Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-02-19 | Harvard +17 v. North Carolina | 57-77 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Harvard must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a North Carolina hoops program as they returned 99.4 percent of its scoring and 99.0 percent of its minutes from last year's squad, which captured the program's sixth Ivy League championship and made its second-ever appearance in the NIT. Showcasing its depth, 10 different Harvard players have started a game in 2018-19 and 11 players are averaging at least nine minutes per game. Im betting they compete and play hard here and use their top tier IQs to make sure mistakes are kept to a minimum.Note: Harvard is 8-4 against ACC teams in the Tommy Amaker era.Note: HARVARD is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and is 7-0 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season. Harvard to cover |
|||||||
01-01-19 | 76ers +3 v. Clippers | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points . Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 76ers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on the 76ers to cover |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Blazers v. Kings UNDER 231.5 | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Sacramento loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but Portland knowing this will not allow them to flow, and will look to slow this game down. Blazers road games have seen a combined average of 222.1 ppg scored, but have recently played much better defensively which has resulted in 4 straight unders overall. None of the 4 most recent meetings in this series dating back to last season have seen more than 218 combined points scored and Im betting on this this one staying under the total as well. The Trailblazers have gone under 12 straight times as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with the average combined score clicking in at 185.5 ppg with non of the 12 games seeing more than 210 ppg. PORTLAND is 18-8 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 201.1 ppg.PORTLAND is 27-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/26 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over dating back to last season have seen a combined average score of 219.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Pistons +10.5 v. Bucks | 98-121 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater. Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons had a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. DETROIT is 14-6 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points. Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none of the victories came by more than 8 points. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Pistons |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Marquette v. St. John's | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
St.Johns enters this game against Marquette of their first loss of the season vs Seton Hall last time out. But it was a fragrant ugly call that gave them that loss. The Conference admitted that officials made a erroneous call when an inadvertant whistle led to Seton Hall getting the ball down one with 3.1 seconds left on the game clock. Shavar Reynolds' 3-pointer beat the buzzer and delivered St. John's its first defeat of the season. Now with a chip on their shoulder St.Johns looks to rebound, and notch a win. I know the Golden Eagles have won eight straight games overall but this is just their second true road game of the season -- their last road game ended in a blistering behind the wood shed 96-73 beatdown by Indiana back on Nov. 14.The Red Storm and Golden Eagles split the season a year ago, with each team winning on it's own court and Im betting the host has the edge again. MARQUETTE is 0-7 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MARQUETTE is 1-8 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARQUETTE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are just 34-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.John's to cover |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State UNDER 57 | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
ROSE BOWL - Rose Bowl Stadium - Pasadena, CA Washington is a defence first team that will try to grind this clock down n methodical fashion vs an explosive Ohio State football team. Im betting they have enough success eating clock time to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Washington's HC Petersen is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season in all games WASHINGTON is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 38.3 ppg. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 57 (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team (440 YPG or more) against a team with a good defense (280 to 330 YPG), in non-conference games 35-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 57 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 39-12 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
01-01-19 | CS-Northridge +16 v. San Diego State | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
The Matadors head into the 2019 year on a season-high three-game winning streak after beating Morgan State 94-86 last Saturday and owns one of the top offenses in the conference, CSUN leads the Big West in points per game (78.2), field goals made per game (29.3), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists per game (16.9). On the defensive side, the Matadors are tops in the Big West in steals per game (6.7) and blocks per game (4.8) and have the capability of hanging tough here as underdogs vs San Diego State . Matadors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Matadors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Matadors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 44-23 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on CS Northridge to cover |
|||||||
01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 | 40-32 | Loss | -105 | 631 h 45 m | Show | |
FIESTA BOWL - State Farm Stadium - Phoenix, AZ UCF has won 25 straight games, and what Im betting to happen here is that despite of them going against a very strong SEC team, without their starting QB McKenzie Milton, they wont go down without a fight . Look for highly talented backup Darriel Mack who led his team to a 56-41 come from behind victory vs Memphis in the season finale to lead this team again, and for this very athletic and deep UCF group to get us the cover . With almost a month to prepare for the Bayou Tigers, Im very sure the Knights will be very ready to compete. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LSU) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are just 13-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UCF to cover |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Kentucky plays a less conservative style of football in non non conference games, and have gone over 4 straight times vs non conference opponents and Im betting they open up here a bit this Tuesday and a game that Im betting will go over the total. Penn States HC Franklin is 9-1 OVER in games played on a neutral field in all games he has coached with a combined average of 62.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Nittany Lions last 5 non-conference games.Over is 6-1 in Nittany Lions last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Over is 6-1 in Nittany Lions last 7 neutral site games.Over is 5-1 in Nittany Lions last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 8-2 in Nittany Lions last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 10-3 in Nittany Lions last 13 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-2 in Nittany Lions last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Over is 9-3 in Nittany Lions last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 9-3 in Nittany Lions last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 20-7 in Nittany Lions last 27 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Over is 7-3 in Nittany Lions last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 13-6 in Nittany Lions last 19 games overall. PENN ST is 9-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 66.6 ppg. PENN ST is 10-0 OVER in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 74.2 ppg. PENN ST is 6-0 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 58.9 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (KENTUCKY/PENN ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in January games are 29-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Sharks v. Flames UNDER 6 | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
CALGARY is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons and Im betting they play a tight transitional game here again tonight vs visiting San Jose. The Flames still smarting from a 3-2 loss to Vancouver last time out, will even be more stringent in their own end. Note: CALGARY is 6-0 UNDER in home games off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. Western Conference. Four of the L/5 meetings between these teams have not seen more than 5 goals scored. NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - off a road win against a division rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) in the first half of the seasons are 25-4 L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-31-18 | NC State v. Texas A&M UNDER 57 | 13-52 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 44 m | Show | |
TAXSLAYER BOWL - TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FL The Aggies are a physical team that can both run the ball well, and stop opposing run games. Im betting they make NC State one dimensional via the pass, which will make them easier to read. Meanwhile, they themselves will pound the ball relentlessly on the ground, which will make for fast game that eats clock and keeps the total combined score on the low side of the number. NC STATE is 11-2 UNDER vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.6 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (NC STATE) - after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored are 77-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (TEXAS A&M) - in non-conference games, with 8 offensive starters returning are 42-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Northwestern v. Utah OVER 45.5 | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 178 h 20 m | Show | |
HOLIDAY BOWL - SDCCU Stadium - San Diego, CA The Northwestern offense, has struggled at times this season, but they are still capable doing some damage here vs a top tier D. Northwestern Im betting will have a lot more 3 and outs then first downs and will spend alot of time on the field defending a underrated Utah offence that has proved explosive at times this season, scoring more than 40 points 4 straight times, at one juncture of the season while averaging 37.7 ppg over a 8 game stretch. With that said, my projections estimate that the Utes put upwards of 30 points on the board, while Northwestern hits in the low 20s , in a game I have pegged to exceed the total. HC Whittingham in 18 games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 61.1 ppg were scored and I his L/29 games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread has seen a combined average of 54.8 ppg scored .Play OVER |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Magic v. Hornets -7.5 | 100-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said, Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday. ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Northern Colorado -2.5 v. Portland State | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
North Colorado (7-5) has won their L/2 visits to take on Portland State (5-6) and 3 in row SU/ATS and get the nod again. Both sides have been inconsistent but according to my power rankings NC has the edge by -4 or more. N COLORADO is 11-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.PORTLAND ST is 4-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on N.Colorado to cover |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Weber State v. Idaho +6.5 | 93-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Idaho Vandals won the lone meeting last season, defeating the Weber State Wildcats, 68-62, in Ogden and has won the L/2 meetings overall. I know Idaho is slumping having lost 5 straight, but the home team has been a solid bet in the recent past when these teams have played and Im betting the hosts grabs the cheese again. Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky.Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Verlin is 30-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of IDAHO. CBB underdog (IDAHO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 243-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Missouri v. Oklahoma State OVER 74 | 33-38 | Loss | -105 | 598 h 52 m | Show | |
LIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN This total has been bet up since its opening with sharp money but still holds value even at this number to the over according to my own projections. Missouri is an explosive offensive side having averaged 36.9 ppg this season, while Oklahoma State has averaged 38.4 ppg. Both defences have been less than spectacular with OK St allowing 34.6 ppg on the road, while Missouri has allowed 29.4 ppg. OKLAHOMA ST is 10-0 OVER after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 86.2 ppg scored and is 8-1 OVER after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 77.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Missouri v. Oklahoma State +8 | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 344 h 54 m | Show | |
LIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN We all know the Big 12 is all about offence, but when it counts there are teams like Oklahoma State that can be counted upon to make key stops. What Im betting here today is for the Cowboys to go toe toe and punch for punch with Missouri offensively, but in key junctures of the game to show their ability to stand tall. You have to remember Oklahoma State took on some extremely explosive offenses in Big 12 action (ie Oklahoma ) and stood tall, losing by just one point 48-47 count, and have the capabilities to not only cover here but pull off the upset as more than TD dog. Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.Cowboys are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game Tigers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in DecemberMISSOURI is 3-12 ATS in December games since 1992. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -3 | 6-7 | Loss | -102 | 364 h 50 m | Show | |
REDBOX BOWL - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA Michigan State has shown a propensity to not to be able to the move the chains consistently against any team for most of this season. Their games are ugly in the trenches affairs, and the Spartans are like vultures just waiting around for fumbles and turnovers in an effort to try to find the end zone. Im betting the trend continues and Oregon musters out a win vs my nomination for the Ugly Betty football team of the year. MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and 10-28 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. OREGON is 30-9 ATS L/39 after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half and 20-8 ATS after gaining 350 or more rushing yards last game. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) - off a double digit road win, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon to cover |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Montana State v. Northern Arizona -1 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Montana State has proven in the recent past not to travel well as their 2-14 SU record in its last 16 games on the road would indicate. According to my matchup stats their run of visitor futility will continue today at Northern Arizona. MONTANA ST is 3-13 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons Montana State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona. Play on N.Arizona to cover |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Pittsburgh v. Stanford UNDER 52 | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Pitt found its identity in a bruising rushing attack that leaned on the explosiveness of senior running backs Qadree Ollison and Darrin Hall and nothing will change today as they will move the chains via their ground attack and eat up alot of clock time in the process. Meanwhile, Stanford is a one dimensional team that throws the majority of the time, and among all 129 FBS teams, only Washington State had fewer rushing attempts this season than Stanford. With no Bryce Love in the lineup today, as he sits out preparing for a NFL career, the Cardinal will be easy to read and their ability to go vertical will be a challenge, as well as getting points on the board.With that said, Im betting on this combined score not to eclipse this total. |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Los Angeles was also without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
12-30-18 | 76ers -1 v. Blazers | 95-129 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league. Since Butler has arrived Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning 7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition. With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers continuing their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off two consecutive hard fought back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons. Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 43.5 | 33-17 | Loss | -109 | 84 h 14 m | Show | |
This game involving the Indianapolis Colts (9-6) and their hosts the Tennessee Titans (9-6) highlights a situation where which ever team wins goes to the play offs and the other to no no land. Im expecting a conservative game from both sides. Titans QB Marcus Mariota is a UNDECIDED this week after leaving his Week 16 win vs Washington with a nagging neck-elbow injury that has bothered him all season long. If he plays he will be less then 100% and if his below average backup Blaine Gabbert gets the call.Either way Im expecting HC Vrabel to be conservative in his approach to this important game and mainly use the ground game to move the chains in an effort to keep Andrew Luck off the field for long chunks of time and get him out of his flow. The Colts coach Frank Reich’s teams usually grind along with their opponents in games like this and look for the big play somewhere along the way. It must also be noted that the Colts in the past when they go against a team that averages more than 27.5 rushing attempts per game and the total is less than 50, they have gone under 14-straight straight times . INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.3 pig scored.INDIANAPOLIS is 13-2 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.4 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (TENNESSEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 23-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Oral Roberts +9 v. Nebraska-Omaha | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Oral Roberts men's basketball team will travel to Omaha to kick off Summit League play Sunday against the Mavericks and despite of being underdogs matchup well here vs Nebraska Omaha according to my line projections.Omaha has used the same starting lineup in 11 of the 14 games entering Sunday's game and because of this will start becoming more cohesive as this season progresses. ORU is 14th in the nation in total rebounds with 537, and 38th in the nation in total assists with 206 and their tenaciousness under the basket Im betting will be the difference maker in us covering today. CBB NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 1-8 ATS ( versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oral Roberts to cover |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Delaware +13 v. Northeastern | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
My projections make Northestern a 8 to 8.5 point favourite here and with this much deviation on the line, Ill recommend we take the points. NORTHEASTERN is 5-13 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Coen is 11-25 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN and is 11-21 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. Play on Delaware to cover |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7 | 24-0 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 55 m | Show | |
The Eagles need to win and they need the Bears to beat the Vikings to get into the playoffs. Needless to say, the Eagles need only worry about taking care of their business, here. However, Im betting Washington will not be so willing a participant in letting the Eagles get a free pass in their home finale and will cherish the opportunity to play spoilers vs the defending Super Bowl champs. . The Eagles have struggled as visitors this season overall as they are just 3-4 on the road, with the average point differential clicking in at -3.2. Eagles 23.1 Opp 26.3. Im recommending we go on the take . Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Eagles are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC East.Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Redskins are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.Redskins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. WASHINGTON is 17-3 ATS L/20 versus inconsistent defensive teams - allowing 6 or less yards/play in the second half of the season. WASHINGTON is 22-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games. PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 6 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Washington Redskins to cover |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 204 | 107-109 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
My head to head systems and performance charts are indicating a low scoring affair here this afternoon. When these teams met on Nov 7 they combined for 199 points in a 103-96 Pistons win. Im betting on a similar output here that remains on the low side of the number. DETROIT is 33-16 L/49 UNDER after allowing 120 points with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are124-76 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Lipscomb +7 v. Clemson | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Lipscomb climbed to 32nd in the latest NCAA NET Rankings. Liberty (64) is the next highest ASUN squad.The Bisons came in ranked ninth in this week’s CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 poll, and remained 11th in the SB Nation Mid-Major Madness poll.Dating back to last season, Lipscomb has won 17 of its last 21 games. In that span they are 7-2 in road games and must not be underestimated in their abilities to upset a top tier Clemson side here in Little John behind a offence that is averaging a ASUN-best 87.3 PPG, which ranks 10th nationally . Lipscomb also leads the conference in free throw percentage (77.4%), assists per game (18.7), steals per contest (8.3), field goal percentage defense (40.5%), assist-turnover ratio (1.49) and defensive rebounds per game (28.58). Play on Lipscomb to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Knicks +13 v. Jazz | 97-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side. The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Grizzlies | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a 127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. OSTON is 23-8 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama OVER 81 | 34-45 | Loss | -105 | 435 h 16 m | Show | |
Oklahoma has a record-setting quarterback too, in Kyler Murray. The Sooners led the FBS in scoring offense with 49.5 points per game and are capable of lighting up anyone including this tough Alabama D. Oklahoma, however, ranked No. 96 in scoring defense (32.4). With the Tie equally explosive in my humble opinion, the only way the Sooners have any chance of winning or being competitive in this tilt is for this to be a shootout. Which Im betting it will be. Both Alabama and Oklahomas QBs do a lot of damage right out of the gate. Tagovailoa, has a 207.3 passer rating with 27 touchdowns and two interceptions in the first half and Murray, has also been explosive in the first half, this season with a 215.2 passer rating, 25 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Meanwhile, Oklahoma, ranked No. 13 in red zone offense and scored 42 touchdowns in 63 visits. Alabama scored 48 touchdowns in 68 red zone visits. This has the making of an epic high scoring battle, and the total is not high enough. OKLAHOMA is 9-1 OVER in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 95.5 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA is 6-0 OVER in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 105.6 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA is 21-9 OVER L/30 when the total is greater than or equal to 70 with a combined average of 83.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | 126-130 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights , which Im betting translates into them playing at a slightly less elevated tempo , which will effect the total projected score to be much lower than the linesmakers expect. With the Wizards John Wall still out the flow of the home side will also being effected, as has been the case of late as the Wizards have been unable to produce more than 95 points 3 straight games. I know the Hornets will come at the wounded Wizards hard, but the visitors have not been very good on the road this season going just 4-10 overall away from home, and have proven they are less than capable of controlling pace in most of their games on the road. The Wizards are 0-16 UNDER off a home game when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score exceeding 219 point plateau with the average combined score clicking in at 192.6 ppg. Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Montana v. Northern Arizona +12 | 86-73 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The NAU Lumberjacks played eight of their 10 non-conference games on the road and will be playing their first game in seven days following an eight-day, three-game road trip , but now well rested are fresh enough to make this a closer game the linesmakers are estimating vs a good but over rated Montana side. I know the Lumberjacks are on a losing streak, but in the recent past N ARIZONA has proven resilient in their ability to be competitive when in a slump as is evident by their 8-1 ATS record after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.Murphy is 32-16 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season as the coach of N ARIZONA. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season 131-77 L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on N.Arizona to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +3 | 71-58 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Instate rivals Kentucky and Louisville meet at the KFC Yum! Center where the Cardinals will be hell bent on getting revenge for a 90-61 behind the shed spanking in Lexington last season.The Cards new head COACH Chris Mack formerly at Xavier was a strong underdog in non- division matches cashing 27 of 38 times . With the Cards playing their best hoops at home where they are 8-0 SU this season Im betting on them being extremely competitive here and if they lose they will still cover. KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS in road games after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 33-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Xavier +1.5 v. DePaul | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Xavier (8-5 ) has owned this series of late and has won eight straight over the Blue Demons and wins in 11 of the last 12 meetings. XU is 10-1 vs. DePaul (8-3) since the two teams became BIG EAST rivals in the 2013-14 season and Im betting they have the edge again here tonight according to my power rankings and system vs system matchup stats. Note:The Musketeers are 4-1 in BIG EAST Conference openers. XAVIER is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DEPAUL is 73-101 ATS in home games against conference opponents since 1997. Play on Xavier to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Morehead State +16 v. Missouri | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
According to my power ranking estimations Missouri should only be 13 point favs here, thus giving 1 possession value with Morehead State. I know Missouri (8-3) has won five straight , however Morehead state coach Spradlin is familiar with SEC basketball having spent five seasons on head coach John Calipari's staff at Kentucky and will Im betting devise a game plan to keep his team competitive here. Note:Morehead State ranks second in the Ohio Valley Conference in offensive rebounds. The Eagles pull down 13.1 boards off the offensive glass, and the Eagles also rank second in offensive rebounding percentage at .327. This is key to them keeping Missouri honest today and giving us an edge on the line. Play on Morehead State to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Arkansas State -1 v. Nevada | 13-16 | Loss | -108 | 548 h 53 m | Show | |
ARIZONA BOWL - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ The Red Wolves completed the 2018 regular season with an 8-4 overall record and as the Sun Belt Conference West Division co-champions.Nevada completed its regular season with a 7-5 overall record and finished tied for second in the Mountain West Conference’s West Division. My cross reference power rankings suggest that Arkansas State has the edge. ARKANSAS ST is 12-3 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARKANSAS ST) - off a double digit road win, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Arkansas State to cover |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Butler +4.5 v. Florida | 43-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
A gritty defensive performance buoyed Butler to a 61-54 win over Florida Nov. 23 in the final contest of the 2018 Battle 4 Atlantis on Paradise Island, Bahamas, which proved to me how well Butler matches up vs Florida. Only two of Butler's 12 opponents this season have scored more than 70 points as the Bulldogs' defense is allowing only 63.5 points per game on average, which is the stingiest mark in the BIG EAST and Top 35 nationally. Butler has now covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting that their tough defence will get them the cover again. Play on Butler to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | UC-Davis +8.5 v. Loyola Marymount | 59-77 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate that this line is bloated and that we have value with the visitor here. Loyola Marymount is off to fast start and looking good but this UC Davis side has a top tier championship coach on the sidelines and will not allow his team to be easily intimidated. Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Les is 11-2 ATS after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds as the coach of CAL DAVIS. LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 44-70 ATS as a home favorite or pick since 1997 with the average point differential over that 114 game sample size clicking in at 3.1 ppg. HC Dunlap is 0-8 ATS in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT and he is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite or pick as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT. Play on UC Davis to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -4 | 99-102 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season. SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Mavs +5 v. Pelicans | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. DALLAS is 31-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 22-11 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Hawks +9.5 v. Wolves | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors. Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Louisiana-Monroe v. LSU UNDER 143 | 69-81 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
All my in and non conference totals selections use a long standing system, that takes into consideration , system vs system, scoring projections . Of course injury reports can alter the totals projections as can other variables, but no stone is left unturned to make sure the estimations are used in proper contexts. . Every offensive output option and various defensive strengths of each team are weighed in the overall process of making these investment decisions. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets will be out looking for revenge vs the Brooklyn Nets tonight on their own home court after the Nets shocked the Hornets 134-132 in two overtimes Wednesday night. When Hornets coach was asked about the loss he responded with this : QUOTE: We'll see this team again on Friday night," Hornets coach James Borrego vowed to reporters afterward. "We'll play hard on Friday night. I expect our guys to respond." END QUOTE I like backing motivated teams and Charlotte is very motivated tonight. The Hornets are 11-0 ATS SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes with none of the wins coming by less than 5 points. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Pistons v. Pacers UNDER 205 | 88-125 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Indiana really gets physical against run and gun uptempo teams like the Detroit Pistons especially at home. Note:I NDIANA is 11-1 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average 199.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season which happened last time out with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.NDIANA is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 36-12 UNDER L/5 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Oakland +2.5 v. Cleveland State | 89-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Oakland is 4-1 all-time in Horizon League openers.The Golden Grizzlies lead the Horizon League and rank inside the NCAA's top-10 in four categories: three-point field goal percentage (fifth; 43 percent), total assists (seventh; 237), three-pointers per game (eighth; 11.1) and total three-pointers (ninth; 144).Oakland also leads the conference in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.61 (11th in NCAA) and assists per game at 18.2 (13th in NCAA). Oakland has won six of the last eight contests against the Vikings including its last three games inside the Wolstein Center. CBB home team (CLEVELAND ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 57-100 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Oakland to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary -7 | 74-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Tribe has played one of the toughest schedules in the country. According to the NCAA's new NET rankings, W&M's schedule currently ranks 65th in the country, and are very prepared for their rivals James Madison tonight.The Tribe has won nine of the last 11 games vs. JMU, including both last season and the nod to win and cover again.The Tribe has turned the ball over 10 or fewer times in each of the last five games, averaging just 8.8 miscues per contest during that stretch and Im also betting their discipline will be the difference maker vs JMU this evening. Dukes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.Tribe are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Tribe are 37-13-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss.Tribe are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Tribe are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Tribe are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Play on William Mary to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Drexel +12 v. Northeastern | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Huskies are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall and my projections estimate they are not a solid favorite here vs a side like Drexel. DREXEL is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NORTHEASTERN is 5-16 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DREXEL) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 69-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Drexel to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Syracuse v. West Virginia UNDER 69 | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 479 h 60 m | Show | |
CAMPING WORLD BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL West Virginia quarterback Will Grier will not participate in the Camping World Bowl against Syracuse as he begins preparing for the 2019 NFL draft. Thus we have a situation where Im betting this total is just to high. SYRACUSE is 7-0 UNDER in road games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons, which happened in their last game of the reg season.SYRACUSE is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in road games in games. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Detroit +1.5 v. Youngstown State | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit has owned this series vs 4-9 Youngstown State as is evident by their 11-0 SU record in the L/11 meetings .Detroit Mercy's finished its non-conference schedule at just 3-9, but should not be underestimated as it was one of the toughest in the country with nine road games and teams posting a 90-53 (62.9%) record so far.The schedule was featured as the 14th hardest by ESPN's BPI standard in a recent article released on Dec. 17. That rough and tumble schedule will have them very ready to compete in this Horizon league opener. Play on Detroit Mercy to cover |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | 63-14 | Loss | -110 | 434 h 37 m | Show | |
MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN Purdue got some very good news when Jeff Brohm turned down Louisville and stayed at Purdue , and he now gets a huge amount of respect from the kids he coaches, and Im now betting they will play hard for him in this tilt against the Tigers. The Purdue offense finished 14th in the country in yards per play at 6.53 and Im betting Auburns pedestrian attack will not be able to keep up. Look for QB David Blough who completed 66.6% of his passes, and he threw for 25 touchdowns to shine in this Bowl tilt and lead his team to a cover. PURDUE is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Play on Purdue to cover |
|||||||
12-27-18 | 76ers +5 v. Jazz | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
This is the second meeting between the teams this season. Philadelphia won 113-107 on November 16 and matchup well vs the defensive minded Jazz. Philadelphia also swept the season series a year ago. Utahs key defensive stalwart Gobert will have his hands full with Sixers center Joel Embiid. The Sixers top tier group of Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons play a style of hoops that could easily exhaust the Jazz giving us an edge here taking points in what should be a closely contested affair. Getting points with a up trending team like Philadelphia is a good long term wager. Brown is 32-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHA and is 42-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons which happened at Boston last time out in OT. UTAH is 8-18 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Vanderbilt v. Baylor +4 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 507 h 13 m | Show | |
This is essentially a home game for Baylor here in the Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. With key WR Jalen Hurd out for the Bears, some might think their now not a viable choice here, but they would be mistaken, as the Bears have a couple of options at their disposal and ready to reset their look vs a Vanderbilt D, that has looked atrocious at times this season. Baylor HC Rhule is 10-2 ATS in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game in all games he ha coached and 29-15 ATS as an underdog in all games he has coached. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BAYLOR) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 73-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Baylor |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 113-127 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these teams played back forth exhausting games on Christmas day and could easily feel the effects of that this Thursday in a tilt that I have pegged to stay under the set total. Houston ranks 28th in pace while Boston ranks 18th in pace and 3rd overall in defensive efficiency in the league. Under is 19-7 in Celtics last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 40-19-1 in Rockets last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. D'Antoni is 36-10 UNDER L/36 when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. Long term these two franchises have a history of playing low scoring games with 15 of the L/19 staying under the total. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Houston. HOUSTON is 19-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 55-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.2 ppg. Play the UNDER |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Miami-FL -4 v. Wisconsin | 3-35 | Loss | -108 | 416 h 19 m | Show | |
PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY The Miami Hurricanes will face off against the Wisconsin Badgers in the 2018 New Era Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.A year ago, Miami went through the regular season at 10–2 before losing to Wisconsin in the Orange Bowl and now revenge is on board. Miami after a mid season swoon, went on to win its final two regular- season tilts against Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh in dominating fashion, largely because of its defense that ranks No.2 in the nation in Total D. With that said, Look for the Badgers passing game to stall vs an impressive Canes secondary and for their key mode of moving the chains RB Johnathon Taylor to find the sledding tough vs a staunch physical D. Meanwhile, Miami will find a way to score enough points here vs a inconsistent Wisconsin D and get us the win and cover.
Play on Miami fl to cover |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin OVER 47.5 | 3-35 | Loss | -110 | 261 h 18 m | Show | |
PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY Both these teams have solid defences, but when they played last year in this Bowl game the Badgers won 34 to 24 vs Miami Fl, and Im expecting a similar scoring output this time around by both sides. Over is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 vs. Big Ten. Over is 10-3 in Badgers last 13 games following a ATS loss.Over is 6-2 in Badgers last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.Over is 18-7-1 in Badgers last 26 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-2 in Badgers last 7 games in December. Over is 10-2-1 in Badgers last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (MIAMI) - off a win against a conference rival, in December games are 43-19 OVER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Duke v. Temple UNDER 55.5 | 56-27 | Loss | -110 | 388 h 24 m | Show | |
INDEPENDENCE BOWl - Independence Stadium - Shrevport, LA Temple has put alot point son the board this season, but Duke's a team that has shown some strong D , and is capable of slowing them. Meanwhile, Duke 's offence has really struggled coming into this game, scoring 6 and 7 points in back to back games and now vs a staunch Temple D, their output Im betting will once again be muted. DUKE is 7-0 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 40 ppg scored and 7-0 UNDER vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.7 ppg scored and is 6-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 season with a combined average score of 43.3 ppg scored.DUKE is 7-0 UNDER L/7 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals with a combined average score of 37.7 ppg scored. TEMPLE is 16-3 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 44.2 ppg going on the board. Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEMPLE) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 39-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Kings v. Clippers -5 | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Sacramento has been flirting with disaster in their L/2 games before the Christmas break and came back from being down by DDs in those home tilts vs Memphis and New Orleans for wins. I like Sacramento and their upward overall performance trajectory , but their recent issues with slow starts are an ominous sign in my opinion tonight against a run and gun opponent here in hostile territory. With that said, Im betting the Kings are in trouble vs a Clippers team that is offensively explosive especially at home where they have averaged just under 117 ppg on the season. The Clippers have won 8 of the L/9 meetings in this series. My projections estimate that LA will score 117 or more points here tonight, vs a side that allows an average of 117.2 ppg on the road this season. Note: SACRAMENTO is 13-33 ATS when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 19.7 ppg. Also the LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a point diff of 6.9 ppg. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 68-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
|||||||
12-26-18 | TCU v. California +1 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 416 h 51 m | Show | |
CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ Following a seven-win regular season that saw the Golden Bears rank among the best defensive teams in the country, the young men from Berkeley look like the matchup well vs TCU. The Golden Bears won four of their next five games with victories at Oregon State and against Pac-12 champion Washington starting the run and more than capable of upending a inconsistent and over rated TCU side. Cal has played twice in the game now known as the Cheez-It Bowl with victories in both contests and get the nod again. TCU is 12-26 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.TCU is 3-11 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.TCU is 0-6 ATS with rest or after a bye week over the last 3 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 9-2 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on California to cover |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 215.5 | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Both visiting Denver Nuggets and their hosts the San Antonio Spurs return from a five-day Christmas break for a contest at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Both are slower paced teams but both are obviously on fresh legs and Im betting they will be energized and ready run and gun here tonight just like of it were the beginning of the season. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 12-5-1 in Nuggets last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. These teams have gone over in their 2 most recent meetings last season, with a combined average of 231 ppg scored. Note: Denver looked defensively deficient last time out , as they suffered a 132-111 setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Note: DENVER is 21-7 OVER in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored and 15-5 OVER in road games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.4 ppg going on the board. Spurs home games have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Minnesota v. Georgia Tech UNDER 58.5 | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 215 h 57 m | Show | |
QUICK LANE BOWL - Ford Field - Detroit, MI Georgia Techs option offense that leads the nation in rushing will pound the ball continuously today against.ground today. Meanwhile, Minnesota, via a more traditional run game will also pound the ball on the ground all day . With that said, Im betting this is going to be a very fast Bowl game that eats alot of clock time . This will result in a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are expecting. Johnson is 14-3 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of GEORGIA TECH with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Golden Gophers last 5 games in December.Under is 6-2 in Golden Gophers last 8 non-conference games.Under is 5-2 in Golden Gophers last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Yellow Jackets last 8 bowl games.Under is 5-2 in Yellow Jackets last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (GEORGIA TECH) - in non-conference games, with 8 offensive starters returning are 41-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The Celtics opened the season with a 105-87 victory over the Sixers in Boston, but now the Sixers have Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and should be more competitive. However, Im still betting the Celtics have an edge here at home as short chalk vs a Sixers. side that is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON is 22-8 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Sixers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston and have lost 7 of 8 SU. .76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games. BOSTON is 12-3 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 season. The Celtics are 16-0 SUATS L/16 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
|||||||
12-25-18 | Hawaii +5 v. Rhode Island | 68-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI My own line makes Rhode Island a 2.5 point favorite which according to projections makes Hawaii playing here in their own back yard as solid underdog choices here on a value line today. Hawaii outlasted Colorado in OT yesterday and lost their tourney opener to UNLV. Meanwhile Rhode Island lost to Bucknell in their opener and beat Charlotte yesterday. Note: Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Play on the Hawaii Warriors to cover Play on Hawaii to cover |
|||||||
12-25-18 | Thunder v. Rockets -1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
Houston has had some inconsistent stretches during this season, but right now they are in top form after having won 6 of their L/7 games overall SU/ATS. With that said, Im betting they continue their top tier play vs the Oklahoma City Thunder with a win here at home where they are 10-5 SU this season .The Rockets have won 5 of the L/6 head to head battles vs the Thunder here deep in the heart of Texas are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 overall home games and get the nod again. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 63-105 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 16-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and 10-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 208.5 | 107-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers held the Grizzlies to 88 in a 23-point win Dec. 8 in Memphis. Im betting the Lakers keep a Memphis team that has failed to score more than 99 points in 8 straight and 10 of their L/11 to under the century mark again . Meanwhile, the Grizzlies behind the 30th ranked pace, and the 2nd best ppg allowed average to fight back in a methodical way, in effort to end a current cycle of 5 straight losses. This Im betting will see a muted combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Walton is 11-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight game are 47-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Mavs v. Blazers OVER 215.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas lost a hard fought 120-116 tilt at Golden State Saturday night. That was the Mavericks 5th straight loss and their 4th straight game going over the total, with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored . Now in desperation mode, and still reved up after that fairly fast paced affair, Im betting this well conditioned group behind Slovenia rookie Doncic come out running and gunning. Meanwhile, Portland enters the Mavericks game coming off its most one-sided home loss in 14 years, a 120-90 beatdown at the hands of Utah Jazz on Friday and now rank 18th in defensive efficiency. The threes were raining down on the Blazers, and Im betting in their current form , nothing will change defensively. I do however, expect a much better bounce back offensive effort and a spirited affair that goes over the set total. DALLAS is 21-8 OVER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 11-2 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg. Over is 14-3 in Trail Blazers last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home.Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 85 h 45 m | Show | |
Its become obvious that KC is a one dimensional team, with an explosive offence and a atrocious porous defence, that is worse than horrible vs opposing ground games allowing 5 ypc. on average. Thats not a good omen against the Seattle team that can run the ball well. The Chiefs are currently down trending after three straight losses including a heart breaking 27-26 defeat to the LA Chargers last Monday night in the final play of the game and don't look like viable favs here in an emotional letdown own spot . But hey the public money loves Patrick Mahomes, and in some ways I can't blame them, as he is entertaining as heck to watch. But from an imperial standpoint , KC is like a big heavy weight puncher looking for the KO, always leaving them selves open for counter punches and in turn getting knocked out themselves. Thats why Carroll the ultimate tactician Im betting will take the Chiefs apart little by little here this Sunday evening and then deliver big blows . Bottom line here Win or lose taking the points here is just the right thing to do , especially since standing in the line with square bettors is not an appetizing prospect. Meanwhile, Seattle is a side. that looks much more balanced and a side that plays their best football at home and better prepared ready to bounce back off a hard fought 26-23 loss to a SF team that was hell bent on taking them down in revenge mode. Note: Underdogs or pick (SEATTLE) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 38-13 ATS L/35 seasons for a 75% conversion for bettors on the blind. Pete Carroll is also 11-0 SU when coming off a SU favorite loss and the Seahawks are powerful 11-1 SU after batting with the Forty Niners, including 5-0 SUATS at home, and 5-1 ATS as a home dog behind QB Russell Wilson. SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games. Carroll is 12-2 ATS in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992. Carroll is 22-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of SEATTLE. Seattle to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Colorado v. Hawaii +7 | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Round 2 - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI The Hawaii Warriors are in a bounce back situation from a disappointing 73-59 loss to UNLV in their last outing. I know home court advantage did not help the Warriors last time out, but this is a team that thye matchup well against from a system vs system power rankings team vs team power ranking comparison chart that I use. COLORADO is 8-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 4-14 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons
Play on Hawaii to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Pelicans v. Kings +1 | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Pelicans had eight scorers record double figures in a 149-129 home win over the Kings during the first week of the season in October. Now the Kings will play this game with revenge in mind and Im betting they get vs a poor traveling Pelicans side that have lost 13 of their 17 road games this season. Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.SACRAMENTO is 13-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. Play on Sacramento to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Boston Bruins are off a hard fought physical affair vs the rough and tumble Nashville Predators last night by a 5-2 count and will be on tired legs entering this game vs Carolina and in a conservative mode. Note: BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season with a combined average of 4.1 gog scored. Tonight the Bs are going against a Carolina team they beat 3-2 earlier this season in their only meetings. It must be noted that CAROLINA is 10-1 UNDER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less this season with a combined average score of 5 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Carolina contines to struggle with their offensive efficiency despite of taking 78 shots on goal in their L/2 games and producing just 1 goal. Last time out they lost 3-0 to division rival Pittsburgh at home . Note: CAROLINA is 5-0 UNDER off a loss against a division rival this season and is 11-3 UNDER in home games off a home loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow 2.9 or more goals/G) are 232-154 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Bengals +9 v. Browns | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland is up trending but now they're suddenly a favourite of more than TD against a long time division rival. In my humble opinion, Im betting we have a over reaction to their recent 4-1 SU/ATS run. It is definitely some tasty bait for a willing public to bite and bet into. At the time of this analysis, a great deal of square dollars and tickets were backing them this week according to data. Im not saying the sharp money is always right, but more often than not, that's the case , and in this situation I have no problem fading the public. It must be noted that the last time the Browns were more than 7 point fav was back in the 2010 and that game they barely got by the Panthers by 1 point. Hey , I know the Browns are looking good behind emerging star QB Baker Mayfield, and I also know the Bengals have struggled for most of this season, however, this is a rivalry game and Im betting the Bengals with momentum off a lopsided win last week, won't be giving the Browns a free pass here, and will primed to compete in a revenge scenario for a loss they suffered to them earlier this season, which snapped a 7-0 SU/ATS run in this series. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 4-23 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Texans +2.5 v. Eagles | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 77 h 50 m | Show | |
The current No. 2 seeds form the AFC, the Houston Texans take on a Eagles team off a big time win vs the LA Rams on the road last week. Nick Foles came off the bench for the defending champs and replaced Wentz, and looked good in the process. But Im betting he will have a hard time replicating that kind of effort here vs a very tough Texans D. It must be noted that Defending Super Bowl champions as home favorites when coming off a SU underdog win, are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS from Game Fifteen out. The Texans if they can secure wins here in the last two weeks of the season, can get a bye, so they will be primed to play, and will not give the Eagles a free ride . NFL Road teams (HOUSTON) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 29-9 ATS L/35 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texans to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Bucs +8 v. Cowboys | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 29 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys, were smashed last week by a 23-0 count vs Indianapolis which is not a good omen here as they are just 1-17 ATS L/18 as home favorites when coming off a SUATS loss. I know the Boyz are loved by the public, but because of that this line is slightly bloated giving us value with a young group that has in the recent past played very well against team like Dallas that can run the ball. Note: TAMPA BAY is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. I know the Bucs do not inspire bettors, but they have been competitive of late and have only failed to cover 1 of their L/5 games. With that said, lets take the points here this Sunday with the visitors. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TAMPA BAY) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season are 45-15 ATS L/10 season for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Jaguars +4.5 v. Dolphins | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 72 h 58 m | Show | |
Dolphins are a team that are extremely inconsistent and own a -79 scoring diff margin on the season and were smashed last week in a start to finish demolishing by the Vikings losing by more than 3 TDs. Note:The Dolphins are 0-18 ATS L/18 as a home favorite after a loss in which they never led and are 0-18 ATS L/18 as a favorite coming off a road game where they gained no more than 15 first downs. Meanwhile, I know Jacksonville does not inspire bettors, because of their ugly 4-10 record, but their every bit as good as Miami and have a better D and overall have a 64 point positive diff over the Fins and can't be underestimated here as many of the players on the Jags sending a shakeup in the upcoming off season need to sharpen their numbers and stats in preparation for their proverbial judgement day. Only once in their L/6 games have the Jags lost by more than 4 points and Im betting they stay in the range here today and get the cover. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS after allowing 375 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games and is 9-25 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games.MIAMI is 47-69 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Vikings v. Lions +7 | 27-9 | Loss | -140 | 69 h 53 m | Show | |
The Vikings looked good last week in a big win , but I just dont believe you can trust QB Cousins-of the Vikings to be consistent or to even have good back to back games. . Minnesota is also 0-12 ATS as a favorite in Last Road Games against below .500 competition. Meanwhile, Motown despite of a ugly 5-9 record, have only lost by more than 7 points just once in their 6 games, and are more than capable of being competitive again here this Sunday. Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Vikings are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.The Lions are 6-0 ATS L/6, off a loss as a dog in which they had fewer than 10 incompletions which happened last week. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 215.5 | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off exerting alot of effort in last nights start to finish win vs Boston. They were a team on a mission from the outset as they wanted badly to break the 6 game losing streak in Boston and get some revenge for last years play off series loss. Now in a bit of emotional letdown state Im betting they wont have the same energy as last night as they are now also on tired legs. What Im betting on here is for Miami in their usual physical fashion to control the pace of this game on their own home court , as they will have no choice but to be diligent defensively against one of the leagues most explosive teams. Miami owns the 24th ranked offense in the league and the 9th best D, and they run at a 99 pace which ranks in the bottom 3rd of the league at 20. MIAMI is 11-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. Those two wins were also defensive gems not allowing Houston or New Orleans to breach the 99 point plateau. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 49-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Cornell +14.5 v. SMU | 53-81 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Cornell's bench has outscored its opponents' reserves in all 11 games this season and 15 straight contests dating back to last year and Im betting they will be the difference makers here tonight vs SMU. Cornells Senior guard Matt Morgan enters the week among the national leaders at 23.1 ppg. while adding 4.8 rpg., 2.7 apg., 1.2 spg. and 0.5 bpg. This guy looks dangerous and must also be respected a difference maker. CORNELL is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.CORNELL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cornell to cove r |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Drake v. New Mexico State -7 | 66-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
With the final two games of the Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic played inside Orleans Arena, the Aggies will have a slight advantage over their opponents as they own an 18-2 overall record when playing games there since the WAC moved its conference tournament to Orleans Arena in 2011. Drake is a good team, but New Mexico state advances and cover for us today in this tourney game. CBB Neutral court teams (DRAKE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 46-87 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Suns v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 146-149 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Suns enter this game on a 4 game win streak, thanks to a much better brand of transitional basketball and overall defensive play, allowing two of the 4 opponents to 99 or less points. Now against a Washington side, that they are not built to run in gun with ranking 26th in the league in offence Im betting they will continue their diligent play and try to slow this game down behind their 17th ranked overall pace. Note: PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER L/19 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER vs. struggling rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 209.1 ppg scored. NBARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy UNDER 53 | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 274 h 10 m | Show | |
DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL - Ladd-Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL Buffalo lost the MAC championship in heart breaking fashion vs N.Illinois (30-29) , and Im betting will still be feeling the effects of that today vs Troy, which will make for a less than spirited effort from the Bulls. I know Buffalo's Tyree Jackson is extremely talented , but the quarterbacks pocket coverage from his line has been shoddy at times this season. In the Bulls’defeat vs Army, Jackson was 10 of 24 for just 152 yards. Troy is another hard nosed team , that owns the nation’s 23rd-ranked scoring defense allowing just (21.2 points per game) and not allowed any of their last opponents more than 21 points and Im betting Buffalo struggles to score consistently in this one. Meanwhile, I also expect Buffalos much abused secondary to stand tall here, with a month to prepare for this game and for Troy to end up running the ball alot more than expected as this tilt progresses, helping this score stay on the low side of the Total. BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.TROY is 10-2 UNDER after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy +2.5 | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 106 h 12 m | Show | |
Troy plays a strong brand of hard nosed defensive old school football that Im betting will give Buffalo's some times prolific offence problems. That was the case when Buffalo lost the MAC Championship to N.Illinois another team that plays a similar type of football to Troy. Note: Troy has not allowed more than 21 points in its L/5 games. BUFFALO is 2-12 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). TROY is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons TROY is 7-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasonsTROY is 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. CFB team (BUFFALO) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 14-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Troy to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Wright State v. Mississippi State -12.5 | 63-67 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
No. 17 Mississippi State is coming off a scare against dangerous Wofford on Wednesday night and heading into Saturday's game against Wright State in Jackson, Miss and will now be wide awake for this tilt. At 10-1 Mississippi State .The Bulldogs have shot 53.2 percent from beyond the arc in their last four games and that why they are so dangerous and viable DD favs here vs a good but over rated Wright State team that is in over their heads here and 0-5 on the road this season.The Raiders are the third non-conference opponent that Mississippi State has faced from the State of Ohio on the season. MSU has already defeated Dayton (66-58 on 11/30) and Cincinnati (70-59 on 12/15). WRIGHT ST is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (MISSISSIPPI ST) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 373-247 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Miss State to cover Mississippi State to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Akron +16.5 v. Nevada | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Under fourth-year head coach Eric Musselman, the Wolf Pack has gone 48-5 at Lawlor Events Center, including a 37-2 record in its last 39 home games. Even more impressive is that no out-of-conference interlopers have been able to pick up a single win in Reno in the last four seasons. Under Musselman, Nevada is a perfect 26-0 in non-conference home games. While those numbers are impressive, Im more interested in what Im betting is a bloated line, that gives us value on the under rated visitors. It must be noted that Overall, Akron’s four losses this season have come by a combined 12 points. Note:Nevada might be without its best 3-point shooter, Jazz Johnson, because of a concussion. If he dresses he will be less than 100% and could see limited playing time.
Play on Akron to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Tennessee-Martin +18 v. Fresno State | 53-93 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Tenn Martin Skyhawks (5-4) are coming off back-to-back wins, including an exhilarating 75-72 win over in-state rival Chattanooga on Tuesday and have momentum heading into this tilt vs an explosive Fresno State hoops team. Im betting we have value here with the underdog. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (FRESNO ST) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FRESNO ST) - after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tenn Martin to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | BYU +2.5 v. San Diego State | 81-90 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The game is on the heels of a tough loss to another former MWC foe, UNLV. The Cougars' late comeback fell short with the Rebels' taking a dramatic 92-90 overtime win. The loss ended BYU's three-game winning streak put forth after taking a humiliating 113-103 loss to Weber State Dec. 1. According to my power rankings Im betting BYU bounces back here vs a side they matchup well against. Play on BYU to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Green Bay +4.5 v. Evansville | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Green Bay will make the trip to Evansville for the first time since December 5, 1988, but will be looking for its third-straight win in the series.Green Bay's pressure defense continues to force teams into bad passes and turnovers, having now forced double-figure turnovers in every game this season. GB ranks 24th in the NCAA in turnovers forced, averaging 17.3 forced per game. Been Bay is even better when measuring turnover margin, ranking 15th in the NCAA with a 4.9-1 turnover margin. The turnovers and steals have the Phoenix, ranked 11th in the NCAA with 107 steals this season.Here against Evansville, Im betting their ability to cause havoc will be key in a cover. WI-GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% ormolu of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 12-4 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 14-3 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Wisconsin GB to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Houston v. Army UNDER 67 | 14-70 | Loss | -108 | 260 h 55 m | Show | |
ARMED FORCES BOWL - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX Army via their triple option can grind away at the clock and will take their time doing it vs an explosive Houston team. This will be an attempt to take the Cougars out of their offensive flow. Much in the way the Cadets did vs Oklahoma ( 28-21 loss in OT) .With that said look for and expect a combined score that stays on the low side of the number. ARMY is 12-2 UNDER in road games against American Athletic conference opponents with a combined average of 43.7 ppg going on the board.ARMY is 8-1 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 39 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Pacific +7 v. Boise State | 71-83 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
The Pacific Tigers improved to 9-4 after snatching a hard fought 79-77 victory at Cal State Northridge last Sunday. This is a hard working team, that plays all out but are well rested. so their energy levels Im betting will be sky high here. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PACIFIC) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Boise State has a good hoops program but from a bettors perspective they have not faired well vs top tier competition as is evident by this following trends that shows BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.BOISE ST is also a lowly 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons and are fade material against a hot well rested team on a 4 game win streak. Play on Pacific to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | St. Louis v. Florida State UNDER 138 | 59-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
ORANGE BOWL CLASSIC - BB&T Center - Sunrise, FL St.Louis is a intricate slow down team that prioritizes playing top tier defence and now going head going head to head with a deadly accurate Florida State offence Im betting they slow down things even more this Saturday afternoon in a tilt that looks promising to be a low scoring affair. SAINT LOUIS is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 116.3 ppg scored.SAINT LOUIS is 21-9 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 128.7 ppg scored. FLORIDA ST is 15-6 UNDER in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
12-22-18 | St. Louis v. Florida State -8.5 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
No 11/12 Florida State, which has won five consecutive games, travels to play Saint Louis in the 2018 Metro by T-Mobile Orange Bowl Classic on Saturday. St.Louis is a fine team, but this is their toughest test of the season, and could make this game interesting but as we closer to the finish line Im betting Florida State will pull away for a cover.No. 11 Florida State owns a 7-2 record in nine previous Orange Bowl Classic appearances and enters the 2018 Classic having won seven of their last eight games with victories . Add one more those numbers today and a cover. Play on Florida State to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Panthers v. Red Wings OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
Florida for the most part has struggled with their defence of late and have allowed 5 goals or more in 5 of their L/9 games. The Panthers have seen a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored in their division games this season. Meanwhile, Detroit in 12 division games this season have allowed an average of 4.1 ggp with an average of 7 gpg scored. When these teams played back on Oct 10, 7 combined goals were scored in a 4 Motown win. Im betting a similar combined score here today and for this game to eclipse the total. FLORIDA is 11-4 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. FLORIDA is 11-3 OVER against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
12-22-18 | North Dakota +7.5 v. Northern Iowa | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Northern Iowa enters Saturday's match riding a two-game losing streak and has lost its last five contests vs. Division I opponents. They just don't seem to have that extra bit of energy it takes to notch wins which is uncharacteristic of a Ben Jacobson team. My own projections suggest that N.Iowa does not matchup well against this type of team, and should be closer to 4 point chalk here, thus giving us value on this slightly bloated line. N IOWA is 4-17 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 6-25 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. N IOWA is 0-8 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. Play on N.Dakota to cover |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Wake Forest v. Memphis UNDER 74 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 74 h 18 m | Show | |
BIRMINGHAM BOWL - Legion Field - Birmingham, AL We all know how many points Memphis can put on the board behind an explosive offence, and how many they can allow behind an atrocious defense. Wake Forest also knows about the freight train coming their way, because their on the proverbial train track as the Tigers come chugging right for them. So what do you do when something like that heads your way. You of course naturally get out of their way and avert them. Thus what Im betting happens here this week, is that the Demon Deacons will implement a run attack that eats this clock up as much as possible as to circumvent the Tigers flow, and throw them out of whack. Being off for almost a month will also see these offenses get out of the gate slowly and for fewer points than expected to go on the board. WAKE FOREST is 31-16 UNDER L/47 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play with a combined average of 51.5 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 59.1 ppg scored. key injury updates:[WR] 12/15/2018 - Greg Dortch is "?" Saturday vs Memphis ( Finger )QB] 11/05/2018 - Sam Hartman is out for season ( Leg ) [RB] 12/12/2018 - Darrell Henderson is OUT Saturday vs Wake Forest ( None ) He is Memphis best player and sets up the option well. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Southern Utah v. USC -12.5 | 49-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
USC has lost four consecutive games for the first time since the 2017 season, and will be primed to take care of business tonight in a convincing manner. USC is 17-3 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Play on USC to cover |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Right now entering this game Memphis is struggling and have not scored more than 99 points in a tilt in 7 straight trips to the hardwood. To make matters worse their top player and the energy behind this team Mike Conley is hobbled with a hamstring injury. He is expected to play but is less than 100%.The Grizzlies had no such offensive issues in their 112-104 home win over Sacramento last month, but things have changed since then and Sacramento will have revenge on board. Here at home the Kings have the advantage. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Kings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Kings are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 6-19 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Sacramento to cover |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Denver +27.5 v. Gonzaga | 40-101 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
I look for a key element when Im backing big DD underdogs and that is their ability to convert at a high level of their shots and in particularly their ability to sink from beyond the arc. Note: DU is shooting 44.7 percent from the field on the year. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Spurs were defeated by a 128-89 count at Minnesota back on November 28 and now have revenge on board for that loss. Thats not good news for the Wolves, as the Spurs have now won 4 straight games by 25 points or more behind the league's best 3-point shooting conversion rate of 38.2 %. Note:MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 10-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Spurs are 10-0 SU L/10 at home in this series with every win coming by 4 points or more. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -1 | 120-107 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
The Celtics try to bust out of a two game losing run as they host the Bucks this Friday night in a game that Im betting favours the home side. I know the Bucks are now considered a NBA power house and hell bent on taking out a Celtics team that beat them in last years play offs, but Im betting the Clovers have got what it takes to get the win here at home tonight, and extending a 6-0 SUATS home run in this series. ( Boston won the last meeting here on Nov 1 by a 117 -113 count ) BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 31-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Ole Miss -13 v. Middle Tennessee | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
After 16 years working as the head basketball coach at Middle Tennessee State, the first-year Ole Miss coach will return to Tennessee on Friday to face off against his former team. He will back looking to make an impression and prove hes not showing favouritism . Note: MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and is 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS in non-conference games this season. MISS is 7-0 ATS as a favorite this season. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Pacers -2 v. Nets | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Brooklyn enters this game red hot winning 7 straight , while the Pacers are off a loss to the very good Raptors team by 3 points last time out. Im betting Indiana will be ready to put that defeat behind them with big time victory on road vs Brooklyn here tonight and show their doubters that they are a team on the rise. Pacers are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the nod to cover here. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Pacers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. Play on Indiana to cover |