Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-05-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are playing their fourth game in six days and are on tired legs entering this tilt at Phoenix.Phoenix's Big Three of Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal Im betting will be to much for the Wolves to compete with from a offensive standpoint., especially considering the Wolves are without the often injured Towns. These teams could meet in the play offs , and home court advantage will be key. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. ( Minn beat Toronto 133- 85 last time out- while, the Suns offense exploded for two plus 120 points out wins vs the Pelicans and Cavs. Suns are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Suns to cover |
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04-05-24 | Knicks v. Bulls -1.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Julius Randle's season is over, as he will undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum, and this has to be disheartening to this Knicks team. Another key NYK asset Anunoby is currently out with elbow bursitis.Considering the Knicks are running a short rotation, and accumulating alot of minutes, exhaustion maybe starting to set in as is evident by having lost three straight games previous to beating up on another tired group in the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Chicago takes advantage of out of gas Knicks group and grabs the victory. NBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win /cover |
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04-05-24 | Kings v. Celtics -10 | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
When these teams met back on Dec 20th in Sacramento the Celtics ran over their hosts by a 144-119 count and very much looked like the superior side, and Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Boston, After manhandling a very good Oklahoma City side, last time out, winning by a 135-100 count its obvious to me the Celtics mean business down the stretch drive here entering the play offs and will prepared to send another message tonight. Boston is 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-05-24 | Rays v. Rockies +1.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rockies starter GOMBER is 15-9 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) along with a +0.5 rpg diff in those 24 tilts which qualifies in this RL offering. Note:Gomber got the start in the Rockies' only win this season. Meanwhile TBs starter LITTELL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.50. Colorado has struggled out of the gate, but now get to come home and play in the friendly confines of Coors Field for the first time this season. Im betting they are competitive today and cover the runline. COLORADO is 9-1 in home games after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), after allowing 9 runs or more are 33-5 L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 52-14 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado +1.5 |
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04-04-24 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4 | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
From a SRS perspective we are getting value with the home dog tonight LA Clippers. The defending NBA champs demand respect, but this line is a little bloated according both my projections and the SRS data. The Clippers rank7th in the NBA in SRS with a 3.38. rating while the Nuggets rank 4th with a 4.83. Taking into consideration home court advantage we have close a 2 point advantage on the line with the home side. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Note: The Clippers won the last meeting here at home 111-102 back on Dec 6th of this season. DENVER is 15-27 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Injury notes: Jokic and Murray are less than 100% , and may or may not play and if they do should see limited/restricted minutes/ action. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-04-24 | Hawks +11.5 v. Mavs | 95-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks despite of losing their top scoring star Trey Young to injury have been playing inspired hoops of late, and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight vs the Mavericks. The Hawks have won 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here in this current form as DD dogs. Note:Atlanta has played the Mavs tough in their 3 most recent meetings winning two of 3 with the loss coming earlier this season in a 148-143 home defeat. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 69-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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04-04-24 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 209.5 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
According to my projections the current totals offering is of by close to 2 possession which favors an over bet between the visiting 76ers and their hosts the Heat. Even the slightest edge will end up being a long term profitable approach to betting the NBA . I know both sides run at a slower pace, but in what the linesmakers are expecting a close competitive game eclipsing the total is a viable opportunity as my projections estimate both sides will score +107 points. The 76ers defensive rating registers at 115.2 (12th of 30) Net Rtg: +2.3 (14th of 30) The Heats defensive rating registers at :112.8 (6th of 30) Net Rtg: +1.5 (16th of 30) PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 82-59 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-27 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average of 233.8 ppg scored over the 87 game sample. Play over |
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04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks OVER 215 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 47-26 OVER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. |
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04-04-24 | Panthers -145 v. Senators | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Panthers coach Paul Maurice said recently about his teams recent down efforts . " It's going to be a grinder. ... We've got a good chunk of adversity right now, and part of it will be the panic that will set in outside the room." End Quote: Im betting now in panic /desperation mode we see the well conditioned and speedy Panthers in top form tonight vs the Sens. The key will reside behind Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky who is 33-17-3 this season with a 2.46 goals-against average and a .912 save percentage. It must be noted that Florida won the first two meetings of the season series with Ottawa. The Panthers blanked the Senators 5-0 on Nov. 27 and won 3-2 in overtime on Feb. 20. FLORIDA is 10-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 2 season.FLORIDA is 43-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Panthers to win |
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04-04-24 | Indiana State v. Seton Hall UNDER 160 | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-03-24 | Canucks -140 v. Coyotes | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
The Coyotes have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs the Canucks.Considering the Canucks have won 6 of the last 7 games against the Coyotes, and still motivated as they play for playoff seeding, they very much look like the right side vs a non play off side. ARIZONA is 1-19 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Vancouver to win |
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04-03-24 | Pacers -7 v. Nets | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn just got clobbered by Indiana 133-111 when they met a couple days ago and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance from the Pacers tonight. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 11-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and hav covered their L/4 meetings on the road in BROOKLYN. Play on Indiana to cover |
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04-03-24 | Red Sox -155 v. A's | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Red Sox expected starter Pivetta owns a 1.50 ERA and 15.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .143 against him this season so far. He will go to the hill against an Athletics offense that is batting .195 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .323 (24th in MLB). Meanwhile, the As expected starter Stripling owns a 7.20 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .318 against him. The opposing Red Sox offense has a .244 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 53 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 28 runs scored. Advantage Red Sox The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 62% so we have an edge their according to projections. The A's have come away with one win in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season and Im betting this will be their 6th failure. The Oakland Athletics have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 157 games (-31.10 Units / -20% ROI) MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this game having won 7 straight while their hosts the Golden State Warriors have won 4 straight. With home court advantage and revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Mavs Im recommending we back the experienced veteran laden Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI) The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI) NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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04-02-24 | Red Sox -144 v. A's | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The BoSox look to be in a groove and have won their last two games by a 14-1 combined count including yesterday 9-0 shellacking of Oakland. Im betting on a rinse and repeat W going on the board today. Note: BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Also MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. OAKLAND is 10-30 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Boston to win |
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04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall UNDER 145.5 | 67-84 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall Im betting will be ready to make this into a grinding defensive affair. Also after the big offensive output last tine out Im betting on regression from the Pirates. SETON HALL is 21-8 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better . GEORGIA is 10-3 UNDER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. GEORGIA is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more this season SETON HALL is 25-13 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - off an upset win as a road underdog are 165-108 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate . CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 110-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-02-24 | Penguins v. Devils -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Pens were defeated 5-2 after the Devils scored four unanswered goals in Pittsburgh on Nov. 16, then flunked out in another 5-2 defeat during a lazy loss at Prudential Center last month. Its obvious to me the Devils matchup well against Pittsburgh and get the nod here again tonight. It must also be noted that the Pens are in a back to back road game situation which has not been a good omen for them in recent seasons. PITTSBURGH is 1-10 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road underdogs against the money line (PITTSBURGH) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are just 15-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Devils to win |
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04-02-24 | Utah v. Indiana State UNDER 163.5 | 90-100 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. "Undoubtedly, Coach [Vadal] Peterson has instructed his group to slow down the pace and stress possession at all times vs a run and gun Sycamores side. The Utah game plan of defense first disciplined slow down hoops Im betting wont deviate today as they will have to deal with a raucous environment at the Hinkle Filed House in Indiana this Tuesday night . This gives us an edge towards a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. UTAH is 36-19 UNDER L/54 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 130.0 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (INDIANA ST) - in a tournament game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 107-60 L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Scored 85 in a 85-81 vs Cincinnati last time out). Play under |
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04-01-24 | Red Sox -136 v. A's | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Houck had great control in the spring, issuing just three walks in 15 innings. He went 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five appearances, striking out 16 and gets the nod today according to my matchup projections vs the Oakland As. Oakland had started their season losing 3 straight games to the Cleveland Guardians by a total score of 26-7 , but bounced back last time out with a walk of walk to grab a win. Im now betting on immediate regression vs what is a superior side. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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04-01-24 | Oilers v. Blues +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
These teams split their first two games this season, with each team winning at home. St. Louis won 6-3 on Feb. 15 behind Jordan Binnington's 35 saves, and Edmonton pulled out a 3-2 overtime victory on Feb. 28, with Stuart Skinner stopping 32 shots. Now with play off elimination nearing the Blues will be pulling out the stops here to try to pull off the upset vs a top tier side they seem to matchup well against. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 20-11 L/27 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +0.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering . Play on the Blues +1.5 puckline |
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04-01-24 | Blue Jays v. Astros UNDER 9 | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
. The Astros stranded 34 baserunners and finished 8-for-41 with runners in scoring position in their season opening four game sweep at the hands of the Yankees and Im betting based on my projections they continue to have issues today vs the Jays pitching staff. HOUSTON is 23-9 UNDER in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 27-13 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined averag of 7.7 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TORONTO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams who had good records (54% to 62%) from last season are 29-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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04-01-24 | Hawks v. Bulls -2 | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
***The Bulls are in ninth place vs the Hawks and are 10th in the Eastern Conference, and the two l will probably play in the opener of the play-in tournament. However, the No. 9 team will host the game, in which the loser is eliminated making this a important game for both sides. Home court is huge here according to my projections as neutral court is a essentially a pickem according to SRS numbers. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Atlanta had a 4 game win streak end on Saturday vs the Bucks, and in the past have not been a great bounce back team, especially after a home game as is evident by the following trends: Atlanta is 11-28 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and 11-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Also ATLANTA is just 3-11 ATS against Central division opponents this season and considering the Bulls current form that has seen them win 2 of their L/3 against top tier opponents Indiana and Minnesota, Im betting home side is in a viable enough groove to grab the victroy here as short home favs. Chicago is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-31-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
After winning the first two games of this series by 2 runs or more , the Dodgers flunked out last night as the Cardinals beat Dodgers 6-5 in 10 innings after Betts homered in the ninth. That was nice dramatic win for the Cards, but now in a emotional let down state vs a redemption minded side playing at home on national TV, Im betting for the Dodgers to make a statement in a bounce back situation. Note: Dating back to last season The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+22.85 Units / 13% ROI) LA DODGERS are 47-19 SU after a loss over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 runline |
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03-31-24 | Cavs +5 v. Nuggets | 101-130 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Nuggets look exhausted lately, as was obvious in recent losses to Minnesota and Phoenix and will probably rest Murray tonight in this tilt vs the Cavs as the play offs approach. There is definite value here taking the Cavaliers in this spot play situation. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season. Play on |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -3.5 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue and Tennessee previously squared off in the early part of the season as part of the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers managed to sneak away with a 71-67 victory and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat of that final here today. TENNESSEE is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Purdue to PURDUE is 11-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8. Purdue to cover |
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03-31-24 | Twins -115 v. Royals | 0-11 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Royals' offense is not visible yet scoring just one run in each of their first two games. Kansas City has just 10 total hits so far this season and im betting their struggles continue today vs the Twins who matchup well vs the Royals starter Singer who in two starts against the Twins last season, allowed 10 runs in 7 2/3 innings. KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 3-18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Twins to win |
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03-30-24 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Stroman/Brown probable pitching matchup projects a strong pitcher advantage vs opposing offensive production . Same holds true with active bullpen probables Edge to the under NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. NY YANKEE L/8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES L/102 night games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined aerage of 8 rpg scored. . MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NYY/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 63-24 UNDER with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Play to the under |
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03-30-24 | Islanders v. Lightning -148 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Islanders kept their play off hopes alive, last time out with a big win vs Florida. But in my opinion it was more of a Panthers letdown rather than the Islanders abilities. In their usual inconsistent fashion Im now betting that the Islanders cant get the job done tonight and that TB get the W. Note: The Bolts beat the Islanders on Long Island 4-2 back in late Feb. NY ISLANDERS are 0-6 ATS in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more this season. TAMPA BAY is 3-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS in Tampa Bay over the last 3 seasons and get the nod again. The last two games saw the Lightning out-score the Isles by a 11-1 count. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Connecticut has held 9 of their L/10 opponents to their season low point production average and Im betting nothing changes today. Illinois shoots strong downtown trey action, and defends the trey well, and so does UConn. What Im betting here is that alot of this game is played on the inside, and will be brutally physical and also lower scoring than the linesmkaers are expecting. CONNECTICUT is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT in 9 games when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons have held their opponents to an average of 57.4 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as an underdog are 91-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CONNECTICUT) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80%or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 190-126 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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03-30-24 | Celtics v. Pelicans +6.5 | 104-92 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Two straight ugly efforts against the Atlanta Hawks and now the Celtics try to avoid their first three-game losing streak of 2023-24 when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Im betting even if the Bean-town crew get the W, that their tired legs now playing their their 5th straight road game wont easily get what they want and that they fail to cover vs a undervalued Pelicans side playing at home. Its obvious to me that the Celtics are having some regressionary algorithmic down time after a strong run that saw them win 9 straight games. Pelicans are 7-0 ATS L7 vs .700 or better opposition.NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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03-30-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The first two games of this series saw 10 runs per games scored (both tilts) and Im projecting on the magic of 3 to hit for us today, based on the pitcher/bullpen/batting lineup projections. TAMPA BAY is 16-5 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 21-7 OVER (+13.0 Units) in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. MLB team (TORONTO) - off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival, first 12 games of the season, playoff team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 41-13 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Play over |
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03-30-24 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 4-13 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Los Angeles, their first three pitchers gave up a combined nine earned runs in the Thursday game but my projections estimate a much better all around effort here today from the pitching staff (starter/bullpen). Meanwhile, on offense the Angels could only squeeze out couple of hits and three walks, and my early season projections estimate more production problems against the Orioles starters/bullpen. Edge to the under. BALTIMORE is 31-18 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. MLB eam (BALTIMORE) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversin rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in 7.5 rpg. Play under |
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03-29-24 | Duke +4.5 v. Houston | 54-51 | Win | 100 | 101 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Its interesting to note that Duke is 21-0 when forcing teams to hit fewer than 46% from the floor. Houston only hits 43.4% of its shots this season, and after their huge output last time out, scoring 100 points to beat Texas A&M while shooting 51.8% from the floor Im expecting on regression. I know that Houstons top tier D, will be formidable but Duke and can also play a strong brand of D .In a game I have pegged at close to a pickem Im betting we have great value with the Blue Devils. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season. Play on Duke to cover |
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03-29-24 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Rodon/Javier expected starters- my projections estimate we have value with an under wager between two stop tier sides. NY YANKEES are 49-30 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 24-8 UNDER when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. BOONE is 36-22 UNDER ( as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (/HOUSTON/NY YANKEES) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 61-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Play under |
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03-29-24 | Clippers v. Magic +2 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Magic have uncharacteristically lost two straight games at home (24-11 SU/ATS as hosts) , but Im betting on them having a bounce back effort today vs the visiting Clippers who are off a hard fought 108-107 win vs the Sixers last time out March 27th, in what was their 4th straight time failing to cover and are just 11-12 with a -2.6 net rating since early Feb. With this also being the Clippers 3rd straight road game tired legs could make them vulnerable to the leagues best home team ATS with a +6.9 home net rating which ranks them seventh in the NBA. LA CLIPPERS are 6-16 ATS off a road win this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season Orlando 10-1 ATS on Fridays vs non-conference opposition. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State owns a staunch D, but if they had one weakness its their 3 point defense. Illinois is a top tier downtown stopping group, and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker between two teams that sink 35% plus of their treys. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Duquesne. |
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03-28-24 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Mariners | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting we have some runline value with this game based on my projections. Note:BELLO is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE in his career with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.636. SERVAIS is 55-58 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 as the manager of SEATTLE with a just a 0.2 rpg diff advantage. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on boston +1.5 runline |
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03-28-24 | Rangers v. Avalanche -147 | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Colorado had a 9 game win streak end last time out vs Montreal in a 2-1 loss thanks to some stellar Habs goaltending. I know the Rangers are also playing well, but redemption Im betting is at hand for the Avs tonight, as they come out looking for revenge for a 2-1 loss suffered art MSG back in Feb. COLORADO is 18-3 ATS in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.COLORADO is 10-0 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.COLORADO is 21-4 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season Play on Avalanche ML |
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03-28-24 | Bucks v. Pelicans +2.5 | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
Saints were smashed by the Bucks earlier this season 141-117 and now have payback on their agenda. After playing a hard fought game the day before yesterday vs the Lakers in a OT loss the Bucks will be vulnerable to a letdown performance vs a very motivated and talented group.Note: Bucks are 0-5 ATS away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opposition. NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-33 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on New Orleans |
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03-28-24 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 225.5 | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Boston was upset last time out by a 120-118 score by this same Atlanta squad, and now redemption is at hand. Im betting on a merciless effort here from the Celtics and for the Hawks to have to open up with some offensive foireworsk of their own in chase mode which Im projecting will help easily eclipse this total. BOSTON L/28 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons has een a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 253.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 67-29 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-28-24 | Clemson v. Arizona UNDER 152.5 | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 74 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on under |
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03-28-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Dodgers took part in a high scoring affair last time out ( week ago) where 26 combined runs were scored and now Im betting on immediate regression. This Cards first game of the regular season, and facing a top tier pitcher in Glasnow projects to be average at best production event. Dodgers starter GLASNOW iin his last 18 appearances as a favorite of -175 to -250 . (Team's Record) has seen a combined score of 6.1 rpg scored. Cards expected starter MIKOLAS is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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03-27-24 | Suns v. Nuggets -7.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns 117-107 here at home the last time they played and now the defending champs will be out for redemption and to send a message that they are not to be disrespected. Note: Nuggets are on a 13-1 SU as hosts L/2 campaigns when seeking same-season double-digit revenge, and in 6 tries only failed to cover once when given the opportunity this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 124-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -4.5 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UNLV is playing without starting forward Luis Rodriguez who has missed the first two NIT games. Rebs scoring star K Boone has still excelled without him, but Im betting that Boone finally meets his match here against a strong Big East D, that is playing at home. SETON HALL is 8-2 ATS ( in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 . CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference are 391-273 ATS L/27 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall |
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03-26-24 | Mavs v. Kings -1 | 132-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Both these teams played last night, but the Kings having rested in their own beds will be fresher. After two straight hard fought games in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the Mavs will be feeling tired as this game progresses which gives us a edge with the home side. Note: Mavs are 1-7 as dogs in back to back situations. Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 vs Mavs. I know Dallas is on a nice run but it must be noted that Mavs HC Kidd is 27-50 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1996 with average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-26-24 | Warriors -1.5 v. Heat | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Play on Warriors to cover |
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03-26-24 | Devils v. Maple Leafs -134 | 6-3 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Devils beat the Isles last time out by a 4-0 count but it must be noted that this is not always a great situation for Devils backers as they are a bankroll depleting 1-12 ATS off a road win by 2 goals or more this season. From a league wide trends perspective NHL Road underdogs against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, on Tuesday nights are just 9-41 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. Maple Leafs are 5-1 L/6 in this series and get the nod again. Play on Toronto to win |
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03-26-24 | Georgia +8.5 v. Ohio State | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. GEORGIA is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick this season. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. Play on Georgia to cover |
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03-25-24 | 76ers +8.5 v. Kings | 96-108 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a 3 game road trip and in the last game of their trek they upset the Orlando Magic in a physical hard fought game, and now Im betting on a letdown spot here vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. It must be noted that despite of playing without Joel Embidd the Sixers have been mostly competitive and should not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight. Philadelphia ha won 10 straight games in this series and if they lose this tilt, it wont come without a valiant fight. SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 3-15 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Brown is 0-9 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of SACRAMENTO. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 13-26 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-25-24 | Grizzlies +15 v. Nuggets | 103-128 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver has a recent reputation for taking the foot off the gas against teams like the Grizzlies, and could easily rest some stars tonight for long stretches of this game, giving us an edge taking DD points with the visitors. MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks +10.5 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Boston is surging towards the play offs in top form, but there could be a problem here , as they are also not pacing themselves, and with this being their 9th road game in their L/11 trips to the hardwood, and their 3rd road game in their L/4 days ,could find themselves vulnerable due to exhaustion. BOSTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 3-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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03-24-24 | Boston College v. UNLV OVER 143.5 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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03-24-24 | Grand Canyon v. Alabama UNDER 169 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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03-24-24 | Warriors +3.5 v. Wolves | 110-114 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
The Warriors are primed for payback against a team they would love to send a message to before the play offs arrive . This Golden State team has lost both their tilts vs the Wolves at home this season and will be sky high for this tilt. It must be noted that the Warriors – are 6-1-1 ATS when Minnesota is above .500 in a double revenge situation. Golden State is also golden 5-0 ATS as a dog when in redemption mode for a same-season double revenge. situation Minnesota when facing an opponent with same- season double revenge are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS vs sides with a .400 or better record. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a upset loss as a favorite are 40-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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03-24-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana State UNDER 163.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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03-23-24 | Oregon +5 v. Creighton | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Altman is 7-0 ATS (when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON. CBB favorite (CREIGHTON) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 28-62 ATS L/5 season for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Oregon to cover |
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03-23-24 | Suns -9.5 v. Spurs | 131-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Spurs are on tired legs after playing last night in a lethargic loss to the Memphis Grizzlies and are now vulnerable to being beat up on by a redemption minded Suns side that has fallen asleep at the proverbial wheel in this last two meetings vs the Spurs this season. It must noted that the Suns are 3-0 ATS L/3 times in this series when coming into it with Double revenge and are 13-3 ATS vs any side that took them out in 2 consecutive same season tilts. It must also be noted that the Suns are a money making 23-3 ATS away in SU wins with same- season double revenge. SAN ANTONIO is 13-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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03-23-24 | Texas v. Tennessee UNDER 146.5 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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03-23-24 | Jets v. Islanders +123 | 3-6 | Win | 123 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
The Isles are on a 6 game losing streak, but still have hopes of making post season action. I know they will play a superior Winnipeg side here today, but the Islanders have won their L/2 meetings at home in this series, and now in desperation mode are a viable underdog selection.NY Islanders are also 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg. Play on NY Islanders to win |
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03-23-24 | Dayton +9.5 v. Arizona | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Dayton to cover |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's -5 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | 76ers v. Lakers -7 | 94-101 | Push | 0 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The well rested Lakers have revenge on board for an ugly 128-94 defeat in Philadelphia back in November and now Im betting on a big time redemption situation to unfold here in LA LA land tonight. Super stars like James and Davis don't take kindly to be embarrassed like that , with both expected to play tonight vs 76ers side that struggles on alot of nights without their injured super star Joel Embid in the lineup. note: Series host is 5-0 ATS L/5. PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.8. Play on Lakers to cover |
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03-22-24 | TCU v. Utah State +4 | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Coyotes -108 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Seattle is in a complete tailspin entering this game vs their hosts Arizona as is evident by having lost 6 straight including a 3-1 loss at Vegas last night. The Kraken are essentially not a play off threat at this time, unless they went on a huge run ,which is doubtful. With their energy levels depleted after playing last night and overall momentum taking a hit recently Im betting they wont have the extra gas needed to get the victory tonight. Note: SEATTLE is 0-5 ATS off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival this season. It must also be noted Karel Vejmelka, tonight expected starter for Arizona has recorded a 2.22 GAA and a .929 save percentage in his five starts in March . Considering the Kraken average just 2.00 per game on offense when playing back to back games, I very much believe the edge is on the Coyotes side especially considering the Kraken will be without key puck moving cog Vince Dunn tonight. NHL team against the money line (ARIZONA) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more are 55-19 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win |
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03-22-24 | Colorado v. Florida -1 | 102-100 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | Yale v. Auburn -12.5 | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-22-24 | New Mexico v. Clemson +2.5 | 56-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (CLEMSON) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 7 or more days rest are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +2 | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 62 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No.7 seed Washington State , won 10 of their last 12 games including a road win over Arizona to complete a season sweep and deserve respect here vs Drake. Note:The Cougars rank 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency, and they're holding opponents to just under 67 points per game this season. Drake needs their offense to flow to be successful, and Im betting that wont be the case today as the Bulldogs fail to roll offensively vs a tough physcial D.Overall, No. 7 seeds hold a 93-59 SU advantage over No. 10 seeds since the NCAA Tournament bracket expanded to 64 teams in 1985 for a 61.2% winning percentage for No. 7 seeds over the last four decades. Play on the Washington State Cougars to cover |
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03-21-24 | Knicks v. Nuggets -9.5 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Nuggets enter this game ready for redemption for a 122-84 loss in New York in January and Im now betting q conclusive DD winning effort here tonight. Note: NBA Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 73-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Also Malone is 27-14 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite as the coach of DENVER with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina | 87-73 | Win | 100 | 78 h 14 m | Show | |
S.Carolina has had a great season, and played much better than many of the pundits expected , and it breaks my heart to have to bet against them here today, but thats what Im recommending we do. HC Paris of the Gamecocks has really brought this group together, but against seasoned big game coach like Altman , Im betting pedigree will win out. Altman is 6-0 ATS when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON.Altman is 14-2 ATS in first round tournament games as the coach of OREGON.Altman is 6-0 ATS in the first round of the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON. Oregon to cover |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State +12 v. Illinois | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
MOREHEAD ST is 11-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Morehead State to cover |
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03-21-24 | Akron v. Creighton OVER 140.5 | 60-77 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-21-24 | Duquesne +9.5 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Duquesne's +166 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.8 points per game (261st in college basketball) while allowing 66.0 per outing (28th in college basketball). The Dukes are 6-1 in neutral-site games this season andDUQUESNE is 7-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons . .DUQUESNE is 9-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.DUQUESNE is 11-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season. BYU is 4-15 ATS in road games in a post-season tournament game since 1997.BYU is 2-12 ATS in road games in first round tournament games since 1997. Play on Duquesne to cover |
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03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -8.5 | 119-122 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played back in January the Celtics went into Milwaukee after playing the Minnesota Wolves the night before and were smashed in a DD beatdown (135-102). Now in revenge mode Im betting the Celtics to get even here plus some . Note: The Celtics are 3-0 ATS L/3 with revenge in this series from a 25 or more point loss. Also the Bucks have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 going against a side with revenge form a 30 or more point loss. BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 9 ppg. NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
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03-20-24 | SMU +7.5 v. Indiana State | 92-101 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After a heart breaking loss to Drake to end their chances of a NCAA tourney appearance Im betting Indiana State will be in a huge letdown situation vs a SMU side that will playing loose no pressure basketball. INDIANA ST is 1-9 ATS in a post-season tournament game since 1997. Lanier is 9-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB team (SMU) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite are 76-34 ATS L/27 seasons, for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU to cover |
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03-19-24 | Kansas State +6 v. Iowa | 82-91 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kansas State men’s basketball coach Jerome Tang had a simple reason for why the Wildcats should given an NCAA Tournament bid: if you win nine games in the Big 12, you should play in the Big Dance.The NCAA Selection Committee did not agree. Now the Wildcats need to prove the selection committee wrong with a win hjere and as far as we are considered a cover. Tang is 32-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of KANSAS ST. KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. McCaffery is 20-31 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of IOWA. IOWA is 2-10 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. |
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03-19-24 | Mavs v. Spurs +8.5 | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas is off a upset win vs the Denver Nuggets on Sunday night and have back to back games against the Utah Jazz after tonights game vs the Spurs. The Mavs have already defeated the Spurs three times this season, with the last two coming by big DD margins. But because of how easily the Mavs handled the Spurs Im betting they will in some ways be overlooking tonights opponents which leave them vulnerable especially considering they could easily be in a letdown spot after the above mentioned victory vs the top tier Nuggets.DALLAS is 0-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. DALLAS is 0-9 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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03-19-24 | Jets v. Rangers -115 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Rangers have looked in top form of late , and have conclusively just taken out two key division rivals the Pittsburgh Penguins and NY Islanders. With momentum on their sides and playing at home today where they are 23-8 SU Im betting the NYR have the edge. NY RANGERS are 9-2 ATS against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season like todays opponent the Winnipeg Jets. NY RANGERS are 9-0 ATS in home games after a division game this season. WINNIPEG is 12-25 ATS against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons like the Rangers. NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (NY RANGERS) - off 2 consecutive wins by 2 goals or more against division rivals, in March games are 38-7 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Rangers to win |
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03-18-24 | Heat +2.5 v. 76ers | 91-98 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is in complete disarray and are now 10-22 without their super star Joel Embiid out the lineup this season, which includes dropping five of the last seven overall. Their offensive production has also fallen off a cliff as they have averaged just 93.4 ppg in their last 5 trips to the court. I know Miami is off a game last night, but are a well conditioned side. Note: Miami is 48-32 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.1. I know some key cogs will also be out of the Heats lineup , but the remaining depth is a very physical group that Im betting the light weight Sixers lineup will have problems dealing with. From a coach perspective Nurse is 1-10 in home games versus defenses - allowing shooting pct defense 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. PHILADELPHIA is also just 2-10 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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03-17-24 | Ducks v. Blues -200 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Ducks are in tank mode and have lost 5 straight by 2 or more goals and Im betting on another down performance vs a Blues side, that has won 3 straight. ANAHEIM is 2-27 ATS (+59.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at -2.3. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (ST LOUIS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 27-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2. Play on Blues to win |
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03-17-24 | Celtics -10.5 v. Wizards | 130-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Boston continues to gain momentum as the playoffs approach and have won 4 straight by DDS, while Washington is in tank mode as is evident by having lost their L/3 by DD deficits. Today Im expecting this trend to continue and for the Celtics to roll past the Wizards. Note: Boston: 9-1 ATS L/10 in 2/0 rest situation with the Washington Wizards are 0-7 ATS L/7 in 0/2 rest situation. WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS as a home underdog this season with the average -11.8 ppg diff. Mazzulla is 21-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.9. Play on Boston to cover |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149 | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-17-24 | Temple v. UAB UNDER 138 | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-17-24 | Suns v. Bucks -3 | 129-140 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
Bucks have revenge on board for a 114-106 loss back in Feb on the road vs the these same Suns. With Giannis Antetokounmpo likely to play this TV game the Bucks are the right side. LATE STEAM |
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03-17-24 | Florida v. Auburn UNDER 156 | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-16-24 | Wolves -7.5 v. Jazz | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Wolves are well rested with 3 days off coming into this game, while /Utah played last night and will be on tired legs. Note: The Wolves are 7-1 ATS L/8 on 3 days rest and 11-2 ATS away vs an unrested div opponent . Meanwhile Utah: 0-4-1 ATS L/5 vs an opponent with 3 days rest.UTAH is 3-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 . NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, second half of the season are 35-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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03-16-24 | Long Beach State +2.5 v. UC-Davis | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This Long Beach State side is an under rated 4 starter returning team .Long Beach St. 9-1-2 ATS L 8 years in this tournament and are 16-3 ATS when coming off back-to-back wins which they are and and are also 7-1 ATS the last eight tilts in this tourney.LONG BEACH ST is 9-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. (Beat Cal Irvine as pups last time out) Play on Long Beach St to cover |
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03-16-24 | Kings v. Stars -160 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Dallas owns a 19-10-4 record in home games and a 40-19-9 record overall and rank second in league play with 244 total goals (averaging 3.6 per game) and Im betting it will their offensive superiority and home ice advantage that are difference makers tonight. NHL Road underdogs against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 67-15 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. ( Saturday's game is the third time these teams square off this season. The Stars won 4-1 in the previous meeting on March 9th and 5-1 on Jan 16th. Dallas is 4-0 L/4 at home in this series. Play on Dallas to win |
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03-16-24 | New Mexico +2.5 v. San Diego State | 68-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SD State beat the Lobos at home, the last time they played in Feb by a 81-70 score, previous to that the Lobos won at home in January by a 88-70 count. So they conclusively both defended home court advantage. Here in a neutral court environment, Im leaning heavily on the No.2 Seed New Mexico to come out of this as Mountain West champs. Note: 11-3 SU in MWC title games. Pitino is 15-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of NEW MEXICO. NEW MEXICO is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. NEW MEXICO is 7-0 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season. SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS n road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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03-16-24 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Purdue | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. When these teams played at Purdue back on March 10th the Boilermakers came away with a 78-70 win . It must be noted Gard is 20-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of WISCONSIN. WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.WISCONSIN is 17-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. #5 seed dogs like Wisconsin are 10-1 ATS 15 seasons in this event. I know starting point guard Chucky Hepburn may not play or be less than 100% but this is a deep team at the guard position and deserve respect. PURDUE is 8-17 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 1-12 ATS L/6 seasons in the Big 10 Tourney. Wisconsin to cover |
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03-15-24 | Suns -9 v. Hornets | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Suns are pretty well at full strength, with all their key cogs in the lineup. Meanwhile, Charlotte a side that has been banged up for most of the season, and just 9-23 SU at home this year are fade material here according to my projections. In their only meeting this season, the Suns took out the Hornets by a 133-19 count, and won both contests vs Charlotte last season by DDs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.7 ppg. The Suns played last night in a DD loss to the Celtics and will be out looking for redemption . Note: Pho: 7-1 away with no rest vs non-conference opposition. Meanwhile, Charlotte 1-9 ATS home in 1/0 rest situation. One of these teams (Suns) is picking up momentum as the post season nears closer, while the other side should continue their decent into tank mode . NBA opening line Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 67-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 147.5 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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03-15-24 | Wichita State v. UAB UNDER 146.5 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the under |
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03-15-24 | Wichita State +5.5 v. UAB | 60-72 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Wichita State won the lone regular season meeting with the Blazers just a couple weeks ago in Birmingham, 74-66. The Shockers are 5-0 all-time vs. UAB. Wichita State to cover |
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03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Top seeds are 8-17 ATS in their L/25 opening games in the /big 10 Tournament. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
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03-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 235.5 | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The last time these teams met the Mavs smashed the Thunder by a 146-111 count as hosts and now with revenge on board Im betting the home side will be primed for pay back and even if they have a substantial lead will not take their foot off proverbial pedal. In response the explosive Mavs will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which will lead to a fairly high scoring game. I know Mavs super star Doncic may. not play , but the Mavs still have a enough firepower to be fairly competitive and put points on the board in sufficient amounts to get us over the total. Yes, I am also aware the Mavs played last night, but it must be noted that the Thunder has gone 8-0 OVER L/8 at home vs unrested conference opposition . Dallas has also gone over in 8 of their L/9 as road dogs with no rest. DALLAS is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. sub par rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 246.6 ppg scored.
Play over |
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03-14-24 | Golden Knights -147 v. Flames | 1-4 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Vegas has won 2 straight after suffering through a injury riddled late season slump. Now with momentum on their sides and playing with the added motivation of revenge for a 3-1 loss they suffered to the Flames on Jan 13th at home, we have an opportunity to ride the visitor in this spot play. Note: Calgary has lost 3 straight while being outscored by a 18 -5 deficit. VEGAS is 11-1 ATS revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2. NHL favorite against the money line (VEGAS) - after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games against opponent after 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more are 45-9 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to win |
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03-14-24 | Penn State -1.5 v. Indiana | 59-61 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Indiana finished their season on a nice run winning 4 straight, but it must be noted that Woodson is 2-9 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of INDIANA. Penn State has won the L/4 meetings in this series SU with 3 of the victories coming by DDs. Rinse and repeat on board today. Penn State is 11-1-1 ATS L/5 seasons in the Big 10 Tourney. PENN ST is 6-0 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog (INDIANA) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or worse), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 37-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State |
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03-14-24 | Islanders v. Sabres +105 | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 1 h 58 m | Show | |
Sabres are playing great hockey and now within 5 points of the Isles for the final play off spot. This will be tough game for both sides, but home ice advantage Im betting will be the difference maker. Buffalo is 4-0 L at home in this series. Play on the Sabres |