- GB 21) But this week Im betting the old ball coach looks at putting his team in a winning frame of mind as we head into week 2 of preseason NFL football. This is a rematch of a ugly 38-3 loss in the 2021 season opener at New Orleans. It was LaFleur‘s and also QB Aaron Rodgers’ most lopsided loss in their NFL careers. It must be noted that the Saints new head coach Dennis Allen is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away in previous nfl preseason tilts. With that said Im betting on Green Bay to improve to 6-0 SUATS vs the Saints in nflx action. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-19-22 | Astros v. Braves -118 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-13 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Atlantas starter WRIGHT is 14-0 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Houston exploded for 21 runs yesterday in a win vs the Chicago White sox. Im expecting big regression here vs a viable side in tonight matchup in Atlanta. Note: HOUSTON is 0-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season. ATLANTA is 18-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lynn has been in decent form lately, but the last time he faced the Guardians in Cleveland, he allowed eight runs on nine hits in just ugly four innings of sub par work. Lynn has also not pitched well on the road this season as his is 0-3 record along with a 7.46 ERA in five away starts would indicate. If he fails, he has an exhausted and ravaged bullpen to back him. Note: Yesterday the Astros put 21 runs on the board against the White Sox. Meanwhile, McKenzie, the Guardians starter owns a 0-2 record along with a nasty 7.28 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) vs. Chicago. Yes he pitched decently against them this season, but according to stat regression charts I keep the sometimes powerful Pale Hose batting order should catch up to him in this matchup. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 16-6-4 in White Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 3-1-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. CLEVELAND is 13-5 OVER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 8.9 rpg scored. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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08-19-22 | Blue Jays -103 v. Yankees | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 11-3 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Toronto is within nine games of the Yankees, the closest the Blue Jays have been since they also trailed by nine on June 15. Needless to say this is a big game and series for them. Expecting the Blue Jays to leave everything on the filed here this weekend and at least open this series with a win. TORONTO is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Toronto Blue Jays |
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08-19-22 | Brewers -136 v. Cubs | 7-8 | Loss | -136 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Milwaukee despite of offensive production problems showed some life this week in a series vs the Dodgers , and yesterday homered three times and pulled out a 5-3 home victory to salvage a four-game split with the powerful Los Angeles Dodgers. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting they find a way to get the win in Chicago this afternoon. COUNSELL is 15-6 against the money line in road games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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08-18-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -135 | 5-0 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants starter WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WEBB is 21-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Arizona starter GALLEN is 1-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.261. LOVULLO is 19-57 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better as the manager of ARIZONA. Diamondbacks are 17-56 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. SAN FRANCISCO is 19-2 against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Francisco to win |
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08-17-22 | Dodgers v. Brewers +160 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Dodgers starter T. Gonsolin. MILWAUKEE is 33-17 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Note: Brewers starter Lauer owns a 6-0 record when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.101 and is currently in top form recording a 4-1 record and a 2.65 ERA at home this season. I know the Dodgers have been hot but the value here on the moneyline is out standing and worth taking on a bet with the Brewers. . Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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08-17-22 | Mets v. Braves +139 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Scherzer (8-2, 1.93 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.80) on Wednesday. Scherzer did well against the Braves earlier this season, but you can bet the Braves are now better prepared for the right hander and motivated for revenge. Note: Braves are on a 8 game winning streak and have strong positive momentum on their sides. NY METS are 2-11 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 54-25 against the money line in night games this season. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-17-22 | Rays +128 v. Yankees | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Yankees are in a 2-11 skid and are 8-17 since registering a 64-28 record at the All-Star break and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has outscored its opponents 19-4 during a four-game winning streak and matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings vs NYY starter German, Note: German despite of a a 3-1 record has still put together a bloated 6.40 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Rays. TAMPA BAY is 50-18 against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES are 13-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 11-21 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 1-7 against the money line in home games off 3 straight losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 20-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-16-22 | Tigers v. Guardians -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Garrett Hill the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season, going 0-3 along with a 7.80 ERA. Im betting he gets blasted again vs a Cleveland Guardians side that has won 9 of their L/11 overall . The Tigers are averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .212 BA on the road this season. Note: Guardians starter PLESAC is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 0.908. CLEVELAND is 30-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 2.2 rpg which qualify on this runline offering. Tigers are 14-43 in the last 57 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland -1.5 |
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08-15-22 | Astros v. White Sox OVER 8 | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CUETO is 15-4 OVER in home games in August games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CUETO is 26-11 OVER (+14.8 Units) in home games vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Cueto has given up 21 hits over 14 innings in two starts this month and Im betting Astros batting order lights him up and helps us eclipse this total. Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 3-1-1 in White Sox last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. I know the Astros starter J. Urquidy has been hot but it must be noted that the CHI WHITE SOX are 11-3 OVER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. ( Astros starter J. Urquidy qualifies) Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 55-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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08-15-22 | Orioles +145 v. Blue Jays | 7-3 | Win | 145 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Blue Jays Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.13 ERA) is scheduled to start for Toronto on Monday. He is 1-3 with a 6.14 ERA in four career starts against the Orioles. KIKUCHI is 2-7 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Tonight Im betting the under rated Orioles have success against the Jays starting hurler and tired bullpen and help get us an underdog win. It must also be noted that Jays star slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was 0-for-4 with an RBI on Sunday to end his hitting streak at a career-best 22 games. In his past six games, he is 5-for-26 and this to me a fore bearer for bumpy road for the streaky Jays . Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-15-22 | Padres -130 v. Marlins | 0-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Padres, who are coming off a 6-0 win over the Washington Nationals on yesterday and will start right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-5, 2.91). The Padres are 13-7 this year when starting Musgrove. The right hander leads Padres starters in ERA, has 15 quality starts out of his 20 appearances. MIAMI is 3-11 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MUSGROVE is 3-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.135 and his team has won all 4 starts. Meanwhile, the Padres' heavy-hitting lineup now in top form are well prepared to face Marlins right-hander Sandy Alcantara (10-5, 2.01 ERA), the favorite to win the National League Cy Young Award. MIAMI is 0-10 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MIAMI is 4-16 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season this season. MIAMI is 3-17 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego Padres to win |
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08-14-22 | Twins v. Angels +130 | 2-4 | Win | 130 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
After losing yesterday the Twins have now lost 4 in a row and 4 of their L/5 on the road and are fade material in their current form. Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos Davidson. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Angels to win |
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08-14-22 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7 | 0-6 | Win | 105 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
The recent performances of Bassitt (9-7, 3.39 ERA) and Wheeler (11-5, 2.63) project to a lower scoring affair here today between visiting Milwaukee and their hosts the St.Louis Cardinals. In four starts during August , these two top tier hurlers have combined for a 4-0 record along with a minuscule 0.64 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 28 innings. Im betting on both starters to go long and strong here and for the combined score of this tilt to stay on the low side of the totals offering. Note: Bassitt is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies. Wheeler, , is 4-2 with a 2.48 ERA in 10 starts against his former club. ST LOUIS is 13-4 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 home games. Under is 13-6-2 in the last 21 meetings. Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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08-14-22 | Guardians +127 v. Blue Jays | 7-2 | Win | 127 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Right-hander Shane Bieber (7-6, 3.21 ERA) will be Cleveland's starting pitcher on Sunday. He is 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four career starts against Toronto and my projections tell me he matches up well here against the Blue Jays batting order.The Guardians have moved into first place in the American League Central with their recent surge and now with momentum on their sides are a team that must be respected especially on a value underdog offering. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 3-10 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 9-20 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. CLEVELAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Guardians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-13-22 | Dolphins -1 v. Bucs | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The Dolphins are starting a new era with first-year head coach Mike McDaniel and Im betting the new guy on the block will want to make a statement by winning right out of the gate here in preseason play. Giving his side a positive landmark moving forward could be key here. Dolphins players are still talking about their 45-17 beatdown at the hands of the Bucs in last seasons meeting, and sound pumped to have a much better showing even though this is just preseason play. In two head to head scrimmages with TB the Fins looked pretty good, and with Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson splitting reps for Miami will be viable threats to move the ball and score some points vs a Bucs side that is exploring depth players and possible positions upgrades for their opening day roster. Im betting the more focused and motivated side gets is to the promise land tonight in Florida. Note: The visitor 11-1 ATS in this series and Miami is 5-0 ATS vs NFC South. The Bucs are 1-7 SU L/8 Game One preseason tilts. Play on Miami to cover |
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08-13-22 | Brewers -136 v. Cardinals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Cards are playing better ball than the Brewers at this time, but this matchup favors the Brewers. Note: Cards starter Wainwright has gone 0-2 with a 7.07 ERA in three previous outings against the Brewers this season. ST LOUIS is 3-15 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season like Brewers starter Burnes (8-5, 2.45 ERA). Cardinals are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Burnes. MILWAUKEE is 49-29 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games 64-168 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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08-13-22 | Mariners +105 v. Rangers | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (7-11, 3.98 ERA) will look to record his second straight victory when he takes the mound on Saturday. Im betting he is in good enough form to help his team get the W here vs the Rangers. Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 0-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) The Mariners posted their ninth straight win vs. the Rangers and the 12th in 14 meetings this season with a 6-2 victory in the series opener on Friday. Rinse and repeat on board for Saturday is my bet. . Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 2 of a series.Mariners are 22-5 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 road games. SEATTLE is 21-7 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. WOODWARD is 16-33 against the money line vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS. Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 home games.Rangers are 2-14 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play on Seattle to win |
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08-13-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
The Dodgers have won 11 straight games all by at least 2 runs and Im betting nothing changes tonight. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher LIKE HEANEY whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 109-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg dif clicking in at +3.3 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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08-13-22 | Phillies v. Mets -195 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
NY METS are 9-0 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite this season.NY METS are 17-1 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 54-7 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. |
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08-12-22 | Diamondbacks +115 v. Rockies | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Colorados righty starter Senzatela is 3-9 with a 5.80 ERA in 20 career games (16 starts) against the Diamondbacks and Im betting he gets lit up again here today vs the under rated visitors.Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are also 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Rockies are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League West. Play on Arizona to win |
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08-12-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 23-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff +2.6. Dodgers are red hot having won 10 straight games, with all the victories coming by 2 or more runs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today vs the Royals. LA DODGERS are 18-1 SU vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 . LA DODGERS are 26-4 SU vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff of +3.1. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 109-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate . Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-12-22 | Braves -134 v. Marlins | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (7-7, 3.57 ERA) will go to the hill in the series opener against Braves right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.76).Odorizzi is 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.Lopez has had problems in his career against the Braves. He is 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 12 career starts versus Atlanta. Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Braves are 39-14 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 1-9 in their last 10 home games. Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 67-32 in the last 99 meetings in Miami.Braves are 51-23 in the last 74 meetings. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-11-22 | Giants -2.5 v. Patriots | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
New Giants head coach Brian Daboll will want to make a statement right out of the gate with some aggressive offensive football so I expect QBs Taylor , Webb and even Jones should see some time right out of the gate in preseason ball. Daboll is well known for his advanced offensive systems , and should do enough damage here to get us to the promised land vs a New England side that is said to be having troubles with chemistry on offense so far in preseason scrimmages. Gmen are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series dating back 23 seasons / visitor 9-2 SUATS. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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08-11-22 | Guardians v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Cleveland starter Plesac is 0-4 L/4 overall with a 7.04 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. He has also struggled against the Tigers in the recent past past as is evident by his last four outings against Detroit, Plesac has garnered a a 4.22 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP and Im betting things don't change here today. Meanwhile,Right-hander Garrett Hill goes to the hill for Detroit. This kid in six starts , is 2-3 with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs the Guardians batting order leading me to a projection of +9 runs games going on the board when incorporating bullpen activity. CLEVELAND is 37-23 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 10 rpg. |
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08-10-22 | Braves v. Red Sox +133 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Braves Pivetta . Braves are 8-17 in their last 25 vs. American League East. BoSox starter PIVETTA is 6-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.267. He has won his most two recent starts vs the Braves. Red Sox are 102-44 in their last 146 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wright. Red Sox are 77-34 in their last 111 vs. National League East. Wright took the loss earlier this season vs Boston 9-4 and is fade material here vs the Red Sox today in Fenway. MLB team (ATLANTA) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-44 L/25 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-10-22 | Guardians -160 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Clevelans starter Civale put forward one of his best outings of the season against Detroit on May 20. He didn't allow an earned run in 6 1/3 innings Civale has owned the Tigers in his career going 7-0 in eight starts against the Tigers with a 1.94 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. He's been really hard on Willi Castro (1-for-17), Jonathan Schoop (1-for-15) and Miguel Cabrera (2-for-16). More of the same action is on board today for at least the amount of time he pitches with his capable bullpen waiting to clean up after him. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Hutchison is 1-1 with a 6.85 ERA in six career outings against the Guardians. CIVALE is 12-5 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 11-34 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-10-22 | Yankees -125 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Yankees looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last night in a 13 inning loss to the Mariners that featured base running mistakes and consistent brain farts all night long. There is some good news from last nights 1-0 loss, and that is the Yanks should be very awake for this tilt and ready for redemption. Motivational factors as well as a pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggests the Yanks starter Cortez has an advantage vs a now struggling Mariners starter Ray who has garnered a ugly 7.81 ERA run in his L/3 and a 0-3 record in his L/3 vs the Yankees . Yankees are 39-15 in their last 54 games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. RAY is 22-35 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 runs/game or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33. or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 9-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-10-22 | Giants +151 v. Padres | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
. Right-hander Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.05 ERA) will start for the Giants against Padres left-hander Sean Manaea (6-6, 4.74). Padres starter Manaea, is struggling mightily entering this tilt vs the giants . His last start he gave up eight runs on 10 hits and a walk in just four innings vs the Dodgers and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Giants starter Junis also took the loss in his last start against the Dodgers on Thursday, giving up three runs on five hits and two walks in 3 2/3 innings but in his previous two starts , he allowed just one run on eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings. The Giants are 6-4 when Junis starts. He has a 1.097 WHIP and a .230 opponents' batting average and deserves respect here in the underdog role. Giants are 43-21 in their last 64 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West. Play on SF Giants to win |
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08-10-22 | Angels v. A's -125 | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams inspire bettors, but Im betting we have a value edge here backing the As and righty Paul Blackburn their starting pitcher. The As hurler after a fast start to his season, has slowed down lately, but did notch a win last time out, and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Halos. Note: Angels are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter. NoteBlackburn is 2-0 along with a .2.74 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Halos with all the games ending in Athletics win. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. Athletics are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. American League West.Athletics are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Angels Sandoval. Play on Oakland to win |
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08-09-22 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 7 | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Yankees hurler Cole has garnered a 7.00 ERA in his L/3 starts and his L/3 starts vs the Mariners have all gone over with the average rpg average clicking in at 11.7 rpg. Mariners expected starter Castilo owns a 3.64 ERA at home with 2 of his L/3 vs the Yankees going over the total, with the combined average of his L/3 starts logging in at 10.33 rpg -(10, 8, 13) combined runs. Im betting on at least 8 runs going on the board in this tilt . NY YANKEES are 15-3 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 games following a win.Over is 14-2 in Yankees last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. SEATTLE is 19-7 OVER when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-0-2 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 overall.Over is 5-1-2 in Mariners last 8 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 53-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle. Play OVER |
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08-09-22 | Rangers v. Astros -169 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
The Astros right-handed starter Jose Urquidy (10-4, 3.62 ERA) is off a top tier effort last time out pitching seven scoreless innings Wednesday in a 6-1 victory vs the Boston Red Sox, allowing two hits while garnering 10 strikeouts in what was his ninth consecutive quality start.Urquidy is 5-1 with a 2.29 ERA and .492 opposition' OPS during that nine-start stretch, with 47 strikeouts against 12 walks. Note: Urquidy is 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against Texas and gets my support here again today vs instate rivals the Rangers. URQUIDY is 21-6 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 25-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 18-48 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 53-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. HOUSTON is 16-3 against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons at home in Houston. Play on Houston to win |
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08-09-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Phillies will go with Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69 ERA) on the hill Tuesday. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, Wheeler allowed five hits and one run in seven innings.Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 career starts against the Marlins and gives the explosive Phillies an edge. The Phillies clubbed 14 home runs in their four-game weekend sweep over the Washington National and are in top form offensively making them viable runline candidates here today vs the usually light hitting Marlins. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 107-18L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on runline action. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline |
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08-08-22 | Yankees v. Mariners +110 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
The Yankees enter this game in struggling form as is evident by losing 5 straight games.The Mariners took two of three games from New York last week in the Bronx, which set in motion the Yankees downward momentum. Now Im betting at least for now the Yankees bad run will continue while the hungry Mariners keep up their fight for a post season spot. NYY starter Taillon allowed six runs (five earned) over 4 2/3 innings of an 8-6 loss to the Mariners on Tuesday and while Gilbert the Mariners starter dod not do much better still found a way for his team to get to the promised land and a rinse and repeat situation Im betting plays out tonight on the west coast. GILBERT is 11-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 10-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons like J. Taillon. Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mariners are 30-12 in their last 42 overall. NY YANKEES are 1-7 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Yankees are 0-9 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 21-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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08-08-22 | Giants +171 v. Padres | 1-0 | Win | 171 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Wood the Giants starter tonight vs Padres owns a 4.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in three starts vs the Padres this season. He has 18 strikeouts in 14 1/3 innings. Key here tonight is how Wood faired in his career against the Padres (19 appearances, 13 starts) .During those trips to the mound he has garnered a 3.12 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. And in San Diego, Wood is 3-1 in nine games (six starts) with a 1.56 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP. Tonight Im betting he keeps his top shelf action going against a Padres side, that is off getting swept by the Dodgers this past weekend and getting shutout last night.The Dodgers outscored the Padres 20-4 over the weekend and now reeling don't look like viable bets here with downward momentum firmly in place. I know after a slow start that the Padres starter Snell has pitched well recently but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Giants matchup well against him. WOOD is 14-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 3-8 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 23-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-35 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Francisco to win |
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08-08-22 | Reds v. Mets OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt (8-7, 3.61 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against another right-hander Justin Dunn (0-0, 0.00), who will be recalled from Triple-A Louisville to make his Reds debut as well as his first major league appearance since June 2021.Dunn, who opened the season on the injured list due to a right shoulder strain before being optioned to Louisville July 24, is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in eight minor league starts this season and looks like cannon fodder for the Mets batting order here today which will aid us in our over investment option cashing. On the flipside the Reds have shown improvement of late and on the season are moving into a positive mass formation , and are 5-1-1 in their L/7 series matchups, behind a offense that has averaged 5.4 rpg in their L/7 games overall. Note: Reds starter DUNN is 8-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. NY Mets starter BASSITT is 8-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. Over is 16-5 in Mets last 21 during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-2 in Mets last 7 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 CINCINNATI is 35-18 OVER after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 overall. Play OVER |
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08-07-22 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
We have two viable pitchers on the hill with the Padres Darvish and the Dodgers Anderson. Both these hurlers are backed up by top-10 bullpens. The Dodgers are first in reliever xFIP @(3.53), while the Padres are seventh in reliever xFIP @ (3.70). My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest pitching has the edge tonight and should provide us with a under wager cashing. ROBERTS is 27-11 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive wins as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 12-5-3 in Dodgers last 20 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-3-2 in Dodgers last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 14-6-5 in Dodgers last 25 home games.Under is 11-5-2 in Dodgers last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-6-3 in Dodgers last 22 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. DARVISH is 22-5 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rog scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 during game 3 of a series. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 48-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-07-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins +152 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto has been red hot before yesterdays 7-3 loss to Minnesota, and Im betting they lose again here . Note. Jays starter Gausman is 0-4 with a 7.30 ERA in eight career starts against the Twins and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here as Blue Jay regression looks imminent. GAUSMAN is 1-7 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 8-20 against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) Blue Jays are 3-9 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or better over his last 3 starts are 44-27 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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08-07-22 | Pirates v. Orioles -160 | 8-1 | Loss | -160 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Right-hander Spenser Watkins (4-1, 3.80 ERA) goes to the mound for Baltimore's Sunday. He has won three of his last four starts, giving up just one run in each of the victories.The Baltimore Orioles as a team have won five games in a row and Im betting they extend that run here today vs the generally light hitting Pittsburgh Pirates. Note:The Pirates will send right-hander Bryse Wilson (1-6, 6.20) to the hill as their starter. Wilson is 0-3 with a no-decision in his last four road starts. The righty in his current form is fade material. WATKINS is 9-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) SHELTON is 7-27 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start as the manager of PITTSBURGH. Pirates are 14-43 in their last 57 during game 3 of a series.Pirates are 6-22 in their last 28 interleague road games.Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League East. PITTSBURGH is 0-11 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season. Pirates are 1-11 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-06-22 | Red Sox v. Royals +132 | 4-5 | Win | 132 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
KC Royals starter LYNCH is 6-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LYNCH is 9-4 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LYNCH is 8-3 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, BoSox starter Eovaldi owns a 7.20 ERA in his 3 most recent trips to the hill, and is showing signs of a tired arm. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, playing on Saturday are 73-35 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals to win |
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08-06-22 | Blue Jays -116 v. Twins | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Twins starter Bundy has allowed a .472 slugging percentage to the current Blue Jays lineup over 140 plate appearances and Im betting some key players like Vlad Guerrero have big days in this tilt. Bundy owns a ugly 5.04 ERA ranking 98th among 109 pitchers with 80-plus innings thrown. . In two outings against the Jays this season , Bundy was crushed and his team lost both appearances and lopsided manner. Twins starter Bundy has allowed a .472 slugging percentage to the current Blue Jays lineup over 140 plate appearances and Im betting some key players like Vlad Guerrero have big days in this tilt. Bundy owns a ugly 5.04 ERA ranking 98th among 109 pitchers with 80-plus innings thrown. . In two outings against the Jays this season , Bundy was crushed and his team lost both appearances and lopsided manner. With that said, Vlad Guerrero has gone over this offering in 11 of his last 15 games owns a slash line of .441/.500/.729 . More of the same action now on board. |
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08-06-22 | Giants -200 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Left-hander Carlos Rodon (9-6, 3.00 ERA), will get the start on Saturday against right-hander Adam Oller (1-4, 7.68). RODON is 18-5 against the money line in August games in his career. (Team's Record) and has the edge today in this matchup vs the As. With Brandon Crawford (knee), outfielder Joc Pederson (concussion) and utility infielder Thairo Estrada (concussion) expected to return from injuries the Giants current bad run could easily come to an end today vs OAKLAND. OAKLAND is 17-34 against the money line in home games this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Giants to win |
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08-06-22 | Rays -250 v. Tigers | 1-9 | Loss | -250 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
DETROIT is 0-8 SU in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. |
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08-06-22 | Pirates v. Orioles -149 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starter BRUBAKER is 3-20 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 0-13 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 3-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Pittsburgh are ranked No. 29 in team batting average (.221) The Pirates were shutout 1-0 yesterday. Note: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 8-23 in their last 31 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 6-21 in their last 27 interleague road games. Pirates are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore. PITTSBURGH is 0-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. BALTIMORE is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-05-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
LA Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 22-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 0.750 in 4 starts with the Dodgers winning all 4 games. He has pitched his best baseball at home in dodgers Stadium this season garnering a 7-1 record and stingy 1.67 ERA and deserves respect in this tilt on a mid ranged chalk line. Dodgers are 42-17 in their last 59 games vs. a left-handed starter like Manaea. MANAEA is 0-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.778. Dodgers are 54-17 in their last 71 home games. The Padres despite of being on a run of late have struggled at Dodger Stadium recently. They've dropped nine of their last 10 there and Im betting nothing changes tonight in this hardcore rivalry. Note: LA DODGERS are 16-1 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season LA DODGERS are 22-6 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Padres starter Manaea.LA DODGERS are 13-1 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 16-34 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-05-22 | Yankees v. Cardinals +140 | 3-4 | Win | 140 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Cardinals have won 6 of their L/7 and are not an easy out. Cortez the Yanks starter has been fairly strong lately, but in his last win vs KC their was alot of traffic and he was lucky to get out of that tilt mostly unscathed. The way the Cards are seeing the ball lately in general, gives credence to some value here as them cashing for us as home dogs. Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cards starter Hudson. NY YANKEES are 9-12 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 3-10 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 42-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win |
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08-05-22 | White Sox -1.5 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Cease has dominated of late, going 3-0 along with a minuscule 0.47 ERA. Im betting he continues to own his opposition here tonight and projected run-ilne win. Cease is 6-1 with a 1.30 ERA in nine road starts. CEASE is 24-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 Texas Starter OTTO is 1-11 SU in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3. Otto owns a 2-3 home record this season with a 7.69 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Play on White Sox to win |
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08-04-22 | Raiders v. Jaguars UNDER 30.5 | 27-11 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 60 m | Show | |
Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium in Canton, Ohio This is lowest totals offering in the HOF game since 2004. The last 9 HOF games have seen the under go 7-2, going under the offered total by 6.2 points per game.. |
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08-04-22 | Red Sox -134 v. Royals | 3-7 | Loss | -134 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
Bubic in his only start vs the Sox saw his team get clobbered 15-1 and is fade material vs this batting order according to my power rankings. BOSTON is 16-5 against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (BOSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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08-04-22 | Blue Jays -124 v. Twins | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
Toronto’s is on fire and Vlad Guerrero has been a key contributor . Since moving up to the No. 2 spot in the batting order, the phenom has really lit up the scoreboard, batting .352 BA , .493 SLG%. .453 OBP. Tonight vs Gray who owns a 5.92 ERA in his L/ 24.1 innings pitched Im betting he goes over the runs total. |
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08-04-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Guardians | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Justin Verlander the Astros top tier veteran starter owns a 1.72 ERA on the road this season, and owns a very stingy 1.64 ERA against teams that are .500 or better in his six road starts. Im betting on more of the same action here today against the Guardians. The Astros come to play against top tier teams consistently showing their elite status and laying -1.5 runs here is a viable wagering opportunity with Verlander on the hill. CLEVELAND is 6-26 SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg. HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. Play on Houston Astros -1.5 |
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08-04-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Padres | 7-3 | Win | 117 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rockies starter FREELAND is 8-2 SU when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 7-3 SU against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Padres. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. We definitely have a runline advantage here and a viable investment opportunity. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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08-04-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Giants | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Super star Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.66 ERA), has started more games against the Giants than against any other team. When he gets the ball on Thursday, he will be making his 53rd career start in his 55th overall head-to-head against the Giants, having garnered a 1.99 ERA. The veteran lefty is also 14-6 with a 1.58 ERA in 27 career games, including 25 starts, at San Francisco's Oracle Park and gets the nod again for a highly likely dominating performance. Im betting the road side to sweep this series and improve to 8-0 against the Giants since the All-Star break and in the process win by more than 2 runs according to my projections. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 57-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this RL offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 RL |
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08-03-22 | Rockies +240 v. Padres | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Colorado Rockies starter Snell is 3-0 in his last five starts, while garnering fewer than two runs in four of the five games along with registering with a 2.81 ERA. He has 40 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings and Im betting he gets the job done again tonight vs the San Diego Padres. |
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08-03-22 | A's +215 v. Angels | 3-1 | Win | 215 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
SHOHEI OHTANI lost all three of his starts last year vs Oakland while, Oaklands starter KAPRIELIAN is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.02 and a WHIP of 0.792 in three starts with his team winning all 3 of those outings. Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League West. Athletics are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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08-03-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +190 | 7-8 | Win | 190 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Royals +141 v. White Sox | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
CHI WHITE SOX are 3-10 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season like the Royals B.Singer. The Royals righty starter also owns a 0.95 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is a viable pitcher to back in his current form. Note" The White Sox struggle against right-handed pitching (94 wrC+, 21st). Meanwhile, the White Sox starter Lynn has struggled more than usual in this campaign, as his velocity is down as is evident by a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 and a 5.40 ERA at home in 2022. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-15 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Royals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, or better WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals to win |
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08-03-22 | Mariners v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
NY Yankees starter COLE is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Mariners starter Castillo. SEATTLE is 32-18 OVER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored.
My projections estimate these teams will combine for +8 runs . (Top tier pitching matchup or note I still estimate these offenses get us over the hump and deliver and over wager for profit. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 101-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-03-22 | Phillies v. Braves -128 | 3-1 | Loss | -128 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Braves will send Charlie Morton (5-5, 4.34 ERA) against Wheeler (9-5, 2.77) in a battle of veteran right-handers. ATLANTA is 26-11 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons.(Wheeler qualifies) Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wheeler. The Atlanta offense looked explosive Tuesday by collecting 14 hits and now Im betting on that momentum continuing here today against the Phillies again. Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, in August games are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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08-02-22 | Royals v. White Sox -165 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
KC starting hurler KELLER is 6-17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) White Sox starter Giolito, who is 8-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 18 career starts against Kansas City. Royals are 18-38 in their last 56 vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 17-36 in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.Royals are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 9-78 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win |
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08-01-22 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
In a matchup of right-handers, Antonio Senzatela (3-5, 4.90 ERA) will start for the Rockies on Monday against Mike Clevinger (2-3, 3.38). The L/3 starts that each of these pitchers have seen action in when these teams go head to head have seen this total eclipsed. Senzatela- 11, 11, 9 runs go on the board in his L/3 vs San Diego and Clevinger, 8, 19, 14 runs click in on the scoreboard vs Colorado. Im betting both these hurlers will help contribute to another combined score that goes over this offered number. Over is 5-2-3 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Clevinger. Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Senzatela. COLORADO is 8-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored. Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. SAN DIEGO is 42-26 OVER )vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. Over is 8-3 in Padres last 11 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego. Play OVER |
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08-01-22 | Diamondbacks v. Guardians -145 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Arizona, which is making its first trip to Progressive Field since 2014, will send right-hander Zach Davies (2-4, 3.94 ERA) to the hill in the series opener. Cleveland is off an extensive road trip, and despite of some teams taking time to get used to home cooking again, the resourceful Indians , Im betting are well coached enough to be wide awake enough to deal with this lower tier national league opponent. With Arizonas clubhouse on edge knowing moves are coming and have already been made Im sure they may not be as focused as usual making them vulnerable vs a up-trending team. Diamondbacks are 15-53 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 58-154 for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-01-22 | Mets -225 v. Nationals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
CORBIN is 0-10 against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) CORBIN is 2-15 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 8-36 against the money line against division opponents this season.WASHINGTON is 3-23 against the money line in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 106-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. |
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07-31-22 | Cubs +175 v. Giants | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cubs enter this game in top form having garnered wins in six of their last eight since the All-Star break, including sweeping the Phillies in Philadelphia. The pitching rotation has also stepped up and in that span has delivered a minuscule 1.01 ERA. With SF struggling and missing key players from their lineup with injuries(Brandon Crawford, Evan Longoria, and Joc Pederson ) they look vulnerable to being upset here tonight. I know a top tier hurler for the Giants in Rodon will be on the hill here tonight but he has not done particularly well on the road this season, where he owns a 3.88 ERA, and overall he has struggled against strong LHP hitting lines-ups . Chicago may not be explosive against lefties, but are equipped to deal with Rodon. RODON is 2-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record) RODON is 4-9 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Rodon is winless in his last three starts, having served up 10 runs in 11 innings in his last two. Giants are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win. Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 overall. CHICAGO CUBS are 16-13 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play on Chicago Cubs to win |
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07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Atlanta will send All-Star left-hander Max Fried (10-3, 2.73 ERA) against Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly (10-5, 3.04). Kelly has been hot lately, but my power rankings suggest regression here vs a hot hitting Braves batting order that my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he does matchup well against. Note: Kelly has made two career starts against the Braves, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 42-4 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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07-31-22 | Brewers v. Red Sox +127 | 2-7 | Win | 127 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Ashby who owns a 5.72 road ERA and has lost his L/2 starts also threw a career-high 111 pitches, 81 for strikes in his last trip to the hill, which Im betting sees him a little tired here today at Fenway and vulnerable.Note: Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, desperate Boston send out Winckowski (3-5, 5.18) who despite of recent struggles went 3-0 in three starts in June with a 2.12 ERA. Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 42-17 in their last 59 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Red Sox are 130-63 in their last 193 interleague home games. Red Sox are 94-46 in their last 140 interleague games. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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07-31-22 | Royals v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
In seven career appearances in New York, Royals starter Greinke is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA. I know the veteran hurler has pitched well recently, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the NY Yankees explosive batting order matches up well against him and severe damage is something Im betting they induce on the Royals starter. Meanwhile, NYY starter Montgomery is 0-2 with a 4.97 ERA over his past seven starts since getting a win in Toronto on June 17 and is 0-1 with a 4.63 ERA in two career starts against the Royals. Over is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games following a win.Over is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 home games |
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07-30-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Braves starter ANDERSON is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at 3.5 runs which qualifies on the -1.5 RL offering. ANDERSON is 10-1 SU in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at 2 rpg. ANDERSON is 1-0 in his career when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429. 9 I know Anderson has had a hiccup in his L/2 starts, which were far from quality but he matches up very well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and deserve respect . ARIZONA is 7-39 SU as a ML road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 which qualifies on this RL offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 57-7 with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.6 which once against qualifies on this RL offering from the books. |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 51 m | Show | |
These two West Division rivals went head to head a couple weeks ago with Winnipeg (7-0) coming out on top of the Stamps 26-19. Im betting on a diff result this time as well rested Calgary (4-1) has had time to study film, after a bye week while Winnipeg plays their 2nd straight road game. Dickenson is 14-4 ATS as an underdog as the coach of CALGARY. Teams off a bye week like Calgary have won SU 6 of 8 times this season. CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 39-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary Stamps to cover |
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07-30-22 | Brewers v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Red Sox have allowed four or less runs in three of their last five games, and on the flip side have only averaged 3.4 runs per game in those five tilts. Yesterday they lost 4-1 and Im expecting that pattern to continue here vs visiting Milwaukee today which bodes well for a under cashing for us. Under is 14-3-2 in Brewers last 19 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 28-10-3 in Brewers last 41 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bosox starter Pivetta. MILWAUKEE is 38-19 UNDER L/57 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 41-21 UNDER in road games against AL East opponents with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. BOSTON is 29-18 UNDER after a loss this season with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. Under is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 vs. National League Central. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (BOSTON/MILWAUKEE ) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 75-26 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-30-22 | Brewers v. Red Sox -102 | 9-4 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Pivetta (8-7, 4.35 ERA) had his best start in the past month on Monday, holding the Cleveland Guardians scoreless until the fifth inning and totaling six strikeouts while allowing one run in 5 2/3 innings. Im betting he gives the desperate Red Sox an edge here at home today in Fenway.BOSTON is 103-67 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better like the Brewers Lauer. BOSTON is also 16-7 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Lauer has not won since June 17 in Cincinnati. Play on Red Sox to win Baez has owned Stripling over the course of their careers. Baez has seven hits, including four doubles and a home run, in 10 plate appearances against the righty, according to Swish Analytics. His .700 batting average against Stripling is the best of any hitter vs. pitcher duel on Saturday with at least five previous plate appearances. Stripling has also been struggling lately, which is another factor working in Baez’s favour. The 32-year-old has allowed 36 hits over his last 35.1 innings pitched. That’s a noticeable drop-off as he only allowed 35 hits across his first 43.0 innings pitched this year. |
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07-29-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 7.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas starter PEREZ in 9 in road games this season. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 8.9 rpg scored. PEREZ in 8 games on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Perez is 7-6 with a 4.01 ERA in 21 career games (17 starts) against the Angels. LA ANGELS are 23-9 OVER in home games after being shut out in a loss to a division rival with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. ( Angels were shutout yesterday) Texas has averaged 5.2 rpg vs LHP starters like Perez this season. Patrick Sandoval has garnered a 5.14 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks vulnerable here again tonight. Note:This month has been particularly bad for Sandoval, who is 0-4 with a 7.11 ERA in four starts. My projections estimate 8+ runs scored here making this viable over wager. Play OVER |
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07-29-22 | Liberty +10 v. Sky | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Brewers v. Red Sox +152 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 5-12 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 6-13 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Woodruff has not pitched all that well on the road this season is as evident by his 5.26 ERA and Im betting the BoSox get to him here at home in Fenway. Note: CORA is 28-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. I know B. Bello the Red Sox starter might not give us alot of confidence but my power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs this Brewers batting order. Red Sox are 102-42 in their last 144 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BOSTON) - with a bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 90-70 L/26 seasons. Play on Boston |